[HN Gopher] A Fond Farewell
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       A Fond Farewell
        
       Author : erhuve
       Score  : 546 points
       Date   : 2025-11-07 03:01 UTC (19 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.farmersalmanac.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.farmersalmanac.com)
        
       | shervinafshar wrote:
       | Not to be confused with Old Farmer's Almanac (est. 1792) and yet
       | sad to see a 200 years old periodical closing up shop.
        
         | owlninja wrote:
         | This is the one my mind went to, mostly because that cover is
         | so familiar. Granted, I never invested much time in either but
         | was always glad they existed.
        
         | steviedotboston wrote:
         | the old farmers almanac is the one people are probably more
         | familiar with
        
         | np_tedious wrote:
         | https://www.almanac.com/old-farmers-almanac-233-years-and-st...
         | 
         | They appear experienced at navigating this confusion
        
           | andrepd wrote:
           | Damn, I would expect at least a word of courtesy towards a
           | fellow multicentennial publication.
        
             | darkwater wrote:
             | Saying "after an incredible 200+ year run." seems enough
             | chivalrous for me.
        
             | energy123 wrote:
             | We all know they're popping the champagne
        
         | bcherry wrote:
         | wow thanks for leaving this comment - i now realize two things:
         | 
         | 1. the farmer's almanac i thought of when i saw the title and
         | even read the article is not going anywhere 2. i have never
         | before heard of the farmer's almanac referred to in this notice
        
         | rcleveng wrote:
         | Wow, I had never heard of that new one until today! Was worried
         | for a bit.
        
         | amelius wrote:
         | Does this mean they can now rename the Old Farmer's Almanac to
         | the Farmer's Almanac?
        
       | yieldcrv wrote:
       | Interesting, I appreciate how they gave no reasons, I'm also
       | curious if there is more details beyond "we don't want to
       | anymore"
       | 
       | Would be pretty cool if it was that simple, that reason needs
       | more representation and is how I run my entrepreneurial endeavors
        
         | ngold wrote:
         | Tis a bit curious R.I.P.
        
         | kragen wrote:
         | The original editor hasn't wanted to anymore since he died in
         | 01852, 173 years ago, so that's not it. Surely what is
         | happening is that people don't buy reference books much
         | anymore, and the core market of farmers gets smaller every
         | year.
        
           | Shorn wrote:
           | > 01852, 173 years ago
           | 
           | That's some serious forward thinking you've got going on with
           | your date format there. I like it, I will be formatting all
           | my years to 5 digits from now on.
           | 
           | OTOH, if it was just a typo - keep it to yourself, I don't
           | wanna know. I'm all in - 5 digit years is a thing now.
        
             | cadamsdotcom wrote:
             | You might find your crowd among the Long Now Foundation,
             | they love their 5-digit years.
        
               | dingnuts wrote:
               | this thing where someone performs an in group practice
               | (the leading zero behavior) to garner interest, and then
               | another in group member appears to try to recruit the
               | curious person who takes the bait, that y'all are doing?
               | 
               | it's creepy cult behavior, and the "Long Now" name and
               | framing focused on the infinite isn't helping
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | > I like it, I will be formatting all my years to 5 digits
             | from now on.
             | 
             | Please don't, it's highly irritating and usually just
             | serves as a way to get people to discuss the leading zero
             | rather than the subject they were really interested in in
             | the first place. Leading zeros aren't a thing for a reason.
             | It's about as useful as expressing the temperature in
             | Kelvin.
        
               | aydyn wrote:
               | Coincidentally, the temperatures in the Farmer's Almanac
               | are all in Kelvin.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Degrees Kelvin has its place, just as leading zeros. The
               | Farmer's Almanac may have a point but if they do I can't
               | see it and to put a leading zero in front of a year is
               | just annoying. Think about it: how would you pronounce
               | the dates from now on, are you really going to say 'Today
               | is the 7th of november of zero-two-zero-two-five'? And
               | why stop at one zero, really forward thinking people
               | should start counting from the big bang up, that's as
               | close as you can get to the Kelvin analogy, might as well
               | take it all the way then.
        
               | tdeck wrote:
               | If they do indeed use Kelvin, perhaps it's to reduce
               | percent error? :)
        
               | ninalanyon wrote:
               | > Degrees Kelvin
               | 
               | Not degrees. The unit is simply the kelvin.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | You are right.
        
               | 9rx wrote:
               | _> Leading zeros aren 't a thing for a reason._
               | 
               | If they aren't a thing, why are we talking about them?
               | Clearly they're a thing. And not even an obscure thing.
               | If you've ever used commonly used representations like
               | ZIP codes, bank account numbers, or serial numbers you'll
               | no doubt have encountered it before. And that even goes
               | for dates. ISO 8601, for example, requires leading zeros,
               | including for the year component. "1" is not considered a
               | valid year under that standard. It must be represented as
               | "0001". Granted, ISO 8601 only requires a minimum of four
               | characters to represent the year, but expecting at least
               | five characters is conceptually just as valid.
        
               | icehawk wrote:
               | > If they aren't a thing, why are we talking about them?
               | 
               | Because someone decided to break convention and use one
               | in a four-digit year.
        
               | 9rx wrote:
               | The question asks why we're talking about something that
               | is purportedly not a thing, not a quest to find further
               | confirmation of it being a thing. Swing and a miss.
        
               | icehawk wrote:
               | I'm sorry about your miss there.
        
               | 9rx wrote:
               | Don't be. Computers don't have feelings.
        
               | do_not_redeem wrote:
               | Well said. Five-digit years are the Shadow the Hedgehog
               | of rationalism. But he successfully derailed the thread
               | and took the spotlight for himself, so... mission
               | accomplished, I guess.
        
               | euroderf wrote:
               | Octal schmoctal eh
        
               | kstrauser wrote:
               | It's big "look at me" energy, coupled with that user
               | citing years way more often than most.
               | 
               | Some person: I like yams.
               | 
               | Person in question: Me too, since I had my first one in
               | 01985 or so.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | That's an interesting - and falsifiable - observation.
               | 
               | Quick check: 1984 rates 15103 mentions, 01984 42. So
               | about 0.3%.
               | 
               | For 2015 it is 69000 vs 89 for 02015.
               | 
               | But not all of those are years, there are some other
               | cases in there as well.
        
               | kstrauser wrote:
               | That was a synthesized example of how they insert years
               | seemingly for the sake of formatting it weirdly. Now that
               | I've pointed it out to you, next time you see this come
               | up, ask yourself if anyone else would have mentioned a
               | date in that context.
               | 
               | If I were them, I might end this comment with "I haven't
               | seen it done like that since I first got online, in
               | around 01993."
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | It's a bit like vegetarians/vegans or people that don't
               | have TV.
               | 
               | It usually gets dropped in the first five minutes of
               | meeting and after that it gets repeated if it is
               | initially ignored.
        
               | eichin wrote:
               | How many of those are actually (New England) zip codes?
               | (and of the ones that are years, how many of them are
               | "kragen is at it again" :-) Seriously, I've never noticed
               | a thread on these and not found a kragen post as a
               | trigger, but there's probably sampling bias in that - or
               | maybe the intersection of "people who are into the Long
               | Now Foundation" and HN posters is that small?)
        
             | silisili wrote:
             | Nobody seems to care about the y100k problem this
             | introduces.
             | 
             | 001852 is safe for a million years!
        
               | Alive-in-2025 wrote:
               | Only losers don't pad dates out to 10 digits to account
               | for when Donald Trump passes off his earthly coil.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Big miss on your name not being Alive-in-0000002025
        
             | shagie wrote:
             | RFC 2550 Section 3.1 has years from 0000 to 9999 as four
             | digit but zero padded (so the fall of Rome was 0476). It
             | then gets appropriately weird as it was published April 1,
             | 1999.
             | 
             | You might also enjoy the Kurzgesagt human era calendar -
             | https://youtu.be/29pN-2KM2DI - https://shop-
             | us.kurzgesagt.org/collections/calendar
        
             | echelon wrote:
             | > That's some serious forward thinking you've got going on
             | with your date format there. I like it, I will be
             | formatting all my years to 5 digits from now on.
             | 
             | I like this.
             | 
             | I wonder what other conventions we could break by being
             | "forward-thinking" in this sense.
             | 
             | Past tense for all proper names ("America was...", "Google
             | was..."), prices pegged to energy equivalents (bananas were
             | priced at 10 kWh). Describing life on the North American
             | Plate under Alpha Centauri aligned constellations...
             | 
             | Those are all awkward. The date thing is just smooth.
        
             | unwind wrote:
             | Nobody posted [1] yet, it feels like it's needed.
             | 
             | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_Now_Foundation
        
               | jimnotgym wrote:
               | Wow, an organisation worried about dealing with the date
               | flipover in 010000. Very forward thinking
        
               | Shorn wrote:
               | I see what you did there
        
           | Polizeiposaune wrote:
           | error: invalid digit "8" in octal constant
        
           | msla wrote:
           | > 01852, 173 years ago
           | 
           | Certainly not.
        
           | lisbbb wrote:
           | Unless he's a vampire. Those bastards are very cunning at
           | hiding how long they live for.
        
           | 9rx wrote:
           | _> the core market of farmers gets smaller every year._
           | 
           | While the Farmer's Almanac doesn't go out of its way to
           | prevent farmers from reading it or anything, it was really
           | geared more towards suburbanites with an interest in things
           | like gardening.
           | 
           | The Old Farmer's Almanac is more geared towards farmers, but
           | there is no signs of it ending publication.
        
         | 9rx wrote:
         | They assert "Stay tuned here for more updates" on X, suggesting
         | a change in the way they are doing things rather than not doing
         | it in any capacity anymore.
        
       | tylerchilds wrote:
       | I'll put a bowl of water in the moonlight tonight to bring
       | blessings to the generations of authors farming our collective
       | reality framing.
        
         | owlninja wrote:
         | I think this is from the _Old_ Farmer 's Almanac
        
         | lisbbb wrote:
         | There's probably one for witches that's still all the rage on
         | the east coast.
        
         | umanwizard wrote:
         | The full moon was yesterday unfortunately!
        
       | mtillman wrote:
       | I skim both almanac products each year. Both have helpful little
       | home tips and quite a bit of gardening advice. Sad to see them
       | go.
        
         | hajile wrote:
         | Should have paid the $9 instead of just skimming...
        
       | thorum wrote:
       | This press release has a bit more explanation:
       | 
       | https://www.farmersalmanac.com/end-of-an-era-farmers-almanac...
       | 
       | > This decision, though difficult, reflects the growing financial
       | challenges of producing and distributing the Almanac in today's
       | chaotic media environment.
        
         | cowsandmilk wrote:
         | Hardly an explanation, what is meant by chaotic media
         | environment?
        
           | khannn wrote:
           | If I had to hazard a guess I'd say how everyone has the
           | internet in their pocket, news and entertainment being one
           | and the same, and the fact that nobody reads books anymore
        
             | atomicnature wrote:
             | Book sales in general (across all formats) are up I think -
             | so there are still many, many readers around. We just have
             | many new formats (EPUB, audiobooks, reader devices, etc.)
             | and of course population is increasing over the globe. I'm
             | pretty sure we have the highest number of readers on the
             | planet right now than ever before in absolute terms.
        
               | jbstack wrote:
               | I'm not sure that's still correct. There was an uplift
               | because of Covid and people having more spare time, but
               | whatever more recent (2024 - 2025) sources I can find
               | suggest the trend has reversed.
               | 
               | It's worth also considering demographics. If you narrow
               | the focus to just younger generations (who, we can guess,
               | are more addicted to smartphones) then the numbers look
               | pretty bad. E.g.:
               | 
               | https://www.theguardian.com/books/2024/nov/05/report-
               | fall-in...
        
               | technothrasher wrote:
               | My son, who is away at college as a freshman this year,
               | recently phoned me and apologized for calling me a bad
               | dad and thanked me for not allowing him to have any
               | devices in his bedroom after bedtime growing up, as it
               | made him become a reader. He said he was amazed when he
               | got to school and nobody else reads for pleasure.
        
               | atomicnature wrote:
               | 1. The survey seems limited to UK or so. Not sure - it
               | doesn't look like a global report.
               | 
               | 2. Don't confuse "enjoyment" with "number of readers".
               | The previous generation may have enjoyed it more -
               | because there were no better options.
               | 
               | 3. People over the globe are more educated now, and
               | engaged in knowledge work. They must read to get work
               | done.
               | 
               | 4. Don't forget the "pirate book" scene - such as lib
               | gen, Anna's archive, etc. - in developing countries.
        
               | hajile wrote:
               | Audience matters here. Most book sales have been falling.
               | The one increase has been in romance porn with those
               | books accounting for some 50% of all paperbacks sold at
               | this point (they are dominating for the exact same reason
               | porn dominates internet video content).
               | 
               | Personally, I don't count pornhub traffic the same way I
               | count Youtube or Netflix traffic and I think the same
               | applies here.
        
               | autoexec wrote:
               | I can't fault people for feeling that nobody reads
               | anymore. In the US today the majority of Americans can't
               | even understand books written at a 6th grade level and
               | literacy has been trending downward. Only a small number
               | of us are propping up book sales.
        
           | vslira wrote:
           | Without snark, I believe it just means they're not making
           | money, likely because people consume less "published media"
           | nowadays
        
           | iAMkenough wrote:
           | You can Google or ask AI instead of reference a book
        
             | arthurfirst wrote:
             | Like asking for a book at the library in Rollerball?
        
           | Spooky23 wrote:
           | Their audience is old people who buy the book at the cashier
           | line at Walmart.
           | 
           | Both their customer base and sales outlet is dying off.
           | 
           | These things are really magazines that run once a year. The
           | notion of a magazine is a weird concept that doesn't compute
           | for anyone younger than 35.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | With all the digital AI slop these days I'm starting to
             | look for magazines again. Ones that put some effort into
             | verification that the stories really are true.
        
               | KPGv2 wrote:
               | I think there's been a micro-boom in prestige
               | periodicals. Until I kind of fell back out of love with
               | tennis, I was a subscriber of Racquet, which is a really
               | high quality print publication about tennis (and
               | occasionally other racquet sports).
               | 
               | https://shop.racquetmag.com/products/issue-
               | no-8?pr_prod_stra... if you're interested in seeing what
               | a very nice tennis magazine looks like (links to shop
               | because it's the best way to show contents)
        
               | 01HNNWZ0MV43FF wrote:
               | The last couple times I cracked open a magazine it was
               | 50% ads and I'm not sure how many articles were PR
               | releases. Thinking of Pop Sci, Psychology Today, etc
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Only 50% - that seems low. They were always more than
               | that (except mad, though they did take ads latter I'm
               | told).
        
             | reaperducer wrote:
             | _These things are really magazines that run once a year.
             | The notion of a magazine is a weird concept that doesn't
             | compute for anyone younger than 35._
             | 
             | Ageism aside, your stereotype of young people today is
             | about a decade out of date. It doesn't sound like you've
             | been to a book store in America since 2015.
             | 
             | I see high schoolers gathered around the magazine racks at
             | the book store every time I visit, which is at least
             | weekly.
             | 
             | In a lot of ways, nothing has changed. Blue jeans, concert
             | shirts, and someone always walks away with a Rolling Stone.
        
             | KPGv2 wrote:
             | > Their audience is old people who buy the book at the
             | cashier line at Walmart.
             | 
             | That's the _Old Farmer 's Almanac_. I don't know where this
             | _Farmer 's Almanac_ is on the shelves, but it's certainly
             | not at Walmart, which carries a different publication
             | that's even older.
             | 
             | Confusing names, yes, because one is TFA and the other is
             | TOFA.
        
             | kulahan wrote:
             | You think Walmart is dying off? Definitely not.
        
               | Spooky23 wrote:
               | The retail experience is. Farmer's Almanac sat above the
               | candy in the checkout aisle.
               | 
               | That's all transitioning to delivery and self-checkout.
               | 20 years ago, you'd like 30 lanes open with eyeballs on
               | the book. Now, in my area there's like 3-5 lanes most
               | times.
        
           | muzani wrote:
           | I think they simply don't know what to do next. In the past
           | century, you could write a book with good content, put it on
           | a shelf, and people would pay money for it.
           | 
           | Then at some point, book stores stopped existing. Some turned
           | into gift stores where the book was some decoration you'd put
           | on the shelf to add aesthetic to the room.
           | 
           | So a lot of things went digital. But nobody wants to pay for
           | digital information. You'd think almanacs would be popular in
           | the era of overinformation.
           | 
           | What channel next? YT shorts? TikTok? Do farmers even use
           | LinkedIn? How do you deal with bots that grab all the
           | information you put out there and repackage it into a
           | $20/month subscription?
        
             | profunctor wrote:
             | Book stores did not stop existing. They are everywhere.
             | Book sales are up in recent times.
        
               | threetonesun wrote:
               | Print book sales are down, although not as much as people
               | want to believe. Book stores are making a comeback but in
               | terms of number of books on shelves I'd say the average
               | one is ~50% less. We had a real heyday in the late 90s
               | where a Barnes and Nobles would have a copy of almost any
               | book you could reasonably be looking for, plus multiple
               | rows of magazines. We have not returned to that, and
               | certainly books that you'd pick up on a whim like an end-
               | cap item have reasonably suffered for it, or increased
               | their prices to fairly insane levels.
        
               | rufus_foreman wrote:
               | >> We had a real heyday in the late 90s where a Barnes
               | and Nobles would have a copy of almost any book you could
               | reasonably be looking for, plus multiple rows of
               | magazines.
               | 
               | I don't know if there was ever a bookstore that ever had
               | a copy of almost any book you could reasonably be looking
               | for. Maybe Powell's back in the day if you counted the
               | technical bookstore along with the mother ship. Certainly
               | not Barnes & Noble. There are still multiple rows of
               | magazines at B&N today, including ones on Linux,
               | programming, network admin, Raspberry Pi, etc.
               | 
               | The one I go to is the same size as the ones I went to 20
               | years ago and an order of magnitude larger than the mall
               | bookstores I went to 40 years ago. Although some of that
               | space is taken up by the coffee shop, Legos, and vinyl
               | records.
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | Barnes & Nobles and Borders were both the ultimate in
               | retail bookstores and also the beginning of the end of
               | retail book stores. They killed local bookstores, and
               | then Amazon killed them.
        
               | RankingMember wrote:
               | They didn't, you're right, but book stores themselves are
               | on the decline [1]. Borders brick and mortar footprint is
               | gone in the U.S. and they used to be the #2 bookseller.
               | Barnes and Noble is holding on, thankfully. I love
               | physical books and just the quiet ambience of a good
               | bookstore.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2021/12/do-
               | not-turn-t...
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Despite the name "farmers" I doubt the majority of
             | customers were farmers, at least not in the last 50 years
             | or so.
        
               | lokar wrote:
               | Over the 200 years, most of the readers may have been
               | farmers, or at least lived or worked on farms. That would
               | have been much of the population back then.
        
             | cm2012 wrote:
             | Bro book sales are at a record high right now and barnes
             | and noble is opening lots of stores
        
             | KPGv2 wrote:
             | > Do farmers even use LinkedIn?
             | 
             | Farmers don't even use the Almanac, because it's not
             | accurate. These things are all 50/50. A coin toss in their
             | predictions.
        
               | kulahan wrote:
               | Well that just obviously isn't true. If it were, who'd
               | keep buying the stupid things? If nothing else, natural
               | market forces would simply prop up the farmers who aren't
               | wasting time and money following a completely inaccurate
               | book.
               | 
               | In statistics, two things are simple: predicting the very
               | next step, and predicting what happens in 100,000 steps.
               | It's the part in between that's tough. Weather is a
               | function of statistics, essentially. It's why we can tell
               | what the weather will be like tomorrow, and why we can
               | tell that La Nina is going to affect us this year, but
               | why we can't tell what the weather will be like on a
               | Thursday 4 weeks from now.
        
               | 01HNNWZ0MV43FF wrote:
               | > If it were, who'd keep buying the stupid things?
               | 
               | The same people who buy books about healing crystals, who
               | donate to televangelists, who go to reiki "healers" and
               | chiropractors, who believe in tarot firmly, etc.
        
               | kulahan wrote:
               | Those people aren't in something resembling a zero-sum
               | game, so they don't really make sense. Chiropractors sell
               | back cracks, and the people buying that get exactly what
               | they want.
        
           | fsckboy wrote:
           | > _what is meant by chaotic media environment?_
           | 
           | it means that the almanac does not bring in enough profit to
           | make it worthwhile to continue or to find a buyer for the
           | company, and the owners are also aware that many of the same
           | profit related issues are in the public discourse as
           | affecting (formerly-)print media in the now-digital market,
           | so the owners conclude that their financial are part of the
           | general trend in the industry rather than to specific
           | problems with the business formula they have used for over
           | 200 years.
        
       | lisbbb wrote:
       | I know it has a tradition behind it, but you can't just make shit
       | up and just expect people in this technical age to be okay with
       | it. I used to peruse my Grandmother's Reader's Digest as a kid
       | and never really understood that one, either.
        
         | DocTomoe wrote:
         | And still some of IT's biggest trends right now are LLMs, which
         | essentially make shit up on an industrial scale.
         | 
         | What is going to be lost is more than an old book for old
         | people: It's the folklore associated with it, the - and I mean
         | that in the most positive meaning of the word - myths. The same
         | kind of old magic that vanished when 'Weekly World News'
         | stopped publication, or when MAD stopped being published
         | monthly.
        
           | Fomite wrote:
           | Was going to say this - making shit up is currently driving
           | most of the S&P 500's growth.
        
         | avalys wrote:
         | Readers Digest was just a general interest collection of
         | articles, wasn't it? I don't remember it being particularly
         | made-up.
         | 
         | I mainly read it for the jokes, as I recall.
        
           | Aloha wrote:
           | I used to look forward to RD in the pre internet times, it
           | was great medium form reading.
        
           | NoMoreNicksLeft wrote:
           | It reprinted articles from other popular magazines, often in
           | an abridged format (shortened, glossing over the boring
           | details). I think by the 1980s though, quite a few of the
           | articles were original.
        
         | dangus wrote:
         | Obviously stuff like lunar phases is easy to document in a
         | forward-looking way.
         | 
         | But yeah, this is a book claiming on the front cover to be able
         | to tell you the best time to get married? lol
         | 
         | I also think that the general purpose nature of the book serves
         | it poorly. It seems to cram together seemingly unrelated
         | topics: life advice, gardening advice, kitchen tips, astrology,
         | etc. This probably made a lot of sense before the modern media
         | landscape, in the days when entertainment was a little more
         | hard to come by.
         | 
         | Some things sadly do have their time and place. We aren't
         | getting this back just like we aren't getting back a nation
         | where everyone watched the same 3 channels on their television.
        
           | 9rx wrote:
           | _> But yeah, this is a book claiming on the front cover to be
           | able to tell you the best time to get married? lol_
           | 
           | A quick perusal of the "best day" calendar -- which is
           | presumably what that refers to -- suggests that it believes
           | the best time to get married is on days we call the weekend.
           | Which seems pretty fair. I've never been to a wedding that
           | wasn't on a weekend. That is when most people seem to want to
           | get married. Not exactly ground-breaking information, of
           | course, but practical in some very limited sense; likely more
           | useful than lunar phase schedules for the average person.
           | 
           |  _> We aren't getting this back_
           | 
           | I'm not sure it was ever lost. The most notable one in this
           | space, the Old Farmer's Almanac, is still going. The
           | departure of The Farmer's Almanac means one less competitor
           | than before, but the "Almanac" genre remains filled with
           | quite a number of publications that show no signs of
           | stopping. Individual businesses step out of their respective
           | markets all the time. That is nothing unusual (although a
           | 200+ year run is noteworthy, granted).
           | 
           |  _> just like we aren't getting back a nation where everyone
           | watched the same 3 channels on their television._
           | 
           | Now we all visit the same 3 websites instead...
        
       | pjbeam wrote:
       | Huh, this always seemed like such an institution it never
       | occurred to me that people have to produce Farmers' Almanac.
       | Which of course they do. Didn't have this on my bingo card today,
       | makes me a little sad.
        
         | chatmasta wrote:
         | The brand has 200 years of value. They could easily sell it.
         | It's a respectable decision to shut it down instead.
        
           | keane wrote:
           | I bet County Highway would be interested in acquiring this.
           | https://www.countyhighway.com/about
        
         | block_dagger wrote:
         | AI can replace them too. The Server Farmers' Almanac will be in
         | high demand.
        
           | bitwize wrote:
           | Especially as data centers start displacing the amber waves
           | of grain in America's hinterlands.
        
           | amelius wrote:
           | Content farmers, you mean.
        
             | imdsm wrote:
             | Engagement Farmers Almanac, A Guide to Brainrot
        
           | philipwhiuk wrote:
           | Ah yes, the soul of humanity reduced to silicon.
        
           | Cthulhu_ wrote:
           | Isn't the Server Farmer's Almanac basically stuff like the
           | UNIX handbook and the like?
        
       | Waterluvian wrote:
       | What exactly _is_ the Farmer's Almanac? I always thought it was
       | basically a big set of historical data that helped provide a sort
       | of statistical foundation for choices, even if the _why_ isn't
       | explained.
       | 
       | Which seems like I can completely understand it as a practical
       | tool in the past but fairly obsolete in modern times.
       | 
       | Or did it evolve, too, and was essentially modern science and
       | maths, dressed in the trappings of a beloved cultural relic? Or
       | is it more than ever a collection of stories and advice and other
       | culture, and much less about the actual almanac?
        
         | m463 wrote:
         | "The 2026 Old Farmer's Almanac" provides weather forecasts,
         | astronomical data, and practical wisdom for those living close
         | to the earth, continuing its tradition since 1792."
        
           | 9rx wrote:
           | The parent is asking about the Farmer's Almanac (the one
           | bidding farewell), first published in 1818.
        
             | Waterluvian wrote:
             | I actually don't realize there were two! I'm guessing
             | there's a history here involving a fork.
        
               | shervinafshar wrote:
               | But if you'd like to see a sample of _Old_ Farmer's
               | Almanac, their 2026 issue could be accessed here: https:/
               | /reader.mediawiremobile.com/TheOldFarmersAlmanac/issu...
               | 
               | I always enjoy reading through those tabulated stuff; see
               | pp. 280-281.
        
               | 9rx wrote:
               | _> I'm guessing there's a history here involving a fork._
               | 
               | This is no direct relationship. Just a case of a
               | competitor deciding to compete in the marketplace.
        
               | conductr wrote:
               | Seems like the original already named it wisely. If it's
               | 1820 and I'm a farmer, I'm definitely getting my almanac
               | from an "old farmer".
        
               | 9rx wrote:
               | Stands to reason, not just in name, but because The
               | Farmer's Almanac was a spin on The Old Farmer's Almanac
               | that was geared more towards the growing urban
               | population.
        
         | dannyphantom wrote:
         | Kinda all of the above. It did evolve into a
         | scientific(-adjacent) thing, if that makes sense. My
         | boyfriend's parents have all of them sitting on a dedicated
         | shelf. Interesting to read through.
         | 
         | They _definitely_ leaned into being a cultural artifact. Jokes,
         | anecdotes, stories, how-tos, homeopathic recipes for things
         | like cough syrups, etc. They all look kinda the same so either
         | brand consistency or to keep the nostalgia factor.
         | 
         | Their sun/moon/eclipse is rooted in real math foundations but
         | their "proprietary" weather forecast model was developed when
         | the publication began in 1792.
         | 
         | It's like 30% hard astronomical data, 30% proprietary models
         | that they've been using for generations and 40% storytelling.
         | 
         | edit for context on scientific side:
         | 
         | WRT forecast modeling, the publication claims ~80% accuracy [1]
         | but it's been found to come out to about ~50%+ under scrutiny
         | [2]
         | 
         | [1] https://www.almanac.com/2026-old-farmers-almanac
         | 
         | [2]
         | https://climate.colostate.edu/blog/index.php/2024/08/23/shou...
        
           | conductr wrote:
           | They have to predict the weather for the year in a book that
           | has to go through the publishing and distribution process
           | ahead of time.
           | 
           | My local weather news has all the benefits of real time data
           | and weather models yet I think their accuracy rate is just as
           | poor when it comes to producing the 7 day outlook. It's
           | common to hear a forecast for rain/cold front/etc in 7 day
           | outlook that just never materializes. Also the timing of the
           | event if it does arrive is almost always off by a day or two.
           | Often they have the whole town worried about something that's
           | definitely happening Friday, they talk about it all week,
           | everyone is preparing, little league games getting
           | rescheduled, etc. then only hours beforehand it's well looks
           | like maybe Sunday. Then Sunday comes and instead of inches of
           | rain, it's a sprinkle.
           | 
           | I'm not even trying to be critical of weather reporting, I
           | get that it's a crapshoot but doing it a year+ ahead of time
           | and getting similar results/accuracy is actually quite
           | impressive.
        
             | Waterluvian wrote:
             | I didn't study too much meteorology in undergrad, but one
             | thing impressed upon us is that any forecast beyond maybe 3
             | days is basically guesswork.
             | 
             | I think what might be getting observed here is that when
             | forecasting that many days out, the local data becomes so
             | unimportant to the model's outcome that the model is just
             | reflecting historical climate trends. Which kind of makes
             | both the same _kind_ of model. Ie. when forecasting
             | tomorrow, the current temperature and pressure data
             | _really_ makes a difference. But once pushed to 7 days,
             | those data essentially become a proxy for typical weather
             | at that time of year, possibly down-weighted by a lot.
             | 
             | I just woke up and I feel like I'm doing a very poor job
             | trying to describe this.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | That depends on what you care about. Will it rain at a
               | specific date/time - getting that for tomorrow is hard,
               | much less a year. However you can often predict if this
               | will be a wet or dry year with reasonable accuracy and
               | that is important information (farmers plant different
               | seeds). I doubt their model is very good at this, but
               | science can do well enough.
        
               | jsight wrote:
               | I think you are describing it pretty well, and I've
               | noticed the same thing. The farther into the future the
               | forecast goes, the higher the probability is that it will
               | look like the historical average.
               | 
               | One thing that I've found to help a lot is to go to
               | weather.gov and look at the "forecast discussion". Often
               | it will help to understand what types of uncertainties
               | exist within the forecast.
               | 
               | It isn't unusual to see notes that make it really clear
               | that 24-48 hour variations are expected, or that massive
               | differences will exist based upon hard to predict
               | variables. "Hey we think it will rain heavily as far
               | south as X, but actually it might end up staying north of
               | Y in which case X will stay dry"
               | 
               | It is easy to see how hard it can be even if the forecast
               | itself turns out to be fairly accurate at a high level.
        
             | hajile wrote:
             | Even if we had perfect information at one instant in time,
             | modeling a chaotic system going into the future becomes
             | increasingly difficult.
             | 
             | We have far from perfect information and very flawed models
             | too.
             | 
             | Interestingly, there seems to be some success with AI
             | models that almost completely skip the science and jump
             | straight to pattern recognition. It's interesting to think
             | of modern 10-day weather forecasting going back to its old
             | almanac roots.
        
             | wat10000 wrote:
             | They don't _have_ to predict the weather for a year. They
             | _choose_ to do something which cannot be done. Certainly
             | not with any known technique, and probably not even in
             | theory.
             | 
             | If I predict that the weather in my location on November 7,
             | 2076 will be moderately cool and sunny (as it is today), I
             | have a pretty good chance of being correct. I wouldn't find
             | it impressive, though.
        
             | throw0101d wrote:
             | > _My local weather news has all the benefits of real time
             | data and weather models yet I think their accuracy rate is
             | just as poor when it comes to producing the 7 day outlook._
             | 
             | Where is your local source getting their forecast from?
             | 
             | > _A seven-day forecast can accurately predict the weather
             | about 80 percent of the time and a five-day forecast can
             | accurately predict the weather approximately 90 percent of
             | the time. However, a 10-day--or longer--forecast is only
             | right about half the time._
             | 
             | * https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/about/k-12-education/weather-
             | for...
             | 
             | There are also 'technicalities': I'm in Toronto, Canada,
             | which is 40km east-to-east and 20km from the lake to the
             | northern border. If rain hits the western half (around
             | 427/Sherway/Etobicoke) but not the eastern half
             | (Scarborough bluffs), is a "it will rain" forecast correct
             | for the city? Some will perceive it as yes and some as no.
        
           | astura wrote:
           | This comment appears to confuse the Farmers' Almanac
           | (published since 1818) with the Old Farmer's Almanac
           | (published since 1792). It's really unclear which one you're
           | talking about.
        
           | KPGv2 wrote:
           | FYI your links are about two different publications with
           | similar names (the former is older and _not_ shutting down*).
        
       | ajdude wrote:
       | I'm not a farmer, but I have relied on the farmers almanac before
       | when planning vacations months in advance. It's been surprisingly
       | accurate at determining whether a given week would have rain,
       | snow, or sun. I have no idea how they did it but I would love to
       | see their weather prediction system open sourced if they're going
       | to be shutting down.
        
         | carabiner wrote:
         | Better yet, use the NWS climate outlook, based on actual
         | science: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
         | 
         | They do detailed scoring of their predictions and it's based on
         | rigorous physical modeling (navier stokes) so they know that
         | it's better than chance. FA hasn't held up well to such
         | scrutiny.
        
           | FinnKuhn wrote:
           | Does something like this exist for weather prediction
           | worldwide?
        
             | bartread wrote:
             | Sadly it would never work for the British Isles, that much
             | I can guarantee you. Our weather resists all forms of
             | prediction found to be reliable elsewhere, and I doubt AI
             | enhancements over the next few years will make much of a
             | dent in the problem.
             | 
             | I've tried all manner of weather services and none of them
             | really do a really good job of any level of forecasting.
             | They do however excel at supplying me with information I
             | can get just by looking out the window.
        
           | aubanel wrote:
           | For Europe, use ECMWF, they provide great data:
           | https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts
        
         | jrmg wrote:
         | Statistical averages and confirmation bias.
        
       | zkmon wrote:
       | You will see accelerated extinction of many members of the
       | business species. The good members of the species can't adapt
       | quickly with the pace of changes that are brought in by the
       | excessive want (greed) and excessive power (knowledge) by other
       | members of the species. Business is the only species where
       | members of the race compete with other members of the own race,
       | and not with other species. In natural species, internal
       | competition happens only for mating rights and food, but not to
       | kill each other.
       | 
       | Capitalism is unnatural - it allows rapid consolidation of the
       | businesses, leading to colonial style of empires. Colonial
       | empires fell due to local people's assertion of their ownership
       | of the land. Business workers have no such bond with the
       | companies. They can't resurrect their businesses once gobbled up
       | by the mega companies.
        
       | ragebol wrote:
       | > Best known for its long-range weather predictions
       | 
       | I wonder if a changing climate makes the predictions in the
       | almanac less useful too
        
         | naIak wrote:
         | When all you have is a hammer...
        
       | squirtle24 wrote:
       | To be honest I've never even _heard_ of the  "Farmers Almanac",
       | but its #2 on HN now. Am I the only one here?
        
         | NaomiLehman wrote:
         | I think people like the name because of nostalgia they can't
         | connect to and the word Almanac reminding them of Back to the
         | Future
        
           | gabagool wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farmers%27_Almanac
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Farmer%27s_Almanac
           | 
           | People do know things other people do not. They are fairly
           | notable, though obviously not as much in today's society,
           | hence this one's retirement
        
       | tkgally wrote:
       | If anyone is interested in seeing older almanac(k)s, or at least
       | texts with the word in their titles, the Internet Archive has
       | scans of thousands. One chosen at random:
       | 
       |  _The Illustrated Phrenological Almanac_
       | 
       | https://archive.org/details/illustratedphren1852fowl/mode/2u...
        
       | markphip wrote:
       | There is still the Old Farmer's Almanac
       | https://www.almanac.com/old-farmers-almanac-233-years-and-st...
        
         | styanax wrote:
         | Thank you, this is the one I recall from my youth (having them
         | around the house). I did not realize there was another one with
         | an almost identical name (this post).
        
         | nubinetwork wrote:
         | Why was there two? Linked article doesn't really say why the
         | confusion exists, other than that there are 2 almanacs.
        
           | LogicWolfe wrote:
           | Looks like it's not a case of a fork and but rather of
           | different publishers all trying to serve a common need with a
           | well understood formula. There used to be many almanacs, then
           | there were two, now there is one.
        
             | ninalanyon wrote:
             | On the other side of the pond there are more:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Moore%27s_Almanack in
             | England published since 1697 and a similarly named one
             | (without the k) in Ireland,
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Moore%27s_Almanac since
             | 1764
        
               | mastazi wrote:
               | In Italy, where I grew up, my grandparents used to read
               | the Almanacco di Barbanera; the first edition came out in
               | 1762. It is still around https://www.barbanera.it/
        
               | fsckboy wrote:
               | barbanera = black beard
        
               | hencq wrote:
               | Similarly in the Netherlands, my grandparents used to
               | have the Enkhuizer Almanak. Also still around after 430
               | years https://www.almanak.nl/
        
         | jimbokun wrote:
         | Oh, I thought this was the one that was closing down!
         | 
         | Which really surprised me. Ben Franklin's version is a really
         | strong brand so it makes sense it's some other Farmer's Almanac
         | that's shutting down.
        
         | waylandsmithers wrote:
         | Did we all have a Mandela moment that what we all thought was
         | "The Farmer's Almanac" with the yellow cover actually has OLD
         | in the title? And there is randomly this other farmer's
         | almanac?
        
       | anthk wrote:
       | Uh, Spain had this counterpart named "El Calendario Zaragozano"
       | (The Zaragozan calendar) which looks like 120 years old or
       | more... in the current edition and layout. It had ephemerides,
       | farming related weather 'preditions', sowing dates, religious
       | holydays, farming tips, big flea market day listings, old idioms,
       | famous quotes and so on.
       | 
       | http://calendariozaragozano.net/almanaque-zaragozano.html
        
       | Lu2025 wrote:
       | Good riddance. These guys had like 40% forecast accuracy, worse
       | than random. When they say the winter will warmer it will be
       | colder and vice versa.
        
         | fingerlocks wrote:
         | If you're treating a forecast as a single Bernoulli trial,
         | wouldn't that make them 60% accurate for the opposite of their
         | prediction?
         | 
         | Which is a silly assumption; a forecast isn't a single yes-no
         | event. it's not obvious to me that 50% is the worst case
         | success rate.
         | 
         | Would be more interesting to compare their forecast to
         | something like a long term NOAA forecast, but I don't believe
         | such a thing exists because calculating the future is very
         | expensive.
        
           | hbn wrote:
           | GP did say it was just in reference to whether the winter
           | will be warmer or colder than the last one, which is 50/50
           | 
           | In which case if they're 40% accurate, you can get 60%
           | accuracy from them by assuming it'll be the opposite of what
           | they say
           | 
           | If they could get their accuracy down to 0% you'd have
           | perfect predictions!
        
       | zroxbhai444u wrote:
       | Us
        
       | herodotus wrote:
       | In the early 1990's, during my days as a Comp. Sci. prof, I was
       | so excited about the emergence of the internet. When I saw the
       | Mosaic browser (a precursor to Netscape and later Firefox) I knew
       | the world had changed for the better. Now I have such mixed
       | feelings. Magazines (like the Farmers Almanac) either go online
       | completely or just disappear. They just cannot compete for
       | advertising dollars with Google. And small family run local
       | retail stores, offering not just goods, but a social hub for
       | people are shutting their doors because how can they compete with
       | the convenience of Amazon. Much has been gained from the
       | internet, and much has been lost.
        
         | gaoshan wrote:
         | The aspect of small local stores functioning as a social hub
         | really hits hard. The social hub, such as it is now, can be so
         | much larger and less personal that it really does feel like a
         | loss (a negative even).
         | 
         | Is the social hub now something like Instagram or a specific
         | forum/subreddit/space for a school or neighborhood? These are
         | really insufficient replacements and people that grew up
         | knowing nothing else likely do not realize just how
         | insufficient they are.
        
           | MichaelZuo wrote:
           | But if it's so valuable... why aren't people willing to pay
           | for it?
           | 
           | Forgoing luxuries like a vacation to support local stores
           | full of people you know and trust, that might charge 20% more
           | for the same product, seems like an obvious thing...
           | 
           | That almost no Americans do in reality.
        
             | wat10000 wrote:
             | Because if I do that, I lose my vacation and I don't gain a
             | local store full of people I know and trust.
             | 
             | Collective action problems aren't solved by individually
             | performing the action, and therefore the fact that people
             | aren't doing it doesn't show they don't want it.
        
               | ryandrake wrote:
               | > Collective action problems aren't solved by
               | individually performing the action
               | 
               | This is a truth that a lot of the west, particularly
               | Americans, struggle to accept. We keep trying "the free
               | market and individual incentives must solve all problems"
               | over and over, and fail over and over.
               | 
               | Huge problems require collective action to solve.
               | Collective action requires good coordination, strong
               | institutions, leadership, and most importantly, the
               | societal willingness to not always optimize for the
               | individual's freedom/desires/expectations. None of these
               | are currently present in America.
        
               | olelele wrote:
               | Thank you
        
               | wat10000 wrote:
               | It's a very attractive idea. It gives you an immediate
               | counterargument (people must prefer it this way because
               | they're all doing it), _and_ gives you the satisfaction
               | of calling the other person a hypocrite (you think it 's
               | better yet you aren't doing it).
               | 
               | I've lost count of how many times I've had someone tell
               | me, "If you think you should pay more taxes, you can
               | always send the IRS some extra cash."
        
               | DFHippie wrote:
               | Any problem with externalized costs or benefits is a
               | collective action problem. You get a benefit everyone
               | pays for or you incur a cost which everyone pays. The
               | individual incentive is to freeload on the resources of
               | others. It is functionally theft.
               | 
               | Regulation and other government actions can solve these
               | problems by internalizing these costs/benefits. _Any_
               | solution to these problems involves collective control of
               | individual actions, which is to say, government at some
               | scale.
               | 
               | There is some irony in the people who say "taxation is
               | theft" ignoring the theft of the commons counteracted by
               | taxation and the government services it supports.
        
               | wat10000 wrote:
               | "Pollution is theft" would be a nice way to put the
               | libertarian case for environmental regulation, but it
               | doesn't have quite the same ring to it.
        
             | petsfed wrote:
             | A lot of reasons, but the two big ones are:
             | 
             | 1) the American cult of self-reliance. The idea that people
             | will not value something they did not themselves work for,
             | even if its given to them by a close friend or family
             | member, is basically synonymous with "the American dream".
             | "Socialism" is so bad to Americans that they would rather
             | have diabetics die because they can't afford the lifesaving
             | medicine they need, than to give handouts to such people,
             | just for them to develop a "dependency". There's even an
             | entire health-influencer industry built around the idea
             | that all health problems not _directly_ caused by trauma
             | are because the person suffering just isn 't trying hard
             | enough to be healthy, and not, you know, because of a
             | social and economic system that's actively corrosive to
             | human health. "You're sick because you're too lazy to avoid
             | trans-fats" basically the gist of RFK Jr's ideology.
             | 
             | 2) Americans are so opposed to thinking more than 3 months
             | ahead that _all_ they see with that 20% price increase is
             | the impact it has on them _right now_. The easy access to
             | instant gratification is steadily eroding our ability to be
             | patient or suffer any hardship. This has been growing for a
             | long time (c.f. fresh fruits and vegetables of all stripes,
             | year round) but has reached a sort of fever pitch with the
             | advent of same-day delivery for a vast array of bits and
             | baubles.
        
             | sowbug wrote:
             | You think you have a choice to buy local. It's more
             | complicated than that.
             | 
             | "Local stores full of people you know and trust" is what
             | advertising tries to approximate. Instead of forming
             | lasting human bonds with shopkeepers and employees, we are
             | informed by ads who we should patronize. And we pay,
             | indirectly, for that service.
             | 
             | Private equity also takes its pound of flesh. Try hiring a
             | local plumber. They'll always say they're locally owned and
             | operated, which is a partial truth. But when you're charged
             | $400 for 15 minutes of labor, remember that a lot of that
             | revenue goes to private equity, far far away from your
             | hamlet, whether you like it or not.
        
               | boznz wrote:
               | the McDonald's in our town says "locally owned and
               | operated", same with the stores where everything
               | (literally) is made in China. These sums up the absurdity
               | of the phrase for me.
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | The franchise is either locally owned and operated, or
               | it's a corporation-owned store. McDonald's doesn't permit
               | owner-investors as franchisees, only owner-operators (at
               | least that was the case last I knew).
        
               | xp84 wrote:
               | It's true that it's locally O&O as someone else pointed
               | out. The McDonald's corporation just likely owns the land
               | and collects rent and a sales royalty from the owner.
               | This is pretty standard and honestly, seems to me to be
               | much more human than the big box retail business model
               | where there is no local ownership of any kind.
               | 
               | Side note: Grocery Outlet if you're in the places they
               | operate, is a completely franchised grocery store chain.
               | In my experience in multiple towns, the local owners do a
               | great job, and one near me donates to some excellent
               | local charities.
        
             | cogman10 wrote:
             | Lots of things have happened that have ultimately harmed
             | these small communities.
             | 
             | A major problem is consolidation. A small town hardware
             | store may have had access to multiple suppliers at one
             | point. Those all merged together and ultimately started
             | raising their prices in a "go away" sense to small time
             | purchasers. That's made it incredibly hard to be a store. A
             | big box store gets a lot more foot traffic and has more
             | leverage against distributers which allows them to
             | ultimately outprice a small time store.
             | 
             | My hometown went through this. As a kid, it had a
             | restaurant, a grocery store, a hardware store, and an
             | automobile repair shop. 1 by 1 those all died. The
             | restaurant died because the community never ate there. It
             | became a thing where you'd literally call the owner the
             | night before so they could prepare you a meal the next day.
             | Otherwise they had no traffic. They were too expensive for
             | my small town so nobody would buy a lunch there. The
             | grocery store and hardware store died from being priced
             | out. At one point, just to keep the shelves stocked the
             | owner literally had to buy products from Walmart to sell at
             | the store. No distributor would sell to them.
        
               | pksebben wrote:
               | I think to tease out the core of the problem with large
               | businesses, capital, and society (esp. as regards the
               | dissolution of small businesses), you need to autopsy the
               | concepts of value and liquidity.
               | 
               | Money is meant to be a store of value, 'value' in this
               | case being literally anyone considers valuable. However,
               | it's an abstraction that doesn't quite fit over the thing
               | it attempts to abstract - it really only captures that
               | value if the value is something that is easy to transact.
               | You might value a good conversation with your local
               | grocer, or the smile you get when you pass someone you
               | recognize in your neighborhood, but those things are left
               | out of the money equation. Things the abstraction
               | captures well - transactions of goods, legal
               | representation, contracts, and lobbyists - are all of a
               | particular stripe. Many of these are related to a
               | projection of will; the ability to make things happen the
               | way you want in spite of potentially mitigating factors.
               | 
               | One of the things that money allows is exploitation.
               | Because of the delta between actual value and the
               | abstraction of value, one is capable of strategically
               | manouvering such that they capture more of the
               | abstraction than a straight value:value transaction would
               | warrant. This is compounded when you get tricky with laws
               | and litigation and contracts - hard edges in the problem
               | space become anvils you can use to hammer things to a
               | shape that you like. Cynical strategies are quite
               | successful here.
               | 
               | It is my belief that due to the recursively self-
               | reinforcing nature of this system, it is bound to fail
               | eventually. Because the leaks in the abstraction of value
               | are actually a boon to some few powerful entities, the
               | rules that govern the abstraction will fail to change and
               | adapt and at some point the whole system becomes too
               | heavy to support itself. As a whole, the system will
               | eventually eat it's way to a heart attack.
               | 
               | Liquidity is the velocity of this process, and thus the
               | velocity of consumption. There _are_ pressures and
               | systems and factors that metabolize the effects of the
               | flow of capital, but the higher liquidity is the more
               | burdened those systems become. We are currently in a
               | place where the liquidity factor is  > 1, by which I mean
               | money can be spent before it is earned and most of it is
               | (we have something like 5-20x debt to the pool of money,
               | depending on how you measure it). This means that those
               | deficiencies in the abstraction are accelerated and
               | compounded by the same amount, which translates to an
               | equal difference between the things we actually value as
               | humans and the things we are capable of valuing as
               | economic units.
        
               | senderista wrote:
               | Possible counterpoint: consumers will price in these
               | intangibles when making purchasing decisions.
        
             | etchalon wrote:
             | Most people struggle to just to stay in front of their
             | bills. It has nothing to do with "willing" and has
             | everything to do with "able".
        
             | Spooky23 wrote:
             | They dont get a choice. You really can't operate a small
             | store anymore. The distribution networks were all destroyed
             | by the top-5 retailers.
             | 
             | Regional supermarkets are capped by this. The lack of third
             | party distribution means they have to have their own
             | sourcing and distribution. They can't grow and are slowly
             | being picked off of PE and bigger chains.
             | 
             | It's even hard for restaurants. When I worked in
             | restaurants in college in my region, we had 6 local produce
             | distributors. Now you have Sysco, US Foods, two regionals,
             | one of which just went PE, and the vertically integrated
             | Chinese markets that prefer to do business within their
             | circle.
             | 
             | I think we are going to have significant political unrest,
             | and the rollup of everything will continue until that
             | federal power is exerted against it. Otherwise, welcome to
             | WalmartKrogerHomeDepot.
        
             | _DeadFred_ wrote:
             | Huge sections of America/American's are incredibly poor.
             | 
             | Add that the highest income people were the first to switch
             | to Amazon, and are more online first than community first.
             | It didn't take losing too many of those customers for the
             | economics to fall apart.
             | 
             | I live in a tourist town that has had a huge influx of new,
             | higher wealth people post COVID. Surprising to me our
             | businesses/restaurants are doing worse with this new
             | population with more money, not better. They live here for
             | the amenities, but other than on the mountain biking
             | trails/ski mountain/lake (on their boats or remote beaches,
             | detached from most people) you never see them. They work
             | from home, but our walking trails are the sparsest I've
             | ever seen them. None of them seem to go out to eat,
             | especially not lunch. It's awful. And now that they are
             | here, property prices have gone up, so more locals (and the
             | children of locals definitely) will be priced out and
             | replaced by work from home types who... just disappear into
             | their houses. They buy all their gear online instead of
             | supporting the local shops, the local knowledge, the places
             | help organize/arrange for trail maintenance, more land into
             | conservancy. From my one town observation modern upper
             | middle class American's appear to be a net-loss for the
             | local community. They are the types so into their sport
             | they do all the own maintenance, then expect the local shop
             | to do the 1 or 2 things they can't/don't want to do. The
             | local shop can't survive on that little bit of work on your
             | 'all internet bought, self maintained' stuff. They just
             | don't get it.
        
           | localhost wrote:
           | But why do social hubs need to be places of financial
           | transactions?
           | 
           | I was in Delft recently and I really loved their
           | library/community center. Full of music practice rooms,
           | people playing board games on the ground floor, a coffee bar
           | and it was full of people at 8pm. It is open from 9am - 11pm
           | M-F.
           | 
           | You walk or cycle there (free indoor bicycle parking). There
           | is a movie theater across the "street" (no cars).
        
             | spijdar wrote:
             | I don't think it's about being "places of financial
             | transactions" so much as it's about places of shared
             | necessity. Everyone has to eat, so everyone goes to the
             | grocery store.
             | 
             | Community centers are great and I'm not going to argue
             | against having "non-commercial recreation", but the thing
             | about having local stores as social hubs is they might be
             | the only universally shared place of a community. Not
             | everyone is going to want (or be able!) to visit a library,
             | but everyone does need food and other consumables/goods.
        
               | bunderbunder wrote:
               | The "shared necessity" factor also means that you
               | regularly meet acquaintances there by accident. It just
               | doesn't happen at the Wal-Mart or Home-Depot 15 miles
               | away anywhere near as often as it would happen at the
               | town general store or the local main street shopping
               | district. Possibly because nobody actually spends time at
               | a big box store or strip mall; they're such deeply
               | unpleasant spaces that you basically just do what
               | absolutely must be done and get out. So now a little
               | extra stroll around to window shop has been replaced by
               | extra time in the car to drive 15 miles across town in
               | the other direction to go to some other big box store.
               | 
               | It's not just a small towns thing, either. The main
               | street shopping district I had in mind just now is in the
               | middle of Chicago. And it doesn't happen so much there,
               | either, anymore, in the post retail apocalypse era. Now
               | it's all bars and restaurants so people go there for a
               | very reduced range of reasons.
        
               | localhost wrote:
               | I would say that "don't let perfect be the enemy of the
               | good" here. Would universal be better? Sure. But what I
               | saw is so much better than what we currently have here in
               | the US.
               | 
               | The point is that OPEN (the name of the Delft library) is
               | really a community center and not a library. Yes, it
               | happens to have books. But it also has a stage for
               | musical performances, art rooms, tables, wifi, washrooms,
               | coffee. I would say that the only thing that is missing
               | is a gym; there are small dance rooms in there but that's
               | not quite the same.
               | 
               | But the essence here is walkable communities. Suburbs and
               | exurbs are hostile to even small local stores because you
               | have to drive everywhere to do anything. There is no
               | community in visiting my Costco or even my QFC.
               | 
               | Take a look for yourself: https://www.opendelft.info
        
               | hollerith wrote:
               | Quality Food Centers, Inc., better known as QFC, has 59
               | stores in western Washington and northwestern Oregon.
        
             | breakpointalpha wrote:
             | They didn't need to be transactional spaces, they need to
             | be spaces that attract people regularly.
             | 
             | The local chicken farmer who works 16 hours a day to keep
             | his farm running isn't going out of his way three times a
             | week to visit the community center for board game night.
             | 
             | He's definitely in the local Tractor Supply store three
             | times a week though...
             | 
             | It's about creating community where people naturally
             | gather, not creating a gathering space then hoping people
             | show up.
        
               | lumost wrote:
               | I suspect this is the major reason for lifestyle premium
               | fitness gyms popularity in recent years.
        
               | quxbar wrote:
               | Getting into climbing was secondarily a health choice,
               | but primarily a social endeavor for me.
        
               | anonymars wrote:
               | Consider this little anecdote from Kurt Vonnegut:
               | https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/kurt-vonnegut-envelope-
               | quo...
               | 
               | DAVID BRANCACCIO: There's a little sweet moment, I've got
               | to say, in a very intense book -- your latest -- in which
               | you're heading out the door and your wife says what are
               | you doing? I think you say -- I'm getting -- I'm going to
               | buy an envelope.
               | 
               | KURT VONNEGUT: Yeah.
               | 
               | DAVID BRANCACCIO: What happens then?
               | 
               | KURT VONNEGUT: Oh, she says well, you're not a poor man.
               | You know, why don't you go online and buy a hundred
               | envelopes and put them in the closet? And so I pretend
               | not to hear her. And go out to get an envelope because
               | I'm going to have a hell of a good time in the process of
               | buying one envelope.
               | 
               | I meet a lot of people. And, see some great looking
               | babes. And a fire engine goes by. And I give them the
               | thumbs up. And, and ask a woman what kind of dog that is.
               | And, and I don't know...
               | 
               | And, of course, the computers will do us out of that.
               | And, what the computer people don't realize, or they
               | don't care, is we're dancing animals. You know, we love
               | to move around. And, we're not supposed to dance at all
               | anymore.
        
               | thesuitonym wrote:
               | Rare miss from Vonnegut, it's not the computer people. We
               | know, and we care a lot. It's the owning people.
        
           | ghc wrote:
           | We decentralized information, and in doing so we centralized
           | culture. I fear that we are only now coming to understand
           | what we have wrought. I am sure that new social structures
           | will arise to replace the old, but who is to say what lies
           | between? It is not out of the question that even a project
           | with noble intentions such as the web may precipitate a dark
           | age for humanity. I don't say this as a pessimist, but as a
           | wide-eyed realist wondering what happens when human
           | civilization no longer requires _humanity_.
        
           | unnamed76ri wrote:
           | I attend a church where most of the folks are older and they
           | don't seem to get it that younger people won't just find our
           | church like in the old days because people aren't connected
           | by local businesses like they used to be. I don't mind saying
           | on here that I attend St John's. It doesn't matter because
           | there's over 1000 other St John's in the country. No one can
           | find us using modern means.
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | Those hubs still exist for things that the internet cannot
           | replace. Barber shops, coffee shops, cafes, and other local
           | dining, pubs and bars. Local parks, especially if you have
           | kids, and other kid-centric events such as sports, scouts,
           | and other activities. Adult rec leagues, gyms, volunteer
           | orgs, etc. But certainly many have gone. There are still
           | bookstores and specialty retailers here and there but not
           | like we used to have.
        
         | 1vuio0pswjnm7 wrote:
         | Both Google and Amazon are, generally, just middlemen
         | (intermediaries)
         | 
         | There is no way for producers and consumers to "compete" with
         | intermediaries
         | 
         | If the internet must^1 be full of intermediaries to link
         | producers and consumers, then at least there should be
         | competition _amongst intermediaries_
         | 
         | Google and Amazon have no significant competition from other
         | intermediaries
         | 
         | 1. It's possible that intermediaries are unnecessary
        
         | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
         | > They just cannot compete for advertising dollars with Google.
         | 
         | If print (and other) media had not been designed around
         | advertising revenue in the first place, things _might_ have
         | gone very, very differently.
        
       | Imnimo wrote:
       | According to the "best days" link in the article, November 7th is
       | the best day to cut your hair because the moon phase and zodiac
       | will lead to slower hair growth if you cut it today.
       | 
       | I am amazed this publication made it this far.
        
         | mistrial9 wrote:
         | To our loyal patrons, we promise to continue this tradition of
         | trustworthiness and authenticity, of being "useful with a
         | pleasant degree of humor," while producing reliable, genuine
         | content every year.
         | 
         | https://www.almanac.com/old-farmers-almanac-artificial-intel...
        
         | wat10000 wrote:
         | I have fond memories of poring over it (or maybe it was the
         | other one, they're pretty similar) and taking it all in as a
         | kid.
         | 
         | Looking at it with an adult's eyes, it's absolute twaddle.
         | 
         | But people go for that sort of thing. How much money gets made
         | on astrology?
        
         | kelnos wrote:
         | Unfortunately, I think you underestimate how rampant
         | superstition is in the US.
        
           | warmwaffles wrote:
           | It's world wide, not just the US.
        
       | KPGv2 wrote:
       | Nota bene, this isn't the Farmer's Almanac everyone's thinking
       | of. You're probably thinking of the _Old Farmer 's Almanac_,
       | which has been in publication since the 1700s and is the oldest
       | continuously published periodical in North America.
       | 
       | I live in Texas and have never seen this Farmer's Almanac in my
       | life. But the _Old_ Farmer 's Almanac has been on the store
       | shelves my whole life, and they're still publishing.
       | 
       | Neither is accurate tho. Both are around 50%.
        
       | speak_plainly wrote:
       | They should open source their methodologies, maybe someone else
       | can carry on their work.
        
       | neuroelectron wrote:
       | Is paper media illegal yet?
        
       | wiskinator wrote:
       | Dang. This is one of those annoying cases of finding out
       | something that I would clearly love exists only as it leaves.
       | 
       | I would have subscribed if I knew that the Farmer's Almanac still
       | existed :(
        
       | olivia-banks wrote:
       | It's incredible they've lasted this long.
        
       | xp84 wrote:
       | Oddly the 2026 cover[1] seems to say that 2026 is a leap year.
       | This seems like the kind of thing that would be their bread and
       | butter to get right.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.amazon.com/2026-Farmers-Amanac-
       | Almanac/dp/192872...
        
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