[HN Gopher] One Last Ride for Antarctica's 'Ivan the Terra Bus'
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       One Last Ride for Antarctica's 'Ivan the Terra Bus'
        
       Author : Thevet
       Score  : 78 points
       Date   : 2025-03-29 06:35 UTC (2 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.atlasobscura.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.atlasobscura.com)
        
       | avar wrote:
       | What a weird way to conclude an article, to suggest that an
       | Antarctic bus will be remembered as coming from an era of
       | "McMurdo's persistent culture of sexual harassment".
       | 
       | Then when you click through that article you can read about,
       | among other things, a case where " _the AP generally does not
       | identify those who say they have been sexually assaulted unless
       | they publicly identify themselves_ ".
       | 
       | But they have qualms about including the name of the supposed
       | attacker, who you can find (not from the AP) was found
       | unanimously not guilty by a jury[1], in a case that whatever
       | anyone believes about it, had nothing whatsoever to do with
       | sexual harassment or sexual assault.
       | 
       | The alleged victim had supposedly stolen the defendants nametag,
       | because she was upset about not being invited to a party. When
       | confronted she refused to give it back, and the defendant
       | forcibly retrieved it from her.
       | 
       | Is there a name for this fever dream style of writing, that even
       | if you follow up on all the loose ends dropped throughout, find
       | that some of them evaporate under scrutiny?
       | 
       | 1. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/stephen-tyler-bieneman-not-
       | guil...
        
         | bombcar wrote:
         | It's somehow related to self-referential news (where most
         | "news" articles aren't reporting that a thing happened, but
         | that another news agency reported that it happened) - it's
         | almost "wikification", where what matters is the link and
         | someone else having said it, original research is forbidden.
         | 
         | Of course, this problem has existed forever - rumor vs fact,
         | the oft-misattributed to Twain "a lie can travel halfway around
         | the world before the truth can get its boots on".
        
         | rafram wrote:
         | The NSF itself said that sexual harassment is a problem at the
         | base. They surveyed women there and _59 percent_ said they had
         | been harassed. There have been a few named individuals accused
         | of harassment there and a few victims who've come forward
         | without asking for anonymity, but the point is that it's so
         | pervasive that there's almost no point in trying to find
         | individual perpetrators. Over half of all women at McMurdo are
         | harassed!
         | 
         | https://www.npr.org/2023/11/03/1210418182/antarctica-sexual-...
        
           | redeux wrote:
           | Terribly, 59% is actually lower than the rate of sexual
           | harassment for women in the USA, which is around 77%
           | according to the National Sexual Violence Resource Center.
           | 
           | https://www.nsvrc.org/resource/facts-behind-metoo-
           | movement-n...
        
             | rafram wrote:
             | 77% is over a lifetime, but 59% is just over the one or two
             | summers that someone spends at McMurdo, so it makes sense
             | that it would be lower. But if there weren't a serious
             | culture of harassment, you'd think it would be _much_
             | lower.
        
             | petsfed wrote:
             | I want to buttress a sibling comment and dig into how
             | misleading your quoted statistics are.
             | 
             | While there are complicating factors, in general,
             | probabilities add linearly. So for the average woman in the
             | US, who lives for 77 years, she therefore has a 1% chance
             | of being sexually harassed during any 1 year of her life.
             | Obviously, this follows some distribution, but still, the
             | odds of it happening in any one year of her life probably
             | peaks around 5-10%.
             | 
             | I couldn't find good data on how many seasons the average
             | Antarctic worker puts in, but let's say its around 10. That
             | means the average woman working in Antarctica has a 5.9%
             | chance of getting sexually harassed per year. Except, the
             | average contract length in Antarctica is 4-6 months. So
             | while a woman in the US has a 0.5% chance of being sexually
             | harassed in a given 6 month time frame, a woman in
             | Antarctica has an average 11.8% chance of being sexually
             | harassed for the same time frame.
             | 
             | Do you understand the difference?
        
               | bitcurious wrote:
               | >While there are complicating factors, in general,
               | probabilities add linearly. So for the average woman in
               | the US, who lives for 77 years, she therefore has a 1%
               | chance of being sexually harassed during any 1 year of
               | her life.
               | 
               | Obviously the average survey respondent was not 77 years
               | old, so the math here is wrong. Other assumptions we
               | could make: prepubescent and post-menopausal women are
               | not being sexually harassed at the same rate as women of
               | reproductive age.
               | 
               | I think your point would stand with steelman math, so why
               | strawman it?
        
               | petsfed wrote:
               | Because my 5-year-old daughter has experienced something
               | akin to sexual harassment. Its grim out there, but its
               | far grimmer in Antarctica, and other isolated places
               | where victims have little recourse in the moment [0].
               | 
               | I went out of my way to provide as conservative of
               | numbers as possible, so if that's a strawman, I don't
               | know what to tell you. Even a cursory glance at
               | incomplete statistics [1] on the subject show that the
               | per-year rate of harassment at the peak ages is
               | commensurate with the per-contract (again 4-6 month
               | hitch, so double or triple that rate to get the per-year
               | average) rate of _all_ women in Antarctica.
               | 
               | 0. https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/marine-
               | science/articles... 1.
               | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7485046/
        
           | avar wrote:
           | > The NSF itself said that sexual harassment         > is a
           | problem at the base.
           | 
           | I'm not claiming otherwise, I was commenting on how bizarre
           | it is to work this into an article about a transport bus in
           | Antarctica.                   > They surveyed women there and
           | 59 percent         > said they had been harassed.
           | 
           | I don't think they did. Did you read the report?
           | 
           | The survey[1] had a 24% response rate, so that 59% number is
           | extrapolated from that, it's actually just over 14%.
           | 
           | The report certainly contains some deeply troubling
           | anecdotes, but (no surprise) there's a wide chasm between
           | what it claims, and how it's been reported on.
           | 
           | But don't take my word for it, read what they have to say on
           | page 28:                   "[...]it is important to note that
           | the survey         and focus group questions were not
           | designed to elicit information regarding         the
           | prevalence or incidence of sexual         assault within
           | USAP. This remains an effort         for the future. Instead,
           | the qualitative         and quantitative data elicited
           | extensive         information regarding individuals'
           | experiences and perceptions. Team LDSS         did not
           | independently investigate or         otherwise seek to verify
           | the accuracy         of individuals' reporting."
           | 
           | That 59% claim comes from a footnote on page 33 of the
           | report. 33%/47% of men/women said "sexual assault" was a
           | problem in the USAP, and 48%/72% of men/women said the same
           | of "sexual assault".
           | 
           | The 59% is then women respondents who had a "negative
           | experience" with either assault or harassment.
           | 
           | I don't believe that means, as you claim, that "they had been
           | harassed". Earlier on page 30 they say:
           | Approximately 40% of all focus group         participants
           | discussed a personal         negative experience with sexual
           | assault         or sexual harassment
           | 
           | Neither of those percentages in footnotes appear to be
           | supported by accompanying source data. But since they go out
           | of their way to distinguish between a "negative experience"
           | and "personal negative experience", the 59% appears to refer
           | to some broader category than personal experience with
           | harassment or assault.
           | 
           | 1. https://www.nsf.gov/geo/opp/documents/USAP%20SAHPR%20Repor
           | t....
        
             | petsfed wrote:
             | >The survey[1] had a 24% response rate, so that 59% number
             | is extrapolated from that, it's actually just over 14%.
             | 
             | That's not how statistical extrapolation works.
             | 
             | Here's a recent study that uses modern statistical
             | modelling methods to extrapolate actual harassment rates
             | from reporting rates that suffer _strongly_ from self-
             | selection bias in a similar environment: [0]
             | 
             | Perhaps they can repeat the original study in light of the
             | suggested methods just published.
             | 
             | 0. https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/marine-
             | science/articles...
        
         | teddyh wrote:
         | > _Is there a name for this fever dream style of writing, that
         | even if you follow up on all the loose ends dropped throughout,
         | find that some of them evaporate under scrutiny?_
         | 
         | Journalism.
        
         | s1artibartfast wrote:
         | Thats not how I read the closing and description of the prior
         | era. I read it as one that was more human, before being stamped
         | out and sterilized due to the PR challenges is posed.
        
         | jsight wrote:
         | > Is there a name for this fever dream style of writing, that
         | even if you follow up on all the loose ends dropped throughout,
         | find that some of them evaporate under scrutiny?
         | 
         | It is called journalism.
        
       | gregoriol wrote:
       | What is it replaced by?
        
         | sleepytimetea wrote:
         | AI /s
        
         | joshvm wrote:
         | In the summer, there are a small fleet of vehicles called
         | "Deltas":
         | https://photolibrary.usap.gov/PhotoDetails.aspx?filename=del...
         | and the Kress.
         | 
         | From the article (though it doesn't say these still exist):
         | 
         | > But, she says, "Ivan could just make it through anything. I
         | mean, he just floated across when the roads went bad," as
         | opposed to the Deltas and the 65-passenger Kress trailer, which
         | often got bogged down in slushy snow and transitional terrain,
         | and led to passengers being stranded out on the ice.
         | 
         | DVs (the Antarctic/naval term for VIPs) usually travel in
         | minivans with oversize or tracked wheels. Those are also used
         | to get smaller groups shuttled between places.
        
       | biofox wrote:
       | It has been a dream of mine to visit one of the research stations
       | in Antarctica since I was a child. Unfortunately, my professional
       | career has not yet provided me the opportunity :(
        
         | jbm wrote:
         | Off topic but this is much more of a common sentiment than I
         | had thought. There was an anime series about this - Yu Zhou
         | yorimoYuan iChang Suo  -- literally about high schoolers who
         | wanted to go to the antarctic.
        
       | shadowtree wrote:
       | You too can ride in such a vehicle - just visit the Columbia
       | Icefield in Banff, Canada.
       | 
       | https://www.banffjaspercollection.com/attractions/columbia-i...
       | 
       | They drive out tourists on to the ice (as long as it is still
       | there, couple decades left).
       | 
       | I did it, very cool.
        
       | nxpnsv wrote:
       | I was driven in this from the ice runway to McMurdo station in
       | 2001. It was very loud and slow and bouncy. I loved it.
        
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       (page generated 2025-03-31 23:01 UTC)