[HN Gopher] Can a Geothermal Startup Vaporize Rock to Drill the ...
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       Can a Geothermal Startup Vaporize Rock to Drill the Deepest Holes?
        
       Author : wallflower
       Score  : 53 points
       Date   : 2025-03-11 17:49 UTC (4 days ago)
        
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 (TXT) w3m dump (www.msn.com)
        
       | nayuki wrote:
       | A relevant video by Real Engineering: "Geothermal Energy is
       | Changing" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b_EoZzE7KJ0 (21m53s)
       | [2025-03-01]
       | 
       | The company being discussed is Quaise Energy:
       | https://www.quaise.energy/ , https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quaise
        
         | stringl45 wrote:
         | One thing that video left me wondering is what happens to the
         | vaporized rock; how are we collecting or transporting it so it
         | doesen't immediately re-solidify, stringify and block the hole?
        
           | cassepipe wrote:
           | It's true that it's not entirely clear but it seems there's a
           | nitrogen gas that pushes the gasses back up ? It's also not
           | clear how much of the rock mass actually resolididy instead
           | going away as gas but for the part that does, it seems to be
           | do so in a fashion that resembles mineral wool.
        
           | doodlebugging wrote:
           | That's a valid question. As the vaporized rock cools it needs
           | to be directed to the annular walls of the borehole being
           | drilled. If it flutters chaotically up the along the
           | drillstring and sticks itself to the drillstring then you are
           | effectively blocking the borehole as you drill. Even if you
           | rotate the drillstring the cumulative effect is that the
           | drillstring becomes a long length of sandpaper or a vertical
           | grinder, grinding the fused rock from the annulus above where
           | you are currently drilling.
        
         | cassepipe wrote:
         | It is only shortly mentionned in the video but it seems like
         | one of the main issues is what happens when water starts
         | infiltrating your hole (it's unclear how much the glassified
         | walls of the holes are a protection against that) and then you
         | waste a lot of energy vaporizing liters and liters of water.
         | 
         | Unless... you close the hole at the top to collect the steam
         | and have it turn a turbine to recoup electricity expenditures ?
        
           | LadyCailin wrote:
           | If the hole is 2 miles long, I assume the steam would
           | condense before reaching the top. And I guess lowering the
           | pressure again, so I don't know if that's possible. But I'm
           | not a physics expert.
        
             | doodlebugging wrote:
             | At depth, natural gas is in the liquid phase in the
             | reservoir due to high temperatures and overburden pressure.
             | Once the drillbit penetrates the seal of the formation
             | containing natural gas or other liquids then the gas will
             | begin to be carried up the annulus of the well in the
             | drilling mud to the surface. As it moves closer to the
             | surface it expands and crosses into the bubble point into
             | the gas phase which is the dangerous condition that leads
             | to blowouts and the loss of the well and potentially lives
             | at the surface.
             | 
             | It is important to be able to detect the formation
             | boundaries and to have the mud weight tailored to the
             | expected pressures within the target zones so that blowouts
             | can be avoided. Pre-drill predictions of downhole pressures
             | are made from seismic data and can be extremely accurate,
             | especially when correlated with borehole data from regions
             | with similar geologic history.
             | 
             | I did pre-drill pressure predictions as a geophysicist.
             | Very interesting stuff.
             | 
             | Here is a little info about well control and gas kicks.[0]
             | 
             | [0]https://www.drillingmanual.com/gas-kick-behavior-
             | expansion-m...
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | Wasn't Quaise on HN before, years ago? They've been talking this
       | up since 2018.
       | 
       | The competing technology is diamond drill bits.[1][2]. As
       | synthetic diamonds have become cheaper, drill bits have improved.
       | The old Hughes-style bits with what looked like big bevel gears
       | now have a competitor. The key question is how much drilling you
       | can do before you have to back out the whole drill string. That's
       | a slow process, which gets slower as the drill string gets
       | longer. Polycrystalline diamond bits now sometimes last for 3000+
       | meters. Maybe longer.
       | 
       | Comments from anyone in the drilling industry?
       | 
       | [1] https://okbit.com/choose-a-geothermal-drill-bit/
       | 
       | [2] https://www.slb.com/products-and-services/scaling-new-
       | energy...
        
         | Retric wrote:
         | Quaise is also aiming for faster drilling not just longer
         | lasting drills.
         | 
         | Anyway, seems like the obvious solution is to stack multiple
         | drill bits at the end and detach ones that get used up.
         | Obviously this doesn't work, but it's not clear to me why it
         | shouldn't.
        
           | CorrectHorseBat wrote:
           | Well, where are the used up drill bits supposed to go to in a
           | hole just as wide as the bits itself except for up and out?
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | Again going for obvious solution, drop it, back up a few
             | meters and drill around. Alternatively, have pre drilled
             | side paths for drill bit drop off.
        
               | cassepipe wrote:
               | How do you pre-drill side paths ? Isn't being able to
               | drill the hard part ? I am not saying it's dumb but from
               | what I know about the industry (almost nothing) it does
               | not seem simple at all
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | They need to be able to steer drills for all kinds of
               | reasons: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAhdb7dKQpU
               | 
               | Actual answer seems to be drilling side holes also
               | involves removing the pipe.
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43371776
        
               | BriggyDwiggs42 wrote:
               | The drill is on the end of what amounts to a several km
               | long rope. I'm pretty sure a side hole would introduce
               | friction with the side that wasn't there before, making
               | it easy to stick going in and out. I think if the obvious
               | solution worked then people would already be doing it,
               | cause they'd save multiple millions of dollars.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | They can do side drills, but apparently that also
               | requires removing the pipe which is the bit I was
               | missing.
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43371776
        
             | ada1981 wrote:
             | Why don't they just retract the bits and change them like I
             | would on a regular drill that needs a new bit?
             | 
             | Is the failure mode they always or often fall off the shank
             | into the hole and they can't be extracted?
        
               | ufmace wrote:
               | That's exactly what they do. It just takes a while since
               | there's tens of thousands of feet of drillstring.
        
           | cnote337 wrote:
           | Main reason it wouldn't work is that once a bit is lost in
           | the bottom of the hole, that portion of hole is done, el fin.
           | These bits are diamond impregnated PDC bits and you cannot
           | drill or mill through them. Once you've dropped one, it would
           | be a required side track.
           | 
           | Now you might ask, cool so just drill around it.
           | 
           | The problem is that with current technology, you HAVE to pull
           | back to the surface first in order to do this. You need to
           | cement the bottom of the current hole and depending on the
           | circumstances, you also need to set a 'whipstock' in order to
           | assist in drilling out of the original hole. Side tracking is
           | a long and arduous process that involves numerous trips out
           | of the hole.
           | 
           | So regarding your lower comment, that's why we can't just
           | have multiple bits and drill around them, or drop them off in
           | their own sidetrack. It's not a bad idea, it's just that the
           | realities of drilling at these depths are harsh and not
           | completely intuitive.
           | 
           | My Creds - currently in the gulf of mexico drilling a well
           | with a total depth of 30,012 feet.
        
             | giarc wrote:
             | On a recent podcast, I believe the founder said that at 6
             | miles (close to your 30k well) that this technology could
             | be used anywhere. However, I think they could only get 3-4
             | mile wells at this point. So if we already have the ability
             | to drill 6 miles with conventional tech, why not just do
             | geothermal with conventional drilling?
        
               | doodlebugging wrote:
               | He is probably on a rig drilling a deviated well to 30k+
               | total depth (TD) so that it is not a vertical well 30k+
               | feet deep or 30k' true vertical depth (TVD), it is
               | instead a deviated well with a long vertical section
               | before the kickoff point which deviates the drillbit to
               | the target at some horizontal displacement from the
               | vertical borehole with the total length of the
               | drillstring being 30k+ feet when they reach TD (total
               | depth). With horizontal drilling and use of steerable mud
               | motors you aren't rotating the drill string constantly as
               | you drill the deviated section and this allows one to
               | push the bit through the formations until you reach the
               | target.
               | 
               | Drilling 6 miles vertically without using a media to
               | conduct cuttings to the surface would be a major change
               | in how things work. I don't think that glassing the
               | inside of the borehole by fusing cuttings as you drill
               | will create a durable borehole. We used to have problems
               | with electronics desoldering at depth in our MWD tools.
               | It gets hot and the pressures can be enormous.
               | 
               | Former Scumbagger MWD engineer here.
        
               | MostlyStable wrote:
               | My understanding from earlier encounters with reporting
               | about this company, is not that we can't do geothermal
               | drilling without it, it's that it's not always cost-
               | effective. Drilling is expensive and the cost is a
               | significant fraction of the total capital investment in a
               | geothermal energy plant. In order to make geothermal cost
               | effective everywhere, drilling needs to be made less
               | expensive. This company is not about doing what is
               | currently impossible, it's about doing what is currently
               | possible cheaper
        
               | ufmace wrote:
               | The technology being discussed hasn't actually drilled
               | much of anything yet. Their latest press release with
               | actual numbers[0] gives depths drilled in inches. Nice
               | progress, yeah, but they're not anywhere near competitive
               | with even water wells, much less the current generation
               | of conventional oilfield drilling technology.
               | 
               | Geothermal power is indeed cool, but to get it usable
               | anywhere on Earth instead of a few places where magma
               | currents happen to be near the surface, we'll probably
               | need several orders of magnitude deeper and wider holes
               | than we're currently capable of drilling just for
               | starters. Can these guys do the job? Maybe, but let's
               | just say I'm not planning to invest in them.
               | 
               | [0] https://www.quaise.energy/news/from-lab-to-field-
               | testing
        
               | Animats wrote:
               | > The technology being discussed hasn't actually drilled
               | much of anything yet. Their latest press release with
               | actual numbers[0] gives depths drilled in inches.
               | 
               | That's what bothers me about this. If drilling with
               | microwaves works, why aren't there industrial
               | applications? Laser cutters are widely used, from little
               | ones that engrave plastic to big ones that cut steel
               | plate. Yet nobody seems to be selling microwave cutters.
               | In industrial applications, you don't even have to fit
               | the microwave generator into the hole and keep it working
               | in a hostile environment.
               | 
               | The idea was suggested back in 2002, but seems to have
               | gone nowhere.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.researchgate.net/publication/11075717_The
               | _Microw...
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | Thank you for the detailed answer. I figured there was
             | something wrong with the idea but didn't know enough about
             | the subject to understand why.
        
         | grumbelbart wrote:
         | Drilling is essentially an O(N^2) method. You need to replace
         | your drill bit every X meters, and the time it takes to replace
         | it about linear in the current depth.
        
         | ufmace wrote:
         | Note that diamond (usually called PDC) drill bits have been in
         | common use in the oilfield industry for decades now. Search PDC
         | on your favorite search engine, and you'll find dozens of
         | manufacturers actively selling them, each with a big selection.
         | 
         | Exactly how long you can drill with one varies widely based on
         | a bunch of factors. You do have to pull the whole drill string
         | to change one. It's slow, but not that slow. Most actual oil
         | wells drilled have in the neighborhood of 10 or so trips in and
         | out with drilling tools for the whole operation for various
         | reasons. Varies widely of course depending on a bunch of
         | factors, but that's usually the ballpark. Plus a few more for
         | casing and cementing runs.
        
       | ninetyninenine wrote:
       | I feel the energy spent vaporizing the rocks is more then the
       | energy gained.
        
         | littlestymaar wrote:
         | They plan to use just a megawatt of power to drill, it's not
         | even close.
        
         | victorbjorklund wrote:
         | No, if it works as planned then the energy is cheap in
         | comparison to the total cost of drilling a hole.
        
       | nonelog wrote:
       | Actually, the _real_ trick is to invent the technology that
       | eliminates the need to drill so _deep_. But for that invention to
       | be made /found, we need to go a bit more "quantum".
        
       | cnote337 wrote:
       | I'm a geologist. I work on well sites for a living. My biggest
       | concerns about what have been talked about in the video are with
       | regards to rock removal, and hole stability. But those are always
       | my concerns.
       | 
       | The oil and gas industry currently uses "mud" either oil based or
       | water based, in order to keep their holes from collapsing on
       | themselves. Holes collapse. It's what they want to do, this is a
       | factor of overburden - the collective weight of the rock above
       | the hole 'pushing' down. It is also the primary means of
       | communication with downhole tools through mud pulse telemetry,
       | and the primary means of removing rocks - currently in the form
       | of cuttings.
       | 
       | There is no mention of this mud system or other alternative (an
       | innovation that would also need to be ground breaking for the
       | industry) that will 1) keep the hole from collapsing 2) remove
       | the volume of rock required to continue going down and 3) allow
       | communication with your downhole tools.
       | 
       | It feels like this is a massive hole in the logic.
        
         | svantana wrote:
         | I think the idea is that the heat from the radiation turns the
         | walls of the hole into a very hard glass structure, which
         | should be hard enough to withstand the pressure.
        
           | aurizon wrote:
           | at 10,000 feet in a thermal area the rock is very hot. Hot
           | rock is ductile and holes will gradually close. Some deep
           | hard rock mines in Northern Ontario encounter this problem
           | where mine working gradually close under extreme pressure
           | over time. The closure can be instant = rock-burst = a local
           | micro-quake. Often there is lateral shear as well. The
           | deepest gold mines in Witwatersrand in South Africa are over
           | 160 degrees in places and workers wear vented/cooled suits.
           | They also have refrigerated cold rooms they can jump into to
           | get cool and get back to another work session.
        
           | mcswell wrote:
           | There's an old SciFi story here: https://www.gutenberg.org/ca
           | che/epub/30797/pg30797-images.ht... that uses that idea as
           | part of the plot. The hole is not very deep, maybe 150 feet,
           | so the "glass" walls would presumably be strong enough. Much
           | deeper, though, and the walls would almost certainly not be
           | able to withstand the pressure.
           | 
           | What I was wondering when reading the story, though, was what
           | happened to all the rock that was vaporized. It has to leave
           | the hole, else it will prevent the energy beam (in the case
           | of the story, a laser beam) from getting to the bottom of the
           | hole. If you've ever seen smoke (or even steam) coming out of
           | a smoke stack, you have to wonder how the efficiency of the
           | beam would not be cut to zero after the first few feet.
        
           | ufmace wrote:
           | That's their idea yes, but it's only an idea, and I am
           | extremely dubious. It's much more like handwaving speculation
           | by people who have no experience in drilling deep wells than
           | a practical proven solution.
           | 
           | They're expecting the hole to be open air, with nothing at
           | all to push back against formation pressure. It has to be,
           | for the radiation system to work. But that means that this
           | supposedly fused glass wall has to withstand all of the
           | formation pressure all the way through the borehole
           | perfectly. And they seem to be expecting this to happen from
           | the vaporized material just condensing on the borehole walls.
           | One little crack anywhere, and the whole borehole could flood
           | with water or oil, possibly even blowing out at the surface.
           | How do they recover from that? They'd have to figure out
           | where the failure was, seal it, then get all the water out,
           | each of which seems practically impossible.
        
             | svantana wrote:
             | Yes that does seem worrying, and might explain why they've
             | only (publicly) drilled a few inches here & there. Maybe
             | they could give the waveguides some outer grid or fins or
             | whatnot to give extra support?
        
               | ufmace wrote:
               | Physical support isn't actually that important -
               | conventional wellbores are not physically supported
               | either until they are cased and cemented, and mostly
               | don't have too much trouble with collapsing. What they
               | need is a seal tight against liquid and gas to prevent it
               | from leaking into the wellbore.
               | 
               | Conventional wellbores accomplish this with the hydraulic
               | pressure of the drilling fluid. These guys can't have any
               | fluid though, so they would have to rely entirely on this
               | condensed rock stuff to both support against the pressure
               | and seal against any leaks. Seems very unlikely,
               | considering that it isn't deliberately created by any
               | kind of process, just randomly condensed from rock
               | vapors.
               | 
               | Note also that they won't really start to run into
               | trouble with this until they get at least a few hundred
               | feet down.
               | 
               | Also, you definitely aren't going to drill more than 6
               | inches while attempting to physically support the
               | wellbore with any part of the drillstring or waveguide or
               | whatever they're calling this thing.
               | 
               | People should also understand that oil drilling is a
               | highly competitive multi-trillion dollar industry
               | employing tens of thousands of smart people all around
               | the world. Absolutely everything that anyone could think
               | of has already been tried, and adopted if it worked and
               | abandoned if it didn't.
        
             | ufmace wrote:
             | Oh, I just thought of another issue too. A liquid well-
             | control incident with this thing would indeed suck for the
             | reasons given, but there's a lot of gasses down there too.
             | What happens if there's a gas well-control incident?
             | 
             | It could be flammable natural gas. It may or may not burn
             | or explode in the wellbore, since there's not going to be
             | much oxygen down there. How about at the surface though?
             | Flammable gas erupting out your wellbore with this system
             | sounds very not fun. They have megawatts of electricity
             | flowing around, do you think all of that meets industry
             | standards for avoiding explosions in an environment of
             | flammable gasses? I think there's high potential for a very
             | big boom, and maybe the whole well turning into a giant
             | blowtorch you have no way to control.
             | 
             | Or it could be a poisonous gas like H2S. Poisonous gasses
             | billowing out of your wellbore with this system also sounds
             | like a major pain.
             | 
             | So, who wants to come up with a practical way for this
             | thing to deal with that too? The oilfield has proven
             | methods for preventing it in the first place and dealing
             | with it if it happens anyways. Trip your annular blowout
             | preventer, evacuate the rig, and circulate heavy kill mud
             | until the gas stops flowing.
             | 
             | Maybe these guys could flood the well to stop it. Which
             | means they also need to keep many tankers full of fluid on-
             | hand, and after it works, they're back in the initial
             | situation of needing to figure out how to seal the leak and
             | evacuate the fluid again. I seriously can't think of a good
             | way to do any of that.
        
         | MathMonkeyMan wrote:
         | A massive hole!
        
         | doodlebugging wrote:
         | Geophysicist and former MWD engineer here. I agree. Even if you
         | fuse everything that you penetrate to the annulus of the
         | borehole, the material properties of the fused annular ring
         | will vary as you cross formation boundaries based on the
         | mineral composition of the formations being drilled. You may
         | have some nice silicon glasses through a clean sandstone that
         | transition quickly to inhomogeneous glass from a silicon-poor
         | limestone. That has to create zones of weakness along the
         | annulus and as you drill (zap) deeper it becomes even more
         | critical to stabilize the borehole.
         | 
         | I can see this being a lot like conventional drilling to a
         | point with several bit trips or casing runs necessary until you
         | reach a point where the borehole tends to collapse due to
         | overburden pressure, especially in overpressured environments
         | where well control is critical, and it is no longer possible to
         | trip out and run casing before the borehole collapses in the
         | newly drilled interval.
         | 
         | What happens if your proposed well encounters salt or other
         | evaporites? A lot of questions could use answers and those
         | answers only come from poking holes in the ground so maybe if
         | they throw enough money at it they can determine where this
         | method can be useful. That would be the most valuable result of
         | all this.
         | 
         | This looks useful for near surface stuff but for ultradeep
         | wells looks like it needs some experimentation.
        
           | pavel_lishin wrote:
           | Are there places on Earth where it's mostly-homogenous "good
           | stuff" all the way down? Could they avoid some of these
           | problems - salt pockets, limestone - by being very picky
           | about where they drill, avoiding (e.g.) places where there
           | used to be ocean?
        
             | jofer wrote:
             | Even if it's homogenous, you have steadily increasing
             | stresses with depth. This occurs for perfectly uniform
             | materials as well. If you can't offset these to keep the
             | hole open, it collapses.
             | 
             | Rocks are very weak in tension, despite being very strong
             | in contraction. It's the reason you can break rock with a
             | hammer or the reason ancient quarries were able to work by
             | pouring water on wood pegs in rocks. It's also the reason
             | concrete needs rebar to reinforce it (steel is very strong
             | in tension, so the two combined are exceptionally strong).
             | Keeping a hole open requires strength in tension as well as
             | strength in compression.
             | 
             | Drilling mud accomplishes this by being roughly the same
             | density as the rock, so it offsets the stresses that are
             | trying to close the borehole that steadily increase with
             | depth due to the increasing amount of rock above. Drilling
             | mud keeps the borehole open until you can put in casing to
             | support it.
             | 
             | This is exactly the same reason why it's difficult to build
             | a submarine that can go to very large depths in the ocean.
             | To put up steel walls (casing) to keep it open, you have to
             | stop drilling and cement in casing - you can't do that as
             | you drill. So drilling mud is a key part of being able to
             | drill efficiently. Otherwise, you'd need to stop every few
             | tens of meters and spend _days_ setting casing before being
             | able to drill again.
             | 
             | Regardless, there is nowhere on earth where things are
             | homogenous over very long distances. Simply put, even
             | relatively uniform rocks can have very significant
             | variations in physical properties. Many relevant properties
             | (e.g. permeability - how well fluids can move through) vary
             | over _tens of orders of magnitude_ naturally. So "uniform"
             | can still mean "only varies by a few orders of magnitude".
             | There are places where you can reasonably avoid non-
             | silicates, but you're going to hit tons of other issues due
             | to fundamental heterogeneity.
        
           | gosub100 wrote:
           | Could you avoid the problem by drilling down a fixed length,
           | carving out a room or supply area, drilling laterally, and
           | then drill vertically again?
        
         | bilsbie wrote:
         | If you're vaporizing you'd simply use fans to pull the
         | vaporized material out?
        
           | amluto wrote:
           | I don't know anything about geology in particular, but:
           | vaporized rock is vaporized rock, not air. It's going to cool
           | off as it travels up a relatively cool shaft, and some or all
           | of it will condense and/or solidify into something that will
           | be, in the best case, fine dust. The gasses in the shaft will
           | need to be moving upward faster than the terminal velocity of
           | the removed material for the material to continue moving
           | upward.
           | 
           | In the worst case, I can imagine the vaporized rock
           | depositing (directly in the strict chemistry sense or
           | indirectly via a liquid intermediate) into the walls of the
           | shaft higher up.
        
             | lazide wrote:
             | Additionally, keeping the vapor from cooling/depositing
             | will also require keeping it above the vapor point of rock
             | - which is well above any metals they might make anything
             | from.
        
         | ufmace wrote:
         | Another thing that occurred to me after watching some of their
         | videos - how do they plan to control rate of penetration?
         | 
         | Their radiation head thing has to be a certain distance from
         | the rock face it's cutting / vaporizing, but it isn't actually
         | touching anything. So how do they know how fast they're
         | actually vaporizing more hole and how fast to advance?
         | 
         | I'm sure you know this, but for the rest of the audience,
         | conventional drilling rigs use the measured weight of the
         | drillstring to determine how much weight is on the bit and how
         | fast to advance. I don't see any good way for these guys to do
         | anything like that.
        
         | a12k wrote:
         | I feel like you're underestimating the power of SV moving fast
         | and breaking things to learn quickly. Your attitude is why
         | we've stopped hiring SMEs and PhDs in my underwater space
         | launch / space elevator bio startup.
        
           | cmrdporcupine wrote:
           | Damn you I was hovering over downvote until the last clause
           | of your sentence.
        
           | SequoiaHope wrote:
           | Perfect Silicon Valley comment.
        
           | LargoLasskhyfv wrote:
           | Will there be
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_Dragon_(rocket) s?
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | Well, they do talk about it, just not on those terms.
         | 
         | Their "drill" is unable to distinguish mud from rock, so
         | inserting mud is a complete no-starter.
         | 
         | They expect to stabilize the hole by hardening the rocks on the
         | walls. If you just ignored this because it obviously can't
         | work, well, I agree, but that's still their claim. The only
         | conclusion I can take from it is that they either know a
         | solution and won't tell us, or haven't thought of anything and
         | hope to solve it in production.
         | 
         | They also talk about residue removal. They say it will just gas
         | away from the hole. Again, if you decided to ignore it because
         | it obviously can't work...
         | 
         | That said, I'm with doodlebugging here. As long as it's not my
         | money that they are betting, I just want to see what
         | interesting problems and solutions will come out from this.
        
         | K0balt wrote:
         | So, you're saying they -do- have a massive hole in their geo-
         | logic formation?
        
       | worldvoyageur wrote:
       | Eavor is a Canadian geothermal company that does closed loop
       | systems with diamond drills and insulated drill pipe.
       | https://www.eavor.com/technology/
       | 
       | Closed loop and insulated pipe allows a geothermal project to be
       | drilled into hot rock, which is pretty much everywhere, even if
       | there is no water.
       | 
       | They have a demonstration project in Alberta, a 'commercial'
       | project in Geretsried, Germany (4500 meters, 64MW thermal, 8.2MW
       | electric) and a deep demonstration project in New Mexico (5500
       | meters, no news since early 2023).
       | 
       | From the company website, it looks like the projects work though
       | Eavor doesn't give any data on their projects that would help
       | calculate the economics. The heavy presence of government in
       | their media suggests that, at least for now, significant
       | government involvement is required to get projects built.
        
       | thinkcontext wrote:
       | Hype for this is extremely premature, they've only drilled inches
       | in a lab.
        
         | giarc wrote:
         | Founder was on What's Your Problem podcast recently [1] and I
         | seem to recall them having much deeper wells already complete.
         | 
         | https://www.pushkin.fm/podcasts/whats-your-problem/harnessin...
        
           | thinkcontext wrote:
           | This article from 2 days ago says they have a test rig that
           | is drilling outside. They don't say exactly how deep they
           | have drilled but mentions they have another site where they
           | will attempt to drill up to 100 feet.
           | 
           | So sounds like they are at the very beginning of piloting.
           | I'm not going to listen to an hour podcast to see if it is
           | claiming anything different, if you have a text source I'd be
           | interested.
           | 
           | https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/geothermal/the-smell-
           | of...
        
             | istjohn wrote:
             | I transcribed the podcast for you, but I think you're
             | right.
             | 
             | https://pastebin.com/raw/PG5JdAKv
        
       | lightedman wrote:
       | Why not just use a laser? I vaporize rock instantly with an 80w
       | CO2. vacuum the dust up and blow it out the other end, done.
       | Throw it on a galvo, you can control where it aims and fires.
        
         | HPsquared wrote:
         | I don't know much about lasers, but this seems a very "dirty"
         | environment for that sort of thing. Wouldn't the lenses etc get
         | all fouled up?
        
         | mcswell wrote:
         | Dust? Vaporized rock going through a vacuum is not going to be
         | kind to the inside of that vacuum.
        
         | avsteele wrote:
         | your beam waist is going to increase (and intensity is going to
         | drop) after a few hundred meters. you'd have to lower the whole
         | laser down the hole
        
           | bilsbie wrote:
           | Maybe use adjustable lenses?
        
       | notorandit wrote:
       | Some maths.
       | 
       | 1 squared meter surface times 10 km in depth yields ... 10,000
       | cubic m of mass to be vaporized and then "dispersed" into the
       | atmosphere.
       | 
       | At a density of 5.5 kg/dm^3 it would weight about ... 55
       | thousands metric tonnes of rock.
       | 
       | To vaporize 1 kg of liquid water it takes 2250 kcal of energy.
       | 
       | If that mass was water it would require 1.23e11 kcal of energy.
       | 
       | I suspect that both the amount of energy needed and the amount of
       | pollution added would be unbearable.
       | 
       | And this is for a hole that's "just" 10 km deep.
        
         | foobarian wrote:
         | 1 m^2 x 10,000 m = 10,000 m^3
         | 
         | 10 km^3 = 10 x 1,000 x 1,000 x 1,000 m^3 != 10,000 m^3
        
           | notorandit wrote:
           | Correct! I fixed my numbers too. Still a lot of stuff.
        
         | istjohn wrote:
         | Your cross section area is off by two orders of magnitude. They
         | currently are drilling a 0.008 m2 hole at one meter per hour
         | with 1 MW of power. They hope to scale that up to a 0.032 m2
         | hole while maintaining the same rate of depth penetration and
         | energy use per meter [0].
         | 
         | 0. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=b_EoZzE7KJ0&t=500s
        
         | itishappy wrote:
         | Think you're somewhat off. Quaise says they intend to allow
         | their tech to be "plugged into existing oil rigs," and most
         | boreholes are 5-20 in wide.
         | 
         | 20 in down 7.6 mi is 0.2 m^2 down 12321 m. This gives 2500 m^3
         | or 2.5e-6 km^3 of rock.
         | 
         | Google says "rocks are generally between 1600 kg/m^3
         | (sediments) and 3500 kg/m^3 (gabbro)" so going with 2500 km/m^3
         | that would be 6240000 kg, 6.24 Gg, or 6.24 thousand metric
         | tons.
         | 
         | Heat of vaporization of water is roughly 2250 kJ/kg, or 537
         | kcal/kg, so if the mass was water it would need 14e9 kJ, 14 TJ,
         | or 3.35e9 kcal to vaporize.
         | 
         | For a 5 in borehole divide all the above by 16. This ignores
         | the heat required to actually change the temperature of the
         | water, but I'm betting you can get a lot of that back via
         | condensation, and for this reason I'd also assume that much of
         | the rock will not end up in atmosphere. These assumptions also
         | go entirely out the window of there's an inflow of material,
         | but unfortunately I'm betting that's exactly what will happen.
         | 
         | Edit: Fixed post after I confused radius and diameter. Someone
         | should probably check my math as well.
        
       | api wrote:
       | I have always thought that very deep geothermal is a massive
       | potential source of renewable energy that gets far too little
       | attention.
       | 
       | If we can make it work, we have a source of "limitless" (at
       | terrestrial human scale) energy that doesn't require expensive
       | battery backup and is dispatchable. It could also be used as a
       | source of industrial process heat, cogeneration (if it's safe to
       | do near or inside city limits), etc. I've even seen proposals to
       | make methane or liquid fuels by injecting CO2 and H2 or H2O down
       | there and using it as a thermally driven in situ synfuel reactor.
       | 
       | Solar is one way of using a ready-made natural nuclear reactor.
       | This is another. Some geologists believe the Earth's core is a
       | natural fission reactor, and a few people have proposed other
       | even more exotic possibilities:
       | 
       | https://www.nature.com/articles/srep37740
        
       | WalterBright wrote:
       | I read about this years ago on HN and then ... nothing. Glad to
       | see it back in the news. It really would be tremendous if it
       | works.
        
       | actionfromafar wrote:
       | Don't tell the Evangelicals, they will believe you are drilling a
       | hole to hell.
       | 
       | (And the oil companies will view the competition as from Satan?)
        
       | foobarian wrote:
       | <armchair geologist hat on>
       | 
       | Wonder if they could drill a stable hole with a honeycomb
       | arrangement of lasers like engines on the Starship, but with
       | smaller radius. It wouldn't strictly be an empty hole but just a
       | bundle of small diameter holes. Whatever the laser hits,
       | vaporizes until it's out or turns into glass on the side.
       | Whatever caves in just keeps getting vaporized.
        
       | dhosek wrote:
       | 63 comments and no one brings up Betteridge's Law of Headlines:
       | "Any headline that ends in a question mark can be answered by the
       | word no."
       | 
       | (The 63 comments essentially support Betteridge.)
        
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