[HN Gopher] Oklo, the Earth's Two-billion-year-old only Known Na...
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       Oklo, the Earth's Two-billion-year-old only Known Natural Nuclear
       Reactor (2018)
        
       Author : keepamovin
       Score  : 155 points
       Date   : 2025-06-20 09:52 UTC (13 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.iaea.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.iaea.org)
        
       | wjnc wrote:
       | This article could be so much better: How large are the estimated
       | stores of ore that underwent natural fission? How much energy did
       | it release and over how much time? When? Would this be noticable
       | (and to whom)? So many questions, so little information.
       | 
       | I only know (or knew) high school physics, and when entering this
       | in Claude I get an answer but am unable to verify the answer.
       | Claude says 680 kWh gained per 0.03 grams of U-235 lost due to
       | fission. I am left wondering into what the U-235 fizzed into
       | (sorry, pun) and if I should take that into account.
       | 
       | Edit: There we go with modernity. I went to Claude instead of
       | Wikipedia. Wikipedia at least has the answers. Thanks u/b800h.
       | 100kW of heat on average. I can start filling in the blanks now.
        
         | danielbln wrote:
         | Wikipedia is the best first point of entry, but if you do use
         | Claude, just tell it to do web search for you:
         | https://claude.ai/share/73e67582-3e03-454b-aa12-e8906bd7b3fd
        
           | croes wrote:
           | Why not just do a web search?
        
             | geocrasher wrote:
             | I can't speak for users of Claude, but as a user of
             | Perplexity, having an LLM do a web search has uncovered
             | sources I'd never have considered. The only time I use
             | Google anymore is when I know exactly what I'm looking for.
             | 
             | When I'm in research/discovery mode, I use Perplexity. Its
             | search/analysis is a lot slower than a Google search, but
             | saves me time overall and generally gives me solutions that
             | I'd have to spend time sorting through a Google search to
             | find, in less time than it takes to do so.
        
             | wjnc wrote:
             | Claude gave a great answer at the link, at least for me.
             | There might be a plus in learning as well since the answer
             | is well structured with a recognizable style. Say, the
             | scientific article above, has a distinct style and really
             | was not high school physics level.
        
         | the_arun wrote:
         | I wonder why Claude's answers aren't equal or better than
         | Wikipedia - assuming Wikipedia is one of the training datasets.
         | Is the temperature causing it to be probabilistic & other
         | sources are carrying more weight?
        
           | lazide wrote:
           | You can think of a LLM as a type of lossy compression of
           | knowledge.
           | 
           | With that in mind, is it really surprising that you don't get
           | the 'right' answer out? Any more than if you compress an
           | image with JPEG, a given pixel isn't the 'right' color
           | anymore either?
           | 
           | They're both close (kinda) at least, which is the point. If
           | you wanted the exact right answer, don't use lossy
           | compression - it'll be expensive in other ways though.
        
             | ksenzee wrote:
             | What a great metaphor. I'm adopting that immediately, thank
             | you.
        
         | pfdietz wrote:
         | Uranium was very enriched back at the formation of the Earth,
         | so for a given geometry it would have been much more reactive.
         | 
         | However, uranium ores are often formed due to redox processes,
         | since U(VI) is much more soluble than U(IV). So maybe
         | concentrations wouldn't have been as common back before the
         | Great Oxygenation Event about 2.4 Gya. Still, that leaves ~600
         | Mya between that point and this reactor, which would be not
         | quite one half life of U235.
        
         | adev_ wrote:
         | The 'natural reactor' in Oklo has been discovered by some
         | french researcher from the CEA in the 70s.
         | 
         | There is an entire scientific publication on the topic if it
         | interests you:
         | 
         | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S00167...
        
       | b800h wrote:
       | The Oklo region has now-exhausted Uranium deposits.
       | 
       | From Wikipedia:
       | 
       | "Some of the mined uranium was found to have a lower
       | concentration of uranium-235 than expected, as if it had already
       | been in a nuclear reactor. When geologists investigated they also
       | found products typical of a reactor. They concluded that the
       | deposit had been in a reactor: a natural nuclear fission reactor,
       | around 1.8 to 1.7 billion years BP - in the Paleoproterozoic Era
       | during Precambrian times, during the Statherian period - and
       | continued for a few hundred thousand years, probably averaging
       | less than 100 kW of thermal power during that time. At that time
       | the natural uranium had a concentration of about 3% 235U and
       | could have reached criticality with natural water as neutron
       | moderator allowed by the special geometry of the deposit."
        
         | jvanderbot wrote:
         | 100 kW for a few hundred thousand years is basically the best
         | sales pitch for nuclear power I've ever heard. Even of "just"
         | heat output.
        
       | HelloUsername wrote:
       | (2018)
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17736262
        
       | Aardwolf wrote:
       | > All natural uranium today contains 0.720% of U-235.
       | 
       | That's related to the material of our solar system all coming
       | from the same supernova explosion or similar, right? Does this
       | apply to our entire milky way or just the solar system? What if
       | parts collided with material of _other_ origins and some of that
       | is on Earth, then there could be different mixes, right?
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | Grok says: At Earth's formation ~4.5 billion years ago, natural
         | uranium contained approximately 23.2% U-235
         | 
         | These numbers are probably only for the local corner of the
         | galaxy. It depends on when the supernova(s) that created the
         | uranium exploded.
        
           | _Algernon_ wrote:
           | We all have access to Grok and other AI models, and we will
           | ask it if we want it's bullshit hallucinations. There is no
           | point polluting HN with this trash.
        
             | BurningFrog wrote:
             | Anyone can look it up, yet I was the only one who did.
        
             | CamperBob2 wrote:
             | Is it wrong?
        
               | joemi wrote:
               | That's a good question.
               | 
               | In order to know whether or not the AI was wrong, you'd
               | need to do some research. Otherwise it's about as
               | reliable as any "fact" some random person on the internet
               | claims to be true.
        
         | philipkglass wrote:
         | It's related to how long ago the uranium was formed:
         | 
         | https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/nuclear-fuel-c...
         | 
         |  _We can calculate the abundances of U-235 and U-238 at the
         | time the Earth was formed. Knowing further that the production
         | ratio of U-235 to U-238 in a supernova is about 1.65, we can
         | calculate that if all of the uranium now in the solar system
         | were made in a single supernova, this event must have occurred
         | some 6.5 billion years ago.
         | 
         | This 'single stage' is, however, an oversimplification..._
         | 
         | The really interesting thing is that phrase "the production
         | ratio of U-235 to U-238 in a supernova is about 1.65"; the now-
         | rare U-235 is actually more abundant than U-238 in the fresh
         | debris of a supernova. Prolonged aging has preserved more U-238
         | (half life 4.47 billion years) than U-235 (half life 0.704
         | billion years) to the point that U-238 is now much more
         | terrestrially abundant. If Earth had been formed with uranium
         | that rich in U-235, there would have been Oklo events all over
         | the place. Uranium wouldn't need isotopic enrichment to be used
         | as fuel in light water reactors. Nuclear fission would probably
         | have been discovered early in the 19th century, soon after the
         | element itself was recognized, because any substantial quantity
         | dissolved in aqueous solution would have reached criticality.
        
           | lazide wrote:
           | It's interesting to extrapolate that to the early earth -
           | radioactive decay and fission interactions likely play a much
           | larger role than we are able to reliably model. Okla is
           | somewhat unique in that the formation survived for us to dig
           | it up - most from that time would not.
        
           | cryptonector wrote:
           | I read GP's question really as: "did all Uranium on Earth
           | come from the same source?" and your answer implies "yes". I
           | think that's right.
           | 
           | The fact that everywhere we see the same U-235/U-238 ratio or
           | very close (Oklo) strongly implies either a single source
           | (supernova) or that if it was more than one source they were
           | all at roughly the same time (6.5 billion years ago), with
           | the latter seeming [to me] less likely, so a single source at
           | 6.5 billion years ago is what makes sense. Unless there were
           | many supernovae and their remnants mixed quite well in our
           | corner of the galaxy where our sun was born.
        
         | mandevil wrote:
         | This is just in our little corner of the Milky Way, but not
         | thought to be the result of just one supernova. I last looked
         | into this about a decade ago so I might be behind the times,
         | but at that time the most popular theory was that the cloud
         | that became our Solar System was the result of thousands of
         | supernova scattering and mixing atoms, across both the first
         | two generations of stars (the Sun is considered to be a third-
         | generation star), and that mixing is thought to be an important
         | factor in making it complex enough to have rocky inner planets,
         | gaseous outer planets, etc.
        
       | kkwteh wrote:
       | Maybe it's a remnant from a nuclear ancient civilization.
        
         | julienchastang wrote:
         | A civilization (even perhaps extraterrestrial) that possessed
         | nuclear energy? Unlikely, but still fun to think about! ;-)
        
         | geocrasher wrote:
         | Maybe it's a sign of a future time travelling civilization with
         | nuclear power but poor navigation, warped straight into the
         | mantle Earth's crust :D
        
           | Gregaros wrote:
           | I thought where you were going with his was "that realized
           | the best way to dispose of their nuclear waste was to dump it
           | in the deep past." I'd read that novel.
        
             | geocrasher wrote:
             | Only to mine it later and re-use it over and over again.
             | The 5 billion year long recycling program.
        
       | eabeezxjc wrote:
       | Or a remnant of a nuclear war in a riotous time
        
         | airstrike wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silurian_hypothesis
        
       | legitster wrote:
       | Richard Rhodes brought this up in an interview. He made it a
       | point for critics who say nuclear waste can't be safely disposed
       | of through burial. Well, we have pretty good natural evidence
       | that nuclear fission products can remain buried and undisturbed
       | for a pretty long time!
        
         | krunck wrote:
         | This is nonsense. Yep, after 2 billion years this thing is now
         | safe to touch. But that had nothing to do with it's burial.
         | 
         | We at least have pretty good evidence that nuclear fission
         | products can be exposed to groundwater/hydrothermal fluids for
         | a pretty long time.
        
           | sliken wrote:
           | Not sure I'd call it safe to touch. Getting with 5cm for an
           | hour gives you as much radiation as a 8 hour flight. I
           | wouldn't want touch it, make jewelry from it, or any
           | substantial near promity. Not to mention if it was "only" a
           | billion years ago it would be MUCH MUCH worse.
        
         | joe_the_user wrote:
         | I don't disagree that nuclear waste can be disposed of safely
         | under good conditions[1].
         | 
         | But I think a fallacy to claim that natural phenomena should
         | inherently be considered "environmentally safe" in human terms.
         | There are coal seam fires that have been going on for centuries
         | and the pollution of these is just as bad as the pollution
         | generated by human created coal mine fires (and that's truly
         | awful, a significant source of carbon pollution).
         | 
         | [1] The problem with nuclear reactors isn't that their
         | pollution couldn't disposed of with ideal methods but that when
         | they run by for-profit corporations, you will always have the
         | company skirting the edge of what's safe 'cause corporations
         | just go bankrupt with catastrophic events and so their risk-
         | reward behavior isn't the risk-reward optima for humanity.
        
           | Manuel_D wrote:
           | What are the conditions under which nuclear waste buried a
           | mile deep in bedrock will post a risk to society?
        
             | Loughla wrote:
             | Burying it in a cheaper place that happens to flood
             | occasionally?
        
               | legitster wrote:
               | Insisting on only worst case scenarios is such a bad
               | faith argument. OP specifically asked about deep
               | repositories.
               | 
               | It would be like having a discussion about green energy
               | and insisting that people should assume dams will fail or
               | that blades are going to fly off of turbines.
        
             | bobmcnamara wrote:
             | 1) the assumption that because something can be done safely
             | it will be done safely
             | 
             | 2) transportation to the site: https://static.ewg.org/files
             | /nuclearwaste/plumes/national.pd...
             | 
             | 3) exploding waste barrels due to corner cutting in kitty
             | litter selection exposing surface workers and contaminating
             | the work area - only 1/2 mile down but this type of
             | accident is depth independent
             | https://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-new-mexico-nuclear-
             | dump...
             | 
             | 4) fires
             | 
             | 5) lack of a safety culture
             | 
             | 6) communicating to future peoples not to mine here
             | 
             | 7) long term structural stability and management (ex:
             | Morsleben radioactive waste repository and Schacht Asse II)
        
               | roughly wrote:
               | Just to call it explicitly, because I think this is one
               | of the big points of misunderstanding between pro- and
               | anti-nuclear people (take that as a very rough
               | categorization and not an accusation) -
               | 
               | There is a difference between "something can be done
               | correctly" and "something is likely to be done
               | correctly." Nuclear advocates I've read tend to argue the
               | former - it's possible to have safe reactors, it's
               | possible to keep the waste sequestered safely, there's
               | not a technical reason why nuclear is inherently unsafe.
               | Skeptics tend to be making a different argument - not
               | that it's not possible to do things safely and correctly,
               | but that in our current late-capitalist milieu, it's
               | almost impossible that we _will_. It's not an argument
               | about capability, it's an argument about will and what
               | happens in bureaucracies, both public and private.
        
               | Terr_ wrote:
               | Yeah, if waste management was as viable as proponents
               | claim, places like Hanford [0] would _already_ be an
               | inactive site with a memorial park on top.
               | 
               | Whether it's technology, economics, or politics, clearly
               | the state of the art is deficient because we currently
               | _have persistent deficiencies._
               | 
               | [0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanford_Site
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | It's politics. The US already built a waste site in Yucca
               | Mountain, but never bothered to actually use it for
               | political reasons.
               | 
               | Digging a shaft half a kilometer into bedrock and sealing
               | it is not state of the art.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | 2) I asked about waste buried in the ground, not in
               | transit.
               | 
               | 3) if a waste barrel explodes, somehow, underground how
               | does the waste make it's way through a mile of bedrock?
               | 
               | 4) Again, how does a fire bring the wast up through a
               | mile of bedrock?
               | 
               | 5) This is just a vague statement.
               | 
               | 6) So the concern is that future society will forget that
               | this is a waste site, mine a mile deep and retrieve
               | waste, and never figure out that the waste is bad for
               | them? This is rather _specific_ hypothetical that IMO
               | demonstrates just how hard it is for a nuclear waste site
               | to result in contamination.
        
               | AtlasBarfed wrote:
               | I look forward to your revolutionary nuclear waste
               | teleportation device.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | Teleportation? You dig a tunnel underground, put the
               | waste there, and fill the tunnel. It's been done before,
               | it's not revolutionary engineering: https://en.m.wikipedi
               | a.org/wiki/Onkalo_spent_nuclear_fuel_re...
        
               | lukan wrote:
               | The point was, you cannot ignore the risks of
               | transportation, if you only have some safe spots to burry
               | it.
               | 
               | And what you linked is still under construction. We don't
               | know yet, if it really works safe long term, or if there
               | will be future costs.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | Finland has two other disposal sites in operation since
               | the 90s: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_geological_
               | repository
        
               | lukan wrote:
               | Yes, but when we want to store something in the range of
               | million years, it is a bit early to say that 30 years are
               | sufficient as a ultimate proof that nothing leaks.
               | 
               | Now I believe it can be done safely, but only if
               | monitored all the time with good care. But that is
               | expensive and humans tend to skimp.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | Again, when you bury uranium half a kilometer deep in an
               | area with no aquifer, how will it ever result in
               | contamination?
               | 
               | The only real scenarios are deliberate excavation, and a
               | meteor impact directly on the waste repository. Neither
               | of which are particularly likely scenarios.
        
               | lukan wrote:
               | Because the ground is not static. And we are just
               | starting to understand what is going on down there. So
               | yes, there are sites that remained quite unchanged (like
               | with the natural fission reactor), but personally I
               | remain sceptical with such statements.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | Half a kilometer isn't particularly deep. There are
               | dozens of mines over 2 KM deep:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_deepest_mines
               | 
               | Are we supposed to hold off on developing the only
               | geographically independent and non-intermittent form of
               | clean energy because of some vague nebulous fear that
               | waste buried half a kilometer deep in bedrock will come
               | back up to the surface and harm people... somehow?
        
               | AnthonyMouse wrote:
               | The primary transportation risk is that spent fuel
               | contains cesium metal, which is reactive with air and
               | water, so if you expose it to air you get a fire.
               | 
               | It seems like a pretty obvious solution to this would be
               | to purposely do the reaction under controlled conditions
               | before transporting it, so then you're transporting
               | stable cesium compounds instead of elemental cesium
               | metal.
        
               | lostlogin wrote:
               | Regarding 3) and 4): Ground water contamination.
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | You can dig in bedrock that has no groundwater.
               | 
               | Furthermore, naturally occurring uranium exists in
               | groundwater and needs to be filtered out in places where
               | levels exceed safe limits. So it's not like burying waste
               | is creating a new problem:
               | https://www.kqed.org/stateofhealth/120396/uranium-
               | contaminat...
        
               | AtlasBarfed wrote:
               | It's kind of the nature of a heavily regulated safety
               | industry. The industry comes to resent the safety
               | regulations. And therefore they will fail.
               | 
               | It's not even a a matter of mundane human error when
               | executing procedures over and over again.
               | 
               | It's that the entire managerial pyramid gradually and
               | slowly erodes
        
             | sllabres wrote:
             | It's not a mile deep, but I think the depth isn't the
             | problem here:
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asse_II_mine
        
               | Manuel_D wrote:
               | This is the one I was referring to, though I guess it's
               | just over half a kilometer deep: https://en.m.wikipedia.o
               | rg/wiki/Onkalo_spent_nuclear_fuel_re...
               | 
               | The Asse II site used an existing mine to avoid having to
               | excavate a new tunnel, which subsequently flooded.
        
           | glompers wrote:
           | > There are coal seam fires that have been going on for
           | centuries and the pollution of these is just as bad as the
           | pollution generated by human created coal mine fires (and
           | that's truly awful, a significant source of carbon
           | pollution).
           | 
           | Has CO2 fire suppression been unsuccessfully attempted in
           | these seams? Since nobody is underground and we know how to
           | inject CO2 into underground deposits at various pressures, it
           | seems like it would be a good candidate. Plus, with rotary
           | steerable drilling, we could come in laterally (from a safe
           | location above ground) to as many depths of injection as
           | necessary.
        
             | a11r wrote:
             | These are large coal seams with significant exposure to the
             | atmosphere. See
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jharia_coalfield for an
             | example. That excavator in the picture is not trying to put
             | out the fire, it is just mining coal that happens to be
             | burning. Spray some water, put out the fire and ship it off
             | to customers.
        
             | recursivecaveat wrote:
             | Apparently in mines they are sometimes extinguished with
             | nitrogen. For less contained ones, injecting water or mud,
             | while trying to seal off the ground with impermeable clay
             | to halt oxygen and hopefully choke the fumes. Their scope
             | can be huge though, and they generate a lot of energy which
             | can cause subsidence to open up new passages. The Centralia
             | fire in the US is apparently 15km2.
        
           | legitster wrote:
           | No one is saying that it's "inherently" safe but there are a
           | lot of people who claim it is inherently unsafe which _is_
           | clearly untrue.
        
       | foobarian wrote:
       | > All natural uranium today contains 0.720% of U-235. If you were
       | to extract it from the Earth's crust, or from rocks from the moon
       | or in meteorites, that's what you would find. But that bit of
       | rock from Oklo contained only 0.717%.
       | 
       | Heh. The garbage web software developer me would have just called
       | it good enough
       | 
       | Would be really interesting to know what the error bars on those
       | figures look like
        
         | Analemma_ wrote:
         | I think it would've been good enough for the miners too, if not
         | for the fact that nuclear arms control treaties require every
         | gram of U-235 to be accounted for. When they were digging it
         | out of the ground and found it was less enriched than it
         | should've been, this needed to be explained. It has always
         | fascinated me to think that this natural phenomenon could and
         | probably would have remained unknown forever if not for these
         | treaties and agreements.
        
         | mannykannot wrote:
         | You have me wondering about that as well. If the uranium was
         | going to be enriched for use in a light-water reactor (I would
         | guess it was), maybe the difference translates into needing
         | more stages of enrichment to reach the required level?
        
         | teuobk wrote:
         | Per NIST[1], the value is 0.7204% +/- 0.0006%, with the
         | uncertainty representing one standard deviation.
         | 
         | [1] https://physics.nist.gov/cgi-
         | bin/Compositions/stand_alone.pl...
        
       | fnord77 wrote:
       | > only known natural nuclear reactor
       | 
       | um, stars?
        
         | preisschild wrote:
         | the word "fission" is missing
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_nuclear_fission_reacto...
        
       | stmw wrote:
       | Fun aside - Oklo is also the name of a successful YC company that
       | makes a passively-safe nuclear reactor - https://www.oklo.com
        
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       (page generated 2025-06-20 23:00 UTC)