[HN Gopher] Exploring the Cost and Feasibility of Battery-Electr...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Exploring the Cost and Feasibility of Battery-Electric Ships
        
       Author : gnabgib
       Score  : 41 points
       Date   : 2024-11-20 16:52 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (newscenter.lbl.gov)
 (TXT) w3m dump (newscenter.lbl.gov)
        
       | tonymet wrote:
       | Ferry service in the Puget Sound (Seattle Area) has suffered due
       | to delays with electric ferries. The state refuses to maintain
       | their existing fleet. Every line has frequent delays, and the
       | international route which was suspended for "a couple years" in
       | 2021 is now delayed until 2030.
       | 
       | The frustration people have with electric isn't the technology -
       | it's the dogmatic commitment to technology that isn't quite
       | ready, based on false promises of it solving climate change .
        
         | dboreham wrote:
         | I've traveled on a battery electric ship in Norway, quite a few
         | years ago. It recharged while docked loading passengers using
         | two high voltage high current cables slung from a crane.
        
           | euroderf wrote:
           | This sounds like a great way to keep consumer e-vehicles from
           | hogging charger spots.
        
         | hwillis wrote:
         | It looks like that is a conversion and retrofit of ships that
         | were already unmaintainable:
         | https://washingtonstatestandard.com/briefs/conversion-of-was...
         | 
         | Modernizing all the control systems etc is the nightmare. The
         | ferries were _already_ electric- all ferries are; they have
         | diesel engines driving generators which drive electric motors.
         | They _still_ have the exact same generators running the same
         | motors. The batteries are installed and ready even though they
         | won 't be used until the port is electrified years from now:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkgT9Z8Z2RU
        
           | tonymet wrote:
           | Sure but you have to think of the entire system which
           | includes staff, training , charging infrastructure, power
           | supply, possibly fuel for the charging infrastructure,
           | backup/redundancy, maintenance, parts / distribution etc. An
           | entire infrastructure network that had been operating for
           | decades.
           | 
           | Diesel is more than just fuel, it's an entire system.
        
             | itake wrote:
             | I also heard the power companies just don't have the extra
             | power to supply the ferries. The terminals need to be
             | redesigned to receive and emit that much juice.
        
         | Already__Taken wrote:
         | this? https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-
         | news/transportation/ele...
         | 
         | interesting they're struggling to get ship builders to bid.
         | 
         | Seems like a lesson learned is to build new boats until service
         | is over capacity before refitting old boats where the unknown
         | unknowns lurk.
        
         | laurencerowe wrote:
         | Meanwhile Norway has 80 electric commuter ferries in service.
         | https://businessnorway.com/articles/norway-showcases-award-w...
        
           | nickff wrote:
           | The Norwegian ferries appear to be much smaller than the
           | Washington state ferries.
           | 
           | Here is the largest e-ferry:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E-ferry_Ellen
           | 
           | And a guide to the WA fleet:
           | https://wsdot.wa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-10/WSF-
           | FleetGu...
        
             | laurencerowe wrote:
             | > Here is the largest e-ferry:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E-ferry_Ellen
             | 
             | Norway's largest e-ferry is three times larger.
             | https://www.electrive.com/2021/03/02/worlds-largest-
             | electric...
        
               | nickff wrote:
               | According to your link (and all other articles I found on
               | that vessel), that ferry is capable of operating all-
               | electric, but actually operating as a hybrid.
        
               | wongarsu wrote:
               | The Seattle ferries GP was talking are also retrofitted
               | to be hybrid-electric, so that does seem very comparable
        
               | nickff wrote:
               | I was initially responding to a post stating that there
               | were many all-electric ferries, and my point was that
               | there were none (operational) of a size comparable to WA
               | state ferries.
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42197763
               | 
               | There are many large hybrid vessels; notably, this has
               | been common for submarines for a very long time. The
               | largest currently operational diesel-electric (hybrid)
               | submarine seems to be the Chinese Qing-class, of ~3800
               | tons surfaced displacement.
        
               | tialaramex wrote:
               | Although the news at that time was about delivery of a
               | first electric ferry, that was 2021 and things change.
               | The Ferry company's web site says now it has _three_
               | electric ferries as a result of conversions and indeed
               | they charge at both ends of the route. It 's in Norwegian
               | but the translation looks reasonable to me.
        
           | tonymet wrote:
           | your point?
        
         | Gibbon1 wrote:
         | The frustration should be that in the US management is
         | functionally incompetent.
         | 
         | Proposal: If we do it this way we won't have to spend as much
         | money.
         | 
         | Counter: That's really hinky and it probably will blow up in
         | our face.
         | 
         | Proposal: Yes but you can't prove it will. So it's what we're
         | going to do.
         | 
         | Later: Blows up and goes over budget and takes two to three
         | times longer.
        
           | shermantanktop wrote:
           | you forgot the part where "Proposal" has been promoted twice
           | based on a hurried launch and only "Counter" is left to take
           | the blame for the messups.
        
           | ajford wrote:
           | It also doesn't help that the bid/contract process is skewed
           | to select the lowest bidder.
           | 
           | You can always forget to add some margin here or there, or
           | fail to plan for problems that might pop up. It's easy to
           | game the system because sunk costs make it nearly impossible
           | to switch once you've started.
        
         | Epa095 wrote:
         | Technology won't become ready without users unfortunately.
        
         | Panzer04 wrote:
         | I don't know what you mean by dogmatic. Alternatives to
         | electric are still the primary workhorses in most industries,
         | but falling prices for batteries mean they are rapidly becoming
         | more competitive.
         | 
         | My experience is that people don't have a good grasp of how
         | effective electric is, and think it's somehow worse than the
         | alternatives and winning via subsidies, which is not really the
         | case today. Likewise for things like solar.
         | 
         | I imagine many businesses are hoping to put off their next
         | replacement cycles for more effective, cheaper technology
         | rather than incur big Capex expenses on soon to be obsolete and
         | more expensive technologies.
        
           | tonymet wrote:
           | dogmatic in this case refers to tolerating critical service
           | disruptions despite strong signal that electric is not yet
           | ready, when you could easily continue service with diesel,
           | the mature technology.
        
       | hwillis wrote:
       | Wow, this is a really good paper. Supplementary info is really
       | great too- they get into details down to floating charging port
       | stations as part of the infrastructure. Surprising how much
       | demand is from tugboats. I have questions about how you'd safely
       | hook up 5 MW connections, but it's definitely solvable.
        
         | Epa095 wrote:
         | Here is a LinkedIn post from my friends in Plug with a video!
         | It's for connecting to a cruise ship, which are often around
         | 5MW https://www.linkedin.com/posts/plugport_some-great-
         | insight-i...
        
         | ianburrell wrote:
         | There are IEC 60309 industrial power connectors that can handle
         | 8MW (1000V, 800A).
         | 
         | There are also power connectors for cruise ships while they are
         | in dock that handle lots of power. It looks like they use IEC
         | 80005 for shore power. It looks like it is AC only but probably
         | could be made to use DC.
        
           | bittercynic wrote:
           | Isn't that 0.8MW?
        
             | telgareith wrote:
             | 800 _1000=800,000. (8_ 1 and 5 zeros).
             | 
             | looks like 800kW to me. Nice catch.
        
         | sitharus wrote:
         | Tugboats are a perfect use for battery electric boats! Most
         | tugs work close to a port, they don't need to travel very far,
         | need to be extraordinarily powerful for their size, and they
         | need to change power output rapidly to manoeuvre a ship.
         | 
         | A harbour tug internally is almost entirely engine. Well, two
         | engines, because an engine failure during tug operations is
         | almost always disastrous.
        
           | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
           | Not to mention that many of them are diesel-electric hybrid
           | already, going back to the 1940's.
        
         | syncsynchalt wrote:
         | Electric ferries have already proved out high-power dockside
         | charging, though I'm unsure whether that's primarily marine or
         | freshwater in practice.
         | 
         | https://www.stemmann.com/en/products/charging_systems/ferryc...
         | 
         | This company has designs that go up to 23MW @ 15kV, though I'm
         | unsure what their largest actual installation is.
        
         | pornel wrote:
         | Here's more about electric tugboats:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mu9XZIpOTcw
         | 
         | They can have super high torque. Quiet motors allow them to
         | operate where diesel wouldn't be allowed due noise pollution.
        
         | exhilaration wrote:
         | The Maid of the Mist boats at Niagara Falls have been fully
         | electric since 2023: https://www.maidofthemist.com/maid-of-the-
         | mist-sets-the-stan... They don't talk too much about battery
         | capacity or charging but I'm sure the information is out there.
        
       | Already__Taken wrote:
       | I support this idea but I stopped reading when the costs factored
       | included the social costs of CO2 emissions. which I'm sure are
       | important, but shipping operates on the actual cost of fuel and
       | equipment, until CO2 tax is in that aren't we just making up
       | economics?
       | 
       | They're also factoring in the value of the batteries second life,
       | which seems at best, speculative.
       | 
       | ships should be electric, they're filthy to be around with 24/7
       | diesel generators running even on the quayside. if ship
       | electrification prompted better port facilities of shore side
       | hookup just that would be a win.
        
         | hwillis wrote:
         | They split the emissions cost out separately, FWIW:
         | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-024-01655-y/figures/3
        
         | akira2501 wrote:
         | The reason those generators run is because the cargo requires
         | them, or ships would not be able to take anything refrigerated
         | or frozen, removing a large part of very profitable cargo from
         | them. If the power to those boxes fails for a long enough
         | period of time the load is completely destroyed.
         | 
         | Ships use power for all sorts of things. Steering, ventilation
         | fans, and water pumps just to name a few. Motor power is only a
         | fraction of what a boat can do, and most boats connect a
         | generator to the main shaft, because the power is more
         | important than the motive force.
        
       | nwah1 wrote:
       | Energy density of batteries is much lower than that of fossil
       | fuels. Which means that the weight of the ships would increase.
       | In addition to the high price of the batteries, potential risks
       | of electrocution, etc.
       | 
       | There are intermediate options. Moving away from diesel towards
       | natural gas would dramatically reduce emissions (including sulfur
       | emissions), while retaining high energy density.
        
         | laurencerowe wrote:
         | Electric is an immediate option. Norway has 80 electric ferries
         | in service. https://businessnorway.com/articles/norway-
         | showcases-award-w...
        
           | nwah1 wrote:
           | It may be an immediate option for places that have a very
           | strong desire to reduce carbon emissions, but for profit-
           | driven entities the push towards natural gas ends up as both
           | more economical and more ecological.
           | 
           | https://www.lngindustry.com/special-reports/21112023/the-
           | ris...
        
             | ajford wrote:
             | It seems like the profit-driven attitude put us in the
             | ecological situation and maybe it's time to put the
             | environmental impact first.
        
         | ViewTrick1002 wrote:
         | Not going to work in the EU.
         | 
         | Fossil fuels like natural gas are assumed to be the baseline in
         | the Fuel EU directive entering into force in 2025.
         | 
         | All required reductions will have to come on top.
         | 
         | https://transport.ec.europa.eu/transport-modes/maritime/deca...
        
           | nwah1 wrote:
           | Looks like another intermediate option is bio-methanol. But,
           | both options are very rare, with diesel being the
           | overwhelming majority of international shipping.
           | 
           | Shifting to either would be a very significant improvement
           | over the status quo. Whether that meets EU requirements is
           | another matter.
           | 
           | https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/maersk-buy-
           | bio-m...
        
             | ViewTrick1002 wrote:
             | Yep, everything is on the table. All done through complete
             | lifecycle well to wake calculations to prevent hiding
             | emissions in intermediate steps.
             | 
             | Works by forcing say 2% green fuel in 2028 and then a
             | market for shipping companies to buy and sell rights. The
             | requirement will increase every couple of years.
             | 
             | Which means old ships will continue to operate but will
             | have to pay for their emission to greener vessels. Thus we
             | have a very direct gain from going all the way rather than
             | half hearted attempts, allowing modern green vessels to
             | make a business case on selling their credits by being over
             | performers.
        
         | sitharus wrote:
         | LNG and LPG marine engines do exist, and are gaining
         | popularity. The main issues are the price of gas fuel compared
         | to marine diesel - which is the fraction too soft for roads and
         | too viscous for other engines so is often really cheap - and
         | safety considerations when retrofitting in to existing ships.
         | 
         | Unlike diesel fuel, gas fuels are readily ignitable and present
         | a suffocation hazard in enclosed spaces. This is solvable with
         | installation of a proper gas detection system, but if you've
         | ever dealt with the shipping industry you'll know that
         | maintenance is not top of their list.
         | 
         | Also gas fuels require new port-side storage and handling
         | equipment, and in the case of liquified gas this might require
         | a refrigeration system.
         | 
         | Electricity on the other hand is already port-side, and most
         | ports will have a significant supply available.
         | 
         | As for weight, that's not really a problem for ships,
         | especially tugboats. In the case of tugs the near instant peek
         | power of electric propulsion is a huge advantage.
        
           | akira2501 wrote:
           | > and safety considerations when retrofitting in to existing
           | ships.
           | 
           | So, we're keeping the fire hazard, but adding a stored energy
           | hazard in the form of compressed gas? All in a retrofit? This
           | doesn't sound like a good idea for international ships.
           | 
           | > and most ports will have a significant supply available.
           | 
           | Are you sure about that?
        
             | sitharus wrote:
             | > So, we're keeping the fire hazard, but adding a stored
             | energy hazard in the form of compressed gas? All in a
             | retrofit? This doesn't sound like a good idea for
             | international ships.
             | 
             | Indeed not, I haven't heard of any large cargo ship using
             | gas fuel at sea other than gas carriers. I know that there
             | are some dual-fuel ships, which use gas fuel in costal
             | waters for emissions reasons, but they carry much less gas
             | than would be required for a full voyage.
             | 
             | > > and most ports will have a significant supply
             | available.
             | 
             | > Are you sure about that?
             | 
             | Ports have electric cranes (the big ones, not the straddle
             | cranes), shore power supply for ships, bulk goods handling
             | facilities, etc. They often have a high voltage (110kV+)
             | supply. This won't be true everywhere, but it is common.
             | 
             | Of course it's not just a drop in process and it will be
             | expensive to get all the new equipment in place.
             | 
             | My nearest port got their first electric tug two years ago
             | and they documented what they needed to do. They did have
             | to install a new substation, but their existing 110kV
             | feeder lines have plenty of capacity, they already consume
             | over 13GWh per year so the increase needed to charge the
             | tug wasn't high.
             | 
             | I am ignoring the issues with charging battery-electric
             | large cargo ships because the article did not consider
             | those either.
        
       | nominatronic wrote:
       | > The researchers analyzed US-flagged ships less than 1,000 gross
       | tonnage, which includes primarily passenger ships and three types
       | of tugboats.
       | 
       | This is the buried lede. They are excluding basically all cargo
       | shipping.
       | 
       | - Very little of the shipping industry is US-flagged. Most
       | commercial ships sail under flags of convenience such as Panama
       | and Libera, because of their reduced regulations and costs.
       | 
       | - Nobody carries cargo any distance in vessels of less than 1000
       | gross tons, because that scale would be uneconomical to operate.
       | Modern seagoing cargo ships have about one crew member per 8000
       | tons of cargo.
        
         | toomuchtodo wrote:
         | ~40% of cargo tonnage is moving fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas)
         | around [1] [2]. I would expect this volume to decline as the
         | global energy transition continues to ramp. China's economy and
         | EVs are already depressing global oil prices [3] [4] [5], for
         | example. Also consider global decoupling and repatriating of
         | supply chains [6] [7].
         | 
         | My analysis: We're potentially going to require much less
         | marine transport capacity in the future. How much of that can
         | be electrified is the question, imho (versus "green ammonia"
         | produced from low carbon energy [8]).
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://thelastdriverlicenseholder.com/2022/01/12/almost-40-...
         | 
         | [2] https://unctad.org/system/files/official-
         | document/rmt2019_en...
         | 
         | [3] https://www.iea.org/commentaries/china-s-slowdown-is-
         | weighin...
         | 
         | [4] https://theprogressplaybook.com/2024/09/18/chinas-ev-and-
         | hig...
         | 
         | [5] https://www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/chinas-slowing-oil-
         | dem...
         | 
         | [6] https://www.axios.com/2024/11/14/companies-global-trade-
         | chin...
         | 
         | [7] https://www.bain.com/about/media-center/press-
         | releases/2024/...
         | 
         | [8]
         | https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&qu...
        
         | tialaramex wrote:
         | Although the US isn't a member of one of the various large port
         | state organisations it is enormous, and it has a lot of coast,
         | so the US Coast Guard effectively acts as a Port State Control
         | authority the way that say the Paris MOU or Tokyo MOU do, but
         | with potentially less friction because instead of Spain and
         | Germany or Japan and Australia having to agree what happens
         | it's just Florida and New York, which are ultimately both
         | responsible to the US Federal government.
         | 
         | If you have a Port State Control regime then the Flag State
         | Control doesn't matter so much and so while it's true that most
         | of these ships do not fly a US flag, they're not really sailing
         | under a foreign flag for the reason you expect. A big reason
         | instead is that these states have an Open Registry, which means
         | everybody in the world can put a ship on their register. To fly
         | the US flag, the ship's owners must be Americans.
         | 
         | Why doesn't Flag State matter so much (if you have PSC) ?
         | Because the port states in effect control regulations if you
         | visit their port, and unless your vessel somehow makes sense
         | just pootling around in the ocean forever you will want to
         | visit a port and thus be subject to their rules. Now, if that
         | port doesn't have Port State Control, which fifty years ago
         | none of them did, the Flag State is the only authority, but in
         | 1978 the Europeans are agreeing rules to protect workers on
         | ships in their water when blam - a shipping accident off the
         | French coast causes world headlines. So of course journalists
         | want to know, you're agreeing a treaty, how will your treaty
         | fix this? And the bald answer for the intended treaty text was
         | "It makes no difference, fuck off". But there are international
         | journalists up in your grill and you've been telling everybody
         | how important your treaty is and so... Port State Control, the
         | Paris MOU is signed a few years later to formalize how Europe's
         | states will coordinate to police everybody, regardless of the
         | flag they're flying, if they enter a port.
         | 
         | The Paris MOU was a huge success, and soon anywhere with money
         | imitated it. Tokyo MOU, there's a Carribean one, Indian Ocean,
         | Black Sea... Anywhere you'd actually deliberately sail cargo
         | ships to has Port State Control these days.
         | 
         | So yes, this does exclude all the cargo shipping, but not
         | really because of the flag, it's because the cargo ships are
         | _enormous_ and so fall out of the size restriction.
        
         | AcerbicZero wrote:
         | Hah, if we're only going to talk only about tiny US ships, run
         | them on whale oil for all I care.
         | 
         | Seems to me the 80/20 here would be to attack the problem near
         | the top of the stack, not the bottom. Those massive heavy fuel
         | oil burning container ships that basically just smog the ocean
         | 24/7 might be a good target for improvements; as well as just
         | general code enforcement.
        
           | pingou wrote:
           | For now it seems the improvements (sulphur regulations) only
           | made the situation worse, in term of climate change.
        
             | taeric wrote:
             | I'm surprised I don't see that discussed more. Too easy to
             | slide into denialism? I thought there was a strong case a
             | lot of the immediate ocean temperature changes these past
             | few years was this. Which is not to deny climate change,
             | but we should pay attention to all changes. Instead, I've
             | seen more denial that cloud seeding could do anything.
        
               | zdragnar wrote:
               | You'd need to compare the harm done: acid rain versus
               | warming due to less sulphur.
               | 
               | Given that it's possible to offset the rise of CO2
               | elsewhere, it's hard not to argue that the sulphur
               | emissions are strictly worse, and we are better off for
               | having less of them.
        
               | taeric wrote:
               | Agreed. Also hard not to see that the extra sun on the
               | Atlantic is almost certainly rising temperatures. It
               | isn't an either or. All if this is happening.
        
             | stephen_g wrote:
             | That's the wrong framing. The NOx and SOx emissions were
             | going to have to go eventually. It's true that it might
             | have been better to phase it out over a year or two so it
             | was less of a shock as the hard deadline that ended up
             | hapenning, but we couldn't keep constantly polluting
             | forever (which is the only way to keep those aerosols in
             | the air).
             | 
             | Sulphur regulations just unmasked some of the global
             | warming that had already happened, but that masking was
             | only ever going to be temporary in the long run.
        
               | taeric wrote:
               | This feels dishonest? The sulfur clouds were keeping
               | temperatures down. Largely in ways that were not really
               | related to green house gasses. Exposing the ocean to more
               | sun increases temperatures of the ocean. Likely
               | influences currents, as well. In ways independent of heat
               | we are trapping in the atmosphere.
               | 
               | Should we have stopped the sulfur? Agreed that that
               | answer is almost certainly still yes. Questions that this
               | leads to are cleaner artificial clouds. Not to control
               | weather, per se. Rather, to reduce ocean heating.
        
         | m463 wrote:
         | It could be the ships they are studying are the most
         | inefficient, and pollute the most near people. Maybe they make
         | the most sense to electrify. It could also be the only ones
         | that can be forced to electrify by law.
         | 
         | Large container ships are pretty efficient and mostly stay away
         | from populated areas.
        
           | PlunderBunny wrote:
           | Several of the diesel ferries that operate from Auckland
           | harbour will be replaced with electric ferries next year and
           | in 2026. Apparently ferries in Auckland carry only 6% of
           | public transport passengers, but account for 20% of the
           | public transport emissions [0].
           | 
           | 0. https://at.govt.nz/bus-train-ferry/ferry-services/low-
           | emissi...
        
             | nick3443 wrote:
             | Going fast in water takes incredible amounts of power.
        
               | m463 wrote:
               | I don't know why hydrofoils aren't more popular
        
               | AlotOfReading wrote:
               | Because they're expensive and unreliable for most
               | applications. They need more power, they increase draft,
               | they don't tolerate debris, and they _really_ dislike
               | rough seas.
        
               | lstodd wrote:
               | They do fine for passenger traffic. Draft, debris and
               | rough seas are not a problem. You need gas turbines or
               | very unusual diesels for the power, that is the problem.
        
         | elihu wrote:
         | > Very little of the shipping industry is US-flagged.
         | 
         | That's true for international shipping, but for shipping
         | between U.S. ports, the ships have to be U.S. flagged due to
         | the Jones act.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Merchant_Marine_Act_of_1920
         | 
         | I agree though that focusing on small U.S. flagged ships is not
         | very representative of shipping in general.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | There is very little shipping between us ports. Not zero, but
           | not much.
        
             | euroderf wrote:
             | Speculation: this system propped up by the long-distance
             | trucking lobby.
        
               | Polizeiposaune wrote:
               | Longshoreman's union "touch fees" reportedly have a lot
               | to do with it:
               | 
               | https://capitalresearch.org/article/what-you-need-to-
               | know-ab...
               | 
               | https://twitter.com/johnkonrad/status/1840904466310316459
               | 
               | " it's somehow cheaper to truck containers hundreds of
               | miles and let taxpayers foot the road repair bill than
               | let the union _touch_ it two more times for short sea
               | shipping to work. "
        
               | mrguyorama wrote:
               | It's not the Longshoreman's union fault that truck
               | drivers have zero leverage against their employers in
               | comparison.
               | 
               | If every form of transportation had strong unions, the
               | system could find whatever healthy or natural
               | distribution was actually economically efficient. More
               | stuff would be sent by Train and Boat, both substantially
               | more efficient in most cases, and both industries that
               | suffer in the US from being ignored.
               | 
               | Instead, so much of the US essentially just runs on
               | Employee Coercion Arbitrage and we all suffer for it.
               | 
               | We should be able to shop around transportation choices
               | without exploiting underpaid workers.
               | 
               | Realistically, a carbon tax would actually have the same
               | outcome if you hate unions.
        
               | dghlsakjg wrote:
               | The Jones act goes back to before the existence of long
               | distance trucking, and has so many interested parties
               | just on the maritime side that it will take a shift in
               | world order for it to change.
        
               | euroderf wrote:
               | "Son, custody of the Jones Act has been passed down from
               | technology generation to technology generation..."
        
             | elihu wrote:
             | I can believe that.
        
         | dghlsakjg wrote:
         | Until we can find a battery with the energy density of fuel
         | oil, then it isn't possible to transport sea cargo on
         | batteries.
         | 
         | Fuel oil is approximately 80x the energy per KG when compared
         | to lithium.
        
       | elzbardico wrote:
       | A Lithium fire battery in a cruise ship in the middle of the
       | Pacific would be a truly unique experience.
        
         | mcswell wrote:
         | Almost as bad as a fuel oil fire on a cruise ship.
        
           | Polizeiposaune wrote:
           | Lithium batteries are more prone to self-immolation/thermal
           | runaway; heavy fuel oils aren't prone to spontaneous ignition
           | at typical temperatures & pressures.
        
             | beedeebeedee wrote:
             | Use lithium ferrophosphate instead- no fire
        
             | 1234letshaveatw wrote:
             | I would think that preventative measures would be much
             | easier to realize on big ships with lower density demands
        
             | EricE wrote:
             | Furthermore, oil fires can be extinguished by water and/or
             | CO2 - Lithium battery fires can't be smothered and require
             | exponentially more water to bring under control (producing
             | copious amounts of heavily contaminated water too). And
             | once put out can easily re-ignite.
        
         | samplatt wrote:
         | There's hope that sodium-ion tech will come to the rescue,
         | here. The energy-density is bordering on 'good enough' but it's
         | not quite there, yet.
         | 
         | There's other technologies that they're trialing for boats that
         | seem silly but works on paper at least. We're currently
         | building a ferry with a massive flywheel to store lots of
         | rotational inertia to convert to electricity, which on the face
         | of it is bonkers but again, the maths says it's good.
        
           | AtlasBarfed wrote:
           | I am counting my chickens before they hatch, but sulfur
           | chemistries should help quite a lot. Same abundance of
           | materials, 2x to 3x the energy density.
           | 
           | It's my impression that a lot of sulfur and other "advanced"
           | chemistries are held up by operating restrictions like
           | temperature for consumer vehicles, but industrial transport
           | vehicles might not have such requirements because they have
           | constant output.
        
         | euroderf wrote:
         | Is LFP an option ? Thermal runaway, O2 venting, they go away
         | AFAICT.
        
         | DanielHB wrote:
         | The ship would need to be designed around it, but the battery
         | could be set up in a way to allow it to burn out without
         | affecting the rest of the ship at all, it is not that hard to
         | isolate a battery from the rest of the system.
         | 
         | Although it would be better if the battery is at the bottom of
         | the ship so there would also need to be some sort of air
         | exhaust system for when that happens, hopefully one that
         | prevents the fumes from reaching the passengers at all but I
         | don't think that would be possible without a chimney.
        
       | coding123 wrote:
       | You've been sitting at port a week past unloading please move
       | along! Sorry doc command, were still charging, should be on our
       | way in 8 more days.
        
       | entropicgravity wrote:
       | The future of shipping is ammonia. It has, pretty much, all the
       | attributes of fossil fuels but being NH4 it doesn't produce an
       | earth warming byproduct.
        
         | lstodd wrote:
         | now imagine a leak of it.
         | 
         | fuel oil.. you just fence it off and scoop up.
         | 
         | ammonia.. evacuate the port and city
        
       | DanielHB wrote:
       | I wonder how viable an autonomous single-container electric cargo
       | ship would be, instead of massive ships you could have thousands
       | of tiny ones. With automated loading/unloading it could massively
       | simplify logistics
       | 
       | A solar panel covering the ship and one of those flaps to
       | generate power from wind with a EV-scale battery could be enough
       | for containers moving light non-time-sensitive stuff. Probably
       | wouldn't be able to run the engine at night for long though.
       | 
       | Heck throw some wheels at it and fast charging at docks and it
       | could even potentially drive down the road as a truck directly
       | from sea.
        
         | thworp wrote:
         | While I don't have any deep foundational knowledge, I do know
         | that:
         | 
         | - the energy required for moving in a fluid grows sub-linear
         | with the vessel's volume
         | 
         | - larger motors tend to be more efficient
         | 
         | - your autonomous swarm will be a gigantic waste of steel and
         | batteries.
         | 
         | Not to mention the problems around the _autonomous_ part,
         | without which you 'd also have a huge waste of manpower.
         | 
         | See also
         | https://engineering.stackexchange.com/questions/38252/why-on...
         | for some points by people I assume know a bit more than me.
        
         | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
         | That sounds like a nightmare in port. Instead of one ship, now
         | you have thousands arriving one after another.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2024-11-21 23:01 UTC)