[HN Gopher] US government struggles to rehire nuclear safety sta...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       US government struggles to rehire nuclear safety staff it laid off
       days ago
        
       Author : niuzeta
       Score  : 408 points
       Date   : 2025-02-16 07:45 UTC (15 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bbc.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bbc.com)
        
       | ch33zer wrote:
       | This is LITERALLY the twitter layoffs playing out again. They
       | fired people who had credentials and other things they needed so
       | had to hire them back. Everything else aside why repeat the same
       | mistakes? Just go a little slower and give agencies time to
       | compile accurate lists of necessary employees
        
         | fiftyacorn wrote:
         | It's the tech bro way
        
         | PaulRobinson wrote:
         | Problem is, it's not backfired - the example you cited
         | "worked", because it rapidly identified key personnel without
         | weeks or months of subjective analysis and political posturing
         | by workers and their supervisors.
         | 
         | I think in federal government the risks are much higher, and
         | Musk is being an idiot by exposing the America public to those
         | risks, but the feedback loop for him on these previous
         | experiments has been positive, not negative.
        
           | d--b wrote:
           | Move fast and break the nuclear weapon arsenal.
        
             | PakG1 wrote:
             | Move fast and break the nuclear weapons arsenal.
             | 
             | edit: OK, so parent edited to match what I wrote and now
             | I'm being downvoted because I look like I copied parent?
        
               | d--b wrote:
               | I am being downvoted too if that's any consolation
        
           | boricj wrote:
           | It only "worked" because the key personnel decided to come
           | back. Had they decided to move on to greener pastures, the
           | end result would've been very different.
        
             | vasco wrote:
             | That isn't much of a point because federal employees are
             | much more likely to return than Twitter technical staff.
             | Interesting approach, specially because it's not my
             | country.
        
               | itronitron wrote:
               | >> federal employees are much more likely to return
               | 
               | Not necessarily. It's generally understood that federal
               | employees accept a lower salary in exchange for career
               | stability. If a career as a federal employee now has
               | higher risk then at least some people will be expecting a
               | higher salary.
        
               | glimshe wrote:
               | The advocates of Musk's firings will say that if these
               | people could command a higher salary, they should be in
               | the private industry producing goods and services for the
               | population rather than the inherently wasteful government
               | positions.
        
               | throw0101d wrote:
               | > [...] _they should be in the private industry producing
               | goods and services for the population rather than the
               | inherently wasteful government positions._
               | 
               | In this particular case, the government positions were
               | maintaining the US's nuclear arsenal. Not sure how
               | "wasteful" having a nuclear deterrent is.
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | Could we privatize the arsenal to increase efficiency?
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | If you're not joking: what private entity would you trust
               | to not start WW3?
        
               | pfdietz wrote:
               | The profit-making part is when we pull back from being
               | world policeman and instead sell nuclear weapons and
               | weapon systems. Sorry, we won't go to war for you, but
               | how about some H-bombs, Taiwan?
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | We're really going to pull a Cuban Missle Crisis again?
               | but x10? I guess they'll be cheered on this time.
        
               | drawkward wrote:
               | Government work is _literally_ goods and services for the
               | population.
               | 
               | This is some serious 1984 war is peace shit.
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | Thankfully this isn't the case or you would get the least
               | talented people in government, making it even more
               | ineffective and wasteful.
        
               | derangedHorse wrote:
               | I think that incentive is part of the problem. Federal
               | employees should get paid more with a reasonable
               | expectation of being fired. The amount of people I know
               | in government positions who give 0 consideration to the
               | quality of their work because they know they won't be
               | fired astounds me.
        
               | someothherguyy wrote:
               | How is firing large amounts of people on a whim going to
               | solve the problem of people not caring about their work?
               | 
               | From what it sounds like (w.r.t. Agenda 47 / Project
               | 2025) DOGE is fund seeking for massive planned programs,
               | not returning money to the citizenry or restructuring for
               | efficiency.
               | 
               | It sounds like they are illegally looting agencies and
               | programs that congress already funded, so they can fund
               | the admin's proposed plans (virtual social cleansing,
               | mass deportations, homeless relocation, freedom cities,
               | etc).
        
               | roenxi wrote:
               | It doesn't look like DOGE is trying to fund anything; at
               | this stage my guess is they're trying to hack off the
               | propaganda arm of the CIA/NSA and the web of NGOs on the
               | theory that it is funding anti-Trump messaging. Otherwise
               | targeting USAID for savings early is a bit pointless;
               | what is $50 billion a year to the US government? They're
               | $36 trillion in debt with no plausible path out of the
               | hole. Annual deficit is around $2 trillion.
               | 
               | Or it might be a propaganda effort to make Team Trump
               | look busy. Hard to say without more visibility into what
               | they're doing.
        
               | someothherguyy wrote:
               | There are some hints toward this, like with recent
               | reporting :
               | 
               | https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/house-gop-
               | panel-ap...
               | 
               | > Rep. Nicole Malliotakis, R-N.Y., said she has expressed
               | "concerns" to leaders about the prospect of steep
               | spending cuts and told reporters that, before she agrees
               | to vote for the budget resolution, she wants "better
               | clarity" about the next stage -- especially when it comes
               | to cuts. "$4.5 trillion doesn't leave a lot of room for
               | the president's priorities," Malliotakis said
               | 
               | ---
               | 
               | Also, why else would you directly reclaim funds as the
               | executive? As a party, if you wanted to correct spending,
               | you would do it in a budget. As the executive, if you
               | wanted to get money without congressional approval, you
               | would reclaim money that has already been appropriated.
               | There are other ways (emergency orders), but they might
               | not be popular with the party or a target voting base (in
               | this case, more net spending).
        
               | atq2119 wrote:
               | Most likely the whole point is to destabilise and
               | eliminate government structures with the goal of filling
               | the resulting power vacuum with privately owned services.
               | That's what Thiel and his ilk are all about.
               | 
               | The first part of this plan - destruction - is easier
               | than the second half - creation. If they're successful
               | with the second half, people will be worse off because
               | it's a big step towards neofeudalism /strengthening
               | oligarchy. If they fail, people will be a lot worse off
               | because the structures they're destroying are actually
               | doing important work.
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | > it might be a propaganda effort to make Team Trump look
               | busy
               | 
               | this. the optics are important for the Trump base
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >Hard to say without more visibility into what they're
               | doing.
               | 
               | They want to fund corporate tax cuts. the cut from 22 to
               | 15 percent is estsimated to be worth 100-200b dollars of
               | income for the government per year. That's about the
               | yearly funding of the DoED.
               | 
               | So we aren't saving money nor paying off debt. we are
               | just funding corporate profits.
        
               | jjk166 wrote:
               | None of these people were let go because of the quality
               | of their work. What incentive would they have to do their
               | job well if their continued employment is not based on
               | merit?
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | They don't get paid more because the government is not a
               | profit center. It gets money from the citizens and then
               | appropriates those funds. raises and promotions need to
               | be a strict process because all government workers have
               | public salaries. They can probably pay a little more, but
               | not anything close to competitive.
               | 
               | >The amount of people I know in government positions who
               | give 0 consideration to the quality of their work because
               | they know they won't be fired astounds me.
               | 
               | blame the incentive structure, not the players.
               | Government being efficient and saving money results in
               | less budget next time. They are punished for their
               | improvement. If Musk wanted governent efficiency, that's
               | the angle to approach. Protecting against lower budgets
               | after a high performance review would do wonders.
        
               | pjmlp wrote:
               | The problem with ongoing US "experiments" is how much the
               | rest of the planet is dependent on American companies,
               | related economics and politics, regardless of it not
               | being our country, the schockwaves will be felt.
        
               | jimnotgym wrote:
               | And this is the thing, the rest of the world has _agreed_
               | to be dependent on American companies, because they
               | believed in the legitimacy of the US and free
               | international trade. If belief in that legitimacy goes
               | away, we will see that dependence shift quickly. Let us
               | begin with Mastercard and Visa where the US taxes every
               | payment transaction in much of the world. Do we really
               | believe that Europe couldn 't run its own card schemes?
        
               | Aromasin wrote:
               | The European Payment Initiative, the EPI, abandoned its
               | plans for a card scheme and decided to focus on an
               | account-to-account instant payment solution (A2A) for all
               | kinds of use cases, all through a wallet. There is an
               | interesting synergy here with the European moves to
               | develop a common digital identity service and euro-wallet
               | infrastructure.
               | 
               | They're not just trying to get rid of the US middleman,
               | but the middleman altogether.
        
               | numpad0 wrote:
               | IMO, to me as layman non-American, it's not an if. The
               | USA is done-for-except-not, just like Twitter has been
               | for a while. This might be able to be undone,
               | hypothetically, but is not being undone. Online armchair
               | generals are already starting to discuss things like
               | escalation strategy for European nuclear forces and so
               | on.
               | 
               | I guess we'll be seeing Mastodon/Bluesky/Threads
               | phenomenon across worlds, both horizontally and
               | vertically in the coming decades, this time in real life
               | with (more)real consequences.
        
               | fxtentacle wrote:
               | Starting with this year, Germany has legally mandated
               | free and instant (few seconds) direct account to account
               | transfers. For some shops, you can now either pay by SEPA
               | (for free) or agree to pay a 3% fee for using VISA. They
               | already started cutting out the US middleman.
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | There's going to be major efforts especially in Europe,
               | to de-couple from the US. We saw this to some extent in
               | Trump 1.0 but he didn't actually do much due to the
               | ineptness of those around him and a Senate that was still
               | dominated by the anti-MAGA GOP "old guard". This time it
               | is much, much worse.
        
             | adtac wrote:
             | > Had they decided to move on
             | 
             | Why didn't they?
        
               | ch33zer wrote:
               | H1B
        
               | adtac wrote:
               | _All_ key personnel were immigrants? Why did the others
               | come back? Also, since the H1B were key to operations and
               | therefore smart, couldn 't at least some of them have
               | found a new employer? 61% of the H1B population switched
               | jobs that year, so why did all key H1B come back?
               | 
               | I think key personnel came back because they wanted to.
               | It's the simplest explanation.
        
               | bigmattystyles wrote:
               | With h1b i think you have 60 days to find someone else to
               | sponsor you or you have to leave the country. 60 days is
               | no time at all to find and start a new job. Even if
               | you're smart.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | Even in the best markets, I still had a 6 week interview
               | to offer stage (5 stages). 45 days and if they decided
               | someone else is better I may be out of luck restarting
               | the process.
               | 
               | With a Visa, I would not take such a risk. Given the job
               | market, they either need to extend the period, or somehow
               | mandate companies decide on a full time candidate within
               | 30 days of first conact. It's gotten beyond out of hand.
        
               | Obscurity4340 wrote:
               | What a giant scam the whole program is. Corporations need
               | a good finding out phase again
        
               | jimnotgym wrote:
               | I don't live there, but weren't other tech companies
               | laying off at a similar time?
        
             | kelnos wrote:
             | Right, but that's all Musk sees: they came back, and so it
             | worked. He seems like the kind of person whose ego would
             | make him believe that any other time he tries this, it
             | would work too.
        
           | adra wrote:
           | I'm still waiting for file upload API v2. V1 was only made
           | EOL like what, 9 months ago.. Its totally fine to gut your
           | company when all you need is maintenance mode.
        
             | andy_ppp wrote:
             | America won't even have maintenance mode when these guys
             | are done. Except for the billionaires.
        
           | cgcrob wrote:
           | This is horribly naive. It's not twitter. There are safety
           | outcomes which need to be considered in safety critical
           | agencies.
           | 
           | I mean can you even claim to make the assumption that the
           | actual key staff were rehired? Can you make the assumption
           | that they are working safely with the resources they need?
           | Can you make an assumption that they have covered the entire
           | scope of the organisation?
           | 
           | Probably not.
           | 
           | Chess is played one piece at a time, not smashing all the
           | pieces off the board.
        
             | jimnotgym wrote:
             | Unless you are playing against a selfish child who can't
             | bear to lose.
        
           | tossandthrow wrote:
           | It only works because you allow yourself to sorely disrespect
           | human beings, their livelihood and their feeling of safety.
           | 
           | A strategy that seems to be hot in the US, but is an utter
           | ethical abomination and shameful.
        
             | ThinkBeat wrote:
             | That is sadly life in private sector for a majority of all
             | workers.
        
             | xg15 wrote:
             | Yeah, I mean that's pretty much at the core of Musk's (and
             | Trump's) philosophy.
        
             | m_fayer wrote:
             | I thought that a reasonably free, vital, innovative, and
             | prosperous society was compatible with a fundamental
             | respect for human dignity. That's why I moved to Europe.
             | Now it seems I was overoptimistic, but that doesn't mean we
             | should wholly embrace backsliding right into the 19th
             | century version of "progress".
        
               | surgical_fire wrote:
               | It is the same reason I moved to Europe.
               | 
               | I don't think I was overoptimistic. It was literally the
               | best decision I ever made, in every aspect I can think
               | of.
        
               | throw0101d wrote:
               | > _I don 't think I was overoptimistic. It was literally
               | the best decision I ever made, in every aspect I can
               | think of._
               | 
               | A lot of folks mention the lower salaries in Europe
               | (generally, and especially for tech): has mattered much
               | in your (personal) experience for quality of life and
               | happiness?
        
               | holowoodman wrote:
               | What imho matters more is culture. There is less of a
               | salary, but a culture of safety and stability.
               | 
               | However, this is not for everyone: While you can be more
               | sure of keeping your job in rough times, you can also be
               | sure that the lazy idiot 2 desks over will keep his job.
               | And you can be sure that any change will be resisted
               | because change is seen as inherently bad and threatening,
               | and reasons will be found to shoot down your new-fangled
               | fancy ideas. YMMV, to each his own, etc.
        
               | yurishimo wrote:
               | For me, the lower salary has not affected my daily life
               | too much. I saved a lot of money in the US, but now
               | making about 100k between myself and my partner in the
               | Netherlands, we are still living a comfortable life. We
               | own a car, bought a house in 2024, and we are saving
               | about 1k per month into various sinking funds with a net
               | savings closer to 500/pm. No kids yet, but hopefully with
               | raises and generous family leave policies, I think we
               | will be okay.
               | 
               | My quality of life is insanely better. I live in a
               | walkable small city in the south. I walk to the grocery
               | store a few times a week. I bike to the library or to the
               | train station. My job turns off at 5pm and I don't work
               | on the weekends unless I want to. Even then, that weekend
               | work time can be substituted for work during the week.
               | 
               | The biggest downside for us has been the cost of
               | traveling back to the US to see family. It's very
               | expensive for us to fly home since we also need to rent a
               | car usually. Even saving 1k per month, that's a
               | significant part of the yearly savings just going to buy
               | plane tickets for one big trip per year. After we have
               | kids, I suspect grandma and grandpa will be coming here
               | to visit more often because we can't afford to fly with a
               | family of 4 or 5 more than once every other year. Not to
               | mention the tax implications of spending too much time
               | abroad.
               | 
               | If you can afford to try it out, take a 90 day visa and
               | just chill and see if the lifestyle works for you
               | (including remote work). Worst case scenario, you go back
               | to the US after a year if you hate it.
        
               | sillyfluke wrote:
               | I took the "overoptimisim" to mean that the parent
               | thought Europe could defend and maintain this outlook
               | well into the forseeable future, an assumption that is
               | being tested by Europe's own rightward slide. The way
               | things are right now in Europe, to say that it might have
               | been overoptimistic to think that Europe will continue as
               | it has makes sense to me. At the moment, it is unclear to
               | most people who live there how much of their way of life
               | (if any) is subsidized by the US.
        
               | m_fayer wrote:
               | This is exactly what I meant, thank you. I'm not sure why
               | you're getting downvoted.
        
             | suzzer99 wrote:
             | Before the election, Vivek or Elon or one of the galaxy-
             | brains floated the idea of firing every other employee in
             | the federal government based on the last digit of their
             | social security number.
             | 
             | The cruelty is the point.
        
               | roenxi wrote:
               | There is a difference between cruelty and arbitrariness.
               | It isn't cruelty.
               | 
               | They're going up against a world-class bureaucracy; a
               | human powered machine that is excellent at dragging out
               | changes beyond the term of any politician. Something like
               | "Yes, Minister" is a comedy show except a lot of it is
               | fairly true - they aren't going to get anything done
               | without doing something drastic like cutting a lot of
               | functions and seeing what happens. Otherwise it'll keep
               | growing.
        
               | jakelazaroff wrote:
               | It's not arbitrary, though. He's attacking CFPB because
               | he wants to launch financial features on Twitter without
               | oversight. He's attacking USAID because they helped end
               | apartheid in his native South Africa. It's really all
               | just a bunch of petty vendettas and looting.
        
               | roenxi wrote:
               | > It's really all just a bunch of petty vendettas and
               | looting.
               | 
               | Yeah. The technical term for that is "arbitrary". It
               | isn't ideologically motivated; it is based on some dude's
               | opinions based on who-knows-what internal dialogue.
               | Although this financial features on Twitter sounds like a
               | pretty good idea and I'd like to see it in the wild.
        
               | theossuary wrote:
               | You can't recognize DOGE as an extreme ideological
               | endeavor simply because it aligns with your ideology.
        
               | jkubicek wrote:
               | A financial institution created by the very person
               | responsible for dismantling our most effective consumer
               | protections against malicious financial institutions
               | sounds like an extremely bad idea.
               | 
               | I'm very curious how _anyone_ could think this is a good
               | idea (for consumers, obviously it 's a good idea for
               | Musk)
        
               | jakelazaroff wrote:
               | No it's not? "Arbitrary" would be if he were, like,
               | picking names out of a hat, or the first one that he sees
               | on Twitter in the morning. He's attacking agencies for
               | extremely personal and ideological reasons. Literally the
               | opposite of arbitrary.
               | 
               |  _> Although this financial features on Twitter sounds
               | like a pretty good idea and I 'd like to see it in the
               | wild._
               | 
               | Kind of a jaw-dropping reaction to the fact that he's
               | dismantling the very agency that would be in charge of
               | regulating those features. Honestly, I really struggle to
               | understand the mindset that's not merely okay with but
               | _excited by_ this sort of egregious corruption.
        
               | tremendoussss wrote:
               | I think being fair is the point. Instead of using any
               | metric that might infringe on a protected class, let's
               | use math?
        
               | JKCalhoun wrote:
               | (Curious what the last digit of Vivek's SS is.)
        
               | joyeuse6701 wrote:
               | In another time it was called decimation, and was used as
               | collective punishment.
        
               | tremendoussss wrote:
               | Ah, thank you, I didn't know.
               | 
               | Seems like a stretch to compare executions and layoffs,
               | no one else is immune to layoffs
        
               | psb217 wrote:
               | The people deciding to execute layoffs are generally
               | immune to those layoffs.
        
               | fluidcruft wrote:
               | It was Vivek and his plan was to randomly (lottery) fire
               | half of all federal employees the first year and then
               | randomly fire half of those who remain the second year
               | get to an overall 75% reduction.
        
               | chinathrow wrote:
               | Talk is cheap. These idiots.
        
               | b_davis_ wrote:
               | at least it would be known when it starts and when it
               | stops with this solution. the current 'audit' will take
               | years....
        
             | tremendoussss wrote:
             | Government employees shouldn't be immune to layoffs. If the
             | government goes bankrupt, everyone is much worse off. The
             | longer these systems stay down the worse things can go,
             | this is the most humane way to do what needs to be done.
             | Which is take away the power (money) that the parasitic
             | relationship between business and DC is built on and make
             | sure we don't go bankrupt.
             | 
             | They will be able to collect unemployment, do we know if
             | they are getting severance?
        
               | tossandthrow wrote:
               | This comment definitely appear to be written a bit too
               | fast and with disregard to the context.
               | 
               | Firing is not an issue. The issue is fire to rehire.
               | 
               | It is not only indicative of poor leadership, but also
               | does it break down institutions - one of the key values
               | government provides.
               | 
               | to contextualize: Do you think you can get people to go
               | to war for the US if you can not make up your mind on
               | whether or not to keep them on payroll?
               | 
               | But we will see how the US will fare with broken down
               | institutions.
        
               | tremendoussss wrote:
               | I am aware that it is about the fire and rehire. If no
               | one can say why something should exist, then yes, the
               | quickest solution is turn it all off and see what breaks.
               | You might not agree with it but it is a valid strategy
               | given all the dynamics at play. Your definition of
               | leadership isn't my definition.
               | 
               | I don't think we should go to war at all.
               | 
               | I don't think you understand why Trump was elected or
               | middle America culture. The popular vote was a vote
               | against deterring and corrupt institutions that already
               | exist
        
           | BLKNSLVR wrote:
           | Did the twitter employees come back at the same pay or did
           | they ask for much more expensive packages since they'd been
           | identified as crucial to operations?
           | 
           | Sounds like the kind of thing that could end up increasing
           | costs rather than reducing them.
        
             | setr wrote:
             | If it ends up being something like 80% non-crucial and
             | stays fired, the other 20% return with double-pay, you're
             | probably still running a net-positive with better resource
             | allocation
        
               | joshstrange wrote:
               | Except in reality the 20% coming back are probably not
               | the best. Some will be but at least some of your best
               | employees are going to be smart enough (or have enough
               | self-respect) to go elsewhere. And/or those are the
               | people skilled enough to find a new job quickly (or know
               | they can find one quickly) and aren't willing to come
               | back.
        
             | jeltz wrote:
             | I don't know about Twitter but for the companies I know of
             | that have done this people generally can't vack for 1.5x to
             | 2x their old pay.
        
           | ThinkBeat wrote:
           | Getting bureaucrats to fire each other is met with every
           | delay tactic possible. Might be able to put it off for two
           | years which is all they need.
           | 
           | Going in crazy like they are doing now, may serve the
           | administration if they start having department do their own
           | layoffs in a hurry, because they know otherwise it will be
           | done for then.
        
           | jimnotgym wrote:
           | Did it work? Is Twitter profitable now?
        
             | dralley wrote:
             | No.
        
             | johnnyanmac wrote:
             | [delayed]
        
           | TeMPOraL wrote:
           | Makes sense. And isn't this the ol' military trick, that in
           | software dev / project management parlance is now called a
           | "scream test"? I.e. if your unit feels like it's doing
           | nothing but endlessly filling out all kinds of reports, and
           | no one knows which ones are important, the solution is to
           | _stop submitting any reports at all_ - and wait until calls
           | and angry letters from higher-ups begin. That will quickly
           | reveal which reports you need to keep filing, and which you
           | can ignore.
        
             | TheJoeMan wrote:
             | The Scream test is very valuable for time efficiency, in
             | general. In this application though, I think they're
             | realizing sometimes it's difficult to reverse, such as
             | firing the new blood who just moved to DC and have been
             | there only a year... like I would feel so abused, why go
             | back?
        
               | cloverich wrote:
               | If they tell you it was a scream test, and it turns out
               | your team was actually pretty important and also gives
               | you a raise, you might. Especially if you have nothing
               | else lined up.
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | And especially if you're not a tech worker, so you can't
               | exactly chill out and wait for a better gig to fall on
               | your lap.
               | 
               | (Though recently, even in tech changing jobs is _much_
               | more precarious than it ever was.)
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | Yeah that's the thing, the government can't unilaterally
               | give raises like that. reason #20 this was a horrible
               | move.
               | 
               | >Especially if you have nothing else lined up.
               | 
               | Sadly, yes. I do find the irony here that the FEDS said
               | the economy was recovering and Trump promised to fix
               | inflation and make jobs. Then he's taking advantsge of
               | the bad market to force people he abused back.
        
           | msie wrote:
           | Yes, using this tactic in the govt is much riskier than a
           | private company. And we won't know in this case if it "works"
           | until after many months. And then deciding whether it "works"
           | is very subjective depending on whether the collateral damage
           | on human lives is acceptable or not.
        
           | mesk wrote:
           | Yes, and the personnel rapidly identified that their new boss
           | is a jerk that has no respect to their work and their life,
           | so why should they work for him, when any boss in random
           | fastfood is probably more capable to their job better that
           | this one idiot, plus private sector pays more...
        
           | samus wrote:
           | That's like popping your tires to figure out that you need
           | them for driving, and then discovering there is only one
           | spare in the trunk.
        
           | riffraff wrote:
           | Valid point, but Twitter's development post acquisition
           | stalled and the company was massively devalued, so I'm not
           | sure that can be considered a positive case.
        
             | bigbaguette wrote:
             | The point was never to turn it into a profitable venture,
             | but to acquire a widely adopted and established
             | communication channel, turn it into an echo chamber and
             | make it run with the least cost possible. It became what
             | was expected of it.
        
           | ok123456 wrote:
           | There's a big difference between a website that shows you
           | posts, and the federal government.
           | 
           | Degrade the service of a website, and maybe it loads a little
           | funny; degrade the services of a government and people die.
        
           | vharuck wrote:
           | >Rapidly identified key personnel without weeks or months of
           | subjective analysis and political posturing by workers and
           | their supervisors.
           | 
           | This doesn't make sense to me. The federal government isn't a
           | company making Widget X, where you can gut, tweak, and repair
           | it until you minimize the cost per widget and maximize the
           | number of widgets sold. The government does a lot of things,
           | often in the hopes of results in one or more decades, and
           | there's rarely an easy and immediate way to measure success.
           | 
           | For example, the Surgeon General announced tobacco's link
           | with cancer in 1964. It wasn't until the 1990s that smoking
           | rates really started to fall in any significant way. The
           | federal and state governments have spent decades and billions
           | of dollars to reduce smoking rates, and they've been wildly
           | successful. The tax revenue generated by any person-years
           | alive which were won through that effort will never make up
           | for the billions spent. But those people will contribute more
           | to the economic and social life of the US, and the tobacco
           | settlement deterred other companies from causing so much
           | harm.
        
           | johnnyanmac wrote:
           | "works" implies that they are able to a) find those personnel
           | and b) win them back over. It seems like they shokingly
           | cannot do either.
           | 
           | It's also still weird because a lot of the firings focused on
           | probationary workers.Very few would prove themselves in a
           | year, so they did have to defer to key personell in he end to
           | figure out "hey, he needed those people". Except he may not
           | get those worers back.
           | 
           | > but the feedback loop for him on these previous experiments
           | has been positive, not negative.
           | 
           | Sure, positve for his ego. He didn't care about recovering
           | the supercharger conractors, he didn't care about repairing
           | his adverts' relationships on Twitter and even threatened to
           | sue as if they are obligated to advertise on his plaform.
           | Call me treachorous but I don't think he really cares about
           | making an efficient government. He's just funding his tax
           | cuts.
        
         | adtac wrote:
         | People should read _Elon Musk_ by Walter Issacson. Here 's an
         | excerpt from the chapter on his "algorithm":
         | 
         | > [Step 2] Delete any part or process you can. You may have to
         | add them back later. In fact, if you do not end up adding back
         | at least 10% of them, then you didn't delete enough.
         | 
         | He thinks this is a feature, not a bug. Is he wrong? I don't
         | think so.
        
           | ackbar03 wrote:
           | I was going to mention this as well. This is pretty standard
           | musk, delete large swaiths of stuff, see what breaks, and put
           | the essential pieces back. It's supposed to be much faster
           | than meticulous planning.
        
             | nobunaga wrote:
             | Yes all with no regard for the impact on people, families
             | and their needs. Lets just make sure to focus on the need
             | of a billionaire to create more wealth. The only reason you
             | think like this is because you think it wont happen to you.
             | Oh boy, I hope it does, then I hope you remember this
             | comment. I so hope the people in here defending this bs end
             | up on the street and impacted like the many innocent people
             | are today. I love hearing the stories of regret from MAGA
             | people, only more to come.
        
             | jimnotgym wrote:
             | Web company world
             | 
             | 1) Delete a system
             | 
             | 2) 404 error
             | 
             | 3) add the system back with a simple git command
             | 
             | Nuclear world
             | 
             | 1) Delete a system
             | 
             | 2) Nuclear meltdown causes the abandonment of the Atlantic
             | coast
             | 
             | 3) Add the system back over the next 20 years
        
           | TZubiri wrote:
           | Move fast, break things.
           | 
           | Didn't facebook end up changing that?
           | 
           | There's some things you can't undo once they break.
        
             | andy_ppp wrote:
             | Once at a certain size didn't Facebook say move fast but
             | don't break the infrastructure. Maybe they learned
             | something about being at a certain scale.
        
               | TZubiri wrote:
               | Infrastructure and countries if I recall
        
             | bryanrasmussen wrote:
             | surely a nuclear arsenal isn't one of those things.
        
               | pantalaimon wrote:
               | It could also be the motto of an ICBM
        
               | AlecBG wrote:
               | If anything ICBMs are better at moving fast and breaking
               | things than the tech industry
        
             | sureglymop wrote:
             | And also, what if a nation state is different than a tech
             | startup and shouldn't be run quite the same?
        
               | alistairSH wrote:
               | Next you'll tell us sovereign debt isn't the same as
               | personal debt!!! /s
        
               | TZubiri wrote:
               | It is if you have your own personal currency
        
           | ben_w wrote:
           | > He thinks this is a feature, not a bug. Is he wrong? I
           | don't think so.
           | 
           | Twitter lost 84% of its revenue.
           | 
           | Do you want the USA GDP to shrink that much over the next few
           | years?
        
             | blackeyeblitzar wrote:
             | The US's GDP isn't based on the amount of bloat in its
             | government. Sure spending finds its way into the economy,
             | but tax dollars saved also will. As for Twitter/X - the
             | goal isn't revenue but profit, and Twitter was not in a
             | good shape before Elon. Musk recently noted they are barely
             | breaking even now, and the recent sale of X debt was just
             | above original pricing. Considering big advertisers are
             | coming back to X, that's probably only going to look
             | better.
        
               | _fizz_buzz_ wrote:
               | The twitter deal kind of worked out for Musk because
               | Trump won the presidency. It's a way to buy favors from
               | the US government now. Basically a corruption vehicle.
               | From a end user stand point, twitter is terrible now.
               | Lots of bots, full of life hack and crypto scams and a
               | lot of scientists and other interesting people completely
               | abandoned the platform.
        
               | cr125rider wrote:
               | Control the media, control the narrative. A tale as old
               | as time.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | > The US's GDP isn't based on the amount of bloat in its
               | government. Sure spending finds its way into the economy,
               | but tax dollars saved also will.
               | 
               | "Bloat" presumes. "Tax dollars saved" would only be
               | relevant -- still incorrect, but relevant -- if you were
               | matching tax cuts with spending cuts, rather than trying
               | to balance budgets.
               | 
               | If the USA balances its budget in a way that _*somehow*_
               | has no side-effects, the GDP shrinks 7% just from that
               | cut alone -- but these cuts do have side effects so it
               | _is_ worse than that.
               | 
               | And doing using layoffs as a discovery mechanism is going
               | to have Chesterton-fence type mistakes, where you only
               | find what's wrong when the stuff you stop paying for is
               | maintenance whose absence takes a while to become visible
               | to non-domain experts. Dams will fail and flood valleys,
               | bridges will fall into rivers, that kind of thing has
               | gotten into the news in other countries when maintenance
               | was forgotten.
               | 
               | The infrastructure that your government is responsible
               | for is the backbone upon which the wealth of the rest of
               | your country is built. You can eliminate the entire
               | Federal Highway Administration and Joe Average won't
               | notice anything for nearly a year... but if and when you
               | do hire them back, you may have to hire back a lot more
               | than you fired just to catch up with the damage done.
               | 
               | And so it goes for many other aspects of your country.
               | CDC's also in the news now. OK, until you get your next
               | pandemic... oh, wait, you're already having one. Nukes?
               | You won't notice the problem until other governments no
               | longer fear your nuclear deterrent. Armed forces in
               | general? British didn't see any problem with shrinking
               | their forces until the Russian invasion of Ukraine and
               | realising how close they were to not being able to defend
               | themselves if invaded. Pipeline and Hazardous Materials
               | Safety Administration? Getting rid of that means a lot of
               | companies can get away with skipping safety processes, so
               | it might even seem like the economy goes up... until you
               | get some equivalent of the Union Carbide plant in Bhopal.
               | 
               | > As for Twitter/X - the goal isn't revenue but profit,
               | and Twitter was not in a good shape before Elon.
               | 
               | They made a profit in two of the years before he took
               | over; an 84% revenue decline means that the company
               | cannot even service the debt he saddled the company with
               | during the purchase, even if he fired all remaining staff
               | and reduced server, utility, real estate, and insurance,
               | and all other costs to zero.
               | 
               | > Musk recently noted they are barely breaking even now,
               | and the recent sale of X debt was just above original
               | pricing.
               | 
               | Do you trust him?
               | 
               | According to this link, they sold more of their debt than
               | they were expecting to, for more than expected to, but it
               | was still less than they paid for it.
               | 
               | Going from $1b to $5.5b and from 90C//$ to 97C//$ is
               | _less bad_ rather than _good_.
               | 
               | https://www.business-standard.com/world-news/morgan-
               | stanley-...
        
               | jimnotgym wrote:
               | >Sure spending finds its way into the economy, but tax
               | dollars saved also will.
               | 
               | Tax savings too a $40k a year person immediately find
               | their way into the economy. Tax savings to multi-
               | millionaires and billionaires tend to result in ever
               | higher asset prices. They have too much spend
               | effectively, so they hoard it.
        
               | kelnos wrote:
               | So essentially the process here is:
               | 
               | 1. Buy Twitter.
               | 
               | 2. Fire most of the staff.
               | 
               | 3. Piss everyone off so all the advertisers shun you.
               | 
               | 4. Barely get the company breaking even, mainly due to
               | all the cuts, even though the platform itself is barely
               | limping along.
               | 
               | 5. Cozy up to a wannabe dictator that dupes (slightly
               | less than) half the country to elect him as president
               | again.
               | 
               | 6. Make the advertisers realize that their continued
               | prosperity depends on bending the knee to you, due to
               | your political connections. Not to mention your platform
               | is now a way for people to buy favors from the
               | government.
               | 
               | 7. Profit.
               | 
               | (No need for a "???" step before "Profit", well done...)
               | 
               | We truly live in the darkest timeline.
        
             | NewJazz wrote:
             | The good news is that GDP is positively correlated with
             | greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels. Lower GDP,
             | lower temp. I mean the famines will certainly "help"... I
             | don't think the Senate will let it get that far, though.
             | Only takes a few Rs in the House to impeach. 67 senators is
             | a hard climb but 0% YoY GDP decline could do it... Or it
             | could give Trump the stimulus he so badly craves.
        
               | bagels wrote:
               | They won't go hungry. I don't think famine will stop
               | them. They don't want to lose their dictator that is
               | willing to advance their agenda.
        
               | NewJazz wrote:
               | But they need to have a strong economy AND strong,
               | consistent revenue to fund their defense budget. Don't
               | forget that...
        
             | TeMPOraL wrote:
             | > _Twitter lost 84% of its revenue._
             | 
             | How much of that is because of politics? Already at the
             | point of takeover, Musk was _so_ hated by half the US for
             | various reasons that it became profitable for major
             | publishing platforms to abandon Twitter /X "on principle".
             | When you're in that situation, nothing on the object-level
             | can help you - neither good management nor technical
             | competence. Revenue depends indirectly on the public
             | opinion, and half of it wants nothing to do with you.
             | 
             | US nuclear arsenal is _not_ in this situation.
        
               | jimnotgym wrote:
               | Is it politics that people don't want to do business with
               | shitty people? I'd call that being human.
               | 
               | If I owned a bill board space, and set everything around
               | it on fire, wouldn't you think it was my fault that
               | advertisers didn't want to pay to use it any more?
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | No, but then burning everything around the billboard
               | doesn't necessarily make you a shitty person, and also
               | opinions of people siding with advertisers aren't somehow
               | the definitive ones.
               | 
               | I mean, why do people who hate what Twitter is now care
               | about it's lost revenue? Especially given what it was,
               | and where the revenue came from, this isn't exactly an
               | argument that generalizes well.
        
               | roenxi wrote:
               | The real question is why people think Twitter's lost
               | revenue is linked to Musk's management. There doesn't
               | seem to be a theory about a causal link. If anything the
               | argument is "Musk is a bad person -> Twitter lost
               | revenue" which suggests his management practices had no
               | effect on the company's operation.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | FWIW, I absolutely blame his management of Twitter rather
               | than his political alignment or questions of morality.
               | 
               | Reason being, look at Tesla stock price: Musk's gaffes
               | have a short term impact, but overall the price is way up
               | since buying Twitter.
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | Tesla is not in advertising business, though. They _are_
               | affected by the whims of public opinion, but not as much,
               | as they 're established company selling a quality product
               | worldwide.
               | 
               | Musk used to dabble much more in Tesla directly than he's
               | now, I wonder whether the ups and downs of the company
               | correlate with his involvement, especially _before_ he
               | started going off the rails so badly? That would be
               | informative and help separate object-level impact from
               | political hysteria.
        
               | LunaSea wrote:
               | > Tesla is not in advertising business, though.
               | 
               | Tesla is absolutely in the advertisement business.
               | 
               | Their marketing and image is the only thing holding the
               | company up (for now).
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | What I meant is: they buy ads and care about their
               | opinion. They're _not_ a platform selling ads, and they
               | 're not an ad delivery vector (like e.g. publishers)
               | either. The latter two kinds of businesses have
               | particular dynamics that are highly sensitive to public
               | opinion, much more so than for any other kind of
               | business.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | If Musk was so _politically_ toxic as to drive an 84%
               | revenue decline, the Republican _politicians_ wouldn 't
               | have allowed him to support them or their party.
        
               | TeMPOraL wrote:
               | Why? That entirely depends on political alignment of
               | revenue sources, and I bet that (before the takeover) the
               | balance was heavily on the US left-wing side, as that's
               | also the overall bias in tech industry _and_ social media
               | _and_ news publishing. And all that is amplified by
               | advertisers in general, regardless of political leaning,
               | being very touchy about controversy.
               | 
               | I can easily imagine this to alone be responsible for
               | wiping 84% revenue.
               | 
               | Real world has a different political distribution than
               | the Internet. "Politically toxic" on-line in particular
               | is a knee-jerk reaction that is great at generating
               | consistent revenue streams for publishers and social
               | media on-line, but doesn't translate well to how the
               | entire population of a country actually thinks or votes
               | in the real world.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | > Real world has a different political distribution than
               | the Internet.
               | 
               | 5% different, almost everyone is online.
               | 
               | But, thinking about your oft-quoted blog post about
               | advertising bring a cancer, I guess if the top ad
               | spenders cut themselves out entirely, then the bidding
               | system could result in the runner-up bidder finding their
               | ads are now almost arbitrarily cheaper.
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | > Already at the point of takeover, Musk was so hated by
               | half the US for various reasons that it became profitable
               | for major publishing platforms to abandon Twitter/X "on
               | principle"
               | 
               | No, Musk became hated by half the US __because__ of the
               | way he took over Twitter. That lost him a great deal of
               | good will.
        
               | jjk166 wrote:
               | > How much of that is because of politics?
               | 
               | The US government is a lot more affected by politics than
               | twitter will ever be.
        
           | almog wrote:
           | If we take Twitter/X as an example of this process, my
           | personal experience has been that it has been degraded to a
           | spams and bot hell shortly after Musk took over. But my
           | personal experience isn't quantifiable, what is quantifiable
           | is X valuation which, according to Fidelity, has been
           | depreciating and back in Oct. 2024 was estimated at nearly
           | 20% of the original acquisition price.
        
             | blackeyeblitzar wrote:
             | The Fidelity valuation is old news. All the most recent
             | debt sales were either just below or just above 100% of the
             | original price. Example article:
             | https://www.afr.com/technology/banks-offload-8-8b-in-debt-
             | li...
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | Ah yes, sold Feb 15 2025[1]...right as the CEO took over
               | running the US government and raided the US treasury
               | department.
               | 
               | I'm sure this is a completely above board sale that
               | definitely does not represent a legal-if-you-don't-look-
               | at-it way to bribe the de facto head of the US government
               | / the expectation of massive corruption (ala: Tesla's
               | stock price rising on the news Elon Musk was running DOGE
               | - weird right? The CEO is apparently going to be too busy
               | to run the company because he's now running the
               | government so the stock price goes up...to be fair,
               | technically that's not a bad bet)
               | 
               | Because we know the new administration _definitely_
               | wouldn 't take bribes in the form of financial
               | instruments[2]. Definitely no history of it[3].
               | 
               | [1] https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/banks-sell-
               | down-mor...
               | 
               | [2] https://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/trumps-
               | meme-coin-...
               | 
               | [3] https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/2024/08
               | /02/tru...
        
               | mlindner wrote:
               | If you invent reasons to dismiss what people say then
               | there's nothing anyone can say to convince you otherwise.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | There's a gap between "no you can't see the dragon in my
               | garage, he's invisible, intangible, emits no body heat,
               | and has no gravitational field" and "here's some
               | citations to back up my belief".
               | 
               | Are the citations sufficient? Dunno. Just saying this
               | isn't what you call it.
        
               | shkkmo wrote:
               | > a legal-if-you-don't-look-at-it way to bribe the de
               | facto head of the US government / the expectation of
               | massive corruption
               | 
               | How does the sale of the debt help Elon Musk or Trump?
               | They don't own that debt, they don't make money off that
               | debt. Do you expect the fund managers to forgive the debt
               | as a bribe? That would clearly be a bribe, but until that
               | happens, it isn't and I don't think it is terribly
               | likely.
               | 
               | There are plenty of real things to be upset over, you
               | don't need to make up imaginary ones. All that does is
               | dilute the real concerns and make your opposition less
               | effective.
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | I'm saying when you see a lot of smoke coming from a
               | house, the neighbours probably didn't just buy an
               | industrial sized BBQ and suddenly decide to have a huge
               | cook off after some kids threw a bottle through the
               | window.
        
               | shkkmo wrote:
               | So you think a debt purchase is blindongly obvious
               | example of bribery? Then it should be easy to explain how
               | it is bribery.
        
               | immibis wrote:
               | You comply, we buy your asset for 5x its value. You don't
               | comply, we don't. Simple.
        
               | derangedHorse wrote:
               | [2] seems like a grift, not a bribe.
               | 
               | [3] is an unnecessarily verbose story with practically no
               | substance. In 2017 a $10m cash withdrawal was made to a
               | Research and Studies Center said to have a "relationship
               | with the Egyptian General Intelligence Agency."
               | 
               | Using those facts, and the fact Trump was friendly with
               | Sisi at a UN event, an entire investigation was launched
               | to see if Trump was the final recipient.
               | 
               | If you look at it with the counter assumption of Trump
               | being innocent, there still seems to be a reasonable
               | motive for all this.
               | 
               | The FBI wanted information about an Egyptian cash
               | withdrawal from one of Egypt's own banks, subpoenaed them
               | by bringing up presidential relevancy, and punished them
               | $50k a day until the bank sent the documents.
        
               | almog wrote:
               | While it shows investors aren't concerned about X ability
               | to pay back its loan term, it isn't a proxy for
               | valuation. Banks usually sell issued debt to investors
               | soon after the debt is issued. In this case it took 2
               | years.
        
           | _fizz_buzz_ wrote:
           | I think there is a tiny difference if Twitter is not working
           | or if the nuclear arsenal is malfunctioning.
        
             | adtac wrote:
             | Yes, so it's a good thing the first step is:
             | 
             | > [Step 1] Question every requirement. Each should come
             | with the name of the person who made it. You should never
             | accept that a requirement came from a department, such as
             | from "the legal department" or "the safety department." You
             | need to know the name of the real person who made that
             | requirement. Then you should question it, no matter how
             | smart that person is. Requirements from smart people are
             | the most dangerous, because people are less likely to
             | question them. Always do so, even if the requirement came
             | from me. Then make the requirements less dumb.
        
               | operationcwal wrote:
               | I REALLY doubt the recent high school graduates "yes
               | boys" he brought in are even capable of providing the
               | "name of the real person who made that requirement."
               | 
               | come on bro, you _must_ know somewhere deep inside that
               | this is more complex and consequential than fucking
               | twitter of all things.
        
               | adtac wrote:
               | I know that the US government is more complex than
               | twitter lol. I just think it's stupid to automatically
               | invalidate an idea because it was tried in a less complex
               | system.
        
               | jimnotgym wrote:
               | ... and failed to turn that less complex system into a
               | more profitable company
        
               | kelnos wrote:
               | Unfortunately Twitter is now a machine that allows people
               | to buy favors from the US government, so I expect it to
               | become profitable pretty quickly.
               | 
               | Pretty messed up way for that to work out, though.
        
               | _fizz_buzz_ wrote:
               | This is not quite as innovative as you might think, I
               | guess you are advocating for the Chernobyl approach:
               | "Let's turn all safety features off and see if it
               | breaks!"
        
               | rightbyte wrote:
               | They turned off the safety features to test a safety
               | procedure. I don't think it is a fair analogy.
        
               | jjk166 wrote:
               | They weren't testing a safety procedure, they were
               | testing whether they could _get rid of_ a safety feature.
               | Specifically they were checking whether the plant 's
               | turbine could provide enough power to keep coolant
               | flowing without the help of a counterweight system.
        
               | tailefer wrote:
               | It's clear from the speed at which these changes are
               | going in place that step 1 is _not_ being followed, nor
               | is it being encouraged.
        
           | risyachka wrote:
           | Yeah this works for processes.
           | 
           | Doesn't work in with people though. You will be deemed as
           | unreliable.
           | 
           | Alliances will form without you as no one needs a partner
           | that can leave you standing at any moment.
           | 
           | Running the company is the very opposite of running a
           | country.
           | 
           | The feedback loop is weeks vs years/decades.
        
           | IndrekR wrote:
           | I have seen it before. This is the "Coffee is for closers"
           | scene from Glengarry Glen Ross: https://youtu.be/elrnAl6ygeM
        
           | suzzer99 wrote:
           | If we fired 25% of the federal govt workforce, it would save
           | 1% from the federal budget.
           | 
           | This has nothing to do with trimming waste and everything to
           | do with replacing the government with loyalists from top to
           | bottom. What comes after that isn't going to be pretty.
        
             | BLKNSLVR wrote:
             | Absolutely.
             | 
             | The effects are going to be felt for a good couple of
             | decades to follow.
        
             | physicsguy wrote:
             | Is that staff costs only? Or including the things those
             | staff would spend money on too?
        
               | rcxdude wrote:
               | Overhead for staff isn't that much more. And even one
               | person can spend money like it's going out of style if
               | they have a budget that says they can and the implicit
               | threat it'll be cut if they don't. They'll just spend it
               | in dumber ways.
        
             | somenameforme wrote:
             | The "federal budget" is something people often mention, but
             | it's quite misleading. At least in terms of what we think
             | of.
             | 
             | The reason is that the overwhelming majority of the budget
             | is spent automatically - pensions, medicare, social
             | security, and all of these expenses are unavoidable and in
             | a mandatory expenses category. The remainder of the budget,
             | including military, is considered discretionary. That
             | discretionary spending is the thousands of pages that
             | Congress creates (and fails to read) each year. And it's in
             | that budget that most of the things we associate with
             | government came from - everything from education, to roads,
             | to infrastructure, and also the military.
             | 
             | So by the numbers in 2024 the discretionary budget was
             | "only" $1.7 trillion and after military spending "only"
             | $900 billion was left. "Only" obviously needs to be in
             | quotes but that's indeed only about 13% of the e.g. $6.7
             | trillion total budget in 2024. And so each time you cut
             | something the amount of money left for the things we
             | generally associate with government skyrockets. So for
             | instance USAID was "only" $50 billion, but that was more
             | than 5% of the entire discretionary budget!
             | 
             | US Federal Workers cost $293 billion [1], and contractors
             | amounted to $760 billion. This is excluding secondary
             | costs/benefits, which are extremely high for government
             | workers, and only direct payments. It also excludes
             | budgeted expenditures that would have been performed by
             | those employees. So that's already $1.05 trillion and we're
             | clearly substantially lowballing the figure. Yet that's
             | already more than the entire discretionary budget excluding
             | military, and certainly _far_ more than 4% of the entire
             | budget (as would be required for cutting 25% to only result
             | in a 1% cost saving, as proposed).
             | 
             | [1] - https://www.afge.org/article/afge-continues-to-
             | debunk-miscon...
        
               | suzzer99 wrote:
               | If I spend 90% of my budget on mandatory items, and I cut
               | 10% of my discretionary spending, I've shaved 1% of my
               | total budget. Have I really accomplished that much? Is
               | that going to keep me out of the poor house if something
               | goes wrong? Is it worth a massive sacrifice to obtain?
               | 
               | Probationary employees means not just the new hires, but
               | any federal employee who changed jobs internally in the
               | last year. Who's going to want to work for the Federal
               | government after this bloodbath? No one with any talent,
               | which I'm sure is either the goal or a happy by-product.
               | 
               | This is about Trump and Co. destroying govt institutions
               | they don't like, and weaponizing other institutions with
               | loyalists. Just look at what's happening in the DoJ.
        
               | derangedHorse wrote:
               | Most mandatory spending is on healthcare, social
               | security, interest payments on debt. For anyone who
               | values anything other than those things, _every_ penny
               | should be accounted for. The percentage of the total
               | budget now becomes irrelevant.
        
               | cycomanic wrote:
               | It's important to note though that the goal is not to
               | reduce debt. The goal is to cut taxes (largely for the
               | rich).
               | 
               | I mean if debt was an issue why vote for the guy who has
               | increased the national debt by the most in history and
               | whose spending plans were going to increase the debt by
               | almost twice of his opponent?
               | 
               | https://www.investopedia.com/democrats-vs-republicans-
               | who-ha...
        
               | guelo wrote:
               | Also to cut regulations, aka the police for corporations
               | and the rich.
        
               | somenameforme wrote:
               | The person who wrote that article is remarkably ignorant
               | of essentially all topics that she covered to the point
               | I'd consider that lower quality than an average internet
               | shitpost. I don't know where to start so I'll just bullet
               | point things in no particular order:
               | 
               | - The US parties almost entirely ideologically swapped
               | sometime in the 19th century. Some claim it happened with
               | FDR in the 30s, others claim it didn't "really" happen
               | until LBJ in the 60s. Everybody acknowledges it happened.
               | What a "Democrat" did in 1913 is irrelevant.
               | 
               | - Congress dictates budgets, not the President. The
               | President has veto power (which can be overruled by
               | Congress), but nothing more.
               | 
               | - The modern US economic system enabling us to go
               | arbitrarily far into debt only began in 1971, when we
               | defaulted on our obligations under Bretton Woods.
               | 
               | - The total deficit under Trump was $5.6 trillion, under
               | Biden it was ~7.6 trillion [1]. I assume the author was
               | looking at delta debt and then 'inflation adjusting'
               | it... ugh.
               | 
               | ---
               | 
               | That's just the basic historic/factual backing. The
               | "stats" are even worse, but enough is enough. In any
               | case, the issue is not what happened in 1913 or even
               | Trump's first term, but what is happening now. Trump's
               | first term he promised to do what he's doing now but
               | instead just mostly carried on the military machine (at
               | least without starting any news wars, which was nice -
               | though he was trying his hardest with Iran) and filled
               | his entire cabinet with political establishment types who
               | did their thing.
               | 
               | Trump 2.0 seems to have genuinely gained some sort of
               | messianic delusions, probably from the attempted
               | assassinations, and is actually doing what he said he
               | would do before. And those current actions are what is
               | really changing the game like nothing that's happened in
               | decades.
               | 
               | [1] - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSD/
        
               | derangedHorse wrote:
               | The deficit also doesn't paint the whole picture. The
               | debt significantly increased near the end of the Trump
               | administration which added to mandatory spending via
               | interest payments.
               | 
               | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN
        
               | cr125rider wrote:
               | Trump got saved by the pandemic so we can call his
               | policies "unprecedented" for unprecedented times. It
               | hides a lot of how poor he did.
        
               | bagels wrote:
               | That's great. Congress should be the ones making budget
               | decisions, not Musk. Trump has control of both houses,
               | why not cut spending and give Musk his tax breaks
               | legally?
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | Congress has not made a budget in many years. They pass
               | "continuing resolutions." Why aren't they doing their
               | jobs?
        
           | toofy wrote:
           | i run into this problem often when building teams, people who
           | fail to understand that the real world is not an algorithm.
           | the very first people i release are those incapable of seeing
           | beyond math.
           | 
           | their failure to see wider context, their failures to
           | understand that massive chaotic fractal tier contexts
           | interplay will forever be these people's downfalls.
           | 
           | sisyphean masochists.
        
           | vkou wrote:
           | By that logic, perhaps we should trim 10% of his wealth.
           | 
           | And then we can stop and check - if he is still fine after
           | it, then maybe we didn't trim enough.
           | 
           | It's easy to trim other people when you are completely
           | insulated from the consequences.
        
           | nobunaga wrote:
           | The only reason you think he isnt wrong is because you think
           | it wont impact you. I hope one day you find yourself in the
           | same situation, even worse, then I hope you remember this
           | comment.
        
             | adtac wrote:
             | If I do, whether or not I remember my comment, I'll
             | certainly remember yours :(
        
               | nobunaga wrote:
               | Sometimes people like you need to go through what others
               | do to realise how wrong you were. Some people have
               | empathy to know. You seem like the former. Its not too
               | late to see that Elon is nothing but a fraud though if
               | you wish to.
        
           | pipes wrote:
           | Yeah I'd heard this and I think he is right. I'm about to use
           | the approach in a coding task in work.
           | 
           | However this is people's livelihoods, mortgages, kids etc.
           | being on the receiving end of it through no fault of your own
           | must be awful.
        
           | jimnotgym wrote:
           | This sounds like a software developers take. I think it is an
           | algorithm that can work well in non critical systems. I think
           | it is naive in the extreme to apply it to critical systems.
        
           | kelnos wrote:
           | I don't want to live in a world where it's right. Treating
           | people like this, toying with their livelihoods, is wrong,
           | full stop. It might "work" for certain definitions of "work",
           | but it's morally repugnant.
        
           | JKCalhoun wrote:
           | You could apply the same reasoning to parts of the human
           | body.
           | 
           | Or maybe not.
        
           | insane_dreamer wrote:
           | > Is he wrong?
           | 
           | When it comes to government, yes.
        
         | vkou wrote:
         | > Everything else aside why repeat the same mistakes?
         | 
         | Because good governance is not the goal.
        
         | silisili wrote:
         | No agency is going to admit to fraud, which is not totally
         | different than paying employees they didn't need.
         | 
         | I'm also not a fan of the fire and rehire method, either.
         | 
         | It does feel like more time should have been spent, from an
         | outside agency, watching and deciding.
         | 
         | What they're doing now is an old trick, and I'm surprised more
         | people don't tell them to screw off.
        
           | watwut wrote:
           | Yeah, baseless accusations of fraud just to hide own
           | incompetence ...
        
             | Quarrelsome wrote:
             | the accusations of fraud are probably mirror politics.
             | 
             | Given the lack of respect for process its plausible that in
             | 10 or 20 years or whenever we'll find out this government
             | was the most corrupt out of any in the past century.
        
               | prox wrote:
               | And the lack of respect for process breaks trust. Some
               | people might not care about this, but you can't magically
               | summon trust. It takes years for trust to rebuild. I
               | don't care which party you are from, you have take into
               | account the other side, if only for that trust reason.
               | Inform them of what you are doing, and your process. This
               | is a public institution build upon the foundation of the
               | Constitution.
        
           | vkou wrote:
           | > No agency is going to admit to fraud
           | 
           | Which is why Congress employs an army of auditors, who audit
           | and report their findings to them.
           | 
           | The difference is, they are largely non-partisan
           | appointments, who are expected to actually do their job,
           | instead of rubber-stamping propaganda pieces. Their work can
           | be verified, and there are consequences to _them_ engaging in
           | fraud, and there 's a chain of custody for the evidence they
           | find.
           | 
           | Which is more than can be said for giving a bunch of
           | politically-appointed teenagers read/write access to every
           | single system in the government... Paired with a blanket
           | immunity from prosecution.
        
         | ZeroGravitas wrote:
         | Very similar to the story about the Supercharger network.
         | 
         | Apparently the boss of the team was told to make layoffs, she
         | did some but not enough to please Musk, so Musk in a face to
         | face meeting demanded she make more. She said they couldn't
         | without affecting delivery.
         | 
         | Musk fired her. Then fired the team. Then hired the team back
         | because she was correct.
         | 
         | But not before lots of ongoing projects got stalled because
         | contacts just disappeared and stopped answering phones.
         | 
         | https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/inside...
         | 
         | > The meeting could not have gone worse. Musk, the employees
         | said, was not pleased with Tinucci's presentation and wanted
         | more layoffs. When she balked, saying deeper cuts would
         | undermine charging-business fundamentals, he responded by
         | firing her and her entire 500-member team.
         | 
         | and
         | 
         | > The contractor said he had expected Supercharger projects to
         | provide about 20% of his 2024 revenue but now plans to
         | diversify to avoid relying on Tesla.
        
           | anon7000 wrote:
           | Why people think it's a good idea to put this wealthy dickwad
           | in charge of one of the most (allegedly) important projects
           | in the current admin is beyond me. Move fast and break things
           | is a stupid policy to apply to public policy.
        
             | scarab92 wrote:
             | Musk's track record suggests it's a very effective
             | strategy, especially when he's coming into organisations
             | where the existing performance management processes are
             | lacking, so you don't have good reliable data to look at to
             | figure out who is required and who is not.
             | 
             | The public sector typically has practically no effective
             | performance management processes. It's been a big problem
             | for a long time. Trying to figure out who should stay when
             | you don't have good data was always going to be error
             | prone.
             | 
             | Given that, this strategy might actually be the best. It's
             | quick, it's objective (did anything break?), and it's
             | usually easily undone.
        
               | CogitoCogito wrote:
               | What do you mean when you say "it's an effective
               | strategy"? It's hard to say for certain since Twitter is
               | now private, but it certainly seems to have lost value
               | since Musk took over. What would "work in the public
               | sector" entail for you?
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | The value wasn't lost, it was consumed. You're looking at
               | what it was consumed to achieve, in the election results.
        
               | CogitoCogito wrote:
               | I would actually agree with you on that in the case of
               | Twitter, but in what sense is that comparable to the
               | current situation? Unless you mean that Musk is
               | succeeding by destroying a bunch of American assets (i.e.
               | the agencies) and then being lauded for this destruction.
               | I could see that value once again going to Musk (and
               | Trump), but in what sense would that value not be lost by
               | your average US citizen? It's not like Musk bought these
               | agencies before destroying them, he's just destroying
               | them. He's no longer burning his own house down for life
               | insurance, he's burning your house down for life
               | insurance.
        
               | scarab92 wrote:
               | Operationally, Twitter is performing better than it did
               | when it had 5x the headcount.
               | 
               | According to reports, revenue is down, but that's more
               | due to advertisers objecting to Musk content moderation
               | decisions (plus politics no doubt).
        
               | dralley wrote:
               | They are objectively in a worse financial position.
               | 
               | I wasn't getting advertisements for female sex toys (I'm
               | male) on Twitter before Musk took over. That's a long way
               | to fall.
        
               | scarab92 wrote:
               | Neither of us really know Twitter's financial position,
               | given it's now private.
               | 
               | The rumours I'm hearing are that EBITDA is now above pre-
               | acquistion. The fact that debt is trading hands without a
               | haircut suggests that's probably accurate.
               | 
               | There was a lot of waste at Twitter. Given that headcount
               | was cut by 80%, and advertisers are returning, I'd
               | suggest it's doing fine.
        
               | JKCalhoun wrote:
               | It's wild -- people that look at employment of the
               | citizens of this country as just data to feed into some
               | kind of profit/waste equation that needs to maximize
               | profit, discard any hint of waste.
               | 
               | It's not waste when those employed have paychecks to
               | spend in the economy. What would Corporate think if half
               | the population of the U.S. were unemployed and/or
               | homeless?
               | 
               | I guess that's fine as long as profits have been
               | maximized.
        
               | _dark_matter_ wrote:
               | Right? I am astounded by these takes. If every corp and
               | every job was this way, our country would be a high-
               | stress, unemployed wasteland. Any org will drop thousands
               | in a heartbeat. Your family would never be safe.
               | 
               | We work so hard already. We already have such high
               | stress. I do not believe we need to eke out the last %s
               | of profit to pass to shareholders and create crushing
               | stress and work on those remaining.
        
               | hobs wrote:
               | Literally every valuation shows its worth <10b, at best a
               | 25% of its paid for value what, two years ago? a little
               | more?
               | 
               | After reading through your posts its like you live in an
               | alternate reality where Musk's integrity is bulletproof,
               | his decisions are awesome, and he's basically doing it
               | for the rest of us.
               | 
               | I don't know how you can sustain this with everyone
               | throwing reality in your face that he's a short sighted
               | rich kid who lies through his teeth and throws money
               | around until he gets what he wants.
        
               | scarab92 wrote:
               | It was, but advertisers are now returning which has
               | driven it's earnings back up while it's operational costs
               | remain significantly below pre-acquisition.
               | 
               | According to https://www.wsj.com/finance/banks-
               | sell-5-5-billion-of-x-loan... earnings are now nearly
               | twice pre-acquisition.
               | 
               | I'm not going to respond to the ad hominem.
        
               | fzeroracer wrote:
               | Advertisers are returning because Elon Musk is the long
               | arm of the president and literally threatening tech
               | companies with reprisal. On Twitter. It's open
               | corruption! They're not even bothering to hide it.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | paywalled article so this link isn't really worth much.
               | And given your credibility I don't trust your analysis.
               | Especially when you also seem to be ignoring any
               | reasonable responses and focusing on arguing instead.
        
               | CogitoCogito wrote:
               | > Neither of us really know Twitter's financial position,
               | given it's now private.
               | 
               | Then why are you making any argument that it was a
               | success?
               | 
               | > There was a lot of waste at Twitter. Given that
               | headcount was cut by 80%, and advertisers are returning,
               | I'd suggest it's doing fine.
               | 
               | Why would you suggest it's fine? Without knowing their
               | exact costs, debts, revenues, etc. you know _nothing_.
               | Why would you suggest it's doing fine when knowing
               | nothing about it's financial position?
        
               | rlupi wrote:
               | > Neither of us really know Twitter's financial position,
               | given it's now private.
               | 
               | > The rumours I'm hearing are ...
               | 
               | You are literally contradicting yourself in two phrases
               | one after another.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | It's odd you admit you do not know and then make your own
               | opinion anyway.
               | 
               | This is one of the few times to listen to Wall Street,
               | since it's not public. https://www.ft.com/content/4f44c0c
               | 1-0113-4054-be0b-adc119557...
        
               | disgruntledphd2 wrote:
               | Revenue is down because they fired most of the
               | salespeople and told their customers to f off. Hardly a
               | wise management strategy.
        
               | Cyph0n wrote:
               | > and it's usually easily undone
               | 
               | Because employees are automatons that have no feelings
               | and won't hold a grudge.
        
               | joshstrange wrote:
               | Also, all employees are just cogs in the machine. You can
               | totally lay off that grizzled senior dev and hire a kid
               | fresh out of college, what's the difference? It's not
               | like there was any institutional logic locked up in the
               | senior's head right?
               | 
               | /s if it wasn't painfully obvious.
        
               | dralley wrote:
               | Not to mention the externality of having extra people
               | floating around who know intimate details of the nations
               | nuclear weapons secrets, who you have now pissed off.
               | 
               | I'm sure anyone who has been entrusted with such a
               | position is fairly responsible, but it still seems like a
               | bad idea.
               | 
               | Plus our adversaries would know we're hiring, and this
               | bunch doesn't seem to care so much about proper vetting.
        
               | scarab92 wrote:
               | A grudge?
               | 
               | They've just been put into a strong negotiating position,
               | because now both parties acknowledge that these are key
               | employees.
        
               | ruszki wrote:
               | I would never go back under a boss who thinks even for a
               | second that I'm easily replaceable. It would immediately
               | indicate to me, that I can't trust in my boss at all.
               | Nobody really can work effectively without trust. That's
               | the base of our whole society.
        
               | intelVISA wrote:
               | If you're not easily replaceable then the company has
               | failed on some level.
               | 
               | This is why I think current org structures, and
               | incentives, don't map properly to SWE and fuels this
               | employment theater of "trust me I'm not a cog" => "trust
               | me you are".
               | 
               | Don't know what an ideal arrangement would be, maybe SaaS
               | is closer. Even then, still have to convince some 'cogs'
               | to build your SaaS corp while you recoup 90% margins off
               | their labor which is a fast path to class consciousness
               | and we're back at square one!
        
               | ageofwant wrote:
               | Yes good, and now because their value is appreciated they
               | can be paid what they will be paid in the private sector,
               | perhaps ~180k/y instead of 60k/y. So if you fire 2/3 of
               | the workforce and pay those that remain what they are
               | "worth", you have saved exactly what ?
        
               | scarab92 wrote:
               | In your hypothetical scenario, it would be a no brainer
               | to proceed.
               | 
               | Your key workers are now paid at market rate, and those
               | who were unnecessary will find other jobs.
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | Sorry, they are servants of the public.
               | 
               | Maybe they ought not have been fired, but their feelings
               | are 2nd place when their salary is funded predicated on
               | men with guns forcing people to pay up. Maybe my feelings
               | are hurt and I hold a grudge for being forced to pay
               | their paycheck rather than spend that money on my family,
               | but I'm nearly certain most of them don't care nor does
               | much of HN.
        
               | nickpeterson wrote:
               | These firings will have no impact on your taxes. Instead
               | of people having a job, the money will just get given to
               | oligarchs and you'll pay largely the same taxes but have
               | moderately less government services. Socialism is needed
               | to some degree for society to function. Capitalism alone
               | is an awful system.
        
               | scarab92 wrote:
               | So, basically, left wing conspiracy theories?
               | 
               | In reality, whether taxes fall or not likely depends on
               | whether the savings are returned in the form of income
               | tax cuts, or whether the savings are used to repay the
               | massive debt that has accumulated from decades of
               | deficits. Both outcomes are good in the long run.
        
               | throwaway173738 wrote:
               | I hope you're right, but I suspect you'll be wrong. I
               | think Obama was the last president to shrink the national
               | debt. Clinton did before that.
        
               | senordevnyc wrote:
               | Prediction: when Trump leaves office, the federal
               | workforce, budget, and debt will all be higher than they
               | were at the start of his second term.
        
               | b_davis_ wrote:
               | come on, that was easy. for a challenge, predict how much
               | each will go up.
        
               | nickpeterson wrote:
               | Whom does income tax cuts help? Median US salary is 62k.
               | That person pays ~12k in income taxes. Conservatives are
               | going to 'save' that person 1k on their taxes or some
               | other paltry sum and then cancel a bunch of services,
               | fire a few hundred thousand workers, and raise tariffs to
               | make the actual cost go up on everything that person
               | buys.
        
               | _dark_matter_ wrote:
               | False dichotomy. They will likely be used to continue tax
               | cuts for the wealthiest (and corporations? I don't
               | remember), which are set to expire. That is neither
               | scenario that you envisioned.
        
               | joyeuse6701 wrote:
               | They are humans first, public servants second. We are in
               | the business of governing and employing humans. A wise
               | government would acknowledge this truth.
               | 
               | Emotions are the motivator for everything, the question
               | is, which emotion is getting the better of the human
               | today? The better angel of their nature, or the other,
               | darker one, that ineptitude stoked into relevance?
               | 
               | Everyone has a breaking point, for them, it's losing a
               | livelihood, for you, sadly, it's the garnishing of your
               | wage for the collective good.
        
               | throwaway173738 wrote:
               | I take it you'd also be fine paying 100% of the cost of
               | the roads you use to buy food for your family? Men with
               | guns take money from my family to pay for your roads
               | after all.
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | Absolutely privatize them all. The roads for miles around
               | my house are private easement (no tax) that are publicly
               | accessible and it works beautifully. I built my own roads
               | to access my land and it's great, my property taxes are
               | near 0.
        
               | daghamm wrote:
               | You are wrong on two accounts.
               | 
               | There are plenty of ways for getting rid of
               | underperformers in a goverment organisation. I've seen
               | entire teams being sacked, and also some of the hardest
               | working people I know work for goverment organisations.
               | 
               | Also, you cannot run the goverment like an startup that
               | is always running on the edge. A majority of startups
               | fail and that's fine, but one goverment organisation
               | failing could cause problems for the entire country.
        
               | tremendoussss wrote:
               | You're right it's not a startup. It's an organization in
               | a town that voted 90%+ in favor of keeping their jobs,
               | not being prosecuted, or some kind of "threat to
               | democracy".
               | 
               | You can't run an organization if the ground troops are
               | resistant to executing the vision of leadership
        
               | joyeuse6701 wrote:
               | Pesky things, these laws.
        
               | tremendoussss wrote:
               | Honest question, what laws in this context?
        
               | throwaway173738 wrote:
               | Management is as much about convincing people you're
               | right as it is about getting your way always. Sometimes
               | your subordinates are right and a good manager can still
               | work with that situation. Even in a professional army
               | like the US military there is disagreement and
               | negotiation. This idea that we are all troops in some
               | kind of militia who should blindly follow one person's
               | will is the bottom half of fascist ideology.
        
               | tremendoussss wrote:
               | The term "ground troops" was just used as a metaphor for
               | people at the bottom who do a big chunk of the actual
               | work. Every organization would rather have people at
               | least be pro "big picture" vision, and, yes, there should
               | be dissonance and compromise on the "how" we get there
               | part
        
               | throwaway173738 wrote:
               | You can say that but you could also have called them
               | "workers." Calling them ground troops is intended to
               | evoke the image of people being shelled in foxholes and
               | then running away. It is a bad euphemism that is meant to
               | suggest we are fighting a war. You have to ask yourself
               | ---when someone evokes the imagery of war, do you not
               | think they are spoiling for a fight?
        
               | akudha wrote:
               | I can't say if you're serious or just trolling. It is
               | beyond stupid to compare government institutions with
               | private sector.
               | 
               | Let's say (just for discussion purposes) that some
               | government agency (USAID, for example) is wasting 100% of
               | their budget on parties (again, just for discussion
               | purposes). What is the right way to fix it? Step one -
               | you hire an auditor and collect proof of any misconduct
               | or wrongdoing. Step 2 - find out the people who did
               | wrong. Ask for an explanation. Show the public your
               | proof. And so on.
               | 
               | You don't shut down departments without a shred of
               | evidence, overnight. It is just cruel and stupid. But
               | then, cruelty seems to be the point here.
               | 
               | You don't set fire to your entire face because you got a
               | pimple on your nose. You just treat the pimple
        
               | rainsford wrote:
               | Whether or not it's a good strategy for either companies
               | or the government, _this_ particular case involved
               | randomly firing a bunch of folks who build and maintain
               | nuclear weapons and then almost immediately trying to un-
               | fire them. There wasn 't enough time to see if anything
               | broke (not that you'd see that with nuclear weapons until
               | it was way, _way_ too late) but now you 've managed to
               | piss off a bunch of people who are likely only going to
               | come back long enough to find a new job, if they come
               | back at all, and you've probably also damaged your
               | ability to retain even the people you didn't fire or
               | attract new prospective employees. It's basically all
               | damage with zero value and it certainly isn't going to
               | fix any performance management problems.
               | 
               | I think it's a questionable strategy anyways, especially
               | when applied to government, but carrying out the strategy
               | in such a ham-fisted way seems unlikely to be the secret
               | to making it successful.
        
               | johnnyanmac wrote:
               | >it's objective (did anything break?
               | 
               | Did you even try to read the article?
               | 
               | >The US government is trying to rehire nuclear safety
               | employees it had fired on Thursday, after concerns grew
               | that their dismissal could jeopardise national security,
               | US media reported.
               | 
               | It hasn't even been one business day. We don't know how
               | much this will break. The titanic took 4 hours to sink;
               | these things don't instantly show its aftereffects.
               | Clearly, the administration thinks something will break
               | if they are reversing course.
               | 
               | > usually easily undone.
               | 
               | article:
               | 
               | >A memo sent to NNSA employees on Friday and obtained by
               | NBC News read: "The termination letters for some NNSA
               | probationary employees are being rescinded, but we do not
               | have a good way to get in touch with those personnel."
               | 
               | We are definitely in unusual times.
               | 
               | You also responded 2 coments downstream to another story
               | where this strategy cost a company an entire division and
               | utterly missed its goals.
        
             | ndsipa_pomu wrote:
             | Whether or not it's a good idea depends on what outcome you
             | desire. If the aim is to weaken the U.S. then putting a
             | foolish unelected billionaire in charge of things that he
             | has no idea about is a great idea.
        
               | zimpenfish wrote:
               | > If the aim is to weaken the U.S.
               | 
               | Say if you're China and Russia...
               | 
               | > then putting a foolish unelected billionaire
               | 
               | With ties to both...
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | I don't think Trump's aim is to weaken the US. I don't
               | think here's some big secret Russia conspiracy.
               | 
               | I think the situation is much simpler. Trump wants to be
               | king. What happens to America in the future is
               | immaterial. And a king needs a kingmaker, who in this
               | case also wants to be MOTU.
        
               | cutemonster wrote:
               | Putin and Xi know this too, and help out making it happen
               | - good for them with a clown begin the king of the US.
               | 
               | (Not sure if any help was needed this time though.)
        
           | jononor wrote:
           | One goal is to get rid of any critical voices. Only yes-men
           | (or women) will be left standing. It is a test of allegiance,
           | and those that care more about the mission of the
           | organization, or team, customers, users, general public than
           | the boss - are considered to fail. It is core to
           | authoritarianism. Kneel before the king :/
        
             | bagels wrote:
             | As it was at Twitter.
        
           | someothherguyy wrote:
           | Imagine the lack of empathy one would need to fire 500 people
           | for being challenged, sociopath antics (assuming the
           | reporting is accurate)
        
           | jeltz wrote:
           | Such a fragile ego. A mature manger should be able to handle
           | a subordinate disobeying without throwing a temper tantrum
           | and firing the whole team and damaging the whole company out
           | of spite.
        
             | akudha wrote:
             | lol, there are "managers" making 40k a year (with 3 people
             | reporting to them) that have huge egos. It isn't surprising
             | that world's richest man child has the ego to match his
             | wealth.
             | 
             | Something wrong with society as a whole. People being cruel
             | to each other for no reason, people can't think/plan beyond
             | the current quarter etc. Everywhere I look, people seem
             | stressed, and they lash out in whatever way they can. Seems
             | like a much bigger problem than Trump/Musk, though they are
             | a big contributor to society's stress for sure
        
               | bix6 wrote:
               | When I spend time outside without my phone for a few days
               | it's amazing how much better things are.
        
               | jeltz wrote:
               | These people that parent mention do not live in people's
               | phones. They live in people's offices. Not all people
               | have the luxury to just quit working.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | Can confirm, can't say where or when, NDA + non-
               | disparagement.
               | 
               | Nice walks help, even so. Absolutely doesn't solve
               | everything, but does help nonetheless.
        
             | johnnyanmac wrote:
             | I haven't had th misfortune of having such managers myself.
             | But I've been right next door to other managers like this
             | and it's the absolute worse.
             | 
             | Even then, a power trip that actually fired hundreds of
             | people on the spot is just ficticious levels of stupidity.
             | It's the exaggerated evil businessman that everyone would
             | laugh at. And musk fits it to a T.
        
           | chinathrow wrote:
           | Everyone seems to think they know Musk, it sure does look
           | like Musk himself is included in this list.
           | 
           | What is he thinking how this will turn out?
        
             | johnnyanmac wrote:
             | I don't know him, but as a programmer I hope I'm at least
             | half decent at identifying a pattern. Musk's business
             | acument is horrfying consistent, if nothing else.
        
           | scrapcode wrote:
           | In that case I'd say it seems to have proven effective for
           | Musk multiple times now, so why stop now? In his experience,
           | he can just keep shit-canning feds until something
           | immediately bad happens - say he is sorry and give them a job
           | back.
           | 
           | As others have already pointed out, the real damage is
           | silent, has already been done, and will be suffered by
           | generations to come while being able to blame others.
        
         | timewizard wrote:
         | > fired people who had credentials
         | 
         | I agree. Federal credential management and safekeeping is not
         | particularly well crafted.
        
         | NicoJuicy wrote:
         | It's to let people fear that they could lose their job, so they
         | won't speak up.
        
         | belter wrote:
         | Expect this story to be flagged soon...
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43061481
        
         | 2-3-7-43-1807 wrote:
         | i don't see how this is (technically) related to the twitter
         | layoffs - and even less how it could be "literally" given that
         | the twitter layoffs where about LAYOFFS and this news item is
         | about reHIRING ... or are you maybe a little challenged with
         | language and what you actually want to say is that in both
         | cases Elon Musk is involved?
        
           | krapp wrote:
           | https://blogs.illinois.edu/view/25/96439
        
         | throw0101d wrote:
         | > _Everything else aside why repeat the same mistakes?_
         | 
         | "Move fast and break things." /s
         | 
         | Then try to move fast to fix the things you just broke.
         | 
         | (Perhaps government tend to moves slowly for a reason: when a
         | company breaks things customers can go to a competitor, when
         | government breaks where can you go?)
        
         | thisisnotauser wrote:
         | Almost all government employees are necessary.
        
         | rsanek wrote:
         | > Please don't use uppercase for emphasis. If you want to
         | emphasize a word or phrase, put _asterisks_ around it and it
         | will get italicized.
         | 
         | more guidelines at
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
           | gdhkgdhkvff wrote:
           | Why is that a guideline?
        
             | theli0nheart wrote:
             | My bet is that using using all-caps looks like you're
             | yelling, and yelling isn't exactly conducive to effective
             | conversation.
        
         | mschuster91 wrote:
         | > Just go a little slower and give agencies time to compile
         | accurate lists of necessary employees
         | 
         | It's not about achieving results primarily, it's a public
         | perception game. Trump and Musk are going for the perception of
         | "they do what they say from day 1" - it doesn't matter if what
         | they plan succeeds at all (and if it's struck down by judges,
         | it's just additional fodder for "un-American judges!!!"
         | propaganda), or if what they do actually has the outcome they
         | promised.
         | 
         | The GQP voter base no longer cares about anything but the
         | appearance of "winning", and it's aided by completely off-the-
         | rockers media and influencers.
        
         | cynicalpeace wrote:
         | It worked with twitter though. The site did not implode like
         | all the naysayers predicted, it's at least as good, if not
         | better than it was, just going off of usage statistics.
         | 
         | This is basically 0 based budgeting, where you get rid of
         | everything and then only add back what you deem to be
         | absolutely necessary. I expect good results.
        
       | _Microft wrote:
       | The headline shown here is:
       | 
       | "US government struggles to rehire nuclear safety staff it laid
       | off days ago"
        
         | clort wrote:
         | Also, I don't really understand how they delivered letters
         | letting people know that they had been fired but were
         | struggling to rescind the letters because "we do not have a
         | good way to get in touch with those personnel"
         | 
         | Did they just hand them a note saying "your fired" and escort
         | them out of the building?
        
           | Hamuko wrote:
           | Well, obviously you can't have them hanging around in an
           | office that manages the nuclear stockpile. It's a far too
           | critical of a role to have a bunch of fired people around it.
        
           | bbarnett wrote:
           | From what I read elsewhere, resignation letters were sent via
           | corporate email. Once "escorted out" of the building,
           | naturally their corporate accounts were cancelled.
           | 
           | This article says:
           | 
           |  _Attempting to reach the workers, the email, which was sent
           | to current employees, said: "Please work with your
           | supervisors to send this information (once you get it) to
           | people's personal contact emails."_
           | 
           | (FYI, your != you are. use you're for this)
        
           | blooalien wrote:
           | > Did they just hand them a note saying "your fired" and
           | escort them out of the building?
           | 
           | My understanding (from reading this and other articles on the
           | topic) is that they blasted out mass emails to those who were
           | fired and promptly disabled all their access and accounts
           | (thereby preventing many of them from even _getting_ the
           | notice that they were fired).
        
         | intermerda wrote:
         | Surely this thread is going to be nuked off the front page,
         | right?
        
           | jeltz wrote:
           | Yeah, I am pretty tired of what seems like Musk fanboys
           | flagging everything negative about Musk. A government agency,
           | DOGE, not caring the slightest about security and getting
           | hacked definitely did not deserve to be flagged like it was a
           | few days ago.
        
       | NewJazz wrote:
       | _Look, having nuclear -- my uncle was a great professor and
       | scientist and engineer, Dr. John Trump at MIT; good genes, very
       | good genes, OK, very smart, the Wharton School of Finance, very
       | good, very smart -- you know, if you 're a conservative
       | Republican, if I were a liberal, if, like, OK, if I ran as a
       | liberal Democrat, they would say I'm one of the smartest people
       | anywhere in the world -- it's true! -- but when you're a
       | conservative Republican they try -- oh, do they do a number --
       | that's why I always start off: Went to Wharton, was a good
       | student, went there, went there, did this, built a fortune -- you
       | know I have to give my like credentials all the time, because
       | we're a little disadvantaged -- but you look at the nuclear deal,
       | the thing that really bothers me -- it would have been so easy,
       | and it's not as important as these lives are -- nuclear is so
       | powerful; my uncle explained that to me many, many years ago, the
       | power and that was 35 years ago; he would explain the power of
       | what's going to happen and he was right, who would have thought?
       | -- but when you look at what's going on with the four prisoners
       | -- now it used to be three, now it's four -- but when it was
       | three and even now, I would have said it's all in the messenger;
       | fellas, and it is fellas because, you know, they don't, they
       | haven't figured that the women are smarter right now than the
       | men, so, you know, it's gonna take them about another 150 years
       | -- but the Persians are great negotiators, the Iranians are great
       | negotiators, so, and they, they just killed, they just killed us,
       | this is horrible."_
       | 
       | https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/donald-trump-sentence/
        
         | franczesko wrote:
         | Cringe. How on earth this guy was elected again?
        
           | NewJazz wrote:
           | I don't know I got distracted. He did the weave!
        
           | mckn1ght wrote:
           | I saw this comment earlier in another posted article that I
           | think will explain it pretty well. We simply have a lot of
           | these kinds of folks running around. Don't forget to check
           | out the YouTube comments for more examples!
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43065052
        
           | fsh wrote:
           | The recession due to COVID made it pretty much impossible for
           | an incumbent party to win an election in 2024.
        
           | suzzer99 wrote:
           | Because we are a profoundly stupid nation.
        
             | grandempire wrote:
             | "They are my enemies because they are evil and stupid" is
             | why we are here a second time.
        
               | lgdiva wrote:
               | If you can explain how firing the nuclear experts _isn
               | 't_ utterly stupid, I'm all ears, bucko.
        
               | grandempire wrote:
               | If you think this decision is dumb, that's ok.
               | 
               | The implication here is that people vote for trump
               | because they are stupid. Which is a political non-
               | starter. If you can't explain what they think in words
               | they would agree with, you just don't understand them.
               | 
               | But sure I'll try to take the other side. Is every person
               | in an organization associated with the word "nuclear"
               | essential? Will nations start blowing up if a single one
               | is fired?
               | 
               | So we need to know who got let go and what their
               | responsibility is. Otherwise we are just word associating
               | ("nuclear safety people = good", "reducing safety =
               | bad"), which is probably what the authors of this piece
               | hoped for.
               | 
               | But come on, this is just a nerd fantasy that appeals to
               | HNers (the smart people doing important science are
               | untouchable and will automatically do what's right).
        
               | suzzer99 wrote:
               | I'll give the people deep in the cult a pass. I'm more
               | thinking about the normies who saw Jan 6th, saw Trump
               | repeatedly say Covid was going away with one or two
               | cases, saw Trump lie about the election being stolen, saw
               | 90% of campaign ads be nothing but attacking immigrants
               | and trans people, and saw a million other things--and
               | said, "Yes please, give me more of that."
               | 
               | That takes a level of willful ignorance I can't
               | comprehend.
        
               | grandempire wrote:
               | Being able to explain what this group of Americans think
               | would make the world less confusing and less frustrating.
        
             | dennis_jeeves2 wrote:
             | More accurately, the least stupid nation on earth.
        
           | kelnos wrote:
           | Half the people in the country either a) want to watch
           | everything burn, because the system has served them poorly
           | for too long, or b) are stupid enough to believe that Trump
           | actually wants to help them. Or both.
           | 
           | Many (most?) Americans don't seem to have ever learned how to
           | think critically or question what authority figures tell them
           | to believe.
           | 
           | On top of that, COVID was rough for lots and lots of people.
           | Even though it started under Trump, he somehow managed to
           | avoid blame for the government's missteps early on. Biden did
           | what he could, but even an absolute perfect response would
           | have caused a lot of strife for a lot of people, and his
           | administration's response was definitely not perfect. In a
           | way I think it's impressive how well Harris did; even had
           | Biden decided not to run at all for a second term, it would
           | have been an uphill battle for the incumbent party to stay in
           | power after COVID.
        
             | computerthings wrote:
             | Mind you that not even a quarter of Americans voted for
             | Trump.
        
               | grandempire wrote:
               | This is normal in every election so you can use the same
               | logic to dismiss any president. Do you only respect 100%
               | sampling rates in other statistical situations?
               | 
               | At a certain point this line of thinking is just saying
               | you don't think elections work, or that there should be
               | some non-democratic supervisor to undo bad ones.
               | 
               | There is also an older idea that getting people out to
               | vote is part of the game. An election is when citizens
               | back leaders from their community. It's not taking a
               | survey of every 18+ human life form with a pulse.
        
               | kelnos wrote:
               | Sure, and not even a quarter of Americans voted for
               | Harris.
               | 
               | But if you really want to be pedantic: there are around
               | 75M non-citizens living in the US, so that means there
               | are only 265M Americans in the US. A quick search
               | suggests that the number of American citizens living
               | outside the US is under 5M. 77M out of 270M is 28%, so
               | Trump _did_ get more than a quarter of _Americans_ to
               | vote for him.
               | 
               | (For the record, I said "of the country", and didn't
               | restrict my comment to only US citizens as you did.)
               | 
               | At any rate, I don't find these sorts of takes all that
               | useful when it comes to electoral math. 77M people voted
               | for Trump. Around 100M people in the US are ineligible to
               | vote (under 18 years old, non-citizens, felons denied
               | voting rights, etc.). That leaves around 90M people left
               | who could have voted, but didn't: to me, that's either
               | "I'm fine with what the people who vote decide" (so a
               | tacit vote for Trump) or "I don't care at all, screw
               | this".
               | 
               | So that's 167M votes either explicitly for Trump, or
               | implicitly for watching things burn. That's about half
               | the country.
               | 
               | But sure, if you must be pedantic, amend my comment to
               | "nearly half the people who voted in the election". It
               | doesn't change the meaning or outcome or implications of
               | the rest of what I said.
               | 
               | So let's stop playing dumb number games. Half of the
               | country either actively wanted this, or was fine with it.
        
             | atq2119 wrote:
             | > Half the people in the country either a) want to watch
             | everything burn, because the system has served them poorly
             | for too long
             | 
             | I believe this as well, but it still baffles me. Don't
             | people have a sense that things can always get worse?
        
               | Aromasin wrote:
               | No, they don't. Most people don't seem to get beyond 1st
               | order thinking. At best, it's cause and effect -
               | 3rd/4th/5th order effects are just not computable. If X
               | then Y is the best they can manage.
        
               | tialaramex wrote:
               | Nope. "Nothing could be worse than this" is _really
               | common_ even though it 's a complete failure of
               | imagination.
        
               | steve_adams_86 wrote:
               | Absolutely. In part it's a privilege to believe this.
               | Many of us have had such remarkably and almost impossibly
               | easy lives.
        
               | steve_adams_86 wrote:
               | Canada has this problem too. We've been coddled for a
               | long time and many Canadians think they've got the
               | government's boot on their neck. The reality is the
               | inverse. The worst things our leadership has done in the
               | last ten years are, all things considered, very bearable.
               | 
               | I've been thinking for some time that both our countries
               | need some kind of wake up call. I'm very sad that we seem
               | to be getting one simultaneously, yet it might not be a
               | reversible event. At least not on any short order.
               | 
               | But yeah, the lack of truly bad experiences seems to have
               | made us all very soft. I know some of us experience
               | poverty or immigrated from horrible governments so we
               | know firsthand how much worse things can be, but on
               | average I get the sense that people typically have no
               | idea.
        
           | krapp wrote:
           | Price of eggs went up -\\_(tsu)_/-.
        
           | consumer451 wrote:
           | > How on earth this guy was elected again?
           | 
           | Through the repetition of statements like: "illegals commit
           | more crime," "illegals are eating your dogs," "Trump - Low
           | prices, Kamala - High prices | 2024."
           | 
           | Those things are not true, but having no proof does not
           | matter any more. You just need to "flood the zone."
           | 
           | They don't even attempt to hide this technique at all. This
           | philosophy was openly confirmed by multiple people in the
           | current administration, including the Vice President.
        
           | glitchc wrote:
           | The Democrat Party failed to field a credible candidate that
           | was democratically elected.
        
             | lgdiva wrote:
             | Democratic* Party.
        
       | slicktux wrote:
       | Nuclear workers go where the work is...they are not going to wait
       | around when there's plenty of jobs out there needing their
       | skills.
        
         | usui wrote:
         | Can you explain? I must have the wrong impression, but isn't
         | nuclear-related work specifically in the USA a declining or
         | dying industry? Are there really plenty of jobs when Americans
         | keep posturing away from nuclear? I knew no one from university
         | interested in doing nuclear-related engineering for industry.
        
           | throwaway_95283 wrote:
           | That's why there is work, no supply of fresh grads.
        
           | bbarnett wrote:
           | There's a lot more to such skills than bombs and power
           | plants:
           | 
           | https://natural-resources.canada.ca/climate-
           | change/medical-i...
        
           | lithos wrote:
           | Data centers will pretty much absorb any person with military
           | nuclear power experience, even cases of people who completely
           | washed out of the program.
           | 
           | As for nuclear missile programs in this case, I'm pretty
           | positive that field will still have similar desirable high
           | points. Reliability, understanding procedures, actually
           | understanding procedures to know when/how/why scripts are
           | broken in some cases, and having such socially toxic work
           | environment that even an Amazon job feels like fresh air.
        
             | infthi wrote:
             | > Data centers will pretty much absorb any person with
             | military nuclear power experience
             | 
             | Could you elaborate why is that? They seem to be unrelated
             | areas.
        
       | Febra33 wrote:
       | Funny. Who would've thought that a shitshow of an administration
       | will bring instability?
        
       | TZubiri wrote:
       | What's the biggest difference between a startup and a country?
       | 
       | Aside from the obvious distinction, Musk has no experience
       | running existing corporations with lots on the line to lose, he
       | comes from move fast break things, great for a social media app,
       | who gives a shit, great for literal moonshots, go big or go home.
       | 
       | However when you manage something big, any upside from improving
       | is weighed against its risk of degradation.
       | 
       | What I find confusing is that this is not typical of
       | conservatism, it's like a progressive right of political
       | outsiders whose express goal is to destroy the government, I
       | don't think that's a controversial statement. And I truly believe
       | that's what (at least half of) the people voted.
       | 
       | My best estimation is that they are conservatives in that they
       | want to conserve power that they hold, and they see the
       | government not as a foundation for their corps, but as an enemy,
       | not state as a literal creator of money, but as its dilluter or
       | robber (through taxes), not the state as the basis for the
       | fiction that is a corporation, but as a taxer of them. And their
       | emnity is mostly due to the redistributive role of their state.
       | 
       | And I believe that people vote out of aspirational belonging to a
       | rich class, they think they are rich, or they want to aspire to
       | become rich, or they buy into the establishes morals that
       | entitles the rich to power.
       | 
       | So that's how I wrap my heads around the conservative right
       | overthrowing and destroying the government, they see it as a
       | threat to their established power, or their chances to rise to
       | power.
       | 
       | But I'm just some idiot on hn who hopefully will come back to
       | delete this later
        
         | michaelscott wrote:
         | The American right has (always?) been anti-government overreach
         | traditionally. I don't actually think Trump or Musk are
         | particularly conservative or right wing (they'll say and do
         | what gets them the support) but on this topic they are actually
         | very much in line with political tradition.
         | 
         | I think they're overshooting here and will need to correct, but
         | I get the impression as an outsider that the American people
         | who voted Trump in are sick and tired of a social structure
         | that isn't benefiting them and seems to give them no "out" or
         | way forward. They will take the wild and crazy
         | antics/experiments because hey, it wasn't exactly working
         | before anyway, was it?
        
           | lelandfe wrote:
           | Grover Norquist, 2001:
           | 
           | > _I don't want to abolish government. I simply want to
           | reduce it to the size where I can drag it into the bathroom
           | and drown it in the bathtub._
        
             | XorNot wrote:
             | > _Conservatism consists of exactly one proposition, to
             | wit: There must be in-groups whom the law protects but does
             | not bind, alongside out-groups whom the law binds but does
             | not protect._
             | 
             | Frankly I don't see how you read Norquist's statement any
             | other way: he doesn't want to abolish the government, he
             | just wants to be sure it holds no dominion over him
             | personally.
        
           | watwut wrote:
           | American right was always pro government overreach when it
           | comes to cops, military and so on. The are anti government
           | when the government is helping someone they dont like. They
           | are against public schools, public health care, consumer
           | protection, safety rules.
           | 
           | Trump or Musk are very much American right as it always was,
           | except without pretension of respectability.
        
             | michaelscott wrote:
             | Yeah this is exactly my impression as well
        
           | eesmith wrote:
           | The American left has also (always?) been anti-government
           | overreach too.
           | 
           | It's all a matter of who gets to define the "over" in
           | "overreach".
           | 
           | Laws which enforce racial segregation are overreach, for
           | those in the American left who support equality.
           | 
           | Federal laws which override state segregation are overreach,
           | for those in the American right who support structural
           | racism.
           | 
           | Marijuana prohibition laws - overreach, or not?
           | 
           | Anti-mask laws - overreach, or not?
           | 
           | Required prayer in school - overreach, or not?
           | 
           | Anti-pollution laws - overreach, or not?
        
             | kelnos wrote:
             | Please stop with the false equivalencies. I'm incredibly
             | tired of these types of bad-faith arguments.
        
               | anon7000 wrote:
               | It's not a false equivalency. The right frequently claims
               | the government over reaches, and then enact their own
               | Christian policies which have a tendency to overreach.
               | Heard of those book bans? That's conservative Christian
               | overreach into state policy, which takes away freedom.
               | 
               | What's bad faith is claiming that more social restriction
               | is not a form of overreach.
               | 
               | Edit: pollution is actually a very good example. In my
               | view, polluting my property via air or water pollution is
               | a violation of my property rights, and is therefore
               | unconstitutional. Companies doing so are overreaching. I
               | would like the government to reach out and stop that.
               | Certain Conservatives somehow don't share this view, and
               | think businesses should have the freedom to pollute, and
               | wish to abolish the EPA. The government would be
               | overstepping, to them.
        
               | eesmith wrote:
               | It isn't a false equivalency. I'm undermining the entire
               | assertion by pointing out the 'over' in 'overreach' is
               | entirely in the eye of the beholder.
               | 
               | By definition, "overreach" must be beyond the point of
               | acceptable action, so if you're going to use that term
               | you need to say _why_ it 's overreach.
               | 
               | I think michaelscott, as an outsider, has bought the
               | propaganda the right has pushing for decades, without
               | realizing it's a falsehood.
               | 
               | By recasting it I mean to provide context about why it's
               | a falsehood.
               | 
               | Some nudists think it's overreach for the government to
               | require clothing in public? That's not really a
               | left/right thing.
               | 
               | Is it government overreach to have Daylight Saving Time?
               | That's another one that seems equally pro/anti.
        
               | TZubiri wrote:
               | No, I agree that checks and balances are bipartisan.
        
         | diputsmonro wrote:
         | I think you hit the nail on the head.
         | 
         | The president is a con man who larps as the richest person on
         | the planet and his biggest accomplishment last term was a giant
         | tax cut for the rich. The "actual" president _is_ the richest
         | man on earth and has a vested interest in destroying anything
         | that can tax him or hold him  / his businessess accountable in
         | any way.
         | 
         | Awfully convenient that the richest people in the world think
         | that the proper way to balance the budget isn't by raising
         | taxes, but by burning the whole government to the ground. They
         | have the resources to live in a walled garden for the rest of
         | their lives and they don't care who else gets hurt.
        
           | zitsarethecure wrote:
           | > The poor man really has a stake in the country. The rich
           | man hasn't; he can go away to New Guinea in a yacht. The poor
           | have sometimes objected to being governed badly; the rich
           | have always objected to being governed at all.
        
             | UncleMeat wrote:
             | Worse, the very rich have a stake in the country degrading.
             | Institutional collapse and chaos represent opportunities.
             | The Yarvin-ites believe that they will be the god-kings of
             | the new state while the poor are turned into biofuel.
        
         | bee_rider wrote:
         | Maybe "reactionary" or "accelerationist" is the word you want?
         | 
         | Please let's not popularize the label "progressive right," our
         | political labels are already a mess in the US but that is just
         | too much.
        
           | everdrive wrote:
           | I don't have a strong opinion here, but I am curious. What
           | don't you like about the term progressive right?
        
             | jhbadger wrote:
             | Because it's contradictory. By definition, the Left is
             | progressive -- they want society to progress and see a
             | future where the problems of the past and present are
             | solved by moving forward. The Right is regressive by
             | definition -- they believe that modern society is inferior
             | to some past "Golden Age" that needs to be returned to to
             | make things great again -- the 1950s, the 19th century, or
             | even the 18th century.
        
               | everdrive wrote:
               | I'm not sure I agree, but I appreciate your response. I
               | think the question is whether "left" always means
               | progressive, and whether "right" always means
               | conservative. For instance, I would not claim that the
               | American right is very conservative these days, but they
               | also don't feel "leftist" whatsoever. I don't want to
               | really delve into political topics, however I feel
               | strongly that what is currently going on with executive
               | orders and gutting the executive branch workforce is not
               | conservative whatsoever. It's more closely matches an
               | unfamiliar kind of progressivism than it does
               | conservatism in my mind. I could definitely understand
               | how and why someone wouldn't agree with this, of course.
               | I also think it could potentially be argued that leftist
               | programs, such as entitlements, social programs, etc, are
               | not necessarily "progressive." There could be ways these
               | programs were strictly regressive. (and by that I mean
               | "past-looking" rather than "bad.")
               | 
               | Now, I would also agree that terms like left, right,
               | conservative, and progressive are not really strictly
               | defined a lot of the time. With such loose definitions it
               | might be hard to claim that I've got the definitions
               | correct. In other words, they may just be no strict
               | definition, and I think you could also argue that _I'm_
               | the one taking a minority definition.
               | 
               | Progressivism itself is an interesting topic in general.
               | I think there is a lot of progressive thought which is
               | strictly apolitical, but is definitionally progressive.
               | An easy example would be video games. Is Doom 2 better
               | than Doom 1 because it added more gameplay elements? Is
               | Doom 2016 even better because it added so many more
               | systems, and has more advanced graphics? In my opinion
               | "apolitically progressive" gamers would almost always
               | claim yes; things _advanced_ and having advanced the
               | older media is inherently inferior. They would claim that
               | the older Doom games are "janky" which is shorthand for
               | "the older games have not adopted or anticipated modern
               | conventions." Other folks take a different tact; they
               | tend to dislike any newer advances in gaming, and get
               | "stuck" preferring older games. Others take a more
               | balanced approach; they appreciate both new and old
               | games, but don't necessarily prefer something merely
               | because it's newer.
               | 
               | I think movies are another interesting example. I think
               | it could be argued that there are potentially objective
               | improvements when it comes to movie making;
               | cinematography would be one example. The movie Citizen
               | Kane and the Director Alfred Hitchcock created totally
               | novel approaches to cinematography which been widely and
               | thoroughly adopted by filmmakers of all skill levels. (in
               | other words, nearly everyone agrees that these are
               | objective advancements) Even some of the worst movies
               | nowadays may have more competent cinematography than some
               | of the best movies from the 50s and 60s. On the other
               | hand, there are clearly a lot of stylistic aspects to
               | film-making which cannot really be said have to improved,
               | but merely changed with the fashions of the times. I
               | would argue that strongly-progressive-minded folks would
               | not be able to see this; they'd see any older movie as
               | inherently inferior, and see movies through a lens of
               | progress. In other words, movies were always going to
               | "advance" to where they are now, and anything older is
               | inherently inferior. (and this is true even if they can
               | still appreciate the movie.) Now, this is what I might
               | call "hard apolitical progressivism," and is not
               | necessarily the most common view out there. It's a useful
               | example because of its explanatory nature.
               | 
               | It's easy to see how this mentality _could_ map to
               | politics, but I guess my point is that it doesn't
               | necessarily do so. And, even when it does map to politics
               | it doesn't necessarily follow that people on the left are
               | always progressive and people on the right are always
               | conservative. (although I'll obviously admit that this
               | trend is _usually_ true; the left tends to be more
               | progressive on average, and the right tends to be more
               | conservative on average.)
        
               | shkkmo wrote:
               | So the crypto currency people who support Trump aren't
               | progressive or does it only count as the progress is in a
               | direction you like? If this is an unprecedented
               | constitutional crisis as so many keep claiming, how is
               | that 'conservative'?
               | 
               | The 'left' isn't a rigorously defined term, so it is
               | pretty hard to make a tautological argument like you are
               | implying.
        
               | jhbadger wrote:
               | Libertarian capitalists like crypto currency fans idolize
               | capitalism without any government regulations. That isn't
               | anything new -- that was what we had in the late
               | 19th/early 20th century when "robber barons" like John D
               | Rockefeller and Andrew Carnegie had free reign and
               | workers had few rights. It's regression to return to that
               | "Gilded Age".
        
               | bee_rider wrote:
               | Because these things aren't rigorously defined it is
               | helpful to follow the convention rather than to go to the
               | dictionary definition of a similar word. I mean surely
               | you wouldn't say something along the lines of "I often
               | see socialists who aren't invited to many parties, so are
               | they really social?"
        
             | bee_rider wrote:
             | Progressivism is a particular set of political beliefs.
             | Progressives is a noun. Adding a new meaning that is sort
             | an adjective, even if it is similar to the dictionary
             | definition of the word progressive, will be confusing. Can
             | we have progressive Progressives? (People who want to hit
             | the Progressives' goals, but faster).
        
         | StefanBatory wrote:
         | "What I find confusing is that this is not typical of
         | conservatism, it's like a progressive right of political
         | outsiders whose express goal is to destroy the government, I
         | don't think that's a controversial statement"
         | 
         | I think it'd be fair to call them populist right? I think they
         | couldn't be further from classical conservatism. Chesterton's
         | Fence is a concept that seems foreign to them.
        
           | computerthings wrote:
           | Destroying government and rule of law and replacing it with a
           | violent movement, giving people implicit permission to be
           | brown shirts ("he who saves the country cannot violate the
           | law") isn't just "populist right" in the same way "cancer"
           | isn't an "inconvenience" -- yeah sure technically you could
           | say that, but you probably wouldn't.
        
             | krapp wrote:
             | But Trumpism is literally a right-wing populist movement.
             | It's directly influenced by the alt-right/Tea Party and
             | right-libertarianism, accelerationist white supremacy and
             | the Christian right.
             | 
             | It would be incorrect to call it a "progressive" right
             | movement, because it stands in direct opposition to what
             | progressivism is commonly understood to be. Doing so would
             | be the same kind of category error as calling the Nazis
             | socialists because the word "socialist" is in their name,
             | ignoring the fact that they hated socialists. The Nazis
             | weren't socialist, and Trumpists aren't progressive.
        
               | computerthings wrote:
               | Oh, I didn't disagree that they're populist right, and
               | not progressive. I just think it's so much worse than
               | that. Or maybe I don't associate enough "weight" with
               | "right-wing populist"?
               | 
               | For me it's the difference between someone who has a
               | different opinion on the same facts, as wrong as I may
               | find that opinion (and they mine) -- and a movement that
               | just destroys and creates facts ad-hoc, believes what it
               | wants, and smears and attacks anyone not aligned. It's
               | the difference between someone who disagrees with or even
               | fights me -- and someone who attacks me while they're
               | basically wrestling with the voices in their head,
               | without seeing or hearing me, at all.
        
         | kelnos wrote:
         | > _What I find confusing is that this is not typical of
         | conservatism, it 's like a progressive right of political
         | outsiders whose express goal is to destroy the government_
         | 
         | Right, these people aren't classical conservatives in any sense
         | of the word. I would think of most of these people more as
         | libertarians: small government, little regulation or oversight,
         | let the market sort it out.
         | 
         | The striking thing is that the _actual_ conservatives in
         | Congress are sitting on their thumbs, letting this all happen.
         | But I think that 's because actual conservativism in US
         | politics is mostly dead, and has been so for a while.
         | Republicans would rather play at culture wars, and cry about
         | spending (that they themselves never rein in, even when they
         | have the power to do so) and taxes (for the rich and
         | corporations of course, that need to be cut).
         | 
         | It is pathetic that it seems like the only prominent Republican
         | that has a problem with all this now is Mitch McConnell, when
         | he's the one who enabled Trump in the first place during his
         | first term, and failed to shut him down when he actually had
         | the power to do so. Be careful what you wish for, Mitch.
        
           | daemonologist wrote:
           | There's a good 538 article on this subject:
           | https://abcnews.go.com/538/gop-trumps-party-
           | now/story?id=118...
           | 
           | 59% of Republicans in Congress are newly elected since Trump
           | began his first term (which saw the highest attrition among
           | members of the president's part in modern history). Those who
           | remain are the most aligned with Trump, or at least willing
           | to appear so in order to retain their office.
        
       | itronitron wrote:
       | related discussion from yesterday >>
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43061481
        
       | ChrisArchitect wrote:
       | [dupe] Earlier: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43055119
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43063512
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43061481
        
         | drawkward wrote:
         | It is as though the community wants to discuss this, but bad
         | actors keep shutting down the conversation.
        
           | mimd wrote:
           | Of course they are. Any rational person not blinded by
           | partisanship would be infuriated by this development and
           | immediately demand that DOGE be restrained. Even most
           | partisans would blanch and demand accountability. DOGE
           | advocates know this. Their only recourse is to try to hide it
           | or distract everyone with tangential arguments like they are
           | doing in this thread.
        
           | ChrisArchitect wrote:
           | The community is and has discussed this days old news. Lots
           | of comments, upvotes and eyeballs. Over there. Not all of
           | those stories is flagged. This is a dupe.
        
             | drawkward wrote:
             | I think the marketplace of ideas is showing that the HN
             | community has not had enough of the discussion, because
             | when these get reposted after being flagged, there is yet
             | more discussion!
             | 
             | You are free to _not_ participate if you prefer. Let those
             | of us who wish to, continue.
             | 
             | Free speech absolutism, right?
             | 
             | Right?
             | 
             | ?
        
       | watwut wrote:
       | > The nuclear security officials who were laid off on Thursday
       | helped oversee the nation's stockpile of nuclear weapons. That
       | included staff who are stationed at facilities where the weapons
       | are built, according to CNN.
       | 
       | So now, the question is which country will benefit from this the
       | most. Russia or Saudi Arabia? Maybe Iran?
        
         | lawn wrote:
         | Russia and China are the big winners of course.
        
       | nobunaga wrote:
       | Its hilarious. Americans dont realise they are being played. All
       | this BS from the MAGA people and trump are just shift attention
       | away from the conversation to tax billionaires. You guys had been
       | going in the right direction when it came to having the rich pay
       | their fair share. Now look at what you are all talking about?
       | Your fighting each other. What a shitshow.
       | 
       | I really dont think America will recover from this and while the
       | world will suffer as a result, I think in the long term, things
       | will work out. There will be some major suffering but thats the
       | way the world works. WW2 happened, a lot of suffering then peace.
       | We had peace for too long, people forgot about suffering and now
       | look at the world. Thanks America, you played yourself and are
       | now bringing the rest of the world down with you. Rather than
       | focusing on the right things, you are being played to argue with
       | each other.
        
         | chakspak wrote:
         | Trump got a plurality of the popular vote, not a majority.
         | There are lots of people who didn't vote for this. Many people
         | are now doing whatever they can to limit the damage, but it's
         | an uphill battle and plenty damage will be done in the
         | meantime. It's been very hard to watch this unfold.
        
           | krior wrote:
           | Not excercising the right to vote is a form of voting.
        
             | enraged_camel wrote:
             | Not necessarily. Disenfranchisement is very common.
        
         | tim333 wrote:
         | I don't really see that re the tax on billionaires. It wasn't
         | tightened up especially during the Biden admin and it would be
         | surprising if the Trump lot went all lefty and cracked down. It
         | seems much more of a culture war thing.
        
       | dannersy wrote:
       | Here we go again, let's watch HN users bend over backwards to
       | tell everyone how this is a good thing, or clever, or a master
       | stroke of finding inefficiencies.
        
         | lgdiva wrote:
         | I mean, yeah, this place invented Elon Musk and Sam Altman and
         | every last Silicon Valley grifter. It's not all JavaScript and
         | cute GitHub projects. I really do hope HN is at least a
         | footnote in the history books that talk about the collapse of
         | the United States.
        
           | drawkward wrote:
           | SV produces tacit fascists.
        
       | snailmailstare wrote:
       | I find it sad that the US is confused about what a work contract
       | is. If you can tell someone to take unpaid leave whenever you
       | feel like it then they don't really need to call you back or
       | explain why they won't be in next week.
        
       | anshumankmr wrote:
       | how the turn tables
        
       | someothherguyy wrote:
       | If anything this whole DOGE scenario has illuminated is how
       | confused and overconfident many in this country are. We are
       | stumbling fools without systems and rules (organizations,
       | institutions, laws, regulations, ...) to rely on.
       | 
       | I wonder how much behavior like this stems from weak regulation
       | in the US to begin with. It seems like it would reinforce the
       | rise of agents that assume they can ask for forgiveness after
       | acting wantonly.
        
         | baq wrote:
         | Uppers have this effect on people.
        
           | onemoresoop wrote:
           | You think Musk is on uppers all the time? This would indeed
           | explain a bunch of things related to his behavior
        
             | Aromasin wrote:
             | Use your own judgement, but he looked like he was rolling
             | during the inauguration...
             | 
             | https://x.com/Dreamshockcom/status/1881383073495048599
             | 
             | Some might say he was just stretching his neck, but
             | personally I love an electronic music gigs, and I've seen
             | that behaviour enough times before. He's not quiet about
             | his ketamine usage either (not an upper per-se, but close
             | to an alcohol-like hallucinogenic from my experience).
        
               | scarab92 wrote:
               | He had neck surgery just a few days before the
               | inauguration.
        
               | someothherguyy wrote:
               | Something like https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nystagmus
               | would be more of a call out than neck stretching, and
               | both are pointless supposition.
        
               | bergeyboy wrote:
               | Hey I think I might have this. Thanks!
        
               | yadaeno wrote:
               | The way he rolls his eyes and facial expression suggests
               | MDMA or possibly adderall.
        
           | rzz3 wrote:
           | "Uppers"? I thought the leading theories were MDMA and
           | Ketamine (and recovering from neck surgery), neither of which
           | are best-described by the word "uppers", nor is that behavior
           | an effect that "uppers" generally have (e.g. cocaine,
           | (meth)amphetamines).
        
             | Aloisius wrote:
             | The MA in MDMA is methamphetamine.
             | 
             | That said, it's also an empathogen that promotes prosocial
             | behavior, which isn't the word I'd use to describe the
             | behavior happening.
        
               | steve_adams_86 wrote:
               | I don't think it has empathy-promoting properties when
               | abused heavily and chronically. As I recall, the empathy-
               | promotion is highly dose-dependent to begin with, and can
               | even reverse due to extended misuse.
        
               | bloomingkales wrote:
               | I think the more important point is that most people were
               | not born yesterday. Some very rich people are either
               | mentally ill, or on drugs, or both. Or enough drug abuse
               | (off camera) caused long term ego/brain changes.
               | 
               | You can barely tell a poor person to change their life,
               | imagine the discussion with a multi billionaire. There's
               | no discussion.
        
         | somewhereoutth wrote:
         | "unmoored" is the word. Not or no longer attached to reality.
        
           | bloomingeek wrote:
           | Sadly true, the wonder is that the idiot has been showing his
           | hand since at least 2015 and he still was been given another
           | term!?! My guess, the first two years will be a type of
           | cringe humor/horror. Mid-terms will be a political slaughter.
           | Never, ever underestimate the ignorance and naivety of the
           | American voter, especially my generation, the boomers.
        
             | _dark_matter_ wrote:
             | How are you so sure how the midterms will shake out? We
             | seen to be seeing a withering of dissent.
        
               | b_davis_ wrote:
               | they are holding their powder. 18 months until it is time
               | to get serious about electing the next congress.
        
         | mschuster91 wrote:
         | > We are stumbling fools without systems and rules
         | (organizations, institutions, laws, regulations, ...) to rely
         | on.
         | 
         | The wide masses yes - the 1% who is looking to profit immensely
         | from the upcoming chaos not.
         | 
         | DOGE is not about trimming government costs, it is about
         | allowing the large companies to rip off the masses without
         | repercussions (e.g. the planned demise of CFPB or OSHA/DoL) and
         | it is about preparing the transfer of what used to be
         | government-provided services at cost or subsidised to
         | privatised for profit enterprises where the 1% profit (e.g. the
         | dismantling of public schools).
         | 
         | The end game is obvious, neofeudalism: _everything_ that the
         | 99% do shall generate profit for the 1%. We shall own nothing
         | and rent /pay for everything. It begins with five to six
         | figures medical bills at birth and ends with our funeral costs.
        
           | chinathrow wrote:
           | The rich are endangering their riches in this experiment. The
           | pitch forks will have their field day eventually.
           | 
           | 2014 https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/06/the-
           | pitchfor...
        
             | mschuster91 wrote:
             | That's the insiduous thing we're seeing - when you have to
             | work two jobs just to make rent on a dilapidated shack for
             | a slumlord you don't have time to protest, and when your
             | healthcare insurance depends on having a job (because there
             | aren't charity-run hospitals around any more) you can't
             | afford the risk getting fired for going on a strike, much
             | less actual "direct action".
             | 
             | On top of that, mass media controls the narratives way too
             | hard - just look how fast Luigi Mangione got out of the
             | news.
        
               | afavour wrote:
               | > just look how fast Luigi Mangione got out of the news.
               | 
               | What news would there be? He was arrested and locked up,
               | his court case hasn't started. Should we have "Luigi
               | still in jail" headlines?
        
               | mschuster91 wrote:
               | I'd have expected a debate about healthcare cost and
               | actual reforms resulting out of it because the momentum
               | clearly was there, but hey, here we are... For a while,
               | until he was caught, there was a debate beginning to form
               | what drives someone to execute a healthcare executive on
               | the street - but the day he got caught, the debate got
               | suppressed and no one is talking about it anymore.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _I 'd have expected a debate about healthcare cost and
               | actual reforms_
               | 
               | It was all show no thought. The big questions remain
               | unanswered. Where are costs inflated between
               | pharmaceuticals, providers, hospital administrators,
               | insurance administrators and patients seeking unnecessary
               | care? How do we reform insurance when most people hate
               | our healthcare system while simultaneously liking their
               | own coverage?
               | 
               | Luigi didn't add anything substantive to the debate.
               | Instead, his role was in facilitating venting. Someone
               | still has to come up with an idea beyond "I hate this."
               | 
               | > _there was a debate beginning to form what drives
               | someone to execute a healthcare executive on the street_
               | 
               | On Twitter, maybe. For most people, it was another
               | Manhattan mental-health case murder. The chase and his
               | good looks provided salacious intrigue, but only for so
               | long as he was on the run.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | >The big questions remain unanswered. Where are costs
               | inflated between pharmaceuticals, providers, hospital
               | administrators, insurance administrators and patients
               | seeking unnecessary care?
               | 
               | Pharma costs are inflated by R&D costs and promotion.
               | Insurance overhead is actually relatively lean, but base
               | cost is primarily driven by cost of goods, and to a
               | lesser extent admin. Provider costs are inflated by high
               | legal and regulatory liability, shortage of qualified
               | staff to offset liability, and high admin.
               | 
               | At a the highest level, cost is driven by an inability to
               | discover and set prices at market clearing rates.
               | 
               | Manufacturer dont sell fixed price product into a market,
               | but negotiate complex bulk deals with PBMs, pushing some
               | prices up and others down. Similarly, hospitals/providers
               | dont set prices at clearing rates, but negotiate 1:1
               | pricing, with some products above and below cost.
               | 
               | Last, and I suspect most significantly, health plans cant
               | meaningfully vary in provided care, only cost sharing.
               | That is to say, a bronze plan must include the same
               | medications and procedures at a gold plan, differing only
               | in copay. This breaks the price feedback on COGs. (e.g. a
               | generic only insurance plan is illegal, so name brands
               | face reduced competition).
               | 
               | If I were Medical Czar, I would look at banning
               | preferential pricing/institutional rebates for goods and
               | services.
               | 
               | I would allow more heterogeneity in policies (e.g.
               | generics only, no implants, limited oncology, ect). This
               | would crush innovation, but also greatly reduce pricing
               | as it moves from cutting edge, to 10 year old technology.
               | 
               | Provider shortage is a tougher nut to crack, but I think
               | it would require radically altering the residency program
               | as it exists today and loosening requirements for other
               | healthcare professionals.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | If you had to pick one policy that maximises impact and
               | messagability, what would it be?
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | I dont know that they work well in isolation, as there
               | are multiple market failures at play.
               | 
               | If I had to pick one, I would say heterogeneity of
               | insurance plans as most fundamental.
               | 
               | Consumers must have some exposure to cost savings or
               | liability for downward price pressure exerted and
               | inferior substitutes to be selected. People will never
               | pick a $20 treatment over a $20,000 unless they have skin
               | in the game, even if it is 99% as effective.
               | 
               | I think this has to be instituted at a insurance policy
               | level for a number of reasons. Charges are stochastic and
               | in the future, while policy premiums are predictable and
               | immediate, allowing consumers to see cost or savings
               | across the entire policy and pre-commit.
               | 
               | Measurability is tough on this because it amounts to
               | allowing inferior treatment, and I dont think this could
               | be papered over, even if it brings down the price of all
               | care and allows more treatment in aggregate.
               | 
               | Uniform pricing is much better on the messaging. It is
               | adjacent to collective bargaining, just mediated by a
               | market instead of a technocrat. It can be sold to the
               | left as an attack shadowy rentseekers. It can be sold on
               | the right as a free market reform. On the pragmatic
               | front, it can It has a transparent pricing angle, where
               | you could see prices, which current transparency
               | legislation seems to fail. I also think there is a lot of
               | negative will pent up about negotiated pricing and the
               | idea of companies paying drastically lower prices than an
               | individual because they can throw their weight around
               | when bargaining.
        
               | DANmode wrote:
               | Not who you asked, but:
               | 
               | "Remove the people between you and your doctor."
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > I'd have expected a debate about healthcare cost and
               | actual reforms resulting out of it because the momentum
               | clearly was there
               | 
               | No, it wasn't; if the momentum was there, the debate
               | would have been self-sustaining and not dependent on new
               | news events relating to Mangione to sustain it.
               | 
               | > but the day he got caught, the debate got suppressed
               | and no one is talking about it anymore.
               | 
               | The debate didn't get suppressed and didn't need to be;
               | the "debate" in the major media wasn't a real debate, it
               | was just a way to stretch attention to Mangione news for
               | a few more commercial breaks, and once there were no more
               | news events for it to leverage for that purpose, it was
               | abandoned by the same people who had been driving it.
               | And, to the extent that there were people engaging in
               | social media and elsewhere who saw the debate as genuine,
               | they didn't need to be suppressed, as they never had
               | momentum, they just mistook cynical commercial
               | manipulation for opportunity.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | This is the failure mode of the anarcho-liberal awareness
               | premise.
               | 
               | "Awareness" is almost never the limiting factor to policy
               | change.
               | 
               | This is why awareness based movements such as occupy,
               | BLM, and climate protests go nowhere. Everyone is aware
               | of climate change, police brutality, or inequality.
               | 
               | Organized opposition with leverage and a compelling
               | alternative is the bottleneck. Awareness isn't a policy
               | position and doesn't advance debate.
               | 
               | Luigi did not have a thesis capable of changing minds. I
               | dont know and haven't seen a single example of someone
               | having their mind _changed_. Just people more fired up on
               | their priors.
        
               | harimau777 wrote:
               | Wasn't the thesis that can change minds behind Luigi
               | basically "If we don't fix the system then this could
               | happen to me"?
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | I dont think that is a policy proposal, nor do I think it
               | is compelling to the voters and policy maker that would
               | need to implement the change.
               | 
               | My point is that acting out until someone else comes up
               | with a solution and someone else implements it almost
               | never works. You have to change minds en masse.
        
               | BoxFour wrote:
               | > On top of that, mass media controls the narratives way
               | too hard - just look how fast Luigi Mangione got out of
               | the news.
               | 
               | People say this a lot, but it seems just as likely to me
               | that the media is simply reflecting what we care about.
               | Coverage fades because, broadly speaking, people have
               | moved on from the story. Even more "intellectual media"
               | like the Atlantic has moved on from it. I get that it's
               | uncomfortable to acknowledge, but an equally plausible
               | explanation is that the public is far more interested in
               | Blake Lively's lawsuit than in Mangione or the state of
               | healthcare in the U.S.
               | 
               | Yes, it's a symbiotic relationship, but I think people
               | are often too eager to blame a shadowy cabal rather than
               | recognizing that it's often just a reflection of what
               | society actually values. Probably because, as stated,
               | dismantling mass media seems like something that could
               | possibly happen while changing the entirety of a nation
               | is essentially impossible.
        
               | DennisP wrote:
               | Healthcare doesn't depend on a job, and I don't
               | understand why this rhetoric continues. Except in certain
               | red states that refused federal funds, anyone below a
               | certain income gets Medicaid and anyone above it can get
               | ACA insurance, complete with a subsidy based on your
               | income. Preexisting conditions are irrelevant.
               | 
               | Republicans might make big changes but this has been the
               | situation since Obama.
        
               | harimau777 wrote:
               | Everyone I know with ACA plans can't actually afford to
               | go to the doctor because the copay is too high.
        
             | bix6 wrote:
             | Almost 10 years later and still no pitchforks?
        
               | scarab92 wrote:
               | We're seeing a significant rise in left-wing conspiracy
               | theories though, which is not a great sign for the
               | future.
        
               | SauciestGNU wrote:
               | Conspiracy theories? Can you elaborate?
        
               | Jensson wrote:
               | There are a lot of conspiracy theories around Trump and
               | Musk etc.
               | 
               | Just remember that not all conspiracy theories are wrong,
               | but there being so many popular ones from the left now is
               | not a good sign regardless if they are right or wrong.
        
               | tim333 wrote:
               | There's probably a lot of conspiring going on with those
               | guys, just a question of the details.
        
               | lwhi wrote:
               | Trump and Musk are working according to their own fickle
               | natures and whims.
               | 
               | All anyone can do is guess and imagine, because of this.
               | 
               | Everyone has to be a theory. Reason is extinct.
        
               | mschuster91 wrote:
               | > Trump and Musk are working according to their own
               | fickle natures and whims.
               | 
               | The effect of network organizations like Heritage
               | Foundation or the decades-long work of the Koch brothers
               | or the Murdoch clan on what Trump is doing is not to be
               | underestimated.
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | No need for conspiracy theories with those two! They make
               | it easy, their tweets and actions speak for themselves.
        
               | el_jay wrote:
               | A health insurance CEO was shot dead in the streets. It's
               | only one pitchfork but it's still a pitchfork.
        
               | EasyMark wrote:
               | and they are shocked when someone snaps and such things
               | happen.
               | 
               | "for are we not generous gods?" --Most Billionaires
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _health insurance CEO was shot dead in the streets_
               | 
               | Middle manager from Minnesota scraping in at the very
               | bottom of the 0.1% wealth line, in a system with power-
               | law dynamics, is a high-profile mugging.
        
               | jakelazaroff wrote:
               | Yeah, there's a good quote about how they don't trust
               | people to "eat the rich", because what they'll _actually_
               | do is come at a bunch of doctors and lawyers while the
               | _real_ rich gets away relatively unscathed.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | In the French revolution, mobs would smash textile shops
               | to the dismay of the workers, string up the middle class
               | owners, then drink the reagents and die.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _rich are endangering their riches in this experiment_
             | 
             | The history of modern revolutions is that the rich are
             | fine. Hell, even in the French Revolution, most of the
             | aristocracy fled with their lives and moveable riches. In
             | the intervening centuries, mobility of both people and
             | wealth has substantially increased.
        
           | tremendoussss wrote:
           | I think if you looked at the history of the global economy
           | and geopolitics since 1970 or 1900 pre Federal Reserve, I
           | think you could make an argument that the dystopia that
           | you're worried about already exists.
        
             | gcr wrote:
             | The point is that it's worth fighting, not whether the end
             | goal is attainable.
        
             | insane_dreamer wrote:
             | Yes but there are still degrees of existence.
        
         | ty6853 wrote:
         | Feds consumed <5% GDP during most non-war time between civil
         | war and WW1. During which time standard of living and economy
         | rose about as much during the post WW2 period of massively
         | growing government and regulation.
         | 
         | It's hard to take these apocalyptic premonitions about federal
         | government reduction seriously.
        
           | someothherguyy wrote:
           | I don't think _appealing to the gilded age_ can be taken
           | seriously.
           | 
           | See for instance: https://www.investopedia.com/gilded-
           | age-7692919
        
             | joyeuse6701 wrote:
             | For better or for worse, that GDP boom was enabled by the
             | massive spending and outcome of the Civil War, much like
             | WW2. To point to these moments and ignore the immediate
             | massive historical events that preceded it seems like a
             | serious oversight in the analysis.
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | You chastise the comparison but then admit they're much
               | alike, did you think that a complete accident. Obviously
               | two different times are two different times but it's
               | hilarious the hypocrisy you often see of regulatory
               | proponents talking up post WW2 gains as the regulatory
               | apparatus spun up -- but when you point out other post
               | war periods with lower federal burdens suddenly the
               | narrative changes to 'not like that!'
        
           | bbor wrote:
           | ...youre saying that life was good from 1870-1910?
           | Reconstruction and the gilded age??
           | 
           | I mean, there was technological and medical improvements,
           | sure, and continued urbanization.
           | 
           | But that's... those are some of our nations most shameful,
           | inequal, racist years in its entire history. The federal
           | government as it exists now was just getting started after we
           | realized we needed it thanks to the civil war, and many local
           | democratic systems were completely broken. More relevantly,
           | we didn't have cancer researchers, epidemiologists, the NSF,
           | or, _most_ relevantly, nuclear weapons.
           | 
           | Finally, a HUGE majority of the costs of the federal
           | government are social security, Medicare, Medicaid, and
           | defense spending. I doubt even the biggest libertarian on
           | here could advocate cutting any those with a straight face,
           | unless they're young and don't know anyone older than them,
           | and/or advocates isolationism.
           | 
           | Regardless, this exact story makes it clear that the goal
           | isn't cutting the size of the government at all -- it's
           | politicizing the civil service, and bringing it under the
           | exclusive control of a supreme executive. They're not exactly
           | ashamed of it!
        
             | ty6853 wrote:
             | >social security, Medicare, Medicaid, and defense spending.
             | I doubt even the biggest libertarian on here could advocate
             | cutting any those with a straight face
             | 
             | Who says I don't advocate cutting those too, if you're
             | asking? And I am grey haired, not sure about the ageism.
        
               | bbor wrote:
               | Well, all I'll say is this then: you are a tiny minority.
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | Yet the public voted for someone openly stating they'd
               | carry out DOGE.
               | 
               | Majority is just a collection of tiny minorities, in this
               | case my minority opinion partially aligns. As it turns
               | out minority isn't aways what you think.
        
               | someothherguyy wrote:
               | This RMG survey reports 19% of all voters knowing what
               | DOGE was in December of 2024.
               | 
               | https://napolitannews.org/posts/19-percent-of-voters-
               | know-wh...
               | 
               | (PDF) https://napolitannews.org/assets/pdfs/67633dc0cced7
               | -gcm24-12...
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | Less than 19% knew what the nuclear safety team was, so
               | be careful with the point you're making. There was
               | probably more informed consent for DOGE than many
               | eliminated positions.
        
               | Hasu wrote:
               | You're moving the goalposts. People did not, in fact,
               | vote for DOGE.
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | I said 'the public voted for someone openly stating
               | they'd carry out DOGE.'
               | 
               | They moved the goalposts to what fraction of voters were
               | questionably polled to know about DOGE, because my claim
               | is pretty much irrefutable. Then when I use their own
               | criteria suddenly we cry foul that I used their own goal
               | posts that they shifted to.
        
               | confidantlake wrote:
               | You are single handedly making this discussion
               | unbearable. Congrats I guess?
        
               | someothherguyy wrote:
               | > so be careful with the point you're making
               | 
               | I was attempting to find evidence for your claim, and I
               | found that survey. If you can find other surveys, please
               | share, as I am seeing this being repeated a lot.
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | You were finding evidence for a different goal post you
               | shifted to, that when applied applies even more harshly
               | to the nuclear team.
        
               | lgdiva wrote:
               | Shut up, Jesus Christ...
        
               | confidantlake wrote:
               | The dude is insufferable.
        
               | specialist wrote:
               | I don't follow. Is there a constituency in favor of
               | eliminating governmental nuclear safety?
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | I don't follow. Are we moving the goal posts yet again
               | from the above of what % knew what something was? Because
               | the constituency generally did not know of the nuclear
               | safety team. I don't even know their was a constituency
               | calling for their creation, although there is an argument
               | as to why reps might make them exist anyway.
               | 
               | Are you suggesting their creation was improper? Or
               | suggesting constituency advocation would make it proper?
               | 
               | Either way you might draw uncomfortable conclusions.
        
               | rzz3 wrote:
               | I think defense _spending_ could be cut dramatically
               | without changing our defense _posture nor preparedness_,
               | simply by modernizing inefficient systems, reducing
               | waste, renegotiating contracts, etc. Our defense spending
               | is relatively insane. We should look at Medicare and
               | Medicaid in the same way. I wouldn't want to see benefits
               | reduced, but we certainly should be optimizing costs. I
               | really hope the idea of reducing government waste hasn't
               | become a partisan thing just because the folks doing it
               | right now are doing it very badly.
        
             | amluto wrote:
             | > Finally, a HUGE majority of the costs of the federal
             | government are social security, Medicare, Medicaid, and
             | defense spending. I doubt even the biggest libertarian on
             | here could advocate cutting any those with a straight face
             | 
             | I think plenty of people would like to cut Medicare and
             | Medicaid spending, not by reducing service, but by cleaning
             | up the unbelievably broken medical system in the US.
        
               | ericfr11 wrote:
               | The issue is not with Medicaid: it's with the Big Pharma,
               | their lobbies, and the corruption they generate. For-
               | profit companies can't be in control as something as
               | critical and universal like human health.
        
             | Spooky23 wrote:
             | Many are very much in favor of cutting these services.
             | 
             | As President Musk said, "that necessarily involves some
             | temporary hardship, but it will ensure long-term
             | prosperity"
        
           | hobs wrote:
           | Reverting to the world of 110 years ago in what way resembles
           | today? This sound like you are deeply misplacing your
           | confidence in your personal understanding of the world.
        
             | Xunjin wrote:
             | Not only he is overconfident about his "history knowledge"
             | but is extremely wrong. Comparing that GDP from 110 years
             | ago with today is liking comparing the economics of
             | indigenous tribes with their colonization people.
             | 
             | It's not like comparing apples with oranges, it's literally
             | comparing a bacteria with country.
        
           | James_K wrote:
           | So you're telling me that government spending was continually
           | going up, and while this happened our quality of life
           | massively and suddenly improved? I feel like reversing this
           | process is very bad.
        
             | ty6853 wrote:
             | Unless nirvana is at 100% it has to stop somewhere. What im
             | saying is it didn't continually go up during periods of
             | like growth, and it's not clear such high federal spending
             | is necessary or helpful in improving the human condition.
        
               | James_K wrote:
               | The US government has very low spending (it just appears
               | high due to the military budget) and correspondingly many
               | people in the US have very poor human condition. It's
               | abundantly clear that government spending is a necessity
               | to combat inequality. When the functions of government
               | are privatised, the poor will lose access to these
               | amenities, and the rich will begin to profit from them.
               | The result is a system more unequal in both wealth and
               | allocation. Likewise the destruction of regulations
               | serves mainly to increase the ability for corporations to
               | exploit individuals. These are all clear negative
               | effects, and I have yet to see a positive case for this
               | action. What benefits might there be to decimating the
               | government? The only suggestion I've heard is that the
               | private sector will magically do the government's job
               | better than it can, which is absurd because they could
               | already attempt this and have decided it isn't possible.
        
               | lgdiva wrote:
               | Dude, maybe just admit that your edgelord libertarian
               | fantasy of everything being a corporation is a bad idea.
               | It's fine, you're allowed to change your mind.
        
               | intermerda wrote:
               | There may be a serious discussion to be had about
               | government spending. But it seems that you believe Musk
               | and the rest of the GOP are interested in it. If they
               | were, the House GOP wouldn't have released a budget that
               | asks for 4 trillion debt limit increase while proposing
               | 4.5 trillion tax cuts. Or SpaceX wouldn't be awarded
               | another $40m contract. While it's a drop in the bucket,
               | serious people would at least raise questions about the
               | massive conflict of interest.
               | 
               | Musk and his ilk are interested in looting the treasury.
               | It has nothing to do with government efficiency.
        
           | Hasu wrote:
           | But that growth period also came after the largest Marxist
           | redistribution of wealth from the rich to the poor that's
           | ever happened in America.
        
             | ty6853 wrote:
             | The mythos often presented is mass wealth inequality is
             | incompatible with raising of living standards of the poor.
             | 
             | The poor can gain something at least temporarily by taking
             | it from the rich. Another less violent option is mutually
             | beneficial voluntary interactions.
        
               | Hasu wrote:
               | I'm talking about Emancipation. So no, this isn't
               | temporarily taking something from the rich, or something
               | that could have been solved through "mutually beneficial
               | voluntary action".
               | 
               | The government told a bunch of rich people that the
               | incredibly valuable people they owned were no longer
               | their property, and gave money and land to the people who
               | previously had nothing because they hadn't been
               | considered people. That's what kicked off your Gilded Age
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | You're literally talking about moving violence enforced
               | slavery to something closer to voluntary trade of labor.
               | That's far from exclusively Marxian, even most brands of
               | ancapism advocate such philosophy.
        
               | Hasu wrote:
               | Yes, it's also a wealth transfer, and slaveholders (other
               | than in DC) were not compensated.
               | 
               | If you're ignoring that huge economic event in your
               | analysis of the economics of the latter half of the 19th
               | century, trying to replicate it today is going to be very
               | rough.
               | 
               | Given your other replies in this thread, you're not
               | interested in arguing honestly and I'm not going to
               | continue engaging.
        
               | ty6853 wrote:
               | The involuntary wealth transfer of slavery was from
               | slaves to the rich, not the other way around. Framing it
               | as the slaves taking from the rich when they stopped
               | being slaves by no longer providing free labor is
               | monumentally disingenuous, and I don't think you really
               | believe that.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _I 'm talking about Emancipation_
               | 
               | Emancipation isn't Marxist, historically or conceptually.
               | 
               | > _That 's what kicked off your Gilded Age_
               | 
               | Absolutely not. "Railroads were the major growth
               | industry," with industrialisation and immigration being
               | the era's economic drivers [1]. "The South remained
               | economically devastated after the American Civil War" and
               | remained a drag on the American economy throughout most
               | of the Gilded Age.
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gilded_Age
        
               | Spooky23 wrote:
               | You're out of your mind and blathering out of ignorance.
               | 
               | Nothing about that era resembles Marxism, and I'd guess
               | you'd struggle to tell the difference between Karl Marx
               | and the Marx Brothers.
               | 
               | Reconstruction was shut down. Slaves went from assets to
               | contract services. Jim Crow ensured that there was no
               | movement upward. For the aristocracy, they were hurt by
               | the depredation of war but recovered stronger than before
               | under the new system.
               | 
               | The gilded age was about railroads. The south with their
               | feudalist system was a backwater producing mostly raw
               | material. They moved out of irrelevance because social
               | control allowed them to control the Senate for decades.
        
             | insane_dreamer wrote:
             | Only in the South, and shortlived. The elite quickly
             | regained control of both the land and means of production.
             | 
             | It also had nothing to do with Marxism. There was no
             | redistribution of land as in social revolutions in other
             | countries (France, Russia, China).
        
           | insane_dreamer wrote:
           | Maybe best not to invoke the period with the worst economic
           | inequality in US history as some sort of example?
           | 
           | You're also forgetting the tremendous amount of social unrest
           | during that time because of that inequality (and as a result,
           | the workers rights we enjoy today which largely arose from
           | that period, and the Great Depression, though there have been
           | great efforts to erode them).
        
         | gitfan86 wrote:
         | If you got your information from BBC this comment would make a
         | lot of sense.
         | 
         | If you got your information from economic facts comparing
         | Europe to USA this comment it hilarious
        
           | someothherguyy wrote:
           | > If you got your information from economic facts comparing
           | Europe to USA this comment it hilarious
           | 
           | I don't understand what you mean. Can you please point me to
           | resources to help inform me instead of pointing and laughing?
        
             | scarab92 wrote:
             | Much of Europe is in a recession, or has stagnant economic
             | growth at best.
             | 
             | They've had left leaning governments for too long, and
             | economic stagnation is the natural result of that. You
             | can't regulate your way to prosperity.
        
               | someothherguyy wrote:
               | > They've had left leaning governments for too long, and
               | economic stagnation is the natural result of that. You
               | can't regulate your way to prosperity.
               | 
               | Left-leaning political ideology implies regulation?
               | 
               | What about https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anarcho-
               | capitalism
               | 
               | A more convincing argument for me would detail the
               | regulatory frameworks that lead to economic stagnation,
               | not bucketing a whole continent in an attempt to
               | correlate a glut of regulation with economic stagnation.
        
               | DecoySalamander wrote:
               | If you consider ancap to be a left-leaning ideology you
               | should reread "Classification" section on the page you've
               | linked.
        
               | someothherguyy wrote:
               | It sounds left-leaning? How about
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anarchism
        
               | 4ndrewl wrote:
               | Not sure about that. We had 14 years of right wing
               | government in the UK, and stagnant growth.
        
               | scarab92 wrote:
               | Your right wing government is left wing by our standards
        
               | garden_hermit wrote:
               | Ah, you see, Right Wing government is when economy go up.
               | If economy no go up, it no right wing government.
        
               | gitfan86 wrote:
               | In this context yes, where left wing is closer to Marxism
               | and right wing is closer to capital allocation being done
               | by capitalists.
        
               | nindalf wrote:
               | Interesting theory.
               | 
               | So the UK with 14 years of right wing rule should be
               | humming, but it isn't. Now you're going to claim that
               | "oh, the Tories weren't right wing enough". Nonsense.
               | 
               | Then I'll point out that 12 of the last 16 years in
               | America have been under left wing governments. All filled
               | with policies that a right winger like yourself would no
               | doubt abhor. TARP, Obamacare, CHIPS Act, Inflation
               | Reduction Act - massively left wing. State subsidies
               | handed out left and right, and the American economy grew
               | massively during that time. "Oh, Obama and Biden are
               | actually right wing by European standards". Sure buddy.
               | 
               | Your simplistic world view leads to wrong conclusions,
               | which you'll try to No-True-Scotsman your way out of.
               | None of us are buying it though.
               | 
               | Your worship of right wing ideology saddles you with a
               | crackpot who fires nuclear safety personnel and then
               | attempts to hire them back 2 days later. Spare us the
               | lecture.
        
               | specialist wrote:
               | Austerity (neoliberal) policy is left-leaning?
        
               | LunaSea wrote:
               | UK, France and Germany have been lead by right wing
               | governments for the last 10 years.
        
         | throw0101d wrote:
         | > _We are stumbling fools without systems and rules
         | (organizations, institutions, laws, regulations, ...) to rely
         | on._
         | 
         | There are no organization or institutions or anything else that
         | matters: only _people_ matter. If people don 't bother to have
         | integrity then "institutions" (or anything based around them)
         | are irrelevant.
         | 
         | "There are no institutions, only people." --
         | https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1231219728619835395
         | (possibly quoting Papandreou)
         | 
         | In the US context:
         | 
         | > _Is there no virtue among us? If there be not, we are in a
         | wretched situation. No theoretical checks--no form of
         | government can render us secure. To suppose that any form of
         | government will secure liberty or happiness without any virtue
         | in the people, is a chimerical idea. If there be sufficient
         | virtue and intelligence in the community, it will be exercised
         | in the selection of these men. So that we do not depend on
         | their virtue, or put confidence in our rulers, but in the
         | people who are to choose them._
         | 
         | *
         | https://founders.archives.gov/documents/Madison/01-11-02-010...
        
           | nickdothutton wrote:
           | We are told endlessly in the UK that "institutions are
           | strong". This is about as foolishly optimistic a statement as
           | I can recall hearing, from ostensibly serious people.
           | Institutions are not strong. Institutions are made of people.
           | People are weak, corrupt, lazy, stupid, and endlessly self-
           | serving. Institutions are weak.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _People are weak, corrupt, lazy, stupid, and endlessly
             | self-serving. Institutions are weak_
             | 
             | This is partly a self-fulfilling prophecy. Low-trust
             | societies are filled with weak, corrupted, lazy and stupid
             | leaders.
        
           | dangjc wrote:
           | Institutions try to make people more than the sum of their
           | parts. The free market pits businesses against each other in
           | a way that harnesses overall economic productivity. We've
           | gotten pretty far with our federalized system and balance of
           | branches. Something does seriously need fixing now that
           | polarized parties lead Congress and the courts not to be
           | doing their job checking the executive. And that presidents
           | are chosen more for their charisma than from trust built up
           | by people who actually work with them. A prime minister is
           | chosen by peers, not by a general population that doesn't
           | know what they're capable of.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _many in this country are_
         | 
         | It's exposing the intellectual bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley
         | elite. Between the stupidity and kowtowing it has revealed a
         | startling amount of groupthink and cowardice, even among people
         | I once held as independent thinkers.
        
           | llamaimperative wrote:
           | I highly recommend everyone read the Curtis Yarvin NYTimes
           | interview [linked below] to see the full extent of the
           | intellectual bankruptcy. This guy is apparently seen as some
           | meaningful thinker by the Silicon Valley elite (Vance and
           | Andreesen have quoted him), but in literally his 3rd sentence
           | just straight up lies.
           | 
           | Yarvin's claim: "[In] F.D.R.'s first inaugural address,... he
           | essentially says, Hey, Congress, give me absolute power, or
           | I'll take it anyway"
           | 
           | From FDR's speech: "I shall ask the Congress for the one
           | remaining instrument to meet the crisis--broad Executive
           | power to wage a war against the emergency..."
           | 
           | Operative phrase: "I shall _ask_ the Congress "
           | 
           | These people are, at best, dishonest and cowardly. Even more
           | disappointing, it's increasingly clear the only indicator of
           | _actual intelligence_ is net worth. This is rather lossy
           | signal, unfortunately.
           | 
           | Interview:
           | https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/18/magazine/curtis-yarvin-
           | in...
        
             | kernal wrote:
             | Why would any rational person read the rantings of a
             | radical far left socialist on a site and newspaper known
             | for spreading democrat propaganda? That's like telling
             | people to watch CNN and MSDNC to get their news.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | Are you referring to Yarvin as a far left socialist? He's
               | about as far from a socialist as you can get.
               | 
               | Also: It's a literal interview lol. You get to read his
               | own answers to (very light) skeptical questioning.
               | 
               | You can see him completely elide (or forget, or not
               | know?) that CEOs are accountable to boards and,
               | ultimately, to shareholders. You get to see him dismiss
               | his own child's fears about Trump's wall by first
               | forgetting (or deceiving, again) that Trump did indeed
               | start building a physical, literal wall, _then_ assure
               | his child that _his_ life won 't change as he attends a
               | fancy private Mandarin immersion school in San Francisco.
               | 
               | The hypocrisy and intellectual dishonesty just cannot
               | help but seep out of this supposedly serious thinker!
               | 
               | Of course the real value of his philosophy is its
               | conclusion that the ultrawealthy should rule the world.
               | So the ahistoricism, dishonesty, and internal incoherence
               | hardly matter to the Silicon Valley elite.
        
           | harimau777 wrote:
           | Isn't that more or less the behavior that's normally
           | associated with the professional managerial class? That is to
           | say: They throw in with whatever side will give them prestige
           | and privilege.
        
         | insane_dreamer wrote:
         | > stems from weak regulation in the US to begin with
         | 
         | I don't know about that, but certainly it has exposed a
         | significant weakness in the US democratic structure: it is
         | based on the supposition that everyone will follow the rules
         | (i.e., accepting the results of an election, following the laws
         | passed by congress, etc.) A president who defies both
         | conventions and laws is hard to stop. The only mechanism is
         | impeachment, and that as we have seen is _extremely difficult_
         | to do -- in many cases that has been used frivolously by both
         | parties, but even in the case where it should have been a slam
         | dunk -- Trump's attempted coup -- the most GOP senators were
         | too afraid of their own re-election chances because of Trump's
         | ability to "rile up the masses" (look at Liz Cheney). A climate
         | of fear is an essential part of authoritarianism because it
         | paralyzes those who might be able to take action to ensure that
         | the democratic principles are upheld.
         | 
         | When you have an angry mob attack the capitol building and
         | threaten to kill politicians, and they are pardoned by the
         | person who incited them, that generates a lot of fear.
        
           | nerdix wrote:
           | This is correct. I don't think it is possible to design a
           | democratic system that is impervious to authoritarianism when
           | a large enough percentage of the population is in favor of
           | it. After the last election, it is clear that a slight
           | majority of Americans are either in favor of outright
           | authoritarianism or are at least not turned off by it.
           | 
           | I wonder how much is this is "rational" due to Congress being
           | broken as an institution. Hyper-partisanship and an unchecked
           | filibuster means that Congress is stuck in permanent
           | gridlock. The only way to get anything done is through
           | executive power. But the system wasn't designed to work that
           | way and so the checks on executive power can seem stifling to
           | progress. It seems that many are willing to look the other
           | way if they feel like its the only way to get what they want
           | done. Concern only seems to come into play when its the other
           | side wielding power. And this seems to be true across the
           | aisle. Many on the left were frustrated with Biden's
           | perceived timidity when it came to exercising executive
           | power. And I feel like he was pressured into doing things
           | that he wasn't fully comfortable doing unilaterally
           | (especially regarding student loan forgiveness). Of course,
           | the difference is that Biden spent 40 years in the Senate,
           | understands the role of Congress in government, and had no
           | intention of "ignoring the rules". Trump isn't limited by
           | that type of thinking since he had no experience with, no
           | great knowledge of, or respect for American government.
        
             | cutemonster wrote:
             | > it is clear that a slight majority of Americans are
             | either in favor
             | 
             | Or when a large enough percentage is easy to fool and
             | manipulate, too many dumb and uneducated. Lots of failure
             | modes
        
       | yeyeyeyeyeyeyee wrote:
       | The US is busy making the biggest own-goal one could imagine.
       | 
       | From a position of world-wide dominance and respect, it is being
       | destroyed at a rate that is too quick for most to even start to
       | comprehend what the outcome of these actions will be. I suspect
       | the consequences of these actions will be carried for the rest of
       | our lives, as they are not so easy to turn back.
       | 
       | Lots of other countries are standing by watching while the USA
       | has seemingly found enough rope to hang itself.
        
         | gambiting wrote:
         | Well, Brexit took the spot previously. Not sure if US can top
         | it, but they sure as hell trying.
        
           | nickpeterson wrote:
           | It's like blood letting, but less effective.
        
           | lokimedes wrote:
           | You have go go back to the collapse of the British empire to
           | witness anything this grand. And that was driven by external
           | factors.
        
             | drawkward wrote:
             | This is Russia driven. Its right out of Aleksandr Dugin's
             | playbook for Russian political dominance:
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundations_of_Geopolitics
        
               | hrgak100 wrote:
               | Dugin had ideas of spheres of influence. Roughly
               | speaking, he thought that America should be dominated by
               | the US, Europe/Africa by the EU and Asia by Russia.
               | 
               | This however coincides with the much older ideas of the
               | technocracy movement, which was championed by Musk's
               | grandfather Haldeman:
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technocracy_movement#The_Te
               | chn...
               | 
               | So it is not necessarily Russia driven, but surely RT has
               | recently published an article that defends the Technate
               | (RT is blocked, so here is a copy):
               | 
               | https://thepressunited.com/updates/heres-why-trump-
               | really-wa...
               | 
               | Europe is a bit slow in picking up on all this: Russia,
               | the US and China are carving up the world and Macron
               | calls a summit to determine how to make Russia and China
               | eternal enemies. The EU (and Ukraine!) have been played
               | since 2008/2014.
        
               | deepsquirrelnet wrote:
               | > In the Americas, United States, and Canada: Russia
               | should use its special services within the borders of the
               | United States and Canada to fuel instability and
               | separatism against neoliberal globalist Western hegemony,
               | such as, for instance, provoke "Afro-American racists" to
               | create severe backlash against the rotten political state
               | of affairs in the current present-day system of the
               | United States and Canada. Russia should "introduce
               | geopolitical disorder into internal American activity,
               | encouraging all kinds of separatism and ethnic, social,
               | and racial conflicts, actively supporting all dissident
               | movements - extremist, racist, and sectarian groups, thus
               | destabilizing internal political processes in the U.S. It
               | would also make sense simultaneously to support
               | isolationist tendencies in American politics".
               | 
               | It sounds like he's less concerned about the west, but
               | knows that there needs to be political chaos in order to
               | prevent the US from interfering with Russia's political
               | goals.
               | 
               | I guess that seems obvious at this point, but worrisome
               | that the US government is now actively supporting of
               | those goals.
               | 
               | If you take an objective view that these are geopolitical
               | conditions that would be beneficial to Russian
               | objectives, and pair it with the concurrency of these
               | things playing out, then it's hard to see it as
               | coincidence.
        
               | machomaster wrote:
               | In the same vain and USA's politics it driven by
               | Unabomber.
               | 
               | Dugin's influence on Putin/Russia is a total fake news.
               | Aleksandr "Putin's favorite political/historical/cultural
               | icon/advisor according to Western media" Dugin, has NEVER
               | even met with Putin, as in not a single time.
               | 
               | Don't spread fake news.
        
               | drawkward wrote:
               | You do realize that ideas can be spread by other means
               | than face to face conversation, right?
               | 
               | Your argument is super goofy.
               | 
               | David Foster Wallace is my favorite author, and I've
               | never even met the guy!
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | It's not Russia driven.
               | 
               | It's driven by Trump and Musk egos. It's Nero watching
               | Rome burn, to bring about his new greatness.
        
               | drawkward wrote:
               | It does seem quite implicating that both Musk and Trump
               | have had multiple reported private calls with Putin. I
               | dont recall other ex presidents meeting with Putin so
               | frequently.
               | 
               | Missing dossiers of Russian Intel from Mar-a-Lago...which
               | of course we never got to hear the full story of thanks
               | to Judge Cannon and SCOTUS.
               | 
               | This is so on the nose it would be rejected if someone
               | wrote it as a novel or film.
        
               | conception wrote:
               | Not to mention all the republicans who had dinner with
               | him on July 4th of all dates. I think Stein has visited a
               | few tomes as well.
        
               | Spooky23 wrote:
               | [delayed]
        
           | grandempire wrote:
           | All the catastrophic things that were predicted form Brexit
           | didn't really happen though
        
             | enraged_camel wrote:
             | Yes they did? Is this a joke? Or have you not been
             | following the UK's descent into poverty and irrelevance?
        
               | grandempire wrote:
               | Here a few that were seriously threatened
               | 
               | - all the major corporations would leave and there would
               | be no jobs - collapse of the pound - start of wars within
               | the UK and potentially with EU
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | The UK's GDP per capita trajectory diverged around the
               | end of the Great Recession. That was before the Brexit
               | vote (2016) and long before the actual Brexit (2020).
               | France and Italy have been stuck in more or less the same
               | doldrums since the same time: https://datacommons.org/pla
               | ce/country/FRA?utm_medium=explore...
        
               | Ylpertnodi wrote:
               | As a fairly regular visitor (for work), what particular
               | doldrums are you referencing? Admittedly, the loss of the
               | US market will be a big blow for exports, but the anti-US
               | (Trump) feelings strongly would put up with a financial
               | hit rather than dealing with Mr. Loopy. And Tesla's are
               | becoming very unpopular...and unsellable.
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | The per capita GDP of France, Italy, and the UK have been
               | flat since 2009.
        
               | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
               | I'm not disagreeing with your main point (by a host of
               | metrics, the UK and EU have stagnated economically
               | compared to the US since the end of the great recession),
               | but I also don't think GDP per capita is the best metric
               | to use here given widening levels of inequality. Median
               | income levels taking into account government transfers
               | are much more informative in my opinion.
        
               | Aloisius wrote:
               | Em. Those aren't inflation adjusted.
               | 
               | - UK - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NYGDPPCAPKDGBR
               | 
               | - FR - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NYGDPPCAPKDFRA
               | 
               | - IT - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NYGDPPCAPKDITA
               | 
               | It would be somewhat unusual if they didn't all look
               | similarish given the level of trade between them.
               | 
               | The UK government predicted a 2% reduction in growth over
               | 15 years with a soft brexit compared to what it would
               | have been otherwise, but seeing it on a graph may be
               | difficult given those countries were _also_ hurt by
               | Brexit.
        
               | dukeyukey wrote:
               | I'm as anti-Brexit as they come, but it didn't change the
               | UK's direction much. It's still the 2nd richest European
               | state (with the 1st declining fast), the 3rd largest tech
               | ecosystem worldwide, one of the premier military powers.
               | Brexit wasn't great, or even good, but it's not
               | disastrous.
        
               | hnhg wrote:
               | That's because Europe overall is declining fast. However
               | the rest of the world is rising fast and the next ten
               | years should be interesting from this alone.
        
               | cinntaile wrote:
               | What metrics are you using?
        
             | hermitcrab wrote:
             | It is significantly worse the most pundits predicted.
        
               | coldtea wrote:
               | Not tied to failing and increasingly irrelevant EU?
               | 
               | What is significantly worse, is the governing clases
               | continuing the same pre-Brexit policies and deals post-
               | Brexit, to nullify it.
        
               | redserk wrote:
               | The UK is becoming a destination country for hiring low-
               | cost services labor. Not exactly an endorsement of future
               | success.
        
               | grandempire wrote:
               | Low cost compared to what? California and New York?
               | That's also true of many states where finance and tech
               | companies have smaller offices.
        
               | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
               | I live in Texas and contract for a company based in
               | Europe. Comparable UK software engineering salaries are
               | about 1/3-1/2 of what my salary expectations are.
        
               | grandempire wrote:
               | I would do a quick google search of Brexit news articles
               | with the year 2016.
        
               | hermitcrab wrote:
               | I was living in the UK at a time. Nobody worth listening
               | to was predicting war or famine.
        
               | grandempire wrote:
               | So you agree that there was a large amount of hyperbole
               | which was intended to create fear but not constructed in
               | good faith?
               | 
               | that's what I would conclude from "it exists but wasn't
               | taken seriously"
        
               | hermitcrab wrote:
               | No.
        
               | grandempire wrote:
               | I randomly sampled a few articles. And I think you're
               | right and I'm wrong. The economic messaging is aggressive
               | and was wrong, but I'm not seeing famine and war.
               | 
               | Here is an article that sampled various expert opinions:
               | 
               | " This event will unleash the kind of uncertainty that
               | Keynes had in mind when he said "we simply do not know"
               | when referring to the likely effect of war. Such
               | uncertainty can only be disruptive for financial markets.
               | We will enter a new era of volatility that is likely to
               | last until these difficult negotiations are completed."
               | 
               | "it is more likely than not that we will witness
               | political instability."
               | 
               | " Such market reactions could sharply contract economic
               | activity, further depressing asset prices in a self-
               | reinforcing cycle"
               | 
               | https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/brexit-potential-
               | financial-ca...
               | 
               | So I agree, the more extreme must have been amplified
               | voices from the fringe, on places like Reddit.
        
               | hermitcrab wrote:
               | >"it is more likely than not that we will witness
               | political instability."
               | 
               | We have had 5 Prime Ministers since 2019.
               | 
               | Some of the problems we are seeing are due to the
               | pandemic and the war in Ukraine. But Brexit is the
               | biggest factor by far. And 100% self-inflicted. It is the
               | elephant in the room that the politicians can't even talk
               | about it, as it's electoral poison.
        
           | enraged_camel wrote:
           | Brexit pales in comparison to the damage that has _already_
           | been done to the US federal government. The dust just hasn't
           | settled yet so most of it not visible right now.
        
             | rayiner wrote:
             | What "damage?" All those valuable USAID employees now have
             | to look for honest work that doesn't involve destabilizing
             | Asian countries?
        
               | MVissers wrote:
               | And the Chinese will pick up the pieces in Africa and
               | other places.
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | Which is good for those countries. In my home country of
               | Bangladesh, China is helping build infrastructure. While
               | the U.S. was bankrolling left wing social and activist
               | programs to destabilize the government (and ultimately
               | contributed to the recent overthrow of the government,
               | which will derail a decade of consistent growth).
        
               | philipwhiuk wrote:
               | But really bad for American world view, force projection
               | and so on.
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | What "American world view?"
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | Chinese actions come with the same global political
               | ambitions as the US foreign aid has. Don't be naive as to
               | their ends.
        
               | enraged_camel wrote:
               | It's instructive that you mention only USAID. Based on
               | past conversations, you were born and raised in Asia,
               | right? So maybe you have an ax to grind. What about all
               | the other agencies that are being gutted?
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | It's more than that I'm Asian. The same arrogance and
               | disregard for popular sovereignty in other countries that
               | you see at USAID/State/NED has metastasized and been
               | turned inward. "Deplorables" is how Acela types see
               | Iowans and Bangladeshis alike.
               | 
               | As the parent of a kid who got put in a "BIPOC" affinity
               | group, I'm thrilled about the cuts to DOEd and the hammer
               | coming down on teaching race consciousness
               | (https://www.ed.gov/media/document/dear-colleague-letter-
               | sffa...).
               | 
               | My dad spent his career in public health. He did things
               | like convince villagers in Bangladesh to trust hospitals
               | instead of midwives. So I'm thrilled to see cuts at NHS
               | and CDC, which torched public trust by making exceptions
               | to Covid lockdowns for protests. Those people are just
               | bad at their jobs--everyone in public health knows you
               | don't do shit like that.
               | 
               | I can't wait to see what Tulsi does to the intelligence
               | services that lied us into the Iraq War, and what Kash
               | does to the FBI that investigated conservative parents as
               | domestic terrorists. These agencies are full of disloyal
               | people who think they know better than the public, and
               | few people are going to lament them getting canned.
               | 
               | As a train nerd who took Amtrak every day to work for two
               | years I hope we fire every manager at Amtrak.
               | 
               | I hope the social security checks keep coming. The FAA
               | and FCC generally seems to do a pretty good job. That's
               | about it.
        
               | Barracoon wrote:
               | The Tulsi that pushes Russian disinformation? That should
               | do well for rooting out lying. Also some facts:
               | Intelligence services did not lie us into the Iraq war -
               | politicians did. Politicians manipulated intelligence
               | reporting to fit their narrative. Since you seem to like
               | conspiracy theories, it should be obvious that this was
               | so Halliburton, the company vice president Dick Cheney
               | was CEO of, could profit from government contracts. Guess
               | what CEO will now profit from government contracts due to
               | all the lying from the current slate of politicans.
               | 
               | And by conservative parents as domestic terrorists, I
               | assume you mean the people convicted of crime due to
               | their actual criminal actions on Jan. 6?
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | > The Tulsi that pushes Russian disinformation
               | 
               | People talking about all this Russia shit sound like
               | Reagan/Bush republicans.
        
               | monetus wrote:
               | You sound like a Russian troll...
        
               | tzs wrote:
               | > And by conservative parents as domestic terrorists, I
               | assume you mean the people convicted of crime due to
               | their actual criminal actions on Jan. 6?
               | 
               | I think he means parents who made threats of violence
               | against school boards.
        
               | totallynothoney wrote:
               | Buddy, Amtrak is gonna be gone in a decade if Trump
               | remembers it exists.
               | 
               | https://www.reddit.com/r/transit/comments/1f1vdz8/trumps_
               | rec...
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | The damage to the US's global influence and stature.
               | Whether that's morally a good or bad thing is a separate
               | question. There is no question the US has screwed over a
               | lot of countries. But be aware that the Chinese will step
               | into the void as they already have in Africa. And those
               | countries may find themselves out of the frying pan and
               | into the fire. As bad as the USA is (and it's pretty bad)
               | it's still better than China (though at the rate it's
               | digressing this may not be true for much longer).
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | But why should Americans care about any of that? Do you
               | think the Chinese care what we think of them?
        
             | insane_dreamer wrote:
             | Not sure about that. Brexit was irreversible. We can
             | potentially begin to reverse this in 4 years time. But yes
             | it could take decades.
        
               | croes wrote:
               | Regain trust is hard and the US allies have lost it.
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | True. But remember that Bush similarly broke European
               | trust with his "war on terror", and Obama was able to
               | repair those bridges.
               | 
               | But yeah, it's worse this time around.
        
         | rayiner wrote:
         | > From a position of world-wide dominance and respect
         | 
         | Why should Americans care what foreigners think of them? Most
         | people in the world aren't Americans and have values alien to
         | Americans. We're in the middle of sorting out a disloyal
         | administrative state that needs to be brought to heel. Eggs
         | will get broken to make the omelet. But outside the Acela class
         | (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/politics-podcast-are-
         | th...) nobody wants to be governed from DC. Many want more
         | funding for their local schools or bigger social security
         | checks, and they'll caucus with the Acela class because they
         | must. But they're not going to worry about personnel changes in
         | government bureaucracies. And their opinion is the only thing
         | that matters.
        
           | dukeyukey wrote:
           | Americans should care because America isn't the world. So
           | much wealth and power derives from people seeing you as the
           | good guy. Blowing that up will make America poorer.
        
             | rayiner wrote:
             | The US is far less dependent on trade than the average
             | country. We could close our borders to the world entirely
             | and be fine after an initial discomfort.
             | 
             | And nobody has has seen America as the "good guy" in my
             | lifetime. We're the country that destabilizes Latin
             | American and Asian countries, bombs the Middle East, etc. I
             | used to think there was at least a logic to all that, but
             | it turns out our elites were just ideologues and morons.
        
               | MVissers wrote:
               | I can tell you that the non-US west has lost a lot of
               | goodwill in the last few weeks.
               | 
               | There are boycott's afoot and I wouldn't be surprised if
               | canada and Europe will choose more Chinese and domestic
               | in the future.
               | 
               | Basically, the US closing its borders will lead to a
               | Chinese world leadership which is not good for the US
               | either.
        
               | zimpenfish wrote:
               | > We could close our borders to the world entirely and be
               | fine after an initial discomfort.
               | 
               | I'm no economist but a trade deficit in the hundreds of
               | billions[0] suggests otherwise.
               | 
               | [0] Wikipedia says 773B for 2023.
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | Which is just 3.3% of GDP.
        
               | zimpenfish wrote:
               | > Which is just 3.3% of GDP.
               | 
               | Again, I'm not an economist, bear with me and explain
               | what that's got to do with the trade deficit being a
               | deficit? You could have a GDP of a quintillion dollars a
               | year but if you're consistently running a trade deficit
               | (which the US has for decades), that strongly implies you
               | cannot close your borders with impunity.
               | 
               | If you could supply the goods cheaper than importing
               | them, people would, no? Simple capitalism!
        
               | philipwhiuk wrote:
               | More than enough to push you into a recession even
               | ignoring the reality that your current growth rate is
               | propelled by a very frothy tech sector.
        
               | yndoendo wrote:
               | USA exports are idling around 1/4 to near 1/3 of the GDP.
               | Our economy is heavily tied to imports from other
               | counties.
               | 
               | When it comes to isolation I think of this:
               | The word invasion itself is a good example of this.
               | A French ironmaster says: "We must protect ourselves from
               | the invasion of English iron!" An English landlord cries:
               | "We must repel the invasion of French wheat!" And they
               | urge the erection of barriers between the two nations.
               | Barriers result in isolation; isolation gives rise to
               | hatred; hatred, to war; war, to invasion. "What
               | difference does it make?" say the two sophists. "Is it
               | not better to risk the possibility of invasion than to
               | accept the certainty of invasion?" And the people believe
               | them, and the barriers remain standing.              And
               | yet, what analogy is there between an exchange and an
               | invasion? What possible similarity can there be between a
               | warship that comes to vomit missiles, fire, and
               | devastation on our cities, and a merchant vessel that
               | comes to offer us a voluntary exchange of goods for
               | goods?
        
               | lossolo wrote:
               | Who do you think buys U.S. debt (2 trillion this year)
               | and props up the U.S. stock exchange and assets when
               | recycling USD?
        
               | sudosysgen wrote:
               | The US is extremely dependent on trade because the US
               | needs the USD to be the currency of trade and reserve to
               | sustain its debt and deficits, without which GDP would
               | drop precipitously.
               | 
               | The US isn't far less dependent, China is at 37% GDP from
               | trade to the US's 27% but doesn't have the structural
               | dependency on trade from having the reserve currency.
        
               | insane_dreamer wrote:
               | While American, I've lived most of my life abroad, and
               | share with your world view of the US.
               | 
               | But after having spent years living in China, and being
               | very familiar with the political situation there and
               | their global ambitions, I'm afraid that the alternative
               | to the US is even worse.
               | 
               | Have a democratic system has somewhat of a moderating
               | effect on the worst impulses of the US elite. China has
               | no such guardrails.
        
           | SG- wrote:
           | I mean ignoring all the trade that will wither away to/from
           | America and slowly be diverted to other countries instead
           | (lost American money/opportunity), there's also lost tourism
           | money from people not wanting to come spend their vacations
           | there (lost money).
        
             | rayiner wrote:
             | When I hear people crow about lost "trade" it makes me
             | think about this guy from Frozen:
             | https://disney.fandom.com/wiki/Duke_of_Weselton
        
           | bix6 wrote:
           | For anyone else wondering:
           | 
           | The "Acela class" is a term used, often pejoratively, to
           | refer to the elite political, business, and media class
           | concentrated along the Northeast Corridor of the United
           | States, particularly in cities like Washington, D.C., New
           | York, and Boston. The term comes from the Acela Express,
           | Amtrak's high-speed train that runs between these cities,
           | symbolizing the connectedness of this group.
           | 
           | Critics use it to describe a political and economic elite
           | perceived as out of touch with the rest of the country,
           | especially with working-class and rural Americans. It's often
           | associated with establishment politics, bureaucratic power,
           | and coastal liberalism.
        
             | rayiner wrote:
             | It also refers to a political faction in the electorate,
             | comprising about 11% of voters, that has interests and
             | values aligned with that group:
             | https://www.ncronline.org/opinion/ncr-voices/what-if-we-
             | had-.... E.g. knowledge workers who benefit from
             | globalization and upper middle class people who benefit
             | from cheap labor provided by illegal immigrants.
        
               | woooooo wrote:
               | The republican core of exurban/rural ownership class
               | benefits far more directly from immigrant labor than the
               | liberal professional class.
               | 
               | Professionals might have a housekeeper or get their lawns
               | done, but they're not employing a kitchen or construction
               | site full of people.
        
               | rayiner wrote:
               | What percent of republicans do you think employ illegal
               | immigrants lol. This isn't 1980.
        
               | woooooo wrote:
               | I'm saying that the people who employ illegal immigrants
               | tend to be republican small business owners. They're not
               | a majority of republicans but they are the heart of the
               | party in the way educated professionals are for the dems.
        
           | DiogenesKynikos wrote:
           | It's funny how hundreds of millions of normal Chinese people
           | belong to the "Acela class."[0] Supporting decent public
           | infrastructure does not make one an elitist.
           | 
           | 0. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-speed_rail_in_China
        
             | vinay427 wrote:
             | As another commenter noted, I believe the phrase is used as
             | a metonym (?) here to refer to a class of people that is
             | largely unrelated to support for public transport.
        
           | digdugdirk wrote:
           | It's not embarrassing reversals, that's the problem. People
           | who want the government to work well for the general
           | population will leave, and those that can't find employment
           | in the private sector will stay. So we're immediately left
           | with a less capable government.
           | 
           | Those who stay will be doing so with the full understanding
           | of the vindictive nature of the current administration. What
           | makes you think these employees will stand up to illegal
           | requests? What makes you think they'll go the extra mile?
           | It's a bad situation all around, and it's going to get worse
           | before it gets better.
        
           | throwme0827349 wrote:
           | Laws are being broken to make the omelet. Will the executive
           | constrain itself to breaking only the laws you don't like,
           | and stop when you want it to? Will the legislative branch
           | cede it's authority and responsibilities only temporarily?
           | 
           | It might hard to unscramble that omelet if we want the rule
           | of law back later.
        
             | rayiner wrote:
             | The laws were broken in the 1930s when we created the
             | unconstitutional monstrosity that is the modern executive
             | branch. If you want to turn that back then I'm on board.
             | 
             | But if not then it must at least be democratically
             | responsive. When republicans win the presidency--or a
             | progressive or populist democrat--the 90% of the
             | administrative state that's comprised of Acela liberals
             | should be asking how high to jump. Otherwise you have a
             | system that's not worth saving.
        
               | dctoedt wrote:
               | > _The laws were broken in the 1930s when we created the
               | unconstitutional monstrosity that is the modern executive
               | branch_
               | 
               | That's bibliolatry, directed to a long-obsolete
               | interpretation of the Constitution and the role of the
               | federal government. FDR was analogous to Copernicus and
               | Kepler, rescuing the country from Ptolemaic
               | interpretations of the Constitution that were based on
               | outdated data sets. He pushed successfully for a
               | pragmatic reinterpretation -- not inconsistent with the
               | text -- that allowed effective federal government action
               | to deal with a global crisis.
               | 
               | No, FDR's New Deal didn't end the Great Depression (that
               | was done by World War II). But the New Deal _did_ help
               | hold off what could easily have turned into
               | authoritarianism of the Huey Long variety.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bibliolatry
        
           | mindslight wrote:
           | A "disloyal" administrative state for trying to perform their
           | boring congressionally-designated jobs in response to a
           | pandemic, rather than falling in line with supporting the
           | president's personal business interests by saying everything
           | was fine and telling people to continue going to hotels? Uh-
           | huh.
           | 
           | The government is not a corporation and the president is not
           | a unilateral dictator. You're right about other cultures
           | having values alien to Americans, and perhaps you need to do
           | some introspection there before making political arguments.
        
           | jjk166 wrote:
           | Because we're proud of our country, unlike certain traitors.
        
         | trescenzi wrote:
         | It's like the "fish don't know they are in water" saying. As an
         | American if you weren't educated to be aware of Pax Americana
         | you very much struggle to understand it. The current world
         | order is far from perfect and many suffer as a result but the
         | people in charge of this effort absolutely benefit from it far
         | more than they seem to understand.
        
           | totallynothoney wrote:
           | As a non-American cinemagoer, I wonder who will be the
           | Chinese equivalent of Michael Bay.
        
         | coldtea wrote:
         | > _From a position of world-wide dominance and respect_
         | 
         | It already had very low respect (except by paid hacks and
         | client states) and declining world-wide dominance for decades.
         | And the churn rate for those very dissaponting results,
         | reflected in public debt, was huge.
         | 
         | And that's assuming a nation having "world-wide dominance" is a
         | good thing to begin with.
        
         | tim333 wrote:
         | NYT sub headline just now:
         | 
         | >...concerns that the U.S. will abandon Europe and align with
         | President Vladimir Putin of Russia.
         | 
         | Nothing to worry about with Musk doing nazi salutes and Trump
         | looking at hanging with the nearest we have to a modern reich.
        
           | insane_dreamer wrote:
           | The US just decided to negotiate with Putin directly, leaving
           | Europe out of it even though they're the ones affected by the
           | Russia-Ukraine war, not the US.
           | 
           | And Vance explicitly said that Russia can't be expected to go
           | back to the pre-war borders. In other words, Russia gets what
           | they want (Donbas).
        
         | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
         | There have been a lot of times over the past couple weeks where
         | I've thought "OK, is the US toast now??", and the thing that
         | finally did it for me was Trump's prominent post "He who saves
         | his Country does not violate any Law."
         | 
         | Trump announced the rule of law is dead and there has been
         | basically _no pushback_. I mean, sure, it may have just been
         | bluster, but the Republicans used to put the idea of the
         | Constitution on a pedestal. Now the president is saying, loudly
         | and prominently, that laws don 't apply to him (or anyone who
         | is "saving" the country), and it's crickets.
         | 
         | There is no way the US comes back from this in my opinion. I'm
         | not saying something like "collapse" is imminent, but I think
         | the decline is irreversible once the rule of law has been
         | declared null and void.
         | 
         | Also, while I obviously have my opinions, I honestly would be
         | genuinely interested in someone who has a different take (i.e.
         | who thinks Trump's statement isn't as catastrophic as I think
         | it is) to explain their rationale.
        
       | r4make wrote:
       | Musk himself has received billions in social security in the form
       | of subsidies, government contracts and stock market rallies
       | fueled by nepotism.
       | 
       | https://edition.cnn.com/2024/11/20/business/elon-musk-wealth...
       | 
       | Where will the money he purportedly saves in the bureaucracies
       | go? Will houses be built for the Appalachian voters that were oh
       | so important before the election?
       | 
       | Will it be use to subsidize another telemedicine scam for all-in
       | podcast members, who are also on Megyn Kelly's show now?
        
         | tim333 wrote:
         | "social security" isn't really true. If the government offers
         | subsidies for electric vehicles and you then set up a company
         | making those that isn't really social security.
        
       | yesthis wrote:
       | Now that they've been fired, the gov't has lost the
       | goodwill/loyalty from the staff. In other words, the gov't is
       | competing with private industry rates. Unfortunately for
       | taxpayers, rehiring is always more expensive.
        
       | James_K wrote:
       | In saner times this headline would be from the Onion, not the
       | BBC.
        
       | 1970-01-01 wrote:
       | They certainly can name their new price due to urgency but
       | struggles is a bit of an overstretch. They certainly know where
       | they live. A knock at the door with flowers and a big bonus check
       | will do.
        
         | halJordan wrote:
         | Can you just please read the article? The bbc writes to about a
         | sixth grade standard.
         | 
         | They literally do not have contact information after they
         | deleted the .gov email addresses
         | 
         | Edit: and they cant "name their price" because unlike the
         | private sector there is legally mandated pay scale. Which is
         | just another reason why firing g-men to save money makes no
         | sense
        
           | 1970-01-01 wrote:
           | Did you not read my entire comment? The gov will certainly
           | know where they live and breathe. A non-creative approach is
           | easier. Paychecks and bonus checks are separately accounted.
        
             | bobsmooth wrote:
             | How will they know if they fired the guy who's responsible
             | for knowing?
        
               | DangitBobby wrote:
               | It is unbelievable that they would be unable to figure
               | out where these people live. I literally do not believe
               | it.
        
               | steve_adams_86 wrote:
               | Can we all agree it's absolutely absurd that it's a chore
               | at all to find out, let alone to have this need in the
               | first place? This is insane.
        
           | insane_dreamer wrote:
           | Their contact information will be in the payroll, assuming
           | they know the full names of those they fired.
           | 
           | But yeah, there are pay scales. Anyone who knows they can get
           | a job for more elsewhere (the most talented among them) is
           | likely to say "fuck this shit".
        
       | wat10000 wrote:
       | In the first Trump admin, Rick Perry was picked to head the
       | Department of Energy with the goal of shutting it down. These
       | cockwombles thought the DoE was about pushing green energy and
       | recycling and stuff like that. Once on the job, Perry discovered
       | that he was in charge of the nation's nuclear arsenal. To his
       | credit, he course corrected and seems to have done a decent job
       | once he found out what it was.
       | 
       | It's the same story again, except with even less competence and
       | knowledge.
       | 
       | It's incredible that half the voters in this country thought this
       | guy was a good choice for our leader.
        
       | deadeye wrote:
       | "US media reported"
       | 
       | That's not a source. This is how the media just makes things up.
       | 
       | After admitting that 8% of the BBC media action budget came from
       | US taxpayers which has now been cencelled, I wonder if they might
       | have an ax to grid.
        
         | sigmar wrote:
         | For anyone who has no idea what the "BBC Media Action" is (like
         | me, before googling). It's a small international charity-
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/BBC_Media_Action
        
       | Balgair wrote:
       | So, my SO had a fellowship with the NNSA here. As in, the NNSA
       | paid for their grad school.
       | 
       | I'll speak to my own experiences here though as the spouse.
       | 
       | The NNSA is, like, bonkers important. I'll just copy-paste
       | wikipedia here:
       | 
       | "The National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) is ...
       | responsible for safeguarding national security through the
       | military application of nuclear science. NNSA maintains and
       | enhances the safety, security, and effectiveness of the U.S.
       | nuclear weapons stockpile; works to reduce the global danger from
       | weapons of mass destruction; provides the United States Navy with
       | safe and effective nuclear propulsion; and responds to nuclear
       | and radiological emergencies in the United States and abroad."
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Nuclear_Security_Admi...
       | 
       | The reason it took until 2000 to make them is tied up with the
       | silver tsunami and congress. But suffice to say, we really
       | _really_ need them. A lot of their stuff is very classified, but
       | the presentation that I was allowed to attend were quite eye
       | opening. Most of the presentations are on things like blast
       | resistance in microsceonds of a door or some z-pinch magnetic
       | experiment. But there were are lot on the national security
       | picture at the time too. The main concern is that the nukes are
       | aging. Stuffing 1950 's breadboards next to that much radiation
       | for 50 years wasn't the plan, we were thinking of using them a
       | bit more quickly than that. But now we have them and can't be
       | sure if they'll work. There are a lot of other issues too, big
       | ones, but I'll let the interested people here discover more on
       | their own.
       | 
       | Here's a list of conferences that can get you going on where to
       | find more: https://nssc.berkeley.edu/events-and-programs/nssc-
       | conferenc...
       | 
       | Youtube also has a lot of them online too:
       | https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=nnsa+conference
       | 
       | The general side I saw was in my spouse trying to be recruited by
       | the NNSA to work for them after graduation. The silver tsunami is
       | a big deal in DoD government. And the issue for us at the time
       | was the very much lowered pay. One of the main sites was the
       | square mile that is Livermore National Labs. But with a PhD in
       | the right fields and the NNSA fellowship, my spouse could easily
       | just go across the Dumbarton bridge for about 4x the pay and
       | mostly just as good benefits (the retirement plans aren't quite
       | as stellar, but only a little). So, this is where HN/tech and the
       | NNSA merge: employee competition.
       | 
       | Now, I'm not surprised that they're reporting that a lot of the
       | fired employees are not coming back. The big thing that they had
       | going for them, personally, was 'the mission' and the quiet
       | respect and admiration that the government and therefore the
       | people of the US had for them and their sacrifices (classified
       | work has a lot of sacrifice that is not seen, especially in
       | nuclear work, much more so than beyond just pay).
       | 
       | That they were fired, likely by some random 20 something from
       | DOGE (read: not a _flag_ rank military officer (Admiral+) or an
       | elected official of national office (Senator+)), without notice,
       | last Thursday. Man, that hurt the ego a lot, and fundamentally
       | altered the bargain that they had with the government and the US
       | people in general (from what very little I knew of those people).
       | 
       | It is going to be very hard to get them all back to begin with,
       | let alone for that same payscale and benefits schedule. That gap
       | for 'fired _with_ cause ' is going to mess up the retirement in a
       | way that is currently hard to fix (AFAIK). Many of the NNSA are
       | just going to go get a better job, really.
       | 
       | And the US is going to be left behind in the nuclear arms race
       | that is still very much going on.
       | 
       | Summary: Pardon my french, but, this is a _big_ fuck up.
        
         | cloverich wrote:
         | What if they offer 2x the salary to come back? Some are
         | suggesting that is the strategy. I know of one example where
         | this was done but in a private company with lower stakes, so i
         | know the concept at least exists.
        
           | mlac wrote:
           | It's not about money for government jobs. It's about the
           | mission and, for many, the previously perceived stability +
           | pension. The good ones, the capable civil servants who made
           | the commitment to the government, do not need to work there
           | but do out of a sense of duty, the interesting work, and
           | commitment to the country.
           | 
           | Offering 2x is like going to Thanksgiving dinner lovingly
           | prepared by a relative and asking at the end how much they
           | want paid. You know, to just square up. It couldn't have been
           | more than $20 a head. The social contract has already been
           | altered, and there will be a non-zero number of government
           | employees looking to the private sector. The capable ones
           | will likely leave on their own in the coming years.
           | 
           | 2x is also likely less than the private sector is willing to
           | pay. Try like 4x. It is this way for cyber jobs where we will
           | see massive brain drain. The only way cyber compensation
           | starts to get even is through contracting work, but even then
           | it's less than private sector. Which shows the level of
           | stupid this policy was.
           | 
           | People in these roles are not fungible. That is a big logical
           | error. People who can pass a background check with a PhD in
           | Nuclear engineering aren't being pumped out every few months.
           | They can't go to a web developer boot camp. There is a multi-
           | year lead time and scholarships designed to attract them to
           | the public sector. Same for capable cybersecurity talent (my
           | field).
           | 
           | This is also a warning shot to all those in the government
           | that their jobs, no matter what they are covering, are not
           | safe from the stupidity. And if the BS factor gets too high
           | they will leave.
        
       | jonstewart wrote:
       | Since we are now being governed by the enthusiastic ignorant
       | raised in the wake of Reaganism (or for the unfortunate Brits,
       | Thatcherism), it would be a really good idea for us to rename the
       | Department of Energy to the Department of Scary Nukes We Must
       | Keep Secure. Then maybe GOP presidents would stop nominating
       | oilmen to be Secretary of Energy.
        
         | lgdiva wrote:
         | Department of Immigrants are Bad
        
         | DangitBobby wrote:
         | This is a solution I can get behind.
        
       | jakeogh wrote:
       | With regard to nuclear security, this is a sourceless article,
       | and the comment pointing this out got flagged into oblivion so
       | the outrage machine could ignore it:
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43066633
        
       | mimd wrote:
       | https://www.npr.org/2025/02/14/nx-s1-5298190/nuclear-agency-...
       | 
       | If even half of NPR's report is true, the way in which it was
       | conducted was grossly cruel and with complete ignorance.
       | 
       | DOGE and it's supporters are quiet literally playing like a child
       | with the levers that decide if _you_ wake up tomorrow.
        
         | philipwhiuk wrote:
         | Yeah, they're firing all the probation employees and NNSA got
         | caught in the net. Probation employees btw include some
         | recently promoted senior employees.
         | 
         | And probation is just the first status.
         | 
         | This is a plan designed to progressively cull employees by
         | status - there'll be another round after this.
        
         | johnnyanmac wrote:
         | Not shocked at all. The US Gov right now is crazy, and I
         | wouldn't go back with a crazy ex without a huge overhaul first.
         | 
         | And yup, it's about as disrespectful a dismissal as you'd
         | expect from a Musk "plan". I'm not surprised they are having
         | trouble
         | 
         | >"Please work with your supervisors to send this information
         | (once you get it) to people's personal contact emails," the
         | memo added.
         | 
         | Wait, they don't keep personal emails on record? I have to fill
         | that out for every single job I apply to. Pretty sure USAJobs
         | and my State job board required it to.
         | 
         | I guess they either aren't answering or these were more senior
         | personell than I thought.
         | 
         | >Despite having the words "National" and "Security" in its
         | title, it was not getting an exemption for national security
         | 
         | This just gave me a chuckle and I had to share.
        
       | based2 wrote:
       | https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2025/02/doge-as-a-nat... >
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43035977
        
       | BeFlatXIII wrote:
       | As today's kids say, "whomp whomp." a.k.a. play stupid games, win
       | stupid prizes.
        
       | iamleppert wrote:
       | They should just pass a law saying these people are essential
       | workers and cannot say no to not coming back, and will be paid
       | and must accept whatever pay they are told to accept. Done!
        
         | drawkward wrote:
         | Poe's law
        
       | lgdiva wrote:
       | If only there were something we could have done to prevent this,
       | every day, for the last ten goddamn years.
       | 
       | Oh well. Enjoy your extra neutrons.
        
       | insane_dreamer wrote:
       | To those of you who have pushed back on the arguments that the US
       | is heading towards authoritarianism, I hereby present Exhibit
       | A:[0]
       | 
       | > "He who saves his Country does not violate any Law," Mr. Trump
       | wrote, first on his social media platform Truth Social, and then
       | on the website X.
       | 
       | > By late afternoon, Mr. Trump had pinned the statement to the
       | top of his Truth Social feed, making it clear it was not a
       | passing thought but one he wanted people to absorb. The official
       | White House account on X posted his message in the evening.
       | 
       | > The quote is a variation of one sometimes attributed to
       | Napoleon Bonaparte, although its origin is unclear.
       | 
       | The hallmark of authoritarianism is to be above the law. (Which
       | is why the SCOTUS ruling was so damaging and directly
       | contributing to this.). If you're not familiar with China, the
       | way things work there is "rule by law" rather than "rule of law".
       | The difference being that "rule by law" means that those in power
       | can do whatever they want since they make up the laws as they go
       | (like a monarch ruling by decree). Trump's statement is exactly
       | that. And make no mistake this is not a one-off quip like buying
       | Greenland. His actions so far have made it clear he believes that
       | there should be no restraints on the power of the executive
       | branch. In other words , authoritarianism.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/15/us/politics/trump-
       | saves-c...
       | 
       | Be careful, America, what you wished for.
        
       | wakawaka28 wrote:
       | I'm sure the market for nuclear safety people is small enough
       | that they will tolerate a few days of turmoil as the government
       | cuts expenses.
        
       | wakawaka28 wrote:
       | Considering that this criminally deranged nutjob was a high-
       | ranking Biden nuclear safety officer, I think they are doing the
       | right thing by looking into whether the remaining staff are
       | qualified: https://cbsaustin.com/news/nation-world/non-binary-ex-
       | biden-...
        
       | bdangubic wrote:
       | If I was the one fired I would ask for $10,000,000/week salary to
       | come back and then would donate 98% of that
        
         | danjl wrote:
         | Or, slightly more realistically, $1M/yr, which is probably 10x
         | what they were getting before, and seems realistic given the
         | events.
        
       | davidmurdoch wrote:
       | "The Trump administration has since tried to reverse their
       | terminations, according to media outlets"
       | 
       | Why would they cite anonymous "media outlets" and not at least
       | find some modicum of an official source to reference?
        
         | drawkward wrote:
         | Because the WH no longer deals with legacy media.
        
       | danpalmer wrote:
       | Musk will see this as working as intended.
       | 
       | There's a segment in one of his many Starship interviews with Tim
       | Dodd the Everyday Astronaut, where he talks about simplifying the
       | machine. He says you've got to cut and cut and cut some more
       | until it's radically simple. His rule of thumb is that if you're
       | not adding back 10% of the stuff you got rid of, you didn't get
       | rid of enough in the first place.
       | 
       | This might be fine for greenfield engineering projects, where
       | there are no "Chesterton's fences", where there are not yet any
       | other people or things depending on success, but it's wholly
       | inadequate for people problems or brownfield systems and
       | processes. The fact Musk doesn't understand this just suggests
       | ignorance, and suggests that it's not an idea he really
       | understands at its core. To understand an idea truly, means to
       | understand when it applies and when it doesn't, and why.
        
       | yapyap wrote:
       | The simpsons
        
       | eksx wrote:
       | The last few weeks of government action has shown me one thing.
       | When the democrats take over next there will be no reason they
       | can't make the health care insurance sector government
       | controlled. I think the vast majority of people would support
       | them.
        
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       (page generated 2025-02-16 23:01 UTC)