[HN Gopher] FTC orders 'gun detection' tech maker Evolv to stop ...
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       FTC orders 'gun detection' tech maker Evolv to stop overstating
       effectiveness
        
       Author : shakna
       Score  : 128 points
       Date   : 2024-12-30 15:01 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.techdirt.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.techdirt.com)
        
       | idontwantthis wrote:
       | Clark County School District recently signed a $5 million
       | contract with a different AI "Weapon Detection System". There is
       | no way any of them are real is there?
       | 
       | Edit: CCSD uses Remark. Maybe their AI actually knows what a
       | person walking with a gun somewhere on their body looks like in
       | all situations and for all skin colors.
        
         | pavel_lishin wrote:
         | Seems like it would cost less than $5m to independently test
         | this unit before purchase.
        
         | Aeolun wrote:
         | There's definitely some form of filtering you can apply to
         | metal detector results to make a relatively good guess on
         | whether it's a false positive or not.
         | 
         | Just need to train it with a variety of hidden and unhidden
         | items. I kinda like the idea of a team of test people hiding
         | their weapons everywhere and then taking multiple trips through
         | the thing just to teach it.
        
           | idontwantthis wrote:
           | It's not a metal detector it's optical. What does a person
           | with a pistol strapped to their inner thigh walk like? Or a
           | knife? There is no possible way to detect that visually.
        
       | xrd wrote:
       | I cannot find any summaries for the cost of these detection
       | devices. What did this cost, anyone know?
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | Probably a lot.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ADE_651 made tens of millions of
         | dollars at ~$5,000/unit.
         | 
         | > The laboratory found that the card contained only a standard
         | radio frequency ID tag of the type used in stores to prevent
         | shoplifting. According to the laboratory's Dr. Markus Kuhn, it
         | was "impossible" for the card to detect anything and it had
         | "absolutely nothing to do with the detection of TNT". The card
         | could not be programmed, had no memory, no microprocessor and
         | no form of information could be stored on it. Despite the high
         | cost of the devices, the cards were worth only about two to
         | three pence (3-5C/) each. Kuhn commented: "These are the
         | cheapest bit of electronics that you can get that look vaguely
         | electronic and are sufficiently flat to fit inside a card." The
         | "card reader" was found to be an empty plastic box.
        
           | gs17 wrote:
           | > Promotional material issued by ATSC claimed that the ADE
           | 651 could detect such item as guns, ammunition, drugs,
           | truffles, human bodies, contraband ivory and bank notes at
           | distances of up to 1 kilometre (0.62 mi), underground,
           | through walls, underwater or even from aircraft at an
           | altitude of up to 5 kilometres (3.1 mi).
           | 
           | Could they have at least tried to make their lies believable?
        
             | pavel_lishin wrote:
             | I assume it's like Nigerian Prince emails - if they were
             | believable, they might have appealed to buyers who would
             | have done something like purchasing one and _testing it_ ,
             | instead of spending millions of dollars on garbage.
        
               | jandrese wrote:
               | This is it exactly. All of the serious people left before
               | they finished the sales pitch. If they had sold one to
               | someone competent that would be grounds for a lawsuit or
               | fraud charges. They had to filter out the customer base
               | to just two kinds of buyers:
               | 
               | 1. The people who fail to realize that it's a big scam
               | and will be fat dumb and happy forever.
               | 
               | 2. The people who don't want something functional, they
               | want a "probable cause" generator they can pull out when
               | there isn't any evidence to go on.
        
             | mrandish wrote:
             | Sounds like they're basically making minimally plausible
             | props for customers more focused on security theater
             | performances than any actual security.
             | 
             | It's scummy and dumb but legally the only real problem I
             | see is lying and collecting money under false pretenses
             | making it fraud. Alternatively, they could have chosen to
             | market these products confidentially as essentially
             | security placebos. There's a market for things like fake
             | security cameras, which arguably have some value for
             | deterrence and reassurance. I suspect many of their current
             | customers would probably have been just as happy buying
             | these products knowing they didn't work.
        
               | jandrese wrote:
               | I don't think it's quite as innocent as security theater.
               | I think these are more for generating probable cause when
               | they need to shake down someone who isn't doing anything
               | illegal.
        
               | mrandish wrote:
               | Ah, well if the design allows manual triggering as
               | opposed to some random percentage, then that would
               | obviously be bad.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | It's mostly based on the ideomotor effect. It's _all_
               | manual triggering, just mostly unconscious.
        
           | recursivecaveat wrote:
           | > He told The Times that ATSC had been dealing with doubters
           | for ten years and that the device was merely being criticised
           | because of its "primitive" appearance. He said: "We are
           | working on a new model that has flashing lights".
           | 
           | Damn, why am I not a scam artist? This worked so well for so
           | long. If he put $20 of random electronics and tiny glass
           | tubes of chemicals in there I think he could've gotten away
           | with it.
        
       | giantg2 wrote:
       | I mean, the company has never really said how their systems
       | worked. It's basically left the users/scanned with the impression
       | that it's magic. It seems to me that it's basically some of 3D
       | metal detection paired with cameras. It would be cool to
       | understand how they make it work, but I guess it's a trade
       | secret. They haven't readily put up numbers about false positive
       | rates, and even less data about false negatives. I get the
       | impression that this relies heavily on placebo effect - "they
       | have scanners so I better not try to take my weapon in".
        
       | unwise-exe wrote:
       | I thought advertising and marketing materials were _expected_ to
       | exaggerate things to the point of blatant falsehood.
       | 
       | Is that changing, or is this company being singled out for some
       | reason, or are they really that much worse than everyone else?
        
         | Zak wrote:
         | It is, and has long been illegal to make false statements of
         | fact in marketing materials.
         | 
         |  _Puffery_ , on the other hand is allowed. That usually entails
         | non-falsifiable statements like "Evolv is the _best_ way to
         | detect guns ". "Best" doesn't really mean anything because
         | there are a bunch of tradeoffs that go into designing a
         | security screening system.
        
           | conover wrote:
           | Right. "The world's best cookie". I think the idea is that no
           | reasonable person would understand that statement to mean
           | that literally, of all the cookies in the world, this one
           | right here is the best.
        
             | Zak wrote:
             | At least equally important to whether a reasonable person
             | would take it literally is that there's no way to prove it
             | isn't. If I call something the best cookie, the closest
             | thing that has to a concrete meaning is "I like it better
             | than any other cookie".
        
         | skywhopper wrote:
         | It's illegal, and has been for many decades. It's not enforced
         | nearly as often or as strictly as it should be.
        
         | kjs3 wrote:
         | In the US (YMMV) there's a distinction in advertising between
         | exaggeration for effect, like "this expensive cream will make
         | you _beautiful_ ", and straight up falsification like "we can
         | detect all guns everywhere" when you demonstrably can't.
        
       | too_pricey wrote:
       | Multiple concert venues in my city use these, so I interact with
       | them all the time. They have replaced standard metal detectors,
       | bag searches, and manual patdowns w/ hands and/or metal-detecting
       | wands. Security checkpoints are the primary point of delay for
       | getting into venues, and places that have rolled these out
       | process people through about 95% faster. It's a huge difference.
       | If it does trigger, you just get the manual patdown you would
       | have gotten anyway, so the false positive cases aren't any lost
       | time.
       | 
       | The article and settlement seem to only mention the false
       | positive rate, which is a bad thing to focus on. Every true
       | positive is a much faster experience. Only subjecting 110 out of
       | 3000 people to a longer search is a big improvement. Given the
       | negative outcomes of a gun slipping through and the lack of a
       | cost of a false positive, we probably want it to be tuned to be
       | more false positive prone anyway. We don't need these to detect
       | guns THAT well, we just need them to weed out people who
       | definitely don't have them.
       | 
       | I do have concerns about what its false negative rate is relative
       | to the standard practice it replaces. I do not really trust
       | whatever psuedo-AI they're bolting to their metal detectors; it's
       | probably easier to get a gun through. That said, the false
       | negative rate probably isn't good already. TSA isn't great on
       | their false positive rate, does more intense screening, and isn't
       | being staffed by hungover 20-somethings. So maybe the false
       | negative rate didn't actually increase by much?
        
         | ggreer wrote:
         | An acceptable false negative rate really depends on the
         | consequences of getting caught.
         | 
         | If someone's nefarious plan depends on smuggling a gun in, they
         | want to be confident they won't be arrested or shot at the
         | entrance. Even failing to detect 20% of firearms means there's
         | an 80% chance they'll be caught before they can do whatever it
         | is they plan on doing. This is also why it's important to have
         | armed guards alongside the scanners. Scanners aren't very
         | useful if the only armed person is the bad guy.
         | 
         | If the consequences of getting caught are negligible (as is the
         | case for anyone trying to bring a box cutter through airport
         | security), then the attacker can try as many times as they want
         | without issue. Even if the false negative rate is low, they
         | only have to get lucky once.
         | 
         | Annoyingly, I can't find any info about false positive/negative
         | rates for various scanners. There doesn't seem to be the
         | equivalent of Consumer Reports or Underwriters Labs for
         | scanners. My guess is that the numbers must be pretty bad if
         | companies aren't willing to go through public 3rd party
         | testing.
        
           | mrandish wrote:
           | The TSA's own security tests clearly show a significant
           | percentage of guns, knives and explosives regularly get
           | through. This is further confirmed by the number of travelers
           | who, after arriving, discover the handgun they accidentally
           | left in some pouch in their suitcase that was never detected.
           | 
           | > There doesn't seem to be the equivalent of Consumer Reports
           | or Underwriters Labs for scanners. My guess is that the
           | numbers must be pretty bad if companies aren't willing to go
           | through public 3rd party testing.
           | 
           | Of course they are but the main reason there's no publicly
           | available objective testing isn't _only_ that sellers don 't
           | want it. In reality, no stakeholder in the security market
           | wants it. The vast majority of high-volume public security
           | like airports, concerts and sporting events is largely
           | unnecessary and mostly ineffective but our current
           | political/media environment requires appearing to "do
           | _something_ " to "make it safe". The Vice-President of "Make
           | it (Seem) Safe" knows that their shareholders, politicians
           | and the public aren't willing to pay more or be even more
           | inconvenienced than they already are for 800% better "Make it
           | (Seem) Safe"-ness.
           | 
           | Metaphorically speaking, the tiger repellent is working just
           | fine, thank you. Those truly worried about tiger attacks feel
           | safer and those being well-paid for preventing tiger attacks
           | can claim virtually 100% effectiveness. So, if you start the
           | world's best Tiger Repellent Testing Laboratory, you'll find
           | a shocking lack of interest in buying your test data from
           | both sellers and buyers in this brisk, profitable and growing
           | market. Much like the lack of interest in objective testing
           | data for lie detectors, astrology readings and placebo pills.
           | The smaller minority of customers actually willing to pay
           | more for improved detection (like Tel Aviv airport), do their
           | own in-context performance testing anyway. In fact, a good
           | proxy for doing your own effectiveness testing is available
           | for free. Just look at what those under constant active
           | threat with real consequences actually pay for and do.
        
             | yonaguska wrote:
             | I unknowingly transported ammo both to and from Mexico. I
             | used an old backpack that I had previously used as a range
             | bag from years ago. I ended up finding several 223 rounds
             | in Mexico, then when I got back, even more 22lr.
        
               | bwilliams18 wrote:
               | Others have not been so lucky
               | 
               | https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/kyle-
               | busch...
        
         | mrandish wrote:
         | > Security checkpoints are the primary point of delay for
         | getting into venues, and places that have rolled these out
         | process people through about 95% faster. It's a huge
         | difference.
         | 
         | I assume expediting peak crowd throughput at low labor cost is
         | the primary, if not entire, value of the device. I hate that
         | it's being marketed dishonestly but I also assume most concert
         | venue buyers know (or suspect) it probably doesn't work all
         | that well in practice. However, in a concert context accurate
         | detection isn't their main priority. They need to get more
         | bodies per minute into the venue at lower cost while appearing
         | to conduct security checks sufficiently 'real' enough to act as
         | a deterrent to get those who care about getting 'caught' to
         | leave their knife or concealed carry handgun (or whatever) in
         | the car.
         | 
         | The only hard and fast requirement is meeting the contractual
         | security requirements of the venue and promoter's insurance
         | carriers - because no insurance = no concert. It's a bonus if
         | the 'security' also looks plausible enough to reassure the
         | small fraction of perpetually fearful people statistically
         | challenged enough to actually worry about terrorists or an
         | active shooter killing them while at a Taylor Swift concert (as
         | opposed to the infinitely more likely chance of dying in a car
         | crash on the way to the concert).
         | 
         | In a perfect world, everyone would be rational and numerate
         | enough that we wouldn't need to maintain the pretense of
         | 'security theater' in contexts where actual security isn't
         | necessary. But in the imperfect world we live in, I prefer
         | having concert (and airport) security be as minimally
         | disruptive and inexpensive as possible regardless of
         | effectiveness (since it's unnecessary and mostly ineffective in
         | those contexts anyway). I just wish companies would sell these
         | products as 'security placebos' instead of lying about it
         | because fraud is wrong.
        
           | mlyle wrote:
           | I don't know anything about the devices that are being sold,
           | but it doesn't seem impossible to me that with better signal
           | processing from a metal detector, you could reduce false
           | positives a bit while maintaining or slightly improving the
           | false negative rate.
        
             | mrandish wrote:
             | Sure, I agree that's an interesting and likely solvable
             | technical problem. However, the vast majority of the
             | addressable market in today's over-secured society don't
             | really need improved detection. Concert venues, sports
             | arenas and similar customers buy massive volume and they
             | are much more concerned with faster throughput enabled by
             | shorter cycle time and minimal false positives. Of course
             | the head of security at Madison Square Garden can never
             | publicly admit they don't care about better detection
             | enough to pay more for it, but I'm confident the sales
             | managers at these security vendors understand exactly what
             | their largest market segments really care about.
             | 
             | Customers like Tel Aviv International Airport, who actually
             | care to some meaningful extent about improved detection,
             | are a small minority segment of the overall market.
             | Creating new technical measures able to demonstrate
             | improved performance in rigorous objective tests on the
             | metrics these customers care about (some sweeter spot on
             | the matrix of false pos, false neg, true pos, true neg, net
             | throughput, cost) would be valuable but only to that small
             | segment.
        
             | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
             | Very likely, but who's going to pay for the engineering
             | efforts? If the customer doesn't care about having a better
             | device, or a better device would actually make their job
             | harder, then it's wasted effort on the part of the
             | manufacturer.
             | 
             | Engineering exists to solve a problem. It's entirely likely
             | that your definition of the "problem" differs from that of
             | the paying customer.
        
           | lupusreal wrote:
           | > _get more bodies per minute into the venue at lower cost
           | while appearing to conduct security checks sufficiently
           | 'real' enough to act as a deterrent_
           | 
           | Or they just need to convince most of their customers it will
           | be safe to attend, while covering their ass by following
           | "best practices" if something slips through, people get hurt
           | and they get sued.
        
             | mrandish wrote:
             | > convince most of their customers it will be safe to
             | attend
             | 
             | Apparently, you've never met my Aunt Sue. She has a
             | graduate degree in innumeracy with a minor in illiteracy
             | and a specialization in worrying about whatever the media
             | tells her to worry about. However, she _always_ votes.
             | 
             | More seriously, it's not cost-effective to "convince most
             | customers it will be safe _enough_ to attend. " The game
             | theory around fallacious public perception makes it a
             | losing proposition for a politician or company to ever
             | appear to reduce security requirements because as soon as
             | "rare bad thing happens", they will be blamed - even though
             | their reduction in pointless measures had no bearing on it.
             | 
             | Most independent experts agree that securing cockpit doors
             | in 2002 made subjecting every passenger to the TSA's
             | increased security measures unnecessary and, objectively, a
             | very poor ROI in both cost and disruption. However, the TSA
             | will never, ever go away - even though it could and should.
             | Not only is reducing security politically costly, the TSA
             | is now a multi-billion dollar federal bureaucracy, paying
             | hundreds of vendors with lobbyists and employing tens of
             | thousands of unionized workers spread across the most
             | populous congressional districts. Yes, this is frustrating.
        
           | Zak wrote:
           | > _The only hard and fast requirement is meeting the
           | contractual security requirements of the venue and promoter
           | 's insurance carriers _
           | 
           | I think it would be a good idea to create an explicit carve
           | out in the law saying that there is no premise liability for
           | a property owner or event organizer due to a third party
           | committing a crime.
        
             | staticautomatic wrote:
             | So, do away with all negligent security cases?
        
               | Zak wrote:
               | Yes. In general, business owners aren't expected to
               | prevent crimes against their customers. If someone
               | attacks me at a bar or grocery store, I probably won't
               | get very far trying to sue the owner for failing to check
               | everyone for weapons on entry. I'm not sure I'd have more
               | success with a concert venue, but it appears insurance
               | companies perceive enough risk to demand certain
               | procedures.
               | 
               | Codifying that expectation in law would reduce costly and
               | obnoxious security theater. Of course, a business
               | advertising a certain level of security could be sued for
               | failing to provide it.
        
               | staticautomatic wrote:
               | Ok, but it seems like a bit of a non-sequitur to say "
               | business owners aren't expected to prevent crimes against
               | their customers" when there's a body of law to the
               | contrary.
        
               | Zak wrote:
               | Is there? In most US states, the concept of premises
               | liability seems to be derived entirely from case law, not
               | statute. Some states appear to have statutes limiting its
               | scope, such as
               | https://colorado.public.law/statutes/crs_13-21-115
               | 
               | Edit: to be clear, I don't think there's anything
               | actually stopping someone from attempting to sue a bar or
               | grocery store over a crime committed there, but it
               | usually doesn't happen and would likely be an uphill
               | battle for the plaintiff.
        
               | staticautomatic wrote:
               | So what? It's not like common law has less effect. "Body
               | of law" is understood by lawyers to include both common
               | and statutory law.
        
               | Zak wrote:
               | I will concede the technical point: there is a body of
               | law that sometimes expects business owners to prevent
               | crimes and sometimes doesn't, with a whole lot of
               | ambiguity about exactly what any given owner is actually
               | expected to do. I think that ambiguity should be reduced
               | by putting criminal acts out of scope.
        
               | potato3732842 wrote:
               | The point is that it can easily be overridden with
               | statute
               | 
               | "business owners meeting definition X are only liable in
               | conditions Y"
        
         | LordDragonfang wrote:
         | >TSA isn't great on their false positive rate, does more
         | intense screening, and isn't being staffed by hungover
         | 20-somethings. So maybe the false negative rate didn't actually
         | increase by much?
         | 
         | TSA is abysmal on the false negative rate for things that
         | actually matter. The FNR for actual weapons and explosives is
         | somewhere between 80 and 95%[1]. It's because they waste all of
         | their attention looking for nail clippers and water bottles.
         | 
         | Even an FNR of 50% would be a massive improvement.
         | 
         | [1] https://abcnews.go.com/US/tsa-fails-tests-latest-
         | undercover-...
        
         | dawnerd wrote:
         | Theme parks are switching to these too and it's oh so much
         | nicer to just walk through and if you're unlucky having your
         | bag searched.
        
       | scrose wrote:
       | Interesting how a guy whose entire administration is being
       | investigated and indicted by the FBI ran almost entirely on a
       | 'law and order' platform, with this pilot being one of the
       | staples.
        
         | stronglikedan wrote:
         | The "investigated and indicted by the FBI" that lead to nothing
         | for the "law and order" candidate? Interesting that the
         | "lawfair" candidate would have had the complete opposite
         | outcome, had the laws been equally enforced.
        
           | bwilliams18 wrote:
           | You're confusing Eric Adams with Donald Trump.
        
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