[HN Gopher] Kerosene did not save the sperm whale (2024)
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       Kerosene did not save the sperm whale (2024)
        
       Author : baud147258
       Score  : 140 points
       Date   : 2025-04-04 15:59 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (edconway.substack.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (edconway.substack.com)
        
       | wazoox wrote:
       | The book ("Material World") is fantastic, I hope he'll make
       | another tome on some other resources :)
        
       | creddit wrote:
       | Anyone who has read Moby Dick knows that this passage:
       | 
       | > And since whaling technology had come along so much since the
       | 19th century - with powerful diesel engined vessels equipped with
       | ever more lethal harpoons and even onboard processing plants,
       | allowing sailors to drain the spermaceti out of their catches at
       | sea rather than having to bring them back to land - sperm whale
       | populations were ravaged long, long after the discovery of
       | kerosene.
       | 
       | contains a distinct factual error. The whalers were processing
       | their catch at sea even in the 1800s. Probably not as
       | efficiently, but still they were not dragging their catch back to
       | land for processing.
        
         | potato3732842 wrote:
         | The bit about the usefulness for lubrication is fairly wrong.
         | To put it simply, it's useful because it's a corrosion
         | inhibitor. And while it works it degrades pretty rapidly in a
         | hot gearbox. Synthetic alternatives were simply better. And
         | they were developed and gaining traction before the ban,
         | because they were better. Industrial machinery mostly doesn't
         | need those properties. Whale oil is a poor lubricant by itself
         | though it can look decent if your frame of reference is what's
         | available in the 1860s.
         | 
         | Between what you found and what I found I think the whole thing
         | is kinda sus.
         | 
         | Edit: To clarify, Whale oil is hydroscopic-ish but in a weird
         | way, not like glycol (I'm not a chemist so IDK). My
         | understanding is that it makes some sort of film that's
         | protective against condensation. Gearboxes operated outdoors
         | don't generally need this corrosion inhibitor. It has to do
         | with the glues used on or in automatic transmission friction
         | material and how very sensitive they are to water. You can't
         | have water building up from ambient conditions and short trips
         | or they'll delaminate. Your alternatives without something like
         | this are rivets or different glue, both of which perform worse
         | and cost more.
        
           | timdiggerm wrote:
           | His overall point, that it happened later, after different
           | technological innovations, and required government regulation
           | is correct though
        
             | potato3732842 wrote:
             | I think government regulation probably only advanced the
             | inevitable. Synthetic substitutes were developed for
             | performance (temperature tolerance and service life). It
             | was likely only a matter of time until said substitutes
             | made their way back into older specifications for oil due
             | to natural economic incentives.
             | 
             | Perhaps there would still be some niche whaling if not for
             | the ban, but it would be for a niche use, not because
             | literally every automatic transmission in the country needs
             | a cup of the stuff.
        
               | wat10000 wrote:
               | There is stil some niche whaling. It's all done for meat,
               | but if there was any industrial value for some parts of
               | the whale, I imagine that would be extracted and sold. I
               | don't think there's anything like that.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Often when there is government regulations it is because
               | those regulated approve. Not always, but often. Oil
               | refineries are attacked in the press by government, but
               | when they want a permit to do something it is always
               | quietly granted.
        
               | lostlogin wrote:
               | > Perhaps there would still be some niche whaling if not
               | for the ban
               | 
               | There is still whaling. Iceland, Japan, Norway, North
               | American indigenous peoples and the Danish dependencies
               | of the Faroe Islands and Greenland continue to hunt in
               | the 21st century. Worse, Iceland, Japan and Norway still
               | engage in and supporting commercial hunting.
               | 
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whaling
        
           | kmt-lnh wrote:
           | The synthetic alternatives became better only much later. A
           | blast from the past, from the old web, wher e competence
           | meets ugly web design:
           | 
           | "It was true that increased heat load destroyed the modified
           | sperm oil in the ATF faster. The problem was that its freshly
           | developed synthetic analogs were performing even worse. Only
           | in the 1980s, a chemical solution to this problem was found,
           | and I highly doubt that it could have been found earlier. Now
           | we have the pieces of the story:
           | 
           | Sperm whales use unusual rheological properties of wax esters
           | in order to control buoyancy, and these properties also make
           | such chemicals an ideal lubricant for extreme pressure
           | applications. When the world relied on whales as a source of
           | hydrocarbons, these were too expensive to use as fuels, and
           | the demand was self-limiting. When the whales were "saved" by
           | petrochemical industry, it was only a short respite. Petrol-
           | powered machinery required new types of lubricants that
           | increased rather than decreased the reliance on sperm oil.
           | Petroleum was plentiful, the cars filled the world, and it is
           | at that point that the whales began to disappear. Literally
           | nothing was done to save these whales until the cars evolved
           | to the point when the engines started to operate at a higher
           | temperature; the latter was caused by the concern about human
           | health and efficiency rather than the well being of these
           | whales."
           | 
           | https://shkrobius.livejournal.com/347646.html (2011)
        
         | giraffe_lady wrote:
         | Moby Dick itself contains a ton of factual errors (even
         | accounting for the state of knowledge contemporary to its
         | writing) about whales and whaling. I think in this case it
         | still points you in the right direction but that's mostly just
         | luck.
         | 
         | And it is mostly focused on the habits of one particular whale
         | fishery. Others are discussed but not in depth and the bias of
         | the narrator in regard to them is itself an important part of
         | the story. I don't know either way but it's plausible to me
         | that other fisheries, positioned closer to their whaling
         | grounds, would have dragged them back for processing.
        
           | creddit wrote:
           | Many of the factual errors are there on purpose. The lengthy
           | discussion of whether or not whales are fish for example is
           | not intended to be scientific.
           | 
           | Melville himself served on a whaler and AFAIK the
           | descriptions of actual whaling and processing of whales at
           | sea are basically accurate with some embellishment. Open to
           | being wrong about that though as I am by no means an 1800s
           | whaling expert.
        
             | giraffe_lady wrote:
             | The whale is a fish thing isn't what I had in mind, iirc
             | that's a solid argument that still mostly holds up.
             | 
             | It's been a long time, I read it right after reading the
             | Eric Dolin book about american whaling and coming out of
             | that some of the details about nantucket and its fleet &
             | practices at that time were off but I'm not going to be
             | able to come up with citations on anything.
             | 
             | He also messes with some of the shipboard social dynamics
             | for the sake of the story, uses names for some of the
             | positions that were not used in the american whaling fleet,
             | shifts responsibility for certain things around so they'll
             | land on named characters, standard literary moves like
             | that.
             | 
             | It's probable that _all_ of these were intentional to serve
             | the story. And I 'm not an expert either which makes simple
             | embellishment hard to spot. I'm mostly just pointing out
             | that asserting what anyone "knows" about whales from
             | reading moby dick is tricky.
        
               | creddit wrote:
               | > The whale is a fish thing isn't what I had in mind,
               | iirc that's a solid argument that still mostly holds up.
               | 
               | You're also of the opinion that whales are fish?
        
               | giraffe_lady wrote:
               | It's more that, as I understand it, "fish" isn't a
               | coherent phylogenetic category so much as a convention-
               | based descriptive grouping of certain characteristics. I
               | don't think of whales as fish, no. But an exclusion based
               | on eg tail fin orientation or lack of gills is based on
               | convention rather than strict taxonomic practices. So if
               | someone wants to weigh the characteristics differently
               | and include whales in the term fish I would at least hear
               | them out.
               | 
               | Different category but well explained here
               | https://eukaryotewritesblog.com/2021/05/02/theres-no-
               | such-th...
        
               | lostlogin wrote:
               | I know it's not the point, but how does a flounder get
               | categorised in this system? Are they vertical or
               | horizontal? When they swim it usually has their tail
               | horizontal.
        
               | o11c wrote:
               | It's utterly nonsensical to think that millennia of "fish
               | swim" should be thrown out in favor of a century of "fish
               | share DNA".
        
           | lukan wrote:
           | What kind of errors are there? I don't remember anything
           | standing out.
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | Recall that sea shanty business a few years ago with the talk
         | of the Weller Brothers, a NZ outfit that delivered supplies to
         | whaling vessels so they did not have to return to harbor as
         | frequently.
         | 
         | The implication of the song is that the Weller Brothers would
         | provide supplies on credit based on the progress of the whaling
         | expedition. The sailers are singing about capturing a whale
         | that leads to hopes of resupply coming soon.
         | 
         | Less time traveling back and forth to hunting grounds is more
         | time for violence, and that's the calculus of the whole sordid
         | business.
        
         | gosub100 wrote:
         | We don't let the facts get in the way of a "government
         | regulation good" story.
        
       | RcouF1uZ4gsC wrote:
       | Kerosene did save the sperm whale.
       | 
       | And the author missed the reason:
       | 
       | > As I mentioned earlier, right from the start whale oil had
       | other uses, beyond lighting. It was used to grease naval clocks,
       | as well as being deployed in pharmaceuticals, paints and
       | explosives.
       | 
       | Kerosene replaced the widespread, low margin, highly price
       | sensitive use of spermaceti oil.
       | 
       | If the common person is using spermaceti oil for light every
       | single day, there is no politically tenable way you can restrict
       | the supply.
       | 
       | Kerosene replaces that, and now the common person doesn't really
       | know or care about spermaceti oil.
       | 
       | Notice also the other use cases are generally higher up in the
       | value chain than just burning it for light. Naval clocks,
       | pharmaceuticals, paints, explosives. In addition, the users are
       | more concentrated. Everybody burned spermaceti oil for lamps.
       | There are only a few places that make naval clocks,
       | pharmaceuticals, paints, and explosives. And they have the
       | ability to absorb R&D costs for different lubricants because that
       | is a high value use case.
       | 
       | A similar example of this is CFCs being banned. They were used in
       | high value use cases with a limited amount of users. And even
       | there, there was pushback with regard to home AC units - things
       | that affected the common people.
       | 
       | The lesson we should take from this is that we need technology to
       | provide us with alternatives for the common, price sensitive,
       | widespread uses of something, before it becomes tenable to enact
       | any type of supply restriction on it.
       | 
       | And then we can rely on the high value use cases finding
       | alternatives.
        
         | potato3732842 wrote:
         | The article goes on to make the same error again though.
         | 
         | If the common person's automatic transmission needs whale oil
         | you can't ban it.
         | 
         | The kind of oil that can be produced in the conditions of a
         | mammal's body tends to not hold up to well in a 300deg
         | automatic transmission. Synthetic oil was developed because
         | using a factory to do "this can't happen in a body" things to
         | tree oil results in a superior performing product. These
         | products were adopted because they're better. And then there
         | was little need to use whale oil, so it got banned at which
         | point the synthetic new hotness got back ported into the older
         | specifications of oil.
        
           | matthewdgreen wrote:
           | You seem to have a strong claim you'd like to make on this
           | point. It might be true, but it's a claim offered without
           | much evidence.
           | 
           | I guess one thing I'd be curious about is: were non-synthetic
           | non-animal alternatives substituted for whale oil in large
           | quantities before synthetics took over? If so, that would be
           | one data point in favor of the idea that regulation (and
           | possibly the decline of the species) was the driving factor,
           | rather than the superiority of synthetics.
        
       | TheBlight wrote:
       | For the same reason solar panels aren't going to stop people from
       | drilling and sucking up every last drop of oil.
        
         | alt227 wrote:
         | What, that they are intermittant, dont work for over 50% of the
         | time, and cant handle the immediate peaks required on a
         | national/international grid?
        
           | zeristor wrote:
           | That's what grid battery storage is for, obviously.
        
             | alt227 wrote:
             | Yeah, except a battery to hold enough energy to cover the
             | entire planets energy spikes would be some battery.
        
               | pbhjpbhj wrote:
               | See, what you do is charge up the atmosphere as a
               | 'battery' (capacitor).
               | 
               | /Tesla
               | 
               | Non-chemical batteries, flywheels and hydroelectric
               | storage green hydrogen and such other ways of storing
               | energy as we can come up with are certainly part of the
               | solution.
        
           | IshKebab wrote:
           | I think he was alluding to plastic.
        
           | os2warpman wrote:
           | If you look at it from a systems perspective, battery storage
           | is the same as increasing/decreasing steam output or drawing
           | from a steam bank to match demand and the diurnal nature of
           | solar is the same as taking units offline for maintenance.
           | 
           | The durations, scale, and reaction times to changing
           | conditions are different (sometimes worse, sometimes better)
           | but the concept is the same.
           | 
           | We solved those problems before, and have already solved them
           | with solar it's just a matter of building out the
           | infrastructure.
           | 
           | We may have to shed a single digit percentage of "market
           | efficiency" in the short term to ensure the future of
           | humanity, though, so there is resistance.
        
             | alt227 wrote:
             | You are correct. we have indeed solved some of these
             | issues, we have even built incredible solutions such as
             | Electric Mountain in Wales[0] to store and release
             | incredible amounts of energy almost immediately. However
             | this just serves to prove my point. Even an entire lake
             | being flushed down a mountain is not enough to offset all
             | the peaaks in just the UK, a relatively small country. To
             | solve this issue on a global scale enough to provide the
             | worlds power from solar is an unthinkable challenge IMO.
             | 
             | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dinorwig_Power_Station
        
               | jessekv wrote:
               | To be fair UK has the unique problem where everyone
               | starts their electric tea kettle all at the same time...
               | 
               | Makes me wonder if you can smooth out certain peaks by
               | introducing individualised random delays in the
               | television programming ;)
        
               | pbhjpbhj wrote:
               | We've effectively done that with streaming on-demand
               | programming and local storage allowing pausing of OTA
               | programming.
               | 
               | Also, Octopus Energy is now the UKs largest provider,
               | they have tariffs with variable rates (demand-based
               | pricing). Very occasionally you can be paid to use
               | electricity. That's certainly encourages some users away
               | from boiling the kettle at peak times.
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | Right now the amount of energy it takes to extract every gallon
         | of oil from the ground is creeping up decade by decade. So you
         | end up having to consume your own supply to make it fit for
         | consumers.
         | 
         | I can see a day where solar powered refineries exist. Either
         | under their own power or by being grid-tied.
         | 
         | But there will come a time when it's just too expensive to pull
         | it up from many places and we end up with dozens of wells and
         | optimize cracking for petrochemicals other than fuel.
        
         | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
         | The people that have that line of thinking have no idea how
         | things are actually made.
         | 
         | We might no burn every drop of oil. But we're going to use it
         | until it's gone.
         | 
         | "Oh maybe we won't need the most dense and easily convertible
         | source of hydrocarbons on our planet!"
        
         | MisterTea wrote:
         | I am surprised everyone replying is solely thinking about
         | energy when we need oil for lubricants and plastics and so on.
         | Things we cant replace easily with organic alternatives which
         | themselves might have environmental impacts (e.g. land and
         | water for growing oil producing crops.)
        
           | lazide wrote:
           | It's relatively trivial (but more expensive than getting it
           | straight from the ground) to synthesize oil from atmospheric
           | components + energy. Some countries have done it at large
           | scales during wartime.
        
             | salynchnew wrote:
             | This is the issue. A lot of hydocarbons can still be
             | produced without extracting them from rocks miles under the
             | ground, poisoning the water supply, or any of the
             | externalities of runaway global warming.
             | 
             | The trick is leveraging insanely cheap solar electricity to
             | do everything else.
        
       | hinkley wrote:
       | I was at a meeting and was sitting next to a guy whose company
       | made an on-premise clone of parts of AWS. By the end of that
       | conversation I came to find out that a lot of their funding came
       | from Amazon.
       | 
       | A lot of people will walk into a trap. Some, once in it, will
       | thrash to get out of it. Even if they hurt themselves in the
       | process, they gain their freedom. Other people, seeing an escape
       | route, will happily or at least grudgingly stay a while longer.
       | Which then doesn't warn off observers from making the same
       | mistake.
       | 
       | If it makes sense for AWS to fund a "competitor", then it makes
       | sense for whale oil lamp sellers to cheer for an alternative fuel
       | because the users can think, "we can always switch to kerosene".
       | And I've seen too many people who want to try something at least
       | once while they still have the chance to experience it.
        
       | RandallBrown wrote:
       | The graph kinda does show that kerosene saved the sperm whale
       | doesn't it? Whaling went down for like 60 years before spiking
       | once cars became a thing. I imagine electric lighting also helped
       | out.
        
       | scop wrote:
       | Obligatory comment: _Moby Dick_ is a work of stunning glory and
       | if you think you can abridge it you are missing the entire point.
        
         | wizzwizz4 wrote:
         | Bored man watches sad man fight large white man. The survivors
         | leave.
        
       | legitster wrote:
       | The Soviet union had an outsized role in this:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whaling_in_the_Soviet_Union_an...
       | 
       | To meet lucrative production quotas, the Soviet Union lied to
       | international agencies about how many whales they were catching.
       | While they didn't harvest the most amount of whales in the 20th
       | century, they disregarded treaties that protected endangered
       | whales and breeding populations.
       | 
       | https://www.i-deel.org/blog/mass-killing-for-no-reason-the-p...
       | 
       | The worst part is there was little to no actual demand for
       | whaling products in the Soviet Union, so most of they collected
       | was treated as a waste product or simply dumped.
        
       | buildsjets wrote:
       | NYT 1975: Transmission Problems in Cars Linked to Ban on Whale
       | Killing
       | 
       | https://www.nytimes.com/1975/04/17/archives/transmission-pro...
        
       | didgetmaster wrote:
       | The title and much of the article suggests that sperm whale might
       | be extinct today.
       | 
       | While their population is down from estimates before whaling in
       | the nineteen century; current estimates are about half a million
       | of them are swimming around the globe today.
        
       | dr_dshiv wrote:
       | What are other counterintuitive stories like this? (Regardless of
       | veracity)
       | 
       | * Kerosene saves the whales
       | 
       | * Plastics saves the elephants
       | 
       | * Coal saved the forests
       | 
       | Other similar stories?
        
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