[HN Gopher] One island, two worlds (Haiti vs. Dominican Republic)
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       One island, two worlds (Haiti vs. Dominican Republic)
        
       Author : marojejian
       Score  : 50 points
       Date   : 2025-03-30 18:10 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.economist.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.economist.com)
        
       | marojejian wrote:
       | No paywall: https://archive.is/DkjIV
        
       | marojejian wrote:
       | To me the core lesson here is the incredible value of stable
       | political and economic institutions.
       | 
       | (even after adjusting for the incredible injustice of all the
       | external actors, and nature itself).
       | 
       | If you are lucky enough to get such a stable system, it's a high
       | priority to defend it. Don't weaken it for marginal improvements
       | for your cause.
        
         | hybrid_study wrote:
         | that was more or less Jared Diamond's take in his book
         | "Collapse". Both countries have struggled historically but the
         | DR made better decisions when it came to environment
         | conservation, which can be seen as a product of having more
         | stable institutions
        
         | TMWNN wrote:
         | Relevant: TIL that Haiti has had 23 constitutions since 1801,
         | with the most recent being enacted in 2012. At least two have
         | declared the country to be an empire. <https://np.reddit.com/r/
         | todayilearned/comments/3t5wzt/til_th...>
        
           | Svip wrote:
           | That Reddit discussion is from 9 years ago. There is a new
           | constitution _possibly_ coming up: https://en.wikipedia.org/w
           | iki/2025_Haitian_constitutional_re...
        
             | inglor_cz wrote:
             | A presidential system with FPTP in a historically unstable
             | country seems ripe for dictatorial abuse.
             | 
             | Turkey is much more stable than Haiti, but Erdogan managed
             | to build an authoritarian system centered around him
             | anyway, and a constitutional change towards presidential
             | system was a crucial step.
             | 
             | Presidential system might work in France and the US, but
             | especially in the US the near future of it is still
             | uncertain. Trying it in countries that barely hold together
             | doesn't seem wise.
        
               | skissane wrote:
               | > Presidential system might work in France
               | 
               | France has a semipresidential system, not a presidential
               | system - it has both a President directly elected by the
               | voters, and a Prime Minister accountable to the
               | legislature, with the two having a (somewhat complicated
               | and uneasy) division of powers - essentially, the
               | President controls foreign relations and the military,
               | the Prime Minister controls most domestic policies. It
               | works reasonably well when both President and Prime
               | Minister are from the same party, it works with more
               | acrimony when they are from opposed parties
               | (cohabitation), the recent political upheavals in France
               | have led more and more to question if it is still the
               | right system, or whether France should return to the
               | parliamentary system of its Third and Fourth republics -
               | but, even at its worst, I think it still works better
               | than the presidential system used by the US and much of
               | Latin America. The presidential system concentrates too
               | much power in a single individual, who is difficult to
               | hold accountable, leading to the problem of strongmen
               | (caudillos) which have been a plague upon Latin American
               | history-and maybe now with Trump the US is starting to
               | move in the same direction
        
         | rayiner wrote:
         | You're burying the lede, which is that "stable political and
         | economic institutions" are that way because of _the people_.
         | Not just the people in the institutions, but the people served
         | by the institutions. Try reading the constitutions of some of
         | these dysfunctional places sometime--there 's nothing wrong
         | with the words on the paper.
         | 
         | So your point about whether "you are lucky enough to get such a
         | stable system" is inaccurate. It's not luck. People created
         | those systems. You can even see how that processed happened,
         | deliberately, in recent history in places like Singapore.
        
           | skybrian wrote:
           | Sure, there were people who created those systems, but most
           | didn't really get a choice in how it happened. Singapore
           | seems like a pretty good example of that, too?
        
           | jyounker wrote:
           | It's hard to create a stable state when the US, England, and
           | France have spent well over a hundred years actively
           | undermining your country.
           | 
           | The first half of Behind The Bastard's episode on Baby Doc
           | has a pretty good summary:
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTEEokXizd8
        
           | marojejian wrote:
           | What about the people in the DR are/were fundamentally
           | different from the people in Haiti? and why did these people
           | change so dramatically around 1960?
        
           | darksaints wrote:
           | The US is on their _second republic_ because the articles of
           | confederation failed, and is looking down the barrel of a
           | second dissolution as we speak. France is on their _fifth
           | republic_ , because _the previous four republics failed_. If
           | France's latest success is due to their people, wouldn't that
           | contradict their previous failures?
           | 
           | Sure, the people have an outsized influence on the success of
           | a nation, but the institutions also shape the people and
           | empower some people over others. Can you imagine how much
           | differently the US would look if it wasn't founded on slavery
           | and oppression? If women didnt have to wait 150 years to
           | vote? If we didn't institutionalize a gerrymanderable
           | legislative system?
           | 
           | The institutions matter AND people matter, but bad
           | institutions empower terrible people.
        
             | kortilla wrote:
             | > and is looking down the barrel of a second dissolution as
             | we speak.
             | 
             | Where is there evidence of this?
        
             | skissane wrote:
             | > France is on their fifth republic, because the previous
             | four republics failed.
             | 
             | I don't think that is really fair on France - many of those
             | failures were due to defeats in war - for example, the
             | Third Republic didn't "fail", it was conquered by Nazi
             | Germany - and when it was liberated, the French decided to
             | take the opportunity to rewrite their constitution, but I
             | think that was a choice rather than something they were
             | forced into.
             | 
             | And the Fifth Republic was engineered by de Gaulle given
             | the opportunity of the 1958 coup attempt. If de Gaulle had
             | unexpectedly died of a heart attack in 1957, the Fourth
             | Republic might have survived. Probably the 1958 coup
             | attempt would still have occurred even absent de Gaulle -
             | but neither its success nor failure would have
             | _necessitated_ a rewrite of the constitution (as opposed to
             | maybe just some tweaks), although certainly it could have
             | resulted in one. Even de Gaulle _didn't have to_ rewrite
             | the constitution, he decided he wanted to and was handed
             | the opportunity to get what he wanted, but maybe in some
             | alternative timeline he didn't feel as strongly about that
             | and so the constitutional rewrite never happened
             | 
             | Why didn't the American Civil War result in a rewrite of
             | the US constitution? Probably because the Union had a clear
             | and convincing victory. If the Union had lost, or if the
             | war had turned into a stalemate, much greater odds the US
             | constitution would not have survived it - a less-defeated
             | Confederacy might have negotiated reintegration into the
             | Union subject to a constitutional rewrite; if the
             | Confederacy had won and retained its independence, the
             | Union might well have decided to write a new constitution
             | in response.
        
           | chgs wrote:
           | Singapore didn't have any democracy for decades. You can't
           | build a nation and a democracy at the same time.
           | 
           | You need the benevolent dictator, then the stability, then
           | the slow introduction of government by the people over
           | decades.
        
         | H8crilA wrote:
         | This is called conservatism. It also shows that Trump and his
         | court are not conservatives at all.
        
       | TulliusCicero wrote:
       | Hard to see how this could be solved, outside of Haiti being
       | "lucky" enough to get one gang leader who defeats the others and
       | tries to establish a stable government.
       | 
       | A serious international intervention is basically a non-starter.
       | Rich countries would be accused of colonialism and sharply
       | criticized for any mistake, other countries in the region don't
       | have the money or force capability, and nobody has a real
       | motivation to pursue such a thankless task. If I remember right,
       | Haitians themselves are pretty iffy on even wanting security
       | provided by foreigners (due to history).
        
         | RainyDayTmrw wrote:
         | You have to admit, the track record for international
         | intervention is extremely spotty. When was the last time that a
         | rich country went into a poor country, for non-self-serving
         | motivations, and fixed most big issues? I freely admit that I'm
         | not a good student of history, but I can't actually think of
         | one.
        
           | brcmthrowaway wrote:
           | Aus intervention in East Timor.
        
             | galfarragem wrote:
             | Australia had oil interests in the region.
        
           | adamnemecek wrote:
           | UK intervention in Sierra Leone in 2000.
        
           | nindalf wrote:
           | You've made the requirements impossible to satisfy when you
           | added "non-self-serving motivations". The world is relatively
           | small and disasters have ripple effects. Almost any action a
           | country takes will either help or hurt them. Since the people
           | in charge will mostly try to take actions that help their
           | country, they look self serving now.
           | 
           | A sibling comment mentioned the Australian intervention in
           | East Timor. I can easily dismiss that by saying "well the
           | Australians have a vested interest in a stable neighbourhood.
           | They're just self pricks looking out for themselves". This
           | statement would be technically correct but also pretty
           | meaningless in this discussion.
        
           | TulliusCicero wrote:
           | > for non-self-serving motivations
           | 
           | That's a gotcha if I've ever seen one. Why would self serving
           | motivations be a disqualifier? Not to mention, you can
           | basically argue that it's always self serving motivations no
           | matter what.
           | 
           | That said, yeah things are more likely to go badly than to go
           | well. Nation building is hard; the allies were able to reform
           | Japan and (West) Germany because while they had evil states,
           | the states were at least functioning. It seems easier to
           | improve governments morally than functionally.
        
             | rayiner wrote:
             | Germany and Japan had highly functional states for
             | centuries--in the case of Japan, over a millennium--before
             | the allies installed democracy. Not only that, those places
             | had _cultures_ that had long internalized administration
             | and rule of law even if people couldn 't vote on those
             | systems.
        
               | broken-kebab wrote:
               | Germany as a single state emerged only at the second half
               | of XIX. You may argue that those multitude of German
               | states which existed before still count, but how more
               | functional each of them were compared to e.g. Khmer
               | Kingdom is an open question. What is 'functional' to
               | begin with? I probably would agree that there should be
               | some sort of pre-requisite for a working democracy, but
               | your theory of a 'functional state' (at least as I can
               | derive it from your commentaries) feels a bit too raw so
               | far
        
               | throwup238 wrote:
               | Functional means it has some form of bureaucracy that can
               | collect taxes on the productive population and use that
               | to do state things, usually provide for the defense of
               | that population against internal and external threats.
               | The actual system of government is irrelevant and in many
               | cases the state itself survives even radical political
               | change. What matters is whether it has the resources to
               | actually exert authority.
               | 
               | Haiti lost its functional state when the French
               | colonialists fled en masse after the 1804 massacre. Due
               | to racism, they were the only ones allowed in those
               | positions so when they left Haiti, it was left with no
               | one qualified to fill those positions. Since the
               | population were transplanted slaves, they had no tribal
               | traditions to fall back on. Without a continuity of
               | bureaucracy it was left hobbled to this day. Since the
               | state can't afford to police the population, these gangs
               | fill the void because they can use force to collect taxes
               | (in the broadest sense because usually this takes the
               | form of business shakedowns and roadblocks that they use
               | to extract money from the population).
        
               | pcwalton wrote:
               | What? This is totally ahistorical. The Meiji era (the
               | beginnings of what we might call a modern Japanese state)
               | didn't start until 1868. Before that, Japan was feudal
               | with wars happening all the time. Quoting from Wikipedia
               | about the infamously-chaotic Sengoku period in the 1400s
               | [1], which was just one of _many_ turbulent times prior
               | to the Meiji period:
               | 
               | > The period saw a breakdown in the traditional master-
               | servant relationship between a lord and his vassals, with
               | many instances of vassals rebelling against their lords,
               | internal dynastic conflict over lordships within noble
               | families (in which vassals would take sides), and the
               | installation of figurehead lords by cadet branches of
               | noble families.[3] The period was also marked by the
               | loosening of samurai culture, with people born into other
               | social strata sometimes making a name for themselves as
               | warriors and thus becoming samurai.
               | 
               | > [W]eariness of war, socioeconomic unrest and poor
               | treatment by aristocrats provoked the wrath of the
               | peasant class. Farmers, craftsmen, merchants and even
               | villages would organize uprisings (known as "ikki")
               | against the ruling class. An extraordinary example is the
               | Kaga Rebellion, in which the local ikki had staged a
               | large-scale revolt with the support of the True Pure Land
               | sect (thereby establishing the term ikko ikki) and
               | assumed control of the entire province of Kaga.
               | 
               | Whatever post-Heian, pre-Meiji Japan was, it was not an
               | orderly, harmonious society.
               | 
               | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sengoku_period
        
             | raincole wrote:
             | Japan had a limited democracy where only tax-paying males
             | could vote until their prime minister got assassinated. Way
             | before WWII.
        
           | mitthrowaway2 wrote:
           | Big issues are by nature hard to fix, but perhaps major UN
           | peacekeeping efforts count, like Rwanda or Kosovo?
        
           | legitster wrote:
           | Taiwan, Philippines, Egypt, South Korea. Arguably India, but
           | there was so much bad mixed with the good.
           | 
           | The Caribbean is a special case though where there are lots
           | of miraculous turnarounds because tourism is so lucrative.
        
             | paleotrope wrote:
             | What are these examples? Taiwan and South Korea could be
             | argued that Japanese colonialism and authoritarian states
             | are the reason they are successful today. Philippines was
             | an important Spanish trade colony for a few hundred years.
             | None of these were non self serving. As for Egypt are you
             | talking about the Ptolmaics?
        
             | rodgerd wrote:
             | > South Korea
             | 
             | The West supported an brutal military dictatorship in South
             | Korea for decades. South Korean democracy is the result of
             | internal struggle by the South Korean people.
        
               | walrus01 wrote:
               | > The West supported an brutal military dictatorship in
               | South Korea for decades. South Korean democracy is the
               | result of internal struggle by the South Korean people.
               | 
               | I mean, the US was a huge supporter of Suharto in
               | Indonesia as the "less bad" option to the thread of
               | communism, and Mubarak in Egypt as an alternative to the
               | worse option of a Islamic Brotherhood run state, or
               | possibly something even more deeply Soviet aligned. I
               | don't think there is any "lesser evil" warlord to pick in
               | Haiti right now and prop up above any of the others.
        
           | emmelaich wrote:
           | You have to have _some_ self-serving motivation to make it
           | worthwhile.
           | 
           | If you're just intervening because you're charitable and
           | nice, then things will be mismanaged and messed up.
           | 
           | Like the UN peacekeepers raping and spreading cholera in
           | Haiti.
        
         | rayiner wrote:
         | Western countries are fundamentally confused about how
         | democracy works, and they actively harm developing countries in
         | their ignorance. Democracy in modern Europe was preceded by
         | centuries of "the divine right of kings." European countries
         | had functional _states_ long before they had democracies.
         | 
         | But the west today tries to build democracy in countries that
         | lack any state to begin with (e.g. Afghanistan) or in countries
         | where they have destroyed the state (Iraq, Syria). They hassle
         | or intervene in developing countries with authoritarian
         | governments (e.g. Bangladesh, Philippines, etc.) while
         | overlooking their own histories.
        
           | jimkleiber wrote:
           | I wonder if there's a cultural element to it: do people
           | support democratic processes in their families,
           | neighborhoods, companies, etc? If not, I imagine it might be
           | hard to top-down enforce democracy.
        
             | guelo wrote:
             | Support for democratic institutions and the rule of law has
             | gone down in USA thanks to the MAGA movement. Is that
             | cultural?
        
               | mopenstein wrote:
               | That's democracy working as intended. If you don't like
               | it, get 50% + 1 of the population to do what you want.
        
               | esafak wrote:
               | No, it's not, it's a weakness of democracy, otherwise you
               | can 'democratically' enable any act, including aborting
               | democracy. There have to be guardrails.
        
               | mopenstein wrote:
               | So democracy only works when the outcome is one of which
               | you approve?
        
               | esafak wrote:
               | Yes, like sustaining democracy. I'm not a moral
               | relativist, and don't condone allowing democracy to be
               | wielded against itself. Nor would I tell the truth to an
               | axe-wielding murderer asking me for directions, pace
               | Kant. There is no grand philosophical paradox here; you
               | just have to apply some commonsense.
               | 
               | Would you be okay living in a democracy whose majority
               | voted to harm you?
        
               | mopenstein wrote:
               | If the outcomes of every vote are only valid based on
               | whether or not you personally approve, you don't want a
               | democracy, you want to be dictator. Or, at the least,
               | have a sham system where it appears that the people's
               | will is prevailing.
               | 
               | If the will of the people is to end their current form of
               | government and vote accordingly, how is that not
               | democracy working as intended?
               | 
               | And the entire world living under any form of democracy
               | already live in systems that voted to harm its citizens!
               | Taxation is theft by coercion!
        
               | esafak wrote:
               | Taxation is not theft, it is an obligation of living in a
               | civilized society. Without a government funded by taxes,
               | your country won't even be long for this world. Another
               | country that has its act together will take over yours
               | and you'll be having this philosophical debate from the
               | comfort of your new country.
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | So you're using "democracy" to mean the opposite of what
               | "democracy" means?
        
               | esafak wrote:
               | I don't think so. Democracy can mean many things, and I
               | don't live or want to live in a direct democracy, if
               | that's what you're thinking of:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Types_of_democracy
        
             | skissane wrote:
             | > I wonder if there's a cultural element to it: do people
             | support democratic processes in their families,
             | neighborhoods, companies, etc?
             | 
             | I don't think that's right - although some on the left have
             | advocated "industrial democracy" or "workplace democracy",
             | it has by and large failed to take off - many democratic
             | countries it doesn't really exist (beyond rare exceptions),
             | and even those which have some semblance of it (e.g. works
             | councils in the EU) it is in practice rather toothless,
             | comparable to the powerless "advisory" legislatures
             | established by some Middle Eastern monarchies
             | 
             | Families don't function democratically-the parents
             | negotiate things between themselves and the children don't
             | really have a choice in it until they get old enough to
             | leave the family home and fend for themselves.
             | 
             | My neighbourhood isn't a democracy - yes we have an elected
             | local government but it covers a much larger population and
             | territory than just our neighbourhood. Even if one's
             | neighbourhood has something like a "homeowners
             | association", that's usually timocratic (government by
             | property owners) not democratic (government by the people)
             | since renters don't get to vote, adult dependents of
             | homeowners don't get to vote, a couple may jointly own a
             | home but they get only one vote not two, some wealthy
             | person owns five homes so they get five votes, etc (and
             | sometimes even weighted voting, so rather than one property
             | one vote, more expensive properties may give you more votes
             | than cheaper ones)
        
             | rayiner wrote:
             | There's definitely a cultural element to it! Many of my
             | family members--college educated people from Bangladesh,
             | many of them living for decades in Canada and Australia--
             | have been celebrating the overthrow of the democratically
             | elected government in Bangladesh. The result of that was
             | replacing a somewhat authoritarian, but legitimately
             | elected and quite popular,[1] government with a military-
             | backed government nobody elected,[2].
             | 
             | Democracy doesn't come from reading books, it starts with
             | what parents say to their small children. I'm a Bangladeshi
             | married to a founding stock American. My wife was steeped
             | in democracy from the beginning. As a kid, she attended
             | mainline Protestant churches run by elected members of the
             | congregation, and her dad participated in local government
             | and civic organizations. This is so different from the
             | relationship Bangladeshis have with their communities.
             | 
             | [1] About 70% approval according to one western
             | organization's polling from 2023:
             | https://www.cfr.org/blog/new-bangladesh-survey-hasina-
             | remain....
             | 
             | [2] https://foreignpolicy.com/2025/02/05/bangladesh-
             | interim-gove...
        
           | cjbgkagh wrote:
           | Democracy in its current form of universal suffrage has only
           | existed for a relatively short period of time and has a very
           | different character to the long histories of democracies
           | which had restricted suffrage.
        
       | throwaway48476 wrote:
       | Hispaniola is the most excellent way to remove environmental
       | factors explanations.
        
       | areoform wrote:
       | There are uncomfortable truths in the world, and Haiti's story is
       | one of them.
       | 
       | After the slaves revolted and gained independence in 1804, the
       | state was embargoed. Haiti's first president, Alexandre Petion,
       | offered paying the value of the lost _land_ to the French
       | government.
       | 
       | Simultaneously, they reached out to the British and offered
       | favorable trade terms to them. But a slave revolt was seen as
       | untenable at the time and the British agreed to allow France to
       | pursue "whatever means possible, including that of arms, to
       | recover Saint-Domingue and to subdue the inhabitants of that
       | colony."
       | 
       | Around the same time, Haiti tried to ally itself with the US,
       | offering its ports + favorable trade. The US also sided with the
       | French against the former slave colony.
       | 
       | Facing military invasion, in 1825, they agreed to pay indemnity
       | for the value of the slaves lost by the French government for a
       | total of 150 million francs. As they couldn't pay the amount in
       | lump sum, Haiti was forced to enter into unfavorable loans with
       | the United States and France to pay the slavery debt. Around 80%+
       | of GDP was used to pay foreign debt                  By the late
       | 1800s, eighty percent of Haiti's wealth was being used to pay
       | foreign debt; France was the highest collector, followed by the
       | German Empire and the United States
       | 
       | Non-payment wasn't an option. In 1903, Haiti accused the capital
       | institutions France had set up for debt extraction within Haiti
       | of fraud. That threat led a coalition of private entities who
       | owned the bonds, working with the US State Department, to use the
       | US military to invade the former state.
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_occupation_of_Ha...
       | 
       | Haiti didn't pay off its debts until 1947. For reference, Joe
       | Biden was 5 years old when Haiti finally paid off this slavery
       | debt.
       | 
       | As the overwhelming majority of the state's economic output was
       | sapped by this debt, Haiti lacked the ability to invest in itself
       | until the end of WW2.
       | 
       | Post-WW2, Haiti went through decades of political turmoil and
       | never achieved political stability.
       | 
       | Haiti's present cannot be judged without the weight of this past.
       | And it's future cannot be charted without accounting for it.
       | 
       | Of course, the place that was invaded at the drop of a hat and
       | deprived of resources never learned to build civil institutions
       | and non-corrupt governance. Fixing this probably requires a lot
       | of close study to develop very specific interventions to change
       | Haiti's culture and help it prosper.
        
       | welder wrote:
       | I follow this guy https://www.instagram.com/sean_haiti
       | 
       | I'm in the DR right now and some locals are worried about the
       | violence in Constanza spreading but most are just going about
       | their lives. The DR is the least stressful country int he world
       | after all.
        
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