[HN Gopher] 5G networks meet consumer needs as mobile data growt...
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       5G networks meet consumer needs as mobile data growth slows
        
       Author : saigovardhan
       Score  : 227 points
       Date   : 2025-02-12 17:04 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (spectrum.ieee.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (spectrum.ieee.org)
        
       | DannyBee wrote:
       | Um, the airspeed analogy used up front is remarkably silly.
       | 
       | Nobody would shrug at being able to fly 2x faster. The reason it
       | stopped is because it made lots of noise and was expensive. Not
       | because it was not needed.
       | 
       | I think you'd be hard pressed to find anyone who would not want
       | faster flights if it could be done at reasonable cost.
        
         | datadrivenangel wrote:
         | If Tbp speed internet was the same cost and effort as Gbps/Mbps
         | internet, obviously faster is better! The marginal returns on
         | speed in most settings drop off pretty quickly.
        
         | kelnos wrote:
         | Yeah I think the level of diminishing returns takes a while to
         | reach when you're taking about flights. I'd be thrilled to drop
         | a 6 hour flight down to 3 hours. Or 1.5. Or 45 minutes. Or 20.
         | Or 10. Or instantaneous teleportation.
         | 
         | But if there are little to no applications for faster Internet
         | speeds -- which for the most part there aren't -- then it just
         | kinda doesn't matter.
        
       | 01HNNWZ0MV43FF wrote:
       | Oh boy oh boy I'm excited for the 5G shutdown when the phone I
       | haven't even bought yet will quit working :)
        
         | jsbisviewtiful wrote:
         | I know you are being sarcastic but 3G antennas in the US were
         | only just recently shut down. 20~ years isn't bad for how
         | rapidly tech advancement has been happening in the recent
         | decades. Obviously AM and FM radio have been continuing for far
         | longer than that but there are legal and logistical reasons for
         | that, at least for now.
        
           | xattt wrote:
           | Similar to how Apple how moved forward with breaking
           | compatibility for apps with older OS X versions.
        
             | jsbisviewtiful wrote:
             | Incredibly different scenario, but I think you knew that
             | before leaving a snarky comment... or at least I hope you
             | did.
        
         | SR2Z wrote:
         | I get the spirit of what you're trying to say (I think) but the
         | truth is that wireless spectrum is an extremely scarce
         | resource. It is bad policy to let inefficient protocols use it
         | without good reason - 2G has the status of "lowest common
         | denominator" and that's probably the only baseline that you
         | should be able to rely on.
         | 
         | There are a ton of other inefficient allocations of spectrum^1,
         | but not all spectrum is suitable for all purposes and the bands
         | for cellular connectivity are highly sought after.
         | 
         | 1:
         | https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c7/United_S...
        
       | kfarr wrote:
       | I was hoping to see some mention of latency. Agree with the
       | premise that for most consumer applications we don't need much
       | more wireless throughput but latency still seems way worse than
       | Ethernet heyday times in college
        
         | ianburrell wrote:
         | LTE latency is 20-50ms, 5G is 1ms, Gigabit Ethernet is less
         | than 1ms, Wifi is 2-3ms. Overall latency is more about
         | distance, 300km is 1ms, number of hops, and response times.
         | 
         | With mobile, I bet contention and poor signal are more of an
         | issue. 5G is a noticeable improvement over LTE, and I am not
         | sure they can do much better.
        
           | the_mitsuhiko wrote:
           | > 5G is 1ms
           | 
           | I have never seen this. Where do I have to get 5G service to
           | see these latencies?
        
             | supertrope wrote:
             | 1ms to the cell tower. Even on fiber Internet there's still
             | single digit ms latency to servers in the same metro area.
             | Only T-Mobile has deployed 5G SA (standalone). ATT and
             | Verizon use 5G NSA (non standalone) which is a 4G control
             | channel bonded with 5G channels so it has 4G latency.
        
               | readthenotes1 wrote:
               | Pretty sure splitting up latency by useless endpoints is
               | not a relevant way to do it.
        
               | tguvot wrote:
               | if we go by useless endpoints, let's compare apples to
               | apples. on fiber network equivalent to cell tower will be
               | probably splitter. i guess it has sub 1ms latency
        
           | mbesto wrote:
           | When 5G first rolled out this was absolutely not the case.
           | Not only was it not 1ms, it was like full 1000's of ms to the
           | point where I actively turned off 5G on my iPhone because it
           | was so bad.
           | 
           | I can only speculate 5G was so saturated on the initial
           | rollout so it led to congestion and now its stabilized. But
           | latency isn't only affected by distance and hops - congestion
           | matters.
        
             | rsynnott wrote:
             | Could be lots of things. I'd go with "your telco was doing
             | something stupid" as a first guess, tbh.
        
           | refulgentis wrote:
           | This is blatantly false. I will bet many $$$ that no one in
           | this thread has ever gotten 1ms.
           | 
           | If you search "5g latency", Google's AI answer says 1 ms,
           | followed by another quote lift from Thales Group(tm) saying
           | 4G was 20 ms and 5G is 1ms.
           | 
           | Once you scroll past the automated attempts, you start
           | getting real info.
           | 
           | Actual data is in the "SpeedTest Award Report" PDF, retrieved
           | from https://www.speedtest.net/awards/united_states/ via http
           | s://www.speedtest.net/awards/reports/2024/2024_UnitedSta....
           | 
           | Spoiler: 23 ms median for fastest provider, T-mobile.
        
             | BenjiWiebe wrote:
             | Latency to where? Speedtest servers or cell towers?
        
               | refulgentis wrote:
               | I assume Speedtest servers, as they wouldn't have a way
               | to get measurements for individual cell towers at scale.
               | 
               | (at least, I don't recall being able to get that sort of
               | info from iOS APIs, nor have I ever seen data that would
               | have required being derived that way)
        
           | yaantc wrote:
           | LTE total latency is 20-50 ms, and you compare this to the
           | marketing "air link only" 5G latency of 1 ms. It's apple and
           | oranges ;)
           | 
           | FYI, the air link latency for LTE was given as 4-5 ms. FDD as
           | it's the best here. The 5G improvement to 1ms would require
           | features (URLLC) that nobody implemented and nobody will: too
           | expensive for too niche markets.
           | 
           | The latency in a cellular network is mostly from the core
           | network, not the radio link anymore. Event in 4G.
           | 
           | (telecom engineer, having worked on both 4G and 5G and
           | recently out of the field)
        
             | porridgeraisin wrote:
             | Always been interested in this stuff. Where would you
             | recommend a software/math guy learn all this stuff? My end
             | goal is to understand the tech well enough to at least have
             | opinions on it. How wifi works would be great as well if
             | you're aware of any resources for that.
        
               | yaantc wrote:
               | It's a good but hard question... Because cellular is
               | huge.
               | 
               | In a professional context, nobody knows it all in
               | details. There are specializations: core network and RAN,
               | and inside RAN protocol stack vs PHY, and in PHY algos vs
               | implementation, etc.
               | 
               | You can see all the cellular specs (they're public) from
               | there: https://www.3gpp.org/specifications-
               | technologies/specificati...
               | 
               | 5G (or NR) is the series 38 at the bottom. Direct access:
               | https://www.3gpp.org/ftp/Specs/archive/38_series
               | 
               | It's a lot ;) But a readable introduction is the 38.300
               | spec, and the latest edition for the first 5G release
               | (R15, or "f") is this one: https://www.3gpp.org/ftp/Specs
               | /archive/38_series/38.300/3830...
               | 
               | It's about as readable as it can get. The PHY part is
               | pretty awful by comparison. If you have a PHY interest,
               | you'll need to look for technical books as the specs are
               | quite hermetic (but it's not my field either).
        
         | jquery wrote:
         | I was hoping to see any mention of large file downloads and
         | uploads. Nevermind the article's ponderous "I can't imagine any
         | use case for more than 5GB/s", that's a use case _today_ where
         | higher speeds above 5GB /s would be helpful. For example, a lot
         | of AAA games are above 100GB, with the largest game in my steam
         | library being over half a terabyte (DCS World). Ideally I
         | wouldn't have to store these games locally, but I do if I want
         | to have access to them in any reasonable amount of time.
         | 
         | It also takes ages to back up my computer. 18 terabytes of data
         | in my case, and that's after pruning another 30 terabytes of
         | data as "unnecessary" to back up.
        
           | umanwizard wrote:
           | I don't think the article ever claimed that _nobody_ would
           | ever want speeds above 5G. But you have to admit that your
           | use case is uncommon. Only a tiny fraction of people has
           | anywhere near 18 TiB stored locally and an even smaller group
           | regularly wants to do cloud backups of all of it. There are
           | various solutions for only backing up the diff since the last
           | backup, rather than uploading the full image.
        
           | crazygringo wrote:
           | The article is about mobile bandwidth only.
           | 
           | Are you downloading AAA games or backing up your computer
           | over mobile?
           | 
           | Also, I hope you're doing differential backups, in which case
           | it's only the initial backup should be slow. Which it's
           | _always_ going to be for something gargantuan like 18 TB!
        
             | msh wrote:
             | 5g Home internet is getting common
        
         | eber wrote:
         | I thought they were going to mention L4S or low latency low
         | loss, over 5G which seems to be in the latest 3GPP 5G-Advanced
         | Release 18 (2024) but I have no idea what the rollout of that
         | is.
         | 
         | One of the issues with this 5g vs 6g is the long-term-evolution
         | of it all -- I have no idea when/where/if-at-all I will see
         | improvements on my mobile devices for all the sub-improvements
         | of 5g or if it's only reserved for certain use cases
        
       | pjmlp wrote:
       | Still using 4G over here.
        
       | the_mitsuhiko wrote:
       | > Transmitting high-end 4K video today requires 15 Mb/s,
       | according to Netflix. Home broadband upgrades from, say, hundreds
       | of Mb/s to 1,000 Mb/s (or 1 Gb/s) typically make little to no
       | noticeable difference for the average end user.
       | 
       | What I find fascinating is that in a lot of situations mobile
       | phones are now way faster than wired internet for lots of people.
       | My parents never upgraded their home internet despite there being
       | fire available. They have 80MBit via DSL. Their phones however
       | due to regular upgrades now have unlimited 5G and are almost 10
       | times as fast as their home internet.
        
         | harrall wrote:
         | 5G can be extremely fast. I get 600 MBit over cellular at home.
         | 
         | ...and we only pay for 500 MBit for my home fiber. (Granted,
         | also 500 Mbit upload.)
         | 
         | (T-Mobile, Southern California)
        
           | throitallaway wrote:
           | Sure but I'll take the latency, jitter, and reliability of
           | that fiber over cellular any day.
        
             | vel0city wrote:
             | The reliability is definitely a bigger question, jitter a
             | bit more questionable, but as far as latency goes 5G fixed
             | wireless can be just fine. YMMV, but on a lot of spots
             | around my town it's pretty comparable latency/jitter-wise
             | as my home fiber connection to similar hosts. And
             | connecting home is often <5ms throughout the city.
        
               | throitallaway wrote:
               | I was considering my cell phone and hotspot experiences
               | (not 5G fixed wireless.) I suppose that has some amount
               | of prioritization happening in order to provide a
               | "stable" experience. My experiences with LTE/5G/5GUW have
               | varied wildly based on location and time.
        
               | vel0city wrote:
               | Fixed wireless sometimes operates on dedicated channels
               | and priorities.
               | 
               | My experiences on portable devices have also seen some
               | mixture of performance, but I'm also on a super cheap
               | MVNO plan. Friends on more premium plans often get far
               | more consistent experiences.
        
           | reaperducer wrote:
           | _5G can be extremely fast. I get 600 MBit over cellular at
           | home._
           | 
           | Is your T-Mobile underprovisioned? Where I am, T-Mobile 5G is
           | 400Mbps at 2am, but slows to 5-10Mbps on weekdays at
           | lunchtime and during rush hours, and on weekends when the
           | bars are full.
           | 
           | Not to mention that the T-Mobile Home Internet router either
           | locks up, or reboots itself at least twice a day.
           | 
           | I put up with the inconvenience because it's either $55 to
           | T-Mobile, $100 to Verizon for even less 5G bandwidth, or $140
           | the local cable company.
        
             | harrall wrote:
             | Probably. My area used to be a T-Mobile dead zone 5 years
             | ago.
             | 
             | I also have Verizon.
             | 
             | Choice of service varies based on location heavily from my
             | experience. I'm a long time big time camper and I've driven
             | through most corners of most Western states:
             | 
             | - 1/3 will have NO cellular service
             | 
             | - 1/3 will have ONLY Verizon. If T-Mobile comes up, it's
             | unusable
             | 
             | - 1/3 remaining will have both T-Mobile and Verizon
             | 
             | My Verizon is speed capped so I can't compare that.
             | T-Mobile works better in more urban areas for me, but it's
             | unpredictable. In a medium sized costal town in Oregon,
             | Verizon might be better but I will then get half gigabit
             | T-Mobile in a different coastal town in California.
             | 
             | One thing I have learned is that those coverage maps are
             | quite accurate.
        
         | ziml77 wrote:
         | On one hand it's nice that the option for that fast wireless
         | connection is available. But on the other hand it sucks that
         | having it means the motivation for ISPs to run fiber to homes
         | in sparse towns goes from low down to none, since they can just
         | point people to the wireless options. Wireless doesn't beat the
         | reliability, latency, and consistent speeds of a fiber
         | connection.
        
           | dageshi wrote:
           | It doesn't beat it but honestly it's good enough based on my
           | experience using a 4g mobile connection as my primarily home
           | internet connection.
        
         | maxsilver wrote:
         | > Transmitting high-end 4K video today requires 15 Mb/s,
         | according to Netflix.
         | 
         | It doesn't really change their argument, but to be fair,
         | Netflix has some of the lowest picture quality of any major
         | streaming service on the market, their version of "high-end 4K"
         | is so heavily compressed, it routinely looks worse than a 15
         | year old 1080p Blu-Ray.
         | 
         | "High-end" 4K video (assuming HEVC) should really be targeting
         | 30 Mb/s average, with peaks up to 50 Mb/s. Not "15 Mb/s".
        
           | pak9rabid wrote:
           | Not to mention I doubt they're even including the bandwidth
           | necessary for 5.1 DD+ audio.
        
             | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
             | Audio doesn't require high data rates. 6 streams of
             | uncompressed 16-bit 48 kHz PCM is 4.6 Mb/s. Compression
             | knocks that down into insignificance.
        
           | nsteel wrote:
           | It's frustrating the author took this falsehood and ran with
           | it all throughout this article.
        
             | Dylan16807 wrote:
             | Why? The conclusion that "somewhere between 100 Mb/s and 1
             | Gb/s marks the approximate saturation point" wouldn't be
             | any different.
        
               | nsteel wrote:
               | Yes, you've nailed exactly why it's frustrating. They
               | still could have written his piece almost as is, even
               | including the napkin-math extrapolations for future tech,
               | and it would have carried a little more weight.
        
         | bsimpson wrote:
         | Verizon Fios sells gigabit in NYC for $80/mo.
         | 
         | They're constantly running promotions "get free
         | smartglases/video game systems/etc if you sign up for gigabit."
         | Turns out that gigabit is still way more than most people need,
         | even if it's 2025 and you spend hours per day online.
        
           | randcraw wrote:
           | That's what I pay for FIOS internet 20 miles north of Philly.
           | I suspect that's their standard rate for 1 Gb/s service
           | everywhere in the US.
        
         | immibis wrote:
         | It's not that mobile is fast, it's that home internet is slow.
         | It's the same reason home internet in places like Africa, South
         | Korea and Eastern Europe is faster than in the USA and Western
         | Europe: home internet was built out on old technology
         | (cable/DSL) and never upgraded because (cynically) incumbent
         | monopolies won't allow it or (less cynically) governments don't
         | want to pay to rip up all the roads again.
        
           | hocuspocus wrote:
           | Several Western European countries have deployed XGS-PON at
           | scale, offering up to 10 Gbps, peaking at ~8 Gbps in
           | practice. Hell I even have access to 25 Gbps P2P fiber here
           | in Switzerland.
           | 
           | Also you can deliver well over 1 Gbps over coax or DSL with
           | modern DOCSIS and G.fast respectively. But most countries
           | have started dismantling copper wirelines.
        
             | rsynnott wrote:
             | Very few people have home equipment that can do anything
             | close to 10Gbps, of course; this is all largely future
             | proofing.
             | 
             | Years back, when FTTH started rolling out in Ireland, some
             | of the CPE for the earliest rollouts only had 100Mbit/sec
             | ethernet (on a 1Gbit/sec service)...
        
       | md_rumpf wrote:
       | Are there really use cases for faster chips? I can run all models
       | I want on an H100 pod. No models exist that I can't run with at
       | least 64 H100s. NVIDIA should just stop.
        
       | ctoth wrote:
       | Tell me you've never backed up a NAS or downloaded a multi-
       | hundred-gigabyte game without telling me!
        
         | jquery wrote:
         | I made the exact comment somewhere else in the thread. I can't
         | believe OP's article made zero mention of that.
        
         | crazygringo wrote:
         | You shouldn't be doing either of things over mobile, except as
         | a last resort.
         | 
         | The article is about mobile specifically.
        
           | kelnos wrote:
           | For practical purposes I agree, but in principle, why not?
           | Especially in places where land-based ISP choice is not
           | abundant or have crap speeds.
           | 
           | For example, my only choice is Comcast's 1.2Gbps/25Mbps
           | service. If I need faster upload I have to tether to my
           | phone. And I rarely get anywhere near that full 1.2Gbps down.
           | 
           | And there are people in areas even less well served by
           | traditional ISPs where their primary Internet connection is
           | wireless.
        
           | jlokier wrote:
           | If I want to download a multi-hundred-gigabyte anything, I
           | switch _to_ my mobile and turn on it 's Wi-Fi hotspot. It's a
           | really noticable speed improvement, with the caveat that
           | speed varies a lot according to location and time of day.
           | 
           | My phone, a mid-range Android from 3 years ago, usually
           | downloads over 4G much faster than any of the wired or fibre
           | networks I have access too, including the supposedly newly
           | installed dual fibre links at work, or the "superfast
           | broadband" zone at my local library. It's also much faster
           | than the 4G router at home.
           | 
           | I've downloaded terabytes over my phone, including LLM
           | weights, and my provider's "unlimited" data plan seems fine
           | with it. (They say 3TB/month in the small print.)
        
       | James_K wrote:
       | I got a 5G capable phone a few months back, and I can't say I've
       | noticed a difference from my old one. (Aside from the new phone
       | being more expensive, worse UI, slower, heavier, unwieldy, filled
       | with ads, and constantly prompting me to create a "Samsung
       | account".)
        
         | dclowd9901 wrote:
         | I've found 1-bar 4G LTE to actually be enough to do work on at
         | home, to my surprise (in the occasions that my in-the-ground
         | cable connection up and dies on me). Only thing I don't get is
         | Zoom with that, but it's nice to have a good excuse not to be
         | in a meeting.
        
           | readthenotes1 wrote:
           | Well, I believe you can try audio only to reduce the
           | bandwidth requirements. That was my excuse for anything below
           | five bars...
        
         | fkyoureadthedoc wrote:
         | What's any of that have to do with 5G? On 2 bars of 5G right
         | now and I get 650Mbit download speed, it's significantly faster
         | than 4G.
        
           | James_K wrote:
           | The last bit is just stuff I wanted to whine about. I
           | obviously know it is faster, you don't need to explain that
           | concept. I have just never had need of any significant
           | internet speed on my phone. I don't download things, and only
           | sometimes stream video. Most of the time I am just checking
           | emails, or calendars, or something trivial like that. Unless
           | I do some kind of benchmark, I can't notice the difference
           | between 4G and 5G.
        
             | jfengel wrote:
             | It would matter more if you were in a crowded place, with
             | more users taking up the spectrum. But yeah, as with
             | computer speed, ordinary applications maxed out a while
             | back.
        
               | readthenotes1 wrote:
               | That's a very interesting observation - - the bandwidth
               | requirement is more for the transmitter than the receiver
               | as we get more and more connected devices
        
             | dylan604 wrote:
             | If 5G lived up to everything it was touted to do, you could
             | use a 5G hotspot for your home internet would could be a
             | huge positive in areas that only have one ISP available.
             | However, 5G does not live up to the promises, and your
             | traffic is much more heavily shaped than non-wireless ISPs.
        
               | vel0city wrote:
               | I know many households which use 5G hotspots for home
               | internet. They even do cloud-rendered gaming and remote
               | telework on such setups. Consistently get several hundred
               | megabits at pretty decent latency and jitter. I'd say
               | that lives up to many promises.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | And I know just as many that have tried but get crap
               | service, so we're even now?
               | 
               | I barely get regular cell service in my house from my
               | provider. There's no way I'd get a hotspot for a service
               | that is a must have. Provider's "coverage" maps are such
               | a joke to make them useless.
        
               | vel0city wrote:
               | I'd say its then more YMMV rather than a blanket "does
               | not live up to the promises".
               | 
               | I can routinely go around most of the metro area on any
               | given day and get hundreds of megabits of throughput back
               | home at <10ms latency on a plan that's costing me ~$30/mo
               | on a device that cost less than $400. I can be in a
               | crowded sports arena and on my regular cellular internet
               | and still manage to pull >50Mbit down despite the crowd.
               | Several years ago, I'd be lucky to even get SMS/MMS out
               | quickly and reliably.
        
               | rsynnott wrote:
               | It's going to depend a _lot_ on your telco and region.
        
               | secondcoming wrote:
               | You're getting bad 5G. I use 5G for home internet. It's
               | perfect except for pings.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | I'm getting bad 5G ~= 5G does not deliver as promised.
               | 
               | to the person that is affected by it, it's not a good
               | thing. we can argue all day about it but you're wrong to
               | whoever you're arguing against at that point.
        
               | rsynnott wrote:
               | During the pendemic, I was stuck working from home, and
               | for a couple of periods my home internet connection was
               | quite unreliable (it's DOCSIS, and nearby construction
               | kept damaging the cable; eventually the cable company
               | actually strung the cable across the road, _attached it
               | to a tree_, and ran it back, to bypass the construction
               | site). So I regularly had to tether on my (then LTE)
               | phone. And it was _fine_; it was actually surprisingly
               | okay.
        
             | throw0101c wrote:
             | > _I have just never had need of any significant internet
             | speed on my phone. I don 't download things, and only
             | sometimes stream video._
             | 
             | But other people do.
             | 
             | And the main resource that is limited with cell service is
             | air time: there are only so many frequencies, and only so
             | many people can send/receive at the same time.
             | 
             | So if someone wants to watch a video video, and a
             | particular segment is (say) 100M, then if a device can do
             | 100M/s, it will take 1s to do that operation: that's a time
             | period when other people may not be able to do anything.
             | But if the device can do 500M/s, then that segment can come
             | down in 0.2s, which means there's now 0.8s worth of time
             | for other people to do other things.
             | 
             | You're not going to see any difference if you're watching
             | the video (or streaming music, or check mail), but
             | collectively everyone can get their 'share' of the resource
             | much more quickly.
             | 
             | Faster speeds allow better resource utilization because
             | devices can get on and off the air in a shorter amount of
             | time.
        
               | Marsymars wrote:
               | You'd figure that would incentivize cell operators not to
               | market segment higher speeds behind higher prices.
               | 
               | It's like I'm paying them extra for the privilege of
               | increasing their network efficiency.
        
               | throw0101c wrote:
               | 4G (AIUI) uses different frequencies, is a sunk cost, and
               | 5G needs new gear, so someone has to pay for upgrades and
               | the 5G frequency auctions.
        
               | vel0city wrote:
               | 4G and 5G can use the same frequencies, but they don't
               | coexist on the same frequencies like the different
               | revisions of WiFi can.
               | 
               | 5G _can also_ operate on additional higher frequencies
               | than regular 4G deployments. But often a lot of 5G you
               | see deployed are in the same 700-1900MHz-ish kind of
               | range.
        
             | agumonkey wrote:
             | In a similar manner, I got 5G recently and used it as my
             | main link, and i'm still at 150GB downloaded (multiple
             | persons, multiple laptops, regular OS updates, docker pull
             | etc). I'm not even smart about this .. Without constant 4K
             | streaming I realized that my needs will rarely exceed
             | 200GB.
        
             | secondcoming wrote:
             | 5G allowed me to avoid having to get fibre.
        
           | throwaway2037 wrote:
           | Let's say that 5G is 10x faster than 4G. Why do you need
           | faster than 65MBit download speed on a mobile phone?
        
           | adrr wrote:
           | What provider? I have yet to get over 300Mb/sec on either
           | TMobile or Verizon. Tmobile is suppose to have the fastest
           | speeds according to reports.
        
         | Lammy wrote:
         | It spies on you a lot more effectively :)
         | 
         | https://www.fastcompany.com/90314058/5g-means-youll-have-to-...
         | 
         | https://venturebeat.com/mobile/sk-telecom-will-use-5g-to-bui...
         | 
         | https://www.ericsson.com/en/blog/2020/12/5g-positioning--wha...
        
           | atian wrote:
           | Yeah...
        
           | johnwayne666 wrote:
           | The UE could decide not to participate:
           | https://www.androidauthority.com/android-15-location-
           | privacy...
        
             | Lammy wrote:
             | That's completely a false sense of security with 5G
             | systems, because the way it achieves that high bandwidth is
             | by literally "steering the beam" to follow you, i.e.
             | precise location surveillance is an implicit part of using
             | it: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2301.13390
             | 
             | "The initial access period includes the transmission of
             | beamformed SSBs that provide the UEs with a basic
             | synchronization signal and demodulation reference signals.
             | This allows for UEs to save power by going inactive and
             | rejoining the network at a later initial access period. At
             | the physical layer, the UE will receive the SSBs from a
             | single antenna or using one or more spatial filters, such
             | as a multi-panel handset used to overcome hand blockage.
             | The UE will use the received SSB for synchronization and
             | determining the control information. The beam reporting
             | stage includes one or more possible SSB CSI reports which
             | are transmitted in the random access channel. The report
             | includes information for the strongest serving cell and may
             | include a set of the next strongest cells within the same
             | band to assist with load balancing. The number of reported
             | additional cells depends on the carrier frequency, the
             | previous state of the UE in the net- work, and the bands
             | being monitored. In a newly-active state, the UE reports
             | the top 6-16 additional cells across each active frequency
             | range. This reporting helps to manage handover and mitigate
             | cell-edge interference. In the final steps, the UE has
             | connected to a serving cell and is ready to start receiving
             | data. Further beam refinement and channel estimation can
             | occur by transmitting reference signals with more precise
             | beams. Although not specified in the standard, a typical
             | CSI-RS would cover smaller portions of the reported SSBs'
             | directions or combine coherently across a multipath
             | channel. Using more directional or precise beams can
             | increase the SNR-thereby improving the channel estimates
             | and beam alignment. Beam refinement can also be used to
             | adjust the beamforming slightly to track highly mobile
             | UEs."
             | 
             | Your linked article even agrees: "Carriers can still see
             | which cell towers your device connects to, use the strength
             | and angle of your device's signal to the tower, and then
             | look up your device's unique cellular identifier to
             | determine your general location. Your location may never be
             | private when you're connected to a cellular network"
             | 
             | Fun fact: modern Wi-Fi standards do this too and it's
             | possible to use the backscattered emissions to see through
             | your walls lol https://www.popularmechanics.com/technology/
             | security/a425750...
        
               | johnwayne666 wrote:
               | Sure but you linked articles about the 5G positioning
               | system which the UE could choose not to participate to.
        
         | jowea wrote:
         | Does using the internet use less battery?
        
       | raverbashing wrote:
       | Honestly after the big investment (and with a lot of drawbacks
       | introduced by it) from 5G, I don't think telecoms have a lot of
       | appetite for massive investments in such a short term again
        
         | tguvot wrote:
         | it feels like telecoms walked back and started to invest into
         | fiber broadband deployment
        
       | chris_va wrote:
       | With 5G, I have to downgrade to LTE constantly to avoid packet
       | loss in urban canyons. Given the even higher frequencies proposed
       | for 6G, I suspect it will be mostly useless.
       | 
       | Now, it's possible that that raw GB/s with unobstructed LoS is
       | the underlying optimization metric driving these standards, but I
       | would assume it's something different (e.g. tower capex per
       | connected user).
        
         | BenjiWiebe wrote:
         | 5G can also use the same frequency bands as 4G, and when it
         | does, apparently gets slightly increased range over 4G.
        
         | msh wrote:
         | In my part of the world 5g actually is rolled out on lower
         | frequencies than 4g so I actually get better coverage.
        
         | numpad0 wrote:
         | There seem to be some integration issues in 5G Non-Standalone
         | equipment and existing network. Standalone or not, 5G outside
         | of millimeter wavelength bands("mmWave") should behave like an
         | all-around pure upgrade compared to 4G with no downsides, in
         | theory.
        
         | thrownblown wrote:
         | I just leave mine in LTE and upgrade to 5G only when I know i'm
         | gonna DL something big.
        
       | pjdesno wrote:
       | Note that existing bandwidth usage has been driven by
       | digitization of existing media formats, for which there was
       | already a technology and industry - first print, then
       | print+images, then audio, then video. People have been producing
       | HD-quality video since the beginning of Technicolor in the 1930s,
       | and while digital technology has greatly affected the production
       | and consumption of video, people still consume video at a rate of
       | one second (and about 30 frames) per second.
       | 
       | There are plenty things that *could* require more bandwidth than
       | video, but it's not clear that a large number of people want to
       | use any of them.
        
       | tomcam wrote:
       | I'm part of the early test team for tachyon-enabled 7G. Obviously
       | it's only early alpha but I think non-Googlers can get Pixel 10s
       | with it at the Mountain View Google store. If you upgrade the
       | firmware to version 0.3.75A sometimes short text messages arrive
       | before you type them.
        
       | dale_glass wrote:
       | Higher bandwidths are good to have. They're great for rare,
       | exceptional circumstances.
       | 
       | 10G internet doesn't make your streaming better, but downloads
       | the latest game much faster. It makes for much less painful
       | transfer of a VM image from a remote datacenter to a local
       | machine.
       | 
       | Which is good and bad. The good part is that it makes it easier
       | for the ISPs to provide -- most people won't be filling that 10G
       | pipe, so you can offer 10G without it raising bandwidth usage
       | much at all. You're just making remote workers really happy when
       | they have to download a terabyte of data on a single, very rare
       | occasion instead of it taking all day.
       | 
       | The bad part is that this comfort is harder to justify. Providing
       | 10G to make life more comfortable the 1% of the time it comes
       | into play still costs money.
        
         | kelnos wrote:
         | I have 1Gbps down, and the only application I've found to
         | saturate it is downloads from USENET (and with that I need
         | quite a few connections downloading different chunks
         | simultaneously to achieve it).
         | 
         | I have never come remotely close to downloading anything else
         | -- including games -- at 1Gbps.
         | 
         | The source side certainly has the available pipe, but most
         | (all?) providers see little upside to allowing one
         | client/connection to use that much bandwidth.
        
           | msh wrote:
           | Steam and the ps5 store can fill out my 1 gigabits
           | connection.
        
             | sheepdestroyer wrote:
             | Steam can fill up much more
             | 
             | I'm getting my Steam games at 2Gbps, and I am suspecting
             | that my aging ISP's "box" is to blame for the cap (didn't
             | want to pay my ISP for the new box that officially supports
             | 8Gbps symmetrical, and just got a SFP+ adapter for the old
             | one). I pay 39EUR/M for what is supposed to go "up to"
             | 8Gbps/500Mbps on that old box.
             | 
             | Games from Google Drive mirrors are coming at full speed
             | too. Nice when dling that new Skyrim VR 90GB mod pack
             | refresh
        
             | vel0city wrote:
             | Steam used to max out my internet, but now its smarter
             | about it and starts to decrypt/expand the download as its
             | going instead of doing it in phases. This quickly maxes out
             | my IOPS on even NVMe drives at only several hundred
             | megabits for most games I've tried recently.
        
           | mikepurvis wrote:
           | This tracks. I recently upgraded from 100mbps to 500mbps
           | (cable), and barely anything is different-- even torrents
           | bumped from 5MB/s to barely 10MB/s. And there's no wifi
           | involved there, just a regular desktop on gigabit ethernet.
        
             | stkdump wrote:
             | Same here. My ISP recently did a promo to try out 1G/1G for
             | free for a few months. I decided not to buy it after the
             | free trial and went back to my old 500/200 line instead of
             | paying 40% more. Yeah, it takes a minute longer downloading
             | the latest LLM from huggingface, so what.
        
           | __alexs wrote:
           | Steam downloads can easily max 1Gbps for me.
        
           | kookamamie wrote:
           | Steam downloads easily saturate my 1 Gbs. Same for S3
           | transfers.
        
           | bsimpson wrote:
           | Part of it is hardware too.
           | 
           | Only the newest routers do gigabit over wifi. If most of your
           | devices are wireless, you'll need to make sure they all have
           | wifi 6 or newer chips to use their full potential.
           | 
           | Even if upgrading your router is a one-time cost, it's still
           | enough effort that most people won't bother.
        
       | joshstrange wrote:
       | > Instead, the number of homes with sufficient connectivity and
       | percentage of the country covered by 10 Mb/s mobile may be better
       | metrics to pursue as policy goals.
       | 
       | Hard pass.
       | 
       | 5G is far from ubiquitous as it. Though how would we even know? I
       | feel like my phone is always lying about what type of network
       | it's connecting to and carrier shave the truth with shit like
       | "5Ge" and the like.
       | 
       | I have not, ever, really thought "Yeah, my phone's internet is
       | perfect as-in". I have low-signal areas of my house, if the power
       | goes out the towers are sometimes unusable due to the increased
       | load, etc. I do everything in my power to never use cellular
       | because I find incredibly frustrating and unreliable.
       | 
       | Cell service has literally unlimited headroom to improve
       | (technologically and business use-cases). Maybe we need more 5G
       | and that would fix the problems and we don't need 6G or maybe
       | this article is a gift to fat and lazy telecoms who are masters
       | at "coasting" and "only doing maintenance".
        
         | kalleboo wrote:
         | It's interesting how different people's experiences are.
         | 
         | Outside of my home (where I admit I'll never give up my 10 Gbit
         | fiber), I'll always default to using 5G. It's always faster and
         | more stable than any kind of "free wifi" at a coffee shop or
         | hotel or anything, if I'm working out of home, I'm tethering to
         | my phone, racking up 120 GB/mo or so of usage.
        
       | ai-christianson wrote:
       | We live in a rural location, so we have redundant 5G/Starlink.
       | 
       | It's getting pretty reasonable these days, with download speeds
       | reaching 0.5 gbit/sec per link, and latency is acceptable at
       | ~20ms.
       | 
       | The main challenge is the upload speed; pretty much all the ISPs
       | allocate much more spectrum for download rather than upload. If
       | we could improve one thing with future wireless tech, I think
       | upload would be a great candidate.
        
         | sidewndr46 wrote:
         | I can pretty much guarantee you that your 5G connection has
         | more bandwidth for upload than my residential ISP does
        
           | ai-christianson wrote:
           | Yeah?
           | 
           | We're getting 30-50 mbit/sec per connection on a good day.
        
             | repeekad wrote:
             | In downtown Columbus Ohio the only internet provider
             | (Spectrum) maxes out at maybe 5 mbps up (down 50-100x
             | that), it's not just a rural issue, non-competitive ISPs
             | even in urban cities want you to pay for business accounts
             | to get any kind of upload whatsoever
        
               | fweimer wrote:
               | Is it really a technical capacity issue, or just market
               | segmentation? Usually, it's possible to get so-called
               | business service with higher upload bandwidth, even at
               | residential addresses.
        
               | jacobgkau wrote:
               | That's exactly what he said, they want you to _pay_ for
               | business accounts.
        
               | repeekad wrote:
               | Yup, I'm saying it's not a rural issue to have bad
               | upload, often it's just a way to charge more money even
               | in a major US city (particularly one with limited ISP
               | competition)
               | 
               | In San Francisco monkeybrains is the best ISP I've ever
               | used to date; symmetric up/down, great ping and cheaper
               | than any other provider
        
               | simoncion wrote:
               | I am also a quite happy Monkeybrains customer, and have
               | been for a couple of years now.
               | 
               | For any folks who are using cable internet, or shitty
               | DSL, I strongly recommend checking to see if Monkeybrains
               | serves your home. If you have symmetric fiber, or are
               | happy with Webpass, then it might not make sense to
               | switch.
        
               | iamcalledrob wrote:
               | As a (former) long-time monkeybrains customer, it's a
               | mixed bag. For a casual home internet connection they're
               | great. For WFH where you need something reliable, perhaps
               | not.
               | 
               | If you're lucky and get pointed at a good site, you can
               | get great speeds. I was getting 500Mbps up/down. If
               | you're unlucky, you might only get 50Mbps.
               | 
               | There's always some jitter and packet loss on the
               | connection too -- much more than a wired connection.
               | Online gaming was not great. Congestion control algos
               | suffered because of this. I would see TCP throughput drop
               | by 90% over long distances because congestion control
               | isn't tuned for these network conditions.
               | 
               | And in the rain my connection would drop out every few
               | minutes.
               | 
               | But for $35/month it was great value, and the whole
               | company is friendly and easy to deal with.
        
               | sidewndr46 wrote:
               | were they using WiFi as the wireless layer?
        
               | zamadatix wrote:
               | Check out Breezeline (previously WOW), they cover nearly
               | the entirety of Columbus and many of the surrounding
               | areas. The minimum plan has 10 up but you can get ~50 up
               | with the standard consumer plans. Bit shitty to deal with
               | though, even for an ISP.
        
             | nightpool wrote:
             | Yes, many residential broadband ISPs top out at 1/10th
             | that.
        
             | squeaky-clean wrote:
             | I'm in NYC, Spectrum is my ISP. 500mb/s down, 10mb/s up. I
             | used to live in a building with symmetric 1G fiber from
             | Verizon, but they don't serve my building.
        
               | ai-christianson wrote:
               | Maybe once download gets so fast people have a hard time
               | figuring out what to do with it (2-10g+) they'll start
               | finally increasing upload.
        
               | sidewndr46 wrote:
               | That seems unlikely, as it is just more bandwidth they'd
               | have to pay for.
        
               | sidewndr46 wrote:
               | I'm at 300/10. Actual upload is a bit higher I think, it
               | seems they try and account for IPv4 header overhead or
               | something. If I pay some absolutely bananas monthly fee I
               | can get 30mbps up advertised. That isn't really fast
               | enough for me to notice the difference and the service is
               | unreliable anyways.
        
         | toast0 wrote:
         | > The main challenge is the upload speed; pretty much all the
         | ISPs allocate much more spectrum for download rather than
         | upload.
         | 
         | For 5G, a lot of the spectrum is statically split into
         | downstream and upstream in equal bandwidth. But equal radio
         | bandwidth doesn't mean equal data rates. Downstream speeds are
         | typically higher because multiplexing happens at one fixed
         | point, instead of over multiple, potentially moving
         | transmitters.
        
         | orev wrote:
         | You identified the problem in your statement: "the ISPs
         | allocate...". The provider gets to choose this, and if more
         | bandwidth is available from a newer technology, they're
         | incentive is to allocate it to downloads so they can advertise
         | faster speeds. It's not a technology issue.
        
         | throwaway2037 wrote:
         | What do you need faster upload speeds for?
        
       | AkshayGenius wrote:
       | Is there a reason we keep trying to use higher frequencies in
       | every new wireless standard (Wi-Fi, 5G, now 6G) instead of trying
       | to increase the maximum possible bitrate per second into lower
       | frequencies? Have we already reached the physical limits of the
       | amount of data the can be encoded at a particular frequency?
       | 
       | Lower frequencies have the advantage of longer distances and
       | permeating through obstructions better. I suppose limited
       | bandwidth and considerations of the number of devices coexisting
       | is a limiting factor.
        
         | kmlx wrote:
         | We don't move to higher frequencies just because we've run out
         | of ways to pack more data into lower bands. The main reason is
         | that higher frequencies offer much wider chunks of spectrum,
         | which directly leads to higher potential data rates. Advanced
         | modulation/coding techniques can squeeze more capacity out of
         | lower bands, but there are fundamental physical and regulatory
         | limits, like Shannon's limit and the crowded/heavily licensed
         | spectrum below 6 GHz that make it harder to keep increasing
         | speeds at those lower frequencies.
        
         | vel0city wrote:
         | 5G can operate at the same low frequencies as 2G/3G/4G. It's
         | not inherently a higher frequency standard.
         | 
         | It just also supports other bands as well.
        
         | tliltocatl wrote:
         | > Have we already reached the physical limits of the amount of
         | data the can be encoded at a particular frequency?
         | 
         | Basically, yes (if you take into account other consideration
         | like radiated power, transmitter consumed power, multipath
         | tolerance, Doppler shift tolerance and so on). Everything is a
         | tradeoff. We could e. g. use higher-order modulation, but that
         | would result in higher peak-to-average power ratio, meaning
         | less efficient transmitter. We could reduce cyclic prefix
         | length, but that would reduce multipath tolerance. And so on.
         | 
         | Another important reason why higher frequencies are preferred
         | is frequency reuse. Longer distance and penetration is not
         | always an advantage for a mobile network. A lot of radio space
         | is wasted in areas where the signal is too weak to be usable
         | but strong enough to interfere with useful signals at the same
         | frequency. In denser areas you want to cram in more base
         | stations, and if the radiation is attenuated quickly with
         | distance, you would need less spectrum space overall.
        
           | linsomniac wrote:
           | >Longer distance and penetration is not always an advantage
           | 
           | Exactly. When I was running WiFi for PyCon, I kept the radios
           | lower (on tables) and the power levels at the lower end
           | (especially for 2.4GHz, which a lot of devices still were
           | limited to at the time). Human bodies do a good job of
           | limiting the cell size and interference between adjacent APs
           | in that model. I could count on at least a couple people
           | every conference to track me down and tell me I needed to
           | increase the power on the APs. ;-)
        
             | consp wrote:
             | That works if you control all the radios. If there is some
             | other device screaming into the void you are screwed either
             | way. (been there)
        
               | linsomniac wrote:
               | One event I particularly remember, the venue had _ONE_ AP
               | (and they had assured us that they could provide WiFi
               | coverage for our 500 users, that was set to high power,
               | their AP I found during the event, it was on the floor
               | under a bench outside the master ballroom. This was the
               | venue that I eventually tracked down was handing out DHCP
               | leases with IP addresses that had a gateway address in a
               | different subnet than the client IP. That was,
               | admittedly, 2005, but the confidence they had in being
               | able to serve our attendees, despite us telling them it
               | wasn 't going to be as easy as they thought, was
               | stunning.
        
         | spacemanspiff01 wrote:
         | In addition to what others have said, Often from a network
         | perspective you want smaller range.
         | 
         | At the end of the day, there is a total speed limit of Mb/s/Hz.
         | 
         | For example, in cities, with a high population density, you
         | could theoretically have a single cell tower providing data for
         | everyone.
         | 
         | However, the speed would be slow, as for a given bandwidth six
         | the data is shared between everyone in the city.
         | 
         | Alternatively, one could have 100 towers, and then the data
         | would only have to be shared by those within range. But for
         | this to work, one of the design constraints is that a smaller
         | range is beneficial, so that multiple towers do not interfere
         | with each other.
        
         | protocolture wrote:
         | 5G's trick is MIMO. Basically just using more channel space for
         | more data. In some places that means 3G/4G spectrum + 24GHz +
         | 60GHz. And responding when you close a door and the 60GHz goes
         | away. In some parts of the world where licensing worked out
         | differently, it might just be a couple chunks of old 4G
         | spectrum. Its not a monolith.
        
           | hocuspocus wrote:
           | In most places it's 2G/3G/4G bands, either repurposed or
           | through dynamic spectrum sharing, plus sub-6 bands.
           | 
           | mmWave is a flop.
        
             | protocolture wrote:
             | Its a flop in this circumstance for sure.
             | 
             | I used to have some early engineering material outlining
             | what had been approved for use in each country and 24GHz
             | was pretty damn common. Could be that changed I havent kept
             | up.
             | 
             | I do know in Australia we have sweet FA and 5G isnt very
             | interesting at all.
        
             | marzullo wrote:
             | mmWave is amazing in any kind of packed arena/stadium.
             | Never was able to even use my phone at a basic level
             | before, now can get low latency gigabit+ speeds which is
             | insane.
        
       | ElectRabbit wrote:
       | Without 5G SA that standard is an awful battery sucker. My Pixel
       | 6 looses almost 1/3 of its battery capacity when being stuck at
       | 5G NSA.
       | 
       | With my Pixel 8 and 5G SA activated (Telefonica Germany)
       | everything is back to normal.
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | > Of course, sophisticated representations of entire 3D scenes
       | for large groups of users interacting with one another in-world
       | could conceivably push bandwidth requirements up. But at this
       | point, we're getting into Matrix-like imagined technologies
       | without any solid evidence to suggest a good 4G or 5G connection
       | wouldn't meet the tech's bandwidth demands.
       | 
       | Open-world games such as Cyberpunk 2077 already have hours-long
       | downloads for some users. That's when you load the whole world as
       | one download. Doing it incrementally is worse. Microsoft Flight
       | Simulator 2024 can pull 100 to 200 Mb/sec from the asset servers.
       | 
       | They're just flying over the world, without much ground level
       | detail. Metaverse clients go further. My Second Life client,
       | Sharpview, will download 400Mb/s of content, sustained, if you
       | get on a motorcycle and go zooming around Second Life. The
       | content is coming from AWS via Akamai caches, which can deliver
       | content at such rates. If less bandwidth is available, things are
       | blurry, but it still works. The level of asset detail is such
       | that you can stop driving, go into a convenience store, and read
       | the labels on the items.
       | 
       | GTA 6 multiplayer is coming. That's going to need bandwidth.
       | 
       | The Unreal Engine 5 demo, "The Matrix Awakens", is a download of
       | more than a terabyte. That's before decompression.
       | 
       | The CEO of Intel, during the metaverse boom, said that about
       | 1000x more compute and bandwidth was needed to do a Ready Player
       | One / Matrix quality metaverse. It's not that _quite_ that bad.
        
         | SteveNuts wrote:
         | How many people consuming these services are doing so over a
         | mobile network?
         | 
         | For my area all the mobile network home internet options offer
         | plenty of speed, but the bandwidth limitations are a
         | dealbreaker.
         | 
         | Everyone I know still uses their cable/FTTH as their main
         | internet, and mobile network as a hotspot if their main ISP
         | goes down.
        
           | Maakuth wrote:
           | Here in rural Finland, 4G/5G is the only option available to
           | me. I'm getting 50-150Mbps download speed, but often just a
           | dozen Mbps upload. On the night hours it's better and that's
           | when I my game downloads and backup uploads. I think there's
           | going to be another municipal FTTH program, let's see if I
           | get a fixed line at that point.
        
           | john_minsk wrote:
           | Right now - not many. But at some point in the future, if
           | metaverse is everywhere, you can pull out a phone and a
           | combined data for the room you are in might be 100GB. Would
           | we want to have 6G then?
        
         | drawfloat wrote:
         | Few people play games built for mobiles, let alone looking to
         | play GTA6 on an iPhone
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | For the better games, you'll need goggles or a phone that
           | unfolds to tablet size for mobile use. Both are available,
           | although the folding-screen products still have problems at
           | the fold point.
        
         | kmeisthax wrote:
         | On my current mobile plan (Google Fi[0]) the kind of streaming
         | 3D world they think I would want to download on my phone would
         | get me throttled in less than a minute. 200 MB is about a _day
         | 's_ usage, if I'm out and about burning through my data plan.
         | 
         | The reason why there isn't as much demand for mobile data as
         | they want is because the carriers have horrendously overpriced
         | it, because they want a business model where they get paid more
         | when you use your phone more. Most consumers work around this
         | business model by just... not using mobile data. Either by
         | downloading everything in advance or deliberately avoiding
         | data-hungry things like video streaming. e.g. I have no
         | interest in paying 10 cents to watch a YouTube video when I'm
         | out of the house, so I'm not going to watch YouTube.
         | 
         | There's a very old article that I can't find anymore which
         | predicted the death of satellite phones, airplane phones, and
         | weirdly enough, _3G_ ; because they were built on the idea of
         | taking places that traditionally don't have network
         | connectivity, and then selling connectivity at exorbitant
         | prices, on the hopes that people desperate for connectivity
         | will pay those prices[1]. This doesn't scale. Obviously 3G did
         | _not_ fail, but it didn 't fail predominantly because networks
         | got cheaper to access - not because there was a hidden,
         | untapped market of people who were going to spend tens of
         | dollars per megabyte just to not have to hunt for a phone jack
         | to send an e-mail from their laptop[2].
         | 
         | I get the same vibes from 5G. Oh, yes, sure, we _can_ treat 5G
         | like a landline now and just stream massive amounts of data to
         | it with low latency, but that 's a scam. The kinds of scenarios
         | they were pitching, like factories running a bunch of sensors
         | off of 5G, were already possible with properly-spec'd Wi-Fi
         | access points[3]. Everyone in 5G thought they could sell us the
         | same network again but for more money.
         | 
         | [0] While I'm ranting about mobile data usage, I would like to
         | point out that either Android's data usage accounting has
         | gotten significantly worse, or Google Fi's carrier accounting
         | is lying, because they're now consistently about 100-200MB out
         | of sync by the end of the month. Didn't have this problem when
         | I was using an LG G7 ThinQ, but my Pixel 8 Pro does this
         | constantly.
         | 
         | [1] Which it called "permanet", in contrast to the "nearernet"
         | strategy of just waiting until you have a cheap connection and
         | sending everything then.
         | 
         | [2] I'm told similar economics are why you can't buy laptops
         | with cellular modems in them. The licensing agreements that
         | cover cellular SEP only require FRAND pricing on phones and
         | tablets, so only phones and tablets can get affordable cell
         | modems, and Qualcomm treats everything else as a permanet play.
         | 
         | [3] Hell, there's even a 5G spec for "license-assisted access",
         | i.e. spilling 5G radio transmissions into the ISM bands that
         | Wi-Fi normally occupies, so it's literally just weirdly shaped
         | Wi-Fi at this point.
        
           | stkdump wrote:
           | > I'm told similar economics are why you can't buy laptops
           | with cellular modems in them
           | 
           | I don't know what you mean. My current laptop (Lenovo L13)
           | has a cellular modem that I don't need. And I am certainly a
           | cost conscious buyer. It's also not the first time that this
           | happened as well.
        
           | john_minsk wrote:
           | So true. I remember the first time I got access to 5G was on
           | a short visit to Dubai. I got a sim card with ~20GB of
           | traffic and was super excited to try speedtest. My brother
           | told me not to do that because 5G is so fast that if
           | speedtest doesn't limit the traffic size for the test it will
           | consume all of it within 30 seconds the test runs. Guess
           | what? I didn't run the test because I didn't want to pay
           | another $50 for the data package. If I have 1Gbit connection
           | even with 100G. What's the point? I'm still kind of on 4G if
           | I want 100G to last me a month...
        
             | Peanuts99 wrote:
             | Seems damn expensive. In the UK you can get a SIM card for
             | PS20 with unlimited data & calls which is run on one of the
             | larger 5G networks. I usually have the opposite problem
             | though, I barely use 5GBs on a given month.
        
         | markedathome wrote:
         | > The Unreal Engine 5 demo, "The Matrix Awakens", is a download
         | of more than a terabyte. That's before decompression.
         | 
         | The PS5 and Xbox Series S/X both had disks that were incapable
         | of holding a terabyte at the launch of The Matrix Awakens. Not
         | sure where you are getting that info from, but both the X S/X
         | and PS5 were about 30GB in size on disk, and the later packaged
         | PC release is less than 20GB.
         | 
         | The full PC _development_ system might total a TB with all
         | Unreal Engine, Metahumans, City Sample packs, Matrix Awakens
         | code and assets (audio, mocap, etc) but even then the consumer
         | download will be around the 20-30GB size as noted above.
        
       | bilater wrote:
       | It's rare I come across something so myopic, unimaginative and
       | laughable. This will age as well as the Paul Krugman
       | prediction:"the Internet's impact on the economy has been no
       | greater than the fax machine's". We have not even begun to
       | explore the Uber/Airbnb applications of a 6G+ world. And the VR
       | bandwidth ceiling lazy thought is an extension of the limited
       | mindset of this author.
        
       | kinematicgps99 wrote:
       | What we really need is pervasive low data rate backup systems for
       | text messaging and low fidelity emergency calls that don't kill
       | handset batteries. If this means "Starlink" and/or lower
       | frequency bands (<400 MHz): the more options, the merrier for
       | safety. Perhaps there may come a time where no one needs an
       | EPIRB/ELT because that functionality is totally subsumed by
       | smartphones offering equal or superior performance.
        
       | pr337h4m wrote:
       | >Regulators may also have to consider whether fewer operators may
       | be better for a country, with perhaps only a single underlying
       | fixed and mobile network in many places--just as utilities for
       | electricity, water, gas, and the like are often structured around
       | single (or a limited set of) operators.
       | 
       | There are no words to describe how stupid this is.
        
         | fny wrote:
         | Clearly you did not like playing Monopoly as child.
        
         | suddenlybananas wrote:
         | I think that it should be run as a public service like
         | utilities and should be as cheap as humanly possible. Why not?
        
           | daedrdev wrote:
           | My public utility is bad at its job because it has literally
           | zero incentive to be cheap, and thus my utilities are
           | expensive
        
             | sweeter wrote:
             | A private electric grid is a nightmare. Look at Texas.
             | People pay more, and they get less coverage. It's worse by
             | every metric. The conversation should revolve around, how
             | can we fix the government so that it isn't 5 corporations
             | in a trench coat who systematically defund public utilities
             | and social safety nets in hopes of breaking it so they can
             | privatize it and make billions sucking up tax payer money
             | while doing no work. See the billions in tax funding to
             | ATT, Google, etc... to put in fiber internet that they just
             | pocketed the cash and did nothing.
        
               | daedrdev wrote:
               | In Texas electricity is literally less than half the
               | price than the price in my state on average. (14c/kwh vs
               | 34c/kwh) (I live in California)
               | 
               | If you want to say its worse, perhaps you should check if
               | its actually worse first.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | A big part of the reason that California average
               | electrical price per kWh is high is that a huge portion
               | of the cost is fixed costs, and California's efficiency
               | push has resulted in the lowest lowest per capita
               | electricity usage (and fourth lowest per capita energy
               | usage) in the USA, so the fixed costs are spread over
               | fewer kWh.
               | 
               | Conversely, Texas has significantly above average use per
               | capita, spreading the fixed costs across more kWh, but
               | still results in higher annual _costs_ per capita,
               | despite lower per kWh rates.
        
               | cogman10 wrote:
               | Let's also not forget the cost of the things like the
               | campfire fire. That's a huge bill that needs to be paid
               | and that cost is ultimately going to come out of the kwh
               | rates.
               | 
               | Further, the LA fires might have also been caused by a
               | downed line so that's going to be a fairly big cost to
               | the power company.
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > Let's also not forget the cost of the things like the
               | campfire fire.
               | 
               | That's, I assume, a reference to the 2018 Camp Fire.
               | 
               | > That's a huge bill that needs to be paid and that cost
               | is ultimately going to come out of the kwh rates.
               | 
               | The Trust established to pay PG&E liabilities for the
               | 2015 Butte, 2017 North Bay, and 2018 Camp Fires, which
               | discharged PG&E's responsibility for them, receives no
               | additional ratepayer funds after its initial funding and
               | is in the wind-down process expecting a single final top-
               | off payment to already approved claimants. So, no, its
               | not a huge bill that will be paid out of future rates.
        
             | cogman10 wrote:
             | > it has literally zero incentive to be cheap
             | 
             | Do private utilities have any incentive to be cheap?
             | 
             | The reason we have utility regulations in the first place
             | is because utilities are natural monopolies with literally
             | zero incentive to be cheap. On the contrary, they are
             | highly incentivized to push up prices as much as possible
             | because they have their customers over a barrel.
        
               | ssl-3 wrote:
               | Utilities do have incentive to be cheap as long as there
               | are is the presence of competing offerings and the lack
               | of collusion.
               | 
               | ...which is unusual with many utilities, but is also
               | pretty common with wireless carriers in much of the
               | world.
        
             | natebc wrote:
             | I believe the idea is that you shouldn't have a corporation
             | provide the utility if there's only going to be one.
             | 
             | "public utility" implies it's owned by the public not a
             | profit seeking group of shareholders.
        
           | cogman10 wrote:
           | I personally like the notion of a common public
           | infrastructure that subleases access. We already sort of do
           | that with mobile carriers where the big 3 provide all access
           | and all the other "carriers" (like google fi) are simply
           | leasing access.
           | 
           | Make it easy for a new wireless company to spawn while
           | maintaining the infrastructure everyone needs.
        
           | fny wrote:
           | Because competition drives innovation. 5G exists as widely as
           | it does because carriers were driven to meet the standard and
           | provide faster service to their customers.
           | 
           | This article is essentially arguing innovation is dead in
           | this space and there is no need for bandwidth-related
           | improvements. At the same time, there is no 5G provider
           | without a high-speed cap or throttling for hot spots. What
           | would happen if enough people switched to 5G boxes over
           | cable? Maybe T-Mobile can compete with Comcast?
        
             | javier2 wrote:
             | Well, 5G is unlikely to be built in my area for the next
             | decade, meanwhile 3 operators are building networks in the
             | slightly more populated areas.
        
               | kalleboo wrote:
               | Coverage requirements could be part of the spectrum
               | auction, like when Google managed to get "no SIM locking"
               | part of the spectrum requirements for the 700 MHz band,
               | opening up Verizon phones https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2
               | 008_United_States_wireless_sp...
        
             | dgacmu wrote:
             | Competition drives innovation, but also, we've generally
             | seen that things like municipal broadband are _more_
             | innovative than an incumbent monopoly carrier. Large chunks
             | of the US don't have much competition at all in wired
             | services, and if we approach that in wireless, we are
             | likely to see the same effects starting where the local
             | monopoly tries to extract maximum dollars out of an aging
             | infrastructure. Lookin' at you, Comcast, lookin' at you.
        
               | fny wrote:
               | As you say, "incumbent monopoly carrier" is not
               | competition, so a municipal provider which competes with
               | broadband is a great idea. This article, however, is
               | arguing we don't need more bandwidth, and we need more
               | consolidation of major providers: I'm not convinced.
        
             | vel0city wrote:
             | The T-Mobile 5G Rely fixed-wireless home internet plan
             | offers no caps and no throttling plans.
        
               | fny wrote:
               | It does past a terabyte.
        
               | vel0city wrote:
               | The fine print does say:
               | 
               | > During congestion, customers on this plan may notice
               | speeds lower than other customers and further reduction
               | if using >1.2TB/mo., due to data prioritization
               | 
               | So not really a cap, but a deprioritization. A few
               | friends using it around me routinely use >2TB/mo and
               | haven't experienced degradation, I guess there's not
               | excessive congestion. YMMV.
        
           | immibis wrote:
           | Three things are necessary then:
           | 
           | 1. It must be well-run.
           | 
           | 2. It must be guaranteed to continue to be well-run.
           | 
           | 3. If someone can do it better, they must be allowed to do so
           | - and then their improvements have to be folded into the
           | network somehow if there is to be only one network.
        
           | oytis wrote:
           | Internet is treated this way in Germany, and it's slow and
           | expensive. Eastern European countries that put their bets on
           | competition instead of regulation have more bang for the buck
           | in their network infrastructure
        
             | Sabinus wrote:
             | How come it's failed to provide cost effective internet in
             | the US then?
        
         | HnUser12 wrote:
         | They should study Canada. We're already running that
         | experiment.
        
         | Marsymars wrote:
         | I dunno, it makes conceptual sense. Networks infrastructure is
         | largely commodity utilities where duplication is effectively a
         | waste of resources. e.g. you wouldn't expect your home to have
         | multiple natural gas connections from competing companies.
         | 
         | Regulators have other ways to incentivize quality/pricing and
         | can mandate competition at levels of the stack other than the
         | underlying infrastructure.
         | 
         | I wouldn't expect that "only a single network" is the right
         | model for all locations, but it will be for _some_ locations,
         | so you need a regulatory framework that ensures quality /cost
         | in the case of a single network anyway.
        
           | newsreaderguy wrote:
           | IMO this can be neatly solved with a peer-to-peer market
           | based system similar to Helium https://www.helium.com/mobile.
           | 
           | (I know that helium's original IoT network mostly failed due
           | to lack of pmf, but idk about their 5G stuff)
           | 
           | Network providers get paid for the bandwidth that flows over
           | their nodes, but the protocol also allows for economically
           | incentivizing network expansion and punishing congestion with
           | subsidization / taxing.
           | 
           | You can unify everyone under the same "network", but the
           | _infrastructure providers_ running it are diverse and in
           | competition.
        
         | javier2 wrote:
         | Maybe it is. Building multiple networks for smaller populations
         | comes at enormous cost though. In my country there have been a
         | tradition for this kind of network sharing, where operators are
         | required to allow alternative operators on their physical
         | network for a fee set by government.
        
         | cft wrote:
         | Who are these "regulators"? Did we vote for them? Were they
         | selected in the process of market competition and attrition?
        
         | grahar64 wrote:
         | In New Zealand we have a single company that owns all the
         | telecommunications wires. It was broken up in the 90's from a
         | service provider because they were a monopoly and abusing their
         | position in the market. Now we have a ton of options of ISPs,
         | but only one company to deal with if there are line faults. BTW
         | the line company is the best to deal with, the ISPs are shit.
         | 
         | Same for mobile infrastructure would be great as well.
        
           | kiwijamo wrote:
           | In NZ we also have the Rural Connectivity Group (RCG) which
           | operates over 400 cellular/mobile sites in rural areas for
           | the three mobile carriers, capital funded jointly by the NZ
           | Government and the three mobile carriers (with operational
           | costs shared between the three carriers I believe). For
           | context the individual carriers operate around 2,000 of their
           | own sites in urban areas and most towns in direct competition
           | with each other. It has worked really well for the more rural
           | parts of the country, filling in gaps in state highway
           | coverage as well as providing coverage to smaller towns that
           | would be uneconomical for the individual carriers to cover
           | otherwise. I'm talking towns of a handful of households
           | getting high speed 4G coverage. Really proud of NZ as this
           | sort of thing is unheard of in most other countries.
        
             | wingworks wrote:
             | Ironically, often you get way faster speeds out on a RCG
             | tower too. (probably due to few users), vs when in the
             | city, where I often get pretty average speeds be it 4g or
             | 5g.
        
         | micromacrofoot wrote:
         | It's not that stupid IMO, they could handle it like some places
         | handle electricity -- there's a single distributor managing
         | infra but you can select from a number of providers offering
         | different generation rates
         | 
         | Having 5 competing infrastructures trying to blanket the
         | country means that you end up with a ton of waste and the most
         | populated places get priority as they constantly fight each
         | other for the most valuable markets while neglecting the less
         | profitable fringe
        
         | SSLy wrote:
         | It works very well in at least two very rich European
         | countries, and one bit less affluent but still not exactly
         | poor.
        
         | hedora wrote:
         | It actually works well in most places. Look up the term "common
         | carrier".
         | 
         | The trick is that the entity that owns the wires has to
         | provide/upgrade the network at cost, and anyone has the right
         | to run a telco on top of the network.
         | 
         | This creates competition for things like pricing plans, and
         | financial incentives for the companies operating in the space
         | to compete on their ability to build out / upgrade the network
         | (or to not do that, but provide cheaper service).
        
           | therein wrote:
           | It also makes it more vulnerable to legal, bureaucratic and
           | technical threats.
           | 
           | Doesn't make much sense to me to abstract away most of the
           | parts where an entity could build up its competitive
           | advantage and then to pretend like healthy competition could
           | be build on top.
           | 
           | Imagine if one entity did all the t-shirt manufacturing
           | globally but then you congratulated yourself for creating a
           | market based on altered colors and what is printed on top of
           | these t-shirts.
        
             | SSLy wrote:
             | the in world practice seems to have this worked out. I am
             | working for such provider right now and it is neither cash
             | starved not suffocating under undue bureaucracy
        
             | computerthings wrote:
             | And private companies don't even have to be vulnerable,
             | they can just do nasty things nilly willy, because it might
             | be profitable and they might get away with it. Yeah, there
             | _could_ be ones that don 't suck, and then customers
             | _could_ pick those, but when there aren 't, when they all
             | collude to be equally shitty and raise prices whenever they
             | can -- which they do -- people have no recourse. They _do_
             | have recourse when it comes to the government.
             | 
             | And for some things it's just too much duplicated effort
             | and wasted resources, T-shirts are one thing, because we
             | don't really need those, but train lines and utilities etc.
             | are another. I can't tell you where the "boundary" is, but
             | if every electric company had to lay their own cables,
             | there would only _be_ one or two.
             | 
             | And in the opinion of many including mine, for example the
             | Deutsche Bundesbahn got worse when it got privatized. They
             | kinda exploited the fact that after reunification, there
             | were _two_ state railroad systems obviously, and instead of
             | merging them into _one_ state railroad system, it was
             | privatized, but because it made more money for _some_ , but
             | not because it benefits the public, the customers. Of
             | course the reasoning was the usual neoliberal spiel,
             | "saving money" and "smaller government" but then that money
             | just ends up not really making things better to the degree
             | privatization made them worse.
             | 
             | Obviously not everything should be state run, far from it.
             | But privatizing everything is a cure actually even worse
             | than the disease, since state-run sinks and swims with how
             | much say the people have, whereas a 100% privatized world
             | just sinks into the abyss.
        
             | jethro_tell wrote:
             | This was a common way to do things before the telcos in the
             | USA were deregulated in the 2000s and 2010s. At the time it
             | was both internet and telephone but due to the timing of de
             | regulation, it never really took off with real high speed
             | internet, only dsl and dialup.
             | 
             | I used to work at a place that did both on top of the
             | various telcos. We offered 'premium service' with 24 hour
             | customer support and a low customer to modem and bandwidth
             | ratio.
             | 
             | Most of our competitors beat us in price but would only
             | offer customers support 9-5 and you may get a busy signal/
             | lower bandwidth in the back haul during peak hours.
             | 
             | There was a single company that owned the wires and poles,
             | because it's expensive and complex to build physical
             | infrastructure and hard to compete, but they were bared
             | from selling actual services or undercutting providers
             | because of their position. (Which depended on
             | jurisdiction).
             | 
             | It solved the problem we have now of everyone complaining
             | about their ISP but only having one option in their area.
             | 
             | We have that problem now specifically because we
             | deregulated common carriers for internet right as it took
             | over the role of telephone service.
        
           | ClumsyPilot wrote:
           | > This creates competition for things like pricing plans
           | 
           | If the common carrier is doing all the work, what's the point
           | of the companies on top? What do they add to the system
           | besides cost?
           | 
           | Might as well get rid of them and have a national carrier.
        
             | kemitche wrote:
             | The companies on top provide end user customer support,
             | varied pricing models ("unlimited" data vs pay by the GB,
             | etc), and so on. It allows the common carrier to focus
             | solely on the network hardware.
        
               | hedora wrote:
               | They also sometimes own the machines in the field
               | closets. So, anyone can rent 1U + a bunch of fiber
               | endpoints for the same price. What you do with the slots
               | is up to you. If there's a problem with the power or
               | actual fiber optics, the common carrier fixes it. (Like a
               | colo, sort of.)
        
             | L-four wrote:
             | They add value by producing complicated and convoluted
             | contracts which cannot be compared easily full of gotchas.
        
           | celsoazevedo wrote:
           | Common carriers have some upsides, but one downside is that
           | it sometimes removes the incentive for ISPs to deploy their
           | own networks.
           | 
           | I was stuck with a common carrier for years. I could pick
           | different ISPs, which offered different prices and types of
           | support, but they all used the same connection... which was
           | only stable at lower speeds.
        
           | protocolture wrote:
           | Your second and third paragraph are contradictory.
           | 
           | Common carriers become the barrier to network upgrades.
           | Always. Without fail. Monopolies are a bad idea, whether
           | state or privately owned.
           | 
           | Let me give you 2 examples.
           | 
           | In australia we had Telstra (Formerly Telecom, Formerly
           | Auspost). Testra would resell carriers ADSL services, and
           | they stank. The carriers couldn't justify price increases to
           | upgrade their networks and the whole thing stagnated.
           | 
           | We had a market review, and Telstra was legislatively forced
           | to sell ULL instead. So the non monopolist is now placing
           | their own hardware in Telstra exchanges, which they can
           | upgrade. Which they did. Once they could sell an upgrade
           | (ADSL2+) they could also price in the cost of upgrading
           | peering and transit. We had a huge increase in network
           | speeds. We later forgot this lesson and created the NBN.
           | NBNCo does not sell ULL, and the pennies that ISPs can charge
           | on top of it are causing stagnation again.
           | 
           | ULL works way better than common carrier. In singapore the
           | government just runs glass. They have competition between
           | carriers to provide faster GPON. 2gig 10gig 100gig whatever.
           | Its just a hardware upgrade away.
           | 
           | 10 years from now Australia will realise it screwed up with
           | NBNCo. Again. But they wont as easily be able to go to ULL as
           | they did in the past. NBN's fibre isn't built for it. We will
           | have to tear out splitters and install glass.
           | 
           | The actual result is worse than you suggest. A carrier had to
           | take the government/NBNCo to court to get permission to build
           | residential fibre in apartment buildings over the monopoly.
           | We have NBNCo strategically overbuilding other fibre
           | providers and shutting them down (Its an offence to compete
           | with the NBN on the order of importing a couple million bucks
           | of cocaine). Its an absolute handbrake on competition and
           | network upgrades. Innovation is only happening in the gaps
           | left behind by the common carrier.
        
             | rstuart4133 wrote:
             | Yeah, I've noticed the same things with roads. They are
             | common carriers owned mostly by the government, so they
             | never get upgraded. That freeway near my house is always
             | clogged.
             | 
             | Oh wait ... the reason that freeway is always clogged is
             | they are ripping it up, doubling it's width. And now I
             | think about it, hasn't the NBN recently upgraded their max
             | speeds from 100 Mb/s, to 250Mb/s, and now to 1Gb/s. And
             | isn't the NBN currently ripping out the FttN, replacing it
             | woth FttP, at no cost to the cusytomer? Sounds like a major
             | upgrade to me. And wasn't the reason we got the NBN that
             | Telstra point blank refused to replace the monopoly copper
             | infrastructure with fibre?
             | 
             | If I didn't know better, I'd be think the major policy
             | mistake Australia made in Telecom was the liberals to
             | selling off Telstra. In a competitive market when a new
             | technology came along a telecom is forced to upgrade
             | because their a competitors would use the new technology to
             | steal their customers. That works fabulously for 5G, where
             | there is competition. But when the Libs sold Telstra it was
             | a monopoly. Telstra just refused to upgrade the copper. The
             | Libs thought they could fix that though legislation, but
             | what happened instead is Telstra fought the legalisation
             | tooth and nail and we ended up in the absurd situation of
             | having buildings full of federal court judges and lawyers
             | fighting to get reasonable ULL access. In the end Tesltra
             | did give permission to change the equipment at the ends of
             | the wires. But replacing the wires themselves - never. That
             | was their golden goose. No one was permitted to replace
             | them with a new technology.
             | 
             | Desperate to make the obvious move to fibre, the Libs then
             | offered Telstra, the Optus, then anybody money to build a
             | new fibre network - but they all refused to do so unless
             | the government effectively guaranteed monopoly ownership
             | over the new network.
             | 
             | Sorry, what was your point again? Oh, that's right, public
             | ownership shared natural monopolies like wires, roads,
             | water mains is bad. The thing I missed is why a private
             | rent extracting monopoly beholden to no one except the
             | profit seeking share holders owning those things is better.
        
               | HDThoreaun wrote:
               | Things don't improve without competition. Roads have to
               | be a monopoly because they take up so much space but we
               | should endeavor to have as few monopolies as possible
               | because they breed complacency every single time. At
               | least here in Chicago the roads are horribly mismanaged
               | but we just have to put up with it.
        
               | rstuart4133 wrote:
               | Last I looked the NASA's capabilities of NASA's space
               | telescopes have been improving rapidly. I'm not aware of
               | any competition. Roads where I live have improved
               | immensely during my lifetime. I'd lay long odds yours
               | have too over the decades, despite your claims. All
               | without competition. I recently heard all the lead water
               | pipes are being replaced in the USA. The water supply
               | people have no competition. Open source projects improve
               | all the time. They aren't driven by competition.
               | 
               | "Things don't improve without competition" sounds like a
               | fairy tale somebody tells themselves to justify a
               | position. People like nice things. They don't need
               | competition to motive them to work towards those things.
               | Granted competition usually speeds things up, but it
               | "nothing improves without competition" clearly wrong.
               | There are too many counter examples.
               | 
               | Which is just as well, because the things we are
               | discussing here are prone to forming natural monopolies.
               | Roads, water, the telephone service, electricity supply -
               | the thing they have in common is you will have one
               | supplier, and you can't change to a different one. There
               | is no competition. So the discussion wasn't about "should
               | there be competition or not", because there is no choice.
               | The discussion was about "who should own a monopoly -
               | people you elect, or people whose only primary interest
               | is extracting money out of their assets (which happen to
               | be you)". You seem arguing for private ownership, and
               | then using competition as the justification - when there
               | is no competition.
               | 
               | By the by, other places do this competition thing far
               | better than the USA. The NBN the parent was complaining
               | about is indeed a government owned monopoly. Their asset
               | is "the last mile". The arrangement in Australia is they
               | are a common carrier in the strictest meaning of the
               | term. But they are not allowed to sell to the public,
               | that's the ISP's job. The NBN's prices are thrashed out
               | in some back room somewhere between the ISP's and the
               | government, in front of a set of open books. The ISP's
               | are allowed to use other technologies like 5G and
               | Starlink without penality, by law. As an consequence
               | every Australian household gets to chose between 100's of
               | ISP's, literally. Those ISP's are require by law to
               | advertise "minimum expected speeds", and none of this
               | "unlimited (meaning we get to define the limit)" bullshit
               | is allowed. In other words, it's nearly a perfect
               | competitive market.
               | 
               | One effect of that is there is no "net neutrality"
               | argument here. The NBN is barred from such distinctions
               | because it's a common carrier. The ISP's are free to do
               | whatever they damned well please, and as a consequence
               | you get all sorts of deals that violate net neutrality.
               | 5G with limited downloads, but unlimited streaming from
               | some platform is free for example. If you don't like
               | that, say because your ISP blocks ports move to one that
               | doesn't. You might be thinking "ahh, but moving between
               | ISP's would be hard". But no, the law mandates churning
               | between ISP's is free, fast, involving no more than a few
               | minutes downtime, and requires no interaction at all with
               | the ISP you're moving from.
               | 
               | Creating near a perfect competitive market in an area
               | that is prone to forming natural monopolies does require
               | some heavy handed government intervention. The NBN was
               | one of the most heavy handed interventions I've seen in a
               | while. The private operators where given every chance to
               | build a new network on the condition it be open to all
               | retailers (including them) at a price the government had
               | some control over. They declined. Partially because
               | government price control on a monopoly was too much to
               | bear, but I think also because they thought their
               | ownership of the copper network was too big a hurdle for
               | even the government to overcome. The government overbuilt
               | it with fibre. In a country that's even more spread out
               | than USA, that was a huge undertaking. I suspect it would
               | be impossible in the USA, where 1/2 the population allows
               | themselves to be brainwashed by large corporates into
               | thinking "government always bad, government always
               | inefficient".
               | 
               | Yes, the government is inefficient compared to private
               | operators in a competitive market. But the corporates who
               | want you to think the government always runs things badly
               | are the ones who want to take control of government owned
               | monopolies. If you want to know what inefficiency looks
               | like, join one as an employee. You won't get to see
               | what's happening otherwise. The sausage is ugly, but they
               | unlike the government are allowed to hide it from prying
               | eyes. So they do, and tell you they are doing a wonderful
               | job. Apparently you swallow it up.
        
               | HDThoreaun wrote:
               | Im not reading all this so Ill just respond to the first
               | paragraph. The space industry was dead in the water
               | before spaceX showed up. Minimal innovation and spend
               | trending down every year and now spaceX has sparked a
               | complete reversal. Competition matters.
               | 
               | > I recently heard all the lead water pipes are being
               | replaced in the USA.
               | 
               | We still have lead pipes to many houses in chicago, and
               | will for the foreseeable future. The water supply
               | people(government) have utterly failed at replacing them
               | in a timely fashion.
               | 
               | > Open source projects improve all the time
               | 
               | Because theyre extremely competitive. With minimal
               | barriers to entry there are different devs trying to get
               | their code merged and different projects trying to be the
               | top dog. When one shows weakness another pops up.
        
           | Gigachad wrote:
           | Feels a lot like whitelabeling. Where you have 200 companies
           | selling exactly the same product at slightly different price
           | points but where there isn't really any difference in the
           | product.
        
           | odo1242 wrote:
           | "Common carrier" tends to raise prices for minimum service,
           | though. And once the network is built the carrier is just
           | going to keep their monopoly. You bet they're never upgrading
           | to any new piece of technology until they're legally required
           | to.
        
           | timewizard wrote:
           | It actually has nefarious benefits. Look up the term
           | "HTLINGUAL" or "ECHELON." It's certainly nice for the
           | government to have fewer places to shop when destroying our
           | privacy.
           | 
           | The trick is that this is essentially wireless spectrum.
           | Which can be leased for limited periods of time and can
           | easily allow for a more competitive environment than what
           | natural monopolies allow for.
           | 
           | It's also possible to separate the infrastructure operators
           | from the backhaul operators and thus entirely avoid the
           | issues of capital investment costs by upstart incumbents.
           | When done there's even less reason to tolerate monopolistic
           | practices on either side.
        
         | jay_kyburz wrote:
         | Having a single provider of utilities is great when owned by
         | the gov and run "at cost". Problem is, dickheads get voted in
         | and they sell the utility to their mates who get an instant
         | monopoly and start running the utility for profit.
        
         | Spooky23 wrote:
         | You're thinking legacy. In our new Italian Fascist/Peronist
         | governance model, maximizing return on assets for our cronies
         | is the priority. The regulatory infrastructure that fostered
         | both good and bad aspects of the last 75 years is being
         | destroyed and will not return.
         | 
         | Nationalizing telecom is a great way to reward the tech
         | oligarchs by making the capital investments in giant data
         | centers more valuable. If 10 gig can be delivered cheaply over
         | the air, those hyperscale data centers will end up obsolete if
         | technology continues to advance at the current pace. Why would
         | the companies that represent 30% of the stock markets value
         | want that?
        
         | recursive wrote:
         | How confusing. Now I can't tell whether it's very stupid, not
         | stupid, or medium stupid. Too bad there were no words.
        
         | odo1242 wrote:
         | If regulators do this, it would have to be municipal carriers,
         | like the one in that city in Tennessee.
        
       | bluesounddirect wrote:
       | Title Edit: 4G networks meet consumer needs as mobile data growth
       | slows
        
       | nwatson wrote:
       | Someone I know at a mixed-signal company many of whose chips go
       | to 5G deployments said their revenue really slowed down last year
       | due to 5G deployment uptake decreasing significantly.
        
         | transcriptase wrote:
         | My understanding was that the economics/range of 5G only really
         | worked in densely populated areas? Or has that changed? If not,
         | once those places are saturated it makes sense that build out
         | would slow.
        
       | fny wrote:
       | There is not a single 5G provider with unlimited high-speed
       | access. _Not one._
       | 
       | Perhaps this has something to do with limited mobile bandwidth?
       | 
       | Now imagine we add more bandwidth: what would happen to Comcast
       | and other fiber monopolists if people started replacing fiber
       | with 5G?
        
         | Cbzjsj wrote:
         | _In your country._
        
         | angio wrote:
         | Three UK has unlimited 5G data plans.
        
       | epolanski wrote:
       | What's the point of more bandwidth when virtually all carriers
       | limit your data plans to 50 to 150 GB/month?
        
         | Calamityjanitor wrote:
         | Here in Australia they'll charge more for 5G but limit it to
         | 150mbps. That's slower than LTE's max, no wonder 5G uptake is
         | slow.
        
       | cogman10 wrote:
       | This article misses the forest through the trees.
       | 
       | I can grant that a typical usage of wireless bandwidth doesn't
       | require more than 10Mbps. So, what does "even faster buy you"?
       | 
       | The answer is actually pretty simple, at any given frequency you
       | have a limited amount of data that can be transmitted. The more
       | people you have chatting to a tower, the less available bandwidth
       | there is. By having a transmission standard with theoretical
       | capacities in the GB or 10GB, or more you make it so you can
       | service 10, 100, 1000 more customers their 10Mbps content. It
       | makes it cheaper for the carrier to roll out and gives a better
       | experience for the end users.
        
       | rho4 wrote:
       | My need for speed is a long way from saturated. 360deg virtual
       | reality calls at a resolution better than my physical senses is
       | just one thing my unimaginative mind can come up with on the
       | spot.
        
       | viraptor wrote:
       | > Could maximum data speeds--on mobile devices, at home, at work
       | --be approaching "fast enough" for most people for most purposes?
       | 
       | That seems to be the theme across all consumer electronics as
       | well. For an average person mid phones are good enough, bargain
       | bin laptops are good enough, almost any TV you can buy today is
       | good enough. People may of course desire higher quality and
       | specific segments will have higher needs, but things being enough
       | may be a problem for tech and infra companies in the next decade.
        
         | hexator wrote:
         | A problem for tech companies but not the world.
        
           | gambiting wrote:
           | Get ready to be sold the exact same thing you already own,
           | just "with AI" now.
        
             | callc wrote:
             | And obsolescence via "TPM2"!
        
             | yieldcrv wrote:
             | I'm all for advancements in the size of various models able
             | to be loaded onto devices, and the amount of fast ram
             | available for them
        
               | gambiting wrote:
               | Sure, but why is my Samsung tumble dryer "enhanced with
               | AI" now? You know what it does? You turn it on, it shows
               | "optimising with AI" on the screen....to show you the
               | most used programme. That's not AI, that's a counter in a
               | text file somewhere. But of course everything has to have
               | AI now so my tumble dryer now has AI. The market has
               | spoken.
        
               | nerdponx wrote:
               | And in the meantime the real physical buttons that last
               | for millions of presses have been replaced with finicky
               | touch buttons that don't work when there's a drop of
               | moisture on the screen, and the whole panel dies after 2
               | years (only 1 year warranty sorry) and they don't sell
               | replacements so you have to buy a new dryer or get a
               | janky offbrand replacement off of Ebay and spend an
               | afternoon trying to figure out how to install it (if it's
               | even possible).
               | 
               | This is robber baron behavior. We aren't sending our kids
               | to the coal breakers anymore (at least not until OSHA is
               | shut down and child labor laws are ruled unconstitutional
               | violations of the 1st amendment), but we are all being
               | squeezed to the limits of our incomes and sanities, so
               | directors and investors and the CEO can buy more yachts.
        
               | thmsths wrote:
               | We need to enforce minimum warranty periods per product
               | category. We already have a detailed classification of
               | every single product for import duty purposes, let's
               | reuse that and apply specific warranties. For instance, a
               | car or an appliance should have a 5 years warranty. They
               | simply consume too much resources to produce, transport
               | and recycle to justify a shorter lifespan.
        
               | encom wrote:
               | What "programs" does a tumble dryer even need? You press
               | the ON button, and it should continue until its contents
               | are dry.
        
           | teamonkey wrote:
           | A problem when the world's pension funds contain significant
           | holdings of US tech stocks
        
         | ekianjo wrote:
         | Good enough but most of these devices are not built to last.
        
         | aceazzameen wrote:
         | The answer is yes. But it's not just about speed. The higher
         | speeds drain the battery faster.
         | 
         | I say this because we currently use an old 2014 phone as a
         | house phone for the family. It's set to 2G to take calls, and
         | switches to 4g for the actual voice call. We only have to
         | charge it once every 2-3 weeks, if not longer. (Old Samsung
         | phones also had Ultra Power Saving mode which helps with that)
         | 
         | 2G is being shutdown though. Once that happens and it's forced
         | into 4G all the time, we'll have to charge it more often. And
         | that sucks. There isn't a single new phone on the market that
         | lasts as long as this old phone with an old battery.
         | 
         | The same principle is why I have my modern personal phone set
         | to 4G instead of 5G. The energy savings are very noticeable.
        
           | vel0city wrote:
           | There are some more traditional home phones which work on
           | 4/5G networks with a DECT handset which talks to a cellular
           | base station. You might look into switching to that model to
           | replace your "cell phone as a home phone" concept. It makes
           | it a bit easier to add another handset to the DECT network
           | and often means convenient cradles to charge the handsets
           | while the base station stays in a good signal spot with
           | plenty of power.
           | 
           | Just a thought when it comes time to change out that device.
        
             | aceazzameen wrote:
             | That's not a bad idea, thank you! I always hate having to
             | retire perfectly good working hardware just because a spec
             | requirement change.
        
           | bityard wrote:
           | I actually miss the concept of house phones. Instead of
           | exclusively person-to-person communication, families would
           | call other families to catch up and sometimes even pass the
           | phone around to talk to the grandparents, aunts and uncles,
           | etc.
        
             | secstate wrote:
             | That's a facinating obsevation! I hadn't consider the side
             | effects of calling a common phone and interacting with
             | other people rather than exclusively the one person you
             | wanted to talk/text with. Probably distances you from (or
             | never allows you to know) those adjacent to the person you
             | already know.
        
             | anal_reactor wrote:
             | My siblings are much older than I am and when I was 10 my
             | sister was starting her relationship with now-husband. One
             | time he called our house phone, I picked up, and said "yeah
             | sister is home but she's busy at the moment so you can
             | spend five minutes talking to me instead"
        
             | ssl-3 wrote:
             | It may have been decades ago, but there was a time when it
             | did not seem awkward or even unusual to just...call
             | someone's house, or to simply stop by.
             | 
             | There was usually a purpose in this that was more profound
             | than just being bored or lonely or something, but none was
             | really required.
             | 
             | And maybe the person they were trying to find wasn't home
             | right now, but that was OK. It was not weird to talk to
             | whoever for a minute, or to hang out for awhile.
             | 
             | Nowadays, the ubiquity of personal pocket supercomputers
             | means that the closest most people ever get to that kind of
             | generally-welcome (if unexpected) interaction is a text
             | message.
             | 
             | "Hey, I'm in front of your house. Are you home?"
             | 
             | And maybe that works more efficiently between two
             | individuals than knocking on the door did, but otherwise
             | this present way of doing things mostly just serves to
             | further increase our social isolation.
             | 
             | Sometimes it seems that the closer it is that our
             | technology allows us to be, the further it is that we
             | actually become.
        
               | bobthepanda wrote:
               | unfortunately, these days the inundation of spam from
               | hucksters trying to sell you something, or worse, has now
               | made everyone extremely distrustful of unprovoked
               | interaction.
        
               | graemep wrote:
               | There is a lot less of that in IRL interaction than
               | online interaction. I find months can go buy without
               | anyone knocking on my door.
               | 
               | IT does not help with the just phoning bit but does with
               | stopping by.
               | 
               | I do not get that many spam calls but I think that varies
               | a lot, especially between countries with different laws
               | about it.
        
               | ssl-3 wrote:
               | Not everyone is paranoid.
               | 
               | Besides, telemarketing, door-to-door sales, and scams of
               | all kinds aren't new -- at all.
               | 
               | All of these things existed Back In The Day when a friend
               | might just knock on the door because they happened to be
               | in the neighborhood, too.
        
               | Aeglaecia wrote:
               | i yearn for the days of dropping in unannounced , which
               | is now a social faux pas
        
             | little_bear wrote:
             | I set up an old rotary phone via twilio as a house phone
             | for our kids. They just dial 1-9, each number is programmed
             | to a different family member. Their cousins also have one,
             | so they can call each other whenever they want. It's great
             | to also have a phone that just rings in the house, for when
             | you don't care about getting a specific person.
        
               | aceazzameen wrote:
               | That sounds awesome. Do you have any more info on your
               | setup anywhere?
        
             | xattt wrote:
             | I'm looking to set up an Asterisk server that takes calls
             | over Bluetooth on any paired cell phones inside the house,
             | or falls back to a VoIP line if no phones are at home.
             | 
             | Similarly, I find that it's hard to catch family on their
             | cell and much easier when I call their home.
        
             | 8note wrote:
             | does that not still happen for you?
             | 
             | passing cell phones around still happens for my family
        
             | pjmlp wrote:
             | I can vouch that pass the phone around is still a thing in
             | southern Europe, or being sundenly dropped into a group
             | video call where everyone gathers around the phone to be in
             | view.
        
           | derefr wrote:
           | Given that it's a house phone, have you tried enabling Wi-Fi
           | Calling (VoWiFi) in the carrier settings (if you have that
           | option), and then putting the phone in Airplane Mode with wi-
           | fi enabled? AFAIK that should be fairly less impactful on
           | battery.
           | 
           | (Alternately, if you don't have the option to use VoWiFi, you
           | could take literally any phone/tablet/etc; install a
           | softphone app on it; get a cheap number from a VoIP number
           | and connect to it; and leave the app running, the wi-fi on,
           | and the cellular radio off. At that point, the device doesn't
           | even need a[n e]SIM card!)
        
             | chefandy wrote:
             | Or just port the number to Magic Jack for $20 and get a
             | cordless phone $20 at Target that you have to charge once
             | per week if you don't just keep it on the dock, and pay
             | like $5/mo or less for service. And you can make/receive
             | calls from that number on a mobile phone using their app.
        
         | anal_reactor wrote:
         | Due to a bunch of reasons combined, I'm stuck on a plan where I
         | have 5GB of mobile data per month, and honestly, I never really
         | use it up. I stopped browsing so much social media because it's
         | slop. I don't watch YouTube on mobile because I prefer to do it
         | at home on my TV. I don't stream music because I keep my
         | collection on the SD card. Sometimes I listen to the online
         | radio but it doesn't use much data anyway. Otherwise I browse
         | the news, use navigation, and that's pretty much it.
         | 
         | Once every few months I'm in a situation where I want to watch
         | YouTube on mobile or connect my laptop to mobile hotspot, but
         | then I think "I don't need to be terminally online", or in
         | worst-case scenario, I just pay a little bit extra for the data
         | I use, but again, it happens extremely rarely. BTW quite often
         | my phone randomly loses connection, but then I think "eh, god
         | is telling me to interact with the physical world for five
         | minutes".
         | 
         | At home though, it's a different situation, I need to have good
         | internet connection. Currently I have 4Gbps both ways, and I'm
         | thinking of changing to a cheaper plan, because I can't see
         | myself benefitting from anything more than 1Gbps.
         | 
         | In any case though, my internet connection situation is
         | definitely "good enough", and I do not need any upgrades.
        
         | trevithick wrote:
         | It won't be a problem for them. They'll find a way to make it
         | not enough - disable functionality that people want or need and
         | then charge a subscription fee to enable it. And more ads. Easy
         | peasy.
        
         | Gigachad wrote:
         | I think it's more that mobile transfer speeds is no longer the
         | bottleneck. It's the platforms and services people are using.
         | If you record a minute video on your phone it ends up as like
         | 1GB. But when you send it on a messaging app it gets compressed
         | down to 30MB. People would notice and appreciate higher quality
         | video. But it's too expensive to host and transfer for the
         | service.
        
         | grafporno wrote:
         | 5.6 kbit/s is enough for voice
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Half_Rate
        
           | nomel wrote:
           | Back in the day, if you knew the secret menu, you could
           | change the default vocoder to use on the network. The cheap
           | cell company I used defaulted to half-rate. I would set my
           | phone to the highest bitrate, with a huge improvement in
           | quality, but at the expense of the towers rejecting my calls
           | around 25% of the time. When I would call landline phones,
           | people would mention how good it sounded.
        
             | hypercube33 wrote:
             | For a short while Verizon enabled this on our super
             | grandfathered plan. Well not exactly this, it was some more
             | modern codec dubbed HD and it sounded so good it was freaky
             | and unnerving
        
         | sureIy wrote:
         | I don't understand this "good enough" argument. We never really
         | needed anything we use daily today. Life was "good enough" 100
         | years ago (if you could afford it), should we have stopped?
         | 
         | 4K video reaches you only because it's compressed to crap. It's
         | "good enough" until it's not. 360p TV was good enough at some
         | point too.
        
           | theshackleford wrote:
           | > 4K video reaches you only because it's compressed to crap.
           | 
           | Yes, but I assume when they say the "consumer" they mean
           | everyone not us. Most people i've had in my home couldnt tell
           | you the difference between a 4K bluray at 2 odd meters on a
           | 65" panel vs 1080p.
           | 
           | I can be looking at a screen full of compression artificts
           | that seem like the most obvious thing i've ever seen and ill
           | be surrounded by people going "what are you talking about?"
           | 
           | Even if I _can_ get them to notice, the response is almost
           | always the same.
           | 
           | "Oh...yeah ok I guess I can see. I just assumed it supposed
           | to look like it _shrug_ its just not noticable to me "
        
             | sureIy wrote:
             | You can't ask someone today to see what they're not used to
             | see.
             | 
             | I expect a future of screens that are natively subtly 3D
             | and where you could see someone's nose hair without
             | focusing. Only _then_ they will notice  "why do they look
             | blurry and flat" when comparing it to an old TV.
             | 
             | Today if you get closer to a TV you will see blur. Tomorrow
             | you will see the bird's individual strands of feathers.
             | 
             | "Good enough" is temporary.
        
               | theshackleford wrote:
               | > Only then they will notice "why do they look blurry and
               | flat" when comparing it to an old TV.
               | 
               | They either won't notice or won't care and even if they
               | do, it takes far longer than enthusiasts expect for the
               | line to move.
               | 
               | Large numbers of people still say in 2025 that '4K is a
               | gimmick,' so I'm not holding my breath. 'Good enough'
               | lasts much longer for the majority than most realise.
               | 
               | Look at displays today: I can't even buy a modern one
               | with motion quality that matches what I had 20 years ago.
               | Why? Because for the average consumer, what we have is
               | 'good enough' and has been for a long time.
               | 
               | > Today if you get closer to a TV you will see blur.
               | Tomorrow you will see the birds individual strands of
               | feathers
               | 
               | No, I'll see blur. Unless you're suggesting we've
               | magically solved sample and hold induced motion blur in
               | the consumer display space?
               | 
               | Of course, I know you meant in a still frame however if I
               | wanted to stare at a high quality still image, I'd save
               | myself the money and just go with some nice framed
               | artwork instead.
               | 
               | > "Good enough" is temporary.
               | 
               | I'll grant you this on a long enough timeframe. But it's
               | got a long tail and it's gonna be a slow ride.
        
               | vel0city wrote:
               | It reminds me back when HDTV was starting to roll out to
               | things like cable television. Often cable companies kept
               | the standard def versions of the channels on the normal
               | channel numbers while the HD version of the channel would
               | be that number +500 or +1000 or whatever.
               | 
               | I would constantly see friends and family just tune to
               | the standard def 4:3 version of the channel often being
               | terribly stretched despite having a new widescreen HDTV.
               | I'd ask why they're watching the SD channel instead of
               | the HD version, and it seemed like most people didn't
               | even notice it. I'd often suggest/go ahead and change the
               | channel to the HD version and talk about where these HD
               | channels are, but the next time I'd visit it would be on
               | standard def 4:3 again.
        
           | rglullis wrote:
           | > 4K video reaches you only because it's compressed to crap.
           | 
           |  _Streaming_ video gets compressed to crap. People are being
           | forced to believe that it is better to have 100% of crap
           | provided in real time instead of waiting just a few extra
           | moments to have the best possible experience.
           | 
           | Here is a trick for movie nights with the family: choose the
           | movie you want to watch, start your torrent and tell everyone
           | "let's go make popcorn!" The 5-10 minutes will get enough of
           | the movie downloaded so you will be able to enjoy a high
           | quality video.
        
             | Dalewyn wrote:
             | >Streaming video gets compressed to crap.
             | 
             | That's because your source video is crap.
             | 
             | I'm not sure if you realize it, but _all_ forms of digital
             | media playback are streaming. Yes, even that MP4 stored
             | locally on your SSD. There is literally no difference
             | between  "playing" that MP4 and "streaming" a Youtube or
             | Netflix video.
             | 
             | Yes, even playing an 8K Blu-Ray video is still streaming.
        
               | rglullis wrote:
               | "streaming" was shorthand for "video-on-demand services
               | like Netflix".
               | 
               | Does that help?
        
               | vekatimest wrote:
               | "Streaming" as most people think of it is "heavily
               | compressed video optimized for low bandwidth being piped
               | over a network", usually with no user choice of
               | resolution, encoding, or playback settings
        
         | pjmlp wrote:
         | That is the thing with capitalist exponential growth, it
         | doesn't last forever, eventually it flattens out, where new
         | goods only get acquired due to existing ones being replaced, or
         | newer generations getting to acquire their first products.
         | 
         | Business should learn to earn just good enough to make by.
        
           | no_wizard wrote:
           | Business culture of the 50s and 60s was closer to this,
           | largely due to how taxes on corporations worked. At least if
           | I'm to believe some business historians I follow.
        
             | pjmlp wrote:
             | That and there wasn't any VC culture as such.
        
       | nsteel wrote:
       | Relatedly, Nokia announced a new CEO this week with a
       | datacentre/enterprise background.
       | 
       | https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/nokia-ceo-ste...
        
       | doublerabbit wrote:
       | This is all well and good, but how about we remove data caps too?
       | Such a racket.
        
       | idolofdust wrote:
       | We need the freedom to do more on our mainstream pocketable
       | devices, my hotspot for my laptop will be always throttled down
       | to 3G, as if to say
       | 
       | "Hey, this isn't actually supposed to be used to get work done.
       | Keep doing simple phone stuff!"
        
         | dbspin wrote:
         | That's bonkers. No such restriction here in Ireland. Frequently
         | get work done away from the home office on 4G hotspotted to the
         | laptop.
        
       | nonelog wrote:
       | Introducing such new technologies is ALWAYS about rendering
       | existing hardware "obsolete" so that new devices can be forced
       | upon the consumer (who most often does not need them).
        
       | mike50 wrote:
       | Idiot author is a kindness. Data rates compared to an obsolete
       | 1970s technology. Author is too old to write articles on the
       | "newfanged internet". IEEE spectrum needs to kick this guy to the
       | curb hard for writting crap and crossposting his book..
        
       | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
       | > Is that such a foregone conclusion, though? Many technologies
       | have had phases where customers eagerly embrace every improvement
       | in some parameter--until a saturation point is reached and
       | improvements are ultimately met with a collective shrug.
       | 
       | > Consider a very brief history of airspeed in commercial air
       | travel. Passenger aircraft today fly at around 900 kilometers per
       | hour--and have continued to traverse the skies at the same
       | airspeed range for the past five decades. Although supersonic
       | passenger aircraft found a niche from the 1970s through the early
       | 2000s with the Concorde, commercial supersonic transport is no
       | longer available for the mainstream consumer marketplace today.
       | 
       | OK, "Bad Analogy Award of the Year" for that one. Traveling at
       | supersonic speeds had some fundamental problems, primarily being
       | that the energy required to travel at those speeds is so much
       | more than for subsonic aircraft, and thus the price was much
       | higher for supersonic travel, and the problem of sonic booms
       | meant they were forbidden to travel over land. When the Concorde
       | was in service, London to NYC flights were 10-20x more expensive
       | on the Concorde compared to economy class on a conventional jet,
       | meaning the ~4 hours saved flight time was only worth it for the
       | richest (and folks just seeking the novelty of it). There are
       | plenty of people that would still LOVE to fly the Concorde if the
       | price were much cheaper.
       | 
       | That is, the fundamental variable cost of supersonic travel is
       | much higher than for conventional jets (though that may be
       | changing - I saw that pg posted recently that Boom has found a
       | way to get rid of the sonic boom reaching the ground over land),
       | while that's not true for next gen mobile tech, where it's
       | primarily just the upfront investment cost that needs to be
       | recouped.
        
       | teleforce wrote:
       | I wonder why the poster blatantly changed the original title
       | altogether since it's very misleading?
       | 
       | Currently 5G doesn't even meet their very own 3 objectives
       | namely:
       | 
       | 1) Enhanced Mobile Broadband (eMBB) - eMBB, 2) Massive Machine
       | Type Communication (mMTC) - mMTC, 3) Ultra-Reliable Low Latency
       | Communication (URLLC) - URLLC
       | 
       | The article is just focusing on the first part that's arguably
       | can be met by prior standard the 4G LTE+ if it's only about 1
       | Gbps bandwidth of the 5G lower range microwave frequency bands or
       | FR1.
       | 
       | For most parts of the world, 5G higher range millimeter waves
       | (mmWave) band or FR2 are not being widely deployed and
       | implemented that can delivered bandwidth much higher than 1 Gbps
       | but then again the wireless transmission ranges and distances are
       | severely limited for mmWave compared to microwave or RF.
       | 
       | One of the notable efforts by 3GPP (5G standards consortium) for
       | objectives part 2 and 3 is the DECT NR+ [1]. It's the first non-
       | cellular 5G standard that can support local mesh wireless
       | networks but it's availability is very limited now although no
       | base stations modifications are required for its usages since
       | it's non-cellular and the backhaul to base stations can be
       | performed by the existing 5G connectivity. I'd imagined that it
       | will be available inside most phones now since the standard
       | already out for several years but it seems only Nordic is
       | interested in the new standard.
       | 
       | The upcoming 6G standards probably need to carry on and focusing
       | on the 2 and 3 objectives of 5G even more so, since it's expected
       | machine to machine (M2M) will surpass the conventional human-to-
       | human (H2H) and even the new (H2M) with the rise of IoT and AI
       | based system for example intelligent transports of (vehicle-to-
       | everything) V2X systems.
       | 
       | [1] DECT NR+: A technical dive into non-cellular 5G (30
       | comments):
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39905644
        
       | Thaxll wrote:
       | 4g is more than enough on mobile.
        
       | miki123211 wrote:
       | I think what matters a lot more is the peak data rate per cell,
       | not per device.
       | 
       | Once users stop demanding higher speeds, you can still get a lot
       | more growth by giving them higher data caps or even unlimited
       | plans.
       | 
       | This will make 5G home routers a very attractive option,
       | particularly when the only other options you have available are
       | cable and/or DSL.
       | 
       | I think wireless providers competing in the same playing field as
       | traditional ISPs will turn out to be an extremely good thing for
       | consumers.
        
       | tomxor wrote:
       | > for those with good 4G connectivity, 5G makes much less of an
       | improvement on the mobile experience than advertisers like to
       | claim
       | 
       | Complete BS. This misses the critical and common issue of user
       | contention with 4G, which is the main relief 5G brings.
       | 
       | If all you do is compare peak throughput on paper you will miss
       | the real world performance issues. In reality you will never see
       | "good" 4G speeds, there just isn't enough bandwidth to go around
       | in practice due to the lower frequency bands it operates in.
       | 
       | I've got both a 4G and 5G LTE router, both are Cat20 which means
       | in theory can operate at up to 2 Gbit/s. Yet in practice, with
       | any of the carriers in the UK the 4G modem will scape 40 Mbit/s
       | at best in the wee hours, and drop as low as 3 Mbit/s at peak
       | time. The 5G one will give me 600 Mbits all day long... because
       | there is enough bandwidth to go around for all users, this is the
       | key difference.
        
       | gerdesj wrote:
       | OK so someone has noticed that you "only" need 15MBs-1 for a 4K
       | stream. Jolly good.
       | 
       | Now let's address latency - that entire article only mentioned
       | the word once and it looks like it was by accident.
       | 
       | Latency isn't cool but it is why your Teams/Zoom/whatevs call
       | sounds a bit odd. You are probably used to the weird over-talking
       | episodes you get when a sound stream goes somewhat async. You put
       | up with it but you really should not, with modern gear and
       | connectivity.
       | 
       | A decent quality sound stream consumes roughly 256KBs-1 (yes: 1/4
       | megabyte per second - not much) but if latency strays away from
       | around 30ms, you'll notice it and when it becomes about a second
       | it will really get on your nerves. To be honest, half a second is
       | quite annoying.
       | 
       | I can easily measure path latency to a random external system
       | with ping to get a base measurement for my internet connection
       | and here it is about 10ms to Quad9. I am on wifi and my
       | connection goes through two switches and a router and a DSL FTTC
       | modem. That leaves at least 20ms (which is luxury) for
       | processing.
        
         | reaperman wrote:
         | There is no way that "15MBs-1" is more clear than "15MB/s",
         | especially in an environment which lacks the ability to give
         | text superscript styling.
        
           | gerdesj wrote:
           | Sorry mate, an old habit.
           | 
           | Perhaps we should insist on more from formatting from above.
           | That's probably a post processing thing for ... gAI 8)
        
             | throwaway314155 wrote:
             | Old habit from where? Is this a personal preference or a
             | lesser known convention?
        
               | batiudrami wrote:
               | Pretty common physics convention, uncommon when referring
               | to data speeds but common for other things measured over
               | time.
        
               | reaperman wrote:
               | Someone said physics, it's also very common in
               | engineering. But academically and professionally, I've
               | only seen it with superscript.
        
               | _Algernon_ wrote:
               | Used that a bunch in physics class in school. Makes it
               | much easier to calculate with units since you simply add
               | up the exponents of the units instead of having to
               | consider the notation around the units.
               | 
               | Doesn't work well in pure text mediums.
        
           | Dylan16807 wrote:
           | Even worse when it's actually 15Mb/s.
        
             | notpushkin wrote:
             | 15 Mb*s-1
        
               | forgotTheLast wrote:
               | Mb*Hz
        
             | alanfranz wrote:
             | Which could be written as 15Mbps with no doubt whatsoever.
        
         | timewizard wrote:
         | That's a 1/4 megabit per second. The codec should be around
         | 32,00 bytes and thus 256,000 bits. The problem is the Internet
         | is not multicast so if I'm on with 8 participants that's 8 *
         | 32,000 bytes and our distributed clocks are nowhere near sample
         | accurate.
         | 
         | If you really want to have some fun come out to the country
         | side with me where 4G is the only option and 120ms is the best
         | end to end latency you're going to get. Plus your geolocation
         | puts you half the nation away from where you actually are which
         | only expounds the problem.
         | 
         | On the other hand I now have an acquired expertise in making
         | applications that are extremely tolerant of high latency
         | environments.
        
           | nomel wrote:
           | The first time I learned about UDP multicasting, I thought it
           | was incredible, wondering how many streams were out there
           | that I could tap into, if only I knew the multicast group,
           | and all with such little overhead! Then I tried to send some
           | multicast packets to my friend's house. I kept increasing the
           | hop limit, thinking I was surely sending my little UDP packet
           | around the world at that point. It never made it. :(
        
             | Hikikomori wrote:
             | Mbone.
        
         | JasserInicide wrote:
         | Barring some revolutionary new material where we can get EM
         | waves to travel orders of magnitude faster through it over
         | current stuff, I don't think we're ever getting around the
         | latency problem.
        
           | ahartmetz wrote:
           | It's usually not a speed of light problem. It's a problem of
           | everyone optimizing for bandwidth, not latency, because that
           | is the number that products are advertised with. Speed of
           | light is 200'000-300'000 km/s in the media used, that should
           | not be very noticeable when talking to someone in the same
           | country.
        
             | lambdaone wrote:
             | See my comments about L4S.
        
         | silisili wrote:
         | Oh you'd love Project Genesis.
         | 
         | It has all the latency associated with cell networks combined
         | with all the latency of routing all traffic through AWS.
         | 
         | As an added bonus, about 10% of sites block you outright
         | because they assume a request coming from an AWS origin IP is a
         | bot.
        
         | Karrot_Kream wrote:
         | Latency is an issue but it's not the biggest one. Most real-
         | time protocols can adjust for latency (often using some sort of
         | OOB performance measurement port/protocol.) The issue is
         | jitter. When your latency varies a lot, it's hard for an
         | algorithm to compensate.
        
           | fulafel wrote:
           | You can't fix problems caused by network latency by
           | adjustments in real time apps like video/audio calls or
           | gaming.
           | 
           | Maybe you are thinking of working around bufferbloat?
        
             | ratorx wrote:
             | I agree for video + audio calls, but I'm not sure for
             | gaming.
             | 
             | Usually multiplayer games have some correction and if you
             | have really stable latency it can work pretty well (of
             | course never as well as 0 latency). But usually, the jitter
             | is the killer because it makes actions delayed AND
             | unpredictable.
        
         | gscott wrote:
         | Secret is to try off alg.
        
         | rsynnott wrote:
         | 5G is (at least on paper) _very_ low latency; couple of ms.
        
           | lambdaone wrote:
           | It is until you congest it. Then, like all other network
           | technologies, performance collapses. You can still force
           | traffic through with EDC, buffering, and re-tries, but at
           | massive cost to overall network performance.
        
             | richardwhiuk wrote:
             | Cellular technologies can be configured to degrade
             | differently to WiFi. The device gets fewer assigned slices,
             | so the bandwidth reduces, but latency should remain static.
        
               | xattt wrote:
               | How does voice call quality degrade? Does it switch to a
               | tinny bit rate?
        
           | ksec wrote:
           | It is not on paper. Couple of ms ( 4ms ) is real, except it
           | is not normal 5G but specific superset / version of 5G.
           | 
           | Your network needs to be End to End running on 5G-A ( 3GPP
           | Rel 18 ) with full SA ( Stand Alone ) using NR ( New Radio )
           | only. Right now AFAIK only Mobile networks in China has
           | managed to run that. ( Along with turning on VoNR ) Most
           | other network are still behind in deployment and switching.
        
             | Zigurd wrote:
             | Although the deployments are very limited, wouldn't the 5G
             | mmWave coverage, in NFL stadiums for example, need to have
             | both New Radio (NR) and Stand Alone (SA)? Or is there some
             | bodge for down-rating your mmWave experience to a non-Stand
             | Alone network? I understand you won't get SA end-to-end
             | calling an endpoint on an LTE network, but, with 5G FWA
             | also needing SA to achieve full performance, SA should be
             | pretty widespread in the US, or is it?
        
               | ofcrpls wrote:
               | US Stadium mmW deployments and showcases at marquee
               | sporting events happened well before SA was ever out of
               | the labs.
        
             | lozf wrote:
             | On that note, the BBC deployed a temporary 5G SA non-
             | public-network to broadcast King Charles' Coronation,
             | giving over 1Gbps uplink over 1km of the procession route.
             | More details are in the award-winning white paper linked
             | from this[0] blog post.
             | 
             | [0]: https://www.bbc.co.uk/rd/blog/2023-05-5g-non-public-
             | network-...
        
               | xattt wrote:
               | I could not imagine any private news-gathering
               | organization to set up a temporary cell network for
               | coverage.
        
         | gspr wrote:
         | And then comes all the latency _jitter_ inherent in a shared
         | resource like 5G, and on top of that shenanigans like
         | (transparently) MITM-ing TCP streams on a base station by base
         | station base.
        
         | madwolf wrote:
         | A decent quality stream is not 256 kilobytes per second (1/4
         | megabyte), as you write. You probably meant 256kilobits, which
         | is only 32 kilobytes. For speech that's VERY high quality.
         | Teams actually uses either G.722 or SILK codec, which is just
         | 40kbit/s. That's 5 kilobytes per second.
        
           | wcoenen wrote:
           | Tangentially related to the topic of the bandwidth efficiency
           | of Teams: screen sharing in Teams has a very low framerate of
           | about 3 to 4 fps. It is driving me insane, especially when
           | the presenter starts relentlessly scrolling up and down and
           | circling things with the mouse cursor.
           | 
           | I think Microsoft took bandwidth efficiency a bit too far
           | here.
        
       | cadamsdotcom wrote:
       | As they say: make it work, make it fast, and finally, make it
       | cheap...
       | 
       | Time to make it cheap!
        
       | kjellsbells wrote:
       | I follow what the operators tell Wall St, because the executives
       | have large personal financial stakes in getting it right (modulo
       | fraud, but lets trust for now).
       | 
       | For example, at the last investor day that AT&T held, they
       | indicated [0:pdf] that their growth plans are in broadband fiber,
       | not building more 5G capacity to serve a surge in traffic.
       | Reading their charts and knowing how AT&T traditionally worked, I
       | believe that they are going to try to cut the expense of running
       | the 5G network via various optimizations and redirect capital
       | heavily to go after the fiber broadband market instead, using
       | convergence (ahem: price bundling) to win subscribers.
       | 
       | (I bet it really stuck in their craw that Comcast mastered the
       | bundle so well that they even built a successful MVNO on the back
       | of their xfinity customer base and parked their tanks on AT&Ts
       | lawn while the latter was futzing about with HBO.)
       | 
       | However, bundling is a price compression game, not an ARPU growth
       | game. If you start at $100 a month and then begin chipping away
       | with autopay discounts, mobile convergence, free visa gift cards
       | and all that nonsense, pretty soon you are selling broadband for
       | $35 a month and can't make it work except with truly cruddy
       | service, which leads to high churn rates. So we'll see how this
       | turns out.
       | 
       | [0:pdf] https://investors.att.com/~/media/Files/A/ATT-
       | IR-V2/reports-...
        
         | aaplok wrote:
         | My understanding is that 6G is expected to make use of a good
         | decentralised fibre network, with small radio units at the end
         | points of this network providing the wireless contact point.
         | With interoperability being on the books for 6G, whoever
         | controls the fibre network is in for a lot of money (unless the
         | article we're commenting on is right).
         | 
         | So it might make sense for operators to focus on developing
         | fibre regardless.
        
           | kjellsbells wrote:
           | Yes, this distributed radio idea is a feature of both 5G and
           | 6G. You stick the dumbest, dullest parts of the radio
           | electronics up on the tower and trunk them all back over
           | fiber to an aggregation/control point a few kms away, and
           | then trunk the agg points back to the packet core a few
           | hundreds of km away. That needs a lot of fiber to carry the
           | backhaul. I dont know if operators are thinking of using this
           | fiber to also incidentally deliver broadband service, but
           | today that doesnt happen: for one, oftentimes the mobile
           | operator doesnt own the fiber, they just lease it.
        
       | WeylandYutani wrote:
       | I am actually using less mobile data since I have fiber. Of-
       | course I can also get gigabyte speeds on my mobile thanks to
       | 5G... (This country can be pretty nice although I will deny it
       | under torture).
        
       | ijidak wrote:
       | > Consider a very brief history of airspeed in commercial air
       | travel. Passenger aircraft today fly at around 900 kilometers per
       | hour--and have continued to traverse the skies at the same
       | airspeed range for the past five decades
       | 
       | This is a terrible example.
       | 
       | If supersonic mass travel could be provided safely and cheaply,
       | demand would be bonkers.
       | 
       | If I could get to Tokyo in an hour for $50, I would visit every
       | weekend.
       | 
       | Overall, the article is sound.
       | 
       | But what a terrible example of demand not filling supply.
       | 
       | If I had a terabit per second, indeed I probably wouldn't use it.
       | 
       | But you can not make travel fast enough.
        
       | satellite2 wrote:
       | I find the premise of the article completely out of touch with
       | the growth environment of the last 40 years. Of course the median
       | consumer don't have an application for more than what the current
       | infra can offer, it has consistently been the case since
       | broadband inception. The reason is simple, no one will create
       | applications designed for the median consumer with requirements
       | higher than what the infrastructure can offer as this is
       | guaranteed to fail. I thought it was clear that it was a typical
       | offer driven market. Reading this article I'm really afraid that
       | we will shoot ourselves in the foot if we forget this. A bit like
       | what is happening with CPUs.
        
       | consp wrote:
       | The providers have alreadyy fixed this (coming soon near you): My
       | fixed network operator, instead of finally forcing the fiber
       | supplier to honor their contract and fix the final 5m of cabel,
       | is pushing me to use a 5g box for fixed internet.
       | 
       | So you want me to trade my horrible 100mbit line with ok latency
       | for anything between 10 and 120mbit depending on the time of day
       | with a latency if over 50ms guaranteed. And you also get a CGNAT
       | IP and thus no incoming connections because who needs ipv6!
        
       | fulafel wrote:
       | The "fast enough" illusion comes from having consumers adjust for
       | years to flaky wireless connections after we had a good period of
       | steady broadband performance improvements. If the latter had
       | continued at the same rate, we could now rely on home users
       | having at least 10-100 Gbit/s bandwidth and could build entirely
       | different kidns of applications.
       | 
       | IOW: Apps could definitely use high bandwidth & low latency
       | networking (think AI acceleration, remote storage, volumetric
       | telepresence etc) if we had it reliably, but our due to wireless
       | transition apps are adopted to stagnating speeds.
        
       | srmarm wrote:
       | The problem I find is with the backhaul rather than the 5G
       | signal. I can still get unreliable internet with a strong 5G
       | signal. Even today I find for general internet browsing is good
       | 3G is OK and can even support a video stream. My understanding is
       | that 4G/5G allow for better network design and the faster
       | headline speeds are just a positive for marketing as much as
       | anything else.
        
       | nick_name wrote:
       | For VoIP applications, one-way mouth-to-ear delay should ideally
       | be less than 150 ms for natural conversations [1].
       | 
       | Other factors, such as jitter, transmission delay, queuing delay,
       | etc., also impact quality. However, if the delay occurs mid-
       | transmission (e.g., due to network congestion or routing
       | inefficiencies), there's little that can be done beyond
       | optimizing at the endpoints.
       | 
       | [1]
       | https://www.wikiwand.com/en/articles/Latency_(audio)#Telepho...
        
       | munhitsu wrote:
       | My personal bugbear is the network coverage. Context: London / UK
       | (EE). Yes, I have 5G at home, but it's just one bar and sometimes
       | even this one bar will disappear. Yes, there is 5G/4G all around
       | the city, but you can't hold an uninterrupted conversation over
       | FaceTime Audio while on the overground train or driving. I'll not
       | even discuss the underground. However, uninterrupted, low-
       | latency, average bandwidth is a hard market and even harder to
       | design.
        
         | rsynnott wrote:
         | My impression (from pretty limited recent experience) is that
         | mobile networks in UK cities (at least London and Manchester)
         | are _notably_ worse than in other European cities. I initially
         | thought it was just a London thing, and, okay, London's very,
         | very big, but was recently in Manchester, which has no such
         | excuse, and it was also pretty terrible.
         | 
         | Not sure what's going on there.
        
           | Garvi wrote:
           | Most people are shunning the covid topic for various reasons,
           | so no one is bringing up the fact that the British torched a
           | lot of their 5G infrastructure to "stop the spread of covid".
           | There were over 80 such arson incidents, but I'm sure this
           | number will go down with time.
        
             | rsynnott wrote:
             | I'm guessing that that was probably not in city centres,
             | tho.
             | 
             | (Also, where're you getting 'over 80'? From a quick search
             | there seem to have been maybe 5 masts damaged/destroyed.)
        
               | Garvi wrote:
               | In your search results. It was well over 80 at the time.
               | 80 is the number mostly cited nowadays. I see you're down
               | to 5 damaged. Good for you.
               | 
               | https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/least-90-phone-
               | masts-a...
               | 
               | https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-90-attacks-on-
               | phone-m...
               | 
               | https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-52164358
               | 
               | https://www.businessinsider.com/77-phone-masts-fire-
               | coronavi...
        
               | rsynnott wrote:
               | Vast majority of those were not destroyed or damaged. I
               | think some of the tabloids may have conflated "any
               | vandalism or attempted vandalism" with "actually
               | damaged", but, well, that's tabloids for you.
               | 
               | > I see you're down to 5 damaged. Good for you.
               | 
               | Who's 'you' in this context?
        
               | Garvi wrote:
               | That's not really ambiguous.
               | 
               | So it didn't happen, because it was *obviously* made up?
               | The problem with such reasoning is, it does not require
               | substantiation. You should find 20 people that also
               | believe it(shouldn't have a problem on this platform) and
               | you can start a religion.
        
               | rsynnott wrote:
               | I mean, I'm unsure why you're so excited about it.
               | Whether it happened or not feels almost irrelevant to me
               | (it'd be far from the worst behviour by loonies during
               | the pandemic), but there seems to be very little evidence
               | that it actually did happen in significant numbers.
               | 
               | Like, even if it had been 80 masts destroyed, the ongoing
               | impact would be nil; they'd just have been replaced and
               | 80 masts is in any case a trivial number (it's difficult
               | to get numbers on how many exist because the ONS data
               | counts nano cells, but there seem to be over 60,000
               | 'real' masts in the UK, anyway.)
        
         | zipy124 wrote:
         | Yup, I recently travelled to Hong-Kong from the the UK and
         | noticed just how much better coverage was in the city. I expect
         | poor coverage when I'm in Yorkshire, but there is no excuse for
         | just how bad London's coverage is. A lot of it seems to come
         | down to which carrier you are on, a quick look at coverage maps
         | [1] and you can see what carrier you are on is really important
         | in some parts of the country.
         | 
         | [1]:https://www.nperf.com/en/map/GB/-/2012851.Three-
         | Mobile/signa...
        
       | mecdu92 wrote:
       | For me 3G is still 100% sufficient for my usage. Also the latency
       | has not been a problem for me, but jitter is. The good thing
       | generally latency is pretty much stable so jitter (which is
       | derivative of latency) is minimal. I already don't understand
       | what 4G added to me, let alone 5G
        
         | Nyr wrote:
         | 3G (which nowadays is 3.5G) is sufficient for you only because
         | everyone else is on 4G or 5G.
        
       | lambdaone wrote:
       | Wireless networks' latency problems are almost entirely caused by
       | contention, buffering, and vast over-booking of bandwidth, where
       | raw bandwidth number competition has been over-valued relative to
       | actual network application performance.
       | 
       | L4S is on its way, and may finally be the beginning of the end
       | for bufferbloat and congestion, and vendors of mobile devices are
       | in an almost unique position of being able to roll out network
       | stack changes en masse. And just for once, consumer incentives,
       | vendor incentives and network operator incentives all align - and
       | it's incremental, and lacking in incentives for bad actors.
       | 
       | See this blog entry: https://www.ietf.org/blog/banishing-
       | bufferbloat/ for more on L4S and bufferbloat. And this:
       | https://datatracker.ietf.org/meeting/105/materials/slides-10...
       | for a proper technical deep dive.
       | 
       | The development of L4S has been a pincer operation across all
       | levels of the network stack, integrating everything previously
       | understood about latency and congestion in real networks, and one
       | of the most impressive bits of network engineering I've seen in
       | the history of the Internet.
        
       | bastawhiz wrote:
       | The most data intensive thing you can stream to a device is
       | video. For two reasons:
       | 
       | 1. The whole point of video is that you need all of the data, in
       | order
       | 
       | 2. Video is the only thing, really, that requires that much data
       | per second of sensory input.
       | 
       | Mobile devices aren't really getting more pixels. And hardware
       | isn't improving enough the we have spare cycles for
       | decoding/decrypting/rendering 16K video or whatever, and even if
       | it did, the batteries can't handle that. It's obvious to me that
       | we don't need more bandwidth. My phone would be instantly dead if
       | I was downloading and processing data at a gigabit per second.
       | 
       | Other than downloading very large files (why?), I don't think
       | we'll invent any new use cases that can make use of more bits or
       | second.
        
         | baq wrote:
         | > There is nothing new to be discovered in physics now. All
         | that remains is more and more precise measurement.
         | 
         | Lord Kelvin, 1897
        
         | brianwawok wrote:
         | And carriers limit video bandwidth. I forgot the details, but
         | on certain tmobile plans you got capped to 1080p or a lower
         | resolution, only on the higher plans can you get whatever your
         | phone will support. Let's the user pay less for less fancy
         | video, and the risk of stirring up the net neutrality pot.
        
       | ksec wrote:
       | I have been arguing since 2020 ( That is before majority of 5G
       | being deployed ) that we need 6G not as another 10 - 1000x
       | bandwidth / capacity improvement. We have enough within 5G
       | roadmap already. 6G should make it cheaper for both devices and
       | carrier, more efficient and simplified because current 5G is
       | overly complex.
       | 
       | For those criticising 5G, most mobile network has yet to move to
       | Stand Alone network with NR yet. And after that they will have to
       | refarm all the 4G spectrum to 5G. They could also replace
       | equipment that were 4G / 5G to 5G+ / 5G-A, allowing cheaper
       | Massive MIMO hence much higher capacity. Doing all that while
       | continue to tune the network both front and backend. Despite 5
       | years into 5G we are still behind in many aspect. Most likely due
       | to COVID.
       | 
       | But it seems some network has _NO_ interest to further improve on
       | current tech. I assume they would do minimum investing once they
       | force everyone to 5G.
        
       | kittikitti wrote:
       | After reading this, I can't help but point out the misinformation
       | about 5G coverage. At least in America, 5G coverage is at best
       | around 50% of the country. I distrust the carrier claims and maps
       | about their coverage because even in covered areas I'm not able
       | to get advertised speeds.
       | 
       | It could be that mobile applications have hesitated to rollout
       | features like 4K streaming video because most users don't have
       | true 5G coverage. We might not see mobile data growing because
       | we've failed in our 5G infrastructure goals. The political
       | atmosphere might not support building out more 5G networks
       | either.
        
       | Night_Thastus wrote:
       | My biggest issue isn't the raw speed, it's the quality of the
       | connection. What does it matter if it's theoretically so fast if
       | you can never get a decent connection? I live in a decent size
       | city with supposedly great 5G coverage according to 3rd party
       | maps. Yet, I often struggle to load simple images with a brand
       | new phone and an unlimited data plan.
       | 
       | It's metro, which is lower-priority, but still.
        
       | mrandish wrote:
       | This article is just a mess. It constantly switches contexts
       | between speed and data usage. In the paragraph about White House
       | task force projections it implies they were wrong but switches
       | between speed/data usage context to justify the claim. It also
       | bounces between mobile and wired, which are obviously very
       | different.
       | 
       | It's obvious that mobile data usage is constrained by available
       | user time in mobile usage contexts. People use their mobile
       | devices when they aren't busy doing something else and that time
       | is limited. Most people are at the limit. Previous growth was
       | driven both by adding more per user hours AND by adding new
       | users. The author only showing data for overall bandwidth
       | consumption masks the real drivers of the trends being discussed.
       | 
       | Mobile speed requirements are constrained by being a ~6-inch
       | hand-held screen. You don't need 4K or ultra-res textures on a
       | 6-inch screen.
        
       | asdff wrote:
       | The issue is that they never offer the actual listed speed. Not
       | anywhere close to it. Mobile network is usually worthless in my
       | experience these days in most busy cities. I might be waiting a
       | good 2 minutes for a pageload if the tower is heavily saturated.
       | That is most of my experience in fact. Websites like the mobile
       | version of reddit are way too heavy and don't work at all. HN
       | works, but the articles it links usually don't unless its an html
       | blog post. Social media like instagram buffers terribly for
       | crappy connections. Even the old guard youtube doesn't let you
       | cache a large portion of the video anymore before playing.
       | 
       | I guess its a nice quality filter, but still. I can't be the only
       | one but feel like the mobile web experience has taken a nose dive
       | over the last 10 years as we got so many more mobile data users,
       | and mobile web developers forgot how to write for slow internet
       | speeds in the same time.
        
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