[HN Gopher] Childhood leukemia: how a deadly cancer became treat...
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       Childhood leukemia: how a deadly cancer became treatable
        
       Author : surprisetalk
       Score  : 129 points
       Date   : 2025-06-15 13:12 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (ourworldindata.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (ourworldindata.org)
        
       | srean wrote:
       | Small mercies and immense gratitude.
        
       | bglazer wrote:
       | Don Pinkel is not well known but he was a pioneer in the 60's at
       | St. Jude in Memphis in developing the first combination
       | treatments that pushed the childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia
       | cure rate from effectively zero to about 50%.
       | 
       | https://www.smithsonianmag.com/innovation/childhood-leukemia...
        
       | bitwize wrote:
       | One thing that Xers and xennials grew up with that later
       | generations did not necessarily -- and unlike Atari consoles,
       | wood paneling, and staying outside till the street lights came
       | on, they're unlikely to yell to clouds about it on TikTok -- is
       | the phenomenon of "knowing that one kid in school who died of
       | leukemia".
       | 
       | Growing up, our leukemia kid was Donny Miceli. He was a great kid
       | -- friendly, active, and athletic, even throughout all but the
       | latest courses of his therapy. Could've been the Phineas to any
       | number of potential Gene Forresters out there.
       | 
       | When our teacher announced that Donny had died, I was saddened
       | but in a "didn't show it" way. It wasn't a blow to the system. It
       | was something we all had seen a long time coming.
       | 
       | The school planted an apple tree in the courtyard in Donny's
       | honor, with like a ceremony and everything.
       | 
       | How blessed are the later generations, that far fewer trees will
       | be planted in school courtyards in recognition of students who
       | are no longer there, due to leukemia.
        
         | bena wrote:
         | No offense, I don't know anyone who died of leukemia or even
         | had it.
         | 
         | I think you may be experiencing a bit of the "blue car" effect.
         | Of course everyone who went to your school knew someone who
         | died of leukemia. They all knew the same kid.
         | 
         | And once you get to college, I wouldn't be surprised if you had
         | run into a few other people who also knew people who died of
         | leukemia.
         | 
         | But it was not as common an occurrence as you seem to think it
         | was.
        
           | YesThatTom2 wrote:
           | What you're demonstrating is called survivor bias.
        
         | stevoski wrote:
         | Jason Bell was the name, I think, of the kid in my high school
         | who died from leukaemia.
         | 
         | Popular, athletic, good-looking guy. Then one day it was
         | announced in the school news that he had passed away.
        
         | jltsiren wrote:
         | That depends on the size of the school you went to. With 500
         | kids, it's unlikely to have even a single leukemia case in 13
         | years. It gets more likely with 1000 kids. And if you went to a
         | giant school with 2000 kids, there probably was a case or two.
        
       | akharris wrote:
       | My dad started his work as a Pediatric Hematologist Oncologist in
       | the late 60s. He had a firm belief that cure rates could and
       | would climb as a result of research and better clinical care. He
       | spent his life pursuing both.
       | 
       | When people would ask him how he managed to stay so positive - he
       | was one of the happiest people I've ever known - he'd reference
       | the trends highlighted in this article.
       | 
       | That didn't change how hard it was when he lost a patient, but I
       | know he always had his eyes and his mind on the future.
       | 
       | This is an incredible example of science and medicine. Thanks OP
       | for posting it.
        
         | ErigmolCt wrote:
         | It's hard to imagine the emotional weight of working in
         | pediatric oncology back then, when outcomes were so bleak
        
           | ethbr1 wrote:
           | My father knew a neurosurgeon in the 70s(?), when the outcome
           | statistics were pretty bleak.
           | 
           | He asked him how he handled it, and the guy said "Because the
           | few that I save wouldn't be, if we didn't do anything."
           | 
           | Sometimes, greater than zero is the win.
        
           | akharris wrote:
           | I don't fully understand how he did it. I know he took a lot
           | from the line in the Talmud that said "whoever saves a life,
           | it is considered as if he saved an entire world."
           | 
           | My mom says that his baseline was incredibly high and that he
           | was incredibly resilient. He also had a big rebellious
           | streak, an analytical mind, and endless compassion.
        
         | felbane wrote:
         | Sounds like you already know this, but your dad's a hero.
         | Infinite respect for the folks who dedicate their lives to
         | helping others.
        
           | akharris wrote:
           | Thanks for saying that.
           | 
           | Here's a bit more about him from the obituary my sister
           | wrote: https://www.northjersey.com/obituaries/pnys1147090
        
             | hasmolo wrote:
             | what a guy, your dad was a great person
        
       | ErigmolCt wrote:
       | The big caveat, though, is access. These advances are still
       | largely confined to high-income countries. Replicating this
       | success globally is the next frontier
        
         | lmz wrote:
         | The low income countries have more kids / higher fertility
         | rates to make up for it.
        
           | adaml_623 wrote:
           | That's a revolting inhumane comment.
        
         | robwwilliams wrote:
         | Practical speaking you are right. But the main ingredient in
         | success is getting dosages and timing right, not ultra-
         | expensive drugs.
        
       | find wrote:
       | A typical child knows about one child with cancer. Back-of-the-
       | envelope, the number a child knows would be (incidence rate of
       | childhood cancer) * (typical K-8 size), but doubled since they
       | observe all grades ahead and behind them. Incidence rate is about
       | 20 per 100,000 and we might assume a typical K-8 is about 2000
       | students, so (20 / 100000 * 2000 * 2) ~ 1.
       | 
       | The first figure shows an order of magnitude decrease in
       | mortality over the last few decades from childhood cancer. The
       | average child growing up in the 70s would know a child that died
       | from cancer, and today they would not!
        
       | CobaltFire wrote:
       | My son was diagnosed with B-ALL (RUNX1) in 2020.
       | 
       | I don't want to go deep into it today (Fathers Day here), but
       | he's alive and well now. We rang the bell just over two years
       | ago.
       | 
       | He is enrolled in a study through the Children's Oncology Group
       | mentioned here, and underwent an experimental modification
       | specifically for male patients.
       | 
       | Specifically, the current state of treatment protocols (when he
       | started) was that males received an extra ~6 months of treatment
       | as there was thought that the testes could serve as a repository
       | for the cancer. The data says that is likely not true, and that
       | the tradeoff for the longer chemo is worse than any risk present.
       | 
       | We were fortunate that he hit every single "best case", from him
       | being diagnosed very early, to all of the best possible results
       | from his blood tests at every point.
       | 
       | Many of my comments talking about my experience are buried, but
       | there is plenty that I've said here on HN.
        
         | debrisapron wrote:
         | Im going to think about this comment a lot today. Not in a
         | "thoughts & prayers" way, just because this makes me so happy &
         | proud for humanity, that we can do actually worthwhile things
         | like this together. That's the kind of stuff I want to think
         | about on my silly made-up Dad holiday. Cheers!
        
         | chrisweekly wrote:
         | CONGRATS to you and your son. And Happy Father's Day! :)
        
       | searine wrote:
       | Made possible by government funding of basic scientific research.
       | This is what your tax dollars bought, and what they're currently
       | trying to destroy.
        
         | Ylpertnodi wrote:
         | Crap. And I thought it was god just being mysterious (again).
        
         | RRWagner wrote:
         | +1 +1 +1.... I'm glad that all diseases have been cured so that
         | no further research with public funds is necessary /s. How can
         | some humans be so short-sighted to cheer on their own
         | suffering...
        
       | rglover wrote:
       | I'm an ALL Leukemia survivor (~89' to ~95') and this is
       | incredibly encouraging to hear. I'll never forget the long
       | hospital stays, early-morning surgeries, and now, the long-term
       | impact to my life (it changes your entire personality).
       | 
       | I hope we eventually stomp it out. No child deserves to go
       | through that. Here's hoping we can take what's been learned in
       | the West and see to it that all kids get access to affordable
       | treatment.
        
         | CobaltFire wrote:
         | My son, not I, had ALL and is in remission.
         | 
         | I don't know how to quantify the impact it had on him from a
         | personality perspective, as he is severely autistic and barely
         | speaks. He was in treatment from age 3 to 6.
         | 
         | For the rest of his family (parents and sibling) it had a
         | massive impact. I already had anxiety issues (TBI while in the
         | military flipped that switch), now I have something my doc
         | describes as health related PTSD.
        
       | Vinnl wrote:
       | It's amazing to consider how many people have contributed parts
       | to all the improvements listed in this article. It's not as
       | spectacular and doesn't get the same immediate positive feedback
       | as, say, saving a drowning child, but each of them has, on
       | average, probably saved multiple lives, and more lives will
       | continue to be added to that tally.
        
       | fakedang wrote:
       | What the article does not mention is that one of the more recent
       | key biological therapies that is used is asparaginase, which has
       | proven to be extremely effective for ALL.
       | 
       | Also surprisingly, the article did not mention that there's a
       | severe shortage of this therapy currently in the world, which has
       | recently affected treatment progress worldwide, especially in the
       | developing world.
       | 
       | Asparaginase can be made dirt cheaply (it's used in food
       | processing for breadmaking, frying, etc, to destroy certain
       | carcinogens), but the product is extremely unstable for the kind
       | of purity that is required for ALL treatments. The shortage is
       | because there's only one manufacturer now.
        
         | l-survivor wrote:
         | Main thing that, having had it happen to me, that I'd worry
         | about w/ L Asparaginase:
         | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4976870/. (In the
         | sense of risk and monitoring, not avoiding use.)
        
       | robwwilliams wrote:
       | The explanation of "How" is not made well. Here is the crux:
       | 
       | "This improvement in survival reflects the impact of intensive
       | treatment regimens. These treatments usually still involve years
       | of intensive chemotherapy, which is often physically and mentally
       | challenging and can cause long-term side effects."
       | 
       | "Intensive treatment regimens" is awkward jargon.
       | 
       | What this should say is "the right dose for the individual
       | patient given their genotype, age, and disease subtype".
       | 
       | Progress over the last 2+ decades has involved state-of-the-art
       | genotyping of key gene variants involved in handling various
       | aspects of cancer therapeutics: drug transporters, drug
       | metabolizing genes (P450-type), and genes that modulate excretion
       | rates.
       | 
       | What also must be highlighted is MAJOR progress in remission and
       | survival without any major changes in the actual drug
       | armamentarium (until very recently).
       | 
       | Finally a shout-out to NIH programs and extramural support that
       | made much of this possible. And to Saint Jude Children's Research
       | Hospital in Memphis, Tennessee, with donations received from
       | around the world. Bravo.
        
       | cue_the_strings wrote:
       | When I was a kid in the 90s and early 00s in Serbia, later
       | Montenegro, I knew 2-3 kids that had leukemia at some point, and
       | if my memory serves me well, all of them survived. One neighbor
       | kid had it really rough (was in therapy for years, looked like
       | hell), but still survived. Even then, the treatments were so
       | available that surviving it was the expected outcome.
       | 
       | Just years before it was quite common for children to die from it
       | - I know 2 couples who lost kids to it in the 80s and early 90s.
       | 
       | Another thing was that a couple of kids had congenital heart
       | conditions. Those didn't fare that well. My classmate from
       | elementary survived that with a pacemaker, but a neighbor
       | suddenly died in her mid-20s, that was really sad.
        
       | l-survivor wrote:
       | I'm ALL survivor. Treated (I think - it's been a while)
       | approximately from Spring '00 through 2003, a mix of middle
       | school and high school.
       | 
       | The treatment absolutely has a lasting impact - often due to the
       | severe side effects of treatment. But even with notable impacts
       | to short term memory and deep concentration I was still able to
       | get a CS degree and work as a SWE.
       | 
       | Something that's shocking to me: the chronic absenteeism rate
       | nationally is about 30%. I barely hit the threshold for that
       | (missing 10% of school) number while going through cancer
       | treatment. It makes me very worried about the direction of the US
       | that so many kids are missing as much school a cancer patient.
       | 
       | It should also be noted that the treatment process is a big
       | burden on families, who will probably not want their child be
       | alone for extended hospital stays, but may need to for work.
        
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       (page generated 2025-06-15 23:00 UTC)