[HN Gopher] Micron rolls out 276-layer SSD trio for speed, scale...
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       Micron rolls out 276-layer SSD trio for speed, scale, and stability
        
       Author : rbanffy
       Score  : 123 points
       Date   : 2025-07-30 21:54 UTC (4 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (blocksandfiles.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (blocksandfiles.com)
        
       | ggm wrote:
       | I purchased 2TB ssd for a home nas. I watched prices for 18
       | months. They didn't move an inch.
       | 
       | Prices for HDD do drop when the TB available rises but there
       | seems to be a "floor" price.
       | 
       | For SSD, there definitely appears to be a floor price.
       | 
       | I am pretty convinced this is not cost btw. This is classic
       | cost/price disjoint stuff.
       | 
       | The price is tracking people's willingness to pay.
        
         | wmf wrote:
         | The floor for hard disks is the cost of the case, motor,
         | controller board, etc. The floor for SSDs is the controller and
         | the PCB.
        
           | dopa42365 wrote:
           | Price/TB is nearly identical for ancient SATA and new "high-
           | end" PCIe 4 M.2 SSDs. The cost is EVERYTHING except the
           | controller and the PCB. Which would be the memory,
           | shockingly.
        
             | ggm wrote:
             | Do you think they have a yield problem? The price on chips
             | usually drops when the production tech matures. I could
             | believe the fab lines are running smoking hot, but surely
             | by now lower density fab in all kinds of economies could be
             | making this tech.
        
               | esseph wrote:
               | Maybe spending time making more GPU memory instead?
        
               | wtallis wrote:
               | DRAM and NAND require entirely different fabs.
        
           | ggm wrote:
           | We're nowhere near floor cost in SSD because the cost of the
           | PCB and controller is cents.
           | 
           | We're not even tracking the chipcost for the storage. There's
           | no linear function between them in terms of numbers, or die
           | space.
           | 
           | The price is just "the price"
        
             | elchananHaas wrote:
             | Not true. High end controllers need DRAM for caching
             | indexes. That's at least a few dollars.
             | 
             | Flash storage is a commodity, we are paying close to the
             | amortized cost of manufactured and sales.
        
               | ggm wrote:
               | Mate, if you think we're paying amortised costs you
               | either work in American pharma or marketing. We're paying
               | fat shareholder returns.
               | 
               | "A few dollars" forsooth. My 2TB SSD cost $150 AUD and
               | was (I believe) immensely profitable to everyone down the
               | supply chain. The same spend gets you 16GB of packaged
               | DDR ram and I think we can both see there is no linear
               | relationship between the DDR chip cost, in GB and the
               | 100x denser storage needed for SLC flash. This is not
               | about vlsi density or number of chips. I'm not paying
               | $15,000 more for my SSD.
               | 
               | "The prices are the prices"
        
               | fh973 wrote:
               | An SSD with 2TB flash typically contains 2GB RAM for
               | lookup tables.
        
               | AtlasBarfed wrote:
               | We are talking about Samsung and Micron here?
        
           | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
           | The cost of manufacturing a 276 layer (!!!) NAND chip must
           | also be significant, and a I dare say takes longer than the
           | mechanical components given that we're talking 276 sequential
           | steps of applying photo resist, UV exposure, then etching ...
        
             | wtallis wrote:
             | The whole reason why 3D NAND happened and higher layer
             | counts enable cheaper, higher density storage is that it
             | _doesn 't_ require an etch step per layer to build the
             | memory cells. It's just deposit several dozen layers then
             | etch holes down through all of those layers in one step,
             | followed by filling in those holes with different
             | materials. (Though at 276 layers, it's a stack of more than
             | one deck of layers built as separate batches. The aspect
             | ratio of the holes is the limiting factor.)
             | 
             | But aside from that, the cost of the NAND is the _variable_
             | portion of the drive 's cost, not part of the fixed floor
             | of cost necessary for a drive of any capacity.
        
               | HarHarVeryFunny wrote:
               | Interesting - thanks. I wasn't aware 3D NAND was built
               | multiple layers at a time in this way.
               | 
               | How are the layers made different, without individual
               | masking and etch?
        
               | wtallis wrote:
               | The layers largely _aren 't_ different. The end result is
               | a vertical string of (theoretically identical) NAND
               | memory cells filling the holes that were etched through
               | the stack, with contacts at the top and bottom. At the
               | edge of the stack, at the end of the fabrication process,
               | they etch a staircase to expose one contact with each
               | layer. See https://thememoryguy.com/3d-nand-how-do-you-
               | access-the-contr...
        
         | Dylan16807 wrote:
         | SSD prices cratered in 2023, then shot way back up, and have
         | barely dropped since then.
         | 
         | Baseline name brand SSDs got down to about $75 for 2TB, and I'm
         | not going to be impressed by anything until I see similar
         | numbers again.
        
           | porphyra wrote:
           | I got an Intel 660P 2TB for $55 haha. Should have stocked up
           | on bigger SSDs ugh.
        
         | adastra22 wrote:
         | Also the capacities for SSDs have barely budged. Many years ago
         | I went all-out and equipped my PC with a 4TB SSD. Just last
         | week I went SSD shopping for the first time in ages.. and 4TB
         | was the largest drive anyone had. It's a few generations later
         | and the new NVME/PCIe standards mean faster, lower-latency
         | drives. But where are the 8TB, 12TB, or 24TB drives?
        
           | Dylan16807 wrote:
           | There's a couple 8TB options, but with the twin constraints
           | of M.2 size and price nobody is really bothering to go bigger
           | for consumer parts.
           | 
           | And the technologies for fast connections to 2.5" drives keep
           | failing to get a foothold in consumer products.
        
             | crote wrote:
             | > And the technologies for fast connections to 2.5" drives
             | keep failing to get a foothold in consumer products.
             | 
             | Not surprising, considering the _vast_ majority of
             | consumers don 't need more storage than you can easily fit
             | in an M.2 form factor. Why mess around with expensive
             | enterprise U.2 drives when it gives you zero benefit and
             | gains you the hassle of dealing with extra wires and
             | finding space for an ugly bulky rectangle?
             | 
             | Once you get to storage sizes where 2.5" becomes a need,
             | you are well beyond the consumer price range. Very few
             | people are willing to spend more on a single SSD than on
             | the rest of their gaming computer combined.
        
               | mort96 wrote:
               | With individual games being hundreds of gigabytes and
               | growing, I'm not convinced that you're right.
        
               | Tadpole9181 wrote:
               | The "vast majority of consumers" are not PC gamers who
               | keep a dozen AAA games installed at a time. They have
               | work PCs and laptops.
        
               | mort96 wrote:
               | I never said that the vast majority of people need large
               | SSDs.
               | 
               | I said that the set of people who need large SSDs is big
               | enough such that its complement does not necessarily
               | constitute the "vast majority".
               | 
               | Obviously what you mean by "vast majority" is somewhat
               | subjective, and there is absolutely room to disagree with
               | my statement. But argue against the right thing.
        
               | wtallis wrote:
               | 4TB is what currently fits _easily_ into the M.2 form
               | factor, and 8TB has been _possible_ for years without
               | much extra expense in custom packaging. I 'm quite
               | confident that it is fair to say the "vast majority" of
               | consumers _do not need_ 8TB or more of storage in their
               | laptops.
        
               | taraindara wrote:
               | If local storage becomes too cheap, how can companies
               | push their cloud storage subscriptions? Imho it's sad
               | that ssds haven't gotten much bigger. A spinning disk can
               | now house dozens of tb. If 8tb can fit on an m.2, it
               | could feasibly fit even more into an SSD form factor. Not
               | as fast as nvme, but still faster and somewhat more
               | resilient than hdds. I have a strong desire for ssds like
               | this... but my only option is super expensive u.2, and I
               | don't need it to be that crazy fast. Just faster and
               | smaller than hdd would suffice
        
               | mort96 wrote:
               | It pains me so much. I would love a laptop with a 4TB or
               | 8TB SSD. But the 3.5 extra TB to go from a 0.5TB SSD to a
               | 4TB SSD costs _1758 USD_ if I want an Apple laptop (which
               | I do, for all sorts of other reasons). It 's absolutely
               | wild.
        
           | radicality wrote:
           | They exist but definitely more painful to use at a home setup
           | since their formats are more server oriented, like U.2/U.3 or
           | E1S and few others. And for course the prices - you can get
           | 30,60 TB (and even more), but it's gonna be >$4k.
           | 
           | And versus the normal M2 drives, the larger server grade are
           | more annoying. For example, I got recently a 15.36TB Kioxia
           | Cd6-R in U.3 format, for $1.3k, which is not bad for ssd
           | prices. After getting the right adapters and fitting it
           | inside a minisforum ms-01. It's working fine, but it
           | immediately reached its "critical" temperature (while doing
           | nothing) so I had to attach a big fan and cool it. All the
           | larger SSDs which are meant for server rooms will expect lots
           | of cooling.
           | 
           | https://www.serversupply.com/SSD/PCI-E4.0/15.36TB/KIOXIA/KCD.
           | ..
        
             | adastra22 wrote:
             | Why not get 4x 4TB drives and stripe?
        
               | LtdJorge wrote:
               | MS-01 doesn't have enough space
        
               | bbarnett wrote:
               | I agree this would work, and yes backups are important,
               | but you're now at 1/4 reliability plus raid issues
               | reliability.
               | 
               | The upthread may be able to hug that, but I like a quiet
               | night in, not an unreliable wildcat.
        
               | cm2187 wrote:
               | RAID 0, ok (but that's a bit dangerous). As soon as you
               | add some redundancy, you pay either a massive price in
               | term of capacity or in term of performance, pretty much
               | any implementation you look at (ZFS, MD, Windows storage
               | space, etc). Larger SSDs means less components which can
               | fail, less power consumption per TB.
        
             | consp wrote:
             | You can also look up the rated idle power in the datasheets
             | to know beforehand. Anything over ~5w needs cooling and
             | usually they are 10+w (at least the ten or so I have here
             | at home). Some of my disks have a low power more (still 7w)
             | which you can enable with vendor tooling or the correct sas
             | command but ymmv. Check the datasheet, it almost always
             | states max 45c ambient and continuous airflow required.
        
           | Culonavirus wrote:
           | I mean, isn't it obvious? There is no demand for massive
           | SSDs. The current "average consumer" capacity has stabilized
           | at 1-2TB for a system drive. It's also what you buy for your
           | PS5s etc. There's just not that many (popular) use cases for
           | larger SSD. Even with gaming, which is probably the most
           | widespread use case for "fast and big" drives, people found
           | out that there's only so many AAA 150GB behemoths that they
           | can play at the same time...
        
             | bravesoul2 wrote:
             | photo and video use case?
        
               | zozbot234 wrote:
               | As an average consumer/data hoarder, why not store those
               | on cheap spinning HDD's? They can stream the data fast
               | enough, and modern NAS hardware gives you easy RAID too.
               | You don't really need super-quick random access to
               | multiple TB's of data, so HDD storage is probably good
               | enough.
        
               | daymanstep wrote:
               | HDD is really not fast enough if you're going to be doing
               | a RAID rebuild with a 18TB HDD
        
               | GauntletWizard wrote:
               | It's plenty fast enough for my N+2 ZFS Raid, but I'll
               | admit that that time is still measured in days.
        
               | lostlogin wrote:
               | I'm running several that large or larger in a Synology.
               | 
               | Adding a drive takes a week. Replacing a drive a slightly
               | quicker, but rebuild times are no joke.
        
             | Uvix wrote:
             | I think you're confusing cause and effect - 1-2 TB is the
             | most common for PS5s because it's still where the price-
             | per-GB sweet spot is. I bought a 2 TB because it was the
             | cheapest per GB at the time, figuring I'd come out ahead
             | financially even if I replaced it with a 4 TB in 2-3 years.
             | 
             | Alas, prices have not come down like I expected. And sure,
             | there's only so many I can play at a time, but I also don't
             | want to have to wait through a reinstall each time I change
             | it up.
        
             | mjevans wrote:
             | If consumers were offered the same space for half the cost
             | or same cost for double the space, I find it likely at
             | least 30% would pick each of those bins.
             | 
             | It's not that people don't want larger drives, it really is
             | that this is what the market is willing to bear and there
             | is NOT sufficient competition to keep prices low.
        
             | lostlogin wrote:
             | > There is no demand for massive SSDs.
             | 
             | Then why can I buy 22TB spinner by disks so easily?
             | 
             | I'd love to go solid state, but the cost should be
             | phenomenal.
             | 
             | Judging by comments here, the server options also require a
             | lot of cooling, and keeping the noise down is the point for
             | me (along with keeping heat + power down, and speed).
        
               | userbinator wrote:
               | The 22TB HDDs are good for archival and long-term
               | storage.
        
           | justinclift wrote:
           | The capacities for SSDs have barely budged in the consumer
           | space, but they're going upwards a lot for enterprise and 2nd
           | hand enterprise drives.
           | 
           | ie: https://www.ebay.com/itm/186355513308
           | 
           | There are heaps on Ebay, but you'll be paying $$ for the
           | larger sized drives.
        
           | mananaysiempre wrote:
           | There are 8TB drives, and (ignoring QLC ones) 18 months ago
           | you'd have paid over $1200 for either of the two models
           | available (Sabrent Rocket 4 Plus or Inland Performance Plus).
           | Then WD released a 8TB version of their SN850X at an initial
           | price of $850. These days I regularly see it for $650 or
           | below (Amazon actually has it for $600 right this moment),
           | which is a positive but tolerable premium over buying 2x4TB
           | of the same (admittedly high-end) model. The other two
           | options have also come down in price, though the Sabrent
           | still hovers just below a thousand.
        
             | justinclift wrote:
             | Be extremely careful of buying WD (NVMe) SSDs if you're
             | intending on using them with Linux:
             | https://github.com/openzfs/zfs/discussions/14793
             | 
             | Many _serious_ reports of problems there, across many
             | models and firmware revisions. It's an ongoing problem, and
             | WD is ignoring it entirely.
        
               | jeffbee wrote:
               | It's just a brand. The SN770 shares nothing technical
               | with, for example, the SN8100.
        
               | justinclift wrote:
               | Well, "the brand" is ignoring the problems across several
               | SSD models.
        
               | wtallis wrote:
               | The reports in that thread you linked to are clustered
               | around several models that _do_ have substantial shared
               | technology: a DRAMless design using an in-house SanDisk
               | controller, and difficulties arise with the NVMe Host
               | Memory Buffer feature that is only applicable to DRAMless
               | drives. But the high-end SanDisk drives _aren 't_
               | DRAMless, and the SN8100 in particular doesn't even use
               | an in-house SanDisk controller.
        
               | mananaysiempre wrote:
               | Thanks! I see that the people reporting problems with the
               | (DRAMless) SN770 there also report no problems with the
               | SN850X, but that might not be indicative either way--
               | AFAIU the 8TB SN850X has somewhat different internals
               | compared to its lower-capacity brethren. (It does put
               | Framework's decision to ship SN770--now SN7100--SSDs in
               | their laptops as standard in an unfavourable light.)
        
           | mschuster91 wrote:
           | > But where are the 8TB, 12TB, or 24TB drives?
           | 
           | Kioxia has them for servers [1]. You'll pay for that
           | privilege though, 12.8 TB will set you back a healthy 1.600
           | EUR [2] and 30 TB 4.100 EUR [2].
           | 
           | [1] https://europe.kioxia.com/de-de/business/ssd/enterprise-
           | ssd....
           | 
           | [2] https://www.primeline-solutions.com/de/kioxia-12-8-tb-
           | cd8-v-...
           | 
           | [3] https://www.primeline-solutions.com/de/kioxia-30-72-tb-
           | cm7-r...
        
         | abdullahkhalids wrote:
         | Why do you think the price of SSDs should be close to cost?
         | 
         | As there are many consumer level producers (who all buy from a
         | smaller set of actual producers), it may seem like the market
         | is close to perfect competition (which would justify
         | price=cost).
         | 
         | But actually there are many low quality producers that
         | frequently burn those stupid enough to buy from them. And a few
         | high quality producers who generally sell what they advertise.
         | So if you are trying to buy a high quality SSD, you are buying
         | from an oligopoly that have built their brands over the years.
         | So they can charge significantly higher than cost due to this
         | reason.
         | 
         | And I imagine that others can't drop their prices much lower
         | than this price because then people get suspicious and don't
         | buy it at all.
        
           | ggm wrote:
           | > Why do you think the price of SSDs should be close to cost?
           | 
           | Not close, but closeER and at least some evidence of
           | tracking. That's what I'd expect if they were ubiquitous.
           | 
           | Some goods track commodity prices closely. Shrinkflation
           | happens when you can't easily alter the unit price, chocolate
           | bars are a good example. Not that we pay anything like as
           | little as the producers get: there's enough competition that
           | putting valhrona to one side, chocolate prices reflect
           | commodity prices. Same with fuel. Same with ROHC compliant
           | resistors. SMD components. PCBs. Batteries, led light bulbs.
           | DDR memory.
           | 
           | Not SSD. There is no reason it must, this isn't the laws of
           | physics. I just observe it doesn't. If there was more visible
           | competition in supply of inputs, they MIGHT. But it looks
           | like at best a duopoly or tri-opoly of inputs, and prices
           | reflect demand a lot more. Supply isn't even close to demand,
           | there's no surplus.
           | 
           | Those other things are somewhat peripheral. Not saying they
           | don't have a role, but I don't think it's fundamental. I
           | bought 6 "patriot" P210 and they get average to poor reviews
           | for speed and reliability.
        
             | lazide wrote:
             | Eh, probably RAM'esque price fixing. Not that anyone is
             | going to look too closely with all the geopolitical fuckery
             | right now.
        
               | mananaysiempre wrote:
               | There _have_ been reports that Micron has been doing
               | unusual ammounts of lobbying around the time that the US
               | government introduced trade sanctions against YMTC and
               | Apple dropped their plans to start using them. (Though
               | that time period also coincides with the CHIPS Act
               | frenzy, so take with a grain of salt.)
        
         | kijin wrote:
         | There is no consumer market for 4TB+ SSDs. There never was, and
         | there probably won't be for the foreseeable future. Most non-
         | technical people have been conditioned to store their data on
         | their phones and/or in the cloud these days. When they need
         | more storage, their first thought is to upgrade their cloud
         | plan, not to open up their device and void the warranty.
         | 
         | Professionals like us know of course that the SSD is an easily
         | upgradable component. But we also tend to know how to set up a
         | NAS with 4x 18TB HDDs in a zfs pool that can saturate the
         | bandwidth of any reasonable home network when transferring
         | large files. So the market for professionals and enthusiasts
         | don't always translate into a market for large SSDs.
        
           | dontlaugh wrote:
           | I would like to be able to get rid of my hard drive NAS at
           | some point, in favour of something smaller and quieter. The
           | price really doesn't make sense right now, though.
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | > and there probably won't be for the foreseeable future.
           | 
           | There might be if we get to vert large models that rely more
           | on storage than compute, but that's a lot of "ifs" in there.
           | Maybe when people start capturing their birthdays in 16K HDR
           | at 120 fps.
        
           | asnyder wrote:
           | Opening up one's device does not void the warranty in the US.
           | We have the Magnuson-Moss Warranty Act which forbids this,
           | despite manufactures trying to groom us otherwise with those
           | void if removed or broken stickers.
           | 
           | Most recently, FTC started to raise awareness and crack down
           | on some abuse: https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-
           | releases/2024/07/....
           | 
           | Will take a long time to de-program and by that time nothing
           | will be replaceable to matter due to industries march towards
           | preventing repair altogether.
        
           | mschuster91 wrote:
           | > There is no consumer market for 4TB+ SSDs. There never was,
           | and there probably won't be for the foreseeable future.
           | 
           | Gamers certainly are a market. Borderlands 3 for example, a
           | 2019 game, clocks in at 75GB on Steam, GTA 5 at 105 GB, MSFS
           | 150 GB. And that's all OLD games. CoD Black Ops wants 175 GB,
           | GTA 6 is rumored to want anything from 100 to 300 GB. You
           | don't want that on spinning rust.
        
             | Detrytus wrote:
             | Are you going to have all those installed at the same time?
             | I mean, most players will focus on one, two games at the
             | time, and also Steam or GoG will just backup your saved
             | games to the cloud, so you can uninstall them, and come
             | back to your old games later.
        
               | Dylan16807 wrote:
               | And if uninstalling is too far, inactive games can go to
               | an extra cheap hard drive and it'll only take 10-15
               | minutes to move 100GB back to your SSD.
               | 
               | I was hoping SSDs would get price competitive with hard
               | drives but the progress sure has been bad lately...
               | 
               | (It's possible to even set up a system that lets you play
               | a game _while_ it 's being moved over to SSD, but sadly
               | there aren't any easy ways to do that right now.)
        
           | mystifyingpoi wrote:
           | > have been conditioned to store their data on their phones
           | 
           | This is 100% true. I have a family member that literally has
           | a decade of family photos stored in WhatsApp conversations.
           | 10 gigs app storage used on some old iPhone, no backup.
        
         | ksec wrote:
         | HDD isn't any different. Peice per TB has been flat for many
         | years. You get higher capacity for Hyperscaler, but those are
         | not intended for consumers and you need to pre book in advance
         | to get them.
         | 
         | SSD price may have fluctuating for the last few years but their
         | cost model are now similar to HDD. And so is DRAM.
         | 
         | Mainly cost to produce GB of DRAM / NAND / HDD are roughly the
         | same for many years. You may get better performance or lower
         | energy usage. But cost hast changed. And all fluctuations in
         | market are supple and demand dynamics, which is why many saw
         | 4TB for $150 in 2023 and thought things will drop soon. But
         | that has not been the case.
         | 
         | We need breakthroughs to further reduce the cost per GB.
         | Although one could argue we have half the cost already if we
         | accounted for inflation for the past 20 years.
        
           | AtlasBarfed wrote:
           | The SSDs come from, very generally speaking, the same
           | semiconductor segment that has been busted multiple times for
           | price fixing in DRAM.
           | 
           | Not that hyperconsolidation in HDDs isn't vulnerable to the
           | same things, but the management playbook of these guys is to
           | fix and inflate as much as possible.
        
           | Jerry2 wrote:
           | What's a fair price for a TB of HDD? SSD? Which high-capacity
           | SSDs are worth buying?
           | 
           | I'm not sure if there are any sites tracking this. Anyway, I
           | need to buy 30TB of storage this year so I can upgrade my NAS
           | and make it last few years. Thanks for any replies from
           | anyone who has an opinion!
        
             | wmf wrote:
             | HDD: $10/TB
             | 
             | SSD: $50-100/TB
        
               | nixgeek wrote:
               | Most new drives are sold into consumer/end user retail
               | around $20/TB and only seem to dip a little during sales
               | (with most sellers also quantity limiting any sales,
               | also). Getting to $10/TB is possible but typically
               | involves buying manufacturer recertified, and may involve
               | going smaller (14-16TB drives) than you might prefer.
               | 
               | I managed to find 64x Seagate Exos 20TB for $13/TB new
               | about 2 years ago, on NewEgg of all places, but I've
               | never seen that deal repeat. :(
               | 
               | All the new 30TB+ HDDs using HAMR technology from Seagate
               | and WD still feel like expensive unobtainium.
        
             | synack wrote:
             | https://diskprices.com/
        
         | toast0 wrote:
         | > Prices for HDD do drop when the TB available rises but there
         | seems to be a "floor" price.
         | 
         | For SSD, there definitely appears to be a floor price.
         | 
         | The floor price for new hard drives is somewhere around
         | $50-$80. When a drive at a certain capacity is only sellable
         | for $50, most of the options disappear. Looking at newegg, you
         | can get a 1TB drive for $60, 2TB for $65, and 4TB for $75 ...
         | The price floor is around there. But if you want the best $/TB,
         | you've got to get larger drives.
         | 
         | For SSDs, the floor is a lot lower. You can get a 128gb ssd for
         | $22, 256Gb for $25, 512GB for $33, 1TB for $50, and then after
         | that $/TB stays pretty consistent, there's not a lot of
         | reduction in cost due to density like with hard drives.
        
         | torginus wrote:
         | Imo the problem of SSDs is that even super-cheap products
         | easily hit or exceed the sweet spot (which for me is at least
         | 1TB of capacity and 1-2GB/s of read write speed, and lack of
         | judder/slowdown when near capacity).
         | 
         | A ton of affordable SSDs can do this, and after that (well, I'd
         | pay for 2TB but not more), any upgrade is not noticeable for
         | the end user.
        
         | sleepyguy wrote:
         | There is collusion between manufacturers to control prices.
         | Just like other industries, they learned the hard way with
         | overproduction and capacity. Samsung was able to convince
         | everyone to cut back. In Dec of 23, I purchased a Crucial P5
         | Plus Gen 4 2 TB SSD for $86 off Amazon and it was soon
         | afterwards Samsung cut back drastically, with competitors
         | following.
        
       | userbinator wrote:
       | Absolutely zero mention of retention for a storage device is
       | disturbing.
       | 
       | The endurance figures seem to suggest anywhere between 6.6k and
       | 11k cycles, which is both a wide range and unusually high for TLC
       | flash - this is the normally expected range for decent MLC and 5
       | years of retention, so I suspect they're massaging the retention
       | downwards to get those numbers.
       | 
       | Related: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43702193
        
         | jauntywundrkind wrote:
         | To ground these endurance figures a little more concretely,
         | consumer drives will advertise 600TBW:TB, or 600 cycles!
         | Starting at 10x that is a very solid starting place!
         | 
         | On the other hand, an enterprise drive like Kioxia CM7 will
         | offer either 1 or 3 drive writes per day (for regular and
         | write-intensive drive models, respectively), across the 5 year
         | warranty. That's ~1800 cycles or just shy of 5500 cycles.
        
           | userbinator wrote:
           | Enterprise drives have always been rated for lower retention
           | and hence higher cycles than consumer drives, since those are
           | inversely correlated.
        
             | daymanstep wrote:
             | Do you have a source for that claim? Everything I've read
             | suggests that data retention is mostly about the write
             | temperature vs storage temperature, and that enterprise
             | drives have about equivalent retention to consumer drives.
             | 
             | By retention I'm assuming you're referring to the amount of
             | time it takes for data loss to occur on SSDs in cold
             | unpowered storage.
        
               | userbinator wrote:
               | From the horse's mouth:
               | https://americas.kioxia.com/content/dam/kioxia/en-
               | us/busines... (See graph on page 2.)
               | 
               | https://www.macronix.com/Lists/ApplicationNote/Attachment
               | s/1... (See graph on page 3.)
               | 
               | Then look up the retention specs for enterprise drives
               | and compare to consumer ones, and the conclusion is
               | obvious.
        
               | daymanstep wrote:
               | Correct me if I'm mistaken but it looks to me like your
               | graphs are talking about the number of P/E cycles
               | accumulated, rather than the number of P/E cycles that a
               | drive is rated for?
               | 
               | What this seems to suggest is that as a drive gets more
               | "worn out", its data retention gets worse.
               | 
               | But I don't see how that can be taken to imply that
               | enterprise drives have worse data retention than consumer
               | drives. Nothing that I've seen suggests this.
        
               | zozbot234 wrote:
               | > What this seems to suggest is that as a drive gets more
               | "worn out", its data retention gets worse.
               | 
               | This is what informal tests (i.e. via
               | scrubbing/resilvering the drive after leaving it powered
               | off for a long time) have found. Retention/data remanence
               | is remarkably good for a drive that has been written over
               | just once, and quite bad (i.e. you start seeing bit
               | errors) for one that's almost worn out. This is actually
               | very good news for the EEPROM-like use case where
               | rewrites are quite rare.
               | 
               | (Note that "almost worn out" in this case can mean going
               | _far_ beyond the formal total-data-written rating of the
               | drive. We 're talking the range where the hardware itself
               | is about to croak.)
        
               | userbinator wrote:
               | _But I don 't see how that can be taken to imply that
               | enterprise drives have worse data retention than consumer
               | drives_
               | 
               | Look up the specs. Commonly quoted as 3 months for
               | enterprise ratings but the whole picture is in these
               | tables:
               | 
               | https://www.legitreviews.com/wp-
               | content/uploads/2015/05/ssd-...
               | 
               | Page 22 of this "says the quiet part out loud": https://w
               | ww.snia.org/sites/default/files/AnilVasudeva_Are_SS...
               | ("Lower Data Retention allows for higher endurance")
        
               | daymanstep wrote:
               | I'm not sure I fully understand what that page is saying.
               | 
               | It is my understanding that JEDEC standard tests the data
               | retention of the "worst case" scenario where a drive is
               | fully worn out, i.e the drive has reached its maximum
               | rated P/E cycles.
               | 
               | If I'm understanding correctly, that page you linked is
               | saying that enterprise drives have firmware that
               | essentially allows more P/E cycles, which then means that
               | at the end of those cycles, the drive will be more "worn
               | out" and thus will have a worse data retention.
               | 
               | But in a real world usage scenario where we subject a
               | consumer SSD and an enterprise SSD to the same number of
               | P/E cycles, would they have different data retention? I
               | thought the JEDEC data was only for end-of-life
               | scenarios.
        
               | wtallis wrote:
               | > But in a real world usage scenario where we subject a
               | consumer SSD and an enterprise SSD to the same number of
               | P/E cycles, would they have different data retention?
               | 
               | Probably not, assuming they're using the same underlying
               | media and same strength of ECC and that the amount of
               | host data written was appropriately adjusted to account
               | for the different capacities and overprovisioning ratios
               | to ensure the actual P/E cycles seen by the NAND were the
               | same.
               | 
               | As you write more data, the consumer drive would be out
               | of warranty first, while the enterprise drive would still
               | be under warranty but not spec'd to retain data for as
               | long as the worn-out consumer drive. So for either drive,
               | the manufacturer isn't guaranteeing 1 year retention past
               | the rated endurance of the consumer drive.
        
               | userbinator wrote:
               | _fully worn out, i.e the drive has reached its maximum
               | rated P /E cycles._
               | 
               | That differs between enterprise and consumer - and the
               | reason why the former is rated higher is because they've
               | reduced the retention spec (to almost 1/4th).
               | 
               |  _But in a real world usage scenario where we subject a
               | consumer SSD and an enterprise SSD to the same number of
               | P /E cycles, would they have different data retention?_
               | 
               | No, and that's the whole point of this: the same flash,
               | with different definitions of "worn out", is quite
               | misleading as they're just looking at different points on
               | the same curve. It's all obfuscated marketing.
               | 
               | Incidentally, this is also why those widely-publicised
               | tests that claim SSD endurance is not a problem by
               | continuously writing until absolute failure and seeing
               | many times the rated endurance (e.g.
               | https://linustechtips.com/topic/327024-the-ssd-endurance-
               | exp... ) are extremely misleading (albeit enlightening on
               | how "enterprise" ratings are being calculated): they are
               | showing how many cycles the flash will take before it's
               | too leaky to store data long enough for the next
               | verification pass, which may be less than an hour away.
               | At that point it's almost behaving more like DRAM than
               | nonvolatile memory.
        
               | daymanstep wrote:
               | Oh wow, yeah I see your point, that is indeed extremely
               | misleading.
               | 
               | I had always thought that enterprise SSDs used higher
               | quality flash than consumer SSDs because of the higher
               | endurance guarantees - that was why I bought them. Now I
               | feel like a big reason to buy enterprise SSD has been
               | removed.
               | 
               | I am flabbergasted, to be honest. And I feel a bit
               | cheated that I am paying much more for the same quality
               | flash.
               | 
               | So would it be fair to say that the only reason to pay
               | for the enterprise SSD premium is the power loss
               | protection and more reliable firmware?
        
               | wtallis wrote:
               | Definitely don't think of enterprise vs consumer SSDs as
               | _good_ vs _bad_ ; they're optimizing for different use
               | cases.
               | 
               | Enterprise SSDs get you power loss protection and
               | firmware QA aimed at server workloads and operating
               | systems, and performance tuning prioritizing consistent
               | sustained performance, and larger form factors with
               | enabling higher capacity and higher power.
               | 
               | Consumer SSDs get you higher peak performance (eg. SLC
               | caching) and orders of magnitude better idle power
               | savings and QA against Windows and its NVMe driver, in
               | form factors suitable for laptops and not requiring
               | direct airflow over the SSD.
               | 
               | A very long time ago when the SSD market was still quite
               | immature, there was a time period where "consumer" SSDs
               | were little more than cut-down enterprise SSDs with
               | inferior NAND and fewer features. But that changed well
               | before NVMe showed up.
        
           | justincormack wrote:
           | Generally they just chop off some space to allow for more to
           | be used when it wears out, which is why enterprise is 3.84TB
           | not 4TB. If you partition the drive smaller and never use the
           | rest you can achieve similar endurance.
        
         | drtgh wrote:
         | Very disturbing, the article talks about the number of bits to
         | be read per cell like if it were only a matter of speed.
         | 
         | In addition to your comment (related), when 3D-NAND cells are
         | read, interference by the traces (charge-trap disturbs)
         | requires the neighbour cells to be refreshed with writes, if
         | the controller wants to conserve data integrity. This did not
         | happen with 2D-NAND in the past.
         | 
         | Reading data from one cell in 3D-NAND involves writing cells;
         | reading data in 3D-NAND consumes disk endurance.
         | 
         | (Not to mention, temperature/number of layers/endurance)
        
           | zozbot234 wrote:
           | The read disturb effect happens with 2D-NAND, it's just rare.
        
           | pkaye wrote:
           | I used to work in SSD controller firmware. This kind of issue
           | existed more than 10 years ago. To achieve higher capacity
           | with each generation of NAND you are trading off everything
           | else (endurance, retention, read/program times, etc) little
           | by little. 20 years ago it was so rare to see any kind of
           | errors with SLC NAND that error detection and handling was
           | fairly simple.
        
             | userbinator wrote:
             | I have some small USB drives from that era with SLC rated
             | for 10 years of retention after 100k cycles, meaning a 64MB
             | drive has a total endurance of 6.4TB. True binary capacity
             | too, with no wear leveling either, as only the spares on
             | each page were needed for a simple ECC.
             | 
             | Too bad planned obsolescence got in the way, or we would've
             | ended up today with bigger SLC drives that are fast and
             | simple and just as reliable.
        
               | Dylan16807 wrote:
               | There's no planned obsolescence for my use case. I've
               | never done enough writes to wear out an SSD. While I
               | might buy an SLC flash drive if it was properly
               | available, for internal drives TLC has barely any
               | downsides. I very rarely get limited to 500MB/s, I need
               | to turn it on sometimes, and I get 2.8x the space. Sounds
               | great.
        
         | devttyeu wrote:
         | I don't think most people grasp how abstractly high even 1 DWPD
         | is compared to enterprise HDDs. On the enterprise side you'll
         | often read that a hard drive is rated for maybe 550TB/year,
         | translating to 0.05~0.1 DRWPD [1] (yes, combined read AND
         | write) and you have to be fine with that. (..yeah admittedly
         | the workloads for each are quite different, you can
         | realistically achieve >1 DWPD on an nvme with e.g. a large LSM
         | database).
         | 
         | What makes NVMe endurance ratings even better (though not for
         | warranty purposes) is when your workload has sequential writes
         | you can expect much higher effective endurance as most DWPD
         | metrics are calculated for random 4k write, which is just about
         | the worst case for flash with multi-megabyte erase blocks. It's
         | my understanding that it's also in large part why there is some
         | push for Zoned (hm-smr like) NVMe, where you can declare much
         | higher DWPD.
         | 
         | * [1] https://documents.westerndigital.com/content/dam/doc-
         | library...
        
           | zozbot234 wrote:
           | I assume that flash translation layers use LSM-like patterns
           | underneath to cope with small random writes. The best case
           | for flash with a good translation layer is data that can be
           | _erased /discarded_ in bulk, since this minimizes write
           | amplification. This is close enough to the "large sequential
           | writes" case but not necessarily equivalent.
        
       | kachapopopow wrote:
       | 140tb of writes, so us-, wait, that's petabytes isn't it.
        
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