[HN Gopher] Scientists Retrace 30k-Year-Old Sea Voyage, in a Hol...
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       Scientists Retrace 30k-Year-Old Sea Voyage, in a Hollowed-Out Log
        
       Author : benbreen
       Score  : 38 points
       Date   : 2025-06-25 22:29 UTC (4 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nytimes.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nytimes.com)
        
       | raincom wrote:
       | https://archive.is/TzZZB
        
       | flowmerchant wrote:
       | Some might think why have the females in a physically exhausting
       | endurance effort? In a canoe, females lower center of gravity
       | helps tremendously. And for many hours of continuous paddling,
       | often males will have mental break down before the females. The
       | Texas Water Safari is an endurance canoe race starting in San
       | Marcos, similar to this crossing with regards to duration, effort
       | required. The winning boat this year had two females. Ask any
       | racer in that comparator, they will agree with regards to the
       | anatomy and mental differences with regards to men and women.
        
         | rob_c wrote:
         | I'm not denying your chosen cherry picked example, but at what
         | level is that biased by looking to support an argument?
         | 
         | Most triathlons are probably won by men and global exploratory
         | voyages were first accomplished by men...
         | 
         | Not saying your wrong I'm asking what I'm missing?
        
           | MangoToupe wrote:
           | > global exploratory voyages were first accomplished by
           | men...
           | 
           | This assumption seems strange. How do you think polynesians
           | spread without both men and women?
           | 
           | If you're referring to the european age of exploration, they
           | weren't rowing much at that point, rendering sex mostly
           | irrelevant.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | once they get there they go back and return with women
             | would be a reasonable guess. All a guess though as AFAIK we
             | have no idea why they left or who was on the initial trips,
             | only that eventually they made it
        
         | abeppu wrote:
         | The actual article from the researchers discusses their
         | choices:
         | 
         | > The boat was paddled by a mixed team consisting of four men
         | (paddlers) and one woman (steerer), without replacement by
         | other paddlers on the way. The inclusion of both men and women
         | is essential because our focus is ancient migration, not men's
         | adventure. An unstable, round-bottomed dugout required skilled
         | paddlers to control it on the open sea. Furthermore, because
         | this type of boat does not travel in a straight direction but
         | instead snakes its way, the skill of the steerer is crucial for
         | optimizing its performance. Considering these factors, we
         | invited professional and semi-professional sea kayakers as the
         | paddlers and steerer.
         | 
         | And ... this wasn't a race? Perhaps 5 women could have gotten
         | there faster, but speed wasn't the primary goal.
         | 
         | I don't know anything about paddle sports specifically, but I
         | have seen a discussion about sex differences in performance in
         | other endurance sports, and one important distinction is that
         | women as a group can have average pace times that are faster
         | than men as a group, even when most of the outright winners are
         | men.
         | 
         | https://archive.is/5nx7X#selection-4259.0-4259.255
         | 
         | https://trainright.com/women-faster-than-men-ultramarathon/
        
           | lostlogin wrote:
           | If you look at longer distances, women seem to perform better
           | than men. Ultra endurance sports is where you see this.
           | 
           | https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2024/dec/30/the-
           | lon...
        
             | abeppu wrote:
             | That's literally not what that soecific article says:
             | 
             | > While men still hold the edge, women's rapid progress
             | suggests a future where they may outperform men in extreme
             | endurance events.
        
             | yzydserd wrote:
             | This claim, and study which underpins the claims, was
             | covered on the BBC More or Less Podcast last year. One of
             | the main problems with the stat is that in ultramarathons
             | there are very few women, but those that do enter are
             | typically professional ultra-athletes, not "have a go"
             | females. Whereas the field contains many "have a go" men
             | who are less professional and less fit than the
             | professional ultra-athlete men.
             | 
             | https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p0hg2764 (9 minute
             | episode).
        
             | jeffrallen wrote:
             | [delayed]
        
           | thaumasiotes wrote:
           | > I have seen a discussion about sex differences in
           | performance in other endurance sports, and one important
           | distinction is that women as a group can have average pace
           | times that are faster than men as a group, even when most of
           | the outright winners are men.
           | 
           | Why is that important? Unless the runners are conscripted
           | into the race, it's not telling you anything about women or
           | men.
           | 
           | Your second link notes this explicitly:
           | 
           | >> What the data actually means is that after 195 miles the
           | average pace of all women competing is better than the
           | average pace of all the men competing. Why is this the case?
           | Math and demographics (not physiology and toughness). In any
           | athletic user group, the early adopters are also higher
           | performers. Take the people who pioneered skateboarding, or
           | adventure racing as an example. Those early adopters were
           | good at the sport they were trying to push the boundaries. As
           | a sport becomes more and more popular, the number of non-
           | elites grows much faster than the number of elites.
           | Therefore, even though the best times and performances
           | improve (by way of a course or world record) the average
           | times get worse. Ultrarunning is no different.
        
             | abeppu wrote:
             | > Why is that important? Unless the runners are conscripted
             | into the race, it's not telling you anything about women or
             | men
             | 
             | It's not saying something about _all_ men or women. If you
             | did try to work with a random sample wouldn't you mainly
             | find that almost all people of both sexes can't run an
             | ultra marathon?
             | 
             | But in making comparative statements even about people who
             | choose to participate in such races, I think a critical
             | distinction made in that article is that there's a
             | difference between "E(Pace_W) < E(Pace_M)" vs
             | "Min(TotalTime_W) <? Min(TotalTime_M)".
             | 
             | The earlier anecdote was making a statement about who won a
             | canoe race and using it as evidence of a group level
             | difference ... But race winners are the extreme end of the
             | distribution and are poor information about the overall
             | behavior.
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | If you know the extreme values, the shape of the
               | distribution ["normal"], and the number of samples [for a
               | competitive task, generally taken to be the entire
               | population; not so much for e.g. quilting bees], you know
               | the overall behavior. The extreme end of the distribution
               | _is_ evidence of a group-level difference, and very high-
               | quality evidence.
               | 
               | Compare http://www.lagriffedulion.f2s.com/dogrun.htm :
               | 
               | >> How, for example, do we determine a distribution of
               | running ability within an entire population? Can we find
               | a representative sample of tribesmen, provide each with
               | motivation and training, and finally measure their times
               | for some event? Not very likely. There is, however, a way
               | out. In Aggressiveness, Criminality and Sex Drive by
               | Race, Gender and Ethnicity, we introduced the method of
               | thresholds. It applies nicely to this problem. The
               | proportion of each tribe meeting or exceeding some
               | threshold of performance is the only input it requires.
               | When all is said and done, the precise definition of
               | "ability" will still be fuzzy, a characteristic of the
               | method of thresholds. That aside, we will have
               | established running ability distributions in tribes
               | relative to one another.
               | 
               | >> Some of the data we need are available from
               | chroniclers of track and field. All-time-best lists are
               | particularly useful. For a given event, such a list might
               | contain 100, 500, 1500 or any number of the best times
               | ever run. The slowest time on a list serves as the
               | threshold of performance required by the method of
               | thresholds.
               | 
               | > If you did try to work with a random sample wouldn't
               | you mainly find that almost all people of both sexes
               | can't run an ultra marathon?
               | 
               | No, you'd find that people managed to go different
               | distances before failing. You would have to be
               | intentionally avoiding the result you expected to find to
               | binarize your outcome data like that. The data you're
               | appealing to right now isn't binarized.
               | 
               | > But in making comparative statements even about people
               | who choose to participate in such races, I think a
               | critical distinction made in that article is that there's
               | a difference between "E(Pace_W) < E(Pace_M)" vs
               | "Min(TotalTime_W) <? Min(TotalTime_M)".
               | 
               | The article itself provides the explanation: there are
               | very, very few women running. What lesson do you feel we
               | should draw? To me it looks like the lesson is "men are a
               | lot more interested in distance running than women are".
        
       | notfed wrote:
       | From where to where exactly did this experimental voyage take
       | place?
       | 
       | > Dr. Kaifu noted that the islands could be spied from the top of
       | one of Taiwan's coastal mountains, indicating intentional travel
       | 
       | Image?
        
         | IncreasePosts wrote:
         | I couldn't find one from Taiwan looking out, but here's the
         | opposite view, looking at the mountains of Taiwan:
         | 
         | http://english.ryukyushimpo.jp/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Yo...
        
         | Luc wrote:
         | Here you go, figure 6:
         | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00438243.2022.2...
        
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