[HN Gopher] Novo Nordisk's Canadian Mistake
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Novo Nordisk's Canadian Mistake
        
       Author : jbm
       Score  : 410 points
       Date   : 2025-10-19 20:39 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.science.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.science.org)
        
       | paulpauper wrote:
       | So would it be possible to buy the drug in Canada and ship to US?
        
         | jasongill wrote:
         | not legally, but anything is possible
        
           | OutOfHere wrote:
           | There is nothing illegal about it. People get medicines from
           | abroad all the time that are not generic domestically. It's
           | not a controlled substance. One might have to go through
           | unofficial channels though. In fact, I know people
           | domestically who already get it cheaply from elsewhere
           | abroad.
        
             | js2 wrote:
             | > In most circumstances, it is illegal for individuals to
             | import drugs or devices into the U.S. for personal use
             | because these products purchased from other countries often
             | have not been approved by the FDA for use and sale in the
             | U.S.
             | 
             | https://www.fda.gov/industry/import-basics/personal-
             | importat...
        
               | OutOfHere wrote:
               | There are a million laws on the books that not only are
               | not enforced, but aren't even self consistent with each
               | other. It is enforcement that determines what one
               | actually can or can't do. The enforcement exists for
               | controlled substances, for resale, and for a supply of
               | over 90 days. For personal non-commercial use of a non-
               | controlled medicine for under 90 days, the law is not
               | enforced, and for good reason. People would die if the
               | law were to be enforced too strictly.
        
               | tredre3 wrote:
               | > There are a million laws on the books that not only are
               | not enforced, but aren't even self consistent with each
               | other. It is enforcement that determines what one
               | actually can or can't do.
               | 
               | Okay but your statement was that there's "nothing illegal
               | about it". You now agree that it's illegal, you're just
               | unlikely to get caught. And if you are, you'll just lose
               | that purchase and not face any legal consequences.
        
               | OutOfHere wrote:
               | It's not about getting caught. It's done in the open with
               | full awareness of everyone. It's not like anyone is
               | hiding it.
               | 
               | Afaik, people hide it only for some controlled
               | substances.
               | 
               | Next time you play a random music video on YouTube,
               | please look at the number of federal copyright laws
               | you're violating. Also, if you ever drive from one state
               | to another, check if you have any plant food with you
               | because crossing state lines with any plant material may
               | be illegal. And I need not remind of marijuana which we
               | know remains highly illegal at the federal level.
        
               | kelnos wrote:
               | You seem to be missing the point. You said, "there is
               | nothing illegal about it".
               | 
               | That's false: it is entirely illegal.
               | 
               | Whether or not you can get away with it due to lax
               | enforcement, or whether or not there are any real
               | penalties for getting caught... that's a separate issue
               | that has nothing to do with what you said.
        
               | OutOfHere wrote:
               | When the diversity of laws are not even logically self-
               | consistent, with one law denying a right and the other
               | permitting it, what defines what is legal and what isn't?
               | Enforcement does.
               | 
               | Additionally, some laws are not even written clearly, and
               | in fact are intentionally written vaguely.
        
         | rootusrootus wrote:
         | I think you may need to drive it across, not ship it, and the
         | quantity limit is a 90 day supply. For people who live close
         | enough to the border, it might be worth it.
        
         | Hilift wrote:
         | Possible, but considering that US Ozempic revenue is $10
         | billion per year between only Medicaid and Medicare, that would
         | attract customs attention. The US market was projected to
         | increase to $58 billion by 2035.
        
         | dlcarrier wrote:
         | Smuggling aside, they generally won't make it through customs:
         | https://www.help.cbp.gov/s/article/Article-1815?language=en_...
        
       | pedalpete wrote:
       | I thought I had a decent handle on patent law, but maybe I'm
       | missing something here.
       | 
       | Yes, the patent won't be valid for Canada, but you can't import a
       | product into the US which would infringe on a US patent.
       | 
       | So, though there may be a small amount that would slip through
       | the cracks, it isn't as if anyone in the US can now manufacture
       | Semaglutide and distribute it.
       | 
       | Canada is such a small market, that many companies don't bother.
       | Though, for the cost, it seems ridiculous a company as big as
       | Novo didn't pay the $500...that may even have been in Canadian
       | dollars. :)
        
         | rootusrootus wrote:
         | As Derek mentions, Canada is the second largest market. There
         | may be a lot coming into the US already, legal or not.
        
         | maximus_01 wrote:
         | Not that small. High income and roughly the same population as
         | California, which isn't too small for companies to bother
         | selling into.
         | 
         | Ozempic did about US$2bn of revenue in 2024 in Canada.
        
         | killingtime74 wrote:
         | Don't worry about the law think about the practical impact.
         | It's now completely legal to ignore the patent in Canada so the
         | price in Canada will plummet.
         | 
         | Canadian pharmacies can legally sell it and Americans (and all
         | other foreigners for that matter) traveling there can legally
         | buy it.
         | 
         | Unlike the criminal law, Novo nordisk would have to go after
         | every single person individually and make the case that they
         | are infringing the American patent. This is all without the
         | help of the police or customs, as a private civil matter.
         | 
         | Obviously this would be uneconomic for Novo Nordisk. You can't
         | search anyone as you don't have any warrants, as it's not a
         | crime and then even if you could, you need to prove that the
         | drugs they have on them were purchased in Canada.
         | 
         | Foreigners who currently pay a huge amount of money would only
         | have to make one trip to Canada in however long period it takes
         | for the drugs to expire. I know I would certainly make a day
         | trip if I was using this drug.
         | 
         | Intellectual property law firms offer services to renew and
         | watch registrations like this worldwide and it would have been
         | very simple to have a contract with one of them.
        
           | tavavex wrote:
           | > Canadian pharmacies can legally sell it and Americans (and
           | all other foreigners for that matter) traveling there can
           | legally buy it.
           | 
           | Well, about that... Aren't all variants of medications like
           | these prescription-only? And in Canada you can't fill a
           | foreign prescription without having a local doctor sign off
           | on it, as far as I know.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _you can 't fill a foreign prescription without having a
             | local doctor sign off on it_
             | 
             | This is how medical tourism typically works.
        
               | sbrother wrote:
               | Is that process that can happen online? Or does it
               | require the patient being physically present in Canada?
        
               | barbazoo wrote:
               | Can be done virtually but you might have to use a VPN or
               | even lie about your place of residence.
        
             | petesergeant wrote:
             | Plenty of countries where having a doctor in the pharmacy
             | is common practice. Buy some retail space in YYZ and you're
             | set...
        
             | Marsymars wrote:
             | Depends on province. From my best reading, pharmacists in
             | Alberta with prescribing authority can directly prescribe
             | all schedule 1 drugs themselves.
        
           | labcomputer wrote:
           | > Unlike the criminal law, Novo nordisk would have to go
           | after every single person individually and make the case that
           | they are infringing the American patent. This is all without
           | the help of the police or customs, as a private civil matter.
           | 
           | I don't think that's quite right. One of the things that CBP
           | does is inspect incoming shipments, and confiscate IP-
           | infringing things.
           | 
           | Think about the recent Apple Watch SpO2 sensor patent
           | shenanigans: The threat was to have CBP confiscate any
           | infringing devices at the port of entry. I also remember that
           | multimeters infringing on Fluke's ~~design patent~~ trademark
           | have been blocked at the port of entry:
           | 
           | https://hackaday.com/2014/03/19/multimeters-without-a-
           | countr...
        
             | barbazoo wrote:
             | How practical is that for something the size of a couple
             | pill bottles? Is that something customs would actually
             | catch at all? They seem to have other priorities these days
             | it seems.
        
               | wpm wrote:
               | Even worse, the bottles are minuscule. Each dose is
               | dissolved in like half a mL of bacteriostatic
               | water/saline. You could fit a years supply in 25mL, or 5
               | tsp.
        
         | digianarchist wrote:
         | $450 CAD I believe.
         | 
         | US consumers would have to travel to Canada for injections
         | which isn't practical unless you live on a border town.
         | 
         | It's unlikely to meet the bar for personal importation as you
         | say.
         | 
         | That probably won't stop people from trying. There's already a
         | huge market for illegal compounds and GPL-1 drugs are available
         | alongside the usual testosterone and other steroids.
        
           | rootusrootus wrote:
           | If you have a prescription from a provider in Canada, the
           | limit for personal use is 90 days. As long as it is a legal
           | drug in the US -- which I don't think necessarily includes
           | that it's patented here, just that it's approved by the FDA.
           | 
           | > There's already a huge market for illegal compounds and
           | GPL-1 drugs are available alongside the usual testosterone
           | and other steroids.
           | 
           | The peptide and oils markets are both big, but largely
           | separate -- the peptides folks don't seem to want to be
           | associated with oils. Within peptides, GLP1s definitely
           | dominate, though the other options are pretty popular. In my
           | experience it seems like GLP1s are kind of a "gateway
           | peptide" -- a lot of folks start with a GLP1 on the gray
           | market, and then start to branch out and try the other
           | options available.
        
             | digianarchist wrote:
             | You're probably right. I scanned the FDA website and wasn't
             | sure how easy it would be to meet the requirements for
             | personal medicine importation [0].
             | 
             | As a Canadian national in the US I wouldn't even attempt
             | doing this in the current political climate.
             | 
             | [0] https://www.fda.gov/industry/import-basics/personal-
             | importat...
        
             | dawnerd wrote:
             | Flights to Canada can be pretty cheap too. Less than the
             | cost of one month so if you flew out every 90 days you'd
             | still come out ahead. Practically not enough people will do
             | this of course. Would be great for people in the border
             | towns though.
        
               | eek2121 wrote:
               | I don't know about that, Canada is a beautiful country.
               | If I were on the meds, I wouldn't hesitate to fly out for
               | a day trip every 90 days.
               | 
               | Also, let's be real, anyone in the northeast could be
               | there in a few hours driving. New York City is about 7
               | hours away from Ottawa, for example.
        
               | doubled112 wrote:
               | Detroit and Windsor are a single bridge crossing away
               | from each other. Sarnia and Port Huron too.
               | 
               | I've ended up at the border crossing from Niagara Falls
               | to Buffalo by accident before. I was glad when they let
               | me make a U-turn.
        
               | digianarchist wrote:
               | There's a tunnel between Detroit and Windsor. Faster than
               | the bridge sometimes because no trucks.
        
         | Spooky23 wrote:
         | We don't have laws anymore. Just pay off POTUS so he can
         | declare cheap "fat shots" and let Kushner or Barron own the
         | importer, and you're good.
        
         | SecretDreams wrote:
         | Canada's one of the bigger markets for this product. That
         | aside, think of the percentage of Americans that live driving
         | distance of a Canadian border - it's easy to envision from
         | meaningful lost sales just from normal Americans who go to
         | Canada to shop on the weekend.
        
         | Marsymars wrote:
         | > So, though there may be a small amount that would slip
         | through the cracks
         | 
         | Probably depends on enforcement, price delta, and various other
         | variables.
         | 
         | e.g. something like a quarter of smartphones sold in Brazil are
         | smuggled in, more than a small amount slipping through the
         | cracks.
        
         | aardvarkr wrote:
         | Medical tourism is a huge industry. A 3 month supply costs more
         | than $3k in the USA. A flight to Canada costs $300 and takes a
         | few hours of your time. I'd definitely do it if I was taking
         | the drug.
        
         | kelnos wrote:
         | > _Yes, the patent won 't be valid for Canada, but you can't
         | import a product into the US which would infringe on a US
         | patent._
         | 
         | Technically true, but in practice you can often get it across
         | the border in personal-dose-level quantities without getting
         | caught.
        
       | jzebedee wrote:
       | > Prof. Michael Hoffman from Toronto put me on to the Canadian
       | Patent Database, where you can find that Novo did file a patent
       | there for semaglutide. . .but the last time they paid the annual
       | maintenance fee on it was 2018!
       | 
       | > You can even find a letter where their lawyers send a refund
       | request for the 2017 maintenance fee ($250) because Novo
       | apparently wanted some more time to see if they wanted to pay it.
       | 
       | > On the same date in 2019, the office sent a letter saying that
       | "The fee payable to maintain the rights accorded by the above
       | patent was not received by the prescribed due date. . ."
       | 
       | > By that time it was $450 with the late fee added, but that was
       | apparently too much for Novo. They had a one year grace period to
       | make it up, and apparently never did, so their patent lapsed in
       | Canada. And as the Canadian authorities remind them, "Once a
       | patent has lapsed it cannot be revived".
       | 
       | Impressive failure for "the second-largest semaglutide market in
       | the world."
        
         | eulgro wrote:
         | To be honest, given the efficiency of the drug and the huge
         | benefit it could be to society, I feel like if I had been the
         | employee in charge of filing patents I would've more than ready
         | to lose my job in exchange for low cost general availability in
         | the US via (illegal maybe, whatever) cross-border market. It's
         | a nice loop hole and a great thing that once the delay expired
         | they can't file ever again.
         | 
         | One's got to find ways to feel like the good guy when working
         | for Big Pharma . That's probably not what happened but it's
         | nice imagining it.
        
           | Vinnl wrote:
           | Maybe they'd even do it in exchange for just low-cost general
           | availability in Canada!
        
         | 0cf8612b2e1e wrote:
         | I always wonder-in this case of such an epic company fuck up,
         | does anyone ever get fired? Or is responsibility so diffuse
         | that nobody is ultimately responsible?
         | 
         | Pharma companies are really nothing more than holders of time-
         | limited, expensive, exclusive IP. The number one priority
         | should be to maintain those protections as long as possible.
         | How could any patent be allowed to lapse, even if there was
         | limited commercial value, let alone, a blockbuster drug making
         | billions?
        
           | ionwake wrote:
           | after working in many companies for decades I can guarantee
           | that the person responsible is some middle manager, who will
           | just blame one of her/his workers who had that piece of work
           | "deprioritised" to instead focus on the styling of a
           | spreadsheet. The paper trail will point to the manager, who
           | will just claim it was allocated to a problem character.
           | 
           | The cartharsis comes in knowing that them firing the innocent
           | just keeps them repeating the mistake.
        
           | userbinator wrote:
           | _Or is responsibility so diffuse that nobody is ultimately
           | responsible?_
           | 
           | That's exactly how things like this happen. No one has
           | responsibility, thinking it's someone else's problem, so no
           | one bothers to do the needful.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _thinking it 's someone else's problem, so no one bothers
             | to do the needful_
             | 
             | Or it's in someone's political interest to let the fuckup
             | play out.
        
           | bawolff wrote:
           | Typically when people get fired for something like this they
           | are just the scapegoat.
           | 
           | A failure like this isn't just one dude forgetting, its a
           | system failure where policies and checks failed. If it is
           | solely up to one person that is a failure in and of itself.
        
             | nextos wrote:
             | Some people, including legal experts, claim it could have
             | been intentional:
             | https://www.legal.io/articles/5691258/Novo-Nordisk-Lets-
             | Cana....
             | 
             | I was surprised Science didn't discuss this option.
             | However, reader comments in Science do comment on this
             | possibility.
             | 
             | The idea is that letting the patent lapse would avoid
             | getting regulated by the Patented Medicine Prices Review
             | Board.
             | 
             | I know several people working at NN, and it's quite chaotic
             | and political, so I wouldn't rule out an internal
             | oversight.
        
               | bawolff wrote:
               | Given how much of a blockbuster drug it is, wouldn't it
               | be worth it for generics to rerun the trials in this
               | specific case?
        
               | wasabi991011 wrote:
               | Just FYI, this isn't "by Science", it's by Derek Lowe,
               | this is his blog, which is hosted on
               | Science>Commentary>Blogs. In its description, Lowe says
               | it is "editorially independent".
        
               | jhbadger wrote:
               | Yeah, Lowe doesn't work for Science -- he is a
               | pharmaceutical chemist who has worked for various
               | companies -- his "In the Pipeline" blog is interesting
               | because while academic scientists often blog, industrial
               | ones rarely do (perhaps for legal/IP reasons).
        
               | consp wrote:
               | You just described how the general public should view
               | opinion pieces but acts like the previous comment and
               | assumes it is "news". (To add: this is very human to do)
        
               | philipallstar wrote:
               | Then they'd be better off removing this section if
               | "editorially independent" means "we will take things that
               | even in their headline may not be true at all".
        
               | jbrnh wrote:
               | It's a blog. It references an interview. The post is also
               | four month old. "In the Pipeline" is generally a
               | fantastic resource on the pharma industry and chemistry
               | news.
        
               | philipallstar wrote:
               | > It's a blog.
               | 
               | Not really. It doesn't look like a blog, and it's not a
               | person/org's specific blog post. It's just called "blog"
               | in a breadcrumb somewhere, which most people won't read.
               | It's actual a guest editorial, but still - doesn't really
               | look like one.
        
               | devilbunny wrote:
               | > it's not a person/org's specific blog post
               | 
               | Yeah, it really is, even if what's linked to is one post
               | rather than the entire blog.
               | 
               | His stuff pops up here often enough. He really does blog
               | at _Science_. Has for years and years.
               | 
               | If you have a background in chemistry, it's fairly
               | accessible (i.e., he very rarely talks about anything in
               | a depth that an undergrad chem major would have trouble
               | understanding - which, given that most chemists start
               | branching off very quickly in grad school, is roughly the
               | appropriate depth for writing intended for a general
               | chemistry audience, since it's the last common knowledge
               | level).
        
               | SAI_Peregrinus wrote:
               | > Derek Lowe's commentary on drug discovery and the
               | pharma industry. An editorially independent blog, all
               | content is Derek's own, and he does not in any way speak
               | for his employer.
               | 
               | The top of the sidebar describes what "In the Pipeline"
               | is.
        
               | nl wrote:
               | I'm having trouble understanding the argument outlined in
               | the legal.io link:
               | 
               | > Nordisk has rejected any suggestion that the loss of
               | its Canadian semaglutide patent was a simple mistake. In
               | a statement cited by Fortune, the company stressed that
               | its intellectual property strategy is "carefully
               | considered at a global level," indicating intentionality
               | rather than a blunder.
               | 
               | > Legal analysts believe the decision was deliberate.
               | Steven Shape, IP Chair at Omnus Law, noted that the
               | annual $250-$450 fee was negligible compared to the
               | looming expiration of both data exclusivity and patent
               | protection in January 2026. Shape argued the lapse was
               | likely "a clear decision by Novo," not an error.
               | 
               | > That interpretation is bolstered by the company's
               | simultaneous filing of a Certificate of Supplementary
               | Protection (CSP) in Canada, suggesting Novo valued
               | extended market exclusivity beyond the patent's life. But
               | because the underlying patent lapsed early, the CSP
               | cannot take effect.
               | 
               | If the interpretation is bolstered by the company's
               | filing for CSP, but they were ineligible for CSP because
               | they let the patent expire doesn't that imply it was an
               | error?
               | 
               | I'd never heard of CSPs before, but https://en.wikipedia.
               | org/wiki/Supplementary_protection_certi... has some
               | details. They seem to be a patent extension in all but
               | name.
        
               | simonh wrote:
               | It depends what the "simultaneous filing of the CSP" was
               | simultaneous with. If it was simultaneous with letting
               | the patent expire that makes no sense. If it was
               | simultaneous with the original filing of the patent that
               | does make sense.
        
               | bawolff wrote:
               | Based on the gov website it sounds like it has to be
               | filed within 120 days of filing the patent, so i guess
               | its the latter.
               | 
               | It might not be as nonsensical as the alternative, but I
               | still dont understand how the CSP filing makes it any
               | less likely letting the patent lapse was a mistake.
        
               | simonh wrote:
               | I think it's interpreted as meaning that the company is
               | generally committed to patent protection, and so if they
               | let it lapse in this case despite several warning letters
               | that it's more likely it was a conscious decision for
               | commercial reasons. Which is what they claim. I don't
               | think it's a particularly strong argument.
        
             | aspenmayer wrote:
             | > If it is solely up to one person that is a failure in and
             | of itself.
             | 
             | I would agree. The so-called bus factor has been common
             | knowledge in the industries in question for literal decades
             | now.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bus_factor
             | 
             | > An early instance of this sort of query was when Michael
             | McLay publicly asked, in 1994, what would happen to the
             | Python language if Guido van Rossum were to be hit by a
             | bus.
             | 
             | http://legacy.python.org/search/hypermail/python-1994q2/104
             | 0...
        
               | nextos wrote:
               | The process for the patent to lapse in Canada is quite
               | long, and you get warning letters once deadlines are
               | close.
               | 
               | There is also a possibility of a paying a late fee and,
               | finally, there is also a reinstatement process.
               | 
               | NN could have missed all these, but they would have to be
               | a really dysfunctional organization. Definitely not a low
               | bus-factor situation.
        
               | aspenmayer wrote:
               | I wasn't casting aspersions on NN, but jumping off from
               | the allusion that was made by the user who I replied to.
               | 
               | I don't know what kind of sequence of events could lead
               | to this outcome at NN, but perhaps they were hoist by
               | their own petard. I'm reminded of the "money on the
               | ground" joke involving two economists, which is semi-
               | famous in these parts.
               | 
               | To wit:
               | 
               | > Economist 1: Look, there's $20 on the ground!
               | 
               | > Economist 2: No there isn't. If there were, someone
               | would have picked it up already.
               | 
               | https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/06/19/money-on-the-
               | ground/
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28029044
               | 
               | Perhaps the folks at NN are so busy picking up (billions
               | of) dollars that they neglect the dimes on the ground
               | that it would cost to comply with these seemingly
               | trivial, even menial functional requirements of keeping
               | their money printer running.
               | 
               | I'm honestly as befuddled by this brouhaha as anyone.
               | This is a monumental failure of multiple entire business
               | units to perform the core competencies of their jobs.
               | That said, I could honestly believe that the number of
               | people whose job it is (or perhaps _was_ ) to worry about
               | the patent expiry at all, let alone be aware of the
               | repeated communiques from the Canadian patent office, is
               | quite low. I would further believe that the
               | accountability dodging has only just begun behind closed
               | doors, if the internal game of megacorporate musical
               | chairs hasn't already concluded well before this news
               | broke and reached the shores of HN.
        
               | Marsymars wrote:
               | Even at large corps, it's fairly common to outsource IP
               | work to law firms that specialize in IP - and if you're
               | Danish, it might make sense to outsource to a Danish law
               | firm that has its own worldwide IP contacts (rather than
               | getting your own worldwide branch offices to handle local
               | IP laws everywhere). One of said contacts might then pawn
               | off the work onto a junior, who then has their assistant
               | handle all communiques from CIPO. Said assistant could
               | then entirely drop the ball.
               | 
               | I've zero idea about anything specific to Novo Nordisk,
               | but have enough exposure to IP in Canada to envision the
               | above happening in other cases.
        
               | xmcqdpt2 wrote:
               | That may be true if IP is not your core business but it
               | is basically the core business of pharmaceutical
               | companies. I don't speak from experience but it would
               | seem surprising to me that any major pharma would
               | outsource IP protection in a major market to contractors
               | they can't sue for billions if they mess up.
               | 
               | It seems much more likely to me that they did it on
               | purpose, as they claim to have.
        
               | philipallstar wrote:
               | > Perhaps the folks at NN are so busy picking up
               | (billions of) dollars that they neglect the dimes on the
               | ground that it would cost to comply with these seemingly
               | trivial, even menial functional requirements of keeping
               | their money printer running.
               | 
               | This isn't what that joke means.
        
           | foofoo12 wrote:
           | > Or is responsibility so diffuse that nobody is ultimately
           | responsible
           | 
           | It doesn't take a very large company for this to happen. I've
           | seen it in a sub 50 person company. There is a task to be
           | done but no one can do it because everyone involved is
           | waiting for someone else to do something. It's like a Mexican
           | standoff.
        
             | mcny wrote:
             | It could be something as simple as answering the phone. Or
             | checking if the default image for a product on an ecommerce
             | website exists. If you answer the phone or write a quick
             | script to check if the default image exists, now you sort
             | of become the person who is "expected" to do this task.
             | 
             | Boggles my mind.
        
               | foofoo12 wrote:
               | Spot on. Often it's also thankless tasks whilst being
               | foundation for the company to run. Someone has to answer
               | the phone.
        
           | Rebelgecko wrote:
           | Is this the patent equivalent of letting your website's cert
           | expire?
        
             | crummy wrote:
             | More like letting the domain expire, and someone else
             | snapping it up before you can renew.
        
           | nijuashi wrote:
           | Saying pharma companies are just holders of 'expensive, time-
           | limited IP' is not only wrong, it's offensive to those of us
           | who actually do the science. We spend years designing,
           | testing, and validating drugs, not scheming to hike prices.
           | We're not all Shkrelis out here.
        
             | 0cf8612b2e1e wrote:
             | I was a bench scientist (proteomics) in pharma for over a
             | decade. There is plenty of sweat and blood going into the
             | pipeline, but a company is ultimately defined by the
             | strength of its (patent) portfolio. Which is why a patent
             | cliff drives their valuations.
        
             | cperciva wrote:
             | I may be wrong, but aren't most drugs sold by large pharma
             | companies actually developed elsewhere and then acquired?
        
               | workerthread wrote:
               | Novo Nordisk does the vast majority of their RD in-house.
               | I can't speak to other companies.
        
               | adolph wrote:
               | I've read a little about Novo Nordisk's history and it is
               | a pretty interesting story about aligning financial
               | success with human flourishing. The pharmaco is a
               | subsidiary of a anti-diabetes foundation started from
               | proceeds from getting permission to produce insulin.
               | 
               |  _The foundation has an objective of providing support
               | for scientific, humanitarian and social purposes. . . .
               | In 2024, the foundation distributed a total of DKK 10.1
               | billion (approx. $1.39 billion) and paid out DKK 6.9
               | billion ($1.08 billion) in grants._ [0]
               | 
               | 0. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Novo_Nordisk_Foundation
        
               | BDPW wrote:
               | Having seen AstraZeneca inside, this is not the case.
               | There's quite a lot of development going on. It is all
               | non-fundamental though, the focus is heavily on late
               | stage. No identification of disease mechanisms and such.
        
               | j7ake wrote:
               | A drug is almost never acquired that can then be put
               | directly to patients and sold.
               | 
               | Large pharma makes strategic bets on several drugs, some
               | initiated in house, others acquired, but they all just go
               | through further optimization and testing before it is
               | approved.
               | 
               | Huge RnD is required even if drug is "simply acquired"
        
             | vintermann wrote:
             | But _are_ you the pharma companies? It 's not mandatory to
             | identify that strongly with your employer.
        
           | hibikir wrote:
           | In your typical large company, there's always enough nebulous
           | process as to minimize personal accountability for any
           | decision that is made. There might be a decision maker in
           | practice, but there will be enough wide meetings and
           | committees so that the groups as a whole can make bad
           | decision, or a very immoral decisions, with minimal risk of
           | consequences for anyone involved. Raising tough questions in
           | those rooms is a good way to not make friends, and end up
           | isolated in an unimportant position after the next semi-anual
           | reorg.
           | 
           | Even in companies with a strong CEO who is, in fact, lording
           | over everyone, mechanisms will be built to make sure said
           | CEO's bad decisions were group decisions, and that most of
           | the people around him agreed.
        
           | benrawk wrote:
           | I mean the CEO got fired...
        
           | chvid wrote:
           | They are getting fired now - as Novo is in major crisis mode
           | and going through its largest layoffs ever.
        
           | m463 wrote:
           | to me, I am reminded of countless DNS renewal mistakes that
           | are publicized.
        
           | Eupolemos wrote:
           | Uh, Novo is having an absolutely massive firing round; the
           | CEO got axed first and Denmark now has a glut of qualified
           | unemployed which we're all doing our best to hire ASAP :D (we
           | just had the lowest unemployment rate in our history)
           | 
           | (Novo hired _way_ too many people because 'infinite money')
        
         | gpt5 wrote:
         | Canadian manufacturers (Sandoz and Apotex) are preparing to
         | launch their own generic versions in early 2026.
         | 
         | I bet many Americans would travel to Canada to buy it there
         | (despite the legality concerns). The medications lasts 2 years
         | in a refrigerator.
        
           | rootusrootus wrote:
           | If you're going to go for a two year supply, it's probably
           | better to just risk shipping it. You're not going to come
           | home with that much without it getting confiscated, and
           | you're way more likely to be searched individually than a
           | typical package is.
        
             | themafia wrote:
             | You should be able to travel with a 90 day supply without
             | issue.
        
               | daniel_iversen wrote:
               | Not an American but there's only very limited
               | circumstances you can travel across the border home to
               | the USA with foreign prescription drugs, right? And this
               | scenario wouldn't cover it. Unless you just meant they
               | won't get caught or maybe not fined or confiscated in
               | practice? :)
        
               | toomuchtodo wrote:
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45638316
        
               | valicord wrote:
               | That's mainly for visitors. If you're a US resident, you
               | can't just buy medicines abroad, unless of course we are
               | talking about the "they won't get caught" scenario.
        
               | Muromec wrote:
               | Sounds like an opportunity for non-residents.
        
               | chronos00 wrote:
               | US residents can buy medicines abroad the FDA link says
               | personal importation is allowed as long as the medicines
               | are FDA approved and are not being imported for
               | commercial purposes. Now in the context of the original
               | post maybe generic versions of Ozempic won't technically
               | be FDA approved yet if the company that produces it has
               | to wait for the US patent to expire.
        
               | jay_kyburz wrote:
               | The FDA approved version may be significantly cheaper to
               | compete with the generic brands.
               | 
               | I also wonder if only the "active ingredients" need to be
               | FDA approved, and the packaging is irrelevant?
        
               | vl wrote:
               | Of course you can buy medicine abroad and legally bring
               | 90 day doses.
               | 
               | More over, you can order and ship medicine, including
               | ozempic and zepbound, using American prescription from
               | Canadian online pharmacies. For some drugs it's quite
               | cheaper than paying American prices.
        
               | axus wrote:
               | The major legal question for generic Ozempic imports will
               | be, did Novo Nordisk buy Trump coins or donate to the
               | White House ballroom?
        
             | c2h5oh wrote:
             | With de minimis for US-bound packages suspended I suspect
             | way more packages are inspected than used to be.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _With de minimis for US-bound packages suspended I
               | suspect way more packages are inspected than used to be_
               | 
               | But a smaller fraction.
               | 
               | If you're paranoid, route it via the UAE. All my European
               | and Indian shippers are doing that for tariff-free
               | pricing. (Personal stuff. I'll pay a customs duty if I
               | get it, of course.)
        
               | CamperBob2 wrote:
               | You can import from UAE without paying any duties or
               | fees?
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | At least for wine, furniture, cheese, olive oil, art,
               | kitchen equipment and medicine, at least from Italy and
               | Germany and India and Taiwan, in the last six months,
               | allegedly.
        
               | delfinom wrote:
               | I mean that entire region has bought the president, even
               | got themselves a military base being built on American
               | land now too.
               | 
               | So why not.
        
               | seszett wrote:
               | > _got themselves a military base being built on American
               | land now too_
               | 
               | As a European I'm as critical of the US government as can
               | be and their president has definitely been bought, but
               | there are already several countries that have some
               | training facilities and military personnel in the US.
               | 
               | Calling it a foreign military base is really
               | unnecessarily hyperbolic. And given the amount of
               | military bases that the US have on foreign land, the
               | outrage also seems a bit misplaced.
        
               | adastra22 wrote:
               | I suspect he was repeating a soundbite and doesn't know
               | the actual (entirely reasonable) situation.
        
               | adastra22 wrote:
               | For those downvoting: we sell fighter jets to many
               | countries, including the UAE. They send pilots here to
               | train on flying these jets. Those pilots need a place to
               | stay.
               | 
               | For their own security protocols, among other reasons,
               | many partner nations prefer to have a small area set up,
               | think of it like a consulate, where their people stay
               | within their own jurisdiction, rather than a hotel. The
               | UAE is setting up such a place for its pilots.
               | 
               | That is all.
               | 
               | This isn't a force-projection military base on US soil.
        
               | bparsons wrote:
               | Higher enforcement demands probably lead to more stuff
               | slipping through.
        
           | AnimalMuppet wrote:
           | Um, what are the legality concerns? Is it illegal to bring
           | medicine for your own use over the border? If not that, then
           | what?
           | 
           | (Honest question. I don't know.)
        
             | ano-ther wrote:
             | https://www.fda.gov/industry/import-basics/personal-
             | importat...
        
               | dataflow wrote:
               | This sounds like something the current SCOTUS should be
               | more than happy to shoot down, no? If you're bringing
               | medication _for yourself_ from abroad that you obtained
               | legally, why should the FDA 's concerns for _your own_
               | safety trump (no pun intended) your freedom?
        
             | jacobgorm wrote:
             | Just don't do it in a speed boat.
        
               | Scoundreller wrote:
               | More government attacks on the freedom of law-abiding
               | speed boat owners
        
           | stevehawk wrote:
           | the shelf life is probably longer than that if you buy it in
           | dehydrated form and don't hydrate it (but i have no idea)
        
             | ReptileMan wrote:
             | So cocaine from the south, ozempic from the north, fetanyl
             | from the west and the meth is homegrown. So USA just need
             | some powder from europe to close the circle.
        
               | OptionOfT wrote:
               | That would be MDMA.
        
               | fragmede wrote:
               | Wait, but where does Elon's ketamine come from?
        
               | ReptileMan wrote:
               | Mars
        
               | pqtyw wrote:
               | Doesn't he have his own legal lab?
        
             | gus_massa wrote:
             | I guess you get more shelf life, but it's an injectable
             | drug.
             | 
             | You probably have to disolve it in very clean water in a
             | very clean container. Do you have to match the salinity and
             | pH with the proprties of the blood? How much time must you
             | stir it to ensure it's completely disolved? Do you have to
             | add something to increase/reduce viscosity? Some alcohol in
             | case there are a few bacterias or improve solubility? How
             | long does the small homemade batch last in the fridge?
             | 
             | IIUC there is another version in pills, they may have a
             | longer shelf life, or not. But ask a medical doctor before
             | taking a ramdom medicine.
        
               | stevehawk wrote:
               | Bacteriostatic water is widely available and you hydrate
               | it in the container it comes in. Its pretty easy. I
               | promise you you probably know someone on a glp-1 that is
               | already doing this.
        
               | gus_massa wrote:
               | I found it in a mainstream site here. 30ml for $300, with
               | free shipping for next Wednesday. It has classified as a
               | "nutricional supplement" for bodybuilders. I didn't
               | purchase it, but I guess now I'm in yet another list.
        
             | greycol wrote:
             | While I'm all for saving costs, I would be shocked if
             | mixing your own _inject-able_ medicine either weekly (with
             | the chance of making a mistake in dosage or sterility) or
             | too such a high degree of sterility that you can
             | confidentally store several doses is not worth the $200
             | return flight every two years. Maybe I 'm overestimating
             | the risks but it still seems like a small saving for it.
             | 
             | Realistically the cost of semiglutide in generic form means
             | you could fly return every 90 days (personal import
             | restriction for perscription meds) and still save $1000
             | every 3 months (3x$500 monthly - return flight - generic
             | cost).
        
               | choilive wrote:
               | Its remarkably straightforward. Not fool-proof, but easy.
               | Bacteriostatic water, single use needles/syringes, and
               | self healing injection port vials makes it simple to
               | maintain sterility throughout the process.
               | 
               | Multiple doses can be mixed and stored in the fridge for
               | 4-6 weeks.
        
               | kimos wrote:
               | While I agree and this all seems reasonable, I think you
               | give the average person far too much credit.
        
               | stevehawk wrote:
               | it's extremely common. everyone i know that's on a glp-1
               | does it this way. that way you can buy it in bulk for a
               | discount. i buy mine roughly 35 weeks worth of doses at a
               | time.
        
               | qgin wrote:
               | How do they have confidence that the vials they're
               | getting are sterile / pure / free of endotoxins / etc?
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | This is commonly done for injectable fertility
               | treatments, though in my experience they are hydrated
               | just before use.
        
               | phantom784 wrote:
               | If you live near the border, of if you regularly travel
               | to Canada anyways, then the travel cost isn't an issue.
        
           | reaperducer wrote:
           | _I bet many Americans would travel to Canada to buy it there_
           | 
           | Why travel? There are thousands of ads on TV, radio, and the
           | internet each day for Canadian pharmacies that promise to
           | ship whatever you need to the U.S.
        
           | loeg wrote:
           | I think the biggest legality concern is having your shipment
           | seized at the border. Maybe a risk but it's not exactly a
           | scheduled drug.
        
         | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
         | I totally believe this happened.
         | 
         | If anyone has worked in a big, hidebound corporation, they are
         | familiar with the "That's not my job" quandary.
        
         | general1465 wrote:
         | This is impressive feat of bean counting. To save few thousand
         | dollars, they lost market of few billion dollars. Good job.
        
         | duxup wrote:
         | That letter from lawyers probably cost more than 250 ...
        
           | abirch wrote:
           | The sad thing is they probably were billed 500 dollars for
           | the lawyers to "read" it.
        
             | duxup wrote:
             | I have an acquaintance working big law. They said the
             | billing was "more offensive thank you could possibly
             | imagine" ... but they took the money of course.
        
         | decimalenough wrote:
         | Remember that back in the dim antiquity of 2017, semaglutide
         | was an experimental drug for type 2 diabetes. The sales
         | explosion only happened a few years later when it started being
         | prescribed for weight loss.
        
         | foxglacier wrote:
         | Don't be so quick to assume it was a failure not intentional.
         | One of the comments in the article suggests it could have been
         | to avoid PMPRB which is price control for patented drugs.
        
           | PerryUlysses wrote:
           | The company said it was intentional, probably because of the
           | reason you mentioned: "In a statement to Fortune, Novo
           | Nordisk said there was no mistake regarding its patent
           | maintenance fee in Canada."
        
           | Scoundreller wrote:
           | I still don't get that though: is that worth losing
           | exclusivity over?
           | 
           | I guess they think some other production patent will let them
           | maintain exclusivity without it being a patent on the drug
           | itself?
        
       | bstsb wrote:
       | looking at the filing, they had their patent deadline extended
       | due to COVID-19 eighteen times!
       | 
       | https://brevets-patents.ic.gc.ca/opic-cipo/cpd/eng/patent/26...
        
       | choffman wrote:
       | There's about to be a lot of skinny people in Canada bordering
       | states. :)
        
       | rahimnathwani wrote:
       | AIUI, because they let the patent expire, the drug was not
       | subject to price regulation by the government. So they could
       | charge whatever.
       | 
       | And during most of that time, they were still protected by 'data
       | exclusivity' which means that any generic producer could not get
       | approved without doing their own clinical trials, until 8 years
       | had passed.
       | 
       | So they gave up some period of exclusivity in return for being
       | able to charge a higher price when they still had a monopoly.
        
         | Emphere wrote:
         | Thanks, can you point to where you found this info?
        
           | rahimnathwani wrote:
           | Sorry, pieced together from different sources.
           | 
           | I am not an expert.
           | 
           | Here's one about the price control on patented drugs:
           | https://www.torys.com/our-latest-
           | thinking/publications/2024/...
        
           | malshe wrote:
           | See the comments on that article where a few people have
           | pointed this out.
        
         | chronos00 wrote:
         | Seems like a plausible explanation, the government should
         | reform the price regulation laws to avoid this endrun around
         | price controls.
        
         | dghlsakjg wrote:
         | The price in Canada is ~$175 USD month for name brand Ozempic
         | where I am with no coupons, or other discounts. I see prices in
         | the US around $800+/month.
         | 
         | That is significantly _cheaper_ than the US, and cheaper than
         | other GLP-1 class drugs up here, arguably reasonable. Is the
         | supposition that they would have been forced to charge even
         | less? If so, why are their competitors who kept their patents
         | not charging more?
         | 
         | Counterpoint: Mounjaro/Tirzepatide _did_ keep their patent
         | protection. They are able to, and do, charge significantly
         | more.
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | Everyone I know taking these is buying generic compounded
           | formulas. Insurance mostly doesn't cover it so the go for the
           | cheaper options.
        
             | dghlsakjg wrote:
             | That doesn't figure into the pricing strategy or giving
             | away patent protection in Canada in 2018 as far as I can
             | tell?
             | 
             | Compounding isn't allowed in Canada, currently, so I assume
             | you are talking about the US? Compounding Ozempic in the US
             | wasn't a thing in 2018 when this patent was released in
             | Canada, so not sure what one has to do with the other.
             | 
             | What are you getting at in reference to the argument that
             | the patent was released intentionally in order to charge a
             | higher price?
        
               | Marsymars wrote:
               | > Compounding isn't allowed in Canada, currently
               | 
               | How does this work? Why/when would compounding not be
               | allowed?
        
               | dghlsakjg wrote:
               | If health Canada determines there is a shortage,
               | compounding is allowed. Health Canada has determined that
               | there is no longer a shortage.
        
               | wasabi991011 wrote:
               | > Compounding isn't allowed in Canada
               | 
               | I'm not sure why you think that, compounding is allowed,
               | I live right be a compounding pharmacy. And confirmed
               | it's legal through google.
        
               | dghlsakjg wrote:
               | I should be more specific. Compounding Ozempic isn't
               | allowed since it is not considered to be a shortage
               | anymore by Health Canada.
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | Yes I'm in the USA. I just mentioned that because nobody
               | I know is paying $800/mo. They are buying compounded
               | injections online.
        
               | fragmede wrote:
               | roughly how much _are_ they paying, then?
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | Probably half that, or less.
        
               | malfist wrote:
               | Compounding isn't some shady enterprise. Its a standard
               | medical use case. I have to use metronidozol cream on my
               | face, but I'm allergic to some preservatives, so a
               | compounding pharmacy makes a version of metronidozol
               | cream without my allergens.
               | 
               | It's also relatively common for toddlers who need special
               | doses, or for people who can't swallow pills and need
               | liquid formulations.
               | 
               | Compounding is normal.
        
             | whimsicalism wrote:
             | yes, the US govt is being shockingly lax in its IP
             | enforcement here. i suspect it would be much harder to
             | acquire if ozempic/wegovy were produced by an American
             | company
        
           | kristianp wrote:
           | Does the government/medical insurance subsidise that price
           | though?
        
             | beached_whale wrote:
             | No, with drug patents the price is the average of a basket
             | of similar countries, including the US. There is bulk
             | buying for some medications by governments, but it depends.
             | 
             | Most people are using private drug insurance in Canada.
        
           | loeg wrote:
           | The US price for name brand is around $500/mo. More than
           | $175, but not $800.
        
             | metaltyphoon wrote:
             | Only now at Costco. It used to be much higher
        
               | loeg wrote:
               | No. Directly from Novo, prior to the Costco announcement.
               | 
               | The only thing that changes with Costco is you can get
               | the auto-injector version for that price, instead of
               | vials.
        
               | metaltyphoon wrote:
               | I always thought they had auto-injectors
        
         | llm_nerd wrote:
         | >And during most of that time
         | 
         | Most of _what_ time? The patent just expired a few months ago.
         | Generics are now ramping up _because_ the patent expired, not
         | because of some hypothetical eight year clinical trials. And
         | for that matter, generics of existing ingredients and dosages
         | do not have to repeat clinical trials anyways, which is one of
         | the big reasons generics are a lot less expensive.
         | 
         | This hypothesis seems retconned and completely at odds with the
         | actual facts. Not least that there has been absolutely nothing
         | exceptional about the pricing of their product in Canada, which
         | has always been one of the cheaper pricings worldwide.
        
           | aardvarkr wrote:
           | This article is saying that the patent elapsed in 2018
           | because thy didn't pay the $250 to renew the patent. Instead
           | they relied on "data exclusivity" which means their trial
           | data is exclusively theirs and anyone who wants to sell in
           | Canada must first run safety trials of their own at a huge
           | expense. It's just as good as a patent but has a shorter
           | window of exclusivity.
        
             | numpad0 wrote:
             | > Instead they relied on "data exclusivity" which means
             | their trial data is exclusively theirs and anyone who wants
             | to sell in Canada must first run safety trials of their own
             | at a huge expense.
             | 
             | Sounds like potentially a good thing?
        
         | abcd_f wrote:
         | > AIUI
         | 
         | ?
        
           | pyth0 wrote:
           | As I understand it?
        
           | ThePowerOfFuet wrote:
           | As I Understand It
        
       | TMWNN wrote:
       | Quoting myself <https://np.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/comments/1md4wde/
       | the_most_va...>:
       | 
       | >Novo Nordisk did not file for a renewal because of a mistake, or
       | someone going on vacation, or anything like that.
       | 
       | >Novo Nordisk decided that the additional years of patent
       | protection were not worth it compared to the advantage of the
       | drug no longer being under the jurisdiction of the PMPRB <https:/
       | /en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patented_Medicine_Prices_Revie...>.
       | Whether that decision was financially correct in light of GLP-1's
       | subsequent application to weight loss, I do not know. However,
       | again, it was not a silly mistake on Novo Nordisk's part.
        
         | mmooss wrote:
         | An interesting citation! But you are not an authority on the
         | issue (?) and so not much of a cite. What is yourself's claim
         | based on?
        
       | 0cf8612b2e1e wrote:
       | I had never considered it-what makes a drug prescription vs OTC?
       | Every substance has safety concerns(dose makes the poison), so
       | with a lot of the financial gone, will the GLPs ever not require
       | a prescription?
        
         | dlcarrier wrote:
         | In the US, prescription and OTC are theoretically completely
         | unrelated, but in practice patent holders want their drugs to
         | be prescription, where end users aren't involved in the process
         | of selecting or paying for the drug, whereas generic
         | manufacturers want the drugs to be OTC, where end users are
         | choosing the product in a competitive market.
         | 
         | See, for example, Prilosec (Omeprazole) switching from
         | prescription to OTC.
        
         | apike wrote:
         | The FDA (or equivalent in the relevant country) regulates
         | whether an approved drug requires a prescription based on the
         | safety profile. To be approved for OTC, there is a much higher
         | bar in terms of ease of misuse, side effects, and so on.
        
         | petesergeant wrote:
         | They don't require one in the UAE (in practice, anyway), which
         | has a well-regulated med scene.
        
       | vitorgrs wrote:
       | In Brazil it will expire in July 2026. It's pretty relevant as
       | it's kinda already announced they will put the generics on the
       | public health care (SUS) for free... Which is big deal as an
       | Ozempic shot costs almost the same as the minimum wage.
       | 
       | This year they already did an analysis to include Ozempic, but it
       | was denied, probably because of the cost difference...
       | 
       | But they were trying on justice to extend the patent...
        
         | 1oooqooq wrote:
         | being free means taxpayers will pay. and being on the public
         | system means it will be prescribed only for health risk, just
         | like plastic surgery already is. you don't see people getting
         | nose jobs just because.
        
           | aardvarkr wrote:
           | Generics are so cheap and easy to make that they can
           | reasonably justify that it will save the government money by
           | making the population healthier. Just think about how much
           | less heart disease and cancer and every other obesity-
           | affected disease costs the taxpayer.
        
             | 1oooqooq wrote:
             | totally agree. was pointing out things left out from the
             | previous comment which was kinda of impling gov would be
             | paying all uses of the sliming drugs, even if on generics
             | price. ... because those drugs make profit not because of
             | it's health benefits.
        
           | UltraSane wrote:
           | Why wouldn't it be prescribed to morbidly obese people?
        
           | vitorgrs wrote:
           | First, it seems obvious to me that they'll prescribe it to
           | everyone who, supposedly, undergoes bariatric surgery through
           | the SUS. Generic Ozempic is certainly cheaper than bariatric
           | surgery.
           | 
           | That said, I believe it will go even further.
           | 
           | To get medication through the SUS, you only need a
           | prescription from a doctor. Any doctor. So even if the SUS
           | itself don't prescribe, you can just find a doctor who will
           | do it...
           | 
           | But, likely SUS will prescribe anyway. Rio mayor:
           | 
           | "Rio will be a city where there will be no more chubby
           | people; everyone will be taking Ozempic at family clinics."
           | "Said the mayor, adding that he has already taken the
           | medication. He claimed to have lost 30kg with the
           | medication."
        
             | 1oooqooq wrote:
             | crazy politicians will be crazy politicians.
             | 
             | sadly rio is exporting them.
        
         | matheusmoreira wrote:
         | SUS doesn't have a good track record when it comes to offering
         | modern drugs and treatments. It takes years if not decades for
         | medications to be covered, even when generics are available.
         | Patients often had to go to court with documents from their
         | doctor in order to make things happen. I've lost count of how
         | many patients I've helped get their treatments... And now the
         | supreme court has closed the door on them.
         | 
         | Still, after dapagliflozin I'm ready to believe it. There's
         | also the fact semaglutide will straight up win votes for
         | politicians that provide it.
         | 
         | I expect it to mirror the evolution of dapagliflozin in SUS: it
         | will be offered unconditionally at first, then as they start to
         | feel the weight of the costs involved they'll start imposing
         | conditions and forcing patients to go through endless
         | bureaucracy to get their medication. Age requirements,
         | comorbity requirements, obnoxious paperwork that "justifies"
         | the need for such a drug. Oh I'll gladly fill out those
         | forms...
        
           | vitorgrs wrote:
           | Depends the price of the generics, of course. But I wouldn't
           | doubt if the governament itself would manufacture it. Fiocruz
           | (federal gov lab) already manufacture several drugs.
           | 
           | Also, Rio mayor already said he will just give to everyone
           | basically lol
           | 
           | You also need to remind that on a public health care system,
           | having less obese people means you'll spend less on health
           | care.
        
         | chrisweekly wrote:
         | "same as the minimum wage"
         | 
         | ... an hour's wage? a week? a month? annual?
        
           | tredre3 wrote:
           | From context it was clear to me that they meant the entire
           | income.
           | 
           | Minimum wage in brazil is 280/month. I don't know how much of
           | it would be taken by taxes, but even if it's 0 then ozempic
           | in Brazil still costs almost 70% of that amount each month.
        
             | rapfaria wrote:
             | It's not so straightforward, though. In the U.S., wages are
             | usually discussed in terms of hourly pay or annual salary,
             | whereas in Brazil, they're typically expressed as monthly
             | earnings.
        
           | vitorgrs wrote:
           | Yeah, sorry, it's just here we just talk about monthly wages.
           | A month!
        
           | lproven wrote:
           | Doesn't matter.
           | 
           | $(recurring dose of drug) ~= $(recurring income)
           | 
           | However much you need per unit time period, compared to how
           | much you make _in that time period._
           | 
           | The definition is independent of time.
        
       | glp1guide wrote:
       | Not only that, there is a legitimate raft of companies lining up
       | to make generics.
       | 
       | There's one wrinkle though, legally importing prescription drugs
       | from Canada isn't really allowed in the US/UK AFAIK. HIMS is
       | probably feverishly figuring out how to do that right now.
       | 
       | Shameless plug:
       | 
       | https://glp1guide.substack.com/p/another-glp1-generic-launch...
       | 
       | Also somewhat separately, injectable GLP1s are about to be
       | upstaged by oral variants -- orfoglipron for Eli Lilly and the
       | Wegovy Pill for Novo.
        
         | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
         | _> Also somewhat separately, injectable GLP1s are about to be
         | upstaged by oral variants -- orfoglipron for Eli Lilly and the
         | Wegovy Pill for Novo._
         | 
         | I believe that this gets a new patent, and will probably be a
         | _huge_ seller.
        
           | glp1guide wrote:
           | Absolutely -- certainly in their biggest markets they'll be
           | able to protect those patents.
           | 
           | Both companies have thus far been unable to really stop
           | compounding pharmacies and/or gray market suppliers from
           | replicating though, _and_ price negotiation with the
           | government is definitely going to happen (Trump recently
           | announced wanting $150 GLP1s, Novo 's lawsuit against
           | medicare price negotiation failed)... I do not have much
           | faith in their ability to protect their pricing power for
           | very long, which unfortunate for them is probably what's best
           | for humanity and is very well known at this point.
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | I suspect a _lot_ of the anti-vaxx movement is subconsciously
           | motivated by fear of needles.
           | 
           | So yeah, I expect the pill form to be a huge seller!
        
             | kridsdale3 wrote:
             | This was made abundantly clear to me in 2020. It's a mass
             | hysteria fueled by trypanophobia in a vast population of
             | people who aren't very interested in self-analysis and
             | understanding how their own behavior and thought patterns
             | are driven by the amygdala.
        
         | vl wrote:
         | Nonsense.
         | 
         | You can use US prescription at online Canadian pharmacy and
         | legally ship to US. This is how a lot of people save on drugs.
        
       | alister wrote:
       | > _Interviewer at Endpoints: You plan to potentially launch a
       | generic GLP-1 in Canada and Brazil in 2026._
       | 
       | Looking at the original interview on Endpoints, Sandoz CEO
       | Richard Saynor says this about Brazil:
       | 
       |  _In Brazil, the biggest prescribers are dentists. Everyone says,
       | "Why dentists?" They do aesthetic work, and then you have your
       | Botox, and then you want a bikini body. It's behaving like an OTC
       | consumer brand. Imagine selling this, rather than $300, at $50.
       | Anybody over the age of 40 in Brazil will probably want to be on
       | that._
       | 
       | But he doesn't explain how they got around the patents. Another
       | comment on HN says they expire in July 2026, but can anyone
       | explain why the patents expire so soon in Brazil?
        
         | abirch wrote:
         | 1. In the USA people use compounding companies to get around
         | patents.
         | 
         | 2. https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-
         | pharmaceuticals/...
        
           | giarc wrote:
           | I think that loophole has closed. If I recall correctly,
           | compounding pharmacies were only allowed to do that as the US
           | gov put the drug on a special list due to shortages. I
           | believe they have removed it from this list (or will do
           | shortly) and that pipeline will stop.
        
         | vitorgrs wrote:
         | In Brazil, medicines lose patent protection 20 years after the
         | original filing date. The filing date was in 2006, so the
         | patent expires in 2026.
         | 
         | But note that the patent was only granted in 2019, it took 13
         | years. They went to court last year, but the justice (as far as
         | I know) has continued to follow the precedent that the original
         | filing date applies.
         | 
         | So they went to the federal government to try to change the
         | law, but the government has refused so far.
         | 
         | The INPI (Brazilian Patent Office) used to take a VERY long
         | time to register/grant patents. It's faster now (about 4 years
         | on average), but it's still slow.
         | 
         | But I'm seeing here that in the US it was 2017. So not that
         | different from 2019 anyway.
         | 
         | PS: Brazil also have several local labs focused on generics,
         | and besides this, there's also state-owned lab, Fiocruz, who
         | makes vaccines and medicines as well, several of them, to
         | distribute though SUS.
         | 
         | In Brazil by the constitution, everyone has the right of
         | health, so if the public health care (SUS) don't distribute,
         | you can sue the governament and get the medicine. So there's a
         | big incentive for the governament to make patents expire as
         | soon as possible to have generics and include on SUS.
         | 
         | e.g Fiocruz manufacture PrEP, and started now PrEP injection
         | (Cabotegravir).
        
       | pogue wrote:
       | It sounds like people will be flocking to Canada to fill their
       | ozempic prescriptions. However, the WP just posted this article
       | about how ordering rx meds from Canada has become unaffordable
       | due to tariffs.
       | 
       |  _Many seniors get cheaper medicine from Canada. That might
       | become harder_
       | https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/10/18/deminimis...
       | 
       | No paywall: https://archive.ph/nT0Jl
        
       | tavavex wrote:
       | The whole story seems utterly insane to me. The fact that Novo
       | Nordisk went back to ask for a _refund_ of $250 they paid for the
       | patent in 2017 shows that there was active intent behind this,
       | this wasn 't just some internal disconnect between payment
       | systems that prevented the money from being sent to the
       | government. Who at NN thought that saving, what, ~$1000 total was
       | justified for this? I thought companies of this scale didn't even
       | think on the scale of thousands of dollars anymore.
       | 
       | Oh well, at least we in Canada get more generic drug variants.
       | Thanks!
        
         | tempestn wrote:
         | Insane to the point that it doesn't seem believable. Even if
         | the patent was worthless it wouldn't have been worth their time
         | to pursue that refund just for the $250.
         | 
         | Another comment here mentioned that patents in Canada come with
         | strings on pricing. So it's possible there was an actual trade-
         | off that was considered here.
        
         | HDThoreaun wrote:
         | Apparently they can get around the government price controls by
         | getting off the patent. I guess they figured it was better to
         | keep prices high so americans didnt border hop but lose the
         | exclusivity sooner
        
       | dmix wrote:
       | This is great news for Canadian public/private healthcare
       | insurance. Not only do the drugs cost less but people get
       | healthier and use less services
        
       | enslavedrobot wrote:
       | Fun fact: Novo Nordisk's first success was selling insulin, which
       | was discovered in Canada and licensed by the Scientists who's
       | discovered it for free to the danish company in exchange for a
       | promise to use the revenues "for good purposes".
       | 
       | Hopefully this patent SNAFU makes up for 1% of that monumental
       | screw job.
        
         | nl wrote:
         | Insulin is cheap everywhere in the world except the US, and
         | it's been around since the 1920s.
         | 
         | The price has nothing to do with Novo Nordisk's distribution of
         | it last century.
         | 
         | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8597930/
        
         | simongray wrote:
         | > in exchange for a promise to use the revenues "for good
         | purposes".
         | 
         | They still do an enormous amount of charity, though activities
         | of the foundation are probably highly localised to Denmark:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Novo_Nordisk_Foundation
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | There are many different kinds of insulin now, and almost
         | nobody uses the original version, because it's tricky to get
         | timing and dosage right.
         | 
         | All with their own patent situation, of course.
        
           | lotsofpulp wrote:
           | Insulin is so easy to make clickbait and ragebait with due to
           | people not knowing, or willfully ignoring, that "insulin" is
           | not one specific medicine.
           | 
           | Kind of crazy considering how many people have diabetes.
        
       | danielovichdk wrote:
       | Eat healthy. Do sports. Sleep well. Repeat.
        
         | metabagel wrote:
         | Also, meditate, fast intermittently, get therapy, and develop
         | healthy ways of handling stress and dissatisfaction.
         | 
         | Everyone's path is a little different. What is only a little
         | difficult for some might be downright impossible for others (or
         | feel that way).
        
           | philipallstar wrote:
           | No, those things aren't nearly as important. Handling stress
           | and therapy can also be replaced by some physical activity as
           | well.
           | 
           | General advice that would work for 95% of people shouldn't be
           | criticised because it doesn't address the other 5%. If people
           | did it then there'd be far more money in the system to pay
           | for usefully targetted specialist treatment for those people.
        
             | devjab wrote:
             | Since we are pulling numbers out of our asses can you tell
             | me what good advice that 95% of the people aren't capable
             | of following is? It's great that our national health
             | institutes advices us, but can you explain how the advice
             | isn't completely useless in this particular context? To me
             | it comes off as arrogant and rude.
        
               | philipallstar wrote:
               | I didn't say 95% of people aren't capable of following
               | some advice. That would be bad advice. I'm saying this is
               | good advice, because 95% of people can follow it.
        
             | metabagel wrote:
             | If we are talking about overweight people, then I think
             | your 95% figure is backwards. Maybe 5% can stick to that
             | regimen without addressing what's going on between their
             | ears. Likely, your perspective is skewed by the crowd you
             | hang out with or from seeing other people at the gym.
             | That's not a representative cross-section of the
             | population, particularly with respect to people who are
             | overweight.
             | 
             | The emotional/psychological side is important, because the
             | person must make long term changes in their lifestyle.
             | 
             | People tend to over-eat for a reason, and typically it is a
             | reaction to stress or some emotional/psychological need
             | which isn't being met.
        
               | metabagel wrote:
               | Intermittent fasting can help with appetite suppression
               | and blood sugar spikes. Our bodies didn't evolve to snack
               | all day long. More likely, we gorged and fasted depending
               | on what was available.
               | 
               | There's a book called "The Carbohydrate Addict's Diet"
               | which promotes intermittent fasting to lose weight, and I
               | think it's on the right track, although the book
               | recommends taking in calories only during a one hour
               | period each day, which for me was too extreme.
               | 
               | I do think it's beneficial to fast for at least 6 hours
               | once a day, if possible. It's good for your blood sugar
               | as well as your gut. It can give you more energy and help
               | you feel more like exercising.
        
       | p0w3n3d wrote:
       | Does it mean that Sandoz can start production of a generic in
       | Canada and sell it e.g. in Europe?
        
         | progbits wrote:
         | The protection (racket) is about selling, not manufacture.
         | Otherwise everyone would just manufacture in china and sell
         | anywhere they like.
        
       | bluecalm wrote:
       | What's shocking here is that it costs several hundred dollars per
       | year to have a big country enforcing a monopoly for you. I mean
       | at least taking % of the revenue would make sense (and preferably
       | for others to buy out underutilized patents).
       | 
       | As it is it's just corporate welfare - enforcing lucrative market
       | monopoly for an equivalent of a steak dinner for two.
        
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