[HN Gopher] Apple says it will add 20k jobs, spend $500B, produc...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Apple says it will add 20k jobs, spend $500B, produce AI servers in
       US
        
       Author : helsinkiandrew
       Score  : 479 points
       Date   : 2025-02-24 11:05 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bloomberg.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bloomberg.com)
        
       | helsinkiandrew wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/EfwDl
        
       | showmexyz wrote:
       | Something buried in this, Apple are starting their own server
       | manufacturing.
        
         | reaperducer wrote:
         | And in the United States, too. (Houston)
        
         | jermaustin1 wrote:
         | I would assume it is for their own use, not for people wanting
         | the XServe to come back with M4 Ultra (i.e. me...).
        
           | throwaway48476 wrote:
           | Such a shame. I'd be interested in a personal server.
        
             | olyjohn wrote:
             | Why would Apple want you to have one though?
        
           | btucker wrote:
           | Agreed, but I wonder--given investors demands for continued
           | growth--if they're considering going up against NVIDIA.
        
             | smallmancontrov wrote:
             | Nah, surely 80% margins for matrix multiplication on the
             | latest TSMC node will last forever.
        
           | sampton wrote:
           | Nvidia has proven the space is incredibly lucrative and Apple
           | is best equipped for high end chip designs. Remember 10 years
           | ago it was unthinkable for an ARM chip to compete with x86.
        
             | nobankai wrote:
             | First Apple has to prove they have competitive designs.
             | Apple Silicon GPUs simply do not compete with the
             | efficiency of Nvidia's GPU compute architecture:
             | https://browser.geekbench.com/opencl-benchmarks
             | 
             | Apple's obsessive focus with raster efficiency really shot
             | their GPU designs in the foot. It will be interesting to
             | see if they adopt Nvidia-style designs or spend more time
             | trying to force NPU hardware to work.
        
               | jermaustin1 wrote:
               | I think performance per watt is way in Apple's favor, but
               | raw performance is not.
               | 
               | That said, an M4 Ultra (extrapolating from Max and Pro)
               | would likely compete with my 3090, and with 192GB of
               | memory (for 10x the amount it should cost) will out
               | perform my 3x3090 AI server. And honestly, cost less than
               | my 3 3090s + rest of the computer + electricity.
               | 
               | It won't outperform a bunch of A/H 100s (or even a single
               | one, or any other cards in the enterprise realm) though,
               | but it will cost an order of magnitude less than a single
               | card.
        
               | jdsully wrote:
               | Careful when comparing performance and efficiency. As a
               | rough factor power increases quadratically as you
               | increase clocks on a design, so you can quite easily make
               | a high performance design low power by under-clocking it.
               | The same is not true for the reverse.
        
               | m463 wrote:
               | I think you are comparing apples and oranges.
               | 
               | inference is not the same as training.
        
         | barkerja wrote:
         | That's not necessarily news, unless I am missing something.
         | Craig made an indirect mention of this during last year's WWDC
         | regarding the private cloud compute.
         | 
         | https://security.apple.com/blog/private-cloud-compute/
        
         | layer8 wrote:
         | That's not completely news:
         | https://www.macrumors.com/2024/05/06/apple-building-m2-ultra...
        
         | dang wrote:
         | (This comment was originally posted to
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43158187, so "this" was a
         | different article. We merged that thread hither.)
        
       | 7thpower wrote:
       | Doing gods work, thank you.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | I detached this comment from
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43158188 so we could pin
         | the latter to the top. What you posted was fine! I just don't
         | want to take up extra real estate at the top of the thread.
        
       | cadamsdotcom wrote:
       | Going to be watching closely - but cynically, a promise of
       | investment (for avoidance of tariffs) only needs to last one news
       | cycle until tariffs are no longer top of mind. Then it can be
       | walked back without tariffs being imposed.
       | 
       | Maybe instead of saying the t-word tariff, US gov can charge
       | Apple a special fee on each iPhone. They can call it something
       | catchy, like say, a Core Technology Fee.
        
         | matwood wrote:
         | Sounds like a throwback lol
         | 
         | https://edition.cnn.com/2019/09/23/tech/apple-mac-pro-united...
        
           | le-mark wrote:
           | This should be the top comment. Apple are doing business the
           | way business is done, just like last time. Results don't
           | matter, it's economic policy via press release. Form over
           | substance.
        
             | tesch1 wrote:
             | Results matter, it's not hard to imagine that Apple
             | considers the real risk of its promise and market position
             | of being the privacy option being undermined by their
             | supply chain risks, and leverage being used against them by
             | privacy unfriendly actors.
        
               | jajko wrote:
               | Results don't matter as much as PR, this is time when
               | this is unfortunately valid. Just look at US elections.
               | 
               | Measurable results affect rational aspects of our minds,
               | PR attempts to attacks directly emotions bypassing the
               | former, ie to induce impulsive shopping.
               | 
               | Also, what actual security? Apple is as vulnerable as
               | cheap chinese phones against state actors using 0days.
               | Apple devices are still being stolen for spare parts,
               | Apple doesnt secure each component AFAIK and thieves know
               | this (very recent case with friend of a friend, they even
               | knew how to bypass that built in airtag tracking). I
               | haven't seen anything but very well crafted PR statements
               | on this topic. All money-accessing apps on absolutely any
               | phone are a security risk.
               | 
               | But folks love convenience above all.
        
               | themacguffinman wrote:
               | What's the added risk here? It's fine to "risk" almost
               | the entire iPhone itself to be manufactured in China but
               | the servers for some random AI features need to be pure?
               | 
               | Sounds more like technical marketing and the company will
               | treat any decisions around it as a marketing exercise.
        
               | roughly wrote:
               | Apple's commented previously on why they build in China,
               | and it's beyond just the pricing - the supply chain for
               | every single part they use is in China and mostly in the
               | same geographic region, so there's a level of flexibility
               | there they couldn't get in the US. It wouldn't surprise
               | me if it was genuinely a goal for Apple to manufacture
               | more in the US - they're a notoriously privacy-focused
               | (corporate, not end-user) company, and China's known for
               | IP wandering its way off campus. They're not going to
               | sacrifice the iPhone economics until the US option is
               | actually viable, but I'm not surprised they keep kicking
               | the tires on US manufacturing.
        
               | Reason077 wrote:
               | > _" the supply chain for every single part they use is
               | in China"_
               | 
               | Not entirely true. Some of the highest value components
               | in an iPhone, including the CPU/SoC, baseband, and the
               | majority of OLED displays, are sourced from countries
               | that are not mainland China.
        
               | tooltalk wrote:
               | It's mostly about cost and market access to China.
               | 
               | Most smartphone supply-chain for Samsung and Apple exist
               | outside China -- primarily in Japan (camera, sensors),
               | South Korea (DRAM/NAND, OLED), and the US (various ICs
               | fabbed at TSMC in Taiwan). There are quite a few reliable
               | estimates/teardowns showing that these three countries
               | account for close to about 90% of iPhone BOM (bill of
               | materials). That's one reason why Samsung's smartphone
               | unit was able to pull out of China without much
               | disruption back in 2019 -- ie, low dependence on China.
               | 
               | I feel that Apple has pushed this misleading narrative a
               | bit too long to defend their massive China outsourcing.
        
               | nimish wrote:
               | > They're not going to sacrifice the iPhone economics
               | until the US option is actually viable, but I'm not
               | surprised they keep kicking the tires on US
               | manufacturing.
               | 
               | Apple could, with its immense cash hoard and cash flow,
               | _make_ the US viable, but it chooses not to because it'd
               | rather take the easy way out and have China or India or
               | $COUNTRY fund it and return money to shareholders.
               | They've returned money to shareholders rather than invest
               | it in US operations, by design.
               | 
               | This is a classic feint to protect Tim Cook's entire
               | raison detre. He built his career on super high
               | efficiency operations by outsourcing to cheap labor
               | countries. It relies on the low-to-no tariff access to US
               | consumer money.
               | 
               | And I don't care that it's better for their stock price;
               | that's Apple's problem not mine as a US citizen. And even
               | as an Apple investor I would rather the money be spent on
               | US on-shore operations.
        
               | Reason077 wrote:
               | They've actually been diversifying iPhone manufacturing
               | away from China for a few years already. As of April
               | 2024, 14% of all iPhones were already manufactured in
               | India. That's around 30 million phones per year. And
               | Apple plans to double their India manufacturing again by
               | 2028.
        
               | JohnBooty wrote:
               | So they shouldn't reduce risk anywhere, if they're
               | currently unable to do it on the iPhone?
        
             | palmotea wrote:
             | > This should be the top comment. Apple are doing business
             | the way business is done, just like last time. Results
             | don't matter, it's economic policy via press release. Form
             | over substance.
             | 
             | If the Trump administration has any competence, they will
             | rub those old promises in Apple's face until Cook actually
             | does something meaningful.
        
               | kergonath wrote:
               | The whole Trump administration is all about form over
               | substance, though. I would not expect Trump to do
               | anything actually productive about it, as long as Tim
               | Cook sings his praise (and pays his dues).
        
         | rayiner wrote:
         | Maybe the next administration should keep up the tariffs (as
         | Biden did to a degree). Cheap trade with China distorts the
         | tech sector too. Jobs and Wozniak were the products of a system
         | in which americans had to build products at home. Tim Cook is
         | the product of a system where you can become a trillion company
         | by hyper-optimizing foreign supply chains. Which is better?
        
           | ipaddr wrote:
           | Apple went bankrupt under Jobs and Wozniak and was saved by
           | hyper optimizing foreign supply chain company Microsoft only
           | to rise 10 years later by focusing on hyper optimizing
           | foreign supply.
        
             | relistan wrote:
             | There was a lot more than that going on and I think you've
             | pretty generally mischaracterized the main problem with the
             | mid-80's era Apple--which had nothing to do with domestic
             | manufacturing and everything to do with not delivering new
             | products that people wanted, at a reasonable price. You can
             | claim overseas manufacturing solved the pricing component
             | of that, but that's not at all clear: other companies were
             | manufacturing in the US at the time and still out-competing
             | Apple.
        
             | bluedino wrote:
             | All of the big PC companies had factories in Texas in the
             | 80's and early 90's, didn't they?
             | 
             | And Dell became a case study of outsourcing everything (and
             | sending your stock and profits soaring the whole time),
             | until you have nothing.
        
             | coliveira wrote:
             | I don't know about Microsoft, but I'm very clear that the
             | "miracle" operated by Apple was exactly to perfect foreign
             | supply chain at a time when Intel/Dell/HP and others were
             | still heavily focused on the US. The quality of Apple
             | products was already there since the beginning, but they
             | had no way to compete with the PC market until they figured
             | out Asian supply chains.
        
           | hypeatei wrote:
           | When did isolationism become cool? Isn't this why we declared
           | independence in the first place? To get away from the British
           | restricting free trade?
        
             | margorczynski wrote:
             | > When did isolationism become cool?
             | 
             | Ask maybe China.
        
               | swiftcoder wrote:
               | China's economic power is certainly not rooted in their
               | isolationist social policies. They're just as bullish
               | about foreign investment as the US was at the height of
               | the free trade era.
        
             | lenerdenator wrote:
             | When the people with the money decided it was better spent
             | in places that weren't their own country.
        
               | bootsmann wrote:
               | Having access to cheap oversea steel allows Americans to
               | focus on building companies with significantly higher
               | value-add. Onshoring low-value industries is a massive
               | human capital waste and an easy way to depress wages.
        
               | lenerdenator wrote:
               | It allows _a very small portion_ of Americans to build
               | companies with significantly higher value-add.
               | 
               | It destroyed the futures of a larger number of Americans.
               | 
               | Then again, why do we make the distinction "American"? If
               | you have people who became unfathomably wealthy by
               | shipping off strategic industries to the lowest bidder
               | regardless of geopolitical implications, does nationality
               | matter anymore?
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | Here's another idea: tax those people appropriately and
               | pump that money back into the economy...
               | 
               | Way easier and more globally optimal than just saying
               | we're going to do absolutely everything (even the shitty
               | jobs) here in the US.
        
               | lenerdenator wrote:
               | If there's one thing those people hate more than paying
               | Americans to do labor, it's paying taxes.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | And...? Everyone hates paying taxes. Normal Americans pay
               | them anyway.
        
               | cmdrk wrote:
               | Indeed, but the hallowed Job Creators have the means to
               | influence the people in power to make the taxes go away.
        
               | t-3 wrote:
               | Do "normal Americans" pay taxes? From the numbers I've
               | seen, ~1/3 - ~1/2 of tax filers receive more money from
               | the government than they pay. To them, "refund season" is
               | a cause for celebration rather than a stressful event.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | I'm a normal American and owe 6000 this year to the Feds,
               | so yes.
               | 
               | W-2 get refunds because the Feds took out too much from
               | their paycheck beforehand.
        
               | t-3 wrote:
               | I'm a normal American and have only once paid more than
               | I've received for federal taxes. Withholding has nothing
               | to do with it.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | And congress is trying to kowtow to it as we speak
               | 
               | https://www.newsweek.com/nearly-all-republicans-vote-
               | against...
               | 
               | If we don't put pressure, those people will get their
               | way.
        
               | airstrike wrote:
               | The problem with taxes is that it's a prisoner's dilemma.
               | You need global cooperation at some base level of taxes,
               | otherwise companies move to more favorable tax
               | jurisdictions in the long term and offshore from there,
               | which would hurt the US even more. It doesn't have to be
               | all-or-nothing, but any marginal dollar of increased
               | taxes in one place will have some non-zero effect of
               | encouraging the next investment dollar to be spent
               | elsewhere.
               | 
               | To be clear, I do think capital gains taxes are
               | criminally low in the US relative to income tax, so I'm
               | not arguing in _favor_ of lower taxes. I'm just saying
               | why raising taxes isn't a panacea.
        
               | Jolter wrote:
               | You can raise US company taxes and capital gains tax a
               | lot before the US stops being a low-tax country.
               | 
               | You're not wrong, of course, about how every tax
               | percentage point matters. But Americans arguing that
               | their taxes are too high is never not hilarious.
        
               | typon wrote:
               | Creating an underclass that relies on economic elites
               | paying taxes rather than being economically independent
               | because you want to optimize for "high value add
               | industries" is a terrible long term strategy.
        
               | robocat wrote:
               | > tax those people appropriately and pump that money back
               | into the economy
               | 
               | So make the US to be like a far less successful country?
               | Kill your economy by increasing taxes? The US economy is
               | singularly successful because it has incentives to build
               | businesses - see YC.
               | 
               | Have you tried living in a country that doesn't encourage
               | businesses? They are often great tourist destinations.
               | I'm in New Zealand and too many ambitious young people
               | leave here: we have an emigration problem because our
               | economy sucks. The government fixes the economy with 30%
               | immigrants (disclaimer: I love immigrants). I have many
               | friends that are never coming back here except for
               | holidays. I hate the New Zealand government incentives
               | for businesses (taxation and regulation) and I can see no
               | way to fix them. Even our "business" political party ACT
               | is completely fucked (latest story - they will be selling
               | everything profitable to overseas "investors" -
               | destroying the economy).
               | 
               | Taxation incentives matter to businesses. Be careful what
               | you ask for because the majority have little
               | understanding and vote for the wrong incentives.
               | 
               | Even business owners don't seem to understand incentive
               | systems that well. Perhaps game designers do?
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | Do income taxes on the 60th percentile earner completely
               | kill their incentive to earn an income?
               | 
               | Then why would ensuring the same effective tax rate on
               | the 99th percentile kill _their_ incentive?
        
               | robocat wrote:
               | The ultra-wealthy appear as toxic to me too.
               | 
               | However I believe that incentives need to be _marginal_.
               | If you already have a lot perhaps you need a big carrot
               | as your incentive? I don 't know any billionaires that I
               | can ask how they feel about taxation incentives: I reckon
               | you are making assumptions about what you think they
               | should feel.
               | 
               | What makes Tim Cook make the US more money?
               | 
               | Taxation cliffs are shit. In New Zealand our Green party
               | decided that 1 million was enough. Why would you bother
               | growing a business after you reached 1 million?
               | Retirement? A business is defined as being about making
               | money (albeit some people do run "businesses" for other
               | outcomes - why is Warren Buffett still working?).
               | 
               | High marginal taxation is also shit IMHO.
               | 
               | The hard part is to design the incentives so that
               | productive people build your economy for the benefit of
               | _everybody_.
               | 
               | If a government discourages business then the economy is
               | crap and everybody suffers. See other economies.
               | 
               | Few people understand the incentives of others, and few
               | people understand how wealth is created for all: the hoi
               | polloi dismiss the wealthy as vampiric money grubbers.
               | Anyone who uses the word capitalist in a derogatory way
               | has been brainwashed. Most everything that makes our
               | economies work is invisible non-monetary rewards.
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43162596
               | 
               | I can speak for my own financial incentives. My
               | perception is that I have an effective tax rate of _well_
               | over 50% in New Zealand (any retirement savings are not
               | safe because our demographics and governments will screw
               | our economy).
               | 
               | I do not feel the incentive to work in a business - My
               | attitude means I now produce marginally less than I could
               | for the New Zealand economy (I still pay taxes so they
               | are advantaged but they could get a lot lot more from
               | me). I now mostly selfishly concentrate on those closest
               | to me. Why should I work if it isn't marginally
               | beneficial enough for me? I'm no more selfish than my
               | retired friends that I know (a wide variety of people
               | from many walks of life).
               | 
               | (Reedited to expand and clarify).
               | 
               | We can't decide how much is fair. Compare yourself to a
               | dead king - what is fair? We can design systemic
               | incentives so that we each make the world better for
               | everyone. Not that that it is easy... Trite thoughtless
               | dismissals of the most productive members of society are
               | not helpful.
               | 
               | Edit 2: I guess this discussion is as close to work as it
               | gets for me. Too much adulting. Should I get into
               | politics? Are morals an impediment to helping others?
               | There are too few politicians I admire, and too many I
               | wouldn't want to shake hands with or be associated with.
               | Every idiot has political opinions - how much of an idiot
               | am I? Every politician is smart enough to win an election
               | - they are not stupid yet they make too many horrific
               | mistakes. What about the cryptically smart ones? I see
               | how systems affect people that join a system. What would
               | I become if I join our political system? Understanding
               | our different systems is hard because they grow so
               | weirdly with vestigial complexities due to history,
               | complex interactions, and reflexivity.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | Yeah, screw that. Capital taxes are at record lows and
               | they want to make it lower at the cost of Medicare and
               | Medicaid.
               | 
               | They are parasites at this point. If they think they can
               | find lower taxes than 22% they are happy to leave. As if
               | they aren't already avoiding taxes.
        
               | robocat wrote:
               | I will respond by
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Splitting_(psychology)
               | myself.
               | 
               | Do Medicare and Medicaid exist without businesses? I'm
               | from New Zealand and our society causes problems for our
               | socialised healthcare.
               | 
               | Businesses are symbionts: productive societies accept
               | some costs from businesses so long as the society get
               | more gains.
               | 
               | Why do you look at money as though that is all that
               | matters?
               | 
               | Who measures the benefits we get from modern society?
               | 
               | Finding downsides and complaining about them is too easy.
               | Looking for upsides is less popular.
               | 
               | Every poor person I've met avoids taxes.
        
               | edgyquant wrote:
               | So, like a tariff?
        
               | twoodfin wrote:
               | No, the analysis (and it's not exactly rocket science)
               | says just the opposite: Way more downstream manufacturing
               | jobs that rely on steel as input are lost, vs. domestic
               | steel production jobs gained.
               | 
               | https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/making-sense/steel-
               | tari...
        
               | tycho-newman wrote:
               | I get the value add argument, but lots of people just
               | need income to pay for living expenses. Without an
               | income, those people become disaffected and sometimes
               | violent. Then they embrace right-wing protectionism
               | because, while their gadgets are cheaper, they have no
               | income to buy cheap gadgets.
               | 
               | Nor can they move to these offshore places (where the
               | cost of living is lower) because immigration laws exist
               | in part to control worker mobility.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >Onshoring low-value industries is a massive human
               | capital waste and an easy way to depress wages.
               | 
               | Compared to now where there's just no full time jobs and
               | also wage suppression?
        
               | palmotea wrote:
               | > Having access to cheap oversea steel allows Americans
               | to focus on building companies with significantly higher
               | value-add. Onshoring low-value industries is a massive
               | human capital waste and an easy way to depress wages.
               | 
               | That's the talking point, but it's bullshit. A lot of
               | those "low-value industries" are fundamental
               | capabilities, and China sure as hell isn't going to let
               | the US own the "higher value-add" areas. They dominate
               | those next, and the US free-trade business elites will be
               | fine with it as long as they get to make some money _for
               | themselves_.
        
               | bootsmann wrote:
               | Being a high value-add area is endogenous to how hard it
               | is for others i.e. China to reproduce. In other words, if
               | it were easy to make GPUs they wouldn't be so damn
               | expensive.
        
             | rufus_foreman wrote:
             | >> Isn't this why we declared independence in the first
             | place? To get away from the British restricting free trade?
             | 
             | No. I'm not sure where you got that idea. If you look at
             | something like the Boston Tea Party, it wasn't high taxes
             | on tea that were being protested against, it was lowered
             | taxes on tea that undercut the smuggling operations of
             | people like Sam Adams and John Hancock. "No taxation
             | without representation" makes better press than "No
             | undercutting my smuggling operation" though.
             | 
             | In the early years of the US, between 80 and 90 percent of
             | federal revenue came from tariffs. Not exactly free trade.
        
               | bell-cot wrote:
               | > In the early years of the US, between 80 and 90 percent
               | of federal revenue came from tariffs...
               | 
               | To be fair, the Federal Budget back then was 2%-ish of
               | GDP. And their political consensus gave the Federal Gov't
               | _very_ few things that it had the power to tax.
        
               | airstrike wrote:
               | For readers looking for context, Google tells me it was
               | ~24% of GDP as of 2024
        
               | hmmm-i-wonder wrote:
               | That seems impractical and unsustainable.
        
               | edgyquant wrote:
               | So that means the government is taking more than 1/5 of
               | all the money generated by the US. That's crazy and no
               | wonder the nation is going bankrupt
        
               | airstrike wrote:
               | It reminds me of the Portuguese court taking 1/5 of all
               | the gold mined from colonial Brazil:
               | 
               | https://pt-m-wikipedia-
               | org.translate.goog/wiki/Quinto_do_our...
        
               | smileson2 wrote:
               | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S
               | 
               | Is a better graph
        
             | rayiner wrote:
             | You're incorrect about history. Mercantilism not only
             | restricted foreign trade, but restricted domestic
             | industrial development by requiring the colonies to sell
             | raw materials to Britain and buy finished goods from the
             | Britain. Tariffs were a core pillar of the Lincoln
             | Republican Party.
             | 
             | There's been an isolationist wing in tech as long as I've
             | been in it (early 2000s). I remember chatting with someone
             | at Cisco/Juniper in the late aughts about Huawei ripping
             | off their router designs down to the silk screening. Of
             | course today Huawei makes their own state of the art
             | routers with their own silicon, and some lower-end
             | Cisco/Juniper gear is white boxed foreign equipment. And of
             | course tech folks were complaining about immigration and
             | outsourcing back in the early 2000s when Republicans were
             | enthusiastically supporting both.
        
             | luxuryballs wrote:
             | I want to say "that's not what isolationism means", but I
             | realize it starts to feel vague just like the word
             | "fascism", used when convenient but varies wildly in
             | rhetorical meaning... to be more specific is better, I like
             | what George Washington had to say about it in his farewell
             | address because it shows the nuance of the topic across the
             | spectrum, it's not as simple as isolation good vs bad:
             | 
             | The great rule of conduct for us in regard to foreign
             | nations is, in extending our commercial relations to have
             | with them as little political connection as possible. So
             | far as we have already formed engagements let them be
             | fulfilled with perfect good faith. Here let us stop.
             | 
             | Europe has a set of primary interests which to us have none
             | or a very remote relation. Hence she must be engaged in
             | frequent controversies, the causes of which are essentially
             | foreign to our concerns. Hence, therefore, it must be
             | unwise in us to implicate ourselves by artificial ties in
             | the ordinary vicissitudes of her politics or the ordinary
             | combinations and collisions of her friendships or enmities.
             | 
             | Our detached and distant situation invites and enables us
             | to pursue a different course. If we remain one people,
             | under an efficient government, the period is not far off
             | when we may defy material injury from external annoyance;
             | when we may take such an attitude as will cause the
             | neutrality we may at any time resolve upon to be
             | scrupulously respected; when belligerent nations, under the
             | impossibility of making acquisitions upon us, will not
             | lightly hazard the giving us provocation; when we may
             | choose peace or war, as our interest, guided by justice,
             | shall counsel.
             | 
             | Why forego the advantages of so peculiar a situation? Why
             | quit our own to stand upon foreign ground? Why, by
             | interweaving our destiny with that of any part of Europe,
             | entangle our peace and prosperity in the toils of European
             | ambition, rivalship, interest, humor, or caprice?
             | 
             | It is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliances
             | with any portion of the foreign world, so far, I mean, as
             | we are now at liberty to do it; for let me not be
             | understood as capable of patronizing infidelity to existing
             | engagements. I hold the maxim no less applicable to public
             | than to private affairs that honesty is always the best
             | policy. I repeat, therefore, let those engagements be
             | observed in their genuine sense. But in my opinion it is
             | unnecessary and would be unwise to extend them.
        
               | hmmm-i-wonder wrote:
               | >when belligerent nations, under the impossibility of
               | making acquisitions upon us, will not lightly hazard the
               | giving us provocation; when we may choose peace or war,
               | as our interest, guided by justice, shall counsel.
               | 
               | Ironic that as a Canadian, the US is moving from the
               | nation that would be guided by Justice into the
               | belligerent nation in this situation.
               | 
               | It also serves as a lesson to us that we should have
               | learned from you and George Washington, and stood on our
               | own first and ensured our own security before cooperating
               | with others. We have a long way to go to get back there
               | now, unfortunately under the position of potentially our
               | closest ally and economic partner being belligerent,
               | untrustworthy and unreliable.
        
             | edgyquant wrote:
             | The newborn US imposed a ton of tariffs specifically to
             | escape British control of industry
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | Indeed. I think we've come very far 250 years later. But
               | we lowered those 90% tarriffs 100 years ago for a reason.
        
             | rcpt wrote:
             | It's always been cool. It's why you can't buy a Kei truck
             | or a BYD car
        
           | boringg wrote:
           | A bit revisionist here.
        
           | hooverd wrote:
           | If Trump is our McKinley or Hoover, I'm excited for our next
           | FDR.
        
         | Evidlo wrote:
         | I don't understand. Can companies curry government favor to get
         | tariff exceptions? Aren't the tariffs in place already?
        
           | runjake wrote:
           | Apparently, yes. I saw mention of discussion around the Trump
           | administration potentially giving Apple a tariff waiver. And
           | I believe in Trump's last term, Apple did have some sort of
           | waiver.
           | 
           | I'm on mobile but Googling for "Apple tariff waiver" and
           | "Apple tariff exemption" will point you to several news
           | items.
        
             | runjake wrote:
             | A couple (from a pool of many) citations:
             | 
             | From the 45 presidency:
             | https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-escaped-tariffs-
             | last...
             | 
             | Now: https://9to5mac.com/2024/12/17/analyst-trump-will-
             | waive-appl...
        
           | teaearlgraycold wrote:
           | You can when the president is corrupt.
        
             | slt2021 wrote:
             | Its not corruption when the president creates US jobs
             | 
             | It is corruption when president outsources and offshores US
             | jobs, though
        
               | stetrain wrote:
               | Neither of those fit the definition of corruption.
        
               | simonh wrote:
               | There is no jobs problem in the US though. Unemployment
               | is at 4% which is mostly just job churn. Long term
               | unemployment is only 1%.
               | 
               | US consumers, that's all of you, are being hammered with
               | taxes on imported goods most of which can't realistically
               | be produced in the US anyway, to solve a problem you
               | don't have.
               | 
               | A commitment like this takes years to plan. It can't
               | possibly be a response to tariffs announced weeks ago.
               | This is all optics.
        
               | teaearlgraycold wrote:
               | Depends how you count it. I wouldn't count most gig app
               | workers as employed. But the government does.
        
               | slt2021 wrote:
               | I also wouldnt count fake bullshit
               | government/corp/college administration jobs (email jobs)
               | with negative productivity
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | I just gotta pay rent dude. I'm not judging how you do
               | it.
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | The government determines the employment rate via
               | surveys, i.e. they just go and ask people if they're
               | employed. It's not a calculation from taxes or from
               | employers or anything.
               | 
               | So it's up to the gig workers if they think they're
               | employed or not. Presumably this depends on how often
               | they do it.
        
               | slt2021 wrote:
               | False, USA has a big problem with manufacturing. All US
               | jobs are service jobs to prop up consumer economy, that
               | have no strategic benefit.
               | 
               | A lot of fake employment and low productivity jobs are in
               | the government/NGO sector, paper pushers, DEI jobs,
               | law/compliance type jobs - that should have been
               | manufacturing jobs instead.
               | 
               | USA has no shipyards and infrastructure is crumbling
               | precisely because of misallocation of resources and labor
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | > USA has no shipyards and infrastructure is crumbling
               | precisely because of misallocation of resources and labor
               | 
               | That's because of the Jones Act and other poorly designed
               | protectionism.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | DEI jobs and the _total_ NGOs employment are basically
               | nothing in the overall employment. Less than 1%.
               | 
               | Heck, the _whole_ Federal government workforce is less
               | than 2% of the total workforce.
               | 
               | > USA has no shipyards and infrastructure is crumbling
               | precisely because of misallocation of resources and labor
               | 
               | Yes, and you have tariffs to thank for this. The Jones
               | Act requires US-built ships for any ship traffic within
               | the US waters.
               | 
               | So the shipbuilders were insulated from competition and
               | just degraded into Defense contract moochers.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | Can you tell the tech industry and my temp office that,
               | please? Job market still sucks in Los Angeles.
               | 
               | And I don't trust unemployment in this gig economy. I'm
               | technically not unemployed, but I haven't had a full time
               | job in nearly 2 years.
        
               | georgemcbay wrote:
               | I fully believe that the real ("main street not wall
               | street") economy is in worse shape than government
               | numbers on unemployment suggest and both sides are to
               | blame for different aspects of this problem.
               | 
               | But nothing Trump is doing is going to fix your
               | situation.
               | 
               | In fact he (or rather Elon/doge) is very actively making
               | things worse for you with the massive government layoffs,
               | flooding the market with even more people to compete with
               | you for jobs making finding work more difficult and also
               | eventually dropping all of our wages.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >But nothing Trump is doing is going to fix your
               | situation.
               | 
               | I'm aware. I'm sure he's responsible for at least 3 job
               | freezes I ran into mid-interview this year. He's
               | literally costing me job opportunities because no one can
               | budget around this chaotic government.
        
               | chrisco255 wrote:
               | 4% too many and probably understated. The BLS repeatedly
               | underestimated unemployment during the previous
               | administration. Also the labor participation rate, which
               | is harder to game, still hasn't reached pre-Covid levels
               | yet: https://www.bls.gov/charts/employment-
               | situation/civilian-lab...
        
               | throw0101d wrote:
               | > _https://www.bls.gov/charts/employment-
               | situation/civilian-lab..._
               | 
               | In February 2020 it was 63.3% and in January 2025 it was
               | 62.6%, for a difference of 0.7%. Also note the steady
               | decline post-2008 and the multi-year plateau that jitters
               | around 63%.
               | 
               | Having the plateau change from ~63% to ~62.5% isn't an
               | unreasonable scenario.
               | 
               | * https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | > Also the labor participation rate, which is harder to
               | game, still hasn't reached pre-Covid levels yet
               | 
               | That's because Americans got /richer/ and retired. You
               | want to look at the prime-age rate, which the boomers
               | have moved out of.
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | The labor participation rate is going to be declining for
               | the foreseable future because the population is aging.
               | 
               | If you look at the prime-age employment rate, we're
               | almost up to the record high levels:
               | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNU01300060
        
               | rcpt wrote:
               | Right. One reason we're in this mess is that voters don't
               | even notice unemployment but are extremely sensitive to
               | inflation.
        
           | llamaimperative wrote:
           | Yes this is one reason tariffs are so valuable to a corrupt
           | POTUS. They have essentially unilateral and _very_ fine-
           | grained control over them, down to exempting specific
           | companies or products outright.
        
             | duped wrote:
             | Congress needs to step up on this, honestly. The entire
             | idea that the President can unilaterally implement trade
             | policy is as plain a violation of separation of powers I
             | can think of, and SCOTUS is a fan of non-delegation
             | doctrine.
        
               | luxuryballs wrote:
               | iirc as soon as anything becomes beyond the border the
               | President holds the keys for various reasons including
               | the ever-vague "national security" but also due to being
               | prescribed as the primary negotiator
               | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_Clause
        
               | duped wrote:
               | Tariffs are not treaties, they're taxes/duties - only
               | Congress has the power to raise them. Article I is
               | extremely clear on that. Historically, tariffs were
               | always raised by acts of Congress, not by Presidential
               | fiat.
               | 
               | Trump is using _extremely_ misguided legislation from the
               | 1960s /70s where Congress allowed the President to enact
               | tariffs for national security and emergencies. There is a
               | very strong argument (in the sense it resonates with the
               | conservative SCOTUS majority) that Congress _cannot_
               | delegate its fundamental powers to the executive by
               | legislation alone.
               | 
               | I think people are just too cowardly to bring a case in
               | front of the courts to challenge the constitutionality of
               | it all. Non-delegation doctrine is what the Federal
               | Society want to use to kneecap all federal regulation.
               | Trump operates on a spoils system so it's not in the
               | interest of conservatives or businesses to challenge him,
               | for fear of retribution.
        
               | slt2021 wrote:
               | Trump is using tariffs not to raise revenue, but rather
               | use it as a stick to force companies to invest in USA.
               | 
               | Previously they were outsourcing and offshoring as much
               | as they could get away with it. Which led to transfer of
               | advanced technologies outside USA and America losing its
               | manufacturing and technology edge
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | So how's that going? Outsourcing seems to be going
               | strong, the tarriffs instead pissed off allies who are
               | preparing counter-tarriffs, and the CHIPS Act is being
               | dismantle as we speak (there goes our investment.
        
               | slt2021 wrote:
               | If TSMC acquires Intel (which is in the works), then
               | chips act (basically a government handout to private
               | corp) wont be needed anymore
        
               | cyberax wrote:
               | Yeah. Just killing the US semiconductor production is the
               | cheapest option.
        
               | duped wrote:
               | Cool, still unconstitutional.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | So, for those of us who haven't studied this in depth,
               | _why_ do you say it 's unconstitutional? Do tariffs
               | require congressional approval? Or what?
        
               | warkdarrior wrote:
               | Tariffs are a form of taxation. If I want to import say
               | tea, and the government is placing a tariff on that
               | imported tea, I am effectively taxed by the government.
               | And only Congress can impose new taxes.
        
               | nwienert wrote:
               | The Trade Act of 1974 gives the president power to impose
               | retaliatory tariffs.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | Not saying you're wrong, but... I have seen claims that
               | tariffs are a source of government income that Congress
               | _doesn 't_ control. You're claiming they do.
               | 
               | I haven't seen a citation from either side. Can you
               | substantiate your position?
        
               | duped wrote:
               | I have already explained my thinking up this comment
               | chain. I'm mostly replying to GP who misunderstands that
               | the _intent_ of the tariffs is besides the point.
               | 
               | TL;DR read Article I section 8, read up about the Trade
               | Expansion act of 1962 and Trade act of 1974, and "non-
               | delegation doctrine", and you can trivially find legal
               | debate about the constitutionality of IEEPA. Rather than
               | listen to random nerds on HN you should seek out this
               | information yourself.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | You should let his Commerce Secretary know (or stop
               | sanewashing)
               | 
               | https://www.axios.com/2025/02/20/commerce-secretary-
               | lutnick-...
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | Sorry they are right now cutting Medicare/Medicaid/snap
               | right now to justify billionaire tax cuts.
               | 
               | https://www.newsweek.com/nearly-all-republicans-vote-
               | against...
        
               | paulddraper wrote:
               | tl;dr the New Deal.
               | 
               | The Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act by Congress gave FDR
               | sweeping authority over tariffs without direct
               | congressional approval.
               | 
               | Then later the Trade Expansion Act under Kennedy.
               | 
               | Historically, these have served to decrease tarrifs.
        
               | wwweston wrote:
               | Legislators step up when enough of their voting
               | constituencies make it clear that they value something as
               | a non-negotiable (assuming votes still matter).
               | 
               | Which means those who care about this are back to not
               | only contacting legislators but also persuading a lot
               | fellow voters that separation of powers is crucial and
               | worth prioritizing over familiar well-handled and loved
               | heuristics.
        
               | megaman821 wrote:
               | Yes a million times. For all the rhetoric about
               | authoritarians, the Democrats never seem to want regin in
               | Executive power when they are they majority. It is like a
               | game of chicken where America winds up with a populist
               | dictator from either the left or right.
        
               | janalsncm wrote:
               | Yes because populism is a reaction to government being
               | generally unresponsive to people's needs.
               | 
               | Congress has become increasingly unproductive and
               | unresponsive. There are many popular policies that
               | Congress essentially ignores, and many problems that go
               | unsolved. So trust in government dwindles and people
               | crave strongman solutions.
               | 
               | I'm not sure there is a solution. There are so many
               | interlocking problems gumming up the process that any "we
               | just need to fix X" solutions (where X is gerrymandering,
               | money in elections, lobbying, the two party system, first
               | past the post, corruption, income inequality, the
               | electoral college, the slow death of journalism,
               | consolidation of industries, etc) are nearly impossible
               | and also probably insufficient because they all feed back
               | into one another: they are both causes and effects.
               | 
               | So when people are mad about a downstream effect like the
               | price of eggs and digging any deeper touches one of the
               | topics above ("to fix egg price gouging you need to
               | reinvent the political system" sounds a lot like "to make
               | an omelette first you need to create the universe"), it's
               | really easy to throw your hands up.
        
               | cbm-vic-20 wrote:
               | We'll never know for sure, but I don't think Harris would
               | have ended with delusions of being populist dictator.
        
               | stock_toaster wrote:
               | > Congress needs to step up on this, honestly.
               | 
               | Congress seems pretty unwilling to do much of anything
               | right now.
        
           | cloverich wrote:
           | Charitably, tariffs exist so POTUS can either lower taxes or
           | increase jobs in US, but both would take time to pan out
           | assuming things go well. So if a company is willing to
           | onshore money or jobs, its achieving its intended purpose in
           | their eyes.
        
             | janalsncm wrote:
             | I believe the stated purpose of the latest round had to do
             | with fentanyl precursor manufacturing.
        
               | hatsix wrote:
               | I believe that's the Mexico/Canada Tariffs, but it's
               | really hard to keep it straight, by design.
        
               | svachalek wrote:
               | No I think Mexico/Canada were largely about stopping
               | immigrants and fentanyl smuggling. But China was targeted
               | for not doing enough to stop manufacturing of fentanyl
               | precursors.
        
               | 3vidence wrote:
               | Sorry to say but that's already been walked back on after
               | Canada committed $1 billion dollars for extra northern
               | border security and it made no difference in the tariffs
               | discussions.
               | 
               | https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/rcmp-border-patrol-
               | canada-u... <- discussion of commitment from Canada
               | 
               | https://financialpost.com/news/trump-says-tariffs-on-
               | canada-... <- as of today (sorry for FT source but this
               | is literally all across google you can just googla USA
               | tarrifs)
        
               | georgemcbay wrote:
               | The idea that the Canadian tariffs were ever _really_
               | about Fentanyl is patently absurd.
               | 
               | 0.2% of all US border Fentanyl seizures were on the
               | Canadian border. That's almost literally nothing.
        
               | alexandre_m wrote:
               | The Fentanyl numbers are nothing in comparison to Mexico,
               | but that doesn't mean it's not a problem.
               | 
               | Also it's not only about drugs, but also humans smuggling
               | (https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/fentanyl-dr-
               | smuggler-1.737348...), and overall border security.
               | 
               | - According to CIS, the number of Canadian crime groups
               | producing synthetic drugs doubled between 2023 and 2024 -
               | There's a lack of Canadian agents who are tasked at
               | preventing this and current legislations make it very
               | inefficient between federal and provincial law agents -
               | There's an upward trend in Fentanyl seizures in Canada
               | the last 2 years - Fentanyl is now being produced
               | domestically in Canada
               | 
               | All of that is within the control of Canada with better
               | policies.
        
           | rcpt wrote:
           | That's kind of the point of tariffs
        
         | grahamj wrote:
         | My first thought was payment to avoid sanctions for being
         | "woke" (read: anti-discrimination)
        
         | monero-xmr wrote:
         | I am a free trader in principle. However you have a country
         | (China) with an authoritarian government that makes favored
         | industries subsidized.
         | 
         | Of course the standard economic argument is that China using
         | its GDP to make goods cheaper for our own citizens to purchase
         | is better for us - they are subsidizing our economy. However it
         | ignores the strategic disadvantage by our country losing its
         | manufacturing capabilities.
         | 
         | The graphs may show economic advantage. It's hard to quantify
         | the long term strategic and militaristic disadvantage to not
         | being able to make anything yourself if a world war occurs.
        
           | curt15 wrote:
           | >However you have a country (China) with an authoritarian
           | government that makes favored industries subsidized.
           | 
           | If things keep going the way they are going, that could
           | describe the US just as well in a few short years.
        
             | dsr_ wrote:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Fruit_Company
             | 
             | "The company responded by intensively lobbying the U.S.
             | government to intervene and mounting a misinformation
             | campaign to portray the Guatemalan government as
             | communist.[18] In 1954, the U.S. Central Intelligence
             | Agency armed, funded, and trained a military force that
             | deposed the democratically elected government of Guatemala
             | and installed a pro-business military dictatorship.[19]"
             | 
             | This is not a one-time aberration.
        
             | jay-barronville wrote:
             | > If things keep going the way they are going, that could
             | describe the US just as well in a few short years.
             | 
             | Why do you think so?
        
           | ThinkBeat wrote:
           | The US subsidizes a hell of a lot themselves already.
        
           | myrmidon wrote:
           | > However you have a country (China) with an authoritarian
           | government that makes favored industries subsidized.
           | 
           | This is overlooking the forest for one tree. The thing is,
           | mean chinese manufacturing wages are $25k/year (purchasing
           | parity adjusted! $15k unadjusted) for a 49h week.
           | 
           |  _That_ is the reason that so much manufacturing /industry
           | has shifted there, not some nebulous "Chinese government
           | subsidies" (not saying those are not a thing, just that they
           | don't really matter all that much).
           | 
           | > It's hard to quantify the long term strategic and
           | militaristic disadvantage to not being able to make anything
           | yourself if a world war occurs.
           | 
           | Certainly. But forcing low-skill industry to stay at a
           | relevant size in a high-wage country is expensive business
           | (compare agriculture, which is subsidized basically for
           | exactly this reason) and _not_ straightforward (see Jones
           | act).
           | 
           | Presenting tariffs as a viable alternative to taxation is
           | just beyond ridicule, but that has not stopped people so far
           | either...
        
             | bryanlarsen wrote:
             | They could move to Bangladesh or Africa and pay $3k / year.
             | They aren't. China has many advantages beyond cheap wages.
        
               | myrmidon wrote:
               | Absolutely. You do need a minimum baseline for
               | infrastructure, government stability and workforce.
               | 
               | Most of Africa is just starting to slowly get there,
               | Bangladesh is _already_ very relevant for textile
               | production.
               | 
               | I would expect the same basic trend to repeat that we saw
               | with electronics manufacturing in 90s Japan: First cheap
               | products move (very wage sensitive), then the local
               | sector expands, wages rise with the whole local industry
               | moving up the value chain, then at some point local wages
               | become high enough for the whole process to repeat with
               | the next low-wage country...
               | 
               | I think trying to block this trend off with tariffs is a
               | futile waste of taxpayer money which american consumers
               | are gonna pay for.
               | 
               | Spending tax money to keep some degree of self-
               | sufficiency in critical industries (like with
               | agriculture) can be a solid idea if done sparingly and
               | cleverly, but that is _not_ how the current US admin has
               | approached this...
        
             | coliveira wrote:
             | Salaries are just a small part of the reason industry works
             | in China.
             | 
             | The bigger picture is that China invests in the development
             | of an industrial chain. This has many aspects:
             | infrastructure, education, training, housing, and of course
             | tax incentives. The USA decided to stop investing in
             | practically all of these. Even scientific research, the
             | last area in which the US used to lead, is now in jeopardy
             | from both sides: competition from China and internal cuts.
        
           | 1oooqooq wrote:
           | "I am a free trader in principle. However you have a country
           | (China)"
           | 
           | just think of china as another trader with more capital than
           | you and pull yowrself up by your bootstraps.
        
           | coliveira wrote:
           | Sour grapes. Most economists were just happy with this
           | situation until recently. What I mean is, the current
           | situation arises by the desire of Western businesses of
           | getting hid of productive investments and concentrating only
           | on capital investments. It has nothing to do with trading
           | with an authoritarian government or not, which almost
           | everyone believed was Ok until recently.
        
           | mulmen wrote:
           | > The graphs may show economic advantage. It's hard to
           | quantify the long term strategic and militaristic
           | disadvantage to not being able to make anything yourself if a
           | world war occurs.
           | 
           | Is the United States at risk of not being able to make
           | anything ourselves? We have the second largest manufacturing
           | output in the world.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manufacturing#List_of_countrie.
           | ..
        
           | 3vidence wrote:
           | What about Canada? We have even higher tarrifs than China and
           | in the last 100 years are the USA's closest ally.
        
         | luxuryballs wrote:
         | there's also the "national security aspect", government often
         | wants certain hardware not to be made offshore at all
        
         | PeterStuer wrote:
         | Let's go with 'Genius Tax'. Your average Apple fanboi will be
         | lining up around the block for the prestige to pay that twice
         | :D.
        
         | dunham wrote:
         | Gruber suggests Apple already had these plans and simply
         | packaged the up as a win for the current administration:
         | 
         | https://daringfireball.net/linked/2025/02/24/mission-accompl...
         | 
         | I don't pay enough attention to Apple's plans to judge if he is
         | right.
        
           | rco8786 wrote:
           | This is inline with what other entities (Canadian and Mexican
           | governments) have done when threatened with tariffs.
        
       | mrweasel wrote:
       | While I have no real opinion on this, I do have questions:
       | 
       | * What type of jobs?
       | 
       | * Does the US have the required people, in terms of numbers and
       | skills?
       | 
       | * Does this mean moving to US based fabs for the M-series chips?
       | 
       | * Is this actually profitable, or is this just a political move?
        
         | notahacker wrote:
         | And related to your last bullet point: will it actually happen
         | or is floating this just a political move...
        
           | xadhominemx wrote:
           | It will actually happen because it's nothing new. The 500b is
           | almost all wages for existing US-based employees. They are
           | looking for a carve out from the new China tariffs (same as
           | last time). Note - they made a very similar announcement 4
           | years ago https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2021/04/apple-
           | commits-430-bil...
        
         | nottorp wrote:
         | And one more:
         | 
         | * Will this raise prices for customers outside the US for no
         | justifiable reason?
        
         | Aeolun wrote:
         | The required people can just be imported from China?
        
         | wodenokoto wrote:
         | * What type of jobs? - "The 20,000 additional jobs, Apple said,
         | will focus on research and development, silicon engineering and
         | AI."
         | 
         | * Does the US have the required people, in terms of numbers and
         | skills? - "The company is opening up what it calls a
         | manufacturing academy in Detroit, where it will help smaller
         | companies with manufacturing. It already operates an academy
         | for app developers in the city. It's also doubling its
         | manufacturing fund in the US to $10 billion." - Sounds like
         | they are upskilling, and will count the employees of companies
         | joining the academy as "jobs created"
         | 
         | * Does this mean moving to US based fabs for the M-series
         | chips? - "[M-Series] chips themselves, however, continue to be
         | produced in Taiwan.
         | 
         | * Is this actually profitable, or is this just a political
         | move? - Define profitable. It is cheaper than paying tariffs.
        
           | mrweasel wrote:
           | I might be reading it wrong, but that's the 20,000 ADDITIONAL
           | jobs, which is going to be R&D, engineering and "AI".
           | 
           | Those 20,000 people won't be staffing the production lines.
           | So how many manufacturing jobs, especially low skill, entry
           | level with decent pay, will this create? The whole thing is
           | framed in a way that makes it sound like Apple is creating
           | thousands of manufacturing jobs.
        
           | tootie wrote:
           | I seriously doubt it's cheaper than tariffs.
        
           | smileson2 wrote:
           | data labeling
        
         | apwell23 wrote:
         | > Does the US have the required people, in terms of numbers and
         | skills?
         | 
         | doesn't matter because we have work visas
        
         | AnAnonyCowherd wrote:
         | > Does the US have the required people, in terms of numbers and
         | skills?
         | 
         | For 30 years, IT managers at blue chip US corporations have
         | exploited the H1-B visa program by saying, "No," and then
         | hiring a never-ending stream of barely-capable Java coders from
         | programmer mills in India, take 5 times longer to make an app
         | than it should have taken, get promoted, and leave everyone
         | holding the bag with shitty web app that we all hate because
         | it's too slow, too bloated, and doesn't work like it needs to.
         | And the companies who can't get enough of that bullshit in-
         | house just hire it out to sub-sub-contractors that do the same
         | thing. Can we not invest in our native population and education
         | systems this time around? I'm so tired of the fact that 90% of
         | the IT staff in my Fortune 250 is Indian, and I know people who
         | would be better at their jobs living in my home town. It hurts
         | our community and our country, in the long run, and by the VERY
         | same logic as re-homing our chip production.
        
           | pupperino wrote:
           | Well, those Indians living in the US will have families of
           | their own, and over time become part of the community you
           | claim to be a part of. Very much like your ancestors did,
           | except they likely didn't face the arbitrary constraints on
           | immigration that Indians (and any other nationality) face
           | today.
        
             | whamlastxmas wrote:
             | I would find it hard to believe that there weren't racial
             | prejudices involved at literally every point of immigration
             | in American history
        
               | radicaldreamer wrote:
               | The same thing that happened in the UK will happen in
               | America.
               | 
               | People in the UK who are against immigration are often
               | talking about Poles who moved to the UK after the EU and
               | not Indian families who have lived in those neighborhoods
               | for generations.
        
               | dev_daftly wrote:
               | The crazy thing is, it's not that long ago that Irish and
               | Italian immigrants were not discriminated against. They
               | didn't even consider Italian immigrants to be white.
        
           | acdha wrote:
           | It sounds like you should be directing more of your anger to
           | the C-suite than the people they're hiring. If they couldn't
           | get even cheaper Indian immigrants you'd be complaining about
           | code boot camp hires instead - what you need is a tech union
           | which would give you the ability to push back against short-
           | sighted decisions which make your life worse cleaning up
           | messes.
        
         | kube-system wrote:
         | > Does this mean moving to US based fabs for the M-series
         | chips?
         | 
         | This is not really a practical option. A big part of the
         | M-series success is TSMC's lead in cutting edge process nodes.
         | And Taiwan does not allow export of technology for the latest
         | nodes. It is available only there.
        
       | KeplerBoy wrote:
       | Do we think Apple will once again sell servers to customers?
       | 
       | I guess they could sell servers to customers who want to run the
       | latest Apple Intelligence models on-prem, even though that
       | probably wouldn't make much of a difference, since you probably
       | still have to trust Apple.
        
         | newsclues wrote:
         | 1u boxes or Mac Mini "servers"?
        
           | simondotau wrote:
           | It would make sense for Apple to fork their next highest-end
           | Mac Studio motherboard, make relatively minor changes to it
           | (e.g. add a higher bandwidth NIC and strip out unnecessary
           | I/O) then wrap multiples of those into a rack mount chassis,
           | with commodity-grade cooling and power supply solutions
           | appropriate for the context.
           | 
           | Combined with a properly headless fork of their OS stack
           | (think Darwin, not OS X Server) they could spin up a highly
           | competitive solution using entirely "B-team" resources.
        
             | newsclues wrote:
             | Lots of interesting things Apple could do with their
             | resources.
             | 
             | A modern version of the Xserve RAID for high speed flash
             | storage could be very interesting.
             | 
             | The Mac Mini could be used as small blades.
             | 
             | or they could do something really wild, like take the Oxide
             | rack scale approach and make something big for DCs.
             | 
             | But they might also want to get a piece of the prosumer
             | homelab market that Ubiquiti is in?
        
             | rickdeckard wrote:
             | ...then it would be piped through their design-council, run
             | through 5 more iterations to get a unique unibody case for
             | it, accompanied by an optional proprietary Apple rack and a
             | price-tag triple of the competition.
             | 
             | That's along the lines of how it usually rolls whenever
             | Apple tries to make something purely utilitarian, it's the
             | most considerate and "fresh" look at a product, but
             | ultimately designed to be used and then disposed when
             | finished.
             | 
             | A purely utilitarian IT-appliance without a individual end-
             | user doesn't seem to be possible in their product pipeline,
             | you usually end up with something "Prosumer": Impressive on
             | its own, yet of degraded maintainability and scalability.
             | 
             | It's like asking Bugatti to design a public transport bus.
             | It would surely be an impressive bus, but not one you would
             | want to maintain over years at a scale of hundreds.
        
         | h0l0cube wrote:
         | I'm pretty sure this is for their own infra. FTA:
         | 
         | > Apple said that it, together with Foxconn Technology Group,
         | will later this year begin producing the servers that power the
         | cloud component of Apple Intelligence -- a system called
         | Private Cloud Compute -- in Houston. That marks a relocation,
         | at least for some production, from overseas. Next year, it says
         | a 250,000-square-foot facility for such manufacturing will open
         | in the city.
         | 
         | [...]
         | 
         | > Apple will also expand data center capacity in Arizona,
         | Oregon, Iowa, Nevada and North Carolina, all states with
         | existing Apple capacity. The company confirmed that mass
         | production of chips started at a Taiwan Semiconductor
         | Manufacturing Co. facility in Arizona last month. Bloomberg
         | News recently reported that plant is building chips for some
         | Apple Watches and iPads.
        
         | willtemperley wrote:
         | I think they might build a cloud offering. Something like
         | Cloudflare workers but AI centric, perhaps running Swift on the
         | Apple equivalent of V8 isolates.
         | 
         | Makes sense from a business perspective - there's significant
         | growth potential for them as their presence in web tech is
         | approximately nil.
        
         | badlibrarian wrote:
         | The Apple TV box (2021) is $129 with 3 GB RAM and 8 GB flash.
         | Not hard to see where that could go.
        
         | philistine wrote:
         | They will sell servers to customers ... as an add-on to iCloud.
         | 
         |  _Apple now offers access to Apple Intelligence Pro at 9.99$ a
         | month._
        
       | spiderfarmer wrote:
       | Watch them lay off 5k highly paid employees in order to create
       | 20k low paid jobs.
        
         | whamlastxmas wrote:
         | I'd be happy in the 20k bucket honestly, the job market is
         | terrible
        
       | jonplackett wrote:
       | Maybe $500 billion will finally be enough to make Siri useful for
       | more than just setting an alarm.
        
         | joshstrange wrote:
         | Whoa, whoa, whoa, on occasion, if the planets align just right,
         | I can also get Siri to set a reminder (and at least half the
         | time Siri gets it 80% right).
         | 
         | LLM Siri cannot come fast enough.
        
           | nottorp wrote:
           | LLMs are there for generating/hallucinating text, not for
           | understanding text.
           | 
           | For natural language processing you need a different kind of
           | neural network don't you?
        
             | drodgers wrote:
             | What are you talking about? We've invented the Universal
             | Translator already.
        
             | joshstrange wrote:
             | I'm confident that LLM's will not have hallucination
             | problems in the type of requests that I send to Siri.
             | 
             | I don't ask Siri for facts (just like I don't ask LLM's for
             | facts). As long as it can correctly, understand what and
             | when I ask to be reminded about something, that would be a
             | huge improvement for me.
             | 
             | That and being able to map "Bedroom Fan"/"Bedroom Fan
             | Light" to "Bedroom Fan Lights" without having to specify
             | aliases (and even then it hearing me wrong).
             | 
             | I've see Home Assistant working with LLMs and it can
             | understand groupings that I never explicitly defined which
             | is very nice. I can say "Turn off all overhead lights" and
             | it will find all my overhead lights and turn them off.
             | Siri/Alexa can't handle those tasks currently.
        
             | zzbzq wrote:
             | It's the other way around. The model is impeccable at
             | "understanding text." It's a gigantic mathematical
             | spreadsheet that quantifies meaning. The model probably
             | "understands" better than any human ever could. Running
             | that backwards into producing new text is where it gets
             | hand-wavy & it becomes unclear if the generative algorithms
             | are really progressing on the same track that humans are
             | on, or just some parallel track that diverges or even
             | terminates early.
        
               | nottorp wrote:
               | I thought it quantifies the probability that a certain
               | word (their output) follows a given word sequence (their
               | training corpus and the prompt)?
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | Only if you wildly oversimply to the level of being
               | misleading.
               | 
               | The precise mechanism LLMs use for reaching their
               | probability distributions is why they are able to pass
               | most undergraduate level exams, whereas the Markov chain
               | projects I made 15-20 years ago were not.
               | 
               | Even as an intermediary, word2vec had to build a space in
               | which the concept of "gender" exists such that "man" ->
               | "woman" ~= "king" -> "queen".
        
               | nottorp wrote:
               | > Only if you wildly oversimply to the level of being
               | misleading.
               | 
               | Maybe I'm asking for an explanation :)
               | 
               | Since you seem to understand the mechanism, can you do a
               | 3 line summary please?
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | 3 lines? That's still going to be oversimplifed to the
               | point of being wrong, but OK.
               | 
               | Make a bunch of neural nets to recognise every concept,
               | the same way you would make them to recognise numbers or
               | letters in handwiting recognition. Glue them together
               | with more neural nets. Put another on the end to turn
               | concepts back into words.
               | 
               | For a less wrong but still introductory summary that
               | still glosses over stuff, about 1.5 hours of 3blue1brown
               | videos, #4-#8 in this playlist: https://youtube.com/playl
               | ist?list=PLZHQObOWTQDNU6R1_67000Dx_...
        
               | nottorp wrote:
               | Thanks!
               | 
               | ... Oh interesting. And those concepts are hand picked or
               | generated automatically somehow?
               | 
               | > For a less wrong but still introductory summary that
               | still glosses over stuff, about 1.5 hours of 3blue1brown
               | videos
               | 
               | Sorry, my religion forbids me from watching talking
               | heads. I'll have to live with your summary for now. Until
               | I run into someone who condensed those 1.5 hours in text
               | that takes at most 30 min to read...
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | > Oh interesting. And those concepts are hand picked or
               | generated automatically somehow?
               | 
               | Fully automated.
               | 
               | > Sorry, my religion forbids me from watching talking
               | heads.
               | 
               | What about professional maths communicators who created
               | their own open sourced python library for creating video
               | content and doesn't even show their face on most videos?
        
               | nottorp wrote:
               | My problem is with the time wasted compared to written
               | info, not with talking heads per se.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | He doesn't waste time. No fluff.
               | 
               | You're unlikely to get a better time-quality trade-off on
               | any maths topic than a 3blue1brown video.
               | 
               | He's the kind of presenter that others try to mimic
               | because he's so good at what he does -- you may recognise
               | the visuals from elsewhere because of the library he
               | created[0] in order to visualise the topics he was
               | discussing.
               | 
               | [0] https://docs.manim.community/en/stable/faq/installati
               | on.html
               | 
               | There's also a playback speed slider in YouTube. I use it
               | a lot.
        
               | gs17 wrote:
               | Simplifying to that point is more of what a Markov chain
               | is. LLMs are able to generalize a lot more than that, and
               | it's sufficient to "understand text" on a decent level.
               | Even a relatively small model can take, e.g. even this
               | poorly prompted request:                 "The user has
               | requested 'remind me to pay my bills 8 PM tomorrow'. The
               | current date is 2025-02-24. Your available commands are
               | 'set_reminder' (time, description), 'set_alarm' (time),
               | 'send_email' (to, subject, content). Respond with the
               | command and its inputs."
               | 
               | And the most likely response will be what the user
               | wanted.
               | 
               | A Markov chain (only using the probabilities of word
               | orders from sentences in its training set) could never
               | output a command that wasn't stitched together from
               | existing ones (i.e. it would _always_ output a valid
               | command name, but if no one had requested a reminder for
               | a date in 2026 before it was trained, it would never
               | output that year). No amount of documents saying  "2026
               | is the year after 2025" would make a Markov chain
               | understand that fact, but LLMs are able to "understand"
               | that.
        
           | nessex wrote:
           | If you haven't tried OpenAI's advanced voice mode, it's a
           | mind blowing version of exactly what things like Siri really
           | ought to become with a little more development. If that's
           | what you mean by LLM Siri, I totally agree.
           | 
           | Being able to chat casually with low latency, correct
           | yourself, switch languages mid-sentence, incorporate context
           | throughout a back-and-forth conversation etc. turns talking
           | to these kinds of systems from a painful chore into something
           | that can actually add value.
        
             | skydhash wrote:
             | But does it do actual stuff, like adding a meeting to your
             | calendar, call people, or set a timer or a reminder?
        
           | smallmancontrov wrote:
           | Siri already has LLM integration...
           | 
           | ...that will grind your request to set email Vacation Mode
           | through the world's worst speech-to-text, jam the text into
           | Chat GPT, and spend the next three minutes reading you an
           | uninterruptible 3 minute essay about violence.
        
           | therealcamino wrote:
           | Over on Android it's the opposite situation. The voice
           | interface to Google Assistant was very reliable for simple
           | things like reminders and appointments, and even for general
           | knowledge questions. It was part of why I didn't switch to an
           | iPhone. Then Gemini came along, and that core functionality
           | got a lot worse.
        
           | madeofpalk wrote:
           | > LLM Siri cannot come fast enough.
           | 
           | I don't think it's been demonstrated that _Apple_ could make
           | Siri better with an LLM.
        
         | cloogshicer wrote:
         | Even that seems to work only half the time. ~50% she just
         | doesn't respond to a voice command "Siri" or "Hey Siri" for me.
        
           | TMWNN wrote:
           | When Siri first debuted it would automatically beep, so I
           | could immediately tell if the phone did not recognize
           | recognize "Hey Siri" (just "Siri" didn't work). A couple of
           | iOS updates later this went away, which means I can't tell
           | without actually picking up the phone and looking at it
           | whether the command was accepted.
           | 
           | Even more annoyingly, sometimes there _is_ a beep! -\\_(tsu)_
           | /-
        
             | cloogshicer wrote:
             | Yup, the UX has gotten so much worse.
        
         | checkyoursudo wrote:
         | I would pay $500bn to get siri to distinguish between a 13
         | minute timer and a 30 minute timer.
        
           | brador wrote:
           | The problem is AI current best use case is creative work,
           | art, music, programming, but skilled creative professionals
           | is a/the core userbase for Apple products.
           | 
           | Apple is stuck and it's AI will never be good enough until
           | those creatives embrace it. Right now it's disdain when
           | mentioned.
        
             | dartos wrote:
             | Uhh
             | 
             | > The problem is AI current best use case is creative work,
             | art, music, programming
             | 
             | By "best" do you mean "marketable?"
             | 
             | Seems weird to see a bunch of creatives and creative
             | professionals "disdain" a tool and still say it's "best"
             | for them...
        
             | troupo wrote:
             | An oft-cited quote goes something like this: "we wanted
             | robots/AI to automate boring, routine, meaningless jobs to
             | let people be free to pursue arts, music, creativity. It's
             | a sad state of affairs that AI is taking over
             | arts/music/creativity stranding people with boring,
             | routine, meaningless jobs"
        
               | jamil7 wrote:
               | > It's a sad state of affairs that AI is taking over
               | arts/music/creativity stranding people with boring,
               | routine, meaningless jobs"
               | 
               | So far it's not though.
        
               | troupo wrote:
               | Oh. It already is. Artists are already saying that a lot
               | of commission work is drying out (e.g. illustrations).
        
             | amelius wrote:
             | > skilled creative professionals is a/the core userbase for
             | Apple products.
             | 
             | Then why doesn't it have a professional CAD application?
        
               | dijit wrote:
               | It does.
               | 
               | AutoCAD came to the Mac when Intel was shitting the bed
               | (with aggressive OEM contracts for first party system
               | integrators that prevented AMD adoption across
               | HP/Dell/Lenovo-lines) and Windows 11 was being forced on
               | users.
               | 
               | WINTEL played the monopoly game too hard and is starting
               | to lose ground.
               | 
               | You love to see it.
        
               | daniel_reetz wrote:
               | Even Apple doesn't do CAD on OSX. They run Siemens NX on
               | Windows.
               | 
               | But your statement isn't quite right. Fusion 360 runs
               | fine in mac. I'm ex-Apple btw.
        
               | amelius wrote:
               | Ok, that's good to know, but my colleagues all use
               | SolidWorks so it doesn't change much for me.
        
             | jamil7 wrote:
             | > The problem is AI current best use case is creative work,
             | art, music, programming
             | 
             | This is where it's being pushed and marketed but I'm not
             | actually sure it's the best use case.
        
           | blitzar wrote:
           | I am very resourceful so I got around this by setting a 14
           | minute timer to outsmart the Ai.
           | 
           | "Your 40 minute timer starts now".
        
           | bqmjjx0kac wrote:
           | I don't know if this is an actual problem you have, but since
           | Siri appears to be composed of independent voice-to-text and
           | text-to-action systems, you can say "start a one three minute
           | timer".
        
           | newAccount2025 wrote:
           | I solve this by asking for a 31, 41, or 51 minute timer.
        
             | jonwachob91 wrote:
             | How does this help me se a 13, 14, or 15 minute timer?
        
               | hansvm wrote:
               | Could you ask to set a 780 second timer?
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | You can, and it works.
        
               | addandsubtract wrote:
               | "10 minute timer" + "add 4 minutes"
        
           | boringg wrote:
           | When I put in timers -- for some reason my timer
           | frequently/randomly just sets to 79 hours and a random
           | assortment of minutes and seconds. I have no clue why. I
           | always have to double check otherwise I might be waiting
           | awhile.
           | 
           | It feels like it was a residual timer or something but I have
           | never set anything like that - it is quite strange.
        
           | layer8 wrote:
           | Workarounds: 781 seconds timer, or 29/31 minute timer.
           | 
           | I'm serious, that's what I use.
        
         | grahamj wrote:
         | Apple software is already largely written my Americans.
         | 
         | Somehow I don't think fealty will change its quality.
        
         | boringg wrote:
         | Funny I turned Siri off because i didn't want apple
         | intelligence running amok. The follow-on problem --> lack of
         | Siri killed my Carplay because Siri is required (also use itf
         | for setting alarms/timers). The kicker? I can't seem to turn
         | Siri back on after look through all the menus.
         | 
         | I.e. My preference for apple CarPlay supersedes my concerns on
         | GPT running over my contents. Though the UI/UX has made it next
         | to impossible to turn it back on.
         | 
         | What a world to live in.
        
           | wpm wrote:
           | If your phone is new enough for Apple Intelligence, Siri is
           | now under that umbrella. There's no "just Siri" option
           | anymore, unless you're rockin an iPhone 14 or older.
        
             | rafram wrote:
             | Or a non-Pro iPhone 15.
        
           | afro88 wrote:
           | Apple Intelligence and Siri are still separate (though Apple
           | like to make it look like they are fundamentally
           | intertwined). You can turn Apple Intelligence off and leave
           | Siri on for CarPlay.
           | 
           | How did you turn Siri off in the first place? That's where
           | I'd start...
           | 
           | Settings -> Apple Intelligence & Siri:
           | 
           | Talk and Type to Siri -> turn all this back on
           | 
           | Allow Siri When Locked -> turn this back on
        
           | mossTechnician wrote:
           | The part of Siri that causes the most trouble is the speech
           | recognition - which uses a voice recognition model that we
           | now colloquially refer to as "AI." The part that works
           | reliably, the part that sets your alarm or sends the message,
           | is an action that's hardcoded.
           | 
           | IMO, moving towards AI just leads to increased uncertainty
           | and undesirable outcomes, which is something several
           | journalists reviewing Apple Intelligence have attested to.
        
         | gosub100 wrote:
         | I'm a formerly non-mac guy who finally bought a brand new iPad.
         | I got bored with the wallpaper but couldn't figure out how to
         | change it. "Hey Siri, how do I change the wallpaper?"..."Sorry,
         | I can't help with that". Tried a couple more questions and all
         | it did was Google it for me. This is the latest M4 that was
         | around $2k.
         | 
         | This is what our "AI accelerated" chips give us in return? What
         | a disgrace
        
         | apwell23 wrote:
         | hey thats what alexa is for
        
           | coliveira wrote:
           | No, Alexa is only good to interrupt you randomly when you're
           | watching TV.
        
       | konschubert wrote:
       | After an oligarchy, looks like the us is also getting a planned
       | economy now.
        
         | lazide wrote:
         | 'Planned'. A command economy anyway.
        
           | konschubert wrote:
           | ?
        
             | lazide wrote:
             | A planned economy has a plan. I doubt that will exist.
             | 
             | A command economy has different elements of the economy
             | ordered around to do what leadership wants.
             | 
             | That seems a lot more likely.
        
               | pupperino wrote:
               | Is this a joke that I'm not getting? "Planned economy"
               | and "command economy" are synonyms.
        
         | mapt wrote:
         | We used to call this an "Industrial policy" or an "Economic
         | development policy". Back in the golden era when a strong labor
         | movement coexisted with a Red Scare. 78 years after Taft-
         | Hartley and 44 years since PATCO, not so much.
         | 
         | We have maybe fifty or a hundred million people rotting away in
         | areas where jobs are scarce and housing is plentiful, because
         | we used government policy to shut them out of areas where jobs
         | are plentiful and housing is scarce. We systematically exported
         | jobs from places that aren't big cities because they can be
         | performed overseas and our aristocracy can still profit from
         | them by owning those people overseas.
         | 
         | I don't know if returning to a little more deliberate of an
         | economy is even a partial salve for the place we've found
         | ourselves, but I don't think this laissez faire thing is
         | sustainable for a whole lot longer. We are overleveraged, and
         | arrogantly delusional about our sway at the moment; "Ownership"
         | is not some valuable skill. The fall of an anchor currency and
         | global conversion to an alternate financial network would be a
         | spectacular thing, an astroid striking terrain, which might
         | leave craters on entire other continents from secondary ejecta.
         | World wars have been fought over less.
        
           | hooverd wrote:
           | "We" wasn't big government. It was a million homeowners who
           | decided that the neighborhood they moved into should be
           | frozen in amber forever. Everyone wants housing to be cheap
           | but also for their property values to rise onto infinity.
           | They push back against any attempt to change this and then
           | complain about the inevitable results.
        
         | blitzar wrote:
         | > now
         | 
         | I guess before is before Christopher Columbus
        
       | comrade1234 wrote:
       | Oh god. Hopefully they're lighter than the old xserves. We had
       | one still running up until a few years ago when we finally
       | removed it. You could break a toe if it dropped while pulling it
       | out of the rack. People are still selling them on eBay.
        
         | nottorp wrote:
         | Hey quality stuff is heavy!
         | 
         | The desktop case for my 286, I could stand on it and it would
         | not bend!
        
         | ChrisMarshallNY wrote:
         | I suspect that was the RAID drive bay (ridiculous item). That
         | was a 3-4U monster.
         | 
         | The Xserve, itself, was a 1U unit that was pretty much the same
         | (or lighter than) any other 1U server (we also had HP and Dell
         | servers that were _heavy_ ). The weight distribution could be
         | weird.
         | 
         | That stupid drive bay was a proprietary nightmare. The disks
         | cost a fortune.
         | 
         | However, from what I can see, this will be for "internal-use"
         | servers. I don't think they will be selling iron; just services
         | run on the iron.
        
         | michelb wrote:
         | I'm curious what they will look like, given that these are not
         | for anyone else to buy. Maybe Apple made a different form
         | factor/configuration that suits their datacenters better?
        
         | chippiewill wrote:
         | I don't think it's AI servers for Apple to sell. I think it's
         | just regular x86 Linux servers to power Apple's AI cloud
         | services. It's a commitment to internal investment rather than
         | a product.
        
           | hhh wrote:
           | They have hiring positions for running a Darwin-based server
           | OS, and their private cloud compute is on Apple Silicon. I
           | doubt it's going to be swaths of x86.
        
       | tux3 wrote:
       | Does this mean competing with Asahi to run a Linux kernel, or
       | will this be an attempt to run AI workloads on XNU?
       | 
       | Consider the cost of GPUs, losing what could be double digit
       | percents on overhead might not make this very competitive. The
       | macOS microkernel can still beat NT in some situations (like not
       | having filters slowing filesystem down to a crawl), but it lags
       | significantly behind the investment in Linux performance over the
       | years by every other major company.
        
         | chippiewill wrote:
         | I don't think it's AI servers for Apple silicon. I think it's
         | just regular x86 Linux servers to power Apple's AI cloud
         | services. It's a commitment to internal investment rather than
         | a product.
        
           | cube2222 wrote:
           | FWIW, Apple's AI "private cloud compute" is Apple Silicon-
           | based, and it's a core part of some of the security
           | guarantees offered. See [0].
           | 
           | [0]: https://security.apple.com/blog/private-cloud-compute/
        
             | bayindirh wrote:
             | I'll honestly love to see an Apple Silicon based XServe and
             | comeback of "macOS $VERSION Server" add-on, and maybe an
             | XSAN box.
             | 
             | Doing a Mac Mini sized version for SOHO would be great,
             | too.
             | 
             | One can dream, I guess...
        
               | littlecranky67 wrote:
               | Apple doesn't like B2B and Steve Jobs was very vocal on
               | this (there are various videos where he explains why).
               | Ever since they can afford to, they reduced their B2B to
               | the bare minimum needed. So don't expect anything server-
               | like from Apple.
        
               | bayindirh wrote:
               | Yeah, I know, this is why I added "One can dream, I
               | guess". :)
        
               | Synaesthesia wrote:
               | Funny, because I think Apple could do quite well in this
               | realm.
        
               | bayindirh wrote:
               | I'm not sure. Because the moment you enter the system
               | room, the ecosystem is a completely different universe.
               | 
               | You can't easily sell "Good / Better / Best" version of a
               | single model, and tell "These are the options, take it or
               | leave it". Servers are customized to the screws they come
               | with and are expanded throughout over the years. So, the
               | logistics are somewhat different for these kinds of
               | devices.
               | 
               | Plus, macOS is not a CLI first operating system for
               | server operations, and macOS Server is not updated for
               | some years. Allowing Linux would be a different offering,
               | and allowing macOS to work with all kinds of hardware
               | from ordinary Ethernet to 100G+ Ethernet and 400gbps
               | Infiniband (plus all the other interconnects) will be a
               | fun exercise in testing flexibility of both macOS and
               | Apple development teams.
               | 
               | So it's quite complicated. All servers are built to order
               | SKUs. Dell keeps configurations "per server" in their
               | databases, for example. If you have a Dell server, enter
               | its service tag to support site, and you'll get the
               | configuration of the device as it left the factory.
        
               | mysteria wrote:
               | They don't have to go all the way though and fully
               | compete with Dell EMC/HPE. I'm not sure what the original
               | commenter was thinking but in my mind they could simply
               | sell a Mac Studio variant with dual PSUs, better
               | networking, a rackmount chassis, etc. Basically have
               | their existing consumer machine placed in a more
               | datacenter friendly factor.
               | 
               | I mean places like Github and AWS are painfully racking
               | up Mac Minis for their deployments and this theoretical
               | server model would simplify everything. It also becomes
               | an option for on premises AI inference using MLX,
               | especially if they manage to get ANE support working in
               | conjunction with the GPU for faster prefill.
               | 
               | The support and software stack for the server model would
               | be the exact same as the consumer variant and they
               | certainly wouldn't have special Linux offerings,
               | Infiniband, and all that. If there's networking beyond
               | their existing 10G it's going to be built into the board
               | and they aren't going to support random 3rd party cards.
               | The unit also doesn't need to be upgradable either.
        
         | helsinkiandrew wrote:
         | I believe the intention is to use their own M-Series CPUs - to
         | get what they call "Private Cloud Compute". The cpu on your
         | phone will encrypt data and a request, send it over the network
         | to am M-series CPU which will decrypt and process/send back an
         | encrypted response.
         | 
         | The idea being there's no VMware, kernel or piece of hardware
         | that can have backdoors built into unless someone files off the
         | top of the chip and somehow probes the silicon
         | 
         | > Apple said that it, together with Foxconn Technology Group,
         | will later this year begin producing the servers that power the
         | cloud component of Apple Intelligence -- a system called
         | Private Cloud Compute -- in Houston. That marks a relocation,
         | at least for some production, from overseas. Next year, it says
         | a 250,000-square-foot facility for such manufacturing will open
         | in the city.
         | 
         | > The Private Cloud Compute servers use advanced M-series chips
         | already found in the company's Mac computers. Those chips
         | themselves, however, continue to be produced in Taiwan.
        
       | matrix2596 wrote:
       | what can people outside US and china do?
        
         | michelb wrote:
         | Depending on where you live, be thankful for a functioning
         | democracy?
        
         | ozmodiar wrote:
         | IMO we've really got to start pressuring our own governments to
         | take control of their networks, as well as the companies the
         | population is going through (not just Facebook, but even
         | international contractors for services). Letting a foreign
         | government have this much control over the data of your
         | populace and the ability to feed whatever algorithmic message
         | they like is a path bound for disaster in the long run. The
         | powers of the world are way too consolidated as is, and a
         | company can turn into a state actor at the drop of a hat. I
         | don't think we can maintain kayfabe about the country/corporate
         | divide. I also think this can be done without impacting freedom
         | of speech for your population, as long as you don't consider
         | corporations people.
         | 
         | Most countries don't have the resources to do much, but even
         | then they can try their hardest not to be beholden to any
         | single foreign country _cough_ China, America _cough_.
        
       | paxys wrote:
       | Anyone keeping count of how many trillions in hypothetical
       | investments and millions of jobs large American corporations have
       | promised in the next 3-5 years?
        
       | jasdi wrote:
       | :) its like the dot com boom. How many around here remember those
       | days?
        
       | treaba1098 wrote:
       | Reverse technology transfer from countries like China is kind of
       | fair. But EU companies should be very wary of Trump tariff
       | blackmail that forces them to build production lines in the US.
        
         | TMWNN wrote:
         | >But EU companies should be very wary of Trump tariff blackmail
         | that forces them to build production lines in the US.
         | 
         | That's the whole point of tariffs, to encourage domestic
         | production.
         | 
         | Put another way, what is the difference between what you wrote
         | and
         | 
         | >But US companies should be very wary of EU tariff blackmail
         | that forces them to build production lines in the EU.
         | 
         | ?
         | 
         | Whether a particular tariff is economically viable is a
         | reasonable debate. Calling Trump's tariffs "blackmail" without
         | assigning that epithet to all tariffs from whatever source is
         | not.
        
         | briandear wrote:
         | So the EU has no tariffs?
        
           | kaveh_h wrote:
           | Not a lot of them, but Trump accuse EU of tariffs because it
           | has VAT. That's not the same thing because VAT apply to
           | domestic companies as well so there's no real unfair
           | advantage. You could make the claim that it's still worse for
           | foreign goods as VAT can be offset with VAT from supplier
           | purchases, but that only works if you produce goods in the
           | same country as you sell them. But US companies have even
           | larger advantage already as they don't have any VAT, so in
           | the end the playing field is kind of level.
           | 
           | This doesn't stop Trump from pressuring and squeezing and
           | making false claims to justify his standing point. Expect an
           | unstable trade environment due to tariffs and retaliation.
           | This will hurt small businesses that have even more complex
           | environment to operate in.
        
             | dboreham wrote:
             | > they don't have any VAT
             | 
             | VAT is what Americans call "sales tax" and US companies do
             | pay and charge that.
        
       | rs186 wrote:
       | Reminder: https://www.theverge.com/2019/7/30/20747765/apple-mac-
       | pro-20...
        
       | jmyeet wrote:
       | There's a lot of understandable skepticism about this
       | announcement because there are so many PR announcements. I want
       | to temper that with an alternative perspective.
       | 
       | I actually think Apple is a potential dark horse when it comes to
       | AI hardware. What we have now is essentially a three-layered
       | monopoly: ASML, TSMC, NVidia. This has been incredibly lucrative
       | for NVidia. But, as we know, Apple doesn't like to rely on third-
       | party hardware. They've invested heavily in ARM going back to
       | buying PA Semi [1]. Apple replaced Intel chips (which originally
       | replaced Power chips) with the M series in recent years. Apple is
       | in the process of replacing Qualcomm modems in iPhones, which is
       | not only a technical feat but a legal one given Qualcomm's patent
       | dominance over 4G/5G.
       | 
       | Apple has the resolve for long-term initiatives that few other
       | companies have. Apple Pay continues to chip away and get slowly
       | better in a way that, if it were a Google product, would've been
       | cancelled, rebranded, relaunched probably 3-4 times by now
       | (Google Checkout, Google Wallet, Google Pay, Android Pay, etc).
       | 
       | Apple clearly sees AI as a strategic issue. They have loads of
       | cash on hand to finance basically anything they want. And they
       | won't want to be beholden to NVidia.
       | 
       | I expect Apple to have a significant impact here but it won't be
       | tomorrow or even this year. It'll be over the next 5-10 years.
       | 
       | [1]: https://www.wired.com/2008/04/four-reasons-ap/
        
         | nobankai wrote:
         | Apple's incentives have definitely aligned with replacing
         | Nvidia entirely ever since they ceased diplomatic relations.
         | But Nvidia also knows this, which is why they invest heavily in
         | things Apple will never do. They write the official Linux
         | drivers Apple wouldn't get caught dead supporting. They give
         | users and integrators freedom to choose their OS, software and
         | library stacks to better suit their application. They sell
         | individual GPUs and unlocked edge compute hardware with no
         | distribution terms or $99/year "developer license" bullshit.
         | Nvidia is a hardware company in places where Apple tries
         | shipping services instead.
         | 
         | Then there's also the software issues. Nvidia has invested in
         | GPU-based compute nonstop for the past 10+ years. Apple
         | invested in Nvidia, then invested in OpenCL after abandoning
         | Nvidia, then abandoned OpenCL for Metal compute which would
         | eventually become the proprietary Accelerate framework.
         | Nvidia's eggs are all organized in one, valuable basket.
         | Apple's investments are spread out all over the place, with
         | much of the time and money going into projects that don't even
         | exist anymore.
         | 
         | Apple has the TSMC advantage, but that's just about it. Their
         | GPU designs aren't comparably efficient or compute-oriented to
         | what Nvidia ships today. Additionally, Nvidia will continue
         | investing in places that Apple principally refuses to support.
         | Unless a serious tide change occurs at Apple, they aren't going
         | to get a fair competition with Nvidia.
        
       | rvz wrote:
       | All for the purpose of the AI servers that will power Apple's own
       | private AI models for training and inference running on Apple
       | Silicon.
       | 
       | Still in a AAPL long position since $170 and waiting for the re-
       | introduction of Xserve with a new Apple Silicon-based OS. [0]
       | 
       | Probably "aiOS" (Just guessing).
       | 
       | [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40278371
        
         | nobankai wrote:
         | > waiting for the re-introduction of Xserve with a new Apple
         | Silicon-based OS.
         | 
         | I nearly tripped over a skeleton holding up a sign with the
         | same sentiment walking into HN today. I expect you'll be
         | waiting quite some time...
        
       | alphabetting wrote:
       | Good to see but brings to mind the deal they cut with China in
       | 2016 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29482351
        
       | cgcrob wrote:
       | Cynical take here, but I think realistic.
       | 
       | There's a lot of noise I can see behind the scenes on investor
       | confidence. Noise as in "everything is fucked" sort of level of
       | noise. Thus I expect this is being said to try and stop the AAPL
       | stock collapsing in the upcoming recession that the analysts are
       | predicting more than a tangible expansion and recruitment goal.
       | 
       | I also take issue with their being 20,000 people on the market
       | who are still able to contribute something useful. They will be
       | culled quickly and quietly down the line in the annual corporate
       | lay offs.
       | 
       | It is not the time to make grand gestures unless you're trying to
       | gain political favour, at which point any respect I have at least
       | is gone.
       | 
       | Market opening today should be interesting...
        
       | foxandmouse wrote:
       | Coincidentally, construction isn't set to start until late
       | November 2028--convenient timing. If this mess blows over, they
       | can quietly backpedal and carry on like nothing happened.
        
         | bell-cot wrote:
         | Every major business leader is stuck saying "do what we have
         | to" a lot.
         | 
         | The difference between the great leaders and the crap leaders
         | is all in the details.
        
         | crowcroft wrote:
         | Good timing because Trump should be significantly weaker, and
         | it'll be clear where Trumpism is headed in the culture, but
         | also it will be more clear where AI will end up.
         | 
         | Even if the move forward with investment, they will be a bit of
         | a 'late' mover, but will have had a chance to see what is
         | working and what isn't working for everyone else.
        
           | gsibble wrote:
           | Trump might be weaker but if Vance were to win the 2028
           | election he'd just continue the same policies.
        
             | crowcroft wrote:
             | Maybe, but that's a huge IF. It's assuming
             | 
             | 1. JD Vance independent of Trump will have the same
             | policies.
             | 
             | 2. JD Vance will have enough popularity for a serious 2028
             | run. He might fall out favour with Trump as Trump tries to
             | mount a bid for a third term, Trumpism might just generally
             | lose popularity if policies lead to bad outcomes.
             | 
             | 3. Dems don't figure their shit out. They should be able to
             | take back some control in mid-terms, and then start to push
             | their own policies, or at least credibly show that the most
             | extreme policies from the exec branch don't have teeth
             | anymore.
        
               | amazingman wrote:
               | And you're assuming that the 2028 election (and 2026 for
               | that matter) will be business as usual elections, against
               | all evidence to the contrary staring us directly in the
               | face.
        
               | astrange wrote:
               | The federal government doesn't control elections in the
               | US so they don't have much power here. Also, firing all
               | the FBI agents is a bad first step to using them for
               | interference. They have no clue how to be authoritarians;
               | to do that, you need to be popular and have the security
               | forces like you.
        
               | bamboozled wrote:
               | It's incredible this is a possibility at this point.
        
         | layer8 wrote:
         | Source on the construction start?
        
         | nilkn wrote:
         | The NYT says the Texas facility will open in 2026:
         | https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/24/business/apple-tariffs-jo...
        
       | 1970-01-01 wrote:
       | This is an insane amount of cash to throw at any problem. They
       | could have Apple rockets mining asteroids with $500,000,000,000.
       | There is no way all this cash goes into AI. What will actually
       | happen is they will take 1/10th this cash to an over-valued
       | startup and acquire them.
        
         | whamlastxmas wrote:
         | Between land, hardware, having to build multiple power plants,
         | the labor costs involved in all of this, and setting money
         | aside to run all of those for however long, then yeah I can see
         | where it gets up to that price. 20k engineers is easily 5
         | billion per year in salaries, probably more.
        
           | 1970-01-01 wrote:
           | The maths are not adding up.
           | 
           | Assume the human resources at $100,000 per head, and you get
           | $2B/yr. Four years comes to just $8B for human resources.
           | Assume land costs $10B. Assume construction costs $100B.
           | 
           | 100+10+8 is $118B
           | 
           | Where is the money actually going?
        
         | fundad wrote:
         | Apple is just giving a PR win to the administration like they
         | did last time their preferred party was in power.
        
       | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
       | Looks like the US is moving fast to bring the whole supply chain
       | for everything and anything into its own borders.
       | 
       | I wonder where this will lead to.
        
         | Tepix wrote:
         | Will they remain competitive with other big players producing
         | in cheaper countries?
        
           | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
           | Who are those "other big players" when it comes to building a
           | complete AI stack?
           | 
           | Who can compete with Tesla and Waymo without having to buy
           | hardware and software from the US?
           | 
           | Who can compete with OpenAI, Google, Grok, Perplexity without
           | US hardware and software?
        
             | willvarfar wrote:
             | The Chinese?
             | 
             | It sounds flippant but the US hasn't got some unassailable
             | moat around chip production or their application.
        
               | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
               | It's not a small feat. China would have to:
               | 
               | 1: Take over Taiwan to get TSML under their control
               | 
               | 2: Find a way to make a deal with ASML for the needed
               | lithography machines
               | 
               | 3: Somehow aquire the knowhow that Nvidia has
               | 
               | Taiwan would require a conflict with the US. ASML is a
               | dutch company but seems to be somehow under US control. I
               | have not yet figured out the exact setup there. And
               | Nvidia is a US company.
        
               | willvarfar wrote:
               | China has steadily been developing its own processes and
               | the laser tech needed for smaller sizes.
               | 
               | It is very clear that both US and China are racing to
               | onshore and establish sovereign control of chip
               | production.
               | 
               | Sucks to be Taiwanese right now. The "silicon shield" is
               | evaporating.
        
               | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
               | Citation needed.
               | 
               | I have yet to see anything that hints at China being able
               | to catch up with ASML+TSMC+Nvidia.
        
               | themagician wrote:
               | They are trying, and will eventually catch up, the same
               | way they have in software and in hardware in many other
               | spaces. Maybe it will take another 10 years. Maybe
               | another 10 months.
               | 
               | This idea that EUVL is--and always will be--outside of
               | the reach of China is, frankly, silly. It's a silly
               | strategy to maintain dominance. They will straight up
               | steal the technology if needed.
               | 
               | We should stop pretending like we can roadblock the
               | technological development of the largest country. It's
               | just going to make the fall that much harder. Once they
               | do attain the ability to manufactuer EUVL domestically,
               | capital is going to flood out of US tech stocks like no
               | tomorrow.
               | 
               | You haven't seen anything that hints at it, because most
               | news about what happens in China doesn't leave China. The
               | propoganda machine is hard at work reminding you that
               | China is terrible and eveyrone in China is poor. You'll
               | learn about China catching up only after it's already
               | happened.
        
             | rtkwe wrote:
             | Deepseek seems to prove there's no super secret sauce that
             | makes these models irreproducible outside the US and that
             | the companies here are suffering a bit from the glut of
             | cash/credits leading them to burn tons of extra processing
             | power that could have been optimized away.
        
               | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
               | DeepSeek has been trained on US hardware.
        
               | rtkwe wrote:
               | US hardware in what sense? My understanding was it was
               | trained on spare compute owned by the parent company but
               | I didn't bother looking that deep.
        
               | 827a wrote:
               | A nice model, does not a billion dollar company make. The
               | hard part of AI is not the model; Apple needs people to
               | do the 80% rest-of-the-work; how do you make AI useful to
               | the average person? How can we get inference on edge
               | devices as cheap and efficient as possible? Models are
               | boring. Everyone fully expects that we'll see an N%
               | increase in intelligence every six months now. Yawn. The
               | exciting thing now is: What are we using AI for?
        
               | rtkwe wrote:
               | Spending a couple billion dollars also doesn't make an
               | actual billion dollar company. It's yet to be proven that
               | all this spend on LLM training and running can actually
               | get translated into an actual profit.
        
             | ghaff wrote:
             | With the combination of very real geopolitical risk (which
             | was a topic of considerable discussion at a tech conference
             | I attended late last fall) and the current political
             | climate, there's a significant mindset that the US should
             | be pulling back a lot of things to its own borders where
             | practical even if not optimal _at the moment_.
        
             | scarface_74 wrote:
             | Tesla makes a lot of promises that it can't keep and losing
             | money and market share globally.
             | 
             | I doubt Waymo is going to be a big deal in much of the US
             | over the next decade. Even if they do figure out all of the
             | technical issues. People will accept hundreds dying from
             | car crashes. But not one dying from autonomous cars.
        
             | matwood wrote:
             | > Who can compete with Tesla
             | 
             | BYD says hi.
        
         | scarface_74 wrote:
         | It won't happen. The supply chain is far too complex. Not to
         | mention that the labor market in the US is not willing to do a
         | lot of the work that you see in China and isn't large enough
         | even if there were enough willing people.
         | 
         | And then you have the rare earth minerals that aren't available
         | here.
        
           | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
           | Work will be increasingly done by robots.
           | 
           | Which raw earth materials could be a show stopper for the US?
        
             | scarface_74 wrote:
             | That was a typo above (since edited). I meant _rare_ earth
             | materials.
             | 
             | And why hasnt that happen yet instead of Foxconn employing
             | 770K people?
             | 
             | These are the raw materials used by the iPhone
             | 
             | https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/the-metals-inside-your-
             | ipho...
        
               | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
               | why hasnt that happen yet
               | 
               | Because the past is not the future.
        
         | brandon272 wrote:
         | Until things are actually built, I take press releases like
         | these with a grain of salt. Similar to the stories about Mark
         | Zuckerberg removing tampons from men's washrooms the week
         | before the Presidential inauguration, I believe that a lot of
         | these stories are intended for an audience of one.
        
         | ActionHank wrote:
         | Depression.
         | 
         | The US is a great place to have your headquarters and a
         | terrible place to have your not-so-cheap labor.
         | 
         | Their actions will drive prices higher and, indirectly, wage
         | higher. Businesses without a war chest will not be able to keep
         | going and fold, the labor market will collapse.
         | 
         | The rest of the world will trade amongst each other and I
         | suspect to save themselves, some big tech companies will
         | relocate their headquarters.
        
           | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
           | Labor is only costly when humans do the work.
           | 
           | But that will be less and less the case.
           | 
           | Waymo is doing 150,000 autonomous rides per week now.
        
             | scarface_74 wrote:
             | In three cities with good weather and they don't do
             | highways.
        
               | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
               | And a year ago they did less than 15,000!
               | 
               | That is not even one tenth!
               | 
               | They clearly will not get anywhere with this.
        
               | scarface_74 wrote:
               | Yes, just like every startup pitch deck.
               | 
               | "We grew from 10 customers to 100 customers in a year. At
               | this rate we will have 20% of the world's population in a
               | decade!!!"
               | 
               | The first cohort of customers of any company is always
               | the easiest to obtain with the lowest acquisition cost.
               | You solve the easiest problems first.
               | 
               | This is Cohort Analysis 101. Not to mention Waymo still
               | hasn't shown to be able to operate in less than ideal
               | weather conditions or proven that the unit economics will
               | make sense or be economical especially taking into
               | account maintenance, or utilization ratios.
        
               | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
               | we will have 20% of the world's population in a decade
               | 
               | That is roughly what happened with Facebook, Google, the
               | iPhone ...
               | 
               | None of these products were as good when they started as
               | when they had a billion users.
        
               | scarface_74 wrote:
               | https://www.scribbr.com/research-bias/survivorship-
               | bias/#:~:...
               | 
               | Is that really what you want to argue in front of
               | investors? That you are going to be the next Facebook,
               | Google or Apple?
               | 
               | There was also MySpace, Friendster, Altavista, InfoSeek,
               | RIM, Nokia...
        
               | ArtTimeInvestor wrote:
               | Facebook was the next Facebook with Instagram.
               | 
               | Apple was the next Apple with the iMac. Then with the
               | iPod. Then with the iPhone.
               | 
               | Google was the next Google with Android. With Chrome.
               | With Gmail. With Google Maps. With YouTube.
               | 
               | Google becoming the next Google with Waymo would not be a
               | black swan event.
        
               | scarface_74 wrote:
               | Google also had literally hundreds of failures and
               | Android is not an amazing financial success by any means
               | and Google still ends up paying Apple over $20 billion a
               | year because people with money buy iPhones.
               | 
               | Google is not exactly known for its success rate getting
               | products out of the door that aren't ad related.
        
               | hot_gril wrote:
               | Give stuff for free, ???, profit. It's kinda worked for
               | them, but not as well as Apple's strategy.
        
               | scarface_74 wrote:
               | You can't give hardware away for free profitably.
               | 
               | You also have hundreds of failures
               | 
               | https://killedbygoogle.com/
               | 
               | Including Google Fiber.
               | 
               | https://arstechnica.com/information-
               | technology/2019/02/googl...
               | 
               | Google Stadia was disaster.
               | 
               | In the phone market. The Motorola acquisition was a major
               | failure and Pixels aren't taking the world by storm.
               | 
               | The entire "Other bets" haven't led to any major
               | successes.
               | 
               | There are only two tech companies that have shown any
               | ability to do hardware at scale as mass consumer products
               | in the last 25 years - Apple and Tesla.
        
               | sbochins wrote:
               | It's been operating safely in each market they're in. The
               | AI keeps getting better. They have no competition (please
               | don't bother mentioning Tesla vapor ware). Path to high
               | growth seems pretty sure at this point.
        
               | scarface_74 wrote:
               | And the markets they are in are low hanging fruit with
               | good weather. I'm not saying Waymo is less safe than
               | human drivers. I am saying that it will only take _one_
               | fatal accident by any self driving car for people to lose
               | confidence, investigations to start, rollouts to be
               | paused etc. I'm also not saying that is a logical
               | response.
        
               | flutas wrote:
               | > I am saying that it will only take one fatal accident
               | by any self driving car for people to lose confidence,
               | investigations to start, rollouts to be paused etc.
               | 
               | Uber and Cruise are both great examples of this, but it
               | seems like the effect is mostly localized to the company
               | itself that has the issue.
               | 
               | Uber hit and killed a jaywalking pedestrian, resulting in
               | their self driving tech being sold to Aurora. [0]
               | 
               | Cruise hit a pedestrian that was flung into the cars path
               | that a human driver hit previously. This resulted in GM
               | completely abandoning Cruise and their future seems foggy
               | at best. [1]
               | 
               | [0]:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_of_Elaine_Herzberg
               | 
               | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cruise_(autonomous_veh
               | icle)#Su...
        
               | no_wizard wrote:
               | Which is very very few markets, and all of them share
               | weather patterns that are very similar.
               | 
               | When Waymo can demonstrate reliably going from Chicago to
               | Ann Harbor in the middle of a snow storm thats when we
               | can start talking about how its good enough.
        
               | scarface_74 wrote:
               | It reminds me of the advanced ED209 robot in Robocop that
               | was taken out by an inability to go down a flight of
               | stairs
               | 
               | https://youtu.be/_MS4sLlBvbE
        
             | gs17 wrote:
             | That could also lead to a depression. I haven't heard a lot
             | of politicians here (Andrew Yang in 2020? does he even
             | count as "a politician"?) with good plans for what to do
             | when automation hits jobs even harder.
        
               | SllX wrote:
               | A failed politician is still a politician.
        
           | 827a wrote:
           | All else being equal, companies are going to use the source
           | of labor that results in the cheapest product they can
           | produce. No one is forcing companies to move this kind of
           | manufacturing to the United States. A 10% (let me reiterate
           | that: TEN PERCENT) tariff on incoming goods is inflationary,
           | but by very little, and quickly absorbed by companies and
           | consumers. No one is moving their labor supply from China to
           | the US to avoid a ten percent tariff; US labor is more
           | expensive than that, and there are fifty other places around
           | the planet you could find cheap low-skill labor that aren't
           | on Trump's shitlist.
           | 
           | But you won't believe any of that, because you _want_ all
           | this to happen. You 're a doomer; doomers and preppers
           | secretly want the doom they predict to happen, even if they
           | won't admit it to themselves.
        
             | ActionHank wrote:
             | For now they are going with the tide, because they don't
             | want to relocate head office.
             | 
             | If trump's terrible plans are rolled back there's no harm.
             | 
             | If they aren't rolled back they will undergo the costly
             | move to relocate.
             | 
             | The world is a bigger market than USA and just about every
             | other country has cheaper labor and no tariffs.
             | 
             | It's just logic, I have no emotion tied to this.
        
               | 827a wrote:
               | Your "logic" (masking) conveniently avoids the point I
               | raised: That these tariffs are being enforced to the tune
               | of 10%. That isn't enough to alone justify this level of
               | investment, or relocation of significant production
               | capacity. Obviously, Apple agrees with this, because the
               | investments they're making aren't as far as I can tell a
               | relocation of capacity from China to the United States,
               | but rather greenfield investment in high-skill research
               | and development. Apple has also made significant
               | investment into advanced silicon manufacturing in the
               | United States; something they _also_ did not rely on
               | China for previously.
               | 
               | > The world is a bigger market than USA and just about
               | every other country has cheaper labor and no tariffs.
               | 
               | Have you done zero research into this? The EU imposes a
               | tariff on Chinese EVs. India imposes insane tariffs on
               | all imported electronics. China tariffs Australian wine.
               | Russia tariffs agricultural products from the EU. Brazil
               | tariffs all imported automobiles. The list goes on.
               | Tariffs are everywhere, everyone uses them for something.
        
           | jjtheblunt wrote:
           | As an ex Apple engineer, i think you're overlooking that a
           | huge fraction of labor is robotic, and has been for at least
           | 15 years.
           | 
           | (even in the famous contract manufacturers used by Apple and
           | Dell, etc.)
           | 
           | The point is that what you counted as not cheap labor
           | probably is largely capex.
        
           | no_wizard wrote:
           | This is all intended policy to benefit Trumps super donors.
           | They can then scoop up marketshare and competition for
           | pennies, then lobby to get the tariffs lowered or removed,
           | but the higher prices - that we will be used to paying at the
           | point this all comes together - will not go down.
        
         | tootie wrote:
         | 20K people is a drop in the bucket.
        
         | tremarley wrote:
         | That what tariffs will do
        
       | kittikitti wrote:
       | Texas is big tech's choice to skirt employee protections. I'm
       | sure these are the type of jobs, similar to Foxconn per the
       | article, that Americans are looking forward to.
        
         | voidfunc wrote:
         | When Texas flips blue like California did way back it's going
         | to be interesting
        
           | gjsman-1000 wrote:
           | Nah, watch what happens when California goes red, if Dems
           | repeat their 2024 performance trends.
        
             | malcolmgreaves wrote:
             | Unlike Texas, California thankfully hasn't been
             | gerrymandered to death. It still has a functioning
             | democracy.
        
             | hooverd wrote:
             | California's housing crisis is a result of small-c
             | conservatives wanting their property values to rise
             | forever. Prop 13 and it's consequences have been a disaster
             | for the state.
        
               | quesera wrote:
               | Prop 13 is a disaster, but it was not the product of any
               | specific political persuasion.
               | 
               | It was even well-intentioned, but the unforseen (although
               | predictable in direction if not magnitude) consequences
               | are in fact disastrous.
               | 
               | I have wondered about how to repeal Prop 13, but I can't
               | come up with a repeal that doesn't do equal and opposite
               | damage.
        
           | psygn89 wrote:
           | No thanks
        
         | mrcwinn wrote:
         | I know a lot of tech workers in Texas, specifically in the
         | Austin area. They seem to be doing very well. I'm quite proud
         | of America's working conditions. A lot of workers in other
         | countries would marvel at our opportunities and be grateful
         | these investments are happening here as opposed to elsewhere.
        
           | Ylpertnodi wrote:
           | >A lot of workers in other countries would marvel at our
           | opportunities and be grateful these investments are happening
           | here as opposed to elsewhere.
           | 
           | "In other coutries"...any particular ones?
        
             | rbanffy wrote:
             | I can't think of any developed country where that'd make
             | sense.
        
         | 42772827 wrote:
         | While that's certainly a key component, Texas is also home to
         | the largest potential solar and wind capacity in the country.
         | There's also a ton of land to build on.
        
           | hooverd wrote:
           | At this rate, Texas is going to go the way of it's hat and
           | ban "woke energy" like solar and wind. [0]
           | 
           | [0] https://heatmap.news/plus/the-fight/spotlight/renewable-
           | ener...
        
             | 42772827 wrote:
             | Unlikely. Texas is the largest exporter of crude oil and
             | natural gas, the largest in capacity for refining
             | petroleum, and huge exporter of petrochemicals in the US.
             | More solar and wind means more oil for refinement and
             | export.
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | And Austin was an island of sanity according to my friends
           | who lived there.
        
         | zifpanachr23 wrote:
         | I'm in Dallas and doing just fine tyvm.
         | 
         | I do find it slightly offensive that you would insinuate that
         | hiring in Texas is solely about less worker protections and not
         | that we have plenty of skilled workers in one place and with a
         | lower cost of living.
         | 
         | I'm a worker not an owner,and I prefer living in Texas at this
         | stage in my life and have turned down offers to move back to
         | California.
         | 
         | Working in tech in a big Texas city easily puts you in the top
         | 10% of the cushiest jobs in the US. Based on how I've been
         | treated here, I really doubt that worker protections (or lack
         | thereof) is the real driving force behind more tech jobs moving
         | here. We are far from being oppressed here.
         | 
         | The most likely driving force of tech moving to Texas is that
         | mid career professionals like myself don't see a future in
         | California due to the insane cost and bad vibe of raising a
         | family there. It's a great place for people just out of
         | college, but Texas is a better place to settle down unless you
         | are pulling an outrageous salary. The other big advantage
         | California has is VC and startup networks being located there,
         | which is also something that primarily benefits early career
         | people rather than those of us that need a stable job at an
         | established company.
         | 
         | It's also worth pointing out that Texas has long had a large
         | technology industry presence. The dominance that California
         | experienced during the early 2000s through to mid 2010s is an
         | outlier and it shouldnt surprise anybody that things are
         | evening out.
        
       | neolithic wrote:
       | "Four years ago, a few months after President Joseph R. Biden
       | Jr.'s inauguration, Apple announced an "acceleration" of its U.S.
       | investments, pledging to spend $430 billion and add 20,000 jobs
       | over five years. In January 2018, during Mr. Trump's first term,
       | the company said that its "direct contribution to the U.S.
       | economy" would be $350 billion over five years and that it
       | planned to create 20,000 jobs over that period. Apple did not
       | immediately respond to a request for comment."
       | 
       | Is this just lip service? What happened to those previous
       | investments?
        
         | htrp wrote:
         | they are all counted as part of this 500bn?
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | I think the question is "have they done anything" or do they
           | just keep promising to do something someday?
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | This happens all the time with large investments in $X that
           | make for impressive sounding press releases. If you (can) dig
           | into the details, invariably a lot of the money is in
           | previously committed/spent allocations in a whole bunch of
           | different buckets (or, per bombcar's sibling comment, money
           | that may never be spent at all).
        
       | ChrisArchitect wrote:
       | Official release: https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2025/02/apple-
       | will-spend-more...
       | (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43158187)
        
       | bryanlarsen wrote:
       | Did they basically just recycle this?
       | 
       | https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2021/04/apple-commits-430-bil...
        
         | Handy-Man wrote:
         | Yup.
         | 
         | "Apple's most recent announcement on US investment was a 2021
         | promise to spend $430 billion over the following five years,
         | including a 3,000-employee campus in North Carolina, though
         | development on that project has since paused."
         | 
         | https://www.theverge.com/news/618172/apple-500-billion-us-in...
        
           | dmix wrote:
           | Some new things in the article
           | 
           | - a larger investment number in a previously announced Austin
           | campus
           | 
           | - new factory in Houston "which will create thousands of
           | jobs"
           | 
           | - "doubling its $5 billion US Advanced Manufacturing Fund to
           | $10 billion"
           | 
           | - "It will also open an Apple Manufacturing Academy in
           | Detroit in which Apple engineers and other experts will offer
           | consultations to local businesses on "implementing AI and
           | smart manufacturing techniques," along with free classes for
           | workers."
        
         | jtbayly wrote:
         | The 2021 announcement works out to $86B per year. The 2025
         | announcement works out to $125B per year.
         | 
         | In my mind that's a pretty substantial increase.
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | About half of that is just inflation; $86B is $104B now.
        
           | black_puppydog wrote:
           | IIUC, that $86B in 2021 plus inflation works out to ~$100B in
           | 2025. So it's a 25% increase then?
        
             | DannyBee wrote:
             | They paused the last one they announced, so it's an
             | infinite increase if it happens.
             | 
             | But i expect, once the media cycle dies down, it'll get
             | paused too, and then ignored because can't admit that
             | something didn't work out!
        
               | echelon wrote:
               | Does anyone have a list of the times Apple has lied about
               | bringing jobs back to the US (or keeping them here)?
               | 
               | I recall Apple making a lot of noise about Macbooks being
               | manufactured here, but that they eventually got shipped
               | off to China.
        
               | refulgentis wrote:
               | No dog in this fight, and I agree with the premise,
               | however there was never a time Apple made a ton of noise
               | about MacBooks being manufactured in the US.
               | 
               | There was a _ton_ of noise about _Mac Pros_ being
               | manufactured in the US, but sadly, I am not nearly as
               | familiar with Apple after, say 2018*. Not even sure if
               | they have a Mac Pro anymore. :X and if they do, I assume
               | it 's not the same model (the black trashcan), so it
               | makes me wonder if they bothered retooling here, or
               | quietly moved it somewhere else
               | 
               | * TL;Dr at some point it became clear to me Cook is
               | Sculley 2.0. I date it to around walking around NYC and
               | seeing an absurd amount of Apple News bus-stop ads.
               | Services! (TM)
        
               | chairmansteve wrote:
               | Yep. With Trump, people make promises, he forgets, they
               | forget. But the base get their little thrill of the day.
        
               | dspillett wrote:
               | Much as it might be pandering to Trump's nationalist
               | (America first / American only) policies, or simply an
               | action to avoid some of the effects of tariffs that might
               | be imposed, this time around, I see no such connection
               | for the 2021 announcement. Unless they are connected as
               | they are a more generic "pleasing the incoming
               | administration" to try curry favour for when decisions
               | that might affect the company are being made.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | (This comment was originally posted to
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43158187, so "they" was
         | Apple. We merged that thread hither.)
        
           | wewewedxfgdf wrote:
           | "Hither" sadly underutilized word. Doubly true for "thither"
        
             | kridsdale3 wrote:
             | Follow those two up with a `yon` and buddy, you got a stew
             | brewin'
        
         | evereverever wrote:
         | Yep, just with less Austin Texas.
        
         | blitzar wrote:
         | They are focused on sustainability, why not extend it to
         | recycling investments.
        
       | blindriver wrote:
       | Say what you want about Trump, this is the kind of deal that
       | wouldn't have happened with any of the previous administrations,
       | both Democrat or Republican. It's the kind of deal that keeps
       | MAGA loyal to him, despite all the noise about DOGE.
        
         | soperj wrote:
         | https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2021/04/apple-commits-430-bil...
         | 
         | Never would have happened with any of the previous
         | administrations...
        
         | DannyBee wrote:
         | They already did it once in the previous administration, so i
         | guess that argument is out the window.
         | 
         | Got any others?
        
         | fma wrote:
         | What keeps MAGA loyal is only consuming news that do not bring
         | up when previous administrations did such kind of deals.
        
       | vineyardmike wrote:
       | > Four years ago, a few months after Mr. Biden's inauguration,
       | Apple announced an "acceleration" of its U.S. investments,
       | pledging to spend $430 billion and add 20,000 jobs over five
       | years. In January 2018, during Mr. Trump's first term, the
       | company said that its "direct contribution to the U.S. economy"
       | would be $350 billion over five years and that it planned to
       | create 20,000 jobs over that period
       | 
       | Anyways, the land (obviously in Texas) is already purchased and
       | has been sitting empty. The unbuilt factory keeps getting more
       | expensive though.
        
       | xyst wrote:
       | Mark my words: it will end up like the Apple Car.
       | 
       | Apple "Intelligence" has been a flop.
        
         | nobankai wrote:
         | I can't tell why you're being downvoted, we have quite a
         | laundry list of protracted investments at Apple leading to
         | nothing worth shipping. Given how much of a nothingburger AI
         | has been up to this point, I have zero hope that Apple will
         | succeed at commoditizing a zero-demand service.
        
       | jcgrillo wrote:
       | lol. lmao.
        
       | brailsafe wrote:
       | Apple better hope none of their customers realize how
       | comparatively mid of a product iphones are by the time those
       | servers are ready.
        
       | Febra33 wrote:
       | Time to move away from Apple before they train their AI Models on
       | the rest of my data that they left untouched
        
       | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
       | If only they could spare a few dozen devs to update the command
       | line tools to the 21st century.
        
         | klysm wrote:
         | Please explain how this will increase the stock price in the
         | next week, otherwise it will not be prioritized
        
           | behnamoh wrote:
           | to Tim Cook, yes, but not to Steve Jobs.
        
             | CursedSilicon wrote:
             | I don't think Steve Jobs would care any more about command-
             | line MacOS tools than Tim does
        
               | emidoots wrote:
               | Steve Jobs would lean into making Apple the #1 AI
               | developer platform and showcase at WWDC how the terminal
               | is now obsolete
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | He wasn't stupid. He'd observe their own developers and
               | see how they rely on the terminal and command line for
               | their work. He'd ask pointed questions and demand
               | thoughtful answers.
               | 
               | Then he'd find a way to make it the #1 AI developer
               | platform or distort reality until it is.
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | :(
        
           | wodenokoto wrote:
           | Yeah, the real stock market mover is the mouse cursor. That
           | wiggly thing they did that grows the mouse cursor really send
           | ripples throughout Wall Street.
        
             | altairprime wrote:
             | Given its value for aging users with weakening eyes, that
             | tracks :)
        
         | phendrenad2 wrote:
         | You mean how the Unix standard tools on Mac are way behind
         | Linux?
        
           | zifpanachr23 wrote:
           | So are the BSD tools by some definition of "behind". Another
           | way to look at this is to say that GNU tools as typically
           | seen in modern Linux are bloated (I know, Linux and "bloat"
           | are kind of a meme, but it is generically true for the most
           | part when it comes to the command line utilities feature
           | creep over the years, so it's a useful and descriptive word).
           | 
           | I have to work with old machines and legacy operating systems
           | quite a bit in my day to day and I always am going to prefer
           | something lighter and with less ways to shoot myself in the
           | foot w.r.t. POSIX compliance. MacOS is Unix certified so I
           | appreciate them being somewhat reserved in the features they
           | add on top of POSIX.
           | 
           | Modern GNU userland utils are nice and fun but if you are
           | looking for compatibility it's best not to use them.
           | Consequently, the MacOS situation doesn't bother me
           | especially given you can install more up to date tools if you
           | want. I think keeping the defaults older and more compatible
           | is a good thing.
        
             | forrestthewoods wrote:
             | What tools do you prefer?
        
               | zifpanachr23 wrote:
               | I prefer a lot of the BSD variants of the typical POSIX
               | tools (i.e. bsdtar vs GNU tar, ksh or similar instead of
               | bash, etc etc). Usually because they add less extensions
               | on top of what is required by POSIX, but are still easily
               | acquired in a modern Linux distribution. I mostly just
               | alias them.
               | 
               | If I write a script using BSD esque tools I can be
               | reasonably sure they will work on any Unix-like, whereas
               | if I write/test my script on a machine using GNU utils,
               | I'm fairly likely to accidentally use a GNU extension
               | that would cause the script to fail on an older Unix-like
               | OS. For instance, I do a lot of work migrating code off
               | of AIX,and I need the scripts I develop to work on AIX
               | when I'm gathering environment information from
               | customers. I can't just assume they will have a ~2020+
               | implementation of Unix userland tools with all the GNU
               | extensions and nice features. Sometimes the machines have
               | been sitting quietly in the back of a data center not
               | being updated for quite a while and will have more "90s
               | style" of Unix tools.
        
             | homebrewer wrote:
             | There is poor cross-UNIX compatibility if you're doing
             | anything complicated, anyway. I maintained a large test
             | suite for about a year that was written in POSIX sh and
             | targeted Linux, macos, {Free,Open,Net}BSD. It wasn't fun
             | because every program behaved in slightly different ways,
             | half of them undocumented (for example, I remember having
             | lots of pain with how different versions of tail handled
             | SIGPIPE).
             | 
             | In the end it was was easier to rewrite in Perl than to
             | keep maintaining that thing, struggling for hours to find
             | ways of implementing every little bit of functionality that
             | worked reliably on every OS. You'd add or fix something,
             | and the tests would break on FreeBSD. You would fix it
             | there and it would stop working on NetBSD. And so it goes.
        
               | zifpanachr23 wrote:
               | This is true about cross Unix compatibility. I can still
               | dream though.
        
         | 999900000999 wrote:
         | Desktop Linux is right here, desktops Linux has always been
         | here!
         | 
         | I don't understand why people complain about Apple neglecting
         | developers when desktop Linux provides a superior experience
         | aside from the rare times you need to compile an iOS/Mac
         | specific application.
        
           | dingnuts wrote:
           | I don't get it either, it takes twenty minutes to burn a USB
           | stick and run the installer. It takes me longer to remove the
           | bloatware and set up my preferred settings on a proprietary
           | OS than it does to install Linux nowadays, and that's been
           | true for a decade at least now.
           | 
           | It's just not hard! It's not more work! And yet the meme
           | about it being more trouble just. won't. die.
           | 
           | You people are supposed to be technologists! Why won't you
           | spend 20 minutes of one time setup to get a better
           | experience?
           | 
           | Not all hardware works? I don't see anybody complaining about
           | having a limited set of hardware options when they buy Apple!
           | Canonical maintains a list of fully compatible computers;
           | just pick one, buy it, and you wind up with a computer just
           | as easy to use as Mac OS but without the endless paper cuts
           | of using a system that has no respect for you at all and
           | thinks it knows better
        
             | foldr wrote:
             | I use Apple laptops primarily for the hardware. But Linux
             | has never really been a great experience on Mac laptops
             | when it comes to battery life, reliable suspend/resume,
             | etc. etc. I used to use Yellow Dog Linux on a G4 PowerBook
             | way back in the day, but I haven't had much luck with Linux
             | on Mac hardware since then.
        
             | bastardoperator wrote:
             | Most of us have .dotfiles, I can snap any macos
             | installation into my preferred configuration in about 5-10
             | minutes unattended depending on internet speeds. I do most
             | of my work in a terminal, as long as that works, I'm good
             | on Linux, MacOS, and BSD's. They all have pros and cons.
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | I only wish Apple's terminal supported Tektronix and
               | ReGIS. And provided a sane implementation for sixels.
        
           | jebarker wrote:
           | > desktop Linux provides a superior experience aside from the
           | rare times you need to compile an iOS/Mac specific
           | application
           | 
           | or reliably use peripherals
        
             | trey-jones wrote:
             | Wow, did you travel here from 2002?
             | 
             | Edit: In case it's not clear from my initial, gut-driven
             | snark: I definitely think if you use a reasonably popular
             | distro (commercially backed or not) in 2025, you should
             | never have any trouble connecting peripherals to it, with
             | the possible exception of Bluetooth, which I hear also
             | applies to macOS.
        
               | jebarker wrote:
               | Nope, I came directly from an MS Teams meeting where the
               | desktop linux users had no audio.
        
               | 999900000999 wrote:
               | I'm on Windows, and my work laptop has no audio via its
               | headphone jack.
               | 
               | I have no idea how this is supposed to even work, and
               | since it's not my computer I don't mess around trying to
               | install drivers. I just use my phone to call in for
               | Teams.
               | 
               | Things happen, let's not act like any OS is perfect.
        
               | jebarker wrote:
               | MacOS is definitely not perfect. I'm being snarky. But it
               | has been my anecdotal experience as both a user and
               | observing colleagues that MacOS is more reliable and
               | stable for desktop use than Linux. This is unsurprising
               | since it's easier to build a stable walled garden than an
               | open ecosystem.
        
               | 999900000999 wrote:
               | Macs are generally more reliable, but if you buy a year
               | old ThinkPad Linux will be just as stable .
               | 
               | The only issue Linux really has is when new chipsets come
               | out you might need to wait 6 months or so for the drivers
               | to be updated. But to be completely fair, on one of my
               | laptops I had no webcam support for like six or seven
               | months until Windows update decided to finally install it
               | for me.
               | 
               | If you need a significant amount of hard drive space,
               | Macs are almost always exorbitantly expensive. I make
               | music so I find myself dual booting between windows and
               | Linux. I don't want to speed 3k+ on a MacBook just to get
               | a 4TB SSD I can add to any Windows PC for 200$.
               | 
               | Plus on Linux you can customize your personal experience
               | to a much greater level. If you dislike X,Y,Z you can
               | disable it or find an alternative.
               | 
               | Both OSX and Windows are cramming so much monetization
               | into the OS, there's a very real feeling that I'm just
               | sharing my computer with a giant corporation rather than
               | actually owning it.
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | It's less convenient when you are on the go, but you can
               | pack an external SSD and offload stuff to it. A friend of
               | mine had one velcroed to the back of the screen.
        
               | 999900000999 wrote:
               | It's actually cheaper to own a MacBook Air for things
               | that need to work 100%, like a coding interview, and then
               | a secondary laptop when you're playing video games or
               | making music .
               | 
               | That's basically what I do now, my old M1 MacBook air is
               | more than good enough for LeetCode and I'm more or less
               | know it's never going to fail.
        
               | littlestymaar wrote:
               | > But it has been my anecdotal experience as both a user
               | and observing colleagues that MacOS is more reliable and
               | stable for desktop
               | 
               | You mean a few month after a new MacOS version has
               | shipped and they've got time to fix all the bugs it
               | introduced, right?
        
               | jebarker wrote:
               | I haven't personally experienced that problem. Updates on
               | Mac have always been smooth for me. But I'm a sample of
               | one and it's probably workflow dependent.
        
               | chrisweekly wrote:
               | MS Teams audio issues aren't the best example -- ask
               | anyone forced to use Windows
        
               | cancerhacker wrote:
               | Presumably these users have audio in other contexts? Are
               | they running the web app version of teams? Do other web
               | apps play audio? From 10000 feet up, I wouldn't start by
               | blaming Linux here (even as a non-Linux-desktop user,)
        
               | jebarker wrote:
               | This isn't a hill I want to die on, but isn't it the case
               | that even if the problem is in MS software compatibility
               | with Linux that still results in desktop Linux being a
               | less reliable platform for day to day use?
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | Depends on the day to day use. I have experienced a lot
               | more pain on Windows than on any other platform. Perhaps
               | HP-UX or AIX 3.x were more painful.
        
               | macrocosmos wrote:
               | The inability of the people you work with to use their
               | devices means almost nothing. It's as if you said
               | nothing.
        
               | mrj wrote:
               | I came from meet where none of the macs could screen
               | share due to recent OS updates :)
        
               | JLCarveth wrote:
               | to be fair Teams barely works on Windows
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | Team barely works, period. It's almost a feature,
               | actually.
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | Last year I was using a Windows laptop for work and Teams
               | was very unreliable with audio and video. And don't even
               | think of using the nice camera on top of the expensive
               | video conferencing monitor on my desk.
        
               | eknkc wrote:
               | I went through 5 distros a month ago dealing with
               | fractional scaling issues on my 4K monitors. Decided it
               | is not worth dealing with a went back to macOS so... No.
        
               | robotresearcher wrote:
               | I feel like I spent a significant chunk of the mid 1990s
               | editing /etc/X11/XF86Config in search of the right
               | incantation...
        
               | edwardsdl wrote:
               | > with the possible exception of Bluetooth
               | 
               | Good thing no one uses that!
        
               | adastra22 wrote:
               | Tons of peripheral devices do not work well or reliably
               | on Linux, and I literally cannot remember the last time I
               | have had ANY issue with Bluetooth on macOS. Certainly not
               | in the last decade.
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | I don't remember the last time I had an issue with
               | Bluetooth on Linux either. Most likely before 2010 or so.
        
               | adastra22 wrote:
               | The last time I did was this morning. I get dropped
               | connections constantly, microphone not working in Teams
               | (solved by reboot), pegged connections preventing
               | handoff, etc.
        
           | behnamoh wrote:
           | Desktop Linux is an oxymoron. i've tried it many times and
           | every single time I went back to macOS.
        
             | fsflover wrote:
             | Any particular reasons?
        
           | medion wrote:
           | I had an old i5 Mac mini laying about I wanted to use desktop
           | Linux on the other day. The last time I tried, was about 20
           | years ago. I note nothing has changed since.
        
             | rbanffy wrote:
             | I have one of those running the latest Fedora. It's a great
             | workstation.
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | I use macOS because it's the only OS to reliably support
           | Apple's Macbook M series.
           | 
           | (Unless someone wants to correct me.)
        
             | rbanffy wrote:
             | If you are paying for Apple hardware, it's silly to use an
             | OS that'll make it only less reliable and compatible.
        
           | spudlyo wrote:
           | I very recently tried again to adopt Linux on the desktop.
           | I'm really sick of feeling like a frog in a pot of water.
           | It's becoming harder and harder to bypass their literal
           | gatekeeping of which applications I can run on my computer,
           | and with every new version of macOS the temperature in the
           | pot keeps rising.
           | 
           | The main problem I have with living in a Gnome desktop
           | environment, is with the keyboard. I'm not willing to abandon
           | my use of Emacs control+meta sequences for cursor and editing
           | movements everywhere in the GUI. On macOS, this works because
           | the command (super/Win on Linux/Windows) key is used for
           | common shortcuts and the control key is free for editing
           | shortcuts.
           | 
           | I spent a day or so hacking around with kanata[0], which is a
           | kernel level keyboard remapping tool, that lets you define
           | keyboard mapping layers in a similar way you might with QMK
           | firmware. When I press the 'super/win/cmd' it activates a
           | layer which maps certain sequences to their control
           | equivalents, so I can create tabs, close windows, copy and
           | paste (and many more) like my macOS muscle memory wants to
           | do. Other super key sequences (like Super-L for lock desktop
           | or Super-Tab for window cycling) are unchanged. Furthermore,
           | when I hit the control or meta/alt/option key, it activates a
           | layer where Emacs editing keys are emulated using the Gnome
           | equivalents. For example, C-a and C-e are mapped to home/end,
           | etc.
           | 
           | The only problem is, this is not the behavior I want in
           | terminals or in GNU/Emacs itself. So I installed a Gnome
           | shell extension[1] that exports information about the active
           | window state to a DBUS endpoint. That let me write a small
           | python daemon (managed by a systemd user service) which wakes
           | up whenever the active window changes. Based on this info, I
           | send a message to the TCP server that kanata (also managed by
           | a systemd user service) provides for remote control to switch
           | to the appropriate layer.
           | 
           | After doing this, and tweaking my Gnome setup for another day
           | or so, I am just as comfortable on my Linux machine as I am
           | on my Mac. My main applications are Emacs, Firefox,
           | Mattermost, Slack, ChatGPT, Discord, Kitty, and Steam. My
           | Linux box was previously my Windows gaming box (don't get me
           | started about frog boiling on Windows) and I'm amazed that I
           | can play all my favorite titles (Manor Lords, Hell Let Loose,
           | Foundation) on Linux with Proton.
           | 
           | [0]: https://github.com/jtroo/kanata
           | 
           | [1]: https://github.com/hseliger/window-calls-extended
        
         | riscy wrote:
         | For a simple version bump, I feel like brew is fine. Or do you
         | have other tooling updates in mind?
        
         | mihaaly wrote:
         | Apparently there is a 20,000 surplus somewhere waiting to jump
         | in.
        
           | smallnix wrote:
           | I heard they have strong Nordic developers waiting for free
           | markets in Greenland.
        
             | mihaaly wrote:
             | I bet the Panamanian Ai industry masses are also sitting on
             | the edge for this.
        
         | bastardoperator wrote:
         | Or you can take the extra minute to install them yourself with
         | brew, this a complete non issue for anyone that understands the
         | command line in the 21st century using MacOS. Also, I would
         | never build anything against macos userland because it's almost
         | never the target.
        
           | behnamoh wrote:
           | these two are orthogonal to each other.
        
           | paulddraper wrote:
           | Brew takes a minute just to update itself, let alone install
           | anything.
           | 
           | And then everything needs to have the
           | /opt/brewsomethingsomething PATH.
           | /bin:/usr/bin:/usr/local/bin not good enough.
        
             | rbanffy wrote:
             | MacPorts is The Way.
        
               | nobankai wrote:
               | In the big '25? Nixpkgs is the New Way.
        
             | bastardoperator wrote:
             | So what? Do you complain when apt, yum, dnf, pacman, ports,
             | or any other package management system does a download? I
             | bet you don't, so it's not really a usable argument.
             | Secondly, yeah, not tainting my systems OS and system paths
             | is a good thing and opt/ from the filesystem perspective is
             | the absolute right place to put add on packages.
             | "The /opt/ directory is normally reserved for software and
             | add-on packages that are not part of the default
             | installation"
        
         | trey-jones wrote:
         | Many people here are commenting that brew is a good way to get
         | modern tools. I must say, I prefer Docker by several country
         | miles.
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | It's like having the tools in a different computer. You can
           | mount your local filesystem onto the container, but if feels
           | like WSL - there's always an "impedance mismatch" between the
           | two sides.
           | 
           | I prefer to use the tools running locally on the same OS I'm
           | working with. For that, MacPorts is great.
        
         | kilna wrote:
         | I made this. It makes it easy to use all of the most common gnu
         | tools via brew, without having to do gsed for sed, etc... all
         | with working man pages. It also lets you switch back easily in
         | a shell session if you need the mac native ones for some
         | godforsaken reason:
         | 
         | https://github.com/kilna/gnu-on
        
       | beefnugs wrote:
       | Sounds like ireland or wherever their tax haven is might make
       | some real savings from this
        
         | machinekob wrote:
         | Thanks to ireland all big US corporations saved hundreds of
         | billions of dollars past few years so now they can get back to
         | US with this massive cash for anything they want (ofc. nothing
         | will get back to EU as long as they ignore tax heavens)
        
       | bloomingkales wrote:
       | Some part of me thinks they are billing an overbudget here to
       | report that they actually didn't need to spend that much so that
       | they can beat lower guidance (same play for MS, Google, Meta).
       | We've heard that actually training these models doesn't cost even
       | a billion dollars.
        
       | iteratethis wrote:
       | Quite a lot of cash to generate AI stickers in messenger.
        
         | hu3 wrote:
         | this is it. siri will finally be reliable
        
       | pchristensen wrote:
       | Apparently right inline with their plans:
       | https://daringfireball.net/linked/2025/02/24/apple-500-billi...
        
       | whalesalad wrote:
       | Apple has been sitting on a war chest the size of Jupiter for a
       | long time. Glad to see them putting it to good use.
        
       | whatever1 wrote:
       | Will it be collocated with the promised Foxconn plant?
        
       | quantum_state wrote:
       | That is a con to con the con ...
        
       | quantum_state wrote:
       | It's a con to con the con ...
        
       | rcleveng wrote:
       | I don't get why folks keep saying x86 linux servers here for AI,
       | if anything it'd be M series arm based servers, either running
       | linux or macos. Realistically I'd imagine a set of scaled up mac
       | mini arm servers for running inference or fine tuning on them as
       | more likely being the "ai servers" than x86 based anything. Power
       | is the key thing that they'll be optimizing for, and that's where
       | ARM shines.
        
         | m463 wrote:
         | Don't they need gpus (for training)? Apple already did a
         | footshoot wrt gpus in the apple ecosystem. unless they have
         | some sort of apple-internal ai chips ready to train models.
        
           | kridsdale3 wrote:
           | Apple's Private Cloud Compute is on racks of M4 chips which
           | have NPUs and GPUs on-die and unified memory access to
           | however much RAM they want to put on them. All of a sudden
           | they're competitive with NVIDIA, but they don't let anyone
           | else use that platform.
        
       | firesteelrain wrote:
       | The sentiment in this thread. Surely Apple has a fiduciary duty
       | and so no reason for FUD.
        
       | abalone wrote:
       | Some useful context: this is almost certainly being driven by
       | Apple's Private Cloud Compute architecture and not tariffs, as an
       | investment of this magnitude is not planned overnight.
       | 
       | Why is PCC driving Apple to spend billions to build servers in
       | the states? Because it is insane from a security standpoint
       | (insanely awesome).
       | 
       | PCC is an order of magnitude more secure server platform than has
       | ever been deployed for consumer use at planet scale. Secure and
       | private enough to literally send your data and have it processed
       | server side instead of on device without having to trust the host
       | (Apple).[1] Until now the only way to do that was on device. If
       | you sent your data for cloud processing, outside of something
       | exotic like homomorphic encryption[2], you'd still have to trust
       | that the host did a good job protecting your data, using it
       | responsibly, and wasn't compromised. Not the case with PCC.
       | 
       | To accomplish this Apple uses its own custom chips with Secure
       | Enclaves that provide a trust foundation for the whole system,
       | ultimately cryptographically guaranteeing that the binaries
       | processing your data have been publicly audited by independent
       | security auditors. This is the so called hardware root of trust.
       | 
       | It is essential then that the hardware deployed in data centers
       | has not been physically tampered with. Without that the whole
       | thing falls apart. So Apple has a whole section in their security
       | white paper detailing an audited process for deploying data
       | center hardware and ensuring supply chain integrity.[3]
       | 
       | You can imagine how that is the weak point in the system made
       | more robust by managing it in the US. Tighter supply chain
       | control.
       | 
       | [1] https://security.apple.com/blog/private-cloud-compute/
       | 
       | [2] Fun fact, Apple also just deployed a homomorphic encryption
       | powered search engine! It's also insane!
       | 
       | [3] https://security.apple.com/documentation/private-cloud-
       | compu...
        
       | very_good_man wrote:
       | Are they going to abandon H-1B and focus on hiring Americans for
       | this project?
        
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