[HN Gopher] Possible new dwarf planet found in our solar system
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       Possible new dwarf planet found in our solar system
        
       Author : ddahlen
       Score  : 84 points
       Date   : 2025-05-21 18:32 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.minorplanetcenter.net)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.minorplanetcenter.net)
        
       | ddahlen wrote:
       | The minor planet center is the clearing house of observations of
       | objects in our solar system. They have announced a new dwarf
       | planet today.
       | 
       | This object appears to be in a very eccentric orbit (0.948), and
       | with an H magnitude of 3.55, so it is likely hundreds of km in
       | diameter. Ceres for reference has a H magnitude of 3.33 (smaller
       | H is bigger diameter).
       | 
       | If you want to know what H means:
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Absolute_magnitude#Solar_Syste...
        
         | gus_massa wrote:
         | > _hundreds of km_
         | 
         | How big is that compared with other dwarf planets/ Moons? If
         | you sort all dwarf planets by size, which position does this
         | take (approximately)?
         | 
         | Pluto -> 2300 Km
         | 
         | Ceres -> 950 Km
         | 
         | Fobos(Mars) -> 25 Km
        
           | ddahlen wrote:
           | Depends on the albedo, if the H magnitude is a good
           | measurement, then it is probably between 300-700km. These are
           | rough bounds, its highly dependent on how reflective it's
           | surface is (albedo).
           | 
           | With an orbit somewhere around 28k years, it reached
           | perihelion in about 1931, at 45 au from the Sun.
        
             | kbelder wrote:
             | So it's roughly in the closest 200-year period out of
             | 28,000 years. That means it spends 99.3% of it's orbit
             | further away than now, and thus harder to find.
             | 
             | Simplistic odds would seem to imply that there's over a
             | hundred more dwarf planets just like this but further away,
             | so we just haven't seen them.
        
               | hnuser123456 wrote:
               | I really hope we can get some more sensitive and wider
               | telescopes to look deeper into the Oort cloud. At those
               | distances, sunlight is comparable to a full moon or less,
               | surface temperatures are only tens of kelvin. And yet
               | they're still less than 1% of the distance to the next
               | star.
        
             | gus_massa wrote:
             | [I'm lost with all the recent discoveries.]
             | 
             | Assuming 500Km, is in in the top 10 by size/mass[1][2]? Top
             | 100? Top 1000? Top 1000000?
             | 
             | [1] Yes I know it's not the same. Whatever criteria is
             | easier to measure.
             | 
             | [2] I guess not top 10, but I have no idea about the
             | current knowledge of the long tail. Fake Edit: I took a
             | look at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_possible_dwar
             | f_planets So between 20 and 30???
        
           | hinkley wrote:
           | This thread is making me realize that The Expanse has me
           | pronouncing planetoids in Belter.
        
             | temp0826 wrote:
             | Beltalowda!
        
         | bediger4000 wrote:
         | Does the 0.984 eccentricity orbit imply anything? That's close
         | to eccentricity of 1, which is a parabolic path, not
         | gravitationally bound to the sun.
        
           | hnuser123456 wrote:
           | Going off the SMA and eccentricity, part of its orbit is
           | "relatively" close to the sun, ~ 45 AU, about 1.5x the
           | distance to Neptune (~ 30 AU), and the other half of its
           | orbit is very, very far away, ~ 1700 AU, over 50 times the
           | distance to Neptune, but still less than 1% of the distance
           | to the next star.
           | 
           | When it's in the faraway part of its orbit, it is moving very
           | slowly, probably only tens of meters per second, but it's
           | still close enough to the sun to eventually fall back in for
           | another loop.
           | 
           | However, if something else dense enough got close enough out
           | there, it would be easily perturbed and have its whole orbit
           | altered, or even be ejected.
           | 
           | But interstellar space is pretty void of wandering solid
           | bodies, so it keeps falling back towards the sun.
        
         | evil-olive wrote:
         | > This object appears to be in a very eccentric orbit (0.948)
         | 
         | from [0]:
         | 
         | > Before its demotion from planet status in 2006, Pluto was
         | considered to be the planet with the most eccentric orbit (e =
         | 0.248). Other Trans-Neptunian objects have significant
         | eccentricity, notably the dwarf planet Eris (0.44). Even
         | further out, Sedna has an extremely-high eccentricity of 0.855
         | due to its estimated aphelion of 937 AU and perihelion of about
         | 76 AU
         | 
         | > ...
         | 
         | > Comets have very different values of eccentricities. Periodic
         | comets have eccentricities mostly between 0.2 and 0.7, but some
         | of them have highly eccentric elliptical orbits with
         | eccentricities just below 1; for example, Halley's Comet has a
         | value of 0.967
         | 
         | so possibly an ignorant question, as someone who's interested
         | in astronomy but doesn't follow it very closely - when this is
         | categorized as a dwarf planet, does that include "it might be a
         | comet" as a possibility? or have they already ruled it out as a
         | possible comet through other observations?
         | 
         | 0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orbital_eccentricity#Examples
        
           | mandevil wrote:
           | Dwarf planet versus comet/asteroid hinges on mass, basically
           | its "enough mass to be roughly round" (technically it's
           | called "hydrostatic equilibrium").
           | 
           | Back from the 1810's to the 1870's or so, most people
           | considered Ceres, Vesta, and things like that to be planets-
           | they were bodies that wandered around the solar system, that
           | meant they were planets. When the numbers started to get into
           | the 20's, everyone decided to create a new category,
           | "asteroid" (Greek for 'star-like') and put all of the smaller
           | things in that. So when Pluto was discovered in 1930 it was
           | slotted right into the planet category. Pluto was discovered
           | mostly by accident, because Clyde Tombaugh was amazing at
           | working the blink comparator, and finding the one dot that
           | moved in between the two pictures of the night sky a few days
           | apart.
           | 
           | However, by the 1990's and 2000's you had computers and
           | digital cameras, which are even better than Clyde at finding
           | things that move, and quickly the number of planets started
           | to go up- and it was clear that once we had thoroughly mapped
           | the ~~Oort Cloud~~ (meant Kuiper Belt, see below) etc. we
           | would have dozens of planets. And so once again astronomers
           | decided to create a new category, just like they had with
           | asteroids a century earlier. This time they drew the line in
           | such a way that Ceres got moved from asteroid to dwarf
           | planet- it has enough mass to be roughly round, so after over
           | a century of being an asteroid it became a dwarf planet.
           | 
           | This is how things always work in science: we discover
           | something, then we discover more of them, and re-categorize
           | everything based on the new discoveries. It's just more
           | noticeable with Pluto because reciting the planets is done by
           | every schoolkid in a way that they don't for subatomic
           | particles or for species of voles or whatever.
        
             | epicureanideal wrote:
             | Very informative, thank you!
        
             | AStonesThrow wrote:
             | > thoroughly mapped the Oort Cloud
             | 
             | So it's interesting that the Oort Cloud is often mentioned
             | as a real thing. Surely there are plenty of bodies
             | discovered which are orthogonal to its existence, but
             | Oort's "Cloud" itself still enjoys only the status of
             | hypothesis and not reality.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oort_cloud
             | 
             | Sadly, even Wikipedia editors seem unable to distinguish
             | between the formal definitions of "hypothesis" vs. "theory"
             | when delivering such a scientific article.
        
               | codethief wrote:
               | Oh wow, looks like I'm one of today's lucky 10,000!
               | Thanks so much!
        
               | mandevil wrote:
               | You are correct, I meant to say Kuiper Belt, not Oort
               | Cloud, pulled the wrong thing out of my memory. Unlike
               | the Oort Cloud, we are doing a good job of mapping KBO's
               | as we speak.
        
               | throwaway2k255 wrote:
               | If the Oort Cloud is so relatively close to Alpha
               | Centauri, is there a chance that Alpha Centauri also has
               | its own cloud that overlaps with it?
        
             | hinkley wrote:
             | And that, boys and girls, is how Neil deGrass Tyson got
             | Pluto demoted. (I kid).
        
               | naikrovek wrote:
               | I still think he did it because he wanted to have his
               | name on something significant. He's a science
               | communicator, not a researcher, and he's not going to be
               | making any discoveries. So he's gotta change something
               | that already exists to have his name on something that
               | everyone knows. He had the power to change its status, so
               | he did. I think that's all it was. I hope I'm wrong but
               | I've never heard a really GOOD reason to undo something
               | that was so commonly known and taught. The definition for
               | "planet" could change and Pluto could have been left
               | alone, grandfathered in, in a way. There's a reason it
               | was discovered first. It's huge compared to other dwarf
               | planets.
               | 
               | There's no reason that Pluto couldn't have remained a
               | proper planet. It's big enough to be round _and_ its
               | largest moon is big enough to be round. Mars doesn't have
               | _any round moons._ Mars is still a planet.
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | Isn't that kind of the issue though? Pluto's moon isn't
               | just round it's about half the size of Pluto itself such
               | that the Pluto-Charon system orbits around a point in
               | space between the two bodies.
        
               | naikrovek wrote:
               | Jupiter and the sun orbit a barycenter, too. Jupiter is a
               | planet.
        
               | calmbell wrote:
               | Eris is essentially the same size as Pluto and has a
               | larger mass.
        
               | naikrovek wrote:
               | Then ADD Eros. Don't remove Pluto.
        
               | xp84 wrote:
               | > The definition for "planet" could change and Pluto
               | could have been left alone, grandfathered in, in a way
               | 
               | This doesn't sound like a science way of doing things.
               | The definition of planet would have to be literally
               | changed to add "Or has to have been discovered before
               | 19XX" in order to keep Pluto without becoming an
               | unbounded set. If you're annoyed at all the pedants
               | correcting kids or anyone else talking about the nine
               | planets, I'd take it up with them for uselessly debating
               | such a fine distinction, like a chemist arguing about the
               | word "Sodium" on a Nutrition Facts label.
               | 
               | I would argue the colloquial definition has indeed been
               | changed in the above way, in that most people would say
               | that what Mars, Venus, and Pluto have in common is
               | they're all planets, and only a few would remember the
               | odd factoid that the dwarf planet designation was
               | created.
               | 
               | It's okay for the colloquial definition to be different
               | than the scientific one. There isn't any use case where
               | that will harm anyone. It's not like we're chartering
               | flights to "All Planets" where space tourists are going
               | to be ripped off, limited to 8 planets by the
               | technicality and missing out.
        
               | naikrovek wrote:
               | You're probably right, but I still think there's room for
               | things like this.
               | 
               | What's a "moon" versus a "planet"? Earth is a moon of
               | Sol, is it not? Why is having a lot of planets a problem
               | in the first place? Why do we have to restrict the
               | definition at all? If 2-3 stars are at the center of a
               | star system, are the planets in that star system planets,
               | or something else? What if they're small?
               | 
               | This whole scene is ripe for people who want to put their
               | stamp of opinion on something to go nuts arbitrarily.
        
               | rantallion wrote:
               | > What's a "moon" versus a "planet"? Earth is a moon of
               | Sol, is it not?
               | 
               | Planets orbit stars. Moons orbit planets. That's a clear
               | and easy distinction. Planet vs dwarf planet isn't so
               | clear to most.
        
               | xp84 wrote:
               | What's a "moon" versus a "planet"? Earth is a moon of
               | Sol, is it not?
               | 
               | We already have the word "satellite" for "things that go
               | around other things" right? I think "moon" is just
               | "satellite of a planet" for convenience in discussing
               | that subset.
               | 
               | > Why is having a lot of planets a problem in the first
               | place?
               | 
               | I think keeping the number manageable is explicitly
               | something we keep around to help kids grasp the main
               | entities in the solar system. If we just said "there are
               | 235 planets" it would be silly to try to teach them all,
               | so we'd probably just settle for "The top 10 biggest
               | planets" or something. Having a definition instead of a
               | number to bound the set isn't much less arbitrary than
               | teaching the "top 10," but since the long tail clearly
               | starts after #8, "Top 8" would be the only guaranteed
               | stable set to give special treatment to, which is what
               | we've arrived at with the official definition.
        
               | metalman wrote:
               | I prefer to think that Pluto got denounced, and may yet
               | be rehabilitated.MPAPA
        
           | hinkley wrote:
           | That wiki page needs some work. The section you linked to
           | describes the eccentricity as a ratio, however the top of the
           | page describes 0 as perfectly circular and 1 as an escape
           | trajectory.
           | 
           | If it were a ratio then 0 would be escape and 1 would be
           | circular.
        
         | ddahlen wrote:
         | If you want to view the orbit:
         | 
         | https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/tools/sbdb_lookup.html#/?sstr=2017%...
        
         | d_silin wrote:
         | Most likely a https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Detached_object
        
       | java-man wrote:
       | Sorry for a stupid question: could it be "the planet X", or is it
       | too light / in a wrong orbit?
        
         | porkbrain wrote:
         | No, according to Wikipedia Planet Nine is expected to have
         | about 5 earth masses.
        
         | dotancohen wrote:
         | This is not planet X. This is smaller than other, closer,
         | bodies that we already know of.
        
           | squidsoup wrote:
           | And I just put the kettle on for the Anunnaki, what a pity.
        
         | mandevil wrote:
         | This is a good question to ask. It can't be, for the reasons
         | you guessed.
         | 
         | This is not the first time this sort of thing has happened.
         | When Pluto was found by Clyde Tombaugh he was looking for
         | Planet Nine, which Percival Lowell had calculated must be
         | present based on the orbits of the outer planets. But it was
         | quickly realized that Pluto was too small and in the wrong
         | orbit for it be Lowell's deduced planet. (And even then they
         | worked with a too high estimate of Pluto's mass, it wasn't
         | until the 1978 discovery of Charon that we got a good estimate
         | of Pluto's mass. It is hard to get a good mass estimate without
         | something else in orbit around it.)
         | 
         | The Pioneer and Voyager missions gave us much better estimates
         | of the masses of the gas giants, and my understanding is that
         | if you go back and redo Lowell's calculations with those
         | correct masses, his planet disappears. That's my best guess as
         | to Planet X, that our constants are wrong in some way, but
         | we'll see.
        
           | hinkley wrote:
           | One of the other theories for Planet X I believe has been
           | debunked as absense of evidence. There are gaps in the
           | _documented_ bodies orbiting the sun that could imply an
           | object clearing orbits, but they were dismissed instead as
           | sampling errors - there are parts of the sky that are easier
           | to catalog than others, and so of course we have cataloged
           | the easy parts more thoroughly. We need observation stations
           | in a sun orbit to see the parts we can't see easily from an
           | earth orbit.
        
       | ChuckMcM wrote:
       | "That's no moon" :-). But more seriously, just another giant lump
       | of stuff swinging around the solar system. I am not an
       | astronomer, so I'm not sure about some of the things I'm reading
       | in that report but to me, it seems to be in the solar ecliptic.
       | But its far enough away even at perigee that the only thing of
       | note it might interact with would be Pluto.
       | 
       | I suppose that flying through the Oort cloud it might
       | periodically launch ice balls into the inner solar system.
        
         | brudgers wrote:
         | _only thing of note it might interact with would be Pluto_
         | 
         | Is Pluto a planet again, or not? Honest question because I
         | don't keep up on these things because they have no practical
         | effect other than drama...and I try to avoid drama.
        
           | kulahan wrote:
           | No. It's smaller than other moons in our solar system. It's
           | never going to be a planet again, but a planetoid, dwarf
           | planet, or even asteroid is appropriate.
        
         | rich_sasha wrote:
         | It boggles my mind when I look up at the Moon, that in fact
         | it's a massive rock travelling at something like 2,000 mph,
         | always trying to fall onto the Earth, and missing it all the
         | time.
        
           | mgiampapa wrote:
           | If my goal was to fall into the earth and kept missing I
           | would be depressed too. Each try it misses by slightly more
           | and it's orbital distance increases. How sad is that?
           | 
           | Also, I like to anthropomorphize inanimate objects because
           | secretly they hate it.
        
           | yieldcrv wrote:
           | its getting further away, if it helps your understanding of
           | the situation better
           | 
           | "falling into" was never part of the equation
        
         | dabluecaboose wrote:
         | > But its far enough away even at perigee
         | 
         | Minor astrodynamics nit: "perigee" is a term specific to Earth.
         | The generic term for all bodies is "periapsis", and the term
         | for the Sun is "perihelion"
         | 
         | (Astrodynamics terms generally take from the Greek, rather than
         | Latin)
        
       | astroalex wrote:
       | I found the preamble at the beginning of the announcement
       | charmingly dated:
       | 
       | > The Minor Planet Electronic Circulars contain information on
       | unusual minor planets, routine data on comets and natural
       | satellites, and occasional editorial announcements. They are
       | published on behalf of Division F of the International
       | Astronomical Union by the Minor Planet Center, Smithsonian
       | Astrophysical Observatory, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A. > >
       | Prepared using the Tamkin Foundation Computer Network
       | 
       | Looking up the Tamkin Foundation Computer Network:
       | https://www.minorplanetcenter.net/iau/Ack/TamkinFoundation.h...
       | 
       | > The OpenVMS cluster consists of nine single-CPU workstations
       | and one four-CPU server. All the machines are running the
       | extremely robust and secure OpenVMS operating system. The twelve
       | Alpha-based machines are arranged as an OpenVMS Cluster, allowing
       | all machines to share disk storage, execution and batch queues
       | and other resources, as well as simplifying system management.
       | 
       | Assuming "Alpha-based machines" is referring to the DEC Alpha,
       | these computers are ~30 years old.
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DEC_Alpha
        
         | bastardoperator wrote:
         | Could they not get more juice out of a single, modern server? I
         | get porting over to a new system and migrating is a huge time
         | suck and a good enough reason not to do it if everything is
         | working, just seems excessive for 14 cores.
        
       | ddahlen wrote:
       | I got a bit too excited with this one, this is may not be a full
       | on dwarf planet, but it is a very large object. There are only a
       | small number (about 10-20) objects in our solar system of this
       | size. Its the first big one we have found in a number of years.
        
       | d_silin wrote:
       | For the curious.
       | 
       | Periapsis, au: 45.241
       | 
       | Apoapsis, au: 1714.759
       | 
       | Period, years: 26106.07
        
         | d_silin wrote:
         | It comes to Earth closer than Pluto, btw.
        
         | silverfrost wrote:
         | 26000 year period and yet it has still been around the sun
         | 2000+ times since the dinosaurs went extinct. Make me feel a
         | bit insignificant and awed at the same time.
        
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