[HN Gopher] 2024 sea level 'report cards' map futures of U.S. co...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       2024 sea level 'report cards' map futures of U.S. coastal
       communities
        
       Author : gnabgib
       Score  : 85 points
       Date   : 2025-05-11 18:59 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (news.wm.edu)
 (TXT) w3m dump (news.wm.edu)
        
       | tw04 wrote:
       | The sad part is anticipate the current administration will see
       | this report and attack any federal funds William and Mary receive
       | unless they remove and retract the data.
        
         | burkaman wrote:
         | William and Mary actually have a very in depth page on their
         | opposition to federal suppression of free speech and what they
         | are doing about it: https://www.wm.edu/sites/federalguidelines/
        
           | hammock wrote:
           | I may be misremembering but I believe they wrote a similar
           | letter a few years ago when Facebook and others were in the
           | news for working with the government to suppress speech
           | during the lockdown. I really admire W&M for their
           | consistency in supporting the issue
        
             | sorcerer-mar wrote:
             | Are you referring to the case that went all the way to
             | SCOTUS who ruled that the government is in fact allowed to
             | report things to social media companies (1st Amendment
             | protected speech) and that social media companies, if they
             | want to, are allowed to act on those reports (also 1st
             | Amendment protected speech)?
             | 
             | I think the main missing element was that the social media
             | companies didn't even claim to be coerced by the government
             | whatsoever and have consistently stated they moderated
             | content as they saw fit on their own platforms (which,
             | again, is their 1st Amendment right)
        
               | renewiltord wrote:
               | The "nice business you got here; shame if anything were
               | to happen to it" loophole.
        
               | sorcerer-mar wrote:
               | Interesting because during this exact time period, every
               | social media company declined all sorts of requests from
               | the government, as I'm sure they do a couple dozen or
               | hundred times per day?
               | 
               | I wonder if these multi-billion dollar companies have
               | anyone on staff who is aware of the company's 1st
               | Amendment rights (they do).
               | 
               | Edit: jcranmer's comment reminded me to be explicit on
               | this: it is in fact illegal for the government to coerce
               | private parties to regulate speech. That's why it's
               | important that those private parties never claimed they
               | were coerced, and there's given that they agreed with
               | some requests and didn't with others, there's no evidence
               | whatsoever they were coerced.
        
               | jcranmer wrote:
               | Just so you're aware, an actual implied threat like that
               | is considered an unconstitutional act by the government.
               | It's just that a politician complaining about social
               | media on the campaign trail isn't anywhere near the level
               | of implied threat to be considered unconstitutional.
        
               | renewiltord wrote:
               | Oh sorry. As a BIPOC, I meant the "nice business; here's
               | a list of people I don't like; no threats implied; to be
               | clear: we are not threatening you; do what you like with
               | this list" loophole.
        
               | sorcerer-mar wrote:
               | This is a cool skill, it's like three-hop mind-reading.
               | 
               | You somehow know that the platforms were coerced despite
               | them never claiming it, and they were specifically
               | coerced by threats that were never actually stated!
               | 
               | Super neat.
        
       | throw0101c wrote:
       | About 30-40% of the US population lives in a coastal county:
       | 
       | * https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/population.html
       | 
       | * https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/visualizat...
        
         | zamadatix wrote:
         | And about 6% of the population less than 3 meters above sea
         | level. This is much more relevant than the county is coastal,
         | for some it's basically the entire county.
         | https://www.iai.int/en/post/detail/snapshot-3-how-many-peopl...
        
       | c-linkage wrote:
       | The chart is good because it shows actual measurements, but I'm
       | concerned about the baseline being 1970. It is possible that
       | measurements prior to 1970 are higher and make the projected
       | measurements look worse than they are, especially since many
       | charts for mid-Atlantic sites were clearly on a downward trend
       | shortly after 1970.
       | 
       | I'm not saying there is an intentional attempt to bamboozle
       | readers. It's just hard to judge the report on such a short time
       | scale.
       | 
       | EDIT: I'm not a climate denialist, but I have many people in my
       | life who are. I was really looking forward to showing them this
       | website but refrained knowing that they would come back with the
       | argument I mentioned.
        
         | crystal_revenge wrote:
         | I shouldn't be surprised that we still see this standard
         | climate denial logic, but it's worth pointing out that your
         | logic here is not particularly strong. The problem with this
         | line of reasoning is it takes the assumption that all we have
         | is measurements without any real understanding of the process
         | that's happening to _cause_ those measurements.
         | 
         | Sure, if we knew _nothing_ about Earth 's climate (and also
         | didn't have plenty of other ways to measure historic sea
         | level), only having 50 years of measurements might be
         | misleading. But we _know_ that sea level is rising and we know
         | _why_ it is rising. We have a very strong hypothesis as to what
         | 's happening and we see this hypothesis confirmed again and
         | again across a very wide range of subjects that otherwise have
         | no relation to one another.
         | 
         | On top of this, we do have plenty of other measurements for
         | historical sea levels that all indicated _yes, sea level is
         | raising_ they just aren 't perfectly apples-to-apples "actual
         | measurements" so it wouldn't be perfectly honest to include
         | them in this chart.
        
           | nandomrumber wrote:
           | > just are perfectly apples-to-apples
           | 
           |  _aren't_?
        
             | crystal_revenge wrote:
             | Fixed, thanks!
        
           | thisdougb wrote:
           | This is an interesting podcast:
           | https://corecursive.com/briffa-sep98-e/
           | 
           | "In this episode we explore the "Climategate" scandal that
           | erupted from leaked emails and code snippets, fueling doubts
           | about climate science. What starts as an investigation into
           | accusations of fraud leads to an unexpected journey through
           | the messy reality of data science, legacy code struggles, and
           | the complex pressures scientists face every day."
           | 
           | He goes into the code/data that is seemingly the root-cause
           | of a lot of "it's all a hoax." I found it pretty informative,
           | as to how climate data is gathered and processed (by the
           | scientists). And the limitations therein. He's simply trying
           | to explain the cause of climategate, rather than advocate any
           | view.
           | 
           | It's also a great example of a tech/dev investigation into
           | root-cause analysis, of someone else's code. So it's
           | interesting from that point of view, even if you're less
           | interested the climate side of it.
        
           | parineum wrote:
           | > standard climate denial logic
           | 
           | This stinks of circular reasoning. It's bad logic because
           | climate deniers use it and climate deniers are wrong because
           | they only ise bad logic.
           | 
           | The reason the other measurements you mentioned can't be
           | included are often that the measurements are or equal or
           | greater distance between eachother than this entire set.
           | Including this data in one of those sets would demonstrate
           | that there are plenty of times in history where the sea level
           | changed the amount it has in the last 50 years.
           | 
           | If we know so much about why it's rising, what's with all the
           | measurements? We don't "know" nearly as much as you're
           | implying. The reason we don't go around measuring healthy
           | humans body temperature is because we know what it is. The
           | entire purpose of the measurements is to increase
           | understanding.
           | 
           | Current forecasts of Y temperature rise would lead to X sea
           | level rise rely in a static model of all other variables. It
           | should be obvious that the climate is anything but static,
           | considering the entire argument is about climate change.
           | 
           | It's perfectly reasonable to criticize this kind of
           | extrapolatory thinking without denying the fundamentals of
           | climate change.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _Including this data in one of those sets would
             | demonstrate that there are plenty of times in history where
             | the sea level changed the amount it has in the last 50
             | years_
             | 
             | In history? No. Sea levels have never been higher in the
             | written record.
             | 
             | In geologic history? Of course. No serious scientist argues
             | otherwise. The point is returning to those levels means
             | abandoning Baltimore, Houston, much of Los Angeles and most
             | of Miami and multi-trillion dollar projects to protect San
             | Francisco, New York and Boston.
        
               | xienze wrote:
               | > The point is returning to those levels means abandoning
               | Baltimore, Houston, much of Los Angeles and most of Miami
               | and multi-trillion dollar projects to protect San
               | Francisco, New York and Boston.
               | 
               | Here's my problem with all this stuff. All the science
               | says LA, NYC, etc. are going to be underwater. Not maybe,
               | not in the worst case, no. All the reporting says this is
               | pretty much a forgone conclusion, and has for many years.
               | 
               | So why have these cities not started working on erecting
               | (say) 50ft tall "future-proof" sea walls? Even if they
               | end up not being needed, it _seems_ like this is the type
               | of climate change mitigation step that would be a prudent
               | thing to do. Certainly more so than the whole lot of
               | nothing currently being done. Surely LA and NYC
               | politicians and voters, being so much more educated than
               | all those dumb red state hicks would be in favor of that,
               | wouldn't they?
        
               | ianbutler wrote:
               | In short there's no actual will and people think short
               | term.
               | 
               | A bit longer:
               | 
               | Good luck sourcing that from taxes. People vote, and
               | those projects would A, fall to graft, B piss off many in
               | your voter base both as a consequence of the graft and
               | the general disagreement over their value.
               | 
               | The answer is you would see the people who greenlit the
               | projects voted out and the projects would be scuttled.
               | 
               | People can say they know this is a problem but because
               | its in the abstract most of your voter base just won't go
               | for it and it's squarely in a "people don't actually vote
               | in their best interest" type of problem.
               | 
               | It's a riot trying to get a few new MTA tunnels approved
               | and needed repair and modernization for the NYC subways
               | is always basically just out of the question.
               | 
               | So 50 ft sea walls? Yeah people would actually be under
               | water and still doubting the need for them.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _why have these cities not started working on erecting
               | (say) 50ft tall "future-proof" sea walls?_
               | 
               | Because we don't need to yet? Also, a sea wall doesn't
               | block, it deflects. Protecting Manhattan means deflecting
               | those surges to _e.g._ Long Island and New Jersey. That's
               | a difficult conversation much easier had after a
               | hurricane washes away some of the opposition (and /or
               | generates urgency in the core).
               | 
               | > _LA and NYC politicians and voters, being so much more
               | educated than all those dumb red state hicks would be in
               | favor of that, wouldn't they?_
               | 
               | Yes, but they'll do what those states do with their own
               | climate risks: wait for a catastrophic failure that
               | ultimately costs more but unlocks federal funding and so
               | costs less locally.
        
             | crystal_revenge wrote:
             | > This stinks of circular reasoning. It's bad logic because
             | climate deniers use it and climate deniers are wrong
             | because they only ise bad logic.
             | 
             | That would be a good point, _if_ that was what I was
             | arguing but it 's clearly _not_. I am pointing out that
             | this is a common form of argument used by climate deniers,
             | and _then_ , independent of that fact, demonstrating why
             | it's poor logic. My argument regarding _why_ the logic is
             | poor has nothing to do with the fact that 's it's a
             | commonly used line of reasoning in climate denial. However
             | the classification of the logic as such is useful to help
             | people quickly identify the common set of erroneous methods
             | used that show up very frequently in online discussions
             | (and sadly, very commonly on HN).
             | 
             | Climate denial arguments do _tend_ to use faulty logic in a
             | similar vein to the way creationists _tend_ to use faulty
             | logic, because the evidence in favor of the alternative
             | hypothesis is so much greater the easiest way to  "attack"
             | that hypothesis is through poor use of logic. But clearly
             | that does not imply that all logic employed by people in
             | these camps is inherently faulty.
        
         | mistrial9 wrote:
         | check out the Eocene geological period. invest in swimming
         | gear...
        
         | mmooss wrote:
         | If that is a risk, it is just as likely to cause an error the
         | other way and then we are underestimating sea-level rise.
        
         | abound wrote:
         | I was curious about this, so I looked for data from prior to
         | 1970 [1] and it's all clearly trending in the same direction.
         | So 1970 isn't special or misleading in this case, there does
         | not appear to be any bamboozlement going on.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-
         | climate/...
        
           | c-linkage wrote:
           | Thank you for adding information in response to my comment.
           | I've been to [Mer de Galce](https://montenversmerdeglace.mont
           | blancnaturalresort.com/en) and seen the effects of glacial
           | melt, so no doubt it contributes to sea level rise.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _It is possible that measurements prior to 1970 are higher_
         | 
         | Except for all the evidence from trees and Antarctic ice cores,
         | sure. We couldn't forecast hurricanes _at all_ until the 1950s,
         | and even then barely until the age of satellites, so 1970 makes
         | sense as a starting point for high-frequency data. But let's
         | not pretend the lower-frequency data don't exist. To the extent
         | there is bamboozling afoot, it's from the climate deniers.
        
       | iambateman wrote:
       | I grew up a few minutes away from the picture at the top of the
       | article.
       | 
       | Knowing that many of the places I love, which formed me, will
       | soon be under water gives me a kind of sadness which doesn't go
       | away.
        
       | shaboinkin wrote:
       | What I wonder about sea level rise is what happens to all of the
       | development that gets swallowed by the sea? I'm not optimistic
       | that there will be proper cleanup of the stuff that was built up
       | over time. If I recall from the LA fires last year, the burnt
       | down homes left some toxic stuff behind that require proper
       | disposal. The same stuff in those homes presumably exists in the
       | buildings and infrastructure that will be taken by the sea. How
       | much pollution is going to be introduced into the environment?
       | And what long term consequences will result from that?
        
         | bix6 wrote:
         | We still have decaying nuclear material off the west coast and
         | Tijuana has been flooding the border with polluted water for
         | years now so anything more will just cause additional strain
         | and more beach closures / illness.
        
           | kjkjadksj wrote:
           | The tijuana situation is pretty untenable when you view it
           | less along internatial border lines and more along metro
           | region lines with SD and TJ being part of one megacity. They
           | very much are a megacity in practice.
           | 
           | Now imagine the flack that would happen if you say took the
           | Bronx and subject it to border security checkpoints and let
           | the people have materially significantly worse sewer and
           | other living conditions. People would call it a travesty and
           | a dark mark on nyc as a whole for allowing such a thing to
           | happen to its own people.
           | 
           | Yet over in SD that very situation happens with all the
           | commuters and trade that goes on between there and TJ. And
           | people don't bat an eye to it, if only to blame TJ for the
           | sewer situation.
        
             | kortilla wrote:
             | What are you suggesting though? Annexing TJ?
        
               | jemmyw wrote:
               | I would guess it should be more about cooperation on the
               | problems and maybe some money needing to flow from the
               | richer side to the poorer, and the poorer side agreeing
               | to some policies.
               | 
               | Annexing wouldn't work because a new city would pop up
               | along the new border. The border is the attraction.
        
               | smcin wrote:
               | Of course they aren't. SD could pay or part-pay for TJ
               | sewage facilities (since it daily flows up to SD and LA
               | anyway).
               | 
               | https://www.nbcsandiego.com/news/local/epa-administrator-
               | vis...
        
         | hirvi74 wrote:
         | In my city, there is a relatively large, man-made lake not too
         | terribly far from the downtown area. Apparently, there are
         | still buildings, cars, etc. at the bottom of the lake. Instead
         | of clearing out the area, the city just decided to flood the
         | entire area over. In times of drought, some of the building
         | foundations can still be seen from an arial view.
         | 
         | I doubt the environmental impact was positive, but the point I
         | am trying to make is that I wouldn't be surprised if current
         | infrastructure was just left to be swallowed by the sea.
        
           | shaboinkin wrote:
           | Sure, but we're talking about hundreds of miles of coast line
           | all being affected, within various regions as the article
           | points out, at relatively the same time. Thousands of
           | coastline if we want consider a worst case rate of increase.
           | The leaching of whatever is soaking into the water will
           | likely occur in localized areas at similar rates. It seems
           | reasonable to me it'll introduce shock to the ecosystem if
           | considered in geological timescales.
        
         | kjkjadksj wrote:
         | It is probably far less material than what gets deposited from
         | that plus slightly inland property from hurricanes and other
         | major homeshredding storms.
        
         | rwmj wrote:
         | Here in the UK parts of the east coast are regularly lost to
         | the sea (not caused by climate change), and the answer is we
         | just let the houses fall into the sea.
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coastal_erosion_in_Yorkshire
        
       | simonebrunozzi wrote:
       | I live in Venice, Italy. This issue has been urgent and critical
       | for Venetians for a few decades now. The problem here is that
       | even a 60cm (2 feet) increase in sea level would essentially:
       | 
       | 1) force to shut the dams (MOSE) almost always during the year.
       | 
       | 2) ruin the lagoon ecosystem
       | 
       | 3) create uncountable damage to the city of Venice, and nearby
       | islands.
       | 
       | 4) possibly displace tens of thousands of people.
        
         | pc86 wrote:
         | Not trying to be pedantic but how can something both "be urgent
         | and critical" and have been a problem for "a few decades?"
        
           | kjkjadksj wrote:
           | In the same way an asteroid doomed to strike in a few decades
           | is urgent and critical
        
         | chgs wrote:
         | 60cm would basically wipe out some countries and cause the loss
         | and displacement of dozens of millions as cities like Dhaka and
         | Jakarta are flooded
        
       | bix6 wrote:
       | "Mitchell also notes that most West Coast localities have been
       | fairly stable, despite past predictions that they would increase
       | rapidly. "This has led to some questions about why," she said."
       | 
       | ^ this interested me, apparently it's due to geological uplift
       | combined with regional water patterns. The regional water
       | patterns are due to winds and the ENSO cycle, which can mask long
       | term effects. Apparently it will increase faster once Antarctica
       | starts shedding in earnest.
        
       | metalman wrote:
       | most of the worlds water just so happens to be at around 2~4degC,
       | which is where water density is the highest, warming or cooling a
       | bit causes it to expand, so just maybe it warms up a bit, and the
       | total increased volume is enough to flood, everything we want
       | dry. Oh ya, we are on track for the warmest and most ice free
       | artic summer ever.We just finnished the warmest and most ice free
       | winter, so, ya, right. https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today
        
         | IncreasePosts wrote:
         | The average temperature of all water in the ocean is
         | approximately 3.5deg C, but I think most of the warming would
         | be contained to surface waters which averages around 17deg C. A
         | bigger issue decreased density of seawater would probably just
         | be melting ice
        
       | harmmonica wrote:
       | Not to diminish the fact that this is happening, nor that humans
       | are at least _a_ principal cause of it, but does anyone think, at
       | least in the US, that the costs to mitigate sea-level rise would
       | not be shared across the US, at least in those places with
       | significant population? The contradiction is not lost on me, but
       | most of the time when people are asked  "should the government
       | bail _me_ out? " the answer seems to be yes regardless of where
       | one sits on the political spectrum.
       | 
       | I bring this up because the same people who would deny that this
       | is a problem will also be amongst the people who will take a
       | "check" from the federal and/or state government to mitigate any
       | issues that arise from it. And it's, at least partially, that
       | reality that keeps people from actually trying to mitigate it
       | with their own actions. I'm not saying people consciously are
       | sitting there saying that, but I do think it's an underlying
       | belief.
       | 
       | For instance, is this guy or gal
       | (https://www.realtor.com/news/unique-homes/florida-most-expen...)
       | going to pay for the levy or whatever solution keeps the water
       | from inundating their property without first lobbying the
       | government to take care of it for them?
        
         | IncreasePosts wrote:
         | Maybe? There's only 800 ft of ocean frontage. The problem with
         | lobbying the government to do your bidding is you might not
         | like the method they choose. I'm imagining you can easily
         | afford to build about 2.5 mi of wall exactly how you want it if
         | you spent $225 million on a home
        
           | harmmonica wrote:
           | Oh that's an interesting point. Maybe they bought the
           | property with the expectation that it would turn into their
           | own private island once seal level rises enough to force them
           | to build a wall. I'm not sure if I'm even being sarcastic
           | with that comment given the sums of money we're talking
           | about.
        
           | adrr wrote:
           | They do beach replenishment to build up the beach to give
           | more buffer. Spend lots of money on it. Also there is the
           | federal flood insurance program that is running up a big
           | debt.
           | 
           | https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-u-s-
           | spends-a-...
        
         | renewiltord wrote:
         | Already happened in Palos Verdes. And Houston had similarly
         | socialization of flood plains. Probably they will wait to have
         | a disaster and then buy out the people affected at the highest
         | rate in the last 3 years (like in Palos Verdes)
        
           | harmmonica wrote:
           | Good point. Was just talking about PV yesterday and the
           | lengths they've gone to to mitigate. That said I don't think
           | individual property owners are being directly bailed out
           | (i.e., are being made whole on their home values by the
           | government).
        
             | renewiltord wrote:
             | Did they cancel the buy-out? They effectively picked the
             | highest prices from the last few years if I recall
             | 
             | https://www.cbsnews.com/losangeles/news/fema-cal-oes-
             | announc...
        
               | harmmonica wrote:
               | Oh man I didn't know! Thanks for pointing me to that.
               | 
               | Edit: this is interesting because now that I've read
               | about it it seems the gov is paying fair market value for
               | the land. Do you know if that's for the land value only
               | or are the improvements part of it? Seems like a decent
               | solution actually, but it does beg the larger question:
               | what happens when it's thousands of homes?
               | 
               | Have to imagine Palisades and Eaton fire folks are
               | agitating for this exact same deal. The costs, in
               | comparison to PV, will be extreme.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _at least in the US, that the costs to mitigate sea-level
         | rise would not be shared across the US, at least in those
         | places with significant population?_
         | 
         | Probably. Despite our partisan poisoning, our coastlines are
         | split across red states and blue states. A unified coastal
         | defence bill probably has political purchase. (Though not under
         | MAGA/DOGE.)
        
         | mrcwinn wrote:
         | That's an oversimplification of the factions.
         | 
         | There are large groups who don't deny the risk, but question
         | the cause, or simply think it's not a viable solution to stop
         | the economy, or not treat sick people with grid-taxing medical
         | equipment, or deny automobiles to people who must commute to
         | earn a living, or ban certain foods, and so on and so on.
         | 
         | I really wish we had always been on solar and the Model T had
         | been electric for the same cost. Unfortunately, the supply
         | chain and economy just didn't support that. Bummer. Let's focus
         | a bit less on moralizing and instead turn our attention to
         | fixing the challenges at hand.
         | 
         | I know someone who is very far left, and yet insists on driving
         | a vintage car that is a lot worse for the environment than a
         | neighbor's F150. We're all filled with contradictions and
         | regrettable hypocrisies.
         | 
         | It's the challenge of our time. How can we live how we want to
         | live, whatever that means individually, in a way that is
         | sustainable and avoids a system of state rationing?
        
           | coldpie wrote:
           | > or simply think it's not a viable solution to stop the
           | economy, or not treat sick people with grid-taxing medical
           | equipment, or deny automobiles to people who must commute to
           | earn a living, or ban certain foods, and so on and so on.
           | 
           | At least in the US, pretty much nobody of any consequence is
           | advocating for any of those things.
           | 
           | > How can we live how we want to live, whatever that means
           | individually, in a way that is sustainable and avoids a
           | system of state rationing?
           | 
           | It's an extremely complex problem, but for the most part what
           | we need to do is understood. Stop burning fuel for energy by
           | implementing renewables and nuclear, and retiring coal and
           | NG; and switch to electric cars, trucks, and trains. Those
           | two things alone would almost eliminate half of US carbon
           | emissions. There's a long tail of much more difficult
           | problems to tackle after that, but accomplishing just those
           | two would buy a ton of time to address that long tail. That's
           | why everyone serious is focusing on those two problems and
           | not like, artificial meat or whatever.
        
           | Loughla wrote:
           | I don't think we can live the way we want to live without
           | extreme weather, disease, and/or famine killing a good share
           | of us. The modern human way of life is simply unsustainable.
           | 
           | The problem is that no one wants to willingly sacrifice their
           | own wants or needs for the greater good, which makes sense.
           | Why should I suffer for 8 billion people I don't know? The
           | scale is just too large to comprehend as a basic human.
           | 
           | We need to focus on fixing our local area and living as much
           | within what it can provide as we can. It's easier to
           | understand. It's easier to see the impacts.
           | 
           | But it doesn't solve the problem of human caused climate
           | change.
           | 
           | Maybe I'm too pessimistic, but I don't see a way out of this
           | that ends with anything but the complete and utter collapse
           | of civilization as we know it before 2100.
           | 
           | I believe that we will no longer possess the technology to
           | access this comment well before that time, and we'll see a
           | return to feudal/tribal lifestyles with a much diminished
           | population.
           | 
           | I just hope it happens after my bloodline has already died
           | out, and none of my kids or grandkids will have to experience
           | the shit show. But I have little faith of that. I think the
           | collapse will come within my kids' lifetime, and that's very
           | depressing.
        
             | pstuart wrote:
             | > The modern human way of life is simply unsustainable.
             | 
             | It doesn't _have_ to be that way, it 's just that our
             | owners chose it so they can live in opulence 'til the end.
        
             | lazyasciiart wrote:
             | > We need to focus on fixing our local area
             | 
             | And many people take that as building walls and
             | aggressively rounding up anyone who tries to sleep in a
             | park.
        
             | kiba wrote:
             | We are already suffering today. The housing crisis is
             | connected to our car oriented lifestyle and unsafe street.
             | 
             | It's not about sacrificing for the future, it's about
             | seeing a better way to live our life.
        
             | sweeter wrote:
             | "suffer" in this context is using some form of renewable
             | energy and curtailing the industries that pump the 95% of
             | all CO2 into the air. The absolute horror.
             | 
             | You say this, but if you think that is suffering, wait
             | until clean water is a limited resource. You aren't going
             | to be running away to Mars. We can't even fix the very
             | simple issues on Earth.
        
           | harmmonica wrote:
           | I'm not sure fixing the challenges and moralizing are
           | orthogonal. We need people, across the political (and any
           | other) spectrum, to recognize the contradictions in their
           | lives in the hopes it affects change.
        
           | tehjoker wrote:
           | I think the issue is that while there is no social policy
           | wide drive to fix anything, anything you do as an individual
           | is a drop in the ocean. Of course you should take reasonable
           | steps, but needing to commute can be fixed with reliable high
           | speed rail and buses etc. Unfortunately, there will need to
           | be incentives towards particular outcomes and rationing if
           | that fails. This is a huge existential problem. I don't blame
           | individuals for isolated actions, but I do blame them if they
           | resist political and economic solutions.
           | 
           | The problems we have are primarily problems of production. If
           | production is adjusted, consumption will adapt if it is
           | managed well.
        
           | sweeter wrote:
           | I'm sorry but this is so misguided. You could magically take
           | every gas powered vehicle off of the road immediately, and
           | you would only remove like 3% of the problem. The idea that
           | you can "consumer activism" your way out of a industrial
           | production problem is a malicious lie propagated by Neo-
           | Liberals who directly benefit from those industries.
        
         | photonthug wrote:
         | > answer seems to be yes regardless of where one sits on the
         | political spectrum
         | 
         | Yes, the ugly truth is that it's hard to find people that have
         | static or principled values on anything, and most are kind of
         | transparently looking for ways to force things on others.
         | 
         | A place where you can see this very clearly is issues of bodily
         | autonomy: one side of the political spectrum wants to force the
         | other side to get vaccinated and the other side wants to force
         | people into unwanted child birth. These are of course very
         | different things, but both are ultimately coercive, so it's not
         | about the right to choose in either case.
         | 
         | States autonomy vs federalism, bail outs, are similar. Almost
         | no one has any real preference for it one way or the other on
         | _principle_ , it just depends on how they think they might be
         | able to use it as a cudgel and how it will increase or diminish
         | their own bottom line.
        
           | thrance wrote:
           | Yet more bothsideism with a ridiculous comparison. Democrats
           | never passed a law to force anyone to get vaccinated. If you
           | want to die of fucking TB or polio, feel free to. But know
           | you're a dickhead for acting as a vector of cured diseases,
           | therefore endangering vulnerable people.
           | 
           | One side and one side only rejects the mere idea of climate
           | change, defunded FEMA, defunded NOAA, favors the oil and coal
           | lobbies, etc. I could go on and on and on. I do not hold the
           | Democrats in my heart, but these comparisons are beyond
           | ridiculous.
           | 
           | Finally, perhaps it's time for Americans to start reasoning
           | in positive freedoms: maybe my freedom to not die of
           | preventable diseases or to not live in a shitty overheating
           | world surpasses yours to not get vaccinated or drive an
           | oversized SUV to go to Walmart and back.
        
             | richwater wrote:
             | > Democrats never passed a law to force anyone to get
             | vaccinated
             | 
             | This is revisionism at best, disinformation at worst.
             | 
             | https://www.npr.org/2021/11/04/1048939858/osha-biden-
             | vaccine...
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biden_administration_COVID-19
             | _...
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_vaccination_mandates
             | _...
        
               | thrance wrote:
               | All your links point out the fact that workers could opt
               | to wear a mask and get tested weekly instead of getting
               | vaccinated. As for healthcare workers, they always had
               | the option to quit their job if they refused to get
               | vaccinated and preferred exposing patients to the
               | disease, out of ideological fear of the vaccine.
               | 
               | Maybe read what you link next time?
        
             | photonthug wrote:
             | Woah there buddy, I'm personally a big fan of vaccines, I
             | believe climate change is real, and we probably agree about
             | more things than you expect.
             | 
             | If you're interested, I'm also _not_ talking about who
             | passed what laws, I 'm talking about average people, and
             | what they say about what they want, and what they say their
             | reasons are. If you don't see hypocrisy in that all the
             | time, then either you're not talking to very many people,
             | or you're so deeply into groupthink that you're just not
             | capable of making any honest appraisal at this point. If
             | you want to start calling a dislike of hypocrisy and a
             | desire for more integrity in more people "bothesideism" and
             | spewing all this vitriol then I guess you can do that, but
             | I'm not sure it will have any positive effects.
        
         | grafmax wrote:
         | Concentration of wealth is a concentration of power. We should
         | hold accountable those with the deepest pockets and the
         | greatest influence on climate policy: the fossil fuel cartel.
         | Calls to cut government spending by withholding relief from
         | those on the margins of decision-making miss the forest for the
         | trees. Justice would have those paying to destroy our future
         | pay for the consequences of their cynicism and misanthropy.
        
         | yieldcrv wrote:
         | That's kind of my issue with partisan takes
         | 
         | Like, they're often not opposite, they're just different.
         | 
         | One group is saying "no, we don't want the government to pay
         | for that, in that way, or at all" and another group is saying
         | "you aren't acknowledging this is a problem at all or are
         | apathetic or plain evil", which isn't a useful way to gain
         | friends and influence people
         | 
         | but the stances generally aren't opposite about the existence
         | of the problem, but the sides do get entrenched until the party
         | line becomes denial instead of merely about the financing
        
       | calvinmorrison wrote:
       | We spent billions bailing out after Katrina in south jersey and
       | now shore front properties are in the millions. Yawn.
        
       | somishere wrote:
       | As an aside we went to see the new David Attenborough film Ocean
       | over the weekend. Equal parts stunning and heartbreaking - it
       | sews a compelling narrative for the oceans, spread between
       | climate and ocean ecology, the extent of our exploitation, and
       | the renewed hope (if you could call it that) that it holds for
       | humanity's survival ...
       | 
       | A hard watch but also a must see:
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIZAdCtKT_g
        
       | doakes wrote:
       | I work in this space of measuring (mostly coastal) water levels
       | and it's pretty amazing how many different vertical datums there
       | are. When people say something has a height of X, you don't
       | always consider what it's relative to. Is it sea level? High tide
       | or low tide? Maybe it's relative to one of the many geodetic
       | ellipsoids. Maybe a nearby physical benchmark put into the ground
       | by a surveyor. Many cases (like this article) just care about the
       | relative changes locally, but even for that you have to be
       | careful of places like Southeast Alaska where glacial melt causes
       | the land to rise and give the appearance of sea levels dropping.
        
       | thebeardisred wrote:
       | TIL: The US West coast will see less of the increase than other
       | places due to wind and tectonic movement.
        
       | efitz wrote:
       | This is great. Let us remember this link, and archive the data
       | right now.
       | 
       | I will wager $1000 of my own money right now that if the exact
       | same methodology is used to measure sea level in 10 years, as was
       | used at the publication of the study, and if the editors do not
       | apply any "offset" to sea levels, that in 10 years the sea level
       | will have risen less than 50% of their predictions at more than
       | 50% of stations.
       | 
       | Applying any offset for any reason or changing methodology will
       | invalidate the bet.
       | 
       | I'll try to set up a Kalshi market.
       | 
       | If climate change studies should be used to influence public
       | policy, then they must be empirical, repeatable and have
       | predictive value.
        
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