[HN Gopher] The deadline isn't when AI outsmarts us - it's when ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       The deadline isn't when AI outsmarts us - it's when we stop using
       our own minds
        
       Author : NotInOurNames
       Score  : 299 points
       Date   : 2025-10-05 11:08 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theargumentmag.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theargumentmag.com)
        
       | waynecochran wrote:
       | For the record I am a pre-AI human and I read this.
        
       | DFHippie wrote:
       | Too many never decided to start using their minds. They won't
       | notice the transition.
        
       | rimeice wrote:
       | I'm undecided on this, initially I was on the "this is bad, we're
       | outsourcing our thinking" bandwagon, now after using AI for lots
       | of different types of tasks for a while now, I feel like
       | generally I've learnt so much, so much more quickly. Would I
       | recall it all without my new crutch? Maybe not, but I may not
       | have learnt it in the first place without it.
        
         | drbojingle wrote:
         | Agreed. I've engaged with different tech since moving things
         | along is now easier.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | You are not necessarily typical.
        
           | add-sub-mul-div wrote:
           | Right. It doesn't matter how smart you still are if the
           | majority of society turns into Idiocracy. Second, we're all
           | at risk of blind spots in estimating how disciplined we're
           | being about using the shortcut machine the right way. Smart
           | people like me, you, grandparent aren't immune to that.
        
           | kannanvijayan wrote:
           | Discussing this in terms of anecdotes of whether people will
           | use these tools to learn, or as mental crutches.. seems to be
           | the wrong framing.
           | 
           | Stepping back - the way fundamental technology gets adopted
           | by populations always has a distribution between those that
           | leverage it as a tool, and those that enjoy it as a luxury.
           | 
           | When the internet blew up, the population of people that
           | consumed web services dwarfed the population of people that
           | became web developers. Before that when the microcomputer
           | revolution was happening, there were once again an order of
           | magnitude more users than developers.
           | 
           | Even old tech - such as written language - has this property.
           | The number of readers dwarfs the number of writers. And even
           | within the set of all "writers", if you were to investigate
           | most text produced, you'd find that the vast majority of it
           | is falls into that long tail of insipid banter, gossip,
           | diaries, fanfiction, grocery lists, overwrought teenage love
           | letters, etc.
           | 
           | The ultimate consequences of this tech will depend on the
           | interplay between those two groups - the tool wielders and
           | the product enjoyers - and how that manifests for this
           | particular technology in this particular set of world
           | circumstances.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | > The number of readers dwarfs the number of writers.
             | 
             | That's a great observation!
             | 
             | 'Literacy' is defined as the ability to both read _and_
             | write. People as a rule can write, even if it isn 't a
             | novel worth publishing they do have the ability to encode a
             | text on a piece of paper. It's a matter of quality rather
             | than ability (at least, in most developed countries, though
             | even there there are still people who can not read or
             | write).
             | 
             | So think that you could fine-tune that observation to
             | 'there is a limited number of people that provide most of
             | the writings'. Observing for instance Wikipedia or any
             | bookstore would seem to confirm that. If you take HN as
             | your sample base then there too it holds true. If this goes
             | for one of our oldest technologies it should not be
             | surprising that on a forum dedicated to creating businesses
             | and writing the ability to both read and write are taken
             | for granted. But they shouldn't be.
             | 
             | The same goes for any other tech: the number of people
             | using electronics dwarfs the number of circuit designers,
             | the number of people using buildings dwarfs architects and
             | so on, all the way down to food consumption and farmers or
             | fishers.
             | 
             | Effectively this says: 'we tend to specialize' because
             | specialization allows each to do what they are best at.
             | Heinlein's universal person ('specialization is for
             | insects') is an outlier, not the norm, and probably sucks
             | at most of the things they claim to have ability for.
        
               | 1718627440 wrote:
               | > Heinlein's universal person ('specialization is for
               | insects') is an outlier, not the norm, and probably sucks
               | at most of the things they claim to have ability for.
               | 
               | This is quoted elsewhere in this thread
               | (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45482479). Most of
               | the things are stuff that you will be doing at some point
               | in your life, that are socially expected from every human
               | at part of human life or things you do daily. It also
               | only says you should be able to do it, it does not need
               | to be good; but should the case arise, that you are
               | required to do it, you should be able to deal with it.
        
             | johnnyanmac wrote:
             | >those that leverage it as a tool, and those that enjoy it
             | as a luxury.
             | 
             | Well the current vision right now seems to be for the
             | readers to scroll AI TikTok and for writers to produce AI
             | memes. I'm not sure who really benefits here.
             | 
             | That's my primary problem as of now. It's not necessary
             | used as some luxury tool or some means of entertainment.
             | It's effectively trying to outsource knowledge itself.
             | Using ChatGPT as a Google substitute has consequences to
             | readers, and using it to cut corners for writers has even
             | worse consequences. I don't think we've had tech like this
             | that can argued as dangerous on both sides of the aisle
             | simultaneously.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | > I don't think we've had tech like this that can argued
               | as dangerous on both sides of the aisle simultaneously.
               | 
               | On the contrary, _all_ tech is like this. It is just the
               | first time that the knowledge workers producing the tech
               | are directly affected so they see first hand the effects
               | of their labor. That really is the only thing that is
               | different.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | I really hate this dismissal of "well it's affecting YOU
               | now so now it's an issue". I'm not just "knowledge
               | worker" and have grown up seeing the dangers of the
               | internet, social media, invasion of privacy, and
               | radicalization through seemingly benign channels. I've
               | witnessed wars, unrest, and oppressions throughout all
               | stages of my life.
               | 
               | So let's not just handwave it as "nothing special" and
               | actually demonstrate why this isn't special. Most other
               | forms of technological progress have shown obvious
               | benefits to producers and consumers. Someone is always
               | harmed in the short term, yes. But society's given them
               | ways to either retire or seek new work if needed. I'm not
               | seeing that here.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | > I really hate this dismissal of "well it's affecting
               | YOU now so now it's an issue". I'm not just "knowledge
               | worker" and have grown up seeing the dangers of the
               | internet, social media, invasion of privacy, and
               | radicalization through seemingly benign channels. I've
               | witnessed wars, unrest, and oppressions throughout all
               | stages of my life.
               | 
               | Sorry, but my comment wasn't about you in particular. It
               | was about the tech domain in general. I know absolutely
               | nothing about you so I would not presume to make any
               | statements about you in that sense.
               | 
               | > But society's given them ways to either retire or seek
               | new work if needed. I'm not seeing that here.
               | 
               | No, not really. For the most part they became destitute
               | and at some point they died.
               | 
               | What you are not seeing is that this is the end stage of
               | technological progress, the point at which suddenly a
               | large fraction of the people is superfluous to the people
               | in charge. Historically such excess has been dealt with
               | by wars.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >For the most part they became destitute and at some
               | point they died
               | 
               | Having opportunity doesn't mean they will seize it. I
               | will concede that if you are disrupted and in your 50's
               | (not old enough to retire, and where it becomes difficult
               | to be re-hired unless you're management) you get hit
               | especially hard.
               | 
               | But it's hard to see the current landscape of jobs now
               | and suggest that boomers/older GenX had nothing to fall
               | back on when these things happen. These generations
               | chided millennials and Gen Z for being "too proud to work
               | a grill". Nowadays you're not even getting an interview
               | at McDonald's after submitting hundreds of applications.
               | That's not an environment that let's you "bounce back"
               | after a setback.
               | 
               | >Historically such excess has been dealt with by wars.
               | 
               | Indeed. We seem to be approaching that point, and it's
               | already broken out in several places. When all other
               | channels are exhausted, humans simply seek to overthrow
               | the ones orchestrating their oppression.
               | 
               | In this case that isn't AI. At least not yet. But it's a
               | symptom of how they've done this.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | > Having opportunity doesn't mean they will seize it.
               | 
               | Well, in that sense everybody has opportunity. But I know
               | quite a few people who definitely would not survive their
               | line of employment shutting down. A lot of them have
               | invested decades in their careers and have life
               | complications, responsibilities and expenses that stop
               | them from simply 'seizing opportunity'. For them it would
               | be the end of the line, hopefully social security would
               | catch them but if not then I have no idea how they would
               | make it.
        
         | zdragnar wrote:
         | Think of it like alcohol.
         | 
         | Some people benefit from the relaxing effects of a little bit.
         | It helped humanity get through ages of unsafe hygiene by acting
         | as a sanitizer and preservative.
         | 
         | For some people, it is a crutch that inhibits developing safe
         | coping mechanisms for anxiety.
         | 
         | For others it becomes an addiction so severe, they literally
         | risk death if they don't get some due to withdrawal, and death
         | by cirrhosis if they keep up with their consumption. They
         | literally cannot live without it or with it, unless they
         | gradually taper off over days.
         | 
         | My point isn't that AI addiction will kill you, but that what
         | might be beneficial might also become a debilitating mental
         | crutch.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _Think of it like alcohol_
           | 
           | Better analogy is processed food.
           | 
           | It makes calories cheaper, it's tasty, and in some
           | circumstances ( _e.g._ endurance sports or backpacking) is
           | materially enhances what an ordinary person can achieve. But
           | if you raise a child on it, to where it's what they reach for
           | by default, they're fucked.
        
         | techjamie wrote:
         | It comes down to how you use it, whether you're just getting an
         | answer and moving on, or if you're getting an answer and then
         | increasing your understanding on why that's the correct answer.
         | 
         | I was building a little roguelike-ish sort of game for myself
         | to test my understanding of Raylib. I was using as few external
         | resources as possible outside of the cheatsheet for functions,
         | including avoiding AI initially.
         | 
         | I ran into my first issue when trying to determine line of
         | sight. I was naively simply calculating a line along the grid
         | and tagging cells for vision if they didn't hit a solid object,
         | but this caused very inconsistent sight. I tried a number of
         | things on my own and realized I had to research.
         | 
         | All of the search results I found used Raycasting, but I wanted
         | to see if my original idea had merit, and didn't want to do
         | Raycasting. Finally, I gave up my search and gave copilot a
         | function to fill in, and it used Bresenham's Line Algorithm. It
         | was exactly what I was looking for, and also, taught me why my
         | approach didn't work consistently because there's a small
         | margin of error when calculating a line across a grid that
         | Bresenham accounts for.
         | 
         | Most people, however, won't take interest in why the AI answer
         | might work. So while it can be a great learning tool, it can
         | definitely be used in a brainless sort of way.
        
           | juped wrote:
           | Now imagine how much better
           | 
           | - the code
           | 
           | - your improvement in knowledge
           | 
           | would have been if you had skipped copilot and described your
           | problem and asked for algorithmic help?
        
             | bongodongobob wrote:
             | Now imagine that he's interested in finishing his game, not
             | the intricacies of raycasting algorithms.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | Idk, depends on the situation. Is he a student trying to
               | show stuff on a resume? Is he a professional trying to
               | sell a product? Is he a researcher trying to report
               | findings? A startup trying to land a pitch?
               | 
               | The value isn't objective and very much depends on end
               | goals.People seem to trounce out the "make games, not
               | engines" without realizing that engine programmers still
               | do exist.
        
               | techjamie wrote:
               | It was just a small personal test of skill with no
               | purpose or stakes. Not even really with intent to make a
               | real game, just a slice of something that resembled a
               | game to see how far I could get without help. Then, once
               | I got as far as I could, research and see how I could do
               | better.
        
           | wizzwizz4 wrote:
           | This reminds me of my experience using computer-assisted
           | mathematical proof systems, where the computer's proof search
           | pointed me at the Cantor-Schroder-Bernstein theorem, giving
           | me a _great_ deal of insight into the problem I was trying to
           | solve.
           | 
           | That system, of course, doesn't rely on generative AI at all:
           | all contributions to the system are appropriately attributed,
           | etc. I wonder if a similar system could be designed for
           | software?
        
         | tkgally wrote:
         | That's the problem, I think: Using AI will make some people
         | stupider overall, it will make other people smarter overall,
         | and it will make many people stupider in some ways and smarter
         | in other ways.
         | 
         | It would have been nice if the author had not overgeneralized
         | so much:
         | 
         | https://claude.ai/share/27ff0bb4-a71e-483f-a59e-bf36aaa86918
         | 
         | I'll let you decide whether my use of Claude to analyze that
         | article made _me_ smarter or stupider.
         | 
         |  _Addendum: In my prompt to Claude, I seem to have misgendered
         | the author of the article. That may answer the question about
         | the effect of AI use on me._
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | > That's the problem, I think: Using AI will make some people
           | stupider overall, it will make other people smarter overall,
           | and it will make many people stupider in some ways and
           | smarter in other ways.
           | 
           | And then:
           | 
           | > It would have been nice if the author had not
           | overgeneralized so much
           | 
           | But you just fell into the exact same trap. The effect on any
           | individual is a reflection of that person's ability in many
           | ways and on an individual level it may be all of those things
           | depending on context. That's what is so problematic: you
           | don't know to a fine degree what level of competence you have
           | relative to the AI you are interacting with so for any given
           | level of competence there are things that you will miss when
           | processing an AI's output. The more competent you are the
           | better you are able to use it. But people turn to AI when
           | they are _not_ competent and that is the problem, not that
           | when they are competent they can use it effectively. And
           | despite all of the disclaimers that is exactly the dream that
           | the AI peddlers are selling you.  'Your brain on steroids'.
           | But with the caveat that they don't know anything about your
           | brain other than what can be inferred from your prompts.
           | 
           | A good teacher will be able to spot their own errors, here
           | the pupil is supposed to be continuously on the looking for
           | utter nonsense the teacher utters with great confidence. And
           | the closer it gets to being good at some stuff the more
           | leeway it will get for the nonsense as well.
        
       | echelon wrote:
       | I feel like I these doom prognostications were also written
       | during the industrial revolution, the invention of electricity,
       | the invention of television, the invention of the internet, ...
       | 
       | We've turned out okay.
        
         | NoOn3 wrote:
         | At least someone survives all the time. For him Everything is
         | okay...
        
         | HPsquared wrote:
         | Socrates on writing
         | 
         | "For this invention will produce forgetfulness in the minds of
         | those who learn to use it, because they will not practice their
         | memory. Their trust in writing, produced by external characters
         | which are no part of themselves, will discourage the use of
         | their own memory within them. You have invented an elixir not
         | of memory, but of reminding; and you offer your pupils the
         | appearance of wisdom, not true wisdom, for they will read many
         | things without instruction and will therefore seem [275b] to
         | know many things, when they are for the most part ignorant and
         | hard to get along with, since they are not wise, but only
         | appear wise."
        
           | lapcat wrote:
           | Technically, this was the character "Socrates" in the writing
           | on Plato.
        
           | bwfan123 wrote:
           | glad you brought up a historical note.
           | 
           | Some of the best thinking across history -
           | euclid,newton,einstein - happened in the pre-computer era.
           | So, let alone AI, even computers are not necessary. Pen,
           | paper and some imagination/experimentation were sufficient.
           | 
           | Some in tech are fear mongering to seek attention.
        
           | watwut wrote:
           | That prediction qas right there, actually. We did lost the
           | memorization capabilities. Memorization is not just about
           | rote learning, it was kind of technology about how to
           | structure text so that it is easy to remember.
           | 
           | Second, Socrates was generally arrogant in stories. That
           | attitude you see there was not special disdain to reading, it
           | was more off his general "I am better then everyone else
           | anyway" attitude.
        
         | pizza234 wrote:
         | You haven't read the article, which actually says the opposite:
         | 
         | > A few weeks ago, The Argument Editor-in-Chief Jerusalem
         | Demsas asked me to write an essay about the claim that AI
         | systems would take all of our jobs within 18 months. My initial
         | reaction was ... no?
         | 
         | [...]
         | 
         | > The problem is whether we will degrade our own capabilities
         | in the presence of new machines. We are so fixated on how
         | technology will outskill us that we miss the many ways that we
         | can deskill ourselves.
         | 
         | [..]
         | 
         | > Students, scientists, and anyone else who lets AI do the
         | writing for them will find their screens full of words and
         | their minds emptied of thought.
        
       | jacquesm wrote:
       | This is already happening. In spite of all of the disclaimers
       | that the AI make mistakes the fact that it is given higher
       | billing in for instance google search results (but also lots of
       | other similar places) means people will interpret it as having a
       | higher reputation because that's how we were conditioned to
       | consume search results. This is doing massive damage already, for
       | instance, essay writing, making summaries, reading comprehension
       | and research skills are dwindling because the teachers in high
       | school (and lower as well, but that's where it is most visible)
       | are not able to keep up with the ease with which good looking
       | slop can be produced. Schools will need to radically alter their
       | programs if they want to continue to be able to educate but they
       | don't exactly turn on a dime when it comes to technology and
       | there are - unfortunately - lots of teachers who themselves lack
       | skills and the ability to transfer those skills. If you graduated
       | before AI became mainstream your diploma will be worth more than
       | those that graduated after.
        
         | watwut wrote:
         | School will have to rely on homework less. It ia nkt that deep
         | or complicated. It does not require super radical reform.
         | 
         | Ypu can still make the tests and exams checking what students
         | know. There will be less "generate bs at home" tasks and more
         | "come back with a knowledge" which will likely be an
         | improvement.
        
           | 1718627440 wrote:
           | > "generate bs at home" vs. "come back with a knowledge"
           | 
           | They are the same picture!
        
           | iisan7 wrote:
           | Except for one thing ... Schools tend not to fail many
           | people. When an entire cohort has a different level of
           | ability, standards adjust. Possibly some proctored,
           | standardized exams might be more comparable over time. I have
           | read that, controlling for student demographics, SAT scores
           | (frequently used for US college entrance) were increasing
           | until the mid 2000s and then flat since then.
        
             | 1718627440 wrote:
             | Yes that's always true for the preceding school, but it
             | really only means that the student needs to work harder or
             | fail later on as the final job enabling exam isn't going to
             | move.
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | The burden on teachers is already crazy high. That would only
           | work if we multiply the number of teachers by 3 or so with a
           | corresponding reduction in class size. The education system
           | would collapse due to funding and recruitment issues.
        
       | bamboozled wrote:
       | It's happened to me recently, I've relied so much on LLMs for
       | coding and after hours of spinning the wheel, I realized, it has
       | no idea, when it fixes something it's mostly a guess, most I've
       | the time we're just debugging by adding logging statements and
       | the code we've created looks crap and is mostly wrong, full of
       | fluff, or hard to understand.
       | 
       | I've been coding without my LLM for 2 hours and it's just more
       | productive...yes it's good for getting things "working" but yeah,
       | we still need to think and understand to solve harder problems.
       | 
       | My initial impressions blew me away because generating new things
       | is a lot simpler than fixing old things, yes it's still useful,
       | but only when you know what you're doing in the first place.
        
         | fluidcruft wrote:
         | > the code we've created looks crap and is mostly wrong, full
         | of fluff, or hard to understand
         | 
         | I don't disagree in general but I've had a lot of success
         | asking the LLMs to specifically fix these things and make
         | things more maintainable when specifically prompted to do so. I
         | agree debugging and getting things working it often needs
         | supervision, guidance and advice. And architecture it often
         | gets a little wrong and needs nudges to see the light.
         | 
         | I'm not great at this stuff and I got tired of reviewing things
         | and generating suggestions to improve implementations (it
         | seemed to be repetitive a lot) but I am having good results
         | with my latest project using simulated ecosystems with
         | adversarial sub-projects. So there's the core project I care
         | about with a maintainer agent/persona, an extension with an
         | extension developer agent/persona (the extensions provide
         | common features built upon the core with the perspective of
         | being a third-party developer), and an application developer
         | that uses both the core and extensions. I have them all write
         | reports about challenges and reviewing the sub-projects they
         | consume, complaining about awkwardness and ways the other
         | parties could be improved. Then the "owner" of each component
         | reviews the feedback to develop plans for me to evaluate and
         | approve. Very often the "user" components end up complaining
         | about complexity and inconsistency. The "owner" developers tend
         | to add a lot multiple ways of doing things when asked for new
         | features until specifically prompted to review their own code
         | to reduce redundancy, streamline use and improve
         | maintainability. But they will do it when prompted and I've
         | been pretty happy with the code and documentation it's
         | generating.
        
           | bamboozled wrote:
           | It's not the article is about though, you're doing all this
           | "engineering" to have success with the "AI". You're not
           | really "depending on it", which is more in the spirit of the
           | article and what I found myself starting to do. At some point
           | you think , I'll either do it myself, or use "AI", at which
           | point you will start to become dependent on it.
        
             | fluidcruft wrote:
             | Ah I see what you mean. I interpret "depending on it" to
             | have shifted. I want to depend on a particular project for
             | my work, and if it happened to exist on github, I would
             | have just used that. But it doesn't exist so I have created
             | a fake github "community" to develop the part that I will
             | depend on and I don't want to think about a lot of the API
             | design for things I haven't thought about yet, I just want
             | it to work and be ergonomic.
             | 
             | But my point remains specifically about the crappy code AI
             | writes. In my experience, it will clean it up if you tell
             | it to. There's the simple angle of complexity and it does
             | an okay job with that. But there's the API design side also
             | and that's what the second part is about. LLM will just add
             | dumb ass hacks all over the place when a new feature is
             | needed and that leads to a huge confusing integration mess.
             | Whereas with this setup when I want to build an extension
             | the API has been mostly worked out and when I want to build
             | an application the API has mostly been worked out. That's
             | the way it would work if I ran into a project on github I
             | wanted to depend on.
        
       | Veedrac wrote:
       | A refusal to even acknowledge that AI might work isn't a very
       | sensible refutation of the risks we're going to face.
        
         | DrewADesign wrote:
         | > A refusal to even acknowledge that AI might work isn't a very
         | sensible refutation of the risks we're going to face.
         | 
         | That's probably why they're not doing that. The core premise--
         | we will rely on AI so much that we will de-skill ourselves--
         | _requires_ acknowledging that AI works.
        
           | dns_snek wrote:
           | > The core premise-- we will rely on AI so much that we will
           | de-skill ourselves-- requires acknowledging that AI works.
           | 
           | No it doesn't require that because the vast majority of
           | people aren't rational actors and they don't optimize for the
           | quality of their work - they optimize for their own comfort
           | and emotional experience.
           | 
           | They'll happily produce and defend low quality work if they
           | get to avoid the discomfort of having to engage in
           | cognitively strenuous work, in the same way people
           | rationalize every other choice they make that's bad for them,
           | the society, the environment, and anyone else.
        
             | DrewADesign wrote:
             | It doesn't have to be perfect, or even good, to 'work': it
             | just has to perform the expected function well enough to
             | satisfy their use case, which is low-effort text generation
             | without significant quality requirements. Therefore, it
             | absolutely _works._
        
       | dcastonguay wrote:
       | My current opinion is that AI is just a thing that is going to
       | further amplify our existing tendencies (on a person-to-person
       | basis). I've personally found it to be extremely beneficial in
       | research, learning, and the category of "things that take time
       | because of the stuff you have to mechanically go through and not
       | because of the brainpower involved". I have been able to spend so
       | much more time on things that I feel require more human thinking
       | and on stuff I generally enjoy more. It has been wonderful and I
       | feel like I've been on a rocket ship of personal growth.
       | 
       | I've seen many other people who have essentially become meatspace
       | analogues for AI applications. It's sad to watch this happen
       | while listening to many of the same people complain about how AI
       | will take their jobs, without realizing that they've _given_ AI
       | their jobs by ensuring that they add nothing to the process. I
       | don't really understand yet why people don't see that they are
       | doing this to themselves.
        
         | mnky9800n wrote:
         | It fulfills steve jobs promise that a computer is a bicycle for
         | your mind. It is crazy to me that all these poeple think they
         | are going to lose their ability to think. If you didn't lose
         | your ability to think to scrolling social media then you aren't
         | going to lose it to AI. However, I think a lot of people lost
         | their ability to think by scrolling social media and that is
         | problematic. What people need to realize is that they have
         | agency over what they put in their mind and they probably
         | shouldn't put massive amounts of algorithmically determined
         | content without first considering if its going to push them in
         | a particular direction of beliefs, purchases, or lifestyle
         | choices.
        
           | mtillman wrote:
           | 1. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/255603105_The_Eff
           | ec...
           | 
           | 2. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25509828/
           | 
           | 3. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/392560878_Your_Br
           | ai...
           | 
           | I'm pretty convinced it should be used to do things humans
           | can't do instead of things humans can do well with practice.
           | However, I'm also convinced that Capital will always rely on
           | Labor to use it on their behalf.
        
             | BolexNOLA wrote:
             | That's always been the issue for me. It's not the
             | technology itself, it's that virtually the entire
             | initiative is being pushed by venture capital with a "we
             | want to make more money than God" mission that means they
             | call every person calling for caution a Luddite/anti-
             | progress. That's basically how every thing on the Internet
             | has expanded over the last 20 years and the results have
             | been, if I'm being insanely generous, mixed at best.
        
               | DrewADesign wrote:
               | I also think that being a little more cautious would have
               | yielded many, if not most of the benefits we've received
               | while avoiding many of the downfalls. Most of these
               | companies knew their products were negatively affecting
               | their users-- e.g. instagram and teen girl self esteem--
               | but actively suppressed it because it would inhibit
               | making dump trucks full of money off of it. People who
               | stand to make that money will ALWAYS say you're going to
               | ruin _everything_ if you do anything at all to impede
               | progress-- that 's ridiculous. The people that use their
               | turn signal and drive within 10mph of the speed limit
               | still reach their destination, and with dramatically less
               | risk than the people that drive pedal-to-the-metal,
               | tailgating, with that self-absorbed fuck-everybody-else
               | attitude.
        
               | mnky9800n wrote:
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VEIrQUXm_hY
        
               | BolexNOLA wrote:
               | Preach. This is exactly what I'm driving at.
        
               | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
               | I think it's more "We want to use money to become gods",
               | and AI is very much part of that.
               | 
               | They're going to be rather surprised when this doesn't
               | work as planned, for reasons that are both very obvious
               | and not obvious at all. (Yet.)
        
             | mnky9800n wrote:
             | I don't think that a couple papers counts for much of
             | anything. A couple scientific articles form an opinion
             | about a topic. The evidence shown in those papers are
             | certainly something to think about, but there hasn't been
             | enough time or effort put into the use of understanding how
             | AI technologies aide technical work and the ability to
             | solve more complex problems to make some sort of suggested
             | claim that it is inherently bad.
             | 
             | Compare this body of work to the body of work that has
             | consistently showed social media is bad for you and has
             | done so for many years. You will see a difference. Or if
             | you prefer to focus on something more physical,
             | anthropogenic climate change, the evidence for the standard
             | model of particle physics, the evidence for plate
             | tectonics, etc.
             | 
             | I'm not saying we shouldn't be skeptical that these
             | technologies might make us lazy or inable to perform
             | critical functions of technical work. I think there is a
             | great danger that these technologies essentially fulfill
             | the promise of data science across industries, that is, a
             | completely individualized experience to guide your choices
             | across digital environments. That is not the world that I
             | want to live in. But, I also don't think that my mind is
             | turning to mush because I asked Claude Code to write some
             | code to make a catboost model that would have taken me a
             | few hours to try out some idea.
        
               | visarga wrote:
               | Time goes forward, in the future when will you be in a
               | situation you can't access a LLM? Better use LLM as much
               | as possible to learn the skills of controlling agents,
               | scaffolding constrains, docs, breaking problems in such a
               | way that AI can solve them. These are the skills that
               | matter now.
               | 
               | We don't practice much using the assembler either, or the
               | slide ruler. I also lost the skill to start an old
               | Renault 12 which I owned 30 years ago, it is a complex
               | process believe me, there were some owners reaching
               | artist level at it.
        
               | mnky9800n wrote:
               | Exactly. Why should I not learn new things and how they
               | work? What is the point of living if not learning new
               | things?
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >in the future when will you be in a situation you can't
               | access a LLM?
               | 
               | In an interview setting, while in a meeting, if you're
               | idling on a problem while traveling or doing other work,
               | while you are in an area with weak reception, if your
               | phone is dead?
               | 
               | There are plenty of situations where my problem solving
               | does not involve being directly at my work station. I
               | figured out a solution to a recent problem while at the
               | doctor's office and after deciding to check the API docs
               | more closely instead of bashing my head on the compiler.
               | 
               | >We don't practice much using the assembler either, or
               | the slide ruler.
               | 
               | Treating your ability to research and critically think as
               | yet another tool is exactly why I'm pessimistic about the
               | discipline of the populace using AI. These aren't skills
               | you use 9-5 then turn off as you head back home.
        
               | pojzon wrote:
               | Apple will most likely inject LLM model into iphone
               | directly. It wont be amazing but it will work for most
               | things.
               | 
               | Sad truth is future will most likely invalidate all
               | ,,knowledge" beside critical thinking.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | > I'm pretty convinced it should be used to do things
             | humans can't do instead of things humans can do well with
             | practice. However, I'm also convinced that Capital will
             | always rely on Labor to use it on their behalf.
             | 
             | When computers were new, they were on occasion referred to
             | as "electronic brains" due to their capacity for
             | arithmetic.
             | 
             | Humans can, with practice, do arithmetic well.
             | 
             | A Raspberry Pi Zero can do arithmetic faster than the
             | combined efforts of every single living human even if we
             | all trained hard and reached the level of the current
             | record holder.
             | 
             | Should we stop using computers to do arithmetic just
             | because we can also do arithmetic, or should we allow
             | ourselves to benefit from the way that "quantity has a
             | quality all of its own"*?
             | 
             | * Like so many quotes, attributed to lots of different
             | people. Funny how unreliable humans can be with information
             | :P
        
           | AlecSchueler wrote:
           | > If you didn't lose your ability to think to scrolling
           | social media ...
           | 
           | Didn't we?
        
             | jader201 wrote:
             | > _However, I think a lot of people lost their ability to
             | think by scrolling social media and that is problematic._
        
               | KerrAvon wrote:
               | Specifically, most of the billionaires. They're all
               | deranged lunatics now, between COVID, social media, and
               | being told they couldn't say the n-word with impunity for
               | two weeks back in 2020.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | They always were. COVID just had them fully mask off (no
               | pun intended). I still remember Musk trying to call those
               | cave rescuers pedophiles because they wouldn't use his
               | plan instead. That was 2018.
        
           | jhbadger wrote:
           | Being a "bicycle for the mind" is a fine thing for technology
           | to be. The problem is just as with bicycles that's too much
           | work for a lot of people and they would prefer "cars for the
           | mind" in which they have to do nothing.
        
             | daxfohl wrote:
             | Even cars are too much. Give me a Waymo. Or better yet just
             | let me stay home and doom scroll while my life gets
             | delivered to my doorstep.
             | 
             | Geesh, doorbell again. Last mile problem? C'mon. Whoever
             | solves the last 30 feet problem is the real hero.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | > Whoever solves the last 30 feet problem is the real
               | hero.
               | 
               | Paintball gun, except with cream fillings instead of
               | paint, and softer shells so they can be fired straight
               | into people's mouths.
        
           | bgwalter wrote:
           | Except that generative "AI" is a tricycle for the mind that
           | prevents you from ever learning how to ride a bicycle.
        
             | j4coh wrote:
             | It's more like a bus where you can sit there and stare out
             | the window if you like. But somehow it also gives people
             | the illusion that they are driving the bus, giving them a
             | sense of self satisfaction while robbing them of the
             | opportunity to actually create or learn something.
        
           | MattRix wrote:
           | It's less like a bicycle for the mind, and more like a bus.
           | Sure you're gonna get there quickly, but you'll to end up at
           | the same place as a bunch of other people, and you won't
           | remember the route you took to get there.
        
           | program_whiz wrote:
           | Honestly I feel my skills atrophying if I rely on AI too
           | much, and many people I interact with are much weaker still
           | (trying to vibe code without ever learning). To take your
           | analogy further, having a single speed bike lets you go
           | further faster and doesn't have a big impact on your "skills"
           | (physical in this case), but deferring all transport to cars,
           | and then to an electric scooter so you never have to walk
           | definitely will cause your endurance / physical ability to
           | walk to disappear. We are creatures that require constant use
           | of and exercise of our capabilities or the system crumbles.
           | Especially for high-skill activities (language, piano, video
           | games, programming), proficiency can wane extremely quickly
           | without constant practice.
        
         | password54321 wrote:
         | The post was largely about young people who are growing up with
         | these tools and are still at the stage of developing their
         | habits and tendencies. Personally I am glad I learnt
         | programming before LLMs even if it meant the tedious searches
         | on stackoverflow because I didn't feel like I was coming up
         | against a wave of new technology when it came to future job
         | searches. Having done so I can understand and appreciate the
         | _intrinsic_ value of learning these things but western culture
         | is largely about _extrinsic_ values that may lead to the future
         | generation on missing out on learning certain skills.
        
           | jstanley wrote:
           | Personally I am glad I learnt programming before
           | StackOverflow! Precisely because it meant I had to learn to
           | figure things out myself.
           | 
           | I still _use_ StackOverflow and LLMs, but if those things
           | were available when I was learning I would probably not have
           | learnt as much.
        
             | mcny wrote:
             | I started programming before stack overflow, was never any
             | good (still am not to this day), but I was always scared of
             | asking questions on stack overflow. I felt like there was a
             | certain amount of homework expected when you ask a question
             | and usually by the time I did enough work to post a
             | question, it was moot because I would have solved my
             | problem usually by stringing together two or more stack
             | overflow questions to understand my problem better.
             | 
             | The change with LLM is I can now just ask my hare brained
             | questions first and figure out why it was a stupid question
             | later
        
               | skydhash wrote:
               | I can't check, but I don't think I've ever asked
               | questions on StackOverflow, or even Reddit. Maybe I'm
               | lucky, but my searches have always given me enough leads
               | to find my own solutions or where to find them. There's a
               | lot of documentations and tips floating around the
               | internet. And for a lot of technologies, the code is
               | available as well (or a debugger).
        
               | gertlex wrote:
               | I always enjoyed documenting things. So got great delight
               | out of carefully asking the few questions I was really
               | stuck on on stack overflow... and then half the time
               | later coming up with a solution and adding that good
               | answer.
               | 
               | (Mostly this ended up being weird Ubuntu things relating
               | to usecases specific to robots... not normal programming
               | stuff)
        
               | latexr wrote:
               | _Of course_ you're supposed to put in work, _that's how
               | you learn_. You have to _think through_ your problem, not
               | just look at the back of the math book to copy the
               | answer.
               | 
               | The problem with Stack Overflow is not that it makes you
               | do the work--that's a good thing--but that it's too often
               | too pedantic and too inattentive to the question to
               | realise the asker _did_ put in the work, explained the
               | problem well, and the question is not a duplicate. The
               | reason it became such a curmudgeonly place is precisely
               | due to a constant torrent of people treating it like you
               | described it, _not_ putting in the effort.
        
               | catlifeonmars wrote:
               | I originally learned programming by answering questions
               | on StackOverflow. It was (unsurprisingly) quite brutal,
               | but forced me to dive deep into documentation and try
               | everything out to make sure I understood the behavior.
               | 
               | I can't speak to whether this is a good approach for
               | anyone else (or even for myself ~15 years later) but it
               | served to ingrain in me the habit of questioning
               | everything and poking at things from multiple angles to
               | make sure I had a good mental model.
               | 
               | All that is to say, there is something to be said for
               | answering "stupid" questions yourself (your own or other
               | people's).
        
               | blooalien wrote:
               | > ... "it served to ingrain in me the habit of
               | questioning everything and poking at things from multiple
               | angles to make sure I had a good mental model."
               | 
               | Way back in "Ye olden days" (Apple ][ era) my first
               | "computer teacher" was a teacher's assistant who had
               | wrangled me (and a few other students) an hour a day each
               | on the school's mostly otherwise un-used Apple ][e. He
               | plopped us down in front of the thing with a stack of
               | manuals, magazines, and floppy discs and let us have at
               | it. "You wanna learn computer programming? You're gonna
               | have to read..." :)
        
               | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
               | Oh, yeah.
               | 
               | SO is infamous for treating question-askers badly.
               | 
               | I have used LLMs for some time, and have no intentions of
               | ever going back to SO. I get tired of being insulted.
               | 
               |  _> The only stupid question is the one you don 't ask.
               | 
               | - A poster on my old art teacher's studio wall._
        
               | bloomca wrote:
               | Pretty much this. Even in topics I'm decently
               | knowledgeable, I feel like the vibe from SO answers will
               | be "just read the spec" or source code; so I usually was
               | able to string other answers together.
               | 
               | With LLMs you can start with first principles, confirm
               | basic knowledge (of course, it hallucinates but I find
               | it's not that hard to verify things most of the time) or
               | just get pointers where to dive deeper.
        
               | lisbbb wrote:
               | That's interesting. When SO came out, I was a big
               | contributor, all in on getting the karma points and
               | whatnots. Eventually, I realized I was being bullied by a
               | bunch of Europeans who had never actually worked a real
               | job in their entire lives and were, for lack of a better
               | term, "software enthusiasts." Invariably, I would answer
               | something based on actual experience only to get
               | downvoted because some idiot hobbyist thought it was
               | incorrect. The thing about this biz is that there are
               | things that are blatantly incorrect for sure, but all
               | correctness is some shade of gray, highly dependent on
               | particular situations. People who lack experience have no
               | sense of any of that, though.
               | 
               | A second major issue with SO is that answers decay over
               | time. So a good answer back in 2014 is a junk answer
               | today. Thus, I would get drive by downvotes on years old
               | discussions, which is simply irritating.
               | 
               | So I quit SO and never bothered to answer another single
               | question ever again.
               | 
               | SO has suffered from enshitification, and though I
               | despise that term, it does sort of capture how sites like
               | SO went from excellent resources into cesspools of filth
               | and fools.
               | 
               | That LLMs are trained on that garbage is amusing.
        
             | 1718627440 wrote:
             | > Personally I am glad I learnt programming before
             | StackOverflow!
             | 
             | I have not, but at the beginner level you don't really need
             | it, there are tons of tutorials and language documentation
             | that is easier to understand. Also beginners feel
             | absolutely discouraged to ask anything, because even if the
             | question is not a real duplicate, you use all terms wrong
             | and thus get downvoted to hell and then your question is
             | marked as a duplicate to something, that doesn't even
             | answer your question.
             | 
             | Later it's quite nice to ask for clarifications of e.g. the
             | meaning of something specific in a protocol or the
             | behaviour of a particular program. But quite quickly you
             | don't actually get any satisfying answers, so you revert to
             | just read the source code of the actual program and are
             | surprised how easy that actually was. (I mean it's still
             | hard every time you start with a new unknown program, but
             | it's easier than expected.)
             | 
             | Also when you implement a protocol, asking questions on
             | StackOverflow doesn't scale. Not because the time you need
             | to wait for answers; even if that were zero, it still takes
             | to long time and is deeply unsatisfying to develop a
             | holistic enough understanding to write the code. So you
             | start reading the RFCs and quickly appreciate how logically
             | and understandable they are. You first curse how
             | unstructured anything is and then you recognize that the
             | order follows what you need to write and you can just trust
             | the text and write the algorithm down. Then you see that
             | the order in which the protocol is described actually works
             | quite well for async and wonder what the legacy code did,
             | because not deviating from the standard is actually easier.
             | 
             | At some point you don't understand the standard, there will
             | be no answer on StackOverflow, the LLM just agrees with you
             | for every conflicting interpretation you suggest, so you
             | hate everything and start reading other implementations. So
             | no, you still need to figure out a lot for yourself.
        
             | obscurette wrote:
             | My professor at uni said that people who have learned to
             | search for information before the internet came along are
             | the best at searching for information on the internet. My
             | personal experience agrees and I'm very glad I'm one of
             | such people.
        
             | crazygringo wrote:
             | Good lord, I'm not glad.
             | 
             | It was _horrible_. Because it wasn 't about "figuring
             | things out for yourself." I mean, if the answer was
             | available in a programming language or library manual, then
             | debugging was easy.
             | 
             | No, the problem was you spent 95% of your debugging time
             | working around bugs and unspecified behavior _in the
             | libraries and API 's_. Bugs in Windows, bugs in DLL's, bugs
             | in everything.
             | 
             | Very frequently something just _wouldn 't work_ even though
             | it was supposed to, you'd waste an entire day trying to get
             | the library call to work (what if you called it with less
             | data? what if you used different flags?), and then another
             | day rewriting your code to use a different library call,
             | and praying that worked instead. The amount of time utterly
             | _wasted_ was just _massive_. You didn 't learn anything.
             | You just suffered.
             | 
             | In contrast, today you just search from the problem you're
             | encountering and find StackOverflow answers and GitHub
             | issues describing your exact problem, why it's happening,
             | and what the solution is.
             | 
             | I'm _so happy_ people today don 't suffer the way we used
             | to suffer. When I look back, it seems positively
             | masochistic.
        
               | 1718627440 wrote:
               | It's true that the time figuring out the buggy behaviour
               | would now be less, but the buggy API doesn't go away
               | only, because it exists on Github. If you would be able
               | to change the source code now, you would've been able to
               | fix it back then.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >I'm so happy people today don't suffer the way we used
               | to suffer.
               | 
               | TBF Ali bugs in some framework you're using still
               | happens. The problem wasn't eliminated, just moved to the
               | next layer.
               | 
               | Those debugging skills are the most important part of
               | working with legacy software (which is what nearly all
               | industry workers work in). It sucks but is necessary for
               | success in this metric.
        
               | crazygringo wrote:
               | My point wasn't that the bugs don't exist anymore.
               | Obviously they still do.
               | 
               | My point is that I can frequently figure out how to work
               | around them in 5 minutes rather than 2 days, because
               | someone else already did that work. I can find out that a
               | different function call is the answer, or a weird flag
               | that doesn't do what the documentation says, or whatever
               | it is.
               | 
               | And _my_ problem of it taking _two days_ to debug
               | something _is_ eliminated, usually.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >My point is that I can frequently figure out how to work
               | around them in 5 minutes rather than 2 days
               | 
               | Guess I'm just dumb then. I'm still taking days to work
               | around some esoteric, underdocumented API issues in my
               | day-to-day work.
        
               | crazygringo wrote:
               | Guess you missed my use of the words "frequently" and
               | "usually", which I intentionally used instead of
               | "always".
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | I guess I should have used "frequently" and "usually"
               | when describing that I constantly run into problems
               | relating to API's that cause mini-rabbit holes.
               | 
               | The thing is these API's are probably just as massive as
               | old school OS cosebases, so I'm always tripping into new
               | landmines. I can be doing high level gameplay stuff one
               | week. Then the next week I need to figure out how
               | authoring assets works, and then the next week I'm
               | performing physics queries to manage character state. All
               | in the same API that must span 10s of millions of lines
               | of code at this point.
        
               | lisbbb wrote:
               | I don't know that it's that much easier today. I ran into
               | lots of odd issues with Next.js and authentication and
               | there wasn't a whole heck of a lot of useful info out
               | there about it. Github does help, but you have to wait
               | for the devs to reply.
               | 
               | There are tons of obfuscated Java jar libraries out there
               | that are not upgradeable that companies have built
               | mission critical systems around only to find out they
               | can't easily move to JVM 17 or 25 or whatever and they
               | don't like hearing that.
        
               | lisbbb wrote:
               | All the while having some dolt of a PM asking for status
               | updates.
        
             | fragmede wrote:
             | Not to out myself as old, but I learned to program before
             | ChatGPT before stack overflow and before Google. There are
             | some here that are even older. There were paper books with
             | indexes. Indexes!
             | 
             | That way of life is gone for me. I've got a smartphone and
             | I doomscroll to my detriment. What's new and fascinating to
             | me is the models themselves. https://fi-le.net/oss/
             | currently trending here is the tip of a whole new area of
             | study and work.
        
               | leptons wrote:
               | I've been programming for 46 years. The first program I
               | wrote was on a piece of notebook paper, in anticipation
               | of getting my first computer a few weeks later (Atari
               | 400).
        
               | fragmede wrote:
               | How has your experience with AI been?
        
               | leptons wrote:
               | Not great, honestly. It's rather like pulling a lever on
               | a slot machine. And I'm not really into gambling.
        
               | blooalien wrote:
               | > Wasn't that the boxy little thing that had "Cartridge
               | BASIC" on a little brick thing that you plugged in just
               | like Atari videogame cartridges on the Atari 5200 game
               | console?
        
           | agentcoops wrote:
           | I agree with you on the question of extrinsic values and do
           | not envy people who are starting college right now, trying to
           | make decisions about an extra-ordinarily unclear future. I
           | recently became a father and I try to convince myself that in
           | eighteen years we'll at least finally know whether it has all
           | been hype or not.
           | 
           | However, on the intrinsic value of these new tools when
           | developing habits and skills, I just think about the
           | irreplaceable role that the (early) internet played in my own
           | development and how incredible an LLM would have been. People
           | are still always impressed whenever a precocious high
           | schooler YouTubes his way to an MVP SaaS launch -- I hope and
           | expect the first batch of LLM-accompanied youth to emerge
           | will have set their sights higher.
        
             | johnnyanmac wrote:
             | >However, on the intrinsic value of these new tools when
             | developing habits and skills, I just think about the
             | irreplaceable role that the (early) internet played in my
             | own development and how incredible an LLM would have been.
             | 
             | I don't know about that. Early internet taught me I still
             | need to put in work to to find answers. I still had to read
             | human input (even though I lurked) and realize a lot of
             | information was lies and trolls (if not outright scams). I
             | couldn't just rely on a few sites to tell me everything and
             | had to figure out how to refine my search queries. The
             | early internet was like being thrown into a wilderness in
             | many ways, you pick up survival skills as you go along even
             | if no one teaches you.
             | 
             | I feel an LLM would temper all the curiosity I gained in
             | those times. I wouldn't have the discipline to use an LLM
             | the "right way". Clearly many adults today don't either.
        
         | catigula wrote:
         | I think what you will find is that many people fundamentally
         | _don 't care_ about their job for various reasons, chiefly of
         | which is most likely that they don't feel fairly compensated,
         | and thus outsourcing their labor to AI isn't the fundamental
         | identify transplant you think it is.
        
         | zelphirkalt wrote:
         | The problem is, that many people are also incapable of adding
         | much to the process. We have had that kind of situation long
         | before "AI". There are tons of gatekeepers and other types of
         | people out there, that are a net negative, wherever they are
         | employed, either by doing bad work, which someone else needs to
         | clean up after them, or by destroying work culture with silly
         | shortsighted dogmatism of how things must work, clueless middle
         | management, and so on. We need to leave these people somewhere.
         | Maybe with "AI" a few more of these are revealed, but the
         | problem stays the same. Where do we leave all these people?
         | What task can we give them, that is not dehumanizing can we
         | give them, where they will be a positive, instead of net
         | negative to society? Or do we leave it all up to chance, that
         | one day they will find something they are actually good at, and
         | that doesn't result in net negative for humanity? What is the
         | future of all the people? UBI and letting them figure it out
         | doesn't look like such a bad idea.
        
       | zdw wrote:
       | For an example of where this already happened, look at the number
       | of people who literally don't have a minor inkling of how to plan
       | a route or navigate without a GPS and mapping software.
       | 
       | Sure, having a real-time data source is nice for avoiding
       | construction/traffic, and I'd use a real-time map, but going
       | beyond that to be spoon fed your next action over and over leads
       | to dependency.
        
         | heisenbit wrote:
         | GPS allowed me to go where I would have been hesitant to
         | venture before.
        
           | PessimalDecimal wrote:
           | Can you draw this analogy or a bit? What hesitation has an
           | LLM helped you overcome?
        
         | LPisGood wrote:
         | Why do you consider relying on navigation apps to be over
         | dependency? Planning a route is basically an entirely useless
         | skill for most people, and if they do need to for some odd
         | reason, it's pretty easy.
        
           | zdw wrote:
           | In my observation of others, it's not an easy skill unless
           | you've done it before. Most people have little idea where
           | they are and no idea what they would do next if the turn-by-
           | turn tech failed on them. I'd argue it is useful the first
           | time you want to take a scenic route, or optimize for things
           | other than shortest travel time, like a loop bike route that
           | avoids major streets.
           | 
           | Not to say that apps aren't useful in replacing the paper
           | map, or doing things like adding up the times required (which
           | isn't new - there used to be tables in the back of many maps
           | with distances and durations between major locations).
        
             | 1718627440 wrote:
             | > In my observation of others, it's not an easy skill
             | unless you've done it before.
             | 
             | I always feel like they aren't even trying. Like you just
             | make a point were you are, a point were you want to do,
             | draw a straight line, take the nearest streets, and then
             | you can optimize ad libitum.
        
               | zelphirkalt wrote:
               | Shockingly, many people don't dare doing that any longer.
        
         | WillAdams wrote:
         | And for the societal cost of that see stories such as:
         | 
         | https://www.npr.org/2011/07/26/137646147/the-gps-a-fatally-m...
         | 
         | and for the way this mindset erodes values and skills:
         | 
         | https://www.marinecorpstimes.com/news/your-marine-corps/2018...
        
           | IshKebab wrote:
           | The "societal cost" you linked literally says this happens
           | with paper maps too. The cause is incorrect maps, not GPS.
           | 
           | (And of course, idiotic behaviour... but GPS doesn't cause
           | that.)
           | 
           | Overall GPS has been an absolutely _enormous_ benefit for
           | society with barely any downside other than nostalgia for map
           | reading.
        
             | zelphirkalt wrote:
             | I think that is exactly the point, that leads people to act
             | in idiotic ways: GPS has been too damn good, so people
             | blindly trust it, even second guessing or ignoring their
             | own perception. The more reliable and easy to access a tool
             | is, the more we trust it and often blindly trust it.
        
         | AndrewKemendo wrote:
         | But this is just proof that long ago we ceded
         | 
         | The ballad of John Henry was written in the 1840s
         | 
         | "Does the engine get rewarded for its steam?" That was the
         | anti-automation line back then
         | 
         | If you gave up anything that was previously called "AI" we
         | would not have computers, cars, airplanes or any type of
         | technology whatsoever anywhere
        
           | johnnyanmac wrote:
           | >Does the engine get rewarded for its steam?" That was the
           | anti-automation line back then
           | 
           | Sure, and it was wrong because it turns out the conductor
           | does get rewarded. Given train strikes that had to be denied
           | as recently as a few years ago, it's clear that's an
           | essential role 150 years later.
           | 
           | With how they want to frame AI as replacing labor, who's
           | being rewarded long term for its thinking? Who's really being
           | serviced?
        
             | AndrewKemendo wrote:
             | Then its firmly an organizational problem with how reward
             | is allocated in human society.
             | 
             | Humans haven't figured out how to include all humans and
             | ecological systems into the same "tribe" and therefore the
             | infighting between artificially segregated human groups,
             | disconnected with ecological "externalities" which prevents
             | a sustainable cooperative solution.
             | 
             | So most likely it will continue to be a small number of
             | humans dominating the rest with increasingly powerful tools
             | that reduce the number of humans required to act in active
             | domination or displacement roles.
             | 
             | Humanity long ago decided that its everyone for themselves
             | and to encode "might makes right" into ritual, mythology
             | and organizational formation-operations.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | Yes. And do we know what this leads to in history?
               | Conflicts, violent uprising, coups, and wars. At some
               | point, the population reaches a breaking point and outs
               | the oppressors. This happening as recent as last month,
               | so 2025 isn't any different from 1525.
               | 
               | The tool itself doesn't matter, but the people are
               | falling into the same cycle once again. I can see LLM's
               | used ethically and carefully managed to assist the
               | populace. That's clearly not what's happening and is the
               | entire reason I'm against them. It's tiring being
               | dismissed as a luddite just because I don't want big tech
               | to yet again recklessly ransack the populace with no
               | oversight.
        
         | foxglacier wrote:
         | It seems arbitrary to set the limit of how much pointless
         | busywork we need as just the amount you're used to. Maybe maps
         | are already dumbing it down too much and we should work out
         | directions from a textual description of landmarks and compass
         | bearings that's not specific to our route? In my opinion,
         | dependency on turn-by-turn directions is fine because we do
         | actually have the machines to do it for us. We're equally
         | dependent on all sorts of useful things that free us to think
         | about something actually useful that really can't be done for
         | us. For example, consumer law means we can walk into a shop and
         | buy something without negotiating a contract with each seller
         | and working out all the ways we might get cheated.
         | 
         | Maybe the place to draw the line is different for each
         | individual and depends on if they're really spending their
         | freed-up time doing something useful or wasting it doing
         | something unproductive and self-destructive.
        
         | jncfhnb wrote:
         | I don't have an inkling of how to navigate. I don't really see
         | the problem.
        
           | 1718627440 wrote:
           | I just can't comprehend how people can accept that. I mean
           | sure you can use your handheld computer, but when I wouldn't
           | know where I am and what I need to do to go to where I intend
           | to be, I would feel very alone, lost and abandoned, like
           | being Napoleon on Elba. In a completely foreign city, often I
           | just look at a map before the journey for the general
           | direction and then just keep running, without thinking much.
           | That works quite well, because street design is actually
           | logical and where it isn't there are signs. I'm surprised
           | that you often wouldn't even need a map; because you just
           | need to look at the signs, they will tell you.
        
             | jncfhnb wrote:
             | Idk man I think maybe you should consider that there's no
             | upside to this insecurity.
             | 
             | I've blitzed through the formerly famous Tokyo subway
             | system mindlessly without a clue.
             | 
             | I have utterly no idea what the different us highways in my
             | area are but it's never really affected me besides being
             | unable to join in mundane discussions of traffic on 95 or
             | whatever
        
         | port11 wrote:
         | I always thought I had a good sense of navigation, until I
         | realised it was getting quite bad.
         | 
         | More or less at the same time I found "Human Being: Reclaim 12
         | Vital Skills We're Losing to Technology", and the chapter on
         | navigation hit me so hard I put the book down and refused to
         | read any more until my navigation skills improved.
         | 
         | They're quite good now. I sit at the toilet staring at the map
         | of my city, which I now know quite well. No longer navigate
         | with my phone.
         | 
         | I'm scared about the chapter on communication, which I'm going
         | through right now.
         | 
         | I do think we're losing those skills, and offloading more
         | thinking to technology will further erode your own abilities.
         | Perhaps you think you'll spend more time in high-cognition
         | activities, but will you? Will all of us?
        
           | 1718627440 wrote:
           | > and the chapter on navigation hit me so hard I
           | 
           | Don't leave as hanging, what were they saying?
        
             | port11 wrote:
             | Hmm, it's very well written and I don't mean to butcher it.
             | It touches on how the people of Polinesia would navigate
             | and do it better than Western colonisers. It mentions
             | tricks such as memorising reference points, understanding
             | the cardinal directions, and whatnot. Print a map of your
             | city and put it in the loo. I don't know, it's a great book
             | and I won't do it any justice.
        
           | johnnyanmac wrote:
           | >Perhaps you think you'll spend more time in high-cognition
           | activities, but will you? Will all of us?
           | 
           | When I can get a full time job again, I plan to. I was trying
           | to learn how to 3d model before the tech scene exploded 3
           | years ago. I'm probably not trying to take back all 12
           | factors (I'm fine with where my writing is as of now, even if
           | it is subpar), but I am trying to focus on what parts are
           | important to me as a person and not take any shortcuts out of
           | them.
        
         | crazygringo wrote:
         | And so what? Why not be dependent?
         | 
         | I grew up with a glove box full of atlases in my car. On one
         | job, I probably spent 30 minutes a day planning the ~4h of
         | driving I'd do daily to different sites. Looking up roads in
         | indexes, locating grid numbers, finding connecting roads
         | spanning pages 22-23, 42-43, 62-63, and 64-65. Marking them and
         | trying not to get confused with other markings I'd made over
         | the past months. Getting to intersections and having no idea
         | which way to turn because the angles were completely different
         | from on the map (yes this is a thing with paper maps) and you
         | couldn't see any road signs and the car behind you is honking.
         | 
         | What a waste of time. It didn't make me stronger or smarter or
         | a better person. I don't miss it the same way I don't miss long
         | division.
        
           | tdrz wrote:
           | > It didn't make me stronger or smarter or a better person.
           | 
           | Yes, it did.
        
             | crazygringo wrote:
             | Believe me, it didn't.
             | 
             | Planning routes isn't exactly rocket science. There's not
             | much to learn. It just takes a lot of time. It's busywork.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >Planning routes isn't exactly rocket science. There's
               | not much to learn.
               | 
               | And people can't go that far to begin with. SThat's the
               | scary part.
               | 
               | These little things we think of as insignificant add up
               | and give us our ability to think. Change how we perceive
               | and navigate (no pun intended) the world. Letting one or
               | two of these factors rust probably won't cost us, but how
               | far off are we really from the WALL-E future of we
               | automate all our cognition, our spatial reasoning, and
               | our curiosity?
        
               | crazygringo wrote:
               | Yeah but it's not like everyone could back then either.
               | My mom had a masters degree but couldn't read a map to
               | save her life. On the other hand, I never "learned", it
               | was just obvious. I could rotate in my brain without
               | trying.
               | 
               | I think we're nowhere close to WALL-E, nor are we headed
               | in that direction. For everything that becomes easier,
               | new harder skills become more important.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >. For everything that becomes easier, new harder skills
               | become more important.
               | 
               | I'll ask point blank, then: what new "hard skills" are
               | becoming more important in the short and mid terms that
               | you see on the horizon? My biggest fears are that the
               | technocrats very much want to raise a generation of
               | "sheep" dependent on them to think. They don't need
               | thinkers, only consumers.
        
               | crazygringo wrote:
               | In software development specifically, as line-level
               | coding and testing becomes more automated, CS skills are
               | going to migrate more to architecture, rigorous design
               | documents, scalability, design patterns, and managing
               | fleets of AI agents. All that is conceptually _hard_.
               | 
               | And then communication, management, and people skills
               | become more important each year. That's not stopping.
               | It's only becoming more valuable, and a lot of people
               | need to get a lot better at it.
               | 
               | Being an effective software developer is going to get
               | much more challenging, skills-wise, over the next couple
               | decades as productivity expectations rise exponentially.
               | 
               | And this is going to be the same in every knowledge work
               | field. People will be using AI to orchestrate and
               | supervise 20x the amount of work, and that's an
               | incredibly demanding skill set.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >CS skills are going to migrate more to architecture,
               | rigorous design documents, scalability, design patterns,
               | and managing fleets of AI agents. All that is
               | conceptually hard.
               | 
               | I've heard this a decade ago as well (replace Ai agents
               | with distributed cloud clusters). Instead it seems like
               | industry wants to kick out all the expertise and
               | outsource as much grunt work as possible to maintain what
               | is already there. So I not too optimistic that the
               | industry will be looking for proper architects. We're
               | pushing more CRUD than ever under the guisd of cutting
               | edge tech.
               | 
               | We're not working smarter, we're trying to work cheaper.
               | We'd need a huge cultural shift to really show me that
               | this won't be even more true on 10 years. That's why I'm
               | slowly trying to pivot to a role not reliant on such
               | industry practices
        
       | lapcat wrote:
       | I feel lucky now that I grew up and attended school before
       | ChatGPT, before smartphones, before social media, before
       | ubiquitious internet.
       | 
       | I can't say that I'm totally unaffected by contemporary
       | technology, and my attention span seems to have suffered a
       | little, but I think I'm mostly still intact. I read most days for
       | pleasure and have started a book club. I deliberately take long
       | walks without bringing my smartphone; it's a great feeling of
       | freedom, almost like going back to a simpler time.
        
         | majorbugger wrote:
         | I feel quite similar, thankfully I grew up in the 90s/early
         | 00s, and still love to read.
        
       | Trias11 wrote:
       | AI is just a helpful tool.
       | 
       | Ages ago someone surely cried that cars will cause our legs to
       | disfunction.
        
         | WillAdams wrote:
         | Given the current obesity epidemic, I would argue that is the
         | case --- a marked contrast to the development of the bicycle:
         | 
         | https://www.roadbikereview.com/threads/editorial-the-bicycle...
         | 
         | >When man invented the bicycle he reached the peak of his
         | attainments. Here was a machine of precision and balance for
         | the convenience of man. And (unlike subsequent inventions for
         | man's convenience) the more he used it, the fitter his body
         | became. Here, for once, was a product of man's brain that was
         | entirely beneficial to those who used it, and of no harm or
         | irritation to others.
         | 
         | ~ Elizabeth West, Author of Hovel in the Hills
        
         | majorbugger wrote:
         | Smartphones are just a helpful tool, yet in conjunction with
         | social media they can be attributed to decline of social
         | relations and attention in children, raising levels of
         | depression, etc.
        
         | watwut wrote:
         | Considering some people have problem to walk even short
         | distances, it happened for those who drive everywhere.
        
       | PartiallyTyped wrote:
       | Our new batch of interns and new grads relies too much on AI,
       | they have a lot of trouble thinking and writing for themselves.
        
       | brador wrote:
       | AI is here. AGI is here. Moving those goalposts again isn't gonna
       | do a thing.
       | 
       | The human/machine meld will continue until completed.
       | 
       | Call me when a machine can set goals.
        
       | raincole wrote:
       | When it comes to "humans collectively..." kind of grand scheme
       | issues, I just can't take the risk of AI making us stupider too
       | seriously, compared to:
       | 
       | - Wars and violence to resolve geopolitical problems
       | 
       | - The biggest trading partner of most countries is waging tariff
       | warfare
       | 
       | - Climate change
       | 
       | - Declining birth rate in almost every country
       | 
       | - Healthier foods are getting more expensive despite our
       | technology and nutrition knowledge [0]
       | 
       | I'm not saying there is 0 chance that AI will make people dumb,
       | but it just doesn't seem to be such an emergency humans should
       | collectively be worried about.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpql53p9w14o.amp
        
         | justonceokay wrote:
         | I don't want to nitpick but the declining birthrate is almost
         | certainly driven by us becoming smarter, not dumber. In most
         | countries the birthrate was propped up heavily by teen
         | pregnancy, which the internet and access to healthcare is
         | slowly eradicating worldwide.
         | 
         | If we as humans can't maintain our current population without
         | getting high schoolers pregnant, then so be it.
        
           | raincole wrote:
           | I didn't say declining birth rate is a result of people being
           | dumber.
           | 
           | And I also don't think higher education necessarily means
           | smarter. I'm quite confident that in the next decade,
           | worldwide educational attainment will keep rising with only
           | some temporary setbacks. If making people smart is as simple
           | as sending them to colleges we really have nothing to worry
           | about.
           | 
           | But anyway neither was my point.
        
         | foxglacier wrote:
         | You've been reading too much news. There are global societal
         | risks but they're not just whatever the popular bogeymen of
         | hour are supposed to be. Some of your concerns might even be
         | backwards. I doubt you've critically thought about any of these
         | and are just regurgitating what was fed to you.
         | 
         | If you lived in an earlier time, you'd be worrying about the
         | rise of homosexuality, communism, atheism, etc.
        
           | raincole wrote:
           | The exact same argument can be made for people who claiming
           | AI would make us dumber:
           | 
           | If they lived in an earlier time, they'd be worrying about
           | the rise of google, the internet, tv, radio... were going to
           | make people stop using their brains. Socrates believed
           | writing was going to make people stop memorizing stuff.
           | 
           | I'm not a doomsayer who thinks the world is on the edge of
           | collapsing. But I do think the issues I listed are much more
           | 'real' than AI making people stop thinking. (Including the
           | birth rate one - yeah, I'm well aware that many people think
           | it's a good thing. As someone whose mother worked at a
           | nursing home, in a country with TFR of 0.78, I just don't
           | agree with them. I believe people hugely underestimate the
           | manpower needed to take care of the elderly and disabled.)
        
             | questionableans wrote:
             | At a global level, a more reasonably sized human population
             | is exactly what we need, and a decline in birth rate is the
             | most ethical way to achieve that. We have to find a way to
             | make it work, because otherwise our trajectory takes us
             | beyond the carrying capacity for our planet.
             | 
             | There are three things we need to deal with the temporary
             | population imbalance:
             | 
             | Older people who remain healthy continuing to work to care
             | for their peers---not necessarily hard physical labor, but
             | being out in their communities helping, which is rewarding
             | and will help them stay healthy, too.
             | 
             | Easy immigration for regular people so they can move to
             | where they're needed.
             | 
             | General efficiency so we're not wasting resources. This
             | requires both technological and lifestyle changes, even for
             | the rich. The more efficient we can get, the less we have
             | to reduce our overall population.
        
               | 1718627440 wrote:
               | Okay, that sounds like a reasonable plan, but this also
               | means that we need to stop the decline at some point, and
               | this is not currently a solved problems since that's what
               | governments try to achieve right now. Also the decline
               | happens in the regions were not much decline is needed
               | and in regions were it would be needed the population is
               | currently increasing. Also population growth was how we
               | have dealt with technological shifts in the past, so we
               | need a new way for that.
        
               | questionableans wrote:
               | Immigration helps even out where populations are located.
               | Immigrants built America.
               | 
               | I really don't think we have anything to worry about not
               | having any people left. There's still plenty of innate
               | drive to reproduce, both biologically and intellectually
               | (as in, educating far more people than the number of kids
               | you could ever have).
        
               | 1718627440 wrote:
               | Well, there is immigration and there is immigration.
               | There are people that move between similar socialized
               | countries, directly from one high-paying job to the next.
               | Every country wants to have them. Then there are
               | basically refugees, that are only named immigrants,
               | because they happen to flee through another country. They
               | might also have had a well paying job, but they often
               | need to learn the language, they often need to learn the
               | economic system, the law system, the social norms, etc.
               | This takes quite some investment, both in time and money
               | from them and the society they migrate to. Learning these
               | things already takes years for young people, whose only
               | job is to do this. It's much harder for an adult, because
               | learning complete new things is harder for adults and
               | they also need to cover the bills. They can be the
               | smartest person in their country, but they will still
               | struggle. On top, they need to fight with the immigration
               | offices, have family abroad they want to support, might
               | intend to return to their home, instead of settling.
               | Thus, they will be an investment first, rather then an
               | asset. Some place the time frame for this to be 18 years.
               | I question whether investing in children is really the
               | worse approach. Even when it is, then it is quite immoral
               | to let another poorer country pay the bills for their
               | education and then import them.
               | 
               | > Immigrants built America.
               | 
               | These were masses building a new country, not integrating
               | into an existing; they had a way lower living standard, a
               | lot of them died. It did not go well for the existing
               | society in America. The people forming the government
               | were british rich aristocrats. And don't think these
               | situations are comparable.
        
               | questionableans wrote:
               | It's undeniably worth investing in immigrants, including
               | refugees. Rhetoric otherwise is just veiled racism. These
               | people already exist. It's our duty to take care of them
               | as global citizens, just like it's our duty to care for
               | the elderly and others.
               | 
               | I also think you'd be surprised how little time to pay
               | off would actually be needed. Give people a calm space
               | and community (including their friends and family), and
               | we will all flourish.
        
               | raincole wrote:
               | There is no sign that we're dealing the problem properly
               | or the society and political environment is prepared for
               | that. Similar to climate change, it might be a solvable
               | problem but (relatively) very little effort has been made
               | collectively.
               | 
               | - Older people help each other: it's obvious, but the
               | oldest demographic is not going to be significant
               | healthier than what we see now without a lot of medical
               | breakthroughs. The number of new dementia cases in the US
               | are expected to be _one million_ in 2060 [0]. Ironically,
               | the only way to make  "older people taking care of older
               | people" even remotely sustainable is automation of most
               | of the caretaking, so I never get the AI doomsayer.
               | 
               | - Immigration: the decline of birthrate is a global
               | phenomenon. Which means if immigration is the solution,
               | instead of a diversified cohort, most of the newcomers
               | will be from few countries where population grows because
               | other countries need influx of immigration as well. In no
               | world it won't cause alt-right rise. What we call alt-
               | right now will look center-left the next decade.
               | 
               | - Future technology and lifestyle change: yes it solves
               | everything including climate change. It's basically
               | handwaving and saying fusion will come tomorrow so we
               | don't need to worry about replacing petro with fission,
               | solar and wind.
               | 
               | [0]: https://www.nih.gov/news-events/nih-research-
               | matters/risk-fu...
        
       | mitthrowaway2 wrote:
       | Despite the magazine being named _the Argument_ , this article
       | falls into the typical pattern of claiming "the problem isn't X,
       | it's Y", and then spending the rest of the article body building
       | support for Y, but never once making any argument that refutes X.
        
         | slackfan wrote:
         | [flagged]
        
           | mitthrowaway2 wrote:
           | That would only come close to working as an argument if X and
           | Y were mutually exclusive, but this article doesn't even
           | bother to make the case that they are, nor is there any
           | reason why they would be.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _this article doesn 't even bother to make the case that
             | they are_
             | 
             | Because it's trivial? Outsmarting can happen because the
             | tortoise runs faster or the hare slows down.
        
             | 1718627440 wrote:
             | Deadline X isn't relevant when deadline Y comes earlier.
             | That doesn't mean that deadline X couldn't also kill the
             | project, that just doesn't matter when you can show that
             | deadline Y already did.
        
         | jncfhnb wrote:
         | Refuting X is not necessary if it's a subjective perspective
        
         | svat wrote:
         | Typically, such articles can be charitably interpreted as
         | saying "I worry more about Y than X", rather than as literally
         | making two separate claims (that X isn't a problem, and that Y
         | is). So as a reader if you're trying to get value out of the
         | article, you can focus on evaluating Y, and ignore X that the
         | article does not address.
         | 
         | In this particular case, the article is even explicit about
         | this:
         | 
         | > _While we have no idea how AI might make working people
         | obsolete at some imaginary date, we can already see how
         | technology is affecting our capacity to think deeply right now.
         | And I am much more concerned about the decline of thinking
         | people than I am about the rise of thinking machines._
         | 
         | So the author is already explicitly saying that he doesn't know
         | about X (whether AI will take jobs), but prefers to focus in
         | the article on Y ("the many ways that we can deskill
         | ourselves").
        
           | mitthrowaway2 wrote:
           | I agree that may be the charitable interpretation. But so
           | often these points are phrased in a way that directly
           | attempts to dismiss someone else's concerns ("the real danger
           | with AI isn't the thing you're worried about, it's the thing
           | I'm worried about!"). I feel like they shouldn't be doing
           | that unless they're going to present some kind of reasoning
           | that supports both pillars of that claim.
           | 
           | There's nothing stopping them from simply saying "an under-
           | recognized problem with AI is Y, let me explain why it should
           | be a concern".
           | 
           | Expressing the article as an attack on X, when in fact the
           | author hasn't even put five minutes of thought into
           | evaluating X, is just a click bait strategy. People go in
           | expecting something that undermines X, but they don't get it.
        
       | speak_plainly wrote:
       | Humans have a tendency to embed their cognition in the world,
       | this is probably one of our greatest strengths as a species.
       | 
       | AI allows for you to offload a lot of cognitive effort, allowing
       | you to free up your mind, but the only catch is that AI can be
       | politicized and more confident than accurate.
       | 
       | If AI companies can focus on improving accuracy on facts and make
       | their AI more philosophically grounded on the rest, it would
       | allow people to free up their minds for their immediate real
       | lives.
       | 
       | Don't mistake thinking for intelligence.
        
       | gdulli wrote:
       | We collectively used social media very responsibly so I'm sure
       | that at a society level we well also be thoroughly disciplined in
       | our use of AI.
        
       | michaelcampbell wrote:
       | This feels in line with this same argument that has come along
       | with virtually every other tech innovation to help humans work
       | less, think less, travel less, basically do anything less than
       | they did. So, "tools", in essence.
       | 
       | Is AI special here? Maybe, if it's truly an existential risk.
        
       | kristianc wrote:
       | I always think for pieces like these which claim atrophy, well
       | yes , but what about the things that you would have never even
       | tried without it. The barrier to many things isn't becoming lazy
       | when you're already halfway proficient, it's getting started in
       | the first place. AI lowers the getting started cost of almost
       | everything exponentially.
       | 
       | If the argument is that people shouldn't be able to get started
       | on those things without having to slog though a lot of mindless
       | drudgework - then people should be honest about that rather than
       | dress it up in analogies.
        
       | jncfhnb wrote:
       | Can't say the author's fixation on reading long texts resonates
       | with me. I'm sure Newton's Principia is interesting and all
       | but... no I'm not going to read that.
       | 
       | Conciseness is a valuable thing. It wasn't practical to convey
       | knowledge in a short form previously because printing and
       | distributing a blog post worth of info was too expensive.
       | 
       | On some level long form content just seems... poorly written.
       | It's long for the sake of being long.
       | 
       | There are things to be concerned about with students today. They
       | are generally shockingly bad at literacy and numeracy. But I
       | don't buy that a lack of long form books are the culprit.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _Can't say the author's fixation on reading long texts
         | resonates with me_
         | 
         | It's an attention and working memory test.
         | 
         | I don't think I've ever prided myself on focus. But signing off
         | social media ten years ago has absolutely left me in a
         | competitive place when it comes to deep thinking, and that's
         | not because I've gotten better at it.
         | 
         | > _It wasn't practical to convey knowledge in a short form
         | previously because printing and distributing a blog post worth
         | of info was too expensive_
         | 
         | This is entirely ahistoric. Pamphlets and books published in
         | volumes, where each volume would today be a chapter, was the
         | norm. The novel is a modern invention.
        
           | jncfhnb wrote:
           | > This is entirely ahistoric. Pamphlets and books published
           | in volumes, where each volume would today be a chapter, was
           | the norm. The novel is a modern invention.
           | 
           | I'd be curious to see some examples but I doubt these are
           | anywhere near the size of a one or two page blog post.
           | 
           | The referenced example is principia mathematica
        
         | ineedasername wrote:
         | "I don't buy that a lack of long form books are the culprit"
         | 
         | I agree that they might not, in themselves, be a necessary
         | requirement, however: the ability to engage with material,
         | short or long, at a level of deep focus and intentionality is
         | important. And one of the (extremely common, historically)
         | stronger methods of doing this is with long form content, the
         | less passive and more challenging the better.
         | 
         | It touches on the topic of generally transferable-- or diffuse,
         | neurologically speaking-- skills. It's what is frustrating when
         | speaking with folks who insist on ideas like "I shouldn't have
         | to take all these non-STEM courses". A truly myopic world view
         | that lacks fundamental understanding of human cognition,
         | especially for the subgroup with this sentiment that will
         | readily affirm the inverse: Non-STEM folks should nonetheless
         | have a strong grounding in maths and sciences for the modes of
         | thinking they impart.
         | 
         | Why the difference? It's a strange, highly mechanistic and
         | modular view of how critical thinking faculties function. As
         | though, even with plenty of exclusivity, there isn't still
         | enormous overlapping structures that light up in the brain with
         | _all_ tasks that require concentration. The salience network in
         | particular is critical when reading challenging material as
         | well as during stem-related thinking, eg Math. Which,
         | ironically, means the challenging courses involving analytical
         | literature are precisely the courses that, taken seriously,
         | would lay down neural pathways in a persons salience network
         | that would be extremely useful in thinking about challenging
         | math problems with more tools at your disposal, more angles of
         | attack.
         | 
         | It really shouldn't require much of an intuitive leap to
         | realize that reading and interpreting complex works of literary
         | creativity or other areas of a GenHumanities topics will help
         | impart the ability to think in creative ways. It's in the task
         | name. Spending 3x16 hours in a class for a semester, roughly
         | the same for work outside the class, 6 or 7 times throughout a
         | 4 year college stretch is a very small cost for value.
         | 
         | I think the foundational failing of education for the past
         | decades falls into all of these gaps in understanding and the
         | inability to engage with the learning process because too few
         | people can even articulate the relevance of highly relevant
         | material.
        
           | jncfhnb wrote:
           | I don't really agree about the premise here. We want people
           | to surpass some basic level of competency in literacy and
           | numeracy skills. The bars which people fall below here are
           | not impressive. Are forced courses a good means to achieve
           | that? In my opinion, no, these forced courses are
           | functionally useless.
           | 
           | You can't teach things students don't care to learn.
        
         | raincole wrote:
         | Reading books is good for your brain. Even just fiction [0].
         | 
         | But I do think people often approach this issue wrong.
         | Especially, as demonstrated by the OP article:
         | 
         | > "Daniel Shore, the chair of Georgetown's English department,
         | told me that his students have trouble staying focused on even
         | a sonnet," Horowitch wrote.
         | 
         | It's a wrong question to ask why people can't focus on a
         | sonnet.
         | 
         | The real question is: why do the students who are not
         | interested in literature choose to major _English_? What
         | societal and economical incentives drove them to do that?
         | 
         | [0] https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4733342/
        
           | NaomiLehman wrote:
           | I would say that fiction is incredibly more important than
           | reading non-fiction, in general, for human development.
        
             | GeoAtreides wrote:
             | Reading sets up, programs and tunes the holodeck in your
             | brain. The better the holodeck is programmed, the better
             | and more accurate the simulation is.
        
         | wilsonnb3 wrote:
         | > It wasn't practical to convey knowledge in a short form
         | previously because printing and distributing a blog post worth
         | of info was too expensive.
         | 
         | I don't think this is true, people have been printing
         | newspapers, pamphlets, and leaflets for hundreds of years.
         | 
         | It isn't only long form content that the printing press was
         | good for, It's just that the long term content tends to be
         | remembered longer. Probably because it isn't just long for the
         | sake of being long :p
        
         | daxfohl wrote:
         | I agree with your main point, though with an asterisk.
         | 
         | I don't think concise is necessarily better than long, nor do I
         | think long is better than concise. The thing is, humanity tends
         | to go in cycles. Poems for Babylonians, long epics for the
         | Greeks, back to poems for Shakespeare and Goethe, then the
         | Russians brought back epics. Kind of a mix during the 20th
         | century, but poetry seemed to slowly fade, and novels trended
         | generally shorter. (All of this is very 30K foot-view; of
         | course there were many exceptions in every era).
         | 
         | Philip Roth predicted the end of the era of the novel at some
         | point, long (relatively) before AI [1]. He said that, similar
         | to poetry in the early 20th century, humanity has evolved past
         | the meaningfulness of the long-form novel.
         | 
         | This doesn't mean "the humanities is dead." It just means that
         | we're entering another cycle where a different from of
         | humanities needs to take over from what we've had in the past.
         | 
         | Anyone arguing that the death of the long-form novel is
         | equivalent to the death of humanities is missing the fact that
         | "humanities" is not a precisely-defined set of topics written
         | in stone. Though it can seem like this is the case at any one
         | point in time, humanities can, and must, exist in many forms
         | that will invariably change as humanity's needs do likewise.
         | That's why its prefix is "human".
         | 
         | [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/23/books/philip-roth-
         | apprasi...
        
       | r_singh wrote:
       | AI is essentially a puppet and will always be one. If you rely on
       | it to educate yourself about anything non-objective (that cannot
       | be measured), it will reflect the biases it's tuned to,
       | presenting a version of reality shaped by the perspectives and
       | interests of its ultimate puppet masters--the board and major
       | (non-futile) shareholders.
        
       | dagmx wrote:
       | Atrophy has really been an issue in my recent hiring cycles for
       | good senior engineers.
       | 
       | 80% of senior candidates I interview now aren't able to do junior
       | level tasks without GenAI helping them.
       | 
       | We've had to start doing more coding tests to weed their skill
       | set out as a result, and I try and make my coding tests as
       | indicative of our real work as possible and the work they current
       | do.
       | 
       | But these people are struggling to work with basic data
       | structures without an LLM.
       | 
       | So then I put coding aside, because maybe their skills are
       | directing other folks. But no, they've also become dependent on
       | LLMs to ideate.
       | 
       | That 80% is no joke. It's what I'm hitting actively.
       | 
       | And before anyone says: well then let them use LLMs, no. Firstly,
       | we're making new technologies and APIs that LLMs really struggle
       | with even with purpose trained models. But furthermore, If I'm
       | doing that, then why am I paying for a senior ? How are they any
       | different than someone more junior or cheaper if they have become
       | so atrophied ?
        
         | k__ wrote:
         | It's a matter of opinion what you should know and what you can
         | easily google or ask an LLM.
        
           | dagmx wrote:
           | If someone needs to continuously google how to use the basic
           | data structures in a language they use every day, then I
           | worry about their ability for knowledge retention as a whole.
        
             | Herring wrote:
             | "A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an
             | invasion, butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building,
             | write a sonnet, balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone,
             | comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act
             | alone, solve equations, analyze a new problem, pitch
             | manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight
             | efficiently, die gallantly. Specialization is for insects."
             | 
             | -- Robert A. Heinlein
             | 
             | (It's a matter of opinion)
        
               | dagmx wrote:
               | Except I'm not hiring someone to do 20 things. I'm hiring
               | them to do the one thing they say they can do.
               | 
               | Would I hire a taxi driver who can't drive to drive me
               | somewhere?
               | 
               | Why would I hire a software engineer who can't
               | demonstrate their abilities.
        
               | Herring wrote:
               | edit: wasting my time
        
               | dagmx wrote:
               | Please re-read the original comment. All your suggestions
               | are addressed there and I explain why this is inadequate.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >I'm hiring them to do the one thing they say they can
               | do.
               | 
               | If you hire an amazing programmer but then ask for a
               | quick report on their implementation and it's gibberish.
               | Is that satisfactory? Their job isn't to write reports.
               | 
               | If you ask them during lunch to grab your meal from the
               | desk and they spill it everywhere, is that satisfactory?
               | You didn't hire then for their ability to carry a plate.
               | 
               | EDIT: I should add here that I agree with your hiring
               | approach. I just think you're critiquing this quote in
               | the wrong way. The point of the quote is that humans have
               | a capacity to learn and perform many tasks, even if they
               | do some better than others. LLMs hinder this ability.
        
               | 0x696C6961 wrote:
               | I'm not sure I understand the point you're trying to
               | make. Do you think a senior developer needs a basic
               | understanding of the language they use or not?
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | > Do you think a senior developer needs a basic
               | understanding of the language they use
               | 
               | 4 years ago, I'd have said "obviously".
               | 
               | At this point? Only for specialist languages the LLMs
               | suck at. (Last I tried, "suck at" included going all the
               | way from yacc etc. upwards when trying to make a custom
               | language).
               | 
               | For most of us, what's now important is: Design patterns;
               | architectures; knowing how to think of big-O
               | consequences; and the ability to review what the AI farts
               | out, which sounds like it should need an understanding of
               | the programming language in question, but it's
               | surprisingly straightforward to read code in languages
               | you're not fmiliar with, and it gets even easier when
               | your instruction to the AI includes making the code easy
               | to review.
        
               | dagmx wrote:
               | It's not just the language but the domain within the
               | language.
               | 
               | I see both the latest Claude and GPT models fall over on
               | a lot of C++, Swift/ObjC and more complex Python code.
               | They do better in codebases where there is maximal
               | context with type hints in the local function. Rust does
               | well, and it's easier to know when it's messed up since
               | it won't compile.
               | 
               | They also tend to clog up code bases with a cacophony of
               | different coding paradigms.
               | 
               | A good developer would be able to see these right away,
               | but someone who doesn't understand the basics at the
               | least will happily plug along not realizing the wake
               | they've left.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | I think you're approaching the quote the wrong way. It's
               | more like "a C++ developer should be able to look at
               | Javascript and ascertain the gist of what's happening,
               | even if they can't finely dissect the exact issues on a
               | language level."
               | 
               | Though the quote is more broad than that. It's really
               | saying "a C++ developer should be able to write up a
               | report, participate in an interview panel, plan a small
               | party for Jane's birthday this Friday, and be able to
               | make conversation with the external partner coming in
               | today". Few of us are simply just writing code all day.
        
             | raincole wrote:
             | I think it depends on what you consider "basic data
             | structures"...
             | 
             | If it's the List and Dict (or whatever they are called in
             | that language) then maybe. But I'd not expect someone to
             | spell the correct API by heart to use Stack, Queue, Deque,
             | etc, even they're text book examples of "basic" data
             | structures.
        
               | dagmx wrote:
               | For me, in a coding test, basic data structures are
               | (using Python terms for brevity):
               | 
               | - lists
               | 
               | - dictionaries
               | 
               | - sets
               | 
               | - nested versions of the above
               | 
               | - strings (not exactly a data structure)
               | 
               | strings are tenuously in my data structures list because
               | I let people treat them as ascii arrays to avoid most of
               | the string footguns.
        
             | jstummbillig wrote:
             | The question is: What are they better at? If you think the
             | answer is "Nothing", I would be suspicious.
        
               | dagmx wrote:
               | It's never nothing, but it's a matter of whether that
               | something is enough of a differentiator.
               | 
               | More so, can they demonstrate that in interviews. We
               | specifically structure our interviews so coding is only
               | one part of them, and try and suss out other aspects of a
               | candidate (problem solving, project leading, working with
               | different disciplines) and then weight those against the
               | needs of the role to avoid over indexing on any specific
               | aspect. It also lets us see if there are other roles for
               | them that might be better fits.
               | 
               | So a weak coder has opportunities to show other
               | qualities. But generally someone interviewing for a
               | coding heavy role who isn't a strong coder tends to not
               | sufficiently demonstrate those other qualities. Though of
               | course there are exceptions.
        
         | Narciss wrote:
         | I was actually thinking about this the other day while vibe
         | coding for a side project.
         | 
         | I am a lead engineer, but I've been using AI in much of my code
         | recently. If you were to ask me to code anything manually right
         | now, I could do it, but it would take a bit to acclimate to
         | writing code line by line. By "a while", I mean maybe a few
         | days.
         | 
         | Which means that if we were to do a coding interview without
         | LLMs, I would probably flop without me doing a bit of work
         | beforehand, or at least struggle. But hire me regardless, and I
         | would get back on track in a few days and be better than most
         | from then on.
         | 
         | Careful not to lose talent just because you are testing for
         | little used but latent capabilities.
        
           | dagmx wrote:
           | In your scenario though, how do you avoid hiring based on
           | blind faith?
           | 
           | How do I know you aren't just a lead with a very good team to
           | pick up the slack?
           | 
           | How do I separate you from the 20 other people saying they're
           | also good?
           | 
           | Why would I hire someone who can't hit the ground running
           | faster than someone else who can?
           | 
           | Furthermore, why would I hire someone who didn't prepare at
           | all for an interview, even if just mentally?
           | 
           | How do you avoid just hiring based on vibes? Bear in mind
           | every candidate can claim they're part of impressive projects
           | so the resume is often not your differentiator.
        
             | htrp wrote:
             | We're gonna have to reinvent swe hiring
        
             | zelphirkalt wrote:
             | You invest time into actually looking at applications
             | properly and look at their previous work and ask them
             | questions about that. The curious and learning mind will
             | probably have some projects, because they are not only into
             | the job for the money, but because they have a passion for
             | the job. That's not a requirement, but it distinguishes the
             | great ones from the mediocre ones.
        
               | dagmx wrote:
               | That's also something any number of people can fake
               | easily. There's a ton of smooth talkers who can hype up a
               | project and talk in abstract about their previous
               | projects but weren't on the side of delivering it.
        
               | zelphirkalt wrote:
               | Show code and explain, or it didn't happen. Takes a
               | capable interviewer, of course, to distinguish sweet talk
               | from profound knowledge.
        
           | woooooo wrote:
           | Leetcode was always a skill mostly practiced for interviews
           | though, right? Arguably its a better signal now in the era of
           | vibecoding that someone can do it themselves if they have to.
           | It used to be "yeah of course I'm responsible in my job, I
           | use a library for this stuff". But in this era, maybe
           | performative leetcode has more value as a signal that you can
           | really guide the AI.
        
           | roxolotl wrote:
           | Isn't the solution to tell the interviewee that they will
           | have to write some code without llm support? In the case of
           | someone like you I'd hope they'd take that as notice to spend
           | a tiny bit of time getting back up to speed. If it really is
           | just a day or two then it shouldn't be an issue
        
             | dagmx wrote:
             | Yes, I fore warn all candidates that they will do a coding
             | test, with examples of similar tests.
             | 
             | They are allowed to suggest the language they're most
             | familiar with, they're told they don't need to finish and
             | they don't need to be correct.
             | 
             | It's just about seeing how they work through something.
             | 
             | If someone like the person you replied to would show up
             | that unprepared , I would really question their own
             | judgement of their abilities.
        
           | OptionOfT wrote:
           | The problem becomes distinguishing someone like you, who has
           | the skill but hasn't recently used it vs someone who doesn't
           | have the skill.
        
           | rurp wrote:
           | Expecting senior job applicants to have regained basic coding
           | skills seems reasonable to me. I would be skeptical of an
           | applicant who hadn't made the level of effort you're
           | describing before applying.
        
             | Ekaros wrote:
             | A few days to brush up those skills really should not be
             | too much to ask. I am against leetcode as much as anyone.
             | But maybe just maybe refamiliarising yourself with well
             | fundamentals is not bad idea. At least on the most
             | prominent technologies you advertise.
        
           | risyachka wrote:
           | >> and I would get back on track in a few days
           | 
           | Thats the issue. How can one be sure you can actually get
           | back on track - or - you never were on the track in the first
           | place and you are just an AI slopper?
           | 
           | Thats why on interview you need to show skills. And on actual
           | job you can use AI.
        
         | alchemism wrote:
         | Pair a senior with an agent LLM, pair a junior with an agent
         | LLM, measure the output over some cycles. You will find your
         | answer in the data, one way or another.
        
           | dagmx wrote:
           | Truthfully, in my experience, they both end up performing
           | near the level of the LLM. It's an averaging factor not an
           | uplifting one.
        
             | alchemism wrote:
             | Right now we are seeing junior hiring fall off a cliff,
             | whether or not LLMs are responsible is hard to say. But if
             | it does turn out that everyone performs to the level of the
             | LLM, then a vast amount of business dollars can be saved by
             | hiring starving English majors exclusively and dispensing
             | with STEM majors altogether.
        
               | dagmx wrote:
               | I said it's an averaging factor not an absolute match.
               | 
               | A senior with a LLM will likely still outperform a
               | junior. A CS major with an LLM will out perform an
               | English major.
               | 
               | But is the senior out performing the junior at a level
               | that warrants the difference in salary?
               | 
               | Then people will point to the intangibles of experience,
               | but will forget the intangibles of being fresh and new
               | with regards to being malleable and gung-ho.
        
               | jasonthorsness wrote:
               | I keep hearing this however I was just at a career fair
               | for University of Washington CSE new grads (representing
               | my company) and it was packed with companies hiring.
               | Obviously, this is just an anecdote, is there any good
               | data showing the real situation?
        
               | mschuster91 wrote:
               | It's anecdata from layoff reports and whatever people see
               | from their own employer / industry.
               | 
               | To add my two cents of anecdotes from what I can tell in
               | the creative agency world: shit sucks hard at the moment.
               | Clients are cutting back budgets _hard_ and a lot of them
               | explicitly ask for AI strategies - obviously in terms of
               | saving money. Blockchain craze was similarly bad when it
               | comes to client requests for stuff that Just Did Not Make
               | Sense, but at least there was _money_ pouring in. And it
               | 's that way across the industry, everyone I know feels
               | the same. There's no money from clients that would pay
               | for juniors, so no juniors are getting hired even if it
               | might blow up in five, six years when there are no fresh
               | juniors/intermediates around.
               | 
               | Personally, I decided to part ways. There's many places I
               | want to be, but the creative industry when the AI bubble
               | and hiring anti-bubble finally pops? Oh hell no.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | I mean, I don't know if I can specifically find new grad
               | tech industry that gets a tech job. But definitely look
               | at hiring numbers in tech and among the youngest
               | demographic. They both aren't good, like pretty much all
               | jobs right now outside of healthcare
               | 
               | The BLS works as well, for now. I think that's quickly
               | going to change with future reports.
               | 
               | This was also making the rounds last ywar:
               | https://futurism.com/the-byte/berkeley-professor-grads-
               | job-m...
        
             | risyachka wrote:
             | Nope, you don't pair senior dev with llm. You allow them
             | use llm, but not an agent.
             | 
             | IF agent starts generating code - nobody will have time and
             | stamina to rewrite all the slop, it will just get approved.
             | 
             | Copy/paste from chat is the only way to ensure proper
             | quality so that developer can write high quality code and
             | just outsource to AI tasks that are boring or generic.
        
         | athrowaway3z wrote:
         | What do you consider senior?
         | 
         | We've seem to have had a significant title-inflation in the
         | last 5 years, and everybody seems to be at least a senior.
         | 
         | With no new junior positions opening up, I'm not even sure I
         | blame them.
        
           | dagmx wrote:
           | A senior to me is someone who can tackle complex problems
           | without significant supervision , differentiated from a lead
           | in that they still need guidance on what the overall tasks
           | are. They should be familiar enough with their tech stacks
           | that I can send them to meetings (after the requisite on-
           | boarding time) to represent the team if needed (though I try
           | and not overload my engineers with meetings) and answer
           | feasibility questions for our projects. They don't need
           | constant check ins on their work. I should be able to bounce
           | ideas of them readily on how to approach bigger problems.
           | 
           | A junior being someone who needs more granular direction or
           | guidance. I'd only send them to meetings paired with a
           | senior. They need close to daily check ins on their work. I
           | include them in all the same things the seniors do for
           | exposure, but do not expect the same level of technical
           | strength at this time in their careers.
           | 
           | I try not to focus on years of experience necessarily, partly
           | because I was supervising teams at large companies very early
           | in my career.
        
         | spaceballbat wrote:
         | Grade inflation has spilled over into the corporate world. I've
         | interviewed people titled "principal" who would barely qualify
         | as "senior" a few decades ago.
        
           | ben_w wrote:
           | "Senior" was already a weird title, given it could have been
           | anything from 3-10 years of experience even back in 2021.
           | 
           | I've seen people with 10 years experience blindly duplicate
           | C++ classes rather than subclass them, and when questioned
           | they seemed to think the mere existence of `private:` access
           | specifiers justified it. There were two full time developers
           | including him, and no code review, so it's not like any of
           | the access specifiers even did anything useful.
        
             | spaceballbat wrote:
             | The jump from junior to senior means you can self start and
             | have created enough of a network to seek out help. Junior
             | used to be a 1-3 year training period. Senior to principal
             | means you have signififcant positive impact across the
             | company: upper management relies on you to define the
             | roadmap. Most people hang out in 'senior' for their entire
             | careers because they never have that drive to stand out.
             | Thats why there are titles like "staff" and "senior staff"
             | to promote people who don't have what it takes to get to
             | principal.
        
               | Ekaros wrote:
               | I always wondered why don't we have just developer level.
               | That is for those with say 5-7 years of experience. That
               | are skilled enough to do their bit on their own, but
               | might not yet fully see the big picture on whole
               | application scale for whole thing...
               | 
               | Straight from junior to senior just feels weird jump.
               | Junior and Senior sound like adjectives to me.
               | Qualifiers. And there should be some middle point in
               | between where bulk of the workforce doing the actual job
               | should be.
        
         | erichocean wrote:
         | > _Firstly, we're making new technologies and APIs that LLMs
         | really struggle_
         | 
         | LLMs absolutely excel at this task.
         | 
         | Source: Me, been doing it since early July with Gemini Pro 2.5
         | and Claude Opus.
         | 
         | So good, in fact, that I have no plans to hire software
         | engineers in the future. (I have hired many over my 25 years
         | developing software.)
        
           | dagmx wrote:
           | So you've made a decision based on three months of use.
           | 
           | I am legitimately interested in your experience though. What
           | are you creating where you can see the results in that time
           | frame to make entire business decisions like that?
           | 
           | I would really like to see those kinds of productivity gains
           | myself.
        
             | erichocean wrote:
             | I'll give you an easy example. LMDB has a (very) long-
             | standing bug where "DUPSORT" databases become corrupted
             | over time.
             | 
             | Separately, I wanted to make some changes to LMDB but the
             | code is so opaque that it's hard to do anything with it
             | (safely).
             | 
             | So I gave the entire codebase to Gemini Pro 2.5 and had it
             | develop a glossary for local variable renames and for
             | structure member renames. I then hand-renamed all of the
             | structures (using my IDE's struct member refactoring
             | tools). Then I gave the local variable glossary and each
             | function to Gemini and had it rewrite the code. Finally, I
             | had a separate Gemini Pro 2.5 context and a Claude Opus
             | context validate that the new code was LOGICALLY IDENTICAL
             | the previous code (i.e. that only local variables were
             | renamed, and that the renaming was consistent).
             | 
             | Most of the time, GPro did the rewrite correctly the first
             | time, but other times, it took 3-4 passes before GPro and
             | Opus agreed. Each time, I simply pasted the feedback from
             | one of the LLMs back into the original context and told it
             | to fix it.
             | 
             | The largest function done this way was ~560 LOC.
             | 
             | Anyway, the entire process took around a day.
             | 
             | However, at one point, GPro reported: "Hey, this code is
             | logically identical BUT THERE IS A SERIOUS BUG." Turns out,
             | it had found the cause of the DUPSORT corruption, without
             | any prompting--all because the code was much cleaner than
             | it was at the start of the day.
             | 
             | That is wild to me! (It actually found another, less
             | important bug too.)
             | 
             | Without LLMs, I would have never even attempted this kind
             | of refactoring. And I certainly wouldn't pay a software
             | engineer to do it.
             | 
             | > _What are you creating where you can see the results in
             | that time frame to make entire business decisions like
             | that?_
             | 
             | I've developed new libraries (using GPro) that have APIs it
             | can reliably use. What's easy for LLMs can be hard for
             | humans, and what's easy for humans can be hard for LLMs. If
             | you want to use LLMs for coding, it pays to need code they
             | are really good at writing. AI-first development is the big
             | win here.
             | 
             | (This is all in Clojure BTW, which isn't really trained for
             | by vendors. The idea that LLMs are ONLY good at, e.g.
             | Python, is absurd.)
        
               | dagmx wrote:
               | While your lldb use is interesting,, I'm very much
               | interested in what you said you're doing greenfield. What
               | is the scope of that?
               | 
               | Clojure has enough code out there that it's well covered
               | by the major LLMs.
        
         | drdaeman wrote:
         | > aren't able to do junior level tasks without GenAI helping
         | them
         | 
         | I'm assuming "unable" means not complete lack of knowledge how
         | to approach it, but lack of detail knowledge. E.g. a junior
         | likely remembers some $algorithm in detail (from all the recent
         | grind), while a senior may no longer do so but only know that
         | it exists, what properties it has (when to use, when to not
         | use), and how to look it up.
         | 
         | If you don't think of something regularly, memory of that fades
         | away, becomes just a vague remembrance, and you eventually lose
         | that knowledge - that's just how we are.
         | 
         | However, consider that not doing junior-level tasks means it
         | was unnecessary for the position and the position was about
         | doing something else. It's literally a matter of specialization
         | and nomenclature mismatch: "junior" and "senior" are frequently
         | not different levels of same skill set, but somewhat different
         | skill sets. A simple test: if at your place you have juniors -
         | check if they do the same tasks as seniors do, or if they're
         | doing something different.
         | 
         | Plus the title inflation - demand shifts and title-catching
         | culture had messed up the nomenclature.
        
           | dagmx wrote:
           | I don't test rote algorithmic knowledge in our coding tests.
           | Candidates can pick their language
           | 
           | Candidates can ask for help, and can google/llm as well if
           | they can't recall methods. I just do not allow them to post
           | the whole problem in an LLM and need to see them solve
           | through the problem themselves to see how they think and
           | approach issues.
           | 
           | This therefore also requires they know the language that they
           | picked to do simple tasks , including iterating iterables
        
             | drdaeman wrote:
             | That's weird. Any senior developer worth their salt surely
             | should know that LLMs produce a lot of weird nonsense with
             | one-shot prompts, so they need to talk design first, then
             | code the implementation.
             | 
             | This said, IMHO one-shot is worth a try because it's
             | typically cheap nowadays - but if it's not good (or, for
             | interview reasons, unavailable) any developer should have
             | the skills to break the problem down and iterate on it,
             | especially if all learning/memory-refreshing resources are
             | so available. That's the skill that every engineer should
             | have.
             | 
             | I guess I must take my words back - if that's how nowadays
             | "seniors" are then I don't know what's going on. My only
             | guess is that you must've met a bunch of
             | scammers/pretenders who don't know anything but trying to
             | pass for a developer.
        
             | 1718627440 wrote:
             | > including iterating iterables
             | 
             | I would've chosen a language without iterators, what would
             | you do then??
        
               | dagmx wrote:
               | It doesn't need to explicitly be an iterable. But can you
               | loop through an array as part of the problem solve.
        
               | 1718627440 wrote:
               | That sounds really hard, you can only hope to solve that
               | with AI. /s
               | 
               | Good luck, sounds like a fair hiring process.
        
         | sktrdie wrote:
         | > then why am I paying for a senior ?
         | 
         | Because they know how to talk to the AI. That's literally the
         | skill that differentiates seniors from juniors at this point.
         | And a skill that you gain only by knowing about the problem
         | space and having banged your head at it multiple times.
        
           | htrp wrote:
           | Except most junior devs will be better than sr devs at
           | wholehearted ai adoption
        
           | johnnyanmac wrote:
           | >That's literally the skill that differentiates seniors from
           | juniors at this point.
           | 
           | If your product has points where llms falter, this use a
           | useless metric.
           | 
           | >and having banged your head at it multiple times.
           | 
           | And would someone who relied on an LLM be doing this?
        
           | zelphirkalt wrote:
           | The actual skill is having knowledge and knowing when to not
           | trust the AI, because it is hallucinating or bullshitting
           | you. Having worked on enough projects to have a good idea
           | about how things should be structured and what is extensible
           | and what not. What is maintainable and what not. The list
           | goes on and on. A junior rarely has these skills and
           | especially not, when they rely on AI to figure things out.
        
         | rcxdude wrote:
         | Are you sure you're not just mostly seeing the candidates who
         | are using LLMs to pass through the earlier screening phases
         | with flying colors despite their lack of skills? (i.e., they
         | haven't atrophied, they just weren't very good to begin with).
         | There's always a lot of unqualified applicants to a job but
         | LLMs can make them way more effort to filter out.
        
           | dagmx wrote:
           | We have the coding test as the second phase now for
           | specifically that reason, and might have more once they're
           | doing the full interview set.
        
         | bongodongobob wrote:
         | That's what I said about compiled languages. No one knows how
         | to optimize assembly anymore, they just let the compiler do it.
        
         | wyre wrote:
         | Why not let them use LLMs? LLM's are a tool for the job so you
         | wind the find the candidate that can most effectively use that
         | tool in your role. If LLM's struggle with your technologies and
         | API's then a developer that can use an LLM for development with
         | good results should be a desirable thing, right?
         | 
         | Can the senior developer understand and internalize your
         | codebase? Can they solve complex problems? If you're paying
         | them to be a senior developer, it likely isn't worth their time
         | to concern themselves with basic data structures when they are
         | trying to solve more complex problems.
        
           | johnnyanmac wrote:
           | You literally asked the question the GP pre-emptively
           | answered. Read their last paragraph.
           | 
           | >Can the senior developer understand and internalize your
           | codebase?
           | 
           | Would you trust someone who needs llms in the hiring phase to
           | be able to do this higher order tasks if they can't nail down
           | the fundamentals?
        
       | derekcheng08 wrote:
       | AI is (or has the potential to be) a gigantic abstraction layer
       | and software engineering is filled with abstraction layers. But
       | one thing that has consistently held true is that the best
       | engineers -- while taking advantage of abstractions -- also have
       | the curiosity and intelligence to peel back and at least
       | understand the gist of what's going on behind the scenes. So
       | while most of us will never write a TCP/IP stack, it's helpful to
       | know the protocol. While many will simply call into a hosted
       | distributed database, strong engineers will know broadly how it
       | is implemented and there are availability/consistency trade-offs,
       | etc.
       | 
       | It's the same here: if you just shut off your brain and do what
       | AI says, copy/pasting stuff from/to chat windows, that's going to
       | be a bad time.
        
       | simianwords wrote:
       | Why does everyone talk about this part of the issue but never the
       | other one? Society can't progress if we can't delegate the boring
       | stuff and work on complicated stuff. How else will it progress?
       | 
       | Do you think we could have progressed to this level if we were
       | still calculating stuff by hand? Log tables??
        
       | IT4MD wrote:
       | The race for AI, running over anything and anyone that stands
       | between an AI and resources like energy, water, etc, combined
       | with corporations shoving AI, unasked for, into anything and
       | everything will ensure everyone hates everything about AI, except
       | for the Ponzi scheme winners like Altman.
        
       | thisisit wrote:
       | This seems like the age old discussion of how new technology
       | changes our lives and makes us "lazy".
       | 
       | Before the advent of smartphones people needed to remember phone
       | numbers and calculate on the fly. Now people don't even remember
       | their own numbers and save it on somewhere and open the
       | calculator app for smallest of things.
       | 
       | But there are still people who can do both. They are not luddites
       | rather not fully reliant on smartphones.
       | 
       | Same thing is going to happen with LLMs.
       | 
       | At some point restricting LLM usage is going to be considered
       | good parenting just like restricting phones are today. Use it for
       | some purpose but not all.
        
       | daxfohl wrote:
       | The author may have hit on the answer without realizing it. He's
       | in the gym doing pull-ups. Is his lat strength necessary for some
       | important part of his survival? Highly unlikely. Pre-20th
       | century, when most work was highly physical, would he have gone
       | out after work to research and test out efficient lat exercises?
       | Probably not either.
       | 
       | If we're not using our brains for work, then maybe it'll actually
       | increase our deliberateness to strengthen them at home. In fact,
       | I can't imagine that not to be the case. I mean, it's possible we
       | turn into a society of mindless zombies, but fundamentally, at
       | least among some reasonable percentage of the population, I have
       | to believe there is an innate desire to learn and understand and
       | build, and a relationship-building aspect to it as well.
        
       | kagevf wrote:
       | One approach would be to write code first, then run it by AI to
       | get a critique. I think that strikes a good balance between
       | avoiding atrophy and still getting the benefits of the tool.
        
       | deadbabe wrote:
       | Hug your pre-LLM era senior software engineers tightly, they
       | aren't making more of them. And some of them are already
       | deteriorating after 2 years of LLM tech.
        
       | jmward01 wrote:
       | There is some discussion here, but the counterargument was never
       | raised: We are transitioning to new things to learn and focus on
       | so the old tests and measures aren't valid.
       | 
       | Think of it like this: If 3d printing (finally) gets good enough,
       | is it an issue that most people aren't good at traditional
       | manufacturing? I think we have discussion to be had here but
       | articles like this always strike me as shallow since they keep
       | judging now based on the past. This is a common problem. We see
       | it in politics (make X great again anyone?) and it is a very hard
       | problem to solve since understanding 'better' is a very hard
       | thing to do even with hindsight much less when you are in the
       | middle of change. I do think AI has serious harms, but if all we
       | do is look for the harms we won't find and capture the benefits.
       | Articles should balance these things better.
        
       | artur_makly wrote:
       | One way schools, from middle and high schools to universities,
       | can mitigate AI-driven cheating and cognitive decline is by
       | radically rethinking how they conduct final exams.
       | 
       | They should require in-person oral dissertations, presented
       | before a panel of one to three teachers and lasting one to two
       | hours. Ideally, the topic would be based on the student's own
       | original thesis.
       | 
       | This approach restores creativity and critical thinking, because
       | at any moment during the examination, teachers can ask probing
       | questions, explore unexpected tangents, and even encourage real-
       | time brainstorming.
       | 
       | THIS is the kind of challenge that can help our species evolve
       | beyond its current state of neurological atrophy.
       | 
       | NYU's Gallatin School of Individualized Study has been doing this
       | since'72
       | 
       | https://gallatin.nyu.edu/
       | 
       | *it was probably the most stimulating 4 years of my life.
        
         | 1718627440 wrote:
         | How is this not what is currently the norm? How do
         | dissertations work at your university, if they are not exactly
         | this?
        
       | more_corn wrote:
       | So like right now? Writing structures your thinking and clarifies
       | your ideas. Students just have chat gpt write for them.
       | 
       | Vibe coding takes the heavy thinking and offloads it to the
       | machine. Even people who know how turn off their brains when they
       | vibe code.
       | 
       | The time is now. The effects are available for inspection today.
       | Pair with ai on something you know well. Find the place where it
       | confidently acts but makes an error. Check in on your ability to
       | reactivate your mind and start solving the problem.
       | 
       | It feels like waking up without coffee. Our minds are already
       | mostly asleep when we lean on Ai for anything.
        
       | arikrak wrote:
       | I recently wrote a short post on something similar: while AI is
       | able to solve increasingly longer tasks, people's attention spans
       | are getting shorter. https://www.zappable.com/p/ai-vs-human-
       | attention-spans
       | 
       | Hopefully people can learn to use AI to help them, while still
       | thinking on their own. It's not like that many of the assignments
       | in school were that useful anyways...
        
       | daxfohl wrote:
       | The education system is already a relic of the past. All the
       | points mentioned in the article assumes that a classroom full of
       | students writing five-paragraph essays on The Red Badge of
       | Courage in 12-point TNR with one-inch margins, hastily graded by
       | an overworked, underpaid public school teacher is still the best
       | way to teach kids in 2025 about critical thinking.
       | 
       | I picture going forward we'll have much more personalized AI-led
       | curricula that students work on at their own pace. The AI systems
       | can let you use as much or as little AI autocompletion as they
       | feel appropriate, can test your understanding real-time by adding
       | some subtle mistakes or opportunities for improvement, and
       | iterate until you get it.
       | 
       | The main issue I worry about is perhaps the opposite. With
       | education actually becoming more effective and interesting, what
       | happens to kids' social and collaboration skills? And maybe
       | that's where human teachers can still add value. Or in discipline
       | and motivation, etc. IDK exactly how that plays out, but I
       | imagine there's still a role for human teachers to play, and
       | perhaps that aspect is even more important than "lecturer" and
       | "grader" that takes most of their time now.
        
         | port11 wrote:
         | It's ironic we assume a technology that hallucinates random
         | garbage will be any better than underpaid and overworked
         | teachers. The solution, to me, would be better paid and better
         | supported teachers.
        
           | bongodongobob wrote:
           | This comment feels like it was written in 2023.
        
           | pessimizer wrote:
           | Underpaid, overworked, and also often the unemployable dregs
           | who would take such a horrible job. In the US we destroyed
           | education by whining about taxes and public employee unions,
           | and cutting the legs out from under it with charters, but
           | that doesn't mean that the teachers that are left are worth
           | anything; in fact it makes it more likely they aren't.
           | 
           | If there's anything I'm both hoping that LLMs will replace,
           | and also think of as one of the most vitally important
           | reasons to have locally running, open models, it's teaching.
           | I'm from the age when teaching was "good," and it was bad.
           | The reason why people remember the teachers they were in love
           | with was because of how distinct they were from the rest.
           | 
           | Teachers can be used to teach hard things, like
           | socialization, cleaning, cooking, and how to do backflips.
        
         | obscurette wrote:
         | Are you a parent? Have you ever seen a kid growing up? 90%+ of
         | kids wouldn't care at all about any work or learning without
         | social pressure from parents, teachers and peers. That's the
         | whole point of schools - to create a social pressure to put all
         | this knowledge into heads of kids in hope that some of this
         | would be useful for them. And to do it through all these
         | awfully messy years we call childhood and adolescence.
        
           | logicchains wrote:
           | I don't know where you grow up but in most of the developed
           | world kids mock kids for putting effort into study; peers
           | provide social pressure against learning, not towards it.
        
             | ACCount37 wrote:
             | That depends on _peer quality_. And it 's why so much of
             | education outcomes depends on peer quality.
             | 
             | It's also why there's a considerable opposition to
             | tracking.
             | 
             | If you evaluate academic ability, inevitably, the students
             | who want to learn things are going to be closer to the top,
             | and the ones who don't want to learn things are going to be
             | closer to the bottom.
             | 
             | Now, group students up by ability aggressively: the "top
             | end classes" are going to devour the school program - while
             | the "bottom end classes" would devolve into a pandemonium.
             | 
             | Naturally, the parents of the bottom end students would
             | want there to be zero tracking, so that the average "peer
             | quality" pulls their children up, and the parents of the
             | top end students want there to be the most aggressive
             | tracking possible, so that the average "peer quality"
             | doesn't drag their children down.
             | 
             | A big part of what the rich parents pay for when they send
             | their kids into those expensive private schools is access
             | to better "peer quality". "If a kid's parents are rich"
             | isn't a perfect proxy for "if the kid wants to be learning
             | things", but it outperforms the average. And if a private
             | school is actually willing to expel the most disruptive
             | students, then it's going to tip the scales even further.
        
       | ChrisArchitect wrote:
       | Expanded/revised version of this article:
       | 
       | https://www.derekthompson.org/p/the-end-of-thinking
       | (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45372507)
        
       | PeterStuer wrote:
       | Our survival, not hypotetical, but actual, on an individual basis
       | is tied directly to how much value we personally can extract from
       | others.
       | 
       | AI, even when it provides a net benefit, does threathen the value
       | potentially offered by individuals.
       | 
       | It's complicated.
        
       | manmal wrote:
       | The article sets out with an urban legend that doesn't hold
       | water:
       | 
       | > More time is more tension; more pain is more gain.
       | 
       | While this meta analysis [1] found that:
       | 
       | > Results indicate that hypertrophic outcomes are similar when
       | training with repetition durations ranging from 0.5 to 8s.
       | 
       | Maybe author should have chosen the amount of training resistance
       | for the intro allegory (perceived effort?). This would have made
       | their point just as well.
       | 
       | 1: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25601394/
        
       | bloodyplonker22 wrote:
       | I have a friend who I suspect has resorted to answering me with
       | AI when I ask him a question via text message that he may not
       | know the answer to. Many people do not want to appear to not know
       | things, so they resort to this tactic. I personally find it to be
       | a terrible trend.
        
       | suyash wrote:
       | This article explains 'Cognitive Time Under Tension' quite well:
       | https://sekol.ninja/cognitive-time-under-tension-the-missing...
        
       | arbirk wrote:
       | Agree. It is al about what we make the robots do. You can give a
       | "dumb ai" a gun and let it rampage.
       | 
       | Let's celebrate humanity and our robot friends (looking at my
       | romba)
        
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