[HN Gopher] Oregon abandoned its drug law. Then came the mass ar...
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       Oregon abandoned its drug law. Then came the mass arrests
        
       Author : c420
       Score  : 25 points
       Date   : 2025-03-31 18:03 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | givemeethekeys wrote:
       | They realized that they don't stand a chance against the cartels,
       | so they're trying to scare the populace instead.
        
         | zombiwoof wrote:
         | What? Scare the criminals breaking the law using drugs?
         | 
         | Kinda what Cops are supposed to do? Should they say "please
         | stop breaking the law" ?
        
           | givemeethekeys wrote:
           | The cops will enforce the laws. I'm talking about the
           | lawmakers - decriminalization failed repealed because Oregon
           | failed at stopping cartels. Whats the point of
           | decriminalizing if it won't achieve the goal of reducing drug
           | use?
           | 
           | In order to stop drugs, you have to either kill supply,
           | demand, or both.
        
             | Spivak wrote:
             | > if it won't achieve the goal of reducing drug use?
             | 
             | If they tried decriminalization with the specific goal of
             | reducing drug use then uhh yeah that was doomed from the
             | start. You decriminalize certain drugs because you want to
             | reduce possession/use arrests and view the treatment as
             | worse than the disease. Arrests for use/possession serve
             | one important function for people which is getting users
             | out of public view even if it doesn't reduce drug use or
             | work at all to get people off them. And Oregon found out
             | how many people value clean streets at the expense of drug
             | users. Can't really blame them.
        
             | 9x39 wrote:
             | I don't think the goal was to reduce drug use, it was to
             | create a legal marijuana industry and reduce policing which
             | was a broadly popular sentiment in 2020.
             | 
             | https://ballotpedia.org/Oregon_Measure_110,_Drug_Decriminal
             | i...
             | 
             | I don't have a copy of the original voters pamphlet with
             | all the pro and against arguments, but I don't recall this
             | ever being advertised as _reducing_ drug use.
             | 
             | I think it did succeed in its goals of legitimizing
             | marijuana in the state, and it did succeed in reducing
             | police involvement in drug enforcement. Whether
             | consequences emerged from these goals is another topic.
        
       | verteu wrote:
       | It doesn't seem like the law worked very well. Overdoses went up,
       | and while this was largely due to covid & fent trends, it
       | certainly was not an obvious success: https://imgur.com/a/45WAB6F
       | 
       | https://s3.amazonaws.com/assets.cfsecosystem.com/m110/Presen...
       | 
       | https://www.rti.org/event/oregons-ballot-measure-110-symposi...
        
         | zombiwoof wrote:
         | I lost my job during Covid. I didn't start using meth or
         | fentanyl
        
         | verteu wrote:
         | See also:
         | https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle...
        
         | nxobject wrote:
         | The article mentions a very important decriminalization-
         | agnostic reason why no changes in outcomes were found within
         | their analytic period: treatment took a really, really, really
         | long time to set up, with funding only going out by the time
         | decriminalization was rolled back. There was lack of capacity
         | both in terms of staffing the actual programs, but as well in
         | reviewing the programs.
         | 
         | https://www.opb.org/article/2024/02/14/oregon-drug-decrimina...
         | 
         | Second, M110 funding comes from marijuana taxes, and a
         | significant downturn in funding is anticipated this FY - I
         | don't know the specific numbers, but it's on the magnitude of
         | 25%. This is the context of the article's observations that
         | treatment _still_ is impossible to find.
         | 
         | As a result, I'd argue that Oregon's not going to see many
         | changes in health-related outcomes.
        
         | aredox wrote:
         | It also didn't worsen things... There is no clear relationship
         | between the passing of the law and any trend.
        
           | 9x39 wrote:
           | Homelessness went up, but counting them is hard, and
           | untangling it from pure econ causes is also hard.
           | 
           | This group claims PITC went up year over year. Surged, they
           | said. https://www.dogoodmultnomah.org/homelessness-portland
           | 
           | It would be hard to claim for Multnomah county residents to
           | say things got better regarding the homeless situation after
           | 2020, but the tide could have been coming in for multiple
           | reasons.
        
             | nxobject wrote:
             | The direction of causation there is strange, too. COVID-19
             | era eviction moratoria expired halfway through June, and
             | records have consistently been beat since then. (There are
             | also anecdotal rumors that people get bussed in from across
             | the country. I think PIT count data collects that, but I
             | need to double-check.)
             | 
             | https://www.opb.org/article/2025/01/29/oregon-housing-
             | renter...
        
           | LorenPechtel wrote:
           | Exactly.
           | 
           | Treatment doesn't help--it's not something that can be
           | imposed. You force someone into drug treatment, you're either
           | wasting your money or their money. Every immediate family
           | member I have ever had has at least touched on handling
           | addiction--and they have all been adamant that it's useless
           | without the desire. "You want to want to quit smoking, but
           | you don't actually want to quit smoking. I won't take your
           | money when I know I can't help you. Come back when you truly
           | want to quit smoking."
           | 
           | But locking them up doesn't help, either, other than in
           | locking them up when their drug use causes other problems.
           | Same as drinking is legal but drunk and disorderly is not.
        
       | timewizard wrote:
       | > "Until the person truly wants to quit, they're not going to.
       | Forcing people into treatment, it's against our will and unjust."
       | 
       | I agree, but the policy should be, confiscation and destruction
       | of drugs and no charges. Allowing dealers to take advantage of
       | and profit off of a vulnerable is against the public will and is
       | unjust.
        
         | zombiwoof wrote:
         | Why aren't they making the laws harsher on dealers?
         | 
         | No dealers no drugs
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | The laws are plenty harsh for dealers.
           | 
           | There's always new cannon fodder available to serve as first-
           | line ablative customer service for the big suppliers.
        
           | tick_tock_tick wrote:
           | Drug dealing basically works like a MLM the edges of the tree
           | are easy to find and arrest but they are mostly easily
           | replaceable young kids that putting them away does little to
           | the overall flow.
        
         | magicalhippo wrote:
         | To me that's an argument for the gov't providing controlled
         | doses that must be taken at the location.
         | 
         | This undercuts the illegal drug economy, reduce theft and other
         | related crime, as well as reducing risk of ODs as they'll get
         | proper doses of good quality.
         | 
         | That said, I'm not sure if ease of access will exacerbate the
         | problem. Which would be an argument against.
        
           | nxobject wrote:
           | Canada has/had? a similar pilot program, but for alcohol use
           | where you get a drink every hour: it might be a good
           | comparison re: health outcomes alone. Let me find a link.
           | 
           | https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/apr/26/homeless-
           | she...
        
           | sightbroke wrote:
           | Why would the illegal drug economy ever let politicians that
           | would implement this get into positions of power to do so?
        
             | timewizard wrote:
             | I think the legal drug economy has a hand in it as well.
        
               | sightbroke wrote:
               | Wouldn't they presumably be the ones selling crack, meth,
               | heroin , etc to the government?
        
             | LorenPechtel wrote:
             | Yeah, we've seen that with alcohol. The bootleggers want
             | dry counties, it's good for business. Bad for everyone
             | else, though. (Yeah, even when quality isn't an issue. You
             | see more DUI in dry counties.)
        
           | howard941 wrote:
           | This describes the methadone clinic model I remember from
           | back in the 70s in NYC
        
           | LorenPechtel wrote:
           | I doubt you truly need the taken-at-location part other than
           | for political acceptability. Sure, it's safer, but taken at
           | location imposes a considerable burden upon the users.
           | 
           | As for ease of access--the experimental data is limited but
           | doesn't appear to show any big effects.
           | 
           | The drug war imposes huge costs, though. My personal thoughts
           | on this:
           | 
           | 1) The date-rape drugs probably should be illegal or highly
           | restricted.
           | 
           | 2) The addictive drugs should be legal for adults.
           | Experimental data will be needed to figure out if we need to
           | make them prescription only--if a prescription requirement is
           | imposed addiction should be considered a valid reason for a
           | script and it should not involve the hoops that a controlled
           | script currently entails.
           | 
           | 3) The stuff that has little addiction potential should be
           | legal for adults, period.
           | 
           | 4) No advertising beyond simple price lists is permitted
           | anywhere other than where you know the person has already
           | indicated an interest in the substance. (Thus I would permit
           | a cigarette company to freely tout their products behind a
           | click-through--lots of adult websites do the sort of thing
           | I'm thinking of.) Products are siloed--if you're looking at X
           | you have not expressed an interest in Y. One business can
           | sell multiple drugs but must silo them from each other. Ads
           | can never chase you--once you have left the website consent
           | no longer exists.
           | 
           | 5) #4 also applies to tobacco and alcohol. The gas station
           | can sell smokes but all the tobacco-related ads have to go.
           | Many grocery stores already silo the alcohol and I haven't
           | seen tobacco not siloed in a long, long time. (Smoke shops
           | with the cartons laid out are siloed--it's just at the front
           | door.)
        
           | ein0p wrote:
           | This creates a powerful incentive for the government to
           | become a drug dealer and create more addicts to avail itself
           | of more taxpayer money. See the homeless-industrial complex
           | in SF, Seattle, and elsewhere. Billions disappearing into a
           | black hole as the problem gets worse and worse.
        
       | acidmath wrote:
       | Many of the addicts are long past the mission of "trying to feel
       | good" but are trying to stave off horrible withdrawal symptoms.
       | Ibogaine clinics can help a lot of people. Ibogaine clinics don't
       | work for everybody, and won't work for those who don't want to
       | change their lifestyle, but can help bring back something
       | resembling an okay life for a lot of people.
        
       | josefritzishere wrote:
       | This seems like a very expensive way to govern. Prison is not
       | cheap.
        
         | nxobject wrote:
         | Someone attached to Oregon here - it isn't, and it's even
         | harder to retain people at current pay grades in state
         | corrections medical. (Let alone public defense, which the
         | article mentions means that people are being let go in many
         | counties before non-drug-related charges are tried.)
         | 
         | https://oregoncapitalchronicle.com/2025/02/03/amid-mounting-...
        
           | josefritzishere wrote:
           | You inspired me to go looking for cost analysis. It's worse
           | than I thought. Oregon is about 79k per year, per person,
           | based on 2024 numbers in this pretty infogrpahic.
           | https://www.visualcapitalist.com/cost-per-prisoner-in-us-
           | sta...
        
         | nathancahill wrote:
         | This is the US in a nutshell. And then they wonder why the
         | deficit is so high? Most expensive healthcare. Most expensive
         | incarceration. Most expensive childcare. Most expensive
         | infrastructure projects. Endless list.
        
           | mindslight wrote:
           | The "deficit" is high because USD is the world reserve
           | currency, and the government policy is to prevent natural
           | deflation. The "deficit" should really be called _the
           | surplus_ as it represents the centralized gains of progress
           | from everybody who is _still_ willing to invest in America
           | despite that collection.
           | 
           | The popular political movement aimed at reducing the
           | "deficit" is really just part of the larger global movement
           | to destroy the US's world leadership position, hence the
           | related goal of ruining our relationships with our allies and
           | whatnot.
           | 
           | Having said that, I agree that the dynamic here is a horrible
           | waste of resources. Housing someone in an SRO (single room
           | occupancy) without guards would cost like one quarter of what
           | jail/prison costs.
        
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