[HN Gopher] Backblaze Drive Stats for 2024
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       Backblaze Drive Stats for 2024
        
       Author : TangerineDream
       Score  : 299 points
       Date   : 2025-02-11 14:55 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.backblaze.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.backblaze.com)
        
       | comboy wrote:
       | Huh, what happened to HGST?
        
         | antithesis-nl wrote:
         | They, ironically, got acquired by Western Digital. But the
         | 'Ultrastar' line name is still alive, if that's what you're
         | looking for. 'Deskstar' seems to be gone, though.
        
           | betaby wrote:
           | From that table I understand that WD are the most reliable
           | nowadays. Especially 16TB models. Is my understanding
           | correct?
        
             | antithesis-nl wrote:
             | It's a wash. Modern mechanical HDDs are so reliable that
             | the vendor basically doesn't matter. Especially if you
             | stick with 'Enterprise'-tier drives (preferably with a SAS
             | interface), you should be good.
             | 
             | Aside from some mishaps (that don't necessarily impact
             | reliability) with vendors failing to disclose the HAMR
             | nature of some consumer HDDs, I don't think there have been
             | any truly disastrous series in the past 10-15 years or so.
             | 
             | You're more likely to get bitten by supply-chain
             | substitutions (and get used drives instead of new ones)
             | these days, even though that won't necessarily lead to data
             | loss.
        
               | userbinator wrote:
               | _I don 't think there have been any truly disastrous
               | series in the past 10-15 years or so_
               | 
               | ST3000DM001.
        
           | nubinetwork wrote:
           | > 'Deskstar' seems to be gone, though.
           | 
           | Considering we used to call them deathstars, I'm surprised
           | they didn't get rid of the line sooner...
        
       | neilv wrote:
       | Every year, this seems like great brand promotion for Backblaze,
       | to technical prospective customers, and a nice service to the
       | field.
       | 
       | What are some other examples from other companies of this,
       | besides open source code?
        
         | ajross wrote:
         | Benson Leung's USB cable crusade comes to mind. Also Jim
         | Gettys' coming out of seeming retirement to educate us all
         | about Bufferbloat.
        
         | bityard wrote:
         | This is called "content marketing" and there are usually at
         | least a handful of them on the HN front page at any given time.
         | 
         | Although I will say that the BackBlaze drive stats articles are
         | a much higher effort and standard of quality than you typically
         | see for this tactic.
        
           | CTDOCodebases wrote:
           | It's worth noting that this type of marketing can also
           | improves page rankings.
        
         | devrand wrote:
         | Puget Systems has similar publications covering their
         | experience building client systems, though not always in the
         | same level of detail. They also have PugetBench to benchmark
         | systems in real-world applications/workflows.
        
         | samch wrote:
         | A company called TechEmpower used to run periodic web framework
         | benchmarks and share out the results using nice dashboard. Not
         | sure why they stopped doing these.
         | 
         | https://www.techempower.com/benchmarks/#hw=ph&test=fortune&s...
         | 
         | Edit: Adding a shoutout to the iFixIt teardowns that are also
         | quite informative content:
         | 
         | https://www.ifixit.com/Teardown
         | 
         | Edit 2: Also Lumafield CT scans:
         | 
         | https://www.scanofthemonth.com/
        
           | KomoD wrote:
           | TechEmpower still does them. https://github.com/TechEmpower/F
           | rameworkBenchmarks/issues/95...
        
         | nerdponx wrote:
         | Jepsen (of database benchmark fame) does paid consulting work.
        
         | zX41ZdbW wrote:
         | Some examples from me:
         | 
         | Database benchmarks: https://github.com/ClickHouse/ClickBench
         | (containing 30+ databases) and the new JSON analytics
         | benchmark, https://github.com/ClickHouse/JSONBench/
         | 
         | Plus, the hardware benchmark:
         | https://benchmark.clickhouse.com/hardware/ (also used by
         | Phoronix).
        
         | DecentShoes wrote:
         | ...Spotify wrapped kinda?
        
       | theandrewbailey wrote:
       | > I have been authoring the various Drive Stats reports for the
       | past ten years and this will be my last one. I am retiring, or
       | perhaps in Drive Stats vernacular, it would be "migrating."
       | 
       | Thank you for all these reports over the years.
        
         | ganoushoreilly wrote:
         | They really have been great, the bar was set high!
        
         | fyrabanks wrote:
         | I almost cannot believe I've been reading these for 10 years
         | now.
        
       | Mistletoe wrote:
       | Remember when Seagate sponsored the /r/datahoarder subreddit
       | instead of making better hard drives?
        
         | gruez wrote:
         | Source?
        
         | KomoD wrote:
         | Nope
        
       | louwrentius wrote:
       | When I started my current 24-bay NAS more than 10 years ago, I
       | specifically looked at the Backblaze drive stats (which were a
       | new thing at that time) to determine which drives to buy (I chose
       | 4TB 7200rpm HGST drives).
       | 
       | My Louwrentius stats are: zero drive failures over 10+ years.
       | 
       | Meanwhile, the author (Andy Klein) of Backblaze Drive Stats
       | mentions he is retiring, I wish him well and thanks!
       | 
       | PS. The data on my 24-drive NAS would fit on two modern 32TB
       | drives. Crazy.
        
       | sys32768 wrote:
       | I had five Seagates fail in my Synology NAS in less than a year.
       | Somebody suggested it was a "bad" firmware on that model, but I
       | switched to WD and haven't had a single failure since.
        
         | BonoboIO wrote:
         | Exos Series?
         | 
         | I never had problems with Seagate Exos or WD Red or even the WD
         | shucked White Reds.
         | 
         | It's interesting how different the experiences are, some swear
         | by a specific brand.
        
         | buckle8017 wrote:
         | Unfortunately using all the same type of drive in any kinda of
         | system is a recipe for disaster.
         | 
         | Incompatibilities between the drive firmware and the device
         | they're in can cause problems.
         | 
         | Subtle harmonic issues with how the drives are mounted, which
         | might be fine for some drives and disastrous for others.
         | 
         | I've always found the best strategy with mechanical hard drives
         | is to have various brands and models in the same device on
         | RAID.
        
         | ganoushoreilly wrote:
         | Did you purchase them all at the same time from the same store?
         | I've had a batch of SSDs fail from the same vendor / mfg
         | timeframe. I started ordering a couple here and there form
         | different vendors where possible. So far i've been lucky to get
         | drives that aren't from the same batches. I tend to buy Exos
         | from seagate and WD gold though so there's a bit of a premium
         | tacked on.
        
           | sys32768 wrote:
           | No, that's the weird thing. Even the RMA models were failing.
           | But sure enough, it wasn't just some incompatibility with the
           | NAS because I tested them on PCs to confirm they were
           | failing, and they were.
        
         | emmelaich wrote:
         | What models? There's a big difference between the cheapest and
         | the more pro models.
         | 
         | That said, my four 2Tb Barracudas still going fine after many
         | years (10+). One failed, replaced with a green. Big mistake,
         | that failed quickly and I went back to standard Barracudas.
         | 
         | They don't get used intensely though.
        
           | sys32768 wrote:
           | 8TB Ironwolf NAS ST8000VN004
        
         | KPGv2 wrote:
         | This will probably jinx me, but I've had so many drives, many
         | purchased on the cheap from Fry's Black Friday sales when I was
         | a poor university student, and the two drives I've ever had
         | fail since I started buying over twenty years ago were
         | 
         | 1. catastrophic flood in my apartment when drive was on the
         | ground
         | 
         | 2. a drive in an external enclosure on the ground that I kicked
         | by mistake while it was spinning
         | 
         | I'm glad I've never had y'all's problems.
        
       | jdhawk wrote:
       | I wish there was a way to underspin (RPM) some of these drives to
       | lower noise for non-datacenter use - the quest for the Largest
       | "Quiet" drive - is a hard one. It would be cool if these could
       | downshift into <5000RPM mode and run much quieter.
        
         | zootboy wrote:
         | I wonder if that's even technically possible these days. Given
         | the fact that the heads have to float on the moving air (or
         | helium) produced by the spinning platter, coupled with modern
         | data densities probably making the float distance tolerance
         | quite small, there might be a very narrow band of rotation
         | speeds that the heads require to correctly operate.
        
           | jdhawk wrote:
           | yeah - valid point. it seems like they all moved past 5400RPM
           | at the 14TB level.
        
       | ecliptik wrote:
       | It's not a best practice, but the last 10 years I've run my home
       | server with a smaller faster drive for the OS and a single larger
       | disk for bulk storage that I choose using Backblaze Drive Stats.
       | None of have failed yet (fingers-crossed). I really trust their
       | methodology and it's an extremely valuable resource for me as a
       | consumer.
       | 
       | My most recent drive is a WDC WUH722222ALE6L4 22TiB, and looking
       | at the stats (albeit only a few months of data), and overall
       | trend of WDC, in this report gives me peace of mind that it
       | should be fine for the next few years until it's time for the
       | cycle to repeat.
        
         | kridsdale1 wrote:
         | No RAID 0 for the bulk storage? What's your disaster plan?
        
           | ecliptik wrote:
           | restic + rclone to cloud storage for data I care about, the
           | majority of the data can easily be replaced if needed.
        
             | manosyja wrote:
             | That's exactly how I do it.
        
           | SteveNuts wrote:
           | Surely you mean RAID 1? Or 5, 6, 10 perhaps?
        
         | qskousen wrote:
         | I'm sure you're aware but consider putting another drive in for
         | some flavor of RAID, it's a lot easier to rebuild a RAID than
         | to rebuild data usually!
         | 
         | Edit: By "some flavor" I mean hardware or software.
        
           | walrus01 wrote:
           | RAID doesn't cover all of the scenarios as offsite backup,
           | such as massive electrical power surge, fire, flood, theft or
           | other things causing total destruction of the RAID array.
           | Ideally you'd want a setup that has local storage redundancy
           | in some form of RAID _and_ offsite backup.
        
             | bombcar wrote:
             | In fact for home users backup is WAY more important than
             | RAID, because your NAS down for a (restore time) is not
             | that important, but data loss is forever.
        
               | didntcheck wrote:
               | For essential personal data you're right, but a very
               | common use case for a home NAS is a media server. The
               | library is usually non-essential data - _annoying_ to
               | lose, but not critical. Combined with its large size, it
               | 's usually hard to justify a full offsite backup. RAID
               | offers a cost-effective way to give it _some_ protection,
               | when the alternative is nothing
        
               | walrus01 wrote:
               | For a number of people I know, they don't do any offsite
               | backup of their home media server. It would not result in
               | any possibly-catastrophic personal financial
               | hassles/struggles/real data loss if a bunch of movies and
               | music disappeared overnight.
               | 
               | The amount of personally generated sensitive data that
               | doesn't fit on a laptop's onboard storage (which should
               | all be backed up offsite as well) will usually fit on
               | like a 12TB RAID-1 pair, which is easier to back up than
               | 40TB+ of movies.
        
               | dharmab wrote:
               | Having to restore my media server without a backup would
               | cost me around a dozen hours of my time. 2 bucks a month
               | to back up to Glacier with rclone's crypt backend is
               | easily worth it.
        
               | code_biologist wrote:
               | How are you hitting that pricing? S3 "Glacier Deep
               | Archive"?
               | 
               | Standard S3 is $23/TB/mo. Backblaze B2 is $6/TB/mo. S3
               | Glacier Instant or Flexible Retrieval is about $4/TB/mo.
               | S3 Glacier Deep Archive is about $1/TB/mo.
               | 
               | I take it you have ~2TB in deep archive? I have 5TB in
               | Backblaze and I've been meaning to prune it way down.
        
             | ipsento606 wrote:
             | for the home user backing up their own data, I honestly
             | think that raid has limited utility.
             | 
             | If I have 3 disks to devote to backup, I'd rather have 1
             | local copy and two remote copies, vs 1 local copy with RAID
             | and 1 remote copy without.
        
               | dgemm wrote:
               | It's super useful for maintenance, for example you can
               | replace and upgrade the drives in place without
               | reinstalling the system.
        
         | gruez wrote:
         | >It's not a best practice, but the last 10 years I've run my
         | home server with a smaller faster drive for the OS and a single
         | larger disk for bulk storage that I choose using Backblaze
         | Drive Stats. None of have failed yet (fingers-crossed). I
         | really trust their methodology and it's an extremely valuable
         | resource for me as a consumer.
         | 
         | I also have multiple drives in operation in the past decade and
         | didn't experience any failures. However unlike you, I didn't
         | use backblaze's drive stats to inform my purchase. I just
         | bought whatever was cheapest, knowing that any TCO reduction
         | from higher reliability (at best, around 10%) would eaten up by
         | the lack of discounts the "best" drive. That's the problem with
         | n=1 anecdotes. You don't know whether nothing bad happened
         | because you followed "the right advice", or you just got lucky.
        
         | eatbitseveryday wrote:
         | > WDC WUH722222ALE6L4 22TiB
         | 
         | Careful... that is 22 TB, not 22 TiB. Disk marketing still uses
         | base 10. TiB is base 2.
         | 
         | 22 TB = 20 TiB
        
         | CTDOCodebases wrote:
         | Take these stats with a grain of salt.
         | 
         | I am becoming more and more convinced that hard drive
         | reliability is linked to the batch more than to the individual
         | drive models themselves. Often you will read online of people
         | experiencing multiple failures from drives purchased from the
         | same batch.
         | 
         | I cannot prove this because I have no idea about Blackblazes
         | procurement patterns but I bought one of the better drives in
         | this list (ST16000NM001G) and it failed within a year.
         | 
         | When it comes to hard drives or storage more generally a better
         | approach is protect yourself against down time with software
         | raid and backups and pray that if a drive does fail it does so
         | within the warranty period.
        
         | whalesalad wrote:
         | hopefully you have 2x of these drives in some kind of raid
         | mirror such that if one fails, you can simply replace it and
         | re-mirror. not having something like this is risky.
        
       | Macha wrote:
       | My home NAS drives are currently hitting the 5 years mark. So far
       | I'm at no failures, but I'm considering if it's time to
       | upgrade/replace. What I have is 5 x 4TB pre-SMR WD Reds (which
       | are now called the WD Red Pro line I guess). Capacity wise I've
       | got them setup in a RAID 6, which gives me 12TB of usable
       | capacity, of which I currently use about 7.5TB.
       | 
       | I'm basically mulling between going as-is to SSDs in a similar
       | 5x4TB configuration, or just going for 20TB hard drives in a RAID
       | 1 configuration and a pair of 4TB SATA SSDs in a RAID 1 for use
       | cases that need better-than-HDD performance.
       | 
       | These figures indicate Seagate is improving in reliability, which
       | might be worth considering this time given WD's actions in the
       | time since my last purchase, but on the other hand I'd basically
       | sworn off Seagate after a wave of drives in the mid-2010s with a
       | near 100% failure rate within 5 years.
        
       | vednig wrote:
       | Blackblaze is one of the most respected services in Storage
       | industry, they've kept gaining my respect even after I launched
       | my own cloud storage solution.
        
       | bloopernova wrote:
       | Google sells 2TB of space on Google drive for $10/month. I'm
       | looking to move my data elsewhere.
       | 
       | Can anyone recommend a European based alternative with a roughly
       | similar cost?
        
         | pranaysy wrote:
         | Hetzner!
        
         | staindk wrote:
         | OneDrive space (through MS365 single or family licence) works
         | out much cheaper in my country. I'm sure in the EU it is GDPR-
         | compliant.
         | 
         | YMMV but OneDrive has been improving a lot. Their web photos
         | browsing is comparable to Google Photos these days.
        
           | homarp wrote:
           | linux sync works?
        
         | guerby wrote:
         | hetzner storage box $4 per month for 1 TB and $13 for 5 TB.
        
           | bloopernova wrote:
           | Good lord it even supports BorgBackup.
           | 
           | Thank you very much!
        
             | lukaslalinsky wrote:
             | Be aware that it's just a single server. It's not
             | replicated across multiple hosts like in the case of google
             | drive. So you definitely want a backup of that if it's your
             | primary copy.
        
               | bloopernova wrote:
               | Good point, thank you.
               | 
               | It may actually be a good thing that it's not replicated.
               | That forces me to really make sure I have a separate
               | backup elsewhere.
        
             | anotherhue wrote:
             | US -> DE latency hurts though.
             | 
             | I used them when I was in europe but migrated away after I
             | came stateside.
             | 
             | Not a problem for cold-storage/batch jobs of course.
        
               | bloopernova wrote:
               | Good to know, thank you!
        
               | echoangle wrote:
               | I'm assuming bloopernova is based in Europe, so latency
               | should be fine. At least they asked for an European-based
               | Hoster (although that could also theoretically be for
               | privacy reasons).
        
       | loeg wrote:
       | Hard to argue with those WDC/Toshiba numbers. Seagate's are just
       | embarrassing in contrast.
       | 
       | (HGST drives -- now WDC -- were great, but those are legacy
       | drives. It's been part of WD for some time. The new models are
       | WDC branded.)
        
       | bhouston wrote:
       | Based on the data, it seems they have 4.4 petabytes of storage
       | under management. Neat.
       | 
       | https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1E4MS84SbSwWILVPAgeIi...
        
         | selectodude wrote:
         | Exabytes. 4.4 exabytes.
        
           | userbinator wrote:
           | An amazing amount if you consider that 16EB is the amount of
           | data a 64-bit quantity can address, and this is over a
           | quarter of that.
        
             | dekhn wrote:
             | There was a dashboard where the total storage at Google was
             | tracked and they had to update it from 64 bits for this
             | reason... about a decade or more ago.
        
             | echoangle wrote:
             | Wow, that's a cool stat. I wonder if people will ever
             | seriously use 16EB of memory in a single system and will
             | need to change to a more-than-64-bit architecture or if 64
             | bit is truly enough. This has ,,640k ought to be enough for
             | anybody" potential (and I know he didn't say that).
        
         | m3nu wrote:
         | 4,414,142 TB = 4.4 Exabyte
        
         | theandrewbailey wrote:
         | A petabyte is 1,000 terabytes. 4.4 petabytes wouldn't come
         | anywhere near Backblaze's storage needs.
        
         | remram wrote:
         | Nowadays you can get a petabyte in a single machine (50 drives
         | 20TB each).
        
       | quintin wrote:
       | It continues to surprise me why Backblaze still trades at a
       | fraction of its peak COVID share price. A well-managed company
       | with solid fundamentals, strong IP and growing.
        
         | devoutsalsa wrote:
         | Because they are bleeding money and they must sell stock to
         | stay in business. Cool product, but I personally don't want to
         | buy something that doesn't turn a profit and has negative free
         | cash flow.
        
       | ww520 wrote:
       | After couple failed hard disks in my old NVR, I've come to
       | realize heat is the biggest enemy of hard disks. The NVR had to
       | provide power to the POE cameras, ran video transcoding, and
       | constantly writing to the disk. It generated a lot of heat. The
       | disks were probably warped due to the heat and the disk heads
       | crashed onto the surface, causing data loss.
       | 
       | For my new NVR, the POE power supply is separated out to a
       | powered switch, the newer CPU can do hardware video encoding, and
       | I used SSD for first stage writing and hard disks as secondary
       | backup. The heat has gone way down. So far things have run well.
       | I know constant rewriting on SSD is bad, but the MTBF of SSD
       | indicates it will be a number of years before failing. It's an
       | acceptable risk.
        
         | walrus01 wrote:
         | That seems like a very poor chassis design on the part of the
         | NVR manufacturer. The average modern 3.5" high capacity HDD
         | doesn't generate that much heat. Even 'datacenter' HGST drives
         | average around 5.5W and will top out at 7.8W TDP under maximum
         | stress. Designing a case that uses relatively low rpm, quiet,
         | 120 or 140mm 12VDC fans to pull air through it and cool six or
         | eight hard drives isn't that difficult. In a midtower desktop
         | PC case set up as a NAS with a low wattage CPU, used as a NAS,
         | a single 140mm fan at the rear sucking air from front-to-back
         | is often quite enough to cool eight 3.5" HDD.
         | 
         | But equipment designers keep trying to stuff things into spaces
         | that are too small and use inadequate ventilation.
        
           | ww520 wrote:
           | In a combination of heat, the POE cameras draw quite a bit of
           | power, the video transcoding, and then the constant disk
           | writes, all in a small slim case. It ran very hot during
           | summer.
        
       | userbinator wrote:
       | That ST12000NM0007 is a little worrying. Looks like there are
       | still pretty significant differences between manufacturers.
        
       | pinoy420 wrote:
       | This is such a fantastic piece of research. Thank you if you are
       | reading. I wish amazon and Microsoft did similar
        
       | Melatonic wrote:
       | True enterprise drives ftw - even Seagate usually makes some very
       | reliable ones. They also tend to be a little faster. Some people
       | have complained about noise but I have never noticed.
       | 
       | They are noticeable much heavier in hand (and supposedly most use
       | dual bearings).
       | 
       | Combined with selecting based on Backblazes statistics I have had
       | no HDD failures in years
        
         | SirMaster wrote:
         | One of these blogs literally told us that enterprise drives
         | were no better.
         | 
         | https://www.backblaze.com/blog/enterprise-drive-reliability/
        
       | bigtimesink wrote:
       | I used to think these were interesting and used them to inform my
       | next HDD purchase. I realized I only used them to pick a recently
       | reliable brand, we're down to three, and the stats are mostly old
       | models, so the main use is if you're buying a used drive from the
       | same batch that Backblaze happens to have also used.
       | 
       | Buy two from different vendors and RAID or do regular off-site
       | backups.
        
       | mastax wrote:
       | I bought a bunch of _28_ TB Seagate Exos drives refurbished for
       | not that much money. I still can 't believe that 28TB drives are
       | even possible.
        
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       (page generated 2025-02-11 23:00 UTC)