[HN Gopher] NSF and Nvidia award Ai2 $152M to support building a...
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       NSF and Nvidia award Ai2 $152M to support building an open AI
       ecosystem
        
       Author : _delirium
       Score  : 148 points
       Date   : 2025-08-14 13:08 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (allenai.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (allenai.org)
        
       | datadrivenangel wrote:
       | Suggest changing the title to:
       | 
       | NSF and NVIDIA award Ai2 $152M to support building a fully open
       | AI ecosystem
       | 
       | To better indicate that this is not related to OpenAI and that
       | the group intends to release everything needed to train their
       | models.
        
         | nativeit wrote:
         | Now where have I heard this before...
        
       | hobofan wrote:
       | If Nvidia were interested in "open" AI, they would spend time to
       | collaborate with AMD, etc. to build an (updated) open alternative
       | to CUDA. That's probably the most closed part of the whole stack
       | right now.
        
         | bongodongobob wrote:
         | That's AMDs fault, not Nvidia's.
        
         | kookamamie wrote:
         | Indeed. This is throwing pennies in virtue-signaling openness.
        
         | sounds wrote:
         | Nvidia is interested in commoditizing their complements. It's a
         | business strategy to decrease the power of OpenAI (for
         | instance).
         | 
         | Nvidia dreams of a world where there are lots of "open"
         | alternatives to OpenAI, like there are lots of open game
         | engines and lots open software in general. All buying closed
         | Nvidia chips.
        
           | arthurcolle wrote:
           | Why is OpenAI a threat to Nvidia? They are still highly
           | dependent on those GPUs
        
             | grim_io wrote:
             | Google shows that Nvidia is not necessary. How long until
             | more follow?
        
               | NitpickLawyer wrote:
               | Tbf, goog started a long time ago with their TPUs. And
               | they've had some bumps along the way. It's not as easy as
               | one might think. There are certainly efforts to produce
               | alternatives, but it's not an easy task. Even the ASIC-
               | like providers like cerberas and groq are having problems
               | with large models. They seemed very promising with SLMs,
               | but once MoEs became a thing they started to struggle.
        
               | arthurcolle wrote:
               | I agree in principle but you can't just yolo fab TPUs and
               | leapfrog google
        
               | ivape wrote:
               | I don't think we can say that until we hear how Genie3
               | and Veo3 were trained. My hunch is that the next-gen
               | multi-modal models that combine world, video, text, and
               | image models can only be trained on the best chips.
        
             | tomrod wrote:
             | Two concepts
             | 
             | - Monopsony is the inverse of Monopoly -- one buyer.
             | Walmart is often a monopsony for suppliers (exclusive or
             | near exclusive).
             | 
             | - Desire for vertical integration and value extraction,
             | related to #1 but with some additional nuances
        
               | next_xibalba wrote:
               | Who is the one buyer in the Nvidia scenario? How would
               | that benefit Nvidia?
        
               | KaoruAoiShiho wrote:
               | It would hurt nvidia not benefit, that's why nvidia
               | spends a lot of effort to prevent that from happening,
               | and it's not the case currently.
               | 
               | They really need to avoid the situation in the console
               | market, where the fact there's only 3 customers means
               | almost no margins on console chips.
        
               | next_xibalba wrote:
               | Prior to the A.I. boom, Nvidia had a much, much more
               | diverse customer base in terms of revenue mix. According
               | to their 2015 annual report[1], their revenues were
               | spread across the following revenue segments: gaming,
               | automotive, enterprise, HPC and cloud, and PC and mobile
               | OEMs. Gaming was the largest segment and contributed less
               | than 50% of revenues. At this time, with a diverse
               | customer base, their gross margins were 55.5%. (This is a
               | fantastic gross margin in any industry outside software).
               | 
               | In 2025 (fiscal year), Nvidia only reported two revenue
               | segments: compute and networking ($116B revenue) and
               | graphics ($14.3B revenue). Within the compute and
               | networking segment, three customers represented 34% of
               | _all_ revenue. Nvidia 's gross margins for fiscal 2025
               | were _75%_ [2].
               | 
               | In other words, this hypothesis doesn't fit at all. In
               | this case, having more concentration in extremely deep
               | pocketed customers competing over a constrained supply of
               | product has caused margins to sky rocket. Moreover, GP's
               | claim of monopsony doesn't make any sense. Nvidia is not
               | at any risk of having a single buyer, and with the recent
               | news that sales to China will be allowed, the customer
               | base is going to become more diverse, creating even more
               | demand for their products.
               | 
               | [1] https://s201.q4cdn.com/141608511/files/doc_financials
               | /annual...
               | 
               | [2] https://s201.q4cdn.com/141608511/files/doc_financials
               | /2025/a...
        
               | KaoruAoiShiho wrote:
               | Nobody said this was the case...
               | 
               | The only example I used was the console market which has
               | been ruined because of this issue. They generally left
               | that market because it was that horrible.
        
               | tomrod wrote:
               | I'm not sure your analysis is apples to apples.
               | 
               | Prior to the AI boom, the quality of GPUs slightly
               | favored NVidia but AMD was a viable alternative. Also,
               | there are scale differences between 2025 and before the
               | AI boom -- simply put, there was more competition in the
               | market for a smaller bucket and favorable winds on
               | supplier production costs. Further, they just have better
               | software tooling through CUDA.
               | 
               | Since 2022 and the rise of multi-billion parameter
               | models, NVidia's CUDA has had a lock on the business
               | side, but face rising costs due to terrible trade policy
               | by the US, significant rebound from COVID as well as
               | geopolitical realignments, inflation on the workforce,
               | and rushed/buggy power supplies as their default supply
               | options have made their position quite untenable --
               | mostly CUDA is their saving grace. If AMD got their
               | druthers about them and focused they'd potentially unseat
               | NVidia. But until ROCm is at least _easy_ nothing will
               | happen there.
        
             | patates wrote:
             | Maybe if they grow too much they'd develop their own chips.
             | Also if one company wins, as in they wipe out the
             | competition, they'd have much less incentive to train more
             | and more advanced models.
        
             | vlovich123 wrote:
             | If OpenAI becomes the only buyer, they can push around
             | Nvidia and invest in alternatives to blunt their power. If
             | OpenAI is one of many customers, then they're not a strong
             | bargaining position and Nvidia gets to set the terms.
        
             | victorbjorklund wrote:
             | One large customer has more bargin power than many big
             | ones. And risk is OpenAI would try to make their own chips
             | if they capture all the market.
        
           | someone7x wrote:
           | > commoditizing their complements
           | 
           | Feels like a modern euphemism for "subjugate their
           | neighbors".
        
             | jvanderbot wrote:
             | Business has always been a civilized version of war, and
             | one which will always capture us in similar ways, so I
             | _guess_ wartime analogies are appropriate?
             | 
             | Still it feels awful black and white to phrase it that way
             | when this is a clear net good and better alignment of
             | incentives than before.
        
             | skybrian wrote:
             | No, it's encouraging competition and cost-cutting in a part
             | of the market they don't control. This can be a reason for
             | companies to support open source, for example.
             | 
             | Meanwhile, the companies running data centers will look for
             | ways to support alternatives to Nvidia. That's how _they_
             | keep costs down.
             | 
             | It's a good way to play companies off each other, when it
             | works.
        
           | amelius wrote:
           | But AI depends on a small number of tensor operators,
           | primitives which can be relatively easily implemented by
           | competitors, so compute is very close to being a commodity
           | when it comes to AI.
           | 
           | A company like Cerebras (founded in 2015) proves that this is
           | true.
           | 
           | The moat is not in computer architecture. I'd say the real
           | moat is in semiconductor fabrication.
        
             | sounds wrote:
             | Have you ever tried to run a model from huggingface on an
             | AMD GPU?
             | 
             | Semiconductor fabrication is a high risk business.
             | 
             | Nvidia invested heavily in CUDA and out-competed AMD (and
             | Intel). They are working hard to keep their edge in
             | developer mindshare, while chasing hardware profits at the
             | same time.
        
               | amelius wrote:
               | > Have you ever tried to run a model from huggingface on
               | an AMD GPU?
               | 
               | No, but seeing how easily they run on Apple hardware, I
               | don't understand your point, to be honest.
        
               | phkahler wrote:
               | >> Have you ever tried to run a model from huggingface on
               | an AMD GPU?
               | 
               | Yes. I'd never touched any of that stuff and then one day
               | decided to give it a shot. Some how-to told me how to run
               | something on Linux which had a choice of a few different
               | LLMs. I picked one of the small ones (under 10B) and had
               | it running on my AMD APU inside of 15 minutes. The
               | weights were IIRC downloaded from huggingface. The
               | wrapper was not. Anyway, what's the problem?
               | 
               | BTW that convinced me that small LLMs are basically
               | worthless. IMA need to go bigger next time. BTW my "old"
               | 5700G has 64GB of RAM, next build I'll go at least double
               | that.
        
             | bilbo0s wrote:
             | _which can be relatively easily implemented by competitors_
             | 
             | Oh my.
             | 
             | Please people, _try_ to think back to your engineering
             | classes. Remember the project where you worked with a group
             | to design a processor? I do. Worst semester of my life.
             | (Screw whoever even came up with that damn real analysis
             | math class.) And here 's the kicker, I know I'll be dating
             | myself here, but all I had to do for my part was tape it
             | out. Still sucked.
             | 
             | Not sure I'd call the necessary processor design work here
             | "relatively easy"? Even for highly experienced, extremely
             | bright people, this is not "relatively easy".
             | 
             | Far more easy to make the software a commodity. Believe me.
        
               | amelius wrote:
               | To be totally honest, the only thing I can distill from
               | this is that perhaps you should have picked an education
               | in CS instead of EE.
               | 
               | I mean this is like saying that a class for building
               | compilers sucked. Still, companies make compilers, and
               | they aren't all >$1B companies. In fact, hobbyists make
               | compilers.
        
               | bilbo0s wrote:
               | I did study CS as well.
               | 
               | That you are comparing designing and writing a compiler
               | with designing and manufacturing a neural processor is
               | only testimony to the futility of my attempt to impress
               | on everyone the difference. So I'll take my leave.
               | 
               | You have a good day sir or ma'am.
        
               | amelius wrote:
               | But I'm actually saying that manufacturing is the hard
               | part ...
        
             | ants_everywhere wrote:
             | > The moat is not in computer architecture. I'd say the
             | real moat is in semiconductor fabrication.
             | 
             | In the longer run, anything that is very capital intensive,
             | affects entire industries, and can be improved with large
             | amounts of simulation will not be a moat for long. That's
             | because you can increasingly use AI to explore the design
             | space.
             | 
             | Compute not a commodity yet but may be in a few years.
             | Semiconductor fab will take longer, but I wouldn't be
             | surprised to see parts of the fabrication process
             | democratized in a few years.
             | 
             | Physical commodities like copper or oil can't be improved
             | with simulation so they don't fall under this idea.
        
           | PeterStuer wrote:
           | I thought they assumed AI hardware would become commoditized
           | sooner rather than later, and their play was to sell complete
           | vertically integrated AI solution stacks, mainly a software
           | and services play?
        
         | sim7c00 wrote:
         | you are not wrong. open up cuda would be a a real power move. i
         | think ppl would mind a some of their other crap practices a lot
         | less.
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | They could also publish all of their source code, die designs,
         | put their patents in the public domain and go live on a beach
         | somewhere and fish for a living.
         | 
         | CUDA is what they sell, it makes more sense for them to charge
         | for hardware and give the hardware-locked software away for
         | free.
        
         | latchkey wrote:
         | Came here to say this. It is the basis for my entire business.
         | It isn't just CUDA though, it is the hardware layer too. That
         | is why we are exclusive to AMD AI hardware.
         | 
         | We have dozens of companies building foundational models and
         | they all target a single vendor to supply all the hardware?
         | Make it make sense! Yes, I know models run on AMD too, but the
         | fact is, Nvidia, who's clearly doing a great job, is a literal
         | monopoly. We need viable alternatives.
         | 
         | This deal was done with CirraScale, who are great people. It is
         | important to point out that they are also one of the 13
         | official AMD Cloud Partners. I'm on the list too.
        
         | emsign wrote:
         | That's because nvidia is in the business of selling chips and
         | compute time. All they care bout is that as much people on
         | Earth become dependend on AI running on nvidia hw as possible.
        
       | brunohaid wrote:
       | Maybe that'll help them hire someone who can at least respond to
       | S2 API key requests...
       | 
       | Being open is great, but if over the course of 6 months 3
       | different entities (including 2 well known universities) apply
       | and send more than a dozen follow ups to 3 different "Reach out
       | to us!" emails with exactly 0 response, the "open" starts
       | sounding like it's coming from Facebook.
        
       | zoobab wrote:
       | "Open" like an open source FPGA implementation of their chips?
        
       | pmdr wrote:
       | So basically nvidia handing out cash to itself. <insert Obama
       | medal meme>
        
         | lgats wrote:
         | or handing out free hardware? with the side effect of investing
         | in open source llms in their ecosystem
        
       | jeffreysmith wrote:
       | Not sure what's with the HN tone on this announcement. AI2 are
       | really some of the best people around for creating truly open
       | artifacts for the whole ecosystem. Their work on OLMo and Molmo
       | is some of the most transparent and educational material you can
       | find on model building. This is just great news for everyone.
        
         | Guthur wrote:
         | Maybe because many of us are not from the US. The stated goal
         | is US dominance of the AI field, and sorry if the rest of us
         | don't see that as a good thing nor particularly open.
        
           | FirmwareBurner wrote:
           | _> The stated goal is US dominance of the AI field_
           | 
           | Any country tries to dominate any field if they can do it,
           | it's just human nature. Why is that a bad thing?
           | 
           | That constant competition for superiority between nations is
           | how humanity has evolved from hunter gatherer to having
           | tractors, microwave ovens, airplanes, internet and
           | penicillin.
        
             | byteknight wrote:
             | As an American, I obviously can get behind it, but I can
             | easily see how a declared goal of superiority of others
             | would rub those others the wrong way (and possibly prevent
             | their contribution)
             | 
             | [Insert xkcd new standard image here]
        
               | FirmwareBurner wrote:
               | _> a declared goal of superiority of others would rub
               | those others the wrong way_
               | 
               | So what? Does that change anything in how things work in
               | reality? Everyone knows it, so why pussyfoot around it?.
               | 
               | Why are people nowadays so sensitive about saying the
               | truth of how things work? Have people been coddled that
               | much that they've can't handle reality? A good life
               | lesson is that the world does not revolve around your
               | feelings.
        
               | Guthur wrote:
               | It's not my feelings mate, if you don't live outside the
               | US and have not been subjected to their unipolar attitude
               | you will probably never understand and there is literally
               | nothing I'm going to say to convince you of the objective
               | reality the rest of us face.
        
               | FirmwareBurner wrote:
               | Sorry, I wasn't talking about you specifically, but the
               | general "you" as in you the reader.
        
               | laughingcurve wrote:
               | As an American researcher, I can assure you that the
               | Chinese superiority and behavior in the field is
               | certainly ENCOURAGING my contributions.
        
             | Herring wrote:
             | Yes, _competition_ is good. Monopoly is bad. A more
             | distributed power structure is much better for overall
             | progress, and even for the monopolist in the long run (Ex:
             | Intel).
        
               | FirmwareBurner wrote:
               | _> Monopoly is bad. _
               | 
               | So what do you propose? Should the US stop development
               | till other countries catch up?
        
               | Herring wrote:
               | Nah, I'd say just do more anti-monopoly anti-inequality
               | work. Probably start internally, that's a massive enough
               | task on its own (eg breaking up big tech). Assist other
               | countries eg with aid if (and only if) they are doing the
               | same. This is a big topic, ask your favorite frontier LLM
               | about it.
        
               | FirmwareBurner wrote:
               | Unless China does the same that's an unrealistic ask.
               | That would be like doing nuclear disarmament but only you
               | and everyone else gets to keep their nukes.
        
               | Herring wrote:
               | Your "nukes" are leaking into the water supply.
               | Inequality shows up a million different ways that
               | Americans don't fully understand yet, eg inflation
               | (dominant companies increasing profits), teacher
               | shortages (low wages), student debt (not an issue for the
               | wealthy so why fix it), housing prices (corporate
               | landlords, exclusionary zoning), layoffs (despite record
               | profits) etc etc. This situation (Trump/Musk/Bezos taking
               | most of the gains) is just not long-term stable, and if
               | any other country wants to do the same to themselves let
               | them. The longer it goes the harder it will be to fix.
               | 
               | Again, go have this discussion with the LLM you trust,
               | it's much more informative.
        
           | philipkglass wrote:
           | The Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence projects so
           | far have been very open. They are open about the trained
           | models, the inference code, the training data sets, and the
           | training code. A research group from any country can pick up
           | where AI2 left off if they want to try a different approach
           | or extension. I want to live in a world where there are many
           | models near the top of leader boards, from many different
           | research groups and countries, and I think that AI2 helps
           | enable that.
           | 
           | The stated "US dominance" goal just pays lip service to what
           | appeals to the funders, kind of like how supercomputing
           | projects traditionally claim that they contribute to curing
           | disease or producing clean energy. (Even if it's something
           | far removed from concrete applications, like high fidelity
           | numerical simulations of aqueous solutions.)
        
           | laughingcurve wrote:
           | Good luck trying to raise money from a NATIONAL science
           | foundation without it being in the NATIONAL interest.
        
           | Guthur wrote:
           | Of course you can justify this, as people have, but you can't
           | then blame the rest of us non US citizens for not aligning
           | with that goal. The US is only a small portion of the global
           | population and the government itself has a long history of
           | stamping on the rest of us.
        
           | insane_dreamer wrote:
           | But better for the rest of the world than private US tech
           | companies dominating.
        
             | nativeit wrote:
             | This just in: AI2 pivoting to a for-profit model, and is
             | seeking venture capital funding.
             | 
             | Oops, sorry that's next year's news. Anyway, this is all
             | ringing very familiar.
        
       | khalic wrote:
       | People seem to be missing the fact that Ai2 is an initiative by
       | the Allen Institute for AI, not a company
        
         | NitpickLawyer wrote:
         | And they've already released open source models, with data and
         | training code. They're definitely the good guys here.
        
       | cruffle_duffle wrote:
       | I can't wait until I can run this shit locally without spending
       | $10,000 on clusters of GPU's. The models will be trained using
       | some distributed P2P-like technology that "The Man" can't stop.
       | 
       | Imagine running a model trained by the degenerates on 4chan.
       | Models that encourage you to cheat on your homework, happily
       | crank out photos of world leaders banging farm animals, and
       | gleefully generate the worst gore imaginable. And best of all,
       | any junior high schooler on the planet can do it.
       | 
       | That's how you know this technology has arrived. None of this
       | sanitized, lawyer approved, safety weenie certified, three letter
       | agency authorized nonsense we have now. Until it's all local,
       | it's just an extension of the existing regime.
        
         | philipkglass wrote:
         | _Imagine running a model trained by the degenerates on 4chan._
         | 
         | It has been done before:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GPT4-Chan
         | 
         | https://archive.org/details/gpt4chan_model_float16
        
         | latchkey wrote:
         | Only $10k? We spend a lot more than that! =)
        
       | yalogin wrote:
       | After reading through the article I couldn't understand what an
       | open AI ecosystem is. Are they talking about hardware or
       | software? If it's software we have opensource models, are they
       | going to create open source vertical integrations?
        
         | curious_cat_163 wrote:
         | We don't really have very many open source models. We have
         | "open weights" models. Ai2 is one of the very few labs that
         | actually make their entire training/inference code AND datasets
         | AND training run details public. So, that this investment is
         | happening is a welcome step.
         | 
         | Congratulations to the team at Ai2!
        
           | yalogin wrote:
           | Ah thanks for the nuance!
        
       | big_toast wrote:
       | Some people will be too young to know the commoditize[1] your
       | complements wisdom of yesteryear. It's hard for me to tell if
       | consumers end up net ahead after things settle.
       | 
       | I'm surprised we haven't heard about OpenAI pushing a facebook
       | style OpenCompute project or ARM (acorn, apple, VLSI) or similar
       | for the stack below them.
       | 
       | [1]: https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2002/06/12/strategy-letter-v/
        
       | gigatexal wrote:
       | I guess that makes sense: make Nvidia hardware run stuff so well
       | you buy more of it. That's all CUDA is it's a way to get people
       | to buy more CUDA capable hardware aka Nvidia cards.
        
       | nativeit wrote:
       | Are we sure this isn't Nvidia's play to make what OpenAI is for
       | Microsoft? Start with a bunch of non-profit, research-for-the-
       | good-of-humanity promises before closing ranks and soliciting
       | venture capital for its for-profit subsidiary?
       | 
       | I don't want to be cynical, it's just that the world has left
       | very few options otherwise.
        
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