[HN Gopher] Heat stress mitigation by trees and shelters at bus ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Heat stress mitigation by trees and shelters at bus stops
        
       Author : rntn
       Score  : 133 points
       Date   : 2025-05-05 16:41 UTC (3 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.sciencedirect.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.sciencedirect.com)
        
       | mykowebhn wrote:
       | This is great for focusing on providing adequate public
       | transportation.
       | 
       | I would also love to see attempts at providing heat stress
       | mitigation FOR trees.
        
         | rightbyte wrote:
         | Design #12 looks nice. The same performance as trees.
         | 
         | It has annoyed me alot that buss shelters seem to be built like
         | sun ovens only protecting versus rain and wind.
        
           | nottorp wrote:
           | The protection from wind is the problem when it's hot - no
           | air movement and thus less cooling inside the shelter than
           | outside it.
           | 
           | On the other hand, most trees won't protect you from rain.
           | 
           | Maybe it's best to have a shelter under trees.
        
         | metalman wrote:
         | heat stress mitigation for trees, could actualy be exploited
         | for our, and there benifit. treat a tree as a bunch of fancy
         | pumps, which it is, and choose trees that have best shape and
         | canopy for cover, that are also water hogs, as they do pump a
         | lot of water from the ground to stay cool, so give them extra
         | via burried waterers that drip feed them water to there roots,
         | and they will cool the surrounding area a bit more, set enough
         | of them up, and paint all availible roofs with the new super
         | reflective paints, and it might be possible to create
         | niehborhood islands of cool
        
       | cadamsdotcom wrote:
       | Trees are relaxing to look at when your bus is late :) and 3.2C
       | cooler than shelters!
       | 
       | Though most know such things intuitively, hard numbers help
       | transit designers make their case.
        
         | nuc1e0n wrote:
         | That's without mentioning the fact that trees emit chemicals
         | into the air that help make it rain. It was discussed here on
         | Hacker News recently.
         | 
         | That will help to lower temperatures across a wide area.
        
           | fuzzy_biscuit wrote:
           | And they're natural filters. It's a win/win/win.
        
       | mhotchen wrote:
       | I think about this often. I hear people talking about why we need
       | sunscreen these days and in my mind it's simply due to the lack
       | of foliage and natural shade in both modern urban and rural areas
       | (which are largely farm land these days)
        
         | infecto wrote:
         | Wouldn't the simpler explanation be that we are more aware of
         | the risks to over exposure to the sun? We certainly can use
         | more trees but most folks spend most of their time indoors for
         | work.
        
           | wodenokoto wrote:
           | It is. Sunscreen recommendations usually also applies if you
           | plan on staying in shade. UV (like visible light) reflects
           | off of walls too.
        
             | roflmaostc wrote:
             | actually the reflectance of UV is usually much lower than
             | visible light.
             | 
             | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-01315-1/figures/
             | 2
        
             | ricw wrote:
             | It's actually much more that the ozone layer, which filters
             | uv, is much thinner than it was even 60-70 years ago. The
             | ozone layer might be growing again, but at a very slow
             | pace.
             | 
             | Simple fact is, we're much more exposed to uv than prior
             | generations.
        
               | dgacmu wrote:
               | "much" more might be overstating it? We get about 6% more
               | UV:
               | 
               | https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/03/10031614252
               | 9.h...
               | 
               | Which corresponds with the ozone layer being about 5%
               | thinner:
               | 
               | https://www.clo.nl/en/indicators/en021819-ozone-
               | layer-1980-2...
               | 
               | Not good (or good for us) but also not a huge huge
               | change, since we stopped the thinning of the ozone layer
               | mostly in time.
        
           | ekianjo wrote:
           | People are moke likely to cover themselves too much and
           | refrain from going outside which in turns makes them vitamin
           | D deficient which is way worse than potential UV induced
           | cancer risks
        
             | andra_nl wrote:
             | Can you support this claim somehow? Because on the face of
             | it this sounds dangerously wrong.
        
               | jodrellblank wrote:
               | This dietician blog on the British Heart Foundation
               | website suggests it's wrong but partly right[0], saying "
               | _although having low levels of vitamin D is associated
               | with increased risk of cardiovascular disease, the low
               | vitamin D is a result of lifestyle factors that increase
               | your risk of heart disease and stroke, rather than the
               | cause of increased risk._ ".
               | 
               | The leading causes of death in the UK[1] are heart
               | disease, lung cancer, influenza, dementia, vascular
               | disease (stroke?) and lower respiratory disease. Skin
               | cancer is 1% of cancer deaths, and for melanoma the peak
               | of diagnosis is people 85-89 years old[2]. Considering
               | average life expectancy, people are generally diagnosed
               | with skin cancer a few years after they die.
               | 
               | The partial claim "refrain from going outside which in
               | turn .. is way worse than potential UV induced cancer
               | risks" could be right. Avoiding exercise and increasing
               | your heart disease risk, in the hope that you'll avoid
               | one of the more treatable and less fatal cancers in very
               | late life, is probably the wrong tradeoff. Not to do with
               | Vitamin D or covering up or suncream though. Still, why
               | not do both - cover up and go out, lower heart disease
               | risk and lower your chances of skin cancer diagnosis in
               | late life.
               | 
               | [0] https://www.bhf.org.uk/informationsupport/heart-
               | matters-maga...
               | 
               | [1] https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/h
               | ealthan...
               | 
               | [2] https://cks.nice.org.uk/topics/melanoma/background-
               | informati...
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | In general, perhaps especially in the US, a lot of people are
           | more inclined to mitigate all kinds of risks today than they
           | were a few decades ago. See also seat belts, helmets, etc.
           | Per another comment though I don't see any evidence that
           | extends to not even going outside and, while my dermatologist
           | is 100% on-board with sunscreen and hats, she's never even
           | hinted that I might spend less time outside,
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | No doctor tells you to never go outside in normal
             | situations. If there are high pollution or severe weather
             | events they will tell you stay inside for the duration. I'm
             | sure there are others, but they are not common so it
             | doesn't matter that I can't think of them.
             | 
             | However many people only go outside in the context of
             | walking from their car to the door of wherever they are
             | going, and some who work from home can go for weeks without
             | going outside at all. This is a bad thing, you need
             | exercise (though it could be inside), but realistically
             | many people are not getting enough.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | Certainly, and especially outside of an urban
               | environment, walking any real amount takes a degree of
               | intentionality that is easy to put off.
        
           | wongarsu wrote:
           | Depends on what you mean by "these days". If you ask "why do
           | white people need sunscreen" a large part of the reason is
           | that we evolved this skin tone in a Europe that was
           | completely covered in forest until agriculture became
           | widespread. If you ask "why do people wear more sunscreen
           | than in the 50s" the answer is risk awareness. And especially
           | in the last 10 years a much bigger awareness of the effects
           | of skin aging.
        
             | sorenjan wrote:
             | Europeans developed light skin after the agriculturar
             | revolution, not before.
             | 
             | https://www.newscientist.com/article/2467926-most-
             | europeans-...
             | 
             | https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.01.29.635495v2
             | ....
        
               | WaitWaitWha wrote:
               | No.
               | 
               | "The peoples of Europe are fair-skinned and reddish,
               | because they live in a cold climate and are not scorched
               | by the sun."
               | 
               | Source: Hippocrates, On Airs, Waters, and Places, 5th
               | century BC.
               | 
               | "The physical characteristics of the Germans are
               | consistent: blue eyes, reddish hair, and large bodies."
               | 
               | (Tacitus, Germania, chapter 4)
               | 
               | Egyptian tomb paintings from the New Kingdom (c.
               | 1550-1070 BC) visually represent foreign peoples with
               | distinct skin tones - "Europeans", in the form of Sea
               | Peoples or early Aegean peoples (e.g., Minoans or
               | Mycenaeans), were sometimes shown with light red or pale
               | skin tones.
        
               | fwip wrote:
               | The agricultural revolution was roughly 10,000 BC, wasn't
               | it? Your sources are more recent than that, and so don't
               | disagree with the point the parent post was making.
        
               | WaitWaitWha wrote:
               | Yes, there was an agricultural revolution during the
               | neolithic times. We have evidence this for the Southwest
               | Asia aka Middle East, Asia around the Yangtze and Yellow
               | rivers, South, Central and North Americas.
               | 
               | I am open to this hypothesis (conjecture?), it just lacks
               | supportive evidence. On the other hand, we have ample
               | evidence that agricultural revolution did not "turn
               | people white" in the other regions.
        
               | wongarsu wrote:
               | According to [1] more like 6000-4000 BC for Europe.
               | Granted, that's still before 1700BC.
               | 
               | From a cursory study of Wikipedia my rough summary would
               | be: Europe used to be roughly divided in the "Western
               | Hunter Gatherers" (WHG) and "Eastern Hunter Gatherers"
               | (EHG). The WHG typically had dark skin, dark hair and
               | blue eyes, the EHG were typically light skinned with
               | brown eyes. Blond hair may have originated from EHGs in
               | North Eurasia and spread from there. Around 6000 BC
               | farmers from Anatolia (~modern Turkey) started moving
               | into Europe, the EEF (Early European Farmers). Those were
               | typically smaller than European hunter-gatherers, light
               | skinned and dark haired. They migrated North, partially
               | replacing the EHG and WHG, partially mixing with them,
               | and in some places the EHG and WHG simply took up
               | farming. But Easter Europe is less amenable to farming,
               | meaning the dark-skinned WHG diminished the most while
               | the light-skinned EHG and EEF became the dominant groups
               | in Europe's genetic diversity
               | 
               | 1: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_European_Farmers#/
               | media/...
        
             | codr7 wrote:
             | Also, no one was selling sunscreen back then.
             | 
             | That all started in the seventies when skin cancer was
             | invented.
        
         | stefs wrote:
         | imo: people used to be outside a lot more. by summer they
         | usually had a good tan, so they didn't suffer the sunlight that
         | much. of course this did lead to _premature_ (from our modern
         | point of view) skin aging.
         | 
         | heat and light are different factors, even though they mostly
         | come hand in hand. outside, heat is definitely a bigger problem
         | than it used to be, but also we don't spend as much time
         | outside. if heat became a problem people used to take time off,
         | rest during the hottest times of the day and work
         | earlier/later.
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | Also the 20th century abandonment of the hat.
         | 
         | (remind me, what was the California "bus shelter" design that
         | was basically an expensive stick and got widely ridiculed on
         | here?)
        
           | jollyllama wrote:
           | "La Sombrita"
        
           | huhkerrf wrote:
           | It was called La Sombrita:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/La_Sombrita
           | 
           | And, it's even worse than just not working. It's a shelter to
           | provide shade _for women_ that provided almost none. Because
           | apparently shade is now part of the gender wars.
        
             | fwip wrote:
             | As somebody who took daily bus trips for nearly a decade of
             | my life, I would definitely prefer the meager shade from
             | these to the bare bus stops they were replacing. Standing
             | in the sun for even fifteen minutes waiting for a bus can
             | be miserable.
             | 
             | I'm not sure what your point about "gender wars" is. Is
             | this pole too effeminate for a man to be shaded by?
        
               | RunningDroid wrote:
               | > I'm not sure what your point about "gender wars" is. Is
               | this pole too effeminate for a man to be shaded by?
               | 
               | They were referring to this: >Its purpose was to assist
               | female bus riders by offering shade during the hottest
               | hours of the day and providing sidewalk lighting at
               | night.
        
               | huhkerrf wrote:
               | > I'm not sure what your point about "gender wars" is. Is
               | this pole too effeminate for a man to be shaded by?
               | 
               | TFA address this: "Its purpose was to assist female bus
               | riders by offering shade during the hottest hours of the
               | day and providing sidewalk lighting at night."
        
         | npteljes wrote:
         | >why we need sunscreen these days
         | 
         | It's not about foliage, it's because we like to look as young
         | as possible - or put another way, as undamaged as possible.
         | Sunscreen adds to that a lot, because it mitigates sun damage.
         | At a given age, people used to look much older than we do now,
         | and that is partly because of less sun exposure.
        
       | lucidguppy wrote:
       | You can have a pretty good simulacrum of a forest using only two
       | tennis courts worth of land (a pittance in most US cities that
       | have 30% reserved for parking).
       | 
       | Look up Miyawaki method.
        
         | thih9 wrote:
         | Some fun related links:
         | 
         | https://parkingreform.org/resources/parking-lot-map/
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pocket_forest
        
       | amunozo wrote:
       | We all know this. We need political will.
        
       | washmyelbows wrote:
       | Trees good, study finds
        
       | vanschelven wrote:
       | See also https://thegreencities.eu/
        
       | padjo wrote:
       | People who want to chop down trees for any reason other than them
       | being in danger of falling down really baffle me.
        
         | sillystu04 wrote:
         | I hate male trees because they make hay fever much worse.
         | Cutting them down and replacing them with female trees would
         | achieve all the good benefits of trees without affecting hay
         | fever.
         | 
         | The only downside of female trees is that they shed pods,
         | fruits & seeds into urban environments. But even this might
         | conceivably have some benefits to biodiversity.
         | 
         | https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/may/16/how-urba...
        
           | badmintonbaseba wrote:
           | Would the female trees do that if there weren't any male
           | trees around?
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Not many male trees are needed to breed so even if one is
             | around you get the problem.
             | 
             | Not all trees have separate male and female trees as well.
             | If you only have one type of tree you have no biodiversity
             | and that is almost as bad as no trees.
        
           | CGamesPlay wrote:
           | This comment sounded very strange to me, but as the linked
           | article says about "male" trees:
           | 
           | > Growers' breeding of purely male diodar trees had created,
           | said Ogren, "something that doesn't even exist in nature".
        
           | lippihom wrote:
           | A note about hay fever - not sure how bad yours is but mine
           | was debilitating (hated leave the house during spring). The
           | last two years I've been doing immunotherapy shots in the
           | winter and this year my allergies are almost completely gone.
           | It's been an unbelievable quality of life change. Would
           | highly recommend if you have insurance that covers it (tho
           | looking back now, I'd also gladly pay out of pocket).
        
           | padjo wrote:
           | Ironically the tree outside my house was recently removed
           | because the fruit annoyed people. Personally I thought the
           | tree was well worth the hour or two a year it took to remove
           | the fruit in autumn.
        
         | bluGill wrote:
         | Non native trees can be a harmful invader to the native
         | environment and should be chopped down. If you can get a large
         | enough area to do it at once chopping down all of a type of
         | tree can stop the spread of disease thus saving tree father
         | away that get isolated (though you can argue these are trees in
         | danger of falling anyway)
        
         | stackedinserter wrote:
         | My former landlord (his wife, actually) forced our neighbours
         | to cut down their beautiful apple tree because in August, every
         | two years, apples fell on the ground and made mess on a shared
         | lawn.
        
         | 0x000xca0xfe wrote:
         | Yes! It's insane to me how many people value concrete more than
         | trees.
        
         | tppiotrowski wrote:
         | There are a few other reasons that aren't baffling:
         | 
         | roots destroy water pipes and heave sidewalks and pavement.
         | They can interfere with power lines as well. :(
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | sounds more like poor planning than anything else.
        
       | ThinkBeat wrote:
       | From life in Oslo, Norway.
       | 
       | In so far as improving the comfort of passengers using mass
       | transit the best way to attract more travelers and retain
       | travelers is to run enough busses, trains, subway trains, during
       | rush hour so that the passangers are not packed like sardines ass
       | to dick for 30 mins or more twice a day.
       | 
       | Then cooling inside the inside the passaenger area is also key
       | Sweating like a pig while playing a sardine makes the experience
       | even worse.
       | 
       | Starting work drenched in sweat and the smell of other poeples
       | perfume and cologn is not a good start.
        
         | naming_the_user wrote:
         | 100% this - make it more comfortable and handle the rush.
         | 
         | I live in London, we have tons of public transport.
         | 
         | In the middle of the day, outside of rush hour, I use it a lot
         | and it can be really pleasant, particularly suburban rail, you
         | can stretch out a bit, there is often air conditioning, a nice
         | view from the window, etc.
         | 
         | When it's busy I will drive even if it takes longer because my
         | car is guaranteed to have personal space and is clean.
        
         | bluGill wrote:
         | I agree, but that costs a lot money. It costs $100/hour (this
         | is likely low since I haven't checked in several years what
         | inflation has done) to run a bus. That is one bus, even a tiny
         | city will need more than 100 buses to just provide bad service,
         | and would need 5-10 times as many just to give good service. If
         | running buses were free everyone would have a bus every 5
         | minutes, with many different routes to choose from. Providing
         | good places to wait for your bus is cheap by contrast, the cost
         | of a single bus will upgrade many bus stops and the investment
         | will last longer than the bus (though you need to maintain it)
         | 
         | You are wrong about rush hour. You need to provide good service
         | all day, not just during rust hour. People who have good rush
         | hour service and then a "family emergency" pops up mid day when
         | they discover service is bad will go back to driving just in
         | case that happens again. Plus running all day service at the
         | same rates ends up breaking even - between staff willing to
         | take less per hour, and good service enticing people to ride
         | you can generally break even on your costs.
        
           | seszett wrote:
           | > _even a tiny city will need more than 100 buses to just
           | provide bad service, and would need 5-10 times as many just
           | to give good service_
           | 
           | Wikipedia says De Lijn (the company that provides public
           | transport for Flanders) has 2200 busses total. Service could
           | be better but it's not awful either, and that's for a whole
           | region of 6 million inhabitants, so I think your numbers are
           | quite off. A _tiny_ city only requires a handful of busses, a
           | medium one use 50 busses or so.
        
             | rsynnott wrote:
             | I assume that the major urban areas also have decent rail
             | and tram systems, though. It makes a big difference.
             | 
             | Dublin has a metro population of about 1.5 million, and has
             | about 1,400 buses (excluding intercity and private
             | services); however its rail and tram systems are, er,
             | inadequate. Berlin has about 1,600 buses for a metro area
             | of 6 million, but of course has a far better rail and tram
             | system.
        
               | seszett wrote:
               | Right, I totally forgot that the bus network here is only
               | there to fill the gaps between the tram lines, which
               | might not be the case in other places.
        
               | rsynnott wrote:
               | Yeah, there's a route (or set of closely related routes)
               | near my office which, at peak times, has a 100 person
               | double decker bus about once per _minute_. Really, it
               | should be a tram route, but that would require building a
               | tram line, and Dublin tends to see that as an immense
               | undertaking to be done only once a decade or so (and this
               | decade's one is already planned out).
        
               | Scoundreller wrote:
               | Have they made any efforts to make peak demand... less
               | peaky?
               | 
               | That's kinda a problem with big capex transit projects:
               | you're spending all this cash to 24/7 fix a problem that
               | only exists for 5-10 hours/week.
        
             | f6v wrote:
             | Just keep in mind that a company car is a major perk all
             | salaried employees strive to get because that allows them
             | to commute to work for free from all those tiny villages.
        
           | rsynnott wrote:
           | > You need to provide good service all day, not just during
           | rust hour.
           | 
           | Providing good service at non-rush-hour is comparatively
           | easy, though; it just has to be relatively frequent.
           | Particularly for buses, the trouble at rush hour is that you
           | can effectively hit capacity for a line; you get buses
           | waiting for other buses to leave stops, and so on.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | While true, if you have good all day service and run into
             | that problem you have more than enough demand to build a
             | train.
        
           | antennafirepla wrote:
           | Everything costs money. The cost is relatively low to the
           | public and economic benefit from plentiful public transit.
           | Breaking even financially would be icing on the cake. Public
           | transit is a service, we should expect it to cost money --
           | and not necessarily pass 100% of the cost to passengers,
           | since it needs to be affordable to provide the full benefit
           | to people.
        
             | mousethatroared wrote:
             | Let's agree that the service should be subsidized. Let's
             | establish that Im amenable to a free service 100% tax
             | payer.
             | 
             | I am, in fact amenable to this.
             | 
             | How do you establish fairness though?
             | 
             | Best case scenario, say in the US ex-NYC, you will always
             | have 20-40% of people needing to ride their cars because
             | the tails of the distribution are prohibitively expensive.
             | 
             | Nor are these people necessarily wealthy - the economically
             | wealthiest class of people are urban dinks.
             | 
             | So how to do you establish fairness to this 20-40% of
             | people subsidizing the others?
        
               | rsynnott wrote:
               | > So how to do you establish fairness to this 20-40% of
               | people subsidizing the others?
               | 
               | Well, for a start, they're not, necessarily. That thing
               | they're driving on, it didn't magically appear, you
               | realise. Road maintenance and construction is a _huge_
               | part of total transport spending.
        
               | GauntletWizard wrote:
               | Yes, and road maintenance is proportional to the fourth
               | power of the axle load. Busses are typically loaded at
               | 4-8 times the per-axle weight of passenger cars.
        
           | h2zizzle wrote:
           | Busses are a band-aid that get employed as a cure too often.
           | Ideally, you're running trams at surface level with decently-
           | distanced stops and biking/walking infrastructure in between.
           | Busses require infrastructure - large roads - which
           | discourage pedestrian activity and encourage personal vehicle
           | use. You want people walking near businesses that they might
           | patronize, not flying past in large vehicles that make the
           | space uncomfortable for pedestrians.
        
             | some_random wrote:
             | Is there a single city in the world with
             | trams/subways/trains/etc but no buses?
        
               | h2zizzle wrote:
               | Very few, if any, but there are cities that use busses
               | for what they're good for, and not as a bad urban
               | planner's trams.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | You need roads anyway! Most of the businesses need to get
             | trucks in to deliver the things they need. Thus you can
             | reuse those roads for buses for places that are less busy
             | and this is cheaper than a train. The real trick is how to
             | get private one passenger automobiles off the roads.
             | 
             | In very dense areas you should have both roads and trains.
             | However only the most dense cities in the world can support
             | that, and then only in their most dense which is often
             | small. For everyone else buses save money over trains.
        
               | trainsarebetter wrote:
               | But buses actually don't. you just pay for it later.
               | Roads are one of the fastest deteriorating forms of
               | infrastructure. the hole " but rail dosnt make money"
               | argument ignores the fact that... roads don't ether
        
               | gamblor956 wrote:
               | The time frame before a rail line will save money over
               | buses is measured in decades.
               | 
               | With buses, you don't include the cost of road
               | maintenance because buses share the roads with millions
               | of other vehicles so the allocable cost is neglible.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Extept that you have to maintain the roads anyway. taking
               | a few buses off won't save much so long as the road for
               | trucks exists.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | A one lane road with minimal parking can handle a crazy
               | number of deliveries and busses. Allow cars on that road
               | and suddenly it's almost useless as a transportation
               | option.
               | 
               | Thus the urban infrastructure dilemma.
        
           | hansvm wrote:
           | Busses are huge though. You can get fares cheaper than the
           | cost of gasoline for an equivalent single-passenger trip just
           | by using the available seats and ignoring standing room
           | completely. The seats are pretty wide, so that satisfies the
           | anti-sardine requirement easily.
           | 
           | The point about needing good service all day, not just during
           | rush hours, is more interesting. If your hypothesis is that
           | people just want the experience to not be terrible while
           | they're in the bus, more trips during rush hours definitely
           | suffices. You do need a minimum level of service in the
           | middle of the day for the idea to be practical for some
           | people. Surely 15-30min routes are fine though?
        
             | kedihacker wrote:
             | Per 15 minute is maximum for good service. 30 minutes is
             | infrequent. 10 is very good.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | 7 minutes max is good. Anything longer than that is bad,
             | though you can accept up to every 30 minutes, anything more
             | than that is unacceptable. I used to ride a every 30 minute
             | bus, and I always started checking where the bus was (as
             | opposed to the schedule/time!) long before I wanted to
             | leave. A couple times I made a mistake and arrived at the
             | stop just after the bus left, and was then in for an
             | unacceptably long wait for the next bus.
             | 
             | Mid day you need better service than rush hour. People
             | going to work generally have a schedule and they have input
             | into it - they can plan their day around when the bus goes.
             | People doing errands in the mid day do not know when they
             | will be done, if there happens to be a line when you go to
             | the checkout you miss your bus. When you are at work you
             | have more control over when you leave and so will always
             | make your bus.
             | 
             | When people see your bus system as a way to get to work and
             | a car is for everything else you can do worse service than
             | when you want people to get rid of the car.
        
           | aftbit wrote:
           | Do you have any source or more information on the $100/hr
           | figure? That seems shockingly high to me. It only costs about
           | twice or three times that to run a small airplane or a
           | farming combine.
        
             | mousethatroared wrote:
             | Is it surprising though?
             | 
             | Without looking up the data, off the top of my head.
             | 
             | The bus driver needs a commercial license with air brakes,
             | is a public employee and has benefits.
             | 
             | He has to be making 75k/year + overhead. Let's say overhead
             | is 50%
             | 
             | $56.25 / hr.
             | 
             | Then there's the diesel cost. A large bus must get ~ 10 mpg
             | highway, but a city bus is all stop and go - disastrous for
             | a vehicle as massive as a bus. Let's say it gets 4 mpg.
             | 
             | $4/gal diesel * 30 mph average speed / 4 mpg = $30 / hr on
             | diesel.
             | 
             | We're at $86.26/hr.
             | 
             | You could argue my driver makes too much, and my mpg is too
             | low, but I havent included:
             | 
             | - routine maintenance
             | 
             | - fixing broken vehicles
             | 
             | - cleaning
             | 
             | - amortization
             | 
             | So, play with the numbers if you will; but $100/hr has to
             | be a good, round estimate, for running costs.
        
               | rsynnott wrote:
               | > Then there's the diesel cost. A large bus must get ~ 10
               | mpg highway, but a city bus is all stop and go -
               | disastrous for a vehicle as massive as a bus. Let's say
               | it gets 4 mpg.
               | 
               | Increasingly, most buses would be either electric, or
               | heavy hybrid (ie electric with a diesel generator).
               | 
               | But also, consider the money they take in. My local bus
               | system's buses take up to 100 people. The charge is 2
               | euro for a journey where the last leg starts within 90
               | minutes of the first leg, on any mode of transport.
               | However in practice the average journey would be in the
               | 30 min range. So if the buses are constantly full, that's
               | 400 euro per hour takings!
               | 
               | Of course, it's not really that high; the buses are not
               | always full, some people are using monthly or annual
               | tickets, which are cheaper, some people are kids or over
               | 65 or otherwise get cheap or free travel, the trains and
               | trams also have to be paid for, and so on. But it's
               | sufficient that they were actually able to cut the price
               | (it used to be up to 3.50 for a single bus journey); the
               | increased use from the cheaper simpler system offset the
               | reduction in revenue per journey.
        
               | mapt wrote:
               | > Then there's the diesel cost. A large bus must get ~ 10
               | mpg highway, but a city bus is all stop and go -
               | disastrous for a vehicle as massive as a bus. Let's say
               | it gets 4 mpg. $4/gal diesel * 30 mph average speed / 4
               | mpg = $30 / hr on diesel.
               | 
               | We've already got decent electric bus options implemented
               | in a number of cities, and they're only going to get
               | better. That's before you consider hooking them up to
               | wires like a sensible transit network.
               | 
               | Municipal fleets often make it a point to use alternative
               | energy with buses, like CNG before batteries were a
               | practical option. They do it for public image, because of
               | the urban air quality issues with old-school diesel
               | exhaust, and for cost reasons.
               | 
               | A more interesting point is pavement. Public buses,
               | garbage trucks, and schoolbuses are some of the most
               | significant non-weather-related causes of road wear, and
               | this is only going to get worse the heavier the axle
               | weight if you try to run long-range battery banks. Road
               | wear scales with axle weight raised to the fourth power.
               | Arguably there is a case to be made for the articulated
               | or even bi-articulated designs if it allowed you to drop
               | axle weight, with significant benefit to the Packed Like
               | Sardines problem. Articulated EVs have a lot more freedom
               | to redistribute the weight and to power individual axles
               | more intelligently.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | In the US every transit agency published their costs to the
             | FTA. I looked that data up about 5 years ago, and I can't
             | remember how to search it, but it should be online if you
             | want to figure it out. (unless Trump has removed that?)
        
           | PeterStuer wrote:
           | Honestly, for 'emergency' things a taxi service is a good
           | complement. Busses are good at regular routes between
           | frequent routes/hubs, not for 'I need point to point
           | immediatly now'.
           | 
           | The goal should be more to cover peoples normal transit
           | needs. So plenty of routes with stops very near most people's
           | homes and destinations, and a high enough frequency at most
           | hours of the day and night to not cause too much waiting
           | frustration.
        
           | jodrellblank wrote:
           | > " _That is one bus, even a tiny city will need more than
           | 100 buses to just provide bad service, and would need 5-10
           | times as many just to give good service_ "
           | 
           | You say that as if it's an unthinkable impossibility. As of
           | 2017 London had 8,600 busses carrying 6.5M passengers every
           | day. Yes a big city needs a lot of buses, so they have a lot
           | of buses. No problem. What would it cost if there were no
           | buses and 6.5M more car journeys every day? And the roads and
           | parking spaces for - what - 1M+ more cars to account for
           | that?
           | 
           | What financial cost to the city for roads and infrastructure
           | and traffic lights and signs and maintenance, what financial
           | cost to the people needing cars, what time cost of humans
           | stuck in traffic, what health cost of less exercise, what
           | health cost of pollution, what accident cost?
        
           | itsoktocry wrote:
           | > _You are wrong about rush hour. You need to provide good
           | service all day, not just during rust hour._
           | 
           | Your first half talks about how high the hourly rate to run a
           | bus is. Then in the second half you recommend the same
           | service level for busy versus non-busy times? Seems sub-
           | optimal.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | All day service ends up increasing all hours use -
             | including rush hour.
             | 
             | however no matter what it is expensive and you need years
             | of service before people change habbits. Often the expense
             | is so high that 'you cannot get there from here'
        
           | fads_go wrote:
           | Yes, it costs, and yes, to make public transit a valid
           | alternative service needs to be frequent all day.
           | 
           | However, all of the maintenance around allowing private
           | transport is also a cost. That includes all of the private
           | costs for car ownership. If public transport is a valid
           | option, then car ownership becomes a choice.
           | 
           | A tiny city might need 100 busses, but how many cars does
           | that replace? What is the full cost of those cars? If
           | everyone made a monthly "bus payment" instead of a "car
           | payment" (actually payments when you add insurance,
           | maintenance, ...), I think we'd find the bus system much less
           | expensive.
        
           | godelski wrote:
           | >  It costs $100/hour to run a bus
           | 
           | That sounds pretty cheap!
           | 
           | Googling suggests you can get 40 people on the _average_ bus,
           | but let 's say that's 20! Let's be super rough to get
           | guesstimates. California has an average gas price of
           | $4.83/gal[0] and average car is like 24mpg. We'll take that
           | at 60mph and assume you're driving that (mpg is usually worse
           | in cities). So let's say ($4.8/g) * (1/24 g/m) * (60 m/h) =
           | 12. So at half capacity the bus is more than half the price.
           | That's even before we include things like insurance,
           | maintenance, and anything else (like parking fees). Sure,
           | we're super rough, but given how big the difference is I'd be
           | surprised if refining switched the conclusion.
           | 
           | Of course, there's extra convenience of cars, but a lot of
           | time we don't need that extra convenience. A lot of times
           | we're going the same way everyone else is and our convenience
           | becomes inconvenient. There's also lots of extra conveniences
           | of public transportation too. If you've experienced good
           | public transit you probably prefer it in most situations.
           | 
           | I agree, things need to run all day but I disagree that it
           | costs a lot of money. I think the bigger issue is the
           | negative feedback loop. Public transportation sucks, so no
           | one uses it. -> Public transportation can't get more funding
           | because no one uses it. -> No one uses public transportation
           | because it sucks. Unfortunately this is one of those things
           | where "build it and they will come". It won't happen right
           | away, momentum is a bitch, but it can't ever happen without
           | making the investment. And clearly it is actually cheap.
           | 
           | [0] https://gasprices.aaa.com/?state=CA
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | if you can get the money to buy and run all those buses and
             | run them for several years while people figure out they are
             | good. They also need to be good - many buses run terrible
             | routes that won't get you where you want to go in a
             | reasonable anount of time.
        
               | godelski wrote:
               | I recognize this. Please read my last paragraph.
        
       | elric wrote:
       | > Municipalities are attempting to create safe and comfortable
       | transit systems in the face of climate change.
       | 
       | Citation needed. Over here, municipalities are trying to find
       | further ways of reducing the cost of public transport. Spending
       | money on comfort is simply not going to happen. Belgium's 2nd
       | largest city's transit system has famously malfunctioning
       | escalators (some of which have been broken for half a decade).
       | The offering is reduced year after year, while prices go up.
       | 
       | I wish things were different.
        
         | onlyrealcuzzo wrote:
         | That's the cost of more and more of the budget going to
         | pensions, as more and more of the "workers" are 65+ retirees...
        
           | elric wrote:
           | Everything is a tradeoff. I'm sure pensions will become more
           | affordable if we keep killing people by means of air
           | pollution and car crashes. /s
           | 
           | But I'm sure we'll keep subsidising company cars.
        
       | tppiotrowski wrote:
       | Planting trees is hard. Phoenix AZ has a tree planting program
       | called the Shade Phoenix Plan and they publish public reports.
       | 
       | Watering and maintenance are a big cost. Iirc it's about $1000 to
       | plant a tree. $100 for the tree and $900 for the irrigation and
       | labor to plant it. In the first 10 years of the program 2/3 of
       | the 106,000 planted trees were removed due to accidents, storms,
       | not enough water/aging. [1]
       | 
       | [1]
       | https://www.phoenix.gov/content/dam/phoenix/heatsite/documen...
        
         | potato3732842 wrote:
         | It being difficult to grow trees that provide good in phoenix
         | is literally the nick cake "you don't say" meme.
         | 
         | Expecting something like that work without questionable degree
         | of investment to make some tree work survive of its element is
         | contradictory to all the adaptations that make plant life
         | suitable for arid climates (i.e not providing a ton of area to
         | the sun relative to their mass).
        
           | tppiotrowski wrote:
           | Fair. I used Phoenix because it's the only published city
           | shading plan I've come across. It could just be that arid/hot
           | climates are the places trees are needed. The study linked
           | was in Houston, Texas.
           | 
           | The Phoenix report is valuable because it provides lessons
           | that should be avoided going forward: change the laws so
           | property owners are not liable if a tree outside their
           | business hurts someone, don't plant a tree if you can't
           | irrigate it, work with local residents to plant and water
           | trees to save on labor and increase success, etc.
           | 
           | If there's other municipal shade reports I'd love to read
           | them. Helping people find shade is what I do for a living.
           | [1]
           | 
           | [1] shademap.app
        
             | viburnum wrote:
             | Milwaukee started its shade program in the 1980s.
        
           | jodrellblank wrote:
           | Like the startups which try to make solar systems to condense
           | drinking water from the air. They demonstrate it in wet
           | climates where the idea works but the solar panels don't
           | because it's cloudy and cool. Those environments don't need
           | drinking water because they are rainy. Then they try it in
           | deserts where the water is needed and the solar panel bit
           | works, but the whole thing doesn't work because there's no
           | water in the air - that's why the water is needed there(!).
           | 
           | ThunderF00t Busted! videos on scammy startups keeping on
           | raising money for this fundamentally unworkable idea:
           | 
           | - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vc7WqVMCABg - Zero Mass
           | Water
           | 
           | - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vss1ke5tTvI - Fontus self-
           | filling water bottle
           | 
           | - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vss1ke5tTvI - self-filling
           | water bottle lab experiment what would be reasonably possible
           | 
           | - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OfmQcY_sEt0 - WaterSeer
           | part 1
           | 
           | - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gPSyU564Io - WaterSeer
           | part 2
           | 
           | Drinking game: drink every time he says "it's a. de.
           | humidifier."
        
       | JohnMakin wrote:
       | At least in CA, we're going the opposite direction - complete
       | removal of shelter, even the benches have dividers on them so
       | people can't sleep. This is meant to deter homeless, but the city
       | also doesn't really provide them anywhere else to go, so things
       | that provide additional shelter at bus stops are essentially a
       | non-starter for the city.
        
       | nickdothutton wrote:
       | Given the cost of maintaining trees, I'm surprised councils in
       | the UK haven't just removed street trees and "planted" metal
       | ones.
        
       | newer_vienna wrote:
       | "Here's a scientific study that shows that trees and shelters are
       | nice because they provide shade"
       | 
       | thanks, I guess. I didn't need a study telling me something I
       | already know and agree with
        
         | Ylpertnodi wrote:
         | Someone got paid: it all keeps the money flowing. Always check
         | if the fence serves a purpose.
        
       | MattSayar wrote:
       | Reminds me of a Technology Connections video describing how
       | helpful awnings are in reducing temperatures inside your house
       | [0]. Are there any modern-looking awnings that wouldn't look out
       | of place in my neighborhood?
       | 
       | [0] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uhbDfi7Ee7k
        
       | profsummergig wrote:
       | Do we need reasons to plant cities in urban areas now?
       | 
       | Look at photos of Tel Aviv. Lush green trees everywhere. Compare
       | it with any other city in the desert. Completely changes the
       | quality of life.
        
       | MeteorMarc wrote:
       | Trees as shelter works as long there is water for the
       | trees(evaporation cools, like in sweating). With increasing heat
       | stress there is not enough water and the trees will simply die.
       | Or burn.
        
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