[HN Gopher] Tariffs Are Proving 'Big Headache' for Tech Giants, ...
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       Tariffs Are Proving 'Big Headache' for Tech Giants, Says Foxconn
        
       Author : m463
       Score  : 40 points
       Date   : 2025-03-14 20:20 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.ft.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.ft.com)
        
       | Trasmatta wrote:
       | Maybe tech giants shouldn't have been so quick to trip over
       | themselves to kiss the ring
        
         | wenwolf wrote:
         | I like even less how they use slander lawsuit settlements to
         | achieve bribes. I imagine it would be hard for anyone else who
         | would have to counter evidence that they raped their ex-wife to
         | sue people because more recent sex crimes were not rapes.
         | 
         | I can't imagine someone as rich as Bezos doesn't have expensive
         | advisors who have told him the patterns suggest that his best
         | move for his businesses is to at least fake that he can get in
         | a testosterone war with Trump through his paper.. So the likely
         | explanations for why he hasn't that I can think of are not
         | kind.
        
       | skybrian wrote:
       | Maybe the tariff should be a separate line item, like sales tax?
        
         | wenwolf wrote:
         | Sounds like airline bills.. I don't really see how that has
         | worked out for them.
        
           | daveguy wrote:
           | At least you specifically see what each charge is costing
           | you.
        
             | NullPrefix wrote:
             | Only at the last second of the purchase, when you're
             | already mentally commited to buy at a lower previously
             | advertised price
        
         | mastax wrote:
         | That's how it is at DigiKey and some other B2B focused
         | distributors.
        
       | sourtrident wrote:
       | It's wild - tariffs meant to shield U.S. interests end up giving
       | Apple and Foxconn headaches, shifting their entire strategy.
       | Reminds me of closing one door only to notice everyone's sneaking
       | in through the window. Protectionism might feel good, but tech
       | always finds another route around.
        
         | brookst wrote:
         | I'm skeptical the tariffs were mean to shield US interests
         | rather than just being intended to do exactly what they're
         | achieving: isolating the US by driving investment and allies
         | away, while contributing to a recession where oligarchs can
         | further consolidate power and wealth.
         | 
         | If you look at them as an attack on the US, everything makes a
         | lot more sense.
        
           | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
           | Agreed, it's exactly what I'd do if I wanted the US to
           | withdraw from global relevance.
        
           | 9283409232 wrote:
           | This is the correct way of thinking about it. The tariffs
           | aren't meant to drive economic growth, they are meant to tank
           | the economy and drive a wedge between the US and allies. The
           | ultimate goal is to start a recession and an extra bonus goal
           | would be to get US army bases in Europe shut down. That would
           | make Putin extra happy.
        
           | tempodox wrote:
           | Yep, when Trump is through America will lie in ruins.
        
           | oceanplexian wrote:
           | > Isolating the US by driving investment and allies away
           | 
           | Foreign government's have an easy solution to solve the
           | problem.
           | 
           | Don't unfairly advantage your goods and services against
           | American products and we won't do the same. Free trade
           | shouldn't mean "Free trade for one side". Free trade should
           | be contingent on reciprocity, both in terms of social and
           | economic alignment.
        
             | BLKNSLVR wrote:
             | Trump signed the trade deal with Canada in his first term.
             | Now he's calling it unfair.
             | 
             | Trump stated that the Canadian tariffs were a reaction to
             | fentanyl crossing the Canadian border into the US.
             | 
             | That has nothing to do with trade fairness or Canadian
             | protectionism.
        
             | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
             | ...as mediated by individual buyers and sellers deciding
             | whether they'll pay a price based on the quality of the
             | goods. Not based on some kind of dick waving contest that's
             | happening in the corridors of power.
             | 
             | By now it's clear that "fair" in this administration is
             | defined by whoever is the biggest bully in the room, so
             | 
             | > unfairly advantage your goods and services against
             | American products
             | 
             | is just a fancy way to say: "let us push you around."
        
           | whoisthemachine wrote:
           | I think the idea is definitely to trigger a recession, but I
           | doubt they care about "allies"; this crowd loved the zero-
           | interest rate days. A strong enough recession should bring
           | those back without the drama of the president forcing the fed
           | chief to do so through coercion.
        
         | jonplackett wrote:
         | They don't really want to collect tariff $. They want to force
         | production in the US, which the article says is what they are
         | going to do. That's not a window being jumped through, that's
         | the intent. Or am I missing something here?
        
           | andrewmcwatters wrote:
           | No, you're not missing anything. That's the intent.
        
             | 2muchcoffeeman wrote:
             | Is there actually an equitable plan for that? Because
             | everyone I turn around a raid is on then off then on then
             | off.
        
           | tzs wrote:
           | But Trump is also saying that he wants to get rid of income
           | taxes and replace them with tariffs. That suggests that they
           | do want to actually collect tariff dollars long term.
        
           | Terr_ wrote:
           | > They don't really want to collect tariff $. [...] Or am I
           | missing something here?
           | 
           | You're missing that Trump and apparatchiks have repeatedly
           | stated they want to collect so so many billions of dollars
           | from tariffs that it _replaces_ Federal Income Tax. [0]
           | 
           | Do they _really_ want that in their souls? With the benefit
           | of the past few years, I say the question itself is a
           | mistake.
           | 
           | Hanlon's Razor [0] fails on pathological inputs, certain
           | flavors of bullshit cause it to time out, and the result
           | wouldn't be of any practical use. It's simply inseperable
           | malcompetence.
           | 
           | [0] https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/20/economy/trump-abolish-
           | irs/ind...
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanlon%27s_razor
        
           | unavoidable wrote:
           | You have to look past the stated intention. It's quite clear
           | by logical deduction that it cannot be the stated purpose.
           | 
           | If the policy is intended to bring back US manufacturing, it
           | would not be haphazardly implemented where the
           | rates/industries/countries affected change by the hour. The
           | best example are auto tariffs and steel/aluminum tariffs,
           | which are going to absolutely destroy US auto manufacturing
           | (where do we think the steel and aluminum used in cars are
           | coming from?). An actual "reshoring" policy would be (1)
           | targeted and (2) scheduled well in advance. So it obviously
           | isn't that.
           | 
           | It also can't be part of a drug policy, since whatever Trump
           | is saying about Canada is clearly false (Canada accounts for
           | less than 1% of illicit fentanyl trade and is a net
           | _importer_ of illegal drugs and guns _from_ the US), thus no
           | policy can really impact this trade.
           | 
           | It also clearly can't be part of an energy policy, since US
           | refineries are designed to accept a huge amount of Canadian
           | and South American heavy crude (very little of which is
           | produced in the US), so the oil tariffs can't possibly
           | "onshore" more production of heavy crude.
           | 
           | The long-held theory by some that he's wrecking the economy
           | for insider trading also doesn't make sense, because his
           | favoured allies like Musk are losing tons of money right now,
           | and an "insider trading" strategy would be much more
           | regularly spaced rather than changing by-the-hour.
           | 
           | That leaves, by deduction, only a few possibilities:
           | 
           | * Trump really is intentionally wrecking the economy, for
           | known or unknown reasons:
           | 
           | * He's wrecking the economy by instruction from a foreign
           | agent (e.g. Putin - certainly indirect evidence exists)
           | 
           | * He's wrecking the economy because his donors told him to
           | (e.g. Musk, other billionaires - unlikely because why would
           | they want that? They would rather have the stock market go
           | straight up, right?)
           | 
           | * He's wrecking the economy so that his "friends" can trade
           | on the market with insider information (see above - seems
           | unlikely based on the pattern)
           | 
           | * He's wrecking the economy so that his "friends" can buy
           | things cheaply (would have been plausible but for the
           | widespread collateral damage he's causing)
           | 
           | * Trump actually genuinely believes in tariffs (he's a
           | product of the 80s after all)
           | 
           | * Trump actually genuinely hates Mexico, Canada, Europe, and
           | China (seems plausible based on his personality and that of
           | his political base)
           | 
           | * Trump really has no idea what he's doing (judge for
           | yourself)
        
       | harmmonica wrote:
       | https://archive.is/rNixb
        
       | skylurk wrote:
       | Offshoring to stable countries is looking really smart now.
        
         | BLKNSLVR wrote:
         | Exactly. The US has revealed itself to be prone to wild swings
         | of policy, which will not be a lesson soon forgotten by prior
         | trade allies.
         | 
         | Even if sanity and democracy are brought back by a future
         | adminstration, the US public have proven they can't be trusted
         | not to vote in another clone of their current dictator. DJT Jnr
         | and Barron will probably have a shot at the title in the not
         | too distant future to maintain some kind of North Korean-like
         | dynasty.
         | 
         | There's enough of an undercurrent of overconfident, no-
         | consequence, chest thumping "individuality and independence" in
         | the US that, unless complete ruination occurs this time around,
         | they'll vote for having another bash at complete ruination.
         | 
         | Good trade relations is what keeps the trust and respect for
         | the laws of the US in place in other developed countries.
         | Copyright for example. If the US isn't a reliable trade partner
         | then their power to influence copyright laws around the world
         | would rapidly diminish, which Disney wouldn't be happy with.
         | (I'm sure there are other examples of this, but international
         | US copyright Law is one I'm vaguely familiar with. Use of the
         | US Dollar for trade is another possible avenue for decline of
         | US global influence).
         | 
         | Yes, the US could be self sufficient to keep it's entire
         | population alive and well, but not with the lifestyles to which
         | many of them have become accustomed.
        
           | whatshisface wrote:
           | The US doesn't need to prove to the world that a bad
           | president will never be elected again, which as you say is
           | probably impossible and definitely false. What the US can do
           | to rejoin the world in something akin to its former capacity
           | is to walk back the extreme levels of authority granted to an
           | individual who changes every four years (why is the executive
           | able to change tariff levels every day?) in a way that
           | relatively elevates rule of law and deliberative,
           | compromising decision making.
        
             | unavoidable wrote:
             | As an outsider, it certainly seems like the US is entirely
             | incapable of doing that in the foreseeable future.
        
             | BLKNSLVR wrote:
             | I'm hoping that the Democrats (and sympathetic Republicans)
             | started working on a plan for this a few weeks ago. It
             | needs to be comprehensive, and it needs to deal with both
             | houses being majority single party, and deal with the
             | ability for a president to select appointees to the
             | powerful roles that are now filled with Trump catspaws.
             | 
             | They also need to fix their voting rules and
             | gerrymandering.
             | 
             | I hope.
        
       | standardUser wrote:
       | Everyone hates tariffs because everyone hates taxes. If a
       | government uses protectionism for a specific policy goal, like
       | developing a domestic auto industry, that can be very effective
       | and we've seen that work lots of times in lots of countries. The
       | US may have recently managed to achieve this with microchip
       | production.
       | 
       | But when tariffs are applied broadly we all pay more in taxes.
       | And it's worse than a more familiar increase in sales or income
       | tax because it can absolutely wreck supply chains.
        
         | unavoidable wrote:
         | If tariffs work at all (which is doubtful), they're supposed to
         | be part of an overarching plan with a long-term strategy in
         | coordination with industry so that they can actually invest in
         | creating new manufacturing. It certainly isn't going to work
         | when tariffs are going on-off-on-off-25%-200%-10%-off-on-
         | sometimes-off-on again. How in the world is _anyone_, American
         | or otherwise, supposed to plan around this?
        
           | Terr_ wrote:
           | Also, they shouldn't be part of 4-front trade war against the
           | country's biggest partners comprising >50% of all trade.
           | 
           | "Do something or we'll trade with somebody else" is not a
           | credible threat if they know you've already pissed off
           | everybody else.
        
             | oceanplexian wrote:
             | The US is the world's largest domestic economy. Trade with
             | all nations around the world is 24% of the USA's GDP. You
             | could shut it all down and the country would probably enter
             | a mild recession while the rest of the world would face
             | complete economic collapse. For example, 67% of Canada's
             | GDP is reliant on the United States in some way.
             | 
             | The US has an insane amount of leverage. Leaders in Canada,
             | Europe, etc talk a big game but then ultimately talk to an
             | economist and realize they have to come to the table.
             | That's why these leaders keep announcing things and then
             | walking them back.
        
               | unavoidable wrote:
               | Removing 24% of GDP is not just a "mild recession",
               | leaving aside all the interconnected parts of the economy
               | that would immediately be destroyed.
        
           | CPLX wrote:
           | > If tariffs work at all (which is doubtful)
           | 
           | Of course they work. China has used them to go from people
           | living in huts to the high tech manufacturing center of the
           | world.
        
             | hamilyon2 wrote:
             | Protectionism only works in combination with other
             | measures. If you indiscriminately shield domestic
             | enterprise from competition, you just get less competition
             | and nothing else. Which is usually not enough.
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | Chip on shoring may lose its subsidy:
         | https://www.reuters.com/technology/trump-wants-kill-527-bill...
        
         | orwin wrote:
         | Tariffs are little better than VAT/sales taxes as taxes imho
         | (I'd rather have more progressive taxes like LVT, inheritance,
         | wealth or at worse income), but in most countries, VAT is set
         | extremely low on essential products like food. Setting global
         | tariffs is idiotic. At least let the food and AG products free.
        
         | GeekyBear wrote:
         | Brazil and India have both successfully forced Apple to move
         | production onto their soil using tarrifs in the past.
         | 
         | If the object is to bring in local manufacturing jobs, it's
         | hard to claim that tarrifs can not be successful.
         | 
         | However, you can naturally expect vocal opposition from
         | companies that want to avoid higher labor costs.
         | 
         | In the case of India, it's worked out very well as a proof of
         | concept now that Apple has decided to reduce their reliance on
         | China.
        
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       (page generated 2025-03-14 23:01 UTC)