[HN Gopher] Nearly 1 in 3 Starlink satellites detected within th...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Nearly 1 in 3 Starlink satellites detected within the SKA-Low
       frequency band
        
       Author : aragilar
       Score  : 173 points
       Date   : 2025-08-13 08:12 UTC (14 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (astrobites.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (astrobites.org)
        
       | jillesvangurp wrote:
       | Mitigation is going to be the name of the game. Whether they like
       | it or not, low earth orbit (LEO) is becoming a very busy place
       | and it's not just SpaceX launching lots of little satellites
       | there. The Chinese are very busy launching their own satellites
       | into LEO. And there are other companies and countries doing or
       | considering the same. Spacex and Star link get most of the
       | attention; but the Chinese are doing a decent job to keep up with
       | them in number of launches. And there are a growing number of
       | companies with LEO launch capability.
       | 
       | Mitigation might have to involve some sacrifices. I don't see how
       | policy is going to be able to mitigate much here. And of course
       | the Chinese are under no obligation to listen to US policy
       | makers. They might have their own debates domestically around
       | this topic and they might be reasonable about the topic
       | internationally even. But building international consensus; or
       | even enforcing what little there is on that front could be
       | challenging.
       | 
       | A more practical approach might be accepting that earth based
       | observations are inevitably going to suffer a bit as the number
       | of satellites grows from thousands to tens of thousands and
       | eventually well beyond that. Luckily we now are able to launch
       | stuff into orbit a lot cheaper. Including astronomy related
       | hardware. That's already happening of course. And otherwise,
       | astronomy is very interesting and cool but mostly it concerns
       | observations about things that are really really far away and not
       | directly relevant to a lot of things on earth. Unless of course
       | the thing under observation is on a collision course with us.
        
         | squigz wrote:
         | Why do we _have_ to launch tens of thousands or even more
         | satellites?
        
           | mlindner wrote:
           | "We" don't have to launch anything at all. SpaceX needs to
           | launch enough satellites to satisfy customer demand for their
           | constellation. In general the trend actually is that SpaceX
           | is launching fewer but larger satellites (initially they were
           | doing 60 satellites per launch, but they made them larger and
           | now launch 24-28 satellites depending on the orbit
           | inclination.
        
           | JonChesterfield wrote:
           | This internet fad seems to be hanging around and bandwidth is
           | probably linear in satellite count.
        
           | jocaal wrote:
           | Why do we need radio telescopes. Satellite communications are
           | infinitely more useful for people on earth than some research
           | papers about things light-years away
        
             | kevindamm wrote:
             | Ironically, those satellites would not be able to
             | communicate effectively without the understanding of
             | relativity that was obtained by looking at things light-
             | years away.
        
               | jocaal wrote:
               | Einstein developed relativity from mathematical
               | reasoning. A major influence was the michaelson morley
               | experiment, which was solely done on earth. Relativity
               | was developed in the early 1900's and the first radio
               | telescope was made in the 1930's. Also, orbital mechanics
               | uses mostly Newtonian mechanics and the communication of
               | satellites is radio waves which were understood way
               | before einstein. There is no relativity involved.
               | Literally everything you said is factually incorrect.
        
               | sidewndr46 wrote:
               | Einstein developed a theory that includes General
               | relativity and special relativity. Experimental results
               | confirms both of them, with special relativity being the
               | easiest one to understand the consequences of. Without
               | experimental confirmation, neither theory would be
               | valuable.
        
               | kevindamm wrote:
               | Satellites experience time dilation because of their
               | orbital velocity and gravitational field being
               | significantly different at their altitude. Without
               | accounting for this, the clock drift would become
               | unmanageable and Newtonian models are insufficient to
               | correct for it.
               | 
               | You're right that the majority of Einstein's theories
               | were ultimately thought experiments but getting the
               | parameters correct involved a lot of measurements and
               | experimenting, to get to where tech like GPS and StarLink
               | can be accurate. We were also looking at far away stars
               | for centuries before Einstein so that he could have the
               | environment for his ideas to be discussed, which I was
               | including in my phrasing "looking at things light-years
               | away."
               | 
               | I wasn't saying it to start an argument, though. I wanted
               | to counter the rather dismal view of "why do we need
               | radio telescopes."
        
               | madeforhnyo wrote:
               | Communication requires accurate timing. Time dilation
               | occurs between Earth and satellites, a phenomenon that
               | isn't part of Newton mechanics, so relativity is indeed
               | involved.
        
             | voxlax wrote:
             | Yes, but if it hadn't been for the efforts of visionary
             | scientists at NASA trying to reach the stars, there would
             | be no means of putting those satellites into orbit.
        
               | brookst wrote:
               | This is the but I don't see the relevance. Is there an
               | argument / position there or just an observation?
        
               | flufluflufluffy wrote:
               | The point is basic science (e.g. radio astronomy) is, if
               | not necessary, then highly desirable, because it can lead
               | to unimaginable advancements in humanity (or in a
               | country's technological and military capabilities if
               | that's how you think).
        
               | brookst wrote:
               | Sure, and industry is also valuable and contributes to
               | progress. I don't think it's useful to say one must
               | always take priority over the other regardless of
               | specifics.
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | > Why do we need radio telescopes.
             | 
             | Because they provide data that other types of telescopes do
             | not. We have X-ray telescopes. We have infrared telescopes.
             | We have optical telescopes. Also as a bonus, for ground
             | based radio telescopes, we can use them 24/7 instead of
             | waiting for nighttime.
        
           | jillesvangurp wrote:
           | There is no royal "we" that "has to" do anything. There's
           | just groups of people and countries making use of a shared
           | resource, LEO.
           | 
           | Your underlying question as to why some of those are
           | launching satellites is much easier. They are apparently
           | quite useful for things like communication, providing
           | internet, etc. And people are willing to pay for that kind of
           | stuff. It's not more complicated than that.
        
           | XorNot wrote:
           | If you think the internet is a big deal, you haven't run into
           | how happy the military is to have high bandwidth low-latency
           | communications anywhere on the planet.
           | 
           | Starlink is nothing compared to the value Starshield
           | provides, and the civilian product drives costs down.
           | 
           | With drone warfare being the next thing, the US probably
           | can't afford to _not_ have a company running a major LEO ISP.
        
           | throwaway290 wrote:
           | If we had a trusted powerful peacekeeper with a track record
           | then we wouldn't need to. But now that masks are off
           | everybody is busy launching dual purpose sats and whoever
           | launches the least can literally get nuked from orbit if they
           | don't do whatever the guy with more sats wants.
           | 
           | Then whoever has the most sats will say "that's it guys, LEO
           | is full and you need our approval to launch more" and if
           | someone raises a stink you guessed it, they can get nuked
           | from orbit
        
             | myrmidon wrote:
             | There are no kinetic NOR nuclear orbital strike
             | capabilities for _anyone_ right now, nor is anyone really
             | working on it either, because it just makes zero sense
             | (primarily because suborbital launches achieve the exact
             | same outcome for a tiny fraction of the cost).
        
               | galangalalgol wrote:
               | Wouldn't having them already up give a lot less warning
               | in a first strike situation? Also redundancy if all your
               | subs, silos, and bomber bases got hit first by their
               | satellites. It doesn't even have to be rational though,
               | combinations of graft and brinkmanship would be enough.
               | It seems really optimistic to think they haven't all
               | already done this.
        
               | myrmidon wrote:
               | > Wouldn't having them already up give a lot less warning
               | in a first strike situation?
               | 
               | Improved first strike capability is worthless if it isn't
               | crippling, and "devastating enough" first strike
               | capability from orbit is completely unaffordable, and
               | impossible to build up unobserved.
               | 
               | Being in orbit is a hindrance more than anything, really,
               | because maintenance becomes ruinously expensive,
               | everything is trivially observable for all your
               | adversaries and you have to align the orbit with your
               | target beforehand, too (which, again, everyone can
               | observe).
               | 
               | > It doesn't even have to be rational though,
               | combinations of graft and brinkmanship would be enough.
               | 
               | Enough for what? Threatening to nuke some satellites?
               | Because anything else you can do easier, cheaper and on a
               | larger scale from the ground. Why would you bother with
               | nuclear warheads in space when you can just
               | build/maintain like 10 ICBM silos for the same cost?
        
               | notahacker wrote:
               | > Wouldn't having them already up give a lot less warning
               | in a first strike situation
               | 
               | No. Your missiles have further to fly from geostationary
               | orbit than a missile silo on the ground, not to mention
               | the additional complexity of designing your ICBM for
               | reentry
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Wouldn 't having them already up give a lot less
               | warning in a first strike situation?_
               | 
               | From GEO, no. From LEO, still probably no.
               | 
               | There may be a bird positioned just right so a small
               | deorbit burn pots Moscow quicker than an ICBM could. But
               | the moment you start burning, you're caught. (Same as an
               | ICBM.) And unless you have a really obvious orbital
               | configuration that bunches a bunch of birds in a way
               | useful for practically nothing but such a strike, you
               | only get one or two such "early" shots before a wall of
               | ICBMs would have landed.
               | 
               | Nukes in space aren't about nuking the ground from space.
               | It's about space area denial through EMP.
        
               | axus wrote:
               | Here's a fun snippet from Wikipedia's anti-satellite
               | weapon page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-
               | satellite_weapon#Soviet_U...
               | 
               | "Elements within the Soviet space industry convinced
               | Leonid Brezhnev that the Shuttle was a single-orbit
               | weapon that would be launched from Vandenberg Air Force
               | Base, manoeuvre to avoid existing anti-ballistic missile
               | sites, bomb Moscow in a first strike, and then land.
               | Although the Soviet military was aware these claims were
               | false, Brezhnev believed them and ordered a resumption of
               | [satellite destroyer] testing along with a Shuttle of
               | their own."
        
               | m4rtink wrote:
               | The exact claim might have been false, but at least i
               | theory it could do this maneuver from orbit - e.g. during
               | a regular space hab or satellite lunch mission it could
               | dipp into the atmosphere, do a rapid oebit inclination
               | chang using its wings, then boost back to orbit using the
               | OMS. Next thing it would deliver the "totally science
               | experiments" on the way to their targets once comming
               | over the horizon. Maybe it could then even do the
               | manuever again to either regain the old orbit parameters
               | ir at least reach a more surivable random other one.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _at least i theory it could do this maneuver from
               | orbit_
               | 
               | Nukes from LEO aren't impossible. They're just impossible
               | to do better than the current triad. Any breakthrough in
               | propulsion that would make a plane change easier or less
               | visible confers the same advantages to an ICBM. There is
               | a narrow window in which orbital nuking can outperform,
               | and that's almost entirely taken care of--and exceeded,
               | in stealth--by SLBMs.
        
               | TimorousBestie wrote:
               | "nuked from orbit" is an ancient meme from Aliens (1986);
               | it's not meant to be taken literally.
               | 
               | https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=nuke+it+f
               | rom...
        
               | throwaway290 wrote:
               | It's a figure of speech, sats have been used many times
               | to intercept missiles, for spy purposes etc
        
               | m4rtink wrote:
               | You could have ballistic missile interceptors in orbit,
               | standing by:
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brilliant_Pebbles
        
           | literalAardvark wrote:
           | As others have said, because it's a key military capability.
           | 
           | Humanity is what humanity is, not what we wish it'd be, so
           | key military capabilities need to be developed or you get
           | razed by the guy who did develop them. Doubly so now that
           | we've rediscovered that culture is much more resilient than
           | we'd thought, and that different people want Earth to look in
           | different ways.
           | 
           | Do we all wish we'd stop ecological collapse instead? Yeah.
           | But it's not going to happen so it's irrelevant.
        
           | sneak wrote:
           | Because the speed of light is slow and orbital mechanics
           | can't be changed.
           | 
           | To have internet everywhere you need to either accept bad
           | latency (300-500ms round trip) or have closer satellites,
           | which means they're moving faster, which means you need more
           | of them.
        
           | wang_li wrote:
           | You should also ask why do we have to do this particular
           | research? Both parties are impacting this particular band of
           | the spectrum. One by excluding others and the other by
           | radiating in those frequencies.
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | Excluding others only in a way that is not dissimilar to
             | you locking your doors/windows to exclude others from
             | freely entering your house.
             | 
             | Yes, some of the premiere radio observatories have radio
             | transmission exclusion zones around them, but they are also
             | typically away from that exclusion zone impacting as few as
             | possible. Starlink on the other hand is not attempting to
             | do anything of the sort. It would be interesting of
             | Starlink could respect a geofence kind of idea so that they
             | stop broadcasting when over certain areas, especially since
             | they do this over geopolitically exclusion zones.
        
         | aragilar wrote:
         | A bit, it's 5 orders of magnitude over the required SNR?! From
         | the article: "The authors estimate a lower limit of 93 Jy per
         | beam in the frequency averaged images containing Starlink
         | emission. Considering just 1 mJy of radio frequency
         | interference could mess up an EoR power spectrum integration,
         | this could severely affect SKA-Low EoR science."
        
           | jillesvangurp wrote:
           | > the required SNR
           | 
           | Require by who and on what authority?
           | 
           | My point here was not to contest that but make the point that
           | the cat is out of the bag and that it is indeed impacting
           | SKA-Low EoR science and the people involved with that have to
           | deal with that.
           | 
           | Getting the cat a little bit back in the bag via policy and
           | other means is maybe worth trying (good luck) but I don't
           | give it a very high chance of success.
        
             | 1dom wrote:
             | This makes me want to say "is nothing sacred?!" I get your
             | point from a pragmatic: this is the world we live in, work
             | with it, not against it.
             | 
             | I think you need to scope this approach when suggesting it
             | though, since it's effectively "a policy has been broken by
             | a company, but we can't undo it, so lets just accept it and
             | let them get on with it" which doesn't seem like it'll lead
             | to a better world.
             | 
             | I do agree with your point that the people who suffer from
             | the policy breach have to be pragmatic in their handling.
             | But ultimately, let's not let pragmatism and stoicism lead
             | to businesses spectacularly breaking policies in hopes of
             | being told "well the cats out the bag now, the victims can
             | deal with it, you might has well continue".
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | > I do agree with your point that the people who suffer
               | from the policy breach have to be pragmatic in their
               | handling. But ultimately, let's not let pragmatism and
               | stoicism lead to businesses spectacularly breaking
               | policies in hopes of being told "well the cats out the
               | bag now, the victims can deal with it, you might has well
               | continue".
               | 
               | I fully agree, and that's IMO the core-issue here: This
               | strong-arm approach of just forcing the problem to be
               | solved in your favor by scaling as fast as possible and
               | then pleading how uneconomic it would be for you to
               | change course, insisting that the other side should be
               | pragmatic about this.
               | 
               | I don't remember this was a working strategy in the past
               | (imagine a car-company just accelerating sales of a
               | faulty car to scale THEIR issue and avoid having to do a
               | recall), but nowadays it could even be turned into a
               | geopolitical topic...
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | It's the definition of 'too big to fail', and it's been a
               | viable and effective strategy... for ever? Near as I can
               | tell. He'll, the Fed even got created because of the time
               | the whole US economy cratered in the early 20th century
               | and one man was the one whole bailed out _the whole
               | country_.
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | 'Too big to fail' is only said about companies that
               | didn't collapse yet though.
               | 
               | But such companies also failed already. Enron, Arthur
               | Andersen, WorldCom comes to mind. Even Blockbuster could
               | be on that list...
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | The take away is they weren't big enough to have enough
               | leverage eh?
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | > The take away is they weren't big enough to have enough
               | leverage eh?
               | 
               | This reasoning has some parallels to "everything that
               | can't be explained by science must be god". It stays
               | valid even when proven wrong...
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | Eh, if they died and everything didn't actually break in
               | a terrible unsolvable way, then....
               | 
               | It's essentially a form of market extortion though, so
               | perception of 'survivable' matters as much as actually
               | survivable eh?
        
               | 1dom wrote:
               | I instinctively want to agree with you here and bemoan
               | the state and directions of the world. But if I really
               | think about it, it's been happening my entire life. I'm
               | mid 30's now. I assume someone older than me would have
               | had the same experience of it happening their entire
               | life.
               | 
               | You're right though, it's crappy and merits a lot of
               | geopolitical reflection. But I suspect it goes back
               | millenia and is a manifestation of basic evolutionary
               | biology with the business world, rather than anything
               | that can be solved/fixed.
               | 
               | And we've gone full circle about the balance of working
               | for/against humanity in the name of progress.
        
               | thfuran wrote:
               | The EPA is only two decades older than you, and it
               | enforced a bunch of brand new regulation on all the
               | existing companies. There used to be a willingness to
               | actually govern rather than cede everything to corporate
               | interest.
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | I'm a bit older now, and while there has always been
               | corporate meddling in public decision-making (which is
               | unavoidable and also somewhat needed to help steer the
               | boat a bit in some situations), the economic effort a
               | company has to invest rectify wrongdoing mainly shaped
               | the amount of spending for legal counseling and lobbying,
               | but it didn't directly shape a ruling.
               | 
               | Today, environmental/privacy/safety laws are suddenly not
               | that strict anymore, because now we naturally need to
               | also take economic interests of the violating company
               | into account.
               | 
               | So you might end up in a situation where an official body
               | will officially rule that the harmed party may be right,
               | but needs to be pragmatic about its needs just because of
               | the increased inconvenience it would create for the
               | opposing party if _THEY_ would have to change their way.
               | 
               | In my experience, this was not the case 15 years ago.
        
               | Teever wrote:
               | Given that the offending entity is owned by the world's
               | richest man certainly their 'pleading how uneconomic it
               | would be for you to change course' should be dismissed
               | instantly without a second thought.
        
             | uv-depression wrote:
             | > the cat is out of the bag
             | 
             | Someone, if we stretch that metaphor, intentionally opened
             | the bag for profit. We can and should hold them
             | accountable.
             | 
             | > the people involved with that have to deal with that
             | 
             | Yep, and they should hold the people who caused this
             | accountable.
             | 
             | > is maybe worth trying (good luck) but I don't give it a
             | very high chance of success
             | 
             | You may be correct that it has a low chance of success.
             | However, people who think like you are exactly the cause.
             | People who value Musk's net worth more than science, people
             | who fetishise "progress at all costs," regardless of
             | whether or not the progress actually helps people or is
             | what makes sense (municipal internet, folks!).
             | Understanding physics is also critically important
             | progress, but it doesn't make money next quarter so you
             | don't care.
             | 
             | So you'll forgive me if I don't take your advice on the
             | situation.
        
         | perihelions wrote:
         | > _" The Chinese are very busy launching their own satellites
         | into LEO."_
         | 
         | The Chinese (correctly) view these satellite constellations as
         | a key military capability, and have gone all-in on creating
         | their own version. (I mean, I don't see how that's even
         | debatable at this point--having seen the influence of Starlink
         | in Ukraine. Future conflicts will only amplify the gap between
         | the haves and have-nots).
         | 
         | They haven't yet launched a large number (~120); they don't now
         | have the launch volume for large-scale satellite
         | constellations. Their race is to first catch up in launch
         | capability. They have dozen private startups--heavily
         | subsidized and favored by the state--in the race to build a
         | viable, reusable launcher comparable to Falcon 9, that they
         | would then use to launch Starlink-like constellations at the
         | same cadence.
         | 
         | Some starting points:
         | 
         | https://www.wsj.com/world/china/chinas-own-elon-musks-are-ra...
         | ( https://archive.is/Ukmoa ) ( _" China's Own Elon Musks Are
         | Racing to Catch Up to SpaceX / Private sector takes bigger role
         | in building reusable rockets, advancing Beijing's goal of
         | independence from Western technology"_)
         | 
         | https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/07/23/world/asia/st...
         | ( _" This Was Supposed to Be the Year China Started Catching Up
         | With SpaceX / It's looking unlikely. Here's why"_)
        
         | velox wrote:
         | > Including astronomy related hardware
         | 
         | Can't feasibly do VLBI or other radio astronomy at useful scale
         | in space even if launches were free. Look up the scale of SKA
         | or the EHT.
        
           | perihelions wrote:
           | I'm not clear why not. The scale of the completed SKA-low
           | (512*256 = 131,072 antennas, 1.8 meter lengths) is the same
           | as that of Starlink itself. It's even less mass; the antenna
           | parts alone, they are wire dipoles, they say they only weigh
           | 1.6 kg each.
           | 
           | https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.06708
           | 
           | Why _can 't_ humanity launch 2^17 small antennas into deep
           | space, as a free-floating constellation?
        
           | galangalalgol wrote:
           | Geosynchronous satellites could give us even longer baselines
           | couldn't they? Or even at l4 and l5. They don't get shielded
           | by the earth like l2, but the station keeping would be
           | easier. That would be a massive baseline
        
             | velox wrote:
             | Baselines are one thing, you need a huge collecting area to
             | get useful sensitivity, which there is barely budget for to
             | build on earth, let alone in space
        
         | geraneum wrote:
         | > But building international consensus; or even enforcing what
         | little there is on that front could be challenging.
         | 
         | No kidding! If something is worthwhile, people should and
         | sometimes do go to the trouble!
         | 
         | Just roll over is not good advice here!
        
         | sneak wrote:
         | > _Spacex and Star link get most of the attention; but the
         | Chinese are doing a decent job to keep up with them in number
         | of launches._
         | 
         | Nobody anywhere is anywhere near SpaceX's launch cadence,
         | reusable or non.
        
         | elcritch wrote:
         | > Luckily we now are able to launch stuff into orbit a lot
         | cheaper. Including astronomy related hardware. That's already
         | happening of course.
         | 
         | Seems more effective for astronomers to embrace it. Perhaps by
         | getting SpaceX to add a few dozen hundred satellites kitted out
         | for radio astronomy. Link them together and it could be amazing
         | for radio astronomy!
        
         | barbazoo wrote:
         | > Luckily we now are able to launch stuff into orbit a lot
         | cheaper.
         | 
         | "We" as in the select few countries that have the launch
         | capability and the space tech.
         | 
         | Again a public good is being commoditized and being sold to the
         | highest bidder.
        
           | MichaelZuo wrote:
           | This seems circular... since the lack of a worldwide
           | authority, that can decide the value of X public good is
           | worth more than zero, is the issue in the first place.
        
           | Mathnerd314 wrote:
           | I thought that was the whole idea of spectrum auctions.
        
             | blackguardx wrote:
             | The RF spectrum is a public good in the US and there are
             | requirements placed on the winners of those auctions to
             | demonstrate it provides some public benefit. A company
             | can't just buy spectrum and sit on it, for example. They
             | must use start to use it in a certain timeframe.
        
               | ggreer wrote:
               | The RF spectrum is a common good, not a public good.
               | Public goods are non-excludable and non-rivalrous. The RF
               | spectrum is non-excludable (anyone can transmit on any
               | frequency, given the right equipment) but rivalrous
               | (transmitting on one frequency prevents others from using
               | that frequency).
               | 
               | Requiring the winner of a spectrum auction to use it is a
               | way to prevent anti-competitive tactics (since the
               | government is granting a monopoly to the winner). The
               | goal is to incentivize productive use of limited
               | resources, not necessarily to benefit everyone. In
               | theory, the winner could use the spectrum for entirely
               | internal purposes. Though in real world spectrum
               | auctions, the government usually has stipulations such as
               | requiring interoperability or using open standards. This
               | reduces the value that the government captures, but
               | likely increases the value that is created overall.
               | 
               | Before spectrum auctions, the government simply mandated
               | what frequency bands were used for what, and by whom.
               | Getting access usually meant lobbying and back room
               | deals. Sometimes the FCC used lotteries, which caused
               | speculators to enter lotteries and then license access
               | (basically capturing revenue that would have gone to the
               | government had the spectrum been auctioned). In practice,
               | auctions are the worst form of spectrum allocation,
               | except for all the others.
        
           | specialist wrote:
           | > _a public good is being commoditized_
           | 
           | Just like the inclosure movement, right?
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inclosure_act
           | 
           | With privatization, the public is paid _something_. Whereas
           | StarLink 's use of LEO is a taking. They're denying others
           | open access usage. Without any possibility or threat of
           | consequences.
           | 
           | "Use" is such an inadequate term, but I couldn't think of
           | another. Commandeering?
        
           | creer wrote:
           | > "We" as in the select few countries that have the launch
           | capability and the space tech.
           | 
           | There has never been more access to space-based imagery and
           | other sensing. With multiple companies selling this stuff
           | ever cheaper. Every news outlet can now afford to buy images.
           | And that's because of cheap launches.
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | A _global_ public good is being commoditized and being sold
           | to the highest local bidder.
        
         | uv-depression wrote:
         | Ah, the techbro defence. "We already started doing it, so I
         | guess you're just going to have to let us".
         | 
         | > Whether they like it or not,
         | 
         | A swarm of LEO satellites because in the current political
         | climate it's easier to massively pollute orbits and prevent
         | astronomy than do municipal internet is not, in fact, a law of
         | nature; nor is it inevitable.
         | 
         | > But building international consensus; or even enforcing what
         | little there is on that front could be challenging.
         | 
         | Ah, a challenge! Let's all give up immediately; this could make
         | some rich people a lot of money, after all!
         | 
         | > Luckily we now are able to launch stuff into orbit a lot
         | cheaper. Including astronomy related hardware.
         | 
         | Would you like to pay for launching Vera C. Rubin (8.4m, nearly
         | 20,000kg for just the camera and mirrors) into space? How about
         | the TMT (30m, expected ~2.6 million kg)? Truly spoken like
         | someone who knows nothing about astronomy.
         | 
         | > And otherwise, astronomy is very interesting and cool but
         | mostly it concerns observations about things that are really
         | really far away and not directly relevant to a lot of things on
         | earth.
         | 
         | Apparently fundamental physics is not very relevant to us here
         | on Earth! This is one of the most small-minded statements I've
         | ever read.
        
         | insane_dreamer wrote:
         | How do the various LEO constellations mitigate band
         | interference issues? Does the US/China have some agreement as
         | to which bands their respective countries' companies will use?
        
         | butlike wrote:
         | You just made me realize that the younger generation is never
         | going to be able to reliably "wish upon a <shooting> star" ever
         | again.
        
         | stronglikedan wrote:
         | We're fucked once they have the ability to launch payloads that
         | are too big and/or beefy to fully burn up on reentry.
        
       | willis936 wrote:
       | When an individual transmits on a band they shouldn't the FCC
       | issues a fine. When a company transmits on a band they shouldn't
       | the FCC gives them the band.
       | 
       | https://www.pcmag.com/news/despite-spacex-protests-fcc-clear...
       | 
       | Comment period ended in July.
       | 
       | https://www.fcc.gov/ecfs/search/search-filings/results?q=(pr...
        
         | perihelions wrote:
         | > _" When a company transmits on a band they shouldn't"_
         | 
         | The source article is quite clear there's no regulatory
         | violations here.
         | 
         | > _" Although this IEMR abides by ITU-R guidelines, these
         | intensities are large compared to the strongest astronomical
         | radio sources in the sky and will therefore have the potential
         | to disrupt astronomical observations at SKA-Low frequencies;"_
         | 
         | > _" The detected IEMR and UEMR are outside of the frequency
         | bands protected for radio astronomy, but are at frequencies of
         | great interest for key experiments for the SKA-Low facility,
         | and at frequencies where RQZ protections at the SKA-Low site
         | are in place;"_
        
           | rickdeckard wrote:
           | The source states that the UEMR SpaceX causes in this
           | spectrum is currently not regulated but interferes with
           | astronomical observations.
           | 
           | The claim stands whether a regulation will be put in place
           | which will require SpaceX to fix or switch off their
           | (thousands) of satellites polluting the spectrum or the band
           | will simply be handed to SpaceX.
           | 
           |  _" This UEMR is not currently regulated by the International
           | Telecommunications Union (ITU), the organization responsible
           | for managing and allocating the radio spectrum for various
           | uses"_
        
             | lazide wrote:
             | Within the system the FCC is (putatively) operating under,
             | they cannot fine someone for something they have no
             | regulatory jurisdiction over. Congress could fix that
             | pretty quickly if they wanted to, of course.
             | 
             | How is the whole Musk/Trump love affair going today?
        
             | zamadatix wrote:
             | Well, sure, but "regulatory bodies update spectrum
             | regulations for the common good" is a lot less charged a
             | claim. It was the other specifics (breaking current
             | regulation, treatment based on whether you are an
             | individual or a company) that were contentious, not the
             | resulting assignment itself, and at least half of that was
             | clearly false.
        
             | trothamel wrote:
             | Lots of things interfere with astronomical observations -
             | if someone builds a house, it'll interfere with their
             | neighbors observing a star close to the horizon.
             | 
             | Especially since the observations appear to be outside the
             | protected spectrum, the answer is "that's probably okay".
             | There's balancing that needs to be done - does the safety
             | benefit of a world in which nobody can be out of contact of
             | emergency services, and the economic benefit of having
             | reasonably high speed internet available everywhere,
             | outweigh the loss of radio astronomy potential.
             | 
             | I think it probably does.
        
               | TimorousBestie wrote:
               | > There's balancing that needs to be done - does the
               | safety benefit of a world in which nobody can be out of
               | contact of emergency services, and the economic benefit
               | of having reasonably high speed internet available
               | everywhere, outweigh the loss of radio astronomy
               | potential.
               | 
               | If this balancing argument is merely based on short-term
               | economics, then of course the corporation always wins.
               | Every commons becomes a tragedy in that world.
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | Exactly, thank you!
               | 
               | There is also a huge safety benefit in killing all wild
               | animals, and companies are even happy to build taxable
               | businesses for that if allowed.
               | 
               | This needs to be evaluated and balanced against the
               | economic benefit of having wild animals roam the planet
               | free of charge...
               | 
               | /s
        
               | zamadatix wrote:
               | There are existing regulated bands for astronomy, which
               | already shows the regulatory bodies don't just consider
               | short term gains. The person you quoted weighs it against
               | outweighing the loss of radio astronomy potential, saying
               | much of the same. Who is this note about needing to
               | compete with short term economic gains responding to?
        
               | perihelions wrote:
               | The long-term balancing is whether humanity can take over
               | Earth's orbit and build out advanced technology there, or
               | not. I think in the long run, radio astronomy is the one
               | that will have to bend. If your receiver is so sensitive
               | it's intolerant of stray EMI from a circuit board in
               | outer space, there's no reasonable way to adapt to that--
               | it's unreasonable to ask an entire planet to turn into a
               | radio-quiet zone over its entire orbital shell.
               | Intentional broadcasts are one thing--that's what
               | spectrum licensing regulations are for. Minor EMI is a
               | bridge too far.
               | 
               | Further context: the signal strengths they're talking
               | about are equivalents of isotropic emitters in the
               | *milliwatt* power range, detectable down to the
               | microwatts--detectable at ranges of thousands of
               | kilometers,
               | 
               | https://www.aanda.org/articles/aa/full_html/2023/10/aa476
               | 54-... ( _" Detection of intended and unintended
               | emissions from Starlink satellites in the SKA-Low
               | frequency range, at the SKA-Low site, with an SKA-Low
               | station analogue"_)
               | 
               | > _" The flashes reach a maximum intensity of
               | approximately 10^6 Jy beam^-1 at ranges of ~500 km (EIRP
               | ~ 30 mW) and a minimum intensity of approximately 2000 Jy
               | beam^-1 at ranges of ~2000 km (EIRP ~ 1 mW)"_
               | 
               | Further context: part of the EMI isn't a fixable circuit
               | design issue--it's (I understand) EMI from normal
               | operation of ion thrusters,
               | 
               | > _" The authors have been in communication with SpaceX
               | (who owns, builds, and operates the Starlink
               | constellation), who explains that this radiation is
               | likely due to the satellites' propulsion or avionics
               | system and is likely over 50-200 MHz (SpaceX 2023, priv.
               | comm.) The propulsion system is actively engaged during
               | the time this train is detected. This radiation is
               | therefore in the class of UEMR."_
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | > If your receiver is so sensitive it's intolerant of
               | stray EMI from a circuit board in outer space [...]
               | 
               | Well, that's what is required to receive a weak signal
               | from beyond that circuit board, from outer space.
               | 
               | > there's no reasonable way to adapt to that
               | 
               | You'd be surprised what becomes reasonable and possible
               | once a requirement is set.
               | 
               | > it's unreasonable to ask an entire planet to turn into
               | a radio-quiet zone.
               | 
               | Noone is asking that.
               | 
               | It's reasonable to require radio interference of a device
               | to stay within defined boundaries. This is the case in
               | all other industries as well, why shouldn't it suddenly
               | apply for a fleet of satellites which blast radio signals
               | from outer space to earth?
        
               | perihelions wrote:
               | > _" This is the case in all other industries as well,"_
               | 
               | No; it really isn't. There's no industry on the planet
               | where "must accept" regulations are set by the world's
               | most sensitive physics experiments.
               | 
               | Do we set acoustic noise regulations by what a LIGO
               | interferometer can measure? Of course not. We'd have to
               | outlaw the mechanical engine were it so. Regress to a
               | medieval society of horse people (very _small_ horses
               | with noise-absorbing horseshoes).
               | 
               | Do we regulate nuclear power by what astrophysical
               | neutrino detectors perceive? Also, no. Even though they
               | see fission reactors on the other side of the planet, and
               | it is noise to them.
               | 
               | The prior art is we that set noise regulations by what
               | interferes with actual humans in their actual day-to-day
               | functioning; and we set RF regulations by what interferes
               | with the functioning of other circuits useful to humans.
               | Not exotic physics experiments. This is a new thing to
               | ask; and it is bold.
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | > There's no industry on the planet where "must accept"
               | regulations are set by the world's most sensitive physics
               | experiments.
               | 
               | The criteria is not industry vs. "world's most sensitive
               | physics experiments", it's industry vs. "agreed activity
               | for public/societal benefit". And there are many examples
               | for it.
               | 
               | We regulate light/noise and other pollution in
               | consideration of wildlife and plants, we regulate nuclear
               | waste disposal considering our responsibilities to the
               | greater public good.
               | 
               | We could also not regulate anything with regards to
               | wildlife and plants, there is no immediate economic
               | benefit to preserve all variants of rhinos, tigers,
               | reptiles etc., we could kill all plants except the most
               | resilient one, it's much more economic to maintain them
               | in long-term then.
               | 
               | We could also globally agree to dispose all nuclear waste
               | in one place on earth and just never go there again.
               | 
               | Actually we could disband entities like the EPA, because
               | we can figure out solutions to each environmental impact
               | on-demand if there's enough incentive for it.
               | 
               | But we don't, because there is (or used to be) consensus
               | that there are also goals beyond short-term economic
               | growth. Areas of interest for greater society, for
               | mankind if you will.
        
               | generalizations wrote:
               | > You'd be surprised what becomes reasonable and possible
               | once a requirement is set.
               | 
               | In that case, I'm not sure why you're concerned. Let's
               | flip this around: set up our regulations to loosen our
               | EMI radiation restrictions & facilitate our satellites
               | and space exploration. According to your logic, that
               | should be perfectly reasonable to astronomers, if that's
               | what the regulations say, and it should be possible for
               | them to adapt to that.
               | 
               | If that's not what you meant, then astronomy needs to
               | make some concessions.
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | Sure, that's also a solution. The public then needs to
               | provide more taxpayer funding to perform such research in
               | orbit of earth. Whatever is preferable in the larger
               | picture of public/corporate interest...
        
               | generalizations wrote:
               | That's a very different proposal- unless you're intending
               | to amend your previous statement to:
               | 
               | "You'd be surprised what becomes reasonable and possible
               | once a requirement is set [and additional funding is
               | allocated to overcome the negative consequences of said
               | requirement]"
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | No need to amend, it's the same, the required funding is
               | a factor to determine how reasonable an investment is.
               | For both parties.
               | 
               | It is then up to the taxpayer to define whether the path
               | of performing astronomy research in orbit of earth to
               | preserve a for-profit business-model is more reasonable
               | than defining regulation which allows such research to be
               | performed on earth for a fraction of the cost (but may
               | require for-profit companies to further invest in R&D to
               | comply or re-evaluate their business model).
               | 
               | It's that simple. Astronomy won't be able to provide
               | immediate ROI or a sales-plan of increased revenue to
               | offset the cost-increase when researching in orbit. So if
               | that's the only criteria, then such research is a futile
               | activity and will be stopped.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Even this assumes the rest of the world agrees to what is
               | essentially a US centric thing.
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | Yeah, but hear me out: What is "US-centric" here?
               | 
               | Astronomy research?, Radio spectrum?, LOE?, Starlink
               | operations?
               | 
               | All of this is global. In the end it'll be about
               | geopolitics, although it should be a field that urgently
               | requires global governance and consensus.
               | 
               | Next time it could be interference between Starlink vs. a
               | Chinese for-profit. It would be good if there's a
               | commonly agreed way of handling such matters in place...
        
               | generalizations wrote:
               | If astronomy is not able to cope with additional
               | regulation without additional funding, then for-profit
               | companies should not be expected to do so either. It's
               | that simple.
               | 
               | > Astronomy won't be able to provide immediate ROI or a
               | sales-plan of increased revenue to offset the cost-
               | increase when researching in orbit.
               | 
               | That's too bad. I was under the impression that "You'd be
               | surprised what becomes reasonable and possible once a
               | requirement is set."
        
               | rickdeckard wrote:
               | > If astronomy is not able to cope with additional
               | regulation without additional funding, then for-profit
               | companies should not be expected to do so either. It's
               | that simple
               | 
               | So your belief is that for-profit companies should not be
               | required to comply to regulation put in place after they
               | start business in any field.
               | 
               | And for-profit companies who later join to compete with
               | them? They should, because it's not "additional"? Or also
               | not, to ensure a competitive market?
               | 
               | So basically no regulation of any kind shall happen,
               | because companies should not be expected to cope with new
               | regulation if it incurs additional effort for them.
               | 
               | Congrats.
        
               | generalizations wrote:
               | > So your belief is that for-profit companies should not
               | be required to comply to regulation put in place after
               | they start business in any field.
               | 
               | Interesting that was your takeaway, when all I actually
               | said was "no double standards pls".
               | 
               | (i.e., hold astronomy and for-profits to the same
               | standard, insofar that they have to just 'deal with it'
               | when new regulation shows up - or not.)
        
               | carefulfungi wrote:
               | Progress is always the argument for pollution.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | Humanity doesn't own SpaceX. If humanity would have a
               | vote on this I'd be happy to agree with you but it is
               | just one US corporation that does this and they don't get
               | to decide for all of us. If they just did their thing
               | above the USA that would be another matter entirely but
               | that's not how this works, as you well know. So you slip
               | in the 'for the greater good' argument that does not
               | necessarily hold and besides which isn't up to SpaceX to
               | decide, especially not unilaterally.
        
               | perihelions wrote:
               | > _" but it is just one US corporation that does this and
               | they don't get to decide for all of us"_
               | 
               | I don't understand your comment on so many levels. The
               | ITU treaties do exist, and they do protect observational
               | astronomy bands, and everything here is *in compliance
               | with* extant ITU regs. As I quoted above. I can turn your
               | words on your head: who are astronomers to make arbitrary
               | choices for rest of the human species? Or, who are HN to?
               | People _do_ want their gadgets to work. They value that
               | more highly than many things, things more important than
               | mere astronomy experiments--more highly than human
               | rights, for example (to contemplate all the slave labor
               | in the modern electronics supply chains).
               | 
               | On another level: you say it's just one one company, but
               | that company is obviously just an early-adopter, leading-
               | edge of a great horde of space companies going in for the
               | gold rush. There will be many others, and then there will
               | be the Chinese military, and--do you think there will be
               | more favorable outcomes negotiating with the PLA, filing
               | complaints to the PLA over the RFI of their prized
               | military assets? Yeah; no. In 5-10 years the landscape
               | will certainly be utterly unrecognizable, and it will not
               | be a SpaceX hegemony any longer. You will be opposed to a
               | hundred adversaries of many nations--not just that one.
               | 
               | And following after that, there will be humans and human
               | tourists going up, pretty soon I'd bet; by the thousands;
               | and they'll be bringing their electronics gadgets up to
               | visit, and later inhabit, Earth orbit. Have you
               | internalized the numbers we're discussing here? This
               | telescope array can detect the equivalent of a short-
               | range wireless Bluetooth gadget at 2,000 kilometers range
               | --and they're _complaining_ about it, they want that
               | banned. (Literally--if it weren 't for the earth in
               | between us, my wireless mouse right here could be
               | radiating greater signal power through your body, dear
               | reader, no matter where you are right now on the planet,
               | than these satellites flashes we're discussing here.
               | _Click, click_.) No way is that compatible with a future
               | of humans inhabiting space. The space RF environment is,
               | incomprehensibly pristine as it stands... but that won 't
               | last, can't last, there's _no way_ humanity moving to the
               | stars will preserve that pristine silence, you might us
               | well give up right away. Fighting it is futile, foolish,
               | misguided, and more than a little misanthropic.
        
         | mlindner wrote:
         | That's about AST Spacemobile, not SpaceX.
        
           | willis936 wrote:
           | Which is exactly why I shared it. There is a clear pattern of
           | corporate interference on public bands and a pattern of FCC
           | enforcement being applied to individual interferers.
        
         | axus wrote:
         | Wise of them to launch FM1 on an Indian rocket, then.
        
           | pdabbadabba wrote:
           | If they want to serve the U.S. market, which they do, they
           | still have to deal with the FCC and comply with U.S.
           | regulations, regardless of the launching country.
        
             | axus wrote:
             | The wisdom was not launching a satellite on their
             | competitor's rocket.
        
         | lenerdenator wrote:
         | They obviously haven't encountered an angry retired man with a
         | ham radio license, transceiver, and nothing but time on his
         | hands.
         | 
         | They'd be begging for the FCC after that.
        
         | eulers_secret wrote:
         | The FCC doesn't enforce very strongly, mudduck and others like
         | him have been killing CB channel 6 (and sometimes 19) for like
         | 2 decades and nothing has been done nor will be done.
        
       | mlindner wrote:
       | I'm not sure why they're complaining when the SKA isn't even
       | active yet. Once it's active Starlink will do just like they have
       | for other radio telescopes, avoid transmitting while they're in
       | the boresight and in general don't transmit toward the antenna.
       | This is a well practiced interaction at this point with
       | scientific agencies in multiple countries.
       | 
       | The only thing that they can't stop would be things like
       | reflected unrelated ground communications off of the satellite,
       | but that would be very weak.
        
         | aragilar wrote:
         | Uh, given there's been radio telescopes there for longer than
         | starlink has existed, I'm not sure why they haven't stopped
         | broadcasting in that area then.
        
           | mlindner wrote:
           | It's possible they haven't requested it yet. I've only heard
           | SKA complaining loudly in the media while American radio
           | telescopes have very obvious blackouts visible on SpaceX's
           | map because they've requested them.
        
             | aragilar wrote:
             | So everyone needs to go beg every single satellite provider
             | to respect the well known existing radio quiet zones? I
             | suspect it's more likely Starlink is ignoring all other
             | regulators and regulations other than the FCC, hence why
             | the US-based observatories are considered.
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | There's several blackout holes in Europe as well. Two in
               | Germany, one in Spain and one in Sweden.
        
         | rickdeckard wrote:
         | > avoid transmitting while they're in the boresight and in
         | general don't transmit toward the antenna
         | 
         | Not sure this will help against the mentioned unintentional
         | electromagnetic radiation (UEMR) likely caused by the
         | electronics of the satellites themselves.
         | 
         |  _" This radio emission at lower frequencies from Starlink
         | isn't their downlink frequency, but instead unintentional
         | electromagnetic radiation (UEMR), thought to be caused by the
         | onboard electronics of the satellite."_
        
         | perihelions wrote:
         | One interesting complication is that it seems the propulsion,
         | the electromagnetic ion thrusters, are one of the sources of
         | unintended emissions,
         | 
         | > _" Communication with SpaceX engineers suggested the UEMR
         | originated from the propulsion/avionics system of the
         | satellites as they were orbit-raising at the time of
         | detection."_
        
           | notahacker wrote:
           | That's quite a big deal actually, if the propulsion system is
           | the major source of interference. Firstly the propulsion
           | system's operation is infrequent (at least at individual
           | satellite level, although if you've got a constellation as
           | big as SpaceX's you'll have satellites doing orbital transfer
           | _somewhere_ a lot of the time). Secondly it isn 't a critical
           | part of SpaceX's tech, and other solutions exist for future
           | Starlink generations which wouldn't compromise its service
           | offering at all. Of course interference from a propulsion
           | system is also less directional and tweakable...
        
             | m4rtink wrote:
             | They use a high efficiency low thrust hall effect engine -
             | for those kinds of thrusters you might have to run it
             | continuously, possibly continuously to ballance out the
             | atmospheric drag at low altitude. For normal chemical
             | thrusters you indeed use the for just a bit very
             | occasionally (or else you run out of propellant very
             | quickly).
             | 
             | Still I agree it is fixeable - they can tune the hall
             | effect thruster on newer sats to not radiate in this band &
             | avoid running the thrusters when in the field of view of
             | that one radio telescope at the times it is operating.
        
               | notahacker wrote:
               | They're not running thrusters continuously except during
               | orbital transfer. Otherwise they'd run out of propellant
               | pretty quickly even with a HET, and operating smallsats
               | at 559km doesn't require _that_ much orbital correction.
               | They probably fire them far more often for conjunction
               | avoidance than station keeping, but again that 's a
               | reported 300 total manoeuvres per day across 8k
               | satellites, which gives them a bit of scope to time them
               | for when they're unlikely to upset regulators
        
               | m4rtink wrote:
               | Interesting - yeah, that way they should have sufficient
               | margin to plan the manuevers to avoid the radio
               | telescopes. :)
        
       | nothankyou777 wrote:
       | Google says their 8,094 satellites use phased arrays. I wonder
       | what would happen if you directed a few hundred of these phased
       | arrays at a single target?
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | Less than you may expect:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thinned-array_curse
        
           | IshKebab wrote:
           | Not relevant. That's talking about if you just _move_ the
           | array elements, not if you add more.
           | 
           | However the answer is still that nothing will happen. The
           | power level on the ground is extremely weak.
        
           | msgodel wrote:
           | I think most people assume the individual satellites aren't
           | synchronized well enough to produce a mutually coherent
           | signal so the power from each of them will just be normally
           | superimposed.
           | 
           | IE they're thinking of the individual phased arrays as just
           | highly directional antennas for the satellites. The idea that
           | they _could_ be coherent actually means there could be more
           | power than we might expect.
        
             | londons_explore wrote:
             | With any kind of feedback from the ground (to compensate
             | for atmospheric effects), I think these could easily be
             | coherent. One just needs timing accurate to 100 picoseconds
             | within one 20 millisecond round trip - which is 5 ppb and
             | the cheapest atomic clocks can do that.
             | 
             | Even so, my guess is you aren't going to be frying an egg
             | 500 km away even with the whole starlink constellation at
             | full power!
        
         | philipwhiuk wrote:
         | I mean they can't - the Earth is in the way for most of them.
        
         | m4rtink wrote:
         | Only a fraction of the satellites have a single point in view.
        
           | nothankyou777 wrote:
           | A fraction of 8,094 is still quite a few.
        
         | brcmthrowaway wrote:
         | Similarly, what if each satellite used a laser link, what if
         | each laser was pointed to the same spot - could it act like a
         | Death Star?
        
           | butlike wrote:
           | "You may fire, when ready."
        
         | literalAardvark wrote:
         | Well, you could use it a kind of active, reverse GPS, for one.
         | Track anything with the faintest (within reason, we have a lot
         | of noise in the direction of earth) em signature.
        
         | butlike wrote:
         | The mind likes to wander to "what if death ray?" but the real,
         | boring answer is probably that money === yams, and those who
         | have the yams have the power. The array provides paying
         | customers who bolster the war chest, and maybe down the road
         | the satellite array could be used form something, but if they
         | all burn out or otherwise become junk over time, at least the
         | paying customers have galvanized the bank account.
         | 
         | Then with the bank account, you can do whatever else needs to
         | be done at a later date
        
       | cryptoshadow wrote:
       | Good
        
       | fidotron wrote:
       | There are several related things I find odd about Starlink, with
       | the ongoing defense of the impact it has on scientific research
       | being one of them.
       | 
       | Having used it it is genuinely impressive, but it will inevitably
       | lead to everyone wanting their own independent LEO constellation
       | for military purposes (communication and observation), which will
       | then lead to a big interest in anti-satellite weapons since these
       | will become major targets in a hot war.
       | 
       | The end result here is going to be huge quantities of space junk
       | and investment in defense over-the-horizon ground radios (again)
       | which to some degree is already happening.
        
         | flufluflufluffy wrote:
         | I agree. The sky is gonna be so full of sh*t in the future
        
         | TMWNN wrote:
         | >which will then lead to a big interest in anti-satellite
         | weapons since these will become major targets in a hot war
         | 
         | If anything, the other way around. Were Starlink a traditional
         | satellite constellation, with a few in geosynchronous orbit,
         | they would be very appealing targets. But there are thousands,
         | and soon tens of thousands, of Starlink satellites, which makes
         | any sort of weapon against them other than maybe a laser
         | impractical.
         | 
         | >The end result here is going to be huge quantities of space
         | junk
         | 
         | ... the Starlink portion of which naturally falls back to earth
         | within five years.
        
         | theultdev wrote:
         | It's impossible for VLEO constellations to create space junk.
         | 
         | They naturally fall out of orbit after a few years.
         | 
         | And no they can't be "blown into" GEO orbit.
        
           | maxglute wrote:
           | Big % of mega constellations will be be >500km where deorbit
           | is decades to centuries. Unless regulatory changes, VLEO will
           | be minority because orbit slots is limited.
        
             | theultdev wrote:
             | Care to share where you're pulling that information?
             | 
             | 1. The amount of "orbit slots" is vast. There is plenty of
             | room.
             | 
             | 2. I'm unaware of any mega constellations planned >500km.
             | Latency would be worse and doesn't make sense for an
             | aspiring Starlink competitor to do that.
        
               | maxglute wrote:
               | 1. UN/ITU regulates orbit slots/shells (really frequency
               | assignments that effectively limits orbit slots), high
               | decay V/LEO, as in ~500km was basically exhausted by
               | starlink. Big reason PRC announced multiple 10-20k mega
               | constellations a few years ago (without reusable for to
               | put-up payload) was to sign up for next closes shell
               | which is 500+. At those distances orbit decay is
               | decades/centuries. So regulatorily, the fast decay orbit
               | slots are legally mostly gone.
               | 
               | 2. All mega constellations including starlink has layers
               | from 500-1500km. Every 100km is like 0.3ms latency but
               | trade off is cheaper station (longer life time) keeping
               | and wider coverage per satellite, but cost more to get
               | there.
               | 
               | Related to 1&2 is this is byproduct of UN/ITU
               | regulations... they can open up more <500km slots,
               | increase congestion, confliction and chance of
               | recoverable Kessler... but that would mean SpaceX (read
               | US military) would... have to share strategic orbits with
               | PRC and whoever comes next.
               | 
               | E: extrapolate to future of cheap space launch, if
               | multiple blocs or even countries want their own mega
               | constellations, and no changes to regulations, then they
               | would have to start occupying higher orbit shells
               | (assuming they follow ITU). Also geometrically, the shell
               | lowest/closest to earth has the least volume / capacity.
        
         | 93po wrote:
         | this is what we call a slippery slope fallacy
         | 
         | there is no evidence that there will be a hot war, that it will
         | involve destroying satellites, or the process of destroying the
         | satellite would result in space junk that didn't naturally
         | deorbit within a few years
         | 
         | if we have a hot war with a country capable of launch rockets
         | into space to destroy satellites, then we're super fucked
         | anyway, because that's also a nuclear country. satellites would
         | be the last of my concerns, i would be digging a bunker in my
         | backyard
        
       | philipallstar wrote:
       | > This radio emission at lower frequencies from Starlink isn't
       | their downlink frequency, but instead unintentional
       | electromagnetic radiation (UEMR), thought to be caused by the
       | onboard electronics of the satellite. This UEMR is not currently
       | regulated by the International Telecommunications Union (ITU),
       | the organization responsible for managing and allocating the
       | radio spectrum for various uses.
       | 
       | Feels like this is regulatory UB, and therefore allowed.
        
       | rickdeckard wrote:
       | I'm curious to see how this will play out.
       | 
       | I don't see big potential for the current US government to value
       | scientific interests higher than the interests of SpaceX.
       | 
       | Wouldn't be surprised if SpaceX just continues to launch such
       | satellites causing unintentional interference, to then claim in
       | case of escalation how uneconomic it will be for them to correct
       | this issue now and how the financial impact to SpaceX needs to be
       | valued higher than scientific needs.
       | 
       | This LEO Direct-to-cellular strategy seems to play out similarly,
       | with SpaceX launching massive amounts of satellites which are
       | technically not capable to prevent interference on private
       | spectrum while crossing country-borders, so ITU/FCC/CEPT now need
       | to find a solution to deal with this situation.
        
         | throw0101a wrote:
         | > _I don 't see big potential for the current US government to
         | value scientific interests higher than the interests of
         | SpaceX._
         | 
         | Do not underestimate the motivating factor of spite in the
         | current US administration.
        
           | burkaman wrote:
           | Spite about what? Elon hasn't done a single thing to harm the
           | administration. The bill he claimed to dislike passed easily,
           | he stopped talking about Epstein as soon as it seemed like it
           | might cause actual problems for the president, and in the
           | past couple days he's expressed very vocal support for the
           | Texas gerrymandering effort and domestic deployment of the
           | military in DC. He continues to be the administration's most
           | powerful and influential supporter in the world.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _Elon hasn 't done a single thing to harm the
             | administration_
             | 
             | Literally reignited the Epstein drama.
        
               | iAMkenough wrote:
               | They've made up since, with a plan to use the drama and
               | outrage to disparage and prosecute political opponents of
               | the President. Congress and Trump-appointed judges seem
               | to be acting in support of that approach so far.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _They 've made up since_
               | 
               | That may be true. But it's definitely a hot take.
               | 
               | Musk and Trump have agreed a detente. We have no signs of
               | them helping each other. Where Musk has made up is with
               | the GOP machine, particularly in the House. That looks
               | less like alliance than positioning.
        
               | burkaman wrote:
               | I consider stuff like this to be helping Trump:
               | https://xcancel.com/elonmusk/status/1952836498971344926,
               | https://xcancel.com/elonmusk/status/1954857646420369890,
               | https://xcancel.com/elonmusk/status/1955036144909029873
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | That's a detente. None of those tweets actually do
               | anything.
        
         | mschuster91 wrote:
         | > Wouldn't be surprised if SpaceX just continues to launch such
         | satellites causing unintentional interference, to then claim in
         | case of escalation how uneconomic it will be for them to
         | correct this issue now and how the financial impact to SpaceX
         | needs to be valued higher than scientific needs.
         | 
         | At least Starlink satellites need to be replaced every few
         | years anyway due to their low orbit. That is a natural ceiling
         | for economical questions - ITU et al take _years_ anyway until
         | anything is actually enforceable, so SpaceX has ample time to
         | prepare should there be a relevant movement in ITU.
        
       | crest wrote:
       | If Starlink / SpaceX interferes ground based scientific
       | observations they should be required to pay in kind and launch
       | orbital observatories as compensation.
        
         | fidotron wrote:
         | The other NRO telescope would be a nice start:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_National_Reconnaissance_O...
        
         | 93po wrote:
         | i'm positive spacex would be thrilled to launch something like
         | a JWST and get to write off the $150-$220 million launch
         | "value", which is what the Ariane 5 ECA costs. since it'd only
         | cost them as low as $10 million with reuse. the tax write-off
         | would benefit them immensely
        
       | pfdietz wrote:
       | If it's unintended emission this seems like something that can be
       | reduced by refinement of the satellite design.
        
       | Catbert59 wrote:
       | That's weird.
       | 
       | The company I'm working for has its own EMC chamber (maintaining
       | that huge room fully calibrated and standardized is ultra
       | expensive... just looking at these EMC test receivers that go up
       | to 40GHz my me cry in $$$$) and we invested giant engineering
       | effort into our products to be far below every radiation limit
       | norm in the world.
       | 
       | Shouldn't satellite companies have even better stuff and more
       | strict regulations or are these unintended effects maybe caused
       | by the harsh environment?
        
         | inemesitaffia wrote:
         | They did. These are sub 1 Ghz bands and the issue is from the
         | engines and (maybe power supply)
        
         | financetechbro wrote:
         | I'm certain that SpaceX does not care about regulations
        
         | parsimo2010 wrote:
         | Most communications satellites (which is all Starlink really
         | is) are heavily focused on their operating bands and any
         | specific bands they are told not to interfere with so they can
         | get launch approval. There's no benefit to doing anything
         | extra. And not only do they have to be told which specific
         | bands they can't interfere with, the government actually has to
         | require delivery of test results or else that is the same as
         | giving permission to interfere.
         | 
         | Most companies won't spend a penny, take a second of time, or
         | add a gram to a satellite if it doesn't affect their mission or
         | chance of approval. Especially not one as cost-optimized as
         | SpaceX. They won't change a thing unless the US government
         | forces them to do so, or if they think that a government order
         | is imminent so they come to some voluntary agreement ahead of
         | time to avoid what would probably be a more constraining
         | official regulation in the future.
         | 
         | The actual issue is probably caused by switch-mode power
         | supplies or some digital signal on the satellite that isn't
         | fully shielded, possibly one that does digital control of a
         | motor or thruster. It probably isn't the communication radios
         | since they operate at a much higher frequency. You can fix the
         | issue by adding filtering and/or shielding, but that takes
         | extra components (meaning extra cost and weight) and requires
         | testing (meaning time). Plus you have to identify the offending
         | system, which means you have to start with testing and
         | detective work. This interference was only detected on some
         | Starlink satellites, so you have to do detective work to find
         | out if it is a particular operating mode or generation of
         | satellite that is offending, do testing to confirm it, and then
         | work on a fix.
        
           | nn3 wrote:
           | This is actually not correct for Starlink. They did a lot of
           | work to lower their albedo based on astronomer complaints,
           | even though there wasn't any government regulation in this
           | area.
           | 
           | It might apply to some of the emerging Starlink competitors
           | however, especially the Chinese ones and AST.
        
       | macinjosh wrote:
       | The function these satellites serve is 1000x more valuable than
       | the cost of inconveniencing a few astronomers.
       | 
       | Rural communities are being enriched all over the world through
       | high speed internet access.
        
         | emushack wrote:
         | I think I have a different idea of "valuable". Rural
         | communities need connectivity for sure - but we also need
         | reliable radio astronomy for a whole host of reasons - space
         | weather forcasting, terrestrial weather forecasting, scientific
         | advancement.... without radio astronomy, there wouldn't even be
         | satellites to put cat videos on!
        
           | trothamel wrote:
           | Huh? How does radio astronomy affect space or terrestrial
           | weather forecasting?
        
             | emushack wrote:
             | https://public.nrao.edu/ask/can-radio-telescopes-be-used-
             | in-...
        
         | uv-depression wrote:
         | Launching tens of thousands of satellites is better than
         | municipal internet, which would serve the same purpose, be
         | cheaper, and not interfere with critical scientific research?
         | This solution is better only for the private internet
         | oligopolies. I would say astronomical research is orders of
         | magnitude more important than that.
        
       | aurizon wrote:
       | I have often wondered if a a very small Ion thruster, used
       | intermittently, gravitationally stabilised, could be used to
       | offset the variable atmospheric drag caused by
       | inflation/deflation of the tenuous upper atmosphere to extend
       | satellite life. It would add a little weight at launch but could
       | extend orbital life by many years. It would need fractions of a
       | gram of thrust, run off the current solar electricity budget, and
       | could easily make them endure for 10+ years. When the satellite
       | had failed or aged out, it could be used for improved de-orbiting
       | at end of life. I also suspect that a mobile stream at a lower
       | frequency could be added that would provide intermittent stream
       | down loads of news directly to the Russian people via recently
       | tested cell phone comms ability
        
         | vardump wrote:
         | > I have often wondered if a a very small Ion thruster, used
         | intermittently, gravitationally stabilised, could be used to
         | offset the variable atmospheric drag caused by
         | inflation/deflation of the tenuous upper atmosphere to extend
         | satellite life.
         | 
         | Isn't that exactly what Starlink is doing?
        
           | brcmthrowaway wrote:
           | starlink sats have thrusters?
        
             | MarkusQ wrote:
             | Yes.
             | 
             | https://www.reddit.com/r/SpaceXLounge/comments/11cnh0w/star
             | l...
        
               | aurizon wrote:
               | Yes, I see, dated 2018 using rarified air as ion source.
               | Totally solves the reaction mass needs and the
               | electricity is solar
        
             | literalAardvark wrote:
             | All sats have thrusters.
             | 
             | Station-keeping must be active for very many reasons, and
             | sats with broken thrusters fall down fairly quickly.
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | Not all sats in general have thrusters. There's many
               | types of satellites, especially smaller ones, that use
               | magnetorquers, and somtimes reaction wheels as well, to
               | maintain orientation but have no propulsion.
               | 
               | There's also satellites with no active attitude control
               | at all and use passive means to maintain a somewhat
               | static orientation. That can permanent magnets causing a
               | tumbling linked to Earth's magnetic field, passive
               | aerodynamic stabilization, or using Earth's gravity
               | gradient to align the satellite.
        
         | numpad0 wrote:
         | ESA GOCE and JAXA SLATS did that. SLATS went as low as
         | 167km(104mi). Neither was air breathing.
        
       | mwachs wrote:
       | These rudeboys better pick it up, pick it up!
        
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