[HN Gopher] Starlink is now cheaper than leading internet provid...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Starlink is now cheaper than leading internet provider in some
       African countries
        
       Author : impish9208
       Score  : 207 points
       Date   : 2025-01-10 17:24 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (restofworld.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (restofworld.org)
        
       | spwa4 wrote:
       | I wouldn't worry about it. Government officials will find a way
       | to change this ...
       | 
       | Even now there's countries with a tax on unlimited internet on
       | cell phones.
        
         | bpodgursky wrote:
         | Starlink is significantly more resistant to graft than
         | terrestrial service.
         | 
         | For the most part SpaceX is playing nice with regulators, but
         | if Zimbabwe's government tried to extort Starlink users, SpaceX
         | could just open up service and Zimbabwe could do absolutely
         | nothing to stop them.
        
           | cactusplant7374 wrote:
           | Wouldn't that be considered a form of dumping if they offered
           | it for free?
        
             | bpodgursky wrote:
             | I didn't say free, they'd just allow signups and ignore
             | local restrictions.
        
               | jazzyjackson wrote:
               | How will they collect payment without an in-country
               | business entity?
        
               | immibis wrote:
               | Dogecoin.
        
               | inemesitaffia wrote:
               | Same way Russians pay for Steam
        
               | bpodgursky wrote:
               | This happens all the time for many many businesses. Do
               | you think all software vendors, small businesses that
               | ship products have an in-country business entity? They
               | just take online payments.
        
           | voakbasda wrote:
           | Sure they could. They could make it illegal to possess
           | Starklink equipment within their borders, in the name of
           | "national security" or whatnot.
        
             | bpodgursky wrote:
             | Starlink can talk direct to cell phones.
        
               | gruez wrote:
               | Those work far worse (bandwidth) than the dedicated
               | terminals.
        
               | NoahKAndrews wrote:
               | Only for extremely low-bandwidth service, good for
               | texting and such.
        
               | lukan wrote:
               | That would be enough to get that information,
               | totalitarian governments don't want you to get. So expect
               | regulations regarding those smartphones soon.
               | 
               | And be aware if you travel with a satellite capable
               | device (india apparently also don't like them):
               | 
               | https://www.outsideonline.com/outdoor-adventure/hiking-
               | and-b...
        
               | throwaway48476 wrote:
               | There's no way to put the smartphone genie back in the
               | bottle and there's no way to visually differentiate
               | satelote capable phones. It's going to be easy to smuggle
               | them across borders.
        
               | fragmede wrote:
               | India sees the ability for anyone to anonymously post
               | things on the Internet as all kinds of stupid, and
               | heavily regulates the access to the Internet so any in-
               | country activity can be tracked back to an individual.
        
               | ianburrell wrote:
               | Also, only using allocated spectrum. Starlink Direct-to-
               | Cell requires partnership with mobile providers that hold
               | that spectrum, like T-Mobile. Terrestrial network using
               | those frequencies would probably swamp the signal from
               | space. Legally, Starlink can't use those frequencies
               | without permission from each country.
        
             | aaomidi wrote:
             | This is the case in Iran despite there being an ever
             | growing number of them there.
        
               | bilbo0s wrote:
               | Problem in Africa is that the Chinese will sail in with
               | their alternatives at the first sign of trouble. Right
               | now, we can't have games like that in Africa. We're in an
               | almost daily grind trying to counter Chinese influence as
               | it is. The last thing we need is Elon sailing in
               | torpedoing our efforts.
               | 
               | We need to be cognizant of the fact that we're no longer
               | the only game in town, and act accordingly when using
               | power. Soft or hard.
        
               | elcritch wrote:
               | Well if the point is that Zimbabwe starts playing games
               | and corruption starlink can ignore them. Sure the Chinese
               | could play Zimbabwe's game, but then they'd likely be
               | more expensive and worse quality by blocking things the
               | government doesn't like. If people can still access
               | starlink why would they use the state sanctioned but
               | crappy provider?
        
               | notahacker wrote:
               | Because China isn't exactly famed for its corporations'
               | market clearing prices being _expensive_ , and most
               | people would rather buy legal satcomms equipment (and VPN
               | in, if they _really_ need to access something the
               | Zimbabwean government doesn 't want them to see or the
               | Chinese government cares about Africans seeing) than jump
               | through hoops to get the equipment and subscription
               | payments to the American service, bandwidth which
               | Starlink has minimal motivation to give away cheaply
               | anyway.
        
               | fl0id wrote:
               | The Chinese don't have sth similar right now, right? Also
               | at this point tbh would prefer Chinese whatever over
               | us/starlink. At least it will be more rational.
        
           | jplrssn wrote:
           | Isn't Starlink subject to frequency spectrum licensing in
           | each country it operates in?
        
             | anticensor wrote:
             | It's in the same band as regular satellite internet, so the
             | licensing is already dealt with.
        
           | duxup wrote:
           | Has Starlink as an org shown any interest in resisting local
           | pressure to that extent?
           | 
           | I'm asking, I don't know, but even when technically feasible
           | there are lots of concerns with defying local governments,
           | good and bad.
        
             | inemesitaffia wrote:
             | Iran, Myanmar, Sudan (not even the US government or US
             | Media wants them there), Cuba, Venezuela.
        
           | gamblor956 wrote:
           | _Zimbabwe could do absolutely nothing to stop them_
           | 
           | They could issue an order to local payment processors to
           | block all payments to Starlink...like Brazil did. In this
           | particular hypothetical, Zimbabwe would have more solid legal
           | grounds for blocking payment than the Brazilian judge (TLDR:
           | X didn't adhere to all of Brazil's regulations and refused to
           | pay the resulting fines so a judge deemed Starlink a related
           | company and blocked payments to Starlink until X complied.)
        
             | cesarb wrote:
             | > (TLDR: X didn't adhere to all of Brazil's regulations and
             | refused to pay the resulting fines so a judge deemed
             | Starlink a related company and blocked payments to Starlink
             | until X complied.)
             | 
             | IIRC, the judge didn't block payments to Starlink; instead,
             | the judge told the banks to take the value of the fines
             | from the Starlink bank accounts.
        
               | gamblor956 wrote:
               | Per Reuters, the judge blocked the financial accounts of
               | Starlink, meaning that Brazilian companies were barred
               | from conducting financial transactions with it.
               | https://www.reuters.com/technology/brazil-judge-blocks-
               | starl...
               | https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2024/8/29/brazil-judge-
               | blo...
        
           | bodhiandphysics wrote:
           | It's a little more complicated than that. There are two
           | international treaties at play here (that the US has
           | ratified)... the Outer Space Treaty requires that countries
           | regulate the actions in outer space of their citizens and
           | companies, in compliance with the outer space treaty and
           | other international treaties (cf. Article VI and Article
           | III). The Convention of the International Telecommunications
           | Union of 1997 (the last version the us has ratified)
           | specifies that the US shall abide by the rules of the ITU,
           | including in allocation of satellite spectrum (Article 6).
           | The ITU allows countries to limit the use of spectrum in
           | certain bands (including those used by starlink) within their
           | borders.
           | 
           | So Zimbabwe actually can ban starlink. And if it ignores
           | Zimbabwe... well Zimbabwe will complain to the ITU, and the
           | ITU to the US. The US would be under obligation to regulate
           | Starlink... with the minor exception of its not clear that
           | the US has any agency that can, at least under current law.
           | 
           | Anyway, it would be a total mess if Elon did that (except in
           | a country like Russia where the US wants him to do that)...
           | and I have no idea what would happen.
        
             | bilbo0s wrote:
             | No one would allow a business perceived to be US Owned to
             | play games like that in Africa right now anyway. With the
             | Chinese sitting right there ready to swoop in and help the
             | affected nations problem solve.
             | 
             | We're not as dumb in the US as the rest of the world seems
             | to think.
        
               | bodhiandphysics wrote:
               | The rest of the world only thinks the US is dumb because
               | they rely upon us to make the kind of decisions that they
               | don't want to have to make. It's easy to criticize
               | without real skin in the game.
               | 
               | I mean Trump is an idiot... but umm... Berlusconi?
        
           | immibis wrote:
           | Note that Starlink requires a ground station near the users.
        
             | wmf wrote:
             | Not since they turned on the lasers.
        
             | ghaff wrote:
             | How does that work when I get Starlink in the middle of the
             | ocean as I have done?
        
         | duxup wrote:
         | I had a coworker who grew up in Africa and was involved with
         | ISPs there. He had some pretty important jobs in a couple
         | countries.
         | 
         | His explanation why he came to the US to do what were lower
         | level jobs was that in the places he worked it was all who you
         | knew and if your given buddy who got you that job fell out of
         | the good graces of those in power ... you were screwed forever.
         | 
         | He had enough of that, good guy, very capable, worked his way
         | up again in the US.
        
         | throwafrica wrote:
         | you better read history on colonization in Africa. letting
         | foreign companies to have a grip on resources (data and
         | propaganda channels in modern days) wont end well for host
         | nations.
         | 
         | If you guys are so pro business why blocking TikTok and other
         | Chinese firms?
        
       | aurizon wrote:
       | Most African countries operate internet access via buddy/bribery
       | cartels to tax the people highly and enrich the bribers. They
       | hate Starlink's access to anyone who can import a starlink
       | terminal and set it up and they seize them whenever they find
       | them. If Starlink has a licensed path = they would want the lost
       | bribes to be replaced by their fees. All in all = a huge drag on
       | internet access in Africa. A few countries escape this - a
       | precious few..
        
         | Timber-6539 wrote:
         | It's more nuanced than that. African governments, like any
         | other government, want to regulate and control access to all
         | communications and related infrastucture. Governments for
         | example would like a killswitch they can force Musk to push if
         | need be.
         | 
         | Also ISPs are big businesses with telecom companies paying huge
         | sums for licenses (3G,4G licensing etc). Starlink is seen as
         | jumping to the front of the line with little to no similar
         | license requirements (or bribes if you want to call them).
        
           | aurizon wrote:
           | Yes, it does upset their apple cart = what he intended IMHO.
           | The sale of spectrum in the USA/Canada also lards up costs
           | under the guise of 'free market competition' LOL = why
           | internet is USA/Canada is so expensive there compared to many
           | places in Europe/Asia
        
       | cadamsau wrote:
       | > Safaricom and other legacy providers have responded by lowering
       | prices and increasing internet speeds.
       | 
       | Super exciting to see competition working.
        
         | modeless wrote:
         | The competition will get even stronger when SpaceX's Starship
         | launches the next generation of Starlink satellites. More
         | satellites with more capacity per satellite and at lower
         | altitudes could make Starlink a viable competitor even in some
         | urban areas with crappy ISPs.
         | 
         | Also I hope Amazon succeeds with their Kuiper constellation.
         | Imagine _two_ competing global satellite ISPs!
        
           | scotty79 wrote:
           | You mean Starship 2, right? Because Starship top capacity
           | demonstrated was 1 banana. That's why Elon already started
           | hyping how awesome Starship 2 is gonna be. Because it becomes
           | obvious for everybody that Starship will perform below even
           | most modest past predictions.
        
             | bryanlarsen wrote:
             | Starship 1's LEO capacity has been stated to be 50 tons to
             | LEO. Which is significantly below the goal of 100-150 tons,
             | but absolutely massive compared to anything else. Starship
             | 2 flies next week, so it's moot.
        
             | zizee wrote:
             | Your dislike of Musk is clouding your judgement.
             | 
             | They're not using semantic versioning. SpaceX hasn't even
             | finished a production ready starship, they are still very
             | much in the R&D stage. Just because the latest iteration is
             | know as V2, doesn't mean much.
             | 
             | The fact they haven't achieved the extremely ambitious
             | goals doesn't reflect poorly on the engineering going into
             | Starship, or that "V1" has failed to hit the goals.
        
           | mmmlinux wrote:
           | Yeah, Twice the space junk!
        
             | gruez wrote:
             | such constellations are in LEO, which means their orbits
             | decay in years, not centuries. The satellites associated
             | with "space junk" are in higher orbits like geostationary.
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | Geostationary satellites are way too far and few in
               | between to meaningfully present a problem. The majority
               | of dangerous (in Kessler syndrome sense) junk is on
               | higher LEO and eccentric orbits.
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | Correct. Most non-Starlink constellations LEO are going
               | up around 800 - 1200 km altitudes. Those orbits have
               | century to millenium level deorbit times and pose
               | significant Kessler risk.
        
             | ZFleck wrote:
             | I actually struggle to think of something "less-junk" than
             | potentially providing tens of millions with cheap(er)
             | access to the Internet. Who otherwise would be exploited
             | for it. Or plain just wouldn't have it. Seems like one of
             | the best-possible uses for orbit IMO.
             | 
             | Plus (and I'm no expert), I believe that since these
             | satellites specifically require a rather low orbit, they're
             | by-design quick to de-orbit in the case of disaster or
             | destruction.
        
               | JKCalhoun wrote:
               | Less junk? Weather satellites, climate monitoring
               | satellites.
               | 
               | But also I don't think the internet has been a net-
               | positive thing.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Less junk? Weather satellites, climate monitoring
               | satellites_
               | 
               | These typically operate at higher orbits. From a strictly
               | space junk perspective, that makes them _more_ of a
               | debris risk than even multiple Starlink fleets in LEO.
        
               | staunton wrote:
               | > quick to de-orbit in the case of disaster or
               | destruction.
               | 
               | In case of destruction, the satellite breaks up into many
               | individual pieces each having a potentially very
               | different orbit. Many of those parts might then stay up
               | longer than the satellite would have if it remained
               | intact. The parts can also cause a chain reaction which
               | eventually breaks everything in low earth orbit.
        
               | mkaic wrote:
               | Starlink satellites are placed in extremely low orbits
               | _specifically_ to avoid their becoming dangerous space-
               | junk -- their orbits are intended to decay after around 5
               | years, at which point they burn up in the atmosphere and
               | leave no debris behind in LEO. Future iterations of the
               | satellites may have even shorter lifetimes as launch
               | costs get cheaper.
        
               | maxglute wrote:
               | Starlink V1 was placed in low orbits because it was
               | cheaper / constrained by F9 payloads (not only reason by
               | imo primary).
               | 
               | Starlink V2 is 1000-2000km orbits with expected
               | deployment of 12000 sats.
        
               | ricardobeat wrote:
               | Starlink V2 already started deployment back in 2023, and
               | they actually requested lower orbits (~350km) in order to
               | reduce latency.
               | 
               | Moving to 2000km would be a massive downgrade in
               | performance, I'm not able find any source for that,
               | everything points to the next generation (V3) being
               | deployed via Starship at that lower altitude of 350km.
        
               | maxglute wrote:
               | Apologies, I got 2000km confused with another
               | megaconstellation, later rollouts / V2s+ are suppose to
               | be up to 1200km, which was initially filed / granted with
               | FCC. They did request/allow to move some of of larger v2s
               | to lower orbits, but the full megaconstellation plan
               | won't be constrained to <350km simply because there
               | aren't enough orbit slots (as managed by UN/ITU) for the
               | constellation size star link envisions. Below is recent
               | image of current starlink distribution. Most are
               | 400-500km and above, i.e. much longer decay times. My
               | understanding is they're throwing v2 "minis" which still
               | weight 3x more to lowerish orbits because that's most
               | economical for F9 delivery, but once they have more
               | payload via starship, full size v2+ is going
               | 500km-1200km. 500km more altitude as like ~4 milliseconds
               | of latency, which is not nothing, but still minor vs
               | economic benefits of more coverage with less hardware.
               | IMO current low LEO focus isn't ... starlink being
               | responsible, it's result of cost optimization of
               | coverage:payload for F9. Starship will come with
               | different set of cost optimizations, likely for higher
               | orbits using larger hardware, but less of it.
               | 
               | https://imgur.com/a/VuweZZo
        
               | Salgat wrote:
               | During China's ASAT test, almost all of the debris
               | remained in the same LEO orbit. The amount of energy
               | needed to climb over 1000km to reach MEO or over 35000km
               | to reach GEO is significant, and even then, to reach a
               | stable orbit after the climb is very unlikely. Kessler
               | Syndrome is always a consideration, but with Starlink
               | it's still minimal, especially since Starlink's elevation
               | is only 340km, while China's ASAT test targeted a
               | satellite at 900km.
        
               | maxglute wrote:
               | Next gen starlink v2s are going to be 1000-2000km with
               | starship. Low LEO v1s was more limitation of F9. Shooting
               | high LEO ery expensive (PRC has HQ19s for 3000km), but
               | realistically once US/PRC rolls out starship tier
               | reusable payload vehicles at scale, we're goign to start
               | seeing enough co-orbital asats being launched to
               | guarantee kessler.
        
               | chmod775 wrote:
               | > In case of destruction, the satellite breaks up into
               | many individual pieces each having a potentially very
               | different orbit.
               | 
               | Depends on what you mean with "potentially very different
               | orbit". Each piece still has to be at least on some
               | elliptic orbit that eventually again passes through the
               | spot where where it broke up*. If it was on a low orbit
               | to begin with, it'll still burn up soon-ish as it decays.
               | You cannot increase the perigee of some formerly circular
               | orbit with only a singular application of force, nor can
               | you increase the perigee of an elliptic orbit higher than
               | its old apogee through the same means.
               | 
               | It'll take a lot to get pieces into orbits where they
               | avoid decaying within a reasonable time span.
               | 
               | *Disregarding external factors like the gravitational
               | pull of a third object, and assuming no drag and perfect
               | point masses.
        
               | dotancohen wrote:
               | It is perigee, not apogee, that matters for the lifetime
               | of a satellite. In case of collision, it is near
               | impossible for any object ejected to have a higher
               | perigee than that of the original satellite. Some
               | energetic particles might have higher apogees, sure, but
               | that will not affect their time to deorbit.
        
             | mwigdahl wrote:
             | All those satellites are in low enough orbits to have
             | lifespans measured in single-digit years. They will not
             | stay in orbit as "junk".
        
             | greenavocado wrote:
             | Low earth orbit is the best orbit because space junk
             | accumulation is impossible there
        
               | notahacker wrote:
               | Low earth orbit is a range from "pretty much everything
               | down here will naturally deorbit in a few months" to
               | "it'll take decades to naturally deorbit from up here and
               | it'll have to not hit the majority of satellites ever
               | launched on the way..."
        
             | awongh wrote:
             | I remember when the plans for starlink originally came out,
             | the two main complaints about it were 1) clogging up the
             | atmosphere with space junk, and 2) the satellites clogging
             | up terrestrial bandwidth.
             | 
             | I haven't heard anyone complain about either of these
             | things lately, I'm not sure if it's because they were never
             | legitimate complaints, or it's because once the system was
             | launched it became clear that complaining about it was
             | pointless....
        
               | fl0id wrote:
               | It's because it's not being covered anymore. Astronomers
               | only complain more, but nobody cares.
        
             | ww520 wrote:
             | They are in the lower orbits. They will fall off the orbits
             | in couple years and burn up.
        
         | Dig1t wrote:
         | Google Fiber had the same effect in Austin, it's so awesome.
         | 
         | There are no data caps on any providers because Google Fiber
         | doesn't have them. Everyone upgraded their service to try to
         | match Google's speeds, so Gigabit is easy to get pretty much
         | anywhere in the city. Google is offering up to 8gb now and ATT
         | is trying to match those speeds.
         | 
         | Company reps regularly knock on doors trying to get people to
         | switch to their service offering deep discounts for 1 year+.
        
           | usefulcat wrote:
           | Can confirm. Where I live in Austin I have a choice of no
           | less than 4 different ISPs, two cable and two fiber. Not even
           | counting wireless options, which probably also exist.
        
           | vyrotek wrote:
           | I'm watching this happen right now in Mesa, AZ. We just got
           | Google Fiber a few months ago. All of a sudden there are more
           | choices and better prices.
        
             | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
             | Yes, it's a triumph of capitalism that we have to waste the
             | energy and materials to build out the infrastructure N
             | times before competition kicks in to give us prices that
             | were apparently possible (but not offered) all along!
        
               | lotsofpulp wrote:
               | It's a failure of democracy. Voters are not smart enough
               | to understand the utility of ubiquitous fiber to the home
               | as a utility, so they do not vote for leaders who
               | prioritize that.
        
         | JKCalhoun wrote:
         | Just a guess -- but I imagine that Starlink passing over a
         | continent and _not_ having any customers below would be a waste
         | of that orbit arc. I mean Starlink could just give away the
         | bandwidth until it actually was running low on it.
        
           | Ringz wrote:
           | That's not how satellite orbit works. Imagine that the earth
           | rotates below the sat orbit. And that the sat orbit doesn't
           | go parallel to Latitude or Longitude.
        
       | davio wrote:
       | $633 (USD) per month in Zimbabwe is crazy. I could see Starlink
       | becoming the internet backbone for micro-ISPs to slice.
        
         | hooli_gan wrote:
         | I wonder if they used the official exchange rate or the black
         | market one
        
           | inemesitaffia wrote:
           | It's the price for 100 Mbps. You can pay for as low as 5.
        
           | faraixyz wrote:
           | That's if you pay in local currency. They have "promotional"
           | packages in US dollars at $150 for a 100MBps line.
        
         | faraixyz wrote:
         | I used to be quoted that for 20MBps and even 8MBps! these days
         | it's a bit better since you can get that for about $150 if
         | you're lucky enough to be near a fibre line.
        
       | bpodgursky wrote:
       | > Kenyan telecoms have also raised concerns about Starlink taking
       | market share away from local companies that employ thousands of
       | people on the African continent.
       | 
       | The point of infrastructure is to deliver services which enable
       | productivity and quality of life for the broader population.
       | Public services are not a jobs program. I will continue screaming
       | this into the void until I turn transform into a pickle.
        
         | throwaway48476 wrote:
         | Africa is a graveyard of infrastructure.
        
           | causi wrote:
           | It's all so tiresome.
        
         | kstrauser wrote:
         | I've gotta agree on this. That's a bummer for the thousands of
         | people working with hyper-expensive providers. It might not
         | even be those providers' faults: it's probably not cheap being
         | the first company to run infrastructure into less developed
         | areas. And yet, should we hold down the millions of people who
         | want affordable Internet access because of it? I don't think
         | so.
         | 
         | Edit: And for transparency, I'm about as far from a Musk fan as
         | it's possible to be. I'm not saying this because it's him doing
         | it. I'm glad _someone_ is, and if happens to be him, fine, so
         | be it.
        
         | mschuster91 wrote:
         | > Public services are not a jobs program.
         | 
         | Indeed but wealth extraction from already piss poor countries
         | by artificially dumping prices that cannot be sustained by
         | domestic industry has been a problem with Africa for decades,
         | and that after centuries of colonialism on top of it.
         | 
         | Africa used to have a vibrant textile and agricultural industry
         | - Simbabwe for example was known until two, three decades ago
         | as the "grain chamber of Africa" - but Western "donations" aka
         | mitumba and "aid" programs completely wiped out the domestic
         | industry, leaving many countries that were self-sufficient now
         | utterly dependant on foreign supply.
        
           | flerchin wrote:
           | That's interesting. We are taught that Zimbabwe's farming
           | collapse was due to government appropriation from folks with
           | European heritage to folks with African heritage.
        
           | asdasdsddd wrote:
           | Lmao its definitely not because they kicked out all the white
           | farmers and indian small business owners right?
        
           | rad_gruchalski wrote:
           | Here's some lecture for you:
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Mugabe.
        
           | sealeck wrote:
           | > Indeed but wealth extraction from already piss poor
           | countries by artificially dumping prices that cannot be
           | sustained by domestic industry has been a problem with Africa
           | for decades, and that after centuries of colonialism on top
           | of it.
           | 
           | You also need to work out what is happening with the money
           | that is saved. Sure, people working for the local ISP are
           | probably out of a job, but more people can access the
           | internet at much more reasonable rates. This boosts the
           | economy; probably more than the local ISP did!
        
         | betaby wrote:
         | > Public services are not a jobs program.
         | 
         | It definitely feels like a one in Canada (or France).
        
         | zerotolerance wrote:
         | There is a lot of idealism wrapped up in this statement and
         | just because we think something should be does not make it
         | truth.
        
       | ellisd wrote:
       | This talk had some very interesting slides from the ITU on
       | internet price due to data scarcity and lack of options.
       | 
       | "38C3 - Net Neutrality: Why It Still Matters (More Than Ever!)"
       | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_gqhpLSc_8
        
       | antithesis-nl wrote:
       | This is slightly misleading, as most Internet access in African
       | countries is via mobile phones, not 'traditional' in-home
       | connections.
       | 
       | That being said, it would be interesting to see what happened if
       | all of, say, Lagos (fastest-growing city+suburbs in the world)
       | suddenly started using Starlink exclusively.
       | 
       | "Good things" is not very high on my list...
        
         | nn3 wrote:
         | Lagos can't use starlink very much because starlink has limited
         | capacity in any given area. The future sats might improve that
         | a bit with more sats and more capacity per sat, and also there
         | will be more non starlink constellations, but it's an inherent
         | problem. If they targeted any densely populated area they would
         | vastly over-provision the rest of the more sparsely populated
         | world.
         | 
         | So in general it's good news for the rural population (if they
         | can afford it), but it doesn't really help too much for the
         | cities.
        
           | antithesis-nl wrote:
           | > Lagos can't use starlink very much because starlink has
           | limited capacity in any given area
           | 
           | That's very much not what the Starlink-proponents are,
           | loudly, proclaiming. Because, satellite-peer-to-peer stuff,
           | Elon-magic in general, and whatever.
           | 
           | Please note: I think that Starlink is mostly space pollution,
           | and that offering meaningful Internet connectivity to Africa,
           | or rural America, or anywhere mostly involves 'lots of
           | fiber', some radio, and lots of cooperation.
           | 
           | But: "just get your Starlink dish and be done" is definitely
           | an Internet Truth, and it's Wrong, and I think it's worth
           | Pointing Out.
        
             | inemesitaffia wrote:
             | For a significant population it's right.
        
             | wave-function wrote:
             | What about rural population in poor countries? I live in
             | Kazakhstan where we don't have a lot of money (or
             | population), and many people live in very sparsely
             | populated areas. Internet connectivity in cities is fine (I
             | pay like 10 USD for symmetric 60 megabyte/s fiber), but
             | villages are few and far between, and it's simply not
             | economical to cover them with fiber: you'll need thousands
             | of kilometers of it to cover maybe a few thousand people.
             | Maybe it will be practical when/if the country has 20-30
             | times the population.
             | 
             | The government has already provided many rural schools with
             | Starlink terminals, and many locations which only recently
             | didn't have internet connectivity now do have it.
             | Apparently they don't see something you do.
        
             | zizee wrote:
             | I have yet to see a starlink proponent suggest starlinl is
             | a good solve for densely populated areas. Are there some
             | misguided/uneducated people saying dumb stuff on the
             | internet? I am sure they are out there, but you can find
             | someone saying almost anything you can imagine on the
             | internet.
        
       | breadwinner wrote:
       | There is a national security risk angle to this. Elon has been
       | talking to Putin and Putin has been making requests on behalf of
       | Xi Jinping such as not turning on Starlink over Taiwan [1]. Musk
       | has also been turning off Starlink when he decides there is a
       | risk of nuclear war [2].
       | 
       | An American corporation undermining American foreign policy is a
       | security risk. No citizen, especially a crazy one like Elon,
       | should have this much power.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/musk-putin-secret-
       | conversat...
       | 
       | [2] https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66752264
        
         | bryanlarsen wrote:
         | > turning off Starlink
         | 
         | He didn't turn it off, he refused to turn it on over Crimea
         | when Ukraine requested he do so. Turning it on without the
         | permission of the State Department would have been illegal.
        
         | swarnie wrote:
         | An American company providing American services via American
         | government funding with a founder who can't leave the next
         | American presidents beach house if he tried undermines American
         | foreign policy.
         | 
         | If i wanted to control a country and couldn't get my hands on
         | their banking system i guess their communication systems would
         | do...
         | 
         | I just dont see it somehow.
        
         | immibis wrote:
         | Countries are choosing to align themselves with China and
         | Russia rather than the US, so this shouldn't be a problem for
         | those countries.
        
           | NewJazz wrote:
           | Korea, Japan, Phillipines, Taiwan, Australia, India might
           | have different thoughts
        
         | ImJamal wrote:
         | Elon literally didn't turn it on because of the US government
         | rules. How is a person / company doing what the government
         | wants undermining government policy?
        
       | josefritzishere wrote:
       | How can you state something is cheaper when it doesnt have fixed
       | rates? That claim can only be true at a relatively narrow, fixed
       | point in time.
        
       | pelagicAustral wrote:
       | It is also the case in the Falkland Islands, where the horrendous
       | de-facto ISP charges PS110 a month for 100 GB [0] of data usage
       | at a top download speed of 5 (five, literal five [V in roman])
       | MBPS, while Starlink offers unlimited usage for PS60 per month at
       | an average download speed of 130 MBPS.
       | 
       | We are still facing challenges due to an exclusive license
       | government have with this company, known for their predatory
       | conduct [1]... People here are having to use Chilean addresses to
       | register the kits and pay for a mobile package.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.sure.co.fk/broadband/broadband-packages/
       | 
       | [1] https://guernseypress.com/news/2024/10/02/sure-ordered-to-
       | pa...
        
         | lxgr wrote:
         | Is Starlink also officially prohibited like in Saint Helena
         | [1]? Seems to be a very similar situation (down to the same ISP
         | Sure!).
         | 
         | That said, there I do somewhat see the benefits of giving a
         | fibreoptics provider exclusivity for a while in such a small
         | market.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.sainthelena.gov.sh/2023/news/reminder-on-the-
         | use..., previous discussion see also:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=37645945
        
           | Havoc wrote:
           | For what it's worth Sure in Jersey (channel islands) was
           | fantastic. 80ish bucks for symetrical unlimited gigabit
        
             | yardstick wrote:
             | Jersey is in a vastly different geographic situation. It's
             | super close to UK & Europe, so cost of trade is massively
             | more economical than these other places in the middle of
             | nowhere. Economies of scale work for small countries in
             | populous first world regions.
        
           | pelagicAustral wrote:
           | De facto it is... but importing the kit is not illegal.
           | Government expects to charge a license of PS5000 for each
           | person wanting to use Starlink in an official (legal) way,
           | and being able to justify the use of it as well...
           | Fortunately, after a public petition, legislators are now
           | willing to have a look into the obscene license fee... Time
           | will tell.
        
             | lxgr wrote:
             | > Government expects to charge a license of PS5000 for each
             | person wanting to use Starlink
             | 
             | Wait, what? What service is the government supposedly
             | providing?
             | 
             | The only remotely believable excuse for that IMO would be
             | "we're using it exclusively to fund a fiberoptics cable for
             | redundancy", but even that I would have a very hard time
             | believing.
        
         | snodnipper wrote:
         | Difficult situation. 5 MBPS was certainly better than nothing
         | in the past...and yet the Sure business (now) appears largely
         | obsolete with Starlink, Kuiper etc.
        
           | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
           | THis is something I worry about in rural NM. 3 local tribes
           | just got a bit more than $20M for broadband infrastructure,
           | and you have to ask ... as much as I hate Elon both before
           | and after he went batshit insane, why not just use starlink?
           | I mean, what justification can there be for putting in new
           | wired infrastructure at this point?
        
             | wmf wrote:
             | Over a lifetime time scale, fiber will be the same price or
             | cheaper than Starlink but 10x faster. Most people won't
             | notice the performance difference and fiber takes years to
             | install while Starlink is minutes.
        
             | bmicraft wrote:
             | Besides he other argument, from what I've heard starlink
             | seems extremely very unreliable compared to fiber
        
         | layer8 wrote:
         | > 5 Mbps
         | 
         | Less than a year ago, relatives of mine in rural France still
         | only had around 1.5 Mbps via ADSL. Video chat was borderline
         | impossible. YouTube wasn't possible in real time (i.e.
         | buffering took significantly longer than the runtime).
        
           | rozap wrote:
           | This is how it is in semi rural Olympia, WA. I'm about 20
           | minutes from the state capitol, but the only options are
           | 1.5mbps ADSL, or starlink. 4g/5g arrived last year, which is
           | a great backup when starlink is down (frequent).
        
             | panopticon wrote:
             | My situation is slightly different but also in semi-rural
             | WA. I'm on Verizon Home 5g and it's way faster and more
             | stable than Starlink.
             | 
             | I'm always surprised when I talk to people that use
             | Starlink who haven't considered cellular.
        
             | dghlsakjg wrote:
             | Its kind of wild that you are having issues with Starlink.
             | Is it local geography or trees that are an issue?
             | 
             | I'm a little farther north on Vancouver Island and I see
             | basically perfect connectivity with my latest generation
             | dish. If I go look at the stats in the app it shows small
             | losses of connectivity, but I've never noticed on a video
             | call or anything.
        
               | notatoad wrote:
               | probably just oversold.
        
               | 0x1ch wrote:
               | I'd have to agree with the other comment on being
               | oversold. I haven't heard the speeds being worse than
               | your normal 4g hotspot in the woods though.
               | 
               | I did a short stint of RV life on verzion throughout
               | Western Washington and received sub 800Kbps on my 4G
               | hotspot most of the time. This was out towards Concrete,
               | WA however, not the state capitol, Olympia.
        
         | anonnon wrote:
         | Do you actually live in the Falklands? That's pretty neat.
        
           | pelagicAustral wrote:
           | I do indeed =)
        
         | teruakohatu wrote:
         | This is the sad situation in many Pacific nations. ISPs charge
         | a fortune (an absolute not relative fortune) for internet
         | services to very low income populations. Starlink is of course
         | banned.
         | 
         | Meanwhile not far away in New Zealand, with a much wealthier
         | population Starlink is prolific in rural areas. I am sure it's
         | also super popular in rural Australia.
        
           | scarface_74 wrote:
           | How do you ban something that is in the sky?
        
             | jdminhbg wrote:
             | You ban the importation of satellite dishes, and you don't
             | let Starlink build ground stations. You can still get
             | around this, just like people still import drugs, but you
             | can make it harder.
        
             | sangnoir wrote:
             | Try broadcasting on a licensed frequency without a license
             | and find out... If the terminals were completely passive,
             | finding smuggled terminals would be much harder.
        
             | bigfatkitten wrote:
             | "In the sky" does not mean "free from regulation."
             | 
             | End users of terminal equipment are still subject to the
             | regulations of the state in which they are located.
             | 
             | The ITU Radio Regulations (via national legislation) create
             | obligations on satellite operators to ensure that they do
             | not cause harmful interference to other states' services or
             | to violate those states' sovereignty.
        
           | bigfatkitten wrote:
           | > I am sure it's also super popular in rural Australia.
           | 
           | It is indeed.
           | 
           | https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-
           | display/n...
           | 
           | It is also popular in urban areas. Starlink's availability
           | map shows "sold out" in Brisbane (population 2.5 million) and
           | Perth (2.1 million) because it's much faster than the
           | mediocre VDSL2 services otherwise on offer to most of the
           | population in those cities.
        
         | guybedo wrote:
         | As a resident of a small pacific country where ISP charges
         | >$100/month for relatively low quality of service, i sure can
         | understand the problem and how interesting Starlink looks like.
         | 
         | But one thing to keep in mind, is that usually ISPs in small
         | countries can't compete on price because they don't have enough
         | scale and enough customers, in the end they just can't compete
         | with a juggernaut like Starlink.
         | 
         | Although as a customer i'd love to just use Starlink and pay
         | less for better quality of service, these local ISPs are
         | important actors of the local economy. If these companies
         | shutdown because of international competition, it's money going
         | to the US, and the local economy taking a hit ...
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _these local ISPs are important actors of the local
           | economy. If these companies shutdown because of international
           | competition, it 's money going to the US, and the local
           | economy taking a hit_
           | 
           | This is a pretty terrible justification for maintaining
           | obsolete infrastructure.
        
             | Daishiman wrote:
             | It's obsolete until Elon goes into a fit an decides for
             | whatever reason he doesn't like you.
        
           | ricardobeat wrote:
           | If the cost of Starlink is half of the local ISP, you now
           | have 50% of that revenue stream going back into the local
           | economy instead of a single company. And the benefit far
           | outweights the cost - 100Mbps+ for thousands of people can be
           | transformative (hoping they all not just start using tiktok),
           | vs a dozen ISP employees. Might not be as bad of a deal as it
           | seems.
        
             | bolognafairy wrote:
             | Yeah, until another person like you makes the same argument
             | about whatever non-local thing the residents spend all that
             | saved money on.
        
           | gopalv wrote:
           | > Although as a customer i'd love to just use Starlink and
           | pay less for better quality of service
           | 
           | The radio spectrum is far more limited, so the more people
           | use it, the slower it should get.
           | 
           | > If these companies shutdown because of international
           | competition, it's money going to the US
           | 
           | The ideal "free market" result of this is that the ISP lowers
           | prices in response or improves the service, in a rational
           | competitive market.
           | 
           | The question is about customer density - the ISPs + fiber
           | works great with density in miles while Starlink works better
           | with lower density.
           | 
           | So hopefully the cities get better wired and villages get
           | better wireless at the same time.
        
             | bmicraft wrote:
             | The "traditional" free market approach is that starlink
             | gets a monopoly there, while new providers go out of
             | business before they reach the scale to compete. Meanwhile
             | the talent pool with the knowledge to even install local
             | infrastructure in the first place is shrinking.
        
           | prmph wrote:
           | But if more companies can start up locally and succeed in the
           | digital economy because of better and cheaper internet, is it
           | not a net benefit to the country?
        
         | labster wrote:
         | Just run an undersea cable to Argentina, easy peasy. Argentina
         | should be more than willing to help out their fellow citizens
         | in the Malvinas, right?
        
           | pelagicAustral wrote:
           | Nice one. I think recently, we stand a better chance to get
           | fiber from Antarctica:
           | https://www.goremagallanes.cl/wordpress/anuncian-proyecto-
           | qu...
        
       | bhouston wrote:
       | This may be an incorrect generalization, but I thought I read
       | that in much of Africa, people do not really use fixed ISPs. They
       | just use the cell phone infrastructure for their internet needs
       | via their phones. I understand this is because cell phone
       | infrastructure is a lot cheaper to roll out and also that there
       | was less desktop computers, etc to plug into ethernet cables.
       | 
       | So this article seems to be comparing against something that
       | isn't very popular in the first place - fixed ISPs.
        
         | ekwogefee wrote:
         | It's cheaper, at least where I live in Central Africa.
         | 
         | You can pay as your budget allows -- per day, per hour, night
         | bundles, or even smaller data packages like 150MB.
         | 
         | Public Wi-Fi isn't common in places like malls, gyms, schools,
         | offices, or hospitals here. However, mobile data ensures you
         | stay connected on your cellphone.
         | 
         | I've switched between three ISPs in the past three months, all
         | of which have been disappointing, mainly due to poor customer
         | service. With cellular data, I can easily top up using mobile
         | money whenever my data runs out.
         | 
         | I also use my phone's hotspot to connect my PCs at home or on
         | the go.
        
           | ge96 wrote:
           | 150MB? damn, that's like a SPA
        
             | bigfatkitten wrote:
             | There are lots of lazy software 'engineers' in wealthy
             | western nations who just assume everyone, everywhere has
             | unlimited 5G or gigabit fibre, and that the size of their
             | 150MB React monstrosity or the 300 API calls it makes when
             | you click a button don't matter.
        
               | ge96 wrote:
               | It's an exaggeration 10x but yeah MBs is not unheard of
               | 
               | edit: it's funny there was this cool sports car demo with
               | scrolling animations and if you looked at the code, it
               | loaded like a 1000 images to do the animation
        
               | swatcoder wrote:
               | I think if you open the Network Inspector more often,
               | you'll find that you weren't actually exaggerating at
               | all.
               | 
               | Resource utilization has basically zero headspace for
               | many developers now, and even less among non-technical
               | stakeholders (who fundamentally rely on engineers to
               | bring it to their attention).
               | 
               | Things are _really_ bad these days.
        
       | scoobytusk wrote:
       | problem is musk has shown that he can shut a country down on a
       | whim. we've seen him doing with starlink with ukraine, and
       | twitter with... anyone that opposes him.
       | 
       | for all the great things starlink does and is, it should not be
       | at the whims of a egomaniacal drug addict.
        
       | crowcroft wrote:
       | Unbelievable value for money. Will it be possible for Starlink to
       | ever be better than proper fibre though?
       | 
       | It's probably already at a point where from a cost vs. benefit
       | perspective I don't know if we should be laying a lot more cable,
       | but I wonder if it will ever make the existing cables obsolete.
        
         | daveoc64 wrote:
         | No. Starlink won't be able to offer enough capacity to
         | completely eliminate fibre, even in rural areas.
        
           | crowcroft wrote:
           | I can see that being true in high density areas, but I've got
           | to think even now it's good enough that you really should
           | question if rural areas should bother with fibre?
        
         | lurking_swe wrote:
         | it will never be better than fiber for the simple fact that's
         | it's less reliable. The "uptime" of a fiber connection to the
         | home will most likely be higher than a fiber-like connection
         | from a satellite. And you'll have better "ping".
         | 
         | Fiber doesn't care about cloudy days, typical storms, etc.
         | 
         | Starlink is of course superior when there's a massive natural
         | disaster, or major power loss to your region. Or if you're in a
         | rural area with zero other good options.
        
           | udosan wrote:
           | I've had Starlink for over 2 years, not had a single
           | perceptible minute of outage including in thunderstorms.
           | Might have been slower than usual but not enough to notice. I
           | switched because fibre in our rural area was way less
           | reliable.
        
             | lurking_swe wrote:
             | that's shocking to me actually. Was the ISP just bad? Wow.
             | 
             | I guess that challenges my perspective. The ping point
             | still stands. May or not be noticeable depending on how you
             | use the internet.
        
           | crowcroft wrote:
           | If web servers were deployed to space, and everyone was
           | connecting through satellites would there be any upside for
           | ping?
           | 
           | Sure New York to Ohio is always going to be fastest over
           | fibre, but what about New Zealand to London? Not sure how
           | much that matters though and the speed of light is a pretty
           | hard limit to what's possible.
        
         | chasd00 wrote:
         | > Will it be possible for Starlink to ever be better than
         | proper fibre though?
         | 
         | i doubt it, the speed of light is only so fast. Latency up to
         | LEO, down to earth, back to LEO, down to you will always be
         | more than to your local telco CO and back.
        
           | crowcroft wrote:
           | Yea, this makes sense, but what if web servers are deployed
           | to space?
           | 
           | I don't imagine it will ever be 'better'. Like wifi though,
           | at some point it will probably be good enough that for 90+%
           | of use cases the tradeoff of cables isn't worth it.
           | 
           | Like I know ethernet is better, but very rarely does that
           | little bit better latency or connection stability practically
           | matter.
        
             | wincy wrote:
             | Maybe SpaceX should partner with Activision-Blizzard to run
             | Diablo 4 servers in space so Elon can get better latency
             | for His Pit 140+ runs when flying in his private jet.
        
             | prmph wrote:
             | Would give a whole new meaning to _cloud_ computing. We can
             | only hope.
        
         | zizee wrote:
         | Fibre will always be better for densely populated areas. But
         | for less dense satellite is making a lot of sense.
         | 
         | However, for nation states there is a lot of value in having
         | redundancy and sovereignty over your telecommunications
         | infrastructure. Having a foreign country's company being sole
         | provider could put you in a tough position (for the good/bad of
         | your population).
        
       | somethoughts wrote:
       | Without seeing the underlying costs its hard to really know if
       | this is like early Uber/Lyft where investors are trying
       | subsidizing growth of a service in order to grow marketshare.
       | 
       | Long term - once the local ISPs are out of business, then prices
       | can go up and either cover costs or excess profits can go to the
       | investors.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2025-01-10 23:01 UTC)