[HN Gopher] Collusion through Common Leadership [pdf]
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       Collusion through Common Leadership [pdf]
        
       Author : MPLan
       Score  : 106 points
       Date   : 2025-01-05 17:05 UTC (2 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (wwws.law.northwestern.edu)
 (TXT) w3m dump (wwws.law.northwestern.edu)
        
       | MPLan wrote:
       | Common leadership, via the sharing of board members,
       | significantly increased the likelihood that tech firms would not
       | hire each others' workers. This form of 'no-poaching' may have
       | had much bigger impacts on wage suppression:
       | 
       | "It is worth noting that such collusion against workers may have
       | costs beyond just the directly impacted workers in the high-tech
       | sector. Wages and salaries of jobs in one industry can serve as
       | reference points when workers in other firms/industries negotiate
       | their wages. Thus, if high-tech workers get paid less, this may
       | impact wages of other workers, say in finance, which may then
       | impact wages in another sector and so on. Collusion in one sector
       | can have impacts on other industries."
       | 
       | To read more: https://www.nominalnews.com/p/competition-no-
       | poaching-real-p...
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | I really doubt that could override the fundamental supply and
         | demand forces.
         | 
         | If hiring a finance "worker" will make my company $500k/year I
         | will offer him $450k regardless of what Google engineers make.
        
           | mitthrowaway2 wrote:
           | Will you offer him $450k regardless of whether he would
           | accept $250k because his next best alternative is offering
           | $200k?
        
             | BurningFrog wrote:
             | In that case I would offer $250k, of course, but that
             | assumes there is no other firm that can put that person to
             | work on something equally profitable.
             | 
             | Either way, engineer wages at Google would not be a factor.
        
               | wewtyflakes wrote:
               | > Either way, engineer wages at Google would not be a
               | factor.
               | 
               | ...for you. It would be a factor for who you are trying
               | to hire. If who you are trying to hire sees Google
               | engineers making $$$, but you are offering $ for job X,
               | and they do not see it as an unbridgeable gap in their
               | own aptitude, they could well say "I am going to instead
               | try to be an engineer at Google so I can make $$$,
               | instead of being offered $ doing X". This happens all the
               | time.
        
           | roughly wrote:
           | This is absolutely not how wages are set anywhere and
           | certainly not in tech. Workers are paid according to the
           | prevailing wages and what they'll accept, not according to
           | the value they generate for the firm.
        
             | yieldcrv wrote:
             | and yet, they could, no matter what happens in other
             | industries
        
               | hmmokidk wrote:
               | if they were paid for exactly the value they produced the
               | firm would not profit as all the profit would be paid out
               | to those generating it
        
               | yieldcrv wrote:
               | oh okay, if anyone anywhere suggested otherwise in this
               | thread I'll let them know
        
               | pests wrote:
               | > the firm would not profit as all the profit would be
               | paid out to those generating it
               | 
               | Then what is the firm doing at this point?
        
             | BurningFrog wrote:
             | How much value a worker generates is of course much harder
             | to quantify in tech, vs a finance trader, but the market
             | forces will produce a rough equivalent result over time.
             | 
             | But to get back to the topic, tech wages are _definitely_
             | not set by comparing with finance wages!
        
               | adrianN wrote:
               | Markets are not guaranteed to convergence faster than
               | surrounding conditions change.
        
               | freen wrote:
               | Markets are not guaranteed to converge.
               | 
               | "The market can stay irrational for longer than you can
               | stay solvent"
               | 
               | There are price makers and price takers. Guess which side
               | labor is on?
        
               | roughly wrote:
               | > the market forces will produce a rough equivalent
               | result over time.
               | 
               | No, they absolutely will not. Absolutely not. The entire
               | history of the labor movement and of labor law is
               | testament to this. We've tried this, repeatedly, in the
               | real world, and labor gets fucked every single time.
               | Employers do not pay according to the value generated by
               | the employee, they pay the minimum they need to get an
               | employee. Get this model out of your head, it is wrong.
        
               | ethbr1 wrote:
               | There's probably a case for Henry Ford, if the parable
               | about paying above-market wages is true.
               | 
               | But certainly not since then.
               | 
               | And even he probably paid the minimum overage he could.
               | It's the nature of business.
        
               | roughly wrote:
               | Every once in a while someone recognizes that paying good
               | workers good wages works out well for the business, but
               | that never makes it back into the textbooks somehow.
        
               | jay_kyburz wrote:
               | I wonder if market forces would work better if everyone's
               | salaries was public.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | There's a viable place to do a case study:
               | 
               | https://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-40669239
        
               | BurningFrog wrote:
               | I think/hope we're talking about different things.
               | 
               | I think you're saying that employers pay employees as
               | little as they can, not according to some formula based
               | on the value each employee generates. Aside from some
               | very specific exceptions, I think that's very true.
               | 
               | But then we need to explain why all companies don't just
               | pay minimum wage!
               | 
               | I claim that prices (wages) on a labor market, like on
               | most markets, is determined by supply and demand.
               | Obviously, companies that pay employees more than the
               | value they generate will run out of money and die. This
               | sets an upper limit on wages.
               | 
               | The lower limit comes from companies outbidding (demand)
               | each other for workers (supply) as long as it's
               | profitable. In aggregate this means wages will converge
               | on on some large percentage of the value generated by the
               | typical employee.
        
               | __turbobrew__ wrote:
               | I saved my company $3million+ / year in Opex costs. Still
               | waiting for my juicy $1million/year salary in reflection
               | of the value I generated.
        
               | cjbgkagh wrote:
               | I made a former company $100M p.a. And all I got was a
               | 30K bonus paid out over 6 years. Not even a promotion as
               | I was on a visa. The asset required maintenance and
               | without me it slowly degraded away. Every now and then I
               | offer to go back and fix it for a flat $1M but instead
               | they would rather believe that it's impossible. You could
               | imagine the sheer dysfunction required to let that much
               | money go.
               | 
               | A former colleague built a program that would have saved
               | $30M p.a. in OpEx but as a policy they can't deploy
               | something unless more than two people understand it and
               | they wouldn't pay enough to hire someone capable enough.
               | Probably would have taken $600K.
               | 
               | It's about power and in general management does not want
               | to yield power to ICs no matter how much money they could
               | make with it. The more productive the IC the more power
               | management loses.
        
               | hnthrow90348765 wrote:
               | My advice is to sleep on those kinds of improvements.
               | Optimize things that are making your job/team's daily
               | life more difficult, which directly translate into better
               | WLB. You can sometimes knock significant hours-per-week
               | off of your actual work done.
               | 
               | We are giving away this expertise for fractions of a
               | penny, but companies react to market pressures. Let them
               | spend the extra $36 million for not keeping up with it.
               | When they offer incentives, then do the work.
               | 
               | Heck, maybe you can make an underhanded pitch to whatever
               | cloud provider it was that you earned them millions by
               | not fixing the issues.
        
             | jknoepfler wrote:
             | Having had real conversations with company leadership about
             | "the board being concerned about engineer salaries being
             | above industry norms" despite "having the highest revenue
             | per engineer in their portfolio" I can... anecdotally
             | confirm.
        
           | kelseyfrog wrote:
           | Curious, have you always been a market determinist, or did
           | that develop in a unique way for you?
        
             | BurningFrog wrote:
             | I've never heard that term before, so it's hard to answer
             | :)
             | 
             | After learning how microeconomics/"price theory" explains
             | how prices emerge in markets, it can be hard to discuss
             | with people who don't understand the mechanisms.
        
               | kelseyfrog wrote:
               | There's not exactly a good descriptive term, but the vibe
               | I got was beyond, "Markets are the best tool to solve
               | exchange problems," and ventured more into "Markets are
               | an inevitable fact of nature, provide the most utility,
               | and efforts to intervene produce worse outcomes." Let me
               | know if I got that wrong.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | > After learning how microeconomics/"price theory"
               | explains how prices emerge in markets, it can be hard to
               | discuss with people who don't understand the mechanisms.
               | 
               | AP Physics is learning that a perfectly spherical cow
               | does X.
               | 
               | Common sense is realizing perfectly spherical cows don't
               | exist, and that certain things are overly simplified or
               | more chaotic than theorists would sometimes like to
               | admit.
               | 
               | See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homo_economicus
        
               | Hizonner wrote:
               | After learning how bad people who know a little
               | microeconomics are at noticing or accepting it when their
               | "explanations" diverge grossly and repeatedly from what
               | happens in reality, it can be hard to take them
               | seriously.
        
               | freen wrote:
               | "In theory, there's no difference between theory and
               | practice. In practice there is."
               | 
               | - Yogi Berra
        
               | roughly wrote:
               | Understand that the people arguing with you aren't doing
               | so because they don't know or understand the theory,
               | they're arguing with you because the theory is a toy that
               | only works under very specific conditions which are
               | almost never met in the real world.
        
         | boringg wrote:
         | I mean thats a pretty big stretch. You can certainly make the
         | argument but I believe they call it casting a wide net.
        
           | trgn wrote:
           | It's baumol's cost disaease no? rising wages in one sector,
           | have a side-effect of bringing up wages in another.
        
             | boringg wrote:
             | I agree that its possible but it seems to be the authors
             | trying to cast a wide net via hypotheticals. Its easy to
             | say its possible - but without any evidence its heresay,
             | and within a paper like this its about trying to show the
             | widest and broadest potential wage suppression possible.
             | 
             | It seems sloppy to me to be honest.
        
           | curiousllama wrote:
           | I mean I know a lot of people who explicitly decide between
           | sectors early/mid career.
           | 
           | Tech vs consulting/finance for MBAs, tech vs. HFT for SWEs,
           | tech vs. advertising for creatives, etc etc
        
         | 0xcde4c3db wrote:
         | It's been argued that similar dynamics also inflate executive
         | pay, although I'm not well-versed enough in the overall
         | economic policy debate to know how well-established this
         | actually is [1].
         | 
         | [1] https://www.epi.org/publication/reining-in-ceo-
         | compensation-...
        
       | lupire wrote:
       | This is talking about High-Tech Employee Antitrust Litigation
       | form the aughts.
       | 
       | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-Tech_Employee_Antitrust...
       | 
       | Also, in retrospect, this timing was funny.
       | https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2009/08/03Dr-Eric-Schmidt-Res...
        
       | josefritzishere wrote:
       | Marx predicted this. But he usually does.
        
         | Etheryte wrote:
         | Marx also predicted many things that turned out to be
         | completely false. It's easy to make a convincing sounding
         | argument after the fact if you only cherry pick the bits that
         | support your view.
        
           | reillys wrote:
           | Give examples of things he got dead wrong?
        
             | __turbobrew__ wrote:
             | That communism is compatible with human nature.
        
               | freen wrote:
               | Tell that to monks.
               | 
               | Or, your atomic family.
               | 
               | Or heck, the bulk of the Neolithic.
        
               | bigfishrunning wrote:
               | All of which are small groups that rely on a ton of
               | interpersonal trust. Large groups that lack interpersonal
               | trust (like nations) tend to fail under communism.
        
               | metalliqaz wrote:
               | So perhaps one could say that human nature isn't
               | compatible with such massive scale? Over here in
               | capitalist paradise, it sure sucks for most people
        
             | eli_gottlieb wrote:
             | That the industrial working class would come to compose the
             | supermajority of society? That history was driven by a
             | Hegelian dialectical structure which would guarantee that
             | something like the attempted German Revolution would
             | succeed?
        
               | reillys wrote:
               | Are the working class not the majority of society? 1% of
               | the population of most western countries are farmers. 1%
               | are extremely rich and 98% are the rest of us.
        
               | metalliqaz wrote:
               | Well, as far as _industrial_ workers, they definitely
               | aren 't a super-majority, given all the people working in
               | service, creative, and white collar jobs. But I don't
               | know why that would matter.
               | 
               | I'm no scholar of this stuff by any means, but by my
               | understanding the relevant difference was between those
               | that lived by what they owned versus those that lived by
               | selling their labor. I don't know the exact numbers but I
               | would assume those that live by selling their labor are a
               | majority but not super-majority. Those that live entirely
               | off their property are a tiny minority, but there
               | currently exists a solid chunk of people that both sell
               | their time and build wealth from property/interest.
               | 
               | Most of the HN crowd probably falls into that later
               | category
        
       | SteveVeilStream wrote:
       | One of the pieces of advice I would give to someone early in your
       | career is to find a trusted seasoned executive who can share a
       | perspective that I have never seen captured well in writing.
       | Typical actual comp structures for a number of career paths.
       | Board dynamics. The true sources of negotiating power. The types
       | of restrictive terms included in exec and board contracts. etc.
        
       | fluorinerocket wrote:
       | One of the companies I worked at had the no poach list on the
       | company open confluence for anyone to see if they looked
        
       | realityfactchex wrote:
       | As an extension: an opposite of "collusion through common
       | leadership" might be "collusion enabled by common exclusion"; in
       | other words, blacklisting.
       | 
       | The inverse of a "no-poach list" would be a "no-hire list".
       | 
       | In the past, blacklisting (now should be called denylisting) was
       | a real labor issue. People who stood up for workers rights
       | (think: coal-mining towns in the late 1wr800s) or had unpopular
       | political views (think: Hollywood in the early cold war) were, so
       | the story goes, put on shared lists and denied work.
       | 
       | But the effect would be similar. Enabled beneficial collective
       | action for the executive class, through a concerted and curated
       | collection of who can participates in working together.
       | 
       | Does tech do this, too? If so, it could explain the need to
       | import labor, and reflect or contribute to an artificial
       | inability to find high-tech labor domestically?
       | 
       | That is-- some of the collusion enabled by "common leadership"
       | might not be possible with a workforce having full agency--but,
       | with the risk of blacklisting, basically, there is potentially
       | another side to the collective action of the executive minority.
       | 
       | Of course, blacklisting might be illegal, so, hard to learn
       | about, but so might be some other other forms of collusion, which
       | the paper talks about?
       | 
       | I am not a lawyer, just wondering if this is part of a bigger
       | workforce pattern, reaching further to the lower rungs of the
       | ladder, too, even if in the inverse form (exclusion, not
       | inclusion).
       | 
       | Links:                 -
       | https://firstamendment.mtsu.edu/article/blacklists/       -
       | https://pen.org/censored-free-speech-hollywood/
        
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       (page generated 2025-01-07 23:00 UTC)