[HN Gopher] More Solar and Battery Storage Added to TX Grid Than...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       More Solar and Battery Storage Added to TX Grid Than Other Power
       Src Last Year
        
       Author : indigodaddy
       Score  : 95 points
       Date   : 2025-02-15 16:37 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (insideclimatenews.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (insideclimatenews.org)
        
       | epistasis wrote:
       | Of all the places in the US, Texas has the most open market,
       | where new generation succeeds or fails based on profitability.
       | 
       | In that environment, also awash in super cheap natural gas,
       | capitalists are choosing to install battery storage in large
       | amounts.
       | 
       | A lot of people's worldviews need to open up to the new
       | technology landscape for energy. It's a bright future, with
       | cheap, clean renewable power, if we are willing to let the market
       | choose it.
        
         | seanmcdirmid wrote:
         | Eventually the tech develops to a price/benefit ratio that
         | makes it dumb not to adopt. Green energy has been there for a
         | few years, mainly with production advances made by China. EVs
         | likewise are advancing at a pace where I think the market on
         | its own would take care of adoption (although I get why China
         | needs to nudge it along due to national security concerns).
        
         | jfengel wrote:
         | Even a fully open market is never completely efficient at
         | minimizing prices. A fully efficient market allows people's
         | preferences to matter. And for a vast number of people, their
         | preference is to struggle against a vast conspiracy of
         | climatologists and cultural Marxists.
         | 
         | Technology can solve questions of producing maximum energy with
         | minimum environmental effect. It cannot solve the problem of
         | just how deeply Americans hate each other.
        
           | throwawaymaths wrote:
           | its not like the reverse problem doesn't exist.
           | Environmentalists and policymakers shy away from obviously
           | good policies because they're too capitalist or dont let them
           | have political controls (carbon auctions a la SOX or NOX
           | auctions, privatized transport like hong kong, singapore,
           | tokyo come to mind)
        
             | epistasis wrote:
             | > Environmentalists and policymakers shy away from
             | obviously good policies because they're too capitalist or
             | dont let them have political controls
             | 
             | Those sorts of argumets are definitely made at the fringes,
             | but they definitely are not the voices of policymakers, and
             | rarely if ever make it into final policy, fortunately.
             | 
             | The extreme leftists hate Democrats for it. See for
             | example, this popular leftist Carl Beijer's view of trying
             | to work with Democrats:
             | 
             | https://www.carlbeijer.com/p/political-allies-dont-have-
             | to-l...
             | 
             | They can barely bring themselves to work with liberals, but
             | try to at times.
        
               | throwawaymaths wrote:
               | how many us cities have public transport that is run by a
               | private entity?
        
               | epistasis wrote:
               | SF had private shuttles for mass transit a few years ago!
               | I'm not sure if it was a pandemic casualty or something
               | else made them go away.
               | 
               | And to this day large employers in the Bay Area run
               | private shuttles for their employees, to get around the
               | terrible balkanization of transit systems in the US.
               | 
               | I would definitely like to see more. But the biggest
               | impediment to that are the cultural and legal status quo
               | of car-dependent urban design, which mightily resists
               | change. At the state and local levels I'm advocating for
               | massive change to planning laws to make density possible,
               | which makes mass transit possible, but it's a long slog
               | and slow and not making much progress.
        
               | throwawaymaths wrote:
               | neither of those is public transit though. For example of
               | well-run systems with inecntive structures aligned with
               | the public interest see ComfortDelGro or MRT
        
         | ZeroGravitas wrote:
         | I totally agree with your wider point but I would guess there's
         | federal subsidies involved in the current pricing in Texas.
         | 
         | I think those are a good thing, and there should be more of
         | them and more effort removing the explicit and implicit
         | subsidies on gas that they seek to counterbalance.
         | 
         | (I'm also now wondering how much the solar panels paid in
         | tariffs and if the two government interventions cancel out)
         | 
         | But probably worth acknowledging they exist. Here's a right
         | wing take on it:
         | 
         | https://www.texaspolicyresearch.com/federal-energy-subsidies...
         | 
         | I think Lazard has info on costs before and after incentives.
        
           | epistasis wrote:
           | Lazard's, also points out that solar is the cheapest energy
           | source (on average, this varies by geography).
           | 
           | Fossil fuel subsidies are much larger than renewable energy
           | subsidies, as a total dollar amount, but then right now we
           | get much more of our energy from fossil fuels.
           | 
           | > For fossil fuels, the nature of subsidies differs. Tax
           | provisions like the expensing of intangible drilling costs
           | defer expenses rather than involve direct payments. Critics
           | argue that these measures should not be classified as
           | subsidies since they do not provide government cash
           | infusions. However, any form of subsidy, whether through
           | direct spending or tax incentives, skews the energy market
           | and undermines the principle of free enterprise.
           | 
           | The most shocking thing is the battery, to me. Because the
           | battery subsidy is at most 1-2 years of price drops. So if
           | today, batteries are cost effective, but only because of
           | subsidy, in a short time they will be cost-effective without
           | any subsidy.
           | 
           | However, if we want cheap energy we should keep the subsidies
           | in place. Batteries and solar get cheaper the more we build
           | of them, so the _faster_ we make the investment, the faster
           | they get cheaper, and the sooner we have a cheaper energy
           | source, which all in all saves us massive amounts of money.
           | 
           | The "Inflation Reduction Act" was a funny name for Biden's
           | on-shoring of massive amounts of factories for renewable
           | energy, but I think in the end it will stop future inflation,
           | long after he has died. Energy price spikes are frequently
           | the cause of inflation, but once we have the coming energy
           | abundance, and most of the cost of electricity is in storage
           | rather than generation, we don't have to worry as much about
           | global geopolitics cutting off our supply. The worst will be
           | a week-long shortage due to a continent-wide weather event
           | that we have not yet seen the likes of, but likely will in
           | the future due to climate change. Or, a volcano eruption that
           | also at the same time destroys crop production, in which case
           | lower electricity levels won't be much of a concern...
        
             | ZeroGravitas wrote:
             | The name was specifically chosen because of that effect. I
             | believe it was based on the work of Saul Griffith who has a
             | PDF here explaining it:
             | 
             | "Electrification is anti-inflationary."
             | 
             | > Unpacking the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act: What was in
             | it? What could it mean for Australia?
             | 
             | > Clean electrification is the transformation of our energy
             | economy away from one based on low-cost fossil-fuelled
             | machines that require expensive future commitments to
             | fossil-fuels, to higher-cost electric machines that are
             | powered by clean electricity. This turns the energy economy
             | from one of fuels to one of finance, and the beauty of
             | finance is that it locks in the cost of something for the
             | period of that finance. It is literally anti-inflationary
             | as can be seen in Figure 2.
             | 
             | https://cdn.prod.website-
             | files.com/612b0b172765f9c62c1c20c9/...
        
         | parasense wrote:
         | The natural gas situation is still sketchy because the
         | incentive to build more capacity is very low, but the natural
         | gas alongside coal electricity generation is know as baseband
         | power. Very reliable inertial generators (turbines) smooth over
         | the unstable electrical from wind turbines or solar.
         | 
         | As far as battery capacity goes, that's also sketchy because
         | ERCOT is allowing dangerous risky lithium packs to be installed
         | in a tightly packed together industrial space optimized way
         | that could result in disaster when one unit catches fire,
         | spreading to the whole site. Better would be magnetically
         | suspended flywheels in a hard vacuum buried under ground. These
         | are more ecological and have the same baseband quality as a
         | turbine constant spin generator, and require very little energy
         | to up-keep. I would say a hybrid way of having these flywheels
         | in large numbers with on-site lithium batteries to provide site
         | power, and line-leveling as the relays switch over to the
         | flywheels, similar to how batteries in a data center last just
         | long enough to let the diesel gen spin up...
         | 
         | The problem is if all these renewable eco friendly sources
         | crowd out the dirty more reliable sources, then there will
         | eventually not be any reliable sources. It's a nasty paradox.
        
           | epistasis wrote:
           | > because the incentive to build more capacity is very low,
           | 
           | The incentive for new gas generation is the same as for new
           | solar generation: selling electricity profitably on the grid.
           | If you are saying that new gas generation has trouble
           | competing with batteries and solar, I would agree.
           | 
           | I would go further and say that _new_ solar and batteries are
           | cheaper than merely the fuel and operating costs of many
           | existing fossil fuel plants. Especially coal. And a lot of
           | gas too, particularly the peaker plants that burn for short
           | amounts of time to capture price spikes on the market.
           | 
           | > Very reliable inertial generators (turbines) smooth over
           | the unstable electrical from wind turbines or solar.
           | 
           | There's two _very_ different concepts here: inertial
           | generators for frequency regulation and supplying reactive
           | power, which solar does not generate natively, but is now
           | with grid-forming inverters. Also, batteries have been
           | serving frequency regulation for more than a decade, starting
           | in the PJM market. The need for inertial generation has been
           | replaced even with very old and expensive battery technology.
           | 
           | The second concept of "reliable" is dispatchable power: can
           | you put power on the grid when it's needed? Batteries also
           | solve this, and are being deployed, profitably, in Texas, as
           | opposed to new gas generation.
           | 
           | > As far as battery capacity goes, that's also sketchy
           | because ERCOT is allowing dangerous risky lithium packs to be
           | installed in a tightly packed together industrial space
           | optimized way that could result in disaster when one unit
           | catches fire, spreading to the whole site.
           | 
           | That's a fairly minor implementation detail, and the
           | installers are taking on all that risk on their own, as they
           | will lose everything if there's a fire that spreads.
           | 
           | A battery going up in smoke is still far better than the
           | amounts of natural gas that get burned in its place.
           | 
           | > Better would be magnetically suspended flywheels in a hard
           | vacuum buried under ground. These are more ecological and
           | have the same baseband quality as a turbine constant spin
           | generator, and require very little energy to up-keep. I would
           | say a hybrid way of having these flywheels in large numbers
           | with on-site lithium batteries to provide site power, and
           | line-leveling as the relays switch over to the flywheels,
           | similar to how batteries in a data center last just long
           | enough to let the diesel gen spin up...
           | 
           | Flywheels are a completely impractical technology that
           | doesn't scale and is far too expensive. Especially in vacuum
           | underground.
           | 
           | Inverters are a far better solution than fly-wheels: cheaper,
           | more battle-tested, actually deployed in practice instead of
           | just in the lab, and widespread.
        
             | WD-42 wrote:
             | Vistra energy built a battery storage plant in Moss
             | Landing, Ca that recently went up in flames completely
             | destroying the entire plant and dumping toxic chemicals
             | into the local estuary. Ask the residents there if they
             | thought it was "better than burning ng." They are trying to
             | build another one a hundred miles south in Morro bay.
             | 
             | There are good ways to do this but using small communities
             | in another state as R&D isn't one of them.
        
               | epistasis wrote:
               | I'm one of the residents nearby that's full of concern.
               | Ask me about the people in Moss Landing that had to
               | repaint so often because of the natural gas plant that
               | got replaced by the batteries.
               | 
               | People are full of environmental concern for batteries
               | (good!) but rarely question the status quo.
               | 
               | We don't yet know the impact of the Vistra disaster, but
               | it's being monitored closely and we will find out.
               | Freaking out before there is any reason to freak out is a
               | specialty in my area. Interesting examples are WiFi
               | sensitive people that have no problem with standing in
               | the sun. Or the X-ray technician that is concerned about
               | cell phone towers causing cancer.
               | 
               | If there are any negative effects from the fire, they
               | will be found, but they haven't been found yet.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _capitalists are choosing to install battery storage in large
         | amounts_
         | 
         | Texas is building massive amounts of natural gas, too. Solar +
         | natural gas makes sense for America. (It doesn't for Europe,
         | but whatever.)
        
       | stogot wrote:
       | > In the spring of 2024, Texas' installation of utility scale
       | solar outpaced California's, and jumped from 1,900 megawatts in
       | 2019 to over 20,000 megawatts in 2024. As a result, solar met
       | nearly 50 percent of the state's peak power demand on some days.
       | 
       | That's impressive. And fairly green-friendly for a state that
       | gets a bad rap for being in bed with oil/gas
        
         | epistasis wrote:
         | My biggest fear is that Republican political correctness will
         | come to over-regulate and stop the deployment of clean energy.
         | You can already see it at the national level. Texas will have
         | to decide if they like money and the free market more than
         | being politically correct.
         | 
         | You can already see this conflict in all the areas where the
         | new factories have been built from Biden's IRA. These factories
         | generally raise wages quite a bit, invigorate communities that
         | feel like they have been forgotten, but that it's clean energy
         | doing the good is kept on the down-low. To mix metaphors: don't
         | poke the bear, lest the bear cuts off its nose to spite its
         | face.
        
           | renewiltord wrote:
           | Democrat political correctness is the one that's killing all
           | of these in California right now. Environmentalism requires
           | that solar and wind be banned. And Nevada's brand of
           | environmentalism requires fighting geothermal.
        
             | tclancy wrote:
             | Citation needed.
        
             | epistasis wrote:
             | Well most of the environmental laws in the way of this were
             | passed by California Republicans, and then expanded by the
             | courts (whatever partisanship that is), and broadly
             | supported by Democrats.
             | 
             | But today it is not "politically incorrect" to advocate for
             | changes to the environmental regulations for California
             | Democrats. And they are definitely pursuing changes to
             | regulations!
             | 
             | So you are very correct that regulations are in the way,
             | and that Democrats are in power, but you are wrong that
             | it's politically incorrect to change the regulations.
        
               | renewiltord wrote:
               | A universal phenomenon of California democrats is that
               | they're always advocating and pursuing changes but never
               | changing anything. It's been some twenty years of CEQA
               | reform pursuit. Democratic Party control: Legislature
               | from 1996-present day; executive from 1999-2003,
               | 2011-present day.
               | 
               | In California politics, only Republicans pass things.
               | Democrats always pursue and advocate.
        
               | gamblor956 wrote:
               | All of the landmark CA laws (CEQA, CCCA, CCA, CESA, CDPA)
               | were passed by Democratic legislatures. Most of them were
               | signed by Reagan (who subsequently repudiated all of
               | those laws as President) or Pete Wilson (who did not).
               | The CSRA and CSGMA are the only two major CA
               | environmental laws recent enough to be signed by a
               | Democratic governor.
               | 
               | Notably, by today's political standards, (gubernatorial-
               | era) Reagan and Wilson would be characterized as moderate
               | Democrats.
        
           | stogot wrote:
           | The commission that regulates this (the Texas railroad
           | commission) is fully republican as is most of their
           | legislature/govenrment. The republicans are in charge of all
           | this
        
             | epistasis wrote:
             | And at the moment additions to the grid are mostly an open
             | free market. My fear is that they will change that to stop
             | renewable energy. Many places that are extremely anti-
             | renewable for partisan political reasons, such as Montana,
             | have been caught on tape changing regulations to highly
             | regulate and stymie solar. Texas has not been that way and
             | I think there's probably a >50% chance that Texas
             | Republicans on that commission will continue to choose the
             | free market over blocking renewables. But there is a risk.
        
           | rossdavidh wrote:
           | TX resident here: valid concern, but there are big
           | moneyholders in TX investing in wind and solar here, and that
           | has a tendency to override political orthodoxy. Lots of rich
           | people who want their solar and wind investments to pay off,
           | and they have pull in TX GOP.
        
           | gnuser wrote:
           | In reality, the market will do it for them as the datacenter
           | and energy boom requires more energy than green can provide
           | and the money will flow anew to nuclear and fission.
        
             | toomuchtodo wrote:
             | Nuclear and fission take at least a decade to build. You
             | can build the same firm renewables in 2-3 years. Regime
             | change will occur first.
        
               | dralley wrote:
               | Right. As much as I like nuclear, you could overbuild
               | solar or wind by a factor of 3 in half the time and pay
               | the whole project off before the nuclear project even
               | gets finished.
        
               | toomuchtodo wrote:
               | I am not violently allergic to nuclear, and am mindful
               | that there will be places it is needed, although it's
               | going to be incredibly expensive and time consuming to
               | build where needed. Texas has enormous wind and solar
               | potential, they can skip it.
        
             | ZeroGravitas wrote:
             | Rio Tinto is moving smelters to renewables and batteries in
             | Australia.
             | 
             | I've yet to see anything solid in this latest talk of
             | nuclear renaissance (which they talk about every year) that
             | can't be put down to silicon valley nerds moving in weird
             | political circles that are irrationally attracted to
             | nuclear power.
        
               | Panzer04 wrote:
               | I think it's one of those "be contrarian for the sake of
               | it" positions. People think they sound smart for going
               | nuclear because it ticks a lot of boxes at the surface
               | level.
               | 
               | Then you realise it costs multiple times more than
               | renewables and batteries (ain't that the real
               | revolution), takes over a decade to build and imposes
               | large obligations on the owners.
        
           | conradev wrote:
           | Solar panels are a commodity and they are getting cheaper.
           | That will continue regardless of which political party is in
           | charge.
           | 
           | Moving the solar supply chain to be domestic is a massive
           | undertaking. First Solar, one of the stronger US companies,
           | will be at at 50/50 manufacturing in the US versus not:
           | 
           | "We inaugurated our new $1.1 billion Alabama facility, which
           | when, fully scaled, adds 3.5 gigawatts of vertically
           | integrated nameplate solar manufacturing capacity. The start
           | of commercial operation at the Alabama facility, along with
           | our under construction Louisiana facility, which remains on
           | track to begin operations in the second half of 2025, keeps
           | us on course to achieve our projection of over 14 gigawatts
           | of annual U.S. nameplate capacity and over 25 gigawatts of
           | global nameplate capacity by 2026."
           | https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-
           | transcripts/2024/10/29/fi...
           | 
           | You are correct that it will take investment to continue to
           | build factories here instead of Malaysia or India, but the
           | factories will be built regardless.
        
             | epistasis wrote:
             | My specific fear is that connecting those cheap solar
             | panels to the grid will be the hard part. I have no doubt
             | that they will continue to plummet in price, and than new
             | innovative installation methods will continue to cause
             | installation prices to drop, etc. etc.
             | 
             | The technology for a 100% renewable energy system for all
             | of humanity is about 90%-95% there, the biggest impediment
             | is political and not technical now. (Hard-to-decarbonize
             | areas like industry is close but not there yet, and we can
             | do all the other areas while new solutions are found for
             | cement, chemicals, etc.)
        
         | chasd00 wrote:
         | The big solar farms are really amazing in scale. The blue
         | shimmer of the panels look just like water from far away and
         | they're so big it literally looks like a lake in the distance.
         | There's a few just outside the Permian basin like this that
         | I've seen. It's funny that they're right near the big fracking
         | operations but I guess that's because of logistics, land
         | availability, and grid access.
         | 
         | Edit: I want one so bad, something cool about being a farmer
         | but farming photons instead of plants and animals.
        
           | johnea wrote:
           | Why choose? Farm both!
           | 
           | Especially for grazing, raised photovoltaic allows the
           | photons to be harvested along with allowing goats or cows to
           | graze the landscape.
           | 
           | Crops can also be grown in between rows of solar.
           | 
           | This arrangement also mitigates the often destructive effect
           | that large utility scale solar has on the landscape.
           | 
           | The landscape degradation is why having generation, and
           | transmission, be as locally contained as possible is the best
           | technical solution. But utilities often fight this, since
           | they make money on large utility scale project, and loose
           | money on building and neighborhood scale generation and
           | distribution.
           | 
           | As always, the middle way is the best. Too bad nuance is not
           | longer an allowed perspective...
        
         | rossdavidh wrote:
         | Texas resident here. Texas has a few advantages with wind and
         | solar:
         | 
         | 1) most years (with notable exceptions), peak electricity
         | happens when the sun is shining 2) west Texas is very windy
         | 
         | One of the reasons that TX was caught flat-footed a few years
         | ago in a cold snap, was that in a decade we went from oil-and-
         | coal power generation to mostly natgas (which froze up), wind
         | (which froze up, albeit not as much as the natgas), and solar
         | (not working at night). It was the first very hard freeze under
         | the new power mix. Not so long ago TX was talking about "clean
         | coal"; now it is natgas, wind, and solar.
        
           | vel0city wrote:
           | > wind (which froze up, albeit not as much as the natgas)
           | 
           | Just a note about how much wind froze up in Texas: wind
           | outperformed projected supply for the cold snap.
        
             | Animats wrote:
             | Texas energy wasn't prepared for severe freezes. You can
             | buy the gear to run natural gas pipelines and wind turbines
             | in arctic conditions. Natural gas has to be dried out near
             | the source in cold climates.[1] It's water mixed with the
             | gas that's the problem. Wind turbines with blade heaters
             | run fine in Norway. It's a factory option. (The turbine
             | itself provides the power to run heaters. One source says
             | about 1/7 of output power is needed for blade heating in
             | icing conditions.)
             | 
             | [1] https://idc-
             | online.com/technical_references/pdfs/electronic_...
        
           | dralley wrote:
           | IIRC they also had problems with the water intake at one of
           | the nuclear power plants freezing up, so that had to shut
           | down too.
           | 
           | There's no magic source of power that is immune from needing
           | to prepare for exceptional weather conditions.
        
           | jwsteigerwalt wrote:
           | There were many true arguments that were twisted into
           | political narratives: "the sun does not always shine and the
           | wind does not always blow". What they left out is "the
           | natural gas does not always flow"...
        
           | jeffbee wrote:
           | Another advantage is that Texas renewable assets are west of
           | Texas population centers, which blunts the "duck curve"
           | problem of evening peak load. California, unfortunately, does
           | not enjoy that geographic advantage.
        
         | conradev wrote:
         | It's unfortunate that Texas gets a bad rap. The actual thing
         | they did is deregulate their (residential) electricity market,
         | which only Massachusetts followed suit with.
         | 
         | By separating what you pay for transmission (monopoly) from
         | generation (free market), it created a persistent demand for
         | more/better/cheaper supply.
         | 
         | It is a much more flexible structure that allows municipalities
         | to do cool stuff like this:
         | https://www.cambridgema.gov/CDD/News/detail.aspx?path=/sitec...
         | 
         | Texas will have great energy infrastructure because they let
         | developers build it.
        
           | johnea wrote:
           | Well of course, why would anyone even use electricity unless
           | an absentee investor was reaping ROI from it? Duh...
        
             | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
             | I know your comment is sarcastic, but yes, of course.
             | 
             | I consider myself someone with "liberal values", but I
             | don't understand why so many liberals like to pretend that
             | the reality of economic incentives don't exist. Sure, it
             | would be nice if we could all sing kumbaya together and
             | build things, but the real world largely doesn't work that
             | way. And it's not just "big developers" - most people would
             | choose the more polluting energy source if it saved them 5
             | cents.
             | 
             | Other similar situation: so many people in "liberal cities"
             | like to rail against "big evil developers" when it comes to
             | housing, and as a result they have a giant housing shortage
             | that is responsible for tons of social ills. In Austin
             | we've built a _shit ton_ of housing, especially rental, by
             | letting developers build, and surprise surprise housing and
             | rental costs in Austin have fallen a ton since their
             | (admittedly ridiculous) peak.
        
               | hobs wrote:
               | We're not pretending it doesn't exist, but the failures
               | of Texas power grid have been pretty obvious the last few
               | years with major power failures, rampant price gouging,
               | and deaths attributable to these failures - so the "oh
               | the incentives are fixing it!" when no states needs to
               | have those problems is looking with rose tinted glasses.
        
               | conradev wrote:
               | Interconnection is a separate issue from deregulation and
               | they're considering it:
               | https://www.houstonchronicle.com/projects/2025/southern-
               | spir...
               | 
               | The Griddy incident wasn't quite "price gouging" if you
               | want to read about it: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grid
               | dy_(company)#2021_Texas_po...
               | 
               | > Griddy advised customers to remove themselves from
               | their system during the storm, and says that over 9,700
               | accounts did by February 15. On February 17, they asked
               | for PUC approval to switch the remaining customers to a
               | traditional energy provider, but the PUC, which was
               | overwhelmed by the situation, was unable to discuss the
               | matter.
               | 
               | Outages do cause deaths, that is for sure. PG&E has
               | killed a lot of people by that metric and unfortunately
               | PG&E's problems are a little harder to fix.
        
               | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
               | These are still problems that can largely be solved by
               | applying the right economic incentives.
               | 
               | For example, during the 2021 winter storm and outage, a
               | huge problem was that no power producers had any
               | incentive to weatherize their systems, resulting in a
               | huge chunk of them all going offline at the same time. It
               | seems more than reasonable to require producers to have
               | some minimal level of weatherization, and to provide
               | incentives to producers that have better weatherization.
               | 
               | This is kinda my point - I'm not arguing for a totally
               | deregulated free-for-all, as the unregulated free market
               | is notoriously bad at dealing with "black swan" events.
               | But that doesn't mean that sensible regulations can't be
               | put in place that still use economic incentives to
               | achieve their goals.
        
               | warkdarrior wrote:
               | > These are still problems that can largely be solved by
               | applying the right economic incentives. > > It seems more
               | than reasonable to require producers to have some minimal
               | level of weatherization
               | 
               | Regulation on a minimal level of weatherization is not an
               | economic incentive.
        
               | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
               | This is basically an "all Internet arguments are over
               | semantics" response.
               | 
               | I.e., if you want to participate in the electricity
               | producer market in TX, you need to have X level of
               | weatherization. Call that regulation, fine, but
               | essentially every private, non-governmental-run market
               | has a set of rules that all participants need to adhere
               | to in order to participate in the market, and the penalty
               | for non-compliance is getting kicked out of the market.
               | That's basically what I'm arguing for here.
        
           | epistasis wrote:
           | Great link. As a liberal California resident, there's a lot
           | about the governance of Texas that I like a lot. From their
           | permitting regime for renewables, to their high property
           | taxes, there's a lot that California should adopt that would
           | make our state function better.
        
             | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
             | This why I find our political tribalism so frustrating,
             | even moreso now that I see (primarily young) people trying
             | to use "centrist" as a dirty word.
             | 
             | Texas has actually done a lot better at producing
             | supposedly "liberal outcomes" by acknowledging the reality
             | of economic incentives. We've built a ton of renewables.
             | We've also built a ton of housing that have shown the stark
             | contrast to the idiotic housing policies of California.
             | I'll also give a shout-out to the "Sunset Commission" of
             | the TX legislature, which reviews government/regulatory
             | bodies every 12 years to ensure they're still fulfilling
             | their original mission.
             | 
             | At the same time, we have idiotic laws that force women to
             | leave the state to get healthcare that will save their
             | lives. Our educational financing system is a disaster.
             | 
             | Point being I don't consider myself a "centrist", I just
             | want to choose policies that actually work, regardless of
             | tribalism.
        
               | jimt1234 wrote:
               | I have to admire Texas politicians for opposing "green
               | energy", going so far as to blame their 2021 power crisis
               | on The Green New Deal, while also simultaneously
               | investing heavily in and reaping the benefits from "green
               | energy". The unapologetic hypocrisy has to be respected.
        
               | Panzer04 wrote:
               | The difference is that private industry is buying what's
               | effective while politicians mouth off. This is one of the
               | reasons we should let the "free market" control things
               | where we can, since they are compelled to make sensible
               | decisions for efficiency reasons, unlike the government.
        
               | lovich wrote:
               | They are compelled to make decisions for efficiency
               | reasons as much as the government is. Companies make
               | boneheaded decisions based on ideology all the time.
               | 
               | Additionally every time I hear someone claim that
               | companies running everything will be more efficient, when
               | I dive into their beliefs I find out that they expect
               | organizations they call "governments" are required to do
               | many tasks that would not be required of organizations
               | they call "corporations" and that is where all the
               | "efficiency" comes from.
               | 
               | If this was supposedly so much more of an "efficiently
               | system then why has Texas experienced years of outage
               | causing problems in their electrical grid?
        
               | 0_____0 wrote:
               | I am beyond overjoyed that a city somewhere (Austin) did
               | the stupid simple thing and simply added a bunch of
               | housing when prices went up. You can clearly see the
               | graphs, where after 2020, prices shoot up, then housing
               | starts shoot up, then prices drop back down to 2020
               | levels.
               | 
               | I would say I am progressive politically but the
               | ostensibly progressive mindset that led to denying that
               | housing supply could help with the cost of housing has
               | been crazy harmful. Even with the newfound
               | acknowledgement that housing production is necessary,
               | it's going to be harder and more expensive to catch up -
               | peakier demand for trades labor and materials also drives
               | up prices!!
        
               | KerrAvon wrote:
               | Young people are correct. Centrism doesn't lead to
               | policies that work at this point because the right wing
               | is unwilling to come to the center. (Yes, it's the right
               | wing, not both sides. The left has compromised itself
               | into having no political impact whatsoever.)
        
               | tim333 wrote:
               | I think we need some new terminology or concepts.
               | Personally I'd like a happiness or customer satisfaction
               | focussed policy, not in a deep philosophical way but like
               | asking on a scale of 1 to 5 how do you rate Texas's
               | energy policy, how do you rate California's and similar.
               | Then try to do the best one. It has the advantage that
               | it's sensible to optimise the numbers and try to get 4.5+
               | on everything whereas with right-left politics there's
               | nothing very sensible to optimize.
               | 
               | Actually maybe I should build something - like a ratings
               | site.
        
             | tzs wrote:
             | Would high property taxes really be a good thing for a
             | state that has the highest income tax in the country?
             | 
             | Texas has no income tax which is why they have high
             | property taxes.
        
               | craigmcnamara wrote:
               | With an appropriate property tax regime you could cut
               | income taxes.
        
               | bhaney wrote:
               | And as we all know, when a government _can_ cut income
               | tax, they do.
        
               | tzs wrote:
               | The nice thing about income taxes is that when your
               | income increases, which increases the amount of tax you
               | owe, your ability to afford that tax also goes up due to
               | that income increase.
               | 
               | With property taxes you don't have that coupling between
               | changes in income and changes in the tax. That can make a
               | property tax way more painful.
        
               | Spooky23 wrote:
               | Texas has always been ruled by the extractive industries,
               | so property taxes essentially make taxation a non-issue
               | for the people who own those industries, as their
               | property is owned by corporations that have a variety of
               | hocus hocus to offset tax liability. Property, sales and
               | excise taxes are regressive and penalize poor folks. They
               | are great for rich people.
               | 
               | In a place like New York, Massachusetts, or California,
               | you have alot of intellectual property driving the
               | economy, so you need to tax income. New York's
               | discretionary budget is essentially derived from income
               | taxes on a few thousand people. New York/Mass vs.
               | California shows why each thing is important -- NY and
               | Mass are leaders for K-12, California is ranked like
               | 35-40 among states.
               | 
               | Local control of property taxes mean that the former can
               | fund education effectively, which they do outside of the
               | hood. California schools are stuck with trying to extract
               | dollars from the state legislature, as the boomers
               | effectively pay no property tax.
        
               | epistasis wrote:
               | I don't think California or Massachusetts _needs_ to tax
               | income, certainly not at the level they currently do.
               | Look at Washington, with its lack of income tax yet very
               | strong intellectual economy, not only in software but
               | also a growing biotech scene.
               | 
               | CA, NY, and MA all have terrible problems with housing
               | and land use in general, largely caused by poor
               | allocation of land due to extremely poor taxation.
               | 
               | Land in Manhattan, Cambridge, the Bay Area, and Los
               | Angeles is some of the most productive land in the world,
               | but the extraction happens because of the network effects
               | of bundling people together.
               | 
               | By taxing the land rents, poor uses could be replaced by
               | far better ones, increasing the land value and economic
               | output even further.
               | 
               | Property tax isn't quite as good as a land value tax, but
               | it's at least getting towards taxing the right thing.
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | > The actual thing they did is deregulate their (residential)
           | electricity market, which only Massachusetts followed suit
           | with.
           | 
           | California did that for a few years. Auctions every half
           | hour, everyone pays the spot price. It was too exploitable by
           | energy traders and resulted in blackouts. Also, PG&E went
           | bankrupt, after a century as a regulated utility. The current
           | system trades energy mostly on a day-ahead basis, which is
           | more stable.
        
             | stogot wrote:
             | IIRC that was Enron's doing. California suffered but Texas
             | thrived despite some hiccups.
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | > Texas will have great energy infrastructure because they
           | let developers build it.
           | 
           | Ask Houston about letting developers build with little
           | oversight. Or, ask the home owners that bought some of that
           | property.
           | 
           | Ask homeowners that live on wells that have become polluted
           | because of Texas being in bed with oil and the little
           | oversight applied. The rap is well deserved not unfortunate.
        
         | imglorp wrote:
         | Economics wins, despite public policy and misguided ideology.
         | Fossil loses in a windy, sunny state in a fair market.
        
         | matt_heimer wrote:
         | I guess we should be happy that there is now more solar energy
         | produced than energy consumed by Bitcoin mining in the state.
         | Super green! https://www.texastribune.org/2024/07/10/texas-
         | bitcoin-mine-n...
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | Something readers need to know to interpret a comparison
         | between California and Texas is that Texas uses way, way more
         | electricity than California. Part of the reason why California
         | need not keep pace with Texas in this race is that California
         | pursues efficiency standards and dispersed solar generation to
         | a greater degree. CAISO's peak load hasn't grown much in the
         | last 20 years. The 2024 peak load minute was below the 2006
         | peak load minute, despite a 23% larger population. ERCOT
         | dispatches twice as much power per capita.
        
         | throwawaymaths wrote:
         | and moreover inasmuch as their oil/gas is replacing coal and
         | even sulfur-heavy sources like athabasca sands, it's some of
         | the cleanest (net energy to extract, transport, and refine)
         | carbon energy available.
        
       | johnea wrote:
       | Its an amazing phenomenon in Texas. I've seen a bunch of these
       | wind and solar installations as I've driven through the state.
       | 
       | One technical issue with the article, and I see this a lot, is
       | the unit of measure used to describe the storage capacity.
       | 
       | > Texas added nearly 1,500 megawatts of battery storage
       | 
       | In the addled, quasi-imperial units of the US, shouldn't this be
       | megawatt*hours?
       | 
       | I once asked an english person about BTUs, they had no idea what
       | I was talking about. Even though that is an allegedly British
       | Thermal Unit.
       | 
       | Of course, in rational units this would be something like
       | gigajoules:
       | 
       | 1.0 Megawatt-hours (MWh) = 3.60 Gigajoules (GJ)
        
         | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
         | It's a good question, but when discussing grid energy storage,
         | there are 2 important things:
         | 
         | 1. How much power output the storage can replace (i.e.
         | discharge capacity) . The appropriate unit for that is watts
         | (or megawatts, etc.)
         | 
         | 2. How long can it do it for (i.e storage capacity) - as you
         | point out, the appropriate metric for that is megawatt-hours.
        
           | zidel wrote:
           | And to add to that, power is almost always the number that is
           | reported/counted so watts is usually correct. That might seem
           | strange since batteries store energy, but in terms of the
           | service they provide to the grid power in/out is more
           | important than storage at least for now.
           | 
           | Edit: 1-2 hours of storage seem to be the current state in
           | Texas at the moment:
           | https://www.renewableenergyworld.com/energy-storage/texas-
           | co...
        
           | timerol wrote:
           | It's worth noting that for 2, projects are generally quoted
           | in just "hours", with the storage capacity in MWh implied
        
         | epistasis wrote:
         | > In the addled, quasi-imperial units of the US, shouldn't this
         | be megawatt*hours?
         | 
         | No, that's actually megawatts. Grid assets are measured
         | primarily by power, because the grid is operated on dispatch of
         | power.
         | 
         | For storage, the storage capacity doesn't matter from the grid
         | side. Grid operators have an ever-changing mix of resources
         | that bid into the market, and select the winning bids, based on
         | their bid price and power amount, for fixed duration dispatch.
         | When the battery operator is out of power, they drop out of
         | bidding.
         | 
         | If for some reason the energy content is your only concern, and
         | an article doesn't mention the energy capacity, multiple the
         | power quantity by 4 hours. That is the median amount of
         | duration at full power for batteries, due to cost-optimal
         | design. The very first few installations on the grid may be
         | smaller, as in only 1-2 hours, because there's a fair amount of
         | power demand at the beginning for frequency regulation, which
         | requires very short duration. But as more gets deployed,
         | frequency regulation is no longer needed, and 4 hours tends to
         | dominate. I've seen a few 6 hour duration installations too,
         | which may make sense depending on the specific local market
         | needs.
        
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