[HN Gopher] Texas ranks as No. 1 state with the most people in f...
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       Texas ranks as No. 1 state with the most people in financial
       distress
        
       Author : paulpauper
       Score  : 28 points
       Date   : 2025-07-20 17:18 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (dallas.culturemap.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (dallas.culturemap.com)
        
       | chris_wot wrote:
       | I do wonder how much of this can be put down to an extremely lax
       | regulatory environment within Texas itself.
        
       | crnvbikwblcps wrote:
       | > To determine the states with the most financially distressed
       | residents, WalletHub compared all 50 states across nine metrics
       | in six major categories, such as average credit scores, the share
       | of people with "accounts in distress" (meaning an account that's
       | in forbearance or has deferred payments), the one-year change in
       | bankruptcy filings from March 2024, and search interest indexes
       | for "debt" and "loans."
       | 
       | Any state "financial distress" study where California ranks #12,
       | New York #19 and Hawaii #50 is suspicious. The search engine part
       | is especially nonsense.
        
         | carefulfungi wrote:
         | The methodology is arbitrary and is mostly a measurement of
         | average credit score.
         | 
         | Methodology: https://wallethub.com/edu/states-with-the-most-
         | people-in-fin...
         | 
         | This Equifax article lists CA has having a better average
         | credit score than Texas. I did't bother to sort the Equifax to
         | list to see how closely to correlates to the article, though.
         | 
         | https://www.equifax.com/personal/education/credit/score/arti...
        
           | toomanyrichies wrote:
           | Here's the sorted Equifax list:
           | 
           | Minnesota 730
           | 
           | New Hampshire 727
           | 
           | Wisconsin 727
           | 
           | Vermont 726
           | 
           | Massachusetts 723
           | 
           | South Dakota 722
           | 
           | Washington 722
           | 
           | Colorado 720
           | 
           | Maine 720
           | 
           | Montana 720
           | 
           | North Dakota 720
           | 
           | Nebraska 720
           | 
           | Hawaii 719
           | 
           | Iowa 719
           | 
           | Utah 719
           | 
           | Idaho 718
           | 
           | Connecticut 717
           | 
           | New Jersey 717
           | 
           | Oregon 717
           | 
           | New York 713
           | 
           | Pennsylvania 713
           | 
           | Rhode Island 713
           | 
           | Wyoming 713
           | 
           | California 712
           | 
           | Illinois 712
           | 
           | Kansas 712
           | 
           | Virginia 712
           | 
           | Michigan 710
           | 
           | Alaska 709
           | 
           | Maryland 706
           | 
           | Ohio 706
           | 
           | Delaware 705
           | 
           | Missouri 705
           | 
           | Dist. of Col. 704
           | 
           | Indiana 704
           | 
           | Arizona 703
           | 
           | North Carolina 699
           | 
           | Florida 698
           | 
           | Tennessee 697
           | 
           | Kentucky 695
           | 
           | New Mexico 695
           | 
           | Puerto Rico 695
           | 
           | West Virginia 693
           | 
           | South Carolina 692
           | 
           | Nevada 691
           | 
           | Arkansas 688
           | 
           | Oklahoma 687
           | 
           | Georgia 686
           | 
           | Texas 686
           | 
           | Alabama 685
           | 
           | Louisiana 680
           | 
           | Mississippi 675
        
             | ariwilson wrote:
             | Any ranking of states that ends with Mississippi is one I
             | can get behind
        
           | elevation wrote:
           | Credit score is not a useful measure of financial health.
           | 
           | A minimum wage worker living paycheck to paycheck but making
           | minimums on a large credit card balance will have a better
           | score than a retiree who's long since paid off his house and
           | car and pays cash for entertainment and playthings.
        
             | toomuchtodo wrote:
             | The minimum wage worker will not be making the minimum
             | payment successfully on their credit card balance (bottom
             | sixty percent of Americans cannot afford a basic quality of
             | life [1] [2]). They likely can't produce $500 for an
             | emergency, and use credit products with interest rates as
             | high as ~30-35% with credit lines no larger than a few
             | hundred or thousand dollars. The retiree you mention in
             | your example will have an 800+ FICO credit score due to
             | longevity of their trade lines (decades) and likely no
             | inquiries (because they don't need to seek credit) or
             | missed payments.
             | 
             | Cash flow underwriting would paint this picture better [3],
             | but is still not widely performed outside of an org
             | containing the deposit account (internal underwriting for
             | credit products that don't have to conform for asset backed
             | security sales). So, credit score is a reasonable proxy at
             | this time for household financial health (imho) [4] [5]
             | based on research performed by the CFPB.
             | 
             | [1] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cost-of-living-income-
             | quality-o...
             | 
             | [2] https://lisep.org/mql
             | 
             | [3] https://fintechtakes.com/articles/2024-05-22/cash-flow-
             | under...
             | 
             | [4] https://www.consumerfinance.gov/about-us/blog/new-
             | report-exp...
             | 
             | [5]
             | https://files.consumerfinance.gov/f/documents/cfpb_credit-
             | ka...
             | 
             | (day job is in finance/consumer credit)
        
         | fragmede wrote:
         | Do you have any numbers as to why those rankings should be
         | suspicious, or is it down to preconceived notions about people
         | from those particular states you've met and you're projecting?
        
           | RandomBacon wrote:
           | Having lived in Honolulu for several years, I'm quite
           | surprised that Hawaii is last on the list for "financial
           | distress".
           | 
           | Although maybe they're just better at leaving within their
           | means, which is very hard when salaries are low and things
           | are very expensive. The way of life there is generally
           | healthier, so perhaps people don't need to do as much "retail
           | therapy" or other terrible financial ideas.
           | 
           | I wonder how that list correlates to a happiness ranking. I
           | think Hawaii was at the top of the list last time I heard a
           | year or two ago.
        
         | malshe wrote:
         | > The search engine part is especially nonsense
         | 
         | Maybe you need to read "Everybody Lies":
         | https://www.harpercollins.com/products/everybody-lies-seth-s...
        
         | WorldWideWebb wrote:
         | Just making sure you're aware of the size of California and New
         | York. Yes - has a small chunk of very affluent residents, but
         | also huge populations, loads of people living well below the
         | poverty line, high percentage of undocumented workers (also
         | likely living below the poverty line), and a huge mix of both
         | urban and rural populations. Those rankings don't strike me at
         | all as odd.
        
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       (page generated 2025-07-20 23:02 UTC)