[HN Gopher] "AI-first" is the new Return To Office
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       "AI-first" is the new Return To Office
        
       Author : LorenDB
       Score  : 285 points
       Date   : 2025-04-30 13:38 UTC (9 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.anildash.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.anildash.com)
        
       | srveale wrote:
       | I don't necessarily disagree with the main argument, but
       | 
       | > did your boss ever have to send you a memo demanding that you
       | use a smartphone
       | 
       | Yes, there were tons of jobs that required you to have a
       | smartphone, and still do. I remember my second job, they'd give
       | out Blackberries - debatably not smartphones, but still - to the
       | managers and require work communication on them. I know this was
       | true for many companies.
       | 
       | This isn't the perfect analogy anyway, since one major reason
       | companies did this was to increase security, while forcing AI
       | onto begrudging workers feels like it could have the opposite
       | effect. The commonality is efficiency, or at least the perception
       | of it by upper management.
       | 
       | One example I can think of where there was worker pushback but it
       | makes total sense is the use of electronic medical records.
       | Doctors/nurses originally didn't want to, and there are certainly
       | a lot of problems with the tech, but I don't think anyone is
       | suggesting now that we should go back to paper.
       | 
       | You can make the argument that an "AI first" mandate will
       | backfire, but the notion that workers will collectively gravitate
       | towards new tech is not true in general.
        
         | pxx wrote:
         | I don't think your example is really a counterexample. Work-
         | provided Blackberries allowed you to be more responsive to work
         | messages while communicating over an ostensibly secure medium.
         | 
         | on the other hand, making sure that people use AI for
         | performance reviews would be akin to measuring the percentage
         | of work days that you used your blackberry. that's not
         | something that anyone sane ever did.
         | 
         | somewhat in the same vein, nobody ever sent a directive saying
         | that all interoffice memoranda must be typed in via blackberry.
        
           | ryandrake wrote:
           | Yea, the point is, if a product or technology is useful,
           | people will want to use it. They'll bang down your door to be
           | allowed to use it. They'll even surreptitiously use it if you
           | don't allow it. If you have to mandate that they use it, what
           | does that really say about the tool?
           | 
           | A better example is probably source control. It might not
           | have been true in the past, but these days, nobody has to
           | mandate that you use source control. We all know the
           | benefits, and if we're starting a new software business,
           | we're going to use source control by default from day one.
        
         | Uehreka wrote:
         | > Yes, there were tons of jobs that required you to have a
         | smartphone, and still do. I remember my second job, they'd give
         | out Blackberries - debatably not smartphones, but still - to
         | the managers and require work communication on them.
         | 
         | Anil is referring specifically to the way that people who were
         | told to use a Blackberry would bring an iPhone to work anyway
         | and demand that IT support it because it was so much better. In
         | the late 2000s Blackberries were a top-down mandate that failed
         | because iPhones were a bottom-up revolution that was too
         | successful to ban.
         | 
         | So look for situations where employees are using their personal
         | AI subscriptions for work and are starting to demand that IT
         | budget for it so they don't have to pay out of pocket. I'm
         | seeing this right now at my job with GitHub Copilot.
        
         | anildash wrote:
         | Yeah, I think that's fair, but those bosses that made us get
         | Blackberries were mostly doing that because they wanted to be
         | able to call us and make us work, not because we had to be
         | convinced that smartphones had value, right? We all ended up
         | buying smartphones on our own as well.
        
           | remich wrote:
           | Well, we all ended up buying smartphones eventually. But the
           | delta between when Blackberries first were adopted in
           | corporate environments and when iPhones/Androids were
           | can't-miss technologies wasn't small.
        
           | srveale wrote:
           | You may underestimate how many people do not need to be
           | convinced. Again, I'll refrain from making a value judgment,
           | but the hard numbers show that LLMs have been one of the most
           | quickly adopted technologies in the history of mankind,
           | including the time before anyone was forced to use them.
           | 
           | Not sure if these are the best stats to illustrate the point,
           | but ChatGPT was released November 2022, 2.5 years ago, and
           | they currently claim ~1 billion users [1]
           | 
           | By comparison, iPhone sales were something like 30 million
           | over the same time period, June 2007 through 2009. [2]
           | 
           | In other words, what took ChatGPT several months took
           | smartphones several years.
           | 
           | Of course there are problems with the comparison (iPhones are
           | expensive, but many people bought each version of the iPhone
           | making the raw user count go down, Sam Altman is
           | exaggerating, people use LLMs other than ChatGPT, blah blah
           | blah), so maybe let's not concentrate on this particular
           | analogy. The point is: even a very skeptical view of how many
           | people use LLMs day-to-day has to acknowledge they are
           | relatively popular, for better or worse.
           | 
           | I think we're better served trying to keep the cat from
           | scratching us rather than trying to put it back in the bag.
           | Ham-fisted megalomaniac CEOs forcing a dangerous technology
           | on workers before we all understand the danger is a big
           | problem, that's for sure. To the original point, "AI-first is
           | the new RTO", there's definitely some juice there, but it's
           | not because the general public is anti-AI.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/martineparis/2025/04/12/chat
           | gpt...
           | 
           | [2] https://www.globaldata.com/data-insights/technology--
           | media-a...
        
             | bluefirebrand wrote:
             | > In other words, what took ChatGPT several months took
             | smartphones several years
             | 
             | You are comparing a cheap subscription service to an
             | expensive piece of hardware that would replace hardware
             | that most people already owned
             | 
             | Of course smartphones were slower to adopt. Everyone had
             | phones already, and they were expensive!
             | 
             | ChatGPT is *free
        
               | srveale wrote:
               | Do you have any thoughts on the second half of my
               | comment?
        
       | lsy wrote:
       | The point is well-made that truly revolutionary technologies
       | don't need top-down mandates to drive adoption, and it's
       | certainly a bad sign for the AI industry that we are in this
       | phase of the hype cycle. But it also seems likely that top-down
       | mandates will create perverse incentives for product development
       | around these technologies, preventing genuinely valuable use
       | cases from emerging as people determine what does and doesn't
       | work.
       | 
       | If everyone, to satisfy their CEO's emotional attachment to AI,
       | is forced to type into a chat box to get dreck out and then
       | massage it into something usable for their work, we'll see that
       | ineffective mode persist longer, and probably miss out on better
       | modes of interaction and more well-targeted use cases.
        
         | ryandrake wrote:
         | I wonder about the opportunity cost of going all-in on AI. What
         | great products are _not_ being developed, simply because every
         | CEO is currently under this AI spell and is insisting that
         | everything everyone does must be about AI? AI is sucking all
         | the oxygen out of the room and probably causing actually useful
         | projects to be canceled or de-prioritized.
        
           | mulmen wrote:
           | It's not every CEO. If you have a better idea do that and
           | outcompete the companies that are making what you think is a
           | bad bet.
        
       | teddy-smith wrote:
       | The article presents some good points but to me it seems like not
       | being a jerk and calling Will.I.am "nobodys favorite rapper" is a
       | selling point for A.I.
        
         | dkdbejwi383 wrote:
         | A selling point for humans is that some of them are actually
         | funny, unlike LLMs which just regurgitate synatically competent
         | but humourously incompetent waffle.
        
           | glitchc wrote:
           | I dunno. The latter part sounds like a number of humans I've
           | interacted with. They're all nice people though.
        
         | anildash wrote:
         | I will admit it was not my kindest joke, but on the other hand,
         | I genuinely did not expect him to read a treatise on IOT
         | infrastructure.
        
           | ctkhn wrote:
           | I think you have some leeway joking on a guy who wrote a song
           | called "Let's get retarded"
        
             | anildash wrote:
             | Was genuinely my feeling at the time, too.
        
       | booleandilemma wrote:
       | I thought AI-first was the new blockchain?
        
       | ChrisArchitect wrote:
       | Aside: where do the extra slashes in the submitted anildash urls
       | come from? frequent reoccurrence. An rss feed somewhere? Some
       | scheme for him to track outside shares? heh
       | 
       | https://www.anildash.com//2025/04/19/ai-first-is-the-new-ret...
        
         | ctkhn wrote:
         | Was thinking the same thing. When I go through google to his
         | blog posts I don't see the double slash and it isn't there when
         | I go to his blog homepage and click through to the specific
         | post.
        
           | anildash wrote:
           | I might have screwed something up in my RSS (well,
           | technically Atom) feed. I'll take a look later.
        
       | JimDabell wrote:
       | > This is unusual -- did your boss ever have to send you a memo
       | demanding that you use a smartphone? Was there a performance
       | review requiring you to use Slack? I'm actually old enough that I
       | was at different workplaces when they started using spreadsheets
       | and email and the web, and I can tell you, they absolutely didn't
       | have to drive adoption by making people fill out paperwork about
       | how they were definitely using the cool new technology.
       | 
       | I've been around long enough to see resistance to things like the
       | Internet, version control, bug tracking systems, ORMs, automated
       | tests, etc. Not every advancement is welcomed by everybody. An
       | awful lot of people are very set in their ways and will refuse to
       | change unless given a firm push.
       | 
       | For instance, if you weren't around before version control became
       | the norm, then you probably missed the legions of developers who
       | said things like _"Ugh, why do I have to use this stupid thing?
       | It just slows me down and gets in my way! Why can't I just focus
       | on writing code?"_ Those developers had to be dragged into modern
       | software development when they were certain it was a stupid waste
       | of time.
       | 
       | AI can be extremely useful and there's a lot of people out there
       | who refuse to give it a proper try. Using AI well is a skill you
       | need to learn and if you don't see positive results on your first
       | couple of attempts that doesn't necessarily mean it's bad, it
       | just means you are a beginner. If you tried a new language and
       | didn't get very far at first, would you blame the language or
       | recognise that you lack experience?
       | 
       | An awful lot of people are stuck in a rut where they tried an
       | early model, got poor results to begin with, and refused to use
       | it again. These people _do_ need a firm, top-down push, or they
       | will be left behind.
       | 
       | This has happened before, many times. Contrary to the article's
       | claims, sometimes top-down pushes have been necessary even for
       | things we now consider near universally good and productive.
        
         | suddenlybananas wrote:
         | There have also been many fads that were forced on people which
         | fizzled out and didn't amount to much.
        
         | trilobyte wrote:
         | I see you speak from experience. I feel like I'm watching the
         | same cycle play out over and over again, which is that a new,
         | transformative technology lands, people with a vested interest
         | spend a lot of time denouncing it (your examples mostly land
         | for me), the new technology gets over-hyped and fails to meet
         | some bar and the haters all start crowing about how it's just
         | B.S. and won't ever be useful, etc. etc.
         | 
         | Meanwhile, people are quietly poking around figuring out the
         | boundaries of what the technology really can do and pushing it
         | a little further along.
         | 
         | With the A.I. hype I've been keeping my message pretty
         | consistent for all of the people who work for me: "There's a
         | lot of promise, and there are likely a lot of changes that
         | could come if things keep going the way they are with A.I., but
         | even if the technology hits a wall right now that stops it from
         | advancing things have already changed and it's important to
         | embrace where we are and adapt".
        
           | Centigonal wrote:
           | Such a sane, nuanced take on new technologies. I wish more
           | people were outspoken about holding these types of opinions.
           | 
           | It feels like the AI discourse is often dominated by
           | irrationally exuberant AI boosters and people with an
           | overwhelming, knee-jerk hatred of the technology, and I often
           | feel like reading tech news is like watching two people who
           | are both wrong argue with one another.
        
             | ryandrake wrote:
             | Unfortunately, thoughtful, nuanced takes don't make
             | headlines, don't get into Harvard Business Review, and
             | don't end up as memos on the CEO's desk. Breathless
             | advocacy and knee-jerk dismissals get the clicks and those
             | are the takes that end up bubbling to the top and
             | influencing the decision makers.
        
             | pixl97 wrote:
             | Moderates typically have a lot less to say than extremists
             | and don't feel a need to have their passion heard by the
             | world. The discussion ends up being controlled by the
             | haters and hypers.
             | 
             | New technologies in companies commonly have the same
             | pitfalls that burn out users. The companies have very
             | little ability to tell if a technology is good or bad at
             | the purchasing level. The c-levels that approve the
             | invoices are commonly swayed not by the merits of the
             | technology, but the persuasion of the salespeople or the
             | fears of others in the same industries. This leads to a lot
             | of technology that could/should be good being just absolute
             | crap for the end user.
             | 
             | Quite often the 'best' or at least most useful technology
             | shows up via shadow IT.
        
             | remich wrote:
             | And a subgroup (or cousin?) of the exuberant AI boosters
             | are the people absolutely convinced that LLM research leads
             | to the singularity in the next 18-24 months.
             | 
             | I really do wish we could get to a place where the general
             | consensus was something similar to what Anil wrote - the
             | greatest gains and biggest pitfalls are realized by people
             | who aren't experienced in whatever domain they're using it
             | for.
             | 
             | The more experience you have in a given domain, the more
             | narrow your use-cases for AI will be (because you can do a
             | lot of things on your own faster than the time spent coming
             | up with the right prompts and context mods), but
             | paradoxically the better you will be at using the tools
             | because of your increased ability to spot errors.
             | 
             | *Note: by "narrow" I don't mean useless, I just mean
             | benefits typically accrue as speed gains rather than
             | knowledge + speed gains.
        
         | mjr00 wrote:
         | > I've been around long enough to see resistance to things like
         | the Internet, version control, bug tracking systems, ORMs,
         | automated tests, etc. Not every advancement is welcomed by
         | everybody. An awful lot of people are very set in their ways
         | and will refuse to change unless given a firm push.
         | 
         | There was never any widespread resistance to "the Internet",
         | let's be real here.
         | 
         | In any case, adoption of all those things was _bottom-up_
         | rather than _top-down_. CEOs were not mandating that tech teams
         | use version control or ORMs or automated testing. It was tech
         | leadership, with a lot of support from ICs in their department.
         | 
         | Tech people in particular are excited about trying new things.
         | I never heard CEOs mandating top-down that teams use Kubernetes
         | and adding people's Kubernetes usage into their performance
         | reviews, yet Kubernetes spread like wildfire--to the point
         | where many software companies which had no business using
         | something as complicated as Kubernetes started using it. Same
         | with other flavor-of-the-month tools and approaches like event
         | sourcing, NoSQL/MongoDB, etc.
         | 
         | If anything, as a leader you need to _slow down_ adoption of
         | new technology rather than force it upon people. The idea that
         | senior leadership needs to _push_ to get AI used is highly
         | unusual, to say the least.
        
           | brummm wrote:
           | Isn't Amazon's APIs everywhere another example of just this
           | that came right from the top? In some companies CEOs double
           | as the tech lead, no?
        
             | mjr00 wrote:
             | The API mandate notably specified _what_ rather than _how_.
             | _" It doesn't matter what technology [you] use. HTTP,
             | Corba, Pubsub, custom protocols -- doesn't matter."_ In
             | some ways it's quite the opposite of CEO mandates to use
             | AI, which specify _how_ you must build things (using AI!)
             | rather than _what_.
             | 
             | The equivalent of the API mandate for AI would be if CEOs
             | were demanding that all products include a "Summarize
             | Content" button. Or that all code repositories contain a
             | summary of their contents in a README. The use of AI to
             | solve these problems would be an implementation detail.
        
               | ryandrake wrote:
               | Or if CEOs were demanding that everything be written in
               | Python. Programming language should also be an
               | implementation detail, not something a CEO would worry
               | about. Just like "using AI."
        
             | dowager_dan99 wrote:
             | to me this was more about guiding towards a desired
             | outcome. An opinionated bet, but not overly prescriptive.
             | "AI first" is saying do everything with AI _and then_ hope
             | you find some efficiencies, almost by accident.
        
             | jimbokun wrote:
             | My recollection is that AWS was extremely popular among
             | developers very early on.
        
               | skwirl wrote:
               | Do you just mean within Amazon? Because outside of
               | Amazon, there was major resistance to AWS/cloud computing
               | in general from older devs highly invested in the status
               | quo. I have spent a significant amount of effort in my
               | career fighting for cloud adoption.
        
         | JohnFen wrote:
         | > if you weren't around before version control became the norm,
         | then you probably missed the legions of developers
         | 
         | I was around before version control and I don't remember that
         | reaction from more than an insignificant percentage of devs.
         | Most devs reacted to the advent of version control with glee
         | because it eased a real pain point.
        
         | n4r9 wrote:
         | > Those developers had to be dragged into modern software
         | development when they were certain it was a stupid waste of
         | time.
         | 
         | But why do they have to fill out some paperwork? If the new
         | technology is a genuine productivity boost and any sort of
         | meaningful performance review is undertaken, then it will show
         | up if they're performing sub-par compared to colleagues.
         | 
         | The real problem is that senior management are lazily passing
         | down mandates in lieu of trusting middle management to do
         | effective performance reviews. Just as it was with Return To
         | Office.
        
           | SpicyLemonZest wrote:
           | Some people are good enough that they'll do well on
           | performance reviews anyway, and if there's a new technology
           | that's acting as a force multiplier those are exactly the
           | people who the company most wants to adopt it.
        
             | DrillShopper wrote:
             | Perhaps then they should focus on getting their 0.1x
             | developers using it to get competent rather than trying to
             | get their 1x developers to 10x using it.
        
             | n4r9 wrote:
             | Fair point about comparing performance reviews. It's also
             | practically impossible to judge someone's performance on
             | novel tasks, or whether they're caring enough about tech
             | debt. Even as I wrote my first post there was a nagging
             | voice in my head saying "Almost _no one_ does performance
             | reviews well enough for that ".
             | 
             | In my (limited) experience, the tasks you want to assign to
             | elite devs are less amenable to AI in the first place.
        
           | Faark wrote:
           | Social responsibility?
           | 
           | I have a few colleagues who like the way they work and would
           | prefer everything to stay the way it is. Such "skilled
           | artisans" might be on the way out, replaced by "Ai factory"
           | mass production.
           | 
           | Sure, they could just be kicked out and replaced. But they
           | worked with the company, in some case for a decade plus.
           | Giving them a fair picture of what seems to be down the road
           | is the very least I'd expect of a company treating it's
           | workers as more than just replaceable cogwheels.
        
         | closeparen wrote:
         | It is incredibly early. Copilot and Cursor are both incapable
         | of writing a mapping between two structs with identical fields
         | - some of the most menial coding imaginable - because they
         | either don't have or won't use basic coding mechanics like
         | looking up the signature of a thing before writing code about
         | it. This is the technology that should be making me 10x more
         | productive? This honestly feels like an emperor has no clothes
         | situation. Being charitable, maybe the hype is all from people
         | generating code into empty projects with no existing context?
        
           | jayGlow wrote:
           | that's weird I'm pretty sure I've done that exact thing
           | multiple times with chatgpt. I've noticed copilot doesn't
           | always work well but it's still frequently useful for me.
        
         | dowager_dan99 wrote:
         | >> AI can be extremely useful and there's a lot of people out
         | there who refuse to give it a proper try.
         | 
         | My take-away was this is exactly what the OP is targeting.
         | Management's job is to convince you to try and help you make it
         | demonstrate value; mandating "though shall be AI-first" does
         | neither of these _effectively_ - ironically some of your best
         | developers will: require the most evidence to be convinced,
         | fight the hardest, and have the best options to jump ship if
         | you go far enough. It 's just weak management when there's the
         | obvious alternative. Dash is a developer relations/evangelist
         | so it's not surprising he bristles at this approach.
        
         | tbrownaw wrote:
         | > _If you tried a new language and didn't get very far at
         | first, would you blame the language or recognise that you lack
         | experience?_
         | 
         | This way of phrasing it rejects the possibility that maybe the
         | new thing _really does_ suck, and that this can sometimes be
         | identified pretty quickly.
        
         | bluefirebrand wrote:
         | > AI can be extremely useful and there's a lot of people out
         | there who refuse to give it a proper try. Using AI well is a
         | skill you need to learn and if you don't see positive results
         | on your first couple of attempts that doesn't necessarily mean
         | it's bad, it just means you are a beginner
         | 
         | I'm not a beginner though. In fact I'm actually very
         | experienced at doing my job
         | 
         | Which is why I don't need non-technical management and AI
         | consultants to be telling me what tools I should be using
         | 
         | If I thought AI was going to be a useful tool for me then I
         | would use it
         | 
         | But so far it hasn't, so I don't
         | 
         | I'm not investing my time and energy into a "skill" that
         | doesn't seem like it is going to pay off
        
         | gwbas1c wrote:
         | > These people do need a firm, top-down push, or they will be
         | left behind.
         | 
         | > even for things we now consider near universally
         | 
         | We aren't at the point where AI tools provide a major
         | productivity boost. Sometimes they help, sometimes they don't,
         | sometimes working with AI has negative productivity.
         | 
         | Assuming AI improves to the point where employees who use it
         | are significantly more productive... They'll excel relative to
         | their peers. The people who can't figure it out will
         | underperform.
        
         | bootsmann wrote:
         | I think it would be a worthwhile exercise for yourself to find
         | and replace every mention of AI in your post with blockchain or
         | metaverse. Just because something is new doesn't mean its
         | useful and if you're having to force knowledge workers to adopt
         | something supposedly making them more productive then its
         | probably a bad sign.
        
       | andy99 wrote:
       | did your boss ever have to send you a memo demanding that you use
       | a smartphone? Was there a performance review requiring you to use
       | Slack?
       | 
       | I see this is already a favorite quote amongst commentors. It's
       | mine too: I had a job ~15 years ago where the company had
       | introduced an internal social network, that was obviously trying
       | to ride on the coattails of Facebook et al without understanding
       | why people liked social networks.
       | 
       | Nobody used it because it was useless, but management evidently
       | was invested in it because your profile and use of that internal
       | site did in fact factor in to performance reviews.
       | 
       | This didn't last long, maybe only one review cycle before
       | everyone realized it was irretrievably lost. The parallel with
       | the article is very apt thought. The stick instead of the carrot
       | is basically an indication that a dumb management idea is in its
       | death throes.
        
         | ramesh31 wrote:
         | A social network never did a weeks worth of work for me in 10
         | minutes. Keep swinging that hammer, John Henry.
        
           | skybrian wrote:
           | If it makes that much of a difference and quality is the
           | same, nobody will care whether you used AI or not. It's an
           | implementation detail.
        
         | nkrisc wrote:
         | I would say we might have worked at the same company, but there
         | were so many companies trying that at the time we may very well
         | not have.
         | 
         | Where I worked, it was an open secret that the CEO had an alter
         | ego he used on the site. I have no idea if he knew that we all
         | knew who that really was (I have to assume he did), but every
         | played along.
         | 
         | By the time I had worked there it had been around for a few
         | years already and once a quarter the head of our group set time
         | aside for everyone to "engage" with it for an hour so that no
         | one would be dinged on their performance review.
        
         | alabastervlog wrote:
         | That "Facebook for business" fad was _so fucking stupid_ and
         | managed to last what, about a decade?
         | 
         | It's a great example of how executive group-think can drive
         | whole multi-industry initiatives that are very-obviously, to
         | anyone outside that bubble, pure waste.
        
           | pimlottc wrote:
           | Nobody wants Facebook at work, what they want is a
           | comprehensive org chart that's actually up-to-date.
        
           | rsynnott wrote:
           | Longer; a lot of the metaverse hype was pretty much a
           | reframing of it.
        
             | alabastervlog wrote:
             | I once worked at a company that'd acquired a virtual-office
             | company. I wasn't around for the acquisition, but it really
             | smelled like one rich person bailing out another's failed
             | investment (or someone on the board had a bunch of money in
             | the acquisition target, or something along those lines).
             | 
             | To justify owning the useless damn thing, they insisted
             | everyone use it, basically like Slack if it ate 3-4x the
             | resources (really saying something, given Electron already
             | eating 5-10x the resources it ought to need for any given
             | task), monopolized a screen when in use, and added all the
             | awkward elements of physical environments to virtual ones
             | for no reason ("is it weird if 'I' 'sit' in this chair
             | 'next to' this other 'person' when there are other chairs
             | available in the room?", or "oh shit where's that meeting
             | room 'physically' located, again? I think I'm lost...")
             | while removing none of the awkwardness of virtual
             | interactions.
             | 
             | Truly, bizarrely pointless. It was like some shit out of
             | the Silicon Valley TV show, so absurd it was hard to
             | believe it was real. I swear to god, I'm not making this
             | up, they even had _in-world presentations_ , so you could
             | add all the fun of having a bad angle on a screen or being
             | too far away to comfortably read the text to the joy of a
             | Zoom screen-share. Totally nuts. Luckily you could also
             | maximize whatever was being presented, but... hooray, your
             | best feature is that I can ignore all the things that make
             | your dumb crap distinctive? What a win.
             | 
             | This is what I think of every time I see anyone trying to
             | promote Zuckerberg's weird, bad idea. I assure you, being
             | in VR goggles would not have made the experience either
             | more productive or more pleasant. Nobody who's ever tried
             | to work like this even for one week could possibly think
             | it's a good idea to invest in it.
        
         | romellem wrote:
         | Oh wow, totally forgot about [Yammer][1]. What a waste of time.
         | 
         | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viva_Engage
        
       | mjheart wrote:
       | As someone who works at a larger corporation who takes the quoted
       | "normal policy", I can attest that it's extremely refreshing.
       | 
       | Incidentally, some people on my team have used Copilot for task
       | management, but nobody has found it useful for coding / debugging
       | / testing.
        
         | walleeee wrote:
         | What is "task management" in this context and why did your
         | coworkers find llms useful for it?
        
           | alabastervlog wrote:
           | Heh, I can definitely imagine hooking up an LLM to our task
           | board's API and having it suggest actions (say, marking
           | something as ready for QA) based on my Git log, then execute
           | those if approved. Probably save me a shitload of time. Hell,
           | if I just let it run loose and do whatever it decided to do,
           | daily, with no intervention, it'd likely do a better job than
           | the median developer (and better than I do). Maybe suggest
           | next-tasks for me. I'd worry about it damaging something, but
           | I worry about that a ton every time I have to open up any of
           | those confusing-UI shared-workspace sorts of things anyway.
           | 
           | That this would be a significant time savings mostly has to
           | do with most task tracking systems being so very miserable
           | and slow to work in for the majority of the people expected
           | to use them, though. If we used something lighter and closer
           | to where the work is happening (the code) it wouldn't really
           | be that helpful.
        
             | ctkhn wrote:
             | Is marking a jira ticket ready for testing that
             | complicated? That doesn't seem like something that I both
             | spend a ton of time on while being non productive to want
             | to outsource to AI
        
               | alabastervlog wrote:
               | Various administrative junk probably takes up about 20%
               | of my actual wall-time as far as the work itself, but
               | contributes enormously more than that to my mental
               | fatigue, task-switching time loss, and general stress
               | level. It subjectively _feels_ like 50% of my job.
               | Interacting with Jira or Azure Devops or Asana or what
               | have you is far from everything, but is a decent chunk of
               | that.
               | 
               | This does tend to be a much bigger problem at bigcos than
               | smaller shops, though.
        
       | cmrdporcupine wrote:
       | _" did your boss ever have to send you a memo demanding that you
       | use a smartphone? Was there a performance review requiring you to
       | use Slack?"_
       | 
       | In fact I remember very distinctly the Google TGIF All-Hands
       | where Larry and Sergey stood up and told SWEs they should be
       | trying to do development on tablets, because, y'know, mobile was
       | ascendant, they were afraid of being left behind in mobile, and
       | wanted to develop for "mobile first" (which ended up being on the
       | whole "mobile only" but I'll put that aside for now).
       | 
       | It frankly had the same aura of ... not getting it... lack of
       | vision pretending to be visionionary.
       | 
       | In the end, the job of upper management is not to dictate the
       | tools to engineers to drive them to efficiency. We frankly
       | already have that motivation ourselves. If engineers are
       | skeptical of "AI", it's mostly because we've already been engaged
       | with it and understand many of its limitations, not because we're
       | being "luddites"
       | 
       | One sign of a healthy internal engineering culture is when
       | engineers who are actually doing the work work together to pick
       | their tools to do the work, rather than have them hoisted on
       | them.
       | 
       | When management sends memos out demanding people use AI, what
       | they're actually reflecting is their _own_ fear of being left
       | behind in the buzzword cycle. Few of us doing the work have that
       | fear. I 've seen more projects damaged by excessive novelty and
       | forced "innovation" than the other way around.
        
       | hbsbsbsndk wrote:
       | Having worked at Shopify, Tobi is 100% a try-hard Elon wannabe.
       | Anil is correct that this is about performing "being a CEO" for
       | the sake of his image among his peers.
       | 
       | My favorite stupid Shopify cult thing is the hiring page having a
       | "skip the line" for "exceptional abilities" which explicitly
       | lists being good at video games as a reason to skip the normal
       | hiring process. The "other" category includes examples like
       | "Olympic athlete".
        
         | BoGoToTo wrote:
         | I remember one town hall where he was asked "If you had to
         | start over again, what sort of company would you start?" and
         | his answer was "I wouldn't, all the good ideas are already
         | taken."
        
           | JohnFen wrote:
           | That's genuinely astonishing in its degree of ignorance.
        
             | flappyeagle wrote:
             | Why? It's the same thing DHH says. He's never going to have
             | a better idea than rails and basecamp. Tobi is the same
             | with Shopify
        
               | remich wrote:
               | There's a difference between having the humility to admit
               | that you might not be able to hit another home run, and
               | between claiming that "all the good ideas are taken." At
               | best, the latter is an admission of a lack of a desire to
               | even try anymore, at worst it shows a stunning lack of
               | curiosity and creativity.
        
           | sulam wrote:
           | That sounds too dumb to be true. As in, is there some missing
           | context that this quote was forklifted from?
        
         | ysavir wrote:
         | > My favorite stupid Shopify cult thing is the hiring page
         | having a "skip the line" for "exceptional abilities" which
         | explicitly lists being good at video games as a reason to skip
         | the normal hiring process.
         | 
         | Hah! Now you have my curiosity. What do they replace the normal
         | hiring process with? A game of LoL?
        
           | mjburgess wrote:
           | Some weak evidence of why "exceptional abilities" is not a
           | bad idea, even if gimmiky, is that performance "at the
           | extreme" is highly correlated. So that the people who tend,
           | eg., to be concert pianists, tend also to be very
           | accomplished artists, and the like.
           | 
           | So if you're hitting (a verifiable) top 0-0.5% in some field,
           | there's a reasonable bias towards assuming a high general
           | competence.
           | 
           | I did once hit 0.5 percentile in a multinational PHP exam in
           | my teenage years however I did have a second window open with
           | an interpreter running for the most fringe questions. -- who
           | knows what that means.
        
             | glitchc wrote:
             | Wait, you expect a concert pianist to be a good software
             | developer... on average? Most of the time? Not at all?
        
               | DrillShopper wrote:
               | They can't possibly be worse than half of my coworkers
        
               | mjburgess wrote:
               | I expect a concert pianist who's applying for a software
               | developer position to be worthy of an initial
               | consideration.
               | 
               | I know a software developer who could well be a concert
               | pianist, for example. Ie., that pool of people who
               | overlap, in that overlap, are probably extraordinarily
               | talented.
        
               | Spivak wrote:
               | Yes! Well specifically someone who is a concert pianist
               | and then who also set out to be a software developer. The
               | ability to get _very_ good at a difficult thing is highly
               | correlated to being able to get very good at another
               | really difficult thing.
               | 
               | Case in point I have a friend who is a top 32 magic
               | player in NA. She recently, not even a year ago recently,
               | made it her goal to become a chess grandmaster and she's
               | already 2000 ELO. You could argue that _maybe_ some
               | skills transfer but it 's pretty shaky reasoning.
        
               | michaelbarton wrote:
               | Exactly. Olympic athletes in one sport have a much higher
               | chance of being an Olympian in another. It's not that
               | they inherently "sporty" that makes the difference but
               | they're willing to put in the 100s of hours of training
               | and get up at 5am regularly. You could say it's
               | discipline that would make them a good SWE?
               | 
               | See: https://www.nine.com.au/sport/olympics/olympians-
               | who-changed...
        
               | evantbyrne wrote:
               | It only make sense if you assume that people can
               | generally brute force their way into the top fraction of
               | a percent. Not a view that I agree with.
        
               | butlike wrote:
               | Yeah, I'm kind of with you. Just because they have the
               | capacity to excel doesn't mean they're going to for YOUR
               | company.
               | 
               | Also it smells like a false metric. People who are in the
               | 0.05% of excellence are probably still heavily invested
               | in the thing they're excelling at.
        
               | jimbokun wrote:
               | Because a lot of the skills and personality trait of
               | becoming elite at something are transferable to becoming
               | elite at other things.
        
               | dismalaf wrote:
               | No, you'd expect them to have a capacity to learn at a
               | high level. Which is a good trait for those who are also
               | developers.
        
           | WJW wrote:
           | Starcraft 2 is I think the preferred one.
        
             | morkalork wrote:
             | I wonder how it worked out for that kid.
        
             | Lammy wrote:
             | Make it Brood War and I'm in
        
               | MarcelOlsz wrote:
               | I've played with BoxeR and trained with team IM from
               | Korea. Hmm I should apply.
        
           | 0x1ceb00da wrote:
           | You gotta beat the boss to get a job.
        
         | ed wrote:
         | Counterpoint: externally, at least, Shopify seems to be a well
         | run organization and that has to come from somewhere. (Parter
         | for about 8 years.)
        
           | pera wrote:
           | Not from my point of view: Last year I paid for a product
           | from a shop that was using Shopify, you would think that
           | given that this was a one time transaction, once the payment
           | has been processed they wouldn't keep storing your PII
           | forever but guess what? A couple of months ago I was going to
           | buy a product from a totally unrelated shop also using
           | Shopify and as soon as I typed my email address they sent me
           | an OTP to my phone to autocomplete all my personal details.
           | So paying for a product equals to creating an account with
           | Shopify.
           | 
           | This is incredibly shady and I wonder if it's even legal here
           | in Europe.
        
             | blahaj wrote:
             | You could do a GDPR request for the data they have on you.
             | I would be curious what they save. Keep us updated if you
             | want to.
        
             | bcrosby95 wrote:
             | I think it's shady to use cross-shop information unless the
             | customer explicitly opts into it.
             | 
             | But shopify isn't just a payment processing service. It's a
             | full blown ecommerce suite. Do you think there's an online
             | store out there that gets rid of all PII once an order is
             | paid for, or even after its fulfilled?
             | 
             | We've had people try to return/replace things (or even
             | credit card disputes) years after they bought it. How
             | exactly would that work if we got rid of all information
             | about their order shortly after they made it?
        
             | OJFord wrote:
             | You may have thought you were saving your details with that
             | shop (or not realised at all of course) but yes this is a
             | recentish feature I think, at least I haven't noticed it
             | for long, branded 'Shop pay' iirc.
             | 
             | As for legality in the EU/UK, it's just like everything
             | else, on some level they technically asked for consent and
             | you gave it, but yes, dark patterns abound.
        
               | pera wrote:
               | It may have been stated somewhere in their T&C, but just
               | to be clear: I did not explicitly consent for this.
        
               | OJFord wrote:
               | Right, but the enforcement on this stuff is terrible, you
               | probably also started receiving mailing list spam that
               | you didn't knowingly opt in to, and nothing's going to
               | change or come of it even if you do report it to the ICO.
        
             | jen729w wrote:
             | Shopify store owner here. Credit to them, they make
             | deleting customer data trivial. One obvious button.
             | 
             | This is interesting though: is that data deleted
             | everywhere? It makes no sense just to delete from 'my
             | store'. But I can delete any customer data at any time.
             | 
             | Perhaps this is a nice example of complexity. From the
             | outside it's easy for us to _why don't they just..._ , but
             | as soon as you scratch the surface...
        
         | spacemadness wrote:
         | That is one of the stupidest things I've read all day, and
         | that's saying something. Why are so many tech CEOs this
         | childish?
        
           | MarcelOlsz wrote:
           | Dinner party economics.
        
           | colechristensen wrote:
           | Every group has these people. Whether it's churchgoers, world
           | leaders, tech CEOs, high schoolers, beer league softball, or
           | even chimpanzees. Social bullshitters who do most things for
           | the image among a small group of peers. It's a good skill to
           | recognize this kind of pattern and how so many kinds of
           | patterns are the same things repeating themselves in a
           | different environment.
        
           | rchaud wrote:
           | They've been slathered with money, PR and attention for years
           | before even making a single penny in profit. At some point
           | that creates a sense of cognitive dissonance that's hard to
           | shake.
        
         | skrebbel wrote:
         | Another counterpoint, he's been a pretty pro-nuance voice for a
         | long time, very un-Elon like. Eg I still frequently quote some
         | of this thread to people:
         | https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1210242184341000192.html
         | 
         | My favorite part:
         | 
         | > I've never worked through a night. The only times I worked
         | more than 40 hours in a week was when I had the burning desire
         | to do so. I need 8ish hours of sleep a night. Same with
         | everybody else, whether we admit it or not.
         | 
         | > For creative work, you can't cheat. My believe is that there
         | are 5 creative hours in everyone's day. All I ask of people at
         | Shopify is that 4 of those are channeled into the company.
         | 
         | Obviously, as I'm replying to someone with first-hand Shopify
         | experience, which I don't have, take all this as you wish. I
         | only know the Twitter Tobi. (and I think his "AI first" memo is
         | ridiculous, to the point that I struggle to imagine that the
         | same person wrote this twitter thread)
        
           | hbsbsbsndk wrote:
           | 2019 public-facing Tobi is probably the least insane version.
           | He has gotten worse and more egocentric (and more explicitly
           | right-wing) since then.
           | 
           | Early (pre IPO) Shopify had a pretty toxic internal culture
           | with a lot of drinking and sexual harassment. I was lucky to
           | be there around the post-IPO, pre-pandemic era when there was
           | a bit of structure and the techbros were getting reigned in a
           | bit. Once the pandemic hit I think he just lost his mind.
        
             | remich wrote:
             | Feels like the "loses mind during COVID" is a common thread
             | in the VC class. Wonder why.
        
               | daveguy wrote:
               | Because so many of them are spoiled brats that can't deal
               | with even the thought of putting others before
               | themselves? Just guessing. Effective Altruism is a hell
               | of a drug.
        
         | ferguess_k wrote:
         | Actually the investment banking industry seems to be doing this
         | for ages.
         | 
         | And if people think about it, it's actually not too different
         | from Leetcoding.
        
         | kunzhi wrote:
         | I know some folks who work and have worked at Shopify and their
         | experiences track with this statement.
         | 
         | I was told that within Shopify there's something called a "Tobi
         | Tornado" - basically when Tobi swoops in on a program / feature
         | and demands significant change in short order. Carefully
         | planned initiatives can be blown up and then it's maximum
         | effort expected to turn it around.
         | 
         | What everyone had in common was saying that Tobi is quite a
         | smart person and often not wrong, but he's still human, and so
         | there's simply no way he can make 100% good calls because he
         | can't always have full context.
        
           | rchaud wrote:
           | The PC term for this is "founder mode".
        
             | ryandrake wrote:
             | I've heard it called "Seagull Management." A manager swoops
             | in unannounced, shits all over and disrupts everything, and
             | then swoops out while the rank and file have to deal with
             | the mess.
        
               | ohgr wrote:
               | Got one of them. I ignore him most of the time. This has
               | generated more ROI than his initiatives would have.
               | Evidenced by the teams who do them generating a loss
               | every fucking time.
               | 
               | His nickname, which he wasn't worked out, is the first
               | half of a sexual lubricant brand because he's such a
               | wanker.
        
               | mathgladiator wrote:
               | And that is the rank and file's job. Chaos is important
               | for breaking organizational bones.
        
               | psunavy03 wrote:
               | And there's the bootlicking take of the day.
        
           | skrebbel wrote:
           | Fwiw this is exactly what I'd expect a product founder to do.
           | If I wanted to work at a bank I'd go work at a bank. It's so
           | easy for groups to over-cover-their-asses, go for maximum
           | safety everywhere, design-by-committee all the things, etc. I
           | think this is almost unavoidable in a large org. It's the
           | task of a decent product minded founder to add some balance
           | to this.
           | 
           | I've no idea whether Tobi gets it right, just.. this isn't
           | necessarily a bad thing!
        
             | ketzo wrote:
             | I mostly agree that the benefit of a product-focused
             | founder & CEO is the ability to make judgement calls, even
             | corrections, and get things moving faster
             | 
             | However, I think the more work you blow up when you do
             | this, the more it's reflective of a poor management style;
             | _even if_ it's the right call under the circumstances, that
             | call should almost certainly have been made earlier.
             | 
             | Of course we don't live in a perfect world, and if
             | something's 75% done but really bad, you press the red
             | button and stop it, even if people will be upset.
             | 
             | But if you're consistently being described as a "tornado",
             | that says to me you're not applying your founder judgement
             | early enough in your company's development process.
        
             | notfromhere wrote:
             | Blowing things up like that is mostly for people who want
             | to feel important. It's a bad leadership model and fairly
             | disrespectful to your employees IMO
        
             | jen729w wrote:
             | Shopify store owner here. It's my entire income.
             | 
             | This is terrifying.
             | 
             | Shopify is _well_ past its _move fast..._ phase. It powers
             | a vast percentage of ecommerce. If not in dollar
             | percentage, certainly in human.
             | 
             | Please, I beg you, pretend like you work at a bank.
        
               | zachthewf wrote:
               | There are certainly slow-moving ecommerce platforms that
               | I'm sure would be happy to take your business. Yet
               | Shopify has the best product. Why do you think that is?
        
               | dismalaf wrote:
               | Amazon and Ebay operate more like banks. Which is how
               | Shopify carved out their market share. This is a fairly
               | mature market. It's just that the incumbents aren't great
               | because of how slow-moving they are...
               | 
               | Shopify is good because of how they operate.
        
           | jasondigitized wrote:
           | This is also called "Swoop and Poop" or "Show up and Throw
           | Up"
        
             | dghlsakjg wrote:
             | Seagull management too.
             | 
             | Fly in, make a ton of noise, shit on everything, fly away.
        
             | flappyeagle wrote:
             | What if he's right more than 50% of the time?
        
               | senko wrote:
               | He can be right 100% of the time, this is no way to run a
               | company.
               | 
               | You hire passionate people who pour their soul and
               | overtime into a thing then you parachute in, override
               | half their decisions, micromanage other half, then leave
               | leaving them to live with the mess.
               | 
               | After a few of these stunts, you end up with
               | disillusioned, cynical, burnt out people who just don't
               | care any more, and either quiet quit or leave for greener
               | pastures, or the kind of folks who crack the game and
               | fail upwards while caring nothing about the company and
               | the products.
               | 
               | And as soon as the word spreads out that this is your
               | modus operandi, smart folks who have neen around the
               | block a few times will avoid you like the plague.
               | 
               | It _can_ work if you 're willing to churn people ( _khm_
               | Elon), for some definition of  "work".
        
               | phillryu wrote:
               | You could be right, but in the hypothetical world where
               | he's 100% right, and the current path the project or
               | feature is taking is heading towards a dead end or is
               | broken in some way. I feel there is a real cost that can
               | be more easily ignored, e.g. working on a dead end or
               | slowly failing thing that isn't set on the right
               | trajectory is ultimately demoralizing and ends up in
               | hindsight having been an opportunity cost and waste of
               | your time vs. working on something else. And conversely
               | if he's right about something like this, there should be
               | positive feedback when it is turned around and starts
               | performing better for the team involved?
        
               | senko wrote:
               | Yeah I don't mean to say founders, CEOs, etc, should
               | ignore problems when they see one (let's assume they
               | correctly identify the problem, ie 100% right): quite the
               | opposite!
               | 
               | But there's a (slower, harder?) way to right the ship and
               | make the team better, and (quicker, easier?) way to swoop
               | in like a Marvel Avenger and break everything (and
               | everyone) in the process.
               | 
               | I feel Founder Mode should in theory be the former, but
               | is in fact excuse for many to do the latter (I've no
               | evidence for this, just what it looks like to me).
        
               | phillryu wrote:
               | Ah ok yeah I see where you're coming from there. It's
               | kind of like the question of did Steve Jobs need to be an
               | asshole to be as successful as he was. And it can be
               | tempting to think that they are intrinsically linked, but
               | I also like to believe there is a world where he grew
               | more on the empathy side but was still able to lead Apple
               | perhaps even better.
        
               | jimbokun wrote:
               | > (khm Elon), for some definition of "work".
               | 
               | In that case the definition of "work" being "become the
               | wealthiest person in the world".
        
               | senko wrote:
               | Bah, that's overrated, I'd be quite happy with just a few
               | $B :D
        
               | geodel wrote:
               | Not good enough until I get to fire tens of thousands,
               | turn their life upside down and gaslight them on their
               | way out. And I am sad because these laid off people can
               | 't even praise my genius while cleaning out their desk.
               | So I am just leaving.
        
               | flappyeagle wrote:
               | Shrug? I disagree strongly. If he was 100% right I would
               | just double the estimate of every project and build in
               | the assumption of a pivot
        
           | hbsbsbsndk wrote:
           | There's a kind of survivorship bias to people saying "he's
           | very smart". I was in a neglected part of the engineering org
           | far away from his micromanaging. If he had been showing up
           | and complaining about my projects I wouldn't have stayed for
           | years.
        
           | TZubiri wrote:
           | This sounds like any normal privately owned company or
           | hierarchical organization to be honest.
        
         | tschellenbach wrote:
         | When I watch Messi play I think his technique is sloppy to be
         | honest.
        
         | guywithahat wrote:
         | Well having a fast reaction time is directly correlated with
         | your IQ, and so you could make the argument that to be good
         | (like professionally good) at video games means you're
         | exceptionally intelligent. I certainly wouldn't list it in the
         | list as you've described though.
        
           | cadamsdotcom wrote:
           | That statement, " having a fast reaction time is directly
           | correlated with your IQ", is fascinating.
           | 
           | Care to share the evidence you'd use to back it up?
        
             | guywithahat wrote:
             | Yeah, the first (and most famous) studies were done by Ian
             | Deary in the 80's and 90's, where he would have subjects
             | perform simple tasks (such as checking how quickly you can
             | cover a light with your finger), and he found a correlation
             | with reaction time, which grew stronger as the task became
             | more complex. There are more recent, higher quality
             | studies, but Deary did a lot of the early work and is who
             | I'm most familiar with since his work was mentioned in the
             | bell curve. Should be enough info for you to google it
        
               | grotted wrote:
               | The Bell Curve has been widely debunked. A quick glance
               | at the Wikipedia article gets you countless citations and
               | counter arguments.
               | 
               | For the lazy, here's a fun video summarizing them:
               | https://youtu.be/UBc7qBS1Ujo?feature=shared
        
         | dismalaf wrote:
         | Dunno, Shopify is the second largest Canadian corporation, in a
         | country ruled by a bunch of monopolies enforced by the
         | government. Only RBC, a 161 year old bank, is worth more.
         | 
         | Tobi's doing something right.
        
         | 85392_school wrote:
         | The "skip the line" page:
         | https://www.shopify.com/careers/extraordinary_0dac47b1-3275-...
        
         | TZubiri wrote:
         | The skip the line concept sounds interesting. I'm interviewing
         | and some companies telling me they schedule an interview in 2
         | weeks feels like a light rejection / recognition that the skill
         | has abundant offer.
         | 
         | It reminds me of the time I wanted to go out with a girl and
         | she scheduled a date with me in 2 weeks, not a good outlook. I
         | was happy to have a date so I just counted the days. When this
         | happened with another girl I was less invested in, I told her
         | to forget it, and she literally removed the guy she was seeing
         | that week to go out with me.
         | 
         | I think that when the queue is too long, the solution is to cut
         | the line or find another one (or participate in a meat market
         | as a commodity amongst 100 for a low probablity of advancing
         | for a low salary)
        
         | TZubiri wrote:
         | It does say Top 100, and implies competitive gaming.
         | 
         | You made it sounds stupid. But being Top 100 in something with
         | a huge global competitive base is not of useless or easy.
         | 
         | If you are offered a kid who spends 16 hrs per day competing
         | and studying to be the best at something, and they can channel
         | that energy at your company (with probably a shitty salary)
         | wouldn't you take it?
        
         | Kalabasa wrote:
         | Shopify has an esports team called Shopify Rebellion
        
       | Workaccount2 wrote:
       | I know this post is about tech, and obviously HN is a tech
       | centered site, and most people here work in tech, but let me say:
       | 
       | Outside of tech, AI has been phenomenally helpful. I know many
       | tech folk are falling over themselves for non-tech industry
       | problems that can be software-solved then leased out monthly, and
       | there are tons of these problems out there, but very hard to
       | locate and model if you are outside the industry.
       | 
       | But with the current crop of LLMs, people who don't know how to
       | program, but recognize that a program could do this task, finally
       | can now summon that program to do the task. The path still has a
       | tech-ability moat, but I can only imagine the AI titans racing to
       | get programming ability into Supply Chain Technician Kim's hands.
       | Think Steve Jobs designing an IDE for your mother to use.
       | 
       | I believe it will be the CEO's of these non-tech companies that
       | will be pushing "AI first" and having people come in to show non-
       | techy non-tech workers how to leverage LLMs to automate tasks.
       | You guys have to keep in mind that if you walk into most offices
       | in most places of the world, most workers will say "What the hell
       | is a macro? I just go down the list line by line..."
        
         | dowager_dan99 wrote:
         | >> But with the current crop of LLMs, people who don't know how
         | to program, but recognize that a program could do this task,
         | finally can now summon that program to do the task. The path
         | still has a tech-ability moat, but I can only imagine the AI
         | titans racing to get programming ability into Supply Chain
         | Technician Kim's hands. Think Steve Jobs designing an IDE for
         | your mother to use
         | 
         | Brooks has yet to be proven wrong; even if this appears to be
         | the silver bullet it could be just as likely that this widens
         | the tech moat when non-programmers paint themselves into
         | corners where they can't do their jobs without all the brittle,
         | impossible to maintain code they've written. Think of the
         | skilled trades vacuum we have in much of the Western world. Can
         | Supply Chain Technician Kim Jr do her job without AI if she's
         | never seen that before?
        
           | Workaccount2 wrote:
           | I think the core disconnect is that the current tech paradigm
           | is writing broad scope feature packed programs (and it kind
           | of needs to be that way). One stop shops for every need that
           | the broadest possible customer base could have, while
           | minimizing time that needs to be spent on support.
           | 
           | But I don't see that being the future. Instead I think people
           | will just spin up bespoke ultra narrow scope programs (maybe
           | scripts is more fitting here, but people like GUIs - scripts
           | with GUIs?) that are generally under 3K LOC.
           | 
           | You don't need an AI to one-shot Excel.exe if you just want a
           | simple way to track how many plastic pellets came in today,
           | and how many went out. A GUI on a simple program on an SQlite
           | database will do that no problem. And you can ditch that
           | bloated excel doc you have been using for years.
           | 
           | At my own company we forwent a proprietary CAD package
           | because Claude could decode the files we had, make a GUI for
           | doing the transformation we needed to do, and properly
           | reencode the file.
        
         | remich wrote:
         | Re your third paragraph - can they though? I'm not trying to be
         | combative, it's just that what you wrote has been the promise
         | of all no-code/low-code technologies for literal decades.
         | 
         | The exclamation "finally, all of the back-office people can
         | write their own software!" is just the other side of the
         | "finally, we can get rid of all the software engineers!" coin.
         | 
         | But, so far, every single other time this has been tried it
         | runs into the ease-of-use / customizability problem. The easier
         | a tool is to use/learn, the harder it is (or impossible) to use
         | for specific use-cases. And, vice versa, the more flexible /
         | customizable a tool is, the harder it is to use/learn (looking
         | at you Jira).
         | 
         | Maybe this time is actually different, but I'll believe it when
         | I see it.
        
           | ctkhn wrote:
           | Yep - the easier it is to go way down a hole the harder it is
           | to dig yourself out.
        
       | hyfgfh wrote:
       | > The return to office fad was a big part of this effort, often
       | largely motivated by reacting to the show of worker power in the
       | racial justice activism efforts of 2020.
       | 
       | Not against this point, but I don't get it, maybe because I don't
       | live in the US, but I see as another way to "soft-fire" people,
       | as is this AI crazy What I'm missing?
        
       | Illniyar wrote:
       | "An average LLM won't even know that Drake's favorite MIME type
       | is application/pdf"
       | 
       | Is this seeding for future AI models? If I ask chatGPT a year
       | from now what is drake's favorite Mime type would it confidently
       | say "application/PDF"
        
         | eat wrote:
         | You can see this on perplexity now ;)
        
         | minimaxir wrote:
         | I tried that prompt against Google Gemini 2.5 Pro which has a
         | cutoff date of January 2025 (enough to have knowledge of the
         | Kendrick feud/the pdf jokes) but it couldn't do it, but was
         | self-aware enough to know that the question was absurd and had
         | an unexpected answer.
         | 
         | > Joke/Wordplay: Is there a pun or play on words involving
         | "Drake" and a MIME type?
         | 
         | > Trick question/Testing the AI: The user might be testing if
         | the AI will invent an answer, hallucinate, or recognize the
         | absurdity.
        
         | 85392_school wrote:
         | It's just a joke about AI not getting a joke (that's really
         | just self-censoring).
        
       | iLoveOncall wrote:
       | AI-first is the new blockchain, trying to fit a solution to a
       | non-existent problem, that's it.
        
         | dowager_dan99 wrote:
         | disagree - it shows some - maybe significant - value, which
         | makes it far more dangerous in this AI-everything echo chamber.
        
           | iLoveOncall wrote:
           | I didn't say AI, or even more specifically GenAI is the same
           | as blockchain. I said " AI-first" is.
        
       | resolutefunctor wrote:
       | > stating plainly that he doesn't see AI replacing his employees.
       | (Though that does immediately raise the "who brought that up?"
       | question...)
       | 
       | Almost everyone who isn't highly informed in this field is
       | worried about this. This is a completely reasonable thing to
       | include in a memo about "forced" adoption of AI. Because
       | excluding it induces panic in the workforce.
       | 
       | It is funny that this post calls out groupthink, while failing to
       | acknowledge that they're falling into the groupthink of "CEO
       | dumb" and "AI bad"
       | 
       | Forced AI adoption is nothing more than a strategy, a gamble, etc
       | from company leadership. It may work out great, it may not, and
       | anyone stating with conviction one way or another is lying to
       | themselves and everyone they're shouting to. It is no different
       | than companies going "internet-first" years ago. Doesn't have to
       | mean that the people making the decision are "performing" for
       | each other or that they are fascists, my god.
       | 
       | Imo its a great way of allowing high performers to create even
       | more impact. A great developer typing syntax isn't valuable.
       | Their ability to engineer solutions to challenges and problems
       | is. Scaling that out to an entire company that believes in their
       | people is no different, less time spent on the time-consuming
       | functions of a job that are low-value in isolation, and more time
       | spent on high-value functions of a job.
       | 
       | The Twitter/Reddit-style "snark-for-clicks" approach is
       | disappointing to see so high on a site like this that is largely
       | comprised of intelligent and thoughtful people.
        
         | dorian-graph wrote:
         | > .. and "AI bad"
         | 
         | He's not saying that though, is he?
         | 
         | He's quite literally said that people have found AI useful, and
         | that's great! For example:
         | 
         | > We don't actually have to follow along with the narratives
         | that tech tycoons make up for each other. We choose the tools
         | that we use, based on the utility that they have for us. It's
         | strange to have to say it, but... there are people picking up
         | and adopting AI tools on their own, because they find them
         | useful.
         | 
         | And:
         | 
         | > The strangest part is, the AI pushers don't have to lie about
         | what AI can do! If, as they say, AI tools are going to get
         | better quickly, then let them do so and trust that smart people
         | will pick them up and use them. If you think your workers and
         | colleagues are too stupid to recognize good tools that will
         | help them do their jobs better, then ..
         | 
         | Anyway, how many layers of accused irony and snark can we go
         | down? Am I the next?
        
           | resolutefunctor wrote:
           | I was keying in on the line:
           | 
           | > This is an important illustration: AI is really good for
           | helping you if you're bad at something, or at least below
           | average. But it's probably not the right tool if you're great
           | at something.
           | 
           | Considering the authors complaint is having professionals
           | (who would in theory be good at their job because they are
           | professionals) use AI puts that in the "not the right tool."
           | 
           | But I probably did stretch a bit there, and appreciate you
           | calling it out.
        
             | anildash wrote:
             | Yeah, and to be clear, the context that I assumed most
             | readers would have (on my site, where I think they'd know a
             | bit about me, as opposed to here on HN) is that I'm a
             | former CEO. So my disdain for CEO stupidity is higher, and
             | my tendency to be critical is much stronger, because of
             | that perspective.
        
       | renewiltord wrote:
       | Making sure everyone is using LLMs is smart. It's a
       | transformative technology and some people are just slow to adopt.
       | Org wide process improvements often need mandates or they won't
       | happen.
       | 
       | No different than using version control etc. There were and are
       | engineers who would rather just rsync without having to do the
       | bookkeeping paperwork of `git commit` but you mandate it
       | nonetheless.
        
       | Devasta wrote:
       | With AI, all we will need is staff to write down a few paragraphs
       | of their needs and constraints and the computer will be able to
       | deliver the desired outcomes.
       | 
       | Also, despite the fact that we were all working remotely for
       | years, we need you all to come into the office because water
       | cooler chats are far better than writing down a few paragraphs
       | outlining what you need and the constraints.
        
       | hosh wrote:
       | The company I work for is getting bought out by another company.
       | That acquiring company built their whole business and product on
       | "people-first". They are making a lot of profit in an industry
       | (real estate) that has been contracting. I don't know what their
       | AI plans are, only that they have them, and I would not be
       | surprised if they are building "people-first" AI into their
       | products.
       | 
       | I guess people, not things, creates value.
        
       | zkmon wrote:
       | Not surprising. We have seen online-first, mobile-first, cloud-
       | first and now AI-first. Oh, and I remember someone talking about
       | customer-first as well.
        
       | Lammy wrote:
       | > This is unusual -- did your boss ever have to send you a memo
       | demanding that you use a smartphone?
       | 
       | They did for Android testing actually. The biggest status symbol
       | within the company was based around who got the latest iPhone
       | model first, who was important enough to get a prioritized and
       | yearly upgrade, and who was stuck with their older models for
       | another year. This was back in the iPhone 3GS/4/4S/5 era. I took
       | advantage of this by getting them to special-order me expensive
       | niche Androids, because it was the only way they could get any
       | employee to use one lol
        
       | hintymad wrote:
       | I have a more charitable view on the "AI-first" movement. When
       | you're a CEO, the last thing you want is for your company to miss
       | a major tech shift. We've seen this story play out repeatedly -
       | companies that didn't adapt to Windows, to internet, or to
       | mobile, ended up struggling or dying.
       | 
       | The tricky part is that you can't just think or talk your way
       | into a new paradigm - the entire company has to act. After all,
       | good ideas and breakthroughs often come from individuals in the
       | trenches instead of from executives. This means exploring new
       | possibilities, running experiments, and constantly iterating
       | based on what you learn. But the reality is that most people
       | naturally resist change. They get comfortable with how things
       | work today. In many companies, you're lucky if employees don't
       | actively fight against new approaches.
       | 
       | This is why CEOs sometimes need to declare company-wide mandate.
       | Microsoft did this in the mid-90s with their famous "Internet
       | Tidal Wave" pivot when Bill Gates sent that memo redirecting the
       | entire company. Intel forced its "right-hand turn" when CPU
       | business was still nascent.
       | 
       | Without these top-down pushes, organizations tend to keep doing
       | what they've always done. Or to say the least, such top-down
       | mandate at least sends a clear message to the entire company,
       | potentially triggering a cultural shift. The "AI-first" thing may
       | well be overhyped, but it's probably just leaders trying to make
       | sure their companies don't get left behind in what looks like a
       | significant shift. Even if the mandate fails, at least the
       | company can learn something valuable. Note I'm talking about
       | directions. The mandate can fail badly due to poor execution, but
       | that's a different topic.
        
         | remich wrote:
         | Yeah but there's a significant difference in the leader of a
         | company shifting the goals, product, or market of a company in
         | a top-down way and a leader attempting to shift the
         | implementation details of goals in a top-down way. The former
         | is the entire job of a CEO, the latter is micro-managing of the
         | first order.
        
           | oddthink wrote:
           | Yes, but the message from Shopify leadership is "it's part of
           | your job to mess around with this stuff and see what works".
           | Not "use AI at all costs".
           | 
           | The general feeling I'm getting is that using this AI stuff
           | is important, but it's a learned skill, and we want as many
           | people as possible to get familiar enough with it to have
           | actual opinions.
           | 
           | I find that pretty unobjectionable.
        
             | remich wrote:
             | That's one reading, and if that happens to be the correct
             | reading then I agree it's unobjectionable. To me, though,
             | making it part of a performance review process makes it
             | closer to the "use AI at all costs" requirement than a
             | request for devs to mess around with new technologies.
        
       | flappyeagle wrote:
       | Anil is a smart guy so if this is his best set of arguments then
       | I'm afraid Tobi is right.
       | 
       | Every advancement in tech I've used in my lifetime was at first
       | deployed top-down
       | 
       | Smartphone (blackberries), Personal computers, Version control
       | (CVS), PowerPoint
       | 
       | The personal adoption FOLLOWED
        
       | guywithahat wrote:
       | I feel like they're pretty conjoined. If you're working from
       | home, why can't an AI just replace you? AI is great at performing
       | narrow jobs, if you're a part of the company you're needed to
       | build relationships and help grow the company in creative
       | meaningful ways that can't be done remotely. The author seems to
       | have a pretty pessimistic view of everything
        
         | remich wrote:
         | Pretty wild to claim that remote employees can't build
         | relationships or help grow companies in creative or meaningful
         | ways.
        
       | quantadev wrote:
       | AI use is definitely a two edged sword. It can help us seasoned
       | developers be much more productive, because we've seen all the
       | anti-patterns, bad ideas, tarpits, and most "classes" of bad
       | ideas and bad code that you can imagine; so when we get AI to
       | generate code, we older developers can look at it, and in an
       | instant know if it's good or bad code, most of the time.
       | 
       | However, for the more Junior Devs (i.e. under 10 to 15 yrs
       | experience), their judgement about Generated Code is often simply
       | "Does it appear to work or not." and that's a very big problem,
       | and a very dangerous problem, that will cause lower quality code
       | to creep in and in a way where AI may allow them to crank out
       | tons of work, but all of it super buggy code. And most everyone
       | would agree we'd rather have simpler, less feature rich products
       | that are solid and reliable, rather than products that are loaded
       | with both features _and_ bugs.
       | 
       | So to all you seasoned developers out there, who have trouble
       | getting hired, since you're over 40, your value as an employee
       | has just quadrupled, compared to the less-experienced. The big
       | question is, of course, how long will it take the 20ish to 30ish
       | hiring managers to realize that, and start valuing experience and
       | wisdom over youthfulness and good looks.
        
       | stpedgwdgfhgdd wrote:
       | "This is unusual -- did your boss ever have to send you a memo
       | demanding that you use a smartphone?"
       | 
       | AI has the promise to optimize worker's efficiency x-fold. This
       | promise was not the case with smartphones, slack, etc.
       | 
       | And AI will change everyone's work in years to come, especially
       | for developers.
        
       | carterschonwald wrote:
       | I like the zingers: This would not get you invited to the fascist
       | VC group chat, tho!
        
       | akomtu wrote:
       | It's the old trick when the company hires cheap labor offshore
       | and makes employees train their replacement. Except that today
       | the cheap labor is AI that lives on a remote land called data
       | centers, but unlike employees, AI works for food and has no
       | ethics.
        
       | jmtulloss wrote:
       | > AI is really good for helping you if you're bad at something,
       | or at least below average. But it's probably not the right tool
       | if you're great at something.
       | 
       | This shows the author's lack of experience in working with AI on
       | something they're great at.
       | 
       | AI is great for experts (all the productivity gains, no tolerance
       | for the bullshit)
       | 
       | AI is great for newbies (you can do the thing!!)
       | 
       | A more interesting take would be on the struggle to go from
       | newbie to expert in a field dominated by AI. We're too early to
       | know how to do this.
       | 
       | Of course AI-first is the future. We're just still learning how
       | to do it right.
        
         | dullcrisp wrote:
         | I think if you're such an expert at something that you need AI
         | to do it for you then that's a good opportunity to hand it off
         | to someone more junior.
        
           | jmtulloss wrote:
           | It's probably not productive for a human to do work that AI
           | can do well. Of course the trick is figuring out how to
           | identify and verify that work. Experts can do this quickly.
        
       | postalrat wrote:
       | AI-first is the evolution of WFH.
        
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