[HN Gopher] Bus stops here: Shanghai lets riders design their ow...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Bus stops here: Shanghai lets riders design their own routes
        
       Author : anigbrowl
       Score  : 433 points
       Date   : 2025-05-14 04:33 UTC (18 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.sixthtone.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.sixthtone.com)
        
       | ketzo wrote:
       | This is really brilliant -- like desire paths, but for transit.
       | Obviously execution will be challenging, but the concept is
       | fantastic, and China/Shanghai seems like one of the few places
       | with the requisite density & state capacity to actually make this
       | work.
       | 
       | Generally I think that the design of public spaces has SO MUCH
       | room to be improved by just responding to the wisdom of the
       | crowd.
        
         | amelius wrote:
         | It sounds great, but if this idea is a result of cost-cutting
         | then it might not be so great in reality.
        
         | MarceliusK wrote:
         | In a lot of places, even pilot programs get stuck in analysis
         | paralysis. Public space design could benefit so much from this
         | kind of feedback loop - more listening, less assuming.
        
         | bluGill wrote:
         | If your transit operator is competent it is doing studies that
         | look at more than just the people motivated to go through
         | effort. They need to look for people who would use a route if
         | it existed, but can't be bothered to open an app to ask for it
         | - this is likely a much larger group than those who ask for
         | something.
        
           | ketzo wrote:
           | Well, certainly, a transit operator should be doing their own
           | research -- this isn't a replacement for that.
           | 
           | But this is excellent as a _complementary_ new piece of data,
           | especially one that can be gathered so frequently and easily
           | (especially compared to lengthy transit studies)
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Either transit studies should not be so lengthy and there
             | are plenty of know ways to gather data that are less
             | biases; or there is good reason for the length. Note that
             | the above is not an exclusive or - there is a time and
             | place for short studies and a time for long studies.
             | However either way the study needs to be carefully designed
             | to not get biased data, and this app is biased data.
        
         | aeblyve wrote:
         | The masses are the real heroes, while we ourselves are often
         | childish and ignorant, and without this understanding, it is
         | impossible to acquire even the most rudimentary knowledge.
         | 
         | -- Mao Zedong
        
         | magic123_ wrote:
         | A few years back, Citymapper launched a bus line in london
         | where the route was defined based on the amount of data they
         | had about desired paths from their users that were badly
         | covered by the existing network.
         | https://citymapper.com/news/1800/introducing-the-citymapper-...
         | 
         | I didn't follow closely but it looks like the project got
         | canceled, as https://citymapper.com/smartbus returns a 404.
        
       | softgrow wrote:
       | I'm glad that Shanghai has moved to the next level in public
       | transportation in meeting customer demand. Most cities don't have
       | the funds to buy smallish buses and labour available as drivers.
       | They don't have the money or willpower to get frequencies to turn
       | up and go levels (ie frequent) and leave people with long walks
       | to widely spaced routes.
        
         | cryptoz wrote:
         | The actual money can't be the issue. It's $136 for failure to
         | stop at a stop sign in WA. If they enforced that for 30 seconds
         | per day the cities would be wealthy beyond belief.
         | 
         | Or maybe not-but we'd have much safer traffic! Thus enabling
         | revenue from fewer deaths.
         | 
         | But I digress- the problem with "revenue" for cities is they
         | actively avoid getting it. If they actually wanted or desired
         | more funds for the city, simply enforcing laws is all that is
         | needed. It's just not desired to have revenue I suppose, if it
         | means enforcing laws and collecting dues owed.
         | 
         | Yes yes I'm probably being "unrealistic" but honestly? Maybe
         | not.
        
           | moooo99 wrote:
           | Law enforcement should not be a primary mean of funding for
           | anything, as this creates a plethora of perverse incentives
           | for lawmakers.
           | 
           | That does not mean law enforcement is bad or unnecessary. It
           | just means that law enforcements primary purpose should be to
           | keep people safe and educate, not to fund the districts
        
           | mulmen wrote:
           | Fines are a disincentive. If they work what happens to your
           | funding?
        
           | lan321 wrote:
           | TBH if I suddenly notice a massive change in stop sign or
           | speed enforcement, to me, it'd be more of a signal of revenue
           | gathering than safety. It somewhat undermines my opinion of
           | police since I start seeing them more as a money making tool
           | of the bossman.. I really couldn't care less if someone's
           | speeding a bit or rolling stop signs as long as they are
           | actually paying attention. For all I care you can even run
           | red lights as long as no one is coming..
        
       | parpfish wrote:
       | Tangent:
       | 
       | I've often thought that it would be great to let people design
       | their own political districts to reduce gerrymandering
       | 
       | At the polling place you'd get a map with your census tract and
       | then be asked "which two or three adjacent tracts are most
       | similar to your community". Eventually you'd end up with some
       | sort of gram matrix for tract-to-tract affinity, and then you
       | could apply some algorithmic segmentation.
       | 
       | Two problems:
       | 
       | - this is far too complex for most voters to understand, much
       | less trust, what's happening
       | 
       | - the fact it's "algorithmic" would give a sheen of pseudo
       | objectivity, but the selection of the actual algorithm would
       | still allow political infouence over boundaries
        
         | permo-w wrote:
         | surely then the census tracts would just become the new thing
         | to gerrymander
        
         | abdullahkhalids wrote:
         | Gerrymandering is much more favorable in a FPTP system of
         | elections than other types of elections. Winner takes all
         | really incentives doing whatever it takes to keep winning.
         | 
         | Instead of your quite complex idea of segmentation, entities
         | should simply move to a slightly more complex election system
         | than FPTP, but which has reduced incentive for gerrymandering.
         | For example, systems that give parties some seats based on the
         | percentage of votes they get in the whole country/province etc.
        
           | parpfish wrote:
           | I agree that ftpt sucks, but there's still a need to
           | determine boundaries for various administrative district to
           | handle geographically dependent issues.
        
             | abdullahkhalids wrote:
             | My country has a psuedo algorithm in law that guides how to
             | draw these boundaries. It basically forces each
             | constituency to be convex. There is still some freedom in
             | the process, and there is still some gerrymandering, but
             | harder than in some other countries.
        
         | abdullahkhalids wrote:
         | Comment 2: I have actually had the same idea as you in a
         | slightly different context. My country is in urgent need of
         | creating new smaller provinces by dividing the existing ones.
         | But there is wide disagreement on what the boundaries should
         | be.
         | 
         | One method would be to decide the capitals of the new
         | provinces, and then ask people in each district which province
         | they would most like to join. If there is contiguous land to
         | the winning provincial capital for every district, then the
         | solution just pops out.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | Borders should be simple - either natural geography (rivers)
           | or squares that are some fixed increment of a km.
        
             | abdullahkhalids wrote:
             | Well, the districts are already there and have been mostly
             | unchanged for decades. There is a lot of administrative
             | history tied into specific districts. So splitting a single
             | district across two provinces will not do. So the new
             | provincial borders have to across existing district
             | boundaries.
        
         | agumonkey wrote:
         | I also wonder if it would be stable enough over time
        
         | viraptor wrote:
         | > which two or three adjacent tracts are most similar to your
         | community
         | 
         | From gerrymandering to gentrifying in one easy step ;)
         | 
         | There are good reasons to force some mixing or suddenly your
         | area only caters to the rich people while the non-similar area
         | is known for making all the hard decisions for all the
         | problems.
        
         | HPsquared wrote:
         | The problem is that constituency is about answering the
         | question "who are my people?". Like, why don't we have an MP
         | for tech workers and an MP for grandmothers? Why do
         | constituencies need to be geographical?
        
           | aembleton wrote:
           | So that your representative can address local issues like a
           | hospital being closed or a new road being built.
        
             | HPsquared wrote:
             | I care more about my demographic, my profession and role in
             | society then I do about the local area I happen to live in
             | right now. Geographic constituencies are a relic of the
             | feudal past. Sure, local issues should be discussed at some
             | point but it's really not a good way to represent the
             | population and the actual range of viewpoints in society.
        
       | kr2 wrote:
       | Chiming in from Los Angeles, USA to say wow, must be nice living
       | in a modern society that prioritizes public transit and peoples'
       | ease of movement. I know, I know, it comes with trade offs of
       | living in an authoritarian state, but the absolute abysmal state
       | of infrastructure in this country is maddening. Ever been on a
       | train in Denmark or Japan or Switzerland?
        
         | wonnage wrote:
         | Seems like the form of government doesn't really matter, you
         | can find examples from literally any end of the spectrum of
         | better public infrastructure
        
           | petesergeant wrote:
           | Suffrage is at the top of the hierarchy of needs, with decent
           | infrastructure, decent wages, and public safety being much
           | more fundamental needs for many people. There's a reason that
           | so many Filipinos, Indians, and Pakistanis choose to work in
           | the Gulf.
        
         | GrqP wrote:
         | Thank gawd for self driving cars...
        
           | sidibe wrote:
           | I hope the end state of self driving will be buses or vans
           | doing on demand routing like Uber Pool is supposed to be but
           | on a larger scale and maybe with fewer points for pickup and
           | drop off.
        
             | riffraff wrote:
             | When I took an operations research class our teacher
             | mentioned they had done a study on Rome's traffic and the
             | best solution (optimizing for travel time etc) was mini-
             | buses (~20 people) serving shorter routes.
             | 
             | Alas, nothing came of that study, and traffic in Rome has
             | not improved in the incurring ~30 years.
        
             | dgellow wrote:
             | https://www.moia.io/de-DE/mitfahren/standorte
        
         | sampton wrote:
         | I don't know. This check and balance thing is not exactly
         | working out here.
        
         | jmcgough wrote:
         | Truly the worst of both worlds that we now have
         | authoritarianism without good public transit.
        
           | chvid wrote:
           | I don't see what this has to do with authoritarianism. If
           | anything it is an example of the opposite.
        
             | sandworm101 wrote:
             | Authoritarian regimes traditionally touted public transit.
             | From "he made the trains run on time", the German autobahn
             | (which actually predated a certain party) to the lavish
             | halls of the Soviet subway stations, to China's highspeed
             | rail networks, public transit is just a thing that
             | strongmen like to do. And absolute power certainly helps
             | when you want to plow a road/rail/bridge through a
             | neighborhood.
             | 
             | I watched an in-flight documentary about the architecture
             | of soviet rural bus stops. Each one of them looked like it
             | cost most than the neighborhoods they serviced.
        
               | chvid wrote:
               | I just find this crazy - you can have good public
               | infrastructure without be authoritarian.
        
               | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
               | But you cannot have good public infrastructure without a
               | strong state (strength on its own isn't
               | authoritarianism).
               | 
               | A lot of western governments are rather weak, I swear
               | baumols cost disease and spiraling social/retirement/debt
               | spending has crippled their ability to provide for the
               | public.
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | In the US, it's mostly because the urban planning field
               | was extremely embarrassed about "urban renewal" (rightly
               | so) and switched to a new ideology that just completely
               | forbids ever doing anything in case it's bad for anyone.
               | 
               | It's also partly because they read The Population Bomb in
               | the 70s and literally decided to ban housing/transit in
               | order to stop people from having kids.
        
               | dmurray wrote:
               | Switzerland has a weak federal government. The cantons
               | are smaller than US states, but have more autonomy, and a
               | lot of matters are decided by direct democracy. Yet they
               | still seem to have good public infrastructure.
        
               | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
               | I mean the obvious is that Switzerland is rich, and money
               | is power.
               | 
               | But it's true that public infrastructure is more
               | dependent on local rather than federal governments. I
               | think the best example of weak local governments has to
               | be the UK [1].
               | 
               | 1. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V0DKsMJl6Z8
        
               | sandworm101 wrote:
               | Of course. Plenty of countries do. It is not that one
               | requires the other. It is that when authoritarians came
               | to power in the last century, many of them initiated
               | lavish public transport projects.
        
               | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
               | Public transport is in a lot of ways an aggregate
               | expression of state power. It takes a lot of state
               | capabilities to be able to execute public transport well.
        
               | zorked wrote:
               | Famously authoritarian Switzerland...
        
               | aylmao wrote:
               | Famously authoritarian pre-1950s USA [1]...
               | 
               | [1]:
               | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2018-08-31/why-
               | is-am...
        
               | pastage wrote:
               | "Not every authorian regime" cars are just as authorian
               | see Gulf states. I have a hard time seeing anything less
               | opressing than a 2 tonne hunk of steel that you need to
               | bring along everywhere.
               | 
               | It is such a tiresome trope, with people gushing over
               | cars. We do not live in 1950 anymore.
        
               | powerapple wrote:
               | I guess where you come from definitely determine how you
               | think: the bus stops look better than neighborhoods does
               | not offend me, it actually shows collectively you can
               | have something better than on your own, which makes a lot
               | sense to me XD
        
         | drstewart wrote:
         | No, but tell me about the trains in Canada or Australia or New
         | Zealand instead. Curious what high speed, modern trains these
         | nations have compared to China, or are they more backwards?
        
           | __m wrote:
           | They don't have high speed trains
        
           | supertrope wrote:
           | Anglosphere countries are highly car dependent.
        
           | viraptor wrote:
           | This is a silly comparison. How many cities can China connect
           | with trains vs Australia's 7 cities spread over almost 4k km
           | in both axes... It's not as much "backwards" as requirements
           | are vastly different. Melbourne-Canberra-Sydney could be
           | useful and is getting started now, but I wouldn't expect more
           | for decades.
        
             | drstewart wrote:
             | China is so much more modern, progressive, and advanced
             | than Australia
        
               | viraptor wrote:
               | No idea what this has to do with this thread. And you
               | lost me at the progressive claim...
        
               | drstewart wrote:
               | You have no idea what China being advanced compared to
               | Australia has to do in a thread replying to someone
               | claiming China is advanced compared to America?
        
               | viraptor wrote:
               | Are you confused about threads? You're the first one
               | saying China is more advanced here
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43981378 as an
               | answer to "it doesn't make sense to compare train systems
               | in those two countries". What is even the point you're
               | trying to make here?
        
               | Apfel wrote:
               | I think you may be operating under a misapprehension. The
               | word "progressive" is the one people have taken issue
               | with.
               | 
               | China is many things but progressive is not my adjective
               | of choice (I've spent many years living there).
        
               | danielbln wrote:
               | Go protest against the government in both countries and
               | see which is more progressive.
        
         | stickfigure wrote:
         | Mexico City has excellent public transit without the
         | authoritarianism.
        
           | viraptor wrote:
           | So does Melbourne. (Yes you can nitpick lots of things, but
           | overall it works and gets slowly improved)
        
           | pjmlp wrote:
           | I love Mexico, had a very nice time there and would return,
           | however there isn't without issues including
           | authoritarianism, even if it comes from armed groups instead
           | of the goverment.
        
             | stickfigure wrote:
             | I don't think it's fair to consider cartel crime as
             | authoritarianism. Usually crime is associated with
             | inadequate government authority. Which is definitely an
             | argument you could make about Mexico... but it's very
             | different from China.
        
               | pjmlp wrote:
               | I think the people that unfortunately where born on the
               | wrong Mexican state would be of a different point of
               | view.
               | 
               | For them we are comfortably discussing semantics on an
               | Internet forum.
        
         | dyauspitr wrote:
         | Now we just have incompetent, horrifically corrupt
         | authoritarians hell bent on dragging us back to oil and coal.
        
         | olalonde wrote:
         | Los Angeles feels like countryside compared to Shanghai though.
        
         | kubb wrote:
         | There's a lot of excuses but in the end America can't live in
         | the future because of its culture.
         | 
         | People will say stupid stuff like "oh it's because we pay for
         | their defense", or "oh it's because we have freedom", or "but
         | but this would never work here, because we're really different
         | than anyone else".
         | 
         | But actually? It's because we're used to this shit and change
         | makes us uncomfortable. We also really only care about
         | ourselves, not our broader community.
         | 
         | Have you ever wondered why we have vertical gaps in public
         | bathroom stalls? Inertia. There's no reason to have them, but
         | nobody cares enough to improve it. A better design isn't more
         | expensive or more difficult, we just don't want it enough to
         | make it happen.
         | 
         | We're stuck in a local maximum.
        
           | jychang wrote:
           | Uh, "we" ?
           | 
           | From someone who uses quotes ,,like this"?
           | 
           | ... https://i.imgur.com/swpYbpv.png
        
             | crummy wrote:
             | Maybe they're an immigrant?
        
           | mulmen wrote:
           | > Have you ever wondered why we have vertical gaps in public
           | bathroom stalls?
           | 
           | You mean the gap between the floor and the walls? Isn't that
           | for ease of cleaning?
        
             | kubb wrote:
             | You mean horizontal, at the bottom of the door. That one
             | can be justified by ease of cleaning.
             | 
             | I mean vertical at the side of the door. You can literally
             | make eye contact with the occupant as you walk by.
        
               | mulmen wrote:
               | Oh. You'll be relieved to know my office stalls are
               | constructed in a way that the panels overlap those gaps.
               | You're right it isn't hard, basically the door just opens
               | in and is wider than the opening. There's no way to see
               | in or out.
        
           | stackbutterflow wrote:
           | Ironically China used to have public toilets without doors.
           | Only separators to your sides. It was more than 10 years ago,
           | I don't know about now.
        
         | supertrope wrote:
         | >ease of movement
         | 
         | >authoritarian state
         | 
         | China has high speed rail. When you enter the train station
         | security checks your national ID then screens your person and
         | belongings. Buying a ticket requires scanning ID. Going from
         | the station down to the platform requires scanning ID. On the
         | train sometimes police come aboard and check everyone's ID.
         | When you get off the train you have to scan ID. Riding the bus
         | or subway was one of the very few things that does not require
         | scanning national ID or registering an account linked to
         | national ID. However if you ride a bus into Beijing there are
         | checkpoints requiring everyone to get off, get searched and
         | show ID.
        
           | m4r1k wrote:
           | On the other hand, you guys are early on in the authoritarian
           | journey. We shall see a few years down the line if and how
           | things get ugly.
        
           | vachina wrote:
           | You seem to get quite hung up on ID
        
           | mrtksn wrote:
           | AFAIK it's the same in places with high security risks, like
           | Turkey&Israel.
           | 
           | I despise this, not because I'm worried about the government
           | but because it makes me feel restrained to act in a specific
           | manner because this is not my space and I'm being watched.
           | It's dehumanizing.
           | 
           | In most of the Europe you feel like you own the place even if
           | there are many rules. In Eastern Europe it's even better, you
           | feel free and nobody is watching you. The government and the
           | wider system feels non-existent(which is the other end of the
           | spectrum and can result in unmaintained infrastructure but it
           | does have its charm).
        
           | pjc50 wrote:
           | Fortunately Greyhound in the US are resisting ID sweeps on
           | their buses.
        
         | chvid wrote:
         | I have been on trains in Denmark a plenty and our public
         | transport planning is slow and bureaucratic.
         | 
         | We could learn from this example - both in major cities and
         | areas where demand is too scattered to justify regular routes.
        
         | keiferski wrote:
         | I once rode the bus across LA. Years and dozens of countries
         | later, it is still probably the single worst public transit
         | experience I've ever had.
         | 
         | It wasn't because of the bus itself, or the routes, or anything
         | like that. But because the willingness of people to tolerate
         | one passenger screaming, threatening others, refusing to move
         | for a handicapped woman, etc.
         | 
         | American public transit is a cultural problem, not an
         | infrastructure one.
        
           | geremiiah wrote:
           | Dude, I have only ever rode busses in Europe, but such
           | incidents are bound to happen, even in the most posh areas of
           | the continent.
        
             | keiferski wrote:
             | These incidents happen on a regular basis on public transit
             | in California, and on that trip similar things happened to
             | me a few other times. It's not comparable to European
             | transit systems at all.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Only because in Europe so many more people ride transit.
               | The number of people who will be like that is generally
               | fixed per population, and so if you have a lot of other
               | (normal) people riding they a smaller %.
        
               | kjkjadksj wrote:
               | As a daily commuter on la metro bus and rail these
               | incidents aren't as common as people make out online. Nor
               | do they ever really affect you when they happen.
        
       | informal007 wrote:
       | This remind me that road router should be walked by passenger
       | rather than designed by designers.
        
         | ars wrote:
         | Like this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Desire_path
        
       | zaptheimpaler wrote:
       | China is the only modern country that has both the capability and
       | the lack of bureaucracy to just do things like this. It's
       | simultaneously amazing to see and a depressing reminder of how
       | badly western societies are crippled by rules of their own
       | making. It would take years to make a single new bus route in any
       | city, I don't think I've ever even seen that happen.
        
         | petesergeant wrote:
         | > China is the only modern country that has both the capability
         | and the lack of bureaucracy to just do things like this
         | 
         | Habibi, come to the UAE or Qatar
        
           | rrr_oh_man wrote:
           | Excuse my ignorance, but don't UAE/Qatar mostly use it to
           | build malls and vanity projects? That's at least the media
           | stereotype I have.
        
             | petesergeant wrote:
             | There's no shortage of malls in UAE, but also there's
             | fantastic infrastructure -- great roads, a metro system, a
             | country-wide rail system (open for cargo, opening for
             | passengers soon). As for "vanity projects", the Palm and
             | both Burj's are commercial projects that are also highly
             | successful tourist draws. I can see an argument that the
             | Abu Dhabi branches of the Louvre and the Guggenheim could
             | be seen that way, but I think it's fairer to see them as
             | cultural investments.
             | 
             | I guess I see the unfinished projects as being the proof:
             | The World and the 2nd Palm haven't been finished because
             | they (I assume) stopped making commercial sense to the
             | developers.
             | 
             | I would finally note that Dubai specifically has little oil
             | and gas wealth. Maybe 1% directly and 10% that comes as
             | subsidy from AD which has plenty. The rest is literally
             | just a combination of smart and commercially savvy
             | governance combined with an essentially unlimited amount of
             | desert to build in.
        
               | rrr_oh_man wrote:
               | Thanks for the perspective!
        
               | HPsquared wrote:
               | It sounds a bit like Singapore.
        
               | pama wrote:
               | Except Singapore no longer has a large amount of jungle
               | to build on.
        
               | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
               | Very interesting talk about some of the challenges facing
               | Singapore [1].
               | 
               | Does feel like the Singaporean economic miracle is under
               | a lot of pressure. Demographics and retirement savings I
               | guess being a big part of it.
               | 
               | 1. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JTHDkLqmoVg
        
               | hshdhdhj4444 wrote:
               | Yes.
               | 
               | And slaves.
               | 
               | Lots and lots of modern day slaves.
        
             | fakedang wrote:
             | The Roads and Transport Authority of Dubai is by far the
             | best government authority I have ever interacted with,
             | worldwide.
             | 
             | Once I had an issue with bus routes for my father's
             | employees (similar problem, high density route with fewer
             | routes). I put a request on their dashboard from abroad and
             | within days, their reply came back with them confirming a
             | trio of new buses to cater to that route.
             | 
             | Another time, I had an idea for bus route planning (not
             | related to above, that relied on a simple ping system for
             | bus driver notification). I sent an email describing the
             | idea in short to the Emirati CEO of the bus authority, and
             | within 15 minutes, he acknowledged my email and connected
             | me with his advisor to set up a meeting the next day. The
             | advisor (an Indian with a US PhD in urban transport
             | systems) discussed my idea through over a meeting.
             | 
             | Oh, and there are self-driving bus demos currently
             | happening in Abu Dhabi right now.
        
               | rrr_oh_man wrote:
               | Oh wow, that's pretty mind blowing!!! Thanks for sharing
        
               | mschuster91 wrote:
               | > Once I had an issue with bus routes for my father's
               | employees (similar problem, high density route with fewer
               | routes). I put a request on their dashboard from abroad
               | and within days, their reply came back with them
               | confirming a trio of new buses to cater to that route.
               | 
               | Well, that's what happens if you can just throw money at
               | problems. In Germany, it would most likely get rejected
               | because there are no spare buses/drivers or budget for
               | the fuel, and even if there was money it would likely be
               | delayed for at least one year because the new route would
               | have to pass through the usual tender/bid system first.
        
           | pjc50 wrote:
           | It's amazing what you can do with unlimited oil money and no
           | worker rights, yes.
        
           | suddenlybananas wrote:
           | Lot of slavery involved though.
        
             | stackedinserter wrote:
             | "Slavery"
        
               | umbra07 wrote:
               | What term would you rather use?
        
           | panick21_ wrote:
           | Their land use and transportation policies are certainty not
           | first rate. And from what I can observe and read, it seems
           | quite a mix bag, rather then a highly integrated system.
           | Doing totally unnecessary things like building a single
           | monorail, because monorails are cool or something. Rather
           | then an integrated standardized rail system.
           | 
           | And in terms of overall development strategy, its very often
           | very Americanized. Big highways, big highway interchanges.
           | Dubai is known for basically building everything along a very
           | big highway. There is no reason for a country this small to
           | ever have a highway this large.
           | 
           | Given how trivially easy they are geographically their modal
           | share in public transport is not very high at all.
        
         | tw1984 wrote:
         | > the lack of bureaucracy to just do things like this
         | 
         | sorry to disappoint you but Shanghai is the place where ride-
         | sharing wasn't even allowed in its main international airport
         | just 12 months ago. bureaucracy mixed with corruption is at
         | shockingly bad level.
        
           | sudahtigabulan wrote:
           | Some Europian countries ban ride-sharing in their entire
           | territories, not just airports.
           | 
           | https://www.ncesc.com/which-european-countries-dont-have-
           | ube...
           | 
           | So Shanghai seems indeed low-bureaucracy, in comparison.
        
             | kskjfjfkdkska wrote:
             | Did Uber actually offer ride-sharing in these places? I
             | feel like it's just branding to avoid being called a taxi
             | app. Only place I've seen ride-sharing in use was the US.
        
           | presentation wrote:
           | I used DiDi from Pudong to Hongqiao around 6 years ago. Was
           | there a span in between where it was a no-go?
        
             | fancl20 wrote:
             | Yes the policy quickly gathered enough public backlash and
             | has been cancelled
        
         | keiferski wrote:
         | Check out Warsaw, Poland. Public transit is excellent, clean,
         | and basically gets you anywhere via bus, tram, subway, or one
         | of 4+ ridesharing apps. Bike lane coverage is also pretty good.
         | It's obviously an order of magnitude smaller than Shanghai, but
         | so are most Western cities.
         | 
         | Good overview of the system:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Kn2tL51bBs&t=8s
        
           | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
           | Warsaw really is booming, visiting from Berlin feels like
           | stepping ten years into the future.
           | 
           | Lots of real (and not paper) economic growth.
        
             | keiferski wrote:
             | Hah, yeah I do really like Berlin, but traveling from
             | Warsaw to Berlin does feel like going back in time,
             | infrastructure and mentality wise.
        
               | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
               | I mean the public transport infrastructure here is great,
               | and there's a lot to love about the place (it's why I'm
               | still here after all).
               | 
               | But spot on about the mentality. A lot of that great
               | infrastructure here was inherited, and the attitude
               | around it's continued development has been super
               | conservative. Not to mention the Berlin government is
               | borderline insolvent.
               | 
               | Just look at the cluster fuck that was car free
               | Friedrichstr.
               | 
               | Warsaw is great, need to visit Poland again, have a huge
               | soft spot for paczki.
        
               | unwind wrote:
               | ObWikipedia: paczi are a Polish filled doughnut [1] that
               | seems awesome. Thanks.
               | 
               | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P%C4%85czki
        
               | keiferski wrote:
               | They are indeed awesome, and once a year, everyone eats
               | donuts for Fat Thursday.
               | 
               | https://culture.pl/en/article/fat-thursday-polands-
               | tastiest-...
        
           | xattt wrote:
           | How does taking transit versus car compare for travel times?
           | 
           | Even in Lisbon, it seemed that public transit was a much
           | bigger hassle, both in time and cost, than a ride-sharing
           | app.
           | 
           | We had a family of 4. Fares are about EUR3-4 each so EUR12
           | per ride in one direction. Ride-shares were about EUR9. We
           | also abused the intro ride-share offers by creating separate
           | accounts and got that down to EUR4.50.
        
             | keiferski wrote:
             | Generally I think the subway is much faster if you're going
             | more than 2-3km, and the tram is slightly faster than cars
             | because you have a designated lane. Tickets are time-based,
             | not trip-based. A 20 minute ticket is about 94 euro cents
             | and an unlimited day pass is maybe 4 euros?
             | 
             | I only use ride sharing for longer 30+ minute trips, and
             | usually that is between 10 and 15 euros one direction.
        
             | jerven wrote:
             | 4 people, for a short term stay is about where it starts to
             | make sense to ride share. Long term, you would have an
             | longer term pass, vastly reducing the cost of a busride,
             | and you would often travel in smaller groups. So in my
             | experience there are times when bus/tram can be much faster
             | and convenient than a car. Of course there are many cases
             | where it is the other way round (and going out of the
             | cities that ratio changes dramatically for a car). Good
             | city design tends to favor a ratio in favor of public
             | transport over cars.
        
         | dgellow wrote:
         | > It would take years to make a single new bus route in any
         | city, I don't think I've ever even seen that happen.
         | 
         | It happens all the time in Western Europe, not sure what you're
         | talking about
        
           | 0_____0 wrote:
           | Might be USian bias. I've seen bus routes change in the US
           | but not to the degree of adding massive amounts of service.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Adding massive amounts of service costs a lot of money. It
             | is always a bad thing if you see that anywhere in the
             | world. It takes years for people to adjust their lives
             | around better service, so your experiment will have data
             | proving it was a wasted investment long before it works. If
             | your city happens to do a massive investment despite my
             | strong recommendation against it look close at the funding
             | - if they don't have committed funding to continue that
             | service for 10 years just ignore it as odds are too high
             | they will cancel that service just as your start to rely on
             | it and then you have to scramble to adjust your life
             | (generally meaning buy a car - if you are car dependent you
             | budget for the costs of a car, but if you normally use
             | transit this is a sudden large expense that you probably
             | can't handle).
             | 
             | Adding more service is a good thing, but it needs to be
             | done in a sustainable way so that people can rely on it
             | long term.
             | 
             | Sometimes cities will make massive changes to their
             | network. By eliminating bad routes they can often find the
             | money to fund good routes. This is a very different
             | situation.
        
               | rsynnott wrote:
               | > Adding massive amounts of service costs a lot of money.
               | It is always a bad thing if you see that anywhere in the
               | world.
               | 
               | Dublin Bus has added massive amounts of service over the
               | last decade, going from an incredibly deficient bus
               | service to merely a bad bus service, and has in the
               | course of this been able to significantly lower journey
               | prices, due to increased usage.
               | 
               | > It takes years for people to adjust their lives around
               | better service
               | 
               | I think this possibly _used_ to be the case, but the
               | likes of Google Maps have changed that. You'll see bus
               | routes introduced days ago with full buses, because
               | people want to get to a place, they ask Google Maps, and
               | it tells them. 30 years ago, people would take the bus
               | routes they were used to, but today they will take the
               | bus route their phone tells them to take, so introducing
               | new services has become a lot easier.
               | 
               | (This does sometimes have unintended consequences, when
               | routes intended as low-volume feeders get identified by
               | the apps as a shortcut and swamped.)
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Dublin is the exception that proves the rule. They
               | somehow managed to convince everyone that they were going
               | to run their system for 10 years and thus it could be
               | trusted, and then continued running it long enough to get
               | people to start using it.
               | 
               | Great if you can pull that off in your city, but I'm not
               | confident you can. For that matter if you can pull it off
               | it means you are lacking smaller investments many years
               | before that would have resulted in some transport that
               | you could have grown over time to what you are finally
               | getting.
        
               | supertrope wrote:
               | I'm guessing bluGill is referring to long term changes
               | like selling a car, selecting housing, or selecting a
               | job.
        
         | DocTomoe wrote:
         | Berlin and Hamburg, both in Germany, would like a word.
         | 
         | These concepts have been popping up in the last few years all
         | over the world.
         | 
         | The Shanghai example is special because it uses actual busses,
         | and actual stops.
         | 
         | Now, demand calculation in the west is easy: Students always go
         | from where they live to the school they are being schooled at
         | in the morning, and return either at around 1pm or around 4pm.
         | You don't need a fancy system to put those lines on the map:
         | check when school ends, add 15 minutes, then have busses drive
         | to major population centres (with smaller villages being served
         | similarly when the bus arrives).
         | 
         | The elderly want to go to and from doctors, and to
         | supermarkets. That, too, is easily manageable in the 'students
         | at school' ofttime and follows similar patterns.
         | 
         | Workers are similar, especially for large workplaces. Smaller
         | workplaces - now it gets interesting, especially when there is
         | some movement between workers and places of business (and, as a
         | third aspect, time).
         | 
         | In Shanghai, that only is possible because you have a large
         | overlap between
         | 
         | 1. people who ride public transit and 2. are tech-savvy enough
         | to use the demand-calculating system. Also 3. as you are
         | essentially making schedules to plan around obsolete, you need
         | to provide enough service that people aren't surprise-lost in
         | the city because the route changed randomly.
         | 
         | Where I live, public transit is used by students and the
         | elderly (who don't do 'internet things' and pay for their
         | ticket in cash, with the driver. The essential young-adult to
         | middle-aged population doesn't use public transit, because it
         | is too slow, too expensive, and too inflexible for their work
         | schedules. Good luck getting the critical mass of data to
         | design bus routes there.
        
           | panick21_ wrote:
           | People always think that 'dynamic' is some magical solution.
           | The reality is where people live and go doesn't change that
           | fast. And once a bus route exist and people use it, you need
           | a very good reason to remove it. And stations almost never
           | move.
           | 
           | Re-planning your network once a year is plenty.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | More importantly, if the routes do not change often you can
             | plan around them. If the routes change all the time you
             | never know if you can use them today and so you soon give
             | up even checking.
        
         | gnopgnip wrote:
         | Dollar vans are a lot like this and all over. They will take
         | you where you need to go as long as it isn't too far off the
         | "route"
        
         | citizenpaul wrote:
         | In Austin tx they have 30inch eink screens at all the stops.
         | They update with new routes and schedules regularly. I admit I
         | don't know the flexibility or if decisions are made years in
         | advance though.
        
         | mcintyre1994 wrote:
         | Cities in the UK are adding new bus routes all the time, why
         | wouldn't you be able to do that?
        
           | 9283409232 wrote:
           | Philadelphia Republicans are proposing cuts to bus and rail
           | service including a 9 PM transit curfew. Expanding service is
           | more difficult than you may think in the US because transit
           | is underfunded and the 1st target for cuts.
        
             | rsynnott wrote:
             | > including a 9 PM transit curfew
             | 
             | What the hell? That just seems bonkers. Here, the city
             | council is berating the transport authority for slow
             | rollout of 24 hour routes...
        
               | amanaplanacanal wrote:
               | Where I live, most routes don't run at all on Sundays or
               | holidays, and even the days they do run it's only once an
               | hour. I suspect these are typical US service levels.
        
         | npodbielski wrote:
         | How making rules crippling public transport? Obviously not
         | everything is great in the west or here where I live but I
         | prefer it to gutter oil or play doah buldings. China is far
         | from perfect as well.
        
           | HPsquared wrote:
           | There are pros and cons to each system, of course. But I'd
           | expect the looser system to produce more innovation.
        
             | npodbielski wrote:
             | In expense of peoples lives and well being. You can also
             | say that Doctor Mengele helped to advance modern medicine
             | and you would be right. Still this would be really inhumane
             | view of the world.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Transit doesn't need innovation. we have been doing it for
             | a long time. Iterate on what is know to work. Small change
             | is generally best.
        
               | HPsquared wrote:
               | Transit needs major innovation and overhaul if it's to
               | gain any significant market share.
               | 
               | For instance in the UK (in 2022), a whopping 6% of
               | commuting trips were by bus and 9% were by rail. Even
               | less for leisure: 3% of leisure trips are by bus, 3% by
               | rail. That's terrible market share!
               | 
               | Source:
               | https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/transport-
               | statistic...
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Innovation is not needed. Overhaul is perhaps needed, but
               | all the innovations needed to get high market share are
               | already known in the world.
               | 
               | Most of what is lacking is the money needed to run that
               | service. That is not an innovation.
        
         | MarceliusK wrote:
         | Would be nice to find a middle ground - fast action with public
         | input, not instead of it
        
         | panick21_ wrote:
         | What the hell are you talking about? Is the only place you have
         | ever lived Huston or something?
         | 
         | Try visiting Switzerland, Netherlands, Sweden, Norway and so
         | on.
         | 
         | When rural trains in China run as well as Swiss trains, come
         | back to me.
        
         | EZ-E wrote:
         | China has plenty of bureaucracy, however the transport systems
         | seem well designed and well run, at least in big cities. I
         | wonder how much of that is thanks to the scale. They are (or at
         | least were) launching subway in new cities, and new subway
         | lines in cities that have subway already every year. After some
         | time you're bound to get good at it.
        
         | hshdhdhj4444 wrote:
         | > lack of bureaucracy
         | 
         | Huh? Chinese government is insanely bureaucratic.
         | 
         | It's true that if there's something the govt wants they enlist
         | the entire bureaucracy in favor of that and make it happen
         | rapidly, but just because the bureaucracy can be functional,
         | and even effective, doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
         | 
         | I mean, that's basically the definition of a bureaucracy, which
         | while some may treat the word as synonymous for inefficient or
         | incapable, it really isn't, and the Chinese bureaucracy is
         | proof of that.
        
           | jeff_carr wrote:
           | > Huh? Chinese government is insanely bureaucratic.
           | 
           | Indeed. It takes a pretty big bureaucracy to be able to ban
           | the wikipedia. Oh, and ban gmail & all of google. And all
           | news sites in general. Can customize your bus schedule though
           | I guess.
        
         | codingdave wrote:
         | Last time I lived in a city was a while back, but at that time
         | Denver updated routes a few times a year. I'm not saying they
         | are the speediest, but I don't know how you are claiming that
         | no new route can be created in any Western city without years
         | of work. That simply is not true.
         | 
         | Or, if you want to go small, my school district changed bus
         | routes with a 48 hour turn around time when we moved to our
         | home in the country, and again when our teenager's schedule
         | changed and he could no longer drive the younger sibling home.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | Routes should not be created or changed often. People need to
           | rely on transit, if they can't be sure their route will still
           | be there for long they should buy/drive a car even if there
           | is good transit today since they will need that car when the
           | routes change to something that doesn't work.
           | 
           | changing routes is needed of course. Cities chanre and you
           | need to follow that. They don't change fast though. long term
           | routes also drive change as people adqust their life to what
           | they can do.
        
             | nocoiner wrote:
             | I went down a rabbit hole a couple years back, and it blew
             | my mind to learn that many modern bus routes just replicate
             | streetcar service that was discontinued (and the tracks
             | torn up) 70-80 years ago.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | That isn't a surprise as people build their life around
               | what they can do. If can make a trip they will and so
               | those routes tend to stay useful/busy. There are
               | sometimes better routes we could use instead today, but
               | often the existence of those routes 70 years ago set how
               | the city grew and so those are still useful routes.
        
         | rsynnott wrote:
         | > It would take years to make a single new bus route in any
         | city, I don't think I've ever even seen that happen.
         | 
         | I live in a city in a Western European country which adds
         | multiple new bus routes a year, and always has done. Honestly
         | I'd assume this is the case for any medium to large city.
         | 
         | The unusual bit about the Shanghai initiative is that,
         | presumably, they have significant _spare_ capacity, to be used
         | for low-volume/experimental stuff like this. Spare capacity is
         | a slightly weird thing for a bus network to have; they tend to
         | run basically on the edge.
        
         | quasse wrote:
         | > It would take years to make a single new bus route in any
         | city, I don't think I've ever even seen that happen.
         | 
         | This is simply not true. Madison, WI just finished a massive
         | revamp of their entire bus system where many existing routes
         | were re-aligned or replaced with rapid transit routes with
         | dedicated lanes. Despite massive amounts of naysaying from
         | local conservatives the project has been a massive success and
         | has resulted in a huge bump in ridership [1].
         | 
         | The whole thing happened because the city elected a mayor [2]
         | who was laser focused on making transit happen and just kept
         | working on it.
         | 
         | I think US politics has a major incentive alignment problem -
         | if your local politician's genuine personal success metric is
         | "improved transit" then you're likely to end up with improved
         | transit. If success is "got re-elected", "got more corporate
         | donations" or "used mayorship as a stepping stone to national
         | politics" then you're likely to end up with a milquetoast
         | compromiser who never does anything of substance because they
         | don't want to be accountable for anything.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.channel3000.com/news/madison-metro-sees-brt-
         | wind...
         | 
         | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satya_Rhodes-Conway
        
         | hayst4ck wrote:
         | > It's simultaneously amazing to see and a depressing reminder
         | of how badly western societies are crippled by rules of their
         | own making.
         | 
         | It all comes down to corruption. In the west we are accustomed
         | to thinking we are much less corrupt, but that is proving not
         | to be less and less true every day.
         | 
         | Corruption is loyalty to a man over a mission. All systems that
         | have good outcomes are when the man that people are loyal to
         | (because he can punish dissent and reward loyalty, such as with
         | wages) chooses a mission over their own self interest and
         | enforce subordination to a mission over themselves.
         | 
         | China is a country that is capable of punishing their richest
         | citizens, while the US and most of the west are not. China
         | executed the executives that poisoned infant formula. Here in
         | the US, our "law" let the Sackler Family promote addiction and
         | then gave them a slap on the wrist while letting them use the
         | "law" to reduce/avoid consequences.
         | 
         | China has more _Rule of Law_ than the US right now.
         | 
         | Rule of law was thought to be a system where all citizens,
         | including the rich, are protected from the government by due
         | process, but rule of law is when the rich and powerful have
         | limits on their arbitrary executions of power. _Law_ exists to
         | protect the weak from the powerful, law exists to bind power.
         | In the west the rich have co-opted law as their tool.
         | 
         | > crippled by rules of their own making.
         | 
         | No, not our own making. The making of our richest. The rules in
         | the west exist to solidify and cement the power of our richest
         | and they use their money to pay for power consolidation giving
         | them increasingly more power to compromise our laws for their
         | interest.
         | 
         | China can do things because their power is working on behalf of
         | their people, while in the west our power is working on behalf
         | of the powerful.
         | 
         | > lack of bureaucracy
         | 
         | Who do you think is doing these things? Literally their
         | bureaucracy. It requires people to organize and do those
         | things. Bridges and tunnels don't get built without planning,
         | funding, and execution, which is exactly what bureaucracies do.
         | 
         | The rich people in the west have been so effective at
         | compromising institutions of power that "bureaucracy" is
         | synonymous with "inefficiency." Their bureaucrats are trusted
         | with the power to make things happen, while our elected
         | officials bind their behavior and set them up for failure in
         | order to justify privatizing their functions.
        
           | insane_dreamer wrote:
           | > China has more Rule of Law than the US right now.
           | 
           | Not quite. You either don't realize or are overlooking how
           | much implementation of the law in China, at every level,
           | depends very much on who is doing the implementation. But the
           | US under Trump is quickly heading down the road to where I
           | can see it being worse than China in that respect.
           | 
           | > China can do things because their power is working on
           | behalf of their people, while in the west our power is
           | working on behalf of the powerful.
           | 
           | I can't disagree with your criticism of the West, but your
           | statement about China is straight from a CCP propaganda
           | handbook.
           | 
           | > China executed the executives that poisoned infant formula.
           | 
           | That was a long time ago, and obviously those executives
           | didn't have the necessary guanxi.
           | 
           | Who gets accused and is found guilty of corruption in China
           | depends very much on who is in power. That much was obvious
           | in how Xi cleared out the opposition from 2013-2017. Bo Xilai
           | is a prime example.
           | 
           | But back to the original topic of public transportation:
           | That's one thing China gets right that the US is totally
           | inept at because it's built on a car culture.
        
             | bllguo wrote:
             | > but your statement about China is straight from a CCP
             | propaganda handbook.
             | 
             | and? the Chinese people live and believe it. propaganda can
             | be true, and governments can in fact live up to their
             | statements. ofc with westerners' pathological mistrust of
             | authority, as well as their penchant to pick the worst
             | possible leaders, we will never come to any agreement about
             | this.
             | 
             | also, are we seriously still unironically typing "guanxi"
             | in this day and age? social capital is hardly something to
             | be exoticized. keep the orientalist rhetoric where it
             | belongs please.
        
       | comrade1234 wrote:
       | Train/bus services change every year here in Switzerland, but
       | based on usage data rather than voting, which seems like it could
       | be gamed.
        
         | rrr_oh_man wrote:
         | I love the Swiss approach to things. Possibly the only sane
         | country.
        
         | chrisandchris wrote:
         | Routes actually don't change that much, is mostly the schedule.
         | The article however is more about the route and less about the
         | schedule.
        
         | MarceliusK wrote:
         | Combining both could be powerful
        
       | yanhangyhy wrote:
       | this is great. hope beijing will adopted this soon
        
       | philberto wrote:
       | The moia service in Hamburg Germany offers virtual stops which is
       | the next step I would argue. The bus follows a different route
       | and stops every time based on the need of current passengers
       | 
       | https://www.hvv-switch.de/en/faq/what-are-virtual-stops/
        
         | dgellow wrote:
         | I was going to say this! Moia is pretty awesome
        
         | mattlondon wrote:
         | What does that mean? The links doesn't help explain it much?
         | 
         | In the UK/London there are some bus routes where you just stick
         | your arm out and the bus will stop to get you where you stand
         | ("hail and ride") and equally you can just ring a bell when
         | onboard and the driver stops as soon as there is somewhere
         | convenient to let you off. The route is fixed though.
         | 
         | Is it that sort of thing?
        
           | mimischi wrote:
           | What routes are those? I thought you can only be picked
           | up/dropped off at designated stops
        
             | tonyedgecombe wrote:
             | The route through my village is hail and ride although most
             | of the bus drivers seem to disagree.
        
             | calcifer wrote:
             | Many routes have "hail and ride sections" without
             | designated stops. You can't get off, but can hail and get
             | on at any point. Here's a list for London [1].
             | 
             | [1] https://bus-routes-in-
             | london.fandom.com/wiki/Hail_and_Ride_b...
        
             | mattlondon wrote:
             | https://tfl.gov.uk/modes/buses/hail-and-ride-
             | buses?intcmp=79...
        
           | philberto wrote:
           | So there are virtual stops all over the city. You book a ride
           | let's say city center to your home. The service integrates
           | this route into existing rides or create a new ride. It might
           | stop 5 times on the way to your home and pick up people and
           | drop them. And you as a passenger won't know the route in
           | advance. And it will not be the fastest to your place in most
           | cases.
           | 
           | I guess this is what you call "ride sharing". It is like your
           | parents picking you up from football and realizing the kid
           | from the other part of the town also needs a ride so they
           | make a huge detour
        
         | geremiiah wrote:
         | This is just a shared taxi, no? They have existed for a long
         | time at small scales. For example airports and hospitals often
         | have such services.
        
           | janfoeh wrote:
           | It's a crossover between busses and taxis; they operate on
           | demand like taxis, but only get you roughly the most direct
           | way (they can drive detours to pick up other passengers on
           | the way) in a roughly predetermined amount of time (a 20
           | minute drive usually takes about 20 to 30 minutes due to the
           | detours) from roughly where you are to roughly where you want
           | to go (they are only allowed to stop on a virtual grid of bus
           | stops spaced around 250 meters apart).
        
       | jillesvangurp wrote:
       | I like this; it's smart. It's a low tech solution that simply
       | coordinates transit based on demand and self optimizes to serve
       | that demand.
       | 
       | The value of buses and trains running on schedule is mainly that
       | you can plan around it. But what if transit worked like Uber.
       | Some vehicle shows up to pick you up. It might drop you off
       | somewhere to switch vehicles and some other vehicle shows up to
       | do that. All the way to your destination (as opposed to a mile
       | away from there). As long as the journey time is predictable and
       | reasonable, people would be pretty happy with that.
        
         | throw310822 wrote:
         | In various countries there are private vans that ride along the
         | normal bus routes, marked with the same numbers as the buses.
         | They work exactly like buses, collecting and leaving people at
         | the stops, but they're much smaller and usually more frequent.
         | I always thought they were an excellent solution- I don't get
         | why there shouldn't be anything in between big, rare, and
         | shared public buses and small, on-demand, individual private
         | cars.
        
           | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
           | I'm not really aware of many rich countries that operate
           | minibusses in urban areas. The bulk of the cost of operating
           | public transport is labor so there's a strong incentive to
           | scale.
           | 
           | Now if we get Waymo style self driving minibusses, that'd be
           | great. But if the running costs for full size electric busses
           | aren't too dissimilar it might just make sense to standardize
           | on larger automated busses for increased surge capacity.
        
             | throw310822 wrote:
             | I'm not sure why the should "operate" anything. Any taxi or
             | Uber driver could autonomously decide to put up a route
             | sign and start following that route, with a standard ticket
             | price that makes the service profitable.
        
               | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
               | So the public transport authority stops running their own
               | vehicles, and instead places tenders for individual
               | routes? And anyone can bid on operating the route? I mean
               | they already do that with subcontractors for
               | contingencies etc.
               | 
               | Overwhelmingly however it's cheaper to vertically
               | integrate, and private operators have no interest in
               | taking low profitability routes (which can often be very
               | important due to second order effects).
               | 
               | I will contend that automated busses might change things
               | here a bit though.
        
               | throw310822 wrote:
               | > So the public transport authority stops running their
               | own vehicles, and instead places tenders for individual
               | routes? And anyone can bid on operating the route?
               | 
               | No. The public transport authority keeps doing exactly
               | the same that it's doing now. Simply, taxi drivers can
               | choose daily to start following a route for shared
               | drives. Nothing else, except maybe some coordination so
               | that the ticket price is known in advance.
        
               | pjerem wrote:
               | In my country, any city that is profitable enough for
               | Uber&co also already have enough buses. When you already
               | have a bus every 5 minutes, adding the capacity of some
               | vans will not change anything.
               | 
               | On a smaller bus line with less frequency than that, it
               | will also not be really profitable for "independent"
               | drivers.
               | 
               | It may be useful as a temporary solution or a local test
               | but a public transport authority (should) have enough
               | data to scale lines or create routes based on real usage.
               | 
               | When public transport are bad, it's rarelly due to the
               | physcal constraints but always because budget is lacking.
               | You aren't going to solve your lack of bus (drivers) by
               | adding more vehicules with less capacity.
        
               | mytailorisrich wrote:
               | Busses cause nuisances so routes are regulated. It is
               | also difficult to operate them at a profit. If you let
               | the market decide freely on a per route basis most routes
               | would disappear.
        
             | bisRepetita wrote:
             | Hong Kong
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_light_bus
        
             | vkou wrote:
             | Vancouver has 20-person minibuses serving suburban routes.
             | They are what make the rest of the transit system work.
             | 
             | I'm told (but have no idea of how true that is, since my
             | social circles don't intersect it) that New York has a
             | cottage industry of private bus-vans, that sit somewhere
             | between a taxi and a vanpool that get people (usually
             | working poor) to and from work.
        
               | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
               | From some googling it appears a major reason for the
               | community shuttles is that they are allowed to operate on
               | narrower, suburban streets than full sized busses and
               | have lower fuel consumption per mile.
               | 
               | I'll concede geography limits are a valid reason for
               | smaller vehicles.
        
               | vkou wrote:
               | They also do less damage to roads. Large vehicles do
               | disproportionately more damage.
               | 
               | They are also cheaper to buy, clean, and maintain.
        
               | alwa wrote:
               | Dollar vans are real [0]. Real in the same sense as
               | nutcrackers and bodega kitties: endemic, well-loved, and
               | officially discouraged.
               | 
               | [0] https://citylimits.org/how-nyc-dollar-vans-are-
               | adapting-for-...
        
             | yitianjian wrote:
             | New York:
             | 
             | https://www.newyorker.com/business/currency/interactive-
             | new-...
        
             | HPsquared wrote:
             | Rich countries have both buses and taxis. These sit between
             | the two in terms of both quality and price. I don't think
             | it's a cost issue but a licensing one.
        
             | ostacke wrote:
             | Visited Florence last year and certain bus lines there were
             | operated by minibusses. I guess some routes with the narrow
             | streets in the city center are impossible to drive with big
             | vehicles.
        
             | pjc50 wrote:
             | The most Western place I encountered this was West Belfast,
             | twenty years ago. This was after the peace agreement but
             | before public transport had been fully restored. So there
             | were London-style black taxis in certain areas that
             | operated on a shared fee basis; no meter, you'd get in and
             | agree a price, and there might be other people in there
             | going the same way.
             | 
             | Important to note that this was fully private and
             | unregulated.
        
               | htrp wrote:
               | gypsy cabs are also a negative externality particularly
               | with unscrupulous actors
        
             | Bayart wrote:
             | My fairly rich French city operates minibuses, mostly aimed
             | at old people, which run through the otherwise non-drivable
             | city center. Of course these are short, low-throughput
             | routes.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | There's a regional transit system with smaller buses out
               | where I live about 50 miles west of Boston. My empirical
               | observation is it's pretty just elderly who take them.
        
             | AStonesThrow wrote:
             | In Maricopa County, each city has discretion to operate a
             | system of circulators or shuttles. Many of them do. Many of
             | them are fare-free.
             | 
             | For example, in Scottsdale there are old-timey "trolleys"
             | which look like streetcars, but they are just buses with
             | fancy chassis. They operate routes which go through some
             | neighborhoods and commercial districts, such as Old Town,
             | to get people shopping and gambling and attending events.
             | 
             | In Tempe, there are "Orbit" buses which mostly drive
             | through residential neighborhoods. They are mostly designed
             | to get riders to-and-from standard bus routes and stations.
             | You can also do plenty of shopping and sightseeing and day-
             | drinking on these routes.
             | 
             | In Downtown Phoenix there is a system of "DASH" buses
             | which, among other things, have serviced the Capitol area,
             | which is due west of the downtown hub, where buses fear to
             | tread, because it is also the site of "The Zone" where the
             | worst street people congregate and camp-out.
             | 
             | Now all of these free circulators tend to be popular with
             | the homeless, the poor, and freeloaders, but they are also
             | appreciated by students and ordinary transit passengers,
             | because we need to walk far less, and there are far more
             | possibilities to connect from one route to another.
             | 
             | An innovative feature of many circulators is the "flag stop
             | zone". Rather than having appointed stops with shelters,
             | signs or benches, you can signal the operator that you wish
             | to board or disembark, anywhere in the zone. The operator
             | will stop where it's safe. While it is still a fixed route,
             | it gains some of the flexibility for the passengers to make
             | the most convenient stops.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Charge a small fee and those routes would be profitable
               | on their own. You can of course add reduced/free fares
               | for homeless/students if you wish, but most people can
               | afford a fare and that money can go into running more
               | service which the typical adult needs a lot more than the
               | savings of a small fare.
        
               | AStonesThrow wrote:
               | Why be profitable? Charging fares on a free circulator is
               | counterproductive. It costs to maintain and enforce fare
               | boxes, and you're adding friction to a system that's
               | designed to bring riders to the main routes. And you're
               | _already_ running more service! The more successful
               | circulators you have, the more passengers will be using
               | the main system.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Any money you make from fares is another source of money
               | that can be used to run more service and make the network
               | better. The vast majority of your riding population is
               | not poor and would gladly trade a little money for better
               | service. (if the vast majority of your riders are poor
               | you must be running really bad service)
        
               | AStonesThrow wrote:
               | The free circulator network is made better by the sheer
               | number of people riding it, not the revenue it can bring
               | in.
               | 
               | Firstly, more people riding circulators equals more
               | stimulation of the economy, via shopping and event-going.
               | People getting out of their homes and out of their
               | residential neighborhoods is an overall good for
               | commerce.
               | 
               | Secondly, I believe that one of the issues for collecting
               | fares is the reluctance to create a new tier. Because the
               | circulators are not full-size, full-service bus routes,
               | they would necessarily need to charge less fare, and
               | setting that up and maintaining a lower fare tier is
               | labor-intensive, and requires a lot of education of the
               | public. If a bus runs around the neighborhood with EXACT
               | FARE REQUIRED and people are out of quarters, well
               | they're just going to forgo riding that bus. If a bus is
               | fare-free, and gets them into the full-fare zone, they're
               | going to go for it.
        
             | throwaway2037 wrote:
             | Hongkong has an extensive mini-bus network -- the green
             | tops (regularly scheduled and more tightly controlled) and
             | the red tops (the wild west). Also, Tokyo runs mini-buses
             | in the (richest) central core between areas that don't have
             | connecting subways & trains.
        
               | thenthenthen wrote:
               | What is the difference between the red and green tops? In
               | my experience the green ones are kinda wild as well, stop
               | and go anywhere, super interesting. Too bad my
               | Hongkongnese sucks.
               | 
               | Edit: Bisrepita shared the info:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_light_bus
        
               | throwaway2037 wrote:
               | Hat tip to Bisrepita for the earlier share.
               | 
               | In my experience, red tops can do almost anything they
               | want -- they can deviate from the planned route in any
               | way that they wish. Also, most only accept cash (is this
               | changing?). Green tops are pretty strict about stops and
               | accept cash or local metro card (Octopus). On a deeper,
               | urban explorer level: The red tops have _waaaaay_ more
               | aggressive drivers. It feels like GTA sometimes.
               | 
               | When riding a mini-bus, you only need two words of local
               | language (Cantonese) to make it stop: You Luo  jau5 lok6
               | ("yau-lok"). (You need to really shout to be heard over
               | the revving engine.) For green top routes, use Google
               | maps. They will guide you on what green top to take.
               | Example: If you want to go hiking in Sai Kung, take the
               | 101M green top mini-bus from Hang Hau metro station to
               | Sai Kung pier. (Google maps can provide directions with
               | the bus info.) Red tops are more adventurous and should
               | only be taken if you speak/read more than a few words of
               | Canto (50-100 words is fine).
        
           | keiferski wrote:
           | Example of this in ex-Soviet countries:
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marshrutka
        
             | Etheryte wrote:
             | I don't think marsa, as they're called where I'm from, are
             | the same thing as described here. At least in my home
             | country, they serve routes that don't get enough traffic
             | for a large bus, so they have their own numbers and routes.
             | Usually you would get one if you're going to a small
             | village in the countryside or similar.
        
               | keiferski wrote:
               | Hmm; not sure then. I remember riding one of these in
               | Odesa about a decade ago, from the airport to the city
               | (presumably a route that would be busy enough to have a
               | bus line.)
        
               | throw310822 wrote:
               | Well I was indeed thinking of marshrutkas, at least as a
               | saw and used them (many) years ago.
        
               | pydry wrote:
               | They operate in post-soviet cities too, especially
               | between microdistricts.
        
           | datameta wrote:
           | See: Marshrutka (Marshrutka), Colectivo, Matatu
        
         | notpushkin wrote:
         | I had to do a visa-run in Vietnam a couple weeks ago and my
         | trip to the border was exactly like that. After the bus got to
         | their nominal final stop, they've unloaded all passengers
         | except me, then made a couple other stops (they took a computer
         | monitor from one place to another??), then finally told me to
         | wait and take another bus, which I didn't have to pay for.
         | (Both buses were of the micro-bus / _marshrutka_ kind, of
         | course.)
        
         | thanatos519 wrote:
         | Yes! Just use an app to say where you want to go, and it tells
         | you which of the 3 nearest bus stops to go to, and you get
         | where you want to go reasonably quickly. No bus routes, just
         | dynamic allocation and routing based on historical and up-to-
         | the-minute demand.
         | 
         | If you tell the system your desire well in advance, you pay
         | less. "I need to be at the office at 9 and home by 6 every
         | weekday". Enough area-to-area trips allocate buses. Smaller,
         | off-peak, or short-notice group demand brings minivans. Short-
         | notice uncommon trips bring cars. For people with disabilities
         | or heavy packages, random curb stops are available.
         | 
         | Then you remove private cars from cities entirely. Park your
         | private car outside the city, or even better, use the
         | bikeshare-style rentals. No taxis or Ubers, only public
         | transit, with unionized, salaried drivers. Every vehicle on the
         | road is moving and full of people and you can get rid of most
         | parking spaces and shrink most parking lots.
         | 
         | It's not rocket science. It's computer science.
         | 
         | Fantasy, because it would allow us to drastically reduce the
         | manufacturing of automobiles.
        
           | rich_sasha wrote:
           | I suspect it's a pretty hard optimisation problem if you want
           | to be lean. And if you want to overprovision... you end up
           | with something that looks a bit like status quo.
           | 
           | Don't get me wrong, I'd love for this to exist. Just, as
           | someone with optimisation experience, it seems pretty gnarly.
        
             | vidarh wrote:
             | I think the cheapest and easiest starting point would be to
             | offer people a time guarantee if they book, and contract
             | with cab companies to provide capacity.
             | 
             | E.g. a bus route near where I used to live was frequent
             | enough that you'd usually want to rely on it, but sometimes
             | buses would be full during rush hour. Buying extra buses
             | and hiring more drivers to cover rush hour was
             | prohibitively expensive, but renting cars to "mop up" when
             | on occasion buses had to pass stops would cost a tiny
             | fraction, and could sometimes even break even (e.g. 4
             | London bus tickets would covered the typical price for an
             | Uber to the local station, where the bus usually emptied
             | out quite well)
             | 
             | Reliably being picked up in a most 10 minutes vs. sometimes
             | having to wait for 20-30 makes a big difference.
        
               | HPsquared wrote:
               | Even just letting people know how full the bus is, in
               | advance, would help a lot with that decision to take a
               | cab etc. There could easily be a map or list of the
               | physical buses and how full they are.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | If the bus is full then the transit agency needs to run
               | more service. Unless this is a "short bus" or your fares
               | are unreasonably low (free fares are bad for this reason)
               | your bus is paying for itself and you can run more
               | service on that route to capture even more people.
        
               | senkora wrote:
               | NYC has this. Bus locations and estimated number of
               | passengers on board:
               | https://bustime.mta.info/m/index?q=M5
        
             | wat10000 wrote:
             | The status quo in many cities is ~5x overprovisioning just
             | in terms of capacity actively on the road at any given
             | time, and way more than that if you count idle capacity.
             | You could overprovision by a lot and still come out ahead.
        
           | aembleton wrote:
           | Citymapper tried something similar in London a few years ago:
           | https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/feb/21/citymappe.
           | ..
           | 
           | I'm not sure what came of it; but I guess it didn't get
           | adopted by the TfL so it never really became part of the
           | transport system of the city.
        
             | pydry wrote:
             | I tried it out at the time. It was a minibus driving only
             | me around for the price of a bit more than a bus fare.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Then price to you was just a but more than a bus fare.
               | However the real price to the city works out to about 15x
               | as much as a bus fare. Does your city really want to
               | subsidize this (it would be a similar price for your city
               | to just give you a basic car!)
        
         | vidarh wrote:
         | Even with regular, fixed routes, I've for some time argued the
         | transit operator really need booking apps, on the basis that
         | you really need the data on the full journey, _and_ it 'd
         | transform e.g. bus routes if you could offer "there'll be a
         | pickup within X minutes", without necessarily having the buses
         | for it by falling back on renting cars. If you make people give
         | their end destination, you can also do much like what the
         | article suggests, but semi-automatic based on where those on
         | the bus (and waiting at stops) are actually going right now.
         | 
         | Today, ridership gives hard data on where people will go and
         | when _given the current availability_. Offer a guaranteed
         | pickup, and you get much closer to having data on where people
         | actually would _want_ to go, and even more reliably than people
         | voting on a  "wouldn't it be nice if" basis.
        
           | HPsquared wrote:
           | I don't even know if my local bus company tracks when people
           | get on and off. It'd need facial recognition to track each
           | person getting on, and when that person got back off the bus.
        
             | lozenge wrote:
             | This is usually done with WiFi MAC addresses. I know that
             | London did this for tube journeys but I'm not sure
             | anybody's done it for busses. You can also use smart card
             | IDs if there is an RFID payment system.
             | 
             | The introduction of randomised MACs might have put an end
             | to it.
        
           | panick21_ wrote:
           | This is really a bad idea. I absolutely do not want to
           | explain where I am going anytime I get on a bus or train. In
           | Switzerland, most people just get on because they already
           | have some general ticket for the year or month. And even
           | those that don't, you can just enable 'EasyRide' and as long
           | as that if active, at the end of the day (or when you disable
           | it) it will calculate whatever you used.
           | 
           | And you don't need 'there'll be a pickup within X minutes'
           | because regular bus stops in a developed country already tell
           | you all the buses that will come when. Some like 'Line 1, 2
           | min', 'Line 9, 5min' and so on.
           | 
           | And for your end to end journey, you can simply open the app
           | and look up your whole journey when you are planning it. If
           | you really don't want to wait a few minutes, you can get
           | there on time.
           | 
           | > but semi-automatic based on where those on the bus (and
           | waiting at stops) are actually going right now.
           | 
           | That's a solved problem with 'request stop'. If its in a
           | city, 99% of the time you stop anyway. For less populated
           | routes, the bus driver can just stop if somebody request its.
           | Its an incredibly simple system that has worked for 100+
           | years. In Switzerland we even do this for rural trains and it
           | works just fine.
           | 
           | The data companies actually need is this, what bus routes are
           | often full and when. And based on that they can increase
           | frequency.
           | 
           | For example in my city, the main bus line is already really
           | large buses (120+ people) that run every 10ish minutes. And
           | during peak times they run a few extra to increase frequency
           | to 5ish minutes.
           | 
           | In a city, you can run 15min frequency even on the routes
           | that go into the rural area, and for anything else you can do
           | more then every 15min. That fast enough that additional on
           | demand pickup doesn't make much sense.
           | 
           | The most important point is, don't ask people for data just
           | because you want data. If people want to use the app to look
           | up end-to-end journey or buy tickets, that's something you
           | can use. But I sure as shit don't want to open an app anytime
           | I get into a bus, tram or train.
        
             | vidarh wrote:
             | > This is really a bad idea. I absolutely do not want to
             | explain where I am going anytime I get on a bus or train.
             | 
             | So don't. But I _want to_ have the ability to enter where I
             | 'm going and get the benefits of better service it could
             | bring. I'm in London - I just tap in with a contactless
             | card, but I'd very happily open an app and pick a
             | destination if it meant I was guaranteed a timely pickup,
             | especially for less well served routes.
             | 
             | I'm all for still letting people get on without indicating
             | a journey; you'd just lose out on the benefits.
             | 
             | > And you don't need 'there'll be a pickup within X
             | minutes' because regular bus stops in a developed country
             | already tell you all the buses that will come when. Some
             | like 'Line 1, 2 min', 'Line 9, 5min' and so on.
             | 
             | I _do_ need that, because buses are regularly delayed, over
             | full and skipping stops. Knowing what the current estimate
             | is doesn 't solve the problem.
             | 
             | This has been my experience in at least a dozen countries
             | over the years. You can solve that with over-capacity, but
             | it's incredibly expensive to do so and so won't happen most
             | places. Being able to fix that problem at a fraction of the
             | cost has clear benefits.
             | 
             | > And for your end to end journey, you can simply open the
             | app and look up your whole journey when you are planning
             | it. If you really don't want to wait a few minutes, you can
             | get there on time.
             | 
             | I could. But my experience would be vastly better, if, when
             | I've already looked up the journey, and pressed "go", like
             | I often do with Citymapper for an unfamiliar route, I had a
             | maximum wait for each of those routes.
             | 
             | Not least because if you do this, you could run routes with
             | more dynamic schedule based on demand, and account for
             | unexpected spikes.
             | 
             | > That's a solved problem with 'request stop'.
             | 
             | No, it is not. That tells you when to stop as long as you
             | follow the regular route. If you have information on who is
             | going where, you can dynamically _change_ the routes.
             | 
             | E.g. a route near where I worked often had a very
             | overcrowded leg between two stations. It'd often have
             | served more passengers better to turn some of the buses
             | around at either of those two stations. If you had better
             | data on who were going where and how many people were
             | waiting at other stations, that decision could be taken
             | dynamically, and cars brought in to "mop up" to prevent any
             | passengers from being stranded.
             | 
             | Requesting a stop does nothing like that.
             | 
             | > In a city, you can run 15min frequency even on the routes
             | that go into the rural area, and for anything else you can
             | do more then every 15min. That fast enough that additional
             | on demand pickup doesn't make much sense.
             | 
             | 15 minutes frequency is shit. It's slow enough it will
             | cause people to make alternate plans. The routes I would
             | want this on had 8-10 minute pickups and we still regularly
             | ordered ubers for journeys we could do on the bus. The
             | problem isn't when the bus is on time - if I was guaranteed
             | the bus would always show up exactly on time, and never be
             | full, 15 minues would be somewhat tolerable, but the
             | problem is when a delay happens, and the bus that finally
             | arrives is too full to take on passengers.
             | 
             | > The most important point is, don't ask people for data
             | just because you want data.
             | 
             | If you think it is "just because I want data" you didn't
             | get the point.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | > I'd very happily open an app and pick a destination if
               | it meant I was guaranteed a timely pickup, especially for
               | less well served routes.
               | 
               | There is nothing about an app that can give you that
               | guarantee. If the system cannot run their current
               | schedule on time data on who wants to go where won't help
               | them. They need to fix their operations to run on time.
               | If their buses are full they need more buses, if they are
               | skipping stops it is obvious that more people want to
               | ride than there is room for without data on who that
               | person is.
               | 
               | Your transit operator already has all the data they need.
               | You need to ask why they are not acting on that data. I
               | don't know if it is incompetence (that would be my
               | expected answer in the US), or they lack the money to run
               | more service. However either way the data they need
               | exists and more data won't help.
               | 
               | Now if the transit operator is competent and has money:
               | more data can help inform what is the best change of all
               | options - but there are better ways to get that data than
               | an app. An app is always limited to those who choose to
               | install and use it (these days phones shut off installed
               | apps that are not in use so you don't get data)
        
             | carlosjobim wrote:
             | "I absolutely do not want to explain where I am going
             | anytime I get on a bus or train"
             | 
             | And why should the bus driver care about this? You can get
             | off the bus if it doesn't suit you.
        
               | immibis wrote:
               | You can either tell me your social security number or you
               | can stop commenting on Hacker News.
               | 
               | (Who am I? Well why should I care to tell you that?)
        
         | dist-epoch wrote:
         | This will never work in US for two reasons:
         | 
         | 1. removes control from local authorities - "we are supposed to
         | decide for our citizens, not them"
         | 
         | 2. NIMBYs will oppose the bus passing on their street - "too
         | much noise, peoples, ..."
        
           | mcny wrote:
           | > NIMBYs will oppose the bus passing on their street - "too
           | much noise, peoples, ..."
           | 
           | It is funny because nobody ever opposes Amazon or UPS
           | trucks...
           | 
           | I think if we can get people to use a service, they won't
           | oppose it?
        
             | noduerme wrote:
             | I live on a greenway street in Portland (bikes are
             | prioritized, car traffic is intentionally made difficult),
             | but I would have no problem with a bus route down it.
             | Having said that, I don't bike and I also don't care about
             | Amazon trucks. I've lived in NYC, SF, BsAs, Madrid and
             | Saigon. The performative hypocrisy of people in Portland
             | who claim to want an equitable society and claim to care
             | about the environment, whilst using those talking points to
             | prevent any kind of urban growth or new housing, is
             | shocking. The people who'd have a problem with a bus going
             | down the street are the same ones who lobbied to turn it
             | into a biking street and take away parking in the name of
             | the people and the environment. It's all a lie. A thin
             | cover for protecting their property values. AKA keeping the
             | neighborhood white. There's no racism as safe as the racism
             | you can explain away with progressive corporate-speak and
             | some spandex bike tights.
        
               | selimthegrim wrote:
               | I fled Portland screaming to New Orleans over a decade
               | ago and I haven't regretted it for one moment.
        
             | lozenge wrote:
             | Once you're paying the fixed monthly cost of a car
             | (depreciation, maintenance, insurance) it rarely makes
             | sense to use a bus. The exception is when there's
             | insufficient parking at the destination but most cities
             | have already decided not to go that route and it's too late
             | to change it.
        
           | pjc50 wrote:
           | > NIMBYs will oppose the bus passing on their street
           | 
           | Why do they get a say on buses? You don't get to veto other
           | drivers even in front of your own house.
        
             | seb1204 wrote:
             | Busses will be electric soon, silent then
        
         | MarceliusK wrote:
         | It's like rethinking buses not as rigid lines, but as flexible,
         | scalable logistics
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | Which is not something anyway wants. People need ridged
           | predictable schedules so they can figure out how to plan
           | their life. There are spontaneous trips people make (I burned
           | supper - guess we are going out to eat tonight). Meetings
           | sometimes run late, and sometimes end early, sometimes I want
           | to stay around and chat after the meeting sometimes I want to
           | get right home. I need instant flexibility and predictable
           | routes gives me that since I don't have to meet their
           | schedule. Meetings always start on time - flexible routes too
           | often will not be predictable because they detour for someone
           | else. Meetings often don't open the door until a few minutes
           | before - predictable lines mean I can tell the person with
           | the key when I'll be there and I will be right (important if
           | it is bad weather)
           | 
           | Flexible routes remove the mass from mass transit.
        
         | lhamil64 wrote:
         | My area has a dial-a-ride service where you can schedule a ride
         | and they essentially make an on demand bus route for it. I've
         | never actually used it though because it's just really not
         | convenient. You have to call a dispatch number to schedule
         | trips like 3 days in advance, and can only cancel 24 hours
         | before your trip. And you can only schedule trips on certain
         | weekdays (doesn't run on weekends at all) depending on which
         | city/town you're leaving from or going to.
        
           | jenny91 wrote:
           | A good example of how good ideas can suck with bad
           | implementation.
           | 
           | NYC has a paratransit system where you can essentially do
           | something like this if you have a disability that stops you
           | from taking the train (there's still lots of subway stops
           | without elevators, etc). From my understanding it's nice in
           | theory but borderline unusable given delays, ahead-of-time
           | scheduling, and the endless gridlock in the city. So
           | basically there to tick an ADA box...
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | No, it is an example of why the idea is bad and always will
             | be. Experts in transit have written extensively about this.
             | https://humantransit.org/category/microtransit for example.
        
         | bluGill wrote:
         | That "What if" is a stupid idea that has been around for years.
         | Professionals have written about this extensively -
         | https://humantransit.org/category/microtransit for example. The
         | fundamentals mean it can never work for anyone anywhere -
         | including aliens with some arbitrary advanced technology.
         | 
         | You cannot combine fast, predictable and reasonable journey
         | times with reasonable costs unless you have a scheduled
         | service. If you want a chauffeured limo that is fine, don't
         | pretend it mass transit or in any way better than a private car
         | for anyone other than you.
        
         | ysavir wrote:
         | I think this is one of those ideas that sounds good on paper
         | but breaks down in practice.
         | 
         | One immediate problem that comes to mind is that you need a
         | smartphone to take public transit. So if there's a teen without
         | a smartphone, they can't take the bus, nor can someone who's
         | phone died, etc.
         | 
         | One of the amazing things of the current system, as simple as
         | it is, is that it's predictable and doesn't require
         | coordination. You can walk to a bus stop and know that a bus
         | will arrive and take you where you expect to go, same as the
         | last time you've taken it and the time before that. You don't
         | need to look up a map to see what today's route is, or to see
         | where the stop is, or to let the bus know you're waiting for
         | you. You just show up at the bus stop and the rest just happens
         | in a predictable and reliable fashion.
        
           | dheera wrote:
           | > you need a smartphone to take public transit
           | 
           | Life in China these days does not support not having a
           | smartphone.
           | 
           | Renting a shared bike, using a public Wi-Fi, ordering at a
           | restaurant, literally everything requires an SMS confirmation
           | now. There are even automated convenience stores that require
           | scanning a QR code to enter. App-based mobile payments
           | (Wechat/Alipay) is pretty much the only payment method ever
           | used. Cash and cards are almost never seen.
        
             | ghaff wrote:
             | One challenge with the SMS thing is when I travel from US
             | to Europe I fairly routinely get a local SIM and turn off
             | my US number.
        
               | dheera wrote:
               | Yeah I absolutely hate the SMS thing.
               | 
               | I usually use Google Fi for almost all international
               | travel (free roaming almost everywhere) but I need an
               | additional local SIM in China because most of the SMS
               | confirmation apps there only support +86 numbers.
        
             | acheong08 wrote:
             | Mostly yes but,
             | 
             | I spent ~2 months traveling in Chongqing in 2023, most of
             | the time without a SIM. You can get into most public wifis
             | with a bit of scanning and mac spoofing. All public
             | transport still accepted cash (or transit card) and was
             | extremely cheap. Even if some shops no longer accept cash,
             | there will always be ones that do. Not planning on going
             | back anytime soon but if I ever do, I would not be a fan of
             | requiring internet to deal with public transport.
        
           | luke-stanley wrote:
           | In my experience, on a public bus there is reasonable chance
           | of getting a working USB A socket. But as a private business,
           | it's not a complete replacement of the public bus system,
           | however apps are used by people already to book on-the-fly
           | cheap group taxi trips in Shanghai.
           | 
           | For good or ill, most teens do have a smartphone on them, and
           | even kids are often seen with smartwatches that have
           | tracking, and probably WeChat, and every mall I've been to
           | sells them. On the Shanghai bus and metro, people often use a
           | Shanghai public transport card to pay, they do accept old
           | fashioned cash though too. Powerbank rental networks are
           | common on the street and non-returns default to purchases
           | (~$14-$28 USD). Malls, and the Metro often has power
           | available for free.
        
           | ffsm8 wrote:
           | These examples are all easily solved.
           | 
           | I.e. replace the bus stops with terminals/kiosks which give
           | you full service, potentially another in the middle of the
           | bus.
        
           | sxg wrote:
           | > One of the amazing things of the current system, as simple
           | as it is, is that it's predictable and doesn't require
           | coordination.
           | 
           | In many cities, the exact opposite of that has been true in
           | my experience. I've waited at bus/train stops only for it to
           | be 20+ min late or never show up multiple times per week. The
           | unpredictability makes it infeasible as a means of
           | transportation to getting to work or anything time sensitive
           | (e.g., sporting event or show downtown). This is a much
           | bigger problem in smaller cities with rudimentary public
           | transit, but I've also experienced it in larger cities like
           | Philadelphia.
        
             | svachalek wrote:
             | My few attempts to take a bus in San Diego lead me to
             | believe the schedule is for entertainment purposes only.
        
           | SR2Z wrote:
           | > So if there's a teen without a smartphone, they can't take
           | the bus, nor can someone who's phone died, etc.
           | 
           | I feel very strongly that if a teenager is old and
           | responsible enough to take the bus on their own, they are old
           | and responsible enough for a smartphone. Furthermore, it's
           | actively harmful to send your kids out into the world without
           | the kinds of modern tools that would make them safer and more
           | independent.
           | 
           | As for "phone died," well... just find a place to recharge
           | it. It's not particularly difficult these days and I can't
           | actually remember the last time my phone died on me when I
           | needed it.
           | 
           | OP is a really cool demonstration of what we can do when
           | everyone carries a computer in their pocket. Uber in the US
           | has something similar with airport shuttles. Why should we
           | handicap new, shiny things to make them usable without a
           | phone?
        
             | thangalin wrote:
             | > Why should we handicap new, shiny things to make them
             | usable without a phone?
             | 
             | (a) Not everyone has a (smart) phone.
             | 
             | (b) Not everyone can use a (smart) phone.
             | 
             | (c) Not everyone wants a phone.
             | 
             | (d) Not everyone can afford a phone.
             | 
             | (e) Not everyone wants to upgrade their phone to use the
             | newest shiny things.
             | 
             | (f) Not everyone can upgrade their phone (see (d)).
             | 
             | (g) Not everyone opts to put (third-party) apps on their
             | smart phone.
             | 
             | (h) Not all apps are built with accessibility in mind (see
             | (b)).
             | 
             | (i) Some folks are concerned about mass surveillance (see
             | (g)).
             | 
             | (j) Sometimes phones get stolen.
             | 
             | (k) Sometimes phones get broken.
             | 
             | (l) Sometimes phones get bricked.
             | 
             | (m) Sometimes phones get hacked.
             | 
             | (n) Sometimes phone get locked out.
             | 
             | (o) Sometimes apps stop working.
             | 
             | (p) Sometimes cell service goes offline (see Hurricane
             | Helene).
        
               | ProllyInfamous wrote:
               | As a forty-something semi-retired electrician, the
               | following apply to me:
               | 
               | (c) I own a cell phone, but NEVER leave the house with it
               | (effectively a landline, but less expensive). When my
               | city recently began _requiring_ an app for public street
               | parking, I simply stopped paying for parking (it 's only
               | a $16 fine, unless you are handicapped == free).
               | 
               | (e) The only thing that causes me to update my phone is
               | when the battery swells up (typically around eight
               | years). Otherwise I don't even update the original OS.
               | 
               | (g) Flat out, I refuse to use your app
               | 
               | (i) Whether by business/marketing or governments, agreed
        
               | gtirloni wrote:
               | You're an outlier. I can safely say this doesn't apply to
               | the majority of the population.
        
             | MrJohz wrote:
             | Here in Germany it's fairly common for kids aged perhaps
             | six or seven and up to take public transport by themselves.
             | They might have a dumb phone or occasionally a smart watch,
             | but I rarely see them with their own smart phones.
             | 
             | One of the most important principles of a public transport
             | system should be that it's accessible to all in a lowest-
             | common-denominator sort of way. Anything beyond that is
             | also good to have, but if you don't have that basic level
             | of accessibility, then it's not really a public transport
             | system, it's a luxury transport system. And there are
             | already plenty of luxury transport systems around.
             | 
             | Also, my last phone died on me fairly often, I don't think
             | it's nearly as unusual as event as you're making it out to
             | be.
        
               | immibis wrote:
               | And yet, nearly everything in Germany requires a stable
               | physical address. Meanwhile, the state of the housing
               | market is such that it's hard to get one.
        
             | patrickdavey wrote:
             | "Furthermore, it's actively harmful to send your kids out
             | into the world without the kinds of modern tools that would
             | make them safer and more independent."
             | 
             | Interesting. I think there's a balance to be had here.
             | Making our kids "too safe" I think may lead to a lack of
             | resilience. I'll certainly be teaching my kid how to read a
             | map (orienteering), and I suspect the sense of autonomy and
             | self-reliance they'll get from knowing they can get from A
             | to B without needing GPS will be a very good thing.
             | 
             | That said, we probably will get them a dumbphone to put in
             | the bottom of their bag for if they really get stuck. I
             | have no plan to have tracking etc. though. No way.
        
             | qludes wrote:
             | If I damage my phone or it gets stolen I have to walk home
             | because the dystopian iOS/Android with SIM that requires ID
             | ecosystem here won't actually allow me to simply use other
             | computers I might still have access to so I'd have to equip
             | my children with 2 devices and 2 SIMs in addition to cash,
             | a debit card and an ID card to show that they're entitled
             | to use their bus ticket.
             | 
             | These are incredibly user unfriendly locked gardens that
             | are often adding gatekeeping to services that used to be
             | ubiquitiously available, even in non-totalitarian systems,
             | because suddenly you might need a bank account, an address,
             | a government issued ID, a SIM card and a $100+ device that
             | runs the approved stack just to take the bus.
        
           | moogleii wrote:
           | I didn't get the impression this was totally replacing static
           | routes. Seemed to be augmenting it. But also, while your
           | concerns are valid, I don't think they are large enough to
           | not try these things.
        
           | sho_hn wrote:
           | > One immediate problem that comes to mind is that you need a
           | smartphone to take public transit.
           | 
           | In China, Korea and other places, a smartphone is already the
           | required entrance ticket to public life.
           | 
           | It's a little bit like faulting sidewalks for assuming
           | footwear.
        
             | er4hn wrote:
             | In China in particular a smartphone is the primary means to
             | interact with restaurant menus, place orders, and pay for
             | many things. Rentable battery packs are also pretty
             | ubiquitous.
             | 
             | I once asked an in-law what happens if your phone
             | completely runs out of food and you're hungry. He
             | (jokingly) replied "no phone, no eat".
        
         | schainks wrote:
         | Roads to not have unlimited bandwidth. I think this _is_ a good
         | idea, but has to have some boundaries on how it functions or
         | you will gridlock your city by accident.
        
         | flakespancakes wrote:
         | Via Transportation (ridewithvia.com) started out doing pooled
         | cab rides but pivoted to doing what you describe, seemingly
         | successfully. Lots of value for school transit, para transit,
         | etc as well. I have no affiliation with them but I think the
         | model is very promising.
        
         | bretpiatt wrote:
         | We're piloting VIA Link in San Antonio, TX to add on last mile
         | Uber style from transit stations.
         | 
         | Link: https://www.viainfo.net/link/
        
       | PicassoCTs wrote:
       | Busses need a rethink. There needs to a TGV like central hub and
       | spoke fast travel version, with large capacity. And there needs
       | to a a "on demand, collect people to the spoke" mini-bus service.
       | And then there is no - as in "NOOO" option, for any local
       | politician, to make the speed-bus stop at any location else, that
       | is not directly on route and at least 5 kms apart. And the speed
       | bus can not be allowed to be stuck in traffic, so obviously bus
       | lanes it is.
        
       | brador wrote:
       | This has been tried in some European countries in the early
       | 2000s, website not app.
       | 
       | People stop using it. Forget to cancel, unreliable service, took
       | too long. As users drop wait times become longer, cascading
       | failure.
       | 
       | Solution was real time dynamic rerouting and bus stop buttons to
       | request the bus. But by then it was no longer wanted and canned.
        
         | gblargg wrote:
         | Yeah, it seems silly to let riders try to design a route that
         | best fits the needs of other people going to different places.
         | Riders don't know how to design good routes. But it seems great
         | to ask riders what places they go regularly and then use all
         | that data to generate optimized routes. If they can change
         | routes regularly they can optimize for actual regular riders.
         | That seems the real value in this "agile" approach.
        
       | dluan wrote:
       | Last year Shanghai celebrated the 100th anniversary of the bus
       | system, so they decorated all of the bus liveries to be a modern
       | take on the historical first busses. They are very cute and easy
       | to use, and a lot of the bus stops have little old LCD displays
       | showing how far away the next bus is.
        
       | elric wrote:
       | How does this work in practice? Say someone wants to take a bus
       | to the hospital. But not enough people want to go to the
       | hospital. Will the bus not run and will you be shit out of luck?
        
         | aembleton wrote:
         | You suggest it in the app/website. Others vote on it and a bus
         | route is created based off of that. If not enough people want
         | it then it isn't created and, similar to other bus routes it
         | will be removed if it isn't being used.
        
       | liampulles wrote:
       | Here in South Africa, we have "Taxis", which are individually
       | owned (to a degree) minibuses crammed full of people. Routes are
       | whatever maximises earning potential for the driver, so it is a
       | kind of bottom up solution in a sense.
       | 
       | It is a violent cartel, so certainly not a good thing across the
       | board, but it's just an interesting variant.
        
         | CGMthrowaway wrote:
         | In most countries in South America there is a similar system of
         | buses called combis (or micros). The buses are private and the
         | routes change at the whim of the driver/owner based on demand,
         | etc. Usually main stops are posted in the front window of the
         | bus (it's messy looking lol)
        
       | est wrote:
       | take this only as a grain of salt.
       | 
       | It has been tried in many cities before like Beijing, Qingdao,
       | Dalian, Hangzhou and Chengdu.
       | 
       | It wasn't a bad idea, it's just a good route gradually became a
       | fixed route.
        
       | charlieyu1 wrote:
       | Sounds like minibus in Hong Kong with extra steps - we have been
       | doing this since eternity. Driver just ask where people would
       | stop in advance, sometimes an entire area would be skipped if no
       | one goes there
        
         | tsukikage wrote:
         | How does that work out for someone in the unpopular destination
         | who wants to leave?
        
           | charlieyu1 wrote:
           | There is a loosely defined route that still needs to be
           | followed. You just shout you want to leave when you are near
           | your destination. Or the driver would ask/shout is there
           | anyone going to XXX area when it is near, you are supposed to
           | say yes otherwise it gets skipped
           | 
           | I guess I'll add an example. Let's say the minibus mainly
           | goes from A to B, but pass through C in the middle. Dropping
           | people off at C is often a non-trivial task that may takes a
           | couple of extra minutes so you need to tell the driver in
           | advance
        
             | tsukikage wrote:
             | No, I mean, what if there is someone at C that wants to
             | catch a bus, but all the buses are skipping C because no-
             | one already on the bus wanted to go there?
        
               | charlieyu1 wrote:
               | Well, you take other transports. Or call the minibus
               | company and sometimes they'll arrange for you. Hong Kong
               | is a bit unique though, that most people go to one or two
               | areas for work, so the minibus is probably already full
               | at C in the morning anyway
        
         | sexy_seedbox wrote:
         | Red minibuses to be more specific.
        
       | MarceliusK wrote:
       | The fact that it can go from proposal to route-in-service in just
       | a few days is impressive
        
       | arjunchint wrote:
       | Taking this even further would be to autonomous dynamically
       | rerouting minibuses:
       | 
       | - you have app, and you enter destination
       | 
       | - optimal minibus reroutes itself to pick you up and take you
       | there with mix of walking, while dropping off other passengers
       | too
       | 
       | - minimizes the door to door time that makes cars so optimal
        
         | Ylpertnodi wrote:
         | > and take you there with mix of walking
         | 
         | It would be be rather far side for the bus to drop you off, let
         | you walk, and then pick you up again 3 (european) streets
         | over...in the name of 'efficiency'.
        
           | arjunchint wrote:
           | No I meant similar to how Uber offers a discount for you to
           | walk a bit to the pickup location.
           | 
           | You request on app, and it sends you to a more central
           | pickup/dropoff points
        
       | sidkhuntia wrote:
       | This kinda solution wont work in India. People will use relatives
       | phones to vote for the route and get the route approved, but in
       | reality there will be only one passenger
        
         | pas wrote:
         | Then votes should cost some money for the winners.
        
           | Loughla wrote:
           | Which would punish low income folks for no real reason.
        
             | pas wrote:
             | How? If you want to use the service you pay anyway, right?
             | If you want a particular route you should have some stake
             | in it. (Low-income / low-wealth / poor people ought to get
             | vouchers and/or welfare payments - preferably as a gradual
             | negative income tax.)
        
             | hollerith wrote:
             | How about we give the low income folks money every month
             | rather than crippling the resource-allocation system
             | everyone relies on?
        
         | kjkjadksj wrote:
         | I can't imagine any transit vehicle in india with just one
         | passenger
        
       | xnx wrote:
       | Scale down the number of seats one notch, and increase the
       | flexibility fully and you've got self-driving vans.
        
       | originalvichy wrote:
       | Sounds like something we tried in Helsinki metropolitan area
       | 10-15 years ago. I think it was shuttered due to low demand.
       | Existing paths were already following population density, so
       | there already was maximum availability for bus users.
       | 
       | Where I think it is most in use as a separate program is picking
       | up elderly people. Retirement homes have minubuses picking up
       | people and driving them to centrew and back. The users don't have
       | to abide by a busier standard bus schedule and the bus is more
       | accessible by the elderly.
        
       | anon291 wrote:
       | Everything about this makes sense. I've long-called for similar
       | efforts in America. It's painful to watch my local transit agency
       | (Portland) expend so much money on figuring out transit routes.
       | Endless committees, focus groups, etc, when the state has access
       | to a smartphone-enabled population. Just release an app that lets
       | people request routes and then self-optimize to maximize the
       | number of people willing to take transit. This is not a hard
       | computational problem, but instead we end up with endless
       | committees and bureaucracy.
        
       | altilunium wrote:
       | One of the biggest caveats of citizen participation programs like
       | this is that, surprisingly, there's a subset of people who don't
       | want to participate in the hassle and simply want to be served
       | quickly. It really depends on how the majority of people in a
       | specific area think about civic participation.
        
         | bluGill wrote:
         | People have lots of things to do in their life. That 10 minutes
         | to use the app is 10 minutes I can't spend on my wood carving
         | (random made up hobby). This is why I'm against these programs
         | - statisticians know lots of better ways to get data that is
         | less biased to people who feel like making the time to submit
         | information. (Statisticians can also tell you what biases they
         | were unable to account for so you can make decisions on if you
         | need to collect more data).
        
       | boatsie wrote:
       | Google already has the daily trip data on a huge percentage of
       | people and could just create and recommend bus and transit routes
       | and times based on people's existing commutes. Sure privacy
       | issues exist for allowing them to do this but people have given
       | up more personal information for less benefit.
        
         | hx8 wrote:
         | Every city has traffic analysis data. It's how they make
         | transportation decisions. What's neat about this program is
         | that it removes some of the bureaucratic process of selecting
         | bus routes and lets riders decide the routes.
        
       | AndyMcConachie wrote:
       | This is an interesting experiment, but I have my doubts about its
       | effectiveness. I hope someone is tracking how well this works and
       | we get some good research out of it. I'm much more interested in
       | any research paper that comes from this than anything else.
        
       | nitwit005 wrote:
       | It's a cool idea, but this seems like the kind of thing that will
       | have the users drift away and cease functioning.
       | 
       | People will log into vote on their route when they want one, and
       | then have essentially no reason to ever access the feature ever
       | again. With no active users, there will be no way to get "votes"
       | for a route.
        
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