[HN Gopher] Ocean Carbon Removal: Captura's marine carbon captur...
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       Ocean Carbon Removal: Captura's marine carbon capture explained
        
       Author : geox
       Score  : 50 points
       Date   : 2024-12-26 16:18 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (spectrum.ieee.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (spectrum.ieee.org)
        
       | ta988 wrote:
       | I feel like it is missing most of the important questions. What's
       | the impact on sea life (one sentence saying we need
       | monitoring...) The techniques used mean that all the
       | microorganisms, planktons, algaes will be destroyed by those
       | processes. What is the yield of those approaches, you remove 1000
       | tons, but how much do you produce to make the devices, maintain
       | and run them, the boats... What do you do with the CO2, that's
       | now weight you have to move as well and put in containers that
       | required CO2 to be made. This all should count in the equations
       | for the credits, and from what we have seen in the past it is
       | unlikely it will.
        
         | Avicebron wrote:
         | Yeah this is seems like it's reduced the complexity down to one
         | dimension (removing the CO2) and has blown past any of that,
         | didn't even think about the algae initially, just energy
         | expenditures getting this up and running, but yeah, that's
         | pretty much saying you'll solve climate change by chopping down
         | trees and planting golf course grass
        
           | youngtaff wrote:
           | They're not even removing that much CO2 either
           | 
           | > Captura's Port of Los Angeles pilot can remove about 100
           | tonnes of CO2 per year from seawater. The company's new plant
           | under construction in Hawaii will capture 10 times that
           | amount--a measurement the company can definitively quantify.
           | 
           | So 1,000 tonnes of CO2 / year?
        
             | Avicebron wrote:
             | So back of the sticky note math, 1,000 ton/yr, at $7.37/ton
             | carbon credit resell value per Google "AI" header thing,
             | that's $7,370/year profit. Hopefully that covers the boat,
             | employee salaries, and fuel. Good job team.
        
             | caseyohara wrote:
             | To help quantify this further, a typical passenger car
             | emits ~5 tonnes of CO2 per year. So we're talking about
             | offsetting 20-200 cars per year.
             | 
             | https://www.epa.gov/greenvehicles/greenhouse-gas-
             | emissions-t...
        
           | vsensei wrote:
           | Oh no, the algae, nobody thought of them!
        
             | jfengel wrote:
             | We like them for breathing purposes. They produce about 70%
             | of the oxygen.
        
         | aziaziazi wrote:
         | > how much do you produce to make the devices, maintain and run
         | them, the boats
         | 
         | Boats consume way more fuel than a layman may think. I've been
         | on a ~80m / 20people crew coast guard ship for 6 weeks and did
         | a napkin math onboard based on tank levels and refueling date.
         | It was +1000l/person/day of diesel (can't remember precise
         | numbers). We were moving ~50% or the time. In addition of the
         | motors there were many BIG generators to make everything work:
         | heating, sewage, hot water, AC, pumps, motors for cranes,
         | anchor raising... you also need your motors running at least in
         | low speed even when still to control your position and
         | direction.
         | 
         | I'm sure boats acting like platforms and with less crew to
         | accommodate does consume less, however it's still nothing
         | comparable to an onshore plant.
         | 
         | It work "economically" because you often manage to refuel in an
         | port with low fuel price.
        
           | ChuckMcM wrote:
           | I have wondered if you could tow a barge with the processing,
           | then incentivize the box transports to pull the barge along
           | behind. There are challenges with seas and storms and things
           | like the tow line breaking.
           | 
           | I read a proposal for an air extraction system that fit in a
           | container, so that you could stack a few on a container ship
           | and they would process air as they went from port to port.
           | Typically power challenged though (you want some clean energy
           | powering them). Nuclear powered container ships would be good
           | for this.
        
         | renewiltord wrote:
         | Yeah, this is a common reason that environmentalists oppose
         | nuclear power. First you have to prove that what you're going
         | to do is making an improvement. The key element to remember is
         | that we got everything right until the 1970s. After that, it's
         | best to not touch things.
        
       | gmuslera wrote:
       | What could go wrong? Something must be done, that is for sure,
       | and this approach targets the main carbon capture engine of the
       | planet. But at the scale it must reach to do something
       | significant it will probably (surely?) cause unintended
       | consequences.
       | 
       | It's like the butterfly effect applied to complex systems, if you
       | do something big enough for causing a change it will probably
       | affect a lot of things, most that will be obvious only on
       | hindsight, and by Murphy it will end being something essential.
       | Like what happened with the mandate of reducing the sulphur
       | content in ship's fuel oil.
        
         | cmckn wrote:
         | I had the same thought when I read:
         | 
         | > If you want to strip out 1 gigatonne of CO2 from the ocean,
         | you probably have to put the upper few meters of the Atlantic
         | through your machines every year
         | 
         | That sounds...drastic! And this seems quite hand-wavy about the
         | risks:
         | 
         | > a lot of environmental monitoring needs to be done to prove
         | that marine carbon-removal strategies aren't harming aquatic
         | life
        
           | grues-dinner wrote:
           | It's also "only" a gigatonne, out of around 40 Gt of
           | emissions per year. It's not nothing, but a medicore year of
           | global economic growth will outweigh it, and outweigh twice
           | the year after. Unless we get our species' electrical
           | generating shit together on a war footing level of effort,
           | which we won't, global GDP will be a proxy measurement for
           | carbon emissions for a good while.
        
         | exe34 wrote:
         | I've had this idea for a short story for a while, where humans
         | try to do carbon capture and end up going too far, leading to a
         | snow ball.
        
           | moffkalast wrote:
           | Haven't seen Snowpiercer yet I take it?
        
           | block_dagger wrote:
           | I wrote a short story the other day about making the carbon
           | problem obvious to every human on earth[1]. I'd love to read
           | yours when you finish it. We need more fiction that focuses
           | on this along with the nonfiction imo.
           | 
           | [1] https://jck.earth/2024/12/20/heaven-scent.html
        
             | exe34 wrote:
             | Very nice! mine is not likely to get written unfortunately.
        
         | joshuaheard wrote:
         | I had the same thought. This idea sounded like the beginning of
         | a post-apocalyptic science fiction movie to me. When you start
         | making ocean-sized changes to the earth, you better get it
         | right. My second thought was: where are they going to put all
         | that CO2?
        
       | jvanderbot wrote:
       | In my sci-fi addled mind, and massive ship would trundle over the
       | worlds oceans extracting readily available uranium and CO2 to
       | make synthetic fuels for all time from nuclear energy.
       | 
       | This skips a lot of important steps that likely cannot fit on one
       | ship, but I love the idea of it.
        
         | dylan604 wrote:
         | The oceans are big, so why limit it to one ship. Have a fleet
         | of ships where each ship serves different purposes. Navies have
         | been doing this for most of naval history.
        
         | WillAdams wrote:
         | Hal Clement posited schools of "pseudolife" fish processing
         | seawater to extract gold/platinum and harvested by tenders in
         | his short story "The Mechanic" --- it, "Raindrop" and "Halo"
         | are still relevant today and highly recommended.
        
         | photochemsyn wrote:
         | Costs to operate the ship would be more than the recovered
         | uranium would generate. Meaning you wouldn't recover near
         | enough uranium to break even on refueling the ship when it was
         | needed. Same problem with gold (Fritz Haber famously tried this
         | scheme thinking he could erase Germany's WWI war debts,
         | usurious though they were, with gold from seawater).
         | Concentration is just too low to make such processes feasible.
        
           | jvanderbot wrote:
           | The synthetic fuel is what you sell. The uranium keeps you
           | producing fuel for cheaper than O&G traditional extraction.
           | 
           | But you're right: Just put a off-the-shelf modular reactor on
           | the ship, then use that power to synthesize payload fuel from
           | CO2, and the gold, uranium, etc are just helpful extras.
        
       | hnthrow90348765 wrote:
       | It seems like they will do anything except the obvious because
       | that would affect the economy. Why harm one business by forcing
       | them to reduce emissions and profits when you can have two
       | profitable companies where one pollutes and the other cancels
       | that out (ideally...)?
       | 
       | There has to be some other, unannounced benefit to funding these
       | things like contributing research insights to naval warfare
       | problems.
        
         | wombatpm wrote:
         | By having a second company, it becomes an expense of the
         | polluting company. Now the MBA's can put a cost savings into
         | their decision model to reduce their emissions. If their CO2
         | cost is X and the upgrade costs are Y they can optimize,
         | calculate paybacks, determine ROI. For some companies the
         | calculus comes out the outsourcing CO2 capture is the best
         | solution.
        
         | jfengel wrote:
         | I suspect that the unannounced side benefit is that it sounds
         | cool. You get to be the guy who had the brilliant idea that
         | saved the planet with no effort on anybody else's part.
        
         | semi-extrinsic wrote:
         | CDR technologies are being developed for the 2040s and 50s,
         | when we have (hopefully) cut new carbon emissions down close to
         | zero, and need to start repairing the sins of earlier decades.
        
         | maxerickson wrote:
         | Benefiting the economy is good, actually. Having resources to
         | consume is good. It's not a conspiracy to do something stupid.
         | 
         | We also probably benefit from geoengineering regardless of what
         | happens to CO2 production (depending on whether we think the
         | weather was better a few decades ago or not).
        
         | grues-dinner wrote:
         | Bill Bryson's description of an ecological disaster of zinc
         | smelter superfund site being amazing for GDP comes to mind.
        
       | casenmgreen wrote:
       | I'm sure this will end well =-)
        
       | chvrchbvrner wrote:
       | Whenever I read about Geo engineering stuff like this, I remember
       | the last episode of "Dinosaurs" [0] and immediately get a bad
       | feeling about it. Hopefully I'm just paranoid.
       | 
       | [0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Changing_Nature
        
         | jstanley wrote:
         | Beware of generalising from fictional evidence.
         | 
         | https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rHBdcHGLJ7KvLJQPk/the-logica...
        
           | ANewFormation wrote:
           | The most compelling of fiction tends to be compelling because
           | it's based on reality. History is chock full of grand ideas
           | intended to achieve some desired outcome only to create far
           | worse problems than that you aimed to solve.
           | 
           | Irrigation has destroyed entire seas, crop pests have been
           | near exterminated only to learn those pests were eating far
           | more dangerous pests - resulting in mass starvation, and so
           | on endlessly.
           | 
           | This entire idea _really_ seems like the sort of action we
           | 're really not thinking through. Even the article points this
           | out... "What's not easy to quantify is what happens after the
           | CO2-depleted effluent is returned to the sea. Theoretically,
           | if.." To say nothing of the million other possible issues
           | mostly just handwaved away.
        
           | Levitating wrote:
           | wow good read
           | 
           | And interesting website in general, thanks for sharing!
        
           | moralestapia wrote:
           | What a dumb take on the topic.
           | 
           | There's hard sci-fi, for starters. Even outside that realm,
           | nothing wrong with using them as cautionary tales. Asimov's
           | tales excel at this, even if they're not "physically
           | accurate"; who tf cares about that, honestly.
           | 
           | No one in their right mind would treat this literature as if
           | they were textbooks.
        
       | blackeyeblitzar wrote:
       | This needs to really be slowed down. Just like we need changes in
       | the FDA for approval of food ingredients as opposed to the
       | current process that allows ingredients by default, this needs to
       | change to a process of examining what the impacts might be and
       | gaining approval first. This will of course hurt innovation with
       | startups by slowing things down and making it expensive, but I
       | worry about irreversible consequences.
       | 
       | That said, I doubt any of this will be stopped in time. Our
       | governments (state and federal) aren't even quick enough to
       | understand the impact of offshore wind farms on marine life.
       | These geoengineering projects are far more complex and have less
       | data available. So I think the default is that they'll continue.
        
       | idontwantthis wrote:
       | I don't see how any approach where you have to put the CO2
       | somewhere is ever going to work.
       | 
       | Artificial weathering is the only approach that I've ever read
       | anything remotely convincing about.
        
         | grues-dinner wrote:
         | Algae seeding and having it sink to the sea floor taking the
         | carbon with it also seems plausibly physically-possible on the
         | face of it since it uses the exponential growth of
         | microorganisms in rich growth media. And it's even using the
         | same relatively concentrated carbon source as this plan. And
         | it's almost 100% solar powered to boot (the iron seeding ships
         | presumably would not be).
        
           | Lyngbakr wrote:
           | Very little organic carbon actually reaches the seafloor,
           | though, because it is remineralised while sinking through the
           | water column. Then, most of the organic matter that actually
           | _does_ reach the seafloor is similarly remineralised rather
           | than buried.
           | 
           | But say we _did_ manage to get massive amounts of organic
           | matter into the deep ocean, we could feasibly end up creating
           | a so-called  "dead zone" that is depleted in oxygen like we
           | see elsewhere in the ocean, which would be detrimental to
           | deep sea life.
        
             | grues-dinner wrote:
             | I didn't say it's a good idea, just that it's one of the
             | few schemes that I could be convinced has some hope of even
             | presenting two-digit gigatonnes of carbon to some reaction
             | of interest a year.
             | 
             | Processing millions upon millions of cubic kilometres (top
             | 5m of the sea is a bit under 2 million) just screams
             | science fiction to me.
             | 
             | If we _could_ build that much processing infrastructure, we
             | could just build decarbonised generation capacity in the
             | first place.
        
       | htrp wrote:
       | This will definitely end well /s
        
       | retrofrost wrote:
       | I'll be honest, why even fucking with any other kind of geo-
       | engineering other than high altitude sulfur dioxide injection. We
       | literally have seen a big jump in warming from problably removing
       | the sulfuric byproducts of cargoship fuel. At its heart global
       | warming is an issue of energy in vs energy out. Its a lot harder
       | to remove billions of tons of co2 to increase energy out versus
       | using a couple thousand tons of sulphur dioxide to reduce energy
       | in. Maybe not as a permanent fix, but a better fix than this
       | nonesense.
        
         | anakaine wrote:
         | That sulfur was removed to reduce acid rain, so its not without
         | some pretty terrible side effects.
        
           | was_a_dev wrote:
           | The idea (in theory being the key word) is by injecting into
           | the stratosphere minimises acid rain production and maximises
           | cooling requiring less SO2
        
         | matthewdgreen wrote:
         | Because (1) sulfur-dioxide injection is a short term solution
         | that doesn't solve the problem long term, (2) there is a huge
         | risk of termination shock if civilization ever stops injecting
         | it, (3) the only long term route to a stable client is to stop
         | emitting and to remove the CO2 excess we're adding, (4) all of
         | this assumes that solar radiation management doesn't have
         | terrible unexpected effects on the climate.
         | 
         | We're probably going to have to do it anyway as a Hail Mary,
         | since we're now seeing clouds disappear due to warming. But
         | it's an emergency measure and not a solution.
         | https://www.science.org/content/article/earth-s-clouds-are-s...
        
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       (page generated 2024-12-26 23:01 UTC)