[HN Gopher] Scientific Papers: Innovation or Imitation?
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       Scientific Papers: Innovation or Imitation?
        
       Author : tapanjk
       Score  : 60 points
       Date   : 2025-06-10 04:04 UTC (18 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.johndcook.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.johndcook.com)
        
       | birn559 wrote:
       | The process is far from perfect, but it works well enough mid-
       | term and works pretty well long-term.
       | 
       | It's also better than any alternatives, as far as I know. Haven't
       | heard people pushing the idea of restructuring the process, the
       | only exception being that journals shouldn't cost (that much)
       | money and instead institutions should pay for publishing a paper.
       | This wouldn't however change the foundation of the process.
        
         | agumonkey wrote:
         | What about the publish or perish effect ? no ideas on how to
         | rebalance things to avoid it ?
        
           | Daub wrote:
           | Yes. It's simple. Establish peer review as the metric of
           | tenure and make dam sure those peers know their stuff.
        
             | friendzis wrote:
             | > Establish peer review as the metric of tenure and make
             | dam sure those peers know their stuff.
             | 
             | And you are back at square one: peer reviews become the
             | currency used in academic politics. A relatively small
             | group of tenured academics have all the incentives to
             | independently form a fiefdom. Anonymization does not help
             | as everyone knows work and papers of the rest anyway.
        
             | ancillary wrote:
             | The supply of knowledgeable and conscientious reviewers in,
             | say, machine learning, is far outmatched by the number of
             | papers less knowledgeable and conscientious people submit.
        
       | richarlidad wrote:
       | Imitation precedes creation.
        
       | kevinventullo wrote:
       | Follow-up papers by other authors which "only extend or expand on
       | the specific finding in very minor ways" have a secondary
       | benefit. In addition to expanding the original findings, they are
       | also implicitly replicating the original result. This is perhaps
       | a crucial contribution in light of the replication crisis!
        
         | Daub wrote:
         | Maybe. But that is a generous reading. I used to attend many
         | computational aesthetic conferences. The sheer volume of non
         | photorealistic rendering cross hatch algorithms was almost
         | laughable.
        
         | tgv wrote:
         | If only. I worked in cog/neuro sci, and the career builders
         | there produce small variations on the original. Variations on
         | the Stroop task, which dates back to 1935(!), are still being
         | published, despite the fact that there is no explanation for
         | the effect. And when you consider that null results are rarely
         | published, and that many aspects of the methodology are flawed,
         | a new paper cannot be considered a replication: it's just
         | wishful thinking upon wishful thinking.
        
           | kevinventullo wrote:
           | Are you claiming the Stroop effect hasn't been proven to
           | exist or just that there hasn't been an explanation?
           | 
           | Funnily enough, the first "professional" coding I ever did
           | was writing up a Stroop test in Visual Basic for a neuro
           | professor, and I recall the effect being undeniably clear. At
           | a personal anecdotal level, I would time myself with matching
           | colors versus non-matching, and even with practice I could
           | not bring my non-matching times down to my matching times.
        
       | Daub wrote:
       | For a few years I worked closely with computer engineers in a S E
       | Asian university. I got to know quite well the sort of stuff they
       | published. Some of the dodgy stuff i saw:
       | 
       | Recycling. Some papers seemed to be near duplicates of prior work
       | by the same academic, with minor modification.
       | 
       | Faddishnes. Papers featuring the latest buzz technologies
       | regardless of whether they were appropriate.
       | 
       | Questionable authorship. Some senior academics would get their
       | name included on publications regardless of whether they had been
       | actively engaged with that project. I saw a few academics get
       | involved in risky and potentially interesting subjects, but they
       | all risked their careers in doing so.
       | 
       | But most of all, there was a dearth of true innovation. The
       | university noticed this and established an Innovation Centre. It
       | quickly became full of second hand projects all frustratingly
       | similar to projects in the US from a few years ago.
       | 
       | Of course there were exceptions, and learning from them was a
       | genuine growth experience fir which I am grateful.
        
         | bonoboTP wrote:
         | It's not just about the academics but the expectations from
         | higher ups and funding agencies in order to keep your job and
         | have a chance at continuing your career. Over the last few
         | decades the expected amount of papers at good and even mediocre
         | institutions has exploded. Profs who want to be seen as
         | productive and who want good funding publish 30-50 papers per
         | year and sometimes "supervise" dozens of PhD students at the
         | same time (who agree to the deal to get the brand name of the
         | big prof, not for any real supervision).
         | 
         | Funding agencies can't evaluate the research itself, so they
         | look at numbers, metrics, impact factors, citations, h-index,
         | publication count etc. They can't simply say "we pay this
         | academic whether he publishes or not because we trust he is
         | still deep in important work when he is not at a work stage to
         | publish" because people will suspect fraud and nepotism and
         | bias, and often the funding is taxpayer money. Not that the
         | metrics prevent that of course. But it seems that way. So
         | metrics it is, so gaming the metrics via Goodhart's law it is.
         | 
         | I don't think it's super bad, but it increases administrative
         | work and busywork overhead on top of the actual research. The
         | progress slows somewhat per person, as the same work has to be
         | salami sliced and marketed in chunks, but there's also way more
         | people in it, but of course most of them produce vary low
         | quality stuff but it's not a big loss because these people
         | would not even have published anything some decades ago, they
         | would just have some teaching professorship and publish every
         | few years perhaps just in their national language. It increases
         | the noise but there are ways to find the signal among it, and
         | academics figure out ways to cut through the noise. It's not
         | great, not super easy, and it pushes a lot of people out who
         | dislike the grind but there are plenty who see it as a
         | relatively good deal to move to a richer country and do this.
        
         | tokinonagare wrote:
         | I've seen faddishnes and questionable authorship in a top-3
         | Japan university too. The lab I was in was a paper mill, the
         | professor even explicitly told student than quantity > quality.
         | I'm glad in France things are getting a bit slower but deeper
         | (from my observations).
        
       | empiko wrote:
       | In my experience, the publication pressure in today's science is
       | to large extent inhibiting innovation. How can you innovate when
       | you need to have X papers every year, otherwise you will not get
       | that position of funding. To fulfill the quota, the only rational
       | strategy is to focus on simple iterative papers that are very
       | similar to what everybody else is doing. There is simply no time
       | to innovate or be brave, you have to comfort. There is also
       | barely time to make sure they what you are doing is actually
       | methodologically correct. If you spend too much time, you will
       | get scooped and forgotten.
       | 
       | Case in point, everybody is doing AI research nowadays and NIPS
       | has like 15k submitted papers. But the innovation rate in AI is
       | actually not that much higher than 10 years ago, I would even
       | argue that it is lower. What are all these papers for? They help
       | people build their careers as proofs of work.
        
         | jltsiren wrote:
         | AI is a special case of a special case. First you have the
         | weird CS publication culture with conference papers and a heavy
         | focus on selecting a (small) subset of winners. And then you
         | have a subfield with giant conferences, a lot of money, and a
         | lot of people doing similar things.
         | 
         | A typical approach to science is finding your niche and
         | becoming a person known for that thing. You pick something you
         | are interested in, something you are good at, something
         | underexplored, and something close enough to what other people
         | are doing that they can appreciate your work. Then you work on
         | that topic for a number of years and see where you end up in.
         | But you can't do that in AI, because the field is overcrowded.
        
           | mpascale00 wrote:
           | Certainly other field are competitive, but the current AI
           | boom has been ridiculous for a while now. As an outside
           | observer, the competition seems to be for the final money,
           | prestige, or whatever the top papers win, rather than
           | competition at the level of paper acceptance...
        
             | bonoboTP wrote:
             | The competition racket and inflation keeps turning. It used
             | to be publications. Then it was top conference
             | publications. Now it's going viral on social media, being
             | popularized by big AI aggregators like AK.
             | 
             | It's crazy, most Master's students applying for a PhD
             | position already come with multiple top conference papers,
             | which a few years ago would get you like 2/3 of the way to
             | the PhD, and now it just gets you a foot in the door in
             | applying to start a PhD. And then already Bachelor students
             | are expected to publish to get a good spot in a lab to do
             | their Master thesis or internship. And NeurIPS has a track
             | for high school students to write papers, which - I assume
             | - will boost their applications to start university. This
             | type of hustle has been common in many East Asian countries
             | and is getting globalized.
        
           | bonoboTP wrote:
           | > finding your niche
           | 
           | Exactly. It used to be that way in AI a decade ago. Different
           | subfields used bespoke methods you could specialize in and
           | could take a fairly undisturbed 3-5 years to work on it
           | without constant worries of being scooped and therefore
           | having to rush to publish something half baked to plant
           | flags. Nowadays methods are converging, it's comparatively
           | less useful to be an expert in some narrow application area,
           | since the standard ML methods work quite well for such a
           | broad range of uses (see the bitter lesson). This also means
           | that a broader range of publications are relevant to
           | everyone, you're supposed to be aware of the NLP frontier
           | even if you are a vision researcher etc., you should know
           | about RL developments etc. Due to more streamlined github and
           | huggingface releases, research results are also more
           | available for others to build on, so publishing an
           | incremental iteration on top of a popular method is much
           | easier today than 15 years ago when you first had to
           | implement the paper yourself and needed expertise to avoid
           | traps not mentioned in any paper and is assumed common
           | knowledge.
           | 
           | It may not be a big problem for overall progress, but it
           | makes people much more anxious. I see it on PhD students,
           | many are quite scared of opening arxiv and academic social
           | media, fearing that someone was faster and scooped them.
           | 
           | Lots of labs are working on very similar things, and the labs
           | are less focused on narrow areas, everyone tries to claim
           | broad areas. Meanwhile people have less and less energy to
           | peer review this flood of papers and there's less incentive
           | to do a good job there instead of working on the next paper.
           | 
           | This definitely can't go on forever and there will be a
           | massive reality check in academia (of AI/ML).
        
           | empiko wrote:
           | I agree that AI is an extreme example, but similar pressures
           | exist in other popular fields and subfields, especially in
           | STEM. Peter Higgs famously said that he would probably not be
           | able to do a PhD nowadays.
        
         | atrettel wrote:
         | I completely agree that "publish or perish" harms innovation.
         | Funding and research positions have become so predicated on
         | rapid and consistent publication that it incentives researchers
         | to focus on incremental and generally low-risk ideas that they
         | can propose, develop, and publish quickly and predictably.
         | Nobody has the time or energy anymore to focus on bigger and
         | braver (your word) ideas that are less incremental and cannot
         | be developed in predictable time frames.
         | 
         | I agree that many fields essentially have papers as "proof of
         | work", but not all fields are like that. When I worked as a
         | mechanical engineer, publication was "the icing on the cake"
         | and not "the cake itself". It was a nice capstone you do
         | _after_ you have have completed a project, interacted with your
         | customers, built a prototype, filed a patent application, etc.
         | The  "proof of work" was the product, basically, and you can
         | build your career by making good products.
         | 
         | Now that I am working as a scientist, I see that many
         | scientists have a different view of what their "product" is. I
         | have always focused on the product being the science itself ---
         | the theories I develop, the experiments and simulations I
         | conduct, etc. But for many scientists, the product is the
         | papers, because that it what people use to evaluate your
         | career. It does not have to be this way, but we would have to
         | shift towards a better definition of what it means to be a
         | productive scientist.
        
       | agarttha wrote:
       | Random thoughts from physics researcher: - Too much imitation
       | delays innovation. - For all the emphasis on high risk research,
       | the system doesn't reward it. - Creativity isn't valued as much
       | as it should be. - negative results and failed experiments hold
       | back careers but are signs of attempts at innovation - the VC
       | world may understand that only 1/100 projects will be novel and
       | perhaps successful, but funding agencies don't
        
       | mpascale00 wrote:
       | The thesis here is not well elaborated on. Ref [1] for example
       | seems to me to miss more recent progress on our understanding of
       | working memory, and in linguistics, while Chomsky's work is
       | foundational, we have a much better idea now of how the requisite
       | compositionality of behavior necessary for language might arise
       | in the human brain.
        
         | mpascale00 wrote:
         | To add to that, I agree with the basic sentiment of the article
         | - but it just doesn't seem to be the reflections of an
         | academic. Ending with optimism about AI, to me, makes me think
         | the author believes AI will solve a problem they are not well
         | acquainted with.
         | 
         | Perhaps one expects overgeneralization in consulting blogs
         | though
        
       | kj4211cash wrote:
       | So much of academic life revolves around bringing in grant money.
       | This is particularly true in STEM fields and at the best research
       | schools. There are ever increasing administrative hoops to jump
       | through to bring in that grant money. And grants nowadays are
       | often given out for research on very specific topics often chosen
       | by bureaucrats. These topics are, almost by definition, not
       | innovative. The NSF is an exception but there are very few NSF
       | grants given out, relative to the number of researchers. My
       | assessment is that the most famous, most published researchers
       | can still afford to explore, if they have the time and
       | inclination, but the rest cannot.
        
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