[HN Gopher] Why Everything in the Universe Turns More Complex
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Why Everything in the Universe Turns More Complex
        
       Author : konradx
       Score  : 136 points
       Date   : 2025-04-14 01:25 UTC (21 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.quantamagazine.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.quantamagazine.org)
        
       | gomijacogeo wrote:
       | 99.9999999...% of 'everything' in the universe simply falls down
       | a gravity gradient to be crushed into simple oblivion.
        
         | manmal wrote:
         | Isn't that actually also in favor of building up more
         | complexity?
        
       | Gualdrapo wrote:
       | I remember reading somewhere that _maybe_ the purpose of life is
       | to increase entropy in the universe. If that is true and we haven
       | 't found any sound evidence of life elsewhere, I don't know.
        
         | justinator wrote:
         | It tracks, though "attaining a higher state of entropy" is just
         | what Universes generally do it seems, given our n of 1
         | Universes we've started to evaluate.
         | 
         | Though, I'm not sure if life is the best at it, when compared
         | to say a _black hole_. Some smart apes burning off fossil fuels
         | seems pretty insignificant in comparison -- or even seeing what
         | our own Sun does in a few seconds.
         | 
         | File that under, "The Earth will be fine in the long run, it's
         | humans that are f'd" George Carlin pov. Maybe when we start
         | building Death Stars (plural)
        
         | kmoser wrote:
         | Where did you read this? "Purpose" is a very loaded word. If
         | life has any purpose at all, it's to reproduce and propagate
         | one's genes. Additional entropy just sounds like an inevitable
         | side-effect of that.
        
           | firecall wrote:
           | Agreed about purpose being a loaded term.
           | 
           | It's my, somewhat lazy, philosophical opinion, that there
           | isn't any purpose and there doesn't need to be one.
           | 
           | I don't see why the universe would need a purpose for
           | anything. Things are what they. Things changing state.
           | Entropy.
           | 
           | I see reproduction as more of built in motivation to our
           | system than a purpose as such. But that's semantics, and my
           | purpose in life is not to argue about words! ;-)
        
           | justanotherjoe wrote:
           | Could be. Could also be that reproduction and propagation is
           | the inevitable side effect of that, no? We cant dissipate
           | energy when we're dead.
        
             | guerrilla wrote:
             | Rather a way to accomplish that. Life reproducing in order
             | to accelerate the generation of entropy, in other words.
        
           | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
           | "to reproduce and populate its genes" feels like a better fit
           | for the purpose of an organism.
           | 
           | If you subscribe to the big bang theory (and the idea that
           | the purpose of a system is what it does), then the universe's
           | purpose is to walk a path from low entropy to high entropy.
           | Of what use is life, in such an endeavor? Well, life tends to
           | seek out bits of stuck energy (food/fuel) and release it
           | (metabolism/economy)--moving the universe further along on
           | its path.
           | 
           | This gives a sort of answer to the question: "why bother have
           | live at all?" And so I think the entropy purpose makes sense
           | --moreso than just having it just be a side effect. Nobody
           | will ever be absolutely right or wrong about such things
           | (purposes), but they're handy to have around sometimes.
        
             | gsf_emergency_2 wrote:
             | Stafford Beers, " _The Purpose of a System is What it Does
             | (POSIWID)_ ", very hot right now..
             | 
             | https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/come-on-obviously-the-
             | purpo...
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_purpose_of_a_system_is_wh
             | a...
        
               | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
               | When Beers says:
               | 
               | > According to the cybernetician the purpose of a system
               | is what it does...
               | 
               | The "according to the cybernetician" part makes it pretty
               | clear that we're now entering some kind of abstract space
               | that cares not for the stated intentions of humans. It
               | seems that what's "very hot right now" is to ignore the
               | first part.
               | 
               | I think it's an especially reasonable position to take
               | when the system in question has no designer to disagree
               | with anyhow.
        
               | tsimionescu wrote:
               | Not necessarily. Cybernetics was specifically the study
               | of systems, so that part can also be taken as an appeal
               | to the experts in the matter.
               | 
               | Generally the point of this observation is specifically
               | about human systems, either designed or evolved. The
               | observation stems from the fact that it's (a) impossible
               | to ascertain what the _true_ intention of a human that
               | designed a system was (they may be publicly lying about
               | it, or even privately, it even to themselves), and (b)
               | any complex enough system has been influenced and
               | possibly  "warped" by many more than one human, so the
               | original unique intention, whatever it was, isn't the
               | sole guiding principle behind it.
               | 
               | So, if analyzing a system, rather than trying to dig into
               | its creators' history or anything like that, it's best to
               | just look at what the system is doing and consider that
               | its true current purpose.
        
               | hnbad wrote:
               | > we're now entering some kind of abstract space that
               | cares not for the stated intentions of humans
               | 
               | But that's the thing about systems: they may involve
               | humans but they don't necessarily reflect the intentions
               | of the individual humans involved. Even when a system is
               | created with a stated intent (i.e. for a stated purpose)
               | that doesn't mean it will actually behave in a way that
               | aligns with this intent. Logically you then shouldn't
               | take the human intent into consideration when analyzing a
               | system's actual effects and outcomes (except to determine
               | whether it aligns with those but that's secondary).
               | 
               | IOW the purpose of a system (i.e. "what it exists for")
               | can be different from the purpose for which it was
               | created (i.e. "what it is meant to do"). I guess
               | "purpose" in this case is an overloaded term because the
               | former more uses a meaning that more closely aligns with
               | "function" (like the function of a predator in an
               | ecosystem may be controlling prey population but that
               | doesn't suggest intent nor design) and the latter uses a
               | meaning that more closely aligns with "intent" (like
               | during wildfires controlled burns are performed with the
               | intent of stopping the spread of the wildfire).
               | 
               | But I'd say it's a stretch to apply this to statements
               | like "the purpose of organisms is to increase entropy"
               | because that strongly implies intent rather than function
               | (because the latter could also be simply expressed as
               | "organisms create entropy").
        
               | gsf_emergency_2 wrote:
               | POSIWID is usually the end result of asking some basic
               | questions about "A System":                 -Has the
               | System taken (on) a mind of its own?            -What
               | does It want?            -How do we know what It wants?
               | 
               | For organisms, sometimes just asking it directly can give
               | more useful answers (or surprises,YMMV)
        
             | justanotherjoe wrote:
             | What I find compelling is how it works at low and high
             | levels. Low level because we dissipate energy just by being
             | a living creature. And the high level because as you said,
             | we as a civilization can't seem to escape it, and want to
             | use pockets of low entropy like mineral veins and fuels.
             | Until all is spent i guess. You don't mention how
             | unsympathetic that purpose is, though. At that point any
             | purpose you make for yourself is better than that one even
             | if it's true.
        
               | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
               | > At that point any purpose you make for yourself is
               | better than that one even if it's true.
               | 
               | Absolutely, let's not let thermodynamics be the final
               | word on the topic.
               | 
               | But suppose we did... To anybody who would cite this as a
               | reason to drill more oil, I'd say that part of the
               | equation is that we must also survive. In 10k years there
               | will still be plenty of useful sunlight falling on the
               | planet. Ideally we'll be around then, harnessing it to
               | throw really great parties or whatever. If we aren't
               | choosy about our fuel sources in the near term we might
               | not be around to continue at this purpose in the long
               | term.
        
               | justanotherjoe wrote:
               | I wouldn't be so sure. You'd still need to mine for the
               | batteries and the rest of the infrastructure.... And then
               | plastics also dissipate into micro and nanoplastics
               | possibly robbing life of vitality. But again, this
               | involves predicting things that never happened yet, so I
               | might be very wrong for reasons I don't consider.
        
               | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
               | Oh I'm not trying to make any claims about any type of
               | energy infrastructure in particular.
               | 
               | I'm just saying that even if the game is merely to
               | contribute as much as possible to this Big Bang that
               | we're living in, we're still gonna lose if we focus on
               | short term gains a the expense of our survival.
        
             | ImHereToVote wrote:
             | Stop it. My eyes can only roll so much.
        
             | prabhu-yu wrote:
             | Can life evolve to slow down the process of increasing
             | entropy? For ex: Sun is throwing energy in space. What if
             | life tries to store it and use it only when it needs? Has
             | the sunlight gone into space (without being captured by
             | fossilized life), it would have thinly spread out in
             | universe(high entropy, low energy density). But plants and
             | humans (solar cells) capturing it to create fossil fules or
             | create some infrastructure... Is it not life going against
             | this theory? Or is it just intermidiate step of life which
             | eventually (life will) blast all energy in short period of
             | time at the end like an expontial system does?
        
           | kouru225 wrote:
           | Pretty sure this is what Schrodingers opinion is in his book
           | "what is life?" But I haven't read it. Maybe OP got it from
           | that
        
           | mjan22640 wrote:
           | Reproduction is not really a purpose. What makes copies of
           | itself, happens to persist.
        
         | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
         | I have lost the book, but I think I read this in "What is Life?
         | And Other Scientific Essays" by Erwin Schrodinger. If I recall,
         | it was one of the "Other Scientific Essays."
        
         | nayuki wrote:
         | I read somewhere that life is more efficient at dissipating
         | energy and faster at increasing entropy than non-living
         | physical/chemical phenomena. Citation needed.
        
           | MeteorMarc wrote:
           | https://www.amazon.nl/Every-Life-Fire-Thermodynamics-
           | Explain...
        
           | floatrock wrote:
           | Right, it's less about the _purpose_ of life (which implies a
           | directive force) and more that a _characteristic_ of life is
           | it 's an emergent complexity that finds more efficient ways
           | of increasing entropy.
           | 
           | It gets a bit blurry when you start to substitute "life" for
           | any "complex cosmological system" though...
        
         | robocat wrote:
         | Surely you mean accelerate entropy.
         | 
         | I presume the end-state of entropy would be the same (excluding
         | ways to escape the universe).
        
         | XorNot wrote:
         | I mean purpose is assigning too much agency, but it's
         | relatively easy to show cells are entropy pumps - they survive
         | by producing a lot more entropy in their environment then is
         | recovered from dying.
        
         | flanked-evergl wrote:
         | I think it was from Sean Caroll's book The Big Picture.
         | 
         | The statement is a category error, but that criticism distracts
         | from the very valuable insight he does provide regarding
         | entropy, life and complexity.
         | 
         | He did a series on minutephysics explaining it quite well,
         | worth a watch. He does explain why complexity increases as
         | entropy increases (with some additional qualification).
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLoaVOjvkzQtyZF-2VpJrx...
        
         | tiborsaas wrote:
         | We are only relatively recently have good enough tooling to
         | even talk about discovering bio- and technosignatures in the
         | atmosphere of exoplanets. I'm really hoping that we will find
         | some undeniable evidence in my lifetime.
        
         | perrygeo wrote:
         | POSIWID. Life on earth's primary "purpose" if observed from
         | space would be to dissipate low-entropy solar radiation, using
         | it to build temporary structures out of carbon.
         | 
         | It is puzzling why life isn't more common. Perhaps dissipative
         | self-organizing structures are everywhere - stars, solar
         | systems and galaxies themselves maintain their order by
         | dissipating energy. They just don't look like "life" to us.
        
       | OgsyedIE wrote:
       | I'm fairly sure this is already in the usual canon of statistical
       | mechanics.
       | 
       | "When one compares a hotplate with and without a Benard cell
       | apparatus on top, there is an overall increase in entropy as
       | energy passes through the system as required by the second law,
       | because the increase in entropy in the environment (at the heat
       | sink) is greater than the decreases in entropy that come about by
       | maintaining gradients within the Benard cell system."
        
         | gsf_emergency wrote:
         | The abstract heresy innuendo'd here seems to be about an
         | increase in _global_ (aka universal)  "complexity"*
         | 
         | (Think: no heat death!)
         | 
         | Related to another heresy understated by qmag just this week:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43665831
         | 
         | In that case, qmag didn't (dare to?) shout loud enough that the
         | para-particles are globally ?distinguishable..
         | 
         | That's like a very restricted version of TFA's claim though..
         | 
         | Another take on the issue:
         | 
         | https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=762
         | 
         | *I don't want to say "entropy" because it's not clear to many
         | folks, _including experts_ , whether entropy is uh,
         | "correlated" or "anticorrelated" with complexity.
        
           | raxxorraxor wrote:
           | > "correlated" or "anticorrelated" with complexity.
           | 
           | Also the value of entropy has different signs in
           | thermodynamics and computer science for example. Not helpful
           | either...
        
       | DemocracyFTW2 wrote:
       | The law of increasing complexity holds at least for the software
       | that I write, so yeah--plausible...
        
         | raxxorraxor wrote:
         | Software complexity can decrease though. Very, very unlikely,
         | but there is the possibility of the 12 year old kid from the
         | internet that does a better job than you despite your hard work
         | and long professinal career.
        
           | DemocracyFTW2 wrote:
           | I'm absolutely positive that software complexity _can_
           | decrease and in so far my post was not entirely serious. I
           | have multiple instances at my hand where re-writing existing
           | libraries with a better focus on simplicity, patterns better
           | suited for the job, more stringent APIs and so on all
           | contribute to produce new versions of software that are
           | ~about as capable as the old version but internally much
           | simpler. However I feel that when I just go on building on
           | and on without tearing down entire edifices of code once in a
           | while, software tends to become inscrutable, hard to maintain
           | and hard to extend.
        
       | petre wrote:
       | Douglas Adams was right all along then.
       | 
       |  _" There is a theory which states that if ever anyone discovers
       | exactly what the Universe is for and why it is here, it will
       | instantly disappear and be replaced by something even more
       | bizarre and inexplicable. There is another theory which states
       | that this has already happened."_
        
         | gsf_emergency_2 wrote:
         | Fancier but less humorous take by "experts" (including Goedel):
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modal_collapse
        
       | fpoling wrote:
       | The thing that is often missed in debates about entropy and
       | Universe is that the classical notion on entropy is not
       | compatible with General Relativity. Richard Tolman almost 100
       | years ago proposed an extension that was compatible.
       | 
       | One of the consequences of that extension was a possibility of a
       | cyclic universe. On expansion one sees that classically defined
       | entropy increases but then it will decrease on contraction.
       | 
       | These days that work is pretty much forgotten, but still it
       | showed that with GR heat dearth of the universe was not the only
       | option.
        
         | mr_mitm wrote:
         | Heat death was never the only option in GR. The field equations
         | always allowed for a big crunch or a big rip.
        
           | fpoling wrote:
           | Yes, but that implies that in GR entropy or at least the
           | value based on the classical definition can decrease.
           | 
           | So apparent increase in complexity can be attributed to
           | gravity.
        
             | gsf_emergency_2 wrote:
             | Sean Carroll today's go-to person for GR has been working
             | at popularizing these ideas (for more than 10 years(!))
             | 
             | https://arxiv.org/abs/1405.6903
             | 
             | > _For example, our universe lacked complex structures at
             | the Big Bang and will also lack them after black holes
             | evaporate and particles are dispersed._
             | 
             | See my comment below for link to Scott's preview.
        
         | flanked-evergl wrote:
         | There is
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conformal_cyclic_cosmology
         | 
         | If I had to bet money on it, I would say it's right, especially
         | in light of things like this: https://phys.org/news/2025-03-ai-
         | image-recognition-universe....
        
       | hliyan wrote:
       | Tried reading the paper [1]. I understand the authors are
       | academics, which is why I'm surprised the paper reads like a
       | layman's attempt at a contributing to a "theory of everything",
       | or at best, an inquiry written by a 18th century European
       | philosopher of science.
       | 
       | - "identification of conceptual equivalencies among disparate
       | phenomena were foundational to developing previous laws of
       | nature" - what exactly is a "conceptual equivalence"? You mean
       | models? Unifying disparate observations into models is basic
       | science. Not sure why it is highlighted here as some important
       | insight.
       | 
       | - "The laws of classical physics emerged as efforts to provide
       | comprehensive, predictive explanations of phenomena in the
       | macroscopic world" - followed by a laymen's listing of physical
       | laws, then goes on to claim "conspicuously absent is a law of
       | increasing "complexity.""
       | 
       | - then a jumble of examples including gravitation, stellar
       | evolution, mineral evolution and biological evolution
       | 
       | - this just feels like a slight generalization of evolution:
       | "Systems of many interacting agents display an increase in
       | diversity, distribution, and/or patterned behavior when numerous
       | configurations of the system are subject to selective pressure."
       | 
       | At this point, I gave up.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2310223120
        
         | bubblyworld wrote:
         | I think speculative science always starts out as philosophy.
         | This is as true now as it was in the 18th century. If you look
         | at any thinker on the edge of human understanding you'll find
         | something similar (e.g. I was reading Michael Levin's stuff on
         | bioelectricity recently and it also has a heavy dose of
         | philosophy).
         | 
         | I don't really have an issue with any of the points you raised
         | - why do they bother you?
         | 
         | The interesting stuff is the discussion about "functional
         | information" later in the paper, which is their proposed
         | quantitative measure for understanding the evolution of
         | complexity (although it seems like early stages for the
         | theory).
         | 
         | It's "just" a slight generalisation of the ideas of evolution
         | but it _applies to nonbiological systems_ and they can make
         | _quantitative predictions_. If it turns out to be true then
         | (for me) that is a pretty radical discovery.
         | 
         | I'm looking forward to seeing what can be demonstrated
         | experimentally (the quanta article suggests there is some
         | evidence now, but I haven't yet dug into it).
        
           | haswell wrote:
           | > _I think speculative science always starts out as
           | philosophy. This is as true now as it was in the 18th
           | century._
           | 
           | Indeed, and Natural Philosophy was the precursor to what we
           | now call Science.
           | 
           | I still think the old name better fit what we're doing
           | because it admits that the work is still a philosophical
           | endeavor.
           | 
           | This is not to question the validity of what we now call
           | science, but it's common these days to believe in the
           | ultimate supremacy of science as the answer to questions that
           | are best explored both philosophically and scientifically,
           | and because pure science still can't answer important
           | philosophical questions that that the entire scientific
           | discipline rests upon.
        
             | analog31 wrote:
             | Tell me about the supremacy of science after the government
             | restores the NIH, NOAA, etc. In fact most people in the
             | world believe in the supremacy of their religious faiths.
        
               | ysofunny wrote:
               | My religious faith is science
               | 
               | now what?
        
               | analog31 wrote:
               | I'm open minded about religion. It can be whatever you
               | want.
        
               | haswell wrote:
               | You're describing anti-science sentiment, which is
               | problematic and dangerous. But this is also whataboutism.
               | 
               | I'm describing unfounded beliefs many people hold about
               | science based mostly on a lack of philosophical
               | understanding, which is orthogonal to anti-science
               | sentiment and still important to examine.
               | 
               | I don't see a reason for there to be tension between the
               | two.
        
               | analog31 wrote:
               | I may have overreacted. I'm a scientist, and I'm
               | surrounded by scientists. When I hear about "supremacy of
               | science" it's usually being presented as a straw man. I
               | don't know any scientists who believe it, beyond the
               | temporary phase in everybody's education where they get
               | caught up in the "master of the universe" feeling.
        
           | ysofunny wrote:
           | > I think speculative science always starts out as philosophy
           | 
           | or in my words: "the first approximation is poetic. the last
           | one is mathematical"
           | 
           | from philosophy to hard-science and engineered tooling and
           | other products (andor services)
           | 
           | similarly to
           | 
           | from poetry as dubious, cloudy, and vague ideas all the way
           | to crystal clear, fixed and unmoving (dead) formalizations
        
         | raxxorraxor wrote:
         | I believe model and concept can be equivalent, not sure about
         | the required formal terminology in English.
         | 
         | Complexity is probably most formally modeled in entroy in
         | thermodynamics, although it behaves in the opposite direction
         | that these ideas and oberservations suggest it should.
         | 
         | It still asks questions about the reason for this complexity
         | and there is no scientific answer aside from "propably
         | accidental complexity".
         | 
         | Science is curious so it probably shouldn't be dismissed by
         | unmet formal requirements that aren't specified. "Layman" is
         | unspecific, so what would your requirements be exactly?
        
         | coldtea wrote:
         | > _- "identification of conceptual equivalencies among
         | disparate phenomena were foundational to developing previous
         | laws of nature" - what exactly is a "conceptual equivalence"?
         | You mean models?_
         | 
         | No, a model is not an "identification of conceptual
         | equivalencies among disparate phenomena". It's a simplified
         | representation of a system.
         | 
         | "identification of conceptual equivalencies among disparate
         | phenomena were foundational to developing previous laws of
         | nature" could be called an analogy, an isomorphism, a unifying
         | framework, etc.
         | 
         | > _Unifying disparate observations into models is basic
         | science. Not sure why it is highlighted here as some important
         | insight._
         | 
         | Perhaps because the most important insights are the most basic
         | ones - it's upon those eveything else sits upon.
         | 
         | > _At this point, I gave up_
         | 
         | If you can't bother beyond the abstract or 1st paragraph, or
         | are perplexed that the abstract has a 10,000ft simplistic
         | introduction into the basics, then it's better that you did :)
        
       | kdavis wrote:
       | "The law that entropy always increases holds, I think, the
       | supreme position among the laws of Nature. If someone points out
       | to you that your pet theory of the universe is in disagreement
       | with Maxwell's equations - then so much the worse for Maxwell's
       | equations. If it is found to be contradicted by observation -
       | well, these experimentalists do bungle things sometimes. But if
       | your theory is found to be against the Second Law of
       | Thermodynamics I can give you no hope; there is nothing for it to
       | collapse in deepest humiliation." -- Arthur Eddington, New
       | Pathways in Science
        
         | EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK wrote:
         | Entropy is always increasing in a closed system, but locally it
         | can decrease, if energy is supplied from the outside. Us
         | evolving on Earth comes at the expense of increased entropy of
         | the Sun.
        
           | ThrowawayTestr wrote:
           | I read a theory that life in the universe might be favorable
           | because we increase entropy so much.
        
             | pyfon wrote:
             | Life in the universe is pretty unfavourable! A rare thing
             | indeed. Where it has evolved I think it is less about
             | entropy and more about the nature of the matter - atoms,
             | molecules. Particularly carbon and water. And the way they
             | can replicate themselves through chemistry. That had to
             | obey entropy but is not driven by it. Light scattering off
             | the atmosphere will do the entropy trick well enough!
        
               | dr_dshiv wrote:
               | > A rare thing indeed
               | 
               | We can hardly know that, can we? Water and carbon are
               | abundant.
        
           | mr_toad wrote:
           | > Entropy is always increasing in a closed system
           | 
           | Only if that system isn't already in thermodynamic
           | equilibrium. A closed system that reaches thermodynamic
           | equilibrium has maximum entropy.
           | 
           | Why the universe as a whole didn't start out in thermodynamic
           | equilibrium, i.e doesn't have maximum entropy is something we
           | don't understand.
        
             | api wrote:
             | Maybe it's not a closed system.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_hole_cosmology
             | 
             | I'm partial to the hypothesis that our universe is actually
             | a giant black hole in some kind of larger universe. The Big
             | Bang was really the formation of our universe's event
             | horizon. Cosmic inflation is the result of stuff falling
             | into our universe, adding to its mass-energy -- there is no
             | dark energy, our universe is just accreting mass-energy
             | from something larger.
             | 
             | As for what the larger universe looks like -- in this model
             | it may be impossible to know because the event horizon is
             | impenetrable. It could be a much larger universe or it
             | could be something else, like a higher dimensional one.
        
             | EVa5I7bHFq9mnYK wrote:
             | If it were so, there would be no one to ask that question.
        
       | EncomLab wrote:
       | "Complexity" is a hugely problematic term when used in this way -
       | remember that entropy and complexity are related, but they are
       | not interchangeable. A complex system can have lower entropy than
       | a simpler system, and conversely, a system can have high entropy
       | but be relatively simple. By mingling these terms without
       | specifying objective reference points, it all just comes out as
       | word salad.
       | 
       | This paper just reads like an attempt at sounding smart while
       | actually saying little.
        
         | pyfon wrote:
         | Yes indeed. As I understand it, entropy is about states that
         | are more likely.
         | 
         | I wonder if it always increases though? Eventually there will
         | be enough entropy that any change may cause it to reduce or
         | oscillate? (At universe / reachable universe scale).
        
           | andrewflnr wrote:
           | Yes, we call that state "heat death". Note that the second
           | law is actually that entropy never decreases; it's allowed to
           | stay constant for certain interactions (for instance I'm
           | pretty sure an elastic collision preserves entropy).
        
           | kergonath wrote:
           | > I wonder if it always increases though?
           | 
           | It always increases _in an isolated system_. That caveat is
           | almost always missing in pop-sci level of discussions about
           | entropy, but it is crucial.
           | 
           | > Eventually there will be enough entropy that any change may
           | cause it to reduce or oscillate?
           | 
           | Assuming that the universe is actually an isolated system,
           | entropy will reach a maximum (it cannot oscillate). It is
           | interesting to speculate, and of course our theories are
           | imperfect and we are certainly missing something. In
           | particular, the relationship between time and entropy is not
           | straightforward. Very roughly: is the entropy a function of
           | time, which we could define otherwise, or is time a
           | consequence of entropy changes?
           | 
           | In the first case, we can suppose that if the universe
           | reaches an entropy maximum we'd be far enough outside the
           | conditions under which our theories work that we'd just have
           | entropy decrease with time (i.e., the rule that entropy
           | increases with time is only valid close to our usual
           | conditions).
           | 
           | But in the second case, it would mean that the universe
           | reached the end of time. It could evolve in any conceivable
           | way (in terms of the fundamental laws of Physics), and the
           | arrow of time would always point to the same moment. "What
           | comes after?" Would be a question just as meaningless as
           | "what came before the Big Bang?"
           | 
           | In any case, there are a lot of assumptions and uncertainty.
           | The story does not do the subject any justice.
        
         | titzer wrote:
         | > a system can have high entropy but be relatively simple.
         | 
         | Good examples of these are anything that Kolmogorov-compresses
         | well. For example, by almost any measure the output of a pseudo
         | random number generator has high entropy. Yet it has low
         | information density (low complexity), as the program that
         | generates the sequence, plus its state, is really small.
        
         | ysofunny wrote:
         | that is why the complex is distinct from the complicated
        
       | skywhopper wrote:
       | I never trust the sense of new scientific ideas I get from
       | popular press articles. But this comes across as highly
       | questionable, "Intelligent Design" redux stuff. Sure there are
       | some interesting points about information theory etc, but overall
       | it sounds like a lot of scientists desperately cribbing concepts
       | they don't actually understand from other fields and misapplying
       | them to oversimplified computer simulations someone who barely
       | understands Python wrote 20 years ago, and assuming the
       | simulation, which has built-in, accidentally hard-coded selection
       | factors, is the same as reality.
       | 
       | Seriously, phrases like "selection for function", unified
       | theories of biology and physics, and big ideas about the second
       | law of thermodynamics are major red flags.
        
       | grumple wrote:
       | This seems to be in a similar vein to constructor theory /
       | assembly theory:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constructor_theory
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assembly_theory
        
       | skim_milk wrote:
       | Bookworms are such a curious people, I love reading their pop-
       | evo-psych-theory-of-everything articles and counting up all the
       | occult references and hidden meanings. Waiting for a deep yellow
       | sunset with royal blue skies to appear some day where they spill
       | all the beans!
        
       | talles wrote:
       | How does one measure complexity 'in the universe'?
        
         | idiotsecant wrote:
         | Isn't that exactly what entropy is?
        
       | cess11 wrote:
       | "In this new view, biological evolution appears not as a unique
       | process that gave rise to a qualitatively distinct form of matter
       | -- living organisms. Instead, evolution is a special (and perhaps
       | inevitable) case of a more general principle that governs the
       | universe. According to this principle, entities are selected
       | because they are richer in a kind of information that enables
       | them to perform some kind of function."
       | 
       | Sounds like they're struggling to accept that the cosmos is not
       | conscious and it doesn't design, and possibly confuse the
       | fantasies we construct to, as it might be phenomenologically put,
       | make sense of our environment, with the environment itself.
       | 
       | In ancient abrahamic cosmology it was proposed that the cosmos
       | was designed, and first it was stone and water and so on, and
       | then the biological matter was put in there, segmenting stone,
       | hippopotamus and human into a kind of cosmological hierarchy of
       | ethical and divine importance. Famous ancient greek philosophers
       | imagined that there was another world shaping ours, geometrically
       | purer and to people with a particular taste perceived as
       | obviously more beautiful and holy.
       | 
       | Different strains of similar thinking survived in parts of the
       | world for a long time, and had a renaissance due to european
       | colonialism spreading it with a diverse set of tools.
       | 
       | One of the strongest views that followed is a cosmological
       | dualism, the belief that there is something like soul or mind
       | that is different from matter, usually paired with the belief
       | that this is how truth enters the world and that truth is
       | otherworldly, etherical.
       | 
       | Modern physics turned out to be absolutely brutal towards ideas
       | like these. For a hundred years experiment upon experiment just
       | smashed such segmentations and expectations against a growing
       | mountain of experiential evidence. As of yet we have no evidence
       | of the cosmos being governed by laws and selection, it just is
       | what it is and the supposed laws are human interpretations, hopes
       | and fantasies.
       | 
       | Protestant christianity is in an especially bad place due to this
       | development, since it bets all it has on mental phenomena being
       | more real than matter. Catholics and muslims can fall back on
       | arguing that the divine is unknowable and that the effects of
       | certain acts and traditions are socially beneficial, which
       | sometimes puts them at odds with or makes them absolutely
       | incompatible with worldly regimes of power. Protestant ideology
       | on the other hand, can be fitted in with basically any regime,
       | material conditions just aren't that important, ethically or
       | otherwise.
       | 
       | Looking at the micro-perspectives we didn't find geometrical
       | simplicity, instead we found weird, messy fields and almost-
       | existences, putting all sorts of expectations about the
       | foundations of the cosmos into question. Maybe it'll change, but
       | at the moment there's no evidence for some grand principle or
       | cosmic selector or whatever. One might argue something here about
       | cosmic constants or the symmetry Dirac sussed out but that's
       | still just pushing human experience into an algebra.
       | 
       | The expectation that life is somehow special is wrong. There is,
       | as far as we can see, no difference in the quarks in a dog and
       | those in a rock. The argument that 'DNA encodes more information'
       | is childish, there are repetitive structures everywhere, like in
       | the crystalline structures in a piece of rock. Protein sacks
       | carrying their own emulation of a particular old ocean on a
       | particular planet and flubbing around on land, carefully putting
       | in salts and carbon and so on to keep it going, is neither more
       | or less complex, neither more or less "information dense" in
       | itself, than a photovoltaic panel pushing electrons to light up a
       | screen.
       | 
       | There is a good book from the nineties on this topic,
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ilya_Prigogine#The_End_of_Cert....
       | One should be very suspicious of people that talk about being
       | cosmically selected, or about natural laws.
        
         | b450 wrote:
         | The authors here are claiming, as your quote states, that
         | biological evolution is just one instance of a more general
         | phenomenon. I'm not sure that's contrary to the views you're
         | expressing. You wrote:
         | 
         | > The expectation that life is somehow special is wrong. There
         | is, as far as we can see, no difference in the quarks in a dog
         | and those in a rock
         | 
         | But the authors' examples do include the "speciation" of
         | minerals! As I read it, the authors describe:
         | 
         | - some initial set of physical states (organisms, minerals,
         | whatever)
         | 
         | - these states create conditions for new states to emerge,
         | which in turn open up new possibilities or "phase spaces", and
         | so on
         | 
         | - these new phase spaces produce new ad hoc "functions", which
         | are (inevitably, with time and the flow of energy) searched and
         | acted upon by selective processes, driving this increase of
         | "functional information".
         | 
         | I don't think it's saying that living things are more complex
         | or information dense per se, but rather, that this cycle of
         | search, selection, and bootstrapping of new functions is a law-
         | like generality that can be observed outside of living systems.
         | 
         | I'm not endorsing this view! There do seem to be clear problems
         | with it as a testable scientific hypothesis. But to my naive
         | ear, all of this seems to play rather nicely with this
         | fundamentally statistical (vs deterministic) picture of reality
         | that Prigogine described, with the "arrow of time" manifesting
         | not just in thermodynamics and these irreversible processes,
         | but also in this diversification of functions.
        
       | mbfg wrote:
       | so at heat death of the universe, things will be more complex? i
       | think not. There is clearly a limit to complexity, where that is
       | when that is we don't know.
        
       | fruktmix wrote:
       | It is following the Fundamental theorem of software engineering,
       | another level of indirection.
        
       | adrian_b wrote:
       | Sentences like this, i.e. "everything turns more complex", must
       | be formulated much more precisely in order to become true.
       | 
       | The article talks a lot about biological evolution, but in that
       | case the only claim that is likely to be true is that the
       | complexity of the entire biosphere increases continuously, unless
       | a catastrophe resets the biosphere to a lower complexity.
       | 
       | If you look only at a small part of the biosphere, like one
       | species of living beings, it is extremely frequent to see that it
       | evolves to become simpler, not more complex, because a simpler
       | structure is usually optimal for constant environmental
       | conditions, the more complex structures are mainly beneficial for
       | avoiding extinction when the environmental conditions change.
        
       | seydor wrote:
       | Isn't that like saying that "some things take time"? Complexity
       | also takes time to develop through a myriad probabilities. We
       | even define complexity along the concept of things taking time or
       | equivalent space/memory. As the authors say, functional
       | information of physical systems is very difficult to quantify.
       | Until then, this is another formulation of the anthropic
       | principle , but with complexity instead of humanity.
        
       | kens wrote:
       | Coincidentally, I'm reading Walker's book "Life as No One Knows
       | It: The Physics of Life's Emergence" on the same topic. (Walker
       | is one of the researchers in the article.) Summary: I don't like
       | the book. The book was motivating me to write an article "Books I
       | don't like", but I'll comment here instead :-)
       | 
       | The book describes "Assembly Theory", a theory of how life can
       | arise in the universe. The idea is that you can quantitatively
       | measure the complexity of objects (especially chemicals) by the
       | number of recursive steps to create them. (The molecule ATP is 21
       | for instance.) You need life to create anything over 15; the idea
       | of life is it contains information that can create structures
       | more complex than what can be created randomly. The important
       | thing about life is that it isn't spontaneous, but forms an
       | unbroken chain through time. Explaining how it started may
       | require new physics.
       | 
       | If the above seems unclear, it's because it is unclear to me. The
       | book doesn't do a good job of explaining things. It looks like a
       | mass-market science book, but I found it very confusing. For
       | instance, it's unclear where the number 21 for ATP comes from,
       | although there's an analogy to LEGO. The book doesn't define
       | things and goes into many, many tangents. The author is very,
       | very enthusiastic about the ideas but reading the book is like
       | looking at ideas through a cloud of vagueness.
       | 
       | The writing is also extremely quirky. Everyone is on a first-name
       | basis, from Albert (Einstein) to Johnny (von Neumann) and Erwin
       | (Schrodinger). One chapter is written in the second person, and
       | "you" turn out to be "Albert." The book pushes the idea that
       | physics is great and can solve everything, covering physics
       | "greatest hits" from relativity and quantum mechanics to
       | gravitational waves and the Higgs boson. (The underlying theme
       | is: "Physics is great. This book is physics. Therefore, this book
       | is great.") The book has a lot of discussion of how it is a new
       | paradigm, Kuhn's paradigm shifts, how it will move astrobiology
       | beyond the pre-paradigmatic phase and unify fields of research
       | and so forth. It's not a crackpot book, but there are an
       | uncomfortable number of crackpot red flags.
       | 
       | I'm not rejecting the idea of assembly theory. To be honest,
       | after reading the book, I don't understand it well enough to say
       | which parts seem good and which parts seem flawed. There seem to
       | be interesting ideas struggling to get out but I'm not getting
       | them. (I don't like to be negative about books, but there are a
       | few that I regret reading and feel that I should warn people.)
        
         | roughly wrote:
         | Walker gave a talk recently at Long Now on Assembly Theory that
         | sounds like it did a better job of getting the point across:
         | 
         | https://longnow.org/ideas/informational-theory-life/
        
         | Viliam1234 wrote:
         | > It's not a crackpot book, but there are an uncomfortable
         | number of crackpot red flags.
         | 
         | How do you know it's not a crackpot book? All evidence you
         | mentioned here seems to support that conclusion.
        
       | andrewflnr wrote:
       | Amateur speculation, but informed by professionals: I think this
       | tendency toward complexity is situational, not fundamental.
       | Specifically, it's a product of this stage of the universe having
       | lots of available energy. More complex structures are favored
       | when/because they can consume more energy and increase entropy
       | more effectively. The complexity will probably start fading when
       | the hydrogen-fusion party dies. The second law will continue on
       | its way.
        
       | titzer wrote:
       | This theory is absurd. They're unjustifiably generalizing from a
       | single system--biological evolution on Earth[1]. There are
       | literally no other places in our solar system even that are
       | rapidly evolving to more complexity. Lots of dead rocks, hot and
       | cold, and a bunch of boiling gas balls. Incidentally, none of
       | these are turning into Cybertron. As it turns out, the chemistry
       | that we know to be necessary for self-replicating things just
       | doesn't work there. (Maybe there are other chemistries that will
       | work, we don't know). So this specific chemistry and this
       | specific set of conditions to kick off and indeed allow self-
       | replication to continue are pretty damn important to
       | understanding how it works.
       | 
       | A "new force of nature"? It's just so pretentious. Some
       | interesting biases of a selection process driven by copious
       | excess energy doesn't make for a new force of nature. Otherwise
       | we'd be positing all kinds of absurdities that are not directly
       | explained by particle physics are woo woo a new force of nature--
       | fashion choices (hey, copy, select, mutate there too).
       | 
       | [1] And no, I don't think that the computer simulations of
       | evolution they carry out are any additional evidence. So you made
       | a computer program with a copy/select/mutate loop in it. Big
       | deal. I can make a computer simulation about anything.
        
       | afpx wrote:
       | Pretty cool. I often wondered if the universe was evolving
       | similar to natural selection via a reinforcement learning
       | process. Wave function collapses to the value that maximizes some
       | objective function.
       | 
       | How would you test for it though? I've seen enough residual data
       | from RL processes to almost see semblences of patterns that could
       | be extracted and re-applied at a macro scale.
        
       | m3kw9 wrote:
       | Likely could be due to laws of math in this universe where more
       | is always desired more then less.
        
       | Kungfuturtle wrote:
       | This reminds me of Teilhard de Chardin's take on
       | complexification, as laid out in his seminal book _Le Phenomene
       | humain_. See e.g., this article[0] for a simple overview of the
       | hypothesis. For further reading, I recommend the excellent new
       | translation by Sarah Appleton-Weber, _The Human Phenomenon_ [1].
       | 
       | [0]
       | <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/%28SICI%2910...>
       | 
       | [1]
       | <https://www.liverpooluniversitypress.co.uk/doi/book/10.3828/...>
        
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