[HN Gopher] Talkin' about a Revolution
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Talkin' about a Revolution
        
       Author : pepys
       Score  : 55 points
       Date   : 2025-03-28 22:42 UTC (3 days ago)
        
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       | worldsayshi wrote:
       | > frightened into rationality
       | 
       | An oxymoron if I ever heard one. To become rational means letting
       | go of fears (to a large extent). I fear that one reason we fail
       | to act is that we are guided by fear. Fear makes us focus on the
       | wrong things. And I fear that in a civilized society fear becomes
       | a self fulfilling prophecy. Fear makes us obsess about the
       | problem and how to avoid it in the very narrow and short term. It
       | doesn't make us very good at long term planning and execution.
       | It's an instinct that is evolved for animals that want to avoid
       | predators, not for civilization builders.
       | 
       | Building a civilization requires vision, big plans and the
       | feeling that we can afford bold ideas. We need to take risks. But
       | how can we take more risks when we're constantly afraid of the
       | future? How can we build a better future when all we do all day
       | is imagining the worst possible future? If our minds are
       | constantly occupied by dystopia we can't plan for anything else.
       | So that's what we build.
        
         | hmmmhmmm wrote:
         | I'm in the same camp, and I go step further and avoid places
         | where fear is the main tune.
        
         | lynx97 wrote:
         | I must not fear. Fear is the mind-killer. Fear is the little-
         | death that brings total obliteration. I will face my fear. I
         | will permit it to pass over me and through me. And when it has
         | gone past, I will turn the inner eye to see its path. Where the
         | fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain.
        
         | mola wrote:
         | As I see it, Optimism is usually unrational but drives change
         | and Fear kills optimism.
         | 
         | Trust is not purely rational its emotional. Fear kills trust,
         | making you more rational in the sense that you assume other
         | players are rationally adversarial.
        
           | worldsayshi wrote:
           | As I see it, pessimism is as "unrational" as optimism.
           | There's a big span of uncertainty about the future that is
           | filled by our intentions and beliefs. If we commit to a
           | pessimistic worldview we are likely to make some decisions
           | that lead towards such a world. If we commit to an optimistic
           | worldview we are likely to get exploited by bad actors.
           | 
           | We have to be able to juggle both realities. That is
           | rational.
           | 
           | (But I think we are essentially saying the same thing here.)
        
         | absolutelastone wrote:
         | I'd argue we evolved to think rationally in order to
         | specifically advance our instinctive drives, rather than the
         | "Triume brain" view of the neocortex and lizard brain fighting
         | for dominance. Immediate and extreme danger enforces a
         | realistic and calculating view of reality, when otherwise
         | people tend to avoid thinking about or dealing with a danger.
         | 
         | Courage is the ability to choose an alternative besides first
         | choice of fear. But it isn't necessarily rational either, more
         | likely a different instinctive motivation winning out. A
         | completely emotionless person, meanwhile, would probably be
         | completely nonfunctional.
        
       | DeathArrow wrote:
       | Hegel writings gave birth to some of the most murderous,
       | nihilistic and deviant thoughts. They made possible the thinking
       | of Engels, Lenin, Mao, Jean Paul Sartre, Michel Foucault, Gilles
       | Deleuze, Jacques Lacan, Althusser, Jacques Derrida, Max
       | Horkheimer, Theodor Adorno, Herbert Marcus.
       | 
       | Most thinkers and ideologues that represent what is rotten in
       | modern society have to thank Hegel.
        
         | nonrandomstring wrote:
         | This tired old contention that some great historical thinker is
         | somehow single-handedly responsible for the fall of
         | civilisation is nothing more than railing against intellect
         | itself.
        
           | DeathArrow wrote:
           | My conjecture isn't Hegel is single-handedly responsible for
           | the fall of civilisation. After all I don't have a reason to
           | think he intended that, nor do I think civilisation will
           | necasarily fall. Most villains of the thought, ideologues and
           | philosophers are basing their operas on Hegel's.
           | 
           | All I am saying Hegel established a framework which eased the
           | works of some scum.
        
             | nonrandomstring wrote:
             | You might enjoy Rick Roderick's "Masters of Suspicion"
             | where he talks about the influence (and perceived
             | influence) of Nietzsche, Freud, Marx and some other
             | individuals credited with "changing the world".
             | "You notice I haven't given an analysis of the
             | Enlightenment but of        modernity, of modernisation, of
             | the advance of capital, because        four pedants don't
             | make an age. And two or three weird philosophers
             | don't give birth to a century of unreason. You know,
             | Nietzsche        didn't, you know, from his drawing room
             | give birth to a century of        cannonade, slaughter,
             | concentration camps, CIA subterfuge, the        raping and
             | the murdering of nuns, the bombing of continents, the
             | despoiling of beaches and the ruin of a planet! Four or
             | five        pedants do not have that much power, and never
             | have. That's just a        sort of bugbear. They didn't
             | 'unleash unreason on the world'        Jesus... how crazy
             | can some people get. I mean, even in the        postmodern
             | world you shouldn't be that crazy, to say that three or
             | four pedants invented this stuff. " -- R. Roderick
             | Nietzsche's        Progeny (1991)
        
               | cess11 wrote:
               | Most likely they won't, since Roderick openly and
               | efficiently argues against "paleoconservatives" and the
               | like.
        
               | alabastervlog wrote:
               | This is likely a use of "pedant" in the more precise pre-
               | vulgarization sense, probably, with a stronger suggestion
               | of "school teacherly" or "insularly academic" than "nit-
               | picking know-it-all". Might help readers follow it.
        
           | username332211 wrote:
           | It is precisely the opposite.
           | 
           | A world where Karl Marx isn't responsible for millions of
           | deaths is a world where the existence of intellectuals is
           | ultimately pointless. There, a wise potentate could send
           | philosophers into labor camps and he'd only benefit from the
           | elimination of waste.
           | 
           | If you believe that ideas matter, then you should allow for
           | spectacularly bad ideas to have spectacularly bad real world
           | consequences.
        
             | facile3232 wrote:
             | > If ideas matter, then spectacularly bad ideas should have
             | spectacularly bad real world consequences.
             | 
             | to me this seems to imply ideas don't matter, or we
             | wouldn't be living in a market-oriented society. I suppose
             | there's still room for global warming to demonstrate your
             | point.
        
             | nonrandomstring wrote:
             | Of course ideas matter and have consequences. The mistake
             | is to identify them with individual responsibility. Do you
             | blame Newton every time a vase falls off a shelf?
        
               | ourmandave wrote:
               | In hindsight, naming my cat Newton may have been a bad
               | idea.
        
               | HKH2 wrote:
               | Newton is not responsible for gravity because he didn't
               | create it.
        
               | BuyMyBitcoins wrote:
               | Nevertheless, as an entity with mass Isaac Newton was
               | complicit in contributing towards gravity's tyrannical
               | effects. In fact, his corpse continues to exert a
               | gravitational pull to this day. /s
        
             | vintermann wrote:
             | Aha, _wise potentates_.
             | 
             | Any accounting scheme which assigns Marx blame for the
             | consequences of his poorer ideas, has to assign far more to
             | "wise potentate" believers. Or even people who unironically
             | use words like "wise potentate" at all.
        
             | js8 wrote:
             | Karl Marx isn't responsible for anything that happened in
             | the 20th century. People have individual responsibility for
             | their actions, it doesn't matter where you got the idea
             | from. Ascribing e.g. crimes of stalinism to Marx is
             | actually terrible idea, it absolves the people who did
             | these crimes of their own moral agency. Ideas do matter (as
             | Gramsci has shown by example), but the moral responsibility
             | is on the implementors.
             | 
             | But just out of curiosity, what exactly Marx said that you
             | deem so dangerous? Can you show some quotes?
        
               | sepositus wrote:
               | > Everything that exists deserves to perish.
               | 
               | Well, we can start with this problematic statement. Taken
               | to its literal conclusion, it's not surprising to think
               | it could end up with mass graves. Granted, it originated
               | from Mephistopheles, but Marx wasn't being poetic in his
               | recitations.
        
               | js8 wrote:
               | I am not really interested in a bad faith debate. I take
               | it you're quoting this passage:
               | 
               | The constitution, the National Assembly, the dynastic
               | parties, the blue and red republicans, the heroes of
               | Africa, the thunder from the platform, the sheet
               | lightning of the daily press, the entire literature, the
               | political names and the intellectual reputations, the
               | civil law and the penal code, liberte, egalite,
               | fraternite, and the second Sunday in May, 1852 - all have
               | vanished like a phantasmagoria before the spell of a man
               | whom even his enemies do not make out to be a sorcerer.
               | Universal suffrage seems to have survived only for the
               | moment, so that with its own hand it may make its last
               | will and testament before the eyes of all the world and
               | declare in the name of the people itself: "All that
               | exists deserves to perish." [From Goethe's Faust, Part
               | One.]
               | 
               | Can you explain, in your interpretation, what was Marx
               | trying to say?
        
         | thomassmith65 wrote:
         | I have no idea how many of those giants Hegel actually
         | influenced. The list covers so many famous intellectuals that I
         | suppose the only 20th Century writer worth reading is Dale
         | Carnegie; he's the only guy left!
        
         | roenxi wrote:
         | That seems a bit unfair to pin it on Hegel. Most of the damage
         | could have been avoided if people like Mao were champions of
         | liberal values - however the fact that he was in a position of
         | power at all was because he came from a rather backwards
         | society that didn't champion liberal values. It is a shame the
         | Chinese Republicans didn't manage to take, but to say there was
         | a lot going on in China at any given moment would be an
         | understatement.
         | 
         | At any point in the chain of events people could move towards
         | liberalism and market economies, then become more prosperous.
         | We've even got case studies where that was tried - the USSR -
         | and a lot went wrong but it still went much better than most of
         | the other experiments out of the 1900s. China too, eventually,
         | where we can't really say what the end result is going to be
         | but it has been an amazing journey so far.
         | 
         | The issue wasn't with these thinkers, it looks a lot more like
         | _any_ deviation from liberalism is a terrible mistake and it is
         | really only a competition for who can be most liberal on the
         | important issues (which, unfortunately, are only revealed with
         | a little hindsight).
        
           | thiagoharry wrote:
           | > That seems a bit unfair to pin it on Hegel. Most of the
           | damage could have been avoided if people like Mao were
           | champions of liberal values. however the fact that he was in
           | a position of power at all was because he came from a rather
           | backwards society that didn't champion liberal values.
           | 
           | Considering that the "liberal values" were the ideology upon
           | which China was previously attacked and destroyed by western
           | powers, and that the KMT, under more liberal values did the
           | Shangai Massacre against the comunists, ending their
           | alliance, this would be improbable. Yeah, history show how
           | progressive is the liberal ideology and their champions...
        
         | paganel wrote:
         | Always interesting how the Anglo world never really got into
         | Hegel, I guess it's their lack of real philosophical spirit
         | that explains it. They never really got passed Hume's
         | empiricist reflexes.
        
           | keiferski wrote:
           | They did get into Hegel for a bit, but the subsequent
           | developments in math, language, etc. (what is now called
           | Analytic Philosophy) kind of wiped out the interest in them.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_idealism
           | 
           | But yeah, you could probably argue that the empiricist
           | approach never quite went away. Even today, analytic
           | philosophy (which is predominantly an Anglo-American
           | phenomenon) is notoriously uninterested in politics and "big
           | society" questions.
        
             | abathologist wrote:
             | There are important exceptions, such as C.S. Peirce,
             | Whitehead, and currently Robert Brandom.
             | 
             | William Lawvere is also a post-hegelian.
        
         | facile3232 wrote:
         | on whom do you put the crimes of capital?
        
         | StefanBatory wrote:
         | Uhh, why someone like Sartre or Foucault is on this list, equal
         | to Lenin or Mao? It's hard for me to see how they as
         | existentialists were on par of them; and if so, ought we blame
         | Kierkegaard and Dostoevsky too?
         | 
         | I am asking genuinely on your stance because I don't see why
         | you consider them to be evil.
        
           | flr03 wrote:
           | I don't think the list makes any sense. It's just part of
           | movement where some try to blame all the evil of the world
           | past and present on intellectual/philosophers, that would
           | have perversed society and academics by their ideas. The root
           | of evil being Hegel it seems and all figures that remotely
           | connect to him. I think the reason here is Sartre was part of
           | the communist party in France, for some time.
        
         | grey-area wrote:
         | Interested to know why you think Foucault or Lacan are
         | 'deviants', do you mean that in the nazi sense, or something
         | else?
        
         | AndrewKemendo wrote:
         | Fully concur
         | 
         | The fact that people still hang on to the outdated epistemology
         | of the dialectic is absurd given the domination of empiricism
         | in real world
        
       | graemep wrote:
       | The world gets both better and worse. it is something that I
       | regularly get voted down for saying here, but IMO the west is
       | unduly pessimist because it had a golden age from winning the
       | cold war until the late 2000s, took an overly optimistic view of
       | the future and the inevitability of progress (remember "the end
       | of history") and cannot cope with things going back to normal.
       | 
       | Things get better, sometimes they get worse. Generally people are
       | better off materially than they have ever been, but people do not
       | change all that much morally.
        
         | johnnyanmac wrote:
         | >and cannot cope with things going back to normal.
         | 
         | how do we define "normal" for society?
        
           | graemep wrote:
           | Very loosely?
           | 
           | There really is no normal - things change over time. It would
           | be more accurate to say it was the end of an period of
           | unusual stability and security.
        
           | krapp wrote:
           | Normal is what we're willing to accept in exchange for our
           | comfort.
        
         | jajko wrote:
         | Well, WWIII or some other form of nuclear strikes may change
         | that perception.
         | 
         | I agree its dangerous to be overly positive and naive, we
         | humans are still just a notch above beasts, are easy to
         | manipulate (always via negative emotions like greed, envy,
         | inferiority complex and so on), but things can absolutely go to
         | utter shit, we have more capabilities than ever to spread it
         | across globe. Not just nuclear - drone warfare is absolutely
         | maddening. Imagine 10 millions of them, each with their target,
         | each going with absolute precision and on its own - thats what
         | current armies aim for and within a decade they will get it.
         | 
         | What is (and always was) is that very few holds most of the
         | decision power. Get one mental unstable vicious person there
         | and it falls down like house of cards. Our current high tech
         | civilization is pretty fragile to disruption. Sure, we can
         | always revert to stone age, some would even be glad, but I
         | strongly prefer not to.
        
         | baxtr wrote:
         | I talked to a history professor recently and asked him how he
         | viewed the whole situation.
         | 
         | He leaned back, thought for a bit and answered:
         | 
         | It'll be all fine on a 200 years perspective, democracy will
         | continue to increase its footprint, people will lead better
         | lives.
         | 
         | It's the next 30 years I'm worried about.
         | 
         | PS: ofc, I have no clue if he's right or not. But I thought
         | it's an interesting take to share.
        
           | dataflow wrote:
           | "Fine"? Did the history professor consider anything other
           | than history or politics? The way global warming and our
           | general destruction of nature is going (not just species or
           | climate but also e.g. depletion of groundwater in a lot of
           | heavily populated areas), I'm not sure democracy will be our
           | biggest concern in 200 years' time.
        
             | baxtr wrote:
             | No, he did not consider things that have never happened
             | before.
             | 
             | He can only extrapolate from events that already happened.
             | Human made global warming is a first time, so difficult to
             | say what will happen from a historical perspective.
        
               | 9rx wrote:
               | _> Human made global warming is a first time_
               | 
               | Human-made global warming appears to go back to the
               | advent of agriculture, though, so for all intents and
               | purposes it has been a constant throughout the history of
               | which we speak.
        
               | BeFlatXIII wrote:
               | Ted was so right.
        
             | badpun wrote:
             | Given predicted decline i global population size, some of
             | these effect will be partially offset by less pressure from
             | the population.
        
           | CalRobert wrote:
           | "democracy will continue to increase its footprint"
           | 
           | What was this based on?
        
             | baxtr wrote:
             | Extrapolation from what he knows about history.
             | 
             | Things looked very bleak right after the French revolution
             | for example.
             | 
             | We see our history as a dot, because we live in it.
             | 
             | But people in the future will take a more long-term view
             | and might say: oh this was a difficult phase in history.
        
               | rongrobert wrote:
               | I just don't agree with any of this.
               | 
               | This is a difficult time compared to what? The black
               | plague? WW1?
               | 
               | This is the easiest time ever to be alive.
               | 
               | I would say on a 200 year time line though, the way the
               | black plague broke the power of the Catholic Church, the
               | internet has broke democracy.
               | 
               | The idea democracy is ascendant is pretty delusional IMO.
               | 
               | This professor is still living in the unipolar moment
               | that has passed.
        
               | graemep wrote:
               | > the way the black plague broke the power of the
               | Catholic Church
               | 
               | I think it is more accurate to say it broke the power of
               | the aristocracy by causing a labour shortage.
               | 
               | The black death happened in the 14th century, the
               | reformation in the 16th
        
               | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
               | The great news is we can break the internet if needed. It
               | will be torn down and chopped up into moderated walled
               | gardens, it's inevitable. Algorithmic rage bait and echo
               | chambers are incompatible with a functioning society.
        
               | econ wrote:
               | I'm optimistic, if you release enough bots into that
               | ecosystem it is unlikely to survive. It is one of those
               | things where effort is rewarded but also a condition for
               | the game to function. YouTube is already full of videos
               | that seem to have a single line prompt. Those can't
               | generate enough rage to sustain the formula.
        
               | alabastervlog wrote:
               | > It will be torn down and chopped up into moderated
               | walled gardens, it's inevitable. Algorithmic rage bait
               | and echo chambers are incompatible with a functioning
               | society.
               | 
               | I've reckoned a free global Internet's incompatible with
               | functioning democracy (or most other forms of government)
               | for about a decade now.
               | 
               | I figure our "great firewall" will be in the form of
               | cryptographically origin-attributed routing, and making
               | proxying while stripping that info illegal in most
               | circumstances. Won't cut it to zero, but will make mass
               | anonymous propaganda campaigns a hell of a lot harder.
               | The protocols are already under development, as I
               | understand it.
        
               | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
               | Definitely a great place to start!
               | 
               | Do you have any links to any material/info on this topic?
               | I'm sure some folks have begun talking about protocols.
        
               | alabastervlog wrote:
               | BGP route origin validation is already partially deployed
               | in the wild, I believe. I recall reading about BGP
               | replacement protocols years back that were being
               | developed to include even stronger route-signing. Once
               | you have that kind of thing in place, you basically have
               | everything you need for a decentralized, origin-focused
               | great firewall, it's just a matter of activating it.
        
               | 9rx wrote:
               | _> I 've reckoned a free global Internet's incompatible
               | with functioning democracy (or most other forms of
               | government) for about a decade now._
               | 
               | Alternatively, the internet enables "true" democracy and
               | we're finding out that we don't really like it. There is
               | probably a good reason why our formal "democracies" are
               | more like semi-frequently refreshed dictatorships.
        
               | alabastervlog wrote:
               | Political scientists just call what we have democracy,
               | same as everyone else. It's a common use of the term by
               | experts in the field.
               | 
               | I don't really see how the Internet has changed how our
               | voting works or the structure of our government, anyway.
        
               | 9rx wrote:
               | _> It 's a common use of the term by experts in the
               | field._
               | 
               | Sure, but it's clearly something different than people
               | assembling in the town square to flesh out their issues
               | with each other, as democracy was originally seen.
               | Semantic arguments are dumb.
               | 
               |  _In theory_ , which is why the name is as such, it need
               | not be any different as the elected employees are only
               | supposed to take the message from their local town square
               | to a central meeting place where, with all the other town
               | square results, things are compiled - to be tarred and
               | feathered if the message changes in transit - but in
               | practice nobody shows up in the local town square and
               | leaves it upon the employee to make guesses about their
               | wishes, thus becoming dictators out of necessity.
               | 
               |  _> I don 't really see how the Internet has changed how
               | our voting works or the structure of our government,
               | anyway._
               | 
               | Why would it? As before, it has reminded us of why we
               | resorted to picking (and maybe not even that) employees
               | to tell us what to do in the first place.
        
               | dachworker wrote:
               | I do not think we have enough historical evidence for
               | such an extrapolation. Human societies have been getting
               | more and more complex, necessitating more and more
               | complex governance. We are at a point of crisis, where
               | the electorate is supposed to decide through voting, and
               | our elected politicians are supposed to decide through
               | legislation, on topics that neither the electorate, nor
               | the elected are able to fully understand. It is not clear
               | to me that democracy will triumph.
        
               | hedora wrote:
               | Sure we do. Go read H.G. Wells "The World Set Free". It's
               | pre WWII, covers these exact topics, and could have been
               | written yesterday. When it was written none of the
               | problems were new.
               | 
               | The book is a utopia, written in the hope that, with
               | unlimited energy (and therefore, unlimited means of
               | production), government upheaval would _finally_ let us
               | transition to a post-scarcity society.
               | 
               | Humanity has had the technology necessary to do that
               | since the 1950s, but instead focused on things like using
               | more fossil fuels, weaponizing food, spreading disease
               | and ignorance, expanding poverty, etc. Both parties in
               | the US have consistently supported all of the above for
               | my entire life.
               | 
               | We're seeing an acceleration of those things under the
               | current administration.
               | 
               | Hopefully, we'll get decent leadership soon. We're still
               | a democracy.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | The things that people really want will always be scarce.
               | Even lower energy prices or better political leaders
               | can't change that reality.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | That's a non sequitur. Just because human societies have
               | been getting more and more complex doesn't necessarily
               | mean we need more and more complex governance. We might
               | be better off with radically less governance, and just
               | accept the consequences that sometimes bad things will
               | happen due to lack of governance.
        
           | sofixa wrote:
           | > It'll be all fine on a 200 years perspective, democracy
           | will continue to increase its footprint, people will lead
           | better lives.
           | 
           | What could that be based on? Ask the people in Venezuela,
           | South Africa for instance, things can definitely get much
           | worse even for decently developed countries with democracy
           | and a solid economic foundation.
           | 
           | Combine with the growth of religiosness in young people
           | across multiple growing countries, and broad (sometimes
           | related, sometimes not) anti-democracy trends, I really
           | wouldn't be that optimistic.
           | 
           | What would make one think that e.g. the Coup Belt in
           | Subsaharan Africa will some day get more democratic? The
           | fundamentals aren't there - the populace is generally poor
           | and poorly educated. Strongman rule over years/decades can
           | erode the little civic society that existed, and then it's
           | very very hard to get an effective democracy functioning.
        
             | watwut wrote:
             | To be fair, he was making wild guesses. He is professor of
             | history, not a professor of omens. He can't read future, no
             | more then anyone else.
        
               | baxtr wrote:
               | Yeah exactly. People read way too much into this
        
           | eMPee584 wrote:
           | Oh, coincidentally, that is just the time window of the
           | technological singularity.. where we either ascend to a
           | peace- & powerful interplanetary civilization - or
           | accidentally eradicate ourselves out of a collective lack of
           | wisdom and sense of connectedness. Let's play..
        
             | facile3232 wrote:
             | I think the "technological singularity" is just the rapture
             | for people who listen to sam harris
        
               | jddj wrote:
               | Not to take anything away from this witty comment, but I
               | think Harris is more on the doomer side?
               | 
               | Maybe that's what you meant after all.
        
               | facile3232 wrote:
               | You're quite right; I think the "rationalists" tend to be
               | a little more cynical (or realistic, as most would
               | probably put it).
        
               | alabastervlog wrote:
               | Millenarianism is evergreen.
        
           | nozzlegear wrote:
           | I have no comment on what your professor said, but reading
           | the replies here just confirms to me that cynicism, pessimism
           | and doomerism are certainly the mood of the current
           | zeitgeist. Optimistic outlooks are too often met with a kind
           | of reflexive dismissal or despair in a "I feel like things
           | are really bad right now, have never been this bad before,
           | and thus can never improve" diatribe.
           | 
           | There's a pervasive sense in online discussions these days
           | that if it's cynical, dark or depressing, it has to be the
           | truth. It's like Occam's razor for today's modern doomer: the
           | bleakest explanation must be the correct one. And I'm not
           | saying that things are easy or that democracy is guaranteed,
           | but I am saying that pessimism isn't inherently more
           | realistic than optimism.
           | 
           | Cynicism sells in the 21st century.
        
             | bilbo0s wrote:
             | Meh.
             | 
             | It's not really cynicism.
             | 
             | It's just that people today only care about the next 20 or
             | 30 years. They don't really care if, over the course of the
             | next 200 years, two nations can rebuild from annihilating
             | each other in a nuclear exchange. The nuclear exchange is a
             | lot more pressing concern for them.
        
               | alabastervlog wrote:
               | I'm at the age where 30 years may well be the rest of my
               | life (even assuming a fairly normal old-age sort of
               | death) and 50 almost certainly is, so while I do care
               | about what happens after for my kids, _they 'll_ also be
               | quite old by then, so "the whole rest of your life during
               | which you're still significantly active, plus all of your
               | kids' lives up to as late as late-middle-age, by which
               | time they're firmly set on their life courses and family
               | planning and such, will suck" is... pretty bad.
        
               | nozzlegear wrote:
               | > rebuild from annihilating each other in a nuclear
               | exchange. The nuclear exchange is a lot more pressing
               | concern for them.
               | 
               | Maybe this was your intention or maybe not, but this is
               | kinda what I'm talking about. It presupposes that there
               | will be nuclear exchanges and annihilation in the first
               | place, because, well, why wouldn't there be? Life is
               | shit, tensions are high, and that's the grim dark end we
               | all see coming anyway?
        
               | potato3732842 wrote:
               | Peace and prosperity in 200yr won't help my retirement in
               | 30.
        
               | Centigonal wrote:
               | _A society grows great when old men plant trees whose
               | shade they know they shall never sit in._
        
               | potato3732842 wrote:
               | I love a low effort circle jerk as much as the next
               | worthless online commentor but let's be real here, nobody
               | who's worried about stuff lower down the pyramid of needs
               | can afford the luxury of donating resources to a
               | hypothetical future.
        
             | 9rx wrote:
             | _> but reading the replies here just confirms to me that
             | cynicism, pessimism and doomerism are certainly the mood of
             | the current zeitgeist._
             | 
             | Isn't that the human condition? Historically, it was no
             | doubt an evolutionary advantage to always think that a lion
             | is about to pounce, so to speak. That doesn't just go away.
             | The instincts still need something to work with even after
             | all the real threats are gone.
        
             | rdm_blackhole wrote:
             | > cynicism,
             | 
             | The cynicism comes from the fact that many people
             | (including me) have decided to check out from what is going
             | on in the world and instead focus on what we can control in
             | our daily lives.
             | 
             | It also comes from the fact that in many countries the
             | social contract is broken.
             | 
             | You are still expected to pay your taxes but the services
             | provided are increasingly of bad quality such as
             | schools,hospitals, judicial system and so on.
             | 
             | So much so in fact that it seems to me that this
             | relationship that the people have with the state is
             | becoming more and more one sided. Like in an abusive
             | relationship of some sort.
             | 
             | Look at the number of people who don't bother to vote
             | anymore because at the end of the day it does not make much
             | difference to their lives.
             | 
             | There is profound sense of injustice in the world at the
             | moment but it is being swept under the carpet.
        
           | MPSFounder wrote:
           | There is a problem with this though. It is the price paid in
           | exchange for democracy. Take Syria for example. It took huge
           | human loss to free itself from Assad, Iran and Russian
           | influence. Is the price justified? Of course in the long run
           | autocracies fail. The lifespan of the ruler is one duration
           | we can associate (Putin is on the verge of death). But the
           | damage can often be very significant and take generation to
           | undo. Just to be clear, I was very much in favor of removing
           | those murderers. I just wonder if there were ways to mitigate
           | this (here, EU and US should have stepped in, which they
           | failed to do. However, they are doing it in Ukraine, which is
           | great)
        
             | rdm_blackhole wrote:
             | > Take Syria for example. It took huge human loss to free
             | itself from Assad, Iran and Russian influence.
             | 
             | And then it fell in the hands of radical islamists. Is this
             | the outcome that everyone was hoping for?
        
               | MPSFounder wrote:
               | I disagree with that assessment. It is currently led by
               | someone widely popular in Syria. Ultimately, the people
               | are free to elect whoever they choose. The point is it is
               | unequivocal most of them rejected Iranian and Russian
               | influence and a barbarous Assad regime. Of course
               | rebuilding will take time, and there might be some
               | extreme factions (religious or leftovers from the Assad
               | regime). But freedom prevailed. Your response is that of
               | a coward that would rather live as a slave under a
               | foreign occupation, instead of rebelling at the cost of
               | their own lives.
        
               | rdm_blackhole wrote:
               | > I disagree with that assessment.
               | 
               | This is not an assessment. It's the truth. Jolani is a
               | former al-Qaeda member whose organization is still
               | considered a terrorist organization. The US even had a
               | prize on his head.
               | 
               | > Your response is that of a coward that would rather
               | live as a slave under a foreign occupation, instead of
               | rebelling at the cost of their own lives.
               | 
               | You response to an opinion that is different than yours
               | is to insult someone who is willing to engage with you.
               | If you are not interested in debating, no point in
               | commenting.
        
         | davedx wrote:
         | > People do not change all that much morally
         | 
         | This is debatable. In fact, the US culture war is absolutely
         | about what American "morality" should be. It's what a lot of
         | the Project 2025 Manifesto is about:
         | 
         | "The document spans a wide range of policy areas, but when it
         | comes to culture, family, and morality, it emphasizes a return
         | to traditional values, a rollback of progressive social
         | policies, and an assertive use of federal power to reshape
         | American culture"
         | 
         | There's a reason it's called a Culture War and not a Culture
         | Mild Disagreement.
        
           | TeMPOraL wrote:
           | > _There 's a reason it's called a Culture War and not a
           | Culture Mild Disagreement._
           | 
           | Culture war at this point is more than a decade old. It did
           | not start with Project 2025. It started on the Internet.
           | 
           | Also, GP said _people_ do not change all that much morally.
           | That much is true. _Organizations_ change fast. Societies
           | change slower. The acted on rules are a combination of three,
           | but it 's important to be aware of the distinctions and the
           | dynamics.
        
             | cmrdporcupine wrote:
             | Frankly, the culture war started in earnest in the late
             | 60s.
        
               | freeopinion wrote:
               | So you weren't around for the 20s? The last 20s?
        
               | cmrdporcupine wrote:
               | As old as I am, I wasn't here for the 60s either, though
               | both would have been a total _blast_
        
             | camgunz wrote:
             | Eh I remember the culture wars from the 90s [0].
             | 
             | [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Culture_war#:~:text=1991
             | %E2%80...
        
             | davedx wrote:
             | I'm not sure that makes sense to me; how do society's moral
             | rules change (slowly) but peoples' moral rules don't/change
             | little? I mean I can think of some isolated examples like
             | pirating video content, but generally a society's moral
             | rules reflect its constituents; where else do those rules
             | come from, if not its people?
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | Culture. Humans have pretty stable moral intuitions about
               | the basics - fairness, reciprocity, value of life; AFAIK
               | they're consistent throughout time and space as far as
               | history goes[0], and form a common base from which more
               | complex morality stems.
               | 
               | In short: "theft is bad" is something people are born
               | with[1]; "pirating media is bad" isn't; the former will
               | be universal wherever you go, the latter depends strongly
               | on who you ask[2]; the former is constant throughout
               | history, the latter can change within months or years.
               | 
               | On a more general point, human society is the poster
               | child of "the whole is more than the sum of its parts" -
               | there's a lot of ideas and institutions in our lives that
               | are purely abstract, and exist _only_ in the shared,
               | social sphere. Things like money, rule of law, countries
               | or corporations - they exist as long as people expect
               | them to exist, but ultimately they can disappear
               | overnight - unlike the more fundamental concepts like
               | self-preservation or reciprocity, which are anchored in
               | our selves.
               | 
               | --
               | 
               | [0] - If it weren't, we would have much more trouble
               | understanding or relating to the past; the saying is that
               | the past is a foreign country, not that it's an alien
               | species!
               | 
               | [1] - Or at least it's as close to innate as we can get.
               | 
               | [2] - And, of course, the progress of science and
               | technologies that made this question meaningful in the
               | first place.
        
               | alabastervlog wrote:
               | My experience is there's also a fundamentally inborn
               | notion of "fair price" and "fair pay" that people are
               | born with, that they have to be educated out of to
               | operate successfully in the modern economy. It's one way
               | in which our system is kinda anti-human--it assumes a
               | kind of game-playing that's seen as _wrong_ by people,
               | naturally, and you _have to_ play that game or you can 't
               | succeed. "What the market will bear" doesn't feel fair to
               | people until they're _made to_ see it as fair.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | Price is just a symptom or manifestation. People
               | naturally see it as unfair to take advantage of someone
               | based on a power imbalance or information asymmetry. So
               | charging an excessive price or paying a starvation wage
               | is just one way to take advantage, but there are other
               | non-monetary ways as well. Attempts to impose "fair"
               | price or wage controls by legislative fiat or cultural
               | norms are doomed to fail because they don't resolve the
               | underlying cause.
        
               | NoImmatureAdHom wrote:
               | "AFAIK they're consistent throughout time and space as
               | far as history goes[0], and form a common base from which
               | more complex morality stems."
               | 
               | Not even close! Universalized morality (e.g., "stealing
               | is wrong") is a product of the last couple thousand
               | years, and it's only present in some modern humans. It is
               | the foundation of WEIRD (Western, Educated,
               | Industrialized, Rich, Democratic) psychology.
               | 
               | If you're curious about what other kinds of human
               | experience can be like, I recommend checking out some
               | ethnographies. Here's a summary of one:
               | https://peacefulsocieties.uncg.edu/wp-
               | content/uploads/2015/1...
        
               | ckemere wrote:
               | I think you missed "in group" vs "out group" in this
               | comment?
        
               | TroubledTrumpet wrote:
               | I would think that the distinction lies in the time it
               | takes to reach consensus. An individual person's moral
               | values may change rapidly without the need for external
               | validation. A book club may take a few weeks of debate
               | over a heavily philosophical book to modify the perceived
               | moral values of the group as a whole. But stretching
               | large moral shifts across an entire populace would
               | probably take more time and a more concerted effort to
               | accomplish. New ideas or values need time to be sorted,
               | whether they be picked up into the mainstream view or
               | dropped into unfavourability.
        
           | cmrdporcupine wrote:
           | Honestly, the way I see it: The people behind the 2025 stuff
           | etc have been on the "losing" side of the culture war since
           | 1969.
           | 
           | And they're sick of it, they're desperate, and now are just
           | laying their cards on the table.
           | 
           | I grew up in an evangelical church in the 80s-- albeit in
           | Canada -- attending "Focus on the Family" events, Bible
           | studies, etc. that promulgated heavy socially conservative
           | ethos -- so I feel like I have seen this narrative play out
           | over a few decades ...
           | 
           | After the legalization of gay marriage they just collectively
           | lost their shit. They see the stakes as being incredibly
           | high. They see abortion as straight up murder. Winning the
           | 2016 Trump presidency and taking over the US supreme court
           | gave them a taste of blood, and a sense that they can finally
           | reverse what they see as a profound descent into degeneracy.
           | The trans rights stuff over the last few years has them
           | totally incensed, as its a full-on assault (to them) on the
           | ontological reality of family, body, identity, etc. that they
           | consider intrinsic and holy and fundamental.
           | 
           | I think they're full of shit, but that's I think how this
           | world view shakes down. It's a war because they feel the
           | stakes are incredibly high.
           | 
           | People on the right or in boardrooms of various companies
           | that are aligning themselves with these people for what they
           | see are strategic ends are playing with fire.
        
             | andrewflnr wrote:
             | As someone who grew up in an evangelical environment, this
             | is exactly my read as well. The problem is they might still
             | be able to "win" via a sufficient application of violence,
             | aka state power, despite being wrong and in the minority.
        
               | grumpy-de-sre wrote:
               | I mean are we talking about the USA here or Iran?
        
             | aaaja wrote:
             | The pushback against trans rights advocacy is quite
             | interesting because unlike with same-sex marriage, there
             | are several distinct groups opposing it for fundamentally
             | different reasons. Religious conservatives are one group.
             | Radical feminists, female athletes, medical whistleblowers
             | are others. And almost everyone draws a firm line against
             | accepting gender identity beliefs in their romantic and
             | sexual lives.
             | 
             | Trying to redefine "woman" and "man", "female" and "male",
             | "homosexual" and "heterosexual" - and then reengineering
             | society by decree based on these controversial
             | redefinitions - is going to get opposition across the
             | board.
             | 
             | I think this is why it's become such a hot "culture war"
             | topic, because it undermines the deeply-held views of many,
             | many more people than just religious conservatives.
             | 
             | Take gay marriage for instance - this was fought both for
             | and against on the basis of it being a same-sex union. But
             | from the perspective of gender identity believers, if, for
             | example, someone female merely identifies as male, then
             | marries a male (who also identifies as male), then this is
             | a "gay marriage" too. Despite this actually being a
             | heterosexual pairing.
             | 
             | On top of this, where these beliefs have been forced into
             | law and policy, it has caused actual physical harms. Women
             | being raped and impregnated by male prisoners who
             | identified their way into the female prison estate is
             | amongst the worst of these. But lawmakers in states that
             | have enabled this will claim it's progressive policy,
             | somehow. Even though it's regressing back to over a century
             | ago when mixed-sex prisons where commonplace and
             | incarcerated women were at constant risk of sexual violence
             | and exploitation from the men they were locked up with.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | I think trans advocacy is interesting and different from
               | gay rights because it goes beyond "live and let live" and
               | is also an ontological battle. That is to say, it is a
               | battle not just for equal rights, but over what people
               | think, believe, and desire.
               | 
               | It ask is not just for the right to exist, but to be
               | placed within the gender heterosexuals are attracted to
               | and accepted as no different. In this way, it lacks the
               | libertarian arguments of gay rights.
               | 
               | The movement is is inherently cultural and poorly suited
               | for adjudication the legal/political sphere. Courts and
               | laws can't make people love, accept, or believe someone
               | is a given gender.
        
               | cmrdporcupine wrote:
               | Maybe you're too young to remember when "gay rights" was
               | also an "ontological battle" ? -- a huge a fight over
               | whether such an "identity" was anything other than a
               | fundamental deviance, and a lot of rhetoric to the effect
               | that it violates "natural order." It wasn't just
               | theological thing from Christians, it came from the
               | mainstream of society.
               | 
               | Some people still speak this way in North America but it
               | is fringe. It wasn't fringe when I was a kid. It was the
               | expected way of thinking about sexuality.
               | 
               | In the early 80s at least there was only two "mainstream"
               | ways to talk about homosexuality, as far as I can recall:
               | 
               | 1. what happens in people's bedrooms is none of my
               | business, just don't talk about it in public and expect
               | tolerance, or
               | 
               | 2. this is total deviance and a mental illness and needs
               | to be cured. (Oh, and they _deserve_ HIV for such
               | unnatural behaviour.)
               | 
               | That changed, but only in the 90s/2000s, to an
               | understanding that homosexuality itself is "natural"
               | ("born this way"), and the so-called iron-clad laws of
               | natural behaviour were "allowed" to include
               | homosexuality. And even gay marriage.
               | 
               | Appeals to laws of nature and assumptions about what is
               | natural mask ideology, and often look completely
               | ridiculous 50 years later.
        
               | cmrdporcupine wrote:
               | I dunno man, "citation needed" about a lot of your
               | screed.
               | 
               | On the whole the freaking out about "trans" stuff is
               | mostly a red herring or strawman used for strategic
               | propagandistic purposes more than it is reflecting any
               | real world problematic.
               | 
               | Making outlandish claims about how liberals are trying to
               | do X, Y, and Z to their children's education or sports
               | forces liberals onto the defensive forcing them to defend
               | hormone therapy for 12 year olds or whatever when the
               | actual number of real world incidents of this is
               | vanishingly small.
               | 
               | I don't personally carry any kind of radical gender
               | identity theory, but I care about the rights of
               | minorities and it's none of my business what other people
               | do and I see no problem with the public and corporate
               | sphere accomodate pronoun usages or even bathroom
               | accomodations, it's unlikely to cause harms and it
               | doesn't hurt me in the slightest.
               | 
               | It's also somewhat ... interesting ... to bring up
               | defense of female prisoner's rights and their conditions
               | as some kind of demarcation point.
               | 
               | Is the socially conservative right concerned about humane
               | prisons now?
               | 
               | Because that would be great. But unlikely.
        
               | recursive wrote:
               | > Is the socially conservative right concerned about
               | humane prisons now?
               | 
               | > Because that would be great. But unlikely.
               | 
               | I don't know where I'm at on this, but this is ad
               | hominem. You can't discredit an argument based on who's
               | making it. If you're opposed to humane prisons, just say
               | so. But that's not what I'm getting.
        
             | bloomingeek wrote:
             | Ditto.
        
             | SAI_Peregrinus wrote:
             | The evangelicals believe that anyone who doesn't believe in
             | their god will be tortured by their god for eternity.
             | There's nothing worse than eternal torture, so they see it
             | as their moral obligation to do _anything at all_ to
             | prevent others from being tortured for eternity by their
             | god. Nothing they do to others can possibly be worse than
             | that, so as long as they 're focused on saving others any
             | actions they take are justified (to them).
             | 
             | Their god considers gay sex a crime worthy of eternal
             | torture. So anything they do to prevent people from having
             | homosexual encounters is morally acceptable, up to and
             | including torture & occasional execution via "conversion
             | therapy".
             | 
             | Anyone who truly believes in hell is either morally
             | bankrupt & willing to allow others to suffer for eternity,
             | or a dangerous monster who will stop at nothing to prevent
             | others from what they see as sinning.
             | 
             | Many of them don't go to the extremes they would if they
             | actually believed they were saving others from hell.
             | They're full of shit. But some of them do, and they're
             | _fucking terrifying_.
        
           | bloomingeek wrote:
           | Your quoted sentence is an example of a group of people who
           | have no idea of how to run a country. They are using the
           | uneducated voter to support an agenda that is mostly
           | unconstitutional. We Americans, just like other countries
           | with a rule of law, determine our own culture within those
           | laws.
           | 
           | To use federal power to reshape our culture is both arrogant
           | and, since Project 2025 is how they want to do the reshaping,
           | is against the New Testament principle of "live and let
           | live". (another way to state this principle is: "Christian,
           | mind your own business and stay in your lane.")
        
             | kelipso wrote:
             | This doesn't really make sense. The Democrats mainly, but
             | also Republicans, have been reshaping our culture using
             | federal funding for many many years now, using rules
             | associated with federal funding, decisions for where
             | federal funding goes to (one clear example being museum and
             | arts funding), policies handed down from Department of
             | Education and other federal organizations and departments,
             | etc etc.
             | 
             | I guess more people notice it now that Republicans are
             | doing this so openly but the use of federal power to
             | reshape our culture is a well established process.
             | 
             | Also what does live and let live get them, especially with
             | the other side pushing so hard? A slippery slope to an
             | immoral society.
        
               | jack_h wrote:
               | Just to add a bit more credence to this post, I'd point
               | to Thomas Sowell's "The Vision of the Anointed" which is
               | 30 years old and discusses the intrusion of the federal
               | government in shaping culture from the perspective of the
               | right over many decades.
               | 
               | I've noticed that left leaning individuals tend to view
               | their philosophies as neutral and when the federal
               | government exerts its power in continuance of these
               | philosophies it is viewed as a neutral application of the
               | constitution. The right currently sees what they are
               | doing in exactly the same way, a neutral application of
               | the constitution.
               | 
               | I actually think we have two conflicting constitutions at
               | this point. The rigid written one we are all familiar
               | with, and a more flexible unwritten one that is based on
               | precedent, regulation, and legislation. The right tends
               | to prefer the former, the left the latter. As an example
               | I think Roe v. Wade, ended up being a part of this
               | unwritten constitution which conflicted with the written
               | constitution. You then saw this culminate in the Dobbs
               | decision where the left thinks a right has been taken
               | away and the right thinks it was never a right according
               | to the constitution.
        
               | kmeisthax wrote:
               | What you call an "unwritten constitution" is the
               | fundamental idea behind common law, which is basically
               | the default in majority-English-speaking countries.
               | Outside the Anglosphere[0] the standard is "civil law",
               | which means that the law is _only_ the stuff that was
               | actually written down and decided upon by the
               | parliamentary body. Everything else is optional; you aren
               | 't forced to "obey precedent", but may "follow
               | jurisprudence" if such rulings provide relevant
               | argumentation to the facts of the case.
               | 
               | This isn't a left/right thing, it's a British/French
               | thing. And being a former British colony, America is very
               | strictly a common law country. That's why we even have to
               | care about the Supreme Court _at all_. The Constitution
               | merely says that there _is_ a thing called a  "Supreme
               | Court", and that Congress can make more courts if it
               | wants to. In the early days of America, SCOTUS got handed
               | to them a constitutional crisis, squinted at the
               | Constitution, remembered how common law precedent
               | actually works, and said, "well, that means we have the
               | power of judicial review".
               | 
               | So naturally, the Constitution _always_ has an unwritten
               | component; to get rid of that would be effectively making
               | a new Constitution. What people are squabbling over is
               | what should and shouldn 't be in the unwritten component,
               | not whether or not it exists. Originalism and textualism
               | deny the unwritten component, but nobody is actually an
               | Originalist or textualist. There's no historical
               | justification for the people who wrote the Constitution
               | to want a civil law interpretation of it. Remember, they
               | were all British lawyers and politicians. What
               | Originalists and textualists are actually doing is using
               | their ideology as an excuse to overturn precedent they
               | don't like. If they were _really_ Originalists, they 'd
               | be shutting SCOTUS down.
               | 
               | [0] Sharia Law and Mao-style "We won't tell you what the
               | law is" bullshit notwithstanding
        
               | jack_h wrote:
               | My abortion example may have muddied my point more than
               | it helped, sorry about that. Let me try to articulate it
               | more clearly. I'm (mostly) not discussing common law as I
               | am focusing on the federal level. Common law tends to be
               | more of a state concept (except Louisiana). As the
               | Supreme Court held in Erie:
               | 
               | "Except in matters governed by the Federal Constitution
               | or by Acts of Congress, the law to be applied in any case
               | is the law of the State. And whether the law of the State
               | shall be declared by its Legislature in a statute or by
               | its highest court in a decision is not a matter of
               | federal concern. _There is no federal general common
               | law_. Congress has no power to declare substantive rules
               | of common law applicable in a State, whether they be
               | local in their nature or  "general," be they commercial
               | law or a part of the law of torts. And no clause in the
               | Constitution purports to confer such a power upon the
               | federal courts."
               | 
               | There are matters of common law at the federal level, but
               | they're not central to my broader point. When I say
               | "unwritten constitution" I am referring to a set of laws,
               | statutes, customs, and judicial decisions which together
               | form an unwritten constitution that are non-binding to
               | future legislative efforts. The Magna Carta and the 1689
               | English Bill of Rights still make up a part of the
               | unwritten constitution of the UK, although the former is
               | mostly symbolic at this point. However, no parliament can
               | bind a future parliament in the UK. So if they wanted to
               | repeal the 1689 Bill of Rights they could do so
               | legislatively right now. The major advancement of the
               | founding generation was the idea of a written
               | constitution, one that could bind future legislators -
               | and technically the other branches - so that the
               | constitution itself had to be changed through a separate
               | process. In other words Congress cannot repeal our Bill
               | of Rights right now, it would have to go through the
               | arduous amendment process. So when I speak of an
               | unwritten constitution I am referring specifically to the
               | non-binding nature of the laws and statutes that make up
               | a set of foundational rules for a society. The phrases
               | "unwritten constitution" and "written constitution" are
               | fairly old and unfortunately are a bit of a misnomer in
               | what they actually mean.
               | 
               | > The Constitution merely says that there is a thing
               | called a "Supreme Court", and that Congress can make more
               | courts if it wants to.
               | 
               | That's actually a good place to start for an example.
               | Chief Justice Roberts stated recently that "[f]or more
               | than two centuries, it has been established that
               | impeachment is not an appropriate response to
               | disagreement concerning a judicial decision. The normal
               | appellate review process exists for that purpose." This
               | highlights my point fairly well. The written
               | constitution, the one that cannot be changed through
               | normal legislative means, makes no such determination as
               | to what is or is not appropriate and merely grants
               | Congress the power of impeachment without even defining
               | what high crimes or misdemeanors means. What I would
               | argue has become a part of our unwritten constitution is
               | as Roberts describes, a set of appellate courts with
               | specific jurisdiction where the appropriate course of
               | action for an unfavorable opinion is to appeal. However,
               | Congress can add or remove inferior courts and determine
               | their procedural rules and jurisdiction pretty much at
               | will. In other words this set of courts, laws and customs
               | developed by the legislator does not bar a future
               | legislator from changing it to something wholly different
               | if they so desire.
               | 
               | Another example would be independent agencies under the
               | executive which has become a hot button topic lately.
               | Article 2 Section 1 states that "[t]he executive Power
               | shall be vested in a President of the United States of
               | America." However, for a long time now we have had
               | independent agencies which were created legislatively
               | with a certain degree of insulation from Presidential
               | control. I would argue that this is another example of a
               | part of an unwritten constitution that does not bind any
               | future legislator. It's also an area of extreme friction
               | between the written one and the set of laws, customs, and
               | precedent that we have developed over many decades.
               | 
               | Hopefully those two examples are more informative as
               | neither are really central to common law.
               | 
               | > In the early days of America, SCOTUS got handed to them
               | a constitutional crisis, squinted at the Constitution,
               | remembered how common law precedent actually works, and
               | said, "well, that means we have the power of judicial
               | review".
               | 
               | That deserves a reply far longer than I can provide here.
               | In general while I see the utility of judicial review I
               | would argue it doesn't make sense when it comes to
               | disputes between the federal government and a state, i.e.
               | the federal government via the judiciary gets to have the
               | final word over what is constitutional when a state
               | challenges the federal government over the
               | constitutionality of some federal action. I would also
               | argue that Marbury v. Madison was one of the first bricks
               | of an unwritten constitution being constructed as for the
               | most part everyone just passively accepted it, but it is
               | not explicitly called out in Article 3. However, there
               | are good arguments against this.
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | As always, much of the conflict comes down to what
             | constitutes "your lane".
             | 
             | The government we have is far from a libertarian "live and
             | let live", regulating nearly every aspect of life and
             | taxing one person to give to another.
             | 
             | It decides what children are taught, who can work jobs,
             | what is a crime, and who pays for different services.
        
         | fransje26 wrote:
         | > and cannot cope with things going back to normal.
         | 
         | I would argue that we worked our way to the post cold-war
         | golden age, and then destroyed it with greed, which led to
         | financial pain, which led to political nonsense, which led to
         | the rubbish we are in right now.
         | 
         | So the period we are in right now is not the "back to normal"
         | phase, but an actual decrease of human evolution. Not
         | dissimilar to things that happened in the past, for example
         | with the collapse of the roman empire.
        
           | 127 wrote:
           | I would add pride, wrath, envy, lust, gluttony, and sloth.
           | (CatGPT did a pretty good job: https://dpaste.com/HTS9DWRNZ-
           | preview)
        
             | dullcrisp wrote:
             | Wait tell me more about CatGPT
        
               | bckr wrote:
               | I prefer Clawed
        
               | layer8 wrote:
               | The French claim that it farts.
        
               | nosmokewhereiam wrote:
               | "Cat I farted" in French, fwiw
        
             | goatlover wrote:
             | Woe, Frolic, Dread, Malice - world needs to be severed.
        
           | AnimalMuppet wrote:
           | "People do not change that much morally."
           | 
           | Greed is part of what humans are. It's part of what destroys
           | societies. Building a society that can survive human nature
           | long term is an unsolved problem.
           | 
           | You sound like you expected that, after the end of the Cold
           | War, we had a perfect society, and then we fell from a state
           | of grace and ruined it. No, after the end of the Cold War,
           | the pressure was removed that had been keeping us from acting
           | on our worst impulses. Turns out that many of us were worse
           | than we expected.
        
           | WillAdams wrote:
           | Yeah, we need a better take on society and education --- see
           | the discussion of Ursula K. LeGuin's essay "The Child and the
           | Shadow":
           | 
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43525079
        
         | dfxm12 wrote:
         | _The world gets both better and worse._
         | 
         | It doesn't _have_ to get worse. Conversely, it doesn 't have to
         | get better, either, but at this point, we've got a lot of
         | history that shows us what has and hasn't worked. I think the
         | measure of how people are doing worth focusing on is how much
         | of their potential they've fulfilled. I'm not really interested
         | in how generally well off someone is today compared to someone
         | in some random point in history because there are too many
         | outliers on both ends of that one.
        
         | barbazoo wrote:
         | > cannot cope with things going back to normal.
         | 
         | Interesting take on "normal" by Canadian physician Gabor Mate.
         | 
         | https://drgabormate.com/book/the-myth-of-normal/
        
       | keiferski wrote:
       | Good article. The point about contemporary philosophers not
       | having grand theories is something that comes up frequently in
       | philosophy spaces (i.e., /r/academicphilosophy or
       | https://dailynous.com).
       | 
       | The problem is that the academic system is really not designed to
       | select such individuals, instead optimizing for specialized
       | publications, pedigree, etc. The average philosopher has zero
       | incentive for constructing grand theories and indeed is typically
       | ridiculed for even attempting to do so.
       | 
       | And so instead the best "public intellectuals" the world of
       | philosophy can offer are either obsessively focused on particular
       | issues rather than the field as a whole, (e.g., Peter Singer) or
       | are entirely philosophically-uneducated charlatans who want to
       | sell books and make money, not discover truth (e.g. Sam Harris,
       | talking heads on Twitter, Substack, etc.) that unfortunately get
       | an audience. The closest we get are probably Charles Taylor (big
       | scope, but unfortunately too verbose and abstruse) or Zizek (too
       | niche and far into his own entertainment career.)
       | 
       | I'm not sure what the solution is, but it probably involves a
       | brilliant (and credentialed) philosopher that is also savvy with
       | YouTube and willing to disregard the academic philosophy social
       | milieu.
        
         | nonrandomstring wrote:
         | The problem is not limited to philosophy. All of academia is
         | broken this way. Sadly, we think the only alternative is
         | "industry", an equally broken set of incentives. That limits
         | fronts of human progress to two types. We either get committee-
         | driven institutional science leveraging huge resources,
         | supercomputers, particle accelerators - blighted by cutthroat
         | competition, opaque "publishing" and fraud - or radical
         | populist individuals and small unaffiliated groups of thinkers
         | able to operate without material resources. The Goldilocks zone
         | of quiet, contemplative science, of whimsical, "high-risk"
         | enquiry reminiscent of the Enlightenment, is gone in the 21st
         | century.
        
           | keiferski wrote:
           | Agreed and that is a really good, but simple, point that I
           | didn't realize as clearly before: there is no real
           | alternative to the academia vs. industry dichotomy. What is
           | needed might be a third option that allows for exploration
           | without the pressures of profits or publications.
        
             | 082349872349872 wrote:
             | Your third option sounds suspiciously similar to golden-age
             | DARPA, which had been created in response to the launch of
             | Sputnik in 1957?
        
             | 20after4 wrote:
             | The traditional 3rd option was the patronage by a rich
             | benefactor. The modern version is patreon. It's imperfect
             | but seems to work pretty well for some.
        
               | keiferski wrote:
               | Patreon is still dependent on the creator caring about
               | what their audience wants, what the market wants, etc.
               | This is a distinctly "populist" approach, which does have
               | its downsides: specifically if there is important work
               | that doesn't have a wide audience, or takes years to get
               | any results.
        
         | econ wrote:
         | I won't call it a grand theory but I like this solution to the
         | puzzle.
         | 
         | https://gaby.wordpress.com/2025/03/20/wilde-democracy/
        
           | judahmeek wrote:
           | I would like the idea of voting diplomas, but ensuring that
           | such gate-keeping can evolve over time without being gamed to
           | slowly strip a larger & larger fraction of the population of
           | representation over time is a really tricky problem.
           | 
           | Thus, I think that the freedom to vote & to hold office
           | should be enshrined in the constitution for everyone,
           | regardless of criminal history or citizenship.
        
       | nonrandomstring wrote:
       | The key argument I read here is that, due to specialisation,
       | academic philosophy is currently unfit to apprehend today's
       | problems. It is no longer capable of incorporating politics, and
       | politics itself has escaped rational discourse. Historians are
       | enjoying some new limelight, and popular value-revisionism is in
       | the air, at least if Lucy Worsley's BBC series is anything to go
       | by.
       | 
       | The question is: "What is progress, really?"
        
       | hawkjo wrote:
       | Nice article, but framing it around the doomsday clock felt like
       | the author just needed to express his angst on whatever page was
       | in front of him
        
       | benzayb wrote:
       | "Hegel, installed from above, by the powers that be, as the
       | certified Great Philosopher, was a flat-headed, insipid,
       | nauseating, illiterate charlatan, who reached the pinnacle of
       | audacity in scribbling together and dishing up the craziest
       | mystifying nonsense. This nonsense has been noisily proclaimed as
       | immortal wisdom by mercenary followers and readily accepted as
       | such by all fools, who thus joined into as perfect a chorus of
       | admiration as had ever been heard before. The extensive field of
       | spiritual influence with which Hegel was furnished by those in
       | power has enabled him to achieve the intellectual corruption of a
       | whole generation."
       | 
       | -- Schopenhauer
        
         | bryanrasmussen wrote:
         | Schopenhauer! He's one of the guys in the quotes of the big
         | time jerks article!
         | 
         | https://medium.com/luminasticity/quotes-of-the-big-time-jerk...
        
       | MrsPeaches wrote:
       | Excellent book on the theme using Zambia in the 70s as a case
       | study:
       | 
       | Expectations of Modernity explores the social and cultural
       | responses to a prolonged period of sharp economic decline. [1]
       | 
       | "From now on, it's just down, down, down..." sighed one informant
       | (p. 13). As Ferguson argues, "Zambia's recent crisis is not only
       | an economic crisis but a crisis of meaning, in which the way
       | people are able to understand their experi- ence and imbue it
       | with significance and dignity has (for many) been dramatical- ly
       | eroded" (p.15). [2]
       | 
       | Not that long afterwards there was a revolution.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.ucpress.edu/books/expectations-of-
       | modernity/pape...
       | 
       | [2]
       | https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/002190960303800...
        
       | dachworker wrote:
       | What strikes me is how much of these current geopolitical events
       | are driven by singular individuals whose current inclinations
       | were shaped by their very arbitrary past encounters. For example,
       | if you take the current US administration's hostility towards
       | Europe. That might just be the result of the Vice President being
       | at Yale and encountering a few snobby children of European old
       | money, and they might have been a bit too mean to him, and that
       | might be the sole reason he has so much antipathy towards the
       | whole of Europe.
        
       | _rm wrote:
       | All a bunch of narcissists who's whole MO is showing off how
       | smart they can be with words, with net negative to society.
       | 
       | Literally if all the morally righteous smartarses from Marx to
       | Hegel to whichever modern university-produced cretins had done
       | the world a favour and died nice and young the world would be a
       | far better place.
        
       | api wrote:
       | It's a story of the unfolding of human progress told by an idiot,
       | full of sound and fury that signifies nothing if you pay
       | attention to what the idiot thinks is important.
        
       | damnitbuilds wrote:
       | History stopped being useful and became a meaningless recreation
       | when it moved away from the fact that facts are absolute, not
       | relative to the observer.
        
         | vintermann wrote:
         | Find me an absolute point, and I'll move the world.
        
         | alabastervlog wrote:
         | You're relying on something that's not a fact, to make this
         | post.
        
       | farts_mckensy wrote:
       | Idealism sucks ass.
        
         | 20after4 wrote:
         | Ideally, it sucks the most ass of all.
        
       | lenerdenator wrote:
       | > China, Russia and the United States are all spending huge sums
       | to expand or modernise their nuclear arsenals, adding to the
       | ever-present danger of nuclear war through mistake or
       | miscalculation.
       | 
       | An annoyance of mine is that this person is from Europe and seems
       | to ignore that the UK[0] and France[1] are modernizing and, at
       | least in the UK's case, expanding their stockpiles.
       | 
       | There seems to be a continental myopia towards the European role
       | in adding to the problems of the world.
       | 
       | EDIT: You can downvote me all you want, it doesn't make me wrong.
       | 
       | [0]https://fas.org/publication/delays-deferment-and-
       | continuous-...
       | 
       | [1]https://thebulletin.org/premium/2023-07/nuclear-notebook-
       | fre...
        
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