[HN Gopher] Europe is breaking its reliance on American science
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       Europe is breaking its reliance on American science
        
       Author : whynotmaybe
       Score  : 84 points
       Date   : 2025-08-04 18:48 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.reuters.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.reuters.com)
        
       | givemeethekeys wrote:
       | Yeah, just like they're breaking their reliance on the American
       | military /s.
        
         | surfsvammel wrote:
         | Yes. Very similar actually. Most of Europe is increasing
         | spending on military defence.
        
           | xyzzzzzzz wrote:
           | So they finally are doing what trump asked them to do?
        
             | whynotmaybe wrote:
             | No, they've been doing it since Russia's war in Ukraine.
             | 
             | 3 days after the start of the invasion, Germany announced a
             | EUR100 billion increase to military spending.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeitenwende_speech
        
               | tharne wrote:
               | The fact that you think that's a big number just
               | underscores how dire Europe's security situation is at
               | the moment. One hundred billion Euros sounds like a lot,
               | but China spends two and a half times that much on
               | defense every single year, the U.S. spends 10X that much
               | every single year, and even the Russians spend more than
               | that every single year. Nevermind the fact Europe needs
               | to play catch up here, not just keep pace.
        
               | vikaveri wrote:
               | Wikipedia says Russia spent 100 billion in 2023, so
               | increase of 100 billion should be more than that don't
               | you think? Are you misinformed or deliberately lying?
        
               | chrisco255 wrote:
               | You have to adjust figures for PPP, or Purchasing Power
               | Parity, due to exchange rate differences. In 2024,
               | Russia's PPP adjusted military spend was somewhere
               | between $300B and $400B [1][2]. Their technology is also
               | vastly superior to Germany's and they have a much larger
               | personnel. It doesn't matter how much you spend if you
               | don't get your money's worth.
               | 
               | The 100B euro investment was also a temporary one-off
               | budget allocation that had been distributed over the past
               | 2 years and to little effect:
               | https://www.grosswald.org/eu100-billion-later-fixing-the-
               | bun...
               | 
               | [1] https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/debating-defence-
               | budgets-why-... [2] https://militaryppp.com/blog/
        
           | seydor wrote:
           | By promising to buy more american weapons, more american LNG
           | and investing in american companies.
           | 
           | We europeans are having a really hard time breaking our US
           | addiction. I mean what are we even doing in here
        
             | bpodgursky wrote:
             | Europe is deciding that US technology addiction is better
             | than Russian subjugation.
             | 
             | It's not a time to be playing political games buying sub-
             | par weapons. Bad for Saab, but that's reality. The world is
             | dangerous again.
        
               | alimw wrote:
               | If your weapons can stop working according the whim of
               | America, that would be seriously subpar.
        
               | bpodgursky wrote:
               | The reality is that European solidarity is not ironclad
               | either. Is the US, or Germany, or Sweden more likely to
               | fold and deactivate* weapon systems under nuclear
               | blackmail?
               | 
               | It sounds hypothetical but seriously, what would Gripen
               | do if tactical nukes were dropped on Estonia and Putin
               | threatened the same on Sweden if they didn't back off? I
               | don't know, and you don't either.
               | 
               | *I've not seen credible accusations this is possible, but
               | assuming it is
        
             | jltsiren wrote:
             | Those "promises" were meaningless BS. Every European should
             | know that the EU cannot make such promises, because it has
             | no power in those matters. Defense policy is up to the
             | member states, while investments and energy purchases are
             | mostly made by private entities.
        
           | givemeethekeys wrote:
           | *Most of Europe has promised to do something... in the
           | glorious future, where anything is possible. Anything at all!
        
         | inejge wrote:
         | Those things take time and have an inertia in both branches:
         | it's easier to continue using the existing resources than
         | standing up your own, but once you're committed to developing a
         | replacement it's not easy to stop.
         | 
         | (EU already did it, however partially, with its own satellite
         | navigation system.)
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | Yes, they will divert money from their social welfare
           | spending into military spending any day now.
           | 
           | Any. Day. Now.
        
       | vouaobrasil wrote:
       | I think it makes sense. Europe and other countries need to
       | boycott the US based on how the US is negatively affecting the
       | world and driving consumption. Similar to how many countries
       | boycotted Russia.
        
         | linotype wrote:
         | You really think what the US has done is remotely on par with
         | what Russia is doing?
        
           | bestouff wrote:
           | Not necessarily but nobody was trusting Russia.
        
           | LaurensBER wrote:
           | Not at all but it seems reasonable to set some standards for
           | the game (e.g supporting free trade) and stop playing with
           | those that do not respect the rules.
           | 
           | Unfortunately with both China and America not respecting the
           | rules that's not realistic for Europe at the moment but one
           | can dream.
        
           | LarsKrimi wrote:
           | Yes. Russia has been threatening invasions for years. Now for
           | 7 months America has started doing it too.
           | 
           | It's a much worse feeling being threatened with military
           | invasion by someone your own government tries to continue
           | insisting is a close ally
        
         | chrisco255 wrote:
         | The U.S. should pull out of NATO and leave Europe to deal with
         | Russia, and the inevitable World War 3 that would ensue. The
         | U.S. isn't driving consumption, we plateaued on that basis
         | years ago. However, we're not so suicidal as the Europeans, who
         | have resigned themselves to wring their hands and mock
         | Americans as they get leapfrogged by China, India, and the rest
         | of the rapidly developing world while contributing little but
         | feckless regulatory edicts.
        
       | richwater wrote:
       | > The United States funds 57% of Argo's $40 million annual
       | operating expenses, while the EU funds 23%.
       | 
       | Why the hell is the US on the hook for practically 2/3rds the
       | cost of a system that monitors the entire worlds' ocean?
        
         | bryanrasmussen wrote:
         | 1. Why should the EU monitor the Pacific? The Pacific is big.
         | 
         | 2. The EU claims the EU as its sphere of influence. The U.S
         | claims The U.S and Central and South America by virtue of the
         | Monroe Doctrine.
         | 
         | 3. The U.S wanted to be in charge and be big and important, so
         | if you want to be big and important you gotta do more.
         | 
         | 4. The EU has military bases in the EU and the waters which
         | touch the EU. The U.S has a military presence in every Ocean of
         | the world.
        
           | azinman2 wrote:
           | > The EU has military bases in the EU and the waters which
           | touch the EU. The U.S has a military presence in every Ocean
           | of the world.
           | 
           | UK/France and I'm sure others have bases all over the world.
        
             | nosianu wrote:
             | But that is their business and not the EU. And I have no
             | idea why you included the UK anyway - not in the EU.
             | 
             | Here is a list, by the way:
             | https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-
             | rankings/overseas-...
             | 
             | Something else: Let's also ignore (or not) that the
             | headline of the submission is waaayyy too grand for what's
             | actually in the article. It's only about meteorological
             | data collection. As important as it may be, there's a lot
             | more science than that.
        
           | chrisco255 wrote:
           | > The EU claims the EU as its sphere of influence. The U.S
           | claims The U.S and Central and South America by virtue of the
           | Monroe Doctrine.
           | 
           | The Monroe Doctrine is a policy from the 19th century. A lot
           | has happened since then.
           | 
           | > The U.S wanted to be in charge and be big and important
           | 
           | The EU isn't a sovereign country unto itself, so it either
           | must be "big and important" or it has no other reason to
           | exist. The EU is the second or third largest economy by GDP
           | and not far off from the U.S. but it expects the U.S. to pay
           | disproportionate levels for everything as if it's still 1946.
           | 
           | > The EU has military bases in the EU and the waters which
           | touch the EU
           | 
           | The EU doesn't have military bases.
        
         | perihelions wrote:
         | $820 billion in hurricane damages since 2016, and the cost
         | center we should focus on is some $40 million/year spent
         | researching causes of that? That's roughly similar in
         | proportionality--and in reasoning--to a datacenter deleting its
         | smoke detectors. (If that _is_ what you want for your
         | discounts, there is OVH).
         | 
         | https://www.wunderground.com/article/storms/hurricane/news/2...
        
           | chrisco255 wrote:
           | The hurricanes will continue, as they always have, as will
           | aerial, satellite, and oceanic monitoring of hurricanes, but
           | that is not what the OP article is talking about.
        
         | epistasis wrote:
         | Why the hell should I have to live a worse life with more storm
         | damages, less military preparedness, etc. etc. etc. just
         | because sycophants are willing to make up ridiculous excuses
         | for extremely unwise decisions? Such is the pain of democracy,
         | while we still have one.
        
         | zekrioca wrote:
         | It is one of the side effects in terms of costs that a country
         | has in order to enable the safe flow of global trade.
        
         | lawlessone wrote:
         | Because they chose too?
         | 
         | It more than likely has uses in defence?
         | 
         | Hegemony isn't free.
        
       | tharne wrote:
       | Lol, I'll believe it when I see it. Is this the same Europe that
       | despite everything going on in the world is:
       | 
       | - Still buying Russian gas
       | 
       | - Dependent on U.S. Military bases for their own security
       | 
       | - Dependent on Chinese manufacturing for consumer goods
       | 
       | - Dependent on the U.S. for software and cloud infrastructure
       | 
       | - Dependent on the Chinese for computer hardware
       | 
       | Best of luck Europe, you've had a good run, but you've gotten
       | yourself into a fine mess here.
        
         | lazyeye wrote:
         | Yes the funding of Russia's war machine (by buying Russian
         | energy) whilst expecting the US to fund the EU's defense takes
         | some level of nerve. Nobody should take the EU seriously.
        
         | tobias3 wrote:
         | Yeah, it was a mistake taking this free trade, globalization,
         | UN, WTO, basic human rights, ICC, change through trade, nuclear
         | disarmament etc. stuff seriously. Cost us bigly.
        
           | lazyeye wrote:
           | Not everything but in alot of cases yes it was a mistake.
           | Trade has never been free, globalization has been a negative
           | for alot of people etc
        
           | tharne wrote:
           | It really did cost you bigly. Compared with 25 years ago,
           | Europe is less safe, less powerful, and more dependent on
           | other countries for very important things.
        
             | jemmyw wrote:
             | That is arguably incorrect and a matter of perception.
             | Europe was perceived to be safer and more powerful 25 years
             | ago. But is in fact, safer and more powerful now than it
             | was then. Are you safer if the dependencies are unknown or
             | if they're known and people are talking about them? Are you
             | safer if you believe the US will have your back, not
             | knowing that it won't really, or are you safer with better
             | knowledge on how far support will go?
             | 
             | The EU countries are, right now, pumping up their military
             | budgets. Russia has just spent several years destroying
             | it's huge stock of soviet era equipment. 25 years ago, that
             | equipment was in better shape and the EU was reducing
             | military budgets all over the place, and Ukraine was closer
             | to Russia's sphere of influence - potentially far less safe
             | but nobody knew it?
        
         | jemmyw wrote:
         | The problem is that for a lot of these problems Europe hasn't
         | had that much self determination over the last 75 years. The US
         | had to intervene twice in world wars that started in Europe.
         | And after WWII the US did, arguably, a reasonably noble thing
         | in how it provided investment to rebuild Europe. No more wars
         | out of Europe and a market to sell US goods to, and then a bit
         | later a bulwark against the USSR. All these things meant a
         | forced dependency. And the US still wants to sell its military
         | equipment, and under Trump very very keen to sell more goods. I
         | would argue that this situation also contributed to Europe
         | losing it's initial developments in computing with brain drain
         | to the US.
         | 
         | 75 years just isn't that long in geopolitics, and it's a hard
         | ship to turn around. Only 25 years ago the relationship between
         | the US and Europe was still very strong and it didn't look like
         | there was any pulling back.
         | 
         | You mention buying Russian gas. Again, it's very hard to
         | suddenly stop that gas flow. Even Ukraine didn't shut down the
         | gas pipelines going from Russian to Europe while they had
         | existing contracts in place, it's happening this year. Gas from
         | Russia was 40%, is now less than 11%, is forecast to drop much
         | further this and next year. These kind of economic dependencies
         | also continued for surprising long in previous wars between
         | countries that were actually in hot wars with each other.
         | 
         | The kind of changes you're talking about are slow. The US also
         | has it's dependencies on Asian manufacturing that it is also
         | now trying to turn around, and that will also be slow.
        
       | pfdietz wrote:
       | I thought the results of science are free for everyone to see.
       | That's how science works.
       | 
       | So isn't it optimal to depend on science someone else does? They
       | spend the money, but you both reap whatever knowledge is
       | obtained.
        
         | Rodmine wrote:
         | No, "science" often produces results favourable to those who
         | fund it.
        
           | pfdietz wrote:
           | So, the results aren't published? How is that consistent with
           | how science is supposed to be done?
           | 
           | Or do you mean there are spinoffs? But then how is science
           | supposed to be superior at producing these compared to
           | directed development of actually useful things?
        
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