[HN Gopher] What if the singularity lies beyond a plateau we can...
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       What if the singularity lies beyond a plateau we cannot cross?
        
       Author : jayw_lead
       Score  : 4 points
       Date   : 2025-10-09 21:13 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.jasonwillems.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.jasonwillems.com)
        
       | jayw_lead wrote:
       | Most of modern history has been defined by our ability to outpace
       | our problems through technological acceleration. This essay
       | argues that, rather than an uncontrollable AI takeoff, we may be
       | approaching physical, economic, and regulatory limits -- a long
       | plateau where progress slows.
        
         | gjsman-1000 wrote:
         | I was thinking about this the other day; and realized this
         | would probably end the tech industry as we know it.
         | 
         | No new unicorns, no new kernel designs, no need for new
         | engineered software that often. With the industry in stasis,
         | the industry is finally able to be regulated to the same degree
         | as plumbing, haircutting, or other licensed fields. An industry
         | no longer any more exceptional than any other. The gold rush is
         | over, the boring process of subjecting it to the will of the
         | people and politicians begins.
         | 
         | I think we're also getting to the limits, across the board,
         | soon. Consider AWS S3, infrastructure for society. 2021 - 100
         | trillion objects. 2025 - 350 trillion objects. Objects that
         | need new hard drives every 3-5 years to store, replenished on a
         | constant cycle. How soon until we reach the point even a minor
         | prolonged disruption to hard drives, or GPUs, or DRAM, forces
         | hard choices?
        
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       (page generated 2025-10-09 23:01 UTC)