[HN Gopher] Section 174 is reversed, mostly
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Section 174 is reversed, mostly
        
       Author : jawns
       Score  : 122 points
       Date   : 2025-07-18 18:07 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (newsletter.pragmaticengineer.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (newsletter.pragmaticengineer.com)
        
       | avbanks wrote:
       | The effects of Section 174 seem to be understated, it aligns with
       | the layoffs and the size of the layoffs.
        
         | bsuvc wrote:
         | Interesting.
         | 
         | Is there someplace I can find information about how section 174
         | aligns with the frequency and size of layoffs?
        
           | adamors wrote:
           | The OP links to a deepdive on section 174
        
         | enjo wrote:
         | I feel like we'll get a good feel for this if hiring domestic
         | engineers picks back up without an influx of foreign folks who
         | are not receiving the positive tax treatment.
        
         | ch33zer wrote:
         | If you think layoffs were bad the last few years then just wait
         | until the costs for all the ai hardware, massively overpriced
         | talent, and acquisitions hit the books for these companies.
         | It's going to be a bloodbath.
        
         | root_axis wrote:
         | IMO the effects of Section 174 are way overstated. Time will
         | tell, but my bet is that the market for software engineers
         | continues to decline indefinitely. _Maybe_ super low interest
         | rates could mitigate the trend but other than that we 're
         | probably not going back to the days of high demand software
         | engineering roles.
         | 
         | Why? A dozen different reasons. Of course LLMs are one facet,
         | there's also the commodification of software and infrastructure
         | which means buying something off the shelf is far cheaper than
         | running an engineering org in-house, there's also the fact that
         | the market is extremely oversaturated with software engineers
         | with hundreds of thousands laid off over the last few years,
         | then there's the aggregate effect of advancements in PL and
         | software system design which makes it a lot easier to do more
         | with less, the broader homogenization of runtime systems with
         | modern browsers and mature cross-platform toolkits... and many
         | many other factors. All these trends are converging on downward
         | pressure for demand, and I personally don't see any reason why
         | the trend will reverse.
        
           | crackrook wrote:
           | I don't fundamentally disagree but I feel there's a selection
           | bias at work here. I'm not an economist, but: maybe the
           | things that could have a market bolstering effect are - by
           | nature - harder to identify because they represent growth
           | opportunities that haven't been captured yet? The sector-
           | reinvigorating innovations over the horizon wouldn't be
           | innovations if they were easy to anticipate.
        
         | culi wrote:
         | It seems like this reversion is being paired with changes to
         | 41(d)(1)(A) and 280C(c)(1)
         | 
         | > The domestic research or experimental expenditures . . .
         | otherwise taken into account as a deduction or charged to
         | capital account under this chapter shall be reduced by the
         | amount of the credit allowed under section 41(a). Read in
         | conjunction with Section 41(d)(1)(A), discussed above, it seems
         | that all taxpayers claiming a research tax credit will
         | necessarily have costs which are treated under Section 174A and
         | thus subject to the reduction specified under amended Section
         | 280C(c)(1).
         | 
         | > To our knowledge, many taxpayers have interpreted this
         | language to mean that there is a reduction under 280C(c)(1)
         | only to the extent the research credit exceeds the amortization
         | allowed under Section 174, generally 10% in the year the
         | expense is incurred under the applicable half-year convention.
         | In that case, there would typically be little or no reduction
         | to deductions and capitalized amounts, and correspondingly no
         | reason to elect a reduced credit in lieu of a nonexistent or
         | minimal reduction.
         | 
         | https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2025/07/new-section-174a-re...
         | 
         | TL;DR: I don't think we're out of the woods yet
        
       | breakyerself wrote:
       | Someone must have made a mistake. This government just broke its
       | perfect record of only fucking things up.
        
         | schneems wrote:
         | Happy to report that the laws of the universe are still in
         | effect. NPR and PBS were defunded today so I'll call it a wash.
         | 
         | (This is a joke, I'm happy for this change, but also raising
         | that it's in the middle of a lot of other crappy stuff and I'm
         | holding space for all of it).
        
           | em-bee wrote:
           | one step forward, two steps back.
        
         | catlover76 wrote:
         | My understanding is that this provision was originally enacted
         | by Republicans during Trump's first term, so it follows Trump's
         | practice of fixing things he was the one to break in the first
         | place and attempting to claim credit.
        
           | BryantD wrote:
           | It is slightly worse than that. The provision was changed by
           | Republicans... but set to kick in after Trump's first term,
           | so the negative effects landed on Biden. Now that Trump's
           | back in office, it's safe to improve the economy again
           | without the wrong party getting credit for it.
        
             | culi wrote:
             | Given the changes to 41(d)(1)(A) and 280C(c)(1) that were
             | paired with this reversion, we might not see things pick
             | back up after all
             | 
             | https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2025/07/new-
             | section-174a-re...
        
         | randerson wrote:
         | Considering this is reversing their own mistake, after damage
         | has been done, it is still a net fuckup in aggregate.
        
           | tpetry wrote:
           | But the damage has been done while the opponentparty was
           | leading the country. Thats the important part. That was
           | always the plan. And is again with the big beautiful bill
           | when the big tax hikes will take effect with the next
           | president...
        
           | 1auralynn wrote:
           | Agreed, it cost me at least $10,000 because I had to pay
           | fancier accountants to do all the R&D calcs. Not to mention
           | the interest lost, my time spent figuring it all out, etc.
        
         | leptons wrote:
         | > _My understanding is that this provision was originally
         | enacted by Republicans during Trump 's first term, so it
         | follows Trump's practice of fixing things he was the one to
         | break in the first place and attempting to claim credit._
         | 
         | The [dead] comment is absolutely right.
        
         | culi wrote:
         | The amendments to 41(d)(1)(A) and 280C(c)(1) might cancel this
         | out and mean things are still fucked up
         | 
         | https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2025/07/new-section-174a-re...
        
         | wmf wrote:
         | This thing was never meant to kick in. Congress has a loophole
         | where they will pretend a bill is "revenue neutral" if it cuts
         | taxes in the short term but increases them long term. So bills
         | are full of time bombs that go off years in the future.
         | Normally Congress cancels the tax increases before they take
         | effect but they forgot to fix this one in time.
        
       | throwawaybbq1 wrote:
       | Does this mean a huge hiring uptick in the US/layoff reversal? I
       | do think this law caused some of the bad market. Will undoing it
       | get us back to where we were?
        
         | jesol wrote:
         | Definitely not. Repealing section 174 (or not extending it, as
         | it were) helped pushed us into a new normal for the market.
         | Adding it back doesn't in and of itself push the market into
         | another new normal, we'd need a lot more. It might take the
         | edge off though, hopefully.
        
           | UncleOxidant wrote:
           | Agreed. Consider that we're in a big tech bubble right now
           | (AI) and have been for at least a couple years. And yet tech
           | layoffs have been way up, and hiring way down. Part of that
           | that could be attributable to 174, but there are other issues
           | that contribute more. One would be that there are vanishingly
           | few people with actual experience in this narrow part of AI
           | (LLMs) - I know people working in AI that have been laid off
           | in the last couple of years because they were in the wrong
           | area of AI (vision & CNNs). Secondly, it turns out that not
           | that many people are needed to work on this stuff (mostly
           | concentrated in large companies like Meta, Google, Microsoft
           | & Amazon). And thirdly, folks in the C suite became convinced
           | that AI is going to replace software engineers so they've
           | quite hiring them.
        
             | cogman10 wrote:
             | > And thirdly, folks in the C suite became convinced that
             | AI is going to replace software engineers so they've quite
             | hiring them.
             | 
             | I think this is the real reason for much of the layoffs.
             | 
             | The other reason is simply that the market isn't punishing
             | layoffs. You get rewarded as a CEO for laying off employees
             | and saying "It's because AI makes them obsolete"
        
         | aprilthird2021 wrote:
         | A huge uptick / reversal, I'm not sure, that's ultimately far
         | more driven by actual profit / market than taxes.
         | 
         | But as pointed out in the article, US devs now have a tax
         | advantage vs foreign devs. That may lead to some "nearshoring"
         | especially from foreign markets where dev salaries have been
         | jumping up (India, Europe, etc.)
        
           | y-curious wrote:
           | I pray this is true. How can an experienced dev in the Bay
           | area compete with someone in India that would work for $10 an
           | hour with chatgpt?
           | 
           | Now that I write this, it's still a hard decision for big
           | companies.
        
             | dingnuts wrote:
             | just be patient and wait for the off shore contractor's
             | vibe coded shit pile to burst into flames and come in and
             | fix shit for a big premium while being able to communicate
             | with the customer during their preferred time zone and in
             | the local dialect.
             | 
             | simple.
        
               | coliveira wrote:
               | Most people cannot just wait around until this happens,
               | there are bills to pay.
        
               | aprilthird2021 wrote:
               | Most US devs are paying their bills. If you can't get a
               | job even freelancing, do something else instead of
               | waiting for the government to give you a handout job.
               | Millions and millions of US devs are worth their salary
               | over foreign ones (in fact many of those millions ARE
               | foreign devs where it was worth paying to bring them here
               | and paying them higher ages)
        
             | bcrosby95 wrote:
             | Same thing happened in the '90s...
             | 
             | I think what we're seeing is the fossilization of the
             | newest batch of mega tech companies looking to rest on
             | their laurels and prioritize profits over innovation.
             | 
             | They won't die, they are just the next IBM.
        
             | aprilthird2021 wrote:
             | Because just anyone in India won't work for $10/hr and
             | ChatGPT doesn't make any difference working in enormous big
             | tech codebases with all in-house technologies
        
       | vineyardmike wrote:
       | One thing that I haven't seen widely reported on, but this
       | article highlights is that the reversal is _only for US based
       | employees_ , so outsourcing jobs overseas will be more expensive
       | compared to American talent (if salaries are equal). This seems
       | good for the US tech industry, and I'm curious how this form
       | protectionism compares to jobs in other sectors.
       | 
       | It'll also be interesting to watch to see if this has any side-
       | effects on the job market. In my experience in big-tech, a lot of
       | the overseas jobs were historically supporting roles and "keep
       | the lights on" for legacy services. I can imagine these tasks
       | aren't valuable enough to pay Silicon Valley salaries, and that's
       | why lower cost talent was used. It'll be interesting to see if
       | these roles move to low-COL or remote American workers. I can
       | totally imagine that a European or even Indian salary for a
       | senior engineer in big tech would be livable in some parts of the
       | US.
        
         | aprilthird2021 wrote:
         | > It'll be interesting to see if these roles move to low-COL or
         | remote American workers. I can totally imagine that a European
         | or even Indian salary for a senior engineer in big tech would
         | be livable in some parts of the US.
         | 
         | I think they will, Indian salaries for the top top eng are
         | already comparable to decent eng from MCOL or LCOL US, so I
         | could see this happening.
        
         | jszymborski wrote:
         | > (if salaries are equal)
         | 
         | That's rarely the case, right?
        
           | mediaman wrote:
           | He's not saying it's only true when salaries are equal. It
           | makes a significant difference at the margin: if you're an
           | employer debating whether to employ US talent or offshore
           | talent, weighing time zones, skill and other factors against
           | cost, then introducing a tax advantage for domestic hiring
           | will cause those employers who were otherwise indifferent
           | between the two options to now prefer US labor.
        
             | lowbloodsugar wrote:
             | Only if the tax advantage more than offsets the difference
             | in cost.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | 5 vs 15 year - debatable.
               | 
               | Immediate vs 15 yr? - no where is _that_ cheap.
        
         | lbotos wrote:
         | > so outsourcing jobs overseas will be more expensive compared
         | to American talent (if salaries are equal).
         | 
         | I think this very much depends on how companies are
         | "outsourcing"/hiring.
         | 
         | Like, if the devs you are outsourcing to are delivering you a
         | "project-based app with ongoing support". Did you hire
         | "developers" or are you doing business with a development
         | company?
         | 
         | For many large tech cos, they also have local entities or PEOs,
         | where people working for Facebook work for Facebook Ireland, or
         | Facebook India.
         | 
         | So I'm not sure how much impact it has -- probably mostly for
         | smaller shops that might hire 1 guy directly in a different
         | country?
        
           | vineyardmike wrote:
           | > I think this very much depends on how companies are
           | "outsourcing"/hiring.
           | 
           | Yes and no. Obviously there are a million ways to do business
           | and taxes are really complex, but the law doesn't revolve
           | around actual salaries but "cost of software R&D" so this
           | still applies to hiring contractors and other companies if
           | the deliverable is software.
           | 
           | From the article:
           | 
           | > US companies making foreign software development-related
           | expenditures like hiring staff, or paying for contracts
           | abroad, are still mandated to be expensed over 15 years.
        
             | majormajor wrote:
             | The big impact here seems to be on new companies, then,
             | yeah?
             | 
             | Old established ones can absorb long-term expensing and
             | more likely to be in cost-savings mode anyway.
             | 
             | But if you're a startup you are more incentivized to keep
             | your development local. And I have seen a lot of near-
             | shore, in particular, shops adverting aimed startup/medium-
             | sized companies recently, so that might be significant.
        
             | sokoloff wrote:
             | In this case, is the US company making those foreign
             | software development-related expenditures?
             | 
             | Or are they engaging in an arms-length B2B transaction to
             | buy the finished product?
             | 
             | I suspect pretty strongly that the latter will be claimed
             | and upheld on the facts.
        
         | walterbell wrote:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44470230
         | 
         |  _> 15-year amort rule hurts your tax deduction, but 50 %+
         | lower offshore wages more than make up for it._
        
           | aprilthird2021 wrote:
           | Eh, Indian software wages are no longer 50%+ lower then MCOL
           | / LCOL US wages
        
         | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
         | _> In my experience in big-tech, a lot of the overseas jobs
         | were historically supporting roles and "keep the lights on" for
         | legacy services._
         | 
         | I know a couple of tech CEOs (very small services companies),
         | and they use offshore for _all_ development. They don 't have a
         | single US engineer; only project managers.
        
           | commandlinefan wrote:
           | > They don't have a single US engineer; only project
           | managers.
           | 
           | That's what I never understood... why not outsource the
           | project managers too? What is it about _project management_
           | that only onshore Americans can do? Whatever you think of
           | programming, project management is much easier than
           | programming.
        
             | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
             | ...and usually, cheaper.
             | 
             | I think the main reason is because the CEO wants someone
             | that they can grab in-person, at any time.
        
               | Ancalagon wrote:
               | And - if I'm being honest - the CEO doesn't need to
               | concern themselves with the time differential or language
               | barrier. Those are the PMs' problems.
        
             | heyjamesknight wrote:
             | PMs in service firms are usually client facing, or at least
             | client oriented. Having them native puts a native face on
             | the team and keeps the language/culture barrier inside the
             | firm.
        
           | JeffMcCune wrote:
           | These are effectively MSPs and perform the kind of role GP
           | describes.
        
           | aprilthird2021 wrote:
           | If it's very small services companies using offshore for all
           | development, they're not big tech at all
        
       | qkeast wrote:
       | Does the 15-year period for non-US developers only apply to
       | developers? What about roles like designers, product managers,
       | and so on?
        
         | semitones wrote:
         | The technical qualification is "everything that qualifies as
         | research and development"
        
           | jay_kyburz wrote:
           | I have this image in my head that R&D is some boffins in the
           | back room inventing a something new, and then expanding on
           | that idea is execution.
           | 
           | But "and development" covers everything we do in software
           | development. Whether you fix a bug or write some
           | documentation you are developing the product in some small
           | way.
           | 
           | I imagine some business will need to restructure so the US
           | arm is paying a service contract to use the software, and the
           | foreign arm will own and develop the software.
        
       | kevmo314 wrote:
       | > Companies have the choice to amortize salaries if they want.
       | 
       | I am curious, is there ever a time you would want this? Maybe if
       | you're operating at a loss?
        
         | alphazard wrote:
         | Unless you are speculating about tax policy, there is basically
         | no case where you would want to do this. Losses now are worth
         | more than losses later in terms of corporate tax. And if you
         | are a startup burning runway, you might not live long enough to
         | actualize the loss if you amortize it. From the perspective of
         | day-to-day operations: the software engineers need to get paid,
         | and that money has to come from somewhere, revenue, a loan, or
         | the bank account. It's very much not spread out over 5 years in
         | terms of your actual cash flow needs.
         | 
         | Typically businesses amortize large capital expenditures, and
         | this allows the business to appear profitable even when they
         | had a significant outbound cash flow. This is just something
         | they're allowed to do with accounting in the US. There's an
         | argument that you should take out a loan for situations like
         | this, because then the cash flow events will more closely match
         | the changing value of the business.
         | 
         | I would not try to make sense of it in terms of business
         | accounting, there's no deeper understanding of business to be
         | had. It's just politics; and it made it objectively harder for
         | startups with revenue to survive and grow.
        
           | kevmo314 wrote:
           | Interesting, that's about what I suspected. Makes sense
           | despite the absurdity, thanks!
        
         | analog31 wrote:
         | If your salaries exceed your sales by more than 5x, then it
         | makes sense to deduct only 1/5 of those salaries this year, and
         | save the rest of the deduction for later. That's in case your
         | business lasts another year.
         | 
         | It's not just that the company is operating at a loss, but it
         | has to be operating at a really big loss, such as a startup
         | with a high burn rate.
        
         | tonfa wrote:
         | iirc some companies (google?) had been doing that before
         | section 174 anyway. (which is why it imo isn't super convincing
         | to tie layoffs with section 174 rather than e.g. end of zirp)
         | 
         | ok I read it in https://blog.pragmaticengineer.com/section-174/
         | "Google: the tax change was minimal, because Google was
         | voluntarily amortizing software development expenses for most
         | staff, already."
        
           | kevmo314 wrote:
           | But why though? That post seems to leave it at
           | 
           | > After five years, there can even be tax benefits to this
           | kind of accounting.
           | 
           | without actually explaining what those benefits are. I'm
           | genuinely curious why one would choose to amortize.
        
       | mertleee wrote:
       | Watch them increase the H1b cap after this "win"...
        
       | mlsu wrote:
       | I'm really confused as to how Section 174 made it in in the first
       | place. It seems like a carveout specifically to target software
       | engineers, who, despite being a wealthy bloc, still work for
       | their money.
       | 
       | Why was this done? Simple vengeance in 2022 for how high salaries
       | got and how many silicon valley people were bragging about buying
       | a second house by the slopes? Or was there a deeper policy
       | reason?
        
         | vineyardmike wrote:
         | This law was written in 2017 not 2022.
         | 
         | The 2017 tax cuts were big cuts, but the way the government
         | budget process works, they want to minimize the "appearance" of
         | deficit spending across a decade window. To do this, added a
         | cliff in 2023 that would raise the taxes on tech companies to
         | help offset the cost of their cuts. Side effect is that the
         | next administration gets shitty economic news. Dec 2022 and
         | January 2023 had lots of crazy layoffs, right on schedule.
         | 
         | The reason it was tech companies specifically is that they're
         | super wealthy and could (ostensibly) afford it. If you'll
         | notice, the law exempted software development in oil and gas
         | companies. It doesn't hurt that tech companies and employees
         | leaned strongly democrat in 2017. The conspiracy theorist in me
         | thinks the tech companies accepted the 2022 hiring mania
         | knowing layoffs were eminent.
        
           | wunused wrote:
           | > Side effect is that the next administration gets shitty
           | economic news.
           | 
           | Doesn't this analysis assume that the 2017 administration
           | expected to lose the 2020 election?
           | 
           | I'm genuinely curious. What would have happened if Donald
           | Trump had won the 2020 election? Do you think that the 2022
           | changes would still have come into effect, or do you think
           | there would have been an effort to change them?
        
             | lazide wrote:
             | Trump was beating the 'stolen election' drum well before
             | the actual election. He definitely expected to lose.
             | 
             | That said, if he hadn't he could have just kicked the can
             | down the road.
             | 
             | It was a suckers bet for Biden to win, because any attempt
             | to change this (and there wasn't much) was going to get
             | blocked. Just like Afghanistan.
        
         | culi wrote:
         | Republicans needed to raise taxes to meet their own
         | reconciliation requirements in order to get the bill passed.
         | 
         | Simple as that. It's just raising random taxes to balance the
         | bill.
        
       | walterbell wrote:
       | _" Tell HN: Help restore the tax deduction for software dev in
       | the US (Section 174)"_, 900+ comments,
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44226145
       | 
       |  _" OBBB signed: Reinstates immediate expensing for U.S.-based
       | R&D"_, 300+ comments,
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44469124
        
       | froggertoaster wrote:
       | > The remaining thing that stings for companies is how foreign
       | devs still need to be amortized for 15 years.
       | 
       | I'm having a hard time seeing the issue with this.
        
         | eweise wrote:
         | Same.
        
         | mortenjorck wrote:
         | I had to wryly laugh when I read this framed as a bad thing.
         | This is _great_ news for American developers and product teams.
        
       | iooi wrote:
       | > The regulation especially hurt small businesses, bootstrapped
       | companies, and those making a small loss or profit.
       | 
       | How does this affect FAANGs?
        
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