[HN Gopher] Large magma bodies found beneath dormant volcanoes
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       Large magma bodies found beneath dormant volcanoes
        
       Author : PaulHoule
       Score  : 90 points
       Date   : 2025-02-10 00:49 UTC (3 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (phys.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (phys.org)
        
       | sigmoid10 wrote:
       | >The team found that all of the volcanoes, including dormant
       | ones, have persistent and large magma bodies.
       | 
       | I always thought dormant merely means asleep - as in not
       | _currently_ active, but may wake up at any time. This is
       | different from extinct volcanoes, which would actually be
       | expected not to erupt. Crater lake in particular has well
       | established hydrothermal activity, which strongly suggests there
       | is still something going on below and it may erupt again in the
       | future. Any geologists can explain what the surprising thing here
       | is besides the apparent difficulty to distinguish dormant and
       | extinct?
        
         | echelon wrote:
         | This is pop-sci journalists once again ruining the message by
         | either not understanding the paper or by dumbing it down to the
         | point it becomes lazy and counter-factual. I think it's mostly
         | the former, because there definitely exists a way to "explain
         | it like I'm five" without telling mistruths.
         | 
         | This pop-sci garbage has me hardcore Gell-Mann amnesia-ing [1]
         | the rest of the journalism industry.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gell-Mann_amnesia_effect
        
         | snowwrestler wrote:
         | Active/dormant/extinct are not ternary since even "active"
         | volcanoes don't erupt all the time.
         | 
         | Active and extinct are more like endpoints with most volcanoes
         | falling into some degree of dormancy, usually indexed by how
         | long it has been since last eruption.
         | 
         | The surprising thing is there doesn't seem to be correlation
         | between time since last eruption, and size/shallowness of a
         | magma chamber. That essentially removes one of the signals that
         | vulcanologists were hoping would help inform predictions of the
         | timing of the next eruption.
         | 
         | > I always thought dormant merely means asleep - as in not
         | currently active, but may wake up at any time.
         | 
         | There is a lot of hope that dormant volcanoes don't wake up at
         | "any" time, but rather at predictable times. And the farther in
         | advance we can make an accurate prediction, the better. So a
         | lot of volcano research inclines toward "can this help us
         | improve our predictions?"
        
       | bell-cot wrote:
       | > ...the long-standing belief that active volcanoes have large
       | magma bodies that are expelled during eruptions...
       | 
       | I'm not a geologist, and my current "knowledge" of volcanology is
       | mostly from the GeologyHub YouTube channel - but that is
       | completely contrary to my understanding. If a serious magma
       | chamber is _emptied_ during an eruption, then the volcano above
       | it (and some of the surrounding area) _will_ collapse into the
       | empty chamber. Because there 's no way in hell that an empty
       | magma chamber could support the weight of its own roof.
       | 
       | The vast majority of volcanic eruptions - even VEI 5 ones, like
       | Mount St. Helens in 1980 - do not work like that. The magma
       | chamber is still there, after. It's probably shrunk a _bit_ -
       | volcanologists measure ground-level uplift and subsidence in
       | centimeters, to monitor that - and is a bit depleted of volatiles
       | (volcanic gasses, which can act a bit like the fizz in a shaken
       | bottle of soda). That 's it.
        
       | metalman wrote:
       | the amount of data concerning the earths internal structure is
       | growing in leaps and bounds. The ability to discern between rock
       | types, water, oil, gas, faults and fractures, and molten and semi
       | molten rocks is becoming much more precise. The fun part is that
       | siesmologists use the earths own movements and resulting siesmic
       | and acoustical waves to build the picture, though the scale is
       | intimidating, beyond human capacity to know in any fine
       | detail.Add in ground penetrating radar and experiments useing
       | known explosive charges, placed in precise locations, and the
       | fine resolution just gets better. Bet the whole geology field is
       | having fun.
        
       | lupusreal wrote:
       | Echoing what other commenters have said, I can't square the
       | supposedly surprised scientists with what I thought I already
       | knew about volcanoes. Can anybody figure out where the
       | miscommunication occurred?
       | 
       | Matching my layman understanding, Wikipedia says that an
       | _extinct_ volcano is one that no longer has a magma supply, but
       | that dormant ones may unexpectedly become active. The article on
       | the other hand speaks of dormant volcanoes supposedly being
       | understood to have  "empty" magma chambers, which structurally
       | makes no sense, and should very clearly differentiate them from
       | active volcanoes. Wikipedia says that the demarcation between
       | dormant and active is so wishy washy that the term dormant is
       | basically obsolete in the scientific literature. So what gives?
        
         | mapt wrote:
         | I suspect it has something to do with the concept "magma
         | chamber", as if there is a big, singular hole underneath each
         | volcano, rather than a loose network of multiple layers of
         | melted & semi-melted rock spread over tens of kilometers of
         | crust depth, organized by geological strata, which periodically
         | melts through an obstruction or solidifies into an obstruction.
        
       | tehwebguy wrote:
       | Likely place for them to be
        
       | Gracana wrote:
       | The article follows the typical pop-sci presentation of
       | "scientists are gobsmacked by thing that's obvious to laymen,"
       | but of course it's really not like that. This is the abstract of
       | the paper:
       | 
       |  _Quantitative estimates of magma storage are fundamental to
       | evaluating volcanic dynamics and hazards. Yet our understanding
       | of subvolcanic magmatic plumbing systems and their variability
       | remains limited. There is ongoing debate regarding the
       | ephemerality of shallow magma storage and its volume relative to
       | eruptive output, and so whether an upper-crustal magma body could
       | be a sign of imminent eruption. Here we present seismic imaging
       | of subvolcanic magmatic systems along the Cascade Range arc from
       | systematically modelling the three-dimensional scattered
       | wavefield of teleseismic body waves. This reveals compelling
       | evidence of low-seismic-velocity bodies indicative of partial
       | melt between 5 and 15 km depth beneath most Cascade Range
       | volcanoes. The magma reservoirs beneath these volcanoes vary in
       | depth, size and complexity, but upper-crustal magma bodies are
       | widespread, irrespective of the eruptive flux or time since the
       | last eruption of the associated volcano. This indicates that
       | large volumes of melts can persist at shallow depth throughout
       | eruption cycles beneath large volcanoes._
        
         | bregma wrote:
         | It would probably benefit society as a whole if the abstracts
         | of scientific papers (not their content) eschewed
         | sesquipedalian loquaciousness.
         | 
         | Here's the same abstract for the more nearly human.
         | This paper presents evidence and analysis that shows large
         | magma chambers can be found under all non-extinct volcanoes on
         | the west coast of North America.
        
           | beowulfey wrote:
           | Many journals use a separate summary statement which
           | describes the findings and significance in more ordinary
           | terms (eLife is a good example). An abstract has a specific
           | purpose and it is not quite meant for a public audience. It
           | can also vary depending on the journal, with less specialized
           | journals being written for broader audiences.
           | 
           | (Although I will agree this one is a bit unnecessarily
           | verbose)
        
           | krisoft wrote:
           | Idk. You can always just leave out details to make things
           | simpler. I could rewrite your version of the abstract to
           | "Scientist find magma under volcanoes." Much simpler! Leaves
           | out a lot from yours, but so did yours leave out a lot from
           | theirs.
           | 
           | I think in this case it is important to consider the audience
           | one is writing to. And the abstract is written to other
           | geologist. They want to know what kind of evidence they have
           | (purely computational? new field measurements? what kind of
           | modality?)
           | 
           | While for me this sentence[1] is hard to penetrate jargon,
           | presumably for the intended audience it is packed full of
           | information. Same as the sentence "we persist the setting in
           | a local sqlite database using sqlalchemy ORM" means a lot
           | more to some dev like me than "we save the setting". You can
           | simplify it of course, but while you make it easier to
           | understand to a lay audience it becomes less specific to the
           | intended and specialist audience.
           | 
           | 1: "seismic imaging of subvolcanic magmatic systems along the
           | Cascade Range arc from systematically modelling the three-
           | dimensional scattered wavefield of teleseismic body waves"
        
           | 9dev wrote:
           | This is a problem I expect to be fully and thoroughly solved
           | by LLMs very soon; no longer should we have to concern
           | ourselves with rephrasing things for different audiences than
           | our peer groups. Scientists often aren't also great writers,
           | and if they don't have to be, they can focus more on their
           | actual area of expertise.
        
             | PaulHoule wrote:
             | It boggles my mind that there are 100 products for AI
             | summarization for every 1 that does filtering,
             | classification, recommendation, clustering, etc.
             | 
             | It seems some A.I. influencers can ask for a kilogram of
             | antimatter and get it, but when the rest of use use Google,
             | we get worthless A.I. summaries at the top of the page,
             | like the one that told me to reset my network switch by (1)
             | turning it off, and (2) then pressing the reset button for
             | five seconds (does nothing because... no power!)
             | 
             | This study shows the kind of results that the "rest of us"
             | get
             | 
             | https://www.theregister.com/2025/02/12/bbc_ai_news_accuracy
             | /
        
               | ruibiks wrote:
               | Here is a good AI tool that you can use for free.
               | 
               | https://cofyt.app for YouTube summaries, instant
               | takeaways, and chat with video transcript.
               | 
               | Don't complain, try it and come back here and give your
               | feedback so that others can read.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | That's a better use case. I can skim a long document
               | quickly but I can't quickly skim a 30 minute YouTube
               | video. It's pretty fast though... Does YouTube already
               | have a transcript that it's reading?
        
               | ruibiks wrote:
               | I'm not suggesting in any way that this replaces watching
               | all YouTube videos but it could help you save some time
               | with some types of video content and a co-pilot for
               | others.
               | 
               | You can try to ask it for things to your requirements,be
               | descriptive.
               | 
               | For example: - you can ask it to list topics or tags in
               | that video.
               | 
               | - you can ask it for specific timecodes/ Timestamps when
               | topic X is mentioned
               | 
               | - you can ask it to tell you what's happening in time
               | blocks/Chunks of x minutes.
               | 
               | be descriptive and ask for the format you want: lists,
               | bullets, list with description, etc
               | 
               | Thanks for the feedback.
        
               | wpollock wrote:
               | While I agree with you, note those directions may not be
               | wrong. Many modern electronic devices do not completely
               | power down when you turn them "off". Unplugging does
               | (once the capacitors drain) but not necessarily using the
               | power switch.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | For this device that's wrong
               | 
               | https://store.ui.com/us/en/products/usw-lite-8-poe
               | 
               | but I would say that device is poorly documented, you
               | have to go to the forums to get all details, one of which
               | is that you definitely don't want to hold down the reset
               | button when it is off and then turn it on (holding the
               | button down) because that will boot it up in TFTP mode
               | which I guess loads the system software over the network.
               | 
               | Mine wasn't lighting up any lights when I plugged
               | ethernet cables into it, the reset button didn't do
               | anything if the power was on or off. They RMAed it, I
               | hope the next one works out better.
        
           | skytwosea wrote:
           | I disagree. This abstract is a mouthful, no doubt, but it's a
           | highly information-dense mouthful, and it does its job well.
           | 
           | Along the spectrum between intra-disciplinary academic
           | communication on one end and public-sphere science
           | communication on the other, the abstract is and should be
           | just above the level of the paper it's abstracting. It's
           | meant to be a technical summary for academics, and should not
           | be dialed down for the sake of non-technical consumption.
           | This one - speaking as a geologist with a long academic
           | history - reads quite well, I think.
           | 
           | In contrast, the sentence you propose should be the output of
           | responsible and effective scientific communicators working
           | closer to the public-sphere end of the spectrum, say, at the
           | level of phys.org, here on hackernews, etc.
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | That's squashing it too much. The angle that magma chambers
           | could be diagnostic of eruption risk is what I think the
           | public would find most interesting. The results seem to say
           | that it isn't so.
        
           | gus_massa wrote:
           | That is what the press release from the university should
           | have, but many of them add a lot of hype and distort the
           | paper. Something like
           | 
           | fake> _For fist time, scientists of $OUR_UNIVERSITY have seen
           | Doors of Hell with their own eyes and are going to use it to
           | replace Nuclear Power in 5 years and solve Climate Change and
           | find the Atlantis._
           | 
           | I'm exaggeration a little, but I've seen a few _horrible_
           | cases https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=fal
           | se&qu...
        
           | exe34 wrote:
           | I wish they would have both. Personally when I'm reading
           | something in my field, I want the specific details, but when
           | I'm reading outside my field, I could use the dumbed down
           | version.
        
           | stevage wrote:
           | Obviously that fails at actually being an abstract: it
           | doesn't communicate what the novel research is, or anything
           | about the methods.
           | 
           | Journals aren't for lay people. It's the pop science articles
           | that should do better.
           | 
           | Also, honestly, this abstract was much more comprehensible
           | than I expected.
        
         | mannykannot wrote:
         | Indeed - at no point does the article quote a geologist
         | expressing surprise at the result. There are quotes saying, in
         | effect, that new data overthrows or requires modification of a
         | previously-held _conjecture_ , but that is not the same as
         | surprise. Experts in a given field are usually well aware of
         | how conjectural a hypothesis is, as that is where current
         | research is focused.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Ok, we've taken surprised scientists out of the title above.
         | Thanks!
        
       | irrational wrote:
       | Scientists keep talking about the three sisters rising, so
       | clearly there is action happening there. And St Helens keeps
       | erupting, says clearly there is action happening there. It
       | doesn't seem surprising that the other volcanoes in the area
       | could also be potentially active.
        
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