[HN Gopher] Eggs US - Price - Chart
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Eggs US - Price - Chart
        
       Author : throwaway5752
       Score  : 420 points
       Date   : 2025-02-05 16:31 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (tradingeconomics.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (tradingeconomics.com)
        
       | cortesoft wrote:
       | Yeah, bird flu is really bad.
        
         | tppiotrowski wrote:
         | Why does this mostly affect the US? I've been abroad most of
         | the year and eggs don't seem overly expensive.
        
           | toomuchtodo wrote:
           | The below links are not all inclusive, but each touch on your
           | inquiry in various capacities (as the problem is complex and
           | multifaceted). Georgia halted all poultry sales due to
           | infection detections, for example.
           | 
           | https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/h5n1-much-more-than-you-
           | wan...
           | 
           | https://agr.georgia.gov/pr/highly-pathogenic-avian-
           | influenza...
           | 
           | https://www.wusf.org/health-news-
           | florida/2025-02-02/deadly-h...
           | 
           | https://investigatemidwest.org/2025/01/21/134m-poultry-
           | and-c...
           | 
           | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-13447-z
           | 
           | https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.0609227103
        
           | llamaimperative wrote:
           | It's spreading abroad, but the US seems to be ground zero.
           | The US's agricultural methods also make it _extremely_
           | vulnerable to infectious disease (if one breaks through the
           | continuous deluge of antibiotics we pump into our animals).
        
           | simple10 wrote:
           | My guess is how lax the US is with factory farm animal
           | welfare. When an epidemic breaks out, it hits these factory
           | farms much harder and the USDA (government food agency)
           | cracks down and indirectly drives up prices.
        
             | bushbaba wrote:
             | Even if it's not lax. It will spread. There is economy of
             | scale benefits by having larger farms.
        
           | Svip wrote:
           | The bird flu is mostly contained to North America. Birds fly
           | north/south, not east/west, so so far there has been no
           | reports of it moving across either ocean. This is why
           | Europeans and Asians are terrified of bird flu transmitting
           | between humans, because then an infected human could get on a
           | plane and spread it there. So far, however, that threat
           | remains unrealised.
        
             | llamaimperative wrote:
             | Didn't the UK just cull millions of birds for H5N1?
        
               | noneeeed wrote:
               | Yes, it's been a big issue here.
               | 
               | I've not been actively tracking the price of eggs, but I
               | know it's causing a lot of problems for egg producers.
        
             | giantg2 wrote:
             | Albatross and other birds disagree. And don't forget the
             | birds using ships to migrate.
        
             | lm2s wrote:
             | Is this a serious comment? Bird flu is happening right now
             | in EU.
        
           | gramie wrote:
           | To cite a close-to-home example, chicken farms in Canada
           | typically have about 25,000 chickens, whereas ones in the
           | U.S. often have millions. So an infection that requires the
           | entire flock to be slaughtered has a much bigger effect on
           | the supply of eggs south of the border.
        
             | mrweasel wrote:
             | That makes a lot of sense, because I lookup up how we
             | handle it in Denmark and it's the same, destroy the entire
             | flock if a farm is infected. It's just it's not millions,
             | it's 6000, 40.000, 20.000 chickens per farm, not a million.
             | 
             | Weird that the size of the farms aren't being regulated if
             | you know from other countries that it makes containment
             | easier.
        
               | azinman2 wrote:
               | But the population is about 57x smaller. So 17.5k
               | chickens would be equivalent in terms of impact.
        
               | Symbiote wrote:
               | Are eggs regularly transported long distances in the USA?
               | I don't think I've seen eggs from outside Denmark for
               | sale in Denmark, though many other things (cheese, meat)
               | are.
               | 
               | If people in Minnesota (same population) aren't regularly
               | buying eggs from out of state, then the comparison with
               | Denmark holds.
        
               | mrweasel wrote:
               | > I don't think I've seen eggs from outside Denmark for
               | sale in Denmark,
               | 
               | That is because of the strict rules regarding salmonella.
               | Danish chicken farmers will test for salmonella and kill
               | any population of chicken found to have salmonella,
               | leaving our eggs "guaranteed" free of salmonella. Any
               | other country that wish to sell eggs in Denmark will need
               | to be able to make the same guarantee. This is one of the
               | few exceptions for the free movements of goods within the
               | EU.
        
               | mrweasel wrote:
               | Unless you segment up your chickens and spread them out,
               | so one farmer may have a million chickens, but spread out
               | on 40 locations. The problem is that you need to kill ALL
               | of your chickens in just a few is sick and having a
               | million chickens in a single location will pretty ensure
               | that you have to constantly kill of all your chickens and
               | replace them.
               | 
               | But there's probably more going on that just sick
               | chickens being killed of.
        
           | brendoelfrendo wrote:
           | Eggs are usually produced and sold regionally. The current
           | bird flu epidemic impacting US chicken farms will be less
           | impactful elsewhere. I believe there were reported cases of
           | bird flu in Europe at the end of last year, but I don't think
           | they spread to the widespread devastation we're seeing in the
           | US.
        
           | lm2s wrote:
           | It's not, bird flu has also been detected 1-2 days ago in
           | Portugal near where I live.
        
         | llamaimperative wrote:
         | This is why we must freeze USDA funding, halt all public health
         | communications from our federal government, and urgently (TOP
         | PRIORITY!!!) scrub all mentions of the word "women" from every
         | public-facing piece of scientific content we can find.
        
           | Spivak wrote:
           | I did think it was funny that they included 'women' and
           | 'female' in that list. Medicine is gonna have a hard time
           | with that one, "this drug has some adverse effects with
           | uhh... ovulating persons?"
        
             | llamaimperative wrote:
             | I don't find it funny at all.
        
               | dpkirchner wrote:
               | I found it exactly in line with everything I know about
               | right-wing politics.
        
             | elgenie wrote:
             | The candidate "solution" to that problem is to remove any
             | representation requirements in medical trials, so adverse
             | effects that manifest just in specific subgroups aren't
             | found. I wish I were joking.
        
             | jl6 wrote:
             | They didn't include 'women' and 'female' in that list.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | Consider for a moment: what if it _did_ include those
               | terms? What do you think it 'd indicate if some
               | hypothetical government decided to hunt down those words
               | across the scientific literature and subject them to
               | review? Would that indicate something meaningful to you?
               | 
               | Now keep that thought in mind... and now acknowledge that
               | that hypothetical government is actually the current one.
               | 
               | Pay close attention to what your mind is doing and let us
               | know if you notice any interesting contortions that
               | somehow draw a line between the obviously fucking insane
               | hypothetical government you were imagining a second ago
               | and the current real one. Report back!
               | 
               | https://www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-
               | takes/2025/02/05/n...
        
               | jl6 wrote:
               | There is no executive order banning use of the words
               | women and female.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | Thanks for sharing your contortions! Honestly impressed
               | with your candor, I appreciate it.
        
               | jl6 wrote:
               | I replied to someone who thought the words had been
               | banned and scientists would have to use phrases like
               | "ovulating person".
               | 
               | It seemed to be based on taking your post ("scrub all
               | mentions of the word "women"") at face value.
               | 
               | You understand now that that isn't true? That the word
               | "women" is not being scrubbed, and nobody has asked for
               | it to be scrubbed?
        
           | Xunjin wrote:
           | I hope they stop this cultural war and focus on the real
           | problems that actually affects the population,for example,
           | high prices.
        
             | UncleMeat wrote:
             | Musk and Trump have both publicly said that people will
             | need to accept higher prices.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | (After getting elected on promises to lower prices on day
               | one)
        
               | Xunjin wrote:
               | I'm not doubtful that happened, but could you provide a
               | source?
        
               | asveikau wrote:
               | The recording I saw was Trump saying we need to accept
               | pain. He's asked frequently why his actions make very
               | little sense and he typically responds incoherently.
        
               | tzs wrote:
               | I don't have a specific cite but I saw it in quotes from
               | when he was announcing 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico.
               | 
               | He said they could cause price increases and pain in the
               | US but that they would cause more pain in Canada and
               | Mexico.
        
               | verdverm wrote:
               | Its in one of his screeds on Truth or Musk Social
               | 
               | Colbert has a good bit and quip about it
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | Trump said it directly in a news conference.
               | https://apnews.com/article/trump-tariffs-canada-mexico-
               | china...
               | 
               | "We may have short-term, a little pain, and people
               | understand that,"
        
               | butlike wrote:
               | Please stop the precedent of saying both their names in
               | the same breath
        
               | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
               | They seem to be joined at the hip now, what with Elon
               | being granted carte blanche. If it helps, I prefer "fat
               | man and little boy".
        
               | rsynnott wrote:
               | Poor ol' JD Vance is presumably
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thin_Man_(nuclear_bomb)
               | 
               | (The _third_ WW2-era bomb design, an impractically long
               | plutonium gun-type. Much like Vance, it was rather
               | pointless and impractical, and was never really heard
               | from again.)
        
             | jayd16 wrote:
             | Prepare to keep hoping.
        
             | lawn wrote:
             | The cultural with tariffs you mean?
        
             | rcpt wrote:
             | Prices aren't high on anything except for housing.
             | 
             | No politician, either past present or future, will ever run
             | on a platform of reducing housing prices.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | Here are several specific proposals to do just that:
               | https://nlihc.org/resource/harris-campaign-releases-
               | plans-lo...
               | 
               | Not a fan of credits to buyers (just inflates prices
               | further) but I'm a big fan of credits to developers,
               | streamlining permitting, and making some federal land
               | available for development.
               | 
               | Regardless of whether you think these are good policies
               | or an effective platform, it is patently false to say no
               | one would run on such a promise.
        
               | rcpt wrote:
               | Those are all great policies. And yes credits to buyers
               | is pretty stupid.
               | 
               | But this is still a far cry from "vote for me and your
               | home value will go down".
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | Because why would you say that?
               | 
               | You would say "we're going to build more housing."
        
               | rcpt wrote:
               | People say that about eggs.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | Well no, one person (a moron and a liar) said that about
               | eggs
        
               | wholinator2 wrote:
               | Eggs are not treated as the most important investment of
               | your life, the value of which you hedge the entire rest
               | of your life against, and which is expected to increase
               | in value to support an growing rather than shrinking
               | lifestyle. Eggs are nothing like houses economically
        
               | justin66 wrote:
               | > Prices aren't high on anything except for housing.
               | 
               | And health care, and education, and child care.
        
             | rsynnott wrote:
             | Thing is, that would be difficult, whereas randomly
             | breaking government agencies is quite easy. If you happen
             | to be Donald Trump, and you're looking for ways to please
             | your supporters, culture war nonsense is the easy approach,
             | provided you don't care at all about the consequences.
        
           | xrd wrote:
           | Look, we all know these were chickens hired because of DEI
           | under Obama.
        
             | dpkirchner wrote:
             | They're _all_ female!
        
           | PaulHoule wrote:
           | It's the kind of thing that today's right-wingers would
           | accuse today's transgenderists of wanting to do. I think
           | you'd have a hard time expressing traditional values if you
           | couldn't say "woman".
        
             | llamaimperative wrote:
             | The internal incoherence is a feature of a cult, not a bug!
             | 
             | The more deliberately twisted shit they can make you
             | believe, the more dependent your entire cognitive
             | architecture is on them.
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | It's a mirror of the thoughtless language engineering of
               | their opponents, it's like calling people "latinX"
               | without asking them first.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | A minor difference being that one is a bunch of bluehairs
               | Twitterati and social science professors using a goofy
               | word and the other is a systematic purge of scientific
               | literature and government data... Minor difference
               | though!
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | Actually I'd argue that left-wing language engineering
               | contributed to right-wing lunatics getting in control.
               | This poll says 56% of Hispanics in the US are
               | uncomfortable with 'LatinX'
               | 
               | https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/ipoll/study/31120958/ques
               | tio...
               | 
               | These are a swingy group that could go either way. This
               | podcast
               | 
               | https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/will-tariffs-end-
               | trump...
               | 
               | describes polls that make it clear that Americans think
               | that Republicans care about the issues that matter to
               | them and that Democrats don't. "Woke" talk contributes a
               | lot to the latter.
               | 
               | The good news for them though is that now that they see
               | Republicans in power talking crazy like this, Democrats
               | will look more normal to people. But if people on the
               | left muzzled their own fanatics years ago we'd have woken
               | up in a different America.
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | No disagreement there, it certainly helped lose the
               | election. That still doesn't mean the two positions are
               | equal but opposite. For example, when Biden was elected
               | there wasn't a Cmd + F across the federal government for
               | "Latino".
        
               | PaulHoule wrote:
               | A serious treatment of that requires considering what the
               | Democratic party actually _is_.
               | 
               | Wintrobe's book [1] has an analysis of a tinpot dictator
               | who wants to steal everything a country has but has to
               | spend some resources on buying people off and some on
               | repression so that he can get away with it. Bill Clinton
               | made a similar maneuver around 'triangulation' that
               | amounts to trying to share as little of the spoils to
               | mass supporters as possible so that he can really give as
               | much as the spoils as he can to donors.
               | 
               | In the case of Bill Clinton he got the full court press
               | from [2] so he could say he was under so much pressure
               | from the right that he didn't have to do anything for the
               | left.
               | 
               | Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, made a clear show of
               | disdain for the activist faction of the party but they
               | were supposed to vote for her because, hey, she's a
               | woman. She also hoped to win by default against Trump.
               | 
               | Harris didn't show the activist fringe much love, but she
               | didn't show disdain for it either. She was also hoping to
               | win by default, which didn't happen. Because she didn't
               | define herself, she was defined by Fox News. She would
               | have had to have broken visibly with the activist fringe,
               | however, which seems like it could have been a risky move
               | although the dirty secret is that the activist fringe may
               | not actually vote and if it does vote it is concentrated
               | in places where their vote doesn't count.
               | 
               | For now, Trumps's salvos in the culture war are 'cheap
               | talk' that pleases certain people but doesn't consume
               | resources that are coveted by donors. I suspect it will
               | be unpopular too, since people are going to blame you for
               | things once you get in power.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.amazon.com/Political-Economy-
               | Dictatorship-Wintro...
               | 
               | [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Mellon_Scaife
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | I'm not sure what all this is about.
               | 
               | You have one party's "extremism" which takes the form of
               | bluehaired Twitterati saying stupid shit and, I guess,
               | not getting sufficiently disowned by actual political
               | leaders?
               | 
               | On the other hand you have an ongoing ACTUAL ideological
               | purge of our government's personnel, records, budget, and
               | data, complete with watchwords (like "women") and loyalty
               | tests.
        
           | niceice wrote:
           | Source for the claim they are removing the word "women" from
           | every public-facing piece of scientific content?
        
             | WillPostForFood wrote:
             | There is no real source, it is a lie.
             | 
             | https://chcoc.gov/content/initial-guidance-regarding-
             | preside...
             | 
             | The order is to remove gender ideology, i.e. trans. Switch
             | gender back to sex (binary).
        
               | llamaimperative wrote:
               | It's funny because the terms diverged as a matter of
               | empirical necessity of describing certain types of people
               | who clearly _didn't_ fit into binary categories.
               | 
               | Biology is hard -\\_(tsu)_/-
        
             | llamaimperative wrote:
             | You can look it up. They're not directly removing the word,
             | they're using it to trigger "reviews", and then purging
             | stuff they found to violate their ideology.
             | 
             | I can tell you there's already been critical guidance from
             | the FDA on clinical trials that have been removed because
             | they have the word "diversity," as in "a clinical trial's
             | population should aim to reflect the diversity of the
             | population to which the drug will ultimately be marketed."
        
               | niceice wrote:
               | Thanks for confirming that claim is false.
        
         | Xunjin wrote:
         | What are the precautions the USA government is taking? Also how
         | much of the local market is consumed by USA?
        
           | Fomite wrote:
           | Bluntly: None.
        
         | throwaway5752 wrote:
         | What is the executive branch of the government doing about H5N1
         | currently? I have not seen any press releases or statements
         | about it.
         | 
         | edit: I'm not being facetious, and don't welcome flippant
         | replies. I'm genuinely interested, since I haven't seen any
         | updates and have well-founded reasons to be skeptical this is
         | getting the necessary attention.
        
           | pstuart wrote:
           | Look to how they handled covid as a guide for how they manage
           | future outbreaks.
        
           | llamaimperative wrote:
           | They're preventing public health agencies from talking about
           | it (or anything else), so if you haven't heard anything:
           | mission accomplished!
        
           | Aaronstotle wrote:
           | Nothing, same guy who said Covid would be over by Easter a
           | month after the first lockdowns.
        
           | AuryGlenz wrote:
           | What, exactly, should they do? At this point it's pretty much
           | just on the producers to protect their flocks.
        
             | llamaimperative wrote:
             | One smart thing would be: don't actively disrupt -- and
             | perhaps even accelerate -- clinical trials for H5N1
             | vaccines.
             | 
             | But uh... I don't see that happening.
        
               | AuryGlenz wrote:
               | We already have vaccines (some countries use them) and
               | I've seen no evidence that the investigations into newer
               | vaccines have been hampered in any way.
        
           | dpkirchner wrote:
           | He was elected to explicitly _not_ do anything about H5N1 and
           | all other would-be government priorities.
        
           | manfre wrote:
           | They're following the plan where if you don't track any data,
           | there is no problem. The head in the sand strategy.
        
           | Fomite wrote:
           | You have seen a lot of press releases about what they're
           | doing about it.
           | 
           | Muzzling the CDC, gutting infectious disease research, and
           | dismantling USAID (which does some disease work abroad).
        
         | postepowanieadm wrote:
         | Odd it affects only the USA but not Mexico.
        
           | necubi wrote:
           | Mexico vaccinates its chickens, the US does not (https://www.
           | unmc.edu/healthsecurity/transmission/2023/02/17/...)
        
         | SiempreViernes wrote:
         | Luckily the federal government doesn't get to talk about all
         | that scary stuff right now[0], and maybe never again! /s
         | 
         | [0] https://www.salon.com/2025/02/02/administrations-
         | communicati...
        
         | anjel wrote:
         | Currently imagining the political furor that would inevitably
         | erupt over deploying a flu vax for poultry.
        
       | simple10 wrote:
       | I live in CA and saw a massive jump in prices when the state
       | ordered chickens to be euthanized due to bird flu. It was also
       | the first time I saw grocery store shelves completely empty of
       | eggs for days at a time.
       | 
       | Prices for organic eggs have somewhat returned to pre-bird flu
       | levels but the regular sales and discounts have stopped. Non-
       | organic eggs are still significantly higher.
        
         | themaninthedark wrote:
         | My understanding is that free range law have recently gone into
         | effect in CA.
         | 
         | Were the organic eggs already free range? That would explain
         | the price stability there and variation of the non organic.
        
           | jeffbee wrote:
           | Do you mean cage-free hen regulation? This statewide
           | regulation has been in effect since 2022.
        
             | ars wrote:
             | Free ranging chickens is the proximate cause of Bird Flu.
             | Chickens get it from wild birds that land near them.
             | 
             | States are going to have to repeal those laws and confine
             | chickens in sealed buildings to protect them.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Free ranging chickens is the proximate cause of Bird
               | Flu_
               | 
               | Source? Why is it only American free-range egg farms are
               | being affected, while Canada and Mexico's are being
               | spared?
        
               | ars wrote:
               | https://www.timesunion.com/capitol/article/cage-free-egg-
               | bil...
               | 
               | "Avian flu experts have called for caution in
               | implementing cage-free requirements, noting that poultry
               | exposed to the outdoors have a higher risk of contracting
               | the virus."
               | 
               | https://www.wattagnet.com/poultry-meat/diseases-
               | health/avian...
               | 
               | "Incorporating lasers that deter wild bird populations
               | into biosecurity protocols can help prevent the spread of
               | highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) between
               | commercial poultry farms."
               | 
               | > Why is it only American free-range egg farms are being
               | affected, while Canada and Mexico's are being spared?
               | 
               | Mexico immunizes their birds, which is highly labor
               | intensive, which they can afford due to low wages and the
               | US can't.
               | 
               | Canada is far north and the infected wild birds have not
               | gone that far in large numbers (although the numbers are
               | increasing).
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Immunization isn't just about cost. Many countries have
               | decided meat from vaccinated chickens are not safe to eat
               | and the US exports a lot of chicken to those countries.
               | We cannot vaccinate until the others will allow it.
        
               | jeffbee wrote:
               | Wild birds are indeed the main way that avian influenza
               | spreads, however `ars` is just grinding some axe of
               | theirs. California does not have a free-range chicken
               | regulation. Virtually all commercial chicken flocks in
               | California are already housed indoors. The California
               | "cage-free" regulation only enforces minimal standards
               | against cruelty. It essentially codifies these industry
               | guidelines: https://uepcertified.com/wp-
               | content/uploads/2021/08/CF-UEP-G...
        
               | thomasjudge wrote:
               | I would say that the H5 bird flu virus the the proximate
               | cause of bird flu
        
               | ars wrote:
               | Maybe I'm using the word wrong, but H5 is the _root_
               | cause, while free range is the proximate cause.
        
           | simple10 wrote:
           | AFAIK, free-range and cage free are not heavily regulated
           | terms like organic, which is a registered and trademark
           | enforced term. At best they just mean the hens have a bit
           | more room to move around. Neither of them actually mean there
           | is no cage.
           | 
           | It's why we see "pasture raised" as the more premium
           | marketing term. It still doesn't mean much without looking
           | into the specific farm.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Real pasture raised eggs do taste better. I believe this is
             | because the chicken get to eat bugs - store bought eggs
             | that advertise "fed an all vegetarian diet" taste worse
             | than regular store bought - though both are bad. (taste is
             | of course subjective). Most store bought pasture raised
             | eggs taste just like any other store bought egg - sure the
             | chickens get to pasture but there are too many for them to
             | get enough bugs in their diet.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | It's well known that you can change egg taste by changing
               | chicken feed, some people swear by it.
               | 
               | But the more the chicken can "graze naturally" the more
               | likely it is getting everything _it_ wants, which may
               | improve health and taste.
        
             | pests wrote:
             | Michigan just switched to cafe-free only at the start of a
             | year due to a new law going into effect. Prices were
             | increased around the holidays as retailers preemptively
             | switched their stock.
             | 
             | Might not be well defined but I'm sure it's defined enough
             | to be law.
        
               | mikeyouse wrote:
               | Right - here's the summary of the changes: https://www.mi
               | chigan.gov/mdard/-/media/Project/Websites/mdar...
               | 
               | And the specific section of the law defining 'cage free'
               | for Michigan:
               | 
               | https://www.legislature.mi.gov/Laws/MCL?objectName=MCL-28
               | 7-7...
               | 
               | There may be some flexibility in consumers' understanding
               | of the terms, but of course the legislature has actual
               | rules.
        
         | latchkey wrote:
         | I'm in CA and TJ's was empty for months not too long ago.
        
           | daedrdev wrote:
           | Im oretty sure thats TJs fault, they regularly run out of
           | eggs for years now if you go at the wrong time
        
             | latchkey wrote:
             | Sounds like a combo of ABF and this...
             | 
             | "Trader Joe's is transitioning to carry only cage-free eggs
             | by 2025."
             | 
             | https://www.allrecipes.com/trader-joes-egg-
             | shortage-2024-874...
             | 
             | I was more reacting to the "first time" anecdotal evidence.
        
           | villedespommes wrote:
           | I'm in NorthCal, they usually have some supply in the first
           | few hours of opening
        
             | OnionBlender wrote:
             | Same in SouthCal. Employees said to come in the morning. An
             | hour after opening they still had lots. Although there is a
             | 2 cartons per household limit.
        
           | NickC25 wrote:
           | I'm in South Florida.
           | 
           | There are 3 Whole Foods within a 15 minute drive of me, 4
           | Publix, 2 TJ's, a Sprouts, and 2 Costco locations in that
           | same range as well.
           | 
           | Nowhere have I seen eggs.
        
         | vips7L wrote:
         | I'm in socal and have been buying vital farms eggs. The price
         | has been near constant.
        
           | simple10 wrote:
           | Same in norcal. Vital Farms has been constant except Safeway
           | owned grocery stores used to have them on regular sales. Now
           | they're always full price.
        
         | anthonybsd wrote:
         | I am in NJ and shelves are not empty here but the prices are
         | off the charts. In December I bought eggs in Stop and Shop for
         | $3.19 for a dozen of large brown eggs. Yesterday I bought the
         | same eggs for $9.75 each.
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | Y'all are getting hosed. The Whole Foods ones around here
           | (upstate NY) are $4.19/dozen as of today.
        
             | anthonybsd wrote:
             | Yeah, maybe I'll check local Whole Foods in a few days too.
             | This is literally nuts:
             | https://stopandshop.com/product/egglands-best-cage-free-
             | larg...
        
             | araes wrote:
             | Checks out:
             | 
             | Store: Rochester NY and Buffalo NY -> 365 by Whole Foods
             | Market, Large Brown Grade A Eggs, 12 Count, 24 oz, $4.19
             | 
             | Notably, if I put in Downtown LA as the store location, I
             | actually get even cheaper eggs offered. Not sure where this
             | market's getting their prices from:
             | 
             | Store: Downtown Los Angeles, 788 S Grand Ave, Los Angeles,
             | CA -> 365 by Whole Foods Market, Grade A Eggs Cage-Free
             | Plus Large Brown (12 Count), 24 oz, $3.79
             | 
             | Using: Whole Foods - Eggs [1] with a local store selected
             | 
             | [1] https://www.wholefoodsmarket.com/products/dairy-
             | eggs/eggs
        
       | mplanchard wrote:
       | Fresh, local eggs have remained around the same price here. While
       | more expensive than eggs from large producers in normal times,
       | they are now often cheaper.
       | 
       | This is a great reminder of how important it is to support local
       | farmers and small operations, which increase the resilience of
       | the system as a whole.
        
         | perfmode wrote:
         | I've always bought the most expensive pasture raised free range
         | cage free eggs at Whole Foods. If I recall they used to be
         | around $10 per dozen.
         | 
         | Been a while.
         | 
         | Anyone know Is this still the case?
        
           | garyfirestorm wrote:
           | its 3-4$ at trader joes - still 8ish in WholeFoods in
           | Michigan
        
             | jcdavis wrote:
             | Still $3.50 at TJs in SF last week still, which is by far
             | the cheapest around (that I'm aware of).
             | 
             | Pretty surprised they are still that low given prices
             | elsewhere.
        
               | _joel wrote:
               | Loss leader, perhaps, to get people through the door and
               | buy other stuff at a better markup. That and/or they've
               | got long-term fixed price contracts.
        
             | RyanOD wrote:
             | I've definitely noticed the pricing for eggs at our
             | neighborhood Trader Joes staying constant while the pricing
             | at our neighborhood Safeway has doubled.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Trader Joes is like Costco and is known for driving hard
               | bargains; they likely have a long-term contract. You
               | overpay a bit but guarantee stability.
        
           | agloe_dreams wrote:
           | The free range eggs at Aldi in PA are ~$5.30/doz vs
           | ~$6.50/doz for the normal eggs. Might be cheaper than normal.
        
           | wiredfool wrote:
           | Meanwhile in Ireland, I can get a tray of 30 free range for 8
           | eur at a vending machine on the dog walk. Or 15 for 4.50.
           | 
           | Lidl is maybe marginally cheaper, prices there have gone up
           | maybe 20% in a year.
        
             | schnable wrote:
             | free range isnt the same as pasture raised.
        
             | perfmode wrote:
             | Free-range hens have some outdoor access, but pasture-
             | raised hens roam outdoors freely with significantly more
             | space to forage.
        
         | afavour wrote:
         | This is also a great defense against something like bird flu.
         | When you centralize operations a disease can spread through a
         | population like wildfire. When it's a number of smaller,
         | separate operations the impact is lessened.
        
           | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
           | Really raises the question - should vital infrastructure,
           | like food production, be built in an attempt to maximize
           | profit or resiliency? Have things swung too far in one
           | direction?
        
             | financetechbro wrote:
             | Feels like we've swung exceedingly far. Our drive to
             | capture efficiencies through economies of scale make us
             | very vulnerable to systematic disruption
        
               | Karellen wrote:
               | > Our drive to capture efficiencies through economies of
               | scale
               | 
               | Is that what's happened here? It looks to me more like
               | the billionaire/PE class's drive to capture rents through
               | monopolies is a more accurate lens to view the situation
               | through. Especially as it's the trope namer for
               | chickenization
               | 
               | https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/chickenization
               | 
               | https://pluralistic.net/2022/04/17/revenge-of-the-
               | chickenize...
               | 
               | https://duckduckgo.com/?q=chickenization&ia=web
        
               | graemep wrote:
               | I think both are true.
               | 
               | It also goes far beyond farming - it applies to many
               | supply chains.
        
             | afavour wrote:
             | To my mind there's no question that it's swung too far. But
             | it's very easy for me to live in the country and say "oh I
             | get all my fresh produce from the local farm!" when there
             | are cities of millions of people that need feeding too.
             | Scaling while retaining resiliency is not easy.
        
               | jghn wrote:
               | I live in a city and buy most of my fresh produce, meat,
               | and dairy from local farms.
        
               | phil21 wrote:
               | Which is not scalable for the entire big city. My parents
               | are organic market gardeners, and there is simply no way
               | that model could scale up enough to feed that many people
               | cheaply.
               | 
               | Food budgets would have to go back to the 1940's or
               | earlier - where they were a significant fraction of take
               | home pay. Now they are almost a rounding error
               | comparatively.
               | 
               | I don't necessarily think that would be a bad thing. A
               | lot of the asset price inflation like homes can be
               | tracked to food and consumer goods taking an increasingly
               | lesser portion of the family budget. Re-balancing this
               | seems wise to me.
        
               | jghn wrote:
               | You put your finger on what I think is the real issue:
               | whether or not access to cheap food is a net benefit or
               | not. I also won't claim to have the perfect answer but do
               | feel we've gone at least a bit too far in one direction.
        
               | cj wrote:
               | I think we've only "gone too far" in the sense that cheap
               | food also means unhealthy food, generally.
               | 
               | Access to cheap food would be wonderful if it were
               | healthy! Unfortunately the cheapest food is typically the
               | worst food for your health.
        
               | jghn wrote:
               | Yes, and I think it goes beyond "healthy", depending on
               | one's definition.
               | 
               | Part of it is also that "cheap" tends to lead to
               | monocultures and other patterns that are more easily
               | disrupted.
               | 
               | An example being the Cavendish banana, which for most of
               | the western world is the only thing they know of when the
               | word "banana" is mentioned. And now the banana supply of
               | a large part of the world is in danger of going extinct
               | [1]
               | 
               | And there's also ecological health. "Cheap" tends to
               | promote mass production in certain areas and shipping
               | everywhere. "Cheap" tends to promote less sustainable
               | farming practices. That sort of thing.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.foodandwine.com/banana-extinction-8715118
        
             | codemac wrote:
             | In many cases maximizing profits increases supply through
             | efficiency, especially in the case of things like food.
             | Increased supply is usually considered a safer place than a
             | lower supply if it's vital.
             | 
             | Every step you take that makes food more expensive, some
             | use cases of food are no longer possible (say, free eggs in
             | all elementary schools or something).
             | 
             | How many of these uses are we ok eliminating so the
             | wealthier population has a more consistent/resilient
             | supply?
        
             | epistasis wrote:
             | > built in an attempt to maximize profit or resiliency
             | 
             | I think framing it as an either/or is a bit of a mental
             | trap. They are sometimes in opposition, sometimes not.
             | 
             | For example, those farms which were not resilient are _not_
             | maximizing their profits, since they 've had more than a
             | year of warning of avian flu. They were operating to
             | minimize work and costs, not maximize profit, and they are
             | losing out on a ton of it right now.
             | 
             | Those operations which built with resilience, or got lucky,
             | are swimming in profits right now.
        
               | Chabsff wrote:
               | The issue with that reasoning is that it fails to take
               | into account that risk is a commodity now. It's often
               | more profitable to go for short term profit and offload
               | your risk to an insurer who amortizes that monetary risk
               | in a pool containing a bunch of other industries.
               | 
               | For critical services like _food production_ , that's a
               | problem. "Well, we don't have food, but it's okay because
               | screw production went well" doesn't make sense socially,
               | but our system makes it so monetarily.
        
               | epistasis wrote:
               | I'm not sure in what sense you mean risk is a commodity,
               | and why it's a problem. I'm also unsure what changed to
               | make it so now, as opposed to having ever been so.
               | 
               | Those who actually took risk into account and planned
               | accordingly have profited wonderfully. Those who did not
               | take risks into account lost their bet. Eggs are priced
               | higher for some, but are pretty much available everywhere
               | still, and have not dipped below some sort of minimal
               | level of availability. In California, past shortages were
               | far far worse than this one, and even then the egg
               | shortages were in no way catastrophic to the economy or
               | health of humans.
               | 
               | Of all the times in history, ever, we are at the lowest
               | possible risk of famine. Instead, our abundance of high
               | calorie food is the biggest risk to the health of
               | Americans.
               | 
               | So I would like to understand your point a bit more if
               | you have the time to elaborate.
        
               | mlyle wrote:
               | > Those who actually took risk into account and planned
               | accordingly have profited wonderfully.
               | 
               | I don't know why you're saying this. Imagine I'm
               | investing.
               | 
               | If I "take risk into account" and select stocks anyways,
               | I may lose a bunch of money one year. But I expect to
               | make more on average than bonds.
               | 
               | Looking at a year where bonds excel compared to stocks
               | doesn't mean that I failed to "take risk into account."
               | 
               | Likewise, a conventional producer of eggs that has now
               | had a significant downturn in production may be having a
               | bad year, but this doesn't mean that they're not
               | following a profit maximizing strategy or not taking risk
               | into account.
               | 
               | > Of all the times in history, ever, we are at the lowest
               | possible risk of famine.
               | 
               | I think this is making the same kind of mistake: looking
               | at today's outcome and assuming that reflects the risk
               | picture.
               | 
               | We're not observing too much famine right now. But we
               | could certainly have a more of a risk of the most
               | catastrophic possible famines now because of things like
               | monoculture, critical links in production, climate risk,
               | etc. Just looking around and saying "all is great today"
               | or "conventional egg producers are having trouble today"
               | or "stocks are down 15% for the year" does not capture
               | the picture of risk, particularly for rare events.
               | 
               | The best we can do is try to interpret sentinel events
               | like this one and think about what else can happen.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | I think the assumption they're making is that we want to
               | guarantee a certain reliability of food, and that even if
               | we have perfect insurance that pays out when there isn't
               | enough food, we just have money, and no food.
               | 
               | That's a _theoretical_ problem that could occur, but is
               | extremely unlikely. The worst we 'll see is what we have
               | now (eggs are spendy) or a certain type of food
               | disappearing for awhile (tomatoes one year were gone from
               | almost all fast food places).
               | 
               | If we have to substitute one food for another for a year
               | or two that's an inconvenience. But preventing famine by
               | trying to guarantee that the price of eggs doesn't go up
               | is likely far, far down the list. Better that money be
               | spent on improving the supply chains and if necessary
               | bulk storage of long-lasting caloric sources (cheese and
               | flour reserves, perhaps).
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | Here's an idea. Let's get a large proportion of our
               | calories from inefficient animal sources. Then if there
               | is a widespread crop failure we can eat the breeding
               | stock and then the animal feed.
               | 
               | That's generally what happens in Africa. It doesn't work
               | as well in North America because consumers here are too
               | rich to switch to barley and oats when wheat is
               | expensive.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | The problem in the USA is we produce about infinity
               | billion times the calories we need.
               | 
               | If food was a problem in the US we wouldn't be putting
               | corn in our cars or our cows.
        
               | mlyle wrote:
               | I don't think of it this way. I think the conventional
               | producers were acting to maximize expected profits at the
               | cost of increased volatility in outcomes. Most years
               | these practices have been more profitable.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Conventional producers have been working to contain
               | things like this for year. They don't all succeed, but
               | this isn't the first time eggs have got expensive because
               | of a bird flu, and they have been paying attention to
               | what works. They don't remodel all barns at once to fix
               | the issues, but they have been remodeling barns over the
               | years to prevent this issue.
        
               | mlyle wrote:
               | > Conventional producers have been working to contain
               | things like this for years.
               | 
               | Sure. My point is, what optimizes for average production
               | and profits doesn't necessarily optimize for worst case
               | production and profits. There is a level of care that
               | doesn't pay off most of the time.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | 1000 years ago we were much less resilience, and that
             | despite farmers then optimizing for that and not profit.
             | (read acoup.org for long discussions on what farming was
             | really like over different times in history)
        
             | conradev wrote:
             | A surprisingly large amount of the United States' crop
             | yield comes from rain falling on non-irrigated fields
             | (85%). Our biggest crop is corn, and corn is very water-
             | sensitive at specific points in its growth.
             | 
             | There is no infrastructure to protect there - only
             | infrastructure to build (irrigation), for better
             | resiliency.
        
             | tshaddox wrote:
             | Surely "profit versus resiliency" is solely a matter of
             | time preference.
        
               | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
               | True. It's really a matter of maximizing profit when
               | measured between quarter. Resiliency isn't a factor in
               | that equation.
        
             | stickfigure wrote:
             | > be built
             | 
             | The passive voice is disingenuous. Do you buy local farm
             | products? You vote with your wallet. Make your choice, like
             | everyone else.
        
             | concordDance wrote:
             | Profit works very well if there are many food sources with
             | uncorrelated problems.
             | 
             | Still works fairly well as long as capital owners are smart
             | and use insurance (who in turn advise their users on how to
             | reduce their risk).
        
             | Frost1x wrote:
             | We as thoughtful human beings can consider non-extreme
             | points where we find other optimizations that aren't
             | necessarily around profit or resiliency. We can create a
             | new metric called "human progress mertric" where we
             | consider profit as a strong driver but also put weight on
             | things like resiliency and allow profit to slide a bit so
             | our real goal is better achieved.
             | 
             | Rarely ever, IMO, are worthwhile goals entirely profit
             | optimized or resiliency optimized. Some blend tends to be
             | best, and sometimes you can even have both simultaneously
             | (they're not always inherently mutually exclusive, although
             | those taking in the winnings may _want_ it to be).
        
           | lowbloodsugar wrote:
           | Profit of course! And only short term profit! Don't want any
           | of you eggheads trying to constrain profit to the goal of not
           | killing all our customers!
        
           | oceanplexian wrote:
           | Actually the inconvenient truth is that it's not.
           | 
           | Free range birds are able to interact and spread the disease
           | more easily than the caged birds which can be quarantined. At
           | least in my location all the cage free inventory is totally
           | wiped out.
        
             | mplanchard wrote:
             | That's not at all the case here (VT). The local sellers are
             | essentially all pasture-raised, free-range, etc., and their
             | eggs are the only ones in stock. I have read some posts
             | from them talking about the various ways they keep segments
             | of the flocks separated, and they are being quite careful
             | about any outside access.
             | 
             | Edit: I guess also the birds are indoors much more anyway,
             | given the winter. It's 11 F here today, so probably they're
             | huddled up inside :)
        
               | mothax wrote:
               | My half-dozen chickens in my yard in VT are hardy and out
               | and about! I get about four eggs a day, and endless
               | entertainment from the small herd of therapods.
        
               | mplanchard wrote:
               | I love to hear it! I didn't realize they were so cold
               | tolerant, but I'm glad they can still enjoy the outdoors
               | even when the winters are as cold as this one.
               | 
               | I'd love to get some chickens one of these days. Four
               | eggs a day would be enough for us to regularly give away
               | dozens while supplying all of our own egg needs.
        
             | lukas099 wrote:
             | Free range birds cannot be quarantined?
        
               | Garvi wrote:
               | The problem is the interaction with wild birds.
        
               | dendrite9 wrote:
               | This is my understanding from a former poultry farmer,
               | but of course he had a reason to blame the other types of
               | chicken raising for bird flu issues. I think both can be
               | true, and you're in effect gambling different ways with
               | each strategy.
        
             | Zanfa wrote:
             | The _only_ thing caged birds do is interact with other
             | birds. There's a reason antibiotics are so widely used.
             | It's like a massive Petri dish.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Antibiotics are not widely used. There are many
               | regulations, to use them at all you need a vet to sign
               | off. You also have to pay for them. Then the animal has
               | to be off of them for weeks before you can sell it.
               | 
               | In any case where are talking about a virus which an
               | antibiotic won't touch at all.
               | 
               | Modern large farms have very strict bio controls. Things
               | like: You shower before entering the barn (there is a
               | shower in the barn entrance). Then you wear only approved
               | clothing. Your shoes are disinfected as part of this
               | process. then when you leave you reverse the process. If
               | you enter one barn you are not allowed in a different
               | barn for a week.
        
               | shkkmo wrote:
               | > Antibiotics are not widely used. There are many
               | regulations, to use them at all you need a vet to sign
               | off.
               | 
               | This isn't true, some types of antibiotics are routinely
               | used as a preventative measure on chicken farms.
               | 
               | > Both FDA and the World Health Organization (WHO) rank
               | antibiotics relative to their importance in human
               | medicine. The highest ranking is "critically important."
               | Antibiotics in this category are used sparingly to treat
               | sick birds. Antibiotics in other less-important classes
               | may be used in chicken production to maintain poultry
               | health and welfare, including for disease prevention,
               | control and treatment purposes.
               | 
               | https://www.nationalchickencouncil.org/questions-answers-
               | ant...
        
               | ANewFormation wrote:
               | While I'm unsure about chickens, they're also [ab]used
               | for larger meat animals like cows and turkeys because
               | they make the animals grow larger, faster.
               | 
               | The fun thing is - nobody knows exactly _why_ this
               | happens. There 's a bunch of hypotheses, but they're
               | exceptionally hand-wavy.
        
               | wahern wrote:
               | > maintain poultry health and welfare
               | 
               | That's a little deceptive. The antibiotics widely used by
               | the industry are used for growth promotion. I don't know
               | how it works, but I don't believe it's because they're
               | keeping the birds healthy--i.e. treating infections. Some
               | sources suggest part of the mechanism is by suppressing
               | otherwise healthy or benign gut microbiota that compete
               | for calories. Antibiotics have been used this way for
               | nearly a century. There have been attempts to phase out
               | subtherapeutic antibiotic use, but the practice is
               | standard operating procedure in the US, and the US is a
               | major chicken exporter. It's banned in the EU, though.
        
               | Loughla wrote:
               | People really do underestimate the biological controls in
               | large operations. I'm absolutely not a supporter of that
               | style of farm, but
               | 
               | They're essentially clean rooms with animals living in
               | them. It's kind of amazing. We only see the ones that are
               | bad.
               | 
               | But like I said. No animal deserves to be crated all day
               | every day for its life.
        
             | boplicity wrote:
             | Cage free does not mean they're out in a field. It means
             | all of the birds are in one crowded space. Eggs that come
             | from birds that genuinely roam the pasture are exceedingly
             | rare.
        
               | fsckboy wrote:
               | but hides from the foxes would be more plentiful?
        
               | darth_avocado wrote:
               | There's cage free, then there's pasture raised and then
               | there's regenerative farming. All of them don't include
               | chickens roaming around as freely as you think they do.
               | Cage free especially just means they're stuffed like
               | sardines in giant barn, but are not in cages. Pasture
               | raised often means they're still in netted coops that
               | move around on a pasture. I think regenerative farming
               | comes closest to allowing chickens to roam around, but
               | it's still not freely.
        
           | aj_icracked wrote:
           | Totally agree with this. After selling my last company
           | (iCracked W12) I had been playing around with the idea of how
           | to build the world's largest decentralized food production
           | network - think millions of people leveraging their backyards
           | to produce, share, and sell protein and vegetables. I've
           | always wanted to build a company that blends smart home / AI
           | technology with backyard agriculture and we decided to start
           | with chickens. I have been raising chickens for 15 years and
           | automating my coops with Arduino's, automatic doors, cameras
           | for computer vision, etc.
           | 
           | We spent 2 years building and designing a AI / smart coop and
           | it's been a fascinating company to be able to build. We've
           | trained our computer vision model on around 25 million videos
           | and have gotten extremely good at doing specific predator
           | detection, egg alerts, remote health monitoring, specific
           | chickens in a coop and behaviors etc. We're at the point now
           | where we can say, "Hey AJ, there's 2 raccoons outside your
           | coop, the automatic door is shut, all 6 chickens are safe,
           | and you have 10 eggs that can be collected". Super fun
           | project and would love y'alls feedback. If you're interested
           | in seeing what we're doing we're at www.TheSmartCoop.com
        
             | TylerE wrote:
             | Seems interesting a bit but surely the economics are rather
             | brutal? Even a traditional coop has an ROI of years and
             | years and years.
        
               | aj_icracked wrote:
               | It's a good question - From what we've seen most suburban
               | people that raise chickens don't do it to lower costs of
               | eggs - they do it to have better control over the quality
               | of food they eat, to teach their kids that you take care
               | of the chickens, they take care of us. To eliminate food
               | waste (avg family throws out 200+ lbs a year of food that
               | can go to chickens, and because funnily enough most
               | backyard farmers treat the chickens as family and pets vs
               | just little egg-factories.
               | 
               | Avg hen lays about 250-270 eggs a year depending on
               | breed. So 6 chickens (our coop is designed for 6) throws
               | off about 1500 eggs a year. Avg American eats around 291
               | eggs + egg products per year (which is crazy!).
               | 
               | Most people build their coops or buy one from Tractor
               | Supply or Amazon for $300 and day-old chicks are around
               | $4 each and feed is inexpensive (50lb bag at Tractor
               | Supply is $21). You can make the economics work super
               | well if you want to but as most backyard chickens are
               | treated as pets (I am leaving out large farms and
               | homesteads, etc) a lot of people pamper and spend $ on
               | their hens because it's more than just getting a lower
               | cost egg if that makes sense.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | From an absolute financial standpoint it might be hard to
               | justify eggs from backyard chickens, though once you
               | realize that they can eat something like 25% of their
               | feed can be grass or clippings, and that some percentage
               | can be redirected household waste (think: peels, food
               | waste, etc) it becomes much more favorable.
               | 
               | As you mentioned, most treat them like pets which means
               | they get to learn how long-lived chickens can be, and how
               | egg production levels off in the later years.
               | 
               | But even then, if you're buying less than half the feed
               | needed, you can probably break even for quite awhile
               | (especially now).
        
               | ljf wrote:
               | I grew up on a (very) small farm - I still go to throw
               | apple cores out of the window, as when I was younger the
               | was always /something/ that would be happy for the treat.
               | All dinner scraps were saved (or rather taken straight
               | out), and all the windfall and rotten apples were happily
               | eaten by the sheep, cow, geese and chickens.
               | 
               | I really hate throwing food away now, really pains me!
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Yeah, the amount of food waste that can easily be
               | "reprocessed" on even a small farm is tremendous.
               | 
               | Not only do you have reduced waste, you have reduced
               | packaging (no need to put the eggs in cartons if you're
               | just carrying them to the kitchen).
               | 
               | People usually thing you need pigs to eat waste, but most
               | farm animals will take some or all (the biggest risk is
               | accidentally giving an animal something it shouldn't
               | have).
        
               | aj_icracked wrote:
               | One of the things that we've been thinking about is when
               | we're at scale (I would say scale is 50,000+ Coops in the
               | field) I would love to build a circular food waste system
               | where we use food expiring / thrown out from grocery
               | stores to feed our Coop member's chickens. Then we'll do
               | partnerships where our members can sell excess backyard-
               | to-table eggs back to the grocery stores.
               | 
               | Most people don't get that eggs usually are 30-60 days
               | old when you buy them at the grocery store and they have
               | to travel up to 1000 miles to get there in cold storage.
               | 
               | Want to know how old your eggs are? On every egg carton
               | there's a 3 digit number from 1 to 365. That is the day
               | of the year the producer of eggs handed them off to the
               | distributor. Producers have up to 30 days to hand it off
               | to distributor and the distributor has an additional 30
               | days to hand off to retailer. Kinda wild!
        
               | iancmceachern wrote:
               | It's a good thing we don't make every decision in our
               | lives from an absolute financial standpoint. We'd all be
               | eating gruel and porrage.
        
               | DiscourseFan wrote:
               | We in fact do make most decisions in our lives based on
               | finances, you're just not aware of most of them.
        
               | hosh wrote:
               | Pasture-raised backyard chickens are also great pest
               | control.
        
             | blast wrote:
             | You just want to work on things that crack easily.
        
             | iancmceachern wrote:
             | Very cool, let me know if you need and hardware or design
             | support. I've done a lot of agtech stuff
        
             | explorigin wrote:
             | > I had been playing around with the idea of how to build
             | the world's largest decentralized food production network
             | 
             | Years ago I worked on Farmforce that is basically this. In
             | America we have centralized agriculture. Over the ocean,
             | small-holder farmers in Africa provide lots of food to lots
             | of markets. Keeping track of all of these farms, their
             | herbicide and pesticide usage and weather-based yield
             | projections is already a solved problem.
        
           | singleshot_ wrote:
           | If all the birds are in a farm, would you have more or less
           | inter species infection than if lots of people lived close to
           | chickens?
           | 
           | What's worse for the community, eggs from factories going way
           | up in price due to supply shocks, or rapid and pervasive
           | infection in the community?
        
           | heavyset_go wrote:
           | The disease affects wild bird populations heavily and is just
           | as transmissible to disparate flocks as it is larger flocks.
           | Breeders tend to keep their flocks isolated, often for
           | genetic reasons, and because they're their cash cows versus
           | just cattle.
           | 
           | I generally agree with you about centralization and
           | monocultures, just in this case I don't think it's really
           | going to change things.
        
           | mschuster91 wrote:
           | On top of that, large operations tend to be hell on earth
           | from an animal welfare perspective. The air alone is toxic
           | and hard to breathe because there's so much avian poop
           | everywhere that is constantly decomposing.
        
           | fullstop wrote:
           | I highly doubt that the farmer down the street from me is
           | testing for avian flu.
           | 
           | Their eggs are fantastic, though!
        
             | azinman2 wrote:
             | It spreads so fast and is lethal enough that they probably
             | don't need to test, because they'd know quite quickly.
        
               | fullstop wrote:
               | Likely. I guess if they held onto the eggs for a few days
               | before selling them it would work. If the bird is still
               | alive and the egg is a few days old, sell it.
        
         | vlan0 wrote:
         | Yes. Vital Farm eggs. Been $8 a dozen for a long time. No
         | change in price.
         | 
         | What we're seeing are the consequences of factory farming and
         | not treating animals like the living beings they are.
        
           | tcdent wrote:
           | I've been paying almost $11 for them.
        
             | vlan0 wrote:
             | Big city "tax"? Whole Foods and the local co-op out in WNY
             | are both $8 a dozen.
        
               | lacksconfidence wrote:
               | My city has 30k people, although we are part of a larger
               | metro. Store brand eggs are $9.50/dozen. Alternatively
               | Costco is still selling 60 packs for $20, although they
               | have had per customer limits recently and don't alway
               | have stock. Works out to $4 per dozen. But thats a lot of
               | eggs.
        
               | HelloMcFly wrote:
               | I'm in a major metro area and Vital Farms eggs are still
               | $7.99 from Kroger.
        
             | Digit-Al wrote:
             | Wow! That's crazy. Here in the UK, the most expensive eggs
             | in my local supermarket - which are Clarence Court Burdord
             | Brown eggs - are only the equivalent of $5.08 per dozen.
             | Those are the posh, expensive, eggs that only those with a
             | bit of extra cash in their pocket, and a desire to eat more
             | healthily, would buy.
        
               | likeabatterycar wrote:
               | I love how British eggs have deep, amber yolks. Are they
               | force-feeding the hens Earl Grey?
        
               | crdrost wrote:
               | So hens don't usually have to be force-fed. Some of that
               | color can come from having a diverse source of proteins--
               | like the bugs and insects that pasture-raised hens get
               | access to--but farmers "in the know" will also add
               | paprika and marigold to the usual soy-and-grain
               | supplemental feed, to try to encourage it to come out a
               | bit more.
        
               | philipkglass wrote:
               | A few years back I briefly thought that a rich yolk color
               | was a quality signal, until I found that additives could
               | produce that color cheaply. The color comes from dietary
               | carotenoids [1]. Companies like BASF sell carotenoid feed
               | additives that producers can employ to get a yolk color
               | as rich as desired:
               | 
               | https://nutrition.basf.com/global/en/animal-
               | nutrition/our-pr...
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carotenoid
        
               | whalesalad wrote:
               | a lot of farmers feed them marigold and other color
               | enhancers to try and boost the color - because it is also
               | a sign of the hen having a good diet
        
               | em500 wrote:
               | Food additive manufacturers sell farmers aditives to
               | produce yolks with specific hues[1]. There are
               | regional/cultural variations in color preferences, so
               | regional farmers will target different sades.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.dsm-firmenich.com/anh/products-and-
               | services/prod...
        
           | whalesalad wrote:
           | yep. been a long time coming. it's unfortunate that when it
           | favors them this is a talking point for the maga folks... but
           | when it hurts them they are nowhere to be found.
        
         | uticus wrote:
         | > they are now often cheaper...increase the resilience of the
         | system as a whole
         | 
         | cheaper and resilience are not proportional here. in fact,
         | cheaper is proportional to efficient, which large producers are
         | better at (apart from questions of healthiness, etc). i can't
         | argue against resilience though, although that comes at a cost.
         | speaking as a backyard-chicken-raiser of some years.
        
           | roughly wrote:
           | "Cheaper" varies by the costs of the various inputs. A local
           | chicken farmer which sells to a local market has, aside from
           | the costs of the land, chickens, feed, and labor, the costs
           | of putting the eggs in a truck and driving the truck to the
           | market. Larger distributors have the cost of collecting the
           | eggs, driving them to a warehouse, storing them, potentially
           | repeating that while optimizing inventory and locality, and
           | then driving them to the market. The cost of gas, labor,
           | electricity, and a variety of other factors can dramatically
           | swing the cost calculations. Combined with the noted lack of
           | resiliency in the system - the multiple additional logistical
           | steps, the multiple points of failure in the system, the
           | larger blast radius of those failures - and the "larger is
           | more efficient is cheaper" calculus isn't quite as cut and
           | dry, as we've seen over the last couple years.
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Many of your small producers are not counting their full
             | costs. They see they $ from selling eggs, but don't count
             | the cost of the barn, their labor, the land the chickens
             | are on... A real accountant would find all those hidden
             | costs and figure out how you allocate the cost of the light
             | bulbs in the barn to each chicken - only when you have all
             | those numbers can you really see if it works out.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | This is so common in small businesses. The biggest
               | example I see is single-family landlords who are
               | _notoriously_ bad at doing the honest math.
               | 
               | This is often why small businesses survive until the
               | owner dies/retires, because the were making much less
               | money than needed to continue. The biggest one is
               | ignoring location costs because they own the building
               | (avoiding rents or mortgage which would immediately put
               | the business way underwater).
               | 
               | Combine the above with small farms often ALSO being the
               | home of the owner, and it gets quite flexible.
        
               | ryandrake wrote:
               | If the business lasted until the owner died, then it was
               | making at least the amount of money it needed. Not all
               | businesses need to grow or make tons of money, if they at
               | least serve their owner's lifestyle. If I could make a
               | business that supported me until I died, I'd start it
               | right now.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Yeah, it's called a "lifestyle business" and you can't
               | buy them, but you can start them (or sometimes be given
               | one).
               | 
               | (Many common small businesses are lifestyle businesses,
               | because they're individual service businesses, like
               | plumber, contractor, etc.)
        
           | mplanchard wrote:
           | Sorry I'm not sure I follow your point. I'm saying that given
           | the current situation with bird flu, the local eggs are often
           | less expensive at my grocery store.
           | 
           | I'm not saying that they are less expensive to produce or
           | that they will remain less expensive at the store during
           | normal times. However, paying the extra costs during normal
           | times means those farms stay in business, which means I can
           | still get eggs for the same price right now as I can in
           | normal times.
        
         | fatnoah wrote:
         | I'm 50 and grew up in a medium sized New England mill town. One
         | of the few memories I have of my grandfather is taking a quick
         | trip to the local egg farm to get some eggs. These have all but
         | disappeared from New England.
        
           | mplanchard wrote:
           | They are still here in Vermont!
           | 
           | I hope this bird flu thing is a push for other places to re-
           | establish demand for local eggs and chickens. As someone else
           | pointed out, it's also a great opportunity to push your local
           | legislators to allow backyard chickens.
        
         | jghn wrote:
         | This. I buy my eggs at the farmers market from a local,
         | actually small, farm. I pay $8/doz. In normal times this is
         | very expensive. But you know what? Tomorrow when I go to the
         | farmers market they'll still cost me $8/doz.
        
           | bityard wrote:
           | I guess I don't see why local farmers _wouldn't_ raise their
           | prices to maintain their premium above store-bought eggs.
           | They certainly have around here.
        
             | jghn wrote:
             | Because in setups like I'm describing the farmers tend to
             | start building relationships with their customers. Price
             | gouging is generally not the best way to maintain those
             | relationships.
             | 
             | In previous egg shortages over the years the couple of
             | farmers I use would sometimes impose limits like 1 carton
             | per customer or something like that. But not jack up
             | prices.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Smaller farmers usually want to make money to cover their
               | costs, and if they weren't doing that, they're already in
               | a huge pickle.
               | 
               | As you mention, they'll impose limits (or perhaps offer
               | "shiny brown eggs for $1 more") rather than piss off the
               | customers, who 90% of the time have cheaper options
               | already.
        
               | ryandrake wrote:
               | Are rising costs the reason for store-bought eggs' rising
               | prices?
        
             | adrianmonk wrote:
             | Maybe they see it as a way to acquire new customers. They
             | are in the very unusual position of being able to undercut
             | their bigger competitors on price while still making a
             | profit.
             | 
             | Right now, buyers are probably shopping around a ton. You
             | can probably get customers who normally wouldn't be
             | interested. After they try it, some of them may decide they
             | like it and could become long term customers.
        
         | jl6 wrote:
         | Are small local farms able to keep producing as normal because
         | the birds aren't getting bird flu or because they're not
         | testing/killing them?
        
           | mplanchard wrote:
           | The local farms here at least are being really cautious about
           | testing and isolation. Many of them sell their eggs to the
           | local grocery stores, so they are bound to the same standards
           | as other eggs.
           | 
           | I don't see what benefit they would gain by not testing,
           | anyway: if their flock is infected and a significant portion
           | of the birds die, they are going to lose revenue the same way
           | a massive egg producer would. If anything, I'd imagine them
           | to want to be more cautious, since they have fewer eggs in
           | their basket as it were (fewer total chickens).
        
           | hwillis wrote:
           | Bird flu has 95% lethality in chickens and takes ~48 hours to
           | kill. It's not like they can get away with ignoring it.
           | Testing happens when you wake up and half your birds are
           | already dead.
           | 
           | That said OP is asserting local costs haven't changed without
           | evidence. Even if that were true (and I don't think it is-
           | local farms are also being hit hard eg duck farming in NY) it
           | probably speaks far more to small operations having a harder
           | time changing their prices. Or the cheap eggs are just places
           | who haven't been hit yet.
        
             | mplanchard wrote:
             | I was wondering how I could provide evidence for you other
             | than walking to the grocery and taking a picture, but I
             | found at least one of our local farms that has their prices
             | online: https://www.maplewindfarm.com/collections/retail-
             | store -- I'd expect it would be quite easy for them to
             | change their prices on their own storefront and in their
             | farmstand, where I often buy their eggs.
             | 
             | A dozen large eggs there right now is $7.90, which is right
             | in line with what their costs have been for at least the
             | last year (they are one of the more expensive local
             | brands).
             | 
             | Unfortunately I just went to the grocery last night, so I
             | don't have any reason to swing by today, but next time I do
             | I'll try to remember to snap a pic of the egg section to
             | share.
             | 
             | I've seen a bunch of posts online from the farms about how
             | they're doing biosafety protocols, keeping groups of
             | chickens isolated from each other, etc. I'm sure that
             | increases their costs somewhat, but whatever they're doing
             | seems to be keeping them insulated from the worst of the
             | flock die offs, and regardless, their prices haven't really
             | changed.
        
               | 1propionyl wrote:
               | To add to this, checking Craigslist... local chicken
               | owners here are selling their extra eggs for about $7-8 a
               | dozen here as well (20m drive from a major US city).
               | 
               | Only marginally more expensive than store eggs, but a lot
               | fresher, unwashed (will keep for a long while on the
               | counter), and you can see exactly where (and from whom!)
               | the eggs are coming from.
        
               | hwillis wrote:
               | Biosafety prevents or delays the farm from being
               | infected. It doesn't lessen the impact once it happens.
               | One bird can infect all the others in hours even when
               | they are in separate buildings just from spreading on
               | clothing. If they are infected they will die.
               | 
               | If a small farm gets an infected bird, they can't just
               | raise the prices of their eggs. Those eggs will just
               | disappear from the stores because all the birds are dead.
               | If they are doing rigorous isolation, like hiring totally
               | separate people taking care of completely isolated
               | flocks, that should increase their prices. Farms that are
               | spending more money on isolation and chosing not to
               | increase prices are still at high risk- they just haven't
               | been unlucky yet.
        
               | mplanchard wrote:
               | Well I certainly don't know enough about chicken farming
               | to argue with you about it from any position of
               | authority, and I haven't talked personally to any farmers
               | about it yet.
               | 
               | Regardless, we have continued to see the availability of
               | all the usual local eggs with very little fluctuation in
               | price. Perhaps they have all been lucky.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Anecdotes aren't data, but I'll chime in to agree - the
               | locally sourced eggs have gone up in the last few years,
               | but only from like $4.99 to $5.59.
               | 
               | The "generic egg" have gone from $0.25 a dozen during
               | some price war 6-7 years ago to $6.99. That price has
               | caused the local eggs to sell out first where they used
               | to always be available.
        
               | mplanchard wrote:
               | Just to be clear, I never claimed to have data. I said
               | "fresh, local eggs have remained around the same price
               | here," "here" being where I live. The whole discussion is
               | based on that anecdote. GP noted that I made that
               | assertion without evidence, so I was just trying to
               | provide evidence that I wasn't inventing it out of thin
               | air.
               | 
               | I suspect that the combination of our and other anecdotes
               | in the thread may suggest though that there is some merit
               | to the hypothesis that small, local farms are more
               | resilient to this kind of mass pandemic, although it may
               | vary from region to region, especially with the number
               | and quality of local farms, which is probably much higher
               | where I live than some other rural states and/or in major
               | metropolitan areas.
        
               | azinman2 wrote:
               | I've never seen eggs for 0.25/dozen.
        
               | somecontext wrote:
               | In case anyone was curious, the Internet archive on my
               | parent commenter's link shows large dozen egg prices of:
               | $7.90 March 2024, $7.50 November 2023, $6.50 February
               | 2023.
        
               | mplanchard wrote:
               | Oh good thinking! So in line with the sibling commenter,
               | they've gone up some, but not a crazy amount, with most
               | of that increase happening prior to the outbreak. And
               | still cheaper than Vital Farms prices mentioned by others
               | elsewhere in the thread.
        
           | joecool1029 wrote:
           | Depends on where you're at. I mentioned in my last comment
           | that bird flu is killing snow geese nesting near me. It's
           | also infecting crows. The snow geese are not likely to
           | interact with backyard chickens but the crows absolutely
           | will.
        
           | hammock wrote:
           | Smaller flocks, so the damage of an outbreak is contained
        
           | greenie_beans wrote:
           | here is a recent news story about exactly this:
           | https://www.mynbc5.com/article/vt-farm-takes-steps-to-
           | preven...
        
         | silisili wrote:
         | My local sellers are $4/doz for the good ones, $5/18 from
         | another seller whose eggs taste 'off' so I quit buying them. I
         | think $4/doz for quality eggs is worth it.
         | 
         | This is also hopefully a catalyst to get people to petition
         | their city for backyard chicken rights. Raising chickens is
         | relatively easy and can be rewarding. Even if you don't want to
         | personally, support the right of those around you to, please.
        
           | tsimionescu wrote:
           | Generally, mixing livestock and people in the confined
           | conditions of a city is a very bad idea (if you're talking
           | about suburbs, then that's a completely different thing, and
           | I would agree with you about supporting it).
        
             | silisili wrote:
             | Ah yes, typically suburbs. Cities that adopt it generally
             | have regulations around it, such as needing an inspection
             | and nominally priced permit. The inspection just makes sure
             | it's sanitary and follows certain rules about distance from
             | house and whatnot.
             | 
             | I definitely don't advise raising chickens in an apartment
             | or some such.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Most places that allow them don't have much in the way of
               | inspection, etc, until you start selling the eggs.
               | 
               | Amusingly enough, _rural_ towns are more likely to
               | prohibit backyard chickens than suburbs of major cities
               | these days. This is because if you want chickens in a
               | rural area, the assumption is you 'll buy just outside
               | town; the people who moved into town don't want to hear
               | roosters (which are often banned or severely limited even
               | where chickens are allowed).
        
               | silisili wrote:
               | Noticed that too. The two rural towns near me bans any
               | poultry with under 5 acres, which is essentially the
               | entire town. Luckily I live right outside their limits.
               | 
               | RE: roosters, a lot of cities that permit backyard
               | chickens do not allow roosters as they're considered a
               | bit of a nuisance. As I'm sure you're aware(though I've
               | found many people aren't), roosters are not required for
               | the keeping of chickens nor the production of eggs.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | They _can_ be useful for flock protection, if you don 't
               | get a dud rooster. But in general, they're more annoying
               | than you expect.
               | 
               | And yeah, you don't need one to "get them to start
               | laying" though if you want to try to actually hatch some
               | eggs you will need one (or buy the eggs ready to go).
               | 
               | Now I've heard that the roosters in Kansas/Nashville,
               | them do lay eggs ...
        
               | jkestner wrote:
               | Most annoying thing about roosters is, if you have one,
               | then you'll have a bunch. (Our hens go hide their
               | clutches eventually.) But if you have a bunch, then you
               | can have coq au vin.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | Canadian and Mexican egg prices haven't budged because they
         | vaccinate their chickens [1].
         | 
         | I'm not a fan of factory farming. But this isn't a story about
         | that. It's a story about American (a) producers favouring cheap
         | production by avoiding the cost of vaccination and (b)
         | regulators favouring a policy of trade protectionism that keeps
         | our neighbours' cheap eggs off our grocery-store shelves.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.slowboring.com/p/the-case-for-vaccinating-
         | chicke...
        
           | mplanchard wrote:
           | I think both causes can be true, and both are relevant to
           | modern food production.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _both causes can be true_
             | 
             | They can be but they're not. Canadian and Mexican factory
             | farms are not being affected sufficiently to raise prices.
             | The cause of the price rise is not factory farming. It's
             | vaccination practice and trade policy.
        
               | mplanchard wrote:
               | I was curious about this, being neighbors with Canada,
               | and I'm not seeing it mentioned in any articles about
               | their egg prices. Most of these are instead about their
               | supply management system and smaller farms, e.g.:
               | 
               | https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/supply-management-
               | eggs-1.67...
               | 
               | https://globalnews.ca/news/10981016/egg-prices-us-bird-
               | flu-c...
               | 
               | https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/egg-prices-avian-flu-
               | canada-u...
               | 
               | Can you point me to some sources on your claim? The post
               | you linked originally doesn't mention Canada.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | Buried in that story is one more important point: if you
           | vaccinate many countries will not let you sell that chicken
           | to them anymore. US exports a lot of chicken to such
           | countries and if we vaccinate that market dies. (or we can
           | vaccinate some but not others and then deal with the supply
           | chain complexity)
        
             | CharlieDigital wrote:
             | Are egg laying hens the same supply line as the chicken
             | sold for meat? (Genuinely curious here whether that's the
             | case or not)
        
         | njarboe wrote:
         | The local eggs here have the same price but they are selling
         | out very quickly. $9.50 a dozen and used to have them all week.
         | They come in on Friday evening and now sell out quickly. People
         | are probably buying more than they used to when available and
         | that is making the scarcity worse.
        
           | mplanchard wrote:
           | We're lucky enough to have a pretty substantial network of
           | local suppliers. Our grocery carries eggs from at least six
           | local farms that I can think of off the top of my head.
           | 
           | I've read that some of the farms are having a hard time
           | keeping up with both the increased demand from groceries and
           | also trying to keep eggs available for their regular
           | farmstand customers and such, but it seems like so far there
           | is enough slack in the system that it's working out okay.
        
         | whateveracct wrote:
         | If I avoid name brand stuff, my prices generally aren't bad.
         | Like you said, the local eggs have been stable.
         | 
         | Locally sourced chicken also is reasonably priced and often on
         | sale. There was BOGO (mix and match) last week so I got a whole
         | chicken and a 2lb pack of breasts for $12 total. Both beautiful
         | quality. With a bunch of minor cheap produce, herbs, and
         | pasta..that's chicken soup + a chicken one pot meal that'll
         | last us all week. Sometimes those whole chickens are on sale
         | for 99c/lb!
        
           | TylerE wrote:
           | That is likely to change. Why should they sell a superior
           | product for less?
        
             | mplanchard wrote:
             | Well, if you know your local farmers and buy from them
             | regularly, it doesn't look great if they jack their prices
             | up unnecessarily. They also know that they're competing
             | against the perception that local food is more expensive.
             | In normal times, factory farms can always undercut their
             | prices, so it would make sense for them to use the current
             | situation as an opportunity to get more people to start
             | buying local (due to the prices!) and hope that they will
             | continue to buy local once the prices invert again (due to
             | the quality).
        
             | hammock wrote:
             | Why not?
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | Because capitalism? Small farmers are already fighting
               | brutal economies of scale.
        
               | hammock wrote:
               | If they don't want to charge more though?
        
               | TylerE wrote:
               | When their gas prices go up, their equipment goes up,
               | their feed goes up, etc, they won't have any choice.
        
               | tcmart14 wrote:
               | I wonder though, in specifically this instance, if the
               | price of their feed is going down because of how many
               | chickens have been culled or just flat out died from
               | disease.
               | 
               | But yea, if other cost rise, they will need to rise
               | prices.
        
               | hammock wrote:
               | Doesn't quite answer the question (of why they should
               | sell at the highest price they can).
               | 
               | Unless you are suggesting that raising prices today is
               | _better_ (normative sense, since you used the word
               | "should") than raising prices when you don't have a
               | choice. In which case, can you explain more your
               | reasoning?
        
             | whateveracct wrote:
             | This has held true for literally 4 years. And it's not some
             | niche store - it's a Kroger-owned chain!
        
         | likeabatterycar wrote:
         | Ok, but, you can't feed 340M people with "fresh, local eggs".
         | While it's nice you buy six eggs at a time from Joe Farmer off
         | the back of his '72 Ford, but factory farms are an unfortunate
         | necessity to feed everyone that isn't so privileged.
        
           | roughly wrote:
           | We're not reliably feeding 340M people eggs right now,
           | either. The current system has significant friction points
           | and deadweight loss.
        
           | mplanchard wrote:
           | Man, if only it were possible to adjust the number of eggs
           | that we eat in order to account for the increased cost of
           | eggs that are farmed humanely and whose purchase benefits the
           | local economy instead of massive corporate conglomerates. But
           | alas, 340 million souls need their daily eggs.
        
             | B-Con wrote:
             | Your solution to a supply and demand mismatch is that
             | everyone regulate their demand to match the local supply?
             | 
             | Your solution is for a problem that doesn't exist.
        
           | greenie_beans wrote:
           | > you can't feed 340M people with "fresh, local eggs"
           | 
           | i think the opposite, i would like to hear a good argument
           | why you can't.
        
             | wyre wrote:
             | Where can the NYC metro area get fresh, local eggs to feed
             | the 19 million people that live there?
             | 
             | This is an extreme example, but still applies to every
             | other metro area too.
        
               | _joel wrote:
               | Why am I imagining high rise chicken coups now? Vertical
               | farming, take note :)
        
               | greenie_beans wrote:
               | within 7 hours of NYC you have a ton of amazing farms
               | that supply NYC. many farms in the hudson valley but
               | you'd be surprised how many farms all the way to vermont
               | and maine that distribute their fresh produce to the
               | city. you also have a lot of rural space within a day
               | drive of NYC.
               | 
               | recently there was a massive flock of ducks that were
               | culled at a farm in long island. all 19 million people
               | don't eat eggs, but there are enough suburbs with green
               | space surrounding the city that each of those
               | neighborhoods could easily support their own egg
               | production. that could surely help.
               | 
               | i have a big spreadsheet of farms within a day's drive of
               | NYC if you would like me to help you find fresh eggs. i
               | can share the distributors too, that would be a good
               | resource if you want to help supply the 19 million people
               | of NYC with fresh eggs.
               | 
               | > Where can the NYC metro area get fresh, local eggs to
               | feed the 19 million people that live there?
               | 
               | trying to reduce this to something like "there is NO WAY
               | this could ever work" isn't a good argument. at least use
               | some facts about food distribution if you're going to
               | debate this.
        
         | GeoAtreides wrote:
         | someone is leaving money on the table
         | 
         | no reason not to hike up the prices: a. if everyone is doing it
         | b. if the demand > supply
        
           | kamarg wrote:
           | | no reason not to hike up the prices
           | 
           | Because they're happy with the income they're making from it
           | probably. Not everything has to make the absolute maximum
           | amount of profit possible.
        
         | nnurmanov wrote:
         | I should have invested in eggs and bitcoins
        
         | taeric wrote:
         | This is the kind of advice that can work for anyone, but can't
         | work for everyone. Scale kills all things.
        
           | xboxnolifes wrote:
           | Not necessarily. Supporting local is the opposite of
           | supporting scale, it's supporting decentralization. A single
           | local provider might not be able to sustain all local demand,
           | but there need not be only 1 local provider.
        
             | taeric wrote:
             | Somewhat exactly? Supporting local is largely the opposite
             | of supporting scale.
             | 
             | Unless you have the idea that local farms can make up all
             | of the sales that are done, then you are arguing for a
             | practice that will result in a lower supply of goods. With
             | a lower supply, you expect prices to rise until the demand
             | adjusts down to a lower value, as well. No?
             | 
             | Hence, this is great advice for anyone to try. But if
             | everyone does it, things get more expensive as you lose out
             | on the very advantages that led to the "at scale" solutions
             | in the first place.
        
         | djtriptych wrote:
         | Came to say the same thing. Fortunate to have a store front on
         | my block in brooklyn that sources primarily from area farms. No
         | interruption in supply or change in prices (though I've always
         | been paying in the $7 range).
         | 
         | Besides all the arguments around diverse food supply and
         | economic SPOFs, it just feels so much better to shop this way.
        
         | jmyeet wrote:
         | What I find endlessly fascinating is how often I see anti-
         | capitalist sentiment, which your comment is, in the context of
         | how often and how much people will defend capitalism and attack
         | socialism. For the record, I don't know if the second part
         | applies to you, specifically. This is a general observation.
         | 
         | Local food production is quintessential socialism: it is quite
         | literally the workers (the farmers) owning the means of
         | production (the farm).
         | 
         | When people hear that, they so often reject it with some
         | variant of "no, that's a business; that's capitalism".
         | Businesses (and markets) existed millenia before capitalism and
         | exist in every economic system.
         | 
         | The defining characteristic of capitalism is exploitation by
         | capital owners. In the eggs case, it's Cal-Maine Foods (or any
         | other large company) owning the land and in all likelihood
         | employing undocumented workers because they can pay them sub-
         | minimum wage. At least that's how the likes of Tyson produces
         | chicken.
         | 
         | It's also worth adding that something like avian flu is used to
         | justify price hikes well beyond what the supply change would
         | otherwise warrant.
        
         | dawnerd wrote:
         | What I find weird is people's aversion to buying the organic
         | and local eggs. They had them for half the price as the factory
         | farm eggs yet people weren't touching them.
        
           | soerxpso wrote:
           | I think it's largely a matter of routine. People have been
           | buying the same eggs for years; switching is perceived as a
           | risk by our monkey brains.
        
           | monetus wrote:
           | A lot of local eggs here will have slightly orange yolks and
           | my family just won't do it, not even in cornbread.
        
             | whalesalad wrote:
             | the orange yolks are usually a sign of better hen health...
             | the irony of this. they taste a lot better, too.
        
               | monetus wrote:
               | Sad, for sure.
        
       | GrantMoyer wrote:
       | Seems like a great time to stop eating eggs.
        
         | BeFlatXIII wrote:
         | They're tamasic, anyway.
        
         | __MatrixMan__ wrote:
         | First they came for the chickens and I said nothing because I
         | was not a chicken... What's next, avocados!?
        
         | ozten wrote:
         | I always wondered why the people "in reality" in the Matrix
         | only ate grey gruel.
        
       | jillyboel wrote:
       | I thought trump was going to lower the price of eggs? What
       | happened?
        
         | gjsman-1000 wrote:
         | Hacker News is not the place for cheap political shots;
         | especially as by any objective measure, two weeks is
         | insufficient for any specific promise regarding pricing to be
         | immediately felt.
        
           | jillyboel wrote:
           | It's not a "cheap political shot". He literally promised that
           | prices would be lowered day 1 of his presidency.
           | 
           | > When I win, I will immediately bring prices down, starting
           | on Day One
           | 
           | These are his own words. What happened?
           | 
           | https://edition.cnn.com/2025/01/28/economy/trump-
           | inflation-p...
        
         | GenerocUsername wrote:
         | He's been in office for 2 weeks, but my Costco got eggs back
         | already. Mission accomplished.
        
       | bell-cot wrote:
       | Yes, bird flu is bad.
       | 
       | OTOH, the US egg industry has a history of price-fixing, and
       | other dirty tricks.
       | 
       | For instance: https://apnews.com/article/egg-producers-price-
       | gouging-lawsu...
        
         | rcpt wrote:
         | Farm owners are not our friends. Example #1000000
        
         | ThinkingGuy wrote:
         | Cory Doctorow's commentary from 2 years ago:
         | 
         | https://pluralistic.net/2023/01/23/cant-make-an-omelet/#keep...
        
       | _tariky wrote:
       | Perfect time to build chicken coop.
       | 
       | Also eggs price is increasing globally witch is not good.
        
         | spatley wrote:
         | I built a chicken coop, mostly as a hobby, and the eggs were a
         | bonus. the 1,000 in materials for the structure and 25 bucks a
         | month in food and bedding make that amortization table go out a
         | couple of decades before you see ROI.
         | 
         | I joke that they are the most expensive organic eggs you can
         | buy. ;)
        
           | wiredfool wrote:
           | That $800 first egg...
           | 
           | 10 years back, we were getting eggs at something like 25c/egg
           | in feed costs. But we had a bunch of birds that only laid
           | every 2 or 3 days, so they were no where near as efficient as
           | a first year dedicated layer. OTOH, they all had names, we
           | had most of the egg colors, and the bantam eggs were so cute.
           | And the one hen that basically only laid double yolkers.
        
             | oaththrowaway wrote:
             | Double yolkers are my favorite, always a pleasant surprise!
        
             | declan_roberts wrote:
             | We're able to keep the feed costs down simply because as a
             | family of 7 with young kids we have a lot of food waste
             | that the birds will happily gobble up.
             | 
             | Also their bedding makes fantastic compost for next year's
             | veggies.
             | 
             | It's a nice system.
        
               | wiredfool wrote:
               | Leftover spaghetti and red sauce is hilarious when
               | chickens get a hold of it.
        
           | _tariky wrote:
           | Health does not have a price.
           | 
           | Owners of coops know how different are those organic eggs.
           | Totally diffrent color of yolks, also they have totally
           | different smell when they are cooked.
        
             | declan_roberts wrote:
             | I also notice that the yolks are bigger in my backyard hens
             | vs store bought eggs.
             | 
             | That could be a side-effect from slower winter laying
             | though since we don't use an artificial light.
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | If your goal is to increase human-bird contact and contact
         | between bird species during a bird flu pandemic, then sure.
         | Perfect time!
         | 
         | The California Dept. of Food and Agriculture has numerous
         | alerts on their site regarding H5N1 spreading in non-commercial
         | backyard flocks.
        
         | Fomite wrote:
         | Counterargument: Having a backyard poultry flock in the middle
         | of an avian influenza pandemic (it is a pandemic in birds), is
         | maybe not the best idea.
        
         | Someone1234 wrote:
         | A chicken coop is a major time investment for most
         | urban/residential owners.
         | 
         | Just keeping predators out alone is an ongoing effort, weather
         | events damaging it, then the smell/near constant cleaning, sick
         | chickens/vaccinations/health checks, and you better figure who
         | is doing all of this if you ever want a vacation or are sick
         | yourself.
         | 
         | If you're a full time farmer, this is just your normal day, and
         | a personal chicken coop isn't even a blip. But people with no
         | farming/livestock experience don't even have an idea of what
         | they're signing up for. I've known two different people that
         | didn't last two years and were out thousands.
         | 
         | And when the price of eggs go back down, taking it out is also
         | work.
         | 
         | PS - Check local zoning/rules; for example some have
         | size/chicken limits or require it to be XYZ feet from the
         | property line (due to smell/noise).
        
           | shuckles wrote:
           | My neighbor kept chickens in their backyard which caused
           | issues in my yard with parasites and other pests. So it isn't
           | even a PITA that you can contain to yourself.
        
         | idlewords wrote:
         | I've noticed a fun split among people I know--those who grew up
         | on a farm will move heaven and earth never to deal with
         | chickens again, while people who grew up in cities or suburbs
         | are really into the idea.
        
           | bryanlarsen wrote:
           | Having dealt with my share of pig shit, chicken sheet and cow
           | shit, I can assure you that chicken shit is the worst.
        
             | programmertote wrote:
             | Can you share a bit more? I grew up in a city and never
             | knew the details of the farms (and interested). Thank you.
        
               | everforward wrote:
               | Not an industrial farmer, but we had chickens, horses and
               | goats growing up.
               | 
               | Chickens suck because they poop on _everything_ , and it
               | dries into a glue-like substance caked onto things. The
               | straw ends up caked in poop, the walls get caked in poop,
               | the floor gets caked in poop, the chickens poop on each
               | other. Getting it off requires a paint scraper, and
               | getting way closer to it than you want. It's also
               | liquid-y. It's a lot like bird poop on your car, but
               | bigger because the bird is bigger.
               | 
               | The horses were less bad. Their poop was fairly "clean"
               | as far as things go. They stayed pretty structurally
               | intact (it's basically a ball of half digested fiber,
               | kind of like a hairball) so it wasn't a big deal to get
               | them with a pitchfork, and they were almost exclusively
               | on the ground. It's not a job I wanted to do, but it
               | wasn't awful. The heat in the non air conditioned barn
               | was honestly worse than the work.
        
             | declan_roberts wrote:
             | Our coop is off the ground. All I do is bring my
             | wheelbarrow up to the door, open it up, rake it in, and
             | then go dump. From my POV it's one of the easier chores.
        
           | kQq9oHeAz6wLLS wrote:
           | Didn't grow up with chickens, but have had them for 8 years
           | now. Easiest pet I've ever owned, and they provide eggs.
           | Haven't seen a weed in the yard in years. They'll decimate a
           | garden bed, though.
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | A big, big part of it is whether you had to do it as chores,
           | and whether roosters were involved.
        
           | tptacek wrote:
           | I'm married to someone who grew up on a chicken farm, have
           | never so much as threatened to own a chicken, and still hear
           | the litany of how awful chickens are at least a couple times
           | a year. They're apparently really, really nasty animals.
        
         | KaiserPro wrote:
         | https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/historical-statisti...
         | 
         | 16% in 2024 for the uk, but thats probably due to heating
         | costs/the odd cull
         | 
         | I've personally not seen a massive spike this year
        
         | declan_roberts wrote:
         | I agree. Just remember that hens take around 18 weeks or longer
         | to start laying so get started sooner rather than later.
         | 
         | And you can get an automatic coop door to make your life
         | easier.
        
       | proudestmonkey wrote:
       | Time to buy chickens!!!
        
         | rcpt wrote:
         | On Craigslist live chickens are 2x the price of grocery store
         | rotisserie chickens
        
         | clircle wrote:
         | And them watch them die from the avian flu?
        
         | throwaway5752 wrote:
         | It is worth considering how chicken exposure impacts your risk
         | of contracting H5N1 and the state of current treatments, and
         | likelihood of obtaining those treatments if you need them.
        
         | taftster wrote:
         | You'll have a significant upfront cost for the coop, fencing,
         | feeders and other equipment. Around $1000-2000 or so. And
         | presumably, you'll be buying baby chickens, which require their
         | own special care. It takes about 6 months for a baby chicken to
         | start laying eggs.
         | 
         | But once you do that, you can maybe get to a reasonable place.
         | The upfront cost being ignored, at today's egg prices, you can
         | basically break even.
         | 
         | I have 9 egg laying chickens. They go through about $30 of food
         | per month. They need another $20 in bedding supplies. $50 /
         | month basically. Plus I spoil them with meal worm treats, so
         | add another $30 per month for that (but I'll ignore that in my
         | numbers below).
         | 
         | In winter, I average about 5 eggs per day out of my 9 chickens.
         | In summer, it's closer to 8 per day. So we'll assume the best
         | case here.                   8 per day * 30 days per month =
         | 240 eggs         $50 per month supplies / 20 dozen eggs = $2.50
         | / dozen
         | 
         | So not bad overall. But in winter it's worse, and my costs are
         | higher because I give them worms.
         | 
         | We can't eat through all the eggs though, so we try to find
         | nice people/places to give them away (single moms, food banks,
         | etc.).
         | 
         | Ultimately, raising chickens is just for fun. They are pets and
         | enjoyable creatures. Highly recommend if you have the land for
         | it (and no HOA rules).
        
       | llm_nerd wrote:
       | Here in Ontario I'm buying eggs for $2.99 / dozen, or about $2.10
       | USD.
       | 
       | This isn't a boast or schadenfreude, but is an observation that
       | the protected, stable industry (supply management), which itself
       | yields smaller, less industrialized operations means that while
       | bird flu is a problem, it's hitting smaller clusters rather than
       | gigantic mega operations where gigantic numbers of birds get
       | culled.
       | 
       | So while our eggs are more expensive at times, there are
       | benefits.
        
         | Scoundreller wrote:
         | It's great for the industrial food processor or restaurant
         | chain that has a consistent demand/menu for eggs.
         | 
         | But more meh for the consumer that's more
         | liquid/dynamic/reactive and can easily substitute ad hoc if
         | something gets too expensive.
         | 
         | It's an industrial subsidy at more than one level.
        
           | llm_nerd wrote:
           | Consumer demand for eggs and milk is _extremely_ consistent
           | over the short term, and when the price explodes people
           | just...pay more. Hence all of the mad rushes and bizarre
           | hoarding behaviour for this perishable product across the US.
           | People are just spending more of their income on eggs, and
           | bizarrely might be buying even more than normal. Over decades
           | people change habits but for something acute they just suck
           | it up.
           | 
           | >It's an industrial subsidy at more than one level.
           | 
           | It's food security. There have been times Canadians were
           | almost convinced to eliminate it to pander to the US, but in
           | the face of the idiocracy taking hold down South, and its
           | boom-bust agricultural sector (one that yields enormous
           | numbers of farmer suicides)...yeah, it isn't ever going
           | anywhere.
        
             | Scoundreller wrote:
             | If we wanted to be strategic about food security (and deem
             | supply management to be the way to do it), we'd supply
             | manage primary food energy like beans and oats. Oh, and
             | crop inputs like fertilizer.
             | 
             | Meat/eggs/dairy mostly destroys food energy. I guess you
             | could argue the set pricing ensures food security for the
             | animal.
        
               | llm_nerd wrote:
               | >we'd supply manage primary food energy like beans and
               | oats
               | 
               | We have enormous amounts of these crops, are hyper-
               | competitive in them and fully self-supplying, and moreso
               | they're very quick to turn around: A single season can
               | yield enormous stockpiles of beans and oats.
               | 
               | That isn't true for dairy farms, egg operations, and so
               | on. These don't scale up nearly as quickly. If Canada
               | allowed the unrestricted flow of US options in these
               | industries, US booms and mass industrial operations would
               | wipe out Canadian suppliers, leaving us hugely
               | vulnerable.
               | 
               | Like in the near future we might have an entire collapse
               | of trade between the countries (as some new nonsensical
               | exercise of brinksmanship is pursued, with new and
               | ridiculous demands). We could wipe out 100% of foods that
               | the US sends to Canada and be...perfectly fine,
               | including, thankfully, poultry, milk and eggs. There are
               | a lot of countries where this sort of food security
               | independence isn't true.
               | 
               | Recent events have amply proven how critical Canada's
               | protection of these industries are, making it all the
               | more ironic that they're such a target. For obvious
               | reasons.
        
               | Scoundreller wrote:
               | > That isn't true for dairy farms, egg operations, and so
               | on
               | 
               | Because we don't let them grow (and for some reason don't
               | believe in shelf-stable products).
               | 
               | Biggest dairy exporter on the planet is New Zealand, I'd
               | be more worried about them than USA. But we could've been
               | NZ. Supply management kneecaps your ag industry. Lost
               | opportunity if you're good at it, which Canada generally
               | is.
        
       | 1970-01-01 wrote:
       | Eggs store very well when refrigerated and are naturally optimal
       | in terms of physical volume. Buy eggs in bulk and store them in a
       | large mixing bowl or other round container in your refrigerator.
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | Eggs store pretty poorly in the fridge because liquids
         | transpire through the shell. Within a month your egg will be
         | 20% air.
        
           | zo1 wrote:
           | This is disturbing and not what I found with eggs at all -
           | Are eggs somehow different in the US compared to the rest of
           | the world?
        
             | kleton wrote:
             | Commercially, they wash the cuticle off the eggs in the US
             | before they are sold. This means they have to be
             | refrigerated.
        
             | orev wrote:
             | Eggs definitely have a permeable shell and water does
             | evaporate out of them over time. 20% loss is absurd though;
             | it would be more like 1%
        
             | giblfiz wrote:
             | Yep. In the U.S. the eggs are all machine washed which
             | removes a natural protective outer coating (as well as
             | dirt).
             | 
             | This means that they don't store as well or as long, and
             | really should be refrigerated. It _might_ reduce
             | salmonella.
        
               | AuryGlenz wrote:
               | > as well as dirt
               | 
               | Well, more importantly, poop. The cloaca does all.
        
             | bryanlarsen wrote:
             | Yes. Eggs in the US are washed thoroughly. Removes
             | potential pathogens but also removes the protective coating
             | on the egg. Eggs in Europe are not washed.
        
             | wongarsu wrote:
             | Yes. In the US eggs are washed with soap and hot water
             | after being laid. Most of the rest of the world doesn't do
             | that. We simply arrange things so eggs don't lie in poop,
             | then deliver them to the customer unwashed.
             | 
             | Both methods work, but the washing process removes a
             | protective layer from the eggs, causing them to require
             | refrigeration and generally last not as long
        
               | ars wrote:
               | US eggs last exactly the same amount of time, and they do
               | not actually require refrigeration, it's basically a
               | custom at this point that customers expect.
        
               | rsynnott wrote:
               | Once the egg has been refrigerated (which it will be in
               | shipping and in the supermarket) breaking the cold chain
               | is, at best, risky; you'll potentially get condensation
               | which can lead to contamination.
        
               | ars wrote:
               | I'm not just theorizing here, I've actually done it.
               | Multiple times, as in, every day.
               | 
               | I don't refrigerate my US eggs, I've been doing that for
               | years, with zero problems.
        
               | arjie wrote:
               | This is so fascinating. I believe you, but I am one month
               | from a newborn so I can't perform the experiment. It's
               | like how for years on end I'd read explanations on Hacker
               | News for why Japan's traffic lights were blue instead of
               | green and I went there and they were identical to US
               | lights. So I'm sceptical of these folk explanations that
               | always go around. One day, years from now, I shall test
               | it myself.
        
             | ars wrote:
             | It's also not true. You can keep US eggs out of the fridge
             | with zero problems, and they do not "transpire" in a month,
             | that's simply not true. I keep my US eggs for months at a
             | time, out of the fridge, with zero problems.
             | 
             | The whole washing thing causing problems, that multiple
             | people have replied is a myth. They spray the eggs with
             | mineral oil afterward which works just as well. There's
             | nothing magical about the natural coating, it's just oil.
        
             | jandrewrogers wrote:
             | Eggs in the US, Canada, Japan, Scandinavia, and a couple
             | other countries are washed, which removes a layer that
             | seals the egg. Eggs are a major vector for salmonella
             | contamination; washing them materially reduces the
             | incidence rates.
             | 
             | It is not egg specific. The countries that wash their eggs
             | have atypically strong standards for bacterial
             | contamination hygiene in food processing. Many food
             | products from Europe are prohibited from import into the US
             | due to insufficient safeguards against bacterial
             | contamination during processing. There is an entire
             | business where Scandinavian factories process food from
             | distant parts of Europe to satisfy US food safety
             | requirements for export.
             | 
             | As a general principle, the US does not create exemptions
             | in food processing regulations on the basis that the
             | existing process is "traditional" or has a long history.
             | Many other countries do.
        
               | adrian_b wrote:
               | Europeans do not wash their eggs like the Americans,
               | because they believe that this is a poor method for
               | preventing Salmonella contamination, which has the
               | serious drawback of increasing the chance that the eggs
               | will not be safe for consumption when stored for a too
               | long time.
               | 
               | In Europe, poultry vaccination against Salmonella is the
               | preferred method. In most places Salmonella occurrences
               | are exceedingly rare.
               | 
               | In general, Europeans believe that USA has atypically
               | weak standards of food safety and that all the cases when
               | certain kinds of European food are prohibited for import
               | into USA on grounds of food safety are just cover-up
               | stories, because the real reason is to avoid competition.
               | 
               | It is weird that USA has a phobia of vaccines even for
               | poultry, because in this case there is no doubt that
               | vaccines would have prevented the great financial losses
               | caused by bird flu.
        
               | wahern wrote:
               | There's some evidence that livestock vaccination
               | accelerates viral pathogen evolution, similar to
               | antibiotics with bacteria. Even with vaccination, modern
               | sanitation and isolation procedures would and should
               | still be required.
        
         | drivebyhooting wrote:
         | Round mixing bowl does not pack well into refrigerator. Surely
         | the flat pack they come in is better?
         | 
         | Also I store eggs outside the fridge. It works fine.
        
         | orev wrote:
         | Eggs have famously short shelf life, even in the refrigerator.
         | They're not going to last more than a month if you're lucky.
         | The egg cartons they're sold in are already the most optimized
         | way to store them. Moving them into something else doesn't make
         | any sense.
        
           | 1970-01-01 wrote:
           | >famously short shelf life, even in the refrigerator.
           | 
           | 15 weeks!
           | 
           | https://tellus.ars.usda.gov/stories/articles/how-we-store-
           | ou...
        
           | pton_xd wrote:
           | I'd call a month in the fridge a pretty long shelf life. An
           | open container of chicken stock barely lasts a week.
        
           | matwood wrote:
           | I wonder if that's just the US (because they wash off the
           | coating) or everywhere. Out of habit, I still put eggs I buy
           | in Italy in the refrigerator even though they are stored at
           | room temperature at the store.
        
         | drawkward wrote:
         | fresh eggs are even better and do not require refrigeration at
         | all
        
         | thot_experiment wrote:
         | Oblate spheroid packing is anything but optimal! Eggs that
         | perfectly tile 3-space when?
        
           | 1970-01-01 wrote:
           | Sadly Wolfram Alpha doesn't understand the 'Easter Basket
           | Packing' problem yet, but it's definitely do-able.
           | 
           | Edit: This is an interesting problem that ChatGPT can't quite
           | hatch. It immediately gets confused and thinks 100 eggs fit
           | in a 5L mixing bowl!
        
       | MisterTea wrote:
       | My friends parents live on a nice piece of land in rural Maryland
       | and have chicken coops. The chickens eat just about anything so
       | food scraps go to them making them great recyclers: garbage ->
       | food. Also cuts down on the amount of feed they need to buy. Any
       | time I visit I get a dozen or two of fresh eggs.
        
       | uticus wrote:
       | question: why hasn't this had a side effect of raising food
       | prices in general? a significant percentage of foodstuffs involve
       | eggs.
        
         | criddell wrote:
         | It's starting to. Waffle House recently added an egg surcharge
         | to their menu.
        
         | ComputerGuru wrote:
         | It certainly has. Raw chicken has noticeably gone up in price
         | as well, and poultry is completely unavailable at some
         | retailers.
         | 
         | But a lot of restaurants in my area have been price gouging
         | under the guise of "inflation, it's out of our control" and
         | have much more room to absorb price increases, to a point.
        
       | jnmandal wrote:
       | Meanwhile, my chickens cost exactly the same as they did 12
       | months ago. :)
        
         | codingdave wrote:
         | Which is great, so long as your flock does not get the flu and
         | die.
         | 
         | We have had chickens in the past, and while I fully support
         | anyone wanting to do their own chickens, the level of effort to
         | keep them clean and healthy, safe from predators, and the labor
         | to take care of them is non-trivial. They were the most
         | expensive and labor-intensive "free eggs" we ever had.
        
           | oaththrowaway wrote:
           | I have lost 2 flocks of chickens to a combination of
           | raccoons, foxes, and skunks. Interestingly enough none of
           | those could kill my turkeys - they are big enough to fight
           | them off I guess. They don't lay as many eggs though.
           | 
           | It is a lot of work, but after my last group was killed off 2
           | months I have not impressed by store eggs, so I'm planning on
           | re-enforcing my coop so I can get another group of them soon.
        
             | theonething wrote:
             | > I have not impressed by store eggs
             | 
             | Curious to know what differences do you discern between
             | store and fresh eggs? Not doubting you, just curious to
             | know.
        
               | binarymax wrote:
               | Not the author but for me the taste is obvious. It's like
               | the difference between the cheapest eggs and the pasture
               | raised you get at the store.
        
               | declan_roberts wrote:
               | Also the yolks are noticeably bigger and darker on the
               | home flock. More yolk has a big impact on flavor.
        
               | MrLeap wrote:
               | In my experience they taste richer. The yolks are more
               | orange than yellow.
        
               | latentcall wrote:
               | Backyard chicken eggs for me are much richer and fuller
               | flavor. I also keep Black Copper Marans and those eggs
               | are delicious.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Go here: https://www.mcmurrayhatchery.com/chicks.html and
               | click "good/better/best" for egg production.
               | 
               | Note the wide variety. When you're doing a backyard
               | chicken coop, you can pick whatever you want, for
               | whatever reason (Rhode Island Red for hardiness, say, or
               | a combo for variety). So not only do you have feed
               | variation, you have breed variation, which can contribute
               | to taste differences.
               | 
               | You also have freshness, as you use the eggs within a day
               | or so of laying.
        
               | oaththrowaway wrote:
               | During the summer I was getting ~9-10 eggs a day, and we
               | probably averaged eating 6 a day - so besides the size
               | and taste, a big thing is that unwashed eggs last a long
               | time.
        
             | joe8756438 wrote:
             | i have a simple system for keep my birds safe from land
             | predators.
             | 
             | so the birds get a point for each level of protection they
             | receive. each group needs two points to be safe.
             | 
             | i mainly raise geese, which are tough, not going to be
             | bothered by a hawk. geese (turkeys similar) start with one
             | point. an electric fence is one point, a fully enclosed
             | coop is one point, night light (.5?), guard animal (.5?).
             | chickens are always inventing ways to die, so they start
             | with 0 (should probably be -1).
             | 
             | fingers crossed i haven't lost any geese to land predators
             | in three years and only one chicken that flew the
             | enclosure. hawks have taken a few chickens, but never when
             | the geese are around.
        
               | declan_roberts wrote:
               | I know people here who specifically add a "guard goose"
               | to their hen flock for protection. They swear it helps
               | against predators.
               | 
               | We have a very reinforced coop and an automatic coop door
               | so we've never had any issues.
        
             | reginald78 wrote:
             | Do skunks hunt chickens? We lost ours when we were a kid to
             | raccoons and weasels. The later being better suited to
             | getting into the coop.
             | 
             | Our neighbor's chickens were devoured by black bears twice.
             | They had one wily chicken that managed to escape both
             | events however.
        
               | oaththrowaway wrote:
               | I've never seen one actually kill a chicken but I killed
               | one a little bit ago that was in there eating a carcass.
               | And that's what I've seen come sniffing around the traps
               | I leave. I've trapped 2 skunks in the last year - only 1
               | raccoon, and he was able to make an escape. Smartest
               | animals I've had to battle in the wild.
        
           | joe8756438 wrote:
           | yes. i have a flock and the feed alone puts a doz at $3.
           | 
           | the labor is somewhat enjoyable and the chickens are
           | incredible child-leftover disposal machines. but when you
           | factor infrastructure and labor youll probably never recoup
           | your "investment" in eggs.
           | 
           | for anyone dealing with land predators, get electric poultry
           | net. it's magic.
        
             | declan_roberts wrote:
             | Is that true even right now in the winter? My hens are
             | basically pensioners at this point. I'm planning on
             | refreshing the flock this spring.
        
               | GeoAtreides wrote:
               | what will it happen with the old hens?
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Most layers do ok the first year, great the second, and
               | then taper off. If you have old crockpot recipes, they
               | can taste great after egg production drops off.
               | 
               | But they can keep laying for quite some time.
               | 
               | You can reduce the feed costs by letting them graze
               | (though even a few chickens will lay waste to an average
               | sized backyard if given the chance) and/or using
               | household food waste.
        
         | dkjaudyeqooe wrote:
         | You say that, but just wait until they unionize.
        
       | zie wrote:
       | Fake/Vegetarian eggs are priced the same here, so I made the
       | switch and am only using fake eggs now for most of my cooking.
        
         | whimsicalism wrote:
         | arent eggs already vegetarian
        
           | epistasis wrote:
           | The usage of the term "vegetarian" in the US is not
           | consistent enough to come up with a precise definition,
           | probably due to the mixture of so many cultures bringing
           | their variation and translations. So it's always good to
           | clarify on particular food items in my experience. Some will
           | consider eggs part of a vegetarian diet, others will be
           | practically offended at the ridiculousness of the idea.
        
             | 0xffff2 wrote:
             | Huh? I'm American and even used to work as a professional
             | line cook. Vegetarian has only ever meant "no meat
             | products" to me. Vegan means "no animal products of any
             | kind", and anything else requires a more specific phrase
             | like "I'm vegetarian, and also I don't eat eggs", or "I
             | can't eat any dairy products at all", or whatever.
        
           | zie wrote:
           | Some vegetarians make exceptions for eggs, but I wouldn't
           | call it "vegetarian" personally. You do you though.
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vegetarianism
        
           | vips7L wrote:
           | Technically since they're not meat and aren't born, but
           | they're not vegan or ethical. The treatment of hens is
           | inhumane.
        
             | whimsicalism wrote:
             | i'm vegan, just describing the state of modern american
             | understandings of words
        
               | vips7L wrote:
               | Sorry I didn't mean to come off as "hot".
        
               | whimsicalism wrote:
               | on reflection you didn't, another reply did
        
           | dastbe wrote:
           | Eggs are definitely a grey area for vegetarians, to the point
           | where vegetarians will describe ovo-lacto-vegetarians where
           | they are ok with eggs (and animal milk) whereas others
           | aren't.
        
             | sonar_un wrote:
             | I've been vegan for over 15 years, but even when I was
             | vegetarian, I never really considered eggs to be
             | vegetarian. Though some people do.
        
           | mullingitover wrote:
           | Yes.
           | 
           | Vegetarians don't eat meat (including fish, although some
           | religious sects have a marketing deal with fishermen to count
           | fish as a vegetable for some reason), do eat animal products.
           | 
           | Vegans don't eat meat and also don't eat animal products.
        
             | dml2135 wrote:
             | I always found this a funny etymological thing. Going just
             | by the words themselves, if you asked me to guess which was
             | which, I'd say they should be reversed -- "vegetarian"
             | seems to clearly imply "eats a diet made up of vegetables"
             | whereas "vegan" is more ambiguous and seems to fit "mostly
             | eats vegetables but also will eat some non-meat animal
             | products".
             | 
             | But what I'm guessing happened is that the less-strict diet
             | came first (at least in the modern era), so got the
             | "vegetarian" moniker, and then we just needed another work
             | for the strict no-animal-products diet so had to come up
             | with "vegan".
        
               | mullingitover wrote:
               | The term goes back to the Vegetarian Society in England,
               | and was also popularized by Seventh Day Adventists in the
               | US. The SDA church is fairly large at about 22 million
               | members, and they've always promoted vegetarianism,
               | meaning meat free diet with animal products.
        
           | OJFord wrote:
           | It's not a strictly defined term, in the UK people generally
           | mean lacto-ovo-vegetarian by it (they will eat eggs and milk)
           | but many combinations are possible and what's most common
           | varies geographically - in India for example it would
           | generate taken to mean lacto-vegetarian (milk, no eggs).
           | 
           | Wikipedia has a nice table:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vegetarianism#Varieties
        
         | PyWoody wrote:
         | Are there any particular brands that you like?
        
           | zie wrote:
           | I've only ever tried one brand. It's the only brand my local
           | grocery store carries. It's a yellow carton with black
           | writing, if that helps. I'm too lazy to go walk into the
           | kitchen at the moment though.
        
             | chneu wrote:
             | Just Egg! Is the brand. It's really simple and easy to make
             | at home too. It's just mung beans and black salt blended
             | very well. You can bulk order yellow mung beans for super
             | cheap.
        
               | myvoiceismypass wrote:
               | The book "Making Vegan Meat" by Mark Thompson has a great
               | recipe for this (amongst other things). It was kinda wild
               | how easy it was to make well.
        
           | stickmangallows wrote:
           | I use different things based on what it's for. Ground flax
           | seeds for baking, aquafaba for souffles, tofu with black salt
           | for scrambles, "Just Egg!" for egg wash when frying, and
           | maple syrup for egg wash on breads. Of those, I mostly bake,
           | so keeping the flax seeds around is much more convenient for
           | me than regularly buying eggs anyway.
        
         | niceice wrote:
         | Did you find some that aren't filled with terrible oils and
         | other bad-for-you ingredients? I haven't in my area yet.
        
           | chneu wrote:
           | Just fyi the whole "vegan foods are full of toxins and
           | chemicals" is mostly nonsense pushed by the dairy and beef
           | industries. They've spent a lot of money paying fitness, alt-
           | right, and trad-wife influencers to push nonsense about vegan
           | foods.
           | 
           | The one I love is the "there will be mass famine" if everyone
           | goes vegan narrative that meat-heavy eaters like to talk
           | about.
        
             | niceice wrote:
             | Just fyi fake eggs and fake meat and fake butter are highly
             | processed and include bad ingredients like other highly
             | processed food.
        
               | hombre_fatal wrote:
               | Canola oil consumption is associated with same the human
               | health outcomes as olive oil.
               | 
               | Despite what you hear on social media, "seed oils" and
               | margarine (which doesn't have trans fats anymore) are
               | still preferable to butter.
               | 
               | People who really want butter and other foods to be good
               | for them tend to have a blind spot where if they convince
               | themselves that X is bad, then butter is good because
               | it's not X. And because of this, they weaken their
               | epistemic standard when it comes to proving that X is
               | bad, often satisfied with story-telling about how it must
               | be bad, because it's connected to their belief that not-X
               | is good. Just something I've noticed in the seed oils
               | social media fad.
        
         | camel-cdr wrote:
         | One packet of Kala Namak salt goes a long way.
        
           | hombre_fatal wrote:
           | This tofu scramble recipe became an instant staple in my
           | diet: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vc5pZ-PY-H8
           | 
           | Tastes more eggy and hearty than real eggs. And, like eggs,
           | it's a good base for throwing in other ingredients like
           | chopped tempeh, seitan, some sort of grain, mushrooms, etc.
           | 
           | It's a good gateway recipe into eating tofu in general.
        
         | pkaye wrote:
         | Which one do you use? I was looking up the Just Egg brand in
         | the US and it was more expensive than the free range chicken
         | eggs brand we use. We've been trying have a more plant based
         | diet but just stick with chicken eggs for now because we don't
         | use it every day.
        
       | joecool1029 wrote:
       | I live in NJ on some bird migration routes, the area I'm in has
       | nesting snow geese right now and they are infected, birds dead,
       | dying, and struggling to fly, some of the parks have been closed
       | to the public due to concern of it skipping to humans. There's at
       | least one large egg farm only around a 5 minute drive from this
       | flock (one of ISE's). I have no idea if it skipped in there but
       | given the short distance it's very possible.
        
       | colonial wrote:
       | Yup, bird flu moment. I'm very glad my family put up a chicken
       | coop in our backyard years ago; we get a ~carton a day, and they
       | last forever even outside the fridge due to the natural "sealant"
       | still being intact.
       | 
       | Hopefully store prices will come down as the year goes on and
       | flocks bounce back.
        
         | ars wrote:
         | The commercial eggs also last forever outside the fridge. That
         | thing about the natural sealant is a widely believed myth.
         | 
         | Source: I leave my commercial eggs outside the fridge, and they
         | last with zero problems.
        
           | declan_roberts wrote:
           | I don't think it's a myth compared to unwashed eggs.
           | 
           | You should try leaving washed eggs out on the counter for 20+
           | days (incubation for a chicken) and see.
        
             | ars wrote:
             | I've left them for 2 months (I found a big sale, so I
             | bought a bunch). The yolk broke easily when I opened the
             | egg, but it was perfectly fine to eat. And it was not small
             | and dried out as implied by someone in the thread.
        
             | bena wrote:
             | Are you implying that these eggs would incubate chicks? Or
             | are you using the incubation time as a sort of natural
             | timer? Like they _would_ last that long if they were
             | unwashed, but washed eggs wouldn 't last even the
             | incubation period.
        
           | bink wrote:
           | As I understand it this can be safe or not-so-safe depending
           | on where you live. If you're in the US you're likely buying
           | sanitized eggs, whereas that's not standard practice in most
           | other countries.
        
           | sva_ wrote:
           | > source: anecdote/survivorship bias
        
           | sethammons wrote:
           | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8561600/
           | 
           | what myth are you talking about?
           | 
           | The study found that washed eggs had higher bacterial counts
           | in their contents after storage compared to unwashed eggs,
           | particularly at higher temperatures. Key findings include:
           | 
           | Cold Storage (4degC for 8 weeks): There was no significant
           | difference in bacterial counts between washed and unwashed
           | eggs.
           | 
           | Warm Storage (30degC for 12 days): Washed eggs showed
           | significantly higher bacterial contamination, suggesting that
           | washing increased the likelihood of bacterial penetration.
           | 
           | Bacterial Types: The number of hemolytic bacteria and coli-
           | aerogenes was also higher in washed eggs.
        
         | gretch wrote:
         | I've been thinking about this for a while as well
         | 
         | A question if you have time to answer - How many birds per sq
         | meter do you have? What's your total land area? And how do you
         | deal with accumulation of chicken poop?
         | 
         | Thanks
        
           | jkestner wrote:
           | With a coop, it's a bit like a litter box. We put down hay,
           | and change it out with the poop every couple of weeks, into a
           | compost pile.
           | 
           | Chickens are way easier than a dog or cat day-to-day, with
           | distributed risk.
        
       | mcv wrote:
       | What's going on with eggs in the US? The whole world had high
       | inflation after Covid, so that's not US-specific, but eggs
       | tripling in price? That is extreme. I don't think my (Dutch,
       | free-range organic) eggs went up more than 25%.
        
         | idlewords wrote:
         | Bird flu is what's going on.
        
           | autoexec wrote:
           | It's just greed. A couple years ago Cal-Maine Foods, whose
           | birds were never infected at all, raised their prices anyway
           | and their profits went up 718%
           | https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/29/business/egg-profits-cal-
           | main...
        
             | dan-robertson wrote:
             | Why is it that egg producer greed/generosity matches well
             | with the times when there is an egg supply
             | shortage/surfeit?
        
               | autoexec wrote:
               | it doesn't. The largest egg producer in the nation had no
               | infected birds. There was no shortage. The companies just
               | conspired to restrict supply so that they could gouge
               | consumers and stuff their pockets. They were ordered to
               | pay millions in fines because of it
               | (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/egg-suppliers-ordered-to-
               | pay-17...)
               | 
               | They successfully tricked you into thinking that their
               | prices are set by supply and demand. They're probably not
               | the only company fooling you either. For just one other
               | example, literal tons of unsold/unworn, perfectly
               | wearable and desirable clothing gets shipped overseas,
               | burned, or thrown into the ocean or landfills. The excess
               | supply of clothing is so vast that it's now a form of
               | pollution (https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment
               | /article/chile...). If clothing prices were set by supply
               | and demand they'd be paying us to take the clothes off
               | the rack. Supply and demand are a good explanation of
               | economics for grade schoolers, but it doesn't explain the
               | world we live in.
        
               | renewiltord wrote:
               | You've got this great opportunity to outcompete Aritzia
               | and you're not doing it? They have no hold over you. When
               | they conspire, just don't play along, like Zuck rejected
               | Apple. Pick 50% their margin. You'll be a billionaire in
               | a year.
        
               | autoexec wrote:
               | Zuckerberg has no ethics and is just mad that apple's
               | lack of ethics isn't working in his favor. A businessman
               | with ethics has very little chance of dethroning an
               | entrenched cartel within a corrupt industry. The
               | hypothetical ethical business looking to outcompete their
               | rivals may be the only one willing to set fair prices,
               | but they also won't be able/willing to do what their
               | competitors do. They won't exploit
               | slaves/children/workers to make their products. They
               | won't bribe governments to pass laws and regulations to
               | keep out competition. They won't cut corners by using
               | poisons in their products and manufacturing knowing it
               | will harm their workers and consumers. They won't dump
               | their waste into the ocean and pollute the environment.
               | They won't collude to set prices, limit supply, or shut
               | out anyone who doesn't play along.
               | 
               | The idea that you can defeat greedy corporations just by
               | treating customers better is a fiction. There's always
               | more money to be made by screwing over everyone at every
               | opportunity, and there's no shortage of greedy people
               | willing to do exactly that. It's why we need the kinds of
               | laws, regulations, and enforcement that even the playing
               | field and allow ethical companies to thrive.
               | 
               | You can't jump into the middle of a rigged game where the
               | referees have been bought off and expect to win by
               | following all of the rules. You have to stop the cheaters
               | and the cheating first to even have a chance.
        
               | renewiltord wrote:
               | Oh I see. And how much would t-shirts made by this non-
               | slave ethical corporation be?
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | You can just pull this up in FRED and match the spikes to
               | HPAI outbreaks. People aren't making this up. If it's a
               | spurious correlation, it's a really weird and powerful
               | one.
        
               | autoexec wrote:
               | It's not a coincidence. Companies know that if they
               | suddenly raised the cost of their products 100% consumers
               | would protest. At a certain point people will notice that
               | they're being cheated and change their shopping habits
               | accordingly.
               | 
               | Companies use opportunities like bird flu outbreaks to
               | rip off consumers while deflecting blame. When the
               | nation's largest supplier of eggs didn't have a single
               | bird infected they still jacked up their prices and
               | colluded with other farms to keep prices high and supply
               | low because the news was constantly telling consumers
               | about bird flu and setting an expectation that prices
               | would be higher.
               | 
               | When the pandemic came, there were legitimate supply
               | chain issues and many companies took the opportunity to
               | appeal directly to their customers saying "We hate to
               | increase prices at a time when every household is
               | suffering, but we have no choice because of the supply
               | chain! We're all in this together!" and because consumers
               | knew we were in an unprecedented situation, while they
               | still weren't happy about the price increases, they
               | didn't blame the corporations for it.
               | 
               | The corporations however took advantage of the situation
               | and continued increasing prices far higher than they
               | needed to and for much longer than they needed to.
               | Consumers didn't start to catch on until much much later
               | when the news began reporting that all these companies
               | were making record breaking profits the entire time. Meat
               | packers for example had their profit margins increase
               | 300%. Unfortunately by then they'd already been working
               | hard to plant the idea that their high prices were caused
               | by the disaster relief checks that went out to households
               | during lockdowns. Then they blamed the "inflation" their
               | own greed was feeding to justify raising their prices
               | even higher. The more the news talked about inflation the
               | more companies could rip you off because the expectation
               | of higher prices was set.
               | 
               | The truth usually comes out eventually. Mostly when we
               | finally see what the profit margins look like. They can
               | hide some of it with clever investments and hollywood
               | accounting, but it's harder to hide the money they make
               | for shareholders and while they're doing everything they
               | can to trick the public into thinking that we should feel
               | sorry for them and sacrifice more for them, they're also
               | busy telling investors that they're pulling in record
               | profits and their pockets are overflowing with our cash.
        
               | tptacek wrote:
               | The entire egg industry is a conspiracy, like when that
               | one guy at ADM price-fixed the lysine industry, except
               | keyed to outbreaks of HPAI. I see.
        
               | soerxpso wrote:
               | Because to certain people, when a company lowers prices
               | to compete because of an increase in supply, it's the
               | competitive free market doing its things (not
               | generosity), but when they increase prices because of a
               | decrease in supply, it's greed.
        
               | autoexec wrote:
               | It's always greed. Companies will charge as much as they
               | possibly can while maximizing their profits. It doesn't
               | matter if the price of something goes up or down this
               | week, in either case the change only happens because the
               | company thinks they'll make more money by offering the
               | product at that new price.
        
         | empath75 wrote:
         | Bird flu
        
         | bluedino wrote:
         | Meanwhile, chicken prices haven't increased at KFC, Hooters, or
         | Popeyes.
        
           | ars wrote:
           | That's because chickens raised for meat don't live long
           | enough to be affected.
           | 
           | A second reason is because chickens get sick by contact with
           | wild bids, due to free range laws for egg laying chickens.
           | 
           | Meat chickens don't go outside, they are kept in large barns,
           | although without the pens and egg collection of their egg
           | laying sisters. So they are not affected.
        
         | liminal-dev wrote:
         | A sign of what's to come.
        
         | brendoelfrendo wrote:
         | An avian influenza outbreak has killed roughly 20 million
         | chickens so far and is not yet over.
        
         | tzs wrote:
         | Massive bird flu outbreak that has killed many egg laying
         | chickens and required euthanizing many more to try to contain
         | the spread.
         | 
         | In just the last 3 months over 30 million chickens were killed,
         | which is about 10% of the total US egg laying chicken
         | population. Overall the US has lost so far something like 40%
         | of its egg laying chickens.
        
           | dkjaudyeqooe wrote:
           | I guess the flu hasn't made it to the EU, large eggs at Lidl
           | have been about 28 cents each for many months now.
        
             | stevenwoo wrote:
             | Bird flu in the US has spread to wild animals and other
             | species of wild and domesticated animals so it is very
             | widespread, also there is a vaccine but poultry farms
             | refuse to use it because of cost and it would make the
             | meat/eggs not suitable for export, poultry producers have
             | resorted to making their poultry farms as clean as
             | possible, washing trucks that come onto property, making
             | employees wash and wear protective clothing to prevent
             | contamination and the disease still makes it onto these
             | farms. The method we used last time we had bird flu
             | pandemic on poultry farms was mass culling of flocks that
             | had any infected birds, but it has not worked for long this
             | time so the cycle of kill flock, clean everything out,
             | raise new birds raises long term capital costs for poultry
             | farmers in USA.
        
         | barbarr wrote:
         | Bird flu, made worse by concentrated farming of chickens. Those
         | operations are basically disease factories and some bird flus
         | come from them.
        
           | ars wrote:
           | That's actually not true.
           | 
           | Bird flu comes from wild birds, not factory farming. Chickens
           | get it when wild birds land near them due to free range laws.
           | 
           | The solution (possibly temporary) is to confine the chickens
           | in sealed buildings so they can't contact the wild birds.
        
             | misantroop wrote:
             | And the reason why it spreads so well is still concentrated
             | industrial farming.
        
               | ars wrote:
               | No, that's simply not true. It's being spread by wild
               | birds, not concentrated farming.
               | 
               | I know people love to blame "big anything", but it's just
               | not true here.
               | 
               | Here's a source:
               | 
               | https://www.cdc.gov/bird-flu/virus-transmission/avian-in-
               | bir...
               | 
               | "Domesticated birds (chickens, turkeys, ducks, etc.) may
               | become infected with avian influenza A viruses through
               | direct contact with infected waterfowl or other infected
               | poultry, or through contact with surfaces that have been
               | contaminated with the viruses."
        
               | miltonlost wrote:
               | "Domesticated chickens may become infected by wild
               | waterfowl or by other infected poultry", and other
               | infected poultry includes domesticated chickens. Nowhere
               | in that web page does it say that domesticated chickens
               | cannot spread it to other domesticated chickens. Once a
               | domesticated chicken becomes infected (however it became
               | infected) in a massive concentrated area, it will spread
               | that infection to other domesticated chickens. You're
               | conflating "spreading across chicken farms by flight"
               | with "spreading within chicken farms by already infected
               | chickens" and saying the first is true so therefore the
               | second can be.
        
               | ars wrote:
               | I'm not conflating it. Spread with Avian flu means to
               | other places. A single chicken in a farm means ALL
               | chickens will get it. That's such a trivial thing, it's
               | not even worth noting.
               | 
               | What matters is how does it _spread_.
               | 
               | I think what's confusing you is that there are diseases
               | where a single infected animal does NOT mean all animals
               | will get it, and in those cases the more concentrated the
               | farm the higher percent of other animals will get it.
               | 
               | That exists. But it's not the case here. Here it's 100%,
               | doesn't matter if it's a concentrated farm, or a pastoral
               | farm with chickens walking in the house.
        
               | danem wrote:
               | So you're suggesting there's some other viable model of
               | egg production that would deliver eggs at 2021 prices?
               | People want cheap eggs. Saying, "well if we just adopted
               | a decentralized, more resource intensive model we
               | wouldn't have problems with bird flu" doesn't address
               | that concern.
        
               | sethammons wrote:
               | I think it was Food, Inc, a documentary from a number of
               | years ago. Joel Salatin of Polyface Farms talks about
               | factory farming and Salatin often argues that industrial
               | farming is not necessarily more cost-effective and that
               | his method is both profitable and environmentally
               | sustainable.
        
         | doctorpangloss wrote:
         | People keep fucking buying them!
        
         | rsynnott wrote:
         | Bird flu. Though, also, US inflation was _somewhat_ worse than
         | Eurozone inflation (Eurozone peaked higher but rose later and
         | fell faster).
        
         | pessimizer wrote:
         | Price fixing under the cover of catastrophes, such as covid and
         | bird flu. Frozen potatoes did the same thing over the past few
         | years, without any excuse and without the prices of unfrozen
         | potatoes going up similarly.
         | 
         | I think the industry has decided that a dozen eggs are going to
         | retail for $5, just because it's a nice round number that will
         | have "support." A few months of paying $8-9 for them will make
         | it seem like a drop to $5 is going back to normal, and make $2
         | eggs seem like a misremembered dream.
         | 
         | https://www.newsweek.com/kroger-executive-admits-company-gou...
         | 
         | https://apnews.com/article/egg-producers-price-gouging-lawsu...
         | 
         | -----
         | 
         | edit: (2023) https://farmaction.us/wp-
         | content/uploads/2023/01/Farm-Action...
         | 
         | > The first case of avian flu in a commercial table-egg layer
         | facility was detected on February 22 in Delaware. Over the
         | ensuing Spring season, avian flu outbreaks would be reported in
         | 10 states and result in the loss of 30.7 million egg-laying
         | hens. After the end of May, however, avian flu discoveries
         | would slow down dramatically. Notably, no hen losses were
         | reported after the beginning of June except due to sporadic
         | outbreaks in September, October, and November. All in all, the
         | total number of egg-laying hens lost to avian flu in 2022 was
         | around 43 million birds. Although these figures seem to support
         | the theory that the avian flu outbreak of 2022 was significant,
         | its actual impact on the egg supply was minimal. After
         | accounting for chicks hatched during the year, the average size
         | of the egg-laying flock in any given month of 2022 was never
         | more than 7-8 percent lower than it was a year prior -- and in
         | all but two months was never more than 6 percent lower.
         | 
         | > Moreover, the effect of the loss of egg-laying hens on
         | production was itself blunted by "record-high" lay rates
         | observed among remaining hens throughout the year. With total
         | flock size substantially unaffected by the avian flu and lay
         | rates between one and four percent higher than the average rate
         | observed between 2017 and 2021, the industry's quarterly egg
         | production experienced no substantial decline in 2022 compared
         | to 2021.
         | 
         | > [...]
         | 
         | > Contrary to industry narratives, the increase in the price of
         | eggs has not been an "Act of God" -- it has been simple
         | profiteering. _For the 26-week period ending on November 26,
         | 2022, Cal-Maine reported a ten-fold year-over-year increase in
         | gross profits -- from $50.392 million to $535.339 million --
         | and a five-fold increase in its gross margins._ Notably, Cal-
         | Maine's gross profits increased in lockstep with rising egg
         | prices through every quarter of the year -- going from nearly
         | $92 million in the quarter ending on February 26, 2022, to
         | approximately $195 million in the quarter ending on May 28,
         | 2022, to more than $217 million in the quarter ending on August
         | 27, 2022, to just under $318 million in the quarter ending on
         | November 26, 2022. The company's gross margins likewise
         | increased steadily, from a little over 19 percent in the first
         | quarter of 2022 (a 45 percent year-over-year increase) to
         | nearly 40 percent in the last quarter of 2022 (a 345 percent
         | year-over-year increase).
        
       | bluedino wrote:
       | Michigan here, this is has been made worse by a new law requiring
       | all eggs to be 'cage-free'. I think I paid $9 for the cheap
       | store-brand eggs (18) last week.
       | 
       | And that is, if they even have any eggs at the store. I've been
       | to Wal-mart and Kroger when the entire section is empty with a
       | sign saying there are egg supply issues.
       | 
       | It's also winter so my 'chicken farmer friends' are low on eggs,
       | when it's cold the chickens don't lay nearly as many.
       | 
       | https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2024/12/18/m...
        
         | epistasis wrote:
         | How does cage free make this worse? The supply shortages are
         | coming from avian flu in every report I have heard.
        
           | bavarianbob wrote:
           | It's another requirement to comply with. More work for the
           | producer == higher cost for the consumer.
        
             | epistasis wrote:
             | But the claim is that the shortage has been made worse by
             | cage free laws. Any higher cost from cage free laws would
             | already have been part of the price.
        
               | bluedino wrote:
               | I'm saying the prices are what's been made worse. But
               | suppliers haven't converted over so that doesn't help the
               | shortage.
        
             | mullingitover wrote:
             | When California's anti animal cruelty measure went into
             | effect the price difference was negligible.
             | 
             | Thus stuff is not related, wild to see people trying to
             | conflate it.
        
           | mcmcmc wrote:
           | It increases the cost of egg production which shifts the
           | supply curve left raising the market clearing price. If it
           | were cheaper then all egg producers would be doing it.
        
           | AuryGlenz wrote:
           | Well, that'd depend on the law's definition of a cage but
           | it's a hell of a lot easier to protect chickens that are
           | fully enclosed vs those that are free range.
        
             | willis936 wrote:
             | This is a very wrong interpretation of a cage. Cages are
             | matrices of 3 cubic foot volumes with a few pieces of wire
             | separating them. All but the top row are toilets.
             | 
             | Edit: the toilet thing is what I've seen for transport in
             | open-trucks. For most of their lives they're just crammed
             | horizontally.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battery_cage
        
             | carb wrote:
             | That's true when you're talking about foxes and wolves, but
             | not if you're talking about an airborne flu.
             | 
             | Rows of adjacent cages keeping groups of chickens in close
             | proximity with each other with shared air.
        
               | AuryGlenz wrote:
               | Many cage free chickens are also free range chickens,
               | where they can roam outside. That massively increases
               | their chances of picking up the bird flu, as opposed to
               | those they are inside all day.
               | 
               | I'm not advocating for one or the other, just explaining.
               | Even cage free chickens will come into close enough
               | proximity where they will all die if just one chicken
               | picks up the flu. It's incredibly virulent.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _That massively increases their chances of picking up
               | the bird flu, as opposed to those they are inside all
               | day_
               | 
               | Are they getting bird flu at a higher frequency?
        
               | AuryGlenz wrote:
               | I'm in a turkey producing area - one of the largest in
               | the country. What helped massively in 2015 was to simply
               | put fine netting over the windows to the turkey barns,
               | keeping other birds and at least some of their excrement
               | out.
               | 
               | This is from Australia, but whatever:
               | 
               | "In Australia, indoor and free-range poultry, are at risk
               | of contracting avian influenza due direct and indirect
               | contact with waterfowl who may carry avian influenza
               | virus in their nasal and eye discharge or faeces, farming
               | and biosecurity practices.
               | 
               | Indoor (barn or shed) systems limit poultry from direct
               | exposure to wild birds, but these are not immune to avian
               | influenza risks due to indirect contact. This is because
               | equipment, vehicles and human movements between farms can
               | introduce the virus indoors, in particular when on-farm
               | dams or open water sources act as a permanent residence
               | for waterfowl.
               | 
               | Birds with outdoor access (free range) are at risk of
               | coming into direct or indirect contact with wild
               | waterfowl. Vegetated range areas may attract waterfowl,
               | in particular if poultry are given feed or water
               | outdoors. In free-range production systems, producers
               | should therefore focus on managing these systems to
               | reduce the risk of avian influenza."
               | 
               | https://kb.rspca.org.au/knowledge-base/what-is-the-risk-
               | of-f...
        
               | albedoa wrote:
               | You really, really need to be citing your sources. You
               | have been bouncing back and forth between sounding
               | authoritative and making assumptions or asking questions
               | (or just being plain wrong).
        
               | AuryGlenz wrote:
               | I'm in a major turkey producing area and my wife worked
               | for a national turkey producing company for 10 years. In
               | 2015 it was all anyone heard about around here for
               | months.
               | 
               | Granted, I don't know much about chickens, but a lot of
               | this is common sense. I'm not sure what you think I'm
               | wrong about.
        
               | AuryGlenz wrote:
               | Typical cage-free chickens are almost as cramped, they're
               | just not (cruelly) confined to a cage. They're still
               | sharing the same air. If one bird gets it in either
               | situation the whole flock will need to be culled, as
               | they're all going to die (more painfully) regardless.
        
             | mullingitover wrote:
             | Caged vs cage free chickens are getting bird flu at about
             | the same rate though, so this claim doesn't really add up.
             | It's not like the caged chickens are in hermetically sealed
             | chambers their whole lives, they're shoulder to shoulder
             | with some wire between them.
        
           | StefanBatory wrote:
           | Could be that normally this wouldn't have caused much
           | shortage or price increase, but that in conjunction with
           | avian flu it escalated.
        
         | uticus wrote:
         | seems such laws would benefit the prices in neighboring areas,
         | as 'non-cage-free' producers seek available markets. but i have
         | not seen this to be the case, strangely.
        
           | boothby wrote:
           | Monopolies have no incentive to lower prices.
        
         | rafram wrote:
         | If it were actually impossible to have affordable eggs without
         | confining chickens to tiny cages for their entire lives, that
         | would be a damning indictment of our entire food system.
         | 
         | But luckily that isn't actually the case. The price difference
         | between cage-free and "caged" eggs is negligible. I'm in New
         | York City, not known for its local egg production, and I can
         | still get cage-free eggs for $4/dozen. Kroker/Walmart is just
         | ripping you off.
        
           | ge96 wrote:
           | I think the most brutal thing is when the male chicks are
           | immediately sent into a shredder damn. Out of sight out of
           | mind
           | 
           | That's where I can be a proponent of lab-grown meat without
           | consciousness
        
             | toast0 wrote:
             | Sure, it's brutal; but roosters don't get along. You would
             | have to have a huge amount of space to raise all the males.
             | For mammals, you can castrate the males and raise them for
             | meat, but that's not feasable for birds.
        
               | ge96 wrote:
               | A messed up thought is I wonder if they have looked at
               | trying to get chickens to produce only female chicks not
               | sure how some hormone or the eggs are injected without
               | compromising integrity
        
               | toast0 wrote:
               | Looking around, this seems like an area with a lot of
               | interest (for a long time, usda has a description of a
               | pamphlet from 1921 [1]).
               | 
               | Here's a scientific looking study about adjusting
               | incubation temperature in Korat Chickens. [2]
               | 
               | TLDR: higher than standard temperature results in similar
               | hatch percentage, but more genetic female, morphological
               | male chicks. Lower than standard temperature results in a
               | lower hatch rate, but more genetic male, morphological
               | female chicks.
               | 
               | I saw some less scientific articles that attributed
               | higher surviving female chicks at lower incubation
               | temperature to male chicks being less likely to survive
               | in those conditions, but since this paper did genetic
               | analysis, it appears there's some amount of temperature
               | dependent sex determination in addition to genetic sex
               | determination. I didn't look around to see if I could
               | find a paper showing this in more typical US livestock
               | breeds of chickens, and at least from these results, it
               | seems like while the proportion of female to male chicks
               | increased, the number of female chicks at 5 weeks after
               | hatching, did not due to differences in mortality.
               | 
               | I also saw a news release about giving the mothers stress
               | hormone and seeing more female chicks, but that
               | artificial hormones is not acceptable practice in the
               | poultry industry, so they were looking for other ways to
               | induce that reaction. [3]
               | 
               | I also saw some references to determining (presumably
               | genetic) sex before hatching, which could lead to earlier
               | intervention, which may be more humane. It didn't look
               | like there was anything definite there, but I'm going to
               | stop going down the rabbit hole here.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.nal.usda.gov/exhibits/ipd/frostonchickens
               | /exhibi...
               | 
               | [2] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S03
               | 0645652...
               | 
               | [3] https://www.poultryworld.net/health-
               | nutrition/stressful-bird...
        
               | returningfory2 wrote:
               | My understanding is that the main improvement being
               | implemented is determining the sex before the eggs hatch,
               | and destroying the eggs.
        
               | riffraff wrote:
               | > For mammals, you can castrate the males and raise them
               | for meat, but that's not feasable for birds.
               | 
               | capons? We've been doing it for millennia.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capon
               | 
               | EDIT: possibly you meant non-feasible since it's too
               | expensive anyway, which it probably is.
        
             | rsync wrote:
             | You should see what the roosters do when we let them
             | live...
        
             | petsfed wrote:
             | My rooster was a jerk, but he deserved to die the way he
             | did, which was the way he lived: picking fights with things
             | that could kill him in an instant if they bothered to care.
             | I'm glad that he died fighting the beak and talons of an
             | osprey or bald eagle, and not to the remorseless (literal)
             | machinery of market efficiency.
        
         | heywire wrote:
         | Just paid $3.59/doz at Kroger here in Ohio about an hour ago
         | (plain store brand). They were stocked pretty well.
        
       | SG- wrote:
       | eggs in Canada are still $4CAD/dozen which is $2.80 USD. Canadian
       | egg producers have smaller and spread out farms preventing
       | disease spread along with better supply issues overall.
        
         | ars wrote:
         | I wonder if that's a geographical thing, with fewer infected
         | wild birds in Canada.
         | 
         | The disease is not spreading due to factory farms, large or
         | small, it's spreading via wild birds.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _Canadian egg producers have smaller and spread out farms
         | preventing disease spread_
         | 
         | Canadian and Mexican egg producers vaccinate their chickens
         | [1].
         | 
         | This isn't a story about industrial farming. It's about animal
         | vaccine requirements and trade protectionism banning Canadian
         | and Mexican eggs from the American supply chain.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.slowboring.com/p/the-case-for-vaccinating-
         | chicke...
        
           | pkaye wrote:
           | Based on this article, there are other trade agreements which
           | limit use of these vaccines.
           | 
           | > This intersects with Craig's main point -- if we started
           | vaccinating chickens, it would kill our poultry exports:
           | 
           | > The biggest sticking point is around trade. The US exported
           | more than $5 billion in poultry meat and products on average
           | every year for the past three years. The USDA enters into
           | trade agreements with each individual country it trades with,
           | explained Upali Galketi Aratchilage, a senior economist at
           | the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
           | Each agreement outlines specific biosafety and production
           | requirements that both countries agree to follow. The USDA
           | said, in an email to Vox, that many of those agreements do
           | not allow bird flu vaccination.
        
       | davidw wrote:
       | I've been fiddling around with the Albertsons API for fun. It's
       | kind of neat to see a whole year's worth of purchases in nicely
       | formatted JSON.
       | 
       | I have half an idea to create something like a personal inflation
       | tracker, but I'm still thinking about it.
       | 
       | It's entirely possible that these goons will start fiddling with
       | official statistics around things like unemployment and inflation
       | to tell us that inflation is not actually happening any more and
       | that therefore we must cut interest rates, or some such.
        
         | crtez wrote:
         | Is it an official API? I'm not able to find any links about it,
         | if you could provide some I'd love to look into my own
         | purchases.
        
           | araes wrote:
           | It's apparently an API, although it's both difficult to find,
           | and apparently only available through an email request to
           | Albertsons. The website is here:
           | 
           | https://www.albertsonscompanies.com/amc/
           | 
           | The email request is at the bottom. mediacollective at
           | albertsons
        
             | davidw wrote:
             | I was actually just looking at the calls the web site makes
             | to a back end and using that.
        
           | davidw wrote:
           | If you get in touch with me (email or Blue Sky DM) I would be
           | happy to think about how to share what I have so far,
           | although it's not much at all.
        
         | duxup wrote:
         | Changing data doesn't seem like their style, I suspect the
         | pattern for this administration (based on past history):
         | 
         | 1. Simply drop the topic and ignore it / drop the topic
         | (arresting Hillary, china tariffs, etc).
         | 
         | 2. Declare the problem fixed and again ignore it.
         | 
         | 3. Blame the boogieman of the moment.
         | 
         | And as usual just behave like children in order to fill the
         | airways / distract.
        
           | 9283409232 wrote:
           | Trump's last administration drew on a NOAA hurricane map with
           | a sharpie to try to convince people he was not wrong about a
           | hurricane path. Changing data is his style.
        
             | duxup wrote:
             | I honestly think that one was ignorance more than direct
             | malice. I think he is in fact as ignorant / incurious as he
             | seems.
        
               | 9283409232 wrote:
               | Both are bad. Trump was wrong because he was speaking on
               | outdated information but he wouldn't accept that he was
               | wrong so his administration created some data so he could
               | say he was right.
        
               | duxup wrote:
               | Certainly bad. Arguably stupid is even more dangerous.
        
               | jcranmer wrote:
               | > he was speaking on outdated information
               | 
               | I don't think there was _ever_ any information, outdated
               | or otherwise, that suggested that the hurricane was going
               | to hit Alabama. The theory I 've heard that the makes the
               | most sense is that Trump saw a report about the damage it
               | was going to inflict on the Bahamas, mixed up Alabama and
               | Bahamas, tweeted condolences to Alabama, and the
               | administration tried to defend his mix-up by concocting
               | fake information to explain it.
               | 
               | (In many respects, if he had just quietly dropped the
               | matter, it would have been largely ignored since it was
               | cleared up pretty quickly; it was the childish response
               | to try to justify why it wasn't a mistake that made it
               | such an issue.)
        
               | chneu wrote:
               | Stop making excuses for an abuser who has repeatedly
               | shown he isn't as stupid as he'd like you to think he is.
        
               | duxup wrote:
               | It's not "making excuses" I genuinely think what I said.
               | 
               | This kinda recrimination and such aren't helping
               | anything.
        
               | ModernMech wrote:
               | What was your purpose in saying you think it's ignorance
               | more than malice? What did you actually want to
               | communicate with that statement?
        
               | duxup wrote:
               | I intended to convey that I think it was more likely
               | ignorance than malice.
        
               | unregistereddev wrote:
               | I would venture a guess that they wanted to communicate
               | their opinion that it's ignorance more than malice.
               | 
               | Please do not escalate into a flame war.
        
         | rcpt wrote:
         | It'll be funny when crypto people's "Truflation" reveals that
         | the pro-crypto government caused more inflation than anyone.
        
         | kobalsky wrote:
         | > It's entirely possible that these goons will start fiddling
         | with official statistics around things like unemployment and
         | inflation to tell us that inflation is not actually happening
         | any more and that therefore we must cut interest rates, or some
         | such.
         | 
         | in the end statistics is a science, and results can be cross-
         | referenced with independent sources.
         | 
         | you may get away with a bit, but not with much [1].
         | 
         | [1]: https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/economy/argentina-loses-
         | bid-...
        
           | anigbrowl wrote:
           | Don't rely on this. It works when bad actors are isolated and
           | hoping nobody will notice, but not so well when there are
           | tens of millions ready to repeat the official line, whether
           | they believe it or not.
        
         | pton_xd wrote:
         | > It's entirely possible that these goons will start fiddling
         | with official statistics around things like unemployment and
         | inflation to tell us that inflation is not actually happening
         | any more and that therefore we must cut interest rates, or some
         | such.
         | 
         | Like when the BLS overstated payrolls by 818k!! in March of
         | last year, the largest negative revision in 15 years? And then
         | the Fed did an emergency 50bps rate cut in September just as
         | payrolls unexpectedly went up 250k and inflation seems to be
         | coming back.
         | 
         | The unemployment and inflation data has been inconsistent for a
         | while now.
        
           | johnnyanmac wrote:
           | https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/04/job-openings-decline-
           | sharply...
           | 
           | https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm
           | 
           | Still happening. We sure have been suddenly wild unaccirate
           | with the job market while the Feds need to keep saying
           | "everything is fine but...".
        
           | relaxing wrote:
           | > Like when the BLS overstated payrolls by 818k!!
           | 
           | So one Meta SRE? Is this supposed to be a lot?
        
             | dmoy wrote:
             | 818k jobs, not 818k USD
             | 
             | https://www.bls.gov/ces/notices/2024/2024-preliminary-
             | benchm...
             | 
             | They're usually within +/- 0.1% for the estimate, that time
             | it was 0.5% off
        
         | thuanao wrote:
         | You may be interested to know MIT did a project called ["The
         | Billion Prices Project"](https://thebillionpricesproject.com)
         | to scrape the web and calculate CPI.
         | 
         | Sorry to all the tinfoil hats, it closely matched official CPI.
        
           | jorblumesea wrote:
           | for now, wait until the Trump admin gets into full gear
        
           | UltraSane wrote:
           | It will be interesting if that is the case by this time in
           | 2026,2027, and 2028
        
       | JumpCrisscross wrote:
       | "H5N1 has not been spiking the Mexican chicken industry because
       | Mexico vaccinates its birds. This has a certain up-front cost,
       | but it also means they don't need to do flock-wide cullings any
       | time a bird tests positive" [1].
       | 
       | I don't think we need to vaccinate all our chickens. But we
       | clearly need to vaccinate a resilient core to stabilise egg
       | prices.
       | 
       | (The author also said "Americans in border states were driving to
       | Mexico to buy eggs and bringing them back home," nothing that
       | "this is illegal, so please don't do it." Egg prices, like
       | housing prices, are a policy choice. Not an act of god. In the
       | case of eggs, we favour protecting domestic production over
       | consumer prices.)
       | 
       | https://www.slowboring.com/p/the-case-for-vaccinating-chicke...
        
       | OnionBlender wrote:
       | From September 2020:
       | 
       | Trump administration rolls back U.S. inspection rules for egg
       | products.
       | 
       | https://www.reuters.com/article/markets/commodities/trump-ad...
        
         | pton_xd wrote:
         | > The change, first proposed in 2018, makes inspections
         | consistent with those for meat and poultry products, said Paul
         | Kiecker, administrator of USDA's Food Safety and Inspection
         | Service. Inspectors will operate under a "patrol" system, in
         | which they will cover multiple plants each day, he said.
         | 
         | > "We feel very confident that, based on the once per shift
         | that we have them there, we'll still be able to verify that
         | they're producing safe product," he said.
         | 
         | So, what's the issue here?
        
       | joe8756438 wrote:
       | I've got a flock, not counting infrastructure my costs are tied
       | directly to feed. I source local non-gmo and herbicide free
       | grains. My cost is about $3/doz. It's unusual to be so close to a
       | farm that produces the variety of grain at that level of quality.
       | 
       | A local farm that produces on a large scale and sources grain
       | from the same farm charges $8/doz. Seems totally fair, if not a
       | little too cheap.
        
         | IncreasePosts wrote:
         | Are you counting your labor and coops as free?
        
         | chneu wrote:
         | Almost nobody has the space/time/money/skills to do this.
        
       | ge96 wrote:
       | I rarely eat eggs so haven't been paying attention to it
       | 
       | I pretty much eat the same thing everyday: packaged peanuts
       | (spicy ones), microwave single piece of batch baked chicken,
       | frozen vegetables, brown rice, throw some terriyaki and soy suace
       | on it boom, lazy meal. The peanuts are $0.69 each
        
         | rafram wrote:
         | Well, it beats Soylent.
        
           | ge96 wrote:
           | I was not aware of the bird flu bit, I just knew about "Trump
           | promising egg prices will go down" seemed like a diversion to
           | the other BS he's pulling
        
       | belter wrote:
       | "Average Price: Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S.
       | City Average": https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111
        
       | mym1990 wrote:
       | Has the cost of chickens increased as well? Maybe its time to
       | take production in house
        
       | andsoitis wrote:
       | Get your own chickens.
        
         | anthomtb wrote:
         | No. I use like 3 eggs a week. Not worth the effort.
        
       | colordrops wrote:
       | I'll be that guy. No sympathy at all for those exploiting these
       | birds. Hope the price goes to infinity.
        
       | miki123211 wrote:
       | IMO, price comparisons are a very misleading signal if you want
       | to understand what's really happening in the world. They tell you
       | that something is now more expensive, but not whether that's due
       | to external events, evil corporations, evil corporations blaming
       | external events, or some mix of the three.
       | 
       | What you really want to look at is costs, income and profit
       | margins in the supply chain, which prices are a direct result of.
        
       | FuriouslyAdrift wrote:
       | New commercial egg laying hatchlings start producing at around 16
       | weeks
        
       | TheRealPomax wrote:
       | So: "black-out factory farm eggs doubled in price". Sounds like a
       | good opportunity to finally ban black-out factory farming?
        
       | cmrdporcupine wrote:
       | I found this article today in the CBC about why Canada's egg
       | prices have remained reasonable while the neighbouring US has
       | gone crazy interesting: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/egg-
       | prices-avian-flu-canada-u...
       | 
       | TLDR: 1) we still have a bird flu problem, but have smaller
       | flocks in the farms, so the impact of having to do a cull is far
       | far less and
       | 
       | 2) we have supply-management for poultry and eggs and dairy
       | (basically a form of central economic planning around a quota
       | system) ... which in good times is a rip-off for consumers [and
       | some farmers] but in bad times... turns out to provide some value
       | (which is why it was rolled out in the first place)
        
       | latentcall wrote:
       | I highly highly recommend keeping chickens for those with the
       | ability, space, and time to care for them. You don't need acres.
       | I was able to do it on a 1/4 acre in my city and as long as you
       | follow the local ordinance you'll be fine. Getting a half dozen
       | eggs a day at this moment. Happy to answer questions if anybody
       | has any. Been keeping chickens in town for 3 years.
        
         | bombcar wrote:
         | I'll just add that the coop is for _you_ to look at. The
         | _chickens_ don 't need anything fancy, so you can build one out
         | of nearly anything.
         | 
         | Neighbors might complain if it looks really weird or run-down.
        
       | pessimizer wrote:
       | If you want to be frugal with egg use, Chia seeds work great as
       | an egg substitute in cookies (and other things.)
       | 
       | https://chiaseeds.us/chia-seed-replacement-for-egg/
        
       | abeppu wrote:
       | Setting aside the recent price increase, I'm shocked that their
       | data shows a price of 0.77 in May 2023. A dozen eggs for less
       | than a dollar, and that was after the worst official inflation
       | had already happened?
        
         | rafram wrote:
         | From the page:
         | 
         | > according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that
         | tracks the benchmark market for this commodity
         | 
         | You aren't buying eggs on a commodities exchange, you're buying
         | them at the grocery store. There's a lot of overhead between
         | the eggs being sold wholesale as a commodity and the eggs
         | making it to your front door in neat little cartons.
        
       | yapyap wrote:
       | 7 buckaroos for 12 eggs?? can any American in here confirm those
       | prices? are they real?
        
         | fred_is_fred wrote:
         | Yes
        
       | wnevets wrote:
       | "Just let me know how much I should be contributing to my child's
       | egg fund."
        
       | culi wrote:
       | Similarly, GasBuddy uses crowd-sourced data from their app and
       | exposes that data here:
       | 
       | https://www.gasbuddy.com/charts
        
       | charlie0 wrote:
       | Meanwhile, over here in Costa Rica, I've just bought 6 eggs for
       | about $1.50 USD and that's the convenience store price. They are
       | cheaper at the super market.
        
         | Aurornis wrote:
         | The price is a proxy for Bird Flu activity multiplied by the
         | intensity of regulations around bird flu incidents.
         | 
         | So either your area has low incidence of bird flu, low
         | regulations around bird flu, or both.
         | 
         | We have high prices because the regulations are strict around
         | dealing with bird flu detections. I wouldn't necessarily
         | interpret low prices as a good thing without the big picture.
        
       | blondie9x wrote:
       | The impacts of climate change are real. We have known for a long
       | time that as the climate worsened animals would be more
       | vulnerable to illness that live outside and have to deal with a
       | destabilizing environment.
        
       | nemo44x wrote:
       | I was at a local Costco and the eggs were just completely raided
       | and people were lined up grabbing as many cartons as allowed (3).
       | Organic eggs were all gone and only free range were available.
       | 
       | It makes you really realize how fragile supply can be, even for
       | domestic products.
        
       | hammock wrote:
       | We could get eggs for 40c a dozen 6 years ago?
        
       | TriangleEdge wrote:
       | Why is there a spike every two years?
        
       | chung8123 wrote:
       | When did we become obsessed with egg prices? Even at their
       | current levels they are a relatively cheap meal.
        
       | aucisson_masque wrote:
       | Lots of people suggesting to build chicken coop. i have one, sure
       | it's not much work. 2 minutes every day to grab the egg and bring
       | the food and water, but then every 3 year you got to take the
       | hatchet, grab each chicken, cut right on the neck and then hang
       | it with it's feet while it's bleeding out and flapping its wings.
       | 
       | then there are the few occasion where you miss with the hatchet
       | and it cuts half its neck, its head hanging down, attached by a
       | quarter of the neck from it's body with the blood jumping out and
       | the chicken running in circle for quite a lot of time.
       | 
       | it's also rare but sometimes even when you cut perfectly, the
       | chicken will manage to get out of your hand and again you got to
       | watch a headless chicken running in circle for some time.
       | 
       | If you are the kind of animal loving people in city, i'm not sure
       | it's worth it.
       | 
       | bonus point, in summer you get a lot of fly because of the
       | chicken shit, they reproduce in that. you can get in there and
       | clean it everyday but it's a lot of work, and fly traps barely
       | works when the heat is shinning strongly on the chicken shit. fly
       | reproduce too damn quick.
       | 
       | Also chicken have hierarchy where all the up top chicken will
       | bite on the ass of the chicken under it, so if you are the top
       | chicken you got a nice ass but the one at the bottom it has a
       | bleedy ass and sometimes they manage to kill them.
       | 
       | if you got to buy another chicken to replace it, it may not be
       | accepted by the old one and so again -> bottom hierarchy, death
       | by ass biting lol. it's funny but it significantly decrease the
       | economic worthiness when you got to replace you chicken once in a
       | while.
       | 
       | Beside i don't know what you do with chicken corpse in city, you
       | aren't going to put it in recycling can.
       | 
       | Support your local farmer.
        
         | catlikesshrimp wrote:
         | The axe blow is the fastest method when you have to kill
         | several chickens.
         | 
         | Alternatively, use a very sharp kitchen axe against a wooden
         | plank. Place the chicken's neck between the axe and the plank
         | and hammer the axe. This is the slow approach
         | 
         | Alternatively, use a long sharp blade to sever the neck the
         | same way you would slice a cucumber, with a fast sliding cut.
        
       | mythrwy wrote:
       | Some people can't keep chickens because of city or HOA
       | regulations or because of space requirements, but they would like
       | to.
       | 
       | A good option for those people might be Coturnix quail. Quail
       | eggs are especially delicious, and so are quail (if you can
       | stomach cleaning them, it is pretty easy). These birds take up a
       | very little space and are extremely quiet. Eggs are about 1/3 the
       | size of chicken eggs. It's a really good way to sustainably have
       | top quality eggs in a suburban setting (and possibly even
       | indoors).
       | 
       | We keep chickens and wouldn't go back to store bought eggs even
       | if they were 50 cents a dozen. Not the same egg. It is a little
       | bit of work, but not bad once you are set up. It helps that we
       | are also avid gardeners and so chickens get a lot of waste and
       | greens (which also makes much nicer eggs).
        
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