[HN Gopher] Pharma is a small component of US health care spending
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Pharma is a small component of US health care spending
        
       Author : cupola2030
       Score  : 63 points
       Date   : 2025-10-02 15:07 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.economist.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.economist.com)
        
       | blindriver wrote:
       | My friend's daughter needs an eczema creme and was told the price
       | was $1000 per tube and wasn't covered under insurance.
       | 
       | The price in Canada is around $100. Yes, Big Pharma gouges
       | Americans.
        
         | alephnerd wrote:
         | That's your insurance provider that told you no - not "Big
         | Pharma".
         | 
         | Which is what TFA points out as well:
         | 
         | "The bulk of the rents is captured instead by providers of
         | health-care services such as hospitals and the system's true
         | money-makers: insurers, pharmacy-benefit managers and other
         | middlemen taking advantage of its opacity. They have higher
         | costs of capital than drugmakers, but they also clear our 10%
         | hurdle much more comfortably (chart 3)"
        
           | tptacek wrote:
           | Both are counterparties to negotiations that set price and
           | availability, so it probably doesn't make sense to separate
           | their role.
        
           | Analemma_ wrote:
           | Everyone is guilty here, because once one sector forms a
           | monopoly, they have monopoly pricing power, and so their
           | counterparty sectors have to form a monopoly as well to keep
           | leverage in negotiations.
           | 
           | 50 years ago, there were many more pharma companies, many
           | more insurance companies, and many more hospitals under
           | individual ownership. First the pharma companies
           | consolidated, which give them monopoly pricing power over
           | insurers. So then the insurance companies consolidated to
           | they could negotiate on equal footing, but then they had
           | monopoly pricing power over the hospitals. So then hospitals
           | consolidated so _they_ could negotiate. And now after decades
           | of this, we 're right back we're started, except for
           | consumers, who can't consolidate and hence get fucked.
           | 
           | The two solutions here are either breaking up _all_ the
           | monopolies at the same time-- pharma, insurance, and
           | hospitals-- so that everyone has market competition again, or
           | letting health care consumers consolidate so they have
           | pricing leverage-- i.e., forming a single-payer health-care
           | system where the government negotiates deals on behalf of a
           | 330+-million payer pool.
           | 
           | It does not make sense to either blame or spare one single
           | sector: the pharmas, insurers and hospitals are all guilty,
           | though in a sense all of their hands were forced by their
           | counterparties. It's a coordination problem of exactly the
           | kind government is supposed to solve, hence why government-
           | run health care eventually seems like the only option.
        
             | SJC_Hacker wrote:
             | > So then hospitals consolidated so they could negotiate.
             | And now after decades of this, we're right back we're
             | started, except for consumers, who can't consolidate and
             | hence get fucked.
             | 
             | Consumer consolidation is called voting. Its too bad most
             | consumers have voted in politicians who don't represent
             | their best interests
        
             | thmsths wrote:
             | I feel like you explained how we got there and our options
             | to fix it perfectly. As you point out we have monopolies
             | (or close to) at every single step. Whatever bandaid people
             | and politician can come up with will quickly be neutralized
             | by these conglomerates, at this point, any half measure is
             | basically useless or has severe tradeoffs.
        
               | pixl97 wrote:
               | >As you point out we have monopolies (or close to) at
               | every single step.
               | 
               | This is happening to a huge number of industries in the
               | US, not just healthcare.
        
             | potato3732842 wrote:
             | 17% of the US GDP is healthcare so that's probably about
             | 20% of the country that will scream bloody murder if you
             | try and touch it in any way that makes it cost the other
             | 80% less.
        
             | FireBeyond wrote:
             | You're also neglecting the insurers and PBMs.
             | 
             | Health insurers are limited by law as to profit margins. So
             | how to make more money? Raise prices, or signal to
             | providers that you'll pay higher. Because if your incoming
             | premiums have to rise, then that percentage that can be
             | captured as profit rises.
             | 
             | But wait... what if you (an insurer) build/buy a middle-man
             | to route prescription money through? That isn't covered by
             | those profit margin constraints. So you can just up the
             | prices of prescriptions and siphon profits that way.
             | 
             | Even better, you can do entirely sketchy BS (looking at
             | you, Aetna, but also others): "Sure, you can get your
             | scripts filled at your local pharmacy... but only for <=30
             | day supplies. We'll reject any script authorization for a
             | supply of 31+ days, like those extremely convenient 90 day
             | refills... unless you use the mail-order pharmacy that is
             | wholly owned by us", thus making people choose between
             | convenience and pricing.
        
               | maxerickson wrote:
               | A lot of corporate insurance is self funded by the
               | company, with the insurance company being paid for
               | administration of the plan rather than underwriting.
               | 
               | I suppose it is possible that the buyers of these plans
               | agree to link the payments to the cost of the care
               | provided, but I doubt it.
        
               | FireBeyond wrote:
               | I used to work for a company that built claims benefit
               | management systems, for both direct insurers, and then
               | TPAs (third party administrators).
               | 
               | The flip side of what you say is this - employers are not
               | actuaries in the world of healthcare. So, while an
               | employer can say "hey, whatever else we're doing, we want
               | to give every employee a massage a week, covered 100%, no
               | copay" and the TPA will facilitate the pricing of that,
               | for the general spectrum of care, they will say "We want
               | basically this level of care" and really just choose a
               | plan already provided by the insurer, because all the
               | actuarial effort has been done and the employer has
               | _less_ risk of getting slammed with a multi-million bill
               | because of unexpected incidences.
        
             | tracker1 wrote:
             | I don't think govt run healthcare is the only option... but
             | _could_ serve as a baseline competition if Federal
             | Employees, VA Medical, Medicare /Medicaid were all serviced
             | by an NPO that is govt funded in terms of providing for
             | those federal groups _AND_ allow anyone to buy into a
             | policy as an individual or employer. As an NPO it would
             | provide a baseline for competition and a minimal cost floor
             | with greater negotiating power, that has been artificially
             | limited by the current implementations.
             | 
             | On the Pharma and Devices side, there should be hard FDA
             | requirements for dual sourcing (completely separate
             | ownership structures) and 50% domestic production (for
             | security) as a requirement to even offer
             | medications/devices requiring a prescription in the US.
             | 
             | It could still allow for private competition for better
             | servicing and support without federalizing everything.
        
           | darth_avocado wrote:
           | The more the middle men, the more the cost. It's not rocket
           | science that big pharma aren't the only reason why the costs
           | are high.
           | 
           | Proof:
           | 
           | - I can get plenty of drugs cheaper if I don't use my
           | insurance - I can get hospital services cheaper if I don't
           | use my insurance. There have been times where my copay after
           | meeting the deductible and the insurance coverage is higher
           | than my entire out of pocket cost if I don't use my
           | insurance.
        
           | blindriver wrote:
           | The $1000 price is without insurance so what you're saying
           | doesn't apply.
        
         | deadbabe wrote:
         | So it should cost $550 in America and $550 in Canada.
        
           | tptacek wrote:
           | It depends on your moral system. Equalizing costs across
           | markets almost certainly reduces the number of people who can
           | be served by a medication.
        
             | cpfohl wrote:
             | I'd be really interested to see these costs averaged (like
             | parent post) but then re-distributed by average income...
        
             | deadbabe wrote:
             | Um it also increases the number of Americans who can now
             | access those drugs? So whose healthcare is more important
             | to you?
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | It decreases the _total_ number of people with access.
               | Like I said: it depends on your moral system.
        
           | testing22321 wrote:
           | How do you know what their profit margins are in each
           | country?
           | 
           | How much profit is enough?
        
             | megaman821 wrote:
             | Since most non-biological medicines don't cost very much to
             | manufacture at all; enough profit is enough to cover that
             | drug's R&D and the R&D of the 9 other drugs that didn't pan
             | out. If the US market can cover all those costs, then
             | whatever you get out of other countries is gravy. If that
             | ceases to be true, then other countries will have to pony
             | up more money or go without.
        
           | bradfa wrote:
           | Population of the USA is about 340 million, population of
           | Canada is about 42 million. Assuming similar statistics of
           | people needing a given medicine, proper cost sharing to
           | result in the same profits would put it much closer to the
           | USA cost than the Canada cost.
        
           | sfn42 wrote:
           | Yeah man that's what they do. They sell it at a loss in
           | Canada and then profit in the US to make up the loss. That's
           | definitely how it works.
           | 
           | Let's hope they never discover that they could just not sell
           | it in Canada at all and make even more money.
        
             | munk-a wrote:
             | I'm not certain if there's a specific example you have in
             | mind but as a Canadian familiar with the pharma market you
             | can rest assured that Canada (sometimes through the hidden
             | mechanism of government subsidies) pays well above cost for
             | every medication and medical device I'm familiar with.
             | 
             | Sure, companies are gouging the US worse - but they still
             | make a tidy profit in the Canadian market.
        
               | sfn42 wrote:
               | I was being sarcastic
        
               | munk-a wrote:
               | Oh my apologies - the internet and my habit to take
               | things literally got the best of me.
        
             | goobatrooba wrote:
             | This theory that American prices subsidise the rest of the
             | world has really caught on in the US but I have never seen
             | any evidence for it.
             | 
             | Most common drugs are out of patent anyway, so there should
             | be no barrier to low cost production anywhere.
             | 
             | Moreover the EU and China give huge funding to basic and
             | specific research, which forms the basis of many drugs. For
             | instance the RNA research that gave us COVID vaccines was
             | completely European from start to finish, only production
             | then involved American companies due to scale benefits and
             | market access.
             | 
             | On the contrary where the evidence is obvious is that the
             | US pharma companies have amazing profits (such as the few
             | Europeans that sell at scale in the US).
             | 
             | My personal, unscientific, take is that the entire
             | narrative that the US prices fund global low prices is
             | completely unfounded and just an attempt by big pharma to
             | get the US government on their side to break fair pricing
             | mechanisms in other countries.
        
           | bigyabai wrote:
           | This is flamebait. Nobody with a cursory understanding of a
           | market economy thinks in these terms.
        
         | newyankee wrote:
         | Issue is more like 'the cure for high prices is high prices'
         | does not seem to work in healthcare
        
       | tptacek wrote:
       | https://archive.is/FFvWh
        
       | CapmCrackaWaka wrote:
       | My wife and I recently decided to do IVF. The doctor specifically
       | told us that we needed to order the medicine (menopur, Gonal F,
       | etc) from an American pharmacy. That alone made me suspicious, so
       | I looked at foreign options. Altogether, the medication required
       | would have cost us about $5000 from American pharmacies. We found
       | out that we can just buy the exact same stuff from a German
       | pharmacy for about $1000. So yes, Americans get wrecked by drug
       | prices.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _doctor specifically told us that we needed to order the
         | medicine (menopur, Gonal F, etc) from an American pharmacy_
         | 
         | Why do they care? Referral bonus?
         | 
         | Did you report them?
        
           | apwell23 wrote:
           | what do you mean? you expect american doctors to prescribe
           | you medicines from german pharmacies?
        
             | antisthenes wrote:
             | I actually do expect doctors to have even a tiny concern
             | for not making their patients go bankrupt, yes.
             | 
             | Is that really such a high bar?
        
               | digdugdirk wrote:
               | You need to understand that the system is deliberately so
               | opaque that doctors don't even know what your costs would
               | be. Sure there's a sticker price, but for most
               | medications that's so high as to be absurd. From there,
               | it's entirely dependent on your insurance, coinsurance,
               | pharma benefits, etc, etc.
               | 
               | They try, but they're not in a position to do anything
               | about it.
        
               | jacobgkau wrote:
               | > They try, but they're not in a position to do anything
               | about it.
               | 
               | Well, somebody's got to be, and the doctors seem like the
               | ones with the most leverage to get those people to do
               | something about it, right? Customer/patient pressure
               | obviously isn't working.
        
               | antisthenes wrote:
               | > the system is deliberately so opaque that doctors don't
               | even know what your costs would be.
               | 
               | You're telling me professionals who make $300k after 20
               | years of education have 0 clue about what their patients
               | might pay, or have never had patients who expressed
               | concern over costs? Or don't have friends or relatives
               | who expressed dissatisfaction with a high-deductible
               | plan? Or aren't complicit in getting kickbacks for
               | prescribing opioids?
               | 
               | We gotta stop absolving people of accountability. And
               | that includes EVERYONE in the chain who benefits. Yes,
               | this includes doctors.
               | 
               | Btw, I have had doctors who do try, and many more now
               | will accept reasonable cash prices for their services.
               | That should be encouraged and commended.
        
               | zaphar wrote:
               | They often don't. There are a lot of variables that
               | affect the price. The doctor is not going to know all of
               | them.
        
               | jrockway wrote:
               | Indeed. At the end of the day, the entity underwriting
               | the insurance plan decides the price. This is often the
               | individual's employer. Your doctor does not know what
               | your HR team decided to ask for when designing their
               | health plan.
        
             | OGWhales wrote:
             | I'd assume it was their telling them specifically not to
             | get it from a foreign country that was the odd part, as
             | opposed to simply prescribing it from a US pharmacy since
             | ofc that is what a US doctor will do. Maybe enough patients
             | tried this, to save costs, that it resulted in some kind of
             | issue for the doctor and that is why they brought it up.
        
           | WalterSear wrote:
           | Fear of counterfeit/low quality drugs?
        
           | dahinds wrote:
           | It is often illegal to purchase drugs from other sources?
           | 
           | The named drugs are injectable and require cold storage so it
           | is not trivial to safely source them from overseas.
        
           | nerdsniper wrote:
           | Well, for one ... it's illegal to import drugs that aren't
           | FDA approved. You can import a few months personal supply of
           | a prescribed drug that is FDA-approved but doesn't just mean
           | that the active-ingredient is FDA-approved. It has to be the
           | same exact product, manufactured in the same FDA-approved
           | facility with the same packaging/labeling/etc to be
           | considered "FDA-approved". The most expensive FDA-approved
           | drugs are sold at US prices globally, so there's no
           | geographic arbitration. Then other non-FDA approved brands
           | are sold at lower prices - importing these is a smuggling
           | offense, though enforcement was pretty low (but now with
           | CBP's upcoming budget increases, who knows if this will
           | continue to be practical or ultra-risky).
           | 
           | More practically - HMG is a very difficult drug to assay for
           | purity. It's too complex to interpret with qNMR, HPLC testing
           | is also very hard to interpret. The testing that exists
           | evidently either has a very high margin of error or involves
           | lots of rats and dissections.
           | 
           | Even testing for hCG, while it can be done reliably with
           | HPLC, results between different labs are not comparable
           | because the primary assay is also to test bioactivity on
           | rodents, so they're not normalized to the same standard.
           | 
           | The lack of any independent testing for HMG means that some
           | of the more accessible international manufacturers don't
           | actually test their own product. Combined with its high
           | price, that all makes it a very common target for
           | counterfeit.
           | 
           | Yes, the American pharmaceutical system _absolutely_ has
           | quality-control issues. 80% of our generic pharmaceuticals
           | come from overseas production. The pentagon wanted to
           | independently test the drugs it was purchasing for the VA, so
           | it worked with a company named Valisure who determined that
           | about 10% of the drugs had issues with contamination or a
           | lack of the active ingredient[0]. The FDA responded by
           | shutting down Valisure 's third-party testing.
           | 
           | But even with the problems we have here in the USA, HMG is
           | the one drug I would _particularly_ not trust from gray-
           | market supply chains. It 's conjecture, but I wouldn't be
           | surprised if the doctor said that because other patients had
           | tried it and had poor results.
           | 
           | 0: https://archive.ph/ubLmg
        
             | thuridas wrote:
             | Not only the drug has to be approved but the production
             | process and laboratory.
             | 
             | There is a lot of bureaucracy and audits. It is but as if a
             | European laboratory is allowed to sell a generic drug
             | without at huge costs for certifications ( and viceversa)
             | 
             | I am not saying that buying your medicines to questionable
             | online web is a good idea. Just that other countries have
             | their own controls depending on their policies
        
               | nerdsniper wrote:
               | Yes. There are a lot of good non-FDA drugs that have been
               | available for online purchase by US citizens. It's
               | illegal to get them shipped to you, but enforcement has
               | historically been nearly non-existent and given that 75
               | million Americans are under-insured ... it probably has
               | been the rational option for many. India, China, and
               | Turkey are perfectly capable of making high quality
               | pharmaceuticals when the business owner actually cares
               | about quality.
               | 
               | Also, compounding pharmacies in the USA sometimes get
               | their raw active ingredients from even the shadiest
               | suppliers in China and India. It's not always perfectly
               | legal, things aren't always QA/QC'd at any point in the
               | process the way they should be, but it happens. So again,
               | "buying American" isn't exactly a golden ticket.
               | 
               | European HMG from reputable pharmacies is probably great
               | quality - but it's still rather expensive compared to
               | Chinese HMG and there's really no way to trust anyone
               | selling it online, you'd basically have to fly to Europe
               | yourself. And taking it back on the airplane would still
               | be illegal, and you'd be rather more likely to be caught
               | by customs than a mailed package.
        
         | viccis wrote:
         | When my wife needed a rabies post-exposure shot course, it
         | would have been around $25000 range for the shots without
         | coverage. Our (expensive high end) insurance brought it down to
         | "only" $2500 out of pocket for us. The alternative is to take
         | the gamble of a possible horrible death.
         | 
         | In the UK? Around PS150-PS300 total.
        
           | jen20 wrote:
           | > In the UK? Around PS150-PS300 total.
           | 
           | For whom? I can't imagine this in particular would not be
           | free at the point of use like almost everything else. That
           | said, the UK has famously been free of (classical) rabies
           | since the 1920s, so it's unclear if it would be easily
           | available if there aren't other uses.
        
             | viccis wrote:
             | Was talking about from a private clinic [1]. Obviously it's
             | free via NHS. It's a good example of a system in which the
             | government in incentivized to not tolerate drug price
             | gouging.
             | 
             | https://www.citydoc.org.uk/conditions/rabies
        
               | ed_elliott_asc wrote:
               | Not quite free for most people, we have to pay the
               | prescription charge of about PS12
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | Is it a good example of _drug_ price gouging? I would bet
               | the major part of the price is that provider.
        
         | liquid_thyme wrote:
         | YouTube Premium is also cheaper in Bangladesh.
        
           | hshdhdhj4444 wrote:
           | Is it cheaper in the UK, Canada, Germany, etc?
        
             | liquid_thyme wrote:
             | Pricing in healthcare is very tightly regulated and there
             | isn't a simple one line answer for why certain prices are
             | they way they are. Its easy to scapegoat bigpharma for
             | being greedy, but they're just as greedy as any other US
             | corporation.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/External_reference_pricing
             | 
             | I only brought up YouTube because when a company is free to
             | set their price, you will still end up with a pricing model
             | where the pricing is different based on region.
        
         | hshdhdhj4444 wrote:
         | The only reason Americans complain about drug prices is because
         | that's the one they usually pay directly.
         | 
         | The other parts of the healthcare system are hidden behind
         | taxes and insurance.
        
           | bruce511 wrote:
           | Not to be unnecessarily sparky here, but are we limiting this
           | discussion to legal drugs?
           | 
           | Drugs like Oxy are both "legal" yet also consumed illegally.
           | Made by a perfectly legit pharma company.
           | 
           | And that's before we discuss the river of fentanyl apparently
           | flowing across the Canadian border...
        
       | tptacek wrote:
       | The headline is terrible given the thesis of the short article.
       | 
       | The Economist's analysis creates a model that shows Pharma
       | companies making "excess profits" (greater than 10% return on
       | capital) second only to technology companies. In that sense, by
       | the Economist's terms, they are in fact gouging.
       | 
       | But that's not really the point the Economist wants to make;
       | rather, regardless of whatever profits Pharma is raking in,
       | they're in fact a small component of overall health care
       | spending. You could zero out Pharma profits (this is my point and
       | not theirs) and not materially change US health spending.
       | 
       | In all these discussions about American health care, my first
       | take is that everybody should go download the CMS National Health
       | Expenditures, and make a beeline for "Expenditures by Type of
       | Expenditure and Program" (it's just an Excel spreadsheet). It's
       | an extremely intuitive breakdown of where all US health care
       | spending goes, and who's paying for it, all on one sheet.
       | 
       | There are a lot of narratives about health care spending that do
       | not survive first contact with that spreadsheet.
        
         | kspacewalk2 wrote:
         | Are you specifically referring to `Table 19 National Health
         | Expenditures by Type of Expenditure and Program.xlsx` in the
         | ZIP archive which can be downloaded at
         | https://www.cms.gov/files/zip/nhe-tables.zip ?
        
           | tptacek wrote:
           | Yeah the one I have hotlinked in Google Sheets is a "Table
           | 19" but I didn't want to presume it's Table 19 every year.
        
         | dboreham wrote:
         | Drug costs are contentious because they're easily visible and
         | often no covered by insurance. The other costs are obfuscated
         | in complex billing and hidden under principle/agent veils.
         | 
         | E.g. my son has a peanut allergy and so we need to buy EpiPens.
         | They were hundreds of dollars, and the vendor played MBA-
         | nonsense games like requiring two to be purchased at a time.
         | Meanwhile I was able to drive to Canada and buy the exact same
         | thing (and as many or as few as I needed) for tens of dollars.
        
           | tptacek wrote:
           | We know where all the health spending in the system ends up,
           | and while Pharma pricing is quite high and those companies
           | are quite profitable, most of our health spending doesn't go
           | to either Pharma or insurers.
        
           | megaman821 wrote:
           | That is annoying, but not a huge cost driver. If you son
           | ended up in the ER it would cost multiple lifetimes of
           | epipens (even at an inflated price).
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | I mean, this is a bit of circular logic isn't it...
             | 
             | "Medicine being expensive doesn't impact care being
             | expensive"
             | 
             | Which is almost exactly the opposite. If people could get
             | cheap general doctor visits and be able to afford their
             | medicines then this would reduce the number of emergency
             | visits allowing less beds/doctors/hospitals.
        
           | cyberax wrote:
           | Similar story. I suffer from dry eyes, and I like
           | perfluorohexyloctane eye drops. They require a prescription
           | and cost $800 here in the US.
           | 
           | I am now ordering them from an Irish pharmacy. They are over
           | the counter there, and cost $20.
           | 
           | They are literally exactly the same, you can tell by the lot
           | numbers on the bottles.
        
           | FireBeyond wrote:
           | > and the vendor played MBA-nonsense games like requiring two
           | to be purchased at a time
           | 
           | Washington State, the vendors lobbied on the back of a tragic
           | incident to require a variety of people and places to have
           | EpiPens physically present at all times...
           | 
           | ... including in the back of ambulances, when we (I am, or
           | was, a paramedic) we had epinephrine already available.
           | 
           | Which resulted in a huge amount of waste, throwing out
           | expired EpiPens, etc. The number of hoops we had to jump
           | through with the DOH to eventually allow us to have a
           | specific "epi jump kit" (a small tackle box with syringes and
           | a vial, alcohol, etc.) was enormous, but the net result was a
           | replacement cost of $28 for the kit (actually less, because
           | the $28 included the tackle box) versus the $600+ for
           | EpiPens.
        
         | abeppu wrote:
         | I don't think the spending story alone is helpful because it
         | doesn't acknowledge where there's room for actual improvement.
         | Of the $1.5T spent on "Hospital Care", if almost all of it went
         | to medical staff, facilities, equipment etc, and if good data
         | suggested that people aren't in hospital unnecessarily, maybe
         | that number isn't a problem. But if private hospitals have very
         | fat margins, and some significant share of patients could be
         | served just as well through less expensive clinical services,
         | maybe that's too much.
         | 
         | In the context of the cost of medication, the $449B on
         | "prescription drugs" doesn't break out what goes to drug makers
         | vs PBMs or anyone else. We can easily imagine a world without
         | PBMs that still delivers drugs to patients, but someone has to
         | actually make the drugs. We can also ask, are people on
         | medications they don't actually need? Are we sometimes
         | _causing_ later health issues when medicating (e.g. fueling a
         | giant opioid crisis)? None of this is apparent in the top-line
         | spending figures.
        
           | tptacek wrote:
           | Whoah, that smuggles in an enormous assumption: that a dollar
           | directed to a medical professional is automatically well
           | spent. In reality, medical professionals in the US make
           | drastically more money than they do in Europe and deliver way
           | more procedures (they're often working on "RVU" scales that
           | incentivize delivery of more procedures).
           | 
           | This is something that makes health care economics really
           | difficult to discuss: everybody trusts their doctor and
           | factors them out of the equation; the problem is every penny
           | that _doesn 't_ go to their doctors and specialists. But
           | that's not a valid analysis and your doctor and their support
           | system is (after elder care) at the heart of US health
           | spending.
        
             | abeppu wrote:
             | I did _not_ make that assumption. I specifically called out
             | the possibility that some hospital care may not be
             | necessary. Regarding hospital care, the two sentences
             | describing hypotheticals where spending is or is not
             | improvable specifically included clauses:
             | 
             | > and if good data suggested that people aren't in hospital
             | unnecessarily
             | 
             | > if ... some significant share of patients could be served
             | just as well through less expensive clinical services,
             | maybe that's too much
        
               | knowaveragejoe wrote:
               | I don't think they were insinuating that _you_ were
               | making that assumption, but rather that your line of
               | reasoning must necessarily make that assumption if
               | brought to fruition
        
             | lostlogin wrote:
             | > medical professionals in the US make drastically more
             | money than they do in Europe and deliver way more
             | procedures
             | 
             | Do you have a source on that? I ant to understand how that
             | works. The US is ludicrously inefficient per dollar spent,
             | so how does that work?
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | By us compensating medical professionals more and
               | allowing them to perform more procedures.
               | 
               | It's weird to see people startled by this claim because
               | it's a pretty basic and accepted one!
        
               | elcritch wrote:
               | It's not purely a bad thing per se if it attracts doctors
               | who excel and are the best.
               | 
               | However, it seems now more like straight-up profiteering
               | the past decade or two by doctors as a whole but it's
               | harder to point a finger at. In contrast with "Big
               | Pharma" the profits are fairly centralized and easy to
               | point a finger at.
               | 
               | Personally I've for a while believed the biggest issue
               | with wealth inequality in the US isn't primarily due to
               | billionaire class, but rather the millionaire class and
               | "managerial class", though I'd include doctors in that
               | list. Most CEOs would also be in that list.
               | 
               | Doctors via the AMA keep salaries artificially high, just
               | the same as similar tactics used by land lords using
               | software to jack up rent prices.
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | Your claim here, were you to try to make it, would have
               | to be that American doctors are across the board 2-3x
               | better than European doctors, and that European pts are
               | getting drastically fewer procedures than they need.
               | 
               | (I think we agree though).
        
               | elcritch wrote:
               | Specifically for doctors, that seems a reasonable point
               | or question. I know intimately from my PhD studies that
               | some procedures performed widely in the US aren't that
               | effective (meniscectomies in particular). Though that's
               | gotta be balanced with procedures that are helpful that
               | Europeans don't do enough.
               | 
               | More broadly though, I believe what's occurring with
               | doctors is also happening across the board in other
               | professions. Landlords as an aggregate are charging more
               | than if fair, and the median landlord isn't a billionaire
               | or Blackrock but probably part of the professional
               | managerial class (PMC) [1]. No idea if landlords as a
               | whole are charging 25% or 250% more for rent, but rent
               | seems to have outpaced inflation by a fair bit.
               | 
               | Similarly others here mention doctors owning portions of
               | diagnostic imaging companies who go on to request
               | unnecessary imaging. That's the PMC enrich-yourself-first
               | mindset. Historically it was the local landed nobles.
               | 
               | Repeat that across more fields and professions and you
               | see that the middle and lower classes will be squeezed
               | much more by PMCs than by billionaires, IMO. For example,
               | it'll be some VP at Google who's pushing to raise the
               | cost of YouTube premium rather than Sergey Brin or the
               | Youtube CEO. Another VP who's figuring out how to move
               | software to a never-ending subscription, etc. Though it'd
               | be hard to split out the effect of say PMC's vs corporate
               | profiteering. Perhaps they are part of the same effect.
               | 
               | 1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Professional%E2%80%93man
               | ageria...
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | I mean, if the argument is that exogenous supply
               | constraints are the root of most of our economic
               | problems, and that the economy is rigged for the upper-
               | middle class and the billionaires are just along for the
               | ride, we probably share a lot of politics, but either
               | way: my point on this thread is just: start with the
               | total picture of where money in our system goes.
               | 
               | A _lot_ of people think most of it is going to insurers
               | and pharma companies, which is the literal opposite of
               | what 's happening.
        
               | bhelkey wrote:
               | Physicians in the US are paid, on average, more than 2x
               | what Physicians in Germany make and more than 3.5x what
               | Physicians in France are paid [1].
               | 
               | [1]
               | https://www.statista.com/statistics/1094939/physician-
               | earnin...?
        
             | FireBeyond wrote:
             | > and deliver way more procedures
             | 
             | Diagnostic imaging companies - each of the big ones
             | (Siemens, GE, Philips) offer in-house financing for MRI,
             | CT, etc., that they advertise to physicians. They also all
             | offer specialist consulting help to facilitate you getting
             | a CoN (Certificate of Need) for your facility. Hell, they
             | also will help you find other physicians in your area who'd
             | like to go in on setting up a DI facility (and will assist
             | with spinning up the practice).
             | 
             | We then find that physicians who own a DI practice (or a
             | share in one) refer their patients to diagnostic imaging at
             | rates several standard deviations above other physicians
             | and at rates that are "statistically improbable" when
             | correlated to underlying ICD-10 diagnostic codes.
             | 
             | Upton Sinclair comes to mind ("It is difficult to get a man
             | to understand something, when his salary depends on his not
             | understanding it").
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | My favorite statistic is that there are more MRI machines
               | in Massachusetts than there are in all of Canada.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | Is that a good thing or a bad thing? MRI machines are
               | expensive, but very useful for certain conditions and
               | with zero radiation exposure. We see a lot of affluent
               | Canadians coming to the USA as medical tourists for
               | imaging procedures and elective surgery due to long
               | queues at home.
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | It's an indicator. By many accounts, the US drastically
               | overuses imaging. For instance: it's not unlikely that a
               | patient presenting with persistent back pain will be
               | imaged quickly in the US. That imaging service is itself
               | expensive and a cost driver, but far worse are the
               | procedures the imaging results drive, most of which
               | wouldn't be prescribed over the border in Canada. We do
               | not on the whole get better results for back pain here!
               | 
               | Another example, though with a less comical indicator
               | than the MRI thing: at least up until recently, hernia
               | repairs in Europe were all inpatient procedures. The US
               | innovated on laparoscopic hernia repair that's done
               | outpatient. This is by itself a very good thing! But the
               | knock-on result is that the US now delivers _way_ more
               | hernia repairs; we do medically unnecessary hernia repair
               | because we made it so easy to do.
               | 
               | None of these are my insights; they're just things you
               | learn about if you read and listen to podcasts about the
               | problems with our health care economics.
        
             | cogman10 wrote:
             | What makes it hard to discuss is everyone at every level is
             | gouging for various reasons.
             | 
             | Like, for example, doctors are going to be paid more than
             | foreign counter parts, but they also end up needing very
             | expensive schooling. (Similar thing happens to dentists).
             | 
             | Go into the hospital, and you end up paying 10x the amount
             | for any medication (Tylenol being a good example) because
             | either the hospital has an agreement with a medical
             | supplier for exclusive supplies or they are trying to make
             | up for ER treatments.
             | 
             | Then there's simply the added layer of bloat on top of
             | everything. Health insurance ends up hiring a large staff
             | of people to try and reject all claims while hospitals hire
             | patient advocates to appeal the denials for the patients.
             | All that ends up being paid for somehow (usually a large
             | chunk is from the patient's insurance principle).
             | 
             | And, much like funerals, slap on "medical" on any piece of
             | equipment and you get to raise the price by 10x. A $10
             | stethoscope ends up costing $100 from a medical supplier.
             | Or one I've personally seen, a "medical" pocket protector
             | made from $1 in fabric costing $50.
             | 
             | The reason non-us healthcare ends up being cheaper is
             | because the governments are running most everything rather
             | than having 3 or 4 private businesses duking it out over
             | cost. It eliminates a huge amount of redundancy in the
             | system when a government builds the hospitals, pays the
             | doctors directly, and is the only one negotiating with
             | medical equipment providers.
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | I don't disagree and wouldn't valorize anybody in the
               | field+ (though: of all the entities, I come closest to
               | respecting Pharma's role and, if those companies were
               | well-behaved, could make a pretty coherent argument for
               | why they should be making _much more_ money given what
               | they produce).
               | 
               | But it remains important to get a picture of where the
               | money is going, and the real picture disrupts a bunch of
               | narratives.
               | 
               | Even in your comment: you're handwaving past physician
               | comp and overdelivery!
               | 
               | + _writ-large, I mean; I know some awesome doctors_
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | > Even in your comment: you're handwaving past physician
               | comp and overdelivery!
               | 
               | I'm really not. I'm simply pointing out exactly why they
               | have such an oversized salary. It costs a ton of money to
               | become a physician. In order to survive, they initially
               | need a pretty sizable salary.
               | 
               | After the loans are paid off, that salary can't go down,
               | there would be a revolt if it did.
               | 
               | Over delivery is really just a general attitude of
               | wanting to test everything to make sure nothing is
               | missed. I have a hard time faulting them over that.
               | 
               | IMO, the way to address this problem is addressing the
               | cost of education for physicians. There's no reason
               | getting an MD should cost $500,000, and yet it does.
               | 
               | And, of course, the best way to do this is to make
               | medical school publicly funded and tuition free. A lot of
               | small hospitals close down because they can't afford
               | regular doctors. It's also next to impossible for a
               | doctor to setup a private clinic.
               | 
               | That won't fully solve the current salary bloat, the only
               | way to really address that is expanding the number of
               | doctors being trained.
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | Sure it could. Physician compensation, RVU billing,
               | upcoding, and overdelivery aren't facts of nature. In
               | fact, a lot of these problems are caused by Medicare
               | regulation; we deliberately restrict the supply of
               | physicians by underfunding residency slots, which is
               | something the AMA lobbied to do.
               | 
               | But when institutions try to take these problems on, like
               | when Blue Cross (IIRC) went after anaesthesiology
               | upcoding abuses, industry lobbyists spin people up to
               | think that insurers are demanding surgeons wake people up
               | in the middle of operations. It's a real problem. People
               | understand so little about how our system works that they
               | will vociferously take the side of practitioners who are
               | screwing them over.
               | 
               | (Everybody is screwing everybody over; I'm not taking a
               | side, except to point out that Table 19 of the NHE makes
               | a pretty stark statement about where the money is going.)
        
             | dredmorbius wrote:
             | RVU is presumably "relative value units":
             | <https://medicalbillingservicereview.com/rvu-explained/>.
        
           | gruez wrote:
           | > But if private hospitals have very fat margins, and some
           | significant share of patients could be served just as well
           | through less expensive clinical services, maybe that's too
           | much.
           | 
           | The second chart shows how many companies have return on
           | capital greater than 10%, which basically covers the "very
           | fat margins" you're looking for.
        
             | abeppu wrote:
             | I saw the economist chart, and am responding to tptacek
             | advocating for a specific _spending_ based spreadsheet.
             | 
             | But _no_, the Economist category of "Healthcare Services"
             | includes hospitals, insurers and PBMs and other "middlemen"
             | (see the last paragraph of the article), and so based on
             | their analysis we cannot separate out hospital margins.
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | The Economist charts are a rhetorical tool designed to
               | highlight a point they're making (I think the points are
               | valid and the charts are good and interesting).
               | 
               | The spreadsheet I'm "advocating" is less like that, and
               | more like the tables in a 10K filing. It's simply an
               | accounting of where US health dollars go, and where the
               | money comes from.
               | 
               | I'm not saying that spreadsheet rebuts any claim this
               | article makes (though it might). I'm saying it's a
               | remarkably simple and comprehensive piece of data to fit
               | onto a single screen, and when we discuss health care
               | economics, it's extraordinarily helpful to have that data
               | available.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Thanks - I've adapted your phrase for the title above. If
         | anyone can suggest a better (i.e. more accurate and neutral),
         | we can change it again.
        
         | PaulHoule wrote:
         | My understanding also is that pharma is a case where you can
         | often show you spend $X on a medicine and it gives $10X or more
         | in savings.
         | 
         | For instance inhaled steroids for asthma can cost an eye-
         | popping $300 a month but some people with asthma get
         | hospitalized once a year at a cost upwards of $8000 so the
         | inhaler is really a bargain.
        
           | firstplacelast wrote:
           | That's like saying smoke detectors should cost thousands of
           | dollars bc they can save a 500K+ building. That's a poor way
           | to look at value in these situations. It's cheap and easy to
           | make, so it should be cheap to the consumer if there weren't
           | all sorts of red-tape and opaque pricing schemes used as an
           | excuse to prop of extortion.
        
             | tptacek wrote:
             | Why is that a poor way of looking at the situation? The
             | reason smoke detectors don't cost thousands of dollars is
             | that there are lots of different smoke detectors competing
             | the price down.
        
       | diego_moita wrote:
       | I'm surprised on the comments here that go: "I had to pay $$$$
       | for a medication when I could buy that same medication somewhere
       | else for a fraction of it. Therefore Big Pharma gouges America".
       | 
       | That is not evidence that "Big Pharma gouges America". It is
       | evidence that Americans pay a lot more than other countries. Only
       | that. The conclusion doesn't necessarily follow from the
       | premises.
       | 
       | Want to understand why? Read the article's last paragraph:
       | 
       | > The bulk of the rents is captured instead by providers of
       | health-care services such as hospitals and the system's true
       | money-makers: insurers, pharmacy-benefit managers and other
       | middlemen taking advantage of its opacity.
       | 
       | As always, no one reads anything.
        
         | tptacek wrote:
         | Insurers make even less money than Pharma companies do. To a
         | first approximation essentially all health care spending goes
         | to companies that deliver health services directly.
        
           | diego_moita wrote:
           | > Insurers make even less money than Pharma companies do.
           | 
           | In the whole or in relative terms? Source, even if personal
           | or anecdotal?
           | 
           | I am willing to consider your point because, to be fair, the
           | article doesn't show any data that indicts the insurers. They
           | just blame them at the end without any evidence.
           | 
           | > all health care spending goes to companies that deliver
           | health services directly.
           | 
           | Well, that wouldn't explain why medication alone is more
           | expensive in America, right?
           | 
           | But accepting your argument: is it because of greed and
           | oligopolies, incompetence or excess of regulation?
        
             | tptacek wrote:
             | Hah, I wouldn't need "personal" or "anecdotal" evidence for
             | this; it's right there in black and white in the NHE data;
             | literally in the first row of the sheet. I posted about
             | this across the thread.
        
             | mothballed wrote:
             | No, he's right. Insurance profits are legally capped, and
             | this keeps them from representing an outsized fraction of
             | spending even in cases when they might partially be the
             | driver behind it. They have to spend N% of their income on
             | actual health care benefits. They're not absurdly high, you
             | could look them up, but I don't think it's possible to
             | exceed something like 10% profit.
             | 
             | This means the only way for insurance companies to increase
             | profits is to increase the price of healthcare, and they
             | have zero incentive to try and lower the amount of money
             | they pay out for healthcare which might otherwise have been
             | split between profits and lower premiums.
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | My guess is that if you found NHE data from before the
               | ACA cap insurance would remain a small component of
               | overall health spending (the ACA was very important and I
               | am in no way downplaying it).
               | 
               | Mostly I'm saying: you don't have to axiomatically derive
               | why this is. Medicare collects and synthesizes this data.
        
               | mothballed wrote:
               | How would you derive it from medicare? Isn't medicare
               | supposed to be non-profit? They should occupy 0% of
               | health care spending once you remove the pass-through
               | transfer payments that go back into medical care, minus
               | some administration overhead.
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | The CMS collects these statistics in the same way that
               | the BLS collects labor statistics. It has nothing
               | specifically to do with the part of CMS that directly
               | administers Medicare. The point is that we have very high
               | quality data on this stuff.
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | I'd like to see a deeper analysis here though. Insurers
               | don't make that much money on a percentage profit basis,
               | but profit's derived after expenses. Hypothetically,
               | their sheer existence could be a huge burden to everyone
               | involved, their costs to employ legions of make-work
               | employees processing/rejecting/questioning claims could
               | result in low profits even if the work isn't necessary,
               | they could take advantage of transfer pricing to hide
               | profits in their wholly owned but separately reported
               | PBMs...
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | I'm not even looking at profit; you don't have to,
               | because insurance is such a small component of US health
               | spending. This is the value of having the NHE data in
               | front of you in discussions like this; we don't even have
               | to debate how much of US health insurance is administered
               | by nonprofit firms, or whether for-profit firms are
               | gouging, because the whole thing is too small a component
               | to matter.
        
               | mothballed wrote:
               | Not sure you're understanding. The insurance companies
               | can't gouge by jacking up profits because that's illegal.
               | They can't ever become a big component of healthcare
               | spending nominally, but they can be the actor that causes
               | a big component of health care costs to baloon.
               | 
               | The way insurance companies might gouge is by jacking up
               | healthcare prices, since they act as a government-
               | captured oligopoly block and thus don't have normal free
               | market forces. That is how they could increase nominal
               | profits without increasing % profits.
               | 
               | They could jack up health care prices massively while
               | only being measured as a small % of the total. Whether
               | this is actually the case or not, I'm not sure, but the
               | incentives demand that they do it if they can. It should
               | be impossible to pull off such a cartel in any
               | unregulated market, but due to the way healthcare works
               | it seems more likely it could be true.
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | The overwhelming majority of the money they'd be
               | diverting by doing that would be going to health
               | providers, not to payers and underwriters. Therefore, the
               | hypo you're offering isn't interesting to me. I'd still
               | be starting by looking at the institutions that actually
               | end up with the money.
        
               | mothballed wrote:
               | >The overwhelming majority of the money they'd be
               | diverting by doing that would be going to health
               | providers, not to payers and underwriters.
               | 
               | Yes exactly. Imagine for a moment you have a market where
               | every payer has to pay every healthcare provider, and a
               | free market of health care providers. It would be
               | impossible to create a cartel of buyers raising the
               | price.
               | 
               | Then imagine, say you have universal healthcare
               | insurance. The insurance provider is capped at say, 1%
               | profit. Since they have a monopoly, they can walk up to
               | the healthcare providers and say "hey, please jack your
               | costs 3x" so we can get 3x the profit. And then you can
               | turn around and do a study and say, well insurance
               | profits haven't changed -- and then wrongly conclude the
               | insurance companies aren't to blame for the inflated
               | prices, as they are only capturing 1% of the health care
               | industry despite being responsible for 200% price
               | increase.
               | 
               | I believe the nature of health insurance industry
               | probably leaves them somewhere in a gray area in-between
               | these two extremes, especially when you consider the
               | insurance companies also often own under an umbrella
               | company health care providers.
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | Seems like motivated reasoning. I'm looking at a single-
               | page spreadsheet that tells a very different story, and
               | I'm going to stick with that rather than the hypo.
        
               | mothballed wrote:
               | Based on what you've told me so far I'm not understanding
               | how you can be sure of that. After the ACA caps was
               | passed (limiting % profit) nominal health care spending
               | went up significantly.
        
               | coredog64 wrote:
               | Medicare doesn't really do administration in the way that
               | you think. There are something like 10-12 regions within
               | the US, and for each region, Medicare contracts with a
               | private health insurer to manage insurance administration
               | within that region. Medicare just moves the money around
               | to cover the admin contracts and to backstop the claims.
               | 
               | And this is before you get to Medicare Advantage, which
               | is where Medicare just pays for private insurance
               | premiums for people who think vanilla Medicare sucks.
        
               | mothballed wrote:
               | OK, but if that's the case the medicare data should show
               | the spending went significantly up after the ACA caps,
               | which doesn't prove the thesis but is necessary condition
               | for it.
               | 
               | https://paragoninstitute.org/wp-
               | content/uploads/2024/03/9DG_...
               | 
               | https://truthout.org/app/uploads/2024/12/insurers-
               | profits-bi...
        
           | delfinom wrote:
           | Yea in fact the ACA law caps insurers to a maximum of 15%
           | profit. Anything extra must be rebated back to the customers.
           | 
           | The debatable part is the rebate is back to the employer who
           | is allowed to simply pocket the money, though one could argue
           | its returning the amount the employer is covering, often more
           | than the employee. :shrug:
           | 
           | Believe or not, I get yearly notices from UHC about rebates
           | for the prior year.
        
             | tptacek wrote:
             | Whatever the reasons are, I don't need first principles to
             | make this claim, because Medicare presents this particular
             | data quite clearly.
        
             | rockercoaster wrote:
             | > Yea in fact the ACA law caps insurers to a maximum of 15%
             | profit.
             | 
             | These are plan-by-plan, not on the company overall, and
             | notably this doesn't apply to:
             | 
             | 1) Self-funded plans. Name-brand insurance companies manage
             | these, but big companies fund them and take on the risk
             | (with re-insurance and all that good stuff in the mix, of
             | course). A large proportion of the US population is on
             | these kinds of plans, and that limit does not apply to
             | them.
             | 
             | 2) New plans in their first (IIRC) two years. I've not
             | looked into whether insurance companies are playing games
             | with this such that a larger set of their plans are "new"
             | ones than would be if this rule didn't exist, but if it's
             | at all possible for them to do that, I guarantee they are.
        
         | gertlex wrote:
         | >> The bulk of the rents is captured instead by providers of
         | health-care services such as hospitals and the system's true
         | money-makers: insurers, pharmacy-benefit managers and other
         | middlemen taking advantage of its opacity.
         | 
         | > As always, no one reads anything.
         | 
         | The implication of the article was the "bulk of the rents"
         | applies to healthcare costs in total, not just to drug costs.
         | I.e. drug costs are not a huge part of the healthcare costs.
         | 
         |  _That_ by itself doesn 't guarantee an understanding of why
         | specific medication costs are sometimes 10x or whatever of
         | other 1st world countries.
         | 
         | (but I didn't read the article; just the rest of the comments)
        
       | gruez wrote:
       | For people who only read the title, note that the article is
       | actually about a slightly different point:
       | 
       | >America is a lucrative market for the world's drug giants. Many
       | pharma bosses admit that is where they make most of their
       | profits. But are these profits really responsible for America's
       | ballooning health-care bill? The short answer is no.
       | 
       | I don't think the article is disputing that Americans pay more
       | for drugs than other countries, only that the pharma industry
       | isn't the top gouger (or even above average) in the healthcare
       | industry.
        
         | tiahura wrote:
         | https://www.ama-assn.org/sites/ama-assn.org/files/2025-04/20...
        
         | cryzinger wrote:
         | > The bulk of the rents is captured instead by providers of
         | health-care services such as hospitals and the system's true
         | money-makers: insurers, pharmacy-benefit managers and other
         | middlemen taking advantage of its opacity.
         | 
         | Did a ctrl+F for "PBM," and when that failed, "pharmacy" :P And
         | yeah, the thing about drug manufacturers is that they _are_
         | ripping us off, but at least they do actually provide a useful
         | service. PBMs, by contrast, inflate costs without any real
         | benefit to consumers.
        
       | bearjaws wrote:
       | I work for a large mail order pharmacy and I will tell you we
       | make no money on over 90% of our prescriptions. Our margin is
       | less than 4%. The space is hyper competitive and obviously
       | consumers are price sensitive. We are incredibly lean - less than
       | 50 staff to run the pharmacy and a fully robotic dispensing line
       | doing the vast majority of the dispensing.
       | 
       | The drug manufacturers are making massive profits, and nobody is
       | stopping them.
       | 
       | Hilariously the whole TrumpRx card is kind of a step in the right
       | direction, I've screamed for years that manufacturers blatantly
       | rip everyone off and if just use a made up discount card system
       | all of a sudden the drug is 30-90% off.
       | 
       | Ideally the government just says the global price is the US
       | price, and eliminates discount cards entirely.
        
         | tptacek wrote:
         | You only get access to the government-negotiated discount,
         | which is from the pharma company list price, if you buy without
         | insurance. But your insurance company already negotiated a
         | discount from that list price (they're not dumb, and any excess
         | dollar they give to Pfizer is a dollar they don't get to deploy
         | elsewhere). From what little we know of the government
         | discount, it is likely in most cases to be a worse price than
         | what you already have access to.
        
         | pfisherman wrote:
         | The list price is mostly a starting point for negotiations with
         | PBMs and payers. Drugs are also often aggregated and bundled.
         | So in a lot of cases is unclear what a drug actually costs.
        
       | Der_Einzige wrote:
       | Just gonna leave this here...
       | 
       | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Betteridge's_law_of_headline...
        
       | abeppu wrote:
       | > The bulk of the rents is captured instead by providers of
       | health-care services such as hospitals and the system's true
       | money-makers: insurers, pharmacy-benefit managers and other
       | middlemen taking advantage of its opacity.
       | 
       | This category of "providers of health-care services" is rather
       | over-broad, and I wish they had split it up more. Shouldn't
       | hospitals (which actually _provide health care_ and are necessary
       | parts of the healthcare system) be in a separate bucket from the
       | "middlemen"?
       | 
       | And within the hospital category, don't we need to draw some
       | distinctions? Currently in the US there's been press about how
       | recent funding changes are causing a bunch of rural hospitals to
       | shut down. It seems that some hospitals are major money losers,
       | though we as a society may want them to continue to exist (or
       | else a rural person in a medical emergency has no chance of
       | getting care in time). But what's happening at the hospitals that
       | _are_ collecting "rents", esp since in more urban contexts there
       | are often multiple hospitals and one might expect more
       | competition?
        
       | tboyd47 wrote:
       | The answer: Well, that depends on how you define "Big Pharma."
        
       | tiahura wrote:
       | Where does healthcare spending go?
       | 
       | https://www.ama-assn.org/sites/ama-assn.org/files/2025-04/20...
        
       | nineplay wrote:
       | I'm intrigued by the premise - I have my own large burden of
       | health care costs and my own suspicions about where it is going -
       | but does anyone else find their charts unreadable? I'm trying to
       | parse the first one and I keep trying to put the pieces together.
       | "Health care services" is 60 out of 101bn ... excess profits?
       | 
       | The second one I can hardly start on, "health care services" is a
       | medium circle ( circle size = combined market capitalization )
       | with the second highest "Aggregate return on invested capital"
       | and in the middle of "median weighted-average cost of capital".
       | 
       | I know its called "the economist" but they usually make their
       | articles readable by people without a econ degree. If I had a
       | suspicious mind ( I do ) I'd think this was deliberate
       | obfuscation.
       | 
       | Also "health care services ... such as hospitals and the system's
       | true money-makers: insurers, pharmacy-benefit managers and other
       | middlemen taking advantage of its opacity"
       | 
       | That is a lot of different interests bundled together. How can
       | they say insurers are the true money makers when they are not
       | even broken out?
        
       | xnx wrote:
       | Seems like net income margin for an average US company is about
       | ~10% and for big pharm it's ~14%. Regulations are probably what
       | keeps pharma unusually profitable.
        
         | lotsofpulp wrote:
         | 10% consistent profit margin is above average for publicly
         | listed US companies.
         | 
         | https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile...
         | 
         | >Total Market 8.67%
        
       | ktosobcy wrote:
       | Americans created "big-pharma", "big-medical" and "big-insurance"
       | for themselves and now they are living the consequences...
        
       | TheCoelacanth wrote:
       | Every individual component of health care is a small portion of
       | spending.
        
       | potato3732842 wrote:
       | Everything in healthcare is a "small component" if you squint or
       | ask those benefitting but this death by a thousand cuts adds up
       | to a hair under 1/5th of the US GDP. Go single payer or
       | deregulate the living crap out of it, I don't care. I just want
       | this leech of my back.
        
         | coredog64 wrote:
         | Single payer doesn't do anything though. Doctors and nurses
         | have significantly better social standing than politicians, so
         | when push comes to shove, the politicians won't be able to make
         | the required structural changes that reduce the labor
         | components of healthcare costs.
        
       | PhotonHunter wrote:
       | For drugmakers, we treat research and development as an asset
       | that is depreciated over 15 years, which is more or less the
       | lifetime of their patents.
       | 
       | This is not a good assumption. It's a super complicated subject,
       | but what really matters is _market exclusivity_ and I think most
       | industry people would use 8-12 years as a realistic range for
       | small molecule market exclusivity.+
       | 
       | I'm unsure how this revised assumption would alter the
       | conclusions.
       | 
       | +one reference of many in support:
       | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10242760/
        
       | cs702 wrote:
       | The Economist's analysis concludes that the bulk of exorbitant
       | rents in the US is captured by providers of health-care services
       | who take advantage of the healthcare system's opacity:
       | 
       | * hospitals,
       | 
       | * insurers,
       | 
       | * pharmacy-benefit managers, and
       | 
       | * other middlemen.
        
       | kazinator wrote:
       | Everything else being horrendously expensive does exert an upward
       | lift on pharma prices. Yes, pharma does gouge Americans, no doubt
       | about it.
       | 
       | This is not easy to analyze with complements vs substitutes.
       | Sometimes drugs can be substitutes for other treatments, and
       | sometimes they are complements.
       | 
       | Also, people may be desperately needing one or the other or both.
       | It's not like quitting coffee when the prices are high.
       | 
       | Say that for a certain drug and certain set of medical
       | treatments, they are complementary. If the treatment is jacked up
       | to be expensive, less of it will be performed, and that will
       | create less demand for the drug. So you would think the drug
       | would go cheaper. But the drug vendors can simply use their
       | market power (say it is a patented drug with no generic version
       | available) to stick to their guns and jack their prices too. Then
       | they exert the reverse effect; the more expensive drug will put
       | downward pressure on the complementary treatment.
       | 
       | In this manner, both the drug and the procedures can gradually
       | become expensive together. Though each one is not as expensive as
       | it would be if the other didn't move.
        
       | tracker1 wrote:
       | I think the problem is the article detaches "Pharmacy-Benefit
       | Managers" from Pharma costs and into "Services" as a separate
       | category... they're definitely closer to Pharma in terms of the
       | structure, where that money goes is up for debate.
       | 
       | There should probably be trade (FTC) violation of some kind from
       | this layer of man in the middle gouging, which is on top of the
       | higher direct prices of the medications to begin with in the US.
        
       | kalap_ur wrote:
       | I did a calculation once. US spends $4.9T on healthcare: $2T on
       | personnel, $500B on non-acute drugs (ie OTC + prescribed) and
       | $2.4T on something else. Germany spends $550B on healthcare:
       | $430B on personnel, $80B on non-acute drugs and $31B on something
       | else. My guess is that the "something else", which is non
       | transparent, is actually private insurance jacking prices up.
        
         | giantg2 wrote:
         | Can you adjust those to for a per capita and CoL basis?
         | 
         | That something else could also be stuff like malpractice
         | insurance, legal settlements, etc.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2025-10-02 23:01 UTC)