[HN Gopher] Addiction Markets
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Addiction Markets
        
       Author : toomuchtodo
       Score  : 101 points
       Date   : 2025-10-31 17:42 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.thebignewsletter.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.thebignewsletter.com)
        
       | toomuchtodo wrote:
       | Related:
       | 
       |  _Coffeezilla: Exposing the Gambling Epidemic_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45773049 - October 2025
        
         | Hasz wrote:
         | Great video. The convergence between traditional stock market
         | finance and casino gambling is going to seriously scar a
         | generation.
        
           | skippyboxedhero wrote:
           | Who do you think was buying options 30 years ago?
           | Institutional demand, particularly for non-OTC options, was
           | zero. Countries which have legalized gambling tend not to
           | have large options markets.
           | 
           | There is no convergence. They have always been the same
           | thing. The difference is that you can provide a venue where
           | harm is reduced or one where harm is maximised.
        
             | hollerith wrote:
             | Options markets help farmers and miners decide how much to
             | invest in future production. Ditto the consumer of a
             | commodity faced with an investment decision where the
             | success of the investment depends on continued access to
             | the commodity.
        
               | malfist wrote:
               | Are you thinking of the futures market? That's different
               | than options
        
             | Hasz wrote:
             | Wasn't around to personally witness it, but I do not
             | believe the first part is true:
             | 
             | https://www.princeton.edu/~ota/disk2/1990/9015/901507.PDF,
             | specifically page 94.
             | 
             | Also, IMO there is a big difference between an open market
             | that allows for price discovery and free trading versus
             | placing bets against the same casino at predetermined
             | prices.
        
       | thrill wrote:
       | "Take athletics. Americans love sports, and that cultural
       | centerpiece is being corrupted in an orgy of greed and
       | speculative ferver."
       | 
       | Professional (and collegiate) athletics has always been corrupt -
       | now it's just more visible.
       | 
       | The only thing needing abolishing is the advertising of gambling.
        
         | InfiniteRand wrote:
         | Say it ain't so Joe
        
       | ToucanLoucan wrote:
       | > A quarter of bettors can't pay a bill because of their wagers,
       | a third have gambling debts, more than half carry credit card
       | debts, and a quarter of them are afraid they can't control their
       | gambling.
       | 
       | No way. It's almost like these are addictive products being
       | engineered to be as addictive as possible and deliberately punch
       | people's brains in such a way to make them stay. That's so weird.
        
         | supportengineer wrote:
         | >> addictive products being engineered to be as addictive as
         | possible and deliberately punch people's brains in such a way
         | to make them stay
         | 
         | The exact same argument could be used to make social media
         | illegal.
        
           | cyberax wrote:
           | You're saying it as if it's a bad thing.
           | 
           | Limiting social media to be only used for communication, and
           | not algorithms is a good thing.
        
           | ToucanLoucan wrote:
           | Fuck yeah let's do it.
        
           | skippyboxedhero wrote:
           | Hopefully, the responses to this have highlighted the kind of
           | people you are dealing with.
           | 
           | No-one can use social media because some people in our
           | society can't control themselves. Socialise the losses.
        
           | immibis wrote:
           | ...Good?
        
       | daft_pink wrote:
       | Should be abolished, but please leave the prediction markets and
       | just limit participation to a small number.
        
       | mattmcknight wrote:
       | I am really tired of the lazy argument style of using "corporate"
       | as a synonym for "bad". I too think it's bad to encourage
       | addictive gamblers. I don't care if it is corporate, individual,
       | or state run.
        
       | brettgriffin wrote:
       | The problem isn't the 70M people who placed bets, its the ~25M
       | with broken risk aversion.
       | 
       | These are mostly men, and a very specific type of men. You can
       | try to curtail their access to gambling but we're missing the
       | underlying problem.
        
         | palmotea wrote:
         | > These are mostly men, and a very specific type of men. You
         | can try to curtail their access to gambling but we're missing
         | the underlying problem.
         | 
         | You should address that too, but gambling is frankly a
         | parasitic business meant to exploit such people, and we should
         | not let the perfect be the enemy of the good by avoiding the
         | re-abolishment of such a pernicious industry.
        
         | hollerith wrote:
         | Well, sure, but it is unlikely that we can fix the underlying
         | problem: the science of psychology is not advanced enough.
        
         | michaelt wrote:
         | Has society ever addressed an underlying psychological problem
         | successfully?
         | 
         | Because when it comes to the underlying psychological causes of
         | homelessness and drug addiction and school shootings and
         | violent extremism my impression is we don't really do much.
        
           | brettgriffin wrote:
           | I'm an optimist at heart, but this subject is dear to me, and
           | my opinion may seem pessimistic: the short answer is, no, it
           | cannot be fixed at any large scale, at least not in a
           | lifetime.
        
             | squigz wrote:
             | Large-scale societal change requires generations of work,
             | indeed. That may be disheartening, but it is the way it is,
             | and we should continue to work toward those changes.
        
               | fairmind wrote:
               | Anti-Smoking, especially in teenagers, seems to have been
               | successful.
        
           | skippyboxedhero wrote:
           | Do all of these occur with equal proportion in every
           | country/culture?
           | 
           | I am not sure what you are saying with homelessness...it
           | isn't some massive baffling issue, someone who doesn't have a
           | house, needs a house so build a house? School shootings...I
           | don't understand how anyone can believe this is normal?
           | 
           | The US has fairly obvious social problems, these essentially
           | inhibit the functional resolution of most of these problems
           | you list. However, gambling is not like this, the solution to
           | problem gambling is (obviously) regulating gambling so that
           | it is possible for the government to control people's
           | behaviour. Simple.
           | 
           | Homelessness? Build houses. Drug addiction? Get people clean,
           | harsh sentences for dealing. School shootings? No guns.
           | Violent extremism? Jail. These aren't real problems. Most of
           | the world does not have issues with this stuff (I will accept
           | through drug usage in the US appears to be so ingrained in
           | culture, that it would never be possible for anyone to do
           | anything to fix it...the solutions are known however). It is
           | only over the last ten years or so where government has
           | appeared totally unable to do anything because of paralyzing
           | social discord.
        
         | b00ty4breakfast wrote:
         | sure, and that should be addressed. But in the meantime, we
         | shouldn't be making it easier for them to engage in that
         | behavior and we shouldn't be making it easier for people to
         | encounter industrialized gambling for the first time who would
         | otherwise find the process too laborious to seek out on a whim.
        
         | matthewdgreen wrote:
         | These gambling businesses specifically target that 25M. You
         | absolutely can make that much harder for businesses to do, and
         | it will significantly reduce downstream misery.
        
           | Karrot_Kream wrote:
           | This is the logic behind the war on drugs and we all saw how
           | that turned out. Obviously there's nuance to be had as I
           | think some vices, in both type and magnitude, are worse/more
           | destructive than others. But crusades against vice rarely
           | turn out well. Instead you'll see the same people huddled
           | around in underground betting rooms and backroom card game
           | tables where organized crime or just other muscle-for-hire
           | are ready to break your knees for not paying your debt back.
        
             | dwaltrip wrote:
             | There has to be more options than just the two you
             | reference... not saying it's easy, but we can't just throw
             | our hands up.
        
               | Karrot_Kream wrote:
               | Yes but this article isn't it.
               | 
               | Using ideologically charged words like "corporate
               | gambling" and "neoliberal origins" are fun ways to get
               | the moral outrage going of market skeptics but they don't
               | lead to good policy.
               | 
               | The boring answer is you need to look at how the owner of
               | these instruments (since that's what most of these are)
               | are making money. In the same way that a regulated
               | exchange makes sure you're not dumping garbage onto order
               | books, you need to make sure that the bets are fair and
               | that there's generally positive EV. Prediction markets
               | are a good example of this that isn't predatory but
               | sports books are. Unfortunately this article, as is usual
               | for most of the moral outrage genre, doesn't make this
               | distinction.
        
         | danielmarkbruce wrote:
         | I believe there are studies which show men are more likely to
         | have problems with sports betting, but women are with slot
         | machines. My anecdotal evidence (and it's bordering on
         | statistically significant...) is that these studies are
         | correct.
        
         | ivape wrote:
         | Imagine waking up every day and looking at your HN karma and
         | feeling one way or another about it. Imagine that being the
         | basis of your ego. That's the world we've taught people to
         | adapt to. Self-worth tied to abstract points on social media
         | platforms. We've rewired people, often young ones, with
         | addictions that would not have existed in prior generations.
        
       | rybosworld wrote:
       | I don't think you can kill corporate run gambling - people will
       | just use some offshore website instead.
       | 
       | It might be something we should treat more like smoking.
       | 
       | - Require a disclosure of the EV of each bet as the user is
       | placing it. E.g.: Expected loss $5.
       | 
       | - Ad targeting restrictions.
        
         | pstuart wrote:
         | As someone who believes in legalizing all drugs and in general
         | "personal freedoms", I'd add recreational drugs to this list.
         | 
         | The demand will always be there but there should be strong
         | incentives to _not incentivize_ use (e.g., the Purdue Pharma
         | debacle). We 're better served by having these markets
         | addressed by legit players rather then criminal cartels.
         | 
         | I'm not sure what the best solution is, but unfettered
         | promotion to consume is not the way.
        
         | kelseyfrog wrote:
         | You can't kill murder; murder will always exist.
         | 
         | Surely, like murder, and other negative outcome behaviors, we
         | can reduce the occurrences, right?
        
           | cheeze wrote:
           | Yeah. Just like we do for smoking. I don't think I get your
           | point. Are you agreeing with the prior commenter?
        
         | rafale wrote:
         | Gamblers know the odds are stacked against them yet they end up
         | stuck in a psychological prison within their own brain that
         | they can't escape from even if they realize what they do is
         | harmful.
         | 
         | Maybe a better law: check id, you are not allowed to take from
         | any gambler more than 10 bets a year and no bet can be over 1k.
         | 
         | For big gamblers, we can have "qualified gamblers" rules like
         | we do for qualified investors.
         | 
         | Funny how we don't let average people invest in some stuff but
         | we let them gamble.
         | 
         | For offshore gambling pursue them aggressively if they serve US
         | clients.
        
           | no_wizard wrote:
           | >For big gamblers, we can have "qualified gamblers" rules
           | like we do for qualified investors.
           | 
           | This is actually a take I haven't seen elsewhere. Yes, we do
           | protect investors at least marginally better (lots of people
           | still get fleeced with little recourse, unfortunately) but
           | conceptually, this is a very interesting idea.
           | 
           | The fact that gambling exists on a loophole of being "for
           | entertainment purposes only"[0] isn't a good enough
           | distinction to me.
           | 
           | [0]: This is a brief one sentence summary of it. There's
           | actually a bit of nuance involved depending on a number of
           | factors, but essentially the core presume rests on some
           | version of this.
        
             | skippyboxedhero wrote:
             | His take isn't new. It is deployed in part in the UK.
             | Effectively, gambling companies adopt the role of the state
             | conducting a full audit into your personal circumstances,
             | income, assets, bank statement, utility bills to work out
             | whether you can gamble.
             | 
             | I would hope that I don't need to explain why this isn't a
             | good idea. But the one you may not have thought of:
             | gambling companies love this because small companies are
             | unable to audit, margins in the sector collapsed when
             | activity moved online, that has stopped AND they are able
             | to target customers who they don't want to deal with,
             | before these rules it was difficult to identify customers
             | who would take their money, now they have your passport,
             | your address, your bank statements, they know where your
             | money comes from (professional gamblers can still use
             | beards but in the UK, students used to be very popular
             | beards...that has stopped, regulators have also brought in
             | rules to prevent beards being used as part of the changes
             | above...the "neoliberal" US doesn't have rules anywhere
             | close to this, it is complete madness).
        
               | no_wizard wrote:
               | There's a difference here between the concept and
               | implementation though.
               | 
               | I agree, giving up _that much_ information to a third
               | party, opens too many risks for me, and I don 't want it
               | to be standard.
               | 
               | However, I'm sure there is some middle ground here that
               | isn't so violating to your privacy. Like mentioned
               | before, having a default limit that can only be surpassed
               | if you're willing to go through some form of
               | qualification. The limit can be set in place without any
               | audit required, if its low enough.
        
           | skippyboxedhero wrote:
           | Gamblers know the odds are stacked against them and still
           | gamble...because it is fun.
           | 
           | You realise that people waste their money on things that are
           | significantly less understandable than gambling. Do you see
           | someone driving a Ferrari and seethe with rage because
           | Ferrari doesn't run a "qualified driver" program?
        
           | mrguyorama wrote:
           | Why go through all this effort just to enable an industry
           | that does nothing but take a profit off of random chance?
           | 
           | Just fucking ban it.
           | 
           | Decriminalize low value bets between average people maybe but
           | there's zero reason we need a gambling industry.
           | 
           | It is impossible for this industry to behave. Just kill it.
           | 
           | Your average Fent dealer isn't this predatory FFS
        
         | toomuchtodo wrote:
         | > I don't think you can kill corporate run gambling - people
         | will just use some offshore website instead.
         | 
         | You can block it at payment rails. The reasonable amount of
         | avoidance of controls around gambling laws is not zero [1].
         | You're making it hard for all but the most determined, who are
         | free to lose it all.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.bitsaboutmoney.com/archive/optimal-amount-of-
         | fra... (Control-F "This extends beyond payments") Broadly
         | speaking, we are not "solving" gambling with these ideas; we
         | are, as a society and sociopolitical economic system, pulling
         | levers to arrive at the intersection of harm reduction and
         | rights impairment. Some gambling, but only so much, for most
         | but not all.
         | 
         | (work in finance, risk management, fintech/payments, etc)
        
         | TSiege wrote:
         | This is a problem that literally had minimal societal
         | consequences just a few years ago before the 2018 supreme court
         | ruling[1]. I don't see why we shouldn't just try to move the
         | laws back to how things were in 2017.
         | 
         | Source 1:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murphy_v._National_Collegiate_...
        
         | paxys wrote:
         | > people will just use some offshore website instead
         | 
         | No they won't, because moving real money to and from these
         | shady offshore websites is a nightmare, and without enforcement
         | there will be too much fraud in the system for the vast
         | majority of regular people to bother.
         | 
         | Gambling is so prevalent today because 1) there is incessant
         | advertising, including being overlaid on the game you are
         | watching and 2) it is convenient, taking like 3 clicks and
         | under a minute to go from scratch to placing bets. You can even
         | use Apple Pay. Take away either of these and participation
         | rates will plummet.
         | 
         | You don't even need to speculate, just look at the numbers.
         | There were countless illegal and gray market gambling options
         | available a decade ago, both online and in-person. How many
         | people were participating back then? I personally didn't know
         | anyone who bet on games outside of maybe the occasional trip to
         | Vegas, and that too was just for the novelty of it. Today >50%
         | of adults in the US are regularly betting online, and the
         | number is growing every year.
        
           | vhcr wrote:
           | This is not a hypothetical, people already do it like that in
           | my country (Argentina), you send your money to a person that
           | buys tokens using cryptocoins, since these websites don't
           | comply with the local regulation, even kids are addicted to
           | gambling.
        
           | Vaslo wrote:
           | People buy illegal stuff and dark markets all the time. Even
           | a decade ago I knew a guy who was buying dope and having it
           | mailed to him from the dark web and he was minimally
           | technical. They know there is a risk but they are willing to
           | take it. This isn't like buying a lawn motor - people will
           | take some fraud as "acceptable losses".
        
             | paxys wrote:
             | We are not talking about one person. Yes everyone "knows a
             | guy" who will find ways of doing stuff regardless of the
             | laws or availability. We don't need to care about that
             | person. However if half of America is becoming that person
             | then we absolutely need to care.
        
               | Karrot_Kream wrote:
               | You're fighting anecdote with anecdote. Earlier you say
               | back in the gray market days you knew nobody gambling in
               | your circle. Now you're saying the other commenter's "one
               | person" isn't representative. You can't have it both
               | ways. Either both anecdotes need more data to support
               | them or neither do.
        
         | crystal_revenge wrote:
         | Even in your comment you can see the challenge with education
         | and gambling. In practice the return on a dollar (just a
         | different formulation of EV) is often legally mandated to be
         | something around 0.9 and for many games is very close to fair.
         | 
         | But _variance_ , not expectation, is where casinos get their
         | edge. The "Gambler's ruin"[0] demonstrates that even in a fair
         | game the Casino will win due to their effectively infinite
         | bankroll compared to the player.
         | 
         | You can also simulate this yourself in code: have multiple
         | players with small bankrolls play a game with _positive_ EV but
         | very high variance. You'll find that the majority of players
         | still lose all their money to the casino.
         | 
         | You can also see this intuitively: Imagine a game with a 1 in a
         | million chance to win 2 million dollars, but each player only
         | has a $10 bankroll. You can easily see that a thousand people
         | could play this game and the house would still come out ahead
         | despite the EV being very much in the players favor.
         | 
         | 0. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_ruin
        
         | cogman10 wrote:
         | I'd ban all advertisement and put a market cap on these
         | companies before mandatory breakups happens.
         | 
         | None of these companies should be worth a billion dollars.
         | 
         | My big fear is these companies are all getting rich which means
         | they'll be able to buy political influence.
         | 
         | I'm pretty tolerant of a lot of vices. I also don't really have
         | a problem with low levels of gambling. But the way these
         | companies are setup is just sick. It's abusive the the public
         | and erosive to society in general.
        
         | vlovich123 wrote:
         | If that were the case then the SCOTUS decision legalizing it
         | nationwide would not have been as impactful as it was.
        
       | gcanyon wrote:
       | This line from the ads always strikes me as darkly ironic:
       | 
       | > if you need help making responsible choices, call...
       | 
       | Like, the only "responsible" choice is not to gamble online. What
       | do they even think we're supposed to take away from that line of
       | the commercial?
        
         | savanaly wrote:
         | > the only "responsible" choice is not to gamble online
         | 
         | I don't gamble at all in any form, but I still firmly disagree.
         | Some people enjoy gambling in a way that never hurts them--
         | I've known countless friends and coworkers who talk about doing
         | a bit of it in Vegas or what have you. You're saying every last
         | one is a degenerate gambler somehow concealing it totally from
         | me? They know they're not going net positive on the experience,
         | usually lose some money, and get some entertainment.
         | 
         | There's a saying about this: abusers give vice a bad name.
         | People should be free to gamble if they want to, and certain
         | checks should be put in place for people who choose to gamble
         | so much it is ruinous to themselves.
        
           | BoorishBears wrote:
           | You can't let society keep inventing new vices for profit in
           | an uninhibited way.
           | 
           | It feels like a bell curve topic, where the most naive people
           | think you should just ban all vices and have a strictly
           | better world, the middle of the road thinks it's all down to
           | personal fortitude, and then people who know how the sausage
           | is made realize the level of asymmetry that exists.
           | 
           | Weed isn't just weed anymore, it's fruity pebbles flavored.
           | 
           | Porn isn't just porn anymore, it tries to talk like a person
           | and build a parasocial relationship.
           | 
           | Video games aren't just video games anymore, they start
           | embedding gambling mechanics and spending 2 years designing
           | the "End of Match" screen in a way that funnels you into the
           | next game or lootbox pull.
           | 
           | You need to stop somewhere. Tech + profit motives create an
           | asymmetric war for people's attention and money that results
           | in new forms of old vices that are superficially the same,
           | but realistically much much worse.
           | 
           | Gambling specifically online might just be giving tech
           | companies too many knobs that are too easy to tune under the
           | umbrella of engagement and retention.
        
             | snuxoll wrote:
             | > You can't let society keep inventing new vices for profit
             | in an uninhibited way.
             | 
             | I agree, but:
             | 
             | > It feels like a bell curve topic, where the most naive
             | people think you should just ban all vices and have a
             | strictly better world, the middle of the road thinks it's
             | all down to personal fortitude, and then people who know
             | how the sausage is made realize the level of asymmetry that
             | exists.
             | 
             | There's a wide gap in beliefs of the people who "know how
             | the sausage is made" which is why I'm guessing you didn't
             | ascribe a certain view to them.
             | 
             | Realistically, I think it breaks down into three camps:
             | 
             | 1. They agree with the other end of the curve, and think
             | the potential harm is too great.
             | 
             | 2. They're in on profiting from it.
             | 
             | 3. They are open to people being free to make decisions,
             | but think there needs to be regulations on outright
             | predatory behavior and active enforcement of them
             | 
             | I don't have a problem with anybody choosing to _safely_
             | engage with recreational drugs, pornography, gambling,
             | alcohol, and a number of other vices - humans have sought
             | these activities out for an extremely long time, and
             | outright banning them simply (as we have seen time and time
             | again) leads to unregulated black markets that are more
             | harmful to society as a whole. But it feels like we 've
             | done a complete 180 and now we have barely _any_ regulation
             | where it 's needed, late-stage capitalism at its finest.
             | 
             | So many states have put ID verification laws out for
             | accessing pornography, exposing citizens to huge privacy
             | risks in the process, but we've got casino empires draining
             | their savings accounts and can't do anything about it?
             | Please.
        
           | snuxoll wrote:
           | The problem is this: the house always wins. Casinos, online
           | sports books, the lottery, all of it is designed such that
           | all but quite literally a lucky few will lose money. If you
           | understand this properly, then, yes, there's absolutely
           | nothing wrong with it being a form of _entertainment_ , but
           | that means you need to go in thinking about cost per hour
           | instead of any notion of leaving with more than you began
           | with.
           | 
           | This is why I have a _huge_ problem with the recent
           | development of online gambling outlets that you can access
           | via your smartphone. In the past you had to _go_ somewhere to
           | gamble, it was a physical act that provided a barrier to
           | entry. Now? You don 't even need to think about it, your bank
           | account is already linked, just spend away!
           | 
           | Personally, I'd rather states loosen laws and allow physical
           | casinos be built and properly regulated than be in the
           | current situation we have with these poorly regulated online
           | money-siphons.
        
           | matthewdgreen wrote:
           | These services make a relatively smaller piece of their
           | profit from "responsible" people with a lot of self-control.
           | In many cases, the business is probably not viable without
           | problem gamblers. Problem gamblers account for anywhere from
           | 51% of revenue for sports betting apps, to 90% in the case of
           | casinos [1,2] and the numbers seem to be getting worse.
           | 
           | [1] https://portal.ct.gov/-/media/DMHAS/Publications/2023-CT-
           | FIN... [2] https://www.umass.edu/seigma/media/583/download
        
             | savanaly wrote:
             | I can readily believe that to be true, but my point still
             | stands, the person I'm replying to made a really sweeping
             | and incorrect statement.
        
               | dwaltrip wrote:
               | You don't think it's ethically and morally questionable
               | to frequent a business that knowingly harms the majority
               | of its customers?
               | 
               | I agree there's a some sort of gray area here, but it
               | feels awfully narrow... especially with the recent sports
               | betting companies.
        
               | Karrot_Kream wrote:
               | "some gray area" is an understatement.
               | 
               | Sports betting companies structure their odds and order
               | books to disadvantage most bettors. There are plenty of
               | markets where that isn't the case.
        
               | savanaly wrote:
               | I feel like the goalposts have been shifted massively in
               | this conversation. The original sentiment was "there's no
               | way to responsibly gamble online", and that's all I was
               | ever responding to.
        
             | kulahan wrote:
             | Whales provide the most value? You don't say.
        
               | gcanyon wrote:
               | It's not whales, it's compulsives. The stories are
               | horrific. People have moved to non-gambling states, and
               | the casinos send them nice letters saying, "We miss you!
               | Here's a coupon for a free flight to our state, you don't
               | even have to promise you'll gamble, just come and have a
               | steak dinner in us"
        
             | strgcmc wrote:
             | I got curious and validated your source [1], to pull the
             | exact quote:
             | 
             | "The proportion of Connecticut gambling revenue from the
             | 1.8% of people with gambling problems ranges from 12.4% for
             | lottery products to 51.0% for sports betting, and is 21.5%
             | for all legalized gambling."
             | 
             | Without going into details, I do have some ability to check
             | if these numbers actually "make sense" against real
             | operator data. Will try to sense-check if the data I have
             | access to, roughly aligns with this or not.
             | 
             | - the "1.8% of people" being problem gamblers does seem
             | roughly correct, per my own experience
             | 
             | - but those same 1.8% being responsible for 51% of
             | sportsbook revenue, does not align with my intuition (which
             | could be wrong! hence why I want to check further...)
             | 
             | - it is absolutely true that sportsbooks have
             | whales/VIPs/whatever-you-call-them, and the general
             | business model is indeed one of those shapes where <10% of
             | the customers account for >50% of the revenue (using very
             | round imprecise numbers), but I still don't think you can
             | attribute 51% to purely the "problem gamblers" (unless
             | you're using a non-standard definition of problem-gambler
             | maybe?)
        
           | rsync wrote:
           | Bob and Alice and the eavesdropper is Eve ...
           | 
           | What name do we give "the guy who says it's fine to tear down
           | Chestertons fence" ?
        
           | dwaltrip wrote:
           | Ah yes, let's blame it all on the weak-willed addicts... That
           | hasn't been tried before, and would certainly help.
        
           | gcanyon wrote:
           | >every one is a degenerate
           | 
           | Not at all. First, yes, people should be free to make their
           | own choices. But that means making _free_ choices. Just as we
           | don't allow advertising for cigarettes, we shouldn't allow
           | advertising for gambling.
           | 
           | Second, there's a world of difference between "hey, let's go
           | have a crazy weekend in Vegas" and "I have a blackjack dealer
           | live on my phone 24x7."
        
         | turtletontine wrote:
         | We're not supposed to take anything from it, it's a simple
         | legal liability thing. (And maybe actually mandated by law?)
         | It's like mandatory workplace trainings: they do almost nothing
         | to prevent people from acting badly, but they let employers say
         | "look we told our employers not to do this!!! it's not our
         | fault they did it anyway!!"
         | 
         | (More apt comparison is obviously alcohol commercials saying
         | "please drink responsibly")
        
         | mrguyorama wrote:
         | They are legally required to include that. They don't actually
         | care.
         | 
         | Casinos and gambling institutions absolutely and purposely
         | optimize to attract and capture more problem gamblers.
         | 
         | The evolution of digital slots is a great example of this. An
         | average person could have a little fun with an old fashioned
         | basic slot machine, but the modern ones are so aggressively
         | optimized to trigger addiction and keep addicts going that if
         | you aren't vulnerable, they are massively offputting.
         | 
         | But they don't care, they don't have any desire to serve
         | "Normal" people, and trying to make gambling more fun for
         | people who aren't vulnerable to gambling addiction isn't
         | something they do.
         | 
         | Because nearly all profit comes from addicts.
        
       | mberning wrote:
       | I don't have an overly paternalistic view of the government. I'm
       | rather libertarian in that regard. But is it too much to ask that
       | we place some guardrails on things that are know to have trouble
       | with? Smoking, drinking, gambling, etc.
       | 
       | I certainly feel that people should be able to do it if they
       | really want to, but making it super accessible and highly
       | advertised seems like a bad idea.
        
         | dinkleberg wrote:
         | Agreed. Aside from actions that harm others (like theft,
         | murder, etc.) the government shouldn't be policing what
         | individuals do. But it should absolutely protect the citizenry
         | from malicious businesses whether it be praying on addictions
         | like gambling and smoking, data privacy, polluting communities,
         | and any other antisocial behaviors that harm the people.
        
           | Ylpertnodi wrote:
           | Very contradictory statement.
        
             | dinkleberg wrote:
             | How so?
        
         | skippyboxedhero wrote:
         | There are guardrails. Gambling is legalised to introduce
         | guardrails so that regulated providers can exist and provide a
         | product that stops people using offshore.
         | 
         | Neither accessibility or advertising impacts rates of
         | addiction. It is a real addiction. Does a lack of advertising
         | stop heroin use? Behave.
        
       | cal_dent wrote:
       | There has recently been many looks at the epidemic in gambling.
       | Wonder how all of the focus seem to happen at the same time
       | 
       | Off the top of my head:
       | 
       | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-31/great-bri...
       | 
       | https://kyla.substack.com/p/gamblemerica-how-sports-betting-...
       | 
       | https://www.ft.com/content/e80df917-2af7-4a37-b9af-55d23f941...
       | 
       | https://www.dopaminemarkets.com/p/the-lottery-fication-of-ev...
       | 
       | https://www.investors.com/news/investing-gambling-robinhood-...
       | 
       | https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2025-premier-league-footb...
       | 
       | https://www.ft.com/content/a39d0a2e-950c-4a54-b339-4784f7892...
        
         | neonnoodle wrote:
         | > Wonder how all of the focus seem to happen at the same time
         | 
         | Because this practice was made legal very recently in most
         | places in the US and a concomitant advertising boom has
         | saturated the media. Before the last few years, your average
         | American couldn't bet on sports without visiting a casino
         | sports book in person, or having a bookie (i.e., entering into
         | a risky relationship with organized crime). TV sports coverage
         | now openly refers to how you can use their analysis to make
         | bets.
        
           | neaden wrote:
           | Also because the NBA is going through a gambling scandal with
           | players being involved with the mafia.
        
             | robotnikman wrote:
             | This is the first time I heard of this, I decided to look
             | up some of the news stories behind it. Maybe I'm nieve, but
             | I thought the Sicilian Mafia died out decades a
        
       | nekusar wrote:
       | People are also leaving out stuff like Pokemon, Yu Gi Oh, and
       | Magic The Gathering.
       | 
       | All of them also introduce rarities (arbitrary exclusiveness),
       | hidden cards in a pack, and extreme gambling gamification.
       | 
       | The only non-gambling MtG packs are the preconstructed commander
       | decks. All 100 cards are published. But the packs and boxes? Pure
       | gambling, especially for the chase rare cards.
       | 
       | And before anyone asks, yes, my username is based after this $2
       | card. https://edhrec.com/commanders/nekusar-the-mindrazer
        
         | belkinpower wrote:
         | The Pokemon card mania in particular is deeply weird to me. I
         | play Magic at a local card shop a few times a month and it's
         | always full of people playing Magic, D&D, or various board
         | games. I don't think I've seen a single person playing the
         | Pokemon card game. So who's buying the valuable singles? What's
         | keeping the market afloat? It's bizarre.
        
           | squigz wrote:
           | My guess is literally just the people who trade them - and
           | maybe like, 10 13 year olds.
        
         | squigz wrote:
         | I think there's a massive difference between card packs - which
         | have been as you describe for decades - and the recent boom in
         | sports betting. Most people don't even know what MTG is, or
         | that there's even a market for those cards. Everyone now knows
         | that you can bet on any sport you want - and if some reports
         | are to be believed, a large percentage of people are
         | participating.
         | 
         | Anyway, this is why I play MTG online - same with 40k, although
         | there's no gambling there. Just too expensive to play either
         | IRL even if I wanted to.
        
       | skippyboxedhero wrote:
       | Predictably gets several things wrong.
       | 
       | 1. Gambling is a real addiction. It is quite strange that someone
       | using the term "Addiction Markets" fails to understand this.
       | People who are gambling addicts were gambling before it was
       | legal, they were just getting their legs broken in a way that was
       | non-visible to you.
       | 
       | 2. If you ban gambling, the ability of people to gamble online is
       | not reduced in any way. None. The US offshore market was the
       | biggest sports gambling market in the world before it was
       | legalised. Not even close.
       | 
       | 3. I would take a close look at how offshore gambling operators
       | work before casting aspersions about onshore. Onshore, providers
       | are working with regulators to an extremely significant degree.
       | Offshore, sites will advertise that you can gamble on their site
       | if you are on an onshore ban list. If onshore providers are so
       | terrible, why is this the case?
       | 
       | 4. The attempt to say that lotteries are addictive is just
       | nonsense. Generally, there is a very poor understanding of what
       | gambling addiction is (again, point 1). Certain games are
       | designed to appeal to gambling addicts (again, the most prevalent
       | ground for these was...the US...before online gambling was legal,
       | biggest market by far, almost all the large companies making
       | these games come from the US), those games are harmful. Lottery,
       | sports gambling, raffles, DFS, etc. lack all of these properties.
       | In particular, providers will often use virtual events (virtual
       | horse-racing) to try to mimic the properties of more addictive
       | products (with relatively little success)...because the original
       | thing is not as appealing to addicts.
       | 
       | 5. It is correct that the UK has "stake limits" (not quite sure
       | what the author thinks this...all regulated US providers also
       | have these, some states also have deposit acks...which would be
       | beyond the UK standard, I would say many US states are ahead of
       | the UK) but this is only on certain kinds of machines. The author
       | spills a huge amount of words, talks about Trump, talks about the
       | 1980s...but doesn't seem to talk about these machines, which are
       | more prevalent in the US, at all. The author doesn't say anything
       | about the issues in the UK being the same. VIP programs in the UK
       | aren't regulated in any way different to the US (providers have
       | no market lists). There is one important difference: in the UK,
       | the government has given gambling providers that powers to
       | perform extensive background checks, they take your income, an
       | audit of your assets and then decide whether you can use their
       | product...people opposed to gambling never mention this. How does
       | that fit with neoliberal? A company being given the same powers
       | as regulators?
       | 
       | 6. There is an issue with corruption in the US. There is no
       | coincidence that the law on online gambling changed within a few
       | months of one of the largest donors blocking this. Both sides
       | benefitted from this as the largest Democrat donor in those years
       | was the Las Vegas casino workers union. Again, because this
       | corruption meant that some kinds of gambling didn't happen...no
       | mention. This was, we now know, hundreds of billions in value
       | generated by paying politicians hundreds of millions a year...no
       | mention.
       | 
       | 7. The author appears to be unaware that DFS existed after UIGEA,
       | not "laughable"...just a basic understanding of the sequence of
       | events.
       | 
       | 8. Gambling is not inherently addictive. Many things that are
       | legal in the US are not only inherently addictive, but are
       | inherently harmful. Liberals care about you losing your money
       | when you buy a $5 scratch-off, they don't care about you losing
       | your mind with mind-bending psychoactive substances.
        
       | Karrot_Kream wrote:
       | On a somewhat related note, there seems to be a huge interest in
       | vice policing on social media. Gambling, sex, drugs, these are
       | some of humanity's oldest vices. Why has it become so popular on
       | social media to highlight these, along with a narrative of social
       | or cultural decline?
        
         | fritzo wrote:
         | And the fourth oldest vice is gossip, the original social
         | media, talking trash while you pick bugs out of your friend's
         | hair
        
       | sakopov wrote:
       | > Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong rattled off crypto buzzwords at
       | the end of the Q3 call, resolving $84K in prediction market bets
       | to "yes."
       | 
       | https://x.com/Cointelegraph/status/1984161085780263322
        
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