[HN Gopher] Where is my von Braun wheel?
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Where is my von Braun wheel?
        
       Author : speckx
       Score  : 95 points
       Date   : 2025-07-03 13:44 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (angadh.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (angadh.com)
        
       | PaulHoule wrote:
       | (1) Assuming Starship makes it to orbit, it enables a range of
       | structures larger than the ISS but smaller than the O'Neill
       | colonies. A mission to Luna or Mars involves 12-20 launches of
       | fuel tankers, for the same cost you can put up a _lot_ of mass to
       | LEO. A really flashy space hotel seems practical, as would
       | simulation environments for Lunar, Mars and Asteroidal technology
       | development.
       | 
       | (2) O'Neill colonies with large airspaces seem impractical
       | because you'd need large amounts of nitrogen or some other inert
       | gas: you can find oxide rocks everywhere in space but pure oxygen
       | environments aren't safe. On the other hand, the atmosphere for
       | an LEO baby Bernal sphere would be about 15 Starship loads and
       | probably worth it for the visual appeal.
       | 
       | (3) The later work of O'Neill's students focused a lot on
       | manufacturing. The proposal to build large structures by vapor
       | deposition of metals onto a balloon still looks feasible. The
       | solar power satellites shrank considerably in mass and it seemed
       | that they could be built more practically from terrestrial
       | materials.
       | 
       | (4) _Any_ space colonization effort runs into the problem that it
       | needs to be self-sufficient in terms of manufacturing (especially
       | Mars) which led Eric Drexler to go off and develop his vision of
       | molecular assemblers. Drexler 's proposals haven't aged well but
       | something equivalent that combines 3-d printing with flow
       | chemistry, synthetic biology, fermentation and other technologies
       | is probably possible -- and I think _is_ the critical path. That
       | flashy space hotel, however, really is about rocketry and space
       | assembly of large structures which really is the unique
       | application of space manufacturing; I don 't think space
       | manufacturing can ever be competitive for the terrestrial market
       | but it can be competitive for things that can only be made in
       | space.
       | 
       | (5) Colonization of Ceres dominates all other space colonization
       | opportunities in the solar system because there is no shortage of
       | water and no shortage of nitrogen. It seems possible to take the
       | whole thing apart and build a colony with more floor space and a
       | larger population than Earth. You don't get the 0.2 cubic
       | kilometers of ocean that we get, but I think you can culture all
       | the fish you can eat anyway.
        
         | TMEHpodcast wrote:
         | Starship feels like the ultimate engineering gamble, so many
         | moving parts (literally) that getting it right might be as hard
         | as building the habitats it's meant to launch.
         | 
         | On nitrogen, I keep wondering: if in-space manufacturing
         | matured, couldn't we generate atmosphere by cracking water for
         | oxygen and synthesizing nitrogen analogues through hydrogen-
         | based pathways? Or is Earth's air mix so specific that
         | importing nitrogen stays unavoidable?
        
           | bryanlarsen wrote:
           | > the ultimate engineering gamble
           | 
           | It's a no-lose gamble though. If they fail we still end up
           | with SuperHeavy as a massive, cheaper Falcon like
           | architecture. If it succeeds, finally our space dreams can
           | start to be realized.
        
           | jitl wrote:
           | Where are you going to get the water? What makes water mass
           | cheaper to orbit compared to nitrogen mass?
        
             | TMEHpodcast wrote:
             | Closed-loop systems like on the ISS already reclaim water
             | from humidity, sweat, and urine, and could be scaled up for
             | larger habitats. Air works similarly: CO2 is scrubbed,
             | oxygen is regenerated from electrolysis, and trace gases
             | are filtered. I realize you still need an initial stock of
             | oxygen and nitrogen, but isn't this a problem that could be
             | solved eventually with science?
        
               | jitl wrote:
               | This is like saying "once we solve the problem, the
               | problem will be solved"
        
               | TMEHpodcast wrote:
               | Now you're speaking my language! Let's get started shall
               | we?
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | Hang out a big butterfly net and capture the dirty
             | snowballs that float past.
             | 
             | There have been lots of new releases of frozen water
             | discoveries on various bodies. Typically in craters that
             | pretty much stay in shadow. Water doesn't seem to be that
             | scarce. It's just not as abundant as on Earth
        
               | jitl wrote:
               | Going to the moon to get water and bring it back to earth
               | orbit is going to be much more expensive than sending
               | water from earth for a long time.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | The image of the really big mass driver that looks like a
               | train you get from O'Neill or Heinlein is obsolete.
               | 
               | The US Navy built a 2.5km/s railgun you could fit on a
               | ship. A 3.5 km/s coilgun has to look like the Paris gun
               | to be practical and be able to shoot at a high elevation
               | to hit Earth-Moon L1/L2 or near-Earth space. A railroad
               | car worth of material per day in 1kg or so increments
               | seems plausible. A radiation shield for a deep space
               | station or a simulated asteroid to test mining and
               | manufacturing technology might compete with terrestrial
               | materials.
               | 
               | O'Neill's students never came up with believable catcher
               | and I've yet to see one I like. I guess you could get to
               | LEO if you could aerobrake but it looks tough because the
               | outer atmosphere is always changing and a wild shot could
               | trash your target, talk about a space junk problem.
               | 
               | The moon has at best a large glacier on it and my guess
               | is Lunarians, if they could vote, would not want to
               | export a gram of it but rather incorporate it into a
               | circular economy.
        
             | schiffern wrote:
             | >What makes water mass cheaper to orbit compared to
             | nitrogen mass?
             | 
             | Nitrogen needs a high-pressure bottle which is wasted mass,
             | whereas water you can send to orbit in thin plastic and
             | fabric bags like they do on ISS.
             | 
             | Often on ISS they're actually shipping _oxygen as water_ ,
             | but still the wasted mass of water being 11% hydrogen plus
             | the wasted mass of the bag is more efficient than a high
             | pressure gas cylinder.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | For my baby Bernal sphere it is shipped either as LN2 or
               | NH4. The large airspace needs a lot of it compared to the
               | water inventory. O'Neill's published designs except for
               | the Stanford torus were much worse.
               | 
               | The water inventory of both N2 and H2O on Earth (0.2
               | cubic km of water per inhabitant) is extravagant. Ceres
               | is roughly 50% water (like the generic outer solar system
               | or interstellar object) and we could use all of it but it
               | adds up to about the mass of our oceans, and that is most
               | of the water inventory the asteroid belt.
               | 
               | I've looked at various large rotating structures up to
               | the size of the Banks Orbital and concluded you could
               | solve the structural problems if you could make a
               | reliable journal bearing (structural parts don't need to
               | be spun) that could handle the velocity difference but no
               | matter what you cannot afford tall mountains or deep
               | oceans.
        
               | schiffern wrote:
               | Agreed, liquid is probably the way to go.
               | 
               | Very tempting to swap nitrogen for helium, but AIUI the
               | main downsides are that the speed of sound is higher so
               | air will leak out from a breach faster, and there may be
               | negative effects on flammability due to helium's high
               | thermal conductivity and low specific heat.
        
               | hotshiitake wrote:
               | Probably a naive question but would it possible for us to
               | skim gasses from LEO for use in space stations?
        
               | 05 wrote:
               | Putting aside issues with capturing basically vacuum at
               | 8km/s, by doing that you're going to lose impulse that
               | you're going to have to regain, spending more mass in
               | fuel+oxidizer than you gained in gathered gases, unless
               | you use ion propulsion (which ISS doesn't). Also most of
               | what you're going to capture at 400km is going to be
               | atomic oxygen and helium, N2/N share is only a couple
               | percentage points at that altitude.. [0]
               | 
               | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heterosphere
        
               | wildzzz wrote:
               | We already built LOX tanks into rockets. Just send up a
               | tank of LN2. It doesn't need the strength of a bottle,
               | you just need thermally insulating materials which can be
               | very light.
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | Starship to LEO is technologically conservative -- it's hard
           | for me to believe that something like that couldn't be made
           | to work. The uncertainty is that there's not a big market
           | right now for launching things that size but the hope is that
           | the low cost creates the market and maybe Starlink bootstraps
           | it. If it succeeds as an LEO cargo hauler it can be
           | successful without getting man rated or perfecting refueling.
           | 
           | Refueling to go father is technically risky and the
           | performance often not that exciting. If you aren't able to
           | refuel on the Moon, Starship lands and returns roughly 3.5
           | tons, not better than the Apollo LEM which a much larger
           | vehicle that is tall and tippy -- landing on inner solar
           | system bodies that it is covered with boulders.
           | 
           | Now it might make sense to put a full load of cargo on it,
           | leave it on the Moon and use it as living space, storage
           | tanks or something, but that's not the plan right now.
           | Refueling on the Moon looks tough: water on the moon looks
           | like a good bet, if we're lucky we find frozen carbon sources
           | at the poles or in asteroid residues on the surface [1], but
           | a hydrogen-oxygen rocket looks like a surer thing.
           | 
           | As for alternatives to local nitrogen there is: (1) producing
           | it by nuclear processes which looks tough and (2) various
           | other alternative breathing gases such as Argon, Helium, SF6,
           | etc.
           | 
           | [1] Not clear though if we want to spend any of those on
           | reaction mass or incorporate them in a circular economy.
           | Actual colonists would see it differently than flatlanders.
           | (See _The Moon is a Harsh Mistress_ and _The Martian Way_ )
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | > The uncertainty is that there's not a big market right
             | now for launching things that size
             | 
             | Is that true? It seems like there have been the want of
             | lifting large payloads that must be shrunk to fit the
             | actual launch capabilities. This usually means sacrificing
             | so the thing that is launched is not what was really wanted
             | originally. I think the market is there and just waiting
             | for the thing to work.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | You may be right. The fact is that Falcon 9 was aimed
               | straight at a huge market. So far SpaceX has been
               | brilliantly successful when it has focused on immediate
               | commercial markets.
               | 
               | When it comes to things like space telescopes, a cheap
               | 100 tons to LEO would change the paradigm of how things
               | are developed completely. When it comes to deep space
               | missions that are a one way trip it's not clear Starship
               | does better than something like the SLS which was cost
               | optimized (see big dumb booster)
               | 
               | The way Starship is being developed, with failure being
               | very much an option, could get to LEO with cost
               | optimizations. Mars is a different animal --- if takes 10
               | tries to stick a landing you're going to wait 25 years.
               | 
               | The key problem of deep space colonization or
               | exploitation is the long turnaround time. I did an
               | unpublished study of the problem of turning asteroids
               | into solar sails and concluded that it would be
               | impossible if you disn't have a physical twin in space
               | near the Earth to teat anything (like fixes to problems)
               | that needs testing. The problem of landing Starship
               | without chopsticks could be tested exhaustively at White
               | Sands, for instance.
        
               | schiffern wrote:
               | Off topic but FYI I tried to sign up for your newsletter
               | from the Ontology2 homepage and got the following error
               | (iOS/Safari):                 403 ERROR            The
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               | method that was used for this request. The distribution
               | supports only cachable requests. We can't connect to the
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               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | Thanks for heads up. That site was part of a serious
               | marketing effort when I was trying to start something up
               | and I haven't really thought about it in years. The home
               | page made sense at the exact time I made it but is a bit
               | of a non-sequitor now. I've got to get a lot of my notes
               | published there.
        
               | schiffern wrote:
               | Thanks, looking forward to whatever. As a fellow nerd
               | with similar interests I literally "want to subscribe to
               | your newsletter" lol. Cheers.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | Immediate term you should just send me an email to get in
               | touch.
        
               | schiffern wrote:
               | Email sent, thank again.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | > something like the SLS which was cost optimized
               | 
               | If SLS is "cost optimized", I shudder to think what a
               | non-cost optimized rocket would look like. One launch a
               | year at $2.5B a pop?
        
               | meepmorp wrote:
               | optimized to cost a lot
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | "Like SLS" in that it is a huge expendable booster, not
               | "Like SLS" in terms of development process.
               | 
               | This book
               | 
               | https://www.amazon.com/Shuttle-History-Developing-
               | National-T...
               | 
               | has wonderful illustrations of many of the hundreds of
               | designs they considered before settling on what was to be
               | the Space Shuttle and also talks about late 1980s studies
               | that considered various ways of putting together Space
               | Shuttle parts to make different vehicles (say a big-ass
               | orbiter with more engines, a bigger ET and more SRBs) The
               | hope was that you could reuse the development work that
               | went into Space Shuttle parts but it seemed like anything
               | you made out of Space Shuttle parts was unaffordable no
               | matter what you tried.
               | 
               | You could certainly develop parts that are cheaper on a
               | per unit basis but would it be worth developing them for
               | the number you would make?
               | 
               | The US doesn't really have an attractive answer to
               | getting to the moon or for aggressive deep space
               | missions, Starship doesn't look great. Growing up in the
               | 1980s I read the "Science Fact" columns in Analog Science
               | Fiction magazine and was told that NASA sold us out and
               | we could have had a much more intensive lunar program but
               | really the architecture Apollo used was brilliant and
               | much more achievable than everything else they
               | considered.
        
               | avmich wrote:
               | > The US doesn't really have an attractive answer to
               | getting to the moon or for aggressive deep space
               | missions, Starship doesn't look great.
               | 
               | Starship is almost an assisted single stage to orbit
               | (ASSTO), the first stage gives rather modest part of
               | total characteristic velocity.
               | 
               | This allows the second stage, Starship, to have a lot of
               | delta-v. I guess it was optimized for Mars operations.
               | Yes, Starship requires refueling for any flight away from
               | Earth orbit, but instead it packs significant delta-v, so
               | sending large payloads away from Earth - after refueling
               | - becomes easier. That includes Mars, Moon, asteroids,
               | the rest of Solar system.
               | 
               | I think this makes Starship design rather good.
        
           | boznz wrote:
           | Hard challenges are good and setbacks are to be expected if
           | you are pushing every limit. I would love to be on such a
           | fast moving team with such a massive payoff if they succeed.
        
         | lukan wrote:
         | "(5) Colonization of Ceres dominates all other space
         | colonization opportunities in the solar system because there is
         | no shortage of water and no shortage of nitrogen."
         | 
         | What about gravity?
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | Rotation. You don't live on the surface but you build a
           | beanstalk and build a big framework of small O'Neill's
           | cylinders. See
           | 
           | https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.07487
           | 
           | I'd say this paper thoroughly debunks all other space
           | colonization plans in comparison. For instance it is not
           | sustainable to use rockets for routine transformation. The
           | moon doesn't have enough volatiles. Who knows if gravity on
           | the Martian surface is enough to be healthy.
           | 
           | Even if you could take, say, Mercury, apart it would be silly
           | to build a 'Dyson swarm' but rather you would build a big
           | framework like that or a 'Dyson foam' (e.g. if you took
           | Mercury apart and turned it into a solar collecting structure
           | 1m thick you could capture enough energy to make a few tons
           | of antimatter a second for interstellar travel)
        
         | perihelions wrote:
         | Ceres is very far away orbitally. It's three times further than
         | Mars, but also has no braking atmosphere or gravity. If you
         | send a payload to Ceres, that payload has 5 km/s of relative
         | velocity that can only be zeroed out with rocket propulsion.
         | (That's a lot).
         | 
         | It's not coincidence the first Ceres orbiter was also a
         | flagship prototype for advanced electric propulsion. It's a
         | deceptively remote target.
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | Granted. I don't see it as a Muskian "send 10,000,000 people
           | and keep sending them supplies" kind of thing but rather
           | "send 100 people, 1,000,000 eggs and the closest thing to a
           | Drexler machine that we can make" kind of thing. The latter
           | is what I think the BoM for a successful Mars colony looks
           | like too.
        
             | tim333 wrote:
             | I'd imagine, given the rate of progress with AI and robots,
             | the most practical would be to send robots ahead and have
             | them build the infrastructure for some people to maybe
             | visit later?
        
         | jandrese wrote:
         | I had a back of the napkin design that was basically a sleeve
         | that fitted over Starship and could be launched into orbit.
         | Those sleeves had angled ends that could then be bolted
         | together in orbit to make a station with an octagon shape that
         | could be spun at 2 or 3 rpm to get 1/2 Earth gravity. Obviously
         | still an enormous engineering challenge, but one that I think
         | is solvable using today's tech. Well, tomorrows tech, but
         | nothing that requires a breakthrough in materials science or
         | basic physics or anything like that.
         | 
         | My plan was to fit the inside with huge water bags that would
         | help to reduce cosmic radiation, provide thermal mass, and slow
         | any micrometeorites that puncture the hull. The water could be
         | launched on cheaper rockets and transferred in orbit. The water
         | could also be pumped between sections to keep the wheel
         | balanced. The central hub area would be more of a challenge,
         | probably having to be assembled (or at least unfolded) in
         | orbit.
         | 
         | Probably the biggest downside is that you wouldn't be able to
         | spin it up until the entire structure was somewhat balanced,
         | which means installing things like solar panels and radiators
         | in pairs and the docking bit of the central hub would probably
         | need to be on bearings so it can counter rotate to be
         | effectively stationary or you wouldn't be able to dock more
         | than 2 spacecraft at a time. The ISS was built in sections over
         | the course of decades, this would need to be built all in one
         | go, which is a huge commitment.
         | 
         | NASA's plans for two tethered stations (or one station and a
         | counterweight) are probably more feasible, but much less cool.
        
         | mr_toad wrote:
         | > large amounts of nitrogen or some other inert gas
         | 
         | You could ship liquid ammonia and then burn it to produce
         | nitrogen and water.
        
       | bryanlarsen wrote:
       | Long term zero gravity experience and experiments were very
       | important information for future space flight. Now we know a lot
       | more about the muscle atrophy, bone loss, and vision problems
       | that the author complains of. Having the first space station be
       | zero-g was probably the right move.
       | 
       | But for the second one, more information on artificial gravity
       | through centripetal force makes a lot of sense.
        
         | lupusreal wrote:
         | The problem is the ISS wasn't the first station and we already
         | knew zero-g fucks people up long before the ISS was built.
         | Building the ISS anyway so we can waste more time studying the
         | minutia of exactly how badly and quickly it fucks people up was
         | a mistake. In truth the ISS exists for political reasons, not
         | because it was a sound investment from a science and research
         | perspective.
        
           | bryanlarsen wrote:
           | Congratulations, your alternate history has delayed Mars
           | colonization by several decades.
           | 
           | Because of the ISS we know that stays of greater than 12
           | months in zero gravity have real but minor impacts on the
           | human body. So 3-4 month trips to Mars in zero-g are
           | feasible.
           | 
           | If we assume they aren't, those trips would be far more
           | resource intensive.
        
             | lupusreal wrote:
             | We didn't learn any of that from the ISS which we didn't
             | already know from Salyut 6 and 7, and Mir. The ISS, aka Mir
             | 2, hasn't taught us anything new. The reason it exists is
             | because decades ago, for a few years, manned space stations
             | made sense for orbital reconnaissance because putting
             | unmanned cameras in space was complicated. Salyut and MOL
             | were born from this transient strategic necessity. Unmanned
             | recon satellites soon became practical though, so MOL was
             | canceled but the Soviets carried on with Salyut because if
             | there was anything they were good at, it was continuing to
             | make something long after anybody else would have canceled
             | it. Even when they did get recon satellites they did it
             | with Vostok capsules, they never stopped making those after
             | launching Yuri Gragarin in one. They just kept on making
             | them because they were already tooled up for it, finding
             | new excuses to keep making the same old stuff. And so it
             | was with Salyut, the program was obsolete for orbital
             | reconnaissance but they were already making them so they
             | kept at it, turning it into a national prestige program.
             | Mir was a direct descendant of it, built around the DOS-7
             | module which was a Salyut module with 6 docking ports
             | instead of the two on DOS-6. It never had a good reason for
             | existing besides Soviet politics. (By the way, Skylab never
             | had a good reason for existing either, just politics. NASA
             | trying to hold onto their funding as Apollo was wound
             | down.)
             | 
             | The ISS is nothing more than Mir 2, built around the DOS-8
             | module, it's a Salyut with American funding because this
             | time America wanted to keep the Russian space program
             | solvent to make it harder for Iran/etc to recruit that
             | Soviet talent. And because NASA likes long term projects
             | that require around the clock staffing because that's great
             | for budgets and careers. That's why the ISS exists.
             | 
             | Also we aren't going to Mars. Sorry. A lot of _individuals_
             | are passionate about that but at an organization level
             | there is no drive for it. NASA likes to use the talk of it
             | for fundraising but never makes progress on it and Congress
             | won 't ever greenlight it, and SpaceX uses it to keep their
             | employee moral up but all they are _demonstrably_ working
             | towards is being the king of launching satellites. The only
             | money to be made in space is with stuff pointed at Earth.
             | There is no economic case for Mars colonization. It 's not
             | happening. I wish it weren't so because I'm a sci-fi junky,
             | but it is what it is.
        
               | avmich wrote:
               | > We didn't learn any of that from the ISS which we
               | didn't already know from Salyut 6 and 7, and Mir. The
               | ISS, aka Mir 2, hasn't taught us anything new.
               | 
               | I doubt that. ISS served in space longer than Mir and
               | Salyut-7 combined, I would expect it to run more
               | experiments and get more data - especially as the
               | equipment is more modern and experiments are planned with
               | the benefit of knowledge of the previous works.
        
               | lupusreal wrote:
               | The amount of time the station spends in orbit isn't
               | relevant, the amount of time a person spends in orbit for
               | an unbroken stretch is what's relevant. Three of the top
               | five spaceflight duration records were set on Mir,
               | including the top two (437 days and 379 days.) Nobody
               | even thinks of getting close to that top Mir record
               | anymore because it is already known that it fucks people
               | up.
        
               | avmich wrote:
               | > The amount of time the station spends in orbit isn't
               | relevant,
               | 
               | The people on ISS were doing a multitude of scientific
               | programs during that long time. That's important.
        
               | notahacker wrote:
               | There are microgravity experiments run in the ISS _other_
               | than  "how much does microgravity atrophy the human
               | body?"
        
             | lupusreal wrote:
             | _And another thing:_
             | 
             | We still have no idea what long term stays in Martian or
             | even Lunar gravity does to a human body. We don't know
             | because we have spent the past half a century fucking
             | around with useless zero-g space stations instead of
             | building von Braun wheels which could easily be used to
             | simulate those conditions. Because forget about Mars
             | colonization, merely finding the political willpower to do
             | something as conceptually simple as _spinning in space_ is
             | evidently impossible for us.
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | The simulation would be flawed. Von Braun wheels would
               | have very significant Coriolis effects, so it'd be hard
               | to distinguish whether any issues are due to reduced
               | gravity or the Coriolis effects.
        
               | lupusreal wrote:
               | Bone density and muscle loss effects shouldn't be
               | significantly effected by coriolis effects. Such effects
               | may likely cause nausea in many people, but it is very
               | likely that test subjects who can adapt to it and live
               | comfortably during the period of study could be found.
        
               | PlunderBunny wrote:
               | My very rusty physics tells me that walking one way along
               | the inside of the wheel would make you weigh less, and
               | the other way would make you weigh more - is this what
               | you're referring to? Would trying to work 'normally' in
               | this kind of situation induce nausea, or make your food
               | fall off your tray etc? It would be a shame if you went
               | to all the effort to make a Von Braun wheel in space to
               | simulate gravity, only to find that you had to stand
               | still to do anything practical.
               | 
               | (I assume the astronauts in 2001 A Space Odyssey jogged
               | in the direction that made themselves weigh more, to make
               | their workout more intense.)
        
               | cubefox wrote:
               | In several decades of zero-g research, they didn't even
               | manage to put a few mice up to see whether they could
               | successfully reproduce without gravity. Are they afraid
               | of the results?
               | 
               | It would be embarrassing if the mouse babies come out
               | crippled, even if it doesn't immediately generalize to
               | humans and the low-g environment of Mars.
        
       | rich_sasha wrote:
       | > Made from soft materials, like rubber and nylon, there were
       | concerns that collisions with micrometeorites could puncture the
       | station with fatal outcomes.
       | 
       | I fixed many an inner tube punctures, but I'd rather not be
       | blowing at glue while my precious oxygen is hissing out towards
       | outer space!
        
         | dylan604 wrote:
         | Just send up a case of Flex Seal. Maybe the spreadable version
         | instead of a spray on version. Not sure what zero-G would do to
         | an aerosol can like that.
        
           | craig_s_bell wrote:
           | Even better: Make the entire structure out of Flex Seal.
        
         | tokai wrote:
         | I bet something like tubeless sealant could be utilized for
         | automatic sealing.
        
         | XorNot wrote:
         | I mean, tapered rubber bung stoppers are a commonly used
         | technology in day to day life...
        
       | abe94 wrote:
       | Great read,
       | 
       | One question i've had is if its given that we care about making
       | humans space faring, why focus on getting to new planets and
       | colonisation and not instead on building the massive
       | megastructures mentioned in the article as an end in itself?
        
       | pimlottc wrote:
       | > Popularised by von Braun in his 1949 sci-fi novel, Project Mars
       | 
       | Von Braun's novel was written in 1949 but wasn't published until
       | 2006. Perhaps the author means the technical appendix "The Mars
       | Project" [0] which was published in 1952, which spawned a series
       | of articles [1] in the popular magazine Collier's from 1952 to
       | 1954.
       | 
       | 0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Mars_Project
       | 
       | 1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Man_Will_Conquer_Space_Soon!
        
       | aidenn0 wrote:
       | What about an "I" (or H if your font is sans-serif) shaped
       | system? Like the Vast "stick" but with two sticks attached to the
       | end. Seems like that would multiply the livable area by a much
       | greater factor than it would multiply the number of launches. If
       | I understand correctly the Vast is already a multi-launch system,
       | so it seems like the obvious change.
        
         | schiffern wrote:
         | If you can tolerate +/- 5% gravity level (which should be
         | doable), instead of a stick for the habitable area you can
         | rearrange the modules into a more compact blob, which should
         | reduce radiation shielding. In LEO it doesn't really matter but
         | it's more important in deep space.
         | 
         | I sometimes hear this called a "barbell" design.
        
       | Someone wrote:
       | > For example, one of von Braun's designs called for a massive 75
       | metre diameter wheel
       | 
       | That's a radius of about 5% of the length of a human body, so I
       | guess we would soon find out how humans react to living in an
       | environment where 'gravity' at eye height is about 5% lower than
       | at toe height or do we already know something about that?
        
         | lupusreal wrote:
         | Some people would lose their lunch, but that's nothing new for
         | space flight. It's just a _much_ more mellow version of classic
         | carnival rides.
        
           | Someone wrote:
           | I know it's nothing vs a rollercoaster, but people don't
           | regularly spend 24 x 7 in rollercoasters.
        
             | silverquiet wrote:
             | Not regularly, but there have been contests to see how long
             | people will stay on a rollercoaster. Speaking from some
             | experience, after you've gone around a few times, it can
             | actually get rather boring.
        
       | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
       | The unitized concepts were proposed by people who didn't know the
       | microprocessor, sophisticated electronic control systems, and
       | compact robotics would be developed in the future. Furthermore,
       | what rocket was going to launch that six cylinder monstrosity?
        
         | Avshalom wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NERVA had already been in
         | development for several years by 1961.
         | 
         | Project Orion had been proposed as early as '46.
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | All the things worth doing in space turned out to be do-able
       | without humans. Telescopes, radio relays, etc. The ISS doesn't
       | really have much of a mission. Here's the list of current ISS
       | experiments.[1] Many are aimed at the problems of keeping humans
       | alive long term without gravity.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.nasa.gov/mission/station/research-
       | explorer/searc...
        
         | avmich wrote:
         | The was a long discussion about benefits of human space
         | exploration. A comparison was made between that and basic
         | science: just like the basic science doesn't bring immediate
         | benefits, so do humans in space. However over long periods of
         | time both could prove to be worthwhile.
        
         | Galxeagle wrote:
         | I like thinking about the ISS as primarily engineering (and
         | operational) experiments rather than hard science. As a space
         | platform, it's provided learning on how to contract private
         | companies for space flights, and in turn, how they should
         | operate, plan, etc. Or how to do internationally coordinated
         | space operations. All of the work it takes to mature a new tech
         | to a 7,8, or 9 on the NASA Technology Readiness Level[0] while
         | Curiosity and Ingenuity and other long-distance (and JPL)
         | missions focus on the hard science of 1's and 2's.
         | 
         | That said, I too think the main value of ISS declined several
         | years ago or more. Looking forward to the next generation,
         | whatever it is
         | 
         | [1] https://www.nasa.gov/directorates/somd/space-
         | communications-...
        
       | kleiba wrote:
       | Quick OT question to any treckies out here: how is artificial
       | gravity generated on Starfleet vessels?
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | By magical techno-babble.
        
         | Hemospectrum wrote:
         | Wizards wave their hands and say something like, "Whatever,
         | space is an ocean."
         | 
         | The Expanse makes the observation that accelerating your ship
         | at a substantial fraction (or multiple) of Earth gravity gives
         | you that same degree of artificial gravity, only, you have to
         | orient your decks the right way. Down is towards the engine.
         | 
         | Of course, this in turn makes Star Trek (and Star Wars, and
         | Firefly...) look even sillier, because flying in a direction
         | perpendicular to your deck layout means you need _two_ magic
         | gravity fields -- one to cancel out the engines and one more to
         | give your crew a place to stand.
        
           | actionfromafar wrote:
           | To be fair, in Star Trek only thrusters etc seem to generate
           | force vectors, and the thrusters seem able to accelerate the
           | ship in any direction. Only the warp drive seems to fling the
           | ship just "forward". But yeah, it's wizard retcon turtles all
           | the way down...
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | Thrusters and impulse engines seem to generate force
             | vectors, and warp drive _usually_ doesn 't but the
             | continuity is not very strong on that point and it is
             | sometimes implied, and at one point in Voyager fairly
             | explicitly stated to create accelerations (in Voyager, this
             | was in reference to requiring the inertial dampeners to be
             | functioning to go to warp without plastering the crew into
             | a thin paste on the wall.)
        
           | dragonwriter wrote:
           | > Of course, this in turn makes Star Trek (and Star Wars, and
           | Firefly...) look even sillier, because flying in a direction
           | perpendicular to your deck layout means you need two magic
           | gravity fields -- one to cancel out the engines and one more
           | to give your crew a place to stand.
           | 
           | Don't you just need one that does the required net change in
           | gravity magnitude and direction? Of course, Star Trek
           | actually has two (though I don't think the second is
           | explicitly a gravity system, but it has that effect), a
           | relatively steady state one that provides environmental
           | gravity (gravity generators), and one that reacts rapidly to
           | changing conditions to offset them for crew and other
           | contents of the ship (inertial dampeners), which handles not
           | only ship's drive thrust, but other externally-induced
           | accelerations.
           | 
           | Of course, Star Trek is supposed to be vastly farther from
           | our current level of technology and understanding of physics
           | than the Expanse.
        
           | mr_toad wrote:
           | They wouldn't need to stand if they had chairs with belts.
        
         | XorNot wrote:
         | I have no idea why people pose these questions about fictional
         | properties. They're fictional. If the fiction says gravplating
         | exists and works very well, then hey, there's your answer.
         | 
         | Might as well ask why going to warp doesn't turn the crw into a
         | fine paste on the nearest back wall, much like the fly that got
         | fired as part of an artillery shell during the WW2 development
         | of proximity fuses.
        
       | glitchc wrote:
       | The first and best place to build a permanent station is the
       | moon. The wheel could spin on the surface at a very low rpm given
       | the Moon's existing gravity, giving us the launchpad need to
       | build and deploy a permanent space station.
       | 
       | Until we settle on the moon, our forays into space will always be
       | limited by pesky things such as Earth's gravity and atmosphere.
        
         | apples_oranges wrote:
         | Wait would this even work? Can you add moon gravity to
         | centrifugal space station gravity? I can't imagine a setup
         | where the wheel is always pushing inhabitants out in such a way
         | that they are moved towards the center of the moon.
        
           | avmich wrote:
           | Yes, you add accelerations as vectors. Say, a centrifugal
           | ring flatly lays on the Moon surface and rotates (around the
           | axis of ring symmetry perpendicular to the ring plane) so
           | that the artificial gravity on the centrifuge is about Earth.
           | Moon gravity, about 1.42 m/s^2 , adds perpendicularly to
           | that, so the total gravity is still about the Earth one. The
           | level surface on the centrifuge is slightly tilted away from
           | local vertical, but in essence you just added Moon gravity,
           | vectorally, to the rotational acceleration.
        
         | cosmic_cheese wrote:
         | I am fully in favor of doing things on the moon, but have a
         | theory that its relative convenience is actually detrimental.
         | Without going into a lengthy spiel, convenience means low
         | commitment, which translates into a high likelyhood of projects
         | getting the plug pulled.
         | 
         | Elsewhere, the hurdles to clear to get something started are
         | higher, but once you're out there it's a lot less justifiable
         | to reverse course.
         | 
         | It could very well be true that it's necessary to settle the
         | Moon before doing anything else, though, which could spell bad
         | news for any endeavor involving crewed spaceflight. We might
         | end up with a series of false starts on the Moon (due to events
         | like funding getting pulled as a result of changing politcal
         | winds) that end up going nowhere which then puts crewed
         | spaceflight in a state where it's stuck in LEO perpetually.
        
       | dan-robertson wrote:
       | People begin from the premise that there should be lots of
       | primates living away from earth, and then work backwards from
       | there. I don't think governments should be paying so much for
       | such activities.
       | 
       | In my opinion it is not a good use of public money relative to
       | other space projects, and crude missions to mars would likely
       | destroy any hope of finding life there should it have existed,
       | making them actively harmful.
       | 
       | It seems sometimes that for NASA, the big goal is to have a large
       | source of steady funding is the goal, and a space station is the
       | best way to get that (hence the insane space station in the lunar
       | mission plan). I get some vague impression that politicians like
       | talking about missions to the moon or mars more than space
       | stations, telescopes or probes.
        
         | avmich wrote:
         | > People begin from the premise that there should be lots of
         | primates living away from earth, and then work backwards from
         | there.
         | 
         | No, people begin with interest in all things around them and
         | from that conclude that being closer to them would be more
         | convenient. This idea is perhaps as old as the human race
         | itself.
         | 
         | Modern robots aren't as capable as humans, so if the project is
         | big enough, human involvement is reasonable.
        
       | cubefox wrote:
       | The article mentions that the inflatable Goodyear torus has
       | become much more realistic since the inflatable BEAM module
       | (2016) on the ISS. That one has a volume of 16m^3.
       | 
       | But since then, Sierra Space has been working on much larger
       | inflatable modules. Their latest test volume was already 285 m^3:
       | 
       | https://www.theverge.com/2024/7/25/24206219/nasa-sierra-spac...
       | 
       | According to the report, Sierra wants to move to testing a 500
       | cubic meter volume this year. And the roadmap on their website
       | lists two further habitats with volumes of 1400 and 5000 cubic
       | meters:
       | 
       | https://www.sierraspace.com/commercial-space-stations/life-s...
       | 
       | That would already be pretty close to the 6000 m^3 von Braun
       | wheel mentioned in the original article. Though Sierra doesn't
       | seem to plan for creating something like the flexible Goodyear
       | torus which could rotate, just pill-shaped inflatable capsules.
       | Not sure whether this has technical reasons.
        
       | PicassoCTs wrote:
       | Could a automated factory melt moon regolith into ringsegments,
       | which are then send into moon orbit, assembled and spun up? So
       | far the problem seems to be the launch cost with heavier, durable
       | materials, or m i misunderstanding the problem?
        
       | jauntywundrkind wrote:
       | It's crazy what we are doing with inflatables. Cargo ships with
       | huge inflatable wing sails. The luxury catamaran MODX is bringing
       | that down in size too. https://www.yachtingworld.com/news/modx-
       | first-look-dual-infl...
       | 
       | In space, NASA worked with Sierra Space to test their 300 cubic
       | meter "Orbital Reef". The next go.is supposedly 500 m^3, about
       | half the ISS size. Still seems way to small to spin though, I'd
       | guess? Lockheed has their own inflatable hab station too.
       | https://www.nasa.gov/humans-in-space/commercial-space/leo-ec...
       | 
       | China launched and tested some kind of inflatable, just last
       | fall. https://spacenews.com/china-quietly-tested-its-first-
       | inflata...
       | 
       | It seems like an obvious & amazing unmaterial leap, versus
       | needing metal walls. If it works! Very fun having this history of
       | rings post. Feels a little light on where we are though, what of
       | promise _is_ happening!
        
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