[HN Gopher] Doorbell camera catches rare footage of meteorite st...
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       Doorbell camera catches rare footage of meteorite striking home's
       front walkway
        
       Author : hodgesrm
       Score  : 100 points
       Date   : 2025-01-25 14:45 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.cnn.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.cnn.com)
        
       | andrewfromx wrote:
       | that's insane! What is the speed its going?
        
         | lucb1e wrote:
         | TL;DR some 200 km/h
         | 
         | The article says some 20 km/s, but that's its speed in space.
         | The video is crap (just repeats the same footage four times, no
         | slow motion) but downloading that m3u8 with yt-dlp and running
         | it frame by frame in mpv: it shows up on one frame (well, two
         | because it does interlacing) and then there's already a dust
         | plume. The camera looks pretty high up, maybe 3 meters? With it
         | first appearing roughly in front of the camera (vertically),
         | that would mean a lower bound of 3 meters in 1/30th of a
         | second, or 1/15th if this interlacing makes it 15fps in reality
         | which I suspect, meaning somewhere north of 324 or 162 km/h in
         | either scenario
         | 
         | It looks like a decent-sized stone to me on that one frame,
         | maybe the size of one's hand? Call it a 15cm sphere for
         | simplicity, WolframAlpha says that has a 177 cm2 cross-section
         | and https://www.omnicalculator.com/construction/stone comes up
         | with a few kilograms (4-8) depending on the type of rock, with
         | which we can fill in a terminal velocity calculator
         | https://www.omnicalculator.com/physics/terminal-velocity to get
         | an estimate of 320 to 450 km/h depending on its weight
         | (probably towards the higher end given that it's metallic) --
         | assuming we got the size anywhere near correct, of course
         | 
         | Edit: someone posted
         | (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42822256) a YouTube link
         | where it's visible for 2 frames! (I'll call them frame 1, 2,
         | and plume.) Now the prize question is how far up it was in the
         | first frame and what angle it comes in at. The biggest chunk
         | looks to be about the same size in both frames, at least to
         | within video compression artifacts, so that doesn't help figure
         | out the angle. It also travels nearly twice the distance in
         | pixels between frame 2 and plume as compared to frames 1 and 2,
         | which would be an angle thing or a video compression thing. I
         | don't see an interlacing effect in frame 2 anymore, and frame 1
         | is duplicated (the youtube video runs at 24 fps). I think this
         | has passed through too many compression / re-encoding layers to
         | say anything useful sadly. For the heck of it: say that it was
         | 5 meters up in frame 1 and it takes 2/24ths of a second to
         | traverse that, that would be 216 km/h
         | 
         | Loading the audio tracks into Audacity, the YouTube version
         | shows nothing until ~180ms before impact if I'm being generous,
         | whereas the CNN version contains inaudibly faint noise starting
         | around ~350ms before (don't know that that's attributable to
         | the meteorite, but at least there's data instead of a flat
         | line), which I guess tells us that CNN's version has undergone
         | fewer recompressions. Sadly, I don't think there's enough
         | samples to measure the doppler effect, also given that it's not
         | going directly towards/away from us (the shift is more like
         | 60deg probably?). Three meters are traversed in 24ms at
         | 450km/h, and while there's audible noise on both YT and CNN for
         | ~85ms before impact, the spectra are just too noisy for me to
         | make it out. Someone more experienced with measuring dopplers
         | could have a stab at it, though
         | 
         | More editing: it is only now that I properly read the article
         | (I know, shame on me, I guess DIY is more fun) and it says a
         | "professor of Earth and atmospheric sciences at the University
         | of Alberta" also tried this approach but hasn't figured it out
         | yet: '"We are working on analyzing the video to see if we can
         | say more about the meteorite's fall -- including speed," Herd
         | said.'
         | 
         | I'm curious if we can figure this out by dropping rocks at
         | different speeds until we get a plume that expands as fast as
         | this one (since we have enough footage to reliably see that)
         | and leaves a similar-sized mark
         | 
         | Final edit, another source someone posted
         | (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42822765) includes: "He
         | said the rock that struck at Velaidum's home was probably
         | travelling at least 200 km/h by the time it made impact." The
         | news report video in that source also includes a picture of the
         | pavement after cleaning up the dust, showing marks of some 3cm
         | on the ruler included in the shot. Doing the same terminal
         | velocity calculator as mentioned earlier, a dense type of stone
         | of 3cm would be slowed to 196 km/h by our atmosphere
        
           | NotYourLawyer wrote:
           | If we know its rough size, should be easy to figure out its
           | terminal velocity. It's just a rock.
        
       | pizzafeelsright wrote:
       | That would definitely do damage to somebody's skull.
       | 
       | Airspeed, drag, and terminal velocity and all that I would assume
       | it's going subsonic and appears to be quite brittle.
       | 
       | The angle also appears to be consistent with what I've seen other
       | impacts produce in the 40 degrees.
       | 
       | The lack of sonic boom and camera catching it I am curious if
       | this happens on the daily with nominal observation.
        
         | mr_toad wrote:
         | Terminal velocity of meteorites is around 200-400 mph. If it
         | hit you in the skull it could be lethal.
         | 
         | https://space.stackexchange.com/questions/12774/what-impact-...
        
           | ajross wrote:
           | I love that on HN you need to cite StackOverflow to document
           | that dropping a rock on someone's head hurts a lot.
        
       | oidar wrote:
       | I figured there would be a hand full of instances of people dying
       | from meteorites falls, but they have only ever bruised a person:
       | https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/only-person-ever-h...
        
         | Retric wrote:
         | "only well-documented case of somebody being hit by a
         | meteorite"
         | 
         | Significantly more people were alive in prehistory than in
         | recorded history. So it's likely one or more of them were
         | significantly injured.
        
           | qoez wrote:
           | Is that actually true? Population growth has exploded in
           | recorded history even though pre-history has years to its
           | advantage
        
             | pavel_lishin wrote:
             | Five seconds' worth of googling shows that an estimate of
             | Hominid population before 200,000 years ago is anywhere
             | between 2 billion to 20 billion.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prehistoric_demography#Homini
             | d...
             | 
             | This is one of those things that's probably incredibly
             | difficult to estimate with any level of accuracy.
        
               | layer8 wrote:
               | Why stop at hominids?
        
               | pavel_lishin wrote:
               | Because of the context of the discussion we were having.
        
               | layer8 wrote:
               | People don't normally consider all hominids as "people".
               | And if you do, you might also add dolphins, corvids, and
               | the like.
        
             | saalweachter wrote:
             | When I put all the population estimates into a spreadsheet
             | the last time it came up, the number of person-years lived
             | can be roughly divided into thirds, one third from the dawn
             | of anatomically modern humans to the beginning of
             | agriculture, one third from the beginning of agriculture to
             | 1600, and the remaining third from 1600 to today. By
             | current estimates, well acquire an equal slice of lived
             | experience between now and 2100.
        
           | renewiltord wrote:
           | Well, the important thing is the number of person-hours not
           | the number of people since meteorite death has to be pretty
           | random.
           | 
           | If 5 people took turns existing in sequence that's not more
           | likely for a human observation than one human over that time.
           | It only matters how many hours where humans were available to
           | die and that's roughly matched between prehistory and the
           | last 100 years.
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | If you want to get a really good estimate it's worth
             | considering the odds that either 0 or thousands of people
             | dying in the same event when people are living in dense
             | cities etc.
             | 
             | Tunguska over London would have had a serious death toll
             | where an airburst in a remote area didn't. But you're going
             | to see deaths in an area with a population density of 1 per
             | square km or 100,000/km2.
        
           | comboy wrote:
           | It's not even clear that total amount of people who lived in
           | prehistory is higher than amount of people currently alive
           | today.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population
        
             | dinkblam wrote:
             | Your own source contradicts you: "The total number of
             | humans who have ever lived is estimated to be approximately
             | 100 billion. "
        
               | shalmanese wrote:
               | Pre-history is defined as the time before writing was
               | invented or ~5000BC. The number of people alive before
               | then is significantly smaller than 100B.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | Written records of events didn't start everywhere as soon
               | as the first group invented writing.
               | 
               | More relevant when considering the criteria of well
               | documented evidence, a hypothetical ship on an ocean
               | voyage in 1500 is likely to just disappear. Let alone a
               | random West African goat herder in 2200BCE.
        
             | layer8 wrote:
             | The Wikipedia page links to this [0] article as a source,
             | where the table states an estimated 9 billion "ever lived"
             | at the 8000 BCE mark, and 55 billion at the 1 CE mark. The
             | end of prehistory isn't too well defined, but it's usually
             | taken to be around 5000 BCE (if not later). So while it's
             | not very precise of course, from those estimates it
             | certainly looks like more humans lived in prehistory than
             | now, by a few billion at least.
             | 
             | Given that the world population is predicted to peak at
             | about 10.5 billion roughly 60 years from now, it also looks
             | like this won't change anytime soon.
             | 
             | [0] https://www.prb.org/articles/how-many-people-have-ever-
             | lived...
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | That's on the low end of estimates.
               | 
               | For comparison there's still 300,000 Wild West African
               | Gorilla today and they're extremely restricted in range,
               | share that range with modern humans, etc.
               | 
               | Human populations in prehistory were believed to average
               | somewhere in the 1-15 million range which puts 10B at the
               | very low end estimate with 100+ billion being considered
               | plausible. There was at least one major bottleneck but
               | humans predate the last ice age.
               | 
               | PS: Calling anything history before we have any surviving
               | text to work with is also a stretch.
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | There's probably a Tunguska-sized event at some point that
           | claims 99.99% of all meteorite victims and wasn't registered
           | because everybody that knew about it died in it.
        
             | pavel_lishin wrote:
             | According to some witnesses, the Tunguska event itself
             | killed three people:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event
             | 
             | I wonder if any people died as an indirect result - someone
             | startled by the flash of light or the bang, who stepped
             | into the path of a carriage, or just slipped and fell and
             | cracked their skull.
        
             | somat wrote:
             | There is one theory that that the biblical story about the
             | annihilation of the city of Sodom was brought about by a
             | large air-burst meteor, think Chelyabinsk and add a couple
             | of order of magnitude.
             | 
             | https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8452666/
             | 
             | However, note that when I was trying to find the original
             | paper, that is, something more substantial than the popular
             | news blurbs that are everywhere, I found wikipedia was less
             | than impressed with the evidence.
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tell_el-Hammam
             | 
             | Anyhow, I suspect a lot of our long term generational
             | history gets turned into religion and legend, that is to
             | say, the legendary events probably happened but like a good
             | fish story the facts get shifted over the years.
        
           | layer8 wrote:
           | According to the estimates in
           | https://www.prb.org/articles/how-many-people-have-ever-
           | lived..., (substantially) less than 55 billion lived in
           | prehistory, and more than that lived since (the current
           | estimated number of humans ever having lived being above 117
           | billion).
        
       | fortran77 wrote:
       | Well, actually it caught a meteor striking, leaving behind a
       | meteorite.
        
         | shireboy wrote:
         | You are technically correct. Which is the best kind of correct.
        
           | alentred wrote:
           | Ooooh, thank you! For a few years now I thought I was the
           | only one ever citing that source of the infinite wisdom.
           | 
           | Having said that, the meteor was probably from the planet
           | Urectum.
        
       | wileydragonfly wrote:
       | All I ever caught on my cameras was someone coked out of their
       | mind crashing into my backyard and carefully making an escape at
       | 3am.
        
         | not_a_bot_4sho wrote:
         | I want this to be a joke. But I'm not willing to bet money on
         | it.
        
         | pavel_lishin wrote:
         | I've caught a variety of suburban wildlife, including one
         | enterprising hominid who decided to help himself to my bicycle.
        
       | whamlastxmas wrote:
       | YouTube link: https://youtu.be/c0gnYzhTL5A?si=3fS6uvL3_5LtE7La
        
         | lucb1e wrote:
         | Thanks! This shows it for 2 frames instead of 1 because there
         | is no channel overlay showing the location (Canada) on top of
         | the meteorite
         | 
         | Link without tracking for the lazy btw:
         | https://youtu.be/c0gnYzhTL5A
        
         | smitelli wrote:
         | Pro Tip: While the YouTube player is paused, the comma and
         | period keys move back/forward by one frame. (Memory aid, < and
         | > but without using Shift -- assuming US PC keyboard layout.)
        
         | filchermcurr wrote:
         | Here's the video without any news overlay:
         | https://drive.google.com/drive/u/0/folders/1YfVmkgXgwGVcxdqW...
        
       | lifeisstillgood wrote:
       | This has made my day - just a tiny reminder we live on a ball Of
       | rock plummeting through space - awesome !
        
         | tialaramex wrote:
         | A damp rock.
         | 
         | It looks pretty though, which we wouldn't have known a century
         | ago - a small, pretty, damp rock. It's not much, but it's all
         | we'll ever have.
        
       | wink wrote:
       | I would have thought the stone tile would have shattered.
        
         | ajross wrote:
         | No, it was tiny. Very likely it had decelerated to terminal
         | velocity and was just falling like (literally) a rock.
        
       | xattt wrote:
       | The guy who owns the house is a theologian scholar (1). Message
       | from above, perhaps?
       | 
       | Original CBC article is here (2).
       | 
       | (1) https://islandscholar.ca/people/jvelaidum
       | 
       | (2) https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/pei-
       | char...
        
       | I_dream_of_Gen1 wrote:
       | like, really old news...
        
       | j-bos wrote:
       | Why is CNN DRM locking a video that doesn't belong to them?
        
         | foxglacier wrote:
         | They probably licensed it from the owner so it protects him.
        
       | HelloUsername wrote:
       | Several times posted this week:
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42694277
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42719167
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42699537
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42733580
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42742065
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42721622
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42807205
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42750821
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42780394
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42745712
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42736932
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42767349
        
         | belter wrote:
         | This link is the new '42'
        
         | adzm wrote:
         | Despite chronically checking HN this is still the first I've
         | seen of it!
        
           | dboreham wrote:
           | TikTok is your friend.
           | 
           | Oh wait...
        
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