[HN Gopher] What do we do if SETI is successful?
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       What do we do if SETI is successful?
        
       Author : leephillips
       Score  : 101 points
       Date   : 2025-10-20 17:13 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.universetoday.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.universetoday.com)
        
       | alganet wrote:
       | We can make it so it's never aliens, or always aliens. Public
       | _and_ science opinion has become a free for all lately.
       | 
       | People are so caught up in the 3I/ATLAS stuff, for example.
       | Should we beam a message to it? What should we think of it? It's
       | a circus.
       | 
       | Let's go back to Boyajian's Star instead. Can we really be sure
       | the dimming is not caused by a mothership coming from that
       | direction? It explains everything, right? Maybe that's how they
       | communicate, by sending a paper plane and opening a large
       | occlusion origami that says "we come from this general direction"
       | (I'm cosplaying Avi Loeb here, satirically).
       | 
       | There's something about _interpretation_ in all of this. Space is
       | full of radio signals. We determine lots of them to be natural
       | (with good reason).
       | 
       | I'm afraid proposing "we should answer" (in case of
       | electromagnetic signals) could lead to a scenario in which people
       | are encouraged to believe something without the means to
       | verifying it. Some idiot group could do it just to increase the
       | popular optimism about space in order to induce a favorable
       | perception on the development of space technologies with the
       | ultimate goal of just bumping some industry with money. It's the
       | kind of world we live in right now, unfortunatelly.
       | 
       | If we want to be serious about humanity's place in the universe,
       | first we need to be serious about our home right here. I don't
       | think we're mature enough to have responsible control over
       | technologies that could be used to send a powerful signal into
       | space.
        
         | estimator7292 wrote:
         | I've always thought that the public reaction to aliens in
         | Contact was precisely, painfully accurate. Panic, cults,
         | religions, the typical human response to something huge,
         | unknown, and unknowable.
        
           | vee-kay wrote:
           | You should see the movie Don't Look Up. It is even more
           | painfully accurate portrayal of our times, and it eeriely
           | explains why the world's richest men are building and testing
           | rockets and spaceships. (Answer: No, it ain't merely for
           | space tourism or mere profits. They know their misdeeds will
           | ruin the Earth one day, so they are preparing a Plan B.)
        
             | alganet wrote:
             | Dude, the movie _Don 't Look Up_ is a metaphor for climate
             | change denialism. It has nothing to do with asteroids.
        
               | vee-kay wrote:
               | The movie Don't Look Up is still an apt metaphor, because
               | the variable (how the apocalypse will happen) may change,
               | but the outcome won't.
               | 
               | The same richest elites that refuse to acknowledge and do
               | anything to revert climate change, will do nothing
               | (except try to escape Earth in spaceships) if and when
               | any humanity detects and anticipates any Earth destroying
               | apocalypse inducer (asteroid/meteor or extreme solar
               | flare) from out of the depths of space.
        
               | alganet wrote:
               | It's kind of a stretch.
               | 
               | To a more naive, metaphor-blind audience, your mention of
               | _Don 't Look Up_ makes it look like the scientists are
               | warning about an alien comet and I'm the one ignoring it.
               | 
               | I'm very familiar with apocalyptical narratives of all
               | kinds, but what I'm approaching here is much different.
               | I'm talking about the integrity of scientific endeavours.
               | In particular, space exploration endeavours.
        
         | wijwp wrote:
         | > People are so caught up in the 3I/ATLAS stuff, for example.
         | Should we beam a message to it? What should we think of it?
         | It's a circus.
         | 
         | Is it really a circus? Seems almost everyone who knows what
         | they're talking about says it's just a natural object.
         | 
         | Anything can be a circus if you listen to people who don't know
         | what they're talking about.
        
           | alganet wrote:
           | I think Avi knows what he's doing, and he wants other
           | scientists to dismiss him in public, so he gets an audience.
           | 
           | However, there is a chance he could be underestimating that
           | audience, or at least part of it.
           | 
           | Finding a new type of comet is a scientific breakthrough, and
           | I think his work points in that direction (still a guess from
           | him though, but an educated one). He is trying to cake up
           | those potential genuine discovers with sloppy sensacionalist
           | makeup on top, and that's why I call it a circus.
           | 
           | If in a few months we confirm that 3I/ATLAS is a new kind of
           | comet, he could use the papers he wrote to say he found
           | evidence of that new type first, and also described its
           | landmark characteristics. It would "legitimize" him. But the
           | alien stuff would probably continue to be garbage. He can
           | then say the scientists were skeptics, but he was right.
           | 
           | Now, what angle the aliens narrative serve? Why would a
           | scientist subject himself to being a clown? I don't exactly
           | know. In his case, I don't think it's good stuff.
           | 
           | I chose Tabby's Star to satirize him because my description
           | of a mothership deploying an origami-like occluder matches
           | the overall conclusion from the research at the time (a
           | disturbed exomoon). It's an object from that system that
           | changed is shape. In fact, "disturbed exosatellite" and
           | "unfolding mothership from a planet" are quite compatible
           | descriptions. What matters here is epistemology (we can't
           | know if it's natural or not). Also, it's a good demonstration
           | that we (general public non-astronomers) don't need his
           | antics to imagine things.
        
       | Bender wrote:
       | _What Do We Do If SETI Is Successful?_
       | 
       | Not sure. Can _some_ of HN at least agree that if it 's the
       | Empire we all join and act as if we love serving the Emperor and
       | then put subtle code in the planet killing weapons that overload
       | and self destruct if pointed at human listed planets?
        
         | tetris11 wrote:
         | If survival is key in that regard, then we'd probably be
         | encouraged to spread/cohabit with other species' planets so
         | that the target is more fuzzy.
         | 
         | Earth might still be at risk, but never underestimate the human
         | ability to sell large tracts of land to foreign investors in
         | exchange for a few concessions.
        
           | Bender wrote:
           | _we 'd probably be encouraged to spread/cohabit with other
           | species_
           | 
           | I will do my part to find out which humanoid-like species are
           | genetically compatible with as wide of coverage humanly
           | possible.
        
             | IAmBroom wrote:
             | Username does not check out.
        
           | general1465 wrote:
           | Unless we will find some Space Nazis like Qu from All
           | Tomorrows.
        
       | boznz wrote:
       | Humanity Needs Aliens to Survive => https://rodyne.com/?p=3051
        
         | no_wizard wrote:
         | Though I feel this is fairly lazily written, it does have a
         | basic premise I've seen before.
         | 
         | I read an article about post cold war US society. Basically,
         | from 1989-2001 the United States was in a transition period
         | that culminated with the first opportunity to seize on a
         | "universal bad" (terrorism) because the USSR filled the role so
         | readily for so long, US society was set adrift with partisan
         | factions that couldn't find a common enemy to get behind in
         | times of internal struggle.
         | 
         | That is the gist of the article, sub USSR for aliens and all of
         | humanity for US society and you have the same basic outline
        
       | general1465 wrote:
       | As a pragmatic opportunist
       | 
       | - Setup a massive array of antennas in space for reception only
       | 
       | - Try to decode their radio traffic and understand how they are
       | exchanging information
       | 
       | - Steal their their knowledge and use it to advance human race
       | forward.
       | 
       | - Reduce all our electromagnetic emissions to minimum to deny
       | them the same advantage. Forbid anyone from sending signal
       | towards them so we have time to technologically catch up to them
       | without them noticing.
       | 
       | Any kind of contact will ends up in abysmal disaster as we have
       | seen in the past, when advanced civilization shown up on shores
       | of less advanced one.
        
         | edflsafoiewq wrote:
         | You're unlikely to get any radio signal that isn't specifically
         | meant for you.
        
           | general1465 wrote:
           | If SETI would be able to catch their signal on Earth, then
           | antenna array in the space aimed at them, far from Earth to
           | prevent our noise could work.
        
           | IAmBroom wrote:
           | That's not how electromagnetic radiation works.
        
             | nh23423fefe wrote:
             | Efficient communication looks like noise.
        
             | jerf wrote:
             | It kind of is. You're thinking directionality, but there's
             | also the fact that optimal transmission will involve using
             | compression and possibly encryption, which by its nature
             | turns the signal into noise if you don't already know it's
             | a signal. An optimal signal, which it seems reasonable to
             | assume would be what aliens would be using by the time
             | they're communicating across star systems, would be much
             | more difficult to detect as a _signal_ than something like
             | an FM radio station, which puts a lot of energy into
             | broadcasting a carrier that is there even if the station is
             | transmitting total silence.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | You're forgetting the Contact method where the actual
               | signal is buried in a beacon signal. The beacon signal is
               | very much a "primitive" non-random not noise
               | signal...primes. Now that you've recorded enough of that
               | beacon signal, someone analyses each of the pulses to
               | realize there's a message embedded within. This way, you
               | don't need a response to know someone go it. When they
               | magically show up in the machine you've sent the plans as
               | that message, you'll know the message was received.
        
         | ivell wrote:
         | > Forbid anyone from sending signal towards them so we have
         | time to technologically catch up to them without them noticing.
         | 
         | This is going to be difficult. Immediately there would be cults
         | that would be inviting them to earth to salvage us.
        
           | general1465 wrote:
           | Yeah but they would need to transfer for a long enough time
           | to be noticed and decoded by the other side, so it would easy
           | to spot and eliminate them quickly. Unless they are a smart
           | cult and managed to make some self unpacking and executing
           | coding which they could send over radio.
        
           | hermitcrab wrote:
           | Shades of "Three body problem".
        
         | bossyTeacher wrote:
         | Sounds like you read Remembrance of the Earth's Past
        
           | general1465 wrote:
           | I did not, but it looks interesting, thanks for the tip.
        
           | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
           | I didn't know Proust wrote sf.
        
             | leephillips wrote:
             | He did, but he called his SF novel _In Search of Lost
             | Earth_.
        
         | wkat4242 wrote:
         | This presumes they have the same nasty survival-of-the-fittest
         | kill-or-be-killed attitude as humanity. Our evolution kinda
         | created that but it doesn't have to apply everywhere. I think
         | it's entirely possible that alien civilisations could exist
         | that are a lot more symbiotic.
         | 
         | We have a saying in Holland "the innkeeper trusts his guests
         | like himself" which seems to apply here.
        
           | Koshkin wrote:
           | Right; or, since they are not competing with us for
           | resources, they could kill us just for sport.
        
             | wkat4242 wrote:
             | Again the concept of sport imposes human concepts on a
             | hypothetical alien culture.
             | 
             | There's no reason to assume their society would have
             | developed along similar lines. I'm sure there's alien
             | civilisations that are more aggressive than us, but also
             | ones that are less so.
             | 
             | I don't think we'll ever meet any though as our lifespan is
             | just so short on a universal scale. And FTL travel seems to
             | be impossible otherwise we'd have seen signs of it.
             | 
             | Of course according to our current physics understanding it
             | is also impossible but I don't think humanity is very smart
             | yet. But this thing might be right.
        
               | akimbostrawman wrote:
               | >the concept of sport imposes human concepts on a
               | hypothetical alien culture.
               | 
               | Many animals like cats do it. Its not a human concept but
               | one from superior smarter predators which should occur
               | regardless from what planet they are. The greater the
               | differences in intelligence and power the easier it is to
               | justify cruelty.
               | 
               | I do think it's less likely because to actually travel
               | space they would need to be so technologically advanced
               | that we simply wouldn't be worth fighting or destroying.
               | Maybe studying which could be cruel in its own way.
        
               | throwup238 wrote:
               | _> And FTL travel seems to be impossible otherwise we 'd
               | have seen signs of it._
               | 
               | What signs? Projects like LIGO that measure gravitational
               | waves are still measuring cataclysmic collisions of ultra
               | massive bodies. Maybe once the detector is good enough to
               | detect exoplanets and smaller objects we can start
               | drawing some conclusions.
               | 
               | I don't believe FTL is possible, but on the off chance
               | that it is, we'd be so deep into technology-as-magic
               | territory that any speculation on detectability is
               | totally pointless.
        
               | scj wrote:
               | > I'm sure there's alien civilisations that are more
               | aggressive than us, but also ones that are less so.
               | 
               | What is the minimum amount of aggression necessary to
               | evolve sentience? What is the maximum amount of
               | aggression in an interstellar space-faring species? Where
               | is humanity on that scale?
               | 
               | A super-aggressive species would likely self-annihilate
               | before possessing sufficient energy to travel
               | interstellar distances... So the jury's still out on us.
        
           | hermitcrab wrote:
           | >Our evolution kinda created that but it doesn't have to
           | apply everywhere.
           | 
           | Presumably any alien species was also shaped by evolution, so
           | is also likely to be similarly competitive. Maybe you can
           | escape your evolutionary past. But maybe not.
        
             | wijwp wrote:
             | They'd have to get through The Great Filter, so maybe
             | they'd have avoided or have moved beyond some of our
             | evolutionary downfalls.
        
               | babelfish wrote:
               | "The Great Filter" is probably just interspecies contact.
        
           | anigbrowl wrote:
           | It doesn't even apply in this world. There are many examples
           | of a more advanced civilization steamrolling a simpler one,
           | but there are also examples of that not happening. It's by no
           | means an inevitability.
        
           | layman51 wrote:
           | I would hope so, but this whole situation reminds me of a
           | quote from the writer William S. Burroughs: "This is a war
           | universe. War all the time. That is its nature. There may be
           | other universes based on all sorts of other principles, but
           | ours seems to be based on war and games."
           | 
           | It is a bleak view. When I even think about the behaviors of
           | some of the animals (e.g. seals, praying mantises) we share
           | existence with, it seems like it could be accurate. On the
           | positive side, the concept of the infinite game (e.g.
           | culture) is what should give us hope.
        
         | no_wizard wrote:
         | Hopefully we never have the pleasure of discovering Prothean
         | style ruins on a nearby planet and Pluto isn't actually a
         | frozen mass relay. That one never ends well.
         | 
         | Though I personally love the idea of advanced, civilized
         | extraterrestrial life. I hope it exists (statistically feels
         | likely but yet to be confirmed). Even if it turns out we humans
         | are at a near lockstep with another civilization it'd be game
         | changing if we could communicate especially.
         | 
         | All that said, maybe there's a "galactic civilization
         | onboarding" program once a species meets a sufficiently
         | advanced criteria independently, with no outside intervention.
         | Perhaps the universe will turn our ideas on their head, and
         | assumptions may not apply.
         | 
         | Our understanding of the world, for however great it is, is
         | still likely full of things we can't fathom and unknowns we
         | don't know. Its fun to speculate but the reality is we are only
         | basing most of our knowledge on how things might be in the
         | universe based on our singular planet's path of evolution.
         | 
         | It makes it truly hard to think of what alternative life forms
         | may exist.
        
           | kakacik wrote:
           | Star trek-ish idea of massive cooperation between species is
           | desperately naive though. Its secondary-school level of hand-
           | holding and singing kumbayah around fire, and yet it still
           | couldn't evade massive wars that sometimes wiped out entire
           | civilizations.
           | 
           | Lockstep evolution is extremely improbable. Even 1000 years
           | head start is massive, a more realistic one would be tens of
           | millions of years or more.
           | 
           | The space is finite, so is Milky way. Eventually, even if its
           | far in the future, species will compete for resources and
           | energy. The smarter ones realize that problems are easier
           | solved as soon as possible, and we have dark forest stuff.
           | Mankind is slowly also inching in that realization. We should
           | work hard on improving ourselves massively and spreading out
           | before caring whats out there. I simply can't imagine a
           | realistic scenario where there won't be some immediate
           | attack, ie speeding up some very dark asteroid into
           | relativistic speeds, aimed at Earth.
           | 
           | Also, why should xenophoby, racism and similar perks be
           | available only to humanity. Even we can see how deeply flawed
           | creatures we are.
        
         | BrandoElFollito wrote:
         | When I see what kind of information _we_ sent out, I would not
         | koof my breath.
         | 
         | We would learn that they are gelatinous beings who coi5nt in
         | base 17 and show an antenna to say hello.
        
         | thrance wrote:
         | Your are reasoning like a 15th century conquistador with
         | spaceships.
         | 
         | > Any kind of contact will ends up in abysmal disaster as we
         | have seen in the past, when advanced civilization shown up on
         | shores of less advanced one.
         | 
         | Interstellar travel is mind-boggingly difficult and expensive.
         | Even assuming 100% fuel-efficiency, it is basically impossible
         | to conquer other worlds, and doing so would come at zero
         | benefits for the homeworld, as anything that could be brought
         | back from conquered exoplanets could be made for far cheaper
         | and faster at home. Atoms are the same everywhere in the
         | galaxy, no planet has any unique stuff that is valuable enough
         | that is makes sense to haul it across the galaxy.
         | 
         | The one thing that is cheap to trade is information, so why not
         | cooperate with everyone? Competition is useless as we've seen,
         | so why not give away everything we know in exchange for
         | everything they know?
        
           | general1465 wrote:
           | We could give them everything what we know and they could
           | give us back a relativistic kill missile. No reason to try to
           | conquer a planet if you can just extinguish a protentional
           | threat, which luckily was naive to be useful before
           | extinguishing.
        
           | jay_kyburz wrote:
           | I'd be more concerned about some alien force moving through
           | our part of the galaxy and we get stepped on and squashed
           | like an ant on the pavement.
        
             | layman51 wrote:
             | Your comment just reminded me of a sci-fi novel called
             | Roadside Picnic that I learned about on a different thread.
             | Just because of that idea where aliens could come across us
             | and not pay us any attention in the same way that a human
             | might ignore an ant.
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | If some species out there is trying to detect life by the
         | organisms electromagnetic emissions... that's a dumb species.
        
       | fph wrote:
       | With the current world leadership, I'm (non-sarcastically) afraid
       | someone will try to 'export democracy' to Mars.
        
         | vee-kay wrote:
         | Don't Look Up
        
       | knowitnone3 wrote:
       | Send memes. Most commenters here assume receiving a message means
       | aliens can reach us - they can't. Think about how distant the
       | closest galaxy is and think about how long it would take to reach
       | them even at light speed. The size of the ship needed, the amount
       | of fuel needed not only for acceleration but stopping as well.
       | Even if they 100x or 1000x our space abilities, it would still be
       | impossible.
        
         | ianburrell wrote:
         | It also assumes that it is nearby aliens. Our radio
         | transmissions have only gone 100 light years, and probably not
         | detectable beyond a few. But the aliens could be saying hello
         | to everyone from thousand light years away.
         | 
         | It also could not be a message. I think we have ruled out
         | nearby Dyson Swarm (as in thousands of light years), but we
         | could find one in rest of our galaxy or even Andromeda. Dyson
         | Swarms should be noticeably weird infrared stars.
         | 
         | It is also quite possible that we never decode their message.
         | Even with one designed to be decoded, their thinking could be
         | too different.
        
         | general1465 wrote:
         | Or they could just pop up here because they have mastered
         | quantum physics and can just use quantum tunnelling to teleport
         | whole ship across space in an instant.
        
       | leeroyjenkins11 wrote:
       | Get better camouflage so we don't get get found in the Dark
       | Forrest. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_forest_hypothesis
       | 
       | >The name of the hypothesis derives from Liu Cixin's 2008 novel
       | The Dark Forest, as in a "dark forest" filled with "armed
       | hunter(s) stalking through the trees like ghosts". According to
       | the dark forest hypothesis, since the intentions of any newly
       | contacted civilization can never be known with certainty, then if
       | one is encountered, it is best to make a preemptive strike, in
       | order to avoid the potential extinction of one's own species. The
       | novel provides a detailed investigation of Liu's concerns about
       | alien contact.
        
         | sdwr wrote:
         | That's an allegory for life under authoritarian rule, not a
         | literal alien contact plan
        
           | cousinbryce wrote:
           | Bold to assume aliens will ascribe to something besides
           | despotism
        
             | kulahan wrote:
             | You can't imagine that one single alien race anywhere will
             | deviate from this?
             | 
             | Wouldn't that kinda imply that your vision on the topic is
             | almost certainly wrong anyways?
        
           | IAmBroom wrote:
           | Or, both.
        
           | 9dev wrote:
           | IIRC the author said there are no meta layers of meaning,
           | it's just honest to god fiction written to be entertaining.
           | I'm struggling a little myself to accept that for the entire
           | trilogy, but that's that.
        
         | teekert wrote:
         | What would we become in such a universe? We would take a step
         | back, it will become about survival again (I know it's like
         | that on earth here and there), not about growing together,
         | exploring. It's like Star Trek's mirror universe.
         | 
         | Sure I'd fight for humanity, but I'd be so disappointed. Maybe
         | even enough to just give up.
         | 
         | (I have to admit I just could not make it through part 2 of the
         | Three Body problem, it went to slow for me.)
        
         | ge96 wrote:
         | Following that:
         | 
         | > The Berserker hypothesis, also known as the deadly probes
         | scenario, is the idea that humans have not yet detected
         | intelligent alien life in the universe because it has been
         | systematically destroyed by a series of lethal Von Neumann
         | probes.
        
           | smallmancontrov wrote:
           | Yeah but they clearly didn't do a very good job on Earth so
           | how systematic could they be?
           | 
           | Don't get me wrong, it's a wonderful premise for a book which
           | can simply mobilize a plot device to brush this problem
           | aside. However, if we want to bring the conclusions back to
           | reality they have to undergo a customs inspection which flags
           | said plot device.
        
         | smallmancontrov wrote:
         | Liu Cixin had to break the laws of physics -- badly, multiple
         | times -- in order to make the Dark Forest game theory work.
         | That's not a problem, fictional rules are good fun, but
         | generalizing his conclusions back to the real world without
         | sending them through a customs inspection first is a problem.
         | See also: do the dinosaurs escape because the laws of chaos
         | theory dictate that dinosaur zoos are mathematically
         | impossible? Or do they escape because otherwise I wouldn't pay
         | to see the movie and neither would you?
         | 
         | If we ground ourselves back in reality where the speed of light
         | is probably law and the spooky aliens probably don't get to
         | tamper the laws of physics, the actual game-theoretic winning
         | move is always to grow voraciously, threat or no.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | Where the speed of light is probably law (our universe) there
           | is no way aliens could reach earth. The only possibly
           | scenario where earth is in danger is if we terraform and
           | colonize mars (Venus would also do, or a few other large
           | rocks), then we have a falling out and start a major war. The
           | few survivors would not know if anyone is on Mars, but if so
           | they might still be out to get earth so better be quiet. If
           | you are not already in this solar system you can't get here
           | in a useful timeframe no matter how long lived you are.
        
             | jay_kyburz wrote:
             | We should expand our definition of Aliens visiting earth.
             | 
             | If we received a signal (at light speed) that described how
             | to build a physical alien computer, and then ran a program
             | on that computer, which happened to be AI, we would have
             | alien visitors.
        
               | bitwize wrote:
               | An interocitor!
               | 
               | "Normal view! Normal _view!_ Normal _VIEW!_ Normal
               | _VIEEeewwww..._ "
        
         | lordnacho wrote:
         | But why do we think the aliens as a polity will behave in a way
         | that fits into our own concept of competition between groups?
         | 
         | Couldn't they have some other way of seeing things?
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | They could. However their different way might be worse than
           | our concept.
           | 
           | Though survival of the fittest is likely a law and so they
           | will have a concept of competition between groups of some
           | form (though their definition of groups will be different)
           | simply because those without will be destroyed by the first
           | group that does have that concept.
        
       | vee-kay wrote:
       | The moot question isn't what will happen after Earth receives and
       | confirms an alien signal.
       | 
       | The question is moot, because any alien species advanced enough
       | to send directed signals across solar systems, can and will
       | reach, overwhelm and subsume Earth with ease, once we Earthlings
       | manage to contact such aliens.
       | 
       | And if such events happened in the past, that might explain a few
       | interesting notions we humans tend to have.
       | 
       | "Any sufficiently advanced extraterrestrial intelligence is
       | indistinguishable from God." ~Shermer's last law
       | 
       | But what if that was their intention from the very beginning?
       | What if Earth itself is just yet another alien farm?
       | 
       | What if Earth's beautiful and bountiful life (flora and fauna)
       | was the result of terraforming, by aliens, but indirectly using
       | spores tacked onto cosmic flying objects (comets, meteors,
       | asteroids) that they knew will cross such solar systems and crash
       | into inhabitable planets on some not so random chance?
       | 
       | Abiogenesis is the emergence of life from nonliving organics. It
       | is the leading theory regarding how life spawned on Earth, but it
       | is being questioned due to recent evidence.
       | 
       | Conditions for Life: For life to exist, certain conditions must
       | be met. These include:
       | 
       | * Presence of Water: Essential for biochemical reactions. *
       | Organic Compounds: Building blocks like carbon, hydrogen, and
       | nitrogen are crucial. * Energy Source: Sunlight or geothermal
       | energy can drive life processes.
       | 
       | Evidence and Research: While no definitive evidence of
       | extraterrestrial life has been found, scientists continue to
       | explore environments on other planets, such as Mars and Europa,
       | which may harbor conditions suitable for life. The study of
       | extremophiles on Earth--organisms that thrive in harsh conditions
       | --provides insights into how life might exist elsewhere in the
       | universe
       | 
       | One prominent theory regarding the extraterrestrial origin of
       | life is Panspermia.
       | 
       | The Panspermia Hypothesis suggests that life, or the building
       | blocks of life, may have been transported to Earth via comets,
       | asteroids, or space dust.
       | 
       | There are several forms of panspermia:
       | 
       | * Naturalistic Panspermia: Life evolves on another planet and is
       | ejected into space, eventually landing on Earth.
       | 
       | * Directed Panspermia: Intelligent beings from another planet
       | intentionally send life to Earth.
       | 
       | * Intelligent Design Panspermia: Life is designed and seeded by
       | extraterrestrial intelligences.
       | 
       | I believe Earth life is the result of Natural Panspermia. But if
       | SETI or other observatories detect and confirm alien signal, then
       | Directed Panspermia might be our origin.
       | 
       | https://www.popularmechanics.com/space/a66036689/a-scientist...
        
         | wkat4242 wrote:
         | I couldn't imagine worshipping aliens even if they were
         | powerful enough to be indistinguishable from gods.
         | 
         | I also think that if such powerful aliens (or actual gods for
         | that matter) were to exist, they wouldn't give a rat's ass
         | about whether we worship them. Because we'd have nothing to
         | offer them. It's like us stepping on ants without thinking
         | about it. Their world is so limited it's meaningless to us. If
         | any gods existed we'd be the same to them.
         | 
         | In any case my intuition will always be to fight hostile
         | authorities, even if its futile. I would never be able to be in
         | the military for example.
        
           | vee-kay wrote:
           | The aliens, if they exist, will certainly powerful enough to
           | destroy humanity's paltry defenses (and our satellites will
           | be first to fall during an alien invasion), but you are
           | right, they won't bother negotiating or defeating us, they
           | will simply annihilate humanity (via biological weaponry,
           | perhaps), terraform this beautiful bountiful Earth to suit
           | their needs, and use it as they deem fit.
           | 
           | For all of humanity's much vaunted intelligence, we really
           | haven't bothered to unitedly plan for any threats from space,
           | natural or otherwise.
           | 
           | If advanced alien beings did visit Earth in the past, they
           | could be easily have become worshipped as Gods by the humans
           | of that time.
           | 
           | Earth is such a tiny speck in the vast emptiness of space,
           | that unless galaxy colonising aliens are capable of traveling
           | in spaceships at FTL (faster than light) speeds, it may
           | indeed take them hundreds or thousands or millions of years
           | to pass by Earth again on their next sweep through the
           | Goldilocks planets in their terraforming list in this corner
           | of the Universe.
        
           | hermitcrab wrote:
           | >I couldn't imagine worshipping aliens even if they were
           | powerful enough to be indistinguishable from gods.
           | 
           | A lot of other people seem to be happy worshipping humans of
           | rather limited intelligence right now.
        
           | BrandoElFollito wrote:
           | Are you religious?
           | 
           | If yes you are already worshipping and imaginary concept. At
           | least with aliens you would have some kind of connection with
           | reality.
           | 
           | If not the word god is not really a part of the vocabulary.
        
         | IAmBroom wrote:
         | > The question is moot, because any alien species advanced
         | enough to send directed signals across solar systems, can and
         | will reach, overwhelm and subsume Earth with ease, once we
         | Earthlings manage to contact such aliens.
         | 
         | Not possible if our scientific understanding of c is accurate.
         | 
         | I don't care how many episodes of ST you've binged; warp speed
         | is just fantasy.
        
           | davisr wrote:
           | Is possible, and easy if one accelerates at 1 G for half the
           | trip, then decelerates at 1 G for half the trip. Conventional
           | nuclear fission AND fusion rocket engines, like NERVA,
           | already exist and are flight-certified. 1 light year could be
           | traveled in 2 pilot years.
        
           | vee-kay wrote:
           | What is SciFi today may become the reality in the future.
           | 
           | The iconic flip-type TriCorder telecommunicator of Star Trek,
           | became the inspiration of the world's first portable cellular
           | phone (the DynaTac), quickly followed by MicroTac and StarTac
           | (world's first portable flip phone, and yup, that name is not
           | a coincidence) by Motorola (more famous iteration later as
           | the iconic Moto Razr). Motorola engineer Martin Cooper said
           | that watching Captain Kirk using his communicator on the
           | television show Star Trek inspired him with a stunning idea
           | -- to develop a handheld mobile phone".
           | 
           | https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/motorola-startac-rainbow-
           | ce...
           | 
           | Star Trek's teleportation may have been SciFi, but Quantum
           | teleportation has been proven to be doable in reality.
           | 
           | https://www.digitaljournal.com/tech-science/first-
           | demonstrat...
           | 
           | https://www.aol.com/articles/oxford-physicists-achieve-
           | telep...
           | 
           | Iron Man's Arc Reactor is a fusion reactor and pure sci-fi,
           | but the Chinese and Americans are racing to build the first
           | viable fusion reactors. https://www.popularmechanics.com/scie
           | nce/energy/a64704814/ch...
           | 
           | Galileo was jailed (put under house arrest, till he died of
           | ill health) for his "blasphemous" statements concerning
           | Heliocentricity, etc., but ancient Hindus have known and
           | documented (in their Vedic texts) about Multiverse, Observer
           | Effect, Illusory nature of Reality (e.g., modern science
           | confirms that touch is an illusion of reality, we really
           | cannot touch anything:
           | https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=TDgey6g65X0) , and fundamentals
           | of mathematics and science since thousands of years, many
           | centuries or millennia before such concepts became understood
           | and accepted by Western scientists or theorists.
           | 
           | Human flight was considered an impossible fantasy, until the
           | Wright Brothers made it a reality.
           | 
           | Space flight was unproven until the Soviets made it a
           | reality.
           | 
           | Did you know that scientists estimated the mass of all matter
           | and all energy of this Universe, but they believe it accounts
           | only for 5% of the content of the Universe? The remaining 95%
           | of this Universe is unknown, but scientists believe it to be
           | comprised of anti-matter and anti-energy, which are not yet
           | understood properly by modern science. SciFi concept, this
           | may seem, but that's the prevailing scientific theory.
           | 
           | Now think about this idea.. What if an advanced alien
           | species, were made of anti-matter and using anti-energy?
           | Would their technology obey the laws of physics as our modern
           | science understands? Would they be able to travel across the
           | galaxy faster than we humans deem possible with our limited
           | understanding of how the Universe works?
           | 
           | 'Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable
           | from magic', according to Arthur C. Clarke's third law.
        
         | BrandoElFollito wrote:
         | They are too far away.
         | 
         | Now, if they left some time ago...
        
       | Simulacra wrote:
       | Isn't that what the movie Contact was about?
       | 
       | In all seriousness, I think if we did receive something, it would
       | be classified immediately, and the government, or governments,
       | will move very swiftly with a heavy hand to silence the
       | discovery. At the very least until they know exactly what it is,
       | what it is conveying, and how to respond.
       | 
       | That said, I think that if it got out, a lot of people would
       | absolutely lose their snot. Completely. It would be chaos in some
       | places.
        
         | whiplash451 wrote:
         | People would simply not believe it. I don't think there is
         | world where aliens messaging is taken seriously on earth (at
         | scale). People would attribute it to the military.
        
         | tstactplsignore wrote:
         | Ha, or, perhaps for a 2025 variant: it would quickly be shared
         | publicly by government scientists (who are not as secretive or
         | good at keeping secrets as the public seems to think!), the
         | evidence all shared publicly, subject to international peer
         | review and consensus. And then 70% of people would believe it's
         | made-up. The US-sphere would believe China made it up as a plot
         | (or "globalists") and the developing world and BRICS would
         | believe the US made it up as a plot. Western countries would
         | repeatedly sign and then remove themselves from international
         | treaties to prepare for contact.
         | 
         | Bit too on the nose, maybe, but a heck of a lot more likely
         | than a coverup by government scientists.
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | So... Like Contact?
        
         | flux3125 wrote:
         | >That said, I think that if it got out, a lot of people would
         | absolutely lose their snot. Completely. It would be chaos in
         | some places.
         | 
         | It would definitely be the most important discovery ever made
         | and would move some billions of dollars, but realistically I
         | think people would just carry on with their lives (assuming
         | physical contact with them is impossible in a lifetime).
        
         | BrandoElFollito wrote:
         | I think there were be the usual bunch of weirdos that predict
         | the end of the world for Thursday, and then the other
         | significant batch of weirdos who will quickly explain it with
         | their religion of choice.
         | 
         | After some ohhhs and ahhhhs we would switch to the next thing.
        
       | gmuslera wrote:
       | Time is a factor here. How close in time and space would be them?
       | 
       | If we get something coming from more than 100 light years away we
       | might not have the technology to respond, and if we do it may not
       | matter anyway if we are at risk of not having a technological
       | civilization anymore 100-200 years forward. So the meaningful
       | actions on those cases may not include answering back.
       | 
       | Then it will be the actual use of that message. Lets assume that
       | we will decide that is a signal from a civilization that is out
       | there. It will be a signal meant for us and for any other
       | civilization that doesn't have the knowledge/culture level as
       | them, meant for giving us a common ground for communicating back,
       | or it will be something that just will tell us that someone
       | intelligent is out there, but no mean to understand it?
       | 
       | So the options are that we find apparently benevolent aliens
       | willing to contact us, or that we find out that someone is out
       | there but no way to communicate/reach them. I think the second
       | scenario is the most probable one, and how our civilization will
       | react if widely enough will change with time, novelty at first
       | and indifference a few years later.
        
         | kulahan wrote:
         | I cannot imagine any scenario where we're just 100-200 years
         | away from "no more tech" that isn't purely total nuclear
         | destruction. Even then, we'd probably be so close to getting
         | _back_ to a technological civilization that it 'd be a blip in
         | the radar at best if we're talking about a society that far
         | away.
         | 
         | We lost 150 years of progress? That's okay, we had 800 more
         | years to advance before the aliens showed up or whatever.
         | 
         | It's such a weird thing I see so many people assuming. We were
         | down to like 16,000 humans on Earth at one point, and that was
         | before we'd developed things that you could theoretically
         | scavenge and jumpstart your tech.
         | 
         | People need to stop doomscrolling; I'm certain this is
         | depression projected.
        
           | wat10000 wrote:
           | It was also before we'd burned all the easily accessible
           | fossil fuels.
        
             | smallmancontrov wrote:
             | We mined all of the easily accessible drywall gypsum too, I
             | guess we wouldn't be able to have houses either and would
             | have to live outside in the cold and rain!
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | Perhaps the aliens will share advanced technology with us
               | such as how to build a tent.
        
               | datavirtue wrote:
               | I can't wait until everyone realizes how easy it is to
               | rebuild Gobekli Tepe with hand tools.
        
             | kulahan wrote:
             | Thankfully, unless somehow everything manmade disappears,
             | we'll have scraps of windmills, solar panels, and hydro
             | electric generators - with that laying around, it's easy to
             | eventually figure out the underlying concepts and rebuild
             | them.
        
             | jandrese wrote:
             | Electrification of transportation is already well underway.
             | Obviously ships and planes will lag behind, and may even be
             | forced to use biofuels if we run out of fossil fuels, but
             | the idea that the world will stop when we run out is
             | outdated.
             | 
             | Green power generation is also making huge strides forward,
             | and battery technology is improving enough to make fully
             | green grids a reality. We already see articles about how
             | some countries are managing to go entire days without
             | burning any fossil fuels for power generation. This will
             | increase over time despite what the doomsayers predict. We
             | aren't there yet, but the progress is almost inevitable.
             | 
             | The bigger problem is that we've already burned so much
             | fossil fuel that we are noticeably altering the climate.
             | This is going to cause a lot of stresses in the future,
             | especially in a post-collapse scenario.
        
               | wat10000 wrote:
               | They're going days without burning fossil fuels by using
               | high tech solar panels and windmills and such. What
               | happens when they stop being made and they eventually
               | break down? You'll have to bootstrap tech again but
               | without low-tech sources of concentrated energy.
               | Electrified transport is great today, useless two hundred
               | years ago.
        
           | elbasti wrote:
           | With all due respect, I don't think you understand what the
           | "worst case" scenario looks like for global warming, and how
           | close we are to that scenario. For reference, check out
           | figure 1 in this nature article [1].
           | 
           | That has warming by 2300 as 8C in an "emissions continue
           | current trends" path.
           | 
           | Here's chatgpt giving a picture of what 8C warming looks
           | like. Speculative, hallucinations, caveat emptor, etc...but
           | to give a sense of proportion this, last time the earth was
           | 8C *cooler* than now, ice covered 25% of the planet:
           | 
           | > At +8degC, Earth is fundamentally transformed. Large parts
           | of today's populated zones--South Asia, the Middle East,
           | Africa, southern Europe, the southern U.S.--are functionally
           | uninhabitable for humans outdoors. Wet-bulb temperatures
           | regularly exceed survivable limits. Agriculture collapses
           | across the subtropics; even mechanized, climate-controlled
           | farming is marginal. Most of the world's food comes from
           | high-latitude regions: a narrow band across northern Canada,
           | Scandinavia, and Siberia. Sea levels are dozens of meters
           | higher, drowning coastal megacities; Miami, New York,
           | Shanghai, and London are gone. Phoenix is lifeless desert.
           | Seattle is coastal tundra, wetter but still survivable.
           | 
           | > Civilization persists only in fragments. Mass migration and
           | resource wars have rewritten borders. Population is a
           | fraction of 21st-century levels. Global trade, universities,
           | and modern governance are mostly memories. Local, self-
           | sufficient polities dominate. The United States as an
           | institution likely dissolves or transforms beyond recognition
           | --2 out of 10 chance of recognizable survival. Harvard or MIT
           | survive, if at all, as digital archives or autonomous AI-
           | driven knowledge systems--3 out of 10. The world would still
           | have people and culture, but not civilization as we know it.
           | 
           | Edit: I would appreciate knowing why I'm getting downvoted
           | when I added citations for *possible* warming paths (from
           | nature!). Yes, the chatgpt explanation is speculative but I
           | mean, look at the thread we're discussing.
           | 
           | [1]: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-020-0121-5
        
           | leptons wrote:
           | In Carl Sagan's Cosmos, he talks about how many advanced
           | civilizations could be out there capable of radio astronomy,
           | and how as in our own experience, we have the capability to
           | wipe out own civilization, so that would also be a factor in
           | other advanced civilizations and could act as a limiting
           | factor. There are many such factors other than nuclear
           | destruction that could impact all functioning of an advanced
           | society, rendering it nonviable.
           | 
           | The idea has nothing to do with "doom scrolling". Go watch
           | some Cosmos...
           | 
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsl9f83P0Ys
        
           | ruszki wrote:
           | When we have a nuclear destruction, and some of us survive,
           | then we will have a problem which we cannot solve easily even
           | today: absolute annihilation of the ozone layer. It won't be
           | a soft reset at all. If the ozone layer disappeared right
           | now, its consequences would be absolutely catastrophic even
           | with the current civilization completely intact.
        
         | stronglikedan wrote:
         | > So the options are that we find apparently benevolent aliens
         | willing to contact us, or that we find out that someone is out
         | there but no way to communicate/reach them. I think the second
         | scenario is the most probable one
         | 
         | I _hope_ the second scenario is the most probable. Any aliens
         | that could contact us would already know we can 't even get
         | along with each other, much less them. Even the most benevolent
         | of aliens should see us as a "problem". (I was going to say
         | "threat" but who am I kidding.)
        
       | em-bee wrote:
       | this is a question i have explored as part of my own scifi world
       | building:
       | 
       | what is a realistic timeline for first contact, and how will it
       | actually happen?
       | 
       | so we decode a message that we are pretty sure is of alien
       | origin.
       | 
       | we send a message back and then wait a few decades or centuries.
       | 
       | we don't know how far away the origin of the message is. let's
       | assume that it is less than 50 light years. that's still a round
       | trip of 100 years. in other words it's a generational project,
       | and we don't know if our first response is understood. we'll have
       | to keep iterating until we can confirm that we are actually
       | communicating. and then, the next step will be to try to
       | understand each other.
       | 
       | with a round trip that long, even under the most optimal
       | conditions just establishing a dialog based on say math is going
       | to take a few centuries.
       | 
       | of course once we have a dialog, communication is going to speed
       | up because then we can send longer messages.
       | 
       | but then it could still take anywhere from 500 to 1000 years
       | before a common language is developed and we are able to share
       | actual scientific and engineering knowledge.
       | 
       | once we reached that level of communication however, we can
       | collaborate on developing FTL.
       | 
       | contrary to star trek, it was always my idea that FTL travel is
       | not developed by the inhabitants of each planet/star system on
       | their own, but only in collaboration across multiple such
       | systems. maybe even more than two. driven by the desire to meet
       | each other.
       | 
       | so from the point of the first received message it will be one
       | millennium before we get to learn anything about and from these
       | aliens, and another millennium before we can meet them in person.
       | 
       | and that's the optimistic projection. it could just as well take
       | 10 times as long.
        
         | analog31 wrote:
         | I predict that if FTL travel is possible, it will happen in our
         | lifetimes, perhaps even as soon as 20 years ago.
        
           | the_gipsy wrote:
           | That's what they said 30 years ago
        
         | gtech1 wrote:
         | uhm, develop FTL ? Break causality and the universe ?
        
           | jay_kyburz wrote:
           | I don't know about faster than light, but as soon as we have
           | real AI, it will simply be information and should be able to
           | travel at about speed of light.
        
             | johncolanduoni wrote:
             | It may be simply information, but if you put it into a
             | radio signal and send it into the universe it won't do
             | anything on its own. Not unless someone receives it and
             | understands it well enough to execute it. Assuming they'd
             | want to - I guess it's the interstellar equivalent of
             | downloading and running a program from a spam email.
        
         | jay_kyburz wrote:
         | We fleshy humans will never visit other stars, but our AI
         | children will be able to explore the galaxy with all the time
         | in the world.
        
           | datavirtue wrote:
           | I'm in an AI cult. Send help. No don't.
        
           | saulpw wrote:
           | Because hardware never breaks, especially not on galactic
           | timescales, and without resources to perpetually replace
           | failing components.
        
             | jay_kyburz wrote:
             | They will have whole galaxies of resources! Massive amounts
             | of redundancy. Mines, Refineries, and Factories on
             | planetary scales.
             | 
             | Not going to happen tomorrow, but perhaps in the next few
             | thousand years something will be ready to begin its
             | journey.
        
         | anon291 wrote:
         | Consider that, if the time separation is long enough via light
         | then physical limits make it such that we do not ever have a
         | chance of contact in which case this exchange is essentially
         | indistinguishable from communication with supernatural beings.
         | 
         | Not that I believe they are the same, but many people will come
         | to this conclusion and they would not be probably wrong.
         | Causality is strange.
        
       | fuzzfactor wrote:
       | >What do we do if SETI is successful?
       | 
       | Resume the search for intelligence right here on Earth?
        
       | skc wrote:
       | If SETI is successful it would be a fascinating to sit back and
       | observe the deeply religious.
        
         | kulahan wrote:
         | The Catholic church answered this question ages ago. I assume
         | the other major religions did too. It's really not concerning
         | at all to the institution; the major problem would be with
         | people who don't actually understand their own religion.
         | 
         | Granted, this would be a lot of people, but I think it'd be a
         | midrange of "kinda religious, but not enough to dive in"-types
         | who are mostly freaking out over the revelation.
        
           | 9dev wrote:
           | So, how does the story go? Only earth is blessed by god,
           | because Jesus crashed here, and all the alien races are toast
           | because they didn't have a chance to learn about Christ,
           | Savior of the strange bipeds from Earth?
           | 
           | I'm sure they came up with an elaborate story how Jesus loves
           | sentient mollusks from Alpha Centauri, but I hope most people
           | are smart enough to realise how little sense it all makes. I
           | for one am curious how this plays out, if I'm lucky enough to
           | witness it.
        
             | kulahan wrote:
             | tl;dr Humans were first and most important, but if you're
             | omnipotent and building an ant farm, it's logical to
             | provide a nearly infinite number of things to interest and
             | enrich your creations. If there are other creatures, and
             | they're given a rational soul, they were also made aware of
             | God's existence.
             | 
             | At the end of the day, the Catholics (at least) don't
             | believe they were given full knowledge of the universe at
             | some arbitrary point in the past. Instead, we were plopped
             | into it and expected to explore and understand it. This
             | will require us to occasionally update our teachings - just
             | like how scientists need to update their teachings when
             | they discover they didn't understand something before.
             | 
             | It's unbelievably obnoxious to simply assume everyone who
             | doesn't scoff at religion simply isn't "smart enough". You
             | clearly haven't taken much time to understand the topic if
             | you can't come up with even _one_ good argument. Even
             | Richard Dawkins is able to connect with religious logic to
             | a degree.
        
               | 9dev wrote:
               | Note that I didn't refer to religion as a whole, but the
               | combination of Catholicism and sentient alien life in
               | particular. I am definitely able to sympathise with
               | believing in a kind of architect giving it all a sense of
               | meaning, even if I don't share that notion. But desperate
               | attempts of wringing a somewhat coherent argument out of
               | texts written for a feudal society millennia ago? That's
               | just coping.
        
               | kulahan wrote:
               | Oh, then sure, I won't argue with you there. It's up to
               | you at that point to find the arguments convincing or
               | not.
               | 
               | I think the idea of Imago Dei is actually the most
               | believable part. I am absolutely convinced that we're the
               | forerunners of this universe. The first scenario where a
               | creation becomes aware of its creator - even if I'm
               | imagining the _wrong_ architect.
        
               | wernerb wrote:
               | The Catholics learned a lot during their witch-hunts
               | regarding heliocentrism..
        
             | hn_acc1 wrote:
             | Check out: "UFO, End Times Delusion" as an example of a
             | fundie take on extra terrestrials. A bit old now, not sure
             | if they've updated it, but it's the kind of stuff I was
             | raised in in the 80s/90s.
        
         | BrandoElFollito wrote:
         | I don't think it would make any difference.
         | 
         | Religion is completely disconnected from reality, making up
         | things as they go.
         | 
         | A signal from a life form would either be conspiracy or a
         | signal from god, so strong that we cannot understand it.
         | 
         | Either way, no real difference with what we have today.
        
         | jandrese wrote:
         | It would depend a lot on what the alien species was like.
         | 
         | If they go "oh yeah Religion, that's a quirk of your biology,
         | don't worry you will outgrow it in time" then yeah, that's
         | problematic.
         | 
         | If they go "Oh, you say that the savior Jesus Christ was a
         | human? That answers one of our biggest questions. The story
         | never made much sense before. Boy, those Angels must be pretty
         | freaky looking for you then." then that's entirely different.
        
         | bluGill wrote:
         | Most will quickly look and discover the bible is silent on the
         | topic which leaves plenty of room for God to create other
         | aliens.
         | 
         | I'm not familiar with every religion, but I think most can say
         | the same.
        
       | dudeinjapan wrote:
       | Broadcast them Star Trek reruns to convince them to adopt the
       | Prime Directive.
        
       | aurizon wrote:
       | Earth has a number of very high power semi directional
       | transmitters operating. By this I mean the assorted 50 hertz and
       | 60 hertz AC power systems. These are coherent in areas because
       | there are separated adjacent systems that act to isolate them.
       | These are long in wavelength at about 3000 miles and will
       | penetrate the ionosphere via capacitance. If we had a long wave
       | receiver in orbit past the earth, it could listen on an
       | incrementally varying wavelength from 25 hertz to ~~300 hertz for
       | any similarly radiating civilisation. This radiation would be
       | reduced by square law spreading, but a phase locked loop receiver
       | that gradually scanned this frequency space should be able to
       | detect such radiation out to 100-500 light years. The PLL listens
       | for a long integrating interval, and then steps to the next
       | frequency. The antenna can be tuned to cover the 25 Hz to 300 Hz
       | spectrum by use of mechanically adjustable loading coils. Such an
       | antenna could be a simple long wire that is gravitationally solar
       | stabilised so it would sweep annually. A similar one could be
       | earth centered to enable sweeps at it's far from earth orbit much
       | faster than annually? This is a project that Elon Musk could
       | easily perform and it might get us a Nobel? if we found anything?
       | It would sit there and sieve data in hope of success?
        
       | wewewedxfgdf wrote:
       | I think SETI is a worthwhile thing do but rank its chances of
       | success at zero.
       | 
       | Just my personal opinion.
        
         | 7373737373 wrote:
         | I think it's wise to follow the maxim of not calling something
         | impossible unless some physical law prevents it
        
       | kulahan wrote:
       | In the end, I kinda... don't care. Look up - there's nothing.
       | There should be at least _some_ alien civilizations trying to
       | make their presence known. There should be some signs somewhere
       | that could be recognized universally as either  "stay away" or
       | "come here". It really should be trivial to locate technological
       | civilizations unless you've got some incredibly solid reason as
       | to why EVERY SINGLE ALIEN CIVILIZATION IN THE UNIVERSE acts a
       | certain way. Color me doubtful.
       | 
       | We have billions and billions of data points showing the Universe
       | is empty. We have exactly one (1) data point showing it isn't.
       | And that's us.
       | 
       | Besides, just look at the timeline. The universe has only been
       | cool enough, with enough stable stars, with enough formed planets
       | for potential life to form for a few billion years. Between that
       | and the Drake equation, life alone is likely to be unreasonably
       | uncommon. Life that forms after a planet becomes stable, doesn't
       | have any planet-altering disasters, evolves to complex
       | multicellular forms, evolves some kind of intelligence, becomes
       | social, forms a society, advances technology, and starts
       | exploring the universe...? Why bother? The math doesn't work.
       | 
       | Note: I'm not speaking about any KIND of life existing, I'm
       | speaking about _technological civilizations_. My belief is that
       | we are essentially the forerunners.
        
         | squigz wrote:
         | The idea that humanity is the only civilization in the entire
         | universe strikes me as the absolute height of human arrogance.
        
           | kulahan wrote:
           | Lots of things seem arrogant to lots of people, but without
           | some logical basis, it's worth ignoring.
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | This is an ad hominem argument. It attacks a position not
           | because it's wrong, but because if you advance it you're a
           | bad person.
        
         | bluGill wrote:
         | When you look up remember that the majority of what you see is
         | in the same sub-arm of the spiral arm of the milky way that we
         | are in. Of those we can see a large number or binary systems -
         | two stars orbiting each other. We fancy telescopes we can see a
         | lot more of course.
         | 
         | All the power of stars, and most of them still are not powerful
         | enough that we can see them even on a dark night! What chance
         | does any alien have of sending a message that reaches us if the
         | light from their star isn't even powerful enough to be easy to
         | detect? It was suggested elsewhere that even if we find an
         | alien, we probably cannot respond if they are more than 100
         | light years away just because we can't get a message out
         | powerful enough that they can detect (I can't verify this claim
         | but it is reasonable)
        
           | wafflebot wrote:
           | I have no doubt that civilizations are out there. Maybe a
           | handful, maybe nearing infinity. But out there.
           | 
           | The problem is "out there" is so far away, we are all
           | isolated on our own island worlds. An ocean of space so vast
           | we cannot meaningfully traverse it with probes or radio, to
           | say nothing of manned interstellar flight.
           | 
           | But it never gets boring for me to imagine what other
           | civilizations there might be, and how they might be different
           | from us and from each other.
        
         | pfdietz wrote:
         | Yes. The Fermi Argument strongly implies this sort of question
         | is pointless, an exercise in wishful speculation.
        
       | theletterf wrote:
       | For a somber, deeply intellectual view of what could happen, I
       | can't recommend enough Stanislaw Lem's His Master's Voice:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/His_Master%27s_Voice_%28novel%...
       | 
       | "Given that our civilization is unable to assimilate well even
       | those concepts that originate in human heads when they appear
       | outside its main current, although the creators of those concepts
       | are, after all, children of the same age--how could we have
       | assumed that we would be capable of understanding a civilization
       | totally unlike ours, if it addressed us across the cosmic gulf?"
        
         | themafia wrote:
         | Me and my dog cannot talk.
         | 
         | I understand my dog and he understands me.
         | 
         | If they experience death then we have massive common ground
         | already.
        
           | beAbU wrote:
           | And you are comfortable being the dog in this cosmic
           | relationship then?
        
             | conartist6 wrote:
             | it's that we're made out of meat: https://www.mit.edu/peopl
             | e/dpolicar/writing/prose/text/think...
        
               | carpo wrote:
               | Man I love that story.
        
             | estimator7292 wrote:
             | Does it make you uncomfortable to think an alien
             | civilization might be somehow superior to humans? That's a
             | pretty immature thing to be insecure about.
        
           | manquer wrote:
           | Hardly a fair or realistic comparison.
           | 
           | Domesticated mammalian[1] pet which share 80+% of our DNA and
           | bred and naturally self-selected over few ten thousand
           | generations for their obedience and take fair amount of
           | training from birth is not the same as anything else on earth
           | let alone from another planet.
           | 
           | [1] Domesticating of non mammalian animals is already quite
           | hard with limited true successes, some birds probably come
           | the closest.
        
           | Kiboneu wrote:
           | Humans and dogs have evolved together to be cooperative...
           | 
           | would you feel common ground with a predatory fish? Or a
           | plant? An insect colony?
        
       | breve wrote:
       | I say we take off and nuke the entire site from orbit.
       | 
       | It's the only way to be sure.
        
       | allenrb wrote:
       | > What do we do if SETI is successful?
       | 
       | Beg to be saved from ourselves? Fire up the old electronic thumb?
       | Open a theme restaurant?
        
       | bluGill wrote:
       | The decision to not respond should not be considered an option
       | for the UN. They can get a week max to decide what to respond,
       | but a response needs to be sent quick. Otherwise you can assume
       | someone will take the choice away and respond anyway. That
       | someone could be a nation not liking the UN discussions, or it
       | could be a rogue scientists with access to the powerful radios.
       | (I doubt most of us could respond if we wanted to - even if
       | someone is willing to break all laws they are either protected by
       | too much security or they are too expensive to afford - but I
       | guarantee someone who works at such a facility is willing to risk
       | responding if governments delay too long)
       | 
       | Even if the UN makes a respond expect someone else to send a
       | different one at some point.
        
         | joe_the_user wrote:
         | No individual is going to have the resources to respond to an
         | alien signal unless it comes from Proxima Centari (very maybe)
         | or not much further. No current earth broad would be easily
         | recognizable from Proxima Centari with earth technology - a
         | factor to consider when thinking about why entities aren't
         | being easily detected. A powerful and very carefully aimed
         | laser might work for greater distances but that wouldn't be
         | something that can assembled in someone's garage.
         | 
         | But oppositely, if naturally defusing radio waves could be
         | somehow detected from some further away location, the aliens
         | would know already we're here and indeed lots about us so hand
         | wringing about responding seems dumb there too.
        
       | wernerb wrote:
       | This is referenced in a sci fi book "The dark forest" of the
       | series "The 3 body problem". It sets a convincing narrative that
       | because of time taken for observation and response and
       | development speed of society it is most likely that all
       | civilizations that announce themselves would likely be a threat
       | in terms of technological supremacy eventually to observing
       | civilizations. In other words, we don't hear anything because any
       | sufficiently advanced civilization would not want to risk being
       | discovered. I.e., the "dark silent forest".
        
       | gxd wrote:
       | My upcoming story game, a love letter to SETI and the Hacker News
       | crowd, offers some perspectives on the question:
       | https://store.steampowered.com/app/3040110/Outsider/
       | 
       | It will be out in 2 weeks!
        
       | ricksunny wrote:
       | former chairman of the board of the SETI Institute John Gertz:
       | 
       | 'In fact, the author has heard from serious U.S. SETI researchers
       | that they are convinced that "men in black suits" will appear at
       | their laboratory door the moment a detection is confirmed.'
       | 
       | Source: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1701.08422
        
         | psunavy03 wrote:
         | And yet no one is ever able to describe what agency or
         | jurisdiction these "men in black suits" will work for.
         | 
         | This basically is just demonstrating how people very very good
         | in their field can still fail Civics 101. Men In Black were
         | some funny movies back in the day, but they were just movies.
        
         | johncolanduoni wrote:
         | This seems like romanticizing. I don't get the impression that
         | maintaining a constant watch on SETI researchers is something
         | any intelligence agency is incentivized to do.
        
       | ricksunny wrote:
       | The new proposed protocol from IAA that the article references
       | but does not link to: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.14506
       | 
       | IMO a protocol that doesn't involve automated instantaneous
       | backing up of data on a publicly-referenceable blockchain is
       | worthless due to the apparently legitimate (in the eyes SETI
       | researchers that a former SETI institute chairman references)
       | concern about security services quietly stepping in the way.
       | 
       | (see my other comment for reference)
        
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