[HN Gopher] Revenge of the Chickenized Reverse-Centaurs
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Revenge of the Chickenized Reverse-Centaurs
        
       Author : GreenWatermelon
       Score  : 165 points
       Date   : 2025-05-28 16:55 UTC (3 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (pluralistic.net)
 (TXT) w3m dump (pluralistic.net)
        
       | GreenWatermelon wrote:
       | Reading this made my blood boil up a little
       | 
       | > In labor circles, "chickenization" refers to exploitative
       | working arrangements that resemble the plight of the American
       | poultry farmer. The U.S. poultry industry has been taken over by
       | three monopolistic packers, who have divided the nation up into
       | exclusive territories, so that each chicken farmer has only one
       | buyer for their birds.
       | 
       | > Farmers are "independent small businesspeople" who nominally
       | run their own operations, but because all their products must be
       | sold through a single poultry processor, that processor is able
       | to exercise enormous control over the operation. The processor
       | tells the farmer which birds to raise, as well as what the birds
       | are to be fed, how much, and on what schedule. The processor
       | tells the farmer how to build their coops and when the lights are
       | to go on and off. The processor tells the farmer which vets to
       | use, and tells the vets which medicines to prescribe.
       | 
       | > The processor tells the farmer everything...except how much
       | they'll be able to sell their birds for. That is determined
       | unilaterally when the farmer brings their birds to market, and
       | the payout is titrated to the cent, to represent exactly enough
       | money for the farmer to buy birds and feed and vet services
       | through the processor's preferred suppliers, and to service the
       | debts on the coops and light and land, but not one penny more.
       | 
       | This amount of scumminess is mind boggling.
        
         | morkalork wrote:
         | I've seen this referred to as a treadmill before. They get the
         | farmers on a treadmill (loans for co-ops, equipment inputs) and
         | once they're waking, they don't let them stop.
         | 
         | The craziest thing is this is well known trick, historically.
         | In the 1800s there was a company run by a man that was both
         | wholesale buyer of fish from fishermen and also supplied the
         | mortgages for fishing boats. He was the only one for both in
         | many small fishing communities and was universally hated for
         | it.
        
         | nemomarx wrote:
         | This is monopsony, right? Effectively?
        
           | GuB-42 wrote:
           | Yes, for some reason the term "monopsony" is little known, so
           | much that the autocorrect tried to turn it into "monopoly".
           | Maybe for not having a famous board game named after it.
           | 
           | But here it looks even worse as workers have to invest into
           | equipment from the company that is of little use besides
           | working for that company, making it borderline slavery.
        
         | theturtle32 wrote:
         | > This amount of scumminess is mind boggling.
         | 
         | It is, unfortunately, the natural result of insufficiently
         | regulated capitalism.
        
           | banannaise wrote:
           | [nitpick] I think it's more the natural result of capitalism
           | that is well-regulated only on the consumer side.
           | 
           | There are very few poultry processors largely because it is
           | difficult and expensive to comply with consumer regulations
           | and maintain food safety standards. That, in itself, is fine.
           | But once you have very few (or only one) processor(s), there
           | needs to be regulation on how they pay and treat both their
           | workers and their suppliers. For the most part, there is
           | neither.
        
           | mystraline wrote:
           | Even regulated capitalism exploits. Surplus labor theory
           | easily shows that even in the best of intentions, businesses
           | absolutely must exploit the worker.
           | 
           | Even the local artisan bread-baker must pay workers less than
           | their economic output. This isn't to say that the owner is
           | exploitive and treating people with subsistence. But the
           | pay/surplus split is still there as exploitation.
           | 
           | Reforming capitalism also doesn't work either. Hell, people
           | can't get past page 30 of Adam Smith's treatise that
           | discusses all the 'reforms needed' to instill capitalism.
           | Turns out monied interests has always wanted to strip
           | controls from the get-go.
           | 
           | No, its time to relegate capitalism to the dustbin of
           | history. It was tried. As it lifted some up, more and more
           | were ground into a gritty paste to feed the machine.
           | 
           | I don't know what to replace it with either. But whatever it
           | is has to not have weird effects of infinite or 0 cost
           | breakdowns (like copying software and data), and also aware
           | of how to handle algorimthic labor (LLMs), amongst other
           | concerns.
        
             | dml2135 wrote:
             | I'm all for critiques of capitalism, but it's extremely
             | unconvincing to say capitalism must go, but at the same
             | time, you don't know what to replace it with.
             | 
             | How are you so convinced that there is a better solution
             | than capitalism if you can't even articulate what that
             | solution would be? How do you know that capitalism, for all
             | it's flaws, is not still the least-worst among an array of
             | bad options?
        
               | phendrenad2 wrote:
               | This is usually the extent of online discussion. Everyone
               | can agree that "just build more housing" is the answer to
               | the homelessness epidemic, but nobody has anything to say
               | about HOW to accomplish that. The person saying it can't
               | build a house on their own, nor can the collective number
               | of people who regularly eject that sentiment. So the
               | question is "how do you get enough money in one place and
               | apply it to building more housing". And that's the tricky
               | part. Because as you keep asking "how" you eventually
               | arrive at thorny problems like "how do you ensure that
               | the politician you elect who promises to build more
               | housing... actually does it?"
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Lots of people are screaming at the top of their lungs
               | about how to build more housing. Primarily through
               | deregulation. Examples would be zoning codes, building
               | codes, relaxed public comment and relaxed environmental
               | impact assessments.
        
               | mystraline wrote:
               | Deregulation is how we got into the mess of housing!
               | 
               | In fact, its the complete financial ideation of rentals
               | and homes. That's what's even pushed 2 earner homes to
               | even afford a house.
               | 
               | But those who have, can get a house loan, rent it out for
               | 150% of the total mortgage and paracitize off the public.
               | And nobody is the better, except for the paracite class
               | (landlords).
               | 
               | Rent controls would also do a great deal. But we hear
               | howls from the libertarian types over controls ala Adam
               | Smith.
               | 
               | And progressive heavy taxation on more than 3 houses
               | would also help the situation of houses being bought for
               | rental or AirBNB purposes. Again, those are parasites on
               | all of us.
               | 
               | Of course, all these mean housing number go down. And
               | those who own a large stake will definitely complain. But
               | these are steps that would help, alongside building more
               | with a rent-controlled and reasonable cost.
               | 
               | And reforming how banks are required to provide loans
               | (proof of X rent = proof of covering x mortgage). But
               | really? This country is going the opposite way of the
               | common person, and has been for decades. Now, that
               | strategy has been ramped up to extremes.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > Deregulation is how we got into the mess of housing!
               | 
               | No, its not, restrictive zoning preventing actually
               | building housing is. Which is why the mess is most acute
               | in places which have the most such restrictions, and
               | least in places that have less of them, wven when they
               | are similar across all the dimensions you suggest are the
               | real issues.
               | 
               | > Rent controls would also do a great deal.
               | 
               | At further reducing supply of housing by discouraging
               | development? Yes, they would do a great deal of that.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Rent control doesn't build more homes. Neither does
               | forcing banks to take on high risk borrowers.
               | 
               | Are you confusing home ownership vs renting with total
               | housing supply?
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | Just to point that most places with a "housing problem"
               | actually have a transit problem that will get even worse
               | if one goes naively building more housing in single-use
               | or empty land.
        
               | int_19h wrote:
               | For starters, we have to acknowledge that capitalism
               | isn't really a system as such. It's a set of ad hoc
               | economic arrangements that each came into being as a
               | result of historic evolution in many different societies,
               | not some kind of coherent arrangement with any specific
               | goal. If you were to have the same discussion 400 years
               | ago, proponents of then-existing economic relationships
               | would say, "how are you so convinced that there's a
               | better solution than what we have right now if you can't
               | even articulate what the replacement would be?".
        
             | nradov wrote:
             | Surplus labor theory doesn't show anything. It's
             | unscientific bunk that people just made up for ideological
             | reasons.
        
         | roenxi wrote:
         | The obvious thing to do is for the farmer to learn how to
         | package their own chickens, then sell it themselves. The hard
         | part of this should be the however-long-it-takes a chicken to
         | grow + feed for the bird.
         | 
         | Since that isn't happening I'd assume that doing so has been
         | made illegal by the regulators for some reason. Or that
         | "chicken packaging" is wildly misnamed, because it sounds like
         | something you can ... just do. People ate chickens for
         | millennia without relying on 3 chicken packers.
         | 
         | I've had neighbours who keep their own chickens (curse them for
         | the mice). It didn't look so hard a quasi-monopoly could form
         | naturally.
        
           | bcoates wrote:
           | The only winning move is not to play. My grandfather tried
           | his hand at chicken farming about 100 years ago (didn't go
           | well). It was a bad business then and it's a bad one now.
        
             | hermitcrab wrote:
             | If it is bad for humans, imagine what it must be like for
             | the chickens.
        
               | 4bpp wrote:
               | Well, if you or one of your loved ones is considering
               | going into the being-a-chicken business, I would hope
               | that HN would likewise dissuade you.
        
           | gostsamo wrote:
           | > Since that isn't happening I'd assume that doing so has
           | been made illegal by the regulators for some reason.
           | 
           | the lack of antitrust action and the price of entry in the
           | market are a market failure modes that could bring in the
           | same final result. Especially, if the packagers are forming
           | exclusive deals with the distributors to prevent new entrants
           | from achieving market share.
        
             | roenxi wrote:
             | Theoretically a lot of stuff can happen. As a practical
             | matter, this has to be regulatory. Eggs and chicken meat is
             | a very well understood product and by nature a completely
             | normal market. I've literally been offered chicken meat by
             | roadside sellers who butcher them on the spot and cook up a
             | meal; it is a bit gruesome but not outside the complexity
             | of operation that one family can manage.
             | 
             | The part of the supply chain acting as a "monopoly" is too
             | simple to replace. Someone can literally set up a new local
             | butchery, buy directly from the farmers and the exclusive
             | dealership network is broken. Probably need some know-how
             | and a refrigerated truck. It is barely possible that the
             | sort of monopoly structure being described could have been
             | built over the entirety of the US without regulatory
             | support. It'd require something approaching a mind control
             | ray to keep the competition under control.
             | 
             | I believe the other comment saying that chickens are a bad
             | business, competition would tear through the margins like a
             | rooster eating a mouse. But a country wide monopsony on
             | chicken purchases is absurd (unless the regulators are
             | pushing it). If nothing else there are a bunch of low-
             | income people who'd be happy to buy and butcher their own
             | chickens if it cut out a middle man. It isn't feasible to
             | build a natural monopoly.
        
               | gostsamo wrote:
               | Theoretically, it is possible to do anything of that, but
               | what is missing from your business plan is selling a
               | commodity product at scale on a competitive price. And if
               | you somehow manage to do something like that, nothing
               | stops the big player of your region from going to any of
               | your clients and offer them dumping prices for ditching
               | you or going to the local vendors of animal antibiotics
               | and offering them premium price if they supply only
               | chosen farmers thus squeezing you and your suppliers from
               | both ends.
               | 
               | If you have a market with low margin and no
               | differentiation between the offered stock, the gains are
               | in size and it logically leads to a few players in the
               | market so I doubt that the independent butchery has to be
               | butchered and won't die of natural causes due to high
               | costs or because a few of its partners are having a bad
               | year.
        
               | nmcfarl wrote:
               | The horrible thing is there can be lots of
               | differentiation here. I grow my own meat birds for my own
               | consumption, and they taste radically better than
               | anything I've ever had in America. (Barring when I eat my
               | friends' birds.) Artisanal chicken could definitely be a
               | thing, although it would definitely cost more.
               | 
               | I feel that regulatory capture is part of the problem -
               | processing your own birds is safely is definitely
               | possible, but what is required to process them for sale
               | makes it so the local USDA butcher would have to charge
               | as much for a chicken as for a sheep, and that's just not
               | viable.
        
               | BlueTemplar wrote:
               | Aren't both of the examples of what they could do illegal
               | ?
        
               | gostsamo wrote:
               | You saying that consumers having meet on dumping/low
               | prices is illegal? You are a communist! /s You saying
               | that a businessman is obliged to go against their own
               | interest in stead of selling their meds to the highest
               | bidder? You are a communist! /s Free market without
               | regulation is exactly that - freedom for those who can
               | shape the market as they wish and no government violence
               | necessary so it is kosher.
        
           | throwup238 wrote:
           | Meat packaging isn't something you can "just do." The hard
           | part is the equipment and manpower to disinfect a meat
           | packing plant, which is done several times a _day_ when in
           | operation.
           | 
           | The reason regulators made it illegal is basic food safety. A
           | meat packing facility - whether that's an industrial plant or
           | a small group of farmers in a commercial kitchen or whatever
           | - is a hot and humid environment that is an ideal place for
           | bacteria to grow. Now that's going to happen anyway, but the
           | public safety goal here is to minimize the bacterial load
           | that transfers to the meat so that by the time it reaches the
           | kitchen, the pathogens haven't reached dangerous levels. That
           | means an entire facility that's designed to be sprayed down
           | with a foaming disinfectant from wall to wall and crevice to
           | crevice. Small groups of farmers simply can't afford that and
           | be competitive unless they're already selling high end
           | organic/free range/etc meat.
           | 
           | Before refrigeration, people ate meat right after slaughter
           | or cured it. They grew the animals at so low an intensity
           | that >80% of the population were sustenance farmers that
           | lived a precarious life prone to starvation at any time. It
           | just makes no sense to compare the infrastructure to feed
           | hundreds of millions in a single country to small scale pre-
           | industrial agriculture.
        
             | roenxi wrote:
             | Which part of that is the tricky part? Spraying down a
             | facility sounds straightforward. Killing bacteria in food
             | products isn't particularly novel either; there are a lot
             | of abattoirs around the world.
             | 
             | We're talking about farmers here. Having to do something a
             | couple of times a day is not going to intimidate them. In
             | an extreme case they'd hire someone and promote them to
             | chief sprayer. These aren't challenges of the magnitude
             | needed to get natural monopolies to form - they're standard
             | style challenges for running a business in an industrial
             | sector. Challenges that farm owners are quite acutely aware
             | of.
             | 
             | If there are monopolies in the US chicken supply chain it
             | is probably just everyday regulatory capture.
        
               | xg15 wrote:
               | I don't know anything about the chicken farming business,
               | but I imagine if there was a simple straight-forward
               | solution for the farmers to escape the stranglehold
               | ("just build your own packaging plant and hose it down
               | couple times per day") then the farmers would have
               | already done it (or rather the situation wouldn't have
               | occurred in the first place).
               | 
               | I don't say this to despair but to argue that we'd need
               | more details before we can make recommendations how to
               | fix things. Also, there is an obvious power imbalance
               | here, but then it's important to identity the source of
               | that power, so you can address the imbalance.
        
               | DrillShopper wrote:
               | Cool, bro. I look forward to your wildly successful
               | independent chicken farming business that grows so fast
               | it acquihires all its competitors, since it's _so easy_
               | and all
        
               | sjsdaiuasgdia wrote:
               | Butchers and meat markets that sell meat from locally
               | raised animals is what this looks like.
               | 
               | The post above yours talked about this:
               | 
               | > "Small groups of farmers simply can't afford that and
               | be competitive unless they're already selling high end
               | organic/free range/etc meat."
               | 
               | It absolutely does happen. It's at small scale with
               | higher relative costs, so it's only profitable as a
               | specialty product. It can't compete with industrially
               | farmed meat on price. This would be the range of the
               | farmer who doesn't mind doing some things a few times a
               | day and perhaps hires a helper.
               | 
               | Growing beyond the small scale requires the capital to
               | build facilities and hire staff to run them while you're
               | getting the operation going. You might need to be
               | cutthroat on price to be competitive with existing
               | players, so your revenue might not be great for a long
               | while.
               | 
               | How much output do you think a farmer and a helper are
               | capable of, versus a fully staffed modern industrial
               | poultry farm?
        
             | morkalork wrote:
             | Agricultural co-operatives exist, even for meat packing and
             | processing.
        
           | b00ty4breakfast wrote:
           | setting aside regulatory issues (and not commenting on
           | whether any of that is good or bad), there is no universe
           | where independent chicken farmers, solo or in a group, are
           | going to compete with a group like Perdue in the industrial
           | foodstuff space. maybe you get a cottage industry farmer's
           | market business going or whatever but you aren't going to see
           | Farmer Bob's Foghorn Leghorn Boneless Breasts on shelves in
           | the local Wally World any time soon.
        
           | enaaem wrote:
           | Big box stores want high volumes of a standardised products.
           | This is hard to do for a lone farmer. It would be easier if
           | they could sell to smaller supermarkets and butcher shops.
           | Smaller supermarkets and butcher shops require walkable
           | neighbourhoods and a vibrant down town; I call it the
           | walkable neighbourhood theory of everything.
        
             | zhivota wrote:
             | Bingo! It's also an antitrust thing but yes, look up the
             | number of grocery stores in a northeast city 100 years ago
             | vs now, it's mind boggling. Like at least 25x difference,
             | maybe more, I can't recall.
        
             | nradov wrote:
             | People who live in walkable neighborhoods will always drive
             | to big box grocery stores to buy most of their chicken. The
             | local butcher shops charge too much, and for busy families
             | it's a huge hassle to have to visit multiple small shops
             | for meat, dairy, produce, bread, etc. The big box stores
             | are a huge time saver.
        
               | marcosdumay wrote:
               | Yes, reverting food distribution to the pre-car situation
               | is a lost cause that would also create plenty of problems
               | anyway.
               | 
               | Given that, it's a market in dire need of governments
               | messing with it. The current situation is really bad.
        
               | int_19h wrote:
               | Around here there's a trend for the local butchers,
               | veggie and dairy farmers etc to do doorstep delivery.
        
           | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
           | _> then sell it themselves._
           | 
           | One word: "Distribution." ( _The Graduate_ reference).
           | 
           | Distributors hold the most powerful hands in selling physical
           | goods. You can't sell something, if you can't get it to
           | market. These cartels (and you are hearing about them, all
           | over. See "Big Potato"), are getting strangleholds on
           | distribution. Amazon has turned distribution as a goad into a
           | dark art.
           | 
           | That's one reason that the Internet has upended so many
           | industries. It's democratized distribution of digital goods,
           | and digital goods have become a lot more valuable (sometimes,
           | because of the Internet). With digital goods, advertising and
           | promotion are the new Distribution. You can't sell your
           | apps/music/images, if no one can find out about them.
        
             | phendrenad2 wrote:
             | Maybe an independent nonprofit can do the research and
             | score food based on how much the pipeline taking it to your
             | table is monopolized vs democratized.
        
           | thejoneser wrote:
           | My impression (partly from reading Zephyr Teachout's
           | excellent book Break Em Up) is that a farmer cooperative
           | would not find the big grocery stores willing to carry their
           | products. Those stores are intimidated by whichever of the
           | big-3 processors is active in their region. Selling at a
           | farmers market or mom & pop store may be totally feasible,
           | but the grower had better be sure that was a long-term
           | solution, because the big processor will blackball them for
           | trying.
        
         | grigri907 wrote:
         | In my experience, the processor is actually the one who owns
         | the chickens (broilers). The farmer is essentially a baby-
         | sitter for 6-7 weeks. The processor also owns the feed and the
         | farmer gets paid on a feed-to-poultry conversion efficiency.
         | 
         | Variables like temperatures, lighting, ventilation rates,
         | chicken house construction, and access/ density have well-
         | established bounds to maximize pounds of poultry. The farmers
         | have leeway to deviate from the recommendations, but they take
         | on all of the risk in doing so. From the outside, it looks like
         | a pretty oppressive relationship.
        
           | chicken467 wrote:
           | > The farmer is essentially a baby-sitter for 6-7 weeks.
           | 
           | Actually, there are stages, e.g. some farmers just do chicks,
           | someone then may pick them up and go to the next stage.
        
         | chicken465 wrote:
         | It both sounds and is exploitive and bad, but to add color to
         | this:
         | 
         | - poultry farming dictated by the big guys like this has been
         | going on for decades.
         | 
         | - it's provided structure for entrepreneurs in rural areas that
         | had land, some money, and a willingness to work.
         | 
         | You could similarly say some fast food franchises or businesses
         | can result in some form of exploitation, because not all result
         | in good conditions and opportunities for growth of their
         | workers.
         | 
         | Some may then extrapolate to say "all business is bad", but
         | it's a spectrum; it may be providing work and income where
         | there was none before, and that could be seen as a good thing.
         | Or maybe the risks are too high and/or conditions are terrible,
         | and that's a bad thing.
         | 
         | I'd argue that finding that balance in business is why religion
         | and capitalism spread together.
         | 
         | Hundreds of years ago, slaves kept spirits up through their
         | religion and those exploiting them were more likely to keep
         | working conditions better than they would've been because of
         | their beliefs; slavery was pure evil, and religion didn't
         | enable that. It did improve a terrible situation, though I know
         | the Marxists may say the opposite.
         | 
         | Today, religion is waning. If the people exploiting others do
         | so without morals, we risk evil beyond what's discussed in this
         | article. We feel like technology must be there to save workers
         | from being exploited, but it's an uphill battle, and
         | money/power may win.
        
         | doener wrote:
         | Maybe this question is naive and/or influenced by decades of
         | classic neoliberal propaganda: But why don't do the farmers
         | something else then?
        
           | dfxm12 wrote:
           | There's not much else around. They don't know what else to
           | do. Education/job training expensive. They've got loans to
           | pay back, so they can't stop working to look for another job.
           | They're on some government assistance program they can't
           | afford to lose, but it comes with work requirements, so they
           | can't retrain. The pay (including government subsidies) make
           | it _just_ bearable enough to keep from revolting. Etc.
        
           | AngryData wrote:
           | Like what? Farm another product that has the similar
           | problems? Row crop farm where generating a 2% return on
           | investment over a decade span is considered a success? The
           | response has been farmers dropping out of the business
           | entirely, which ends up with some few people doubling down
           | into larger operations, which only makes the problem worse as
           | it is harder to pivot and makes processing and distribution
           | even harder to divert away from the big controlling players.
        
         | actionfromafar wrote:
         | Might just have called it Uberization. Or called Uber a Chicken
         | Processor.
        
         | doener wrote:
         | Reminds me of the 1947 "Sixteen Tons" song. From German
         | Wikipedia, translated by DeepL:
         | 
         | "According to Archie Green, the lyrics contain several key
         | passages that Travis took from quotes from his family members.
         | When asked about his health, his father reportedly replied that
         | he couldn't afford to die because he owed his soul to the
         | grocery store[7] where he had debts. Sixteen Tons is a socially
         | critical song about the sometimes inhumane conditions that
         | American miners and their families had to live under in the
         | past. This included wage slavery: US miners were mostly paid
         | not in cash but with tokens (scrips), some of which could only
         | be redeemed in company-owned stores, as there were no other
         | shops in the area; local food supplies could only be obtained
         | in these stores (company stores), which had a virtual monopoly
         | and could therefore charge excessive prices; The income and
         | expenditure situation in the company stores, which was
         | deliberately controlled exclusively in favor of the mine
         | owners, resulted in unavoidable debts for the workers (Another
         | day older and deeper in debt), which created a relationship of
         | dependency similar to serfdom ("I owe my soul to the company
         | store"). By the time the song was written, the miners' living
         | and working conditions had already improved significantly,
         | partly as a result of numerous strikes. Payment with tokens had
         | been banned in 1938 by a federal law, the Fair Labor Standards
         | Act of 1938. However, working conditions remained harsh and the
         | memory of exploitative practices was still fresh in the minds
         | of the families and communities affected."
         | 
         | https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sixteen_Tons_(Lied)
        
           | riffraff wrote:
           | I'm not sure why you transllated the german entry for an
           | american song, but FYI, there's an english wikipedia version.
           | "I owe my soul to the company store" is one of the greatest
           | lyrics ever.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sixteen_Tons
        
             | kragen wrote:
             | Many German Wikipedia articles are better than the English
             | versions. Maybe this is one of them.
        
               | doener wrote:
               | I don't know if "better", but when I read Doctorow's blog
               | article I was reminded of what I read about the 16 tons
               | song on Wikipedia. I first read the English version and
               | did not find what I was looking for. Then I tried German
               | and there it was.
        
             | doener wrote:
             | Yes, I know. I read it and the information I translated
             | from the German article was not in the English version.
        
       | motoboi wrote:
       | You lost me at "... such as when a human chess master and a
       | chess-playing computer program collaborate to smash their
       | competition."
       | 
       | The ideia that a chess IA needs a human to be able to win is
       | laughable. No human being even close to be capable of playing
       | chess in the level of alpha zero.
        
         | margalabargala wrote:
         | You'd better start laughing, because humans plus computers beat
         | computers, albeit with a very high draw rate, when large
         | amounts of time are allowed.
         | 
         | https://new.uschess.org/edwards-32nd-ICCF-ch
        
           | roenxi wrote:
           | The article doesn't actually present any evidence that
           | humans+computers can beat computers. The closest thing I
           | spotted was "I accomplished the feat in 38 moves, in a
           | sequence that no computer would consider or find ... I did
           | not subsequently find a win". So the computers disregarded a
           | line that didn't work.
           | 
           | The actual evidence he listed suggests this is a war between
           | different humans to work out who has better computer hardware
           | ("the lack of decent equipment is being felt quite notably in
           | Russia, where embargoes have limited access to new hardware
           | and the latest chess tools. As a consequence, the Russian
           | team finished near the bottom of the standings in the last
           | Correspondence Chess Olympiad"). Cool and all, I can imagine
           | people having a lot of fun, but it isn't obvious they are
           | competing based _chess skill_ here. The computers are
           | bringing the chess skill and the human seems to be bringing
           | logistic, financial and clerical support to operate the
           | computer.
        
         | danilopopeye wrote:
         | I think the autor reference is from a chess master bing helped
         | by an IA.
         | 
         | > (...) that's not the kind of centaur that we talk about when
         | it's a chess master paired with a chess program. That chess
         | master is being augmented by the machine, and the machine is
         | the junior partner in the relationship. The human is the head,
         | and the AI is the body.
        
         | QuadmasterXLII wrote:
         | stockfish + human beats stockfish OR there are no new commits
         | to stockfish that increase its ELO OR all new commits to
         | stockfish are coded by AI.
         | 
         | currently we are in option 1
        
           | kragen wrote:
           | I'm out of the loop; how well does Stockfish do against
           | AlphaZero?
        
         | Scarblac wrote:
         | There was a brief period, from about 1998 to 2010-ish, where
         | computers were stronger than humans but computer-assisted
         | humans were stronger still. That was when the term was used.
         | There were some tournaments held with the concept.
        
         | antoniojtorres wrote:
         | It's just an example to illustrate a term and is not germane to
         | the actual point of the article.
        
         | banannaise wrote:
         | It helps to do basic research before dismissing as laughable
         | the actual chess format, often called "centaur chess", where a
         | human and a chess engine play as a team, and are generally
         | stronger than a chess engine alone.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_chess
        
       | droopyEyelids wrote:
       | Unfortunately, unionization is not "coming back with a vengeance"
       | in the United States and it is not allowed to by our laws.
       | 
       | Our laws ban: sector unionization, sympathy and general strikes,
       | and secondary boycotts.
       | 
       | On top of that, we have a very narrow definition of employee, an
       | employers can permanently replace striking workers. The right to
       | strike can even be taken away with a mandated cooling off period.
       | 
       | Even having one of those factors can hamstring unionization in a
       | country, so they're pretty much never going to "come back with a
       | vengance" here
        
         | fc417fc802 wrote:
         | > Our laws ban ... secondary boycotts
         | 
         | I never understood this. How can boycotts be banned? Seems
         | inherently unconstitutional to me.
         | 
         | Not that it really matters to me in the sense that it's
         | definitely an area where I'd do as I pleased regardless of the
         | law. But I've always found the headlines that I see from time
         | to time odd.
        
           | Amorymeltzer wrote:
           | In this context, "strike" is probably the better term, and
           | "solidarity strike" or "general strike" are more likely the
           | ones you might have heard.
        
           | kragen wrote:
           | There's an overview in https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solidari
           | ty_action#United_State....
           | 
           | You'll probably be interested in reading https://chicagounbou
           | nd.uchicago.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?arti..., "Secondary
           | Boycotts and the First Amendment", in the University of
           | Chicago Law Review, by Barbara J. Anderson:
           | 
           | > _Section 8(b)(4)(ii)(B) of the National Labor Relations Act
           | (NLRA)1 makes it an unfair labor practice for a union to
           | "threaten, coerce, or restrain any person" with the object of
           | requiring that person to cease dealing with another.2 In NLRB
           | v. Retail Store Employees Union Local 1001 (Safeco),3 the
           | Supreme Court held that this section proscribes union
           | picketing designed to influence consumers to boycott a struck
           | product whenever such picketing "reasonably can be expected
           | to threaten [the picketed retailer] with ruin or substantial
           | loss."'4 Although the Court noted in passing that peaceful
           | picketing is entitled to some first amendment protection, the
           | Court found it "well-established" that Congress had
           | constitutional power to prohibit "picketing that predictably
           | encourages consumers to boycott a secondary business."5_
           | 
           | I'm not sure whether _NLRB v. Retail Store Employees_ is
           | still valid law. But  "secondary boycotts" are often
           | understood as something much more coercive as simply "union
           | picketing designed to influence consumers to boycott a struck
           | product" (https://digitalcommons.du.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?a
           | rticle=46..., "Secondary Boycotts Under the Taft-Hartley Act"
           | Philip Hornbein, Jr., 01953):
           | 
           | > _The distinctive feature of a secondary boycott is that it
           | is directed against a neutral party rather than against the
           | employer directly involved in the labor dispute. The target
           | of the secondary boycott is a third party who is engaged in
           | business dealings with the employer as a customer, supplier,
           | or otherwise. The object of the secondary boycott is to cause
           | the boycottee to cease doing business with the employer._
           | 
           | Consider disputes other than labor disputes. Suppose Phyllis
           | believes that, because you are gay, you are so immoral that
           | she won't sell groceries to you in her grocery store. This is
           | deplorable but not really threatening and coercive; you can
           | still buy groceries from Chad's grocery store down the
           | street. But suppose Phyllis convinces Chad's employees to
           | strike unless Chad refuses you service as well. Suddenly the
           | situation has taken on a much darker cast; Chad may have
           | nothing against gay people, but he may start refusing you
           | service simply as a matter of self-preservation. If this goes
           | on, you may rapidly find yourself without sources of food or
           | employment unless you recant your homosexuality.
        
             | fc417fc802 wrote:
             | That's interesting. A quick note. It's probably useful to
             | distinguish "secondary boycott" and "secondary strike"
             | here. The cited material sometimes interchanges those,
             | seemingly due to the fact that the former has historically
             | encompassed the latter. It seems plausible to me that
             | someone might have differing views of those two things so
             | they probably ought to be distinguished.
             | 
             | I guess a lot of meaning rests on the use of "coercive"
             | here. What immediately comes to my mind when I see that
             | term is violent threats directed towards someone so it's
             | worth noting that isn't what's being described here. Rather
             | it's being used to describe the effect of a boycott (in
             | this case the secondary one) on the targeted (third party)
             | business. That seems tautological to me because what is the
             | point of a boycott if not to nonviolently coerce the
             | targeted business?
             | 
             | So the court seems to be saying that if you view businesses
             | as individuals then it is illegal to organize with the aim
             | of coercing one person not to associate with another. The
             | indirection (going via the consumer) doesn't seem to be the
             | issue here. Your second link cites an electrical workers
             | case where picketing with the express goal that the
             | employer should terminate a subcontractor was deemed
             | illegal.
             | 
             | Certainly I would agree if the coercive measure was
             | violent, but is that really the case if it is exclusionary
             | in nature? Would the court find the same way if I told my
             | neighbors that they must not hang out with some guy who
             | lives down the street or else they won't be welcome at my
             | pool parties anymore? I certainly don't think that's a good
             | way to conduct oneself but it seems inconsistent that
             | somehow upon adding economic activity into the mix my
             | speech can suddenly be restricted in ways it couldn't
             | before.
             | 
             | To me it seems to fundamentally be a matter of free speech
             | - engaging with other people and managing to bring them
             | around to your way of thinking on the matter. If you hadn't
             | managed to convince a large group of consumers (or non-
             | unionized laborers) of the merit of both your position and
             | your proposed course of action then they wouldn't be
             | participating in the first place. It seems to me that the
             | court is ignoring the part where your ideas won out as well
             | as ignoring the individual agency of the consumers (or
             | other laborers) and treating this as nothing more than
             | direct action on the part of the organizing union when it
             | is clearly much more than that.
             | 
             | To your example, I don't see any issue with Phyllis
             | advocating and would note that she isn't going to get very
             | far (sans coercion) unless Chad's employees, and by
             | implication the community at large, generally agree with
             | her. That is, Chad has to be the odd one out for this to
             | work. That's not a pretty situation but I certainly don't
             | want the government hamstringing community organization
             | either. Free speech and freedom of (non)association can't
             | only apply when it's convenient for those currently in
             | power.
             | 
             | To my mind the issue with your example is the ability of a
             | public facing business to discriminate along class
             | boundaries (ex homosexuals) as opposed to on a purely
             | individual basis (ex person who previously shoplifted).
             | That would be in keeping with how other public areas are
             | treated.
        
               | kragen wrote:
               | > _Would the court find the same way if I told my
               | neighbors that they must not hang out with some guy who
               | lives down the street or else they won 't be welcome at
               | my pool parties anymore? (...) somehow upon adding
               | economic activity into the mix my speech can suddenly be
               | restricted in ways it couldn't before._
               | 
               | I think the issue is that, upon adding economic activity
               | to the mix, your exercise of freedom of speech threatens
               | _every_ freedom of the guy down the street, because it
               | threatens his survival. I don 't think this is dependent
               | on whether the community shunning is on a purely
               | individual basis or along class boundaries. (I also don't
               | think actively gay people are a "class" in any sense that
               | shoplifters aren't.)
               | 
               | I agree that this reasoning is incompatible with a strong
               | understanding of freedom of speech; it could be applied
               | very broadly to restrict political activity.
        
         | b00ty4breakfast wrote:
         | It'll only come back if folks get desperate enough. union
         | activity wasn't exactly "illegal" in the old days but it wasn't
         | exactly protected by any laws, either, as attested by all the
         | private goons that the mining companies hired out to break up
         | strikes and murder striking miners
        
           | dragonwriter wrote:
           | > union activity wasn't exactly "illegal" in the old days
           | 
           | Having a union wasn't, on its own, illegal but it gave no
           | special status, but most union _activity_ was illegal, and as
           | soon as the union jointly planned that activity it became a
           | criminal conspiracy.
        
         | Ygg2 wrote:
         | > United States and it is not allowed to by our laws.
         | 
         | Yeah. Because at one point unions got so powerful they formed
         | their own union towns.
         | 
         | They even got infiltrated by the mob.
         | 
         | Plus Europe union laws and US union laws are separate things.
         | For example in France, whatever concessions union gets, are
         | applied to all employees. Which isn't the case in US and is
         | iirc considered anti-union. However then you remember that US
         | union depends on participation for union healthcare.
         | 
         | The biggest problem for unions today isn't the laws. It's
         | ironically the free trade (lack of laws). Don't want to do this
         | job for peanuts? We'll ship it overseas for someone willing to
         | work for half a peanut.
        
           | nerdponx wrote:
           | > Yeah. Because at one point unions got so powerful they
           | formed their own union towns.
           | 
           | Companies did this too, but it wasn't bothering any policy
           | makers.
        
             | Ygg2 wrote:
             | Because rising affluence killed them. New Deal with the new
             | mandatory minimum wage made them obsolete.
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | It did, in fact, bother policy makers (or, at least, it
             | bothered their constituents enough that the constituents
             | bothered the policy makers), which is why there are (e.g.)
             | laws requiring pay in cash or cash equivalents; this is
             | directly prohibition on the practice of pay in company
             | scrip. Many other features of the company town practice
             | were also the focus of direct legislative restrictions and
             | prohibitions.
        
               | nerdponx wrote:
               | And that happened largely because of powerful unions.
        
         | aziaziazi wrote:
         | > unionization [...] is not allowed to by our laws.
         | 
         | Ok sure but laws can changes, right ? And that previous
         | sentence is itself protected by the law ? I understand your
         | pessimism but that's not to be confused with _fatalism_.
         | 
         | (disclaimer: am EU citizen)
        
         | dragonwriter wrote:
         | When unions arose in the US, the legal situation was far worse
         | (the improvement in the legal situation was itself a _direct
         | result_ of _illegal_ unions).
        
         | int_19h wrote:
         | The whole point of collective action at large scale is to be
         | able to say, "fuck your laws".
         | 
         | After all, the laws were much more hostile towards unions a
         | century ago, and strikes would often be dispersed with outright
         | violence using both paramilitary organizations (like
         | Pinkertons) as well as police and military. But if doing so
         | just means that the strike gets bigger and broader, it's not a
         | winning strategy for the capital.
        
       | MichaelZuo wrote:
       | If a business, after unionizing, ultimately delivers more value
       | per dollar to the end customer... then why would anyone even need
       | to write essays arguing for it?
       | 
       | Customers will vote with their wallets, assuming there are any
       | durable net advantage to the customer base, so the cumulative
       | effect would be far more penetrating and enduring than millions
       | of written arguments.
        
         | Sharlin wrote:
         | Well, that's the naivest thing I've read this week.
        
           | MichaelZuo wrote:
           | Can you write out the argument for why?
        
             | neuroelectron wrote:
             | Actually, human flesh is delicious.
        
               | MichaelZuo wrote:
               | Is this some kind of bot reply?
        
         | nkrisc wrote:
         | It's almost as if there's more to life than what's good for
         | business.
        
           | MichaelZuo wrote:
           | Are you confused?
           | 
           | What's good for the end customers is almost certainly not the
           | same as "what's good for business".
        
             | aziaziazi wrote:
             | How do you define _customers_ and _good_ ?
             | 
             | Consider someone starts a slavery business that grab easily
             | pickable children to raise them as perfect specialized
             | workers then put the to the free sell/rent market.
             | 
             | End users could choose for other "moral" alternative if
             | they wish. One even could point out that already happen in
             | some parts of the world and that helps happy customers to
             | solve their needs.
             | 
             | However most people prefer to contraint others wallet usage
             | to enforce certain ethic rules. Where to place the line of
             | ethics/constraint is very cultural dependent - to its wide
             | definition.
             | 
             | One way to handle that is to look profitability for citizen
             | instead of customers, then what's profitable for Uber users
             | should be balanced with what's profitable for Uber drivers.
             | That is usually what people want from a gouvernements and
             | laws (and I guess we both agree that is not the same as
             | what is profitable for business).
        
               | MichaelZuo wrote:
               | Who said there is an unambiguous definition?
               | 
               | Given how much it's been discussed over human history...
               | it seems very likely that does not exist. And is yet
               | another dispute that has to be decided via the political
               | process in the first place.
        
         | nine_k wrote:
         | If all Nash equilibria were optimal, life would be much easier.
         | Sadly, this is not so [1], so outcomes that are worse for most
         | participants, or even for all participants, occur pretty often.
         | I bet you've heard about "the prisoner's dilemma".
         | 
         | So no, businesses may end up doing things that are not very
         | beneficial to customers, and not that beneficial to the
         | business, but be in a situation when _changing_ their behavior
         | results in significant losses, so they won 't change. Same with
         | customers: in some situations, they might get a better outcome,
         | including a lower price, if they did not chase the lowest price
         | outright.
         | 
         | [1]: https://equilibriabook.com/toc/
        
           | MichaelZuo wrote:
           | If the USA was the only country in the world that might
           | indeed be a serious danger... but thankfully there are other
           | countries that compete and it's exceedingly unlikely they all
           | fall into the exact same trap.
           | 
           | But if that scenario were to occur, then all arguments ever
           | written would be likewise literally worthless.
        
         | int_19h wrote:
         | If free workers ultimately deliver more value per dollar to the
         | end customer than slaves...
        
       | euroderf wrote:
       | Obv the American chicken industry is a nightmare for farmers.
       | Where can I read a comparison to the EU, which presumably takes
       | better care of both farmers and chickens altho I would not bet my
       | life on it ?
        
         | BlueTemplar wrote:
         | EU has obliterated the small African farmers by dumping cheap
         | unwanted cuts (legs) there.
         | 
         | (Also, while there are regulations on how badly egg-producing
         | chicken can be treated, that doesn't extend to most eggs :
         | those sold to businesses to be used in recipes.)
        
       | kragen wrote:
       | Marshall Brain, who recently committed suicide, wrote a book in
       | 02003 about this; it's called "Manna". Unfortunately, before he
       | killed himself, he removed it from his website. Fortunately, he
       | didn't remove it from the WABAC machine:
       | https://web.archive.org/web/20040903175746/http://marshallbr...
       | 
       | It's a disturbingly prescient read, and unfortunately I don't
       | find the optimistic ending plausible.
        
         | mooreds wrote:
         | I came here to post the Manna story. I've read it multiple
         | times and found it eerily prescient. (It reminds me a bit of
         | what L. Bob Rife[0] was trying to accomplish as well in Snow
         | Crash.)
         | 
         | I didn't know Brain had committed suicide :( . More details
         | about that[1].
         | 
         | 0: https://villains.fandom.com/wiki/L._Bob_Rife
         | 
         | 1: https://www.insidehighered.com/news/faculty-
         | issues/academic-...
        
           | kragen wrote:
           | Yeah :-(
        
         | brendoelfrendo wrote:
         | It appears to be back up on his website? Unless this version is
         | in some way incomplete or not the original:
         | https://marshallbrain.com/manna
        
           | kragen wrote:
           | You're right! Thank you! This is a better link.
        
       | cosmicgadget wrote:
       | The Youtube recommender is already EOLed. I'm thinking business
       | wins here, as soon as any labor organization method gets popular
       | it'll be declared a violation of terms of employment. In another
       | timeline this might be prevented with regulations.
        
       | ses1984 wrote:
       | Why doesn't someone make a gig platform with a cooperative
       | ownership model?
        
         | quinnjh wrote:
         | Interesting question. I ran some quick numbers on Google, take
         | last years profit for uber ($10B) and naively distribute it
         | between all drivers (est 7M) and it comes out to a raise of
         | 1,428. Most drivers would probably be enticed by that, but it's
         | not going to radically alter their situation. Also, Ubers board
         | and investors are compelled via profit, as the purpose of a
         | company is generating profit for its shareholders.
         | 
         | Would be great to see something like you suggest take off and
         | gain national appeal, but I suspect that VC money helps with
         | getting billboards/ newspaper ads/ etc. You would need to craft
         | a new sort of coop model that can generate enough profits at
         | the top to be an attractive investment but also share some.
         | AFAIK this works best in small teams doing high value work.
        
       | theptip wrote:
       | I worry about this stuff a fair bit, of all the net-negative AI
       | outcomes I think perhaps the most likely group is some variant of
       | this combined with dystopian techno-feudalism that drives society
       | into an attractor state that's hard to get out of.
       | 
       | It's by no means certain though, and i think the article takes an
       | over-pessimistic take.
       | 
       | It's true that uber drivers and doordashers get bid down, but
       | this is the bottom rung of the ladder of unskilled labor; there
       | is currently massive demand for this job.
       | 
       | If you look at restaurants I believe post-covid you see a
       | different story, where workers are not racing to the bottom and
       | instead employers need to offer way above minimum wage to fill
       | roles. Trades would be an even better example, where skilled
       | carpenters and mechanics are so in demand that it's a comfortable
       | six-figure job.
       | 
       | Personally I think all these low-skilled jobs are quite likely to
       | be automated soon. How society responds to the influx of
       | unemployed unskilled workers will be the crux. And of course the
       | skill bar for automation will increase; in the long term many
       | (most?) jobs are going to be automatable.
       | 
       | UBI or similar is the obvious solution, but Capital will of
       | course oppose this vigorously. A new social contract will be
       | needed; the slippery slope that the US is currently on does not
       | end in a pretty place.
        
         | MangoToupe wrote:
         | > unskilled labor
         | 
         | I really wish we would stop using this term. Not only is
         | driving very obviously a skill, and one I'm grateful for
         | everytime I get in a car, but jobs that are labeled as
         | "unskilled" often emphasize skill to a _higher_ degree.
         | 
         | Furthermore, as someone who has worked many "unskilled" jobs
         | (picking crops, working in a kitchen, working front of house),
         | the skill you have makes a massive difference to your happiness
         | and, many times, your take-home pay. We're going to see many,
         | many types of office work get automated long before we have
         | automated crop pickers or cooks or (actually usable) waiters.
         | It seems to me that _office work_ has the highest concentration
         | of the low-skill workers.
         | 
         | What people really mean with the term is "engages in physical
         | labor", I think, but that should also expose how silly it is to
         | expect these jobs to be automated anytime soon.
         | 
         | I now work as a software engineer, which obviously takes
         | enormous experience aka "skill", and I'd estimate that i'm on
         | the "thickest of ice" outside of HR and the executive suite.
         | It's the customer service people, designers, PMs most at risk
         | of being replaced, although I think the outsourcing trend will
         | continue for a long time before this is successfully
         | productized in a general case. People managers tend to be
         | replaced (or rather, not rehired) as productivity per capita
         | goes up. I worry far more about being forced into contract work
         | than I do of layoffs.
         | 
         | I'n much less bullish on UBI than other people are because I
         | see the demand for it coming from fueling the consumer economy
         | rather than any sort of collectively-rational approach to
         | divvying up resources and funding development of services and
         | infrastructure. Sure, maybe there is a role for that--I'd love
         | to rework SSDI (without pulling the rug out from under it, as
         | neoliberals are bound to try to do) so my disabled friends
         | don't live so vicariously, but delivering UBI before increasing
         | democratic control of the economy that funds it feels an awful
         | lot like putting the cart before the horse. But that's another
         | story.
         | 
         | Edit: oh one last thought: I do think we are more likely to see
         | people getting paid to play video games long before we "bring
         | back manufacturing" or whatever. It's going to be much easier
         | politically to directly subsidize the bottom of the economic
         | pyramid than it will be to basically go through another
         | economic revolution altering the pyramid structurally.
        
           | theptip wrote:
           | It's all relative. While there is skill, pretty much anyone
           | can learn it in short order. Vs "skilled labor" like trades
           | which require many years of apprenticing.
           | 
           | And no, it's not a proxy for "physical labor". Trades are
           | highly skilled, picking groceries from a list is not. (To be
           | clear, not being pejorative here. These jobs are needed.) The
           | key difference is the supply of workers; the lower the bar
           | for entry, the more supply and therefore the bid is lower.
           | 
           | (Or in the other direction from the workers perspective,
           | demand is much higher for jobs requiring less
           | training/certification.)
           | 
           | I don't think working class jobs are going to go first as a
           | group; I bet paralegals will be automated before plumbers.
        
             | MangoToupe wrote:
             | > While there is skill, pretty much anyone can learn it in
             | short order.
             | 
             | This is also true of my day-to-day work. Granted I pitch
             | myself as a generalist with over twenty years of
             | experience, but my day-to-day work uses a vanishingly-small
             | sliver of that. I'd estimate I could train a teenager to do
             | a substantial portion of the work I do in just a couple of
             | months. Would they offer the same value? No, of course not,
             | but time and money can overcome that for most businesses.
             | 
             | Plus, there is clearly some kind of aptitude that is
             | difficult to teach, and harder still to measure, and even
             | harder _still_ to quantify. I 'm not sure I'd call that
             | "skill", though, and I don't necessarily need to make 10x
             | as much as you do because I have that aptitude. In an ideal
             | world, anyway.
             | 
             | > Trades are highly skilled, picking groceries from a list
             | is not.
             | 
             | I'm assuming you're referring to instacart workers?
             | 
             | Normally I'd agree with you that the skill barrier to entry
             | here is quite low, but an astonishing number of workers
             | apparently can't tell the difference between a russet
             | potato and a yam. Granted, AI can at least help with _that_
             | problem.
             | 
             | But surely this would also apply to many office jobs that
             | require college degrees. For instance, my bestie has a
             | degree in chemistry and works at a local bank branch. This
             | job, inexplicably, requires a degree. It almost seems like
             | the college degree is just a stand-in for, well, literacy.
             | Surely LLMs stand for the automation of literacy on some
             | base level--but you still need to man the bank branch with
             | humans. So is literacy really the skill, or is it just
             | existing with a body? Many if not most workers are not
             | hired for their bodies, but for their literacy. Hell, if
             | you think about it, the janitor probably has more job
             | security than anyone else in the building from the advances
             | of technology.
             | 
             | > The key difference is the supply of workers; the lower
             | the bar for entry, the more supply and therefore the bid is
             | lower.
             | 
             | Why not call these jobs "high supply" or something like
             | that? It gets to the point much easier, and you have less
             | of a chance of being mistaken for saying something
             | semantically completely different.
             | 
             | I'm not saying that the term "unskilled labor", or
             | certainly "skilled labor", is inherently _un_ useful, but
             | the vast majority of times I've seen it employed I sense
             | incoherence regarding who _ought_ to be paid what for what
             | work, and it rarely does boil down to just  "skill". As you
             | point out, supply and demand are much stronger explanatory
             | forces. I'm just saying that some highly-valued skills are
             | just as unimpressive as those supporting sub-minimum-wage
             | work (ie the gig economy), and the allegedly-low supply of
             | workers leaves me scratching my head.
             | 
             | One of my other physical jobs as a teenager (i was a lil
             | rural hustler) was caddying for very rich and occasionally
             | even famous people. Many of these people are hilariously
             | helpless with basic tasks--they can't cook, they can barely
             | button their shirts or tie their shoes, they don't know how
             | their phone works (which was even more baffling back then
             | when phones had about three functions total), they don't
             | know how to talk to their children or socialize with
             | workers (like me), they're terrible drivers, and I even ran
             | into a few I suspect couldn't read (which was jaw-dropping
             | to lil hyperlexic 14-year-old MangoToupe), etc. One of them
             | had a child who could speak better Haitian-accented french
             | and even some patois than she could english because of how
             | much time she spent with her foreign nanny--watching her
             | belt out a filthy swear right next to her blissfully
             | unaware parents had me struggling not to laugh. Serene calm
             | and being quick to laugh at jokes is the ticket to good
             | tips.
             | 
             | of course you would also run into people who grew up poor
             | or middle class before finding financial success, and the
             | cultural and social difference was like night and day--
             | those are the people who would continue to thrive if
             | someone took their wealth.
             | 
             | So--to me, the "skill economy" narrative just kind of fell
             | apart as I grew into an adult. I just don't get why, if
             | it's so obvious to me that "skill" isn't the core driver of
             | many parts of our economy, we retain this language implying
             | that it _is_ (even if I _do_ find my work primarily through
             | my own said skills).
        
               | MangoToupe wrote:
               | For some reason I can't edit, but there's a couple of
               | typos in there (eg, "many if not most workers" rather
               | than "many if most office workers"); please read it
               | charitably.
               | 
               | Edit: oddly, I _can_ edit this comment.
        
               | dgb23 wrote:
               | I hear you. A good friend of mine is a cleaner. She has
               | the work ethic of a draft horse and takes pride in being
               | meticulous and going the extra mile in a timely manner.
               | 
               | Happy clients are of utmost importance for her and she
               | cherishes the ones who recognize the extra care she puts
               | into her work.
               | 
               | She also loves cleaning in of itself. Even describes it
               | as therapeutic.
               | 
               | I look up to her in many ways. There's deep wisdom in
               | what she's doing and how she's doing it. Day to day.
               | 
               | I once used the term ,,unskilled labor" and she asked
               | what it meant. I explained it. She only gave me this
               | look, no comment.
               | 
               | From then on I understood how ridiculous that term is.
        
             | AngryData wrote:
             | As someone in the trades, 85% of trade jobs are not any
             | more difficult or require any more skill or amount of
             | knowledge or experience as these other jobs. So I find it
             | pretty messed up when people put these other jobs down as
             | unskilled and use that to justify shit pay and conditions
             | because that means most trade jobs are only slightly better
             | off due to temporary social views.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | What do you think the barriers are between the two? Why
               | would anyone pick items off a list for minimum wage when
               | they could make six figures in the trades? Is it simple
               | credentialism and gatekeeping?
               | 
               | Someone just quoted me 60k to renovate by backyard. I
               | have been doing it myself and there is certainly a lot of
               | skill to doing even simple tasks like seeding a lawn
               | effectively
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | Organized labor doesn't seem to use those terms.
       | 
       | There's a bill to provide some relief for poultry processors, but
       | despite bipartisan support the bill hasn't gone anywhere.[1]
       | 
       | The dairy industry in the Northeast has managed to get into a
       | strange situation. The dairy operators are suing their own
       | cooperative for creating a monopsony and holding down raw milk
       | prices. Milk is a shrinking market, but dairy farmers have a lot
       | of political clout, which leads to some very strange situations.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-
       | bill/150...
       | 
       | [2] mhttps://vtdigger.org/2022/08/02/lawsuit-accuses-dairy-
       | farmer...
        
       | scotty79 wrote:
       | When a workers is chickenized with AI isn't that the case that
       | it's the manager who just lost his job?
       | 
       | That's what means to replace a manager with few lines of java (or
       | with AI).
        
       | bitwize wrote:
       | I thought they were going to be talking about that old-timey
       | drawing of a creature with human legs and a rooster upper body.
        
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