[HN Gopher] The Seven-Year Rule
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       The Seven-Year Rule
        
       Author : thecosas
       Score  : 62 points
       Date   : 2025-04-26 17:13 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
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       | FrankWilhoit wrote:
       | The whole point of learning is that it is cumulative.
        
         | metabagel wrote:
         | It can be emotionally freeing to learn from the mistakes of
         | that other person you used to be, rather than your own mistakes
         | which you return to again and again with feelings of regret.
        
           | metabagel wrote:
           | So basically, it's a neat mental trick to provide emotional
           | distance and allow you to move on with your life, and also
           | allow you to keep your mental model of yourself fluid
           | (changeable).
        
             | FrankWilhoit wrote:
             | Key word: trick.
        
       | readthenotes1 wrote:
       | "So why not focus your energy and attention on the present
       | moment?"
       | 
       | Because sometimes having a better future requires focusing on
       | that instead of just now. Of course, ironically, having a better
       | future often requires I become more present in the moment I'm
       | in...
        
       | mattlondon wrote:
       | Regret is real for a reason.
       | 
       | "Those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it" as they say,
       | even it was over 7 years ago...
        
         | metabagel wrote:
         | How much time and energy should you spend today regretting your
         | mistakes of 10 or 20 years ago?
        
           | dgfitz wrote:
           | I think the correct answer in terms of mental health is: as
           | little time as possible.
           | 
           | The actual answer is more complicated. Someone who got locked
           | up for 25 years knowingly committing a significant crime
           | might regret it for the majority of their sentence, at least.
        
             | tsimionescu wrote:
             | I don't think this is true at all. Living your life
             | ignoring all of your past mistakes can be just as unhealthy
             | as dwelling on them needlessly. Dwelling on past mistakes
             | can lead to hopelessness and depression, but ignoring them
             | entirely can lead to narcissism and repeating damaging
             | patterns.
        
           | ludicrousdispla wrote:
           | I think mistake is an overused word, and a choice that
           | qualifies as a mistake in the future may not be judged as a
           | mistake now.
           | 
           | Simply put... we make choices based on the information we
           | have now. And our future judgment of our choices should
           | account for the information we had back then, most of which
           | has probably been forgotten.
           | 
           | But to answer your question, we shouldn't regret our mistakes
           | but it is very good to remember them.
        
           | tsimionescu wrote:
           | Depends a lot on the mistake and your life since then. Is it
           | something you could still fix today? Is it a mistake you keep
           | repeating? Is it a huge mistake that still directly impacts
           | your relationships and today in some way?
        
       | sxg wrote:
       | Lots of comments here disagreeing with the article and missing
       | the point...sure, the seven-year rule can be taken to a
       | ridiculous extreme, but I think many people suffer from dwelling
       | too much on past mistakes and overcorrecting them. Seven years
       | seems like a roughly reasonable period of time to learn from a
       | serious mistake and then move on with life as an improved person.
       | 
       | The spirit of the article is saying that you should ultimately
       | forgive yourself for making a mistake after a period of time (not
       | always literally seven years).
        
         | frozencooler wrote:
         | Perhaps it be better to consider 3.5 years as a half-life
         | instead.
         | 
         | Every 42 months, half your life has or could be upturned.
         | 
         | That's how long it takes to find yourself in new job, or for a
         | new child to become a fully talking toddler with a personality,
         | or a long-term relationship to solidify, or a national
         | government to turn over, or a pandemic to initialize and then
         | resolve. That all tracks.
        
         | ludicrousdispla wrote:
         | >> Lots of comments here disagreeing with the article
         | 
         | That might be true in twenty-four hours, but only three
         | comments were posted on this thread before yours.
        
       | didgetmaster wrote:
       | Is that why the IRS insists that we keep the past 7 years of our
       | tax records?
        
       | SirHumphrey wrote:
       | >>> The person you are today doesn't share a single cell with the
       | version of you from seven years ago. (This is, of course, a
       | generalization as some cells regenerate much faster and others a
       | little slower.)
       | 
       | No, that is not even remotely true. Most of the neurons in the
       | central nervous system (the part of the body one could argue does
       | the most of thinking) stay mostly the same from adulthood to
       | death[1].
       | 
       | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neurogenesis
        
         | joshuaturner wrote:
         | ah man I really wanted to be a new person
        
           | daxfohl wrote:
           | A body's atoms do completely recycle every 5-7 years though.
           | 98 percent are recycled annually. Weird.
        
             | darkr wrote:
             | Incorrect
        
               | daxfohl wrote:
               | I thought so too, but it seems reasonable considering
               | we're 70% water, much of it flowing and actively taking
               | stuff out and around. Plus cells are apparently way more
               | dynamic than is typically conveyed in high school bio (I
               | think there was a quantamagazine article a while ago). So
               | it's perhaps surprising that a body's atoms aren't fully
               | recycled even faster than that.
        
           | malux85 wrote:
           | Then just believe it,
           | 
           | Abstract thing A you can never measure gives you joy and
           | renewal
           | 
           | Abstract thing B you can never measure holds you back and
           | limits you
           | 
           | The practical difference is zero or near zero, so go and be
           | joyful and happy!
        
           | scoofy wrote:
           | It doesn't matter whether the cells actually change. The
           | persistence of the self, and even consciousness itself, are
           | very possibly an illusion.
        
             | jstanley wrote:
             | Consciousness is the only thing that can not possibly be an
             | illusion.
             | 
             | Whenever this comes up I have to wonder if half the people
             | are secretly p-zombies and actually genuinely aren't sure
             | whether consciousness is an illusion because they've never
             | experienced it? I know that's not a very charitable take
             | but I just can't see how any conscious being could imagine
             | that consciousness could be an illusion!
             | 
             | Consciousness isn't the illusion, consciousness is the
             | _audience_!
        
               | pcthrowaway wrote:
               | The person above meant "the persistence of consciousness"
               | 
               | Yes, we are conscious (or at least I am, I'm assuming
               | y'all are too).
               | 
               | But consciousness isn't static. My consciousness today is
               | not my consciousness of 5 years ago.
        
               | sage92 wrote:
               | Begs the question: by what metric are you using to track
               | the change/staticity?
               | 
               | I don't see how one can concretely come to the conclusion
               | of whether it changes or stays the same, when the
               | presence of consciousness itself is a prerequisite of
               | making that very claim
        
               | pcthrowaway wrote:
               | Well if you believe there's something magical about
               | consciousness I could see why you'd believe the same
               | person's consciousness at different points in time is the
               | same consciousness.
               | 
               | If you believe consciousness is a function of sentience
               | and self-awareness, and presumably that AI can one day be
               | conscious (not saying it is right now), then I don't see
               | how you can believe consciousness is persistent.
               | 
               | If the AI is copied/moved to a different server, is it
               | the same consciousness? Or in Star Trek when you get
               | beamed up are you the same consciousness?
        
               | sage92 wrote:
               | Safe to say you tend to lean towards your second
               | presentation of consciousness.
               | 
               | I tend to lean towards the idea that conscious is akin to
               | a field in the sense of an electron field - that what we
               | can measure are simply "excitations" of a more subtle
               | field. Not a perfect metaphor, but it's the closest thing
               | to what matches my meditative experiences. IMO, it's
               | illogical for me to let another subjective being define
               | what my substrate is, so I primarily rely on meditation
               | and then supplement with objective observations.
               | 
               | All in all it really depends on what you define as
               | consciousness. The issue that I have with most
               | "objective" interpretations of consciousness is that we
               | can only measure the excitations of this mysterious
               | "life" thing is. If there is more to us than can be
               | measured, e.g, that there are first person experiences
               | that can be felt subjectively but not measured
               | objectively, then any objective measure of consciousness
               | will likely be limited. Consciousness seems from my pov
               | to be the Achilles heal of the axiomatic assumptions of
               | our scientific paradigm (at least in the west)
               | 
               | In response to your question, it depends on your
               | definition of consciousness. Is neural activity the
               | source of consciousness, or is neural activity the result
               | of consciousness? How can we know for sure which?
        
               | deepsun wrote:
               | "Blindsight" by Peter Watts is exactly about that.
        
               | k__ wrote:
               | "The case against reality" is also about that.
               | 
               | But as far as I know, not many scientists think this is a
               | reasonable idea.
        
               | scoofy wrote:
               | Ultimately it doesn't matter if it's reasonable. If it
               | were true, life would be absurd. So, philosophically, we
               | can assume it's untrue because the alternative means
               | being wrong about it doesn't matter.
        
               | scoofy wrote:
               | > Consciousness is the only thing that can not possibly
               | be an illusion.
               | 
               | It can be. Suppose consciousness is a series of
               | infinitesimal snapshots, where existence flickers for a
               | moment and then disappears, with a new existence birthed
               | in the next moment. Like a motion picture, at each moment
               | we do not have a sensible version of consciousness,
               | merely a burst of sensation, but in aggregate, as a film,
               | consciousness springs from nothing.
        
               | richardw wrote:
               | People run on autopilot unless we put in effort to focus
               | on the current moment. Almost everyone demonstrates bad
               | habits that show how little conscious awareness and
               | control we have. LLM's can replicate a lot of our
               | activities, so the realm of "consciousness" is in the
               | things that the AI can't do by simply repackaging and
               | regurgitating content back at us. What we can claim as
               | conscious special sauce has grown smaller over the last
               | 15 years.
               | 
               | Argument 2:
               | 
               | Could we design a machine that is absolutely sure it's
               | conscious, but is not? If so, what differentiates us from
               | it? Open question, I'm not sure. But I'd be surprised if
               | we can be permanently sure.
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | Argument 2 seems more like a thought-experiment or a
               | question than an argument. (Unless maybe I missed the
               | point?)
               | 
               | Anyway, isn't a machine that "is absolutely sure" (of
               | anything at all) having subjective experience (I think is
               | the word, not a brainologist) by definition anyway?
               | 
               | We could clearly design a machine that asserts that it is
               | self aware very strenuously                   printf("I
               | *am* experiencing existence!");
               | 
               | But whether or not it actually sure of anything or
               | experiencing at all is the question in the first place.
        
             | satisfice wrote:
             | Consciousness is a phenomenon, but not an illusion. An
             | illusion is something that seems to be there, yet is not.
             | But consciousness is a self-evident experience.
             | 
             | However, there are gradiations of consciousness. The
             | experience we have on the edge of sleep is qualitatively
             | different than the experience even five seconds after
             | waking up to a cat attack in the middle of the night (I
             | have experienced that).
        
               | sage92 wrote:
               | You've stated this so matter of factly that I imagine you
               | have knowledge that somehow has alluded most people.
               | 
               | You mention gradients, which implies you can measure the
               | delta/change of conscious, which implies you have a solid
               | working definition, AND a static still point that does
               | not change which this "consciousness" gradually changes.
               | 
               | From my perspective, which is first person pov, if I can
               | detect changes in my "consciousness", then where am I
               | looking from to _notice_ this change? Is consciousness
               | not the requirement of change detection?
        
         | cwbrandsma wrote:
         | That sucks, since I developed a neurological issue from Covid I
         | could really use a refresh of my nervous system.
        
       | akubera wrote:
       | I'm reminded of the SMBC comic https://www.smbc-
       | comics.com/?id=2722 which resonated with me. If it takes ~7 years
       | to master something, you should dedicate yourself to becoming
       | good at it. Or at least you don't have to tie your identity to
       | what you do you right now; you can reinvent yourself and
       | experience more from of life, but you have to give yourself the
       | time to do so.
       | 
       | It's been almost 14 years since that was published, so maybe some
       | self-reflection is due.
        
       | gmuslera wrote:
       | So if Theseus was aboard his ship for many years it would add
       | another layer of it that ship still is his own?
       | 
       | In Vernon Vinge's A Fire Upon The Deep you have pack of dogs that
       | are not so smart individually, but they had a pack personality
       | that was smart. Even (for one case in the book) the dogs could be
       | replaced but the personality remained.
       | 
       | Changing individual cells doesn't change what is the you of your
       | consciousness and memories. Of course, even without cell
       | replacement you change with time, new memories, insights and so
       | on, but both changes happen at different abstraction levels.
        
         | globnomulous wrote:
         | Peter F. Hamilton's _Pandora 's Star_ contains a wonderful
         | variant of this thought experiment: in the future he describes,
         | memories are editable; so it's possible to commit a crime, like
         | murder, and then wipe all memory of it, so that you are, from
         | your own perspective, innocent. The justice system, of course,
         | says otherwise. The metaphysics (whether or not it's possible
         | to step into the same river twice) don't matter. Technological
         | advancement dictates the answer to the philosophical question
         | about continuity of the self and guilt.
        
         | borski wrote:
         | > Changing individual cells doesn't change what is the you of
         | your consciousness and memories.
         | 
         | It's a metaphor.
        
       | smitty1e wrote:
       | > As you read these words, you are uniquely yourself, different
       | from who you were a moment ago and who you'll become in the next.
       | 
       | By extension, a "culture" is a snapshot of a subset of the human
       | population. To be clear, copious physical artifacts outlive
       | people, so the state of the State is more than my reductionism.
       | 
       | But, in keeping with Barlow' Pronciples[1]
       | 
       | [1]
        
       | HellDunkel wrote:
       | It feels so strange to read blogposts like this in 2025. The
       | level of mediocrity makes you question if this has been created
       | by a human or an ai bot. Next you start questioning yourself why
       | you still look into your smartphone like a junkie.
        
       | johnfn wrote:
       | > I recently spoke with a friend who was still dwelling on
       | something that happened thirty years ago. "Why do you care?" I
       | asked him. "That was four versions of you ago. That person
       | doesn't exist anymore. Move on."
       | 
       | Do you think this actually helped your friend? In any way?
        
         | travisd wrote:
         | Of course! It helped your friend realize what kind of person
         | you are and hopefully spurred them to find better friends who
         | possess actual human empathy.
        
       | blaze33 wrote:
       | Seems to me the Dalai Lama used the 7 years cell replacement
       | thing as a metaphor to explain some classic Buddhist teachings.
       | 
       | > still dwelling on something that happened thirty years ago.
       | 
       | Exactly that: clinging causes suffering.
       | 
       | Buddhism also goes a step farther, they have a whole doctrine
       | about emptiness and no-self: there's no permanent or unchanging
       | self to be found.
        
       | efitz wrote:
       | "My cells" are not "me".
       | 
       | Without resorting to metaphysics, "I" am a slowly-but-constantly
       | changing set of experiences, memories, predilections and
       | preferences that happens to be instantiated in and associated
       | with a particular physical body. My relationships with other
       | people tend to be the most important things to me and the things
       | that most shape whatever direction my identity is going.
       | 
       | My body is not the same exact set of cells or molecules that I
       | was 30 years ago. But I'm like the Ship of Theseus- the essence
       | of what I am is a direct consequence of my formative experiences
       | regardless of what pieces I'm built of at any given moment.
       | 
       | It's my choice (within the constraints of how brains work) of how
       | much I let past experiences affect my current behavior. But I
       | can't forget those experiences and if I could, then I would not
       | be the same "me" in a much deeper sense than just having
       | different cells or molecules.
        
       | MeteorMarc wrote:
       | And there is the 7 year inch.
        
         | mehulashah wrote:
         | itch?
        
       | alganet wrote:
       | Nope. I am going to decide not to renew myself into a new thing.
       | 
       | I don't live like Buddha or the Dalai Lama. I don't have a castle
       | or forest of isolation to shed my skin. I also don't want to.
       | 
       | I am shaped more by what others perceive of me than myself. It is
       | a tragedy of this age. I cannot change that.
       | 
       | But I can challenge some of those assumptions by choosing to see
       | things from multiple perspectives. By choosing to not completely
       | do that to others (there's always a risk, but hey, I'm doing the
       | best I can. Are you?).
       | 
       | I have learned to perceive Buddhist thinking in this age as a
       | difficult thing to concilliate with reality.
       | 
       | Religion-like rules are supposed to draw my attention. Well, fuck
       | it. I cannot avoid it, but I can choose to try to understand what
       | it means in this context I am, which, again, is very different
       | from what some Lama wrote.
       | 
       | Sure, I can totally empathize with someone who is tired and wants
       | to let it all go. I have been there. You can let it go, and it's
       | OK with me. But I cannot pretend that I enjoy this Mad Men
       | transition into eastern meditation clear-your-mind shit. Fuck
       | that.
       | 
       | What I am is deeply shaped by living among others, being
       | influenced and shaped by others opinions. I will not forget that.
       | But I can pretend to. Not by their rules though. As I said, can't
       | forget.
        
       | brianhama wrote:
       | By this logic, there's no reason to save for retirement either.
       | Might as well maximize enjoyment now.
        
         | Muromec wrote:
         | Yes, and?
        
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