[HN Gopher] The Conundrum of Life's Origin
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       The Conundrum of Life's Origin
        
       Author : Brajeshwar
       Score  : 48 points
       Date   : 2025-01-16 15:27 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (nautil.us)
 (TXT) w3m dump (nautil.us)
        
       | A_D_E_P_T wrote:
       | Amino acids are common enough -- glycine has been found in comets
       | and, controversially, even in the interstellar medium. Other
       | amino acids have also been found in comets.
       | 
       | Comet organics, under pressure, can turn into amino acids _in
       | situ_ : https://www.llnl.gov/article/36016/amino-acids-could-be-
       | prod...
       | 
       | It's also presumed that cometary ice bombardment is the source of
       | Earth's surface water, as ice or water present any earlier would
       | have boiled off when the planet was young and hot.
       | 
       | It's not much of a stretch to imagine that comets brought amino
       | acids, organic compounds, and minerals to Earth as they were
       | bringing water ice. A lot of those aminos and organics would turn
       | into tar, but some would be protected from UV radiation by that
       | same tar. With a heat source, maybe some lightning strikes, a
       | good location, and a lot of luck, you get RNA...
       | 
       | What we can't yet do is assign a probability or likelihood to
       | this process. But the ingredients should be common enough.
        
         | dboreham wrote:
         | Probability is believed to be quite low based on nobody having
         | reproduced the process in the lab.
        
           | A_D_E_P_T wrote:
           | It's not clear what the probability is over the ~hundreds of
           | millions of years that it took on Earth. Could be that, under
           | the conditions and on that timescale, we're an average or
           | statistically unremarkable case.
        
             | jolt42 wrote:
             | Time means more entropy, so I would think that makes the
             | calculation much more problematic, no?
        
           | snakeyjake wrote:
           | Low probabilities become certainties with billions of tests
           | per year over hundreds of millions of years.
        
             | jerf wrote:
             | A common belief, but manifestly false. Probabilities tend
             | to combine exponentially, and that defeats our polynomial
             | universe.
             | 
             | Or, to put it another way, it does not matter how many
             | times you try to roll a million fair dice and get them to
             | all come up six. It doesn't matter if the entire observable
             | universe does nothing but that for the entire time from the
             | start of the universe to the heat death end. It will still
             | never happen.
             | 
             | Probabilities can _easily_ be  "larger" than our entire
             | universe considered across both space and time. It isn't
             | even a particularly remarkable thing to encounter such a
             | probability.
        
               | A_D_E_P_T wrote:
               | > polynomial universe
               | 
               | That's the mistake, right there.
               | 
               | Surely you realize that the universe could well be
               | infinite -- and, to all appearances, is in any case not
               | bounded in time. As such, every low probability thing
               | will "at some point" occur. Thus the repugnant
               | conclusion: Boltzmann Brains. But also Boltzmann planets,
               | Boltzmann galaxies, and whatever else _can_ occur _will_
               | occur.
        
               | prmph wrote:
               | Then "God creating things" will also inevitably occur,
               | right?
        
               | p_j_w wrote:
               | It depends on the definition of God.
        
               | Y_Y wrote:
               | > every low probability thing will "at some point"
               | 
               | This is the "ergodic hypothesis" and is not necessarily
               | true.
        
               | daveguy wrote:
               | The probability of life and all the steps that lead to it
               | is obviously not more infinitesimal than all potential
               | actions of all the molecules in the universe over time.
               | It happened on Earth and it "only" took 150-650 million
               | years after water formed on the planet. We just don't
               | know how much more likely it is than "so rare we are
               | lucky to be the only ones."
        
               | snakeyjake wrote:
               | >you try to roll a million fair dice and get them to all
               | come up six.
               | 
               | That is not a low probability event; that is an
               | impossibility.
               | 
               | I think the problem here is that you think I am a digital
               | electronic computer. I am not.
               | 
               | I am a human being.
               | 
               | I do not now, have never, and will never care about the
               | technically possible I only care about the actually
               | possible.
               | 
               | As a human, I know that six to the power of one million
               | is impossible. Not to mention that rolling one million
               | dice is absurd.
               | 
               | But as a human I also know that the chemical reaction
               | needed to spark life isn't a six to the power of one
               | million proposition.
               | 
               | I don't know what it is but it ain't that because it's
               | been done, at least once.
               | 
               | edit: It's not absurd, rolling one million dice.
               | 
               | The heaviest verifiable weight ever lifted by a human
               | being is 2422.18kg.
               | 
               | A 4mm die is 0.4g. Conceivably a contraption could be
               | built by which a human could "roll" several million dice
               | using the strength of their entire body.
               | 
               | Now I kinda want that to happen.
        
               | tsimionescu wrote:
               | > As a human, I know that six to the power of one million
               | is impossible.
               | 
               | This is plain wrong. If you roll a million dice, anything
               | that comes up has the exact same probability. We think
               | all 6 is special because it holds some meaning to us, but
               | it is exactly as likely as any other result. So any
               | result has a probability of 6^1M to happen. And yet, one
               | of those 6^1M configurations will happen with probability
               | 1.
        
               | snakeyjake wrote:
               | You are mistaken. I don't think one million sixes is any
               | less likely than any random combination. I know that the
               | odds of all possibilities are the same. That's why
               | gambling disgusts me and lotteries hold no fascination
               | with me.
               | 
               | I also know that it is impossible.
               | 
               | If you disagree, show some proof. Not "a proof". Proof.
               | 
               | I live in the real, not theoretical world.
               | 
               | Create a video showing one million dice rolls that have
               | all hit six, and I will accept that it is not impossible
               | to roll a die one million times and have every roll hit
               | six.
               | 
               | No numbers. No computer programs. No math. Dice.
               | 
               | Mother. Fucking. Dice. Cubes covered in pips.
               | 
               | Real, physical, standard layman's definition dice rolled
               | in the real, physical, actual world.
               | 
               | Show me! Please!
               | 
               | Until then? S'ay imposseebluh.
        
             | jolt42 wrote:
             | For a gambler, yes, but for a biological system? Stuff
             | falls apart, it's like any progress continually gets wiped.
        
         | soco wrote:
         | But boiling off would have still kept that water in the
         | atmosphere right?
        
           | HPsquared wrote:
           | Not if it's hot enough that the water molecules reach escape
           | velocity in the exosphere! (As happens with helium today,
           | helium atoms being lighter move faster at a given temperature
           | than water molecules)
        
         | adastra22 wrote:
         | Been a while since I interacted with this science, but I think
         | the assumption about the magma ocean "boiling off" the water
         | was an early idea that doesn't hold up? The mantle holds an
         | impressive amount of water dissolved inside it, as it turns
         | out.
        
         | adrian_b wrote:
         | About a half of the amino acids used in proteins, i.e. ten of
         | them, can form easily in abiotic conditions and they are
         | widespread in some celestial bodies.
         | 
         | They are easily distinguished from terrestrial contaminants,
         | because they are a mixture of left-handed and right-handed
         | isomers.
         | 
         | When analyzing the genetic code in order to determine which
         | amino acids have already been used in the earlier versions of
         | the genetic code and which have been added more recently, the
         | same simpler amino acids that are easy to synthesize even in
         | the absence of life are also those that appear to have been the
         | only amino acids used earlier.
         | 
         | The article contains the phrase "Given the fact that the
         | current scenario is that life on Earth started with RNA".
         | 
         | This is a fact that it is too often repeated like if it were
         | true, when in reality one of the few things that can be said
         | with certainty about the origin of life is that it has not
         | started with RNA.
         | 
         | What must be true is only that RNA had existed a very long time
         | before DNA and DNA has been an innovation that has been the
         | result of a long evolution of already existing life forms, long
         | before the last ancestor of all living beings that still exist
         | now on Earth.
         | 
         | On the other hand, proteins, or more correctly said peptides,
         | must have existed before any RNA. Moreover, ATP must have
         | existed long before any RNA.
         | 
         | RNA has two main functions based on its information-storage
         | property: the replication of RNA using a template of RNA (which
         | was the single form of nucleic acid replication before the
         | existence of DNA) and the synthesis of proteins using RNA as a
         | template.
         | 
         | Both processes require complex molecular machines, so it is
         | impossible for both of them to have appeared simultaneously.
         | One process must have appeared before the other and there can
         | be no doubt that the replication of RNA must have appeared
         | before the synthesis of proteins.
         | 
         | Had synthesis of proteins appeared first, it would have been
         | instantly lost at the death of the host living being, because
         | the RNA able to be used as a template for proteins could not
         | have been replicated, therefore it could not have been
         | transmitted to descendants.
         | 
         | So in the beginning RNA must have been only a molecule with the
         | ability of self replication. All its other functions have
         | evolved in living beings where abundant RNA existed, being
         | produced by self replication.
         | 
         | The RNA replication process requires energy and monomers, in
         | the form of ATP together with the other 3 phosphorylated
         | nucleotides. Therefore all 4 nucleotides and their
         | phosphorylated forms like ATP must have existed before RNA.
         | 
         | ATP must have been used long before RNA, like today, as a means
         | of extracting water from organic molecules, causing the
         | condensations of monomers like amino acids into polymers like
         | peptides.
         | 
         | The chemical reactions in the early living forms were certainly
         | regulated much less well than in the present living beings, so
         | many secondary undesirable reactions must have happened
         | concurrently with the useful chemical reactions.
         | 
         | So the existence of abundant ATP and other phosphorylated
         | nucleotides must have had as a consequence the initially
         | undesirable polymerization and co-polymerization of the
         | nucleotides, forming random RNA molecules, until by chance a
         | self-replicating RNA molecule was produced.
         | 
         | Because the first self-replicating RNA molecule did not perform
         | any useful function for the host life form, but it diverted
         | useful nucleotides from its metabolism, this first self-
         | replicating RNA molecule must be considered as the first virus.
         | Only much later, after these early viruses have evolved the
         | ability to synthesize proteins, some of them must have become
         | integrated with their hosts, becoming their genome.
         | 
         | The catalytic functions that are now performed mostly by
         | proteins, i.e. amino acid polymers that are synthesized using
         | an RNA template, must have been performed earlier by peptides,
         | i.e. typically shorter amino acid polymers that are synthesized
         | without the use of RNA templates.
         | 
         | Even today, all living beings contain many non-ribosomal
         | peptides, which are made without RNA, using processes that are
         | much less understood than those that involve nucleic acids.
         | 
         | The difference between a living being that would be able to
         | make only non-ribosomal peptides and one that makes proteins
         | using RNA templates is pretty much the same difference as
         | between a CPU with hard-wired control and a CPU with micro-
         | programmed control, with the same advantages and disadvantages.
         | 
         | Life forms able to reproduce themselves must have existed
         | before the appearance of the nucleic acids, but they must have
         | been incapable of significant evolution, because any random
         | change in the structure of the molecules that composed them
         | would have been very likely to result in a defective organism
         | that would have died without descendants. This is similar with
         | a hard-wired control, where small random changes in the
         | circuits are unlikely to result in a functional device.
         | 
         | On the other hand, once the structure of the enzymes was
         | written in molecules of nucleic acids, the random copying
         | errors could result in structures very different from the
         | original structures, which could not have been obtained by
         | gradual changes in the original structures without passing
         | through non functional structures that could not have been
         | inherited.
         | 
         | So the use of molecules that can store the structural
         | information of a living being has enabled the evolution towards
         | much more complex life forms, but it cannot have had any role
         | in the apparition of the first life forms, because the
         | replication of any such molecule requires energy that can be
         | provided only by an already existing life form.
        
           | highfrequency wrote:
           | Awesome post and thanks for writing this out - probably the
           | most insightful piece I've read on plausible origin of life
           | through pre-RNA autocatalytic peptides. Would you be willing
           | to share a contact email / online profile? (could edit
           | afterward to delete if you are worried about spam from
           | crawlers)
        
             | adrian_b wrote:
             | a dot bocaniciu at computer dot org
        
           | exe34 wrote:
           | sorry if I missed it, but it sounds like you've just pushed
           | the mystery one step back but still ended up with the same
           | mystery - where did the original Titan species come from? is
           | there any evidence for their existence other than your belief
           | that an RNA replicator would have needed a host cell? would
           | this host cell have been built out of lipid bilayers? what
           | would its inside mechanisms be made of - if not protein or
           | RNA?
        
             | nathan_compton wrote:
             | Ultimately science always terminates in so-called brute
             | facts. I'm not sure it always makes sense to call these
             | mysteries. In the end, some things appear to simply be
             | without any sort of causal or even logical explanation. I
             | try not to get too worked up about it.
             | 
             | On the other hand, one has to keep kicking over rocks to
             | see what is underneath or life would get boring.
        
           | f1shy wrote:
           | Thanks. People like you make HN an enjoyable place.
        
           | rstuart4133 wrote:
           | Thank you so much. Awesome post.
        
       | A_D_E_P_T wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/585kK
        
       | Ericson2314 wrote:
       | I never like the emphasis on genetics and information in a lot of
       | origin of life stuff. IMO it is too extensional; what is needed
       | is good _intensional_ reasoning.
       | 
       | At the heart of chemical life is
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autocatalysis, this is a great
       | intensional definition of the reproductive side. That just leaves
       | the evolutionary side.
       | 
       | What do "genetics" achieve for reproduction. From the
       | autocatalysis point of view, they create a _family_ of  "nearby"
       | autocatalytic sets: because different nucleic acid sequences
       | reproduce in much the same way, the conditions needed to
       | propagate one should also propogate another. This in turn makes
       | _safer mutations_ and....Lamarckian inheritance! If you, a
       | microrganism get a good mutation which makes you fit, and then
       | you split, you pass that mutation on.
       | 
       | Genetics are sufficient for the above properties, but are they
       | necessary? Probably not! We can probably find other things which
       | have such a "dense/smooth mutation space" with fewer local maxima
       | traps. Perhaps it is fine to say such things definitionally
       | encode information, but IMO information still comes second,
       | philosophically.
        
       | ljsprague wrote:
       | >it has to be able to reproduce and evolve by natural selection
       | 
       | Not sure why something has to be able to evolve by natural
       | selection in order to be considered alive.
        
       | pinoy420 wrote:
       | I mean. It was God (whatever that means to you).
        
         | jolt42 wrote:
         | Oh, you mean "Programmer #1" using the original assembly
         | language?
        
       | m3kw9 wrote:
       | Just think about it, a conscious being deciding what a life
       | should be. There is certainly a bias towards how we were made.
        
       | standardly wrote:
       | I have a layman theory on protocell organization. It can't
       | explain replication, but hear me out. So one of the most likely
       | candidate locations for abiogenesis, purportedly, are
       | hydrothermal vents. Now, consider Cymatics
       | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cymatics). Maybe you can draw the
       | same conclusion I did.
       | 
       | Wave formations are a source of order amidst the chaos (pressure
       | waves in this case). This may be testable, even. If it did hold
       | any truth, then the popular, common mythos' of "the Word" or
       | "speaking things into existence", or creation via music etc...
       | maybe was more intuitive than we realized :)
        
         | standardly wrote:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OWLtTP07FCw
         | 
         | Well, my comment is going to end up hidden. I guess this just
         | isn't that interesting, and I assume the video I am linking
         | here will be seen as meaningless with no possible historical
         | bearing on physics or chemistry.
         | 
         | Is there a good reason this is not being considered? Like,
         | these abiogensis articles never say anything new, and have no
         | interesting propositions. They say it's a mystery, then propose
         | a vague implausibility that can only be explained by another
         | mystery. Like, I would appreciate at least some creative
         | thinking here.
        
       | thangalin wrote:
       | My book dives into the timeline of life's origins as well as
       | summarizing how we know what we know about roughly when life
       | started:
       | 
       | https://impacts.to/downloads/lowres/impacts.pdf#page=10
       | 
       | The little orange dot represents where the events happened along
       | the timeline between the start of the universe and recent times.
        
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