[HN Gopher] What you need to know about EMP weapons
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       What you need to know about EMP weapons
        
       Author : flyingkiwi44
       Score  : 95 points
       Date   : 2025-06-06 11:06 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.aardvark.co.nz)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.aardvark.co.nz)
        
       | PaulHoule wrote:
       | The remarkable form of nuclear EMP is that an exoatmospheric
       | explosion creates a pulse of gamma rays which ionize the air in
       | the upper atmosphere and create a plasma explosion that creates
       | strong EM fields over a wide area
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_electromagnetic_pulse
        
       | meepmorp wrote:
       | > As we sit, possible poised on the verge of a nuclear conflict
       | in the Northern Hemisphere, maybe it's time to look at the
       | damaging effects of the electromagnetic pulse that follows a
       | nuclear detonation.
       | 
       | I guess that's what I get for not doomscrolling like I used to,
       | but I wasn't aware we were on the brink of nuclear annihilation.
       | Can someone explain that for me?
        
         | closewith wrote:
         | Following a devastating recent strike on the air leg of the
         | Russian nuclear triad by Ukranian drones, some analysts believe
         | the use of nuclear weapons by Russian has become much less
         | unlikely.
        
           | hcfman wrote:
           | Somehow I don't see those as related. Any use of nukes will
           | not be an act of rationality. That's the utter stupidity
           | behind this belief in MAD keeping us safe.
        
             | diggan wrote:
             | > Any use of nukes will not be an act of rationality
             | 
             | Does that mean past usage also wasn't rational? Or it was
             | rational in that case, but impossibly can be rational in
             | the future?
        
               | impossiblefork wrote:
               | I'm not the person you're responding to, but most of the
               | irrationality of nuclear weapons use is when it's nuclear
               | weapons use against an entity which also has nuclear
               | weapons.
               | 
               | Any use is going to lead to at a minimum an equally
               | harmful response.
        
             | closewith wrote:
             | > Any use of nukes will not be an act of rationality.
             | 
             | It wouldn't be a rational act. It would be an emotional act
             | by an irrational dictator.
        
             | sharpshadow wrote:
             | Exactly, there is no official communication that the attack
             | on nuclear capable planes is revenged with a nuclear
             | attack. What has been very clearly communicated though is
             | that the attack on the personal transport trains has been
             | counted as a terrorist attack and now Russia is about to
             | declare Ukraine leadership as a terrorist organisation. A
             | change from special operation to a terrorist hunt involves
             | various changes.
        
               | jajko wrote:
               | Those are just empty names russian tv is making up to
               | amuse less bright part of population. Its just another
               | war, has been since 2014, nothing more and nothing less.
               | 
               | Lets not forget in first hours of 2022 invasion there
               | were numerous hunting squads deployed in Kyiv with
               | explicit orders and training to execute all Ukraine's
               | high command, including Zelensky and all his family, and
               | cause chaos on civilian and military infrastructure.
               | There are numerous videos how those guys failed, were
               | caught and mostly executed since they expected a very
               | different situation on the ground (which is valid even as
               | per Geneva convention, as non-marked combatants behind
               | enemy lines would often face). One of many FSB and GRU's
               | failures.
               | 
               | If we want to talk about terrorism, list of items on
               | russian side is very, very long and new items are added
               | every day. As I said, empty words and all know it. The
               | closer you look at russia these days at all levels the
               | more similarities with nazi Germany you will find.
               | History really keeps repeating itself with sometimes
               | stunning precision.
        
           | bell-cot wrote:
           | I'd replace "some analysts" with "some alarmists". And unless
           | you're in the hyped-up headline business, the attack fell
           | well short of "devastating".
           | 
           | Plus, the pre-attack triad cred of the
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tupolev_Tu-95 bombers was
           | pretty limited. Notice that they are turboprops. From the
           | 1950's. Hitting hard against the western nuclear powers
           | (US/UK/France) ain't in their talent set.
        
             | closewith wrote:
             | > And unless you're in the hyped-up headline business, the
             | attack fell well short of "devastating".
             | 
             | All other comparable attacks have been considered
             | devastating in history.
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | _sigh_ all of that history existed before the development
               | of ICBMs and submarine launched ICBMs particularly. Which
               | happened around the 1960s-ish depending how you count it.
               | 
               | ICBMs, and in particular submarine based ICBMs, are what
               | provide nuclear deterrence in a serious fashion. They
               | arrive faster, and are effectively unstoppable at scale.
        
               | closewith wrote:
               | An attack can be devastating without harming any military
               | capabilities at all.
               | 
               | 9/11 was devastating. October 7th was devastating.
               | Pahalgam was devastating.
               | 
               | The drone attacks against Russian airbases were highly
               | destructive, caused extreme shock, and were extremely
               | impressive - the literal definitions of devastating.
               | 
               | The response will depend on the emotional and political
               | reality within Russia. Although they have not lost their
               | nuclear strike capabilities, they have lost face and now
               | Putin may feel the need to act to retain his strongman
               | hold on the country, or risk being Ceausescu'd.
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | And no one responded to any of those with strategic
               | nuclear attacks.
               | 
               | Russia certainly hasn't actually ramped up any nuclear
               | rhetoric in response, which it's been happy to do at
               | other times when it would be taken less seriously (and
               | ramped it down significantly in late-2022 after it's US
               | back channels communicated their intentions if any
               | nuclear weapons or nuclear terrorism was used in
               | Ukraine).
        
               | bell-cot wrote:
               | Yet the passably professional military news sites I've
               | read describe the attack in terms like "substantial",
               | "demoralizing", and "temporarily constrain Russia's
               | ability to conduct long-range drone and missile strikes
               | into Ukraine". _Not_ "devastating", nor any similar
               | (emotive or maximal) terminology.
        
             | themadturk wrote:
             | The point is that Tu-95s are still an integral part of
             | Moscow's aircraft leg of their nuclear triad. They are
             | fully capable of carrying nuclear-tipped standoff weapons
             | and attacking Europe. They fulfill the same role as the
             | B-52 (also a 1940s-1950s design) does for the USAF. Their
             | apparent cruising speed is roughly 100kph less than the
             | B-52 and they are comparable in range.
             | 
             | Part of the reason it's so critical to Moscow is the
             | uncertainty over the viability of their missile-based
             | systems (both the land-based and sea-based legs of the
             | triad). Maintenance has been so poor on these systems that
             | no one is sure how reliable they are.
        
         | CalRobert wrote:
         | I think the idea is that Ukraine's attack on Russian nuclear
         | capable bombers weakens Russia's nuclear triad (plane, sub, and
         | ICBM nukes) and makes the situation less stable.
         | 
         | Can't say I blame Ukraine though.
        
           | bilbo0s wrote:
           | It's kind of like WWI.
           | 
           | Where some minor player commits some act and the entire
           | Western-Russo world spirals out into war. Only this time we
           | use nuclear weapons instead of trenches and cannons.
           | 
           | Would be an interesting case study for Brazilian historians
           | in the future.
        
             | hcfman wrote:
             | Or New Zealand ones :) I imagine Peter Thiel might be
             | spending more time down there these days :)
        
               | bilbo0s wrote:
               | Not sure Australia-New Zealand make it? In fact, I'm
               | fairly certain they would get hit. Just as certain as I
               | am that North Korea would get hit.
               | 
               | I mean, just consider it from our (US) perspective. Any
               | Russian naval assets that are harbored in, say, North
               | Korea; I'm not sure that we could assume they don't mean
               | us any harm. So I'm almost certain our subs launch
               | strikes on North Korea despite them not really being
               | involved directly in NATO-Russian hostilities. I think
               | the same would go for US, (or NATO), bases and NATO naval
               | assets harbored in Australia or New Zealand. There's just
               | no way Russian sub captains let those targets go.
               | 
               | I think, in general, having had your nation destroyed is
               | probably _more_ reason for all those guys to fight each
               | other and strike at targets of that nature. Not less.
        
             | tgv wrote:
             | The killing of Franz Ferdinand was just the starter shot.
             | Everybody was already waiting in the blocks to rush.
        
         | diggan wrote:
         | Maybe that's based on the "Doomsday Clock"
         | (https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/) being as close to
         | "human extinction" as it has ever been? Not sure, but sounds
         | plausible the author is reading into that.
        
           | bargainbin wrote:
           | Anyone using that exercise in melodramatics as their basis
           | for probability of nuclear war deserves to be laughed it and
           | subsequently ignored.
        
             | diggan wrote:
             | The author is writing about post-nuclear detonation, of
             | course it's an exercise in melodramatics and theories,
             | that's clear from the onset.
        
           | hollerith wrote:
           | Doomsday clock is not an estimate of nuclear risk these days,
           | but includes risks like climate change.
        
         | Nursie wrote:
         | There's been a lot of rattling of nuclear sabres of Russia's
         | Ukraine invasion.
         | 
         | Ukraine managed a pretty effective attack on a few days ago,
         | which is the last time it was brought up in a "you should
         | probably stop supporting Ukraine with money and arms. Also, in
         | unrelated matters, we still have a lot of nukes."
         | 
         | Then there was the short-lived open hostility over Kashmir a
         | few weeks back, with newsreaders everywhere reminding us that
         | both India and Pakistan are nuclear powers.
         | 
         | Imminent threat of launch? Unsure. But it's definitely a bit
         | more ... I dunno, 'present' than it has been for a while.
        
         | polotics wrote:
         | classic bully move of saying if you don't hand over the lunch
         | money and keep quiet, he's going to plant that knife in your
         | belly. Except the bully goes to the same school and his daddy
         | (Russian's oligarchy Putin pet masters) really like their
         | jetsetting vacations.
        
         | SAI_Peregrinus wrote:
         | The end of the cold war didn't also end the threat of nuclear
         | war. Russia has threatened to use nukes if aid to Ukraine
         | continues, while they haven't followed through on those threats
         | it's not impossible that they will eventually.
        
           | GJim wrote:
           | > it's not impossible that they will eventually.
           | 
           | Please stop believing the ridiculous Russian propaganda.
           | 
           | Using even a single tactical nuclear weapon would be game-
           | over for Putin's Russia.
        
             | cjbgkagh wrote:
             | At some point it could be game over for Putin's Russia
             | anyway, then what is to stop them.
             | 
             | Israel has a policy of the Samson option that they define
             | as destroying the enemy but they also imply they will
             | destroy the world. Russia has made similar statements.
        
               | GJim wrote:
               | I despair at such naivety.
        
             | Calwestjobs wrote:
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YOG_7LKWLZo
        
             | Amezarak wrote:
             | Why? Because you expect we'd nuke them for it? Hadn't heard
             | this before and honestly am not sure why they don't at this
             | point, it seems like they have less and less to lose as the
             | war goes on. I read in the NYT a few weeks ago the pentagon
             | estimated the escalation back in dec/jan had a 50/50 shot
             | of going nuclear.
        
         | MobiusHorizons wrote:
         | We aren't really. But people bring it up every time Russia sees
         | a setback or embarrassment in the war with Ukraine. Look up
         | operation spider web if you want to know the latest. It was
         | quite an impressive strike by Ukraine on the strategic bombers
         | Russia has been using to launch cruise missiles at Ukraine
         | (some parked very deep in Siberia). They are also part of
         | Russia's strategic nuclear triad, so some people are concerned
         | this could lead to nuclear war.
        
       | lenerdenator wrote:
       | 1) Don't worry about it. If one goes off over a NATO country or
       | Russia/China, you'll soon have much, _much_ bigger problems to
       | worry about.
       | 
       | 2) There is no 2)
        
         | diggan wrote:
         | I mean, the article is about the EMP wave following a nuclear
         | detonation, I'm not sure there are bigger problems _after_
         | that, we 're already pretty deep into "shit has hit the fan" at
         | that point.
         | 
         | From the first paragraph:
         | 
         | > maybe it's time to look at the damaging effects of the
         | electromagnetic pulse that follows a nuclear detonation.
        
           | littlestymaar wrote:
           | > I mean, the article is about the EMP wave following a
           | nuclear detonation, I'm not sure there are bigger problems
           | after that, we're already pretty deep into "shit has hit the
           | fan" at that point.
           | 
           | Sure we are in deep trouble, but at that point, but I
           | disagree with your "not sure there are bigger problems after
           | that": the following problem would be a nuke exploding in
           | your direct vicinity (instead of in high altitude/space where
           | it caused an EMP).
        
         | muzani wrote:
         | But I don't live in any of those places. Also I believe India-
         | Pakistan has nukes too. And possibly Israel-Iran. North Korea
         | too? The peace loving nations are well within fallout range.
         | 
         | My biggest fear with MAD is that it only takes a single
         | irrational leader, and we've seen so many of them lately.
        
           | Workaccount2 wrote:
           | I don't want to jinx it, but even the most deranged leaders
           | don't want to rule over a nuclear wasteland. And they
           | especially don't want to go down in their history as the
           | worst person who ruined everything for their party.
        
             | themadturk wrote:
             | No, but some might have a "take the world down with me"
             | attitude.
        
         | yabones wrote:
         | Yeah, what I've learned from films like "Threads" and "The Day
         | After" is that you very much want to die in the first 20ms of a
         | nuclear war. Don't dig a hole to hide in, put your lawn chair
         | on the roof and hope you're close enough to ground zero to get
         | a peaceful and dignified end.
        
           | Gud wrote:
           | Fuck that. I'm going to resist dying. I am going to keep
           | those around me, alive.
        
             | jamespo wrote:
             | for a few minutes / hours I guess
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | Outside of acute radiation poisoning and blast damage,
               | it's still a big planet.
               | 
               | The real problem is what happens over the next 3 to 12
               | months, since global trade and agriculture would fall
               | apart.
               | 
               | Most projections of casualties from nuclear war have much
               | higher fatalities from famine then bombardment.
        
             | BuyMyBitcoins wrote:
             | Surviving will be a miserable ordeal. That being said, all
             | of my ancestors have survived every major calamity in the
             | history of life on earth. The way I see it, I owe it to
             | them to _try_ surviving whatever comes next. A few select
             | generations lived through much, much worse.
             | 
             | It may sound bizarre, but I don't believe in an afterlife
             | so I might as well lean into _something_ to give me
             | inspiration. The idea that I exist because my extremely
             | distant ancestors survived every mass extinction gives me a
             | sense of wonder.
        
               | leptons wrote:
               | >Surviving will be a miserable ordeal
               | 
               | Life is already a miserable ordeal for far too many
               | people.
        
               | Henchman21 wrote:
               | Which is why if I ever see a mushroom cloud, I'm running
               | towards it.
        
             | mopenstein wrote:
             | And you'll survive. You'll build the cornerstones of future
             | civilization! They'll erect statues of you!
             | 
             | And then in 100 years they'll curse you and tear down those
             | statues because they found out you ate the last kangaroo in
             | order to survive.
        
           | andybp85 wrote:
           | yup. "the survivors are the lucky ones" is fantasy.
        
             | georgeecollins wrote:
             | It is a well understood phenomena of human nature to say
             | that "I would rather die then go through X" and then when
             | you go through X (or worse) you don't want to die. This is
             | well understood because it happens a lot with illness or
             | accident. Also its a very adaptive trait that we want to
             | avoid terrible situations but most of us don't quit.
        
           | Amezarak wrote:
           | I think it's important to understand fictional stories, even
           | reasonable speculative ones, will usually have very little to
           | do with actual reality. Don't base your choices on what you
           | saw in a movie.
        
           | lenerdenator wrote:
           | Funny that you mention "The Day After", I watched that movie
           | in high school then went to lunch in a school that overlooks
           | the Kansas City skyline.
           | 
           | No chance that had anything to do with the panic attack I had
           | when Putin put his nuclear troops on high alert after
           | invading Ukraine. No sir, not at all.
        
             | jajko wrote:
             | As we saw puttin' is just empty talk, he is too smart and
             | paranoid to fuck up his mafia empire be built so hard, his
             | survival in some deep shelter with few bodyguards would be
             | very short, person like him doesn't have any reliable true
             | friends.
             | 
             | The problem is the person coming after him - if he will be
             | an extremist nutjob, everything is possible even if only 5%
             | or 10% of soviet missiles still work.
        
           | armada651 wrote:
           | If there is a chance at survival, no matter how slim I would
           | take it. Even if it brings me suffering at least I tried to
           | escape death. Whether my end was peaceful or dignified is of
           | no relevance to me, because I won't be around to regret my
           | end.
        
             | tintor wrote:
             | The problem is how much of your resources and time right
             | now will you spend "prepping" for that "no matter how slim"
             | chance in the future.
        
               | jajko wrote:
               | Its like working out in the gym - if you see it as a
               | chore and a must, it is or becomes painful very quickly.
               | If you make it fun and self-motivating (and ie get into
               | hiking and camping in the wilderness, or practice
               | shooting on targets, or training martial arts, some
               | people really enjoy gardening and so on), the time is not
               | wasted but enjoyed.
               | 
               | But I agree thats hardly a mindset of typical US redneck
               | prepper. Although most of them live in rural areas and at
               | least some hunting skills are sort of essential to cut
               | costs.
        
               | Nevermark wrote:
               | > hunting skills are sort of essential to cut costs.
               | 
               | That's the first time I have heard of marauding post-
               | apocalyptic biker gangs being called "costs"!
        
             | NotCamelCase wrote:
             | This discussion reminds me a beautiful sentence I read in
             | 'The Power and the Glory' by Graham Greene: "Hope is an
             | instinct that only the reasoning human mind can kill."
        
           | southernplaces7 wrote:
           | I truly, really, forcefully recommend reading the novel
           | "Warday" by Witley Strieber and James Kunetka It takes place
           | in the early 90s, several years after an accidentally limited
           | nuclear exchange between the United States and the USSR. The
           | story traces the journey of two reporters crossing the
           | devastated country and chronicling the stories of survivors
           | and how they got by, while also slowly developing the
           | journalists' own survival narratives.
           | 
           | In a very well written, visceral way, this novel showcases
           | the barbarities that even such a limited nuclear can unleash
           | on a society, like few others I've read. On the other hand it
           | also underscores the hopeful recovery efforts that people are
           | capable of.
           | 
           | For anyone who appreciated those films, I can't imagine them
           | disliking Warday. It's also delivers an unusually powerful
           | emotional punch with its character development, well above
           | the average for apocalypse literature.
           | 
           | One of the frighteningly realistic elements of the storyline
           | is how it describes the nuclear bombardment as "moderate", at
           | least compared to what was intended by the Soviets. However,
           | because a large part of the fallout completely ruins the
           | agricultural capacity of the country, the resulting
           | development of widespread malnutrition turns a later flu
           | epidemic into something truly murderous, causing far more
           | death on top of what the bombs produced.
        
             | wat10000 wrote:
             | Finally, someone else who appreciates Warday!
             | 
             | It's really good. And as far as I can tell, as a layman who
             | reads way too much about this stuff, quite accurate in
             | terms of what the sort of limited strike depicted in the
             | book would do in the short and long term. (I have quibbles,
             | such as what happens to San Antonio and Manhattan, but
             | nothing major.)
             | 
             | Highly recommended to anyone who like the genre.
        
           | mopsi wrote:
           | One has to recognize the genre of "Threads" and "The Day
           | After" - they represent _suffering porn_ that has little to
           | do with how actual disasters play out. In  "Threads", the way
           | people suddenly lose the ability to speak and rapidly turn
           | into cavemen after a nuclear strike is comical. Kids grunt
           | instead of talk, everyone shuffles around like zombies, and
           | basic things like farming or using tools just vanish. How is
           | anyone supposed to take that seriously? Is that how Cologne,
           | Dresden, Wurzburg and Pforzheim, or Hiroshima and Nagasaki
           | looked a decade after they had been destroyed in Allied
           | bombing raids? The truth is that even after infrastructure
           | gets bombed back to the Middle Ages, life remains
           | surprisingly normal, and people quickly rebuild.
           | 
           | Hiroshima in 1957, about a mile from the epicenter of the
           | nuclear strike: https://img.i-scmp.com/cdn-
           | cgi/image/fit=contain,width=1024,...
        
             | clutchdude wrote:
             | Those events happened when widespread support and supply
             | were brought into to deal with the relatively limited
             | destruction.
             | 
             | This is destruction on a scale that has not been seen in
             | the likes of civilization outside the bronze age collapse.
             | 
             | The fact is there is going to be no one coming to help
             | replace burned up hoes and shovels.
             | 
             | Threads and the Day after weren't a snapshot of one single
             | city - they were a snapshot of what would be happening
             | everywhere else at the same time.
        
               | mopsi wrote:
               | > The fact is there is going to be no one coming to help
               | replace burned up hoes and shovels.
               | 
               | Why?
               | 
               | Why would it be happening everywhere - in South America,
               | Africa, Asia, and many other places - at the same time?
        
           | palmotea wrote:
           | > Yeah, what I've learned from films like "Threads" and "The
           | Day After" is that you very much want to die in the first
           | 20ms of a nuclear war. Don't dig a hole to hide in, put your
           | lawn chair on the roof and hope you're close enough to ground
           | zero to get a peaceful and dignified end.
           | 
           | That's all fine and dandy if you only have yourself to think
           | about...
        
           | toss1 wrote:
           | That sounds like a good idea but the physics mean you have a
           | far greater likelihood of painfully regretting that choice;
           | "It seemed like a good idea at the time" will be no solace.
           | 
           | Using an example of a 350kt airburst on NukeMap[0], the
           | fireball radius is 700m with an area of 1.53 km2. The Thermal
           | Radiation Radius with 3rd degree burns is 7.67 km with an
           | area of 185 km2. The Light Blast Damage Radius is 13.9 km
           | with an area of 610 km2. While the numbers will be different
           | for different yields, the basic ratios will be the same.
           | 
           | This means that your person in the lawn chair is highly
           | unlikely to get to unconscious bliss in 20ms. They are 120
           | times more likely to enjoy the full experience of 3rd degree
           | burns and ~400 times more likely to get significant injury
           | while still being alive.
           | 
           | It seems far better to take shelter and do all you can to
           | survive intact, and help others. If the situation on the
           | other side is intolerably bad, you'll likely be able to find
           | ways to end your situation far less painfully vs being naked
           | against a nuke blast.
           | 
           | [0] https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/
        
           | rl3 wrote:
           | > _Don 't dig a hole to hide in, put your lawn chair on the
           | roof and hope you're close enough to ground zero to get a
           | peaceful and dignified end._
           | 
           | If Sarah Connor's dreams taught me anything, it's that
           | there's an optimal middle ground to be had here.
           | 
           | You don't want to be exposed to the flash nor the heat pulse
           | seconds later, because it's pretty much instant blindness
           | followed by your skin melting off.
           | 
           | What you do want is the blast wave that sends large objects
           | plus the pulverized debris with it in your direction, so you
           | probably just get crushed instantly.
           | 
           | I'd only recommend the lawn chair part if you've got a
           | protective suit and flash blinders, in which case the real
           | question is what you're drinking and/or smoking at the time.
        
           | pmontra wrote:
           | I have a nice view of the skyscrapers of a large city some 70
           | km to the North. Looking at it from my lawn chair probably
           | won't kill me but it could make me blind.
        
         | spacebanana7 wrote:
         | Not all uses of nuclear weapons necessarily escalate to the
         | doomsday maximum exchange scenarios. There are many interesting
         | points of equilibrium in between.
         | 
         | For example - if far right extremists took over Turkey and
         | attacked Russia, then Russia nuked a Turkish airbase, what
         | would the US/UK/France do? It's not actually that obvious.
        
           | BuyMyBitcoins wrote:
           | You're going to see the most strongly worded letter in the
           | history of human civilization.
        
           | rjsw wrote:
           | Turkey is a member of NATO.
        
             | spacebanana7 wrote:
             | That's the point. In theory Turkey is covered by the NATO
             | nuclear umbrella.
             | 
             | But in practice how many Americans would be willing to go
             | nuclear in support of a Turkish war against the Russians?
             | In circumstances where Turkey was considered the aggressor
             | state.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > But in practice how many Americans would be willing to
               | go nuclear in support of a Turkish war against the
               | Russians? In circumstances where Turkey was considered
               | the aggressor state.
               | 
               | The question is how many would be willing to go nuclear
               | in response to Russia nuking US forces in Turkiye in
               | response to a conventional attack by Turkiye, which any
               | plausible "Russia nukes Turkiye" scenario would involve.
        
               | spacebanana7 wrote:
               | It's not obvious how many casualties the US itself would
               | tolerate before going nuclear.
               | 
               | In circumstances where there were only a couple thousand
               | American casualties, and those were incurred as
               | collateral damage rather than as primary targets, it
               | might make sense for the US to respond with conventional
               | airstrikes and for Russia accept those and not escalate
               | further.
               | 
               | This would depend a lot on the individual president
               | though, like I could imagine Trump/Obama being much more
               | risk averse than personalities like Bush 2 or JFK.
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | More than that, Turkey is a member of NATO that
             | participates in US nuclear sharing and has substantial US
             | forces (aside from the nuclear weapons) deployed.
             | 
             | A nuclear attack by Russia on Turkey would not be merely
             | legally and abstractly an attack on the US under Article 5
             | of the North Atlantic Treaty which it would do massive
             | irreparable damage to US credibility to ignore, but would
             | almost certainly be a nuclear attack on US forces in the
             | direct and literal sense.
        
               | margalabargala wrote:
               | > A nuclear attack by Russia on Turkey would not be
               | merely legally and abstractly an attack on the US under
               | Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty
               | 
               | In the given scenario above, Turkey attacks first, in
               | which case Article 5 would not apply to a retaliation.
        
               | spacebanana7 wrote:
               | The text of article 5 doesn't distinguish whether the
               | attack on the NATO state was justified or even whether
               | the NATO state attacked first.
               | 
               | This lack of blaming is partly why Turkey and Greece had
               | to sign at exactly the same time, so that neither could
               | take advantage of being able to attack the other whilst
               | being themselves shielded by NATO.
               | 
               | "The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or
               | more of them in Europe or North America shall be
               | considered an attack against them all..." -
               | 
               | https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_110496.htm
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > The text of article 5 doesn't distinguish whether the
               | attack on the NATO state was justified or even whether
               | the NATO state attacked first.
               | 
               | Arguably, the text of Article 5 doesn't have to, since an
               | act of aggression breaches the obligations of Articles 1
               | and 2, as well as the pre-existing obligations which the
               | Treaty explicitly does not alter under Article 7.
        
               | spacebanana7 wrote:
               | I see what you mean - although articles 1 & 2 seem to be
               | treated more like guidelines rather than rules.
               | 
               | Otherwise I struggle to understand how any NATO member
               | could've engaged in any of the overt or covert
               | expressions of military force in Iraq 2003, Vietnam,
               | Cuba, Iran, Guatemala, Chile, Egypt, or Algeria to name
               | but a few.
        
           | euroderf wrote:
           | Responding to conventional weapons with a nuke ? Unlikely.
        
             | spacebanana7 wrote:
             | The USA did it against Japan. Of course those were special
             | circumstances, but all wars have their own set of special
             | circumstances to some extent.
             | 
             | There's also the argument that using nuclear weapons make
             | sense when a nuclear state has a weaker conventional force
             | that its opponent. Russia still has a pretty strong
             | conventional force, but for example North Korea is in this
             | position against most likely adversaries.
        
               | Nevermark wrote:
               | The irony is that if your defenses consist of, on the one
               | hand, nuclear weapons, and on the other hand, pitchforks
               | brandished by several farmers... You are going to be
               | very, very respected.
        
         | jnurmine wrote:
         | I agree about not worrying about it, but one should be aware --
         | awareness about something is not equal to worrying about
         | something.
         | 
         | Awareness of something is the first step in adapting. One can
         | adapt beforehand, or, one can adapt afterwards; with more
         | limited resources, necessitated by circumstances, under more
         | time pressure, with more suboptimal tools, and so on.
         | 
         | It is unquestionable that an EMP would have an extreme impact
         | in all aspects of society and the lives of people. Preparations
         | on macro and micro level can mitigate some of the problems that
         | would follow. And preparations require awareness.
        
       | tronicjester wrote:
       | To prevent nuclear war YouTube has now blocked videos related to
       | faraday cages.
        
         | _nub3 wrote:
         | wtf?
        
         | imglorp wrote:
         | Not surprised, but is there a source? I guess hiding your
         | electronics from The Man is subversive.
         | 
         | And front page today, Jeff discovered that media servers are
         | also verboten: https://www.jeffgeerling.com/blog/2025/self-
         | hosting-your-own...
         | 
         | Is someone keeping a list of all the various censorship
         | triggers on YT?
        
           | flufluflufluffy wrote:
           | I think this was a joke related to Jeff's post xD
        
       | tomxor wrote:
       | > wrap that in aluminium foil, making sure that the ends are
       | folded over and pressed down hard to provide good inter-layer
       | contact
       | 
       | I've tried this many times, it's impossible to prevent gaps
       | without welding it shut. Obviously I wasn't testing with an EMP
       | or nuke, but trying to block 2.4GHz WiFi... But that is well
       | within the E1 range the author states.
       | 
       | I think the problem with folding is it's too uniform, it's still
       | too easy for waves to propagate through the humanly imperceptible
       | gaps with only a few reflections.
       | 
       | The only method I found that worked consistently was to wrap many
       | layers randomly overlapping and crumpling previous layers. My
       | theory as to why this works is through self interference due to
       | creating a long signal path with highly randomised reflections...
       | No idea if that would help cancel out EMP.
        
         | davidmurdoch wrote:
         | I need to test flaky cell phone connectivity issues and tried
         | the same thing. Aluminum foil did not cause packet loss. But a
         | microwave (not running) in a building with a metal roof in a
         | room surrounded by metal filing cabinets did the job.
        
         | Workaccount2 wrote:
         | Let me tell you something from first hand field experience with
         | faraday cages...
         | 
         | They attenuate signals, they do not block them. The common
         | verbiage is to say "faraday cages block EM radiation", so
         | people naturally assume that it _blocks_ EM radiation. But I
         | learned the hard way while doing compliance testing that no,
         | they do not block EM radiation, they just weaken it (and it 's
         | highly frequency dependent on top of that.)
        
           | washadjeffmad wrote:
           | That seems intuitive, though. EM radiation is either
           | reflected or absorbed, and optimizing for that requires both
           | a pretty complex understanding of RF behavior and generally
           | knowing that materials are generally radiopaque and
           | radiolucent at different frequencies and wattages.
           | 
           | Sometimes we're trying to keep things (eg- information)
           | outside from getting in, and other times we want to prevent
           | things inside from getting out. There are practices to
           | optimize for both that don't rely on "blocking".
        
             | tomxor wrote:
             | > EM radiation is either reflected or absorbed
             | 
             | By interfaces yes, but it can also be cancelled out through
             | destructive interference as a side effect of reflection,
             | which is my theory of how a "big ball of crumply aluminium"
             | is so effective compared to less chaotic solutions.
        
               | bbarnett wrote:
               | Every time my friends make fun of my hat, every time I
               | think of shedding the 'Luminum Life, something convinces
               | me to stand fast.
               | 
               | Thank you brother.
               | 
               | Thank you.
        
               | widforss wrote:
               | Rough surfaces increase reflection in non-specular
               | directions and decrease it in the specular direction. I
               | have never heard that it would facilitate destructive
               | interference.
        
           | Onavo wrote:
           | Well, I am not sure how you expect redneck prepper types to
           | pick up on enough RF theory to manufacture homemade
           | metamaterials.
        
           | jerf wrote:
           | "(and it's highly frequency dependent on top of that.)"
           | 
           | Well, sure. Can people inside the cage see outside? (Or a
           | hypothetical person for a small cage.) If so, then clearly,
           | not all frequencies are being blocked. A lot of "Faraday
           | cages" are explicitly designed for radio and deliberately let
           | other frequencies, particularly the visual range, through.
           | 
           | In fact we all have direct experience with that. Our
           | microwaves use a Faraday cage to keep them in. But we can
           | still see through the mesh, and you can tell that the inside
           | can see out because outside light can go in and bounce back
           | out. (That is, while there's probably a light in your
           | microwave, it's obviously not the sole source of light.)
           | Blocks microwaves well, but visible light goes right through
           | the holes.
        
             | wat10000 wrote:
             | They let out enough to interfere with radios operating
             | around 2.4GHz. They'll attenuate the stuff, quite strongly
             | if built well (the only reason interference is a problem is
             | because the oven is 3+ orders of magnitude more powerful
             | than a typical 2.4GHz radio), but it's not a total block.
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | Anyone interested can test this with an RF bug finder,
               | even the homebuilt ones that just increase the intensity
               | of an LED when near a source will work to demonstrate the
               | leaks.
        
         | Calwestjobs wrote:
         | 1. google how many lightning strikes are there per day
         | 
         | 2. google how many millions of miles/kilometers of electric
         | wires is hanging in air all over the world providing people
         | with electricity
         | 
         | 3. do not google how many of those millions of lightning
         | strikes PER DAY disabled those billions of miles of wires per
         | day, by applying energy bigger than nuclear EMP. do not google
         | that.
        
           | pjc50 wrote:
           | Do you want to link your answers for comparison? The
           | lightning strike issue seems to be mostly fuses with
           | occasional more serious events. https://ewh.ieee.org/soc/pes/
           | lpdl/archive/4_Bill_Chisholm_pa...
        
           | wat10000 wrote:
           | Starfish Prime blew streetlight fuses 900 miles away. I don't
           | think lighting can do that.
        
         | downrightmike wrote:
         | Why not try a large Stanley cup? Double layered, top seals
         | shut, pretty easy to get a hold of.
        
         | ttshaw1 wrote:
         | You shouldn't need to prevent gaps entirely. You only need to
         | make sure there are no holes larger than roughly the wavelength
         | of the radiation you're trying to block. Which, for 2.4GHz
         | wifi, is about 125mm. I think what you saw is that a single
         | layer of foil isn't enough skin depths thick to block radiation
         | sufficiently at that frequency.
        
       | hollerith wrote:
       | >The world's longest-running online daily news and commentary
       | publication . . . The opinion pieces presented here are not
       | purported to be fact . . .
       | 
       | No thanks, I'll wait for factual information.
        
         | hcfman wrote:
         | Hey don't knock mister Simpson. He's an icon. I'm amazed he's
         | still going.
        
       | bollybobthoeton wrote:
       | Can't I just chuck it in the microwave and hope no one presses
       | start?
        
         | jefftk wrote:
         | Frequency is too high. Needs to be solid metal, and your
         | microwave uses a mesh. Your microwave is also super leaky
         | electromagnetically, which you can see by the effect on 2.4GHz
         | WiFi. It's just not leaky enough to cook you.
        
         | Calwestjobs wrote:
         | chuck what? your desktop pc already is inside of metal
         | enclosure designed to minimize EM emissions, per UL/CE
         | requirements for electronic devices.
         | 
         | also Voltage is difference between two levels, "potential". so
         | that means 5Volt dc device will work if "GND"/minus pole is
         | 3000volts "above real earth" and positive pole is 3005Volt
         | "above real earth"
         | 
         | difference between + and - is voltage, so 3000 V - 3005 V is 5
         | V.
         | 
         | youtubers can film experiment showing this.
        
       | cogogo wrote:
       | El Eternauta on netflix is an Argentine sci-fi series based on an
       | old comic recently released. It is very well done. Best series
       | I've watched in a while. Avoiding any real spoilers it pretty
       | much kicks off with an EMP frying all modern electronics and the
       | grid.
        
       | mrbluecoat wrote:
       | A great, but chilling, read on this topic is 'One Second After',
       | by William R. Forstchen
        
       | wiradikusuma wrote:
       | So the situation in the Eternaut series is possible, man-made?
        
       | amit9gupta wrote:
       | The book Nuclear War: A Scenario Hardcover by Annie Jacobsen
       | should be essential reading for all politicians and those
       | profiteering from the Military Industrial Complex
       | 
       | https://www.amazon.com/Nuclear-War-Scenario-Annie-Jacobsen/d...
        
         | BryanLegend wrote:
         | I read it and it's completely biased to a worst imaginable
         | scenario. Not likely to reflect any real world at all.
        
           | andybp85 wrote:
           | The book says that that's exactly what it's supposed to be,
           | to inspire people to talk about it. But (also from the book)
           | the war games the USA runs around these situations always end
           | in a massive nuclear exchange. Sure, some specific
           | situations, like the Devil's Scenario, I would imagine might
           | not reflect a real war, but the case the book is making is
           | that reality is far more likely to be closer to the worst
           | case than to a "best case" (whatever that means here).
        
             | arethuza wrote:
             | I had assumed that if there was a full nuclear exchange
             | that _of course_ both sides would target nuclear power
             | stations in enemy territory - like anyone would be sticking
             | to  "rules" in that scenario?
        
         | sbierwagen wrote:
         | I read it and was not impressed.
         | 
         | It starts with North Korea launching two ICBMs against DC and a
         | nuclear plant in California. Interceptors fail and the warheads
         | hit their targets. This is unlikely, but possible. The launch
         | is explicitly irrational, the act of a mad dictator.
         | 
         | In response, the US counterstrikes with Minuteman, despite
         | having perfectly serviceable air deliverable nukes. Russia
         | detects the launch, and the imprecision of their own early
         | warning systems along with North Korea being next to Russia,
         | they conclude that the US is attacking them. They do a massive
         | launch, the US does a massive launch, worst possible
         | assumptions for a 10C nuclear winter, four billion dead.
         | 
         | The only thing I learned from the book is that if you roll 1
         | over and over and over again, the worst can happen. But we
         | already knew that?
        
       | nancyminusone wrote:
       | >You can also forget about the inverse square law to protect you
       | 
       | No, you don't get to ignore physics because the source is not a
       | point source
       | 
       | >Very large area of EMP
       | 
       | How large?
       | 
       | >Induces currents in any conducting material
       | 
       | So does a magnet falling off my fridge. What magnitude of
       | currents, at what distance, in what sized conductor?
       | 
       | >During E1 the frequencies are so high
       | 
       | How high are they?
       | 
       | There can be radio waves strong enough to fry a silicon chip.
       | There can be radio waves strong enough to melt glass vacuum
       | tubes. This article provides no parameters by which one can make
       | these calculations.
       | 
       | You might as well say "don't get nuked" which is admittedly sound
       | advice.
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | Yeah, this reads like alarmism with no numbers.
         | 
         | It's been a long time since atmospheric nuclear testing, but
         | the US did carry out a bunch of tests to measure such effects,
         | and it would be good to dig up the numbers from them.
        
         | jajko wrote:
         | I would expect this depends on yield, distance, any existing
         | shielding (ie rebar in concrete), height of explosion and so
         | on. Article doesn't discuss any specific bomb, hence no need
         | for specific numbers.
        
         | ianburrell wrote:
         | My understanding is that nearby nuke and high altitude produce
         | different EMP. The nearby one destroys electronic, but less of
         | concern since close to nuclear blast. The high altitude one
         | covers a large area, but it is more like solar flare, causing
         | current in large conductors and primarily affecting the grid.
         | 
         | The problem is that the recent government studies that say high
         | altitude can hurt electronics are all made by alarmists. When
         | we should be focusing effort on grounding the grid, both for
         | EMPs and for flares.
        
       | os2warpman wrote:
       | EMP weapons do not exist.
        
       | akkartik wrote:
       | What about turning devices off, does that protect against one or
       | two of the three phases?
        
       | euroderf wrote:
       | I see no voltages in the article. But I've read 50,000 volts per
       | foot of conductor.
        
       | ctippett wrote:
       | Genuine question, what happens to any commercial aircraft in the
       | vicinity of such a detonation? Are they at a high enough altitude
       | to avoid the EMP blast or can we expect them to lose all
       | electronics?
        
       | 1970-01-01 wrote:
       | Datacenters hate this one weird trick!
        
       | ufmace wrote:
       | I'm not sure about most of this. The great majority of the
       | articles and stories about this I've read trace back to layman
       | speculation and disaster porn fiction written by people who have
       | never claimed to actually be informed about how these things
       | work. There's damn little stuff out there that traces back to
       | actual experiments with real hardware. Probably most of the
       | serious experiments are by various militaries and are highly
       | classified. I've seen some more believable stuff suggesting that
       | most consumer electronics and automobiles are not vulnerable at
       | all to the much-fictionalized high-altitude nuclear EMP.
       | 
       | Either way, the author of this article does not cite any sources
       | or relevant experience, and he doesn't include any biographical
       | information about himself to judge how qualified he is to speak
       | on such subjects. There's not much reason I see to take this any
       | more seriously than any piece of fictional disaster porn you
       | could buy on Amazon.
       | 
       | I don't know the truth for sure myself, but hopefully we all know
       | better than to believe everything we read, especially about
       | subjects like this where there appears to be very little hard
       | science published.
        
         | jvanderbot wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starfish_Prime
         | 
         | > Starfish Prime caused an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) that was
         | far larger than expected, so much larger that it drove much of
         | the instrumentation off scale, causing great difficulty in
         | getting accurate measurements. The Starfish Prime
         | electromagnetic pulse also made those effects known to the
         | public by causing electrical damage in Hawaii, about 900 miles
         | (1,450 km) away from the detonation point, knocking out about
         | 300 streetlights,[1]: 5 setting off numerous burglar alarms,
         | and damaging a telephone company microwave link.[6] The EMP
         | damage to the microwave link shut down telephone calls from
         | Kauai to the other Hawaiian Islands.[7]
         | 
         | This was a 1 Mt bomb 10x as far from the surface as the article
         | discusses.
         | 
         | All that to say, it's plausible.
        
           | jcrawfordor wrote:
           | It should be understood that the largest impact of the
           | Starfish Prime test, knocking out streetlights, was the
           | result of a very specific design detail of the street lights
           | that is now quite antiquated (they were high-voltage,
           | constant-current loops with carbon disc arc-over cutouts, and
           | the EMP seems to have caused some combination of direct
           | induced voltage and disregulation of the constant current
           | power supply that bridged the carbon disks). The required
           | repair was replacement of the carbon disks, which is a
           | routine maintenance item for that type of system but of
           | course one that had to be done on an unusually large scale
           | that morning. The same problem would not occur today, as
           | constant-current lighting circuits have all but disappeared.
           | 
           | In the case of the burglar alarms, it is hard to prove
           | definitively, but a likely cause of the problem was analog
           | motion detectors (mostly ultrasonic and RF in use at the
           | time) which were already notorious for false alarms due to
           | input voltage instability. Once again, modern equipment is
           | probably less vulnerable.
           | 
           | Many of the detailed experiments in EMP safety are not
           | published due to the strategic sensitivity, but the general
           | gist seems to be along these lines: during the early Cold
           | War, e.g. the 1950s, EMP was generally not taken seriously as
           | a military concern. Starfish Prime was one of a few events
           | that changed the prevailing attitude towards EMP (although
           | the link between the disruptions in Honolulu and the Starfish
           | Prime test was considered somewhat speculative at the time
           | and only well understood decades later). This lead to the
           | construction of numerous EMP generators and test facilities
           | by the military, which lead to improvements in hardening
           | techniques, some of which have "flowed down" to consumer
           | electronics because they also improve reliability in
           | consideration of hazards like lightning. The main conclusion
           | of these tests was that the biggest EMP concern is
           | communications equipment, because they tend to have the right
           | combination of sensitive electronics (e.g. amplifiers) and
           | connection to antennas or long leads that will pick up a lot
           | of induced voltage.
           | 
           | The effects of EMP on large-scale infrastructure are very
           | difficult to study, since small-scale tests cannot recreate
           | the whole system. The testing that was performed (mostly
           | taking advantage of atmospheric nuclear testing in Nevada
           | during the 1960s) usually did not find evidence of
           | significant danger. For example, testing with telephone lines
           | found that the existing lightning protection measures were
           | mostly sufficient. But, there has been a long-lingering
           | concern that there are systemic issues (e.g. with the complex
           | systems behavior of electrical grid regulation) that these
           | experiments did not reproduce. Further, solid-state
           | electronics are likely more vulnerable to damage than the
           | higher-voltage equipment of the '60s. Computer modeling has
           | helped to fill this in, but at least in the public sphere,
           | much of the hard research on EMP risks still adds up to a
           | "maybe," with a huge range of possible outcomes.
        
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