[HN Gopher] Robin: A multi-agent system for automating scientifi...
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       Robin: A multi-agent system for automating scientific discovery
        
       Author : nopinsight
       Score  : 98 points
       Date   : 2025-05-20 16:21 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (arxiv.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (arxiv.org)
        
       | peterclary wrote:
       | Will we have AIs doing an increasing amount of the research,
       | theory and even publication, with human scientists increasingly
       | relegated to doing experiments under their direction?
        
         | lgas wrote:
         | If so, it won't last long. At some point AI will be able to use
         | robots to do the experiments itself.
        
           | TechDebtDevin wrote:
           | lmfao
        
             | florbnit wrote:
             | Closed loop optimization is already a thing, and you don't
             | even need AI for it, just good old bayesian optimization is
             | enough.
        
           | dekhn wrote:
           | In practice this turns out to be extremely challenging. I've
           | been through many labs with a ton of automated stuff that
           | is... constantly being worked on by a range of 3rd party
           | techs, rather than actually running in response to models.
        
           | postalrat wrote:
           | It makes me wonder if there is some easily automated or
           | configurable experiment is capable of revealing "new
           | science".
        
       | lamename wrote:
       | Also on HN today "I got fooled by AI-for-science hype--here's
       | what it taught me" https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=44037941
        
       | hirenj wrote:
       | Not my subject area, but at least one other group looked at
       | ABCA1, and judging from this abstract, it has been linked via
       | GWAS already, and furthermore concludes it doesn't play a role (I
       | haven't looked at the data though).
       | 
       | I don't know, but if we were to reframe this as some software to
       | take a hit from a GWAS, look up the small molecule
       | inhibitor/activator for it, and then do some RNA-seq on it, I
       | doubt it would gain any interest.
       | 
       | https://iovs.arvojournals.org/article.aspx?articleid=2788418
        
         | starlust2 wrote:
         | Wouldn't the fact that another group researched ABCA1 validate
         | that the assistant did find a reasonable topic to research?
         | 
         | Ultimately we want effective treatments but the goal of the
         | assistant isn't to perfectly predict solutions. Rather it's to
         | reduce the overall cost and time to a solution through
         | automation.
        
           | ClaraForm wrote:
           | Not if (a) it misses a line of research has been refuted 1-2
           | years ago, (b) the experiments at recommends (RNA-Seq) are a
           | limited resource that requires a whole lab to be setup to
           | efficiently act based upon it, and (c) the result of the work
           | is genetic upregulation of a gene, which could mean just
           | about anything.
           | 
           | Genetic regulation can at best let us know _involvement_ of a
           | gene, but nothing about why. Some examples of why a gene
           | might be involved: it's a compensation mechanism (good!), it
           | modulates the timing of the actual critical processes
           | (discovery worthy but treatment path neutral), it is
           | causative of a disease (treatment potential found) etc...
           | 
           | We don't need pipelines for faster scientific thinking ...
           | especially if the result is experts will have to re-validate
           | each finding. Most experts are anyway truly limited by access
           | to models or access to materials. I certainly don't have a
           | shortage of "good" ideas, and no machine will convince me
           | they're wrong without doing the actual experiments. ;)
        
             | cflyingdutchman wrote:
             | This is a great framing - would you please expound on it a
             | bit. Software is almost exclusively gated by the "thinking"
             | step, except for very large language models, so it would be
             | helpful to understand the gates ("access to models or
             | access to materials") in more detail.
        
             | ijk wrote:
             | This is, I think, what I've been struggling to get across
             | to people: while some domains have problems that you can
             | test entirely in code, there are a lot more where the
             | bottleneck is too resource-conatrained in the physical
             | world to have an experiment-free researcher have any value.
             | 
             | There's practically negative utility for detecting
             | archeological sites in South America, for example: we
             | already know about far more than we could hope to excavate.
             | The ideas aren't the bottleneck.
             | 
             | There's always been an element of this in AI: RL is amazing
             | if you have some way to get ground truth for your problem,
             | and a giant headache if you don't. And so on. But I seem to
             | have trouble convincing people that sometimes the digital
             | is insufficient.
        
       | photochemsyn wrote:
       | This approach is very interesting, and one attention-catching
       | datum is that their proposed compound, ripasudil, is now largely
       | out-of-patent with some caveats, via Google Patents and ChatGPT
       | 03:
       | 
       | > 1999 - D. Western Therapeutics Institute (DWTI) finishes the
       | discovery screen that produced K-115 = ripasudil and files the
       | first PCT on 4-F-isoquinoline diazepane sulfonamides. (Earliest
       | composition-of-matter priority. A 20-year term from a 1999 JP
       | priority date takes you to 2019 (before any extensions).
       | 
       | > 2005 - Kowa (the licensee) files a follow-up patent covering
       | the use of ripasudil for lowering intra-ocular pressure. U.S.
       | counterpart US 8 193 193 issued 2012; nominal expiry 11 July
       | 2026. (A method-of-use patent - can block generics in the U.S.
       | even after the base substance expires).
       | 
       | Scanning the vast library of out-of-patent pharmaceuticals for
       | novel uses has great potential for curing disease and reducing
       | human suffering, but the for-profit pipeline in
       | academic/corporate partnerships is notoriously uninterested in
       | such research because they want exclusive patents that justify
       | profits well beyond a simple %-of-manufacturing cost margin.
       | Indeed they'd probably try to make random patentable derivatives
       | of the compound in the hope that the activity of the public
       | domain substance was preserved and market that instead (see the
       | Prontosil/sulfanilimide story of the 1930s, well-related in
       | Thomas Hager's 2006 book "The Demon Under The Microscope).
       | 
       | I suppose the user of these tools could restrict them to in-
       | patent compounds, but that's ludicrously anti-scientific in
       | outlook. In general it seems the more constraints are applied,
       | the worse the performance.
       | 
       | Another issue is this is a heavily studied area and the result is
       | more incremental than novel. I'd like to see it tackle a question
       | with much less background data - propose a novel, cheap, easily
       | manufactured industrial catalyst for the conversion of CO2 to
       | methanol.
        
       | ankit219 wrote:
       | This is very cool.
       | 
       | One question I have in these orchestration based multi agent
       | systems is the out of domain generalization. Biotech and Pharma
       | is one domain where not all the latest research is out there in
       | public domain (hence big labs havent trained models on it). Then,
       | there are many failed approaches (internal to each lab + tribal
       | knowledge) which would not be known to the world outside. In both
       | these cases, any model or system would struggle to get accuracy
       | (because the model is guessing on things it has no knowledge of).
       | In context learning can work but it's a hit and miss with larger
       | contexts. And it's a workflow + output where errors are not
       | immediately obvious like coding agents. I am curious as to what
       | extent do you see this helping a scientist? Put another way, do
       | you see this as a co-researcher where a person can brainstorm
       | with (which they currently do with chatgpt) or do you expect a
       | higher involvement in their day to day workflow? Sorry if this
       | question is too direct.
        
       | greenflag wrote:
       | Someone has pointed out on X/Twitter that the "novel discovery"
       | made by the AI system already has an entire review article
       | written about the subject [0]
       | 
       | [0] https://x.com/wildtypehuman/status/1924858077326528991
        
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       (page generated 2025-05-20 23:00 UTC)