[HN Gopher] Athena spacecraft declared dead after toppling over ...
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       Athena spacecraft declared dead after toppling over on moon
        
       Author : pseudolus
       Score  : 118 points
       Date   : 2025-03-07 18:06 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | nine_k wrote:
       | One similarly structured craft (thin and tall) reached the Moon a
       | year ago, and also eventually toppled.
       | 
       | Maybe next missions will feature less tower-shaped designs and
       | more crab-shaped designs, at least during the landing phase.
        
         | lawlessone wrote:
         | maybe make it like a hamster ball.
         | 
         | edit: just realized my own stupidity, a ball would be very hard
         | to land..
        
           | ge96 wrote:
           | A mars lander was like that but air bags
        
             | _shantaram wrote:
             | three actually
        
           | card_zero wrote:
           | That worked OK for some Mars rovers.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Exploration_Rover#Airbags
           | 
           | See also the section "uprighting", further down the page -
           | they used a tetrahedral shell with a sensor so it knew which
           | side was down and could lever itself upright.
        
           | rolph wrote:
           | that ball would bounce for a long time and roll for a while
           | until stopping, and unfolding into tetrahedral hemisegments,
           | each in its desired orientation.
        
         | andyjohnson0 wrote:
         | > One similarly structured craft (thin and tall) reached the
         | Moon a year ago, and also eventually toppled.
         | 
         | Presumably it's that shape to fit in the fairing of a Falcon 9?
        
           | exe34 wrote:
           | You can fit a crab sideways in the Falcon 9.
        
           | Polizeiposaune wrote:
           | No, that's not why.
           | 
           | I found dimensions and a picture of IM-1 here:
           | 
           | https://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/nmc/spacecraft/display.action?id.
           | ..
           | 
           | The IM-1 lander was 1.57 meters wide and 4m tall, but based
           | on the picture I think the width doesn't include the legs.
           | 
           | The Blue Ghost lander also launched on an F9; it's 2m high
           | and 3.5m wide, and it landed without falling over.
           | (dimensions from
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Ghost_Mission_1)
           | 
           | The F9 payload envelope dimensions can be found on page 79
           | of:
           | 
           | https://www.spacex.com/media/falcon-users-guide-2021-09.pdf
           | 
           | Dimensions shown appear to be <inches> [ <millimeters> ] -
           | the bulk of the space is a cylinder with a radius of "180.020
           | [ 4572.5011 ]" which I read as just over 4.5 meters in
           | diameter; the cylindrical part is just over 6.6 meters high
           | (and then you get into the conical section at the nose).
           | 
           | The space inside the fairing is bigger than this but there is
           | empty space between it and the payload to ensure they don't
           | come into contact due to vibrations, etc., during launch.
           | 
           | So IM-1 could well have been wider and shorter and still fit
           | on the F9.
        
         | tekla wrote:
         | https://www.intuitivemachines.com/post/intuitive-machines-im...
         | 
         | Look at the lander. Pray tell, if you want it shorter, where is
         | everything supposed to go?
        
           | aylmao wrote:
           | It could be two landers, one stacked on top of the other for
           | takeoff, but separate for landing
           | 
           | EDIT: or a horizontal lander, packed on it's side for
           | takeoff.
           | 
           | I'm sure it's more complicated than that, but landing
           | something this tall seems quite complicated too in the first
           | place.
        
             | rolph wrote:
             | go bigger this could be a pancake stack that separates into
             | a swarm of puck like units according to some sequence
        
               | throwup238 wrote:
               | You'd be paying the extra mass cost of landing gears for
               | each pancake - something has to absorb the impact of
               | landing or they'll just break apart. These landers
               | already operate at the margin.
        
           | itishappy wrote:
           | That doesn't look space constrained to me. The core looks
           | like it would almost fit on it's side without modification,
           | "just" move a few things around so it's flat and wide instead
           | of tall and thin.
           | 
           | Here's exactly that:
           | 
           | https://x.com/SERobinsonJr/status/1879361461002371351
           | 
           | Nova-C (Intuitive Machine's platform) is 3x2x2 meters, and
           | fits in a Falcon 9. Blue Ghost is 2x3x3 meters, and fits in
           | the same fairing.
           | 
           | Here's a comparison (note that the Blue Ghost platform is
           | currently the only one to succeed at it's intended mission,
           | though IM1 did technically land safely but sideways):
           | 
           | https://i.ytimg.com/vi/PVz5912B1iQ/maxresdefault.jpg
        
         | parsimo2010 wrote:
         | The craft that tipped over last year (Odysseus) was also made
         | by Intuitive Machines (IM).
         | 
         | Firefly's Blue Ghost landed on the moon last week without
         | tipping over, proving that a modern commercial company can do
         | it.
         | 
         | Kind of embarrassing for IM which is 0 for 2. I'm sure there
         | are all kinds of reasons/excuses for why IM's landers fell over
         | and I'm sure their mission profiles are different from
         | Firefly's, but from a high level perspective I'm sure senior
         | leaders at NASA are reconsidering giving any new contracts to
         | IM.
        
           | yieldcrv wrote:
           | > I'm sure senior leaders at NASA are reconsidering giving
           | any new contracts to IM.
           | 
           | at NASA, and DOGE, when they catch wind of it
           | 
           | bagholders on reddit trying to understand the 50% drop have
           | not been open to anything rational that explains the 50% drop
           | 
           | so far I've gotten "You are blinded by dumb hate." for
           | pointing out that $LUNR's unintuitive machines getting
           | contracts from Nasa are their only business plan, as if this
           | is a partisan thing
        
             | ok_dad wrote:
             | Shit, NASA does space stuff, it fails sometimes! Do we want
             | to only fund things we know to be 100% easy to do? And
             | don't fucking tell me, "we already landed on the moon once,
             | how hard can it be?" because this shit is really fucking
             | hard and takes lots of cash and a lot of what apppears to
             | be "waste" or "failure" on a first order approximation, but
             | in reality is actually "learned knowledge".
             | 
             | I can't believe people think they're going to "make america
             | great again" by cutting funding for all the stuff that
             | makes America an economic, cultural, and academic
             | powerhouse.
        
               | not2b wrote:
               | They shouldn't just cancel, but with the same kind of
               | failure twice in a row it seems they should require
               | correcting the tipping-over issue before trying a third
               | time.
        
               | temp0826 wrote:
               | They should ask the moon for a refund, or at least a
               | "thank you".
        
               | NitpickLawyer wrote:
               | Once upon a time a bunch of nerds failed 3 times in a row
               | while launching small rockets from an atoll. Some 20
               | years later they are now 13k+ nerds, they're launching
               | every other day, land their boosters and are slowly
               | becoming an ISP with a rocket launching side business.
               | 
               | Space is hard. There's nothing "embarrassing" in
               | controlled landing on the freakin Moon with a shoestring
               | budget, even if the landers fell over. Reddit's
               | r/technology is leaking in this thread.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Once upon a time a bunch of nerds failed 3 times in a
               | row while launching small rockets from an atoll_
               | 
               | Once upon a time most planes crashed. Then the state of
               | the art advanced.
               | 
               | If IM can't publish a convincing root-cause analysis for
               | why their landers keep tipping over while their
               | competitors' don't, they shouldn't get new contracts and
               | existing ones should be revisited.
        
               | mmooss wrote:
               | I thought the same, but ...
               | 
               | 1) private companies landing on the moon is a brand new
               | thing in a very difficult technology. If we want to
               | encourage it, maybe we should minimize risk.
               | 
               | 2) what were their mission goals? Maybe it was just to
               | stick the landing, test landing gear, etc. (There is a
               | bunch of equipment on there for other things, so they
               | must have had some other plans.)
               | 
               | 3) what is the difference between a private company and
               | NASA doing it? That is, why is it so hard to do what NASA
               | did over 50 years ago, without things falling over, etc.?
               | Is it budget? Time for testing and retesting (investors
               | want returns)? Talent? Is NASA witholding its secret
               | ingredients like a self-centered chef? (At least some
               | national space agencies also have had problems, like
               | JAXA, but I'm not sure how widespread that is.)
               | 
               | Edit: I would make it competitive, though. That's the
               | point of private business - it can fail and disappear.
               | Compete for the next contract.
        
               | not2b wrote:
               | Not sure who you are quoting here, I never said
               | "embarrassing". I'm sure that those "nerds" made
               | adjustments based on the failures. That's all I was
               | asking for.
        
               | jiggawatts wrote:
               | Worse, it's richest country on earth complaining about
               | being too poor and having to enact austerity measures --
               | implemented by the richest person on the planet who's
               | personal pay is much, _much_ higher than any of the
               | savings he's found so far.
               | 
               | I've seen many occasions in my career when some manager
               | had flown across the country with a business class
               | ticket, stayed in a fancy hotel, rented a luxury car, and
               | turned up to an all-hands-on-deck meeting to announce in
               | a grave tone that the minimum wage workers are just going
               | to have to make some sacrifices.
               | 
               | This is almost precisely what's going on with DOGE except
               | you can substitute private jet and secret service
               | motorcade. And instead of minimum wage, it's... less than
               | minimum wage.
               | 
               | The richest are complaining about being too poor to help
               | the needy, and fixing the issue by cutting every program
               | that helps those under the poverty line.
        
               | yieldcrv wrote:
               | I don't make comments based on what I want to happen
               | 
               | An entire federal agency was deleted and thousands of non
               | profits and other organizations were using the funding
               | source as their only client and are also deleted now
               | 
               | Just because this one is publicly traded we should expect
               | a different outcome?
               | 
               | I love prediction markets because now there is another
               | outlet for perceiving politics than just debating. I take
               | your money in a zero sum game if my worldview is more
               | accurate, love that. I would almost it rewards having a
               | contrarian view of the world, but there are some
               | psychology studies that show even ideologues like you
               | will make accurate predictions even there is a payout of
               | basically any amount. So I doubt it's actually a
               | contrarian view given that you have the same information.
        
           | dr_orpheus wrote:
           | Yeah, was cool to see Blue Ghost be successful. And do the
           | point about tall and thin, the Blue Ghost lander is much more
           | squat than the Intuitive Machines landers
           | 
           | https://fireflyspace.com/blue-ghost/
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _craft that tipped over last year (Odysseus) was also made
           | by Intuitive Machines (IM)_
           | 
           | Have they published a root-cause analysis?
        
             | pbronez wrote:
             | Apparently last time their laser rangefinder was turned off
             | groundside and thus wasn't available during landing.
             | 
             | This time they remembered to turn it on, but it didn't work
             | very well.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | That's a proximate-cause analysis. If the root of their
               | problem is a rangefinder, what happened that caused them
               | to consistently miss with it?
               | 
               | The lack of credible comments strikes me as someone
               | socking the answer: they've committed to a stacked format
               | that is inherently unstable. If they can't get an answer
               | out before the next budget is passed, their contracts
               | should be cancelled.
        
               | mannyv wrote:
               | I'm sure they're accounting for dust, but using a laser
               | in an environment that kicks up a ton of dust just
               | doesn't seem like a great idea.
        
           | simne wrote:
           | > Firefly's Blue Ghost landed on the moon last week without
           | tipping over
           | 
           | > from a high level perspective I'm sure senior leaders at
           | NASA are reconsidering giving any new contracts to IM.
           | 
           | Truth is, all contractors rely on NASA data about Moon
           | surface, and this data is not 100% reliable.
           | 
           | But some people trust NASA and others much more cautious and
           | include bigger possible error margins in their models.
           | 
           | I mean, FF could just include much larger design margins,
           | with less payload, so next time FF will optimize design and
           | could also tip over.
           | 
           | But good news, IM next time could make larger margins and
           | will also achieve 100% success.
        
         | sho_hn wrote:
         | Which gives me great amusement about the current human
         | spaceflight plan to land upright Starship on the moon, and
         | lower astronauts from the top of what is effectively a tower-
         | like 13-story building (52.1m without landing legs, at 9m tube
         | width) using some kind of elevator solution. To put things into
         | perspective, this is roughly the same height as the Leaning
         | Tower of Pisa, and with landing legs extended probably about
         | the same width as well.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starship_HLS#/media/File:HLS_S...
         | 
         | https://www.nasa.gov/image-article/nasa-astronauts-test-spac...
         | 
         | Sure, there's lots of details to consider, e.g. center of
         | gravity, overall weight, maximum possible duration to hover and
         | ability to accurately steer and pick your landing spot. But the
         | inherent difficulty in "how do you not topple over" is
         | definitely there, and it's clear the proposed Starship lander
         | will have to outperform these IM landers significantly.
         | 
         | That said, if you want to scale out payload to the surface I
         | guess you have to (which however eats into your center of
         | gravity advantages from having lots of engines at the bottom,
         | too).
        
           | RandomBacon wrote:
           | > how do you not topple over
           | 
           | Projectile grappling-hooks to embed into nearby ground then
           | winch the line taught? Just have to make sure all are
           | launched at the same time with force vectors that cancel out.
           | Maybe even launch them before touchdown so it doesn't topple
           | over during landing if one of the feet land on a random rock.
        
             | itishappy wrote:
             | My vote is for a large BattleBots style flipper that they
             | flop their rover around with until it falls in their
             | preferred orientation.
        
           | nick486 wrote:
           | with enough energy(like starship would have), i suppose you
           | could get out of an irrecoverable tipping over motion by just
           | lighting the engines and trying again. Before you fall,
           | obviously. "works in KSP"^TM
        
           | johnyzee wrote:
           | If they can control the angle of each leg with enough
           | precision, that might be enough to compensate for (slightly)
           | uneven terrain.
           | 
           | I understand that the recently successful Blue Ghost has
           | sensors to detect suitability of the landing spot, and used
           | it to re-position twice while landing. Starship would
           | probably need something like that, too.
        
           | kristianp wrote:
           | At least they're likely to do unmanned test landings until
           | they successfully land upright. But it seems nobody followed
           | the design of the appollo lander, except the Blue ghost which
           | landed successfully last week.
        
         | baq wrote:
         | The guys designing this never played kerbal space program or
         | something. My first mun lander looked like theirs and of course
         | it fell over after landing. If something doesn't work in KSP,
         | it probably deserves a looking at in the real world.
        
         | spelunker wrote:
         | I mean, eventually everything is crab right?
        
           | smj-edison wrote:
           | Mandatory xkcd 2314.
        
       | carabiner wrote:
       | Jesus. It really is that hard. With all the bajillion in extra
       | compute and simulation time from Apollo era, we can't do hard
       | things anymore. We don't know how.
        
         | cyphertruck wrote:
         | Apollo took up an appreciable percentage of the GDP... this is
         | a small startup with a fraction of the funding. Firefly landed
         | successfully, but they are bigger.
         | 
         | This is a hardware rich, inexpensive program, and they could
         | fly probably 100 missions for the cost of one NASA old style
         | mission.
        
           | rqtwteye wrote:
           | Exactly. If we spend the same percentage of GDP we spent on
           | Apollo, moon bases, mars landings, fusion and others would
           | happen quickly.
        
         | svachalek wrote:
         | Note that Firefly succeeded at this just a few days ago.
        
         | lupusreal wrote:
         | Landers on the Moon is pre-Apollo in fact, by about three
         | years. The Soviet's Luna 9 landed on the Moon in February of
         | 1966, and America's Surveyor 1 in June.
        
         | SoftTalker wrote:
         | Apollo landers had human brains operating them. We're not quite
         | there yet with technology.
        
           | olex wrote:
           | Surveyor and other probes have landed autonomously in the
           | years leading up to Apollo, and after it as well. We
           | definitely do have the technology, but having not used it for
           | a couple decades, we've gone a bit rusty with it.
        
       | ge96 wrote:
       | Damn... gotta take a playbook out of MIB2 have it stand itself up
       | after landing
       | 
       | A ball design too, rolls over and stands up
        
       | mclau156 wrote:
       | The company Intuitive Machines first and second moon-landers both
       | tipped over, hopefully the third does not tip over
        
         | doodlebugging wrote:
         | Hopefully someone at Intuitive Machines pores over the data and
         | and design plans and makes significant changes that minimize
         | the opportunity for this to happen the third time around,
         | assuming NASA gives them that opportunity.
         | 
         | If their lander is indeed top-heavy then they have some design
         | issues to overcome. Perhaps adding a set of outriggers that
         | deploy just before touchdown and detach or fold up on command
         | once the lander is deemed to be in a stable orientation. Even
         | landing it as a ball with air cushions that deflate once it
         | comes to rest has to be preferred to simply keeping it the same
         | and hoping for a nice flat spot to land.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _pores over the data and and design plans and makes
           | significant changes_
           | 
           | And then publishes it. The fact that they have precise
           | renders still published of their next lander [1] is a bit
           | telling about their engineering approach.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.intuitivemachines.com/missions
        
             | doodlebugging wrote:
             | That's pretty funny. Doubling down on it may not pay off.
             | 
             | The first two landers have different backgrounds. The third
             | and fourth re-use the first lander background in the same
             | orientation and mirrored. I would think that since the
             | third lander has a model displayed and the fourth is just a
             | proposed outline that they may be open to structural
             | changes by the fourth if they get that opportunity.
             | 
             | Hopefully they take the bait and pursue modifications that
             | give their lander a lower center of gravity or a wider
             | footprint. If I were at NASA I would be hesitant about
             | allowing them to launch that third model with no mods. Even
             | if all they do is hit the free section on craigslist in
             | Houston and grab all the free-weights and a lightly used
             | tarp to swing, testicle-style, underneath the lander as it
             | tries to find the moon.
        
           | criddell wrote:
           | [delayed]
        
       | mikeyouse wrote:
       | Kind of passed over in the discussion of the science and toppling
       | - but did they give any idea why it landed 250 miles from its
       | intended landing site? Seems like a really large error?
        
         | aylmao wrote:
         | Really funny spin from their PR department too:
         | 
         | > "the most southernmost lunar landing and surface operations
         | ever achieved".
         | 
         | > "This area has been avoided due to its rugged terrain and
         | Intuitive Machines believes the insights and achievements from
         | IM-2 will open this region for further space exploration."
         | 
         | I wonder if this 250 mile error is why they ended so far south
         | in the first place.
        
           | hcrisp wrote:
           | As I recall, Apollo 11 was off by 4 miles downrange, which
           | was considered good but not precise. More work on the
           | guidance / navigation system allowed for a precision landing
           | in Apollo 12 (to touch down near a Surveyor probe).
        
             | sho_hn wrote:
             | If you want to read about this in fascinating detail, I
             | highly recommend the book "Digital Apollo" by David A.
             | Mindell.
             | 
             | David's book spends a lot of time dwelling on the tension
             | between highly automated systems and the role of the human
             | in them, and the HCI factors of the Apollo missions. They
             | also recap each landing through that lens, including the
             | major changes done to the Lunar Module UI (physical +
             | software) and the landing script/programs for each mission
             | and how things worked out in practice and how it was
             | debriefed after. If you want the insight look at the
             | decision to go for precision landing, how (and how well) it
             | was achieved and how everyone involved felt about it, this
             | is probably your best one-stop go-to.
             | 
             | And for anyone working in embedded UI, or around
             | automation, etc. it's a wondeful mind-sharpener with many
             | lessons in an inspiring applied context.
             | 
             | The Apollo user interface and computer were so state of the
             | art that many of the problems and solutions remain quite
             | similar today. I work in a similar area (cars, with ever-
             | increasing amounts of automation, driver assistance and
             | connectivity) and some of the debates and on-the-job
             | exchanges and meeting notes cited in the book could be
             | straight out of my day job 60 years later with only minute
             | differences. Some of the "Lessons on Software
             | Development"-type docs penned by Apollo engineers in the
             | aftermath of the program (trade-offs of platform approaches
             | and HW abstractions vs. optimization, how to get a handle
             | on quality and testing, etc.) also still read absolutely
             | modern to this day, almost with greater summarizing clarity
             | than what decades of paradigms and jargon have slathered on
             | top.
        
           | Retric wrote:
           | It's 250m which isn't bad and suggests they intended it to be
           | the southern most probe.
        
         | olex wrote:
         | According to IM's website, it landed within 250 _meters_ of the
         | intended site - could there be a unit confusion (m / mi)
         | somewhere in the press chain?
         | 
         | https://www.intuitivemachines.com/im-2
        
           | sho_hn wrote:
           | 250 meters is very respectable for a first try.
           | 
           | Apollo 14 and 12 achieved 30 meters and 163 meters with human
           | piloting, respectively, and that's after the program made
           | precision landing a high-effort mission goal. The automated
           | missions of the 60s-70s were often off target by a kilometre
           | or more, but Surveyor 3 came in within 200 meters as well in
           | '67.
           | 
           | Japan did a mission in 2024 with the express purpose of
           | achieving automated precision landing - SLIM, nicknamed "Moon
           | Sniper" - and hit 55 meters off center of a 100-by-100 elipse
           | despite losing a main engine nozzle during descent (but also
           | landed on its side, bummer). 50-150 meters is what the
           | Chinese missions in the 2010s generally managed to do at
           | times as well. I think Chang'e 5 (2020) holds the present
           | record at within 10 meters.
        
             | mmooss wrote:
             | Is 50 year old technology and expertise a good standard for
             | comparison for modern tech?
        
               | macintux wrote:
               | I'd say relative to the difficulty of accuracy, the
               | hostility of the environment, the known "lumpiness" of
               | the moon, and the challenges of testing any of it in
               | advance...yes?
        
               | MadnessASAP wrote:
               | Well when I was a child I tried to land on the moon but
               | missed by about 384,000 km. That was only about 30 years
               | ago, so their doing a heck of a lot better then that
               | which is something!
        
               | HankB99 wrote:
               | Before that I tried to get to the moon. I climbed the
               | nearest tree. Good progress at first ...
        
         | kccqzy wrote:
         | 250 miles? The mission official website of Intuitive Machines
         | says 250 meters. From https://www.intuitivemachines.com/im-2
         | 
         | > HOUSTON, TX - March 7, 2025 - Intuitive Machines, Inc.
         | (Nasdaq: LUNR, LUNRW) ("Intuitive Machines") ("Company"), a
         | leading space exploration, infrastructure, and services
         | company, has announced the IM-2 mission lunar lander, Athena,
         | landed 250 meters from its intended landing site in the Mons
         | Mouton region of the lunar south pole, inside of a crater.
         | 
         | It's also somewhat funny that this mission update is written in
         | the style of a press releases, mentioning that stock ticker and
         | an obligatory paragraph about forward-looking statements,
         | whereas others are just a normal update.
        
           | Oarch wrote:
           | There's a long history of typos behind the paper's nickname
           | Grauniad
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | > Seems like a really large error?
         | 
         | At one point during its transit the spacecraft will have been
         | going about 23,000 miles per hour, suddenly 250 miles doesn't
         | seem like much. Though obviously that's in the middle of the
         | trip and plenty of things happen between the transit between
         | the earth and moon and landing.
        
       | aylmao wrote:
       | > The failure of Athena, which was packed with scientific probes
       | and experiments that Nasa was relying on as it prepares to send
       | astronauts back to the moon for the first time since 1972, was
       | almost identical to IM's first moon landing in February 2024.
       | 
       | Does this mean delays for Artemis, or do we not know yet?
        
         | 6d6b73 wrote:
         | Spaceship fiasco will delay Artemis so much that there is no
         | need to even consider landing on the Moon in the next 10 years.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _Spaceship [_ sic _] fiasco will delay Artemis_
           | 
           | Artemis II is entirely delayed by Lockheed's Orion
           | spacecraft. Not SpaceX's Starship.
        
             | itishappy wrote:
             | I wouldn't say entirely. Starship isn't going to be
             | involved in Artemis II, but Artemis III supposed to take
             | humans to the moon in December 2025. Nobody's on schedule.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _wouldn 't say entirely. Starship isn't going to be
               | involved in Artemis II_
               | 
               | So entirely.
               | 
               | Artemis III is being delayed by Artemis II. We _expect_
               | Starship to delay III. But so far, 100% of the delays
               | have been caused by Orion.
        
               | itishappy wrote:
               | Technically, sure. Practically, nobody's on schedule. I
               | don't think Orion's delays absolve Starship's.
        
               | kristianp wrote:
               | That artemis III date is very old. Artimis II is now
               | scheduled to take place no earlier than April 2026 [1].
               | 
               | III is scheduled for mid 2027, and will be delayed
               | further as time passes [2].
               | 
               | 1. https://www.nasa.gov/mission/artemis-ii/
               | 
               | 2. https://www.nasa.gov/mission/artemis-iii/
        
       | xnx wrote:
       | That photo is really poetic though.
        
         | EvanAnderson wrote:
         | The photo made me think "We just need to land a large sun-
         | tracking mirror over there".
        
       | bell-cot wrote:
       | > Athena, a probe launched by [...] Intuitive Machines (IM) last
       | month, touched down about 250 miles from its intended landing
       | site near the moon's south pole on Thursday. Initially at least,
       | it was generating some power and sending information to Earth as
       | engineers worked to make sense of data showing an "incorrect
       | attitude".
       | 
       | > On Friday, however, IM declared Athena dead.
       | 
       | 250 miles off-course, _and_ their second flop in a row. I 'd
       | certainly cross them off the Approved Vendor list.
       | 
       | About that "gotta be tall & tippy to fit inside the Falcon's
       | payload fairing" idea. No, it does not. The payload fairing was
       | jettisoned ~1/4M miles before Athena got to the moon. So _plenty_
       | of time for the lander to deploy some folded-up  "spider legs"
       | landing gear, making "land and fall over" virtually impossible.
        
       | joeevans1000 wrote:
       | Not being critical here, just a question from my curious naivety
       | (lunar exploration is hard): these landers seem spindly and
       | unforgiving, landing-wise. Are there bouncy ball type craft that
       | could be made, or something that can reorient or push itself up
       | after landing? I have a vague memory of something like that being
       | used on Mars.
        
         | Liftyee wrote:
         | There are indeed craft like that. The NASA Pathfinder probe and
         | MER rovers (all to Mars) are probably what you're thinking of.
        
           | joeevans1000 wrote:
           | Ah, cool. I'll look those up. I just looked at the Athena and
           | I'm tempted to armchair quarterback a tiny bit. I mean, that
           | thing looks extremely top heavy. And it had hundreds of
           | millions of dollars of equipment on it. I also wonder if
           | these companies are patenting their approaches so that other
           | companies can't use working solutions.
        
         | dr_orpheus wrote:
         | Yep, most of the previous Mars rover prior to Curiosity did it
         | this way. They had a number of balloons surrounding the rover
         | and landed and bounced along the surface. Then the balloons
         | were deflated in a particular order so the rover ended up the
         | right way up. But for these there was some atmosphere to slow
         | the descent with a parachute and balloons. But for landing on
         | the moon you need the thrusters to slow you down for landing so
         | it can't just be balloons on either side. Presumably you could
         | still use something to slow you down that isn't part of the
         | science mission for the lander that gets ejected right before
         | landing an then let the balloons hit the surface and drop down.
         | But now there are multiple mechanisms and things to do the
         | landing which means more money.
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kSbAUtyO7xo
        
         | simne wrote:
         | Size is important. For thin atmosphere or vacuum planet, airbag
         | approach is optimal for small size lander, but for big size
         | space crane is optimal.
         | 
         | Unfortunately, at the moment I could not suggest what is small
         | and what is big for Moon.
         | 
         | And for about IM, things could be even worse, as they are
         | limited as commercial company (NASA lander could use government
         | money to achieve much higher budget and have much more
         | possibilities to do same thing).
        
       | Simon_O_Rourke wrote:
       | I presume it was all that Lunar wind that just toppled it in the
       | end.
        
       | rqtwteye wrote:
       | It shows the old that getting to 90% is easy and fast but the
       | last 10% are very tedious and slow.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _shows the old that getting to 90% is easy and fast but the
         | last 10% are very tedious and slow_
         | 
         | And maybe don't bet on a SPAC to deliver advanced engineering?
        
           | dothack wrote:
           | Counterexample: Rocket Lab's tech [1] landed Blue Ghost on
           | the Moon.
           | 
           | [1]: https://www.rocketlabusa.com/updates/rocket-lab-space-
           | softwa...
        
       | meepmeepinator wrote:
       | Athena's failure might actually hint at a spaceflight paradigm
       | shift. Instead of derailing lunar ambitions, the lander's tumble
       | (blamed on glitchy laser rangefinders) underscores how "fail
       | fast" can drive innovation in private spaceflight. In fact,
       | Athena still managed the Moon's southernmost touchdown on record
       | and even sent back some data before freezing up in the dark.
       | Sure, two tipped landers in a row is a setback, but each misstep
       | teaches engineers invaluable lessons at a fraction of the cost of
       | a traditional program.
        
         | necubi wrote:
         | Please don't post LLM generated comments on HN.
        
           | rrr_oh_man wrote:
           | What's the tell?
        
             | crummy wrote:
             | The last sentence, for me.
        
       | gtirloni wrote:
       | <tangent>Not a native English speaker here, my focus stopped at
       | the subtitle "Robotic private spacecraft touched down about 250
       | miles from its intended landing site on Thursday". It feels odd
       | to read "robotic private spacecraft" instead of "private robotic
       | spacecraft" but I can't explain why.</tangent>
        
         | jchw wrote:
         | I agree, as a native speaker. It's a known phenomena[1], though
         | I'm not sure in this case what type of adjective you'd classify
         | "private" as.
         | 
         | [1]: https://dictionary.cambridge.org/grammar/british-
         | grammar/adj...
        
           | rrr_oh_man wrote:
           | Nit:
           | 
           |  _Phenomena_ is plural. The singular form is _phenomenon_.
           | 
           | (Other similar words with a Greek root: lexicon/lexica,
           | criterion/criteria, automaton/automata)
        
           | mhink wrote:
           | I'll grant that it definitely sounds ambiguous, but I
           | actually think the phrasing "robotic private spacecraft" is
           | more correct in the end.
           | 
           | I think this is a fair analogy: suppose we were talking about
           | a "private detective". If we were writing a sci-fi book, we
           | might talk about a "robotic private detective", but "private
           | robotic detective" would sound odd.
           | 
           | Now, I'll grant that "private detective" has a lot more
           | cultural weight than "private spacecraft", but I think it's
           | fair to say that at least the word "private" is playing a
           | nearly identical role in both phrases. With that in mind, I
           | think "robotic private spacecraft" makes sense.
           | 
           | I suppose you could take this argument one step further and
           | resolve the ambiguity by asking which distinction
           | (robotic/non-robotic, private/public) the article writer
           | thinks is more notable and placing that first.
        
             | card_zero wrote:
             | Yeah, _private detective_ is an open compound:
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compound_(linguistics)
             | 
             | At least I think that's the right term (I hunted around for
             | one that fits). So, is _private spacecraft_ also a
             | compound? Is it idiomatic? Maybe. Another example is
             | _little black dress,_ where  "my new little black dress"
             | sounds right and "my little new black dress" seems to refer
             | to a different kind of garment.
        
           | fuzztester wrote:
           | >I agree, as a native speaker. It's _a_ known phenomena[1]
           | 
           | phenomenon is the singular, phenomena is the plural, dear
           | native speaker ;)
           | 
           | google: phenomenon vs phenomena
           | 
           | or:
           | 
           | https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/learner-
           | english/...
        
         | card_zero wrote:
         | There is such a thing as adjective order.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adjective#Order
         | 
         | Arguably "private" is _origin_ and  "robotic" is _purpose_.
        
         | LeoPanthera wrote:
         | The order of adjectives in English is usually:
         | 
         | opinion, size, age or shape, colour, origin, material, purpose
         | 
         | It is sometimes difficult to classify adjectives this way, but
         | "private" is probably opinion and "robotic" is probably
         | purpose, so you are correct, "private robotic spacecraft" is
         | probably correct.
         | 
         | The problem with English, of course, is that you can figure out
         | what someone means, even if they jumble all their words up,
         | most of the time.
         | 
         | I wonder if the standard of English composition has been
         | reducing in journalism, over the past few years.
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | Private large old round blue American metallic robotic
           | spaceship.
           | 
           | Sounds a bit wrong, I want to put American first.
        
             | asah wrote:
             | That's your American opinion !! :-)
        
             | adriand wrote:
             | > Sounds a bit wrong, I want to put American first.
             | 
             | That would require labelling the spacecraft transgender,
             | then cutting its budget.
        
             | bawolff wrote:
             | Otoh, if you cut out some - "old american spaceship" sounds
             | fine to me, where "american old spaceship" does not (or it
             | makes it sound like "american old" is a brand name)
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Part of it might be that the age is changing, but the
               | "American" isn't.
               | 
               | I don't know. It's weird that there's obviously some kind
               | of ruleset here, but it's difficult to nail it down.
        
           | QuercusMax wrote:
           | I think private is an origin, not an opinion.
        
           | tzs wrote:
           | I'm curious how that would apply in this case Imagine a
           | restaurant that sells french fries. They offer two kinds of
           | fries, one with physically large fries (like steak fries) and
           | the other with physically small fries (like shoestring
           | fries). They call these "large" fries and "small" fries.
           | 
           | You can order a large quantity of fries or a small quantity
           | of fries, giving 4 possible orders: large large fries, large
           | small fries, small large fries, and small small fries.
           | 
           | If an order of large small fries asking for a large quantity
           | of the shoestring fries or a small quantity of the steak
           | fries?
           | 
           | I think I'd expect it to mean a large quantity of the
           | shoestring fries.
        
         | celsius1414 wrote:
         | You are likely aware of the English language's feature of
         | multiple adjectives (that are modifying the same noun) needing
         | to appear in a certain order to sound "correct". So for example
         | "yellow big balloon" sounds wrong but "big yellow balloon"
         | sounds right. This is because SIZE is supposed to come before
         | COLOR in standard English phrases.
         | 
         | In this case, "robotic" and "private" could be similar enough
         | in category to be confusing. In the Order of Adjectives[0],
         | "robotic" is in the TYPE category, near the bottom of the list,
         | and "private" seems to fit in that same category at first
         | glance. By that interpretation, either "robotic private" or
         | "private robotic" works.
         | 
         | What if instead of "private" it said "Californian"? That would
         | make it an ORIGIN, and "Californian robotic spacecraft" becomes
         | the obvious choice -- otherwise, you'd think they were talking
         | about a spacecraft belonging to robots from California. ;)
         | 
         | So if we interpret "private" as an ORIGIN, your "private
         | robotic spacecraft" sounds better. That would have been my
         | choice as well.
         | 
         | [0]: https://dictionary.cambridge.org/grammar/british-
         | grammar/adj...
        
           | rrr_oh_man wrote:
           | Upvoted, but just wanted to say it explicitly:
           | 
           | What an in-depth and thoughtful answer. Thank you for this!
        
             | kulahan wrote:
             | Comments like these are literally why I come to HN
             | honestly. It's such a wonderful community here.
        
               | ForOldHack wrote:
               | They are especially flavorful recently.
        
             | bloomingeek wrote:
             | Having been raised in the states, I was a little shocked
             | when I purchased a small book on English grammar. It
             | explained a lot of tenses and proper arraignments of
             | sentences I never knew. [which is clear from the things I
             | just wrote. :)]
        
           | contingencies wrote:
           | A rational reference, but there are no hard and fast rules.
           | 
           | Perhaps more importantly, in well written English superfluous
           | words are removed - thus 'private robotic spacecraft' becomes
           | 'private spacecraft', since all spacecraft are by definition
           | at least partly autonomous.
        
             | alwa wrote:
             | In the domain of moon spacecraft particularly, doesn't
             | there remain a clear distinction to be drawn between manned
             | and unmanned spacecraft, given the power of the "man on the
             | moon" trope in English-speakers' imagination?
             | 
             | "Private spacecraft tips over on moon" would mean something
             | rather different if a modern-day Neil Armstrong were inside
             | at the time.
             | 
             | If anything, the fact that it's just a machine matters more
             | to me than who paid for it.
        
           | 725686 wrote:
           | I am not a native English speaker (or English native speaker,
           | ;)), but I've been using it forever...but didn't know there
           | was an official adjective ordering.
        
             | marssaxman wrote:
             | I don't think most native English speakers know that,
             | either. I only learned about it by hearing people explain
             | it as an aspect of English to non-native speakers; it was
             | not something anyone taught me in school, it's not
             | something I've ever heard anyone mention in the context of
             | proofreading or writing advice, and I couldn't actually
             | tell you how it works - though I'm sure I must be using it
             | instinctively.
        
               | card_zero wrote:
               | It's strangely intuitive, unlike English spelling. People
               | going around getting it right all the time without even
               | knowing it.
               | 
               | Not unique to English, either: Wikipedia has examples in
               | Tagalog where the order is almost the same (apart from a
               | clause inserted in the middle of the second sequence).
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tagalog_grammar#Sequence_of
               | _mo...
        
               | smithkl42 wrote:
               | "I first tried to write a story when I was about seven.
               | It was about a dragon. I remember nothing about it except
               | a philological fact. My mother said nothing about the
               | dragon, but pointed out that one could not say "A green
               | great dragon," but had to say "a great green dragon." I
               | wondered why, and still do." - J. R. R. Tolkien
        
             | Onawa wrote:
             | The order of adjectives was never taught in K-12. It seems
             | to be followed naturally by native English speakers without
             | much thought until the order isn't followed. Then it sounds
             | weird but most native speakers wouldn't be able to tell you
             | why.
        
               | jazzyjackson wrote:
               | afaik Grammar is an attempt to systematize how native
               | speakers speak, descriptive rather than prescriptive and
               | so on. Tho maybe with writing there's a feedback loop,
               | and more instances where corrections are in order than
               | colloquial speech.
        
             | ticulatedspline wrote:
             | Native speaker. I don't think it's truly "official" and
             | it's not typically formally taught. "Elements of Eloquence"
             | by Mark Forsyth is frequently cited as an early source of
             | the "rule". IMHO It seems to be more of an organic property
             | of the language.
             | 
             | there's lots of articles on it. like this one
             | https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/597981/adjective-
             | order-g... and it's true that most of the time it just
             | sounds odd or is confusing if you get the order "wrong".
        
         | jamesy0ung wrote:
         | I'm a native English speaker and I think it's weird as well.
        
       | 4b11b4 wrote:
       | Imagine we spent this much effort on projects on the Earth.
        
         | WillPostForFood wrote:
         | We spend vastly more on projects on Earth, any way you measure.
         | Time, money, manpower. The US Federal Govt spent $6.9 Trillion
         | last year, Nasa's budget was $25 billion, so about 0.3% of
         | spending.
         | 
         | https://www.planetary.org/space-policy/nasa-budget
        
       | dreamcompiler wrote:
       | Good advice:
       | 
       | 1. Never invade Russia in winter.
       | 
       | 2. Make sure your robotic lunar lander has a low center of
       | gravity.
        
         | BugsJustFindMe wrote:
         | > _Never invade Russia in winter._
         | 
         | I thought it was never get involved in a land war in Asia.
        
           | analog31 wrote:
           | Especially never invade the part of Russia that's in Asia, in
           | winter.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | There are been lot of land wars in Asia over history.
           | Sometimes it goes well for the defender, sometimes the
           | attacker.
           | 
           | Never get involved in a war is good advice, but sometimes
           | impossible to keep.
        
           | mannyv wrote:
           | Unless you're Asian, then you'll win.
        
           | dr_orpheus wrote:
           | Never go in against a Sicilian when death (of a spacecraft)
           | is on the line
        
         | arccy wrote:
         | when gravity is 1/6, a lower centre of gravity might not do as
         | much as you think
        
           | doormatt wrote:
           | Surely it just needs to be 6 times lower? ;)
        
           | JoeAltmaier wrote:
           | I think that is entirely irrelevant. It just changes the
           | speed of the topple. Does not affect at all the tendency to
           | tip over?
        
             | mathgeek wrote:
             | It's been a while, but IIRC when we assume all other
             | variables as constant, a lower center of mass (a) will
             | decrease the denominator and thus increase the resulting
             | necessary tipping force.
             | 
             | F[?] = (m x g x cos(th) x b) / (a + b)
        
             | hansvm wrote:
             | Adding to the sibling @mathgeek's comment, that's only true
             | when there are no outside forces other than gravity. You
             | can see that by taking the counter-argument to its extreme:
             | with gravity of epsilon, even a gentle prod at the top of
             | the object will topple it over.
        
           | skykooler wrote:
           | That just makes it six times as important!
        
           | caycep wrote:
           | Why didn't they use that bouncy inflatable ball technique the
           | cute JPL robot used?
        
         | cameldrv wrote:
         | > Make sure your robotic lunar lander has a low center of
         | gravity.
         | 
         | Hmm.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starship_HLS
        
           | ncallaway wrote:
           | Don't worry, there will be people inside!
           | 
           | Oh, wait, hrm...
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | Humans - and the mostly empty space they require - up top.
           | 
           | Fuel, engines, and water will be at the bottom.
           | 
           | (For practical examples, look at the F9 first stage, or the
           | Starship prototypes they've already tested.)
        
       | nashashmi wrote:
       | If we send a person on a one-way mission to the moon to make sure
       | that the instruments are able to work properly, we would have
       | better return on the investment.
        
       | matt3210 wrote:
       | The lowest bidder messed up :(
        
       | worik wrote:
       | > Athena had the same tall, thin design that some experts had
       | feared could lead to a repeat of the accident.
       | 
       | Good grief
        
       | quantadev wrote:
       | It's so easy to design vehicles that can't roll over on their
       | backs and die like a turtle. All you need to do is use large
       | wagon-wheels and put the cargo/payload near the axles of it,
       | where it doesn't extend above the top of the wheel. Then the
       | device can continue to work as well upside down as right-side-up.
       | In other words, it has no such thing as upside down.
       | 
       | There are lots of robots like this now, where if they get upside
       | down, the wheels are on 'arms' that can just swing to the other
       | side to make it right-side-up again. Admittedly I'm a mechanical
       | engineer myself, but this design doesn't seem like "Rocket
       | Science" to me. haha. (nice pun amirite)
        
       | ForOldHack wrote:
       | If a space probe falls on the moon, does it make a sound?
        
         | aabiji wrote:
         | No, sound needs a medium to pass through and there isn't (ok
         | fine, yes there is, but it's not sufficient) an atmosphere on
         | the moon.
         | 
         | Interesting philosophical questions though :)
        
           | ZeWaka wrote:
           | Wouldn't the crash make a vibration in the lunar soil?
           | 
           | I know it's actually quite dry, thin, and dusty, but half the
           | density of common Earth rock (~1.6 v. ~2.7g/cm3) should still
           | conduct some sound. If you put your ear (or more likely, a
           | microphone) on the ground...
        
         | thrance wrote:
         | Yes, the sound is carried through the ground.
        
       | fnordpiglet wrote:
       | This is really making me suffer from my Kerbal Space Program
       | PTSD.
        
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